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- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1. Essence of Price - Trend - Support/Resistance - Market Structure 2.

General - Divergences - Candlestick Patterns 3. Top-Down Analysis - How To - Step By Step 4.
Institutional Orderflow - Orderblock - Breaker 5. Liquidity Game - Understanding - Usage 6.
Price Structure - Price Range - 3 Drives / MM Model - Triple Timeframe Trade - Over Under
Reversal(edited)
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- - - - - - - - - - - - - - > > Price Trend < < Before discussing how trends behave, we must clarify
what it is that defines a trend. Uptrend An uptrend is a situation in which each successive rally
closes higher than the previous rally high, and each successive rally low also closes higher than
the previous rally low. In other words, an uptrend has a pattern of rising peaks and troughs.

Downtrend A downtrend is the opposite situation, with successively lower peaks and troughs.
Trend Phases 1. Accumulation 2. Participation 3. Distribution The accumulation phase is the
phase where the most astute investors buy. If the previous trend was down and is now
consolidating at a KEY HTF level they will start to 'accumulate their shares'. The public
participation phase, where most technical trend-followers begin to participate, occurs when
prices begin to advance rapidly and starts forming a clear trend like the examples above. The
distribution phase takes place when newspapers begin to print increasingly bullish stories (BTC
GOES TO 100K); when economic news is better than ever; and when speculative volume and
public participation increase. During this last phase the same informed investors who began to
"accumulate" near the bear market bottom (when no one else wanted to buy) begin to "distribute"
before anyone else starts selling.
Volume MUST confirm the trend This is another very important aspect that can't be neglected.
Simply stated: "Volume should expand or increase in the direction of the major trend" In a major
uptrend, volume would then increase as prices move higher, and diminish as prices fall. In a
downtrend, volume should increase as prices drop and diminish as they rally.

---
> > Support & Resistance < < In our previous discussion of trend, it was stated that prices move
in a series of peaks and troughs, and that the direction of those peaks and troughs determined the
trend of the market. Let's now give those peaks and troughs their appropriate names and, at the
same time, introduce the concepts of support and resistance. - The troughs, or reaction lows, are
called support. Support can be seen as buying interest that is sufficiently strong enough to overcome
selling pressure. - Resistance is the opposite of support and represents a price level or area over the
market where selling pressure overcomes buying pressure and a price advance is turned back.

Reversing roles So far we've defined "support" as a previous low and "resistance" as a previous
high. However, this is not always the case. This leads us to one of the more interesting and lesser
known aspects of support and resistance—their reversal of roles When a support or resistance
level is penetrated by a significant amount, they reverse their roles and become the opposite. In
other words, a resistance level becomes a support level and support becomes resistance.
> > Market Structure< < So far we discussed the subjects trend and support &resistance. The
next important aspect is to know when a change in trend has occurred or in other words: ' A
break in Market-Structure' Why do we want to know this as soon as possible? If we are long we
want to know exactly when to switch bias and look for shorts. That way we can preserve our
capital And get the most out the market.

In the scenario above we would have entered a LONG position as soon as our first break in
Market-Structure occurred. As soon as we got our second break in Market-Structure we would
have switched bias and looked for shorts This can be applied on ALL timeframes. Lets have a
look at an RL example on BTC
Long scenario As soon as it breaks MS to the upside you can anticipate to enter a long on a
pullback. Short scenario As soon as it breaks MS to the downside you can a anticipate to enter a
short on a pullback. ---(edited)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2 - GENERAL - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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> > Divergences < < Divergence is when the price of an asset is moving in the opposite direction
of a technical indicator, such as an oscillator, or is moving contrary to other data. Divergence
warns that the current price trend may be weakening, and in some cases may lead to the price
changing direction. There is positive and negative divergence. Positive divergence indicates a
move higher in the price of the asset is possible. Negative divergence signals that a move lower
in the asset is possible.
POSITIVE DIVERGENCE:(edited)

NEGATIVE DIVERGENCE
--- > > High Probability Candle Stick Patterns < < DOIJ A Doji is formed when the opening
price and the closing price are equal. A long-legged Doji, often called a "Rickshaw Man" is the
same as a Doji, except the upper and lower shadows are much longer than the regular Doji
formation. The creation of the Doji pattern illustrates why the Doji represents such indecision.
After the open, bulls push prices higher only for prices to be rejected and pushed lower by the
bears. However, bears are unable to keep prices lower, and bulls then push prices back to the
opening price. Alone, doji are neutral patterns. Any bullish or bearish bias is based on preceding
price action and future confirmation. They are best seen at the end of a price swing or
trend(edited)
HAMMER The Hammer formation is created when the open, high, and close are roughly the
same price. Also, there is a long lower shadow, twice the length as the real body. When the high
and the close are the same, a bullish Hammer candlestick is formed and it is considered a
stronger formation because the bulls were able to reject the bears completely plus the bulls were
able to push price even more past the opening price. In contrast, when the open and high are the
same, this Hammer formation is considered less bullish, but nevertheless bullish. The bulls were
able to counteract the bears, but were not able to bring the price back to the price at the open.
The long lower shadow of the Hammer implies that the market tested to find where support and
demand was located. When the market found the area of support, the lows of the day, bulls began
to push prices higher, near the opening price. Thus, the bearish advance downward was rejected
by the bulls. These patterns are good to see at key support & resistance levels as well as optimal
trade entry areas. They can provide confirmation of a trade that we are already in. You can also
refer to this pattern after the fact as well, to establish a late entry in sync with the current market
flow and/or direction

--- Equilibrium / Midpoint When trading a range you want to know the fair value of it. You can
accomplish this by drawing a fib from range high and range low and marking out the 50% of it.
This will be your Equilibrium or in other words Mid-Range. This simplifies trading within the
range: Scenario 1 Bullish PA at range low > enter a long with a first target of mid range. Clean
break of mid range and range high is next. Scenario 2 Bearish PA at range high > enter a short
with a first target of mid range. Clean break of mid range and range low is next.
--- > > ICT MM Buy & Sell Model < <
Buy Model(edited)

Sell Model(edited)
Sell Model Example
--- > > 3-Drives < < First I want you to know that you shouldn't FORCE a 3-drive pattern. Price
as well as time symmetry are key in this formation, so it's really important that the drives stand
out as three different/distinct symmetrical drives to a bottom or a top. It should be something that
pops out of the chart and you can see on an instant. Bullish 3-drive

Bearish 3-drive

A & C Retracements
NOTES -Symmetry is the key with this pattern -Drives 2 and 3 should be 127.2% or 161.8%
extensions of the A and C retracements -The A and C retracements will typically be 61.8% or
78.6% of the previous drive. -In strongly trending markets these retracements may be 38.2% or
50%. -Time of A and C retracements should be symmetrical. Same goes for extensions (2nd &
3rd drives to top) -A large price gap at anytime may be a sign that the pattern is wrong. You
should wait for further confirmation that a top is in progress.
--- > > Triple Timeframe Trade < < The basics of this way of trading is to use the highest TF of
the 3 to frame your trade. Once price reaches an area that you want to sell look for topping
formations on that time-frame and overbought readings. Wait for price to break down on the 2
lower timeframes to support your bias. When swing trading you want to time it on the H1 chart /
manage it on the H4 and the idea would be based on the daily timeframe All trades are based on
KEY HTF support & resistance. Market profiles will assist in market structure analysis concepts.
Trending, reversal, consolidation, etc. Imagine that the image below is your higher time frame:
Once price bounces off expected resistance and breaks a short term low on your highest time
frame, then you can start to expect an OTE to form. Once that happens you want to zoom into
the OTE area on the middle time frame and look for shorter term OTE signals or other sell
patterns. We want to see what price is reaching for on our highest level time frame. EXAMPLE:

We are getting rejected at our HTF resistance / level of interest. Now we switch to the H4 to
scout for a possible OTE setup
We mark out our OTE short area and wait for price to reach it Price reaches our area of interest.
We enter a short targeting the origin of our first leg up

Trade broke down nicely after we entered our short. The rest of our trade is managed on the H1
TF
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Trading doesn't just reveal your character, it also
builds it if you stay in the game long enough. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -(edited)

23 April 2019
C2M23/04/2019
--- > > Over - Under Reversal < < One of my favourite trading setups when looking for entries is
the Over & Under pattern. Simple step by step on how to spot & trade it enjoy!. 1) Wait for price
to reach a KEY support / resistance 2) Mark out your area of interest 3) You wait for price to bounce
at that level and draw a Horizontal line from that swing low 4) Wait until price sweeps that former
swing low 5) As soon as price breaks back ABOVE the horizontal you charted in step 4 look for
either a bullish breaker or an orderblock to enter a Long 6) Long the retest
HANGING MAN A shape that often appears at the end of an uptrend. It has a short real body,
little or no upper wick and a long lower wick. A hanging man represents a large sell-off early in
the trading day, which sends the price plunging, before buyers push the price back to somewhere
near the opening price. Investors often read a hanging man as a sign that the bulls are beginning
to lose control and that the asset may soon enter a downtrend. A hanging man also be part of a
continuation of the bullish trend. In that case, the hanging man tells the story of a large number
of bears dumping their stock too early and short-sellers picking the wrong time to short.

TWEEZER FORMATION We have two separate tweezer formations: The Tweezer Top formation
A bearish Tweezer Top occurs during an uptrend when bulls take prices higher, often closing the
day off near the highs (typically a strong bullish sign). However, on the second day, price rolls
over and starts a down-trend The Tweezer Bottom formation The reverse, a bullish Tweezer
Bottom occurs during a downtrend when bears continue to take prices lower, usually closing the
day near the lows (typically a strong bearish sign). Nevertheless, Day 2 is completely opposite
and price keeps on surging upwards
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 3 - TOP DOWN ANALYSIS - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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> > How To < < 1. The first thing I do is look for KEY support & resistance levels
(Yearly/Monthly/Weekly levels , Big figure levels 4k 5k etc, HTF swing-points) 2. After I
determined those levels I check my HTF bias/orderflow. *- What is the monthly weekly daily
telling me. * - Are we bullish or bearish? - The people that are in profit for the last few days where
do they have their stops or in other words where is the HTF liquidity resting? - Logical HTF targets
i.e. clean highs/lows, swing highs/lows 3. Mark out HTF OB's / Breakers 4. After I have noted all
those things I zoom in on price and refine all my HTF levels. I tend to use the daily / H4 and H1
for my setups. --- > > Step By Step < <(edited)
Step 1 Mark out all the important levels
Step 2 Refine those levels on a daily chart

Step 3 Clean up your chart / Filter all the noise

Step 4 Define your levels for the last time on the H4 add liquidity voids/liquidity pools

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 4 - INSTITUTIONAL ORDERFLOW - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -(edited)
> > Orderblocks < < What are OB's and Breakers? These are the footprints of the bigger players
that get left behind before a significant move occurs. Once these players enter or exit a market
they leave small clues in the form of OB's and breakers. It's up to us to recognize those structures
and trade along them OB Rules: 1. Needs to be near a KEY HTF level 2. Depending on the type of
OB (bear of bull) it needs to support current order flow 3. Add a fib (OTE) for confluence 4. Bullish
OB > DOWN candle before an upmove that causes a break in MS 5. Bearish OB > UP candle before
the breakdown that causes a break in MS Extra notes: When drawing OB's we can draw in an EQ
inside as well. This is simply the 50% of the OB. We do this to indicate block strength. When
price reacts to our pre-defined OB we do NOT want it to close BELOW the EQ of that block.
When it does close below it will signal block weakness and it is more likely to give in.(edited)
Bullish Orderblock
Bearish Orderblock

Equilibrium of an Orderblock
--- > > Breakers < < Bullish breaker: UP-candle before a liquidity grab of a swing low. When
prices comes back up to this level and finds zero resistance we can expect buy pressure when it
comes back down to this level.(edited)

Bearish breaker: DOWN-candle before a liquidity grab of a swing high. When price comes back
down and dumps straight through this level we can expect heavy selling when we get a retest
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 5 - LIQUIDITY GAME - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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> > Understanding < < Common retail traders don't have to think about liquidity issues since the
market can easily absorb order of up to 5 mil. Traders who do trade above this size find liquidity
to be a very real issue. They cannot think about the markets like common retail traders. Instead,
they need to factor in where and how they are doing to deploy their strategy. They need liquidity
in order to fill their big orders without moving the market to much and people noticing it. Large
traders (think big funds) cannot simply accumulate or distribute a large position whenever and
wherever they wish. Instead, they have to look for those places where liquidity is aggregating,
and stops are helping them in an indirect way. Let’s look at an example:

In the example above you can see how we raided that low followed by a 45% leg up. Major
swing points on a major chart are the first place to look for liquidity. And it's also the first place
to keep an eye on what happens. Because following with the same logic, if large traders are
active at these levels, then at these levels we have the first clues as to what the aggregate market
knows and thinks. - If an evident stop level gets broken (hurdled) and price continues in the same
direction, that means the flow has become indigestible to the diverse participants and the price
structure changes. This is usually driven by some kind of event or strong fundamental reason. - If an
evident stop level gets faded (a break, followed by a quick reversal) that means the flow is still in
balance and it demonstrates that the fundamentals are still not strong enough to push forward.
--- > > Usage < < Bringing it ALL together - OB's - Liquidity pool - OTE fib setup In the chart
below is an example on how you can get in sync with HTF order flow and ride along with the big
players

Perfect liquidity grab into a Bullish OB confluent with an OTE fib setup. Now look what
happens next.

After we raided liquidity into a Bullish OB we had stunning 460% move up. Of course this is an
extreme example but these concepts can be applied on every market and every timeframe.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 6 - PRICE STRUCTURE - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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> > Price Range < < We have 3 different types of price action 1. Consolidation 2. Expansion 3.
Retracement If price is consolidating we want to draw in our ranges so we can map out possible
trades and spot the Equilibrium (fair value) of the range When trading a range I prefer to trade
the extremes of it. You can also base trades on the Mid point of the range but from personal
experience range extremes tend to be more precise.

In the above example you can see how you would have been able to take two perfect trades
based on the extremes of the range. Our first setup would be a short: Short setup: 1. Broke back
below range high 2. Break in MS after retesting range high 3. Enter a short position with your SL
just above range high. 4. Target range low Our second setup would be a long: Long setup: 1.
After trading below range low we broke back above range low 2. Shift in MS by making a
Higher high (Buyers have stepped in) 3. Enter a long position after a pullback with your SL
below range low. 4. Target range high(edited)
--- Picking Your Levels When drawing in a range I tend to use the first formed swing low and
high after an impulse leg. I usually let PA develop a little bit more before refining the range and
see to what levels it responds the best. In the example below you can see how perfectly price
reacts to the range levels based on the first low and high.(edited)