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Strategic Negotiation Skills

Satish Duryodhan
Puzzle-Poll

Unstoppable Cone

Immovable post
Typical Real World Negotiations
Negotiation “Empty set” in action

Role Character Actor

01 Business Michael
Al Pacino
owner Corleone

02 Corleone’s Thomas Robert


Lawyer Hagan Duval

0
Patrick
3 Senator
Geary
Spradlin
My offer is…

$250K to get license


01 5% of all 4 hotel revenue Nothing 02
as commission

Negotiations

Why Why? 04
03 Do not like underworld Normal licensing $20K
intend to squeeze! Lawyers agreement
Empty Sets in real world negotiations-Poll

Read Understanding the reservation point scenario 1

What do you think of these statements?

“Don’t you think


Firm A ….

veiled advocacy for a particular position


but can’t you see
that Firm B …
Understanding the reservation point scenario 1-1

Empty Sets in real world negotiations

What do you think of these statements?

you want to hire an


inexperienced firm ….

opinionated words to corner other party

we can’t afford to
spend the fortune …
Understanding the reservation point scenario 2

Read Understanding the reservation point scenario 2

What do you think of these statements?

What impressed you


about Firm B? …

neutral question aimed at information


gathering and defining priorities.

Why it is a better fit


for us…

requires you to look beyond own biases


open yourself up to being persuaded by other party
Anxiety in Negotiation

anxious negotiators made initial offers that were 7.5% lower on


average than those from non-anxious participants
A study by Wharton professors Alison Wood Brooks and Maurice Schweitze
Anxiety: concerned, nervous, restless, fearful or tense

How many of you get anxious with thought of


Negotiating?-Poll
Strategy to minimise impact of anxiety on Negotiations

Reframe Anxiety as opportunity


01 to focus on ways to succeed
Control
severity

02 Harness anxious rumination with


thorough preparation
Channel

03 Build confidence through practice Optimize


Course Assessment

Component Mode Details Wt


Mid term Online 40 min 20%
online Test
End Term 120 min 40%
Exam Online

Sim analysis Pre Negotiation report (5 No) 8-10 hours 10%


effort
Negotiation Videos/post
30%
reports (5No)
Total 100%
What do you think are most important negotiation skills?
% Negotiation situations

FOCUS ON IMPLEMENTATION 20
Critical Negotiation Skill set

EMPATHY-EMOTIONS & PERCEPTIONS 40

FRAMING / OPTIONS 60

ASSERTIVENESS 80

PREPARATION 100

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Top 5 skill sets across


Negotiation
situations
Source of Anchor case study
€22 MN
Experience case study
DL 3 year project contract 2002
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Total
Requirement,
Milestones 60% 25% functionality,
Design, Prototypes,
delivery functionality Implementation, Training
15% functionality
Milestone linked
6 12 8 26
Pmt $M

Year 1 delivery a grand success!!!


DL Project at end of Year 1-Poll
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Total
Revenue MN 6 12 8 26
Est. Effots MY 100 300 200 600
1-MY cost $K 40 25 25
Est. Cost $MN 4 7.5 5 19
Est. PBT $MN 2 4.5 3 9.5

Actual efforts MY 170


Actual cost $MN 6.8
HW Corp. 2001
Original Est. vs actual Y1 Org. Level P&L Revenue $ MN PBT $ MN
50 6/ (3.2)

What will you do (poll)?


Establishing feasibility –setting your range

Lowest point Target point Highest point

Resistance point Aspiration point Dream point


beyond which negotiator negotiator would like to Keep reaching target
is unwilling to settle conclude negotiations point a possibility

Our Range
DL Project at end of Year 1-Poll
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Total
Revenue MN 6 12 8 26
Est. Effots MY 100 300 200 600
1-MY cost $K 40 25 25
Est. Cost $MN 4 7.5 5 19
Est. PBT $MN 2 4.5 3 9.5
Actual efforts
170
MY
Actual cost
$MN 6.8
Poll

Our Best Value?


Our Minimum
acceptable value?
Their acceptance range

Est. Their Best Value?


Est. Their Minimum
acceptable value? Poll
Is ZOPA always as continuous range?

Depends on possible values/options issue can take

Issue option Will Elizabeth


Will goes Elizabeth fills up
unilaterally Ideal Not acceptable

Will goes after acceptable help


to Elizabeth (0, 1..n) and
Elizabeth fills up Acceptable Acceptable

Will does not go Not acceptable Ideal


Outgoing

3% 11%
Task Focussed

People Focus
DISC

17% 69%

Reserved general population breakdown


How D and I differ in “action”?
May feel alienated or
misunderstood by the rest

Team represented on the Everything DiSC Workplace® map


Strategy to adapt personality to be successful negotiator

01 Master negotiation skills

02 positive attitudes, confidence,


Initiative without Aggression

03 Adapt strategy to other party


personality
Negotiating with a D personality type

Characteristics So you…

Present the bottom


Prioritizes Action line – briefly
& Results

Fears being taken Focus on solutions


than problems
advantage of

Values
Competence & Compliment them
Accomplishments publicly
Negotiating with a I personality type

Characteristics So you…

Allow time for them


Fears loss of to ask questions
influence

Values freedom Don't interrupt


of expression them

Limited by lack of
follow through Don't overload
with details
Negotiating with a S personality type

Characteristics So you…

Express your
Values loyalty interest in them
and security

Prioritizes Avoid
support and confrontation
collaboration

Fears loss of Explain what is


stability expected of them
Negotiating with a C personality type

Characteristics So you…

Motivated by Focus on Facts and


details
expertise &
quality work

Prioritizes
analysis and Be precise and
challenging correct
assumptions

overcritical, over
analyzing Be patient and
diplomatic
Distributive negotiation Characteristics

Single issue Fixed Pie

Objective: Motivation:
Claim Max.. Self interest

Compete
strategy Win-lose
Est. other party
reservation value Explain how costly
Est. DL Minimum are your concessions
acceptable value Poll?
01 03

Distributive
negotiation
strategies

02 04

Avoid unilateral Tie your concession to


concessions specific other party action
Salt Harbor Part A-common information
Original Plot
Carved out parcel

Legal 3month ago


commercial use

illegal Now for


commercial use

Negotiating Parties
Party 1:Easterly owner and Lawyer
Party 2: Brims Manager and Lawyer
Defendant est. ZOPA at Preparation stage for Out of court settlement
-Ignore Lawyer or potential lawsuit costs

Est . Claimant walk away revised during negotiation 380K


Negotiation stages
Negotiation Simulation activities

Breakout rooms
Role Group Negotiation Team
(owners/Owner’s lawyer)
STEP B
01 03
START

Video Recording STEP D


Preparation Analysis
Video playback /
Debrief

STEP A

02 04

Conclude
Role specific CI, STEP C
Preparation Template Poll/
Negotiation Post agreement Reflection
Analysis template
03 04
Role execution Objection
handling

02 05
Group Personality
Coordination adaption
Relative team
performance
01 06
Preparedness Strategy
execution
Team#_SH
Negotiation evaluation
Post Negotiation Poll analysis
discussions

Why some teams reached agreement as low as 100-120K


and some over 220K+ when total information for teams was identical?
Exercise

Why wide range when each Team has same info.?

People have different aspirations or targets?

Some gather more information than others?

Some are willing to risk impasse than others?

First offer influenced the outcome


Powerful effect of Anchoring (first offer) Poll FS-FO

$135K
Expert Gr estimate

$130K

$125K

$120K

$115K

$110K

$105K
A1
e1
e1 A2
e2
e2 A3
e3
e3 A4
e4
$119K $129K $139K $149K

Appropriate list price Anchor Value


Willingness to pay Source: Survey by Greg Northcraft and Margaret Neale
Poll – folding paper 50 times
Poll – folding paper 50 times

23 folds will get you to one kilometer—3,280 feet.


30 folds -Your paper will be now 100 kilometers high.
42 folds will get you to the Moon
The Two Systems

System1: Fast System2: Slow

Continuous Used only if


necessary

Fast but Efforts - solve


error prone complex
problems / Self
control
Shortcuts
Impulse Slow but
Intuition reliable

Daniel Kahneman (winner of the 2002


Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics)
Heuristic: cognitive shortcut for fast “good enough” decisions

Available Association and


information priming

Substitution
Ex: sample for Stories &
population Causes

Judgement Emotion
Ex: Confidence affect
level
SO_P Identify letter in place of “ _ “
If we are thinking about food we will fill in _ with “U” and relate to SOUP

If we are thinking about cleanliness we will fill in _ with “A” and relate to SOAP
Bias-”Error that may occur when we use heuristics for a decision”
Poll: Range of final settlement
Exercise
How do you counter Anchoring?

anchoring bias tendency to


give too much weight to the
first offer put forth in a
Negotiation

“Breath-taking isn’t it?


The seller wanted $5000
But I got it just for $4500
Extreme anchoring tactics

Buyer ZOPA range 9-11M Seller ZOPA range 10-12M

Lowballing Highballing
Some more hardball tactics..

Bogey- make non issue a issue


Intimidation- How do you deal with extreme aggressions?
175-
Expected Diminishing concessions
for subsequent offers
Price USD K

Parties may use strategy to exploit the expectation


Leveraging power of Justification
I: I believe 10% raise would be fair

II: …..because my performance over past 1 yr was exceptional

III: …because my performance over past 1yr has been exceptional.


Here are project performance reports that support my claim

Salary negotiation offer success


100

80

60

40

20

0
I. offer II. offer with Justification III. Offer with
Justification & evidence
Exercise

Strategy : Separating influence and Info.

Information Influence
Offer
X Y
Scenario 1 0 1
Scenario 2 0.5 0.5
We have spoken to other companies with whom we do
business. Hence We want you to lower price to ABC value

We have recd a better offer from company “A”. Hence We


would like you to lower your price to ABC value
Strategy : Separating influence and Info.

Information Influence
Offer
X Y
Scenario 1 0 1
Response options: Ignore offer (discuss other topic),
Aggressive counter offer-propose moderation

Scenario 2 0.5 0.5


Response options:
Re-evaluate your assumptions , seek more info.
Video Analysis Salt Harbor-Part A

3. How personalities
impacted negotiation?

4. Has any party falsified facts?

5. Other-Ex: New conflict areas


Should we Lie in Negotiation?
“Lies” Legal perspective

lie - a knowing misrepresentation of a material fact.

in an insurance fraud case, a material fact would relate to the


insurer's liability, policy, or coverage

•https://sloanreview.mit.edu/article/when-is-it-legal-to-lie-in-negotiations/
Ranbaxy Daiichi post negotiation “lie” legal battle
Negotiation “Lies” Legal perspective

No legal rule bounds the run of business interest.

No particular demand in negotiations could be termed dishonest.

It is best to walk away, not sue for “bad faith” in negotiations.

•https://sloanreview.mit.edu/article/when-is-it-legal-to-lie-in-negotiations/
Lying tactics in Negotiation

Concealment
(withhold / Hide info)

Half Concealment Tell truth falsely

Dodge -Incorrect
Misdirection inference

Falsification
(False info. As true)
Understanding deception
Which Lying technique is being used?

This is the
Is this the lowest price
lowest price we
you can sell to us?
ever sold the
product.
Buyer

Diff. views
Of data
Facial Expression
Hostile/Defensive Micro change, Don't blink
lie getting detected Look toward the door. ...

Evading Body language


Touch face/mouth/throat
•“Why you want to know?” Lie detection
•“That’s not important” Cues
Hot Spot Voice
“I am not angry” while Anxiety / nervousness
clenching jaw and raising voice change in voice pitch

Verbal content Verbal style


•“To tell you the truth” / “Believe me” Pause before answering
•“Let me be clear” / “The fact is” Repeat themselves
Consequences of lying in negotiation
Protecting A negotiator’s precious resource “Reputation”

Intrusive Question for strategic reasons you Move to


are not ready to discuss another topic

tempted to lie
about options that express your opinion, your
you don't have your optimism opportunities

"This is my
make more offers that Keep momentum
final offer" going but leave
contain smaller concessions room to move.
NEGOTIATION BATNA FRAMEWORK

Satish Duryodhan
Negotiation -Confer with others to reach agreement -Concise Oxford Dictionary

Third Party in control


Most evaluative/structured/ formal No common interest -nothing to negotiate for
H
Perceived Conflict

Litigation Let court of Law decide

Arbitration Let trusted party decide

Mediation Talk through third party

Consultant One/both to strengthen position

Negotiation

Partnering

L L Without Conflict -nothing to negotiate

-Parties in control Resolution approach H


-least evaluative/structured/formal
Types of 3rd Party Interventions

LOW Court of Law Mediation


Level of negotiator control
over procedure
HIGH

Arbitration Negotiation

LOW HIGH
Level of Negotiator control over outcome
Types of Mediation

Facilitative

Evaluative

Transformative

Court Mandate
Types of Arbitration
To Litigate or not to Litigate?
Owner of Manhattan apt. spent $999 to
install child proof window guard and
presented bill to Society co-op board

Board refused to pay. Law


was unclear

Six years and USD 100K legal feels later the two
parties were still fighting in the court
The fourfold pattern of preference
Gains Losses

95% chance of losing


95% chance of winning $1MN-Risk seeking
$1MN-Risk averse

High Probability
(Certainty effect) 01 02

5% chance of winning 5% chance of losing


$1MN-Risk seeking $1MN- averse

Low Probability
(possibility effect) 03 04
Personal Experience: Real life Negotiation
Apollo
Domain
workstation
Satish plan to sell business of CAD Products

Offer USD 0.9


Inter National
MN+ 3 YR
Giant Work bond

What should Satish do?


Introducing BATNA
Best Alternative To Negotiated Agreement
Agree

Walk Away

Best
alternative
value

Why should we be ready to walk away-Video


Satish Looks for walk Away position

$ 0.9 MN+
Agree 3YR Work
bond
Inter National
Giant
Regional
Walk Away
Co:$ 0.5
MN

What is Satish’s BATNA


How BATNA influences walkaway point
Satish Original BATNA-Bankrupty

Satish Revised BATNA-Accept


Value to MNC (Buyer)

regional 0.5MN offer

Value to Satish (Seller)


Satish Walkaway 0.6M Satish dream 0.9M
plus 1 year Bond plus 1 year Bond
What shapes Satish perception Walkway value?

Price
Relationship

Ease of
deal
Walkaway
Time
Value pressure

Risk
Tolerance
BATNA Quiz Poll

You are negotiating a purchase on unique


equipment with the supplier who won tech bid.
Which of following could be your BATNA

A. Accept only if they lower price to your budget

B. Meet another supplier and find their offer

C. Buy used equipment instead of leasing new


BATNA Strategies
Decide your BATNA before negotiation

Improve your BATNA by seeking alternatives that


don’t require the other side’s cooperation

How will you apply this strategy?


Case study: other party BATNA analysis

1912 US Presidential campaign brochure

Problem: Realization after printing 3MN copies......


Photographer permission not taken
What should be
negotiation value?

Pay photographer USD


1/brochure as per
Roosevelt copyright laws
campaign
managers
options
Negotiate a royalty value
with the photographer

BATNA Destroy and reprint (USD


1MN+3 Wk delay)
Strategy: identify your
counterpart’s BATNA

Strategy: Do not disclose


your BATNA
Challenge:identify your counterpart’s BATNA
Work to identify your counterpart’s BATNA
What should be
negotiation value now?

Analyse other party BATNA

No monetary gain

Estimating
Photographer
BATNA
Lose opportunity for
national publicity
Planning 3MN copies of campaign speech with
photograph. Excellent national level publicity
opportunity for photographers!

Appreciate opportunity,
but can afford Only $250.
Decide Discover
Offer / counter /
04 alternatives to
reject/ accpt 01 agreement

Applying BATNA
strategies
Improve BATNA Select
• More alternatives 03 02 the best
• Est. Other Party alternative-BATNA
BATNA

Seller BATNA Buyer BATNA


Case Scenario 1: Find Phadake’s BATNA

Case study: Work Out BATNA1 –Breakout rooms


Case study: Work Out BATNA

Case Scenario 2: Find Phadake’s BATNA

Case Scenario 3: Possible outcomes


Decision Model

Decision model for distribution company on whiteboard


Decision Trees- Decision making with multiple scenario

Decision trees have two types of branching points or nodes


Outcome 1

Decision Node
Outcome 2
At decision nodes-
alternatives decision-
maker can choose. Outcome 3

Outcome 4
Chance Node

At chance nodes-branches because the uncertainty of the business


world. permits multiple possible outcomes.
Exercise

Step1: Predict outcome


as green or Red
Step 2: Spin a wheel of
fortune that has a
"green" outcome and a
"red" outcome.
Offer: $100 if you correctly predict the
outcome. If you choose the wrong color, you
receive nothing.
Draw a decision tree and find expected value
Exercise

The wheel of fortune has a 75% chance of a "green"


outcome and a 25% chance of a "red" outcome.

Draw decision model and find expected value


Exercise

Which trees
is right?
Create a decision tree for Distribution company?
Which tree is right for a Distribution company?
Exercise
Probability in Decision trees

Producers Seth & Chaplin


(S&C) boasts that when Cloven
is released in theatres, it will
become an instant classic.

If asked how confident he is that Cloven will


achieve at least modest success, he might
reply with a percentage: "80%.
Options poll

Options I: Flat fee Options 2: Profit Sharing

"Blockbuster":$6 MN Chance:30%
“Lackluster":$0 MN Chance: 50%
“Flop“: - $2 MN Chance: 20%
•Sony Owns Cloven
•S&C gets $10 MN flat •Paramount & S&C split
•S&C pays $9 MN ownership and revenue
production cost •S&C pays production costs
•S&C profits: $ 1 MN •S&C profits =F(film success)
Which option to choose?

The EMV of $1.40 is the long-


term average value of
outcomes of a large number
spins.
Exercise

S&C are uncertain about the estimated


value for the movie becoming blockbuster

What is the profit value of the movie


becoming blockbuster at which the
company will be indifferent between
Paramount and Sony deal?
Salt Harbor -negotiation Part B
Brims Loses
Brim Wins
CCb=0
LRB appeals Court case
LRB costs Court Cost
CCe=0
Easterly Loses
easterly Wins

Lets develop a decision model for Brims and Easterly

Lets understand the Brims and easterly analysis templates


EVW-Easterly=pw*(X1*(LRBe+Ie)+(1=X1)*(LRBe+Pr))) Easterly
Easterly Frozen out
LRBe+Implication for
Probability = X1 Easterly Ie
Win: Commercial use Not OK

W pw
Easterly outbids other
Residential buyers
Easterly LRBe+ Pr
Probability = (1-X1)
Brim sells to other
LRBe+CCe+Implication
L Probability = X2 for Easterly Ie
Lose: Commercial use OK

(1-pw)
Easterly outbids other
Commercial buyers
LRBe+CCe+ Pc
Probability = (1-X2)
EVL-Easterly= (1-pw)*X2(LRBe+Cce+Le)+ (1-X2)*(LRBe+Cce+Pc))))
Brims
Easterly Frozen out
Pro-LRBb-CCb
Probability = Y1
lose: Commercial use Not OK

L pb
Easterly outbids other
Residential buyers
Brims Pre-LRBb-CCb
Probability = (1-Y1)
Brim sells to other
Prc-LRBb
W Probability = Y2
win: Commercial use OK

(1-pb)
Easterly outbids other
Commercial buyers
LRBb+ negotiated cost of
Probability = (1-Y2) land Cc
Analysis of data of 30 Yrs. of Parties/Lawyers predictions of success

Why such a wide difference between positive vs


negative prediction vs actual?
Break out room

Salt Harbor B–Evaluate court options

Analyze your model template and arrive at


conclusion if court or out of court is better

At what price you will be indifferent between


court case and out of court settlement
Salt Harbor A, B–Integrated report

01
Easterly-Pre
Brims-Pre

Integrated Single 02
E B
report for team

Post Negotiation
Analysis

E
B
04 Easterly-BATNA
BRIMs-BATNA

E B 03
Value creation with Multiple issues

Satish Duryodhan
Puzzle

17 camels and 3 sons


1/3
1/2 1/9

Value creation approach?


$2MN Tax benefit of acquisition
23M
-Additional Value

ease
Big Pharma (BP) acquirer (Buyer)

22M
W
21M

T 20M
SP BATNA-MP Offer 21 M

19M BP BATNA- Valuation 18.5M


I 18.5M

TP

WA 21.5M 22M Ideal 23M

Small Pharma (SP) target (Seller)


Distributive
Compete Explore

H
Value claiming opportunity

Balance
M

Integrative

Avoid Problem solving


L

L M H
Value creation opportunity
What if diff. Parties have diff. Perceptions?
The Negotiator’s Dilemma
More Value Claiming More Value Creating

Pure Jt. Prob.


Integrative
Distributive Solving

Salt Harbor Complete


Creative thinking mutual trust
Adding New variable

Distributive bargaining
Multiple
Single issue Issues-
Fixed Pie expand Pie

Motivation: Motivation:
Self interest Mutual interest

Compete - Collaborate
behaviour -behaviour

Distributive negotiation Integrative negotiation


DEAD BEAT DEAD END:
A CRITIQUE OF THE NEW U.S. PLAN FOR PAYMENT OF U.N. ARREARS

Breakout room
UN and US role:
Agree on two “Negotiation issues”
Each party to get one argument acknowledged in your favour
US UN dispute 2000- In favour of UN

What US wants What US


owes UN
25%
22% 1.0 B
US share of UN
54M
1.8BN budget

US GDP EU GDP
27% 27%
US share 25% EU share 36%

Y-2000 Y-2000
US share of UN peacekeeping budget

What US owes UN
What US wants

31% UN Budget
25% $0.6 BN
0.6 B
36M 31%

Y-2000
US UN dispute 2000- In favour of US

UN Budget
$1.8BN
50%
40%
30%
25% 25%

L-1940’s L-1950’s M-1960’s E-1970’s Y-2000

US share of UN budget
What should Holbrooke do?

UN did not accept

Helm-Biden bill
Pay US100MN
to keep vote 926M over 3 years
800M contested
Japan-wanted
Proportionate
reduction
20%

Holbrooke first
round of
negotiation
189 countries
refuse to ratify US

US side-lined
Can you UN meetings
guess “Why”
Impact of new variable

Holbrooke asked each country why they can not raise their
contribution and gain more influence in UN?

2000 2001

Budgets frozen Budgets available


Can not increase Can increase UN
UN contribution contribution

Who will pay the 3% in 2000?


Who Paid the cut?
Who Pays UN’s regular Yearly budget
Intolerable cruelty movie

100+ countries US

01 02
Range-not fixed value Range – not fixed value

Negotiation
Variable

02 04
Willing to admit for Willing to admit for
negotiation negotiation

Anchor case-Hexware-DL Negotiation variable Example


Strategy: Making Package Value (PV) Offer

Customer to seller: Start Time Price


July ?

Seller to Customer Start Time Price USD


Approach A: July 650K
Seller to Customer Approach B:
Start Time Std. Service Premium Package
Price USD Services Value (PV)
July 650K No 650K
July 650K Yes-50K 700K
March 635K Yes-45K 680K
Buyer seller Negotiations Creating Package Value (PV) Offer

Value Price
01
Schedule delivery
02

Negotiation 03 Product Quality

Variables
04 Support Warranty

05 Terms Payment
( 15-13.5) / 1.5 (11.5-13) / 1.5

0.5 0.3

0.3 + 0.9

0.2 +.5

0.4 0.5

PV1: Price + Delivery (15.5-14) (11.8-13.3)


PV2: Price + Delivery+ Specs (15.8-14.3) (12.7-14.2)
PV 3: Price + Specs (15.3-13.8) (12.3-13.9)
04 01
ISSUES ONE BY ONE

ISUUES TOGETHER
03 02

Promotes Promotes trust


competition

Many win lose some win-win


outcomes outcomes

Supports distributive Supports integrative


negotiation negotiations
Negotiation Challenges due to uncertainty

Buyer- Construction company in residential and commercial projects

Plot value for commercial construction USD 150k


Plot value for Residential construction USD 100k

Chances estimated that Property will be eligible for commercial


construction based on info. Available

Seller 20% Buyer 80%


Potential uncertainty, mistrust..

Plot value for commercial construction USD 150k


Plot value for Residential construction USD 100k

Expected Value
Buyer 0.8*150+0.2*100= 140K
Seller 0.2*150+0.2*100= 110K

agreement value USD 110K


Value left on the table by seller USD 30K

Seller suspects Buyer leading to potential walkout..


contingency contract

Does happen
a contract to do or not to do something if
some event, collateral to such contract occurs.
does not happen

The event must be occurrence of the event


minor to the.. is not controlled by the
promising party’s..
contract
will or desire
Framing contingency contracts

If plot is eligible for If plot is not eligible for


commercial within “X” yrs.. commercial within “X” yrs..
Buyer will pay $30K to seller
Seller will pay $10K to Buyer

Contingency contracts can be risky if both parties are not in


agreement of how to measure objectively.
Team paid 9M salary in 96 to NBA star
Year Total Missed Payment for
Games game % missed games
1996 82 27 $3M
Reason: unpredictable, disdain for professional norms

Strategy: contingency laden contract

Component Amount $M
Guaranteed money 4.5
Per game played above 59 0.185
Winning title 0.5
Play all playoff 1.0
Total max. possible earnings 10.5
Frameworks to select Negotiation generic strategy
Five Generic strategies for buyer seller negotiations
Assertive ness Segmented Negotiating
H Behavior Matrix

Dominating / Collaboration
Competing (win /Win)
(Win / Lose)

L Compromising H Cooperation

Avoiding Accommodating
(Lose / Lose) / Yielding
(Lose / Win)

L
Kraljik matrix as basis of buyer negotiation strategy development

High
( Impact of Purchasing )
( Impact on profits )

❖Scarcity
❖New Technology
S ❖Difficult to produce
❖Monopoly / Oligopoly

Low

Low ( Complexity of Supply Market ) High


Fasteners -bolts, screws, studs..
Car Bodies

Rare Earth Material High tech Windshield


Kraljik matrix as basis of Car Manufacturer negotiation strategy

Fasteners Std. Parts Rare Earth Mtl. High tech Windshield

Q2 Q4
Profitability impact
( Impact of Purchasing )

Leverage Items Strategic Items


“Negotiate Low prices” “Form partnerships”

Q3
Q1
Non Critical Items Bottleneck items
“Efficiency” “Contracts”

Low ( Complexity of Supply Market ) High


Kraljik matrix as basis of Car Manufacturer negotiation strategy

Abundant Supply Natural Scarcity


Strategic Items
Profitability impact
( Impact of Purchasing )

Leverage Items “Form partnerships”


“Negotiate Low prices” ((High Tech
(car Bodies) windshields)

Product standardization Unique products

Bottleneck items
Non Critical Items
“Contracts”
“Efficiency”
(Rare raw materials)
( Fasteners )

Low ( Complexity of Supply Market ) High


Supplier preference Table

Provide superior service and quality


Willing to Invest time and Keep customer at all cost
( Attractiveness of account )

Effort in the relationship

Development Core Business


( Get further business ) (Retain and Expand)

Low Priority No Reason to Develop


No Development Potential relationship, No Priority

Nuisance Exploitable
(Withdraw) (Maximize profits)

Low ( Relative value of account) High


Negotiation Strategy selection for buyer

H Assertive ness

Dominating /
Competing Collaboration
(Win / Lose) (win /Win)
L H
Compromising
Cooperation

Avoiding Accommodating
(Lose / Lose) / Yielding
(Lose / Win)
L
If supplier is powerful and dominant and relationship is very
important (Bottleneck), then use a yielding strategy for that particular negotiation.

For negotiating on highly important category where the supplier relationship is


low-importance (Leverage), it might be appropriate to use a competing style
Negotiation Strategy selection for buyer
The Myers-Briggs Personality Type Indicator (MBTI)

Favorite world
Mind
I
E interact with surroundings

Extrovert Introvert

• action-oriented • thought-oriented

• feel energized by • feel recharged after


spending time with others spending time alone

• enjoy frequent social • enjoy deep meaningful


interaction social interactions
The Myers-Briggs Personality Type Indicator (MBTI) scale-1

Ambi vert

Personality
continuum scale Extrovert
Introvert
The Myers-Briggs Personality Type Indicator (MBTI) scale-2

Information
Energy
S N

Sensor INtuition

• hands-on experience • patterns and impressions

• Reality-learning from • think possibilities,


their own senses imagining future, and
abstract theories.
The Myers-Briggs Personality Type Indicator (MBTI) scale-3

Decisions F
T Nature

Thinker Feeler

• facts and objective data • personal value system


and social considerations

• consistent, logical, and • Feelings and emotions


impersonal
The Myers-Briggs Personality Type Indicator (MBTI) scale-4

J Structure P
Tactics

Judger
Perceiver

• want things to be neat, • wants things to be


orderly and established flexible and spontaneous

• want things settled • want thing open-ended


The Myers-Briggs Personality Type Indicator (MBTI) scale-5

Pass ive

AT-Identity
Assertive continuum scale Turbulent
(A) (T)

self-assured, even- self-conscious,


tempered, resistant to stress sensitive to stress
The Myers-Briggs Personality Type Indicator (MBTI) scales
Favorite world Information Decisions Structure
Mind Energy Nature Tactics

S T J
E

Extrovert Sensor Thinker Judger

I N F P

Introvert INtuition Feeler Perceiver

Check understanding
Group-Roles (goals, interests, and preferred activities)

Analysts Diplomats Sentinels Explorers

N N S S

INtuition INtuition Sensor Sensor

T F J P

Thinker Feeler Judger Perceiver

Rationality Rationality Guard / Rule spontaneou


impartiality sensitive Hierarchy s
Group-Strategies (preferred ways of doing things)

People Improvement Social


Confident
Mastery Engagement

I E I E

Introvert Extrovert Introvert Extrovert

A A T T

Assertive Assertive Turbulent Turbulent

Private /alone Outgoing improve Like in Group


Self communicatio Self doubt People
concern
Confident 16 Personalities Constant
Individualism Improvement
Assertive Turbulent
People Mgmt.
Social
Engagement

A/T
Poll on your personality
Take 16 personality test using the link https://www.16personalities.com/personality-types
Link Also available in salary negotiation template. Take poll on what is your personality
after test

Which personality is most common

Which personality role group is most common

Which personality strategy group is most common

Your observation on your personality


NT Analyst 10.4%
(SJ)
(SJ)
NF Diplomats 16%
(SJ)
(SP)
(SJ)
(SP) I S T J
(NF) E N F P
(SP)
(NF)
(SP)
(NT)
SJ Sentinels 46.4%
(NT)
SP Explorers 27%

Roles Group
Salt Harbor A, B–Faculty debrief
What are Brim’s assumptions

chances of winning 80:20

What is lost if case is Losing only blocks


lost? business

what still could be built Residence

Residential value of lot $ 125K +/- 20%


What are Brim’s assumptions

$100K plus $10K in


How much Brims paid?
related expenses
Cost of litigation Brims $20K

Alternate site cost $165K

Court case desirable? No (why?)


What are Easterly (buyer) assumptions

chances of winning 50:50

what still could be built Residence

Residential value of lot $ 100K

What is lost with case? $350K +/- 10%

Cost of litigation Easterly $25K


Why diff. agreements possible

Brims bought as commercial property


/ Buyers scared due to legal issue

90-
100
Easterly
potential loss 120-
140
Fair price for Brim
220
+
200- 140- Brim Alternate site cost
220 170

170-
200

Easterly Est. Alternate


site cost for Brim
Opportunity cost (OC) - the next best alternative foregone

Limiting fixed resource: 2 hours available before exam

Last Min. revision Relax with a game of tennis

OC – alternative to last
min. revision foregone
What is the opportunity cost-Poll?

New car price $12K?

3 years ago bought a


Old car price $10K? new car for $10K -Now
depreciated value $3K

Old car dep. price $3K?


Opportunity cost (OC) – for keep the car

sell old and buy new car Buy new while Keeping the old car

OC – 3K that could be
realised by selling old car
forgone
Salt Harbor Opportunity cost (OC)

Brims: OC – alternative of bought


parcel foregone

Bought Parcel:100K Alternate location: 170K

Easterly: OC – alternative of bought


parcel foregone

Bought Parcel:100K Alternate location: 200K


How easterly could have strategized?
Do not anchor ZOPA
on OC estimate
01

02
E
OC not relevant
for negotiation
(larger than parcel Try to find other
size)? party OC

B
04
Offer joint search

+ 03
E B
Working out Easterly’s BATNA

+ves -ves

saving legal Abandon legal Challenge absorbing -Ve impact


costs of Brim’s coffee shop

Keep Pursue regulatory claims Escalate potential


pressure settlement value

Get out of business Lose future


Save potential
business
Losses
Easterly frozen out Expected cost to Easterly
Easterly BATNA
(=$350K+$25K)
Win: commercial use LOW
not ON=> Brim sells

pw
High $125K
(=$25K+$100K)
Easterly outbids other
Go to residential bidders
Court Brim builds/sells to (=$350K+$75K)
others

LOW
pl

Lose: commercial
use is OK High
$75K+S2
Brim settles for S2
Discounted S 235K
Notional court
case nuisance
cost=10K

Walkaway
value= 245K
Brim’s BATNA?

Forced? defend the suit Purpose?

Chances? hold on to property for Property


future appreciation business?

Selling on residential
Alternate site Start business
market
asap

What is Brim’s BATNA


Brim’s court Sell in commercial Expected Financials
market
option (=$140K-$25K)
Win: commercial use LOW
OK

pw
High X (=$X-$25K)

Sell to Easterly at “X”


Go to
Court Brim sells in residential (=$100K-$75K)
market

LOW 100K- $75K


pl

Lose: commercial
use is not OK High
110K- $75K
Brim Sells to easterly
Brim’s court option
145k -25K

-25K

-125K

125 K -125K

X= 0.8 (10+0.9X)=8+0.9X
Discounted 80K
court case nuisance cost=10K
Walkaway value= 70K
BATNA- Sale in residential market
Post analysis: Barriers to agreement
What really Happened
Exercise

What Really happened

Easterly lost early challenge

Easterly makes $120K offer..Brims rejects…No counter.

Easterly loses more appeals..goes to court

Responding to call Brim asks Easterly for best offer

Easterly offers USD220K…Brim refuses

Deal at USD 250K plus extras (USD 25K)


Hindsight..Brims had stronger case / less pressure
Exercise

Lesson’s learnt: Brim’s lawyer


Never underestimate risks of escalation

They (buyer) transformed a business matter


into emotional battle

“Avoid day-late-pound short” problem

Its easy to get greedy

Watch out for Principal-agent conflict


The (MBTI) grouping of scales: team Roles in Negotiation

Information Decisions Structure


Energy Nature Tactics

S Sentinels J
T

Thinker Sensor Judger

F N P

Diplomat
Feeler INtuition Perceiver

Check understanding
Group-Strategies (preferred ways of doing things)

People Social
Confident Improvement Mastery Engagement

I I E E

Introvert Extrovert Extrovert


Introvert

A T A T

Assertive Turbulent Assertive Turbulent

Private /alone improve Outgoing Like in Group


Self confidence Self doubt communication People concern
NT Analyst 10.4%
(SJ)
(SJ)
NF Diplomats 16%
(SJ)
(SP)
(SJ)
(SP) I S T J
(NF) E N F P
(SP)
(NF)
(SP)
(NT)
SJ Sentinels 46.4%
(NT)
SP Explorers 27%

Roles Group
Mommies show –Simulation background

Producer
Syndicate Market – relation between number of reruns,
ratings & ad revenue
Expectation of Show Ratings based

7
on research Of target audience

4
3

2M 4M 6M 8M 10M 12M

Expected Ad Revenue
Mommies show –Negotiation
Expected Ad revenue

Seller share Negotiated Seller Price USD


(uncertainty)
(Not % of Ad revenue)

Syndicate
channel profit
Syndicate Negotiated Syndicate
channel cost channel share
Mommies show (MS) –Negotiation issues

MS Licensing fee MS Licensing fee

Runs per episode


4

Junior
show

Charles:Seller
David:Buyer
Poll Analysis Mommies show

Per students per team to take poll


Student negotiation insights
Simulation Survey insights
Faculty insights
How do Charles and David view diff. research findings
Cognitive illusion with difference frames based in info
Average NHL player Salary
2
Can you guess key issue in NHL
1.8
Management and Player
1.6
Association conflict in 2005?
1.4

1.2
USD MN

0.8
NHL Player Salary as % Team revenue
0.6
per player
0.4 80

0.2 70

0 Percentage 60
93-94 94-95 95-96 96-97 97-98 98-99 99-00 00-01 01-02 02-03 03-04
50
40
30
20
10
0
93-9494-9595-9696-9797-9898-9999-0000-0101-0202-0303-04
NHL Revenue trend 1993-2004
NHL lockout 2004-5
NHL Negotiations December 2004

Issue NHL mgmt. NHLPA


Current avg. Salary/player USD MN 1.8 1.8
1
Proposed avg. Salary/player USD MN 1.3
Negotiated avg. Salary USD MN 1.36

current salary to Revenue % 75


2 Proposed Max. salary to Revenue % 55 None
Negotiated salary to Revenue % None

to be so close they have to make a deal


-mighty ducks player mike Leclerc
NHL Management and Player Association (PA) Negotiations 2005

Salary cap 39 MN
Sal. Cap. 55% Team rev.
NHL Mgmt Player Association
Sal Cap 52MN
No Sal link to Team Rev.

Salary cap 42.5 MN


No Sal link to Team Rev.
NHL Mgmt Player Association
Sal Cap 49 MN
No Sal link to Team Rev.

70% (400) players defected


to European teams
NHL Negotiation 2004-5 what happened?

Entire season was lost!

USD 2BN loss in Revenue

USD 1BN loss in salaries


NHL agreement July 2005 after one year loss of season

Salary cap 54% after lockout season

New leadership came to the NHLPA in 2005- Goodenow was


replaced as executive director by Ted Saskin

Why did player association agreed lower than


what was proposed by NHL Mgmt!
NFL Negotiations 2011
You guys keep talking past each
Other instead of to each other

NFL Owner Position


Off-the-top credit from revenue before any split USD 2 BN
Split of revenue after the off-the top-credit Players : Owners 58:42

NFL Player association Position


Off-the-top credit from revenue before any split 0
Split of revenue Players : Owners 50:50
NFL Agreement achieved by splitting Revenue variable in to 3 variables
Players Each Party Victory speech
Revenue spilt Owners share
share
TV rights 55% 45%
Stadium Owner expected stadium revenue
40% 60%
collection
Other related
share to increase over a period
45% 55%
business
Why Players agreed?

Players expected Ad
revenue share To
increase over a period

Fine print: If Player share > 48% it will be reduced to 48%


If Player share < 47% it will be increased to 47%
NFL negotiation success tactics

Negotiation Tactic #1) Establish relationships of trust.

Negotiation Tactic #2) Generate options for mutual gains.

Negotiation Tactic #3) Convince your side to make concessions at key


moments.

Negotiation Tactic #4) Negotiate for the long term.


Why you think this happened?
Fixed pie
bias

57%
75%
NBA NHL
Framing
Systematic NHL Player Salary as % Team
Bias
Vividness revenue per player 2004
Irrationality
Bias

Commitment
bias
Reactive
devaluation
Two mountaineer team who lost everything in avalanche
–find and fight for one rope

Guys! Lest just untie the knot

Fixed pie bias Flexible rope=8


Fixed rope=6 runs
runs
Framing Original frame: Charles - we are not
bias interested in giving more than 4 runs

How Charles could have reframed it?


Impact of number of runs
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
-0.5 4 5 6 7 8
-1
-1.5
-2
Impact Charles MN Impact David MN
% responding its good for US
100

80

60

40

20

0
Reagan-US President Independent analyst Gurbachav-Russia
Premier

Arms disarmament Plan by Reactive


devaluation
Commitment
bias

admit our initial strategy was wrong?


Admit we held on position too long?
Do we agree to what we said was unfair?
Pareto Improvements

Changes to a deal that make at least one party


better off without making any other party worse off.

Logrolling (the
trading of favours, or
quid pro quo)can
lead to Pareto
Improvements
Personal Experience

Post Settlement Settlement (PSS)


PSS are agreements that are reached after the
initial Agreements are signed
Software delivery in 24 Months,
3M Warranty

A: Software development project B:


U&I Negotiation NRSA

USD 1MN : 10% Adv.+80% on Delivery+10%


after warranty

Satish Called up Client 2 days after agreement & requested 40% advance
Satish: 300K needed to deliver project on time -loans
would take min 3 month;
Would help attracting angel investors (Future Proj.)
Satish proposed 1 Yr free support in return
Client agreed: Satish saves 18% interest;
client gets software in time and 1 year free support
PSS: 40% advance, 1 year free support
Mommies show: Licensing fees- 6 Episodes
Charles
$3.5MN $9.6 MN

$ 4 MN $ 6.5MN
David

Charles David
Lowest Price $3.5MN Highest Price $ 6.5MN
Highest Price $9.6 MN Lowest Price $ 4 MN
Target Price $7MN Target Price (vary) $ 5 MN

A possible likely negotiated price : 5.5 MN

Value gain for Charles: $ 2 MN ($5.5MN-$ 3.5MN)

Value Gain for David: $ 1.0 MN ($ 6.5 – MN- $ 5.5 MN)


Financial impact of number of runs
Runs Effect on Holymedia Effect on Champion
/episode Revenue USD MN TV Revenue USD MN

4 Save 0.5 Lose 1.6


5 Save 0.25 Lose 0.8
6 No effect No effect
7 Lose 0.25 Save 0.8
8 Lose 0.5 Save 1.6
Creating value through logrolling (Exchange)

Original Agreement (O)- Licensing fees $5.5MN -6 runs

Alternate agreement (A)- Licensing fees $6.5MN -8 runs

Agreement Value to Value to David Total value


Charles created
Original (O) $ 2MN $ 1MN $ 3MN

Alternate (A) $ 2.5 MN $ 1.6 MN $ 4.1 MN


Creating value by adding issues
Juniors Licensing fees
Party A-Charles Party B-David
Lowest Price $1MN Highest Price $ 2.0MN
Highest Price $ 2 MN Lowest Price $ 1 MN
Target Price $1.5MN Target Price (vary)$ 1.5 MN

Agreement Value to Value to David Total value


Charles created
Original (O) $ 2MN $ 1MN $ 3MN

Alternate (A) $ 2.5 MN $ 1.6 MN $ 4.1 MN

With Junior (J) $ 3MN $ 2.1 MN $ 5.1 MN


Mommies show continency contract
Handling information asymmetry
Winners’ curse

Satish Duryodhan
Mommies show: Licensing fees- 6 Episodes
Charles
$3.5MN $9.6 MN

$ 4 MN $ 6.5MN
David

Charles David
Lowest Price $3.5MN Highest Price $ 6.5MN
Highest Price $9.6 MN Lowest Price $ 4 MN
Target Price $7MN Target Price (vary) $ 5 MN

A possible likely negotiated price : 5.5 MN

Value gain for Charles: $ 2 MN ($5.5MN-$ 3.5MN)

Value Gain for David: $ 1.0 MN ($ 6.5 – MN- $ 5.5 MN)


Financial impact of number of runs
Runs Effect on Holymedia Effect on Champion
/episode Revenue USD MN TV Revenue USD MN

4 Save 0.5 Lose 1.6


5 Save 0.25 Lose 0.8
6 No effect No effect
7 Lose 0.25 Save 0.8
8 Lose 0.5 Save 1.6
Pareto Improvements

Changes to a deal that make at least one party


better off without making any other party worse off.

Logrolling (the
trading of favours, or
quid pro quo)can
lead to Pareto
Improvements
Creating value through logrolling (Exchange)

Original Agreement (O)- Licensing fees $5.5MN -6 runs

Alternate agreement (A)- Licensing fees $6.5MN -8 runs

Agreement Value to Value to David Total value


Charles created
Original (O) $ 2MN $ 1MN $ 3MN

Alternate (A) $ 2.5 MN $ 1.6 MN $ 4.1 MN


Creating value by adding issues
Juniors Licensing fees
Party A-Charles Party B-David
Lowest Price $1MN Highest Price $ 2.0MN
Highest Price $ 2 MN Lowest Price $ 1 MN
Target Price $1.5MN Target Price (vary)$ 1.5 MN

Agreement Value to Value to David Total value


Charles created
Original (O) $ 2MN $ 1MN $ 3MN

Alternate (A) $ 2.5 MN $ 1.6 MN $ 4.1 MN

With Junior (J) $ 3MN $ 2.1 MN $ 5.1 MN


Personal Experience

Post Settlement Settlement (PSS)


PSS are agreements that are reached after the
initial Agreements are signed
Software delivery in 24 Months,
3M Warranty

A: Software development project B:


U&I Negotiation NRSA

USD 1MN : 10% Adv.+80% on Delivery+10%


after warranty

Satish Called up Client 2 days after agreement & requested 40% advance
Satish: 300K needed to deliver project on time -loans
would take min 3 month;
Would help attracting angel investors (Future Proj.)
Satish proposed 1 Yr free support in return
Client agreed: Satish saves 18% interest;
client gets software in time and 1 year free support
PSS: 40% advance, 1 year free support
contingency contract

Does happen
a contract to do or not to do something if some
event, collateral to such contract,.
does not happen

The event must be occurrence of the event


minor to the.. is not controlled by the
promising party’s..
contract
will or desire
> 70% Market share-
Monopolistic behaviour

DOJ

1969 U.S.
Department of
Justice (DOJ) filed
suit against IBM Many Players Fair
competition

IBM
Can you guess “Why”
➢ USD 10 MN cost
➢ 30+ MN pages
Documentation
DOJ

A decade later- ➢ USD 20 MN


continued ➢ 35+ MN pages
litigation Documentation
IBM

In 1982 IBM Market shared rapidly dropped <50% and DOJ quietly
dropped the case!
Can you guess “Why”
How could you have framed contingency contract in 1969?
Possible
contingent
contract

Event 1 Event 2 Event 3

If by 1975 IBM MS> If by 1975 IBM MS If by 1975 IBM


70% —it would pay <50% -government MS between
a set fine and divest would not pursue 50-70% pay
certain businesses antitrust actions only set fine
Intel wants to build
Regulators and Neighbors demand no
plant in outskirts of
pollution or reduction in property value
Denver

Intel hired consultant to Regulators and Neighbors hired


produce study report that consultant to produce study report that
supported its position supported their position
Why frame contingency contract?

Option Implication
Walk away Blaming Mistrust/ calling each other a liar –
This is what actually happened

Ignore research Valuable research data no considered.


Negotiation is more of bargaining
Independent joint research Cost, time lost

Compromise to 4=5 rating One or other party will lose potential value

Frame Contingency contract Research info. Used, equitable distribution


Under future uncertainty
Mommies show: Expected Ad revenue for 6 shows
Ad revenue Holymedia Champion TV
Rating
USD MN $ projection projection
2=3 7 10% 20%
3=4 8 10% 50%
4=5 9 10% 10%
5=6 10 50% 10%
6=7 11 20% 10%
Highest value 9.6 8.4

Gap of MN 1.2

Target % for Champion TV 27% 52%


Target Margin for Champion TV 2.6 4.4
Target Price 7.0 4.0

Min profit for Champion TV 23%


Champion TV Highest Price
6.5
out of ZOPA?
Seller Charles' estimates Buyer David's estimates
Ad revenue Expected Ad revenue ($ Expected
Rating Likelihood Likelihood Diff.
($ Million) value Million) value
2-3 10% 7 0.7 20% 7 1.4 - 0.7
3-4 10% 8 0.8 50% 8 4 -3.2
4-5 10% 9 0.9 10% 9 0.9 0
5-6 50% 10 5 10% 10 1 4
6-7 20% 11 2.2 10% 11 1.1 1.1
9.6 8.4 1.2

70% confidence Rating >5 70% confidence Rating <4

Bias if rating 4 agreed


Diff.
Rating Charles David
value
<4 20% 50% 3.9
4 10% 10% 0 Gap of MN 1.2
>4 70% 20% 5.1
Contingency clause:
If rating less than 4, Champion TV to get $ 1.2 MN rebate
If rating more than 5, Champion TV pays $ 1.2 MN Surcharge

Rating >5 Rating =4 Rating < 4 Exp. value of


contingency
contract
Holymedia 0.7x $1.2M 0.1 X $ 0 0.2 X $-1.2M $ 0.6 MN

Champion 0.2X$-1.2M 0.1X$0 0.7*$1.2M $0.6MN


TV

All values in $MN


Summary of value creation options

Agreement Value to Charles Value to David Total value


created
Original (O) $ 2MN $ 1MN $ 3MN

Alternate (A) $ 2.5 MN $ 1.6 MN $ 4.1 MN

With Junior (J) $ 3MN $ 2.1 MN $ 5.1 MN

Contingency clause $ 3.6 MN $ 2.7 MN $ 6.3 MN


agreement (C)
contingency contract creation

If the ratings next year are less than 4 Campion TV receives a


1.2 MN rebate

If the ratings next year are greater than 5 Campion TV pays a


1.2 MN surcharge to Hollyville
Company Acquisition Bid

Each group to read confidential information

Each group to deliberate with team members

Each group to write a bid

group Poll for placing bid followed by Poll analysis


Acquisition Game: Information blind spot

Global/International Refinery Inc. Oil Explorers Inc. (OEI)


Acquisition Bid
You Me

Market Valuation After Current Market Valuation=X=50


Merger=1.5X
You must submit bid now. 100

0
Project Status Failure Success
All values equally likely

I can decide to accept or reject after project completion


What is the right bid?
Probability of acceptance
1.2
Probability of acceptance

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Bid Value $

Bid value Chance of bid Average Average worth


by GRI acceptance by OEI worth to OEI to GRI (1.5X)
50 50% 50/2=25 37.5

60 60% 30 45
75 75% 37.5 54.75
100 100% 50 75

OEI information advantage has created the paradox (blind spot)


Boston Scientific’s (BS) acquisition of Guidant (G)

G Market
J&J drops out Cap$20 BN
BS wins price war New player BS
At $80/S or $27BN $72/s..Price war! J&J offer $63/s J&J offer $76/S J&J offer $68/S
Acceptable! or $25.4BN or $21.4BN

Jan 06 Nov 05 June 05 March 05 Y-2004

winners’ curse situation for BS; In March, a patient equipped


Their stock steadily declined &they with a Guidant pacemaker died.
bought a host of quality and other Co. recalls 0.3 MN devices
problems
tendency for winning bid to Compete
True worth exceed the intrinsic value Emotions

Fortune magazine in 2006 B-G deal the worst


merger since AOL bought Time Warner in 2000

Your gain depends on +ve for Seller


-ve for Buyer
other side acceptance

The other side knows


Less info for buyer More info for seller
more than you
Value creation barriers-Information asymmetry

Lack of Misinformation
information

Information
asymmetry

Diff. views
Of data Diff. interpretation
of data
Strategy: Handling Information asymmetry

Sustainable
peace
Power Balance

Negotiation

Confrontation

Conscientization
Conflict awareness
ICON-R Model for principled negotiations

Dynamics of “Shadow negotiation” for


getting breakthrough in stalled Negotiations

Satish Duryodhan
How to collaborate in for integrative negotiations?

P2

Friends
Agreement Goal
02 Is it collaborative?
Give concessions

Soft-Soft Does it always lead to wise agreement?


Alfred

Hellen
Nature of issues impact negotiations approach

Distributive (perception) Integrative (perception)

1 Indivisible 2 Large Small 3 Divisible 4

Fixed position -e.g. Huge Insignificant Flexibility-


Job security consequences- consequences –Easy opportunity to
Values, ethics merger of 10K concessions, too for win-win
people tradeoffs approach
organizaions

Hard-Hard most likely Soft-soft may lead to compromises


More factors may inpact nature and complexity…

substantive
complexity of issues Human Characteristics
01 Nature of industry Personality types 02
Interests of parties Interpersonal relations

Negotiations

Process
03 Structural Barriers
Criteria used by parties
When, where, who 04
Steps to follow
Relative balance of power Ground rules
Negotiator motives
ICON-R Principled
Negotiation
Interest

No
agreemnt Relationship Criteria
(BATNA)

Options
Position and interest

Positions Positions What we want

Demands /
P1 P2 P3 P1 P2 P3 Fixed solutions

Interests Interests

Fears / Concerns / Hopes- Why we want

Party 1 Party 2
Types of interest
I
O
C
Interests
N

Substantive Process Relationship Principle

Manner Price resources Goodwill

Long
term Fairness Ethical
Scenario 2:Elizabeth and Will…..

Is there a deadlock?

Can there be alternatives?

Who will give in?


Understanding Moves

What is Elizabeth trying to do? What Will trying to do?


Agreement without giving in Strong sense of what he wants

Elizabeth
Will

Makes Perceives

Sign of Weakness
Collaborative Moves
Prelude to concession
“Position-Interest-Need (PIN) Onion” Model

POSITION
What we say we want

INTEREST
What we really want
NEED
What we Must have
Elizabeth PIN onion model
POSITION-1
Shift mother
POSITION-2
First dibs in summer

INTEREST
coworker Relationship

NEED
Equality / Respect
future
expected
Past and behavior
interactions
and behavior

Present interactions
behaviour

Will Elizabeth

Relationship ID Coworkers

Relationship meaning
No unilateral decisions, mutual respect for
opinions
Unity, collective identity, kindness
Community
Feeling common gr. membership

Asymmetric differences
Relationship
Authority ranking
types Hierarchical status, precedence

Balanced reciprocity
Relationship ID Equality Matching
Equal share, identical, turn taking

Exchange value
Relationship meaning Market pricing
Cost benefit analysis
Pitfalls of Assuming when relationship matter
Breakout rooms analysis sequence: 20 Min

Poll and Class discussion


Underlying interests-Pitfalls of Assuming when relationship matter

Client Org. Position: Accounting Firm


What you say you want

Change Lead No change in


auditor lead auditor
Reduce total No reduction
fee 15% in fee

New lead with new Protect reputation


Skills for new business
% of lead auditor

Grow Business
Maintain relationship

Different interest Mutual common interest Different interest


The Situation Matrix
Q6
Q3 Collaborative Negotiation
Accommodating Negotiation (Business Partnership, Int.
( Concern for Relationship)

(Friendship, Work team) diplomacy)

Q2 Q5

Contractual Negotiation Persuasive Negotiation

Q1 Q4
Tacit coordination
(Right of way at Traffic Signal) Opportunistic Negotiation
(House sale, Divorce)

Low ( Conflict over Substance) High


Protect, Repair and rebuild relations

Plan Be flexible Find common Build / apply


ground tactics toolkit
What’re their Say “sorry”,
underlying “What we both
admit mistakes, want? help customer
needs? safe test adapt style to open-ended Qs business and
likely positions climate for deeper better relationship
NEEDS & with client rep.
EXPECTAT
IONS
client insight
Touchpoint

Touchpoint Touchpoint

Preparation Repair Rebuild pathway to long


VOICE OF stage relations relations term relations
CUSTOMER
Case Analysis: Shadow Negotiation

Conflict Negotiation

Substance With Will

Relationship Self
Add Issues

Explore interests

Distributive bargaining

Both parties Transparent Mutual


exploration

Both Not Transparent Mediator

Either unwilling Specific Move


Both parties Transparent Mutual
exploration
Both Not Transparent Mediator

Oil Companies
Post Saddam era conflict in Iraq

P1 Vacate the land


P2 will get Police
P3 will get Military

Farmers
P3 Will take up arms
P2 will fight Police
P1 Will Not
Oil Companies
INTEREST
Studies for 3-6M
Seismic tests-2-3Y
Oil extraction after 3yrs

NEED
Set up Derricks

NEED
Means Livelihood

Farmers
INTEREST
- Harvesting in 3M
Either unwilling Specific Move

Case 2:Work Out Elizabeth I


O
options to no agreement C

another job? N
own clinic? BATNAs
Involve Boss? Alternate Doc?

Elizabeth choice Will choice

Agree with Get his


Will way
Power Moves
1. Incentives
• Benefit of Negotiation
• Create value - make
visible

3. Enlist Allies Get them to


GOAL
• Gain credibility negotiation table
• Turn up volume of 1 /2

• Price to status quo


• Consequences

2. Pressure
Inside Shadow negotiation Scenario 3
Elizabeth and Will
Which Power move Elizabeth made?

I
Why there a change in dynamics? O
C

Level
Playing
field
What objectives Elizabeth achieved?
Self Advocacy
What can be power move against Hard Negotiators will work?

The financial director of a large customer is abusive & Domineering


Negotiator. She expects you to sit there and take it and theatrically waves
her arms about & throws papers around when she wants to make
point. Do you:

a. Agree to what she wants?


Never! Do not give in to her intimidation.

b. Behave in a contrasting manner and keep your cool?

To contrast her behaviour only shows her that her behaviour is


working, she’ll put on more pressure until you give in.
Dealing with Difficult Negotiators What should you do?

c. Wait to say your piece?


Yes, but only if you are sure her behaviour will not affect outcome.

Ignore their behaviour, this is what they choose – not you. focus on
outcome and don't let their behaviour influence you

Consider what ‘trades’ you are going to make. What you give up
reflects consideration of the merits of their case, in exchange for what
you insist on getting from them.

This shows and forces them to give recognition to the merits of your
case
Process Moves
1. Seed idea early when decisions are being made without your input
• Negate negative,
defensive reactions
• Prelim work (one on
one meet)
3. Build consensus
Influence How
• creates momentum behind
GOAL Negotiation will
an agenda
• Isolate Blockers Take place

• Position as advocate
• Move focus away
from competition

2. Reframe process
Case study: Reframe process to influence Negotiation

Week 23:1983

Agreement 1:
Sun Microsystem Cofounders Investment USD 10 MN

Agreement 2:
Post Valuation USD 100 MN
Fortune 100 CEO

Agreement 3:
Meet Wk 24 in Chicago to
Finalize Remaining terms

CEO: SM Key Technology critical for his Fortune 100 Company


Leverage Power of Process

Week 24:1983

Sun Microsystem Cofounders Negotiation 1:


Investment size?

Fortune 100
Battery of Lawyers &
Negotiation 2: Bankers
Post Negotiation Valuation? CEO (silent)

Negotiation “De Novo” or Walkaway?


Sun Microsystem growth story

Revenue tops
USD 1.5BN
Appreciative Moves
1. Help save face
• Groundwork to trust
• Sensitivity

3. Solicit new perspectives


• Break stalemate foster open
GOAL
• Deepen understanding communication

• without pushing for


immediate agreement
• Let new info come in 5+1W Technique

2. Keep Dialogue
going
3. Help save face Identifying appreciative moves…

1. Solicit new perspectives

2. Keep Dialogue going


5+1W Technique
Identify other party strategy
Negotiator’s strategy sim

Cooperate until opponent Cooperate until opponent cooperate.


compete twice in row Never cooperate again

Always Tit for Tat Random Slow to anger Slow to trust Grudge Grim Trigger Always

Cooperate compete

Compete until opponent


cooperates twice in row
Cooperate until opponent compete.
Cooperate again only when opponent
cooperate twice in row
other party strategy. Inside shadow negotiations scenario 4
ICON-R Model for principled negotiations

Union Management Negotiations

Satish Duryodhan
Identify other party strategy
Negotiator’s strategy sim

Cooperate until opponent Cooperate until opponent cooperate.


compete multiple in row Never cooperate again

Always Tit for Tat Random Slow to anger Slow to trust Grudge Grim Trigger Always

Cooperate compete

Compete until opponent


cooperates multiple in row
Cooperate until opponent compete.
Cooperate again only when opponent
cooperate multiple in row
other party strategy. Inside shadow negotiations scenario 4
Avoid compromises..

By inventing Proposal options for mutual gains


Framing proposal options

We will give you 10% discount Unilateral


concession
If (condition..Then..Offer)

Proposal
If you increase order

Sign of
Assertive format

size then we can give Vague-


some discount Vague

concrete
Proposal
If you order 10 K units
then we can give 10% Specific-
discount Specific
Change proposals into a assertive option format

‘If we secure and fence the site,


will you expedite the purchase Non Assertive
date by 90 days?’

‘If you expedite the purchase date


by 90 days, then we will secure Assertive
and fence the site.’
Property
Commission 3%
Dealer
Whispering Palms Kandivali Time 3 Month

Bottle Neck

Commission 2 %
Me
Time 1 Month

Proposal Proposal Proposal


option 1 option 2 option 3

Time 1 Month Time 2 Month Time 3 Month

Commission 3% Commission 2.5% Commission 2%

Multiple Simultaneous Equivalent offers (MESO)


Multiple Simultaneous Equivalent offers (MESO) benefits

claim more value by Improve


01 efficiently meeting satisfaction, 02
other side needs comfort, power

MESO
benefits

Begin/Mid/End- Get Info/Anchor/


03 Respond/reframe 04
improve on go
Explore Interest + Frame options →Value creation

Lack of
info.

Diff.
constraints Barriers

Diff. Views
of data
Delivery Logistic costs
4M 1 Price Delivery
3M 1.5 USD MN Time M
2M 2
Supplier- Mechanical
17 4
components

Buyer- Large
16.5 2
appliances company
Delivery Logistic costs
2M 1
Framing proposal option for mutual gain

If you offer price of USD 16.25MN


and delivery of 2M we can offer our Assertive
logistic partner services at $1MN

Value gain Buyer save $0.25M


Seller saves $0.25M
Logrolling- Trading of favours- Quid Pro Quo
Logrolling- Process
during negotiations

Party 2
Party 1
High Priority issue Y
High Priority issue X

Logrolling Mid Priority Issues


Mid Priority Issues

Low Priority Issue Y Low Priority Issues X


Interest + Options
1978 peace treaty
negotiations
Egypt Position: All of Sinai

Israel Positions:
1. 1967 status or
2. Part of Sinai
(Multiple Maps)
1978 peace treaty
negotiations

Israel Security

Max interest Level

20KM Demilitarization zone


CAMP DAVID AGREEMENTS

demilitarize the area


Interest Level Egypt Israel

1.Maximum Sovereignty Options Security

2. Medium -Obtain Peace -Obtain Peace


-Leader Prestige -Leader Prestige

3. Mínimum Having armed forces in Sinai Sovereignty in Sinai


Framing proposal option for mutual gain

If Egypt agrees for 20KM demilitarised


zone at Sinai border then Israel will Assertive
withdraw from Sinnai

Egypt get Sovereignty, Value gain Israel get Security,


Peace, Leader prestige Peace and leader prestige
Egypt Interest: Israel Interest:
Sovereignty Security at Border

Agreement : Egypt gets Sovereignty but large area of


Sinai will be demilitarised to provide security to Israel
Challenges with compromises

Using Objective criteria to handle distributive issues


I
O
C
I went with you for
Steel girdles for roof N

I think the reinforced

silent issues in fixed price


concrete foundation
Should be 5 ft

Its your turn to go with


me for 2 ft shallow
foundation

contract
Construction Contractor Buyer
Characteristics of objective criteria RICE -U

Credible / Verifiable
Industry std published by Govt. Fair
Just

Independent Relevant
Party A:I want $$ Objective Compare cars of similar
Party B:I want $$$ Criteria design and features

Up-to-date Ease
Current year industry data Competitor prices
in place of 5 year old one instead of mileage and
inflation rates to set car
price
I agree it’s a good idea
to use independent
Standards to settle our
disputes. Let me check
with Govt. office

The foundation should be strong to


Hold the house. Does Govt. Have
standards for it?

Buyer Construction Contractor

Objective criteria - factual pieces of info, independent of the parties


Objective criteria case study

Deep sea mining: Minerals at deep sea


the value of all the gold deposits alone on the seafloor is
estimated to be $150trn
Initial fee /
sea bed
USD MN

India representing
17
third word block

USA represent deep


0
sea mining companies
MIT Model for the economics deep seabed mining
Phases and timeframe

A
B
C
D
E
F

G
Cum. Costs MIT Model for the economics deep seabed mining
USD MN
Costs involved for each phase

paying $ 60MN/sea bed as initial fee is unviable

8K

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article
4K /pii/S0308597X1730903X

Exploration Exploitation
2K

1K

500
A B C D E F G Phase
Objective criteria
MIT model for the economics of deep seabed mining
model based Impact of different levels of a financial payment
regime (FPR) on the internal rate of return
Value creation for distributive issue

No Fixed advance payment

Negotiation range 2%-6%

Value creation: 4%+ up to 2.5%

Contingency contract to handle future uncrtainity


Must Search Path Focus Goal Parties Soft Hard Principle-Based

Friends Enemies Explore each party interests


to creating value

Agreement The goal is victory The goal is a wise outcome


reached efficiently

soft on people and hard on problem and Be soft on people, hard on


problem people problem
Accept one-sided Demand one-sided gains Invent options for mutual
losses gain

Single answer: one they Single answer: one you Develop multiple options to
will accept will accept choose from; decide later

Agreement Your position objective criteria


Evolving Integrative Negotiation Process Template

Propositioning
Envision value
Classify MSEQ-Options-Priority
Explore Interests
Pareto improve
Add issues
Similar Priority Exch.
Structural constraints Post implemntn
Different Break issues
Positions
Deadlock Explore Creation Claiming value created

Prob. Solving
Trust building- Opposing MSEO-other Relatn analysis
Proactive sharing W5+H party pref.
Unaware
Diff. Constraints MSEO- Sp.
W5+H Learning
Offer
MSEO- Diff. Priority

Bargain-Obj. Criteria
Union Management Negotiations

Strategy to provide stability, continuity and direction for tactical behavior

Build and maintain


Describe your interest
productive relationship

open ended Q

Active listening to
Strategy Tactics understand other side

Invent & propose option

Create value Joint exploration prob. solving


Union Management negotiation - Preparation

# Issue Management Union Description of Value Description Wt. for Issue


proposition Proposition financial USD/Worke of Non non Points to
r/Month Financial financial you

1 XYZ “A” “B” ABC 50 Goodwill 50% 20

Example Non financial- more time with family, work life balance, risk of work injury,
future post retirement financial security

If issue points are least signification the issue can be classified as “Low importance”
Prepare
Identify Issues as Compatible, Exchange, or Distributive using
confidential information

Issue No Financial Weight for Relative Issue Position Strategy


interest non financial Issue classification
implication ($ implication Points (H/M/L)
value)
1 50 10% 2 L hanging fruit Exchange
2 100 10% 4 L hanging fruit Exchange
3 100 75% 16 M Open to Create/claim
explore value
4 200 25% 10 LM Low impact compromise
5 200 50% 16 M Open to Create/claim
explore value
6 100 90% 52 VH Stubborn No compromise
100
Issue No Mgmt Priority Union Priority

A High Low (Economic Low


returns , Uncertain)
B Medium Medium (Economic
Medium value,
Certain)
C Low High (Economic,
Security, future
protection)
Prepare
Identify Issues as Compatible, Exchange, or Distributive using
confidential information

Issue No Mgmt Union Position Decision: Rationale


Position Compatible/Exchange issue Mgmt- To
# mgmt position with Issue board
# Union For Union –
Position/Distributive X:Y workers
1 C
2 E MF-2 > LF-7
3 D
H
Assertiveness Results Seeker Excitement Seeker

Detail Seeker
DOPE Harmony seeker

L Emotionality H
Roles Negotiators Play

DOPE
Which personality is this? Harmony seeker

supportive tend to conform


respectful unsure
dependable dependent
agreeable awkwardness
Which personality is this? Detail Seeker

industrious overly critical


orderly overly picky
exacting moralistic
persistent stuffy
Which personality is this? Excitement Seeker

enthusiastic overly excitable


ambitious manipulative
friendly egotistical
stimulating undisciplined
Which personality is this? Results Seeker

strong willed overly dominating


independent Tough/severe
decisive pushy
practical harsh
My Dope Personality-“Harmony Seeker”
People-oriented, loyal, great team
player but tends to avoid change,
50% confrontation, and assertiveness

Detail oriented
30%

Ambitious
10%

Decisive
10%
Anchor case-Hexaware Team composition

Corporate Relation Manager

1 Goal priority: Relations

Project Managers
2 Goal priority: Schedule

Sales Manager
3 Goal priority: Commission

Division Head
4 Goal priority: Profits
Explore Interests

Rule: look for Exchange of two issues to create


additional value for one or both parties

Stage 2: Negotiation with Recording

Mgmt Negotiation Union

Stage 3: Report Preparation


Post negotiation analysis
Possible exchange

Issue Workers Management


Additional paid Leave 1 0
Clothing allowance (USD / Year) 900 600

Implication workers

Non Financial Issue Rank and


Issue Financial USD Non Financial
Weight Points Imp.
paid Leave 100 Time with family 50% 150 2 (L)
Clothing allowance
(USD / Year) 300 NIL 0% 300 1 (H)
How to prepare-Management Example

Issue Workers Management


Additional paid Leave 1 0
Clothing allowance (USD / Year) 900 600

Implication Mgmt
Non Non Financial Rank and
Issue Financial USD Financial Weight Issue Points Imp.
100→Salary Expense
paid Leave 900→ Production Loss Nil 0% 1000 1 (VH)

Clothing
allowance
(USD / Year) 300 NIL 0% 300 2 (L)
“Position-Interest-Need (PIN) Onion” Model Pension

POSITION “What”

INTEREST “Why”

NEED

Management 10%
Union 12%
Diff: 2%
Interests underlying “Union Pension position impact analysis” for management

PENSION ISSUEINTEREST
POINTS TO MANAGEMENT opposite 0%
Zero Contract period
Salary 5k (+/- 5%) outflow
Position Diff: 2% Financial
25 year Def out different
20%
$100/W/M
NPV $20
Contract period
cash outflow $ 0 Common
80%

25 Year deferred
outflow Fin. Pt: -20 Long term worker care
No. Fin. +80
Financial Net: +60 Non Financial
Issue Imp: V Low
Decision: Exchange in
favor of Union
Understanding why issues are compatible- No lockout

Union Management

Maintain relations Common


interest”100% Maintain relations
Resolve issues with dialog
Production should not Resolve issues with dialog
be disrupted Production should not
be disrupted

Need: Profit Share Need: Growth/Profitability/Shareholder


value/Customer satisfaction
Union Management post negotiation poll and analysis
Exploring mutual interests: Job security

Union Management

Job security No Job security

Save cost
Save family life No unutilised workers
Agreement within budget

Maintain cordial relations


Avoid renegade of no lockout position
Exploring mutual interests : Subcontracting
Subcontracting (SC) 15% subcontracting 10%

Union Management

Prevent fatal injury Save cost

Worker safety As indicated by mgmt. decision to invest 50K


Invent options: make time a variable

6 Sr at Work
8 Jr replace
3,4,7,10 Use 15% Sr. workers to Job Security
Month

train 15% Junior workers 15 Jr available

Y2/Y3 training
Improve Incentive
Distribute
Productivity Wages linked to
overtime
70% Sr W in productivity
over more
3 years improvement
Sr. workers

eliminate outsourcing Reduce work fatigue Average wages will improve.


over 3 years and fatal injuries Will help wage negotiation
10 sr workers can
Target Net train 10 Jr workers by year end min
subcontracting by in each of the 5 60% Sr workers
Improvement in months (no extra improving
productivity by training 0 shift months) productivity

Savings from less outsourcing (35% of 10M) -3.5 can offset Job Security cost 0.3. Additional
value 3.2MN ($2600/worker).
If no utilization:H
Job security If utilization high: L

High Imp:
Financial stability

Exchange
Mgmt
Union

Work life
balance:M
Subcontracting 5% saving of
subcontracting: H
Negotiate distributive issue with industry standards as criteria: Wages

Average Salary of workers at our company / Month 4760 4224


working hours/month 176 176
per hour salry 27.0 24.0 3.0
Y1 salary (5.5% for sheet metal 2% for industry) 28.5 24.5 4.1
Y2 salary (0% for sheet metal 2% for industry) 28.5 25.0 3.5
Y3 salary (0% for sheet metal 2% for industry) 28.5 25.5 3.0

Industry average
Union wage Diff.
Average Salary of workers at our company / Month 4760 4224
working hours/month 176 176
per hour salry 27.0 24.0 3.0
Y1 salary (15% for sheet metal 2% for industry) 31.1 24.5 6.6
Y2 salary (0% for sheet metal 2% for industry) 31.1 25.0 6.1
Y3 salary (0% for sheet metal 2% for industry) 31.1 25.5 5.6

Management could provide contingency contract: will maintain $3 diff,


between Industry Average and our company
Leveraging mutual gains to improve life standard: Wages

Improve average wages with training

Impact of training on trained Sr Workforce average Salary (assuming Sr


average wages workforce % % workers are paid 10% more)
Now 0 50 28.5
year 1 10 60 29.1
year 2 20 70 29.7

year 3 30 80 30.2

Use outsourcing reduction savings for worker benefits:


1. Pay Sr workers bonus for doing training up to 30% over normal salary for
training months based on resulting productivity improvement
2. Increase safety budget (50K to 100k/year)..
Unit: Per worker/year
Clothing
allowance Low cost: Low
Financial gain 25,
less injury: High

Exchange
Mgmt
Union

Time with
family; paid
leave: Low Production cost,
Funeral leave profitability impact :
High
Pension
Future payment
increase -Low
Future security -
High

Exchange
Mgmt
Union

Financial gain
(Medium) Shift Budget
differential challenge: High
Equal opportunity. Can
defer till productivity gap Overtime Low productivity :
bridged-Low assignment High

Exchange
Mgmt
Union

Variable profits,
Financial;
sharing, no immediate
sharing:High Profit Sharing
cash flow : Low
Exercise

Distributive Integrative

Issues

Goal

Focus

Outcome

Compromise We Win Fixed

I Win Variable Creative Short Term Long Term


Framing option by Mapping of interests
Dynamics of Multiparty Negotiations
Negotiating Corp. Change case-breakout room

Rosewell Corp. Financial performance


Company Challenges for CEO

Unique characteristics Division Head


of each Division Sales/profits comparisons

What CEO really want? New system as


Means to an end?

Poll after breakout room case analysis


Video Session: Negotiating Corporate change
Segment 1: Beauers (CEO) and David Carlson (MIS)

What? Why?
Tasks given by CEO Each Task Priority?
Task force composition?

David reaction “one word” for


David reaction?
CEO and David meeting analysis

duration for New system appear flexible?

Duration to “iron out bugs” “too generous”?


What does it signify?

What CEO really want? New system as


Means to an end?
Exercise: questions on each segment

Video analysis: First Task Force meeting and Poll

Observe: Sequence of events


Technical presentations reactions Who?
When?

How Disagreements are signaled


Transition words
Video analysis: First Task Force meeting

Why David selected Hellen to Paul and Morris


lead analysis and design? reaction?

Why Paul Not willing to commit


Own goals?
Why Morris Not willing to commit conflict?
Integrated Information system (IIS) Health & Beauty
IBM Server

Fin Data

Centralised Fin data

Central
Server

Foods Small Appliances

Morris: Better data faster data


Paul/Morris against
what’s there not to like but…
sharing data? Why?
Why different systems? For whom?

Ad Hoc reports

Executive Information System

Integrated Reports

Integrated Information system (IIS)

Transactions

Department servers
(EIS) drill down

Corporate P&L

“One word” - reaction of


Paul / Morris?

COGS by Division

Degree of specialization as
“Structural” barrier

Costs by product line


Paul/Morris
Reactions?
Video Session: Negotiating Corporate change
Segment 3: 2nd Task force meeting

Nature/type of conflict
Good /Bad

communication Verbal
Non Verbal

Poll after the 2nd task force meeting video


-Communication barriers, dysfunctional conflicts
Negotiation Communication Distortions

Message in medium
Encoding in
language Receive &
interpret

Receive & interpret


perception/Cognitive
Errors, diff. Interpret Encoding affected
by personality, goals,
Skills,
Message-Verbal, Non
Verbal, Symbolic,
Complexity
Language levels in negotiation

Additional, veiled info. Intended,


conveyed or perceived by receiver Subsurface
information

Semantics, syntax, style (How?) Pragmatic Level

Process/Proposals / Offers/ options


(what?) Logical Level
Example : Subsurface info: 5 linguistic dimensions of threats

Language intensity
My system has one advantage. Its faithful Don’t tell me I am being defensive.
EIS will drown 10th floor in irrelevant details

Polarized language

Lexical diversity
EIS is totally state of Art..
you can drill down to any
level just like that!
Power of language style Paul:you can (uncertain)?

High Power- verbal dominance, Verbal immediacy


firmness of expression, self
assurance Guys Guys..you have to make time for this…
we have set up demo workstation you have to
Low power- hesitation, politeness make people available for it
to level of subordination
Eye
squinting

Which no gestures Paul Strokes exhibits


What type of listening David demonstrates..
David: In Small Appliances Mfg.. we cut 18% costs in 1st year of new system
Paul… My costs are in distribution
C David: you have to make time available for the new system

Restate/Rephrase sender message Active


in own language Listening

Eye contact, nod, I see, Really?, Go Acknowledgement


on (sometimes misinterpreted as
agreement)

No feedback on accuracy or
Completeness of reception Passive
Active listening elements

Respond to specific (feeling, position) & not abstract pts.

O Why do you feel so?

Allow speaker to frame conversation process

O How do you think it can be addressed?

Clarifying what is said rather than questioning

O So we understand you major concern is distribution costs?

To know the unknown you have to listen to the unsaid-Ayesha


Communication Challenges in negotiations

Perception of alignment of goals 07

Different level of Tech. skills 06

Interpersonal perceptions 05

Emotions entangled with subs. issues 04

Preconceived perceptions 03

No attention to body language 02

Poor listening 01
Using open ended manageable questions..
Paul: Take my financials. Implement in all divisions

C Morris: That’s the oldest system in existence!

O How it will provide the information that CEO needs?

Morris: I don’t have time for the new System for a year!

C David: One year! That’s impossible!

O Why do you take that position in these deliberations?

Paul: EIS will drown 10th floor in irrelevant details!

C David: No it won’t!

O Why do you feel so?


The most powerful “three words Phrase” in negotiation..
Paul: Everybody blames my division for bad quarter last year. But let me tell all of you..
H&B is Mfg. still a profit engine here

C David: You don’t have to be defensive!

C Paul: Don’t tell me I am being defensive!

O David-I am sorry if we came across that way... There was no


intention.. All of us feel H&B is crucial division for Mfg. Rosewell

Acknowledge feelings/
recover a spoiled relationship

Avoid blame game / I am sorry


Melt armour/
leads to forgiveness heal indignity
Handlin tough situations

C Paul: For all the hardware and software my division takes the biggest hit

O David: If we can come up with more equitable distribution of costs,


will you be willing to look at implementing the new system?

C David: The deadline of 7 months for implementing system is fixed

O Other: If you are under pressure to meet that deadline what can we
do to help remove some of the pressure?

C Morris: I don’t have time for new system at least for a year

O David: Specifically what concessions do you need form me so that


system implementation is not delayed
Video Session analysis: 2nd Task force meeting

Conflict signals? No manpower


Goal is to cut cost
not impl. tech. boom Dom
Goal is growth

communication extreme Emotions


challenges signals? Not listening
Pre conceived perceptions
Roots of high level conflicts-BIG-REC
Goals
R
David: The goal is crystal clear Jack..
G to design and implement new system

Rigid 06 01 Jack: The goal burnt in here (mind)


commitments Is growth. Growth overrides everything!

I
05 Dysfunctional 02
conflict Bias and
B Misperception
Blurred Paul: My system has one big advantage...
issues 04 03 Its faithful!

C
E Paul: Everybody blames my division
for bad quarter last year..
Decreased but let me tell all of you..
Emotionality H&B is imply still a profit engine here
communication
Developing functional conflicts strategy if conflicting goal

Explore mutual interests


Creative solutions
Functional conflict Manage concessions
Independent criteria

Goal alignment
avoid conflict
Give up position
Avoid issues
abstain

Conflict
continuum scale Win-Lose
Lose -win

Low conflict Dysfunctional conflicts High conflict


Which dysfunctional conflicts are on display?

Magnified diff. min similarities 07

Rigid Commitments 06

Blurred issues 05

Lack of communication 04

Emotionality 03

Misperception and bias 02

Competitive win lose goals 01


The Energy Pot :Strategy-I cannot avoid my emotions, but
I can manage them

Wasted Energy:
Maintaining self control,
Monitoring Body language etc.

Energy left for productive


Listening Processing and
Responding.

Under Stressful
Under benign conditions
conditions
Negotiation power is relational
Expertise (can be +ve or –vs)

Accumulate
Information & data Goal interdependence

Referent – appeal based


on respect, Experience etc.

Personality / Individual diff.


Psychological/cognitive/
Motivational/Moral/Mood
Legitimate
BATNA
Resource control

Reward/Coercive power
Organizational or national Culture

Location in network
Availability of agents who can influence
Communication techniques

Triangulation-process of gathering and validating information

When did you receive the offer?

What exactly is the offer?


Conversational

Assessment Did you get offer in writing?

Observational Written May I see it?

Voice tone Responses that do not answer questions asked

Body language Set a trap-Q which you already know answers


STRATEGY
Coalition in Multi Party Negotiation

Unconventional
alliance Allies

Adversaries Opponents
Assertiveness Results Seeker Excitement Seeker

Detail Seeker
DOPE Harmony seeker

Emotionality
Roles Negotiators Play

DOPE
Harmony seeker

supportive tend to conform


respectful unsure
dependable dependent
agreeable awkwardness
Detail Seeker

industrious overly critical


orderly overly picky
exacting moralistic
persistent stuffy
Excitement Seeker

enthusiastic overly excitable


ambitious manipulative
friendly egotistical
stimulating undisciplined
Results Seeker

strong willed overly dominating


independent Tough/severe
decisive pushy
practical harsh
My Dope Personality-“Harmony Seeker”

Relationship
Supporting

Patient

Your Score: Dove (40%)

•Here's how you scored on the other Detail oriented


types:
•Owl (40%) Process driven
•Peacock (10%)
•Eagle (10%)
Logical
Your type's description is:
People-oriented, loyal, friendly, hard working and a great team player but tends to avoid
change, confrontation, risk-taking, and assertiveness..
Anchor case-Hexaware Team composition

Anchor case Corporate Project Sales Division


Member Relations Managers Manager Head
Manager
Role / Personality Dove Owl Parrot Eagle
type
Goal Priority #1 relations schedule commission profits

https://richardstep.com/dope-personality-type-quiz/dope-bird-4-personality-types-test-questions-
online-version/
Barriers to negotiation
Ex: who participates,
No of parties, Channels of
Ex: Highball, Low ball
communication

Structural Strategic (Tactical)


impediments because the way
negotiation is structured choices we make

Barriers to
Negotiation

Psychological Cultural Barriers


Barriers of mind Diff. in communication styles,
norms of members of diff. cultures

Ex: Biases such as Anchor, Ex: Russia- this is final position


Vividness bias (invitation to negotiate)
China- Verbal communication
(offended if asked to give in writing)
Strategy and tactics

T-01 T-03

Stonewall High-Lowball
On other issue we want 10
We are not interested in times more than your offer
discussing any other issue Strategy:
Focus on
one issue
Lets discuss other
Can we focus on the issues later
main issue
Refocus Deflect

T-02 T-04
Negotiation Barriers

Strategic (Tactical) Cultural

Psychological (Cognitive) Structural

Choose Aggressive
approach BATNA Participants degree of specialization
Choosing not to share
Time Pressure information ethnicity Lack of information
Publicly committing overconfidence
Emotions Lack of ZOPA to a position

Focus only on Focus only on own Judgment


interest
one issue
Dislike of
Wrong parties at table Wanting to be liked other party
Original Govt plan- dam to be completed in 5 years with $100M budget
Agreement “We will pay USD 100MN you…
complete
Completion Completion
Completion
project ASAP
in 1 years in 5, 70% in
in 5 years
1 2 3 4 3 years
contract: payment of 50% upon
signing, an additional 30% halfway
and the final 20% on completion Will lose substantial payments

•How difficult will it be for us •How difficult will it be for


to back out of the deal if other side to back out?
conditions change?

Commitment
to agreement

•What will happen to other •What will happen to us if the


side if we backs out? other side backs out?

cabinets are misaligned. We Keep the 20%


will not pay balance 20%

Your Kitchen project commitments


9 Wonder Pillars for “wise Negotiated agreement”

Wise Agreement
Meet legitimate interest, Durable

Implementation
Communication

Commitment
Relationship
Criteria

BATNA
Interest

Option

Preparation
STRATEGY
Coalition in Multi Party Negotiation
Temporary Established

Unconventional
alliance Allies

Adversaries Opponents
3 types of Power related coalition formation

Availability of Better coalition


Strategic
01
02
Normative
Coalition based on “just & fair”
Relationship-
Based
03

Compatibility of preferences
Negotiation power is relational
Expertise (can be +ve or –vs)

Accumulate
Information & data Goal interdependence

Referent – appeal based


on respect, Experience etc.
Personality / Individual diff.
Psychological/cognitive/
Motivational/Moral/Mood
Legitimate
BATNA
Resource control

Reward/Coercive power
Organizational Culture

Location in network Availability of agents who can influence


Communication techniques

Triangulation-process of gathering and validating information

When did you receive the offer?

What exactly is the offer?


Conversational

Assessment Did you get offer in writing?

Observational Written May I see it?

Voice tone Responses that do not answer questions asked

Body language Set a trap-Q which you already know answers


Applying The Situation Matrix-Negotiating Corporate Change

Q6

Collaborative Negotiation
( Concern for Relationship)

Q5
Persuasive Negotiation

Low ( Conflict over Substance) High


Intersection of Persuasive and collaborative Negotiations
Framing Persuasive negotiation message

Will you support the initiative if we can propose something to guarantee


your participation without needing to spend much personal time?

Make offer attractive

Make the message Normative


(Right/appropriate/ aligned to values)

You will agree -we need to ensure min. TCO of a


Message content system for The organization in the long run?

Frame message so that other side will say yes

will you support something that will ensure


massive reduction in your distribution cost?
Phases

Workflows Rosewell IIS/EIS project lifecycle

Business
reengineering

Functional analysis
Design

Develop

Test / Implement
Automate and
implement Understand
existing process
06 01
Evaluate / test BPR
new process
cost
05 Cycle time 02
Bottleneck
competitive Identify process
for reengineering

Redesign new
04 03
process
Identify changes for
improvement
Issue weight
Relative pts.
Preferences
100 30%
Issue 80
a) Effort
C) Cost b) Revenue 60
Basis c) Profit 10
Ratio
d) Equal
Interval
Nominal Ordinal

Levels of measurement
Score=weight
Negotiating Corporate Change Template X points

Points Score after


Issue / Sub issue Weight Options agreement

A1. Capabilities (15%) A1. Uniform 100


20% A2-a) Open Corp 100
A2. Access(5%)
A2-b) Local variation 50

a. IIS+EIS 100
B) Basic system 30% b. IIS only 60
architecture and EISB c. E-SAS+EIS 40
d. E-H&BS+EIS 20

a) Effort 100
30% b) Revenue 80
60
C) Cost Basis c) Profit
10
d) Equal
D) Leadership 20% a) FA-Hellen, TF-David 100
50
b) FA-Paul, TF-David30%
Force Field Analysis
Driving forces Restraining forces
New Initiative

H Pro System P & M stalling

H-Hellen, P-Paul, M-Morris

01 Raise support Reduce Hurdles 02

Four
Actions
Framework

03 Eliminate Create new 04


Bottlenecks opportunities
Hexaware KM customer Service centre case study

four-step process to bring about long lasting change


Face to Face
Isolate / with Problems
Silence
VP Cust.
Hurdles
for
corporate Hot spot
change

Put the stage KM


light / Reframe Customer
Service

BI Cold spot
Strategy: Controlling Frame of Negotiations
Salary per episode USD Friends Negotiation: Season 2
Dr. Ross Geller
:David Schwimmer
A1:N1
Rachel Green
: Jennifer Aniston
A2:N2

Phoebe Buffay-Hannigan
A3:N3
: Lisa Kudrow

A3:N4
Chandler Bing
Matthew Perry
A4:N5
Joseph Francis Tribbiani
: Matt LeBlanc
A5:N6

Monica Geller-Bing
: Courteney Cox Why diff. Salaries?
Who has Max. Bargaining Power?
How the rules of engagements be changed?
Friends Negotiation: Season 3_ Schwimmer proposition to change of engagement

Individual Negotiation
• TV network and Producer have tremendous negotiation power
• They can replace any member any time
• Actors do not get the share show success

Collective Negotiation
• Same salary for all
• Schwimmer will ask lower salary so that all get same salary
• Actors overlook Individual value add, star value, market value, popularity
• Collective leverage
Friends Negotiation: Result of collective negotiations

Season Salary / episode for each actor USD


Season three (when they began collective $75,000
bargaining)
Season four $85,000
Season five $100,000
Season six $125,000
Seasons seven, eight $750,000
Seasons nine, ten $1,000,000

Schwimmer made sacrifies when USD 10K was at stake


paid off in long term in USD 1 MN
Best Signals for Persuasive Negotiations
Commitment-pledge regarding a future course of action

01 Degree of finality

how and when the


02 Degree of specificity

agreement is to be fulfilled
the performance measure

Negotiations

04 Degree of monitoring
03 Statement of consequences and follow up
what will happen if the outcome does failure may result in loss of
not materialize as proposed future credibility, trust or belief
Commitment-pledge C
regarding a future
course of action' I Interest- “why”
06 01 behind position

Relationships
-Long Term
R 07
05 02
C
C Criteria-Objective,
Independent
04 03
N
O Options-choices, conditions,
contingencies, and trades
BATNA-Best Alternative to
Negotiated Agreement
Interest

Criteria

Option

BATNA

Relationship

Preparation
Communication

Commitment

Implementation
Criteria
Group report 15 min
Group Name/Members
Group decisions: Decision and Rationale
Overall Approach
System Architecture / EIS
Capabilities, specifications,
functions and access:
Rollout and Time:
Costs and allocation:
Task for leadership and role:
Other elements of
approval/agreement:
Any dissents (Role/Dissent):
Any requests to CEO
Players
01

Consequences 02

Insights from Game


Rules Theory for
Negotiations

Payoffs
04

03
Seller Two parties with a Fixed Pie (Zero
Seller 1st strategy for Sum game): Ex: Salt Harbor
Strategy # max price
S1 S2 Brims
Seller selects S1
Strategy # Mkt price Alternate site
B2 6 5 Buyer
Buyer

Mkt price
2nd strategy to 120 160
B1 pay Min price

Easterly
5 4
Buyer selects B1

Alternate site
Outcome : 200
140
Price
pick the strategy where the max advantage
of your opponent is minimized
Outcome :
John von Neumann Minmax theory Price USDK
Different payoffs (Non-Zero-sum games) Mommies show runs
Charles
Strategy # Seller 4 runs 6 runs
S1 S2 4 runs
1 0

David
2 1 -1.6 -1.6
B1
Buyer

1 2 6 runs -1 0
B2 1.6 1.6
0 0
0 0
Threat strategies
Buyer gets the payoff colored in red
Seller gets the payoff colored in green Buyer threatens to pick strategy #2
(EX:BATNA) if Seller picks #1

Does seller have a better hand?


Two parties with multiple options- (Non-Zero-sum games)

Seller strategy (No of runs)


4 5 6 7 8

4 (1,-1.6) (-0.5,-1.6) (0,-1.6) (0.5,-1.6) (1,-1.6)


Buyer runs

5 (1,-0.8) (-0.5,-0.8) (0,-0.8) (0.5,-0.8) (1,-0.8) Best strategy ?


6 (1,0) (-0.5,0) (0,0) (0.5,0) (1,0) Reduce your options and keep
(1,0.8) (-0.5,0.8) (0,0.8) (0.5,0.8) (1,0.8) More options for other party
7
(1,1.6) (-0.5,1.6) (0,1.6) (0.5,1.6) (1,1.6)
8

Mommy's show
Buyer refers to industry std to show her options are limited

strategy: Reduce options


Promise strategies (Non-Zero-sum games)

a promise of a side payment turns a


Strategy # very bad position into a big winner.
Seller
S1 S2 Seller S2
S1
B1 2 1
2 4
Buyer

0 10 B1
Buyer Promises 3 0 7

Buyer
B2 3 0
3 0
1 2 B2 1 2
With side payment, Seller payoff for strategy #2 is superior to his strategy #1. So, Seller will
gain 4 and Buyer will gain 7.
Ex: In Mommies show offering a high price of USD 1.5MN for Junior show (side payment)
David can make the package of Mommies show and Junior show attractive to Charles
Nash Equilibrium-Best response function

Bob
B1 B2 By (Am, Bn) is a Nash equilibrium if Alice
has no other strategy available that
does better than Am at maximizing her
A1 (A1,B1) (A1, B2) (A1, By) payoff in response to Bob choosing Bn
A2
A2, B2 (A2, By)
Alice

A2,B1)
and Bob has no other strategy
available that does better than Bn
at maximizing his payoff in
response to Alice choosing Am
Ax
Ax,B1) Ax, B2 (Ax, By)
Nash Equilibrium with stag hunting game

2
Nash Equilibrium with stag hunting game

Bob
Hunt Stag Hunt Rabbit
If Alice hunts stag best response for
Hunt Rabbit Hunt Stag

bob is to hunt stag and vice versa


(2,2) (0,1)
Alice

If Alice hunts Rabbit best response for bob


(1,1) is to hunt stag and vice versa
(1,0)

Nash equilibrium with less than optimal payoff


-neither party has incentive to change strategy due
Nash equilibrium with optimal payoff to a reduction in the immediate payoff

A Cournot equilibrium - when each party maximizes its gains (units of meat) given
the output of the other firms, which is a pure-strategy Nash equilibrium.
Nash Equilibrium Example-The driving game

payoffs 10 meaning no crash and 0 meaning a crash

Drive on Left Drive on Right

Drive on Left (10,10) (0,0)

Drive on right (10,10)


(0,0)

There are two pure-strategy Nash equilibria, when


both choose to either drive on the left or on the right.
NE
Player 2
P2- A P2-B P2-C
Player 1

P1-A (0,0) (25,40) (5,10) How many NE

P1-B (40,25) (0,0) (5,15) Cournot equilibrium?

P1-C (10,5) (45,45)


(15,5)

NE NE
CE
Prisoner’s Dilemma

4 If both turn approver (defect) both get 2 year term


Prisoner’s Dilemma: incentive to Defect

Prisoner 2 (P2)
Cooperate Defect If P1 cooperates best response for
P2 is to defect and vice versa
Defect Cooperate
Prisoner 1 (P1)

(1,1) (3,0)

If P1 defects best response for


P2 is to defect and vice versa
(0,3) (2,2)

The prisoner's dilemma has a single Nash


equilibrium: both players choosing to defect.

both would be better off if they both chose to "cooperate" instead of choosing to defect.
However, each could improve their own situation by breaking the mutual cooperation
unilaterally set the other player's score
If Pepsico Advertises the best
response for Coca-Cola is to Advertise

If Pepsico does not Advertises the best


decision for Coca-Cola is to Advertise
Pre simulation information
Oligopoly Market
compete on price

A
Supermarket OLIGOPOLY MKT
A type of market structure where
there are a small number of firms
B
Loyalty schemes
dominating the market, all selling
Advertising and similar goods-e.g. Supermarket
C

marketing

Home delivery
D

options

Extension of
E

opening hours

Lateral growth in
F

other industries
World 1 World 2 World n

Unknown Unknown Unknown

Alba Batia Capita Alba Batia Capita Alba Batia Capita

Each world Oil production board: Alba, Batia, Capita with no diplomatic relations
Price P= 70-0.3 (Qa+Qb+Qc)=70-0.3 Q
Max Qi=75 Million Barrels
Where Qi is Qa, Qb or Qc
Min Qi=0

Production cost=1 per barrel

Profit= Qi(P-1)
Target for each country: Maximize own profit. Each team will be assessed based On Profit made
Each Country

Each round=1
Same Obj:Max Production Yr Pay attention to
Info. Profit messages

Compete(D) Timed Fixed rounds


No diplomatic
within world New Player
relation initially
Year advances only
Compete (I) after all within a
with other world enter decision Chats
worlds
Available info may
vary from year to year F2F
Post simulation faculty debrief
Price P= 70-0.3 (Qa+Qb+Qc) Optimal cooperation vs optimal defection strategy

Profit= Qi(P-1)

Cooperation Model-→Maximize total profit

Max ( Q (70-0.3*3Q)-Q)

First order condition (70-1.8 Q)-1=0

Simplifying:
Q=115

Qa=Qb=Qc=38.33;

P=40.5
Profit of a=profit=profit c=1552.5M
Price P= 70-0.3 (Qa+Qb+Qc) Optimal cooperation vs optimal defection strategy

Profit= Qi(P-1)

Optimal Defection If Qa=Qb=38.33 and C defects

Max (Qc(70-0.3 (Qc+76.66))-Qc)

First order condition (70-0.6Qc-23)-1=0

Simplifying 46=0.6 Qc => Qc=76.67

Qa+Qb+Qc=153.33;

P=24; Profit a,b=920M; Profit c=1840M


Best Response Function

Best response function: C maximizes profit given some Qab=Qa+Qb)

Max Qc(70-0.3 (Qc+Qab))-Qc

First order condition (70-0.6Qc-0.3Qab)-1=0

Simplifying Qc=(69-0.3Qab)/0.6
Qc=115-Qab/2

Nash Equilibrium→ set of production quantifies such that each player chooses
a best response to each other’s actions
Qa=Qb=Qc
Qc=115-Qab/2=115-2Qc/2
Qc=57.5
Relational Frame
I am Alone and Frightened
afraid
Goes Into
say the woods
am

action
action See
Run away I Snake
action
Perceive feels Moves
quickly
Heart Need for safety
accelerate

Stimulus Response Meaning


Relational Frame-different parties associate different meaning to same signal

Party 1 Verbal OK Party 2

agreed
Considered Can renege
Relational Frame

Party 1 Handshake Party 2

unshakable agreement
Cooperation intention

Consistent action Only if self interest protected

Can renege
Self expectations

Other’s expectation of you Impact of self fulfilling assumptions


Stages of distrust

Self protection-action contrary to agreement

Fear-someone will defects

Suspicion-Is it new player or one of us?

Doubt-Wil someone defects?


Escalating Relational Frame
Code
violation

1. Sees
coaching Game
Penalty
1.Cheat
accusation
3. Abusive
Umpire Serena
language
3 Gender
inequality

2. Racquet
breaking
2 Self
frustration

Point
Penalty
Rebuilding Trust

S1 Reaction stage
S3 Commitment stage
Searching for why-
Empathy development Commit to one another
S5 Long term trust
Repeated demonstrations

0 Discovery stage S2 Recovery stage S4 Demo commitment


Learning what happened Processing forgiveness Demonstrate thru. action

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