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Geoingeneering and Politic of Science
Geoingeneering and Politic of Science
of the
Atomic
Scientists ®
Abstract
The latest reports from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) include an assessment of
geoengineeringÑmethods for removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, or cooling the Earth by reflecting
more of the sunÕs radiation back into space. The IPCC assessment signals the arrival of geoengineering into the
mainstream of climate science, and may normalize climate engineering as a policy response to global warming.
Already, conservative forces in the United States are promoting it as a substitute for emissions reductions.
Climate scientists are sharply divided over geoengineering, in much the same way that Manhattan Project
scientists were divided over nuclear weapons after World War II. Testing a geoengineering scheme, such as
sulfate aerosol spraying, is inherently difficult. Deployment would make political decision makers highly
dependent on a technocratic elite. In a geoengineered world, experts would control the conditions of daily
life, and it is unlikely that such a regime would be a just one. A disproportionate number of scientists currently
working on geoengineering have either worked at, or collaborated with, the Lawrence Livermore National
Laboratory. The history of US nuclear weapons laboratories during the Cold War reveals a belief in human-
kindÕs right to exercise total mastery over nature. With geoengineering, this kind of thinking is staging a
powerful comeback in the face of climate crisis.
Keywords
climate change, David Keith, Edward Teller, geoengineering, IPCC, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory,
solar radiation, Winston Churchill
makers, who fear accusations of bad faith the upper atmosphere to create a layer of
if they promote Plan B when it is they tiny particles between the Earth and the
who are in a position to implement the Sun (Keith, 2013). By mimicking the
superior Plan A, cutting greenhouse gas effect of a large volcanic eruption, such
emissions. With anxiety among climate a solar shield could be adjusted as
scientists rising, and the global commu- desired to reduce the amount of solar
nity still unable to agree to a program of radiation reaching the EarthÕs surface
emission reductions, the gap between and so cool the planet.
what must be done and what is being Until 2013, Keith had advocated only a
done grows wider each year, and it research program, but in his new book he
seems only a matter of time before the offers Òa specific scenario for deploy-
political floodgates are opened to mentÓ for the solar shield: beginning
geoengineering. with theoretical and laboratory work,
The recent publication of reports by followed by experiments in the atmos-
Working Groups II and III of the IPCC, phere, moving to minimal deployment
which provide a detailed assessment of and then, absent unpleasant surprises,
geoengineering, may be the event that commencing gradual full deployment,
triggers the opening. In a sense it does perhaps as early as 2025 (Keith, 2013:
not matter whether the IPCC takes a 80”86). KeithÕs proposal that we should
skeptical view or a more positive not merely conduct a research program
stance. The fact that the IPCC now but actually deploy the solar shield raises
includes geoengineering among the the stakes considerably. He proposes
potential policy responses to global that we start slowly and increase the
warming gives permission to those who injections until there are enough sulfate
have been supporting geoengineering in particles in the stratosphere to slow by
private to do so in public. half the rate of human-induced warming.
Moreover, the IPCCÕs formal acknow- Going only halfway, he argues, will shar-
ledgement of climate engineering as a ply reduce the risk of altering global rain-
possible response emboldens those in fall patterns.
the climate science community who are In some of his writings, Keith
promoting Plan B, and none more so than expresses confidence in humanityÕs abil-
Harvard physicist David Keith, the most ity to regulate the EarthÕs climate. Other
influential advocate of geoengineering atmospheric scientists have more
research (his influence and commercial doubts. Alan Robock at Rutgers Univer-
engagement are detailed in Hamilton, sity is the most influential climate scien-
2013). Eli Kintisch, author of Hack the tist publishing papers that take a
Planet (2010), describes Keith and Stan- skeptical view. In an article in the Bulle-
ford scientist Ken Caldeira as the tin, Robock (2008) listed 20 reasons why
Ògeoclique,Ó because of their long-run- geoengineering may be a bad idea.
ning advocacy and the central role they One of RobockÕs arguments was that
have played in almost all reports on the the climate effects of solar radiation
subject. In KeithÕs recent, short book, A management, once deployed, would be
Case for Climate Engineering, he puts to difficult to isolate from the effects of nat-
the general public for the first time a ural variability and the impacts of
rationale for injecting sulfuric acid into anthropogenic warming. This is a
Hamilton 19
geoengineering exposes the greensÕ lack choose the Russian cities and military
of faith in humanity. Rather than shrink- facilities to be obliterated in a first
ing from technological hubris, conserva- strike (Broad, 1992: 20).
tives are calling for greater mastery over In a world of climate control, the prac-
nature. However, conservatives who tice of politics would change along with
favor solar geoengineering seem not yet the weather. We have seen this before
to understand that, in seeking to avoid with world-shifting technologies.
government regulation of fossil fuel Steven Shapin recently wrote about
use, they are endorsing government Winston ChurchillÕs wartime rumin-
regulation of the climate, and doing so ations over BritainÕs commitment to
through a scientific bureaucracy that building an atom bomb:
would be far more powerful than the
IPCC. To be sure, such a bureaucracy . . . the distinction between the domains of sci-
ence and politics is put under pressure
would not regulate individual behavior, when there is a prospect that the nature of
but it would regulate the conditions in politics, diplomacy, and the use of military
which individuals behave. force will be transformed by the existence of
Beyond the ideological contortions of new science and new technologies. (Shapin,
2013: 36)
conservatives, what can be said about
decision making in a geoengineered
world? Geoengineering advocates seem Churchill, writes Shapin, Òsuspected that
to be at home in the world of techno- [scientists] had a pernicious wish to
cratic control. Keith implies that a separ- parlay technical expertise into political
ation can be maintained between the influence.Ó He took the view that scien-
pure domain of science and technology, tists should have no more influence on
and the arena of politics that threaten to government policy than dentists. But
sully itÑcreating what he calls Òa world politicians often have no choice, so
without politics,Ó (2013: 87) in which sci- Churchill surrounded himself with a
entists could be trusted to exercise small group of men who had won his
power, justly and objectively, over the trust. His job was to Òadjudicate between
worldÕs climate. the boffinsÓ (Brendon, 2013).
When future political leaders must However, as the historian Graham
make decisions on climate control, Farmelo has shown, Churchill came to
which scientists will they turn to? His- rely on one adviser in particular, the
tory suggests they will choose the ones Oxford physicist Frederick Lindemann.
they most trust. Trust has a contingent Lindemann was not a top-ranked scien-
relationship with expertise. As a rule, tist, but he was of ChurchillÕs social class
political orientation comes before and political convictions and, most use-
expertise. It was not only Edward Tell- fully, he was skilled in the art of flattery
erÕs reputation as Òthe father of the (Farmelo, 2013). (When criticized for his
hydrogen bombÓ that turned him into unhealthy closeness to Lindemann,
one of the foremost architects of the Churchill responded: ÒLove me, love
Cold War, but also his strident anti-com- my dog.Ó)
munism. With unmatched access to the Even so, Churchill always retained a
Republican White House, Teller was healthy skepticism of the boffins. In a
even invited into the Pentagon to help 1937 newspaper article titled ÒLife in
Hamilton 21
scientists, are evidence of that. Some sci- fund the Star Wars program, which pro-
entists take the view that if one is clever mised to develop a fleet of nuclear-pow-
enough to understand atmospheric ered satellites that could use enormously
physics then one is also clever enough powerful lasers to vaporize Russian mis-
to grasp the nuances of politics, social siles. At the heart of Star Wars were
change, and ethicsÑwhich donÕt appear Edward Teller and his protg Lowell
too hard or to require sustained study. Wood (Goodell, 2010).
Livermore scientists were not With the collapse of the Soviet Union
opposed to nuclear arms control treaties, and the end of the arms race, Livermore
but they were hostile toward test bans. lost much of its raison dÕtre. Its leaders
There is a similarly strong resistance argued that weapons scientists were still
among many geoengineers to any regu- needed to respond to threats from emer-
lation of research and testing, especially gent nuclear nations and terrorist
by the United Nations. At Livermore, groups, but they also began to look for
antipathy to test bans was not merely new opportunities to keep the laboratory
pragmatic. Gusterson divined deeper relevant. As it happened, nuclear weap-
cultural meaning in testing. The Òdisplay ons research spilled over into atmos-
of the secret knowledgeÕs powerÓ pheric science, since one of its tasks
imparted a keen sense of community was to evaluate the effects of a nuclear
among participants. Weapons tests exchange on the climate. That task
were Òpowerful rituals celebrating required the development of sophisti-
human command over the secrets of cated models to track the distribution
life and deathÓ (Gusterson, 1996: 155, of smoke, dust, and radiation. This cap-
234). They were proof that human mas- acity was expanded in the 1990s to study
tery of dangerous powers could be the effect on global climate of rising
attained. One might likewise expect greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
that tests of geoengineering technolo- In 1997, the laboratory published a
gies, if successful, would persuade paper by Teller, Wood, and Roderick
those carrying them out that technolo- Hyde, a senior scientist at Livermore,
gies of planetary control can be mas- titled ÒGlobal Warming and Ice Ages:
tered. The Promethean view allows one Prospects for Physics-based Modulation
to rise above the serious objection, posed of Global Change.Ó It was one of the first
by Robock and his colleagues (2010), that papers to argue forcefully in favor of sul-
the only way to know whether sulfate fate aerosol spraying as a response to
aerosol spraying would work would be global warming, praising technological
full deployment. interventions instead of Òinternational
Those who worked at Livermore measures focused on prohibitionsÓ
during the Cold War found a culture in (Teller et al., 1997: 3). Expressing cyni-
which brilliant and often quirky scien- cism toward democratic decision
tists dreamed up and tested big techno- making, the authors argued that a new
logical schemes to protect AmericansÕ technology of solar radiation manage-
freedom and advance US strategic inter- ment would be able to cut through inter-
ests around the world. In the 1980s, the national disagreements and win over
Reagan administration poured more public support. Teller wrote soon after:
than a billion dollars into Livermore to ÒLet us play to our uniquely American
24 Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists 70(3)
Keith D (2013) A Case for Climate Engineering. Cam- to prevention of climate change. Article submitted
bridge, MA: MIT Press. to the National Academy of Engineering Sympo-
Kintisch E (2009) DARPA to explore geoengineering. sium. Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory,
Science Insider, March 14. Available at: http:// April 18. Available at: http://e-reports-
news.sciencemag.org/2009/03/darpa-explore- ext.llnl.gov/pdf/244671.pdf.
geoengineering.
Kintisch E (2010) Hack the Planet: ScienceÕs Best Hope-
or Worst Nightmare for Averting Climate Cata-
strophe. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons.
Author biography
Robock A (2008) 20 reasons why geoengineering may Clive Hamilton is an Australian author and
be a bad idea. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists professor of public ethics at the Centre for
64(2): 14”18. Applied Philosophy and Public Ethics, a joint
Robock A, Bunzl M, Kravitz B, et al. (2010) A test for center of Charles Sturt University and the Uni-
geoengineering? Science 327(5965): 530”531. versity of Melbourne. From 1994 to 2008, he was
Shapin S (2013) Fat Man. London Review of Books
the executive director of the Australia Institute,
35(18): 36”39.
a progressive think tank he founded. In 2012, the
Teller E (1997) The planet needs a sunscreen. Wall
Street Journal, October 17. Available at: www.hoo- Australian federal government appointed Ham-
ver.org/publications/hoover-digest/article/6791. ilton to its Climate Change Authority. His books
Teller E, Wood L, and Hyde R (1997) Global warming include Scorcher: The Dirty Politics of Climate
and ice ages: Prospects for physics-based modula- Change (Black Inc. Agenda, 2007), Requiem for a
tion of global change. Paper prepared for submittal Species: Why We Resist the Truth about Climate
to the 22nd International Seminar on Planetary Change (Earthscan, 2010), and Earthmasters:
Emergencies. Lawrence Livermore National The Dawn of the Age of Climate Engineering
Laboratory, August 15. Available at: http://e- (Yale University Press, 2013). He is now writing
reports-ext.llnl.gov/pdf/231636.pdf.
a book on the Anthropocene.
Teller E, Hyde R, and Wood L (2002) Active climate
stabilization: Practical physics-based approaches