Año Ventas (Yt) P(t) e Et Mt at e2

2007 2,313 0 0
2008 2,725 2,313 412 124 124 1 169,744
2009 3,161 2437 724 304 304 1 524,755
2010 3,099 2654 445 346 346 1 198,096
2011 2,609 2787 -178 189 296 0.64 31,842
2012 2,860 2674 186 188 263 0.72 34,756
2013 3,202 2807 395 250 303 0.83 156,117
2014 3,399 3134 265 255 292 0.87 70,483
2015 2,495 3366 -871 -83 465 0.18 757,866
2016 3,471 3211 260 20 404 0.05 67,814
2017 2,792 3224 -432 -115 412 0.28 186,267
2018 3,095 3103 -8 -83 291 0.29 60
3101

MSE 199,800
RMSE 446.990102
MAPE 0.13091825
MPE 0.02648089
MAD 379.752668
|e| |e|2 |e|/xt e/xt β 0.3

412 169744 0.15119266 0.15119266

724.4 524755.36 0.22916798 0.22916798
445.08 198096.206 0.14362052 0.14362052
178.444 31842.2611 0.06839555 -0.06839555
186.429048 34755.7898 0.06518498 0.06518498
395.116982 156117.43 0.12339693 0.12339693
265.487237 70483.4732 0.07810745 0.07810745
870.554881 757865.8 0.34891979 -0.34891979
260.410802 67813.7856 0.07502472 0.07502472
431.586824 186267.187 0.15457981 -0.15457981
7.7695735 60.3662724 0.00251036 -0.00251036