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(Updated) *,
2. The exchange rate between the Australian dollar and the euro, expressed
in direct quotation from an Australian perspective, rises from 1.62405 to
1.62808. Calculate:
* Questions compiled from Moosa (2010), International Finance
Compiled by Dr. Ronald R. Kumar, Semester 1, 2022, School of Accounting, Economics
and Finance, The University of the South Pacic.
1
(a) the appreciation or depreciation of the euro in points and pips.
Solution: S1 (AU D/EU R) = 1.62405 and S2 (AU D/EU R) = 1.62808,
which is a direct quote from Australian perspective. Hence:
S2 1.62808−1.62405
Ṡ (AUD/EUR) = S1 − 1 × 100 = 1.62405 × 100 = +0.248%.
Euro has appreciated. In terms of points: 1.62808 − 1.62405 =
0.00403 or 40.3 points, which is equivalent to 403 pips. Note: 1
point = 10 pips.
Solution:
Currency Pair Sb Sa
GBP/AUD 0.3820 0.3890
AUD/EUR 1.6400 1.6480
Sb (GBP/EUR) = Sb (GBP/AUD) × Sb (AUD/EUR) = 0.3820 × 1.6400 =
0.6265
GBP/AUD 0.38200.3900
EUR/AUD 0.60200.6080
CHF/AUD 0.88000.8860
(GPB/AUD)b
(GBP/EUR)b = (EUR/AUD)a = (GPB/AUD)b × (AUD/EUR)b = 0.3820 ×
1
0.6080 = 0.6283
(GPB/AUD)a
(GBP/EUR)a = (EUR/AUD)b = (GPB/AUD)a ×(AUD/EUR)a = 0.3900×
1
0.6020 = 0.6478
1 1
(EUR/GBP)a = (GBP/EUR)b
= 0.6283 = 1.5916
1 1
(EUR/GBP)b = (GBP/EUR)a
= 0.6478 = 1.5437
(GPB/AUD)b 0.3820
(GBP/CHF)b = (CHF/AUD)a = (GPB/AUD)b × (AUD/CHF)b = 0.8860 =
0.4312
(GPB/AUD)a 0.3900
(GBP/CHF)a = (CHF/AUD)b = (GPB/AUD)a ×(AUD/CHF)a = 0.8800 =
0.4432
1 1
(CHF/GBP)a = (GBP/CHF)b
= 0.4312 = 2.3191
1 1
(CHF/GBP)b = (GBP/CHF)a
= 0.4432 = 2.2563
Amount (Euro) EUR balance S(EUR/AUD) AUD deal amount AUD balance
5, 000, 000EUR
+5, 000, 000 +5, 000, 000 0.5563 −8, 987, 956
× 1 (AUD/EUR) = −8, 987, 956
0.5563
+10, 000, 000 +15, 000, 000 0.5661 −17, 664, 724 −26, 652, 680
−7, 000, 000 +8, 000, 000 0.5631 +12, 431, 185 −14, 221, 495
+8, 000, 000 +16, 000, 000 0.5566 −14, 372, 979 −28, 594, 474
−12, 000, 000 +4, 000, 000 0.5612 +21, 382, 751 −7, 211, 723
(b) Calculate the average exchange rate at which the dealer bought and
sold the Australian dollar.
Solution:
Average exchange rate at which the dealer bought and sold AUD =
4,000,000
7,211,723 = 0.5547
(c) Calculate the unrealized prot/loss on the nal position.
Solution:
Unrealized prot/loss: We note a short position in AUD and the mar-
ket rate (0.5612) is higher than the average rate (0.5547), the position
is unprotable, that is: 7, 211, 723AUD×(0.5547−0.5612)(EUR/AUD) =
−46, 876 (EUR)
7. The spot and forward rates between the Australian dollar and the euro
(AUD/EUR) are as follows:
Solution:
1.6260 12
(a) 1-month forward: = 1.6030 −1 × 1 = 0.172 ≡ 17.2% ⇒ Euro is
selling at a premium.
1.5920 12
(b) 3-month forward: = 1.6030 −1 × 3 = −0.0274485 ≈ −2.74% ⇒
Euro is selling at a discount.
8. The following are the spot and swap forward values of the EUR/AUD
exchange rate:
Type Rate
Spot 0.60200.6100
1-month forward 2040
3-month forward 4060
6-month forward 8040
Calculate the outright forward rate for each maturity. State whether the
AUD sells at a premium or a discount.
Solution:
Type Sb -rate Sa -rate AUD sells at: EUR sells at:
3-month forward 0.6020 + 0.0040 = 0.6060 0.6100 + 0.0060 = 0.6160 premium discount
6-month forward 0.6020 − 0.0080 = 0.5940. 0.6100 − 0.0040 = 0.6060 discount premium
The term 'residence' follows from the fact that the BOP does not record
transactions between local residents (within provinces or zones) although
such transactions could aect and give rise to transactions that are on
the BOP. Example when the government sells bonds to the citizens, this
transaction will not be recorded on the BOP, although this activity may
lead to an increase in interest rates on the domestic (Australian) dollar
assets which my induce foreign (insurance) companies to buy them. How-
ever, the latter is recorded in the BOP.
4. What is the dierence between stocks and ows? Consider the major
items on the Australian balance of payments and explain why they are
ows, not stocks.
BOP measures ows and not stocks. For example, BOP records ex-
occur over the
ports, imports and transfers which are ows in that they
reporting period (such as a month, a quarter or a year), and changes
in the holdings of assets and liabilities which are ows. This is similar to
the statement of sources and uses of funds for a rm (cash ows). How-
ever, stock would be the cumulative value of exports, imports and other
transactions at a given time. An anology can for stock can be drawn
with balance sheet that records assets and liabilities at a specic point
in time, and can be used to determine the level of indebtedness. Simply
put, ows are records of economic transactions for the reporting period
only, whereas stock is the cumulative value of economic transaction up to
a certain period.
8. In theory, the sum of all countries' capital outows and inows must be
zero. This, however, is not what is implied by the reported balance of
payments statistics. Why is this the case?
This is because of errors and omissions. Also note below:
10. Why does the demand for foreign exchange rise when the exchange rate
(expressed as domestic/foreign) falls?
Note that we express S(x/y) where x = domestic currency and y =
foreign currency, and S(x/y) is read as the price of one unit of y in terms
of x. Hence, if S(x/y) = a, this means that the price of one unit of y is
a (in domestic currencies). Therefore, a decrease in S(x/y) = a ↓ mean
that domestic currency can buy more foreign currency (foreign currency
is relatively cheaper), hence domestic currency has appreciated. So given
S(x/y) = a ↓, imports become relatively cheaper, and hence demand for
12. Why do countries that have higher growth rates than their trading part-
ners experience deteriorating current accounts?
Since imports are positively related to domestic income whereas ex-
ports are not (necessarily, because demand for exports depend on foreign
income), if a country has higher growth rate that its trading partners, its
demand for goods and services including imported goods and services, will
rise faster than the demand of its trading partners for its goods and ser-
vices. Assuming other factors unchanged, it follows that the country with
higher growth rate will experience a deterioration it its current account.
13. It is sometimes stated that one of the most important consequences of in-
ation is its adverse eect on the current account. How does this adverse
eect develop?
A country that has higher ination rate than its trading partners suf-
fers from deterioration of the current account, because ination erodes
the competitive position of the economy by making domestic goods more
expensive and hence less competitive in foreign markets. If the domestic
ination rate is higher than the foreign ination rate, then Px rises faster
∗
that Pm . This leads to a decline in exports, and increase in imports and
hence deterioration in the current account. Also, elasticities do matter,
and if the demand for imports is inelastic (relatively insensitive to price
changes) while the demand for exports is elastic (relatively sensitive to
price changes), then the current account will deteriorate.
14. Capital controls are typically imposed to protect the balance of payments.
Can we then say that the abolition of capital controls in Australia in the
early 1980s has led to deterioration of the Australian balance of payments?
15. Why do countries normally worry more about the eective exchange rate
rather than the bilateral exchange rates of their currencies? Why do they
also worry more about real rather than nominal exchange rates?
Real exchange rate is the nominal exchange rate adjusted for dierences
in prices or ination; it is a measure of the purchasing power of currencies
in foreign markets, and hence the relevant rate for measuring the compet-
h i
Py
itiveness of the economy. This is given by: Q(x, y) = S(x/y) Px , where
Py andPx are the price levels of the countries whose currencies are y and x,
respectively. Q ↑ ⇒ real appreciation of y which can be due to S ↑ (nom-
inal appreciation of y ) and/or Py ↑ (increase in the price level in country
y ). Both a higher S and P level erode the competitiveness of the economy.
16. Why did the Reserve Bank of Australia decide in 1988 to calculate the
TWI of the Australian dollar as a geometric average rather than an arith-
metic average?
Trade weighted index (TWI) of AUD uses geometric average because
geometric average (mean) has better mathematical properties than arith-
metic average, particularly in representing rates of change. The eective
exchange rate and real eective exchange rate using geometric average is
ωi
ωi Qi,t
given by: Et = Πm
i=0 (Vi,t ) and Qt = Πm
i=1 Qi,0 , respectively.
2. Using the same demand function as in (1) above, calculate the quantity of
foreign exchange demanded at the following values of the exchange rate:
1.30, 1.40, 1.50, 1.60, 1.70,and 1.80. Plot the demand for foreign exchange
curve. [You may work this out in Excel if necessary]
Solution: The quantity of foreign exchange demanded is equal to import
expenditure.
∗ ∗
S = 1.30, Pm = 13 since Pm = SPm , Pm = 10,and Qm = 40 − 1.5Pm =
∗
40 − 1.5(13) = 20.5 ⇒ Pm Qm = (10)(20.5) = 205.
∗
S = 1.40, Pm = 14 since and Qm = 40 − 1.5(14) = 19 ⇒ Pm Qm =
(10)(19) = 190.
∗
S = 1.50, Pm = 15 since and Qm = 40 − 1.5(15) = 17.5 ⇒ Pm Qm =
(10)(17.5) = 175.
∗
S = 1.60, Pm = 16 since and Qm = 40 − 1.5(16) = 16 ⇒ Pm Qm =
(10)(16) = 160.
∗
S = 1.70, Pm = 17 since and Qm = 40 − 1.5(17) = 14.5 ⇒ Pm Qm =
(10)(14.5) = 145.
∗
S = 1.80, Pm = 18 since and Qm = 40 − 1.5(18) = 13 ⇒ Pm Qm =
(10)(13) = 130
∗ ∗
S(d/f ) P m = S × Pm Qm = 40 − 1.5Pm Pm × Qm
1.8 18 13.0 130
1.7 17 14.5 145
1.6 16 16.0 160
1.5 15 17.5 175
1.4 14 19.0 190
1.3 13 20.5 205
1.2 12 22.0 220
1.1 11 23.5 235
3. The demand for exports function is: Qx = 40 − 2Px∗ . Calculate the quan-
tity of exports if the domestic price of export is 10 and the exchange rate
(domestic/foreign = d/f ) is 1.20. Also calculate the supply of foreign ex-
change at this rate.
Solution:
Px
The demand for export function is: Qx = 40 − 2Px∗ . Px∗ = S = 10
1.20 =
8.33.
Qx = 40 − 2(8.33) = 23.34 and expenditure is: Px∗ Qx = 8.33 × 23.34 =
194.42
4. Using the same supply function as in (3) above, calculate the quantity of
foreign exchange supplied at the following values of the exchange rate:
1.30, 1.40, 1.50, 1.60, 1.70,and 1.80. Plot the supply of foreign exchange
curve and comment on its shape. [You may work this out in Excel if
necessary]
S = 1.30 ⇒ Px∗ = PSx = 1.30 10
= 7.69;Qx = 40 − 2(7.69) = 24.62;
∗
Px Qx = 7.69 × 24.62 = 189.29
S = 1.40 ⇒ Px∗ = PSx = 1.40 10
= 7.14;Qx = 40 − 2(7.14) = 25.71;
∗
Px Qx = 7.14 × 25.71 = 183.57
S = 1.50 ⇒ Px∗ = PSx = 1.50 10
= 6.67;Qx = 40 − 2(6.67) = 26.66;
∗
Px Qx = 6.67 × 26.66 = 177.82
S = 1.60 ⇒ Px∗ = PSx = 1.60 10
= 6.25;Qx = 40 − 2(6.25) = 27.50;
∗
Px Qx = 6.25 × 27.50 = 171.88
5. Use the demand and supply functions specied in Problems (1) and (3)
above to demonstrate the eect of ination on the current account, starting
∗
from a situation in which Pm = Px = 10 and S = 1.20. Plot the path of
the current account over several periods of time when:
(b) The domestic and foreign ination rates are 5 and 0 per cent,
respectively.
Quantity 200
Foreign currency price of imports 20
Exchange rate (d/f ) 1.50
(a) Calculate the foreign currency and domestic currency values of im-
ports.
Solution: Qm = 200, Pm ∗
= 20, S = 1.50. The foreign currency value
∗
of imports is calculated as: = Pm Qm = 20 × 200 = 4000. The
domestic currency value of imports is obtained by converting the for-
∗
eign currency value at the current exchange rate: = S(Pm Qm ) =
1.50(d/f ) × 4000(f ) = 6000(d)
(b) What will happen if the exchange rate falls to 1.20, assuming that
the value of the elasticity of demand for imports is −0.5?
Solution: At an exchange rate of 1.50,the domestic currencySee
∗
Excel le, TUT_SOL, Sheet Q4 price of imports is Pm = SPm =
1.50 × 20 = 30. When S = 1.20,Pm = 1.20 × 20 = 24. Hence, the
= PQ̇˙ = %∆Q ˙
m %∆P ⇒ Q̇ = %∆Qm = Pm × = %∆P × . ∴
%∆Qm = (−20%) × −0.5 = +10% . So the quantity of imports
rises by 10% to 200(1 + 0.10) = 220,and the foreign value of im-
ports is: 220 × 20 = 4400(f ) and the domestic value of imports is:
220 × (1.10 × 20) = 220 × 24 = 5280(d).
(c) What will happen if the exchange rate falls to 1.20, assuming that
the value of the elasticity of demand for imports is −2.5?
1.50,the domestic currency price of imports is
At an exchange rate of
∗
Pm = SPm = 1.50 × 20 = 30. When S = 1.20,Pm = 1.20 × 20 = 24.
Hence, the percentage change in the domestic currency price of im-
24
ports resulting from the change in the exchange rate is:
30 − 1 ×
100 = −20%. Given that elasticity of demand, = −0.5, the percent-
age change in quantity demanded can be calculated as:
= PQ̇˙ = %∆Q ˙
m %∆P ⇒ Q̇ = %∆Qm = Pm × = %∆P × .
∴ %∆Qm = (−20%) × −2.5 = +50% .
So the quantity of imports rises by 50% to 200(1 + 0.50) = 300,and
the foreign value of imports is: 300 × 20 = 6000(f ) and the domestic
value of imports is: 300 × (1.20 × 20) = 300 × 24 = 7200(d).
(a) Calculate the foreign currency and domestic currency values of ex-
ports.
Qx = 500, Px = 10, Px∗ = PSx since P = SP ∗ ,and S(d/f ) = 1.20.
⇒ Domestic currency value of export: Qx Px = 500 × 10 = 5000 (d)
⇒ Foreign currency value of exports: Qx Px∗ = 500 × 1.2
10
= 4166.67 ≈
4167(f )
(b) What will happen if the exchange rate falls to 0.90, assuming that
the value of the elasticity of demand for imports is −0.2?
At an exchange rate of S0 = 1.20, the foreign currency price of ex-
ports is P0∗ = 8.33 . At an exchange rate of S1 = 0.90, the foreign
currency price of exports rises to P1∗ = 10
0.9 = 11.11 .
8. Assume that Australia trades mostly with two countries only, the United
States and the United Kingdom, such that 70% of the trade is conducted
with the the United States, 25% is conducted with the United Kingdom,
and 5% with the rest of the world. The exchange rates of the Australian
dollar at two points in time 0 and 1, are as follows:
Time =0 Time =1
AUD/USD 1.3541 1.7724
AUD/GBP 2.1533 2.5692
1.7724
• Percentage change of USD/AUD: Ṡ(AU D/U SD) =
1.6541 − 1 ×
100 = 30.89% ⇒ USD has appreciated by 30.9% against AUD.
2.5692
• Percentage change of GBP/AUD: Ṡ(AU D/GBP ) =
2.1533 − 1 ×
100 = 19.31% ⇒ GBP has appreciated by 19.3% against AUD.
10. Using the information given in (8) above, calculate the nominal eective
exchange rate, using the bilateral exchange rates expressed in direct quo-
tation. Compare the results with those obtained by solving (8).
Time =0 Time =1
AUD/USD 1.3541 1.7724
AUD/GBP 2.1533 2.5692
Use the information in (8) above, and assume that the price levels at
two points in Time =0 and Time =1 are as follows:
Times =0 Time =1
Australia 100 110
United Kingdom 100 105
United States 100 104
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