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    6 views4 pages

    Untitled

    Uploaded by

    yuda apritiantoko

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    of 4

    Favourable Unfavourable

    Market Market

    Pabrik Besar 1,000,000,000 -600,000,000


    Pabrik Kecil 500,000,000 -250,000,000
    Tidak Mendirikan Pabrik 0 0

    Favourable Unfavourable
    Market Market
    Pabrik Besar 1,000,000,000 -600,000,000
    Pabrik Kecil 500,000,000 -250,000,000
    Tidak Mendirikan Pabrik 0 0

    Favourable Unfavourable
    Market Market

    Pabrik Besar 1,000,000,000 -600,000,000


    Pabrik Kecil 500,000,000 -250,000,000
    Tidak Mendirikan Pabrik 0 0

    Favourable Unfavourable
    Market Market

    Pabrik Besar 1,000,000,000 -600,000,000


    Pabrik Kecil 500,000,000 -250,000,000
    Tidak Mendirikan Pabrik 0 0

    Favourable Unfavourable
    Market Market
    Pabrik Besar 1,000,000,000 -600,000,000
    Pabrik Kecil 500,000,000 -250,000,000
    Tidak Mendirikan Pabrik 0 0

    Perhitungan Minimax Regret


    Favourable Unfavourable
    Market Market Favourable Unfavourable
    Market Market
    Pabrik Besar 1,000,000,000 -600,000,000 - 600,000,000
    Pabrik Kecil 500,000,000 -250,000,000 500,000,000 250,000,000
    Tidak Mendirikan Pabrik 0 0 1,000,000,000 -

    Favourable Unfavourable
    Nilai Harapan Dengan asumsi Probabilitas baik = 0,
    Market Market
    Pabrik Besar 1,000,000,000 -600,000,000 600,000,000 0.75
    Pabrik Kecil 500,000,000 -250,000,000 312,500,000 0.75
    Tidak Mendirikan Pabrik 0 0 0 0.75
    Favourable Unfavourable
    Nilai Harapan
    Market Market
    Pabrik Besar 1,000,000,000 -600,000,000 360,000,000
    Pabrik Kecil 500,000,000 -250,000,000 200,000,000
    Tidak Mendirikan Pabrik 0 0 0
    Maxsimum

    1,000,000,000
    (Maximax)
    500,000,000
    0

    Maxsimum
    -600,000,000
    -250,000,000
    0 (Maximax)

    Weighted
    average,
    α = 0,8
    680,000,000 0.8 1,000,000,000 + 0.2 -600,000,000 = 800,000,000
    (Realism)
    350,000,000 0.8 500,000,000 + 0.2 -250,000,000 = 400,000,000
    0 0.8 - + 0.2 0 = -

    Rata - Rata
    Keuntungan
    200,000,000 1,000,000,000 - 600,000,000 / 2 = 400,000,000
    (Equaly Likely)
    125,000,000 500,000,000 - 250,000,000 / 2 = 250,000,000
    0 0 - 0/ 2 = -

    Maksimum
    Regret
    600,000,000
    500,000,000
    1,000,000,000

    Maksimum
    Regret

    600,000,000
    500,000,000
    1,000,000,000

    gan asumsi Probabilitas baik = 0,75 dan probabilitas jelek 0,25


    x 1,000,000,000 + 0.25 x -600,000,000 600,000,000
    x 500,000,000 + 0.25 x -250,000,000 312,500,000
    x - + 0.25 x 0 -
    + -120000000 = 680,000,000

    + -50000000 = 350,000,000
    + 0 = -

    / 2 = 200,000,000

    / 2 = 125,000,000
    / 2 = -

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