Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Fire Insurance
Fire insurance policies provide cover for financial losses due to damage to
property arising out of fire, explosions etc. Fire policies may also cover damage
through impact of vehicles, riots, typhoons, cyclones, strike or other malicious
acts etc.
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Risk identification and analysis
Third party insurance, also called Liability Only policies, is compulsory under
the law.
In the case of personal accident policies, there is no need for assessment of risk,
except on the factor of occupation.
The conditions are standard.
The policy can also cover consequential costs medical care and loss of income
due to disability leading to absence from workplace.
Health Insurance
In the Indian market, health insurance premium has been steadily increasing
over the years (and now it is next to motor premium), comprising 22% of the
Gross Direct Premium Income of General Insurers.
Healthcare policies are available in three variants:
1. Individual Policy: this type of health insurance policy caters to the medical
needs of only one individual.
For example, Ram has taken a health insurance policy from Company ABC
for a sum insured of Rs. 2,00,000 by paying a premium of Rs. 4,000. Under
this policy, Ram will be covered against expenses for any illness (covered as
per the policy terms) which requires him to be hospitalised, up to a limit of
Rs. 2,00,000 in that particular year.
2. Family Floater Policy: this type of health insurance policy caters to the
medical needs of a family. In family floater policies, normally insurance
companies allow coverage for up to two adults and two children in a family.
The sum insured can be shared by the family members covered in the policy.
There are no fixed proportions in which the sum insured is shared by the
family members.
Group Policy: this type of health insurance policy caters to the medical
needs of a group of people brought together for a common objective or
purpose.
As per General Insurance Corporation Directives, the group should
have a common purpose other than insurance.
The principle of ‘All or None’ applies. That is, if the group needs to be covered,
all the members of the group are to be covered. No selection will be allowed.
For example, Company XYZ has taken a group health insurance policy from
insurance Company ABC for all their employees. This policy will take care
of medical needs of the employees of Company XYZ up to a fixed amount,
say Rs 2,00,000/-, provided, all the employees are included. The sum
insured covered may differ; but every employee needs to be covered.
Liability Insurance
Liability insurance provides indemnity (protection against financial loss payable
under law) for injuries to third parties or their property.
While the first three cover death/disablement due to the insured’s negligence,
Miscellaneous Insurance
a. Fidelity Guarantee: fidelity guarantee covers risks related to
dishonesty, fraud and embezzlement by employees etc. and
protects employers from loss of cash and securities.
Table of contents
But the strong Law states that the sample mean and distribution
mean will converge closer to the actual value.
The Weak Law and the strong Law of large numbers are quite
different from each other and their function differs.
The Law, however, differs from the “gamblers fallacy“, which is a
thought process where people predict a certain set of events
happening based on the previous set of circumstances. Say, in a
situation of 50 events of flipping a coin, there have already been 20
heads. The person will expect the rest of the events to result in tails
as there had been an upstart of heads way ahead.
The Law of large numbers does not support the theory of events
suddenly developing bias towards a particular event.
Statistics uses similar applications of the Law to find the population, life
expectancy, and literacy ratios of a nation etc.
Example 1
Suppose there is a competition for flipping coins between two persons, A and B. The
person who gets the most number of tails is the winner. However, they are yet to
determine the number of times they are allowed to flip a coin. Initially, in the event of
flipping a coin, the probability is 1/2. i.e., for each flip, the chance of landing a tail is
0.5. Suppose they flip the coin 20-30 times and there were tails only seven times.
Flipping it ten more times can move the score to 9 tails. The more one flips the coin,
the greater the chances of arriving at the proportion of the decided ratio, i.e., 0.5.
Example 2
Suppose Sam is an investor and there are three famous companies- “ABC,” “CDE,”
and “EFG.” He decides to invest in a company that has the potential to increase its
market value by 50% in a short period. Say ABC is valued at $40 million, CDE has $80
million, and EFG has only $4 million. So looking at them, we know 50% for ABC will
be $20 Million extra; for CDE, it will be $40 Million. And for EFG, it will be a $2 Million
market value increase. So looking at it, EFG needs only a small amount to grow, and
Sam can choose EFG according to the growth prediction he made.
Law of Large Numbers in Insurance
The Law of large numbers helps insurance companies reduce the risk of loss by
pooling information on a large number of people.
Let’s take the example of a car insurance company ABC Ltd.
The company collects data from people of all ages to gather information on their age
and the number of accidents caused.
This will help determine what premium to charge for a particular part in that age
group.
For example, if the accidents are caused mostly by people aged 25, then people
belonging to that category will be charged higher.
Charging higher premiums for that particular age group can help recover losses due
to accidents caused by them.
These companies arrive at such a conclusion after following many people’s details,
like a small sample of people may not contain the required age groups and reveal
any important information.
The insurance field uses similar applications in house insurance, health insurance,
and other vehicle insurances.
The sample mean can be brought closer to the distribution mean by using a large
sample set of values.
The strong Law of large numbers definition, on the other hand, states that the
sample mean and distribution mean will converge closer to the true value.
Central limit theorem -is a statistical theory which states that when the large
sample size has a finite variance, the samples will be normally distributed and the
mean of samples will be approximately equal to the mean of the whole population.
Descriptive statistics
Descriptive statistics refers to the analysis of data. Sample data is summarized using
charts, tables, and graphs. Quantitative analysis is difficult when the population is
large. Therefore, a small data sample is interpreted.
• Descriptive statistics summarizes raw data information in a tabular format to test the
hypothesis. In contrast, inferential statistics makes inferences based on collected
data.
• Descriptive analysis is used for the organization and presentation of data in a
meaningful manner. Inferential statistics, on the other hand, compares data, runs
hypotheses, and makes predictions.
• Descriptive analysis merely depicts a situation. Inferential statistics ventures further; it
is used to make conclusions.
• Researchers use inferential statistics to predict possibilities, probabilities, and the
occurrence of events.
• Characteristically, descriptive analyses consider small data. Inferential statistics is
used to apply the findings to the whole population.
• For description, researchers use charts, graphs, and tables. In inferential statistics,
researchers use probability to draw conclusions.
C. SUBRAMANYAM
Senior Faculty and Trainer for Financial Engineering(FRM),
Fellow program of Insurance Institute of India and Actuarial Exams(CAS)
riskprofessionals.academy@gmail.com