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    PTSP _ Unit 1_ Probability

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    4 views46 pages

    PTSP - Unit 1 - Probability

    Uploaded by

    Shashank Rocks

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF or read online from Scribd
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    of 46
    > EE Sl UNIT- 7: Imesocduction '~ RAS get:— A collect wr wa Oe wel] destined led ae 1s cou Qa Set. The ob a Yeces COMPMSEINg the See Called elements. Be Af A Is & Set then ‘a 1S an element belonging to the set- EY vs Set oF all volews ) emglish alphaber 7 faet, o,uy. Noll Se& Or ewnpry set '— Je is tne unique ajwt,eés_—_—~ Oe te a nad 1s Ser Com tarning Mo elemenrs: FTE denoted bY b oF 24 £4 PHEN :ao4 amd (cy) = 74, $455, | ye Fob aMy O - ; ero precludes (Prevents) the happenng o thers: Le, \A two of Muse evenis atl | el happer sirevicanedusly in the Same wal" | event E68, .-. ove moutvallly ereclusive iF Ben& = i foe thy: egy am crowing a de, all the 6 faces | Aenbered! |b 6 are emotually escclusire. we amy ome of these Faces tonnes gynce of other rv) the same: uP, we possuoileree thal te wWled ovr: ey when AB, GD Wwe ieee Fim any | examina! eon, mhe Evenry A P%seing In ine erCorminacien” does moe prevent the eventS OF B Cor Db Passing in the eocarn. Hence these eventS ave mor mobvally ene close. Aste of events are Said to be equally ely 1a MB Ene OF them 18 ecepeated 12 Occuw In pretevrence to othevs IN omy Single troul Of the wsandom exp 3m eoszing oF am umblased oF uniform “On, heads Os tals ave equally LUkely. Cllecvely exchquative enents!— ee Mist oF events AjpAp - AL are Said +0 Mlecevely eschavetive IF UAte S- tel ne NAdeot events:_ Independenc cli depe ya = ae Two events awe Sad to INdEPENdeNn, te | UD CCUTE NCO 4 the occurence oF Nom Oi | Othey event. Othe Hy = : ETHIE ee are Calle dependent events. £7 Jn tossing an Unbiased COIN, tre eve, : oF Betting heads InN the first toes be 'Ndependent wF getting heads in the Second, thisal and Subsequent throw, : | we i BO COTEQIN event - SA Ng Ampossibie e : ST = e >An event wre 7) IMP oe RsibIe Ser Mpegs ile event - ai Gerang eno A ein P ever happens 1s caved event ° ALle ina toss & IS any IMPo Esible event } nietlons OF pevbabtliy eco qnere arre Sevewal defimitiuns available yumderseana pevkabily - y classical [Mathematical[a priori pavhability y srabisttcal! | Ben pencal | potrenaced probabil classic! Props hy ap a0 event E can happen “Mm Ways pur 0 possible “1 eschaustive, amveually reclusive 2 equally likely ways, Ehen Probability of event E, denoted ey PLE) u defined 2% Pled= Pe ™M = NO! OF fovoutable evenlg es) NO. oF exhaustive events Lmltanons oF tne Clasaycal dean too oF Probability? — | The defimitiom foils when (DTthe ovewmes one Mot equally Likely & the probability thar a Candidate ual} Page IN QD exam 1g mot 5OY . SIN te ewo poseible outcomes (6ucess ox fai! ) ove mot equally Ukely. (8) no : of ovurcomes %S we ~~ Oe sratiseical paobablltly ?— oe ee i te a teal IS prepeatea MO: OF Cinrmeg Cx | umder eggenttal hem vgeneovs md Lelent| we com dy eivn S, men the 10: of umes the event 1 of trails, aa limieing value op | \ patio of to Me +0ra) DO happens tne no; ob pols be comes Inderinety lange, 6 called me peploab lg oF happening of me event: Symmpoltcally 2 In'm baile happens ' ermes, then the probability 'P of the happening ee ae 7 P= Pe): de Neg GP) Limivabiuns, of a -attsoicol SSeS vor ee an event & protbabiuty le guint eats, this defimitton fells when CD Limit does NE encigrs Ce) te mere Umiqve ae 1°. : OF am event ‘Kaleo Tre probarttly ly PCA) tg Bo choosen ag t0 goxtsy the following wrree aciom™s. W Pow omy event A of S, © = PLA) 1 a C—O ) pls) =l- The | (tt the Sample space ‘Ss, lesele ie a evene Od SINCE IE IS the event cempasing all Possible — ovtcommes, fH ghovid have tne highest possible probability te, ome. ti) Fee any two mucvally edeclusive event 7eB 10S (Au) = PCA) TPR) poobabuuly of the event equal baion Of amy Mo: OF moutvallly to the su™m Le, Ene tp tne epeclu sive events ib equal oe me Imdawidual event probabiltttés - epndinomal Probably i eS a eccpesime NES A2ZB with evetomes PAvypAg -- 7’ An 4 & 8,2, 8,4 wespectvely, Gormerimnes the poobablg oe occusence Of aN) event Be renay weloctd considering wo depend om the occusence oF Oa event Ay. bane, aASguMe that a bolt contains, Five gue eolour PENS Zone ged colours Pen. pet 0S take a Per from the bor: Then, wethovir replacing tne Prost Pen, ie we take amotres pen, WE probalatl OF getting a vec Pen " the gecomd ~ clepencis om mE ovieame OF Ne (Ss mo mee il — St tne feselt, there Foy 19S % wed per) In tre bert: Thus, we Nave % | mn CLOW) Eitvariom Ih which me Ov © ory Geeond encperiment 1S conditional 4 mvttome oF tne Arse EXPEDIMENL, | Defimiton!— 16 ALB ave any two even, then the psobabilly OF be happen, | ote tre event B gwen AE A hos alreay happened [3 denoted by P(BlA) & & detined as P (la) * PCAN) |» w pra) #0 PCA) Sintlosly , Pp (Alp) = PCANB) |p P( 8) +0 P(B) a Fe PB) 20 | P(AIB) 16 mot defined £ af PLA) = 0, P(BIA) 1s mot clefined PRIA) = Pp (Ble) - PCAn) = PCA) PC Ada) P(3 |, 0A2) PAN aynag. - -4,,) | A eee casa feorn & pack Of comds 2 wseplace ib before Fis ene) cas d- The Second draw ts the fiast one. TF We the fist Casa before even p lf NAg - 4 gecond imdepence ne OF don't peplace ine gerrnd draw whe sewnd drow depends YPr® the frost draw + de ae are widepencen’ even& men » Ak B awe alse Independent events 2 ALR ore also independent events ae ALB ave independent events, then aig pl ave also independent - independen= #4 ABS are anutwally ce are also Undependert events then AVS & or) evenrs wa fJe ABLE are sand ave Pouswlse Sarnpie SPACE ama we 78,6 mdependen™ 2 A Is independene of (BUC) then &, B®&c ave independent: PCANR) < pen) < P(AuR)< P anvevallly (A) + PCB) _ Ss Impostant foemvlae )— SS come p (Ale) = eae PCe) P (Bla) = POAN®) PCA) Plans) = PCA) - PCAN) Plalng) = CCB) - P(ANB) P(Ale) = plane) Pis') P(8/a!) = Plane PCA'D Blog = P[cavey | = 1- PGavB) Theovero of total probabilitg :— Sree PO ae i ti ee) Given that | wnvwally eseclugive ever Br, f=1,2--" whose umivm equals %% Sormple Space §.0M tne garne sample Space, the prrbabilily oF omy event a) PLA) com be umbten in terms of. cendior Perbabilittes: Le Pay. 2 = P Ale?) -Pe;) Cw CC EEES'Q7qn er By Boy Bey COMStIEUTE A partition of > Sample Space ‘s’ with PIANO by fee os 1. Then for omy event A OF S, 1) P(A) = Z PLANER) - 2 Poy fa ( ‘J P(Aler). 'g theovem: — gaye's Heaven) Suppose Bi, Bo, ~ ~~ B® ave arnucually exclisre eyentS of a Somnple Space S with PCA)+0, dos (=1)2-° YN. Fur omy Orb EAM event Ain S with PAO P(Bi/a) = PAla) PbO 7" es P(AlBi) PLBD et bw lee ue consider 81)Bp---E %F eravwallly that exclusive & eschavstive events auch A OCCUIS aa e S. Leb the event B+ Bo+ : +Bay ul comyuncHt0™) with only ome OF a events BB, Bn HH PD PB), (By) - ~~ - PBn) ga Palen), PC ve PlAlB,) are Known . remiay = Pte PME 2 Ploy PCED) b+) i¢ also KMoeunD \ ¥ Bay's theorem ASR fosmavia fos tne peobabili(Y OF ‘cay, ‘ te poobabilily oF & Pare culm Ceause) Be given that evene “4 has happeney Calready) " (a » * P(Bp) ts “a potort peobabl lity Kou even before the excpesimene- * P(Aler), f= L2.-.1 ave Ifkelfhoode ang + P(BT/A), f=h2-.. ane ‘postepnos Pao babtlity’ derewmined alter tre real OF tne eocpemiment - Problems ee 1) wo casds ane dtaun at wandom fsosn a well Shufflec pac wf 52 catds: Show thar tne Chance of dvawing two aces ) | fe 321 | pced= ‘te . | | a. 221 Fron a pack of 52 cascs, thee are | » grown ar wandom- Find tne chance that J ney orre & King, & Queen 2a kKnave. | PLE) = 40, 4¢ Ae, - tb 52, S525 3 2) fous casdg ore drawn dom a pack of Cass: Find we prrolablltcy thar (WD alt awe dtarmonds Cit) thefe ts ome canvd of each svlt (itr) theve ore —wo gpades & Lwo heals. (1) PCE) = Bey Ble, (i) pte). IBe, « Bey ey“ eI Fc, Ci) PCE) = 12q, Ba Eo ~<_— Cy ) what ts the chance oF getting 7 oe IN a trow of 2 dIce> ) Lee a be evens of getting 5 2 $18) (oy!) (5) C52) B 4H DY ~ NCA) = & B be event OF getting 1! . fc) (6,5) 4 “ N(B) = 2 z nS) Be 4 P(B)- mp) . 2 | . Pla = MAD 2 & 2 oe 1g Vs) PCALB) = PCA) + PCB) ee @ ai g *) 4 bag cmtams 5 wed balls, @ blue 4 tl white balls: Three baila are dew bogecnes keorn te loag - Find the poobabi ‘tnac Q) ome Is wed, ome ts blue & ere ig wht Ut) two whtlee 2 one sod | Git) Three uwhtle o\' ' S NO: of exhavetive caceg 224, = 2024 ae cy No: OF POSSible Cages = Bey: Go, | ©, | =4 | PCE) = 4400 5c 40 2D24 253 | OD NO: SF posible Casas = lI, 6, ~ PCEg). DIS | oe 2024 Tey tid No: OF possible cases = Ne, Bai eae (is 2024 \ey- s)when we BIl aA Pars of balanced dice, what are tne Esobalilittes of getting 9,3 06 129 , Event oF getting 2 = Fc, Dy =) PCE) =_*® 36 Fa: Event of getting 3 - FCy2), G1 =) PCR) => 26 B+ Ewent of getting I= Sea 4 Pk) =, BS PCE) VEguegy= PLEN+ PLE) + PS) = b+ 245 Be 34 Bb Maf- (| 1 | Y Dan vyn eomrans 2 balls, two a Which owe xed, tree LIVE oma an 4 % black: Three bale Ave drawn fy hy Lyn at tandom, thatk '& every bay » an equal chance of being INdlodeg the tree what ts the Probability th, Ct) three ballg acre OF ditferxent co} " v Ue Ulin two balls arre of the Some 20 lou, Oma mrsd Of AtefeveNnt - (it) the balla ave of tne Same eping, (PD ctit) ©) Wee Frown PCE) 2 2x, Be, te, lp am S PLE) = Gey Bl at Sey: Fey t Tey 2% egy - 55 By PCe)= Bt 4a os Ac an UghtE bulbs ane choosen ext: 008" 12 bulbs OF Which 5S ace desect™ Find te probobiltty that Qh) All ane olefectave ett) ome Ww dAefecave Citi) two ore dereceve. oo Pcs cit) Bo, leo, Salta \2eg Qui = Syle 7% 4) at 3 oF 26 bYses are defecuve and 4 oF merd are vomndomly ahoosen tos inspection: what G me pave bility that only one OF ther |S alegre cttve- PLE )= Be, Tea, = O4 2O, (0) peter rMINe me probarill me Eollow ING events: & a O- derecuve out of bob Poles abreacy were found defecav™ nead P| pears ty for eath OF por will be Found & eocoomined 5 I> (6) Atleast ome of a fas coin ingle ©) the Suro ‘g apperrs ina §s ie Last alice Othe euen 17% Z@ ob 12 appears 1 a Single tose Of » feu dice ————— in 4 toes tes OF pas 0 pous Oo { oe Cluhs ov a, © | © a king, ace Tack “iy, of dlarnund appear 0 drawing : singe card fern a well ShoFeiey | opdinary deck oF cards (te wrthovty., @) Pldefeorive) = _!2 600 | ) P (aon-derective) = 1— P Clerective) a | 50 =0-98 ©) PCITtT) = PTD. Per POTD. Pér) seein el Ne ai | eee eitieoa l| \| Lo . -- Plat leagt me head) = 1- PCat) tails) = t= PCT) Spe eS K& | a lb | —— | ©) P(Surn appeass as &) = 5 26 ; (6,29 5,3) (4,4) (2,6)¢3)5) 9 | 6) P (sum abpeaws ag) = & ab ¥ t (6,19 06) 05,2) (275) C4) 3) (34 P (Surm Oppeows as 12) © Pe fe un oo é p (Eu APPEO™S AS 1Uy SE Os 12) 6 Ss : foe ee ee ae is ( PcKma) =e place) = Ca piiaek ee Clubs) = _) S2 Plaueen of diamond) = 2 PLKING BE Ace OF Jack oF cluhe us qves ve diem onas) eo 2, * & LL Ss BtiatiAt & —= . read Atk panclom |oO. Uy) TwO cavds are eetec fom [0 cards numbered | £0 Find the probabutty P that the sum iS Oecd (fF al) the Eo coscs ore drawn tegethes. (tt) the bwo cards ave drawn one aftes othe othes Wwithove Bibles Ui) the Bue Car ae arecdernun ODE efey tne ether with replacement: wl} 2 t ©) the mo: of ways tO select 2 cards CUE op ° Ii cows (S [on = tS Ways: ae oe these ave 5 even MUM rerS (46 ond 5 edd mumbess ('3,'5,1,9) se A sum 12 Oda 1 OME MNuUMbey ic = Botner mumbex 1S even. q Now, mMe MNO: of Ways In Which ar Zam even mumber 12 Chose Is gher by SxS = 25 ways: Requived perbabililg - of ; Ss 45 5 (tt) The mo: oF ways EO SelecE 2 casge ome artes we omer wlth0ot weplacerren. €S 10X9 = 90 Ways - Te we stot with an even mum ber, SVS 225 ways amd lf we Stat with AM odd numbers 545-25 Wags 0 pe 28425 1 5 ea (iL) ance me mo.of ways Ww seleck * Casdg one ares whe ornes wtth lo. lo = \0oO way sweplacement ts COMEQOING 12 oats antienke.. 4 Te red 0) A bad }to 12> fe a Ba le poeen oa annem ei tai probability of paving a bal) wih a murnher which is 2 amviltple of ellhnes 2 06 39 yee A be an event that tre ball parce” ie a wmovlttiplie of 2 & 8B, a empl ple oF 3: ae 10, 12:4 a~nlA)°4>) PLAS Pe ore $6,124 =) LAN) =2 = PLANE 2 jQ. AND = i: PLAV®) = Pla) + PLB) — PLANS) = 3 y (3) A four coin 18 tossed 5 times. Whar ig the probability of having atteask One heoe 9 Tha four colin, tne poobabilulg oF getting Qa tel us A head ta one toss . .. paobabiity oF getting ™e head |'n 7 Epsses IS Giver SY P(A) © aD? ‘+ Pedbatiity of getting arleast SIC head = 1—- PCcmo head) 7 32 = oO BD i a In Statistics IS Qivery . || aA pro bie whose chances oy Students A) Bc i) ] solving te ave + = a& 7 mESP ECE | What ws the probabtifty Hat the pry, y fs goWwed9 | 2 ; 7 e) et — P}) Lt: P CB) 5? pce) a P [the problen) 1s solved] - P [Av Buc] | pfaveve] = .-[Pcavave>' | a Vel 1 7 ABC P(Alnelnce') sve = lL Pca payed ome ow = LH [1-Pcas] ['-Pce3] [Peo] ot ing] fe 89 [rE] + 24 Ba. —< 15) TWO omarhieg Ave dvawn f'n evccess! firm a boo Comraining 10 wed, 30 wrth 20 bive and 16 swange mashes wt) Peaeenoea eing amade ares eac? drawing. Find the Probabllly mor @ woth ave white | ©) frost (8 wed and second wnilé © nelthey ig osange . va Solve tha Perblenyn with mo vepiacer”™ bee Each deawing. Ea - ota" mo. OF Mmacdles = 104+30-4+20+ is -4= Re ved, W cWhilé » B= Blue, 0» OFANG= pee | @P = 30 15 wees FE op (Fiwse Leper) ci a a W5 15 ATAWINEGS OF (fvest amosbie Awaun 1s white) placement, p (second Is white) =30 TS ta white 2 seumd & while ) Since me Fivst & seama amersi\es Ore Independent - © ecrwee © re) #12 aioe weplacementr, P(Second while) = 30, | 7 APES P(4est IS ved & se emd te Whilé) = > l© 26 _ + a 5 15 a ©) P (fiwst 13 obaAN_e) = 5 qs PC 4est 1g mot orange) = I-18 = oe aS tS P (setend 1s ooonge’) Eloi aoe Plseusnd 18 mor svomnee) = \I-lS -& 1S. aS Plmettnes ts osange) = Go, 60. & 15 45 8S z= ae when mo cveplacement Ss = A) pCirte white) = 30 15 ince MD cseplacement 6 made, ty,, po is while) = 29° 14. ~~ Peo while) - 30 ¥24 - 29 4 qq lee (©) pcittis ved) = 10 AS po ts wht) - 30 st- M4 P(t ed eo write) = ly 80 | 2 aS 45 ae OPC! w cwomge ) 2 1¢ a Ww PQ) CS mor ovomge) = 1S = 60 8 9 (34 ts wromge) 2 1S fo Siree NO replacement is made, MER ove 14 anowdes of which 1S Onwe OFAN Motes because nO osange omowles wes cloawn ww) the frost rea (ee ps4 1s moe swore) 2 IS" - 5h Ww Ty Plmewmes 1s somMGe)2 Ox SI - NE Ag (66 =) 3 16) In a Class 40y students Sead matherna -les , 25 btology and 15 / both mattherast xk ntolugy , one gtudent 1s selecved ar gomaban. Find: (t) the probability thos he wads tothe Emacs ie 18 Known that he weeds lO leg y (tt) The probabil thas he reads biology Le he aeads mathematics: 8} = NS) = 100 M.cthne set OF students whe ead trathes men) = 4d SL -ptm)s MOM = 40 22 - ns) 1oo 6S B. the see of gtudents who vead biology mca): 25 5 PUB) = 2S 2 se =e \S0 4 mngi- the Quudenss, oho Wed both smorns g ClOlogy Pema) = 5 20'S Od P (me) - PLOND = ol 2 B PCB) Ons Se P( Blan) = P(N - o's * 2 a A —_—— sz Pe) Ot = 14) «A bag contains © whlle 24 blac. ; . drawn oF a time. Find : 4 A alls ave Probabiuly fos tne Fest craw bo ave A while & the second © give 4 black balls, when tne ballg cnt HOE weplaced before we cecond decu0 - ans a th tec A ee me event ar whe fist 4 while balls. AdwaW ING qves ne tna the Setond B be we eve caawing gives 4 black Ralls PtA) = Sey Se Jp the dyoum walls ave dt seplaced, o Soe ple apace Ks} reduced © Noy p (e/a) = _ “eg leg. pcane) « pla): P(8/A) = &% 4 oo ey Neg. ole 1S) (8) Two aigits ome seleced at somdeM Prom the AIQtS | trough 4. @ ate the cum ws odd, what ts the Probably thar 2 ts ome oF the mr \ a () ae 2 1, une o the agit Selected) What IS the poobablifty that the Sum [s edd® ep\) oo Wk T event even = even Odd + Oda = even & Odd + even = Odd © edad = SL 354 ay evens F2,4,6,84 Surg w Oda, It amvse aAnce Me le the SUM oF OM Oda uUMbet & an even mumbe is odd, | P (2 seleceed) = 4+ ©) P (sum ls Odd / 2 1 selected) = & € (9) Tn Q ocean HOW 40% hove boun hoist, o5y hove lesnum eyes & IS5Y have oth bounm nas & bsoun eyes: A Person ls Setected at Tandum rem tne town, rou hous, whe ls the ae he has Probably thas he has boomy eyes also (2) 3¢ he has lerour eyes, deteymine the. Pricrsilig woe he does Mot have losvwn) Marv: (C) Determine ne. prroaterle ty that he has Netthes Leduy hois wos bevy eyes: 7 OY prt, Baw hoy ee. er? eyes (@) f (86/6) * pcasney) . 4 +18 —PCeH) 28 (©) P(er'/eed = P (BH'NBeD PURE) = P(BE) - p(eHoee) P(Be) = OBIT 2 em 25 (ED Plmettnes BH new BE)- p(B BE!) = P[canuse)'| 2 I- PUBHUBE) = l- 50 —l_: {vO 2 20) auPpose Mat one of Sa tee MEN, A Polician, A lLSINessm™maw ,-oen Ee ducal will be appontecl oS the chanctellos %% University. the respective probabtrthes oF trew oppontimenrs @%E 0:5,0-2,02- The | povbalilities thas wesearch activities wf!) be promoted by trese people te they ore appointee! one 0°38, 0.1, 0-8 vespectively , what ts Mme probarili(G that tne weseord, will le promoted bby the new Chancelles 4 Let A: Research 18 prv™moted E, ¢ politician 18 Selected as Chancelluy 2 Ple)-o-S Eg : BuginessmmaM 1S Selecred a3 chancetlos @ P(g) =o Ez, . Edveatuy is Selected a Chancellos: 2 pcs) = O-2 Qwen Pape) — PALE = 0-38 5 PC A/E) =0-72 P(Ales) =° By the theosem ef total pevloanry | PIA) = PCEDP (Ale;) +P Cee) P(A e+ Plea) PCA) = (0-5) (0-2) + (© 3) (07) + 2) WE) = 0-52. — ayAN Wn A comeains 5 While 2 3 black balls. Another, UN B Contains 3 whit 2 5 black balls. TWO halle one taken £501 btn 7A TOnNde™m LY ond ome Placed [In UY) B- NOW, Ene ball Is taken eeory VIB. What 18 tne Pra lity Hoe lb ls @ wWhfle halls EEE ee | When two balls are tat Aor troy both amnay be while os boty Way be | black oy one while g ome black, B: Drawing 2 While balls for brn 4 PLB) = = Bo = lo So 25 & Prawing 2 black balls 0m UYny P(B,) = Ben Hae Bo, Qe Z 1 biack Faouins & . Btawing L while Pls): Sy Sy 2 IS Bo, eer PlAle,) Ss 5 PCA| Bo) = 3 10 PCA[Ba) = By toca poobabilly , Pca) ~ PCAB,) PCa) + PCAIBRD Prayer P(Al®s) P83) = yg) BB) 16s) = M9 280 =—=_ 22) Three bostes practically and dliseinguisha \% appearence have two olrowers pee Box 1 Contains a gold coin IN Owe L Silver Coin IN the othes chower. Box Tr CONLAINSG a go I cotn in each drawer 2 Box-T Centaing a ailver Coin in each dvanes- one low 16 Chooser ac wonder) & be of Its deawess 18 Opened at random 2 a gold con ts found: Whar is the PObalilley “thar the othes cbsowes Contans QA wrtrn of Silvery The bee diagram OF the peoble™ gas £OULOWS » te Box-xX (IS choosen 2a gold cor es found, tne Second dvaun com! contcun Jold Cte already Nas only one silver con) - gyrnilowly te lowe 18 choosen, a gelel coin cat be picked, sina bot the. derounyS contoun Silves csins omty - T - Box -1 Box-h ao a Prolabtlily ef gold PC) = Let vi ttebyirt bed») gig eh eh ete ae e Probabilily oF ives colin giver a god & P(siq) « PLSNG PCS)PCe up: Yo) PCa) PCg) ie goes hotels % 44 23) & puginess7ra"n SDs) BO% oF wre Le eregpeett ely is Keun tak 4, AY, BY OF HE a IN HY EZ hotels have Fa vlEy pumnng - a eee the pevboabibtty wor the pusinessrm ah goes to hotel with favity planning. KY whar 1s ME poobalotlity thot pusiness™na™ S asvom nave faulty plumbine 18 assigned 7 of €avlty Plumbing oa) notel 2° A: Event x: x hotel LY hott) BE: Zz hort l. @) P Cravity plumbing) = PCA) Pea) = Pe) PCATx) + PCY)PLAly)+ PLE) PA) WKT, Qiven, PO) Tole POpe oS PB) 03 P(A] 7 - X) 2 o-05 » P(AIY) 0-04) p(alz)-ovt -@ _ ple 0.2)(0-05)+ (0-S)Lo-04) + (0-3) (e-08) 20-054 ad tb horel = qe Q Wot te & P(Psslgre apoorm hos Favley plumbing) < PLA) P(zpa) = PLZ) PLA) PLA) = 0-3 x 0-08 o-OSy = _.- 24) An a bolk factesy , machirres A,B, smomopacivre 20% ,30%, 60% oe ener coca) oe thety ovepor, 6y,3%,2% oe defective. 4 bolt 1S dwaun ab zandemM amd POUDA bo be defective: what ig the Povbalilthe. tha tg mMoanveactvred oy amach es dBRCO P(A)e 20 2b P(A)? BO- 3 100 & Too 10 P(c)+ 50 , J loo = P (Bla) = G_ 20:06 % P(PIR) 2B 20 P (P)c) e 6°02 P(nID) = PA) PCDla) PLADPC RIA) + PIRPCOLS)+ PLR e ta 3) P( elo) z Pie) PCPla) PERE Clg) +P) PLPlA}t PC) PLL ae 3) ece) eCdle) p(cld) = PCA P (DIA) + PAD PCOLB) +PLYP CDle) = 3 95: IN a bolt faccusy, there ae fous machines ABc&D wromveacting 20% 157,257, 407 cf the total ovtpot wespecttvely of thele ourpurs Sx) 4413, 2% IN THE garne owoky ave defecave bolts: one bolt ts choosen Ok mando rer te Fackosy'a paroducete™) ond t& found oalepecuve: what (S tre Povealsility Tole me Wilt Waa ananvfactirtd by machine A vr machine D- PlA)=0-2 7 P(B)e o-IS 3 PCC) = 0-26, PLO)EmY Plays 005 3 CIB) = oro} PUK/c) = 0-0OB y PCM) = 6-65— RRS pix) = PLAY POM) T Pa)P&IB) + PCC) P(xlc) + PCD) PCxID) = oO 02S” Plax) = Pca) PLA) clea alanine eer PCX) = o- Bs PCMYx) = eco). (VD) PCx) = 0-254 P(A os Dix) « p (ALB /x) = P (Ale) + PCD/x) - OST 4y2s Prost Containing ep Loo - 2 g thisd 3 DE) neve AVE trreé 2 29S) 1 whtte, a ved, 3 gee? balls , \ greed balls ‘ — two balls unite, ised, 2 gee” balle- Tt Wr) Ok ace avaun feo & aq choose Whi lé ane these one found to be one one ved: Find we poobabuitty ep ae ene balls 30 dwaunr conme fore tne gees’ whe, 37ed, pando PCB) = PCB) = P(&s) aL

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