Professional Documents
Culture Documents
MANAGING
MONEY
• What are the different
avenues for investing in
different asset classes?
ASSET CLASSES
Gold and Silver Debt Equity
ASSET CLASSES
Gold and Silver Debt Equity
Mutual Fund Routes Gold ETF and Gold
Debt Mutual Fund Equity Mutual Fund
of investment Fund
• High liquidity • High Liquidity • High Liquidity
• Buying limits – • Different schemes • Professional
Min. 1 unit for different management
through investment
Benefits of investing exchange and horizon
in Mutual Funds no upper limit
• No lock-in • Tax efficient • Diversification /
returns if held for robust risk
3 years and above management
• Why are equities volatile?
Becoming a Part-Owner
When you buy equity of a company,
you become a part owner and could make
money as the company’s profit increases
As shown in chart, markets have given positive returns in some years and negative in others.
Source: MFI
Equities vs Other Asset Classes - Performance
Equity* 15.68%
Gold 8.85%
Bank FD 8.08%
0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00% 14.00% 16.00% 18.00%
However, in the long term, S&P BSE SENSEX has delivered 15.68% CAGR between Mar 80 and Mar
22; which way higher than the average inflation rate during that period.
Source: World Bank; Based on data from March 31, 1980 till March 31, 2022
*S&P BSE Sensex
• Are equity markets
volatile in the short
term?
Ratio of Positive Based on Sensex Data • Markets are volatile in the short term.
Rolling Return Mar-79 to Mar-22 (44)
• As the investment horizon increases,
1 YR Growth 29/43 probability of loss reduces. E.g., the table
shows that, in the last 43 years of SENSEX,
3 YR Growth 34/41 the likelihood of losing money for periods
of 15 years or more has been NIL.
5 YR Growth 36/39
• SENSEX has compounded wealth at
10 YR Growth 33/34 15.96% over the long run. At this rate, an
investment in the stock market has
15 YR Growth 29/29 historically doubled approximately every
4.5 Years.
20 YR Growth 24/24
Decadal Growth Rates of India
16
14.7
14.2 13.9
14
11.6
12
6.4
10 8.6 9.1
8
6.3
4 7.5
5.6 5.6 5.3
2
0
CY: 1981-1990 CY: 1991-2000 CY: 2001-2010 CY: 2011-2020
Source: World Bank, Bloomberg; CAGR – Compounded Annual Growth Rate, GDP - Gross Domestic Product
Decadal Growth Rates of India
• The nominal growth of the
economy (real growth plus
inflation) is a good proxy for
the average growth in
businesses of a country (Ref.
Previous slide)
2 years?
20 years?
Let’s find out!
Big impact - Power of Compounding
Distance Covered
Days Steps
(in KM)
The difference in the rate of returns between Asset class 4 and 3 is only 3%.
However, when invested over the long term, the difference in terms of value is huge.
Power of Compounding - How it Works?
Let's see how much money can be accumulated (assumed CAGR 12%) through an SIP investment
of Rs.10,000/month.
It is evident from the graph that as the number of years increase, money compounds at a much
higher rate. Even though the original investment is very low, the capital appreciation is much higher.
Difficulty in Timing the Market
16.00%
13.71%
14.00%
12.00%
10.20% This chart shows that if you
10.00%
8.36%
had stayed fully invested in
8.00% stocks (as measured by the S&P
6.32% BSE Sensex) from 1st Jan 1990
6.00%
4.50%
to 31st Mar 2022, you would
4.00% have earned compounded
annual returns of 13.71%.
2.00%
80
60 1990
2022
40
27
20 9.84 8
2.35
0
Petrol (per litre) Wheat (per kg) Toor Daal (per kg)
Source: Petrol costs are as on March 20, 1990 in Delhi (Source: www.in.reuters.com), and on March 31, 2022 in Delhi (Source: Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas). The
price of wheat grains is as sold as wholesale in Mumbai in April, 1990 (Source: Ministry of Agriculture) and on March 31, 2022 (Source: Ministry of Consumer Affairs, Food &
Public Distribution). The prices of toor daal are as sold as retail in Mumbai in April 1990 (Source: Ministry of Agriculture), and on March 31, 2022 (Source: Ministry of
Consumer Affairs, Food & Public Distribution).
Investing in equities can help you beat inflation better than other asset classes and
provides positive real returns over the long term.
Inflation erodes purchasing power of money
• Inflation reduces your purchasing power.
• Hence, today’s money will not buy you the same things tomorrow.
120
100
100
80
60
40
20
11.34
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Real value of Rs. 100 will become Rs. 11.34 in 30 years at inflation of 7% p.a.
• Why should I not invest in a
Fixed Deposit when it is
giving me guaranteed
returns?
Real Returns in FD vs Equity Mutual Funds
The graph illustrates how much real returns you can get by putting your money in FDs vs Equity MF.
8% 7% 14%
7% 12%
6% 12%
6%
5% 10%
4% 8%
3% 2.18% 6%
2% 6% 4.80%
1% 4%
0%
2% 1.20%
-1%
-2% -1.18% 0%
Rate of Interest Inflation Tax on Interest Real Return Rate of Interest Inflation Tax on Interest Real Return
Even though FDs offer guaranteed returns, after deduction of inflation and tax, the real returns
amount to negative. Equity Mutual Funds, on the other hand, have the potential to beat inflation
and give higher returns over the long term.
Real Returns in FD vs Equity Mutual Funds
The graph illustrates how much real returns you can get by putting your 100 rupee
in Cash vs Fixed Deposits vs Equity Mutual Fund for 30 years
Cash FD MF
450
408.17
400
350
300
250
200
150
69.95
100
11.34
50
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Even though FDs offer guaranteed returns, after deduction of inflation and tax, the real returns
amount to negative. Equity mutual funds, on the other hand, have the potential to beat inflation
and give higher returns over the long term.
Debt MFs Vs Fixed Deposits
Retail investors AUM as a percentage of Total Debt AUM is minuscule. The primary reason behind the
under penetration of Debt MFs among retail investors has been lack of understanding and awareness.
Over the years, retail investors have favored Bank FDs due to their inherent nature of providing fixed
return on investments. However, Debt MFs tend to score over Banks FDs on other parameters which
are mentioned below:
• Tax Efficient - Investment held for more than 3 years in Debt MFs is eligible for indexation
benefit. (refer table below)
• Interest income is taxed on accrual basis in FDs while in Debt MFs income is taxed only when
dividend is received or units are redeemed
• Diversification - The portfolio of Debt MF is generally spread across various issuers and
securities, thus reducing the single issuer risk
The features of fixed deposit investments and Debt Funds are not comparable. The comparison is
limited to tax efficiency, which is subject to changes in prevailing tax laws. Interest calculation is
assumed on yearly cumulative basis. Purchase FY is 2015-16 and sale FY is 2020-21.
Guidelines For New Earners
ELSS FEATURES
*Claim deduction of up to Rs. 1.50 Lakhs from taxable income and save tax up to Rs. 46,800
Tax Saving Options
Investment Options Minimum Lock-in Returns Tax
Under Section 80C Inv (in Rs.) Years (%) Treatment
^Plus applicable surcharge and cess. ₹1 lakh exemption available for capital gains.
Source: https://www.indiapost.gov.in/Financial/Pages/Content/Post-Oce-Saving-Schemes.aspx
https://www.sbi.co.in/web/interest-rates/deposit-rates/retail-domestic-term-deposits?inheritRedirect=true,
as on 31-3-2022.
Systematic Approach
Power of Compounding
Amount Saved
5,475 10,400 18,000
per year (in Rs.)
INVEST THE AMOUNT SAVED ANNUALLY FOR NEXT 35 YEARS
Assumed Rate of
12% 12% 12%
Return (%)
Topping up / increasing a
Rs. 10,000 SIP by just 10% every
year increases the corpus at the
end of 30 years by 150%.
Fight Inflation
It is evident from the previous slide, that at the end of the investment
period, Mr. B’s investments grew to 3.08 Cr
while that of Mr. A grew to 1.38 Cr
Who is smarter at
repaying a Home Loan
Mr. X of Rs. 25 Lakhs? Mr. Y
20 years Loan Repayment Term 30 years
19,382 (A) EMI (in Rs.) per Month @7% 16,633 (B)
- SIP per Month (in Rs.) 2,750 (A-B)
AFTER 17 YEARS
39,54,025 Total EMI paid (in Rs) 33,93,043
NIL Total SIP Investment 5,60,982
39,54,025 Total Outflow 39,54,025
• So rather than taking a shorter loan period, opt for 30 year loan period and start an SIP of the
differential amount i.e., 2,750 in an Equity Mutual Fund scheme.
Effects of taxation have not been considered in the above illustration of previous slide.
*Calculation - https://www.hdfc.com/home-loan-emi-calculator. Calculations are for illustrative purposes only.
^7% is an assumed median floating rate of interest over the tenure of the loan. The actual rate of interest might move up or down
throughout the tenure of the loan due to the floating nature of interest rates, and thereby changing the overall calculations.
Recover Home Loan Interest
Alternatively, if you cannot opt for a 30 year home loan due to any reason,
you can choose to set aside a marginal amount (0.15% of principal) from your savings
to start an SIP with an aim to recover the interest paid.
Lump Sum Amt -> Future Value (In multiple of Rs. 1,00,000)
Guidelines for Married Investor with Kids
Liquid is represented by Crisil Liquid Fund Index, GILT is represented by Crisil Dynamic Gilt Index, Corporate Bond is represented by Nifty
Corporate Bond Index, Credit Risk is represented by Nifty Credit Risk Bond Index, Large Cap is represented by Nifty 100 TRI, Midcap is
represented by Nifty Midcap 100 TRI, small cap is represented by Nifty Small Cap 100 index and Gold is represented by World Gold Council
INR.
Source: www.amfiindia.com and Gold prices from World Gold Council
Equity Allocation and Risk Appetite
How much equity exposure should an individual
investor have?
• As much as one does not need for a long term
(minimum 5 to 7 years)
Once an investor is convinced of these points, he/she can start investing based on his/her asset
allocation, irrespective of market valuation.
Equity Mutual Fund and Suitability
Equity Mutual Fund Taxation
Short Term Capital Gains
• Short Term Capital Gain: < 1 Year
• Short Term Capital Gain Tax Rate: 15%
Investors tend to evaluate each investment separately. Fear of loss leads to irrational decisions.
E.g. Investor 1 is tempted to sell his equity investment after year 1 due to losses.
Hybrid products have lower volatility and thereby reduces panic amongst investors.
Equity and Debt Cycles
It is difficult to predict market cycles – hybrid funds provide a solution. The below asset classes
are not strictly comparable as different asset classes have different risk profile.
100%
77% 78%
80%
57%
60%
39% 42%
40% 29% 33% 30%
28% 27% 26%
23% 19%
20% 13% 13% 13% 11% 8% 15% 15% 13% 16%
5% 4% 5% 7% 4% 3% 7% 4% 5%6% 9% 9% 1%
0%
0%
-4% -1% -3%
-20% -13% -12%
-15%
-40% -24%
-60% -51%
CY00 CY01 CY02 CY03 CY04 CY05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13 CY14 CY15 CY16 CY17 CY18 CY19 CY20 CY21
Over the years, it has been observed that performance of various asset classes keep on changing and
no single asset class continues to outperform or underperform. As hybrid funds invest in both, equity
and debt, it can be an ideal solution for a retail investor, with low to moderate risk appetite.
Hybrid Mutual Fund and Suitability
Pre-Retirement Stage
Nuclear
Families
Increased Higher
Cost of Living Medical Cost
Short Term Capital Gains (STCG) at the rate of 15% plus applicable surcharge and cess. Investors are advised to consult their tax advisers. As
the units redeemed are less than 15% of the units allotted on 01.01.2021, NIL exit load has been considered.
^This is for illustration purpose only, tax as a % of SWP could be higher in subsequent years.
Note: Ideally SWP should be started after completion of 1 year so that the gains are taxed under long term capital gains tax.
SWP – An Illustration
Equity Mutual Fund Fixed Deposit
Illustration of SIP+SWP Retirement Plan
SWP works out to be a tax efficient solution to structuring regular payout.
Illustration of I-Pru Freedom SIP
This is for illustrative purposes only. Please refer to the terms & conditions in the application form for further details. ICICI Prudential Freedom SIP is
an optional feature offered by ICICI Prudential AMC. This feature does not in any way give assurance of the performance of any of the Schemes of
ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund or provide any guarantee of withdrawals through SWP mode. Effective SWP rate is calculated by dividing the annual
SWP amount by the market value.
What are the various Debt Investment Options?
Should You Pause Your SIP?
Below table shows example of Mr. A and Mr. B, both started their SIP
on 1st April 2018. Mr A paused his SIP for 6 months while Mr. B
continued with his disciplined approach of investing regularly.
A A
Mr. Mr.
BB
SIP Start Date 1st April 2018 1st April 2018
Difference - 91,000
To benefit from SIP, one should invest on periodic basis and not allow
emotions to drive their investment decisions.
Concepts
Price
• Price of a company’s stock is market driven. It fluctuates based on demand and
supply of the share
Market Capitalization
• Market Capitalization = Total no. of shares * Current market price
Concepts
Price to Earnings Ratio (PE)
• PE ratio = Price / EPS;
This helps to understand the valuation of a company.
• Index PE = Index/Index’s EPS;
This helps to understand whether the market is trading at a higher PE (overvalued)
or lower PE (undervalued).
Book Value
• Book Value = Total assets – intangible assets – liabilities;
• Book value refers to the total amount a company would be worth if it liquidated its assets and
paid back all its liabilities.
• Corporate Bond Market (Coupon bearing bonds, zero coupon bonds, floating rate bonds,
debentures etc.)
• Money Market (T-Bills, Commercial Papers, Certificate of Deposit), Returns of debt funds are
a combination of
Modified Duration
• Modified Duration helps us in measuring the sensitivity of the bond fund’s NAV to interest
rate movement. So, if modified duration of a fund is 10 years, then if interest moves up by
1%, the NAV of fund will move down by 10%.
INSURANCE
BENEFITS
Protection Financial
for you and Security
your family
TERM HEALTH
Uncertanities
• COVID type uncertanities
Focus on the
downside, and
the upside will SAFETY
take care of itself
- Mark Sellers
Liquidity is only
there when you
LIQUIDITY don’t need it
- Jason Zweig
MFD
Sir, what do you think is more
important – preserving the capital or
preserving the purchasing power?
The fact is that in last 35 years CPI
inflation alone has eroded
purchasing power of rupee by more
than 90%. Lifestyle inflation is even
higher than that. Net of tax return
from investment asset should beat
inflation at least.
Objections Handling - 2 (Market is High)
Client
Market is very high. It should
correct. I will wait for the
correction. (Or, market has
corrected, and it will correct
further. I will wait till the things
get settled down.)
Objections Handling - 2 (Market is High)
MFD
We cannot time the market, but we can
surely spend time in the market.
Historically it has been seen that those
who stayed invested with their investment
have made big fortunes. Systematic
approach (SIP or STP) further protects us
from volatility and in fact gets benefitted
out of it. Major returns in equity market is
delivered in few days. By constantly trying
to time the market, chances of losing
those few days are very high.
Objections Handling - 3 (Equity for critical goal)
Client
Mutual fund returns are not
consistent. It goes up and down
along with the market. How can I
then invest into mutual fund for
my critically important goals or if
I require the money anytime
without worrying of capital loss?
Objections Handling - 3 (Equity for critical goal)
MFD
Mutual fund is not all about equity.
There are mutual funds, known as debt
schemes, which invest into bonds,
NCDs, certificate of deposits, G-Sec, T-
Bills etc. When a goal is nearby you
can then move your investment into
such schemes. Depending on your
horizon and risk appetite you can
choose different type of equity or debt
schemes.
Concern over Uncertainty of returns
Q
Prospective Investor – You always say that equity as an asset
class can generate higher ‘real rate of return’ than other asset
classes – but I think there is risk in equities.
A
create wealth we could take a calculated risk by investing for a long term.
Concern over Poor Return of a scheme
A
Advisor – Equity markets are driven by various events and can be risky
and volatile if held for short term. However, over the long term, it has
beaten inflation by the highest margin (Slide 9). So, we should not get
swayed away by short term market movements.
Concern over Switching to a performing scheme
A
Advisor – Different managers have different investment styles and
approaches. Historically, we have seen different styles perform during
different time periods. So, we should understand fund managers’
investment philosophy and keep patience for the strategy to play out.
Concern over right Investment Horizon
A
Advisor – Equities are the best compounding machines if held for long
term. Historically, we have seen that as the tenure increases, chances of
negative returns also reduce (Slide 11). So, we should invest in equities
with a minimum investment horizon of 5 years.