Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2/ Financial ratios
A. The use of financial ratios is compare and investigate the relationships between different
pieces of financial information on the income statement and balance sheet
− Calculating and comparing financial ratios is another way of avoiding the problems in
comparing companies of different sizes.
− One problem with ratios is that different people and sources frequently don’t compute them
in exactly the same way. This leads to much confusion.
− If you are using ratios as tools for analysis, you should be careful to document how you
calculate each one and if you are comparing your numbers to those of another source, be sure you
know how their numbers are computed.
B. A given ratio is generally compared to:
1. Ratios from previous years.
2. Ratios of other firms in the same industry
C. 5 Categories financial ratio
Short-term solvency or liquidity measures
− It provides information about a firm’s liquidity. The primary concern is the firm’s ability to pay
its short-run bills on time.
− These ratios focus on current assets and current liabilities
− One advantage of looking at the ratios is that book values and market values of current assets
and liabilities are likely to be similar. Often, these assets and liabilities just don’t live long enough
for the two to get seriously out of step. Current assets and liabilities can and do change fairly
rapidly, so today’s amounts may not be a reliable guide to the future.
− Short-term creditors are interested in liquidity ratios
Current assets
Current ratio = Current liabilities ( a measure of short-term liquidity )
→ Having “current ratio” in current assets to pay every $1 current liabilities
4/ Financial Models
Financial planning is another important use of financial statements.
In the meaning of “pro forma”, financial statements are the form we use to summarize the projected future
financial status of a company
Financial Model depends on an investment decision
A. The 4 most important factors in finance
Investment in new assets – determined by capital budgeting decisions
Degree of financial leverage – determined by capital structure decisions
Cash paid to shareholders – determined by dividend policy decisions
Liquidity requirements – determined by net working capital decisions
B. Financial Planning Ingredients
− Sales Forecast : many cash flows depend directly on the level of sales (often estimate sales
growth rate)
− Pro Forma Statements : setting up the plan as projected (pro forma) financial statements
allows for consistency and ease of interpretation
− Asset Requirements : the additional assets that will be required to meet sales projections
− Financial Requirements : the amount of financing needed to pay for the required assets
− Plug Variable – determined by management decisions about what type of financing will be
used (makes the balance sheet balance)
− Economic Assumptions are assumptions about the coming economic environment
C. A simple financial planning model
The relationship between sales and the components of the financial statements
Variables of the financial planning tied directly to sales. Relationships between them are optimal.
All items that is propositional to sales will grow at exactly the same rate as sales.
(example: sales increase by 20 percent, planners would then forecast a 20 percent increase in costs and
all variables will grow by 20 percent in the pro forma balance sheet)
Factors that cause a change in the income statement and balance sheet
Sales change → Cost change → Projected = Original ×(1+ Increase%)
As sales increase, so do total assets. This occurs because the firm must invest in net working
capital and fixed assets to support higher sales levels. When assets are growing, total liabilities
and equity, will grow as well.
The way liabilities and owners’ equity change depends on the financing policy and dividend
policy.
The growth in assets requires that the firm decide on how to finance that growth. This is strictly a
managerial decision → The firm needed no outside funds.
EXAMPLE:
The interaction between sales growth and financial policy
In this case, debt is the plug variable used to balance projected total assets and liabilities.
EXAMPLE
Assuming that the payout ratio is constant, the projected dividends and addition to retained earnings:
EXAMPLE:
Percent of sales and EFN
External Financing Needed (EFN): The difference between the forecasted increase in assets and
the forecasted increase in liabilities and equity. It refers to the amount of money a company needs
to increase sales following pro forma statements.
We took a growth rate as given and then we determined the amount of external financing needed
to support that growth.
The projected increase The spontaneous increase in liabilities The product of profit margin and
in sales projected sales
( The projected addition to retained
earnings are projected net income
multiplied by the retention ratio )
∆Sales are the projected change in sales
Spontaneous liabilities are liabilities that naturally move up and down with sales
PM: profit margin d: dividend payout ratios
A Particular Scenario is the situation company has a goal of not borrowing any additional
funds as well as not selling any new equity and the company can somehow raise EFN in new
financing
- This is a good example of how the planning process can point out problems and potential
conflicts
- If a company takes the need for EFN in new financing as given, it has three possible sources:
short-term borrowing, long-term borrowing and new equity. The choice of some combination
among these three is up to management.