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C1212 Beer Manufacturing in Australia Industry Report
C1212 Beer Manufacturing in Australia Industry Report
Opening the tab: Easing COVID-19 restrictions for bars and pubs have aided revenue
growth
Contents
Recent Developments......................................................... 3 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE.......................... 24
ABOUT THIS INDUSTRY.................................. 5 Market Share Concentration............................................. 24
Key Success Factors........................................................24
Industry Definition................................................................5 Cost Structure Benchmarks............................................. 25
Major Players...................................................................... 5 Basis of Competition......................................................... 26
Main Activities..................................................................... 5 Barriers to Entry............................................................... 27
Supply Chain....................................................................... 6 Industry Globalization........................................................ 29
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Russia and Ukraine are both significant global producers of wheat and other grains, such as barley, maize and oats.
As a result of the conflict, the gap in global supply has sharply increased demand for Australian- and New Zealand-
grown wheat and coarse grains. Domestic grain growers have benefited from the price increases, as export revenue
from the crop has risen sharply. The UN-brokered grain export deal between Russia and Ukraine has slightly
alleviated this supply gap. However, the region’s instability makes the deal’s long-term success uncertain.
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About IBISWorld
IBISWorld specializes in industry research with coverage on thousands of global industries. Our comprehensive data and in-depth analysis help
businesses of all types gain quick and actionable insights on industries around the world. Busy professionals can spend less time researching
and preparing for meetings, and more time focused on making strategic business decisions that benefit you, your company and your clients. We
offer research on industries in the US, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Germany, the UK, Ireland, China and Mexico, as well as industries that
are truly global in nature.
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Lion
Mid-strength beer
Light beer
Premium beer
Low-carbohydrate beer
Craft beer
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Supply Chain
SIMILAR INDUSTRIES
Wine Production in Australia Spirit Manufacturing in Australia Soft Drink Manufacturing in Fruit Juice Drink Manufacturing in
Australia Australia
Global Beer Manufacturing Breweries in the US Craft Beer Production Beer Production in the UK
Beer Manufacturing in New Beer Production in China Breweries in Canada Beer Production in Ireland
Zealand
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Industry at a Glance
Key Statistics Key External Drivers % = 2017–22 Annual Growth
$878.2m
Profit
Industry Structure
Annual Growth Annual Growth
MIXED IMPACT
Life Cycle Revenue Volatility
17.9% Mature Medium
Profit Margin
Capital Intensity Technology Change
Annual Growth Annual Growth Medium Medium
2017–2022 2017–2022
NEGATIVE IMPACT
-0.6pp Industry Assistance Concentration
Low / Increasing High
Regulation & Policy Industry Globalization
Heavy / Increasing High / Increasing
737
Businesses
10.8% 8.2% Per capita beer consumption has declined over the past five
years
-1.4% 2.6%
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STRENGTHS
WEAKNESSES
OPPORTUNITIES
THREATS
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Executive Summary Opening the tab: Easing COVID-19 restrictions for bars and pubs have
aided revenue growth
Falling per capita alcohol consumption, increasing competition and changing consumer preferences have shaped
the Beer Manufacturing industry's performance over the past five years. The COVID-19 pandemic and related
lockdown measures have also disrupted demand from export markets and hospitality firms, alongside restrictions on
brewers' ability to sell through their own brewpubs. Over the past five years, consumers have increasingly moved
from traditional beers, such as Victoria Bitter, to premium and craft beers. This, combined with rising demand from
downstream liquor retailers, has benefited beer manufacturers. Industry revenue is expected to rise slightly at an
annualised 0.4% over the five years through 2021-22, to $4.9 billion. This includes an anticipated decline by 4.4% in
the current year, due to a sharp fall in demand from liquor retailers. Easing restrictions on licensed establishments
will likely disrupt at-home alcohol consumption trends over 2021-22, hindering production orders from retailers.
Meanwhile, stronger demand from liquor wholesalers and licensed venues will likely limit revenue declines in the
current year.
The industry is highly concentrated. Asahi has significantly expanded its market share through its purchase of
Carlton and United Breweries (CUB) from AB InBev in June 2020. The major players, Asahi and Lion, account for
over 70% of industry revenue in 2021-22. However, the continual entry of craft breweries has constrained growth in
market share concentration over the past five years. Major liquor retailers, Woolworths and Coles, have also
increased their private-label beer offerings over the period, intensifying price competition and putting downward
pressure on industry profitability. Meanwhile, increased demand for higher margin, specialised beers has partially
offset this trend, supporting industry profit margins over the past five years.
The ongoing premiumisation of the beverage market is forecast to boost demand for craft and fruit-infused beer over
the next five years. Growing demand from liquor retailers and rising real household discretionary income are also
projected to boost industry revenue. However, health consciousness is anticipated to continue increasing over the
next five years, contributing to an ongoing decline in per capita alcohol consumption. Industry revenue is projected
to grow at an annualised 2.1% over the five years through 2026-27, to $5.4 billion.
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Industry Performance
Pubs, bars and nightclubs are key buyers of industry products, and sell beer for consumption on-premises.
Increased demand from these businesses generally boosts revenue for the Beer Manufacturing industry. Demand
from pubs, bars and nightclubs is expected to rise sharply in 2021-22, supported by the ongoing easing of
COVID-19 restrictions. This represents an opportunity for the industry to expand.
Trends in per capita alcohol consumption can influence demand for beer. Higher alcohol consumption typically
boosts industry demand, depending on the popularity of other alcoholic beverages such as wine and spirits. Several
factors have contributed to declining per capita alcohol consumption in Australia over the past five years, including
rising health consciousness, tightening of government regulation and campaigns targeting drink driving. Per capita
alcohol consumption is expected to fall slightly in 2021-22, as a rise in health consciousness discourages alcohol
consumption among many consumers. This trend is anticipated to weigh on demand for beer in the current year,
posing a threat to industry revenue.
Trends in household discretionary incomes can influence demand for beer. When income growth is strong,
households tend to increase spending on discretionary items such as alcohol, which usually boosts demand for
industry products. Real household discretionary income is expected to rise in 2021-22, boosting consumer spending
power on industry products.
Purchasing production inputs, such as malt and barley, is a significant cost for beer producers. Rising grain prices
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increase industry purchase costs, which brewers partly offset by passing on cost increases to consumers through
higher prices. However, many operators cannot fully pass on increases in grain costs due to price competition
among operators. As a result, increases in the domestic price of grains tend to negatively affect the industry. The
price of coarse grains is expected to decline in 2021-22, allowing industry operators to expand profit margins.
Industry revenue is expected to rise slightly at an annualised 0.4% over the five years through 2021-22, to $4.9
billion. This includes an expected decline of 4.4% in the current year, due to falling demand from downstream
retailers. Easing COVID-19 restrictions on licensed establishments will likely accelerate the shift away from off-
premises consumption. As a result, a rise in demand from pubs, bars and nightclubs is anticipated to limit falls in
revenue in the current year.
COVID-19
Meanwhile, supply chain constraints have hindered the performance of industry exporters, with export revenue
falling by 16.2% and 33.8% in 2019-20 and 2021-22 respectively. The COVID-19 outbreak and the associated
trading restrictions have negatively affected hospitality firms around the world, weakening global demand for locally
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produced beers. These factors have also caused imports to decline by 15.8% over 2020-21. Meanwhile, rising
demand from pubs, bars and nightclubs, combined with ongoing consumer interest in premium international brands,
will likely increase the total value of imports over 2021-22.
CONSUMER PREFERENCES
As drinkers have become increasingly discerning and more willing to try different brands and styles, the premium
beer segment has grown strongly over the past five years. The largely homogenous nature of traditional beers has
also encouraged consumers to shift towards higher value craft beers. Smaller brewers have emerged to fill niches in
the market, increasing enterprise numbers and employment in the craft beer segment over the period. Craft and
boutique brewers generally focus on European and American styles that were previously underrepresented in the
Australian market, such as pilsner, pale ale, porter, amber ale, dark ale and wheat beer. Exports have increased as
a proportion of industry revenue over the past five years, due to growing demand for Australian craft beers in Asian
markets. However, the COVID-19-related supply chain disruptions and weaker global demand have limited the
positive effects of this trend, with export revenue declining over the three years through 2021-22.
Industry imports have decreased in nominal terms over the past five years, as the depreciation of the Australian
dollar has made imported beers more expensive in the domestic market. Imports have also fallen as a share of
domestic demand over the period, due to the rising popularity of domestically produced craft beers. Despite this, the
number of international beer brands being produced and sold under licence in Australia has grown over the past five
years, partially offsetting declines in the total value of imports. Major player Lion brews Heineken and Kirin locally
under license. Other industry players also have relationships with global breweries. For example, Coopers Brewery
produces and distributes Carlsberg and Sapporo under licence.
DOWNSTREAM SUPERMARKETS
ACQUISITIONS
Many small brewers have entered the market over the past five years, driven by the shift in consumer preferences
towards high-quality products. This has significantly increased industry enterprise numbers over the period. While
craft breweries make-up the majority of enterprises, they only contribute a small proportion of industry production
and revenue. In response to growing demand for craft beer, large industry operators like Lion have increased their
craft beer offerings through acquisitions and investing more in their craft brewing subsidiaries.
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Industry Outlook
Outlook The Beer Manufacturing industry is forecast to grow its revenue over the
next five years.
A projected slight decline in per capita alcohol consumption will likely be offset by growing demand for high-priced
premium and craft beers. Product premiumisation trends are projected to continue, and consequently, the industry's
major players are anticipated to progressively increase their presence in the craft beer segment. Internal and
external competition is projected to increase over the next five years due to growth in enterprise numbers and
supermarkets' private-label beer offerings. In particular, the continued shift in demand away from traditional beers
towards premium alcoholic beverages and non-alcoholic drinks, will likely increase external competition. Overall,
industry revenue is forecast to increase at an annualised 2.1% over the five years through 2026-27, to $5.4 billion.
SUPERMARKETS
Intensifying competition is anticipated to hinder industry profitability growth over the next five years. This trend will
likely intensify as independent retailers, struggling with price competition from Woolworths, Coles and ALDI,
increasingly require discount prices from manufacturers. Increasing membership in buying groups, such as
Independent Brands Australia, will strengthen independent retailers' ability to negotiate better deals. However,
consumer preferences will likely continue shifting towards higher value premium beers, which attract higher prices
and offer larger margins. Additionally, industry firms are anticipated to produce more international brands under
contract in Australia over the period.
COMPETITION
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In December 2019, the ACCC announced its concerns over the takeover of CUB by Asahi, expressing that the
buyout could reduce competition in the cider and beer markets, and raise prices. However, in March 2020, the
ACCC announced its approval, on the condition that Asahi sells its cider brands Strongbow, Bonamys and Little
Green, and its beer brands Stella Artois and Becks. The required divestments of the takeover are projected to
address competition concerns, by giving another business the opportunity to take on a competitive role in the highly
concentrated market. In January 2021, Heineken finalised the acquisition of the cider and beer brands from Asahi.
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Industry Life Cycle The life cycle stage of this industry is Mature
LIFE CYCLE REASONS
Per capita beer consumption is declining, but some segments have grown
Establishment and enterprise numbers have increased significantly
Industry value added growth is underperforming real GDP
The Beer Manufacturing industry is in the mature phase of its life cycle. Industry value added (IVA) is projected to
grow at an annualised 1.3% over the 10 years through 2026-27. This represents an underperformance relative to
the overall economy, with real GDP forecast to grow at an annualised 2.3% over the same period. Increasing IVA,
combined with a rise in industry participation, is indicative of a growing industry. However, this is largely attributable
to growth in the craft beer segment, as numerous small-scale craft breweries are increasingly entering the industry
and introducing new products into the market.
The industry's traditional beer segment is largely stable, with brands such as XXXX, Carlton Draught and Victoria
Bitter continuing their dominance. However, they are increasingly struggling to differentiate themselves from their
competitors, and rely on marketing and promotion, alongside brand reputation to compete. Meanwhile, the craft beer
segment has been expanding strongly, with industry firms continually introducing new innovative products. Craft
brewers regularly highlight the unique brewing methods and creative recipes of their beers, which appeal to variety-
seeking consumers.
The differences in market conditions for traditional beer manufacturers and craft brewers demonstrate that the
industry exhibits characteristics aligning with two life cycle stages. Overall, the industry is considered to be in the
mature stage of the life cycle. Established beer brewers, which are generally involved in the traditional beer
segment, have been rapidly acquiring successful craft breweries and increasing their production to dominate the
craft beer segment.
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Butter and Dairy Product Manufacturing in Australia Flour and Grain Mill Product Manufacturing in Australia
Pubs, Bars and Nightclubs in Australia Metal Drum, Can and Bin Manufacturing in Australia
PREMIUM BEER
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come from international brands, with local producers signing contracts with global brewers to produce and distribute
international brands in Australia. Major industry players produce leading international premium brands locally under
contract. For example, Lion brews Heineken under licence, and Coopers Brewery brews and distributes Carlsberg
and Sapporo in Australia. These contracts have proved profitable for local producers and have increased these
brands' availability in Australia.
CRAFT BEER
The definition of craft beer originally referred to brands that produced less
than 25 million litres per annum.
However, as the industry's larger players have acquired craft brewers, the difference between craft beer and
premium beer is now mostly in terms of how a brand is marketed. As a result, some brewers are moving towards
calling themselves independent brewers rather than craft brewers. Small boutique brewers continue to enter the
craft beer market.
Craft brewers have benefited from the same trends as premium beer producers over the past five years, with
drinkers looking to try new beverages with unique flavours. As a result, this segment has increased as a share of
industry revenue over the past five years. A growing interest in high-quality and locally produced beverages has
supported segment growth. Prominent craft brewers include BentSpoke and Stone & Wood Brewing Co.
MID-STRENGTH BEER
The mid-strength segment includes beer of between 3.0% and 4.0% ABV,
and has expanded as a share of revenue over the past five years.
While sales of full-strength beer have generally declined, mid-strength beer has grown in popularity, with health
awareness and the dangers of excessive alcohol consumption supporting this trend. Great Northern Super Crisp
and XXXX Gold are among the highest selling beers in this segment.
LOW-CARBOHYDRATE BEER
LIGHT BEER
The light beer segment includes beers of between 1.0% and 3.0% ABV.
This segment has declined as a proportion of industry revenue over the past five years, as drinkers have switched
from light beer to mid-strength and low-carbohydrate beers. Light beer has also suffered from the growing popularity
of other alcoholic beverages such as wine and cider, and growth in the variety of non-alcoholic beverages available
in hospitality establishments.
Discretionary income
A rise in real household discretionary income generally increases consumers' expenditure on alcoholic beverages,
such as beer. In contrast, an increase in discretionary income may allow consumers to switch to more expensive
premium and craft beers, rather than increasing the total volume of beer purchased. Rising discretionary incomes
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over the past five years have boosted consumer demand for higher margin beers.
Price
The price of beer relative to substitute alcoholic beverages, such as wine and spirits, is affected by taxation. For
beer and spirits, the excise is indexed to the consumer price index (CPI) twice a year. For wine, the wine
equalisation tax is fixed at 29.0% of the wholesale sales value. As wine prices depend on global demand and supply
conditions, they do not generally increase in line with CPI. Rises in CPI can therefore increase taxation on beer and
spirits relative to taxation on wine. A growing tax differential has contributed to wine becoming less expensive
relative to beer over the past five years, prompting consumers to substitute beer with other drinks.
Rising health consciousness in Australia over the past five years has reduced per capita alcohol consumption. As a
result, beer consumption trends have shifted towards quality over quantity. This has boosted the premium and craft
beers segments as shares of industry revenue, at the expense of traditional full-strength beer. Health consciousness
has also supported demand for mid-strength and low-carbohydrate beer.
Marketing and beverage taste tend to influence consumer preferences, with marketing activities driving demand for
beer. Advertising expenditure by the major players can increase their respective market shares and the market's
total size by promoting overall beer expenditure. Government regulations also affect demand for beer. Regulations
affecting the industry include minimum drinking age laws, trading hour restrictions and penalties for drink-driving.
Marketing efforts by government agencies, such as the state Traffic Accident Commissions, tend to negatively affect
demand for beer. Regulations and marketing have significantly affected the amount and type of alcoholic beverages
consumed over the past decade.
Major Markets
WHOLESALERS
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RETAILERS
OTHER MARKETS
Some specialty bars, clubs and pubs also source beer directly from
manufacturers.
This market is particularly important for smaller craft breweries, which benefit from the exposure and cheaper
transport costs related to keg supply for bars. This segment is one of the fastest growing due to the increasing
number of pubs and bars in Australia.
The other markets segment includes export markets, restaurants and cafes, and online retailers that are serviced by
small independent breweries. These smaller brewers are typically craft brewers that sell their products online or
through mail orders. Other markets have declined as a share of revenue over the past five years, due to the trading
restrictions on hospitality firms and logistical constraints, in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic. The total value
of exports fell sharply by 16.2% and 33.8% in 2019-20 and 2020-21, respectively, with the supply chain disruptions
causing delays in the shipment of beers and weaker global economic conditions weighing on global demand for
domestically produced beer.
The Beer Manufacturing industry is exposed to a moderate level of international trade and has recorded a significant
trade deficit over the past decade. Industry players have minimal incentive to export beers to international markets.
Most local producers lack the scale to compete directly with overseas manufacturers, in terms of operating costs and
brand reputation.
Exports
Exports are expected to account for less than 0.5% of industry revenue in the current year, especially as sporadic
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COVID-19 lockdown restrictions across the world continue disrupting supply chains and overseas transportations.
New Zealand is the largest export destination for domestically produced beer, accounting for 46.7% of industry
exports, primarily due to the geographic proximity of the two countries. This trend is followed by Singapore, the
United Kingdom and China as other key export destinations.
However, firms have little incentive to mass export Australian-produced beers. Most beers produced in large
quantities are owned by large foreign multinational companies that have production and distribution facilities in
multiple countries. Companies like Lion find it cheaper to produce beer in the destination country to reduce
transportation costs, or in countries with lower wage costs than Australia. Exports are anticipated to decline at an
annualised 12.2% over the five years through 2021-22, to $21.5 million. This decline is largely due to the ongoing
logistical constraints and weaker global demand in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Imports
Imports are expected to decline at an annualised 3.5% over the five years through 2021-22, to reach $393.9 million.
The shift in consumer preferences towards high-quality, locally made craft beer has contributed to this trend. Imports
have fallen as a share of domestic demand over the period, to account for an estimated 7.5% in the current year.
Greater consumer interest in craft beers from local brewers has driven contributed to this decline.
Corona is the highest selling imported beer, which is reflected in Mexico accounting for the largest share of beer
imports into Australia. However, in April 2020, production of Corona beer was temporarily suspended in Mexico,
following the initial outbreak of COVID-19. This, combined with global supply chain disruptions, caused shortages of
Corona in the domestic market over 2020-21. The total value of imports also fell by 15.8% during the year, with the
closure of licensed establishments during the lockdown periods hindering demand for imported beer.
Other main importers include New Zealand, Italy and Germany. Many Australian manufacturers have integrated
operations covering multiple distribution channels, which makes it harder for foreign importers to enter the market.
As a result, many foreign breweries have initiated distributional partnerships with local breweries.
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Business
Locations
The geographic spread of the Beer Manufacturing industry correlates closely with the distribution of the Australian population.
Industry operators traditionally establish themselves in metropolitan areas to reduce transport costs between storage and
production facilities, and downstream markets. Hence, breweries are most concentrated in Victoria, New South Wales and
Queensland, accounting for over 70% of industry operators. However, growth in the craft beer segment has contributed to the
industry's geographic dispersal, as craft breweries often operate in regional or rural areas.
Victoria is home to prominent craft breweries including Mountain Goat, Holgate and the Mornington Peninsula Brewery. The
success of craft breweries in Victoria has been aided by Melbourne's growing small bar and pub culture, and steady demand for
quality and variety. Lion, which is based in New South Wales, brews Tooheys, Hahn and James Squire. Craft brewery Stone &
Wood operates from Byron Bay, NSW. Queensland's largest brewery is Lion's XXXX, and craft brewer Balter Brewing Company is
also based on the Gold Coast, QLD. The state's share of craft beer market is expected to grow over the next five years, as the
Queensland Government and regional craft brewers continue implementing the Queensland Craft Brewing Strategy, which was
introduced in November 2018.
Lion's Little Creatures originated in Western Australia, and the state is also home to ASX-listed brewer Gage Roads Brewing
Company. Coopers Brewery Limited, the largest Australian-owned brewery, dominates South Australian brewing. South Australia
includes several successful craft brewers that operate in regions of the state traditionally associated with wine, including Vale
Brewing and Barossa Valley Brewing. These operators have successfully used their region's reputation for producing high-quality
wine, and used existing production and distribution channels. Tasmania is home to the Lion-owned James Boag's and several
craft breweries, including Moo Brew. In September 2018, new craft brewery, Alice Springs Brewing Co, opened the first brewery in
the Northern Territory.
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Competitive Landscape
Market Share
Concentration
The Beer Manufacturing industry is highly concentrated, with the two major players, Asahi and Lion, accounting for
approximately 80% of industry revenue in 2021-22. Market share concentration has increased over the past five
years, following Asahi's acquisition of Carlton & United Breweries (CUB) from AB InBev in June 2020, and Lion's
investment towards expanding in the craft beer segment. Outside of these players, many small-scale, boutique
breweries operate in the industry, primarily serving a niche market or a specific regional area. Changes in
consumers' beer drinking habits have boosted demand for higher margin product segments, allowing small, craft
breweries to enter the market over the past five years. Rising health consciousness has contributed to consumers
preferring quality over quantity in their beer drinking consumption patterns. As a result, the market shares of
premium and craft beer brewers have increased over the period.
Key Success IBISWorld identifies 250 Key Success Factors for a business. The most important for this industry are:
Factors
Market research and understanding:
Due to the industry’s competitive nature, beer producers must be aware of changing consumer tastes and adjust
their products and marketing to meet demand.
Economies of scale:
Beer manufacturers with larger production facilities can achieve lower per-unit costs, which can enable lower pricing,
increased marketing expenditure or capital investment.
Economies of scope:
Firms that manufacture a range of products, including other beverages, can achieve greater cost efficiency in
activities such as distribution, marketing and administration.
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Cost Structure
Benchmarks
Profit
Industry profitability has decreased over the past five years, due to a
fall in beer consumption, stronger competition and price discounting by
liquor retailers. Rising popularity of higher margin, locally produced craft
beer has limited further declines in industry profit margins. Small-scale
breweries have introduced a range of products in the craft beer
segment, including the recent release of kombucha beer blends.
Demand from pubs, bars and nightclubs has fallen over the past five
years, due to the COVID-19 lockdown restrictions. Despite the easing
of restrictions, licensed establishments have struggled with limits on
patron numbers. Meanwhile, greater off-premises beer consumption
during the lockdown periods, has supported industry profitability over
the past three years.
Wages
Wages costs are the second largest expense for the industry and have
declined as a share of revenue over the past five years. The
automation of most production processes among large-scale producers
has reduced the need to hire highly skilled brewers on a full-time basis,
leading to a decline in the industry's average wage over the period.
Meanwhile, a significant number of labour-intensive craft brewers has
entered the industry. Many craft brewery start-ups hand-bottle their
products, with small-scale, affordable bottling machines only coming
onto the market in recent years. This trend has limited falls in wage
costs over the period.
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Purchases
Purchases are the largest cost for industry operators. Beer producers
purchase packaging materials such as glass, aluminium, cardboard and
kegs, and raw materials such as malt, refined sugar, hops and water.
Brewers also purchase preservatives and colourings. Purchases have
risen as a share of industry revenue over the past five years, due to
increases in input prices, mainly coarse grains, and paper products and
paperboard. Many manufacturers have partially passed these cost
increases on to consumers, in an attempt to boost company profit
margins.
Other Costs
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Competition
The Beer Manufacturing industry exhibits a low level of competition, and
this trend has increased over the past five years.
The industry has high barriers to entry, with most of the market controlled by the two major players Asahi and Lion.
The two companies hold substantial power over beer pricing and distribution. However, margins have been under
pressure over the past five years, as Coles and Woolworths have increasingly dominated the retail sector, and the
market shares of craft beer makers have grown. The basis of competition has become less related to price, and
more driven by branding and beer consumption trends.
INTERNAL COMPETITION
Industry operators generally engage in significant marketing and advertising activities, to compete for new
consumers and maintain brand loyalty. The major players have sought to maintain market share through supply
contracts with hotels, limiting the competitiveness of smaller operators. While consumers have traditionally been
loyal to particular beer brands, this has shifted over the past decade as consumers have become more willing to
switch between brands and try new beverages. This trend has benefited imports and craft beer brewers.
EXTERNAL COMPETITION
Barriers to Barriers to Entry in this industry are High and the trend is Decreasing
Entry
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The Beer Manufacturing industry exhibits high barriers to Barriers to Entry Checklist
entry. This is due to several factors, including the
dominance of existing players, the challenges involved in Competition Low
developing effective distribution channels and high initial
capital costs. Establishment numbers have grown Concentration High
significantly over the past five years, indicating a
decreasing level of barriers to entry. However, the
Life Cycle Stage Mature
presence of major players Asahi and Lion makes
successful entry on a large scale difficult. Firms can more
easily enter on a small scale and service a localised area, Technology Change Medium
as demonstrated by the growing number of craft brewers
entering the market. This trend has driven establishment Regulation & Policy Heavy
number growth over the past five years.
Industry Assistance Low
The industry is dominated by two major companies, Asahi
and Lion, which have substantial brand recognition,
effective distribution channels and large marketing
budgets. Both companies also own several craft beer
brands that compete with small industry operators in
niche markets. Major industry players have existing brand
loyalty and control over distribution channels. The
incumbent major brewers in Australia are significantly
diversified (importing and producing other beverages),
which has enhanced their overall distribution capabilities
and market intelligence.
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Due to high transport costs relative to product value, large brewers have subsidiaries brew their beers domestically, or
enter into contracts to have their beer brewed under license or distributed by a partner in a foreign country. As a result,
industry exports are low and imports are moderate. Australian-owned Coopers Brewery has overseas customers in
Europe, the Americas and Asia. Coopers' manufacturing operations are based in South Australia, and it maintains sales
divisions in its international markets. Globalisation in the Beer Manufacturing industry is expected to increase over the
next five years, as multinational beverage giants seek to continue increasing their market shares.
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Major Companies
Asahi Holdings (Australia) Pty Ltd is the local arm of the Japanese multinational beverage company, Asahi Group
Holdings Limited. The company entered the Australian Beer Manufacturing industry in August 2011, when it
purchased Independent Distillers Group, a New Zealand-based producer and wholesaler. Asahi operates in the
industry through its local subsidiary, Asahi Premium Beverages.
The company imports and distributes Asahi Super Dry, and brews Cricketers' Arms beer at its manufacturing
facility in Laverton, Melbourne. However, most of the company's revenue is generated through importing and
distributing Asahi Super Dry. In September 2015, the company pushed further into the growing craft beer market by
acquiring the Mountain Goat brand and brewery. In 2016, the company acquired Peroni and Grolsch from
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (AB InBev).
Asahi has significantly expanded its market share through the acquisition of Carlton & United Breweries (CUB) from
AB InBev in mid-2020. In July 2019, AB InBev announced an agreement to divest its Australian subsidiary, CUB, to
Asahi Group Holdings for $16.0 billion. Despite ACCC's preliminary view that the proposed acquisition could
potentially reduce competition in cider and beer markets, and limit consumer choices, ACCC approved the
acquisition in April 2020, requiring Asahi to divest some of its cider and beer brands. The purchase was finalised in
June 2020. In January 2021, Heineken acquired the five brands Asahi had to divest for the acquisition of CUB,
which were its cider brands Strongbow, Bonamys and Little Green, and the licences for beer brands Stella Artois
and Becks.
Financial performance
Asahi's industry-specific revenue is expected to increase substantially, at an annualised 67.4%, over the five years
through December 2022, to $2.1 billion. This represents a significant outperformance of the overall industry. The
acquisition of craft beer brands and its purchase of CUB has primarily driven the company's revenue growth over
the period. The company's industry-specific profitability has also grown over the past five years, due to greater
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economies of scale.
Lion Pty Ltd is a wholly owned subsidiary of Japan-based Kirin Holdings Company Limited. Lion operates across
Australia and New Zealand, producing and distributing a variety of beverages and food products including beer,
wine, spirits, fruit juice, milk, cheese and soy beverages. The subsidiary was created following Kirin's 2009 takeover
of Lion Nathan National Foods Pty Ltd, an Australasian food and beverage group.
Lion's portfolio of beer brands includes XXXX, Tooheys, Iron Jack, Furphy, Hahn, James Boag's, Emu and West End
Draught. The company also has licensing rights in Australia for a range of international beers, including Heineken,
Kirin, Guinness, Birra Moretti and Kilkenny. As part of the partnership between Lion and Heineken, Lion provides the
local brewing, marketing and distribution for Heineken in Australia.
Lion also owns craft beer brands such as the Little Creatures and White Rabbit, and cider brands Little Creatures
Pipsqueak and 5 Seeds. The company operates two Little Creatures breweries, in Geelong, VIC, and Fremantle, WA.
The Geelong brewery was built to supply east-coast markets and reduce transport costs. In early 2015, the
company consolidated its Victorian brewing operations by moving White Rabbit brand brewery from Healesville,
VIC, to Geelong, VIC. In June 2016, the company acquired Byron Bay Brewery Pty Limited for $3.0 million, and
entered into a partnership with the Imperial Hotel in Eumundi, QLD, in July, reopening the Eumundi microbrewery.
Financial performance
Lion Pty Ltd's industry-specific revenue is expected to decline at an annualised 3.4% over the five years through
December 2022, to $1.50 billion. This represents an underperformance of the overall industry over the same
period. AB InBev's acquisition of SAB Beverage in October 2016 caused Lion to lose several contracts, which
negatively affected revenue and contributed to Lion's underperformance of the industry over the period.
Additionally, the acquisition of Carlton & United Breweries by Asahi in June 2020 has placed further competitive
pressures on the company. These factors have also caused the company's profit margins to decline over the
period. Meanwhile, the company has had some positive signs over the past five years. Lion has successfully grown
its mid-strength XXXX Gold brand, and its Iron Jack and Furphy brands.
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Other Companies While two major brewers dominate the industry, several small boutique and craft breweries also operate across the
country. According to the ABS, approximately 90% of industry operators employed fewer than 20 staff in 2019-20
(latest available data), and over 85% of total firms generated less than $2.0 million in annual revenue. This
suggests that the industry is fragmented.
Most small industry operations are coupled with a licensed establishment where beer is sold on tap, while bottled
beer is sold either directly from the brewery or online. Many of these craft beers are also sold through retail outlets.
However, smaller players' distribution of beers from such craft brewers is limited due to high transportation costs
and low brand recognition.
Coopers exports to more than 26 countries and continues to specialise in home-brew and craft beers. Coopers is
also a large-scale producer of malt extract, which is used in brewing, baking, confectionery, breakfast cereal, malt
beverages, dairy products and condiments. The company mainly exports its malt-extract products to the Asia-
Pacific region. Coopers is also the dominant player in the Australian home-brew market, providing ingredients and
equipment such as malt extract and fermenting vessels to consumers wishing to brew their own beer at home.
Revenue generated from these activities is not included in the industry.
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In August 2016, Gage Roads announced a refocus on the growing craft beer segment, raising capital to buy back
Woolworths' 25.0% stake in the company. The buyback was completed in October 2016, and is expected to allow
for greater production of high-margin craft beers and reduce the company's reliance on revenue from contract
brewing activities. In September 2017, Gage Roads became the exclusive supplier of beer and cider to the new
60,000-seat Optus Stadium in Perth. In September 2018, the company completed the acquisition of WA-based
brewery, Matso's Broome Brewing Pty Ltd, for $13.25 million. In February 2021, the company announced the
extension of the Optus Stadium contract by additional five years.
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Operating Conditions
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Very High Rate of Entry Very Likely Annualized growth in the number of
enterprises in the industry, ranked against all
other industries. A greater intensity of
companies entering an industry increases the
pool of potential disruptors.
Very Low Market Very A ranked measure of the largest core market
Concentration Unlikely for the industry. Concentrated core markets
present a low-end market or new market entry
point for disruptive technologies to capture
market share.
Low levels of innovation limit the threat to incumbent operators from new technologies disrupting their operations. However,
a low rate of growth in technology can also create exposure for incumbents as the trajectory of innovation in other markets
could lead to unforeseen competitive disadvantages.
Additionally, this industry's structure makes it difficult for new operators to enter and succeed. These barriers have the
potential to disincentivize potential disruptors. Despite these barriers, the industry is experiencing a rapid growth in the
number of companies. A difficult operating environment for new entrants combined with a large cohort of them may create a
situation where these companies may take on a disruptive trajectory in non-traditional markets.
Major market segments for industry operators are relatively diversified. The spread of market segments suggests that there
are limited entry points other than those already served my incumbent operators.
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smaller players, which has helped them better compete with larger industry players. Past developments in brewing
technology include modifications in the nature and amount of raw material inputs, such as pre-gelatinised rice, hydrolysed
starch syrup, unmalted barley and hop extracts. Other developments have included new techniques and equipment, such
as high-gravity brewing, larger fermenters, unitank fermentation and storage tanks, and centrifuges, which increase
efficiency and conserve energy.
Craft brewers have historically focused on bottled products, but have increasingly introduced canning lines that
automatically package beer. Transporting canned products tends to be more cost-effective, and cans provide greater
protection against light and oxygen damage. Both of these benefits have allowed craft brewers to more effectively enter
export markets. Canning trends will likely increase capital intensity over the next five years.
The Federal Government's R&D Tax Incentive, which provides up to a 43.5% refundable tax offset for eligible R&D
activities, helps drive industry innovation. Craft brewers benefit from the incentive, and can undertake research in areas
such as improving fermentation methods, managing starch levels and custom designing storage. Manufacturers have also
been innovating production processes to reduce energy consumption.
Regulation & The level of regulation is Heavy and the trend is Increasing
Policy
Similarly to many other food and beverage industries, particularly alcohol-
related industries, the Beer Manufacturing industry is affected by heavy
regulation.
This trend has increased over the past five years. Federal laws govern most of the legislation relating to beer
manufacturing, with individual states governing related policies such as drink-driving regulations.
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The Australian New Zealand Food Standard 2.7.2 covers beer standards,
defining the product and additional foods that can be added to beer.
Other food standards apply to additives and processing aids that can be used in beer manufacturing. Labelling for beer and
other alcoholic products is covered by food standard 2.7.1. This covers the definition of standard drinks, and the way in
which the number of standard drinks and alcohol content should be stipulated on the packaging. FSANZ also develops
standards for food and beverage safety, maximum residue limits, primary production and processing. It also undertakes a
range of other functions, including coordinating national food surveillance and recall systems, conducting research and
assessing policies about imported food and beverages. In October 2018, the Australian and New Zealand governments
announced that warning labels highlighting the risk of alcohol for pregnant women would be made mandatory on all alcohol
products. These will be developed by FSANZ. Several industry players have voluntarily included these labels on their
products since 2011.
EXCISE COMPLIANCE
OTHER REGULATIONS
In November 2018, the Federal Government passed the Modern Slavery Act
2018.
The act, which came into force on 1 January 2019, is a new reporting requirement for larger Australian businesses.
Companies that generate annual consolidated revenue of at least $100.0 million have to report on how they act to mitigate
the risks of modern slavery in their operations and supply chains. The NSW Government has also been considering its own
state-based version of the report, which would require businesses with consolidated annual revenue of at least $50.0
million to report. The NSW Modern Slavery Act 2018 was due to come into force on 1 July 2019, but was delayed for further
consultation on the day it was set to be implemented. The NSW Government has been attempting to introduce necessary
amendments to the NSW Act to establish greater harmonisation with the Commonwealth's Modern Slavery Act 2018. The
NSW Act commenced on 1 January 2022.
The act is expected to have a moderate effect on the Beer Manufacturing industry. In particular, this regulation will likely
affect the two major players and some of the large-scale industry operators, which report annual consolidated revenue of at
least $100.0 million. Additionally, the treatment of labour in upstream industries is relevant to beer manufacturers,
specifically those importing industry products from overseas operations.
Industry The level of industry assistance is Low and the trend is Increasing
Assistance
The Beer Manufacturing industry receives a low level of industry assistance,
and this trend has increased over the past five years.
Tariffs on beer are levied at a rate equivalent to excise, which is charged on domestically produced beers. This largely
equalises the tax treatment of imported and domestically produced beers, and puts imports on an equal price level with
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domestically produced beers. The highest rate of excise (and therefore tariff) applicable to beers is $52.49 per litre of
alcohol by volume for beers exceeding 3% by volume of alcohol.
The Federal Government encourages production of low-alcohol beer products by providing a tax-free threshold. The first
1.15% of alcohol content is not taxed under the excise tax regime. This drastically reduces excise tax liability for low-
strength beers. As of August 2021, a full-strength beer sold in a keg of 48 litres or more can be taxed as much as $52.49
per litre of alcohol. A keg of 48 litres or more of low-strength beer (alcohol content below 3%) may be taxed as little as
$9.01 per litre of alcohol.
The Federal Government provides some assistance to the industry through tax rebates. Small craft breweries make up the
majority of industry enterprises. These breweries initially received a 60.0% rebate on excise tax paid, up to an annual cap
of $100,000. This was revised in July 2021, where eligible brewers and distillers have since been able to apply for a full
remission of any excise they pay, up to an annual cap of $350,000. Under the 2021-22 Budget, small brewers and distillers
will also benefit from $225.0 million in tax relief, which will support more jobs and investment in the industry. In addition, the
Federal Government provides an R&D tax incentive, which provides industry operators with up to a 43.5% refundable tax
offset for eligible R&D activities. Industry operators can use the incentive to undertake research in areas including
improving fermentation methods and making custom-designed storage.
Industry firms may also receive assistance from state governments. This includes grants and changes to industry
regulation, typically provided to or aimed at small or independent breweries as a means of supporting employment growth.
For example, in February 2018, Pirate Life Brewing received a $2.0 million grant from the SA Government to redevelop its
brewery and bar in Port Adelaide. The brewery redevelopment is expected to create 80 new jobs. In November 2018, the
Queensland Government announced several proposals designed to assist craft brewers. These include changes to the
licensing system for artisanal breweries and brewpubs, along with funding for research and changes to the TAFE system.
In the run-up to the NSW Government election in March 2019, the Coalition Government announced its intention to support
craft brewers through its wider food and beverage manufacturing support plan.
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Key Statistics
Industry Data
Revenue IVA Establishments Enterprises Employment Exports Imports Wages Domestic
Year ($m) ($m) (Units) (Units) (Units) ($m) ($m) ($m) Demand ($m)
2012-13 5,528 1,382 206 189 3,889 24.7 314 388 5,818
2013-14 5,512 1,604 276 224 3,840 25.9 403 409 5,889
2014-15 5,435 1,680 317 294 4,389 26.9 432 509 5,840
2015-16 5,303 1,803 401 371 4,937 35.4 494 610 5,762
2016-17 4,816 1,662 468 441 5,391 41.1 472 615 5,247
2017-18 4,941 1,695 547 503 5,392 42.1 442 605 5,341
2018-19 5,162 1,781 629 560 6,045 40.2 451 597 5,572
2019-20 4,942 1,819 723 601 5,393 33.7 459 558 5,368
2020-21 5,134 1,689 794 696 5,961 22.3 387 607 5,498
2021-22 4,906 1,639 856 737 6,010 21.5 394 573 5,279
2022-23 5,109 1,707 963 816 6,269 23.4 405 590 5,491
2023-24 5,144 1,790 1,041 871 6,369 26.0 407 602 5,525
2024-25 5,292 1,868 1,127 954 6,474 27.0 415 621 5,680
2025-26 5,358 1,907 1,217 1,022 6,582 27.7 415 638 5,745
2026-27 5,449 1,896 1,311 1,094 6,684 28.5 426 650 5,847
Annual Change
Revenue IVA Establishments Enterprises Employment Exports Imports Wages Domestic
Year (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) Demand (%)
2012-13 12.2 23.0 -12.7 -9.57 -6.56 -0.81 27.8 -2.86 13.0
2013-14 -0.30 16.1 34.0 18.5 -1.26 4.85 28.1 5.51 1.22
2014-15 -1.40 4.70 14.9 31.3 14.3 3.86 7.20 24.4 -0.83
2015-16 -2.44 7.35 26.5 26.2 12.5 31.6 14.5 19.7 -1.33
2016-17 -9.19 -7.85 16.7 18.9 9.19 16.1 -4.56 0.95 -8.94
2017-18 2.58 1.99 16.9 14.1 0.01 2.43 -6.28 -1.66 1.79
2018-19 4.47 5.08 15.0 11.3 12.1 -4.52 1.94 -1.36 4.33
2019-20 -4.26 2.13 14.9 7.32 -10.8 -16.2 1.90 -6.51 -3.67
2020-21 3.87 -7.14 9.82 15.8 10.5 -33.8 -15.8 8.79 2.43
2021-22 -4.43 -2.98 7.80 5.89 0.82 -3.59 1.83 -5.69 -3.99
2022-23 4.13 4.13 12.5 10.7 4.30 8.83 2.89 3.00 4.03
2023-24 0.68 4.89 8.09 6.74 1.59 11.1 0.37 1.98 0.61
2024-25 2.87 4.35 8.26 9.52 1.64 3.84 1.94 3.25 2.81
2025-26 1.23 2.10 7.98 7.12 1.66 2.59 0.07 2.62 1.15
2026-27 1.70 -0.59 7.72 7.04 1.54 2.88 2.69 1.96 1.77
Key Ratios
Imports/ Exports/ Revenue per Wages/ Employees per
IVA/Revenue Demand Revenue Employee Revenue estab.
Year (%) (%) (%) ($'000) (%) (Units) Average Wage ($)
2012-13 25.0 5.40 0.45 1,422 7.02 18.9 99,743
2013-14 29.1 6.84 0.47 1,435 7.43 13.9 106,589
2014-15 30.9 7.39 0.49 1,238 9.37 13.8 116,017
2015-16 34.0 8.58 0.67 1,074 11.5 12.3 123,456
2016-17 34.5 8.99 0.85 893 12.8 11.5 114,135
2017-18 34.3 8.28 0.85 916 12.2 9.86 112,222
2018-19 34.5 8.09 0.78 854 11.6 9.61 98,743
2019-20 36.8 8.56 0.68 916 11.3 7.46 103,486
2020-21 32.9 7.04 0.43 861 11.8 7.51 101,862
2021-22 33.4 7.46 0.44 816 11.7 7.02 95,291
2022-23 33.4 7.38 0.46 815 11.5 6.51 94,098
2023-24 34.8 7.36 0.51 808 11.7 6.12 94,458
2024-25 35.3 7.30 0.51 817 11.7 5.74 95,953
2025-26 35.6 7.22 0.52 814 11.9 5.41 96,855
2026-27 34.8 7.29 0.52 815 11.9 5.10 97,247
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Additional Resources
Additional Independent Brewers Association
Resources http://www.iba.org.au
HOPS
A plant extract from the flower of the hop vine used to impart flavour and bitterness to beer. It is also a natural
preservative.
KEG
A container commonly used to store, transport and serve beer. Keg sizes vary and therefore cannot be used as a
standard unit of measurement.
PREMIUMISATION
The shift in consumer preference towards more expensive premium and craft beers.
PRIVATE-LABEL BEER
Beer produced on contract for an entity that does not itself manufacture beer. This beer is labelled under a brand
owned by the entity.
CAPITAL INTENSITY
Compares the amount of money spent on capital (plant, machinery and equipment) with that spent on labour.
IBISWorld uses the ratio of depreciation to wages as a proxy for capital intensity. High capital intensity is more than
$0.333 of capital to $1 of labour; medium is $0.125 to $0.333 of capital to $1 of labour; low is less than $0.125 of
capital for every $1 of labour.
CONSTANT PRICES
The dollar figures in the Key Statistics table, including forecasts, are adjusted for inflation using the current year (i.e.
year published) as the base year. This removes the impact of changes in the purchasing power of the dollar, leaving
only the 'real' growth or decline in industry metrics. The inflation adjustments in IBISWorld’s reports are made using
the Australian Bureau of Statistics' implicit GDP price deflator.
DOMESTIC DEMAND
Spending on industry goods and services within Australia, regardless of their country of origin. It is derived by
adding imports to industry revenue, and then subtracting exports.
EMPLOYMENT
The number of permanent, part-time, temporary and casual employees, working proprietors, partners, managers
and executives within the industry.
ENTERPRISE
A division that is separately managed and keeps management accounts. Each enterprise consists of one or more
establishments that are under common ownership or control.
ESTABLISHMENT
The smallest type of accounting unit within an enterprise, an establishment is a single physical location where
business is conducted or where services or industrial operations are performed. Multiple establishments under
common control make up an enterprise.
EXPORTS
Total value of industry goods and services sold by Australian companies to customers abroad.
IMPORTS
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Total value of industry goods and services brought in from foreign countries to be sold in Australia.
INDUSTRY CONCENTRATION
An indicator of the dominance of the top four players in an industry. Concentration is considered high if the top
players account for more than 70% of industry revenue. Medium is 40% to 70% of industry revenue. Low is less
than 40%.
INDUSTRY REVENUE
The total sales of industry goods and services (exclusive of excise and sales tax); subsidies on production; all other
operating income from outside the firm (such as commission income, repair and service income, and rent, leasing
and hiring income); and capital work done by rental or lease. Receipts from interest royalties, dividends and the sale
of fixed tangible assets are excluded.
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
The level of international trade is determined by ratios of exports to revenue and imports to domestic demand. For
exports/revenue: low is less than 5%; medium is 5% to 20%; and high is more than 20%. Imports/domestic demand:
low is less than 5%; medium is 5% to 35%; and high is more than 35%.
LIFE CYCLE
All industries go through periods of growth, maturity and decline. IBISWorld determines an industry's life cycle by
considering its growth rate (measured by IVA) compared with GDP; the growth rate of the number of establishments;
the amount of change the industry's products are undergoing; the rate of technological change; and the level of
customer acceptance of industry products and services.
NONEMPLOYING ESTABLISHMENT
Businesses with no paid employment or payroll, also known as nonemployers. These are mostly set up by self-
employed individuals.
PROFIT
IBISWorld uses earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) as an indicator of a company’s profitability. It is calculated as
revenue minus expenses, excluding interest and tax.
VOLATILITY
The level of volatility is determined by averaging the absolute change in revenue in each of the past five years.
Volatility levels: very high is more than ±20%; high volatility is ±10% to ±20%; moderate volatility is ±3% to ±10%;
and low volatility is less than ±3%.
WAGES
The gross total wages and salaries of all employees in the industry.
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Manufacturers need to be prepared for ongoing declines in per capita alcohol consumption. Firms may benefit from
developing new products to target health-conscious consumers.
The price of inputs, such as sugar and coarse grains, can fluctuate. Manufacturers with supply agreements in place
can better control costs.
Effective inventory management systems can improve efficiency and decrease waste.
Technology
How have you reduced your company's labour requirements through automation?
Firms can reduce wage costs and improve margins by automating production, bottling and packaging.
Customer orders can be streamlined online, making the process smoother for customers and less labour-intensive
for manufacturers.
Compliance
How do you ensure that your firm meets alcohol labelling requirements?
Manufacturers are required to meet labelling standards, which cover issues such as alcohol by volume (ABV) and
the number of standard drinks.
What trade associations or interest groups does your company work with?
Industry bodies provide a range of support and advocacy services for beer manufacturers.
Finance
Beer manufacturers with a reputation for high-quality products can charge a premium and generate higher margins.
Industry firms that can reduce operating expenses are better positioned to protect profit margins.
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Beer Manufacturing in Australia February 2022
Declining per capita alcohol consumption is negatively affecting revenue. However, companies can offer higher
margin premium or craft beers to offset this trend.
A rise in the price of grains, particularly barley, can increase purchase costs for industry participants. A firm's
profitability depends on its ability to pass higher purchase costs to consumers.
Pubs, bars and nightclubs are key buyers of industry products, selling beer for consumption on-premises. Increased
demand generally boosts industry revenue.
Beer producers must be aware of changing consumer tastes, and adjust their product mix and marketing to meet
demand.
Firms that have a high proportion of popular premium beer brands in their portfolio can achieve higher growth rates
due to developing consumer tastes.
Firms with large-scale operations and economies of scale can benefit from reduced per-unit production costs,
boosting profit margins.
IBISWORLD.COM 43
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