Professional Documents
Culture Documents
1
Introduction to Risk
Q: What Is Risk Management and why it is important?
In the world of finance, risk management refers to the practice of identifying
potential risks in advance, analyzing them and taking precautionary steps to
reduce/curb the risk
In the process of risk management planning, companies often discover risks that
would cause their business to operate inconsistently or inefficiently. For example,
if a company discovers that is relies on a specific part to produce a key product
and that the part in question has always been obtained from the same source, the
company has discovered a risk. If the source suddenly dries up, the company
cannot operate efficiently. To manage this risk, the company needs to find
alternative sources for the part to use as a backup.
2. More Satisfied Customers…..
The first step is to identify the risks that the business is exposed to in its operating
environment. There are many different types of risks – legal risks, environmental
risks, market risks, regulatory risks, and much more. It is important to identify as
many of these risk factors as possible. In a manual environment, these risks are
noted down manually. If the organization has a risk management solution
employed all this information is inserted directly into the system. The advantage
of this approach is that these risks are now visible to every stakeholder in the
organization with access to the system. Instead of this vital information being
locked away in a report which has to be requested via email, anyone who wants to
see which risks have been identified can access the information in the risk
management system.
Once a risk has been identified it needs to be analyzed. The scope of the risk must
be determined. It is also important to understand the link between the risk and
different factors within the organization. To determine the severity and
seriousness of the risk it is necessary to see how many business functions the risk
affects. There are risks that can bring the whole business to a standstill if
actualized, while there are risks that will only be minor inconveniences in the
analysis. In a manual risk management environment, this analysis must be done
manually. When a risk management solution is implemented one of the most
important basic steps is to map risks to different documents, policies, procedures,
and business processes. This means that the system will already have a mapped
risk framework that will evaluate risks and let you know the far-reaching effects
of each risk.
Risks need to be ranked and prioritized. Most risk management solutions have
different categories of risks, depending on the severity of the risk. A risk that may
cause some inconvenience is rated lowly, risks that can result in catastrophic loss
are rated the highest. It is important to rank risks because it allows the
organization to gain a holistic view of the risk exposure of the whole
organization. The business may be vulnerable to several low-level risks, but it
may not require upper management intervention. On the other hand, just one of
the highest-rated risks is enough to require immediate intervention.
Not all risks can be eliminated – some risks are always present. Market risks and
environmental risks are just two examples of risks that always need to be
monitored. Under manual systems monitoring happens through diligent
employees. These professionals must make sure that they keep a close watch on
all risk factors. Under a digital environment, the risk management system
monitors the entire risk framework of the organization. If any factor or risk
changes, it is immediately visible to everyone. Computers are also much better at
continuously monitoring risks than people. Monitoring risks also allows your
business to ensure continuity. We can tell you how you can create a risk
management plan to monitor and review the risk.
#1 Diversification
#2 Hedging
#3 Insurance
There is a wide range of insurance products that can be used to protect investors
and operators from catastrophic events. Examples include key person insurance,
general liability insurance, property insurance, etc. While there is an ongoing cost
to maintaining insurance, it pays off by providing certainty against certain
negative outcomes.
#4 Operating Practices
There are countless operating practices that managers can use to reduce the
riskiness of their business. Examples include reviewing, analyzing, and
improving their safety practices; using outside consultants to audit operational
efficiencies; using robust financial planning methods; and diversifying the
operations of the business.
#5 Deleveraging
It’s important to point out that since risk is two-sided (meaning that unexpected
outcome can be both better or worse than expected), the above strategies may
result in lower expected returns (i.e., upside becomes limited).
Below is a list of the most important types of risk for a financial analyst to
consider when evaluating investment opportunities:
Q: What is Uncertainty?
Uncertainty simply means the lack of certainty or sureness of an event.
In accounting, uncertainty refers to the inability to foretell consequences
or outcomes because there is a lack of knowledge or bases on which to
make any predictions.
This uncertainty has been divided under eight heads. They are:
1. Demand Uncertainty:
Forecasting of the demand is essential to take decisions regarding
production, cost of production, capital requirements etc. Management
prepares a demand table and analyses it. All this is done under
uncertainty and is simply a guess.
2. Production Uncertainty:
In the study of production uncertainty following points is taken into
consideration:
3. Profit Uncertainty:
Profit is the difference between cost and revenue. Both cost and revenue
are uncertain. Therefore, it is hundred percent. Uncertainty that what
will be the profit of the firm. A man does business only in anticipation of
earnings profit but he cannot be sure of his profit.
4. Price Uncertainty:
Success of a business firm depends to a large extent upon determination
of price for a product—but the pricing decision is affected by a large
number of external factors over which the management can have no
control. Therefore, there is an element of uncertainty in pricing decision.
5. Cost Uncertainty:
Cost of production is also an important factor for determining profit of
the firm. Cost estimates are based upon the historical cost data available
from the records of a firm. It is to be noted that different elements of
cost are always uncertain.
6. Labour Uncertainty:
Labour is the force which converts the decisions and plans of a firm into
actions. Regular supply and efficiency of labour determines the success
of a firm. But the supply and efficiency of labour are always uncertain.
If the management faces a problem in getting required labour force at
required time or if the workers do not co-operate in the accomplishment
of organisational objectives, the firm cannot be successful.
7. Capital Uncertainty:
8. Environmental Uncertainties:
Environmental factors such as social, economic and political
circumstances in which the firm is operating affect the process of
decision-making of a firm but it is never certain to predict these factors
successfully.
3. Complete Knowledge:
In this a business executive has full knowledge of all the facts related
with a problem but the profitability of alternative results in fully
uncertain. The business executive analyses these facts with the help of
statistical methods and techniques. Decisions are taken with the help of
analytical study of relevant facts.
CH. 2 RISK IDENTIFICATION
Background
Best Practices:
Business risk is the exposure a company faces that could eventually lead
to lower revenue, profits, and financial losses. Companies face business
risks every day, and those risks are part of operating in the segment or
industry that the company resides.
The three types of internal risk factors are human factors, technological
factors, and physical factors.
1. Human-factor Risk
Personnel issues may pose operational challenges. Staff who become ill
or injured and, as a result, are unable to work can decrease production.
Union strikes
Dishonesty by employees
Ineffective management or leadership
Failure on the part of external producers or suppliers
Delinquency or outright failure to pay on the part of clients and
customers
A company may need to hire or replace personnel key to the company's
success. Strikes can force a business to close for the short-term, leading
to a loss in sales and revenue.
2. Technological Risk
Technological risk includes unforeseen changes in the manufacturing,
delivery or distribution of a company's product or service.
3. Physical Risk
Physical risk is the loss of or damage to the assets of a company. A
company can reduce internal risks by hedging the exposure to these
three risk types.
1. Economic Risk
Economic risk includes changes in market conditions. As an example,
an overall economic downturn could lead to a sudden, unexpected loss
of revenue. If a company sells to consumers in the U.S. and consumer
confidence is low due to a recession or rising unemployment, consumer
spending will suffer.
Also, business credit lines issued by banks, are used by companies to tap
into for working capital. However, credit lines are typically variable-rate
products. As interest rates rise in the overall market, so too, do the rates
rise for variable-rate credit products. Rising rates also increase the cost
of business credit cards.
2. Natural Risk
Natural risk factors include natural disasters that affect normal business
operations. An earthquake, for example, may affect the ability of a retail
business to remain open for a number of days or weeks, leading to a
sharp decline in overall sales for the month. It could also cause damage
to the building and merchandise being sold. Companies often have
insurance to help cover some of the financial losses as a result of natural
disasters. However, the insurance funds might not be enough to cover
the loss of revenue due to being shut down or at a reduced capacity.
3. Political Risk
Political risk is comprised of changes in the political environment or
governmental policy that relate to financial affairs. Changes in import
and export laws, tariffs, taxes, and other regulations all may affect a
business negatively.
1) Market Fluctuations
Semiconductor market fluctuations, which are caused by factors such as
economic cycles in each region and shifts in demand of end customers,
affect the Group. Although the Group carefully monitors changes in
market conditions, it is difficult to completely avoid the impact of
market fluctuations due to economic cycles in countries around the
world and changes in the demand for end products. Market downturns,
therefore, could lead to decline in product demand and increase in
production and inventory amounts, as well as lower sales prices.
Consequently, market downturns could reduce the Group’s sales, as well
as lower fab utilization rates, which may in turn result in lower gross
margins, ultimately leading to deterioration in profits.
3) Natural Disasters
Natural disasters such as earthquakes, tsunamis, typhoons, and floods,
accidents such as fires, power outages, and system failures, acts of
terror, infection and other unpredictable factors could adversely affect
the Group’s business operation. In particular, as the Group owns key
facilities and equipment in areas where earthquakes occur at a frequency
higher than the global average, the effects of earthquakes and other
events could damage the Group’s facilities and equipment and force a
halt to manufacturing .
4) Competition
The semiconductor industry is extremely competitive, and the Group is
exposed to fierce competition from competitors around the world in
areas such as product performance, structure, pricing and quality. In
particular, certain of our competitors have pursued acquisitions,
consolidations, and business alliances, etc. in recent years and there is a
possibility that such actions will be taken in the future as well. As a
result, the competitive environment surrounding the Group may further
intensify. To maintain and improve competitiveness, the Group takes
various measures including development of leading- edge technologies,
standardizing design, cost reduction, and consideration of strategic
alliances with third parties or possibility of further acquisitions. In the
event that the Group cannot maintain its competitiveness, the Group’s
market share may decline, which may negatively impact the Group’s
financial results.
5) Implementation of Management
Strategies
The Group is implementing a variety of business strategies and
structural measures, including the development of “The Mid-Term
Growth Strategy” and reforming the organizational structure of the
Group, to strengthen the foundations of its profitability. Implementing
these business strategies and structural measures requires a certain level
of cost and due to changes in economic conditions and the business
environment, factors for which the future is uncertain, as well as
additional unforeseeable factors, it is possible that some of those reforms
may become difficult to carry out and others may not achieve the
originally planned results. Furthermore, additional costs, which are
higher than originally expected, may arise. Thus, these issues may
adversely influence the Group’s performance and financial condition.
6) Business Activities Worldwide
The Group conducts business worldwide, which can be adversely
affected by factors such as barriers to long-term relationships with
potential customers and local enterprises; restrictions on investment and
imports/exports; tariffs; fair trade regulations; political, social, and
economic risks; outbreaks of illness or disease; exchange rate
fluctuations; rising wage levels; and transportation delays. As a result,
the Group may fail to achieve its initial targets regarding business in
overseas markets, which could have a negative impact on the business
growth and performance of the Group.
7) Financing
While the Group has been procuring business funds by methods such as
borrowing from financial institutions and other sources, in the future it
may become necessary to procure additional financing to implement
business and investment plans, expand manufacturing capabilities,
acquire technologies and services, and repay debts. It is possible that the
Group may face limitations on its ability to raise funds due to a variety
of reasons, including the fact that the Group may not be able to acquire
required financing in a timely manner or may face increasing financing
costs due to the worsening business environment in the semiconductor
industry, worsening conditions in the financial and stock markets, and
changes in the lending policies of lenders. In addition, some of the
borrowing contracts executed between the Group and some financial
institutions stipulate articles of financial covenants
9) Product Production
Following risk can be faced by the organization….
A. Production Process Risk
B. Procurement of Raw Materials, Components, and
Production Facilities
C. Risks Associated with Outsourced Production
D. Maintenance of Production Capacity at an Appropriate
Level
Often project managers start with a splash. They get their teams
together, identify lots of risks, and enter them into an Excel spreadsheet.
However, the risks are never discussed again.
What's the result? Risks are not identified and managed. Threats morph
into costly issues. And, the teams miss golden opportunities.
Furthermore, project teams fail to achieve the project objectives.
When to Identify Risks
The risk exposure is greatest at the beginning of projects. The
uncertainty is high because there is less information in the beginning of
projects. Wise project managers start identifying risks early in their
projects. Additionally, capture your top risks in your project charter.
Want to know how to improve your risk identification? Identify risks:
For agile projects, here are some additional times for identifying risks:
Sprint planning
Release planning
Daily standup meetings
Prior to each sprint
Risk financing, basically, helps a business to align the risks it is ready to take with its
ability to pay for those risks. The potential cost of their actions and the possibility of
those actions leading them to reach their goal must be estimated.
Businesses lay down their priorities to verify if they are taking the required risks to
achieve their goals. It is also important to examine if the right kind of risks is taken to
reach these goals, and the cost of taking such risks are accounted for financially.
Financial Risk is one of the major concerns of every business across fields and
geographies. This is the reason behind the Financial Risk Manager FRM Exam
gaining huge recognition among financial experts across the globe. FRM is the top
most credential offered to risk management professionals worldwide. Financial Risk
again is the base concept of FRM Level 1 exam. Before understanding the
techniques to control risk and perform risk management, it is very important to
realize what risk is and what the types of risks are. Let's discuss different types of
risk in this post.
Risk and Types of Risks:
Are you looking forward to making a mark in the Project Management field? If yes,
enroll in the Project Management Fundamental Program now and get a step closer
to your career goal!
Types of Financial Risks:
Financial risk is one of the high-priority risk types for every business. Financial risk is
caused due to market movements and market movements can include a host of
factors. Based on this, financial risk can be classified into various types such as
Market Risk, Credit Risk, Liquidity Risk, Operational Risk, and Legal Risk.
Market Risk:
This type of risk arises due to the movement in prices of financial instrument.
Market risk can be classified as Directional Risk and Non-Directional Risk.
Directional risk is caused due to movement in stock price, interest rates and
more. Non-Directional risk, on the other hand, can be volatility risks.
Credit Risk:
This type of risk arises when one fails to fulfill their obligations towards their
counterparties. Credit risk can be classified into Sovereign Risk and Settlement
Risk. Sovereign risk usually arises due to difficult foreign exchange policies.
Settlement risk, on the other hand, arises when one party makes the payment
while the other party fails to fulfill the obligations.
Liquidity Risk:
This type of risk arises out of an inability to execute transactions. Liquidity risk
can be classified into Asset Liquidity Risk and Funding Liquidity Risk. Asset
Liquidity risk arises either due to insufficient buyers or insufficient sellers against
sell orders and buys orders respectively.
Operational Risk:
Legal Risk:
This type of financial risk arises out of legal constraints such as lawsuits.
Whenever a company needs to face financial losses out of legal proceedings, it is
a legal risk.
Q: what are the financial risk management
strategies for protecting your business
Financial risk management techniques should guard any kind of asset, from your
personal pocket money to the funds of an entire company. Otherwise, the
uncontrolled expenses might get out of hand.
No matter how big a budget may be, there is always a danger of damaging the
financial balance if one doesn’t have a plan. So, let’s take a look at the following
10 financial risk management tips and how you can put them into practice.
Going into a battle without knowing your enemy might be dangerous. You must
know precisely what you are up against so you can choose your weapons
accordingly. Even though the assets you want to protect are personal or they
belong to a company, they are not immune to human error.
This means that you should be honest with yourself for this first step to work. Your
finances might be at risk because you sometimes yield to products that you don’t
need but only desire.
Moreover, you should acknowledge other types of risks as well. These can be
asset-backed, credit, foreign investment, liquidity, market, operational, and model
risks. There can also be external hazards that unfortunately you cannot control or
predict, such as cyber attacks or even theft. Make a list of the sources that drain
your budget and be as candid as possible.
A complicated financial risk management plan should also take the idea of
investments into consideration. However, ignorance can hide behind greediness,
and people are likely to fall for scams that sound too good to be true. Even in the
trading market, people can use a risk management plan to avoid substantial losses
after they’ve registered into a forex practice account.
However, if you take enough time to learn and understand the investment market,
you will come to realize that it leads to robust and fruitful returns. So, you should
start reading reliable investment websites, books, and articles, and get familiar with
all concepts that rule this world.
Nobody wants to think of worst case scenarios, but this is actually an essential
point in a well-structured risk management plan. It is not easy to think of how
many ways your car can suffer damages or how many theft crimes happened in
your neighborhood, but insurances have become a must in our society.
Furthermore, you should also consider a health insurance even though you are in
great shape at the moment. Unfortunately, these can be too expensive for many
people. However, you should do some research and try to sign at least a basic form
of insurance.
Even though you have a fruitful period as far as your finances are concerned,
taking some precautions never hurt anybody. You can determine how much of
your profit should go to a savings account each month. In time, these emergency
funds will prove to be a life-saving solution to some of the financial risks that
you’ll experience.
After the 2008 global recession, people have learned a valuable lesson. You can
have the biggest saving account on the planet, but if your bank has bad financial
ratings, you can end up without a single penny in your pocket. So, you should
include in your risk management plan the liability that comes with entrusting your
funds to a certain bank. If something happens with your bank, you can lose your
finances in the blink of an eye.
The chances are that your income source might suffer a financial crisis. However,
the likelihood of that happening to several sources of income at the same time is
small. One day, geopolitical events might influence a financial fluctuation due to a
decrease in demand. However, if you have several streams of income, your funds
might not go through a significant negative impact.
Financial diversification is one of the most reliable risk management strategies. It
has your back whenever a risk becomes a reality. The adverse side effects can be
equally distributed among your different streams of income to the extent in which
you are unlikely to suffer drastic consequences.
Risk management is at the mercy of many external factors. These are the results of
the volatile rules of the market that influence the risks to change their intensity
accordingly. Consequently, you should also consider global financial events before
completing a major investment.
An effective risk management plan will evaluate liabilities on an ongoing basis, as
things can change from your last assessment. Whether one plans to get a new
house or company, people should take into account the external factors that can put
the investment in jeopardy.
Last but not least, you should be careful when you are in front of documents.
Whenever you have to part with your hard earned dollars, you owe it to yourself to
be wise and read the contracts and papers that regard your purchasing conditions.
This kind of in depth inspection might be time-consuming and even inconvenient.
However, it can save you from a lot of risks that can affect you in the long run.
All in all, these financial risk management tips are all about being wise about your
funds. Money is an exhaustible resource and people should be careful how they
spend their budget
Ch. 4 Risk retention
maximum possible opportunities for traders to buy and sell securities without incurring
additional transaction costs. The concept of market efficiency is closely linked to the efficient
reflect all information that is available. It also adjusts instantaneously to any new information
that may be disclosed. If this theory holds true, then it is impossible for traders to consistently
outperform a market, as the price movements of the assets cannot be predicted correctly.
In a truly efficient market, the prices of securities reflect all relevant information about the
With the disclosure of new information, the efficiency of the market increases, diminishing
true intrinsic value. It only states that market participants cannot predict the future price of an
Weak form
This form of market efficiency theory suggests that current market prices of securities reflect
their previous or historical prices. Thus, it means that market participants who are buying and
selling securities by analysing their historical data should earn normal returns. Hence, any
new price changes in future can only take place if new information becomes publicly
available.
According to this theory, popular investing strategies like technical analysis or momentum
trading will not be able to beat the market on a consistent basis. But, it proposes that there is
Semi-strong form
In a semi-strong variation of an efficient market, the current prices of securities represent all
information that is publicly available. It includes historical information like price, volume and
more. This form of theory assumes that securities make quick adjustments in response to any
newly available information. Thus, traders won’t be able to outperform the market by trading
on such information.
It dismisses both technical and fundamental analysis since any information gathered by using
these techniques will already be available to other investors. Only private information that is
unavailable in the market would be useful for an investor to have the edge over others.
Strong form
This form of market efficiency theory states that market prices of securities reflect public and
private information both. Consequently, investors will not be able to beat the market by
trading on any private information since all such information will already be factored into the
have a notion that the market is inefficient in the first place and cannot be outperformed.
Amusingly, investment strategies that are adopted by various investors to exploit market
Moreover, there are some requirements that must be fulfilled so that the market becomes
All market-related information must be made available to every investor at the same time.
It must be ensured at all times that the transaction costs are lower than the investment
Investors must have sufficient funds to exploit the inefficiencies in the market till the time
they exist.
Q: CAPM Model: Advantages and Disadvantages
CAPM Model: An Overview
The capital asset pricing model (CAPM) is a finance theory that establishes a linear relationship between
the required return on an investment and risk. The model is based on the relationship between an
asset's beta, the risk-free rate (typically the Treasury bill rate) and the equity risk premium, or the
expected return on the market minus the risk-free rate.
E(ri)= Rf + βi(E(rm)−Rf)
where:
E(ri)=return required on financial asset i
Rf=risk-free rate of return
βi=beta value for financial asset i
E(rm)=average return on the capital market
At the heart of the model are its underlying assumptions, which many criticize as being unrealistic and
which might provide the basis for some of its major drawbacks. 1 No model is perfect, but each should
have a few characteristics that make it useful and applicable.
CAPM assumptions
While the assumptions made by the CAPM allow it to focus on the relationship between return and systematic risk,
the idealised world created by the assumptions is not the same as the real world in which investment decisions are
made by companies and individuals.
Real-world capital markets are clearly not perfect, for example. Even though it can be argued that well-developed
stock markets do, in practice, exhibit a high degree of efficiency, there is scope for stock market securities to be
priced incorrectly and so for their returns not to plot onto the SML.
The assumption of a single-period transaction horizon appears reasonable from a real-world perspective, because
even though many investors hold securities for much longer than one year, returns on securities are usually quoted
on an annual basis.
The assumption that investors hold diversified portfolios means that all investors want to hold a portfolio that reflects
the stock market as a whole. Although it is not possible to own the market portfolio itself, it is quite easy and
inexpensive for investors to diversify away specific or unsystematic risk and to construct portfolios that ‘track’ the
stock market. Assuming that investors are concerned only with receiving financial compensation for systematic risk
seems therefore to be quite reasonable.
A more serious problem is that investors cannot in the real world borrow at the risk-free rate (for which the yield on
short-dated government debt is taken as a proxy). The reason for this is that the risk associated with individual
investors is much higher than that associated with the government. This inability to borrow at the risk-free rate means
that in practice the slope of the SML is shallower than in theory.
Overall, it seems reasonable to conclude that while the assumptions of the CAPM represent an idealised world rather
than the real-world, there is a strong possibility, in the real world, of a linear relationship between required return and
systematic risk.
Ease of Use
The CAPM is a simple calculation that can be easily stress-tested to derive a range of possible outcomes
to provide confidence around the required rates of return.
Diversified Portfolio
The assumption that investors hold a diversified portfolio, similar to the market portfolio,
eliminates unsystematic (specific) risk.
Systematic Risk
The CAPM takes into account systematic risk (beta), which is left out of other return models, such as
the dividend discount model (DDM). Systematic or market risk is an important variable because it is
unforeseen and, for that reason, often cannot be completely mitigated.