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SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
What is geography?
Grassland savannah
Bushland savannah
Mediterranean
Desert
Tropical rainforest
Wildlife
Water resources
• Religious factors
• Low status of women
• Lack of security at old age
• Influence of extended family
• High mortality rates
• Preference for a male child
• Limited access to contraceptives
• Early marriages
• Economic factors (Caldwell’s theory of wealth flow)
Population distribution and density
• SSA has less than 10% of the global population on less than
20% of the world area.
• SSA population shows wide variations in terms of distribution,
with an average population density of 36.17 people/km2 (WB
2012)
• The region has pockets of very dense population surrounded
by areas with few people.
• In Zimbabwe, the population density is 33 people/km2
(Zimstat 2012)
• High population densities are found in Urban provinces –
Harare (2 406) & Bulawayo (1 369)
• Highest population density in rural provinces of Zimbabwe is
found in Manicaland (48), Matabeleland with the least (10).
Patterns of population distribution in SSA
Factors influencing population distribution and
density
• Historical factors
– Slavery
– Tribal warfare
– Availability of pastures & water supplies
• Demographic factors
– High population growth rate
– Diseases
– Poor nutrition
• Physical and ecological factors
– Rainfall/water
– Soils
– Topography
Factors influencing population distribution and
density
• Colonization and impacts
– Island development
– Zimbabwe – large scale commercial areas (7.6) &
communal areas (25.5)
• Socio-political factors
– Ethnicity
– Religion
– War
International migration
• In the late 1980s, international migrants of all types
worldwide were estimated to be in the range of 80 million,
approx 35 million were in SSA.
• Only 5.4 million were officially recognized migrants.
• This makes it difficult for both sending and receiving countries
to plan for the national populations due to unofficial increases
or declines in numbers.
• Demographic analysis is complicated especially where
population movements are frequent and volatile.
• It is imperative to look at international migration in SSA in
light of their scale, directions, links to economic factors and
their effect on size, structure and composition of the region.
Reasons for international migration
• Employment
• Joining or accompanying family members
• Refuge from drought, famines, political upheavals, civil wars
or military conflicts.
• Pilgrims
• Education and training
• Diplomatic business
Refugee problem in SSA
• What is the different between a refugee and migrant?
• UN Convention Relating to the Status of Refugees (1951) – a person
owing to well founded fear of being prosecuted for reasons of race,
religion, nationality, membership of a particular social group or
political opinion, is outside the country of his nationality and is unable
or, owing to such fear, is unwilling to avail himself of the protection of
that country.
• 1969 OAU Refugee Convention – the term applies to every person
who, owing to external aggression, occupation, foreign domination or
even events seriously disturbing public order is compelled to leave to
seek refuge in another place.
• These conventions remain the cornerstone of modern refugee
protection.
• The number of refugees in SSA at any given time is not known but
estimates say it runs into several millions.
• SSA hosts more than 26 per cent of the world’s refugee population
(65.5 million) (UNHCR 2017).
Refugee problem in SSA
• These large scale movements compounds uneven population
distribution and complicates planning for socio-economic
development.
• Almost half of SSA countries are responsible for the problem
of refugees.
• Reasons – civil wars, political persecutions, religion, envtl
HIV/AIDS in SSA
• About 24.7 million people are living with HIV in SSA (UNAIDS
2014).
• Two thirds of the global HIV infected population is in SSA.
• Three quarters of AIDS deaths occurred in SSA.
• Out of the total number of people living with HIV worldwide,
34% reside in 10 SADC countries.
• However, HIV prevalence varies from country to country in
scale and scope.
• SA with an estimated 6.4 million HIV people makes it the
largest in the world.
• 26% HIV prevalence found in adults in Swaziland in 2006 is the
highest figure everdocumented in a national population based
survey worldwide.
• DHS results in S. African countries shows that two thirds of
the HIV infected couples were (sero)discordant
Factors that contribute to the spread of HIV
• Extreme poverty and income inequalities
• High mobility and migrant labour
• Gender dynamics and gender based violence
• Illiteracy
• Stigma and discrimination
• Alcohol abuse
• Emergency situations – civil conflict, war, displacement
• Multiple sexual partners
• Low rates of male circumcision
Implications of high HIV prevalence rates
• Decline in productive labour force
• Increased costs of production due to absenteeism
• Increased cost of public and private goods & services
• Greater demand for cemetery space
• Increased number of child-headed families
• Increased demand for health services
• Increased demand for welfare services & social grants
• Increased burden on women and girl children
Some strategies to reduce or eliminate new infections
• Condom promotion and distribution
• Behaviour change communication
• HIV testing and counselling
• Safe medical circumcision
• Mainstreaming HIV&AIDS across all sectors
• Prevention of mother to child transmission
Urban growth and urbanisation
• Most of population growth in SSA is expected to be absorbed
in urban areas.
• While the urbanization process has stabilized in most
developed countries with about 75% of the population living
in urban areas, most SSA countries are transitioning from
being predominantly rural to urban.
• About 37.34% of the population in SSA is found in urban areas
(Global average – 52%) (World Bank 2012)
• However, SSA remains with the highest urbanization rate
worldwide.
• The main force behind urbanization is rural – urban migration.
• The process of urbanization is associated with the strategic or
key role that urban centres play in the development process.
Rate of urban growth
• Accompanying the process of urbanization is the rate of urban
growth in SSA.
• In SSA, urban growth peaked in the 1970s and 1980s in
response to;
– More liberal policies pursued by independent African
states which allowed for greater population movements.
– Economic growth rates which were relatively higher than
population growth rates.
• The scale of urban growth however overwhelms the capacity
of governments to provide basic social services; hence a
myriad of problems in urban areas.
Factors behind rapid urbanization
• Mechanisation and loss of employment
• Discrimination on political, religious or ethnic grounds
• Decline in the natural resource base
• Lack of marriage and employment in the local community.
• Retreat due to natural catastrophes – drought, floods etc
• Breaking social norms
• Superior opportunities for employment
• Opportunity to earn larger income
• Opportunity to obtain higher education or specialized training
• Better living conditions, e.g., provision of sanitary facilities
• Accompanying couple or family
Problems of urban growth
• Unbalanced population, spatial and economic development
• Large scale deprivation (poverty)
• Inadequate basic social services – education, health, housing,
electricity, potable water, waste disposal, transport etc
• Shortage of public fiscal resources
• Shortage of qualified human resources for effective planning
and management
• Costly imported finance
• Inappropriate planning ideas and technology
• Absence of meaningful public participation in the planning
and development process
• Uncoordinated national and municipal urban policies
• Deteriorating environments
What should be done to address problems of
urbanization?
• Growth pole or growth centre strategy?
• Resettlement of the landless peasants?
• A more integrated approach to development?
Agriculture and Development