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Quantitative Methods
Present Value Future Value
PV = FV / ( 1 + r ) n n
FV = PV ( 1 + r )
PMT
PV =
(r/n)
Geometric Mean
1/n
[ ( 1 + r1 ) ( 1 + r ) ( 1 + rn ) ] -1
2
Harmonic Mean
n
Position of an observation
at a given percentile 1 + 1 1
+
x1 x2 xn
y
(n+1) x
100 Population Variance Sample Variance
𝐍
Mean Abs. Deviation (MAD) 𝐍
2 2
!− Xi - 𝛍 !− Xi - x
𝐢"𝟏 𝐢"𝟏
𝐍
n n-1
!− Xi - x
𝐢"𝟏
n
Population stdev. Population stdev.
Quantitative Methods
Coefficient of Variation Correlation of x & y
Expected Value
Quantitative Methods
Normal Distributions
observed - population
x-μ
value mean
Z-score = =
σ standard deviation
Expected Threshold
E(Rp) - R L
return – level
SFR = =
σ Standard deviation
Standard Error
Quantitative Methods
Common Z-values for confidence intervals
– + Zα/2 σ or – + tα/2 s
x – n x – n
Linear Regression
SSR
k
MSR SSR
F-stat = R2 =
MSE SSE SST
n – ( k+1 )
Quantitative Methods
Economics
Elasticity Formulas
Own-price %Δ Qty
=
Elasticity %Δ Price
Cross-price = %Δ Qty
Elasticity %Δ Price (related good)
Income %Δ Qty
=
Elasticity %Δ Income
Marginal Product N-firm Concentration Ratio
Marginal
=
Δ output Sum of mkt shares of N largest firms
Product Δ labor
HHI Ratio
GDP = C + I + G + (X – M) S = I + (G – T) + (X – M)
GDP Deflator
Nominal GDP
x 100
Real GDP
Economics
Unemployment Ratios
Unemployment Unemployed
=
rate Labor force
Labor force
Participation =
ratio Working age
population
Money Creation
Balance of Payments
Economics
No Arbitrage Forward Exchange Rates *
(1 + r price)
Forward price = Spot price x
(1 + r base)
base base
Rate of Change
Marshall-Lerner Condition
Weighted avg # of
common shares
Diluted EPS
Calculating Inventory
Beginning inventory
+ Purchases (cash paid to suppliers)
- Cogs (cost inventory sold)
Ending inventory
Performance Ratios
Liquidity Ratios
Profitability Ratios
2 Cost – Accumulated
x
useful life depreciation
Retirement Plans
Corporate Issuers
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
1
D’
B’e = Bu 1 + (1-t) Bu = Be D
E’ 1 + (1-t)
E
Q (P - V) Q (P - V) - F
Q (P - V) - F Q (P - V) – F - I
Equity Investments
Leverage Ratio
Value of asset 1
or
Investor’s equity position initial margin requirement
(1 - initial margin)
P0 (# of shares)(price per share)
(1 – maintenance margin)
Market cap
NI + depr – ΔinWC – FCInv + net borrowing
Book value
or
CFO – FCInv + net borrowing
Price at t=0
D1 D1 = (D0)(1+g)
P0 =
r-g
g = (ROE)(RR)
Enterprise Value
Fixed Income
Full Price of a Bond Flat Price of a Bond
n YTM
EFF = ( 1 + r ) - 1 r =
n
Money Market Instruments *
Money FV - PV 360
market = x
yield PV n
Bond FV - PV 365
equivalent = x
yield PV n
Discount FV - PV 360
= x
yield FV n
Z-spread
Yield or Bond with an embedded option
Yield on
+ OAS + Option value
government bonds
Fixed Income
Single Monthly Mortality (SMM) rate
_ _
V_ V+ V_ V+
2 x V 0 x ΔYTM 2 x V 0 x ΔCurve
Annual _
Full price of V_ V+
Modified x PVBP =
a bond 2
Duration
Fixed Income
Approximate Convexity Effective Convexity
V_ + V + _ 2V0 V_ + V + _ 2V0
(ΔYTM) 2 V0 (Δcurve) 2 V0
2
_ Annual modified 1 Annual
x ΔYTM + ΔYTM
duration 2 convexity
Duration Convexity
Duration Gap
Macaulay _ Investment
Duration Horizon
Derivatives
Spot Price Contract Value at time = t
F0(T)
S0 = Vt = St _ PVt [F0(T)]
( 1 + rf ) T
F0(T)
S0 = + PV(Benefits) - PV(Costs)
( 1 + rf ) T
“Cost of carry”
Put-Call parity *
X
S + P = C + (1 + r)T
Underlying Risk-free
Put Call
asset bond
Fwd price X
(1 + r)T + P = C + (1 + r)T
Forward Put Risk-free
Call
contract bond
Portfolio Management
Diversification Ratio
Covariance of x and y
E(r)p = ( W Rf ) ( Rf ) + ( Wm ) [E(Rm)] σp = ( W m ) ( σm )
Beta i =
covariance i,mkt
or
ρ i,mkt σi
σ 2 mkt σ mkt
Market Model CAPM
Portfolio Management
Sharpe Ratio For any point on the Capital Market Line (CML)
(Rp – Rf)
E(r) = [E(Rm) – Rf] B + Rf
B
(Rp – Rf)
σm - (Rm – Rf) Rp – [ Rf + B (Rm – Rf)
σp
6: Conflicts of interest *
2: Integrity of capital markets
6A. Disclosure of conflicts
2A. Material nonpublic information
6B. Priority of transactions
2B. Market manipulation
6C. Referral fees
3: Duties to clients
7: Responsibilities as a CFA®
institute member / candidate
3A. Loyalty, prudence and care
7A. Conduct as participants in
3B. Fair dealing CFA® programs
3C. Suitability
7B. Reference to CFA® institute,
3D. Performance presentation the CFA® designation, and the CFA ®
CFA® program
3E. Preservation of confidentiality
4. Duties to employers
4A. Loyalty