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Hype Cycle For K-12 769790 NDX
Hype Cycle For K-12 769790 NDX
The impact of the pandemic on K-12 lives on, and we have other
significant crises impacting education. The growing global
shortage of faculty and staff may require permanent shifts in
practice. This year we highlight innovations for K-12 CIOs that will
mature into solutions needed for that future.
■ Applying AI — Industries
The Hype Cycle for K-12 Education highlights key technologies and innovations that hold
potential for significant — even transformative — impacts on education. It includes those
designed to update and optimize instructional and business practices, freeing time,
money and people resources. But it also carries innovations that have the potential to
change how K-12 CIOs see their own role and that of their teams, influencing the digital
services they must and/or should provide (and those they should let go).
In several cases, the technology may not be new, but K-12’s adoption of certain
innovations lags behind that of other sectors. The Hype Cycle will identify those areas
appropriate to:
■ Accelerate adoption.
The CIO can explore the Hype Cycle for timelines to maturity, and can plan accordingly to
leverage those with the most impact.
As CIOs read through the innovations, they should remember to focus on several factors
when advancing digital capabilities:
CIOs exploring the Hype Cycle should note the phases where the innovations have been
placed:
■ In the Innovation Trigger, technologies like chatbots are familiar in most industries,
but nearly unused by K-12 organizations to date, missing a major opportunity to
automate and streamline services, support and even instructional applications using
intelligence.
CIOs should also note those fast-moving innovations set to mature in the next two to five
years, like conversational user interfaces and 5G, which are quickly making their way into
K-12 education as they explode in use across industries.
Maturity: Adolescent
Definition:
BMI wearables can be as simple as a noninvasive, affordable headband; yet they can
provide a massive net societal impact and benefit in terms of illness and accident
prevention, comparable to a simple vaccination program. Therefore, this is not only a
futuristic, expensive, invasive solution for the few, like Neuralink, but also a simple gadget
for the benefit of the many, provided adequate security and privacy measures are in place.
When connected, these enable the Internet of Brains (IoB).
Business Impact
Over the next three to 10 years, they will enable business use cases including
authentication, access and payment, and support immersive analytics and workplaces,
interactions in the metaverse, and control of power suits or exoskeletons. What is unique
about “bidirectional” BMIs compared to other classes of wearables/ingestibles is their
brain-altering capability. For example, stimulation can be applied to boost alertness in
response to a pilot’s EEG markers of fatigue; relaxing cortical currents can be applied to
the brain of a harried nurse.
Drivers
■ There are already applications of one-way BMI wearables, where the focus is about
monitoring the state of the user or using the user’s intent to operate some external
device. Examples include measuring fatigue and alertness in a driver without trying
to externally modify the user’s mood.
■ Facebook acquired the neural interface startup CTRL-labs for over $500 million, in
order to include the technology as a computer interface and in AR/VR consumer
products using Facebook Reality Labs.
■ Productivity and neurodiversity initiatives will increase the need for connections
between humans, the Internet of Things (IoT) and the IoB.
Obstacles
■ Early VC smart wearable investment trends underscored some issues linked with
smart wearable devices, such as high cost for early products, slow consumer
adoption, high drop-off rates for some smart wearables, and the complexity of
integration between various data systems.
■ Since bidirectional BMIs are a more advanced and extreme form of wearable (in
effect, an implant equivalent, with bidirectional connectivity), the above trend
provides some guidance as to what needs to occur to allow a wider adoption of
bidirectional BMIs. Namely, the way forward is for providers to offer more affordable
products with increased functionality, without added invasiveness.
User Recommendations
■ Prepare for bidirectional BMI devices creeping into enterprises; “bring your own
device” (BYOD) may occur long before specific legislation is in place.
■ Ensure customer safety and business security by implementing data anonymity and
privacy (beyond current legislation such as General Data Protection Regulation
[GDPR]) for brain-wearable data collection and management.
■ Highlight trade-offs in wellness solutions: more data may not equate to improved
outcomes when looking at complex systems such as the human brain.
Sample Vendors
Maverick* Research: “Brain Malware” Returns to Target Wetware in the Internet of Brains
Metaverse
Analysis By: Marty Resnick, Matt Cain, Tuong Nguyen
Maturity: Embryonic
Definition:
A metaverse is the next level of interaction in the virtual and physical worlds. It will allow
people to replicate or enhance their physical activities. This could happen either by
transporting or extending physical activities to a virtual world, or by transforming the
physical one. Although the goal of a metaverse is to combine many of these activities,
there are currently many emerging metaverses with limited functionality.
Business Impact
Enterprises can expand and enhance their current businesses in unprecedented ways,
opening up innovative opportunities. The following are examples of opportunities that
metaverse offers to enterprises:
Drivers
■ Transform: Bringing digital to the physical world. This allows the user to have
access to real-time information, collaboration and experiences in the physical world.
Some of the main activities for the metaverse that will require one or more of these drivers
are:
Ultimately, people desire to enhance and/or augment their lives in digital and physical
realities.
User Recommendations
Recommendations for strategic approaches toward the metaverse will vary. In general:
Animoca Brands (Sandbox); Decentraland; Linden Labs; Meta; Microsoft; Nvidia; Roblox
Quick Answer: How Will the Metaverse Shape the Digital Employee Experience?
Chatbots
Analysis By: Kelly Calhoun Williams
Maturity: Emerging
Definition:
Chatbots represent one of the primary use cases of artificial intelligence (AI) in
enterprises. Although most commonly applied to customer service, IT service
management (ITSM) or human resources — the long tail of chatbot uses is incredibly
diverse. K-12 education has been surprisingly slow in adopting chatbots to date,
especially given a long list of practical potential (and fairly mature) use cases.
Chatbots are the face of AI and will impact all areas with communication between
machines and humans. Chatbots are already common across other industries. In K-12,
common, repetitive question-and-answer based tasks like Level 1 Help Desk support and
common parent processes and questions for schools are a logical starting place. The
change to “the chatbot learns what the user wants” has implications for instruction,
productivity and efficiency inside K-12’s schools, business and administration.
Drivers
■ Staff shortages: The faculty and staff shortage crisis in K-12 suggests that the need
for streamlining and optimizing all practices possible will be an imperative.
■ Chatbot maturity: Predefined intents, entities and dialogue templates for common
use cases are accelerating time to market and increasing quality.
■ Convenience: Although we can still claim that there are more emerging practices
than established best practices, the experience of building high-quality chatbots is
increasingly being codified into educational resources.
Obstacles
■ Technology is improving at an astounding pace, but best practices for adoption and
use of these technological advancements are still trailing. K-12 will also likely
experience a lot of trial and error as it explores what works best.
Sample Vendors
Amazon; AtlasRTX; ChatBot.com (for Education); Google; IBM; K12 Insight; Microsoft;
Yellow.ai
AV Over IP
Analysis By: Terri-Lynn Thayer
Maturity: Obsolete
Definition:
Audio visual (AV) over Internet Protocol (IP) refers to the ability to send video and audio
over conventional networks and the replacement of analog (and often proprietary) AV
infrastructure with IP-based infrastructure.
When AV over IP first appeared in a Hype Cycle, it offered a new approach for the design
of AV systems in classrooms and other settings. It also offered advantages over
conventional matrix-switching-based systems. However, this technology was incredibly
slow moving and has now become obsolete before reaching the plateau, as meeting
solutions software and streaming technologies have emerged and been highly adopted
during the pandemic.
Business Impact
The potential business impact of AV over IP for education was earlier high but is now low.
There are few use cases that are now better handled with other technologies. AV
technicians have been slow to adopt new skills and there are few vendors specializing in
this space.
Drivers
Obstacles
■ There are better solutions to the problem available today, like technologies that are
highly adopted and almost ubiquitous today, such as meeting solutions software
and streaming technologies.
User Recommendations
Self-Integrating Applications
Analysis By: Keith Guttridge
Maturity: Embryonic
Definition:
Integrating new applications and services into an application portfolio is complex and
expensive. Gartner research shows that up to 65% of the cost of implementing a new ERP
or CRM system is attributable to integration. The technology to enable applications to
self-integrate exists in pockets, but no vendor has yet combined all the elements
successfully. As applications develop the ability to discover and connect to each other, the
amount of basic integration work will dramatically reduce.
Business Impact
Drivers
Obstacles
■ The lack of a clear market leader that is looking to push this technology forward as
the major application vendors look to protect their customer bases.
User Recommendations
■ Ask your major application vendors about the interoperability of applications within
their portfolios. This is the area where self-integrating applications are most likely to
emerge first.
Sample Vendors
Maturity: Emerging
Definition:
A learning experience platform (LXP) is the front-end layer that typically sits on top of a
learning management system (LMS). LXPs are used to enhance an individual learner’s
interactions and engagement via greater personalization, content curation, and expanded
breadth of content.
Education institutions are demanding learning platforms that are easier to use and offer
better personalization. LMSs have traditionally been perceived as focusing on scheduling,
registering and tracking of learner activities. LXPs are starting to deliver personalized
learning paths, channels and collections that allow learners to easily organize, access and
share relevant resources, plus gain visibility on additional learning assets that others find
valuable.
Drivers
■ Students are demanding a wider range of resources and upskilling options beyond
traditional course design.
■ Some students are willing to learn with content purely from the institution. However,
others are seeking to supplement their learning through access to a wider range of
content sources to support learning and skills development for employability. This
opens up opportunities for new styles of content partnerships and credential
pathways.
■ The provider landscape for LXPs is still maturing and evolving. At present, very few
corporate LXP vendors sell into the education space and currently there is no
commonly defined feature set. Consequently, it can be challenging to evaluate and
select vendors.
■ Education LMS vendors are evolving in response to market need to offer similar
benefits to LXPs. The boundaries between LXP and LMS in education are therefore
not clear.
User Recommendations
■ Evaluate the strengths, weaknesses and roadmap of the various LXP providers to
determine their advantages relative to existing systems and their fit for institutional
strategy, culture and context.
■ Acknowledge that corporate LXP products may not fully fit higher education
requirements.
■ Pilot any LXP for a small, targeted population of learners to clarify benefits prior to
major investment.
■ Prioritize any initial pilot on programs where the LXP can demonstrably enhance
programs and the overall institution.
Quick Answer: What Does Microsoft Viva Learning Mean for Corporate Learning Buyers?
Smart Campus
Analysis By: Grace Farrell, Kelly Calhoun Williams
Maturity: Emerging
Definition:
A smart campus can heavily influence many aspects of student life. Education leaders are
under pressure to retain students and staff, strengthen their reputation, and reduce carbon
footprint. Smart campus initiatives offer these institutions opportunities to personalize the
student experience, save money on energy-draining technologies and fortify security
measures on campus. As more students return to a physical campus, smart-campus
technologies can reinvigorate the education experience.
A smart campus will boost efficiencies for utilities, traffic, parking, safety, space usage
and campus navigation. As the digital campus matures, learning and student retention
will improve as an immersive and content-rich environment emerges. Mature smart
campuses are likely to support higher education research in new ways, and act as critical
sources of research data. And in K-12, a smart campus can free up critical funding and
people resources, given the current staff and funding shortages.
Drivers
■ The development of smart cities has yielded significant positive outcomes for local
governments and their constituents. These smart cities are partnering with local
universities to improve safety, reduce waste and enhance navigation in the area.
■ Like many other organizations, education institutions are being pushed to report on
their sustainability efforts. Smart-city-related measurement and data visualization
can be important ways of accomplishing these sustainability goals.
■ Where applicable globally, recovery funds that are focused on a shift to renewable
energy, building modernization, or greening and decarbonization will provide schools
with more funding to support smart-campus efforts.
■ There is a growing public concern that many institutions must bolster safety and
security efforts. The use of automated license plate readers, facial recognition,
gunshot sensors and location intelligence has helped to ensure that stakeholders
feel safer on campus.
■ The ability to measure and automatically adjust heating, cooling and lighting
presents potentially significant cost saving opportunities.
■ Designing a smart campus takes significant time and resources. Institutions will
need to begin by upgrading their wireless and wired infrastructure, and improving
bandwidth and software-defined networks.
■ Many smart campus initiatives begin with a hyperfocus on one particular aspect,
rather than a holistic strategy for the ecosystem. Smart-campus goals can range
from traffic and parking to virtual health services. Cross-collaboration among
different departments is essential for interoperability, yet many institutions lack the
strategy to scale and get stuck at the individual project level.
■ Education leaders will need to think beyond technologies implemented, and look
toward the utilization of data and how it will impact the student experience.
■ Decentralizing large systems and securely using gathered data have proven to be
challenging for many.
■ Stakeholders may resist smart-campus initiatives due to unforeseen risk and privacy
concerns.
User Recommendations
■ Identify the business purpose and specific objectives for developing a smart campus
first. Campus and organization stakeholders must be involved.
■ Engage with facilities departments in the earliest possible stages of building design.
New buildings being planned on campus will need the appropriate infrastructure to
support smart-campus applications.
■ Prepare the institution for a future smart campus by planning for highly scalable
network availability, especially in high-volume areas, such as outdoor spaces,
classrooms and dorms.
Maturity: Emerging
Definition:
Emotion artificial intelligence (AI) technologies (also called affective computing) use AI
techniques to analyze the emotional state of a user (via computer vision, audio/voice
input, sensors and/or software logic). Emotion AI can initiate responses by performing
specific, personalized actions to fit the mood of the customer.
Business Impact
Contact centers use voice analysis and natural language processing (NLP)-based
algorithms to detect emotions in voice conversations, in personal chat conversations and
chatbots. Computer vision (CV) based emotion AI has already been used for more than a
decade in market research with neuromarketing platforms that test users’ reactions
toward products. In addition, we see the technology expanding to other verticals, such as
medical research, healthcare (diagnostic) and retail (customer experience).
Drivers
■ As the metaverse unfolds, virtual beings will play an important role as business
models evolve and the entire ecosystem of this new digital world emerges.
Obstacles
■ Privacy concerns are the main obstacle to rapid adoption in the enterprise. This is
especially a concern in real-live situations (vs. lab/research environments) for both
consumer-facing (e.g., monitoring emotions in a retail environment via cameras) and
employee-facing situations. Research environments like product testing have the
advantage that the Emotion AI is used for this specific purpose and the user (product
tester) is fully aware that their emotions are being captured to improve usability or
other features.
■ Variation across modalities. Certain emotions can be better detected with one
technology mode than with another. For instance, “irony” can be detected using
voice-based analysis while this is close to impossible to detect with facial
expression analysis.
User Recommendations
■ Review vendors’ capabilities and reference cases carefully. As the market is currently
very immature, most vendors are focused on two or three use cases in two or three
industries. At the same time, identifying and processing human emotion is currently
a gray area, especially in the EU. The EU Commission has started an initiative to
review the ethical aspects of AI technologies, and emotion AI will certainly be part of
this debate.
■ Appoint responsibility for data privacy in your organization — a chief data privacy
officer or equivalent.
■ Work with your vendor on change management in order to avoid user backlash due
to sensitive data being collected.
Sample Vendors
Behavioral Signals; Cogito; DAVI; Intelligent Voice; kama.ai; MorphCast; Soul Machines;
Superceed; Symanto; Uniphore
Maturity: Emerging
Definition:
Business Impact
■ Creating a tertiary copy of backup data, separate from production and disaster
recovery copies
Drivers
■ Threats and sophistication of ransomware attacks, and the potential risk associated
with rogue administrators, are increasing.
■ Reports of attacks taking over console operations of backup solutions to expire and
delete backup data.
■ Greater attention is being given to alternative backup strategies to protect, detect and
recover from ransomware.
■ Industries such as the government, education and healthcare have had a higher rate
of reported ransomware incidents.
■ Implementing another solution to store backup data amounts to additional cost that
may not be budgeted.
■ Immutable data vaults not only require additional backup storage, but also are
recommended to be physically separated within a data center. This requires added
infrastructure, such as a new cage or area with limited access and being air gapped
from the production network.
■ Immutability and air gap are defined differently by vendors, and vary in
implementation and effectiveness by a lack of standards. Therefore, it’s important to
understand what each vendor means by “immutable” and “air gap” and how its
functionality is implemented to assess the risk that hackers can override it.
User Recommendations
■ Plan for when, not if, an attack will occur in the cost-benefit analysis to gain
management buy-in to phase in costs.
■ Work with immutable data vaults, which are storage environments or products
intended to supplement existing backup infrastructure. These are physically secure
environments with physical access controls, a limited access list and two-person
authentication capabilities.
■ Be mindful that the data stored within an immutable data vault may also contain the
agent or infectious code, as well as infected or encrypted data. Therefore,
incorporate other requirements to scan, cleanse and repair backup data into the
environment to prevent the reinfection of other systems during the recovery and
restoration process.
Research Roundup for Improving the Protection of Backup Infrastructure and Recovering
From Ransomware Attacks
Innovation Insight for Leveraging Isolated Recovery Environments and Immutable Data
Vaults to Protect and Recover From Ransomware
Detect, Protect, Recover: How Modern Backup Applications Can Protect You From
Ransomware
Maturity: Adolescent
Definition:
Robotic process automation (RPA) is a licensed software tool for building scripts to
integrate any application via the user interface and a control dashboard/orchestrator that
automates routine, repetitive, rule-based, predictable tasks using structured digital data.
In their initial form (over five years ago), RPA tools predominantly focused on task-centric
use cases, automating manual, repetitive processes. End-user adoption has been growing,
and tools are expanding to automate more extensive process workflows, but this has yet
to gain substantial momentum in K-12 education.
Though not new, the concept of RPA is largely unfamiliar in K-12, where the struggle to
automate repetitive and inefficient tasks continues. Products are beginning to reference
their capabilities more effectively, and K-12 CIOs increasingly want to understand what
RPA can do.
If effectively combined with existing systems, RPA has the potential to drive down costs
and streamline tasks with potential organizationwide benefits. This can also redirect
resources (e.g., people and financial) to tasks not easily automated.
Drivers
■ K-12 organizations are still typically rife with heavily manual, paper-driven and highly
repetitive tasks — the kind that could benefit most from RPA. From administrative
(e.g., attendance, enrollment, scheduling and service improvement) to business (e.g.,
data collection, reporting and analysis) and instruction (eventually streamlining
learning data collection and analysis), use cases abound for RPA.
■ Though perhaps the earliest and most obvious targets, the potential exists to focus
on cost-saving opportunities and streamlining efficiencies, freeing up staff for other
tasks that cannot be automated. This could represent a major driver for
organizations typically struggling to make the most of limited revenue. This is
doubly true in light of the current serious shortages of faculty and staff being
experienced in K-12 around the globe.
■ Across industries, vendors have grown and made extensive R&D investments. K-12
vendors are starting to take note and are leveraging RPA to improve products.
■ There are also new entrants, such as SAP and Microsoft. Gartner estimates the
software market has reached over $1.3 billion and the services market is over $5
billion (with continued growth expected).
■ For other industries, RPA has rapidly matured, and it is on the verge of becoming
mainstream in the Plateau of Productivity. Its use will become even more common
with the sharp increase in a work-from-home environment, which requires the default
to be digital. By contrast, K-12 education is frequently known for being so
overwhelmed by inefficient processes that it often fails to invest time and money on
options that could actually reduce that burden.
■ In K-12, use of RPA by organizations is not rapidly advancing, leaving it short of the
Peak of Inflated Expectations. Given the rising and fast-moving nature of the
technology as a whole, we anticipate that, as new use cases are created and new
vendors appear to leverage it in their products for K-12, RPA use may accelerate in
this sector. However, K-12’s relative lack of doing its own application development
may mean this has to advance by way of vendors, not by K-12 organizations
adopting it on their own.
User Recommendations
K-12 RPA investments should focus on the broadest array of use cases. Cost savings and
efficiency gains are the likely early targets, but as options are enhanced with the use of AI,
K-12 CIOs will find an even greater impact on possibilities across the organization. This
may start by finding vendors leveraging RPA to streamline their offerings.
■ Form the foundation that will underpin workflow, efficiency, efficacy and agility, with
the overall approach and architecture designed for the automation of business and
IT processes.
Sample Vendors
AntWorks; Automation Anywhere; Blue Prism; Kofax; Microsoft; NICE; Pegasystems; SAP;
UiPath; WorkFusion
Maturity: Emerging
Definition:
Adaptive learning dynamically adjusts the way that instructional content is presented to
students, based on their responses or preferences. Adaptive learning is increasingly
dependent on a large-scale collection of learning data and algorithmically (and even AI-
derived) pedagogical responses.
Business Impact
The ultimate aim of adaptive learning in education is to enhance the learning experience
and empower students by addressing their unique learning styles, preferences and needs.
It also allows targeting specific concepts to be retaught with a new approach as and when
needed, streamlining and filling in learning gaps. These changes can lead to tangible
results, such as improved learning outcomes, higher retention rates and better graduation
rates, all of which are important accountability measures in education.
■ Adaptive learning has been in place for several years in K-12 education. The ability
to leverage intelligence to improve the accuracy and effectiveness of the content has
been possible in the past few years, greatly elevating its impact and usefulness.
Obstacles
Adaptive learning is steadily progressing, but at a slow pace, still climbing the Peak of
Inflated Expectations, with broader availability and adoption needed to move it into the
trough. Adding AI to the equation has introduced new challenges:
■ There must be enough data to mine to produce valid insights. The data must be
available from a very large set of users using the product, larger than what would be
available in most organizations.
■ To achieve this, a publisher must have control over both the content and digital
assessments, enabling it to develop content adaptations that will work.
■ This limitation has to date largely restricted use to mainly digital publishers that
control both the content and assessments, and have large numbers of student users.
■ There are adaptive learning platforms on which K-12 organizations can customize
content and assessments, but this has evolved into an overwhelming undertaking.
User Recommendations
■ Engage teachers and staff to participate in product evaluation, as they will have a
vested interest in ensuring that learning outcomes are improved with the product.
■ Follow a four-stage process: (1) become educated about the products and educate
key stakeholders about them; (2) use your pioneer educators to identify and pilot
products that meet required learning standards; (3) review lessons learned; and (4)
move to larger-scale implementations.
Sample Vendors
Online Tutoring
Analysis By: Saher Mahmood
Definition:
Online tutoring services are thriving online marketplaces where learners can seek one-on-
one or group tutoring from private tutors around the globe. These can be live or recorded
virtual sessions, and they help students meet and supplement their learning requirements.
Online tutoring can potentially address learning gaps among students, which were
exacerbated during the pandemic and could cost this generation of students close to $17
trillion in lifetime earnings, according to the World Bank. Collaborating with online tutoring
companies at an organizational level will require administrative and academic leaders to
do a needs assessment, understand its benefits and implications, and have a consensus
on the estimated ROI.
Drivers
■ With students already provisioned with laptops for remote learning and school
districts armed with stimulus funding allocated for learning loss, two major criteria
for facilitating online tutoring are already met.
■ The additional insights and data that can be gleaned from learner activity and
responses to these services could be a potential advantage that educators can seek.
■ 24/7 services and a vast pool of vendor-vetted tutors (including university students
and faculty) offer the potential to lower tutoring costs.
■ With AI algorithms to connect students’ needs and tutors’ skill sets, the growing need
for more accurate and personalized matches has a greater chance of being realized.
■ Although data does not suggest any particular disadvantage with online learning,
online tutoring can lack the personal touch of an in-person teaching and learning
experience. While academic learning can take place via screen, overall human
interaction, including fine motor skills, which are an integral part of the K-12 learning
ecosystem, cannot be easily addressed by online tutoring.
■ Since online tutoring is entirely dependent on technology for delivery, it is not free
from glitches, especially as demand surges.
User Recommendations
■ Prepare for future adoption of online tutoring services at your district by exploring
the market and identifying the major vendors partnering with institutions, their
licensing models and their technology requirements.
■ Work with academic leaders to do a needs assessment and run focused pilots to get
a clear understanding of benefits and implications. Use these pilots to establish
frameworks for assessing outcomes and estimating ROI.
■ Establish a clear understanding of the quality and volume of learning data that can
be accessed through sign-ups by discussing frequency, formats and requisite
integrations.
Sample Vendors
Edge Computing
Analysis By: Bob Gill, Philip Dawson
Definition:
Edge computing describes a distributed computing topology in which data storage and
processing are placed in an optimal location relative to the location of data creation and
use. Edge computing locates data and workloads to optimize for latency, bandwidth,
autonomy and regulatory/security considerations. Edge-computing locations extend
along a continuum between the absolute edge, where physical sensors and digital
systems converge, to the “core,” usually the cloud or a centralized data center.
Edge computing has quickly become the decentralized complement to the largely
centralized implementation of hyperscale public cloud. Edge computing solves many
pressing issues, such as unacceptable latency and bandwidth requirements, given the
massive increase in edge-located data. The edge-computing topology enables the
specifics of Internet of Things (IoT), digital business and managed distributed IT
solutions, serving as a foundational element for next-generation applications.
Business Impact
Edge computing improves efficiency and cost control through processing close to the
edge, where the data is generated or acted upon (e.g., better automation and quality
control), and offers more business opportunities and growth (e.g., customer experience
and new real-time business interactions). Early implementations have succeeded at
enterprises that rely on operational technology (OT) systems and data outside core IT,
such as the retail and industrial sectors.
■ IoT use cases are expanding from the industrial sector to other verticals, driving a
move toward a hierarchical and distributed model.
■ Edge computing’s inherent decoupling of application front ends and back ends
provides a perfect means of fostering innovation and enhanced ways to do
business. For example, using technologies such as machine learning and industrial
sensors to perform new tasks at locations where business and operational events
take place, or at the point of interaction with a retail customer, can drive significant
business value.
■ The diversity of devices, software controls and application types all amplify
complexity issues.
■ Widespread edge topology and explicit application and networking architectures for
edge computing are not yet common outside vertical applications, such as retail and
manufacturing.
User Recommendations
■ Create and follow an enterprise edge strategy by focusing first on business benefit
and holistic systems, not simply focusing on technical solutions or products.
■ Establish a modular, extensible edge architecture through the use of emerging edge
frameworks and design sets. This will enable the mixing and matching of
technologies based on enterprise direction, not simply “what comes with the vendor
solution.”
■ Accelerate time to benefit and de-risk technical decisions through the use of
vertically aligned systems integrators and independent software vendors that
demonstrate an understanding of, and ability to, implement and manage the full
orchestration stack from top to bottom.
AI in K-12 Education
Analysis By: Kelly Calhoun Williams
Maturity: Emerging
Definition:
Artificial intelligence (AI) applies advanced analysis and logic-based techniques, including
machine learning, to interpret events, support and automate decisions, and take actions.
This profile looks at the use and impact of AI applications for K-12 education
organizations.
AI applications hold great promise in teaching, learning, business and administration. The
hype around AI in general is high, but we are starting to discern a better understanding of
the AI family of technologies and specific use cases for AI in education. At the moment,
two general use cases stand out: intelligent automation and intelligent insights.
Business Impact
AI is a general-purpose technology (having the potential to fully impact the entire system)
that will be used wherever there is machine-readable data:
■ AI will eventually touch every aspect of education. It has the potential to transform
not only the education professions that we prepare students to enter, but also
education itself.
■ Although still early, AI in K-12 education already has several use cases in all areas of
teaching, learning, business and administration. But these are at different maturity
and adoption levels.
■ A fast-maturing driver is “intelligent automation,” which frees up time for faculty and
staff for higher-quality interactions with students. A mature example centers on
simple chatbots, but other, much more complex tasks (such as advanced virtual
personal assistants [VPAs]) are in earlier phases. Chatbots include examples such as
basic question-and-answer chatbots for help desks, or streamlining help for parents
and students with common administrative questions. More-advanced, second-
generation VPAs have the potential to serve as intelligent tutors for students,
especially in a time with critical shortages of faculty and staff.
■ A more slowly maturing driver is the need for nonintuitive intelligent insights that
build on a classic need for data-driven decisions. Promising current use cases focus
on mining assessment data to identify areas needing rapid remediation (including
adaptive learning), particularly in these days of pandemic learning loss. These can
address the ultimate aim of increasing graduation rates, benefiting both students
and the organization.
■ In the most advanced cases, intelligent automation and intelligent insights are
combined into prescriptive analysis and action that streamline personalized support
and learning experiences.
■ Worries about ethical use of data and privacy, particularly when it comes to minor
children. This is adding pressure to carefully navigate and make processes and
algorithms in use transparent and trustworthy, sometimes expressed as “explainable
AI.”
■ AI efforts to date in K-12 have been hampered by the lack of access to a corpus of
machine-readable data large enough to be mined with any degree of reliability. For
now, uses are most often constrained to larger-scale content publishers with
curricula and assessments used across a very large number of users.
User Recommendations
■ Develop a clear data transparency policy regarding how data will be used (or not
used), to establish trust. Be transparent when collecting data for AI initiatives,
particularly data used for student personalization.
■ Build a team of diverse talent (internal and external) to ensure AI project success.
Sample Vendors
Applying AI in Industries
Maturity: Adolescent
Definition:
Immersive technology now describes the category that includes virtual, augmented and
mixed reality. These are different, yet related technologies. Virtual reality (VR) technologies
create computer-generated environments to immerse users in a virtual environment.
Augmented reality (AR) technologies overlay digital information on the physical world to
enhance it and guide action. Mixed reality (MR) blends the physical and digital worlds in
new ways.
Business Impact
The new generation of immersive applications promises to support learning activities that
improve student engagement, such as:
Drivers
■ Increased sector adoption of online and blended learning has led to interest in
environments that can enhance engagement and impact.
■ Some poor online learning experiences from those institutions pivoting to online
during the pandemic have stimulated a search for more interactive learning
experiences.
■ Popular use cases involve simulation and skills development (for example, in
medicine).
■ The overall costs of developing immersive technologies are falling over time,
however, the hardware and space constraints (particularly in schools) is a challenge
yet to be solved.
Obstacles
■ The bigger challenge has been the relatively small amount of high-quality, education-
specific (and standards-aligned in K-12) content to meet the broad range of
curricular needs.
■ The issue of cost and scale continues to be particularly problematic in K-12, where
models for using a small number of very expensive immersive headsets in limited
physical classroom space are not very practical.
■ The technical challenges and the policy and pedagogical obstacles to be overcome
mean that it will be five to 10 years before these technologies reach the Plateau of
Productivity.
User Recommendations
■ Ensure that users gain experience implementing and supporting smaller applications
of immersive technologies before moving on to large, classroom-scale applications,
given price concerns.
■ Find ways to manage the currently very consumer-oriented nature of many of these
tools that are in an enterprise environment.
■ Continue to track effective applications, and pilot and adopt those that really do
impact learning outcomes for the better. Immersive technologies represent
potentially powerful learning tools — do not neglect the pedagogical future that is
possible here.
Sample Vendors
Alchemy Immersive; ENGAGE XR; Google; INDYLAB VR; InstaVR; Microsoft; Nearpod;
Oculus; zSpace
5G
Analysis By: Sylvain Fabre
Definition:
5G supports eMBB, URLLC and MIoT which play a vital role in supporting the digital
economy and enterprise transformation. 3GPP 5G standards releases deliver incremental
functionality: in R15, extreme mobile broadband; then, in R16: industrial IoT (massive IoT,
slicing and security) — this the latest commercially available release; later, in R17: MIMO
enhancements, sidelink, DSS, IIoT/URLLC, bands up to 71GHz, nonterrestrial networks and
RedCap. Finally, R18 is under definition.
Business Impact
■ 5G enables three main technology deployment, which each support distinct new
services for multiple industries and use cases of digital transformation, and possibly
new business models (such as latency as a service), namely: enhanced mobile
broadband (eMBB) for HD video; mMTC for large IoT deployments; and URLLC for
high-availability and very low-latency use cases, such as remote vehicle operations.
■ Promising applications include fixed wireless access, IoT support and private mobile
networks.
■ Gartner estimates that 5G-capable handset share of sales will reach 83% in 2023 in
Western Europe from 51% in 2021. North America share will rise to close to 90%.
■ Increased data usage per user and device requires a more efficient infrastructure.
■ Operational cost savings and growth with new vertical industry use cases for
industry use cases.
■ Requirements from industrial users value 5G lower latency from ultrareliable and
low-latency communications (URLLC) and expect 5G to outperform rivals in this
area.
■ Competitive pressures, if one CSP launches 5G in the market others usually have to
follow or risk losing market share.
■ Need to upgrade to 5G SA (stand-alone) Core for more advanced R16 release (such
as slicing).
■ Use of higher frequencies and massive capacity requires denser deployments with
higher frequency reuse, which could raise network costs.
■ Uncertainty about use cases and business models that may drive 5G for many CSPs,
enterprises, and technology and service providers (TSPs).
■ Feedback from some industrial clients mentioned that the majority of their use cases
could be serviced by a 4G private network, Wi-Fi and/or NB-IoT, and other LPWA such
as LoRa.
■ While diverse networks can offer adequate and cost-effective alternatives to 5G for
many use cases (e.g., LPWA, NB-IoT, LoRa, Wi-SUN), overall TCO and future
proofness may not be as good.
■ Provide clear SLAs for network performance by testing installation quality for
sufficient and consistent signal strength, signal-to-noise ratio, video experience,
throughput and coverage for branch locations.
■ Focus on architecture readiness — such as SDN, NFV, CSP edge computing and
distributed cloud architectures, and end-to-end security — in preparation for 5G.
■ Build their ecosystem of partners to target industry verticals more effectively with 5G
and before competition.
Sample Vendors
Creating Your Enterprise 4G and 5G Private Mobile Network Procurement Strategy and
RFQ
5G Providers Must Grasp the Scope of Hyperscalers’ Announcements for CSP Network
Infrastructure
Top Technology Trends for CSPs in 2022: 5G as a Catalyst for Platform Strategy and
Culture Change
Digital Assessment
Analysis By: Saher Mahmood
Definition:
Authentic assessments that reliably evaluate learning are a top priority for education.
Pandemic-induced learning gaps have made this insight mission-critical in K-12 schools.
Analog methods are expensive and time-consuming, increasing the reliance on a
standardized approach and the traditional, multibillion-dollar industry of high-stakes,
summative assessments. Digital assessments are allowing educators to innovate with
formative assessment practices to achieve quality insight at scale.
Business Impact
Digital assessment holds the promise of furthering education’s aim of moving from
assessment of learning to assessment for learning and possibly even assessment as
learning. New assessment platforms are a key component for the growing maturity of
online learning and the scalability of education. Digital assessment is foundational in the
growth of adaptive learning technologies and other pedagogical approaches that first
require an accurate insight into what was learned or missed.
■ Learning gaps that have emerged in the wake of the pandemic can be addressed
more effectively and rapidly by leveraging digital assessments. Technology has
allowed users to go beyond simply making traditional assessments digital, to using
interactive and adaptive technologies and observational, immersive or AI-enhanced
capabilities that collect this insight.
■ Adopting digital assessments has shown abundant potential time savings; for
example, as much as 50% of the time to grade. Adding AI to the mix promises to
save even more for instructors with large numbers of students and/or subjects.
Obstacles
■ With the growth of online learning and ongoing concerns about integrity, especially
in assessments taken by students remotely, proving the validity of the results is key.
■ Questions around how to develop a strategy both for new means of formative
assessment and managing high-stakes summative assessments need to evolve over
the next couple of years. The post-COVID-19 investment in digital devices will play a
significant role in this shift.
■ Work with partners in the instructional team to clearly establish use cases for their
assessment needs so they can identify the solution or mix of products needed.
Some districts are requiring that all purchased digital assessments must be fully
integrated with content.
■ Pay close attention to security, privacy and location, since most vendors are now
cloud-based. Seek clarity on how to store and manage data from these tools, as well
as about peak usage scenarios with bandwidth limitations, if any.
Education Analytics
Analysis By: Kelly Calhoun Williams
Definition:
Education analytics is the collection and analysis of data in education to gain actionable
insight, with the goal of improving learning and learning outcomes, enrollment, services, or
business practices, as well as finding new efficiencies, cost savings or revenue streams.
Business Impact
Exploring analytics for K-12 education requires thinking through its business impact:
■ It will require significant work in building a data culture throughout the organization,
and clarity on what the critical questions are that need to be answered.
■ The benefits will only be realized if the organization is able to generate accurate (and
useful) insight, make decisions, and take action as appropriate.
Drivers
■ K-12 education is under increasing pressure from legislative bodies, from parents
and from students themselves to improve learning outcomes and business
efficiencies.
■ Many K-12 education organizations, globally, are facing significant impact from
learning loss, starting with the closure of schools due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Analytics will play a critical role in targeting where to focus to address this.
■ Many K-12 education organizations, globally, are facing severe faculty and staff
shortages, or will do so in the future. Educational analytics can provide a toolkit to
anticipate these challenges and respond to them accordingly.
■ Although often rich, much of the data in K-12 education is not ready for use in
analytics, as it is neither clean nor complete, or lacks integrity. Analytics solutions
will often reveal problems with existing data and governance processes, which can
require significant time to clean up.
■ The data and analytics themselves are not enough, but require action to be taken
based on the insights provided. This step is crucial, but often overlooked. Many K-12
education organizations generate great visualizations of data, but fail to focus on
this critical final step, which means that there are often no tangible impacts. This
can lead to a loss of buy-in and support.
User Recommendations
■ Identify the problem you are trying to solve or question you are trying to answer.
Start small by identifying discrete projects you can execute in a short time frame for
some easy wins.
■ Build the organizational structures that will enable future progress by creating a data
governance process, and identifying and bringing together stakeholders for data
analytics in each functional area.
■ Make your data more usable by developing processes for identifying, standardizing
and cleaning data.
■ Pay attention to data privacy and ethics, and work within your data governance
structure to develop policies and guidelines around the ethical use of data, including
opt out and informed consent provisions where appropriate.
Blackboard; BrightBytes; D2L; Edsby; IBM; Kiddom; Oracle; PowerSchool; SAS; Tableau
Top Trends in Data and Analytics for 2021: Data and Analytics as a Core Business
Function
Definition:
■ Foster the decoupling of some K-12 and higher education business models.
■ Speed up time to market for job seekers and establish a new ecosystem of learning
opportunities.
Business Impact
Digital credentials, which can enable a secure, validated and expedient exchange of skills
and education, can impact student outcomes for employment, lifelong learning and career
advancement. The student learner will be empowered to own the credential and share
when they choose. The impact of digital credentials on K-12, corporate workforce
development and higher education will transform business models for learning, talent
identification and fluidity, while also enabling new entrants into the education ecosystem.
Drivers
■ Changing business models, the number of learners entering the workforce, and
length of time from graduation to employment, are influencing students and
employers to reconsider traditional paper-based job and talent search models.
Digital credentials enable employers to view student information quickly and easily,
offering students and learners a swift and agile approach to share validated
knowledge and skills with potential employers.
Obstacles
■ Currently, there is no widely used digital credentialing infrastructure or common
standards to easily store, share and display credentials that offer a comprehensive
picture of learning experiences with employers and training institutions.
■ Although digital credentials are gaining public acceptance, more education is still
needed, as progress is hampered by a relative lack of understanding of what they are
and how they are defined.
■ Until all institutions establish habits to deliver any credential (formal or informal,
traditional or new, badge or diploma) in digital format, they will struggle to
understand the true essence of digital society, and needs and expectations of their
students, partners and community.
User Recommendations
■ Search for an appropriate use case of current digital credentialing technology at your
institution or organization, by initiating a pilot to help institution leaders consider the
policy implications, growing ecosystem and corporate readiness for this new digital
currency.
Sample Vendors
Agile Learning: Use Progressive Layering of Skills to Upskill and Develop Employees
Business Impact
Drivers
■ Inform the strategic planning activities in pursuit of the desired level of cybersecurity
capability.
■ Help reach internal consensus on actual and desired maturity levels over time as
expectations on the cybersecurity program increase.
User Recommendations
■ Assess maturity regularly to guide priorities and inform strategic plans aimed at
desired levels of cybersecurity capability. Remember that the value of a maturity
assessment will diminish as maturity increases.
■ Select a maturity assessment that evaluates the broader security function and not
only the implementation of controls.
■ Interpret the source of the assessment correctly to avoid creating a false sense of
security based on a self-assessed maturity score.
Sample Vendors
Accenture; Blue Lava; Deloitte; EY; KPMG; PwC; TrustMAPP; V3 Cybersecurity; RealCISO
Frequently Asked Questions on the IT Score for Security and Risk Management
Maturity: Obsolete
Definition:
Business Impact
■ iPaaS aims to bring application and data integration together under the same
platform. This allows developers to integrate data without having to work with
several tools.
Drivers
■ The increasing interest in cloud-based solutions for data warehousing and analytics,
as well as requirements for access to and delivery of datasets using cloud
environments, presents growing opportunities to leverage iPaaS for data integration.
■ The adoption of hybrid and multicloud deployment models, cloud data stores, and
cloud data ecosystems in general, as well as the movement of enterprise data into
cloud applications, fuels demand for using cloud services for data integration.
■ On-premises data integration tool vendors are actively competing in the iPaaS
market. These providers target specific data integration opportunities, such as
integrating SaaS endpoints and supporting IoT and multicloud solutions via a cloud-
native platform or by offering an iPaaS rendition of existing on-premises integration
platforms. In many cases, users of iPaaS favor offerings that support both data and
application integration within a single toolset.
■ Most data integration tools now have the ability to deliver data integration styles via
cloud services through a PaaS model. This is blurring the lines between a stand-
alone iPaaS tool to be used for data integration and a general-purpose data
integration tool.
■ Some SaaS providers embed an iPaaS to make it easier and faster to integrate their
services with the rest of the application portfolio that their customers use. As the use
of hybrid delivery models continues to grow, organizations are increasingly
considering iPaaS as either a strategic component or an extension of their data
integration infrastructure to enable a hybrid integration platform strategy.
Obstacles
■ The iPaaS market is flooded with providers that may specialize in one type of
integration and could be weak in other integration types. For example, some iPaaS
tools are mature at extraction, transformation and loading (ETL) and exhibit
weakness in application integration scenarios, whereas others may be strong in API
management but weak at ETL. Therefore, it becomes difficult for organizations to
evaluate and deploy an iPaaS technology as an organization standard.
■ Some iPaaS providers are limited in their partnering and metadata extensibility to
operate with broader data management capabilities. As a result, many iPaaS
deployments are not applied to data integration processes that must be governed
and traceable via data lineage or metadata management.
User Recommendations
■ Use iPaaS for data integration as an extension of the organization’s data integration
infrastructure and as an enabling technology for hybrid integration platform
capabilities.
■ Focus on those iPaaS tools that provide mature capabilities for data integration,
such as the ability to integrate data from on-premises data stores and applications
to cloud targets.
■ Most data integration tools are now able to provide data integration services through
a PaaS model. Therefore, for scenarios requiring access to on-premises data
sources, prioritize data integration tools that can be provisioned via a PaaS model,
rather than evaluate a general-purpose iPaaS tool that may not yet be mature in data
integration scenarios like ETL.
Sample Vendors
Low
Phase Definition
Peak of Inflated Expectations During this phase of overenthusiasm and unrealistic projections, a flurry of
well-publicized activity by technology leaders results in some successes, but
more failures, as the innovation is pushed to its limits. The only enterprises
making money are conference organizers and content publishers.
Trough of Disillusionment Because the innovation does not live up to its overinflated expectations, it
rapidly becomes unfashionable. Media interest wanes, except for a few
cautionary tales.
Slope of Enlightenment Focused experimentation and solid hard work by an increasingly diverse
range of organizations lead to a true understanding of the innovation’s
applicability, risks and benefits. Commercial off-the-shelf methodologies and
tools ease the development process.
Plateau of Productivity The real-world benefits of the innovation are demonstrated and accepted.
Tools and methodologies are increasingly stable as they enter their second
and third generations. Growing numbers of organizations feel comfortable
with the reduced level of risk; the rapid growth phase of adoption begins.
Approximately 20% of the technology’s target audience has adopted or is
adopting the technology as it enters this phase.
Years to Mainstream Adoption The time required for the innovation to reach the Plateau of Productivity.
Transformational Enables new ways of doing business across industries that will result in
major shifts in industry dynamics
High Enables new ways of performing horizontal or vertical processes that will
result in significantly increased revenue or cost savings for an enterprise
Low Slightly improves processes (for example, improved user experience) that will
be difficult to translate into increased revenue or cost savings