Question from the Previous class(05:10 PM) ● The close relations at the level of the people do not extend to state-to-state ties. Comment. The unprecedented closeness between the two countries(05:13 PM) ● a. Roti-Beti ka sambandh: ● Cross border marriages ● Inter dining ● Pahari people are dominant ● Terai region: Madhesis ● Cultural ties: ● Religious linkages: Hindus, Buddhism ● Language linkages: Nepali, Bhojpuri, Maithili ● Political ties: ● Shah kings who ruled Nepal for more than 200 years were in fact Sisodia Rajputs from India. ● Military ties ● Economic ties ● Strong economic ties in terms of Nepali currency pegged to the Indian rupee. ● Out of 29 million Nepalis, 7 million work in India. ● SD Muni Said that such is the closeness that these two countries are lodged in each other's intestines. ● As close neighbors, India and Nepal share unique relations characterized by open borders(one can travel without a visa and passport) and deep-rooted people-to-people contact sharing family ties and cultural relations. ● India-Nepal denotes 'roti-beti ka Rishta. ● The cultural connection between the two countries runs from Lumbini to BodhGaya and Pashupatinath to Kashi Vishwanath. ● The prominent languages of Nepal are: ● Nepali ● Maithili ● Bhojpuri ● and they are rooted in Indian Languages: ● Sanskrit ● Pali and ● Hindi ● The Shah kings of Nepal(1769-2008) were Sisodia Rajputs of Rajasthan. ● Nepal has a total population of 29 million of which 7 million live and work in India. ● Even geographically, the Terai region of Nepal runs into the Northern Indian plains forming a contiguous geographical unit. ● The unprecedented closeness is also evident in the Indian Army having a Gorkha regiment that recruits the Nepali Gorkhas. ● Thus, SD Muni, the prominent India-Nepal Relations expert, has famously commented that the two countries are 'lodges in each other's intestines. ● Despite the such closeness, the relations remain fraught with challenges: ● Reasons: ● 1. India does not have an independent Nepal policy. ● Its Nepal policy is in fact a subset of India's China policy. ● Given India's persistent and grave insecurity vis-a-vis China. ● India seeks to micromanage affairs in Nepal. ● Hence, it is comparable to Pakistan's foreign policy vis-a-vis Afghanistan. ● Such is the deep insecurity vis-a-vis China that even Jawahar Lal Nehru had no hesitation in declaring in the Indian Parliament on 6th December 1950 that "India's security will enjoy primacy over Nepal's sovereignty". ● India cannot accept Nepal following the Policy of equidistance with respect to India and China. ● It must prioritize its relations with India. ● Following the Chinese annexation of Tibet, India wanted to make Nepal a buffer state to prevent China's direct access to the Northern Indian plains. ● Nepal was also concerned vis-a-vis Irredentist China and wanted to revive the special relations it had with British India. ● However, Nepal is: ● a. Too big a country - 45th largest in the world: twice the size of Sri Lanka. ● b. Too proud of its non-colonial history. ● 2. To be a vassal state to another country: ● Political instability in Nepal: ● Nepal represents a pillared polity- the king, the Ranas(PMs), the Congress and the Maoist have been the different power centers. ● India in trying to develop good relations with all the pillars, could not gain the trust of either. ● In its short history of Constitutional development, it has seen five formal Constitutions and two interim Constitutions. ● Because of such political instability, India could not form a coherent foreign policy vis-a-vis Nepal. ● Lack of Professionalism in India's approach: ● Most of the Indian ambassadors have been from the state of UP and Bihar and consequently have had kinship relations across the border. ● Thus, they fail to present a neutral picture of the ground realities in Nepal. ● Rather than building democratic institutions and structures in Nepal, India has supported individuals who could serve as Indian stooges. ● India has often overlooked diplomatic protocols in its dealing with Nepal. ● The peace and friendship Treaty of 1950 was signed by Nepali PM and the Indian Ambassador. ● This hurt the Nepali ego. ● Delay and at times failure in the implementation of the promised projects have created scope for China's influence in the country, for example, China's growing presence in the hydroelectric power sector in Nepal such as West Seti Dam. ● Nepal's founder Prithvi Narayan Shah compared Nepal to a "Yam" stuck between the two Asian Giants- India and China. ● Thus, Nepal has always insisted on following a diversified foreign Policy to counterbalance India. ● However, India insists on Nepal prioritizing its relations with India. The close ties at people to people level are not replicated at state to the state level(06:16 PM) ● Pangs of Proximity: ● Given the societal and religious similarities with India, Nepal is acutely conscious of its 'independent identity' from India. ● Otherwise, they believe that they would be subsumed within the larger Indian identity. ● Anti-India sentiment is the barometer to measure Nepalese nationalism. ● This is the key systemic reason for poor India-Nepal state-to-state ties. ● Nepal has internalized the angst of a small state. ● They particularly resent India's big brother attitude. ● In recent times, other factors affecting state-to-state ties: ● 1. Left politics in Nepal ● 2. Vastly increased influence of China in Nepal, The Treaty of peace and friendship, 1950(06:36 PM) ● Context: ● china's annexation of Tibet ● Provisions of the Treaty: ● India recognizes Nepal as the sovereign state. ● National treatment of each other's citizens in terms of employment including public employment. ● However, India willingly has relinquished its right to seek public employment in Nepal. ● Nepal will give primacy to India in terms of infrastructure development including hydropower projects and other business opportunities. ● Problems with the Treaty(06:54 PM): ● There exists no dispute with respect to the provisions of the Treaty. ● The problem lies in the secret letters that were exchanged along with the Treaty. ● Provisions of the Secret Letters: ● 1. Both countries shall not tolerate any act of aggression against one another. ● 2. Nepal shall not import arms from any other country except India. ● If it were to import arms from a third country, it will do so with explicit permission from India and provided that India is unable to fulfill Nepalese requirements. ● Nepal's criticism of the Treaty: ● 1. It violates Nepal's Sovereignty since it allows India's interference in Nepal's foreign and defense policy. ● 2. Since the Treaty was signed with the Rana's of Nepal who did not enjoy Nepali goodwill, the treaty lacks legitimacy. ● 3. Nepal Claims that India gets disproportionate benefits from the Treaty. ● Way forward: ● 1. Since the Treaty is used to incite anti-Indian sentiments in Nepal, India should, like its Treaty with Bhutan, agree to amend the Treaty. ● 2. Nepal draws substantive benefits through this Treaty. ● Since it allows for open borders between the two countries and Nepalese to seek employment in India without any requirement of a work permit or others. ● It allows citizens of the two countries rights to buy property etc in the other country. ● 3. The provisions of the secret letter which required Nepal to consult India vis-a-vis its defense requirements are no longer a secret and have often been violated. ● 4. In fact, the open borders are used by Pakistan to infiltrate terrorists and pump fake currencies into India. ● Thus, every time in the past when India agreed to revise the Treaty, Nepali politicians sidestepped. ● In fact revision of the Treaty is more a political issue. ● 5. In 2016, India and Nepal constituted an eminent person group to look into the revision of the Treaty. ● It finalized its report in 2018 but it has not been officially received/adopted. Hydro-electric power corporation(07:11 PM) ● 1. Hydroelectric power potential of Nepal is 83000 MW of which 40,000 MW is feasible at the current level of technology. However, Nepal produces around 1000MW. ● This results in severe power shortages in Nepal including long power cuts even in Kathmandu. ● 2. Nepal imports 600 MW of electricity from India to manage its domestic demands. ● 3. Their reluctance of HEP to cooperate with India has resulted in its gross underutilization. ● The optimal harnessing of their hydropower would not only meet their domestic demands but generate surplus power to be exported to bring in the necessary Forex reserves. ● Nepal's Concerns vis-a-vis Indian investment in the HEP sector: ● 1. Slow progress and at times fail to deliver the projects on time. ● 2. Nepal alleges that India plans big dams which are ecologically and geologically unsustainable. ● 3. While India demands primacy, Nepal wants to issue open tenders to allow better price discovery. ● Way Forward(07:30 PM): ● India-Nepal entered into a power trading Agreement, in 2014 which allows for joint investment in infrastructure building, joint marketing, and establishment of joint transmission lines. ● They have agreed upon the development of the ARUN III 900 MW HEP project. ● The Mahakali Treaty which was signed in 1996 during Deuba's first term as Nepali PM, covers Sharda and Tanakpur barrages along with the Pancheshwar Dam(5000 MW project). ● Presently both sides have agreed to take the cooperation ahead with the early finalization of a detailed project Report. ● The ambitious 7 billion dollar project will require political will to move forward. ● Also, PM Deuba has pushed through the ratification of a 500 million US dollars grant assistance Millenium challenge corporation despite reservations of its coalition partners. ● The grant provides for the construction of a high voltage electric power line. ● Earlier the opposition to the MCC grant was born out of the fear that the power line project will be linked to India's electric grid which will increase Kathmandu's dependence on New Delhi and harm its growing trade partnership with China. ● The joint vision statement on Power sector cooperation recognizes the opportunities for joint development of the HEP projects along with cross-border transmission linkages. ● Reasons: ● Improving India-Nepal relations is the natural objective of the BJP led NDA government. ● BJP represents ethnonationalism. Thus, believes the shared link of Hinduism and the close societal ties will aid in developing close relationships between the two countries. ● PM Modi visited Nepal in the months following his becoming the Prime Minister, his visit to Nepal in Aug 2014 was the first visit by an Indian PM to Nepal in 17 years. ● In his first term, he visited Nepal four times. ● Deuba of Nepali congress supports good India-Nepal relations, unlike the Left parties in Nepal- the Maoist and the Unified Marxist Leninist, they privilege relations with China. ● Note: ● Unlike Nepal, HEP cooperation between India and Bhutan is an example of win-win economic diplomacy. ● Under this cooperation, India provides finance in the form of loans and grants to establish HEP plants in Bhutan and once the domestic energy requirements are met, Bhutan exports surplus power to India at subsidized rates. ● Thus, while HEP has become the major export item for Bhutan, India gets clean energy at low prices. The topics to be discussed in the next class- Continuation of India-Nepal Relations, China and Nepal relations, Indo-Bangladesh relations