Tüketici güven endeksi, alt endeksleri ve aylık değişim oranı, 2004-2011

Consumer confidence index, sub-indices and monthly rate of change, 2004-2011 Eski seri
Old series
Yeni seri
New series

Geçen 12 aylık döneme göre

gelecek 12 aylık dönemde
Geçen 12 aylık döneme göre Gelecek 12 aylık dönemde Gelecek 12 aylık dayanıklı tüketim mallarına
mevcut dönemde hanenin hanenin maddi durum dönemde genel ekonomik harcama yapma düşüncesi(4)
maddi durumu(3) beklentisi(2) durum beklentisi (2) Assessment on spending money Tüketici güven
Tüketici güven endeksi Financial situation of household Financial situation expectation General economic situation on durable goods endeksi(1)
Consumer confidence at present compared to the last of household expectation over next 12 months compared to Consumer confidence
index 12 months(3) over next 12 months (2) over next 12 months (2) the past 12 months(4) index(1)
Endeks
Index
2004 01 106.1 96.5 102.5 129.6 95.8 98.2
02 105.4 95.2 100.7 130.4 95.5 98.7
03 104.9 95.5 100.0 127.6 96.3 97.8
04 104.6 94.9 99.2 126.9 97.6 97.8
05 101.0 91.5 96.3 119.9 96.5 94.0
06 100.7 92.6 95.4 118.3 96.3 93.4
07 99.1 90.3 94.3 115.8 96.0 92.2
08 96.1 88.4 91.3 108.6 96.2 88.0
09 97.5 89.1 92.2 111.2 97.5 89.6
10 98.5 90.1 92.7 112.6 98.6 90.5
11 97.2 88.8 92.2 111.0 97.0 89.5
12 98.4 88.4 93.9 115.3 96.1 91.9
2005 01 98.6 88.5 94.3 116.0 95.4 92.2
02 98.5 88.0 94.5 116.1 95.4 92.0
03 96.2 85.5 92.7 111.3 95.2 88.8
04 95.3 85.4 92.0 109.0 95.0 87.1
05 95.5 85.3 92.5 109.7 94.5 87.1
06 95.3 85.8 92.1 108.2 95.2 85.8
07 96.0 86.0 92.8 109.3 95.9 86.0
08 95.0 85.3 92.2 107.1 95.5 84.2
09 93.6 83.0 91.5 104.7 95.1 82.3
10 96.1 83.7 93.8 109.8 97.1 84.8
11 97.3 84.5 95.4 113.1 96.0 86.3
12 97.1 83.2 95.9 113.8 95.3 86.2
2006 01 98.9 83.7 98.0 118.4 95.7 88.5
02 98.5 83.1 98.1 118.0 94.7 87.9
03 99.3 83.7 99.0 119.7 94.9 88.5
04 100.7 84.9 99.8 121.2 97.0 89.0
05 99.3 84.0 98.7 118.1 96.5 86.8
06 93.7 80.8 93.9 105.4 94.8 78.9
07 91.1 77.5 91.8 100.0 95.1 75.4
08 93.9 79.6 94.0 105.1 96.9 78.2
09 93.6 78.1 94.2 105.4 96.7 78.1
10 94.3 79.2 94.6 106.0 97.2 78.3
11 95.6 80.7 96.0 109.3 96.4 80.1
12 93.8 78.2 95.2 107.3 94.6 78.8
2007 01 93.7 78.4 95.2 107.1 94.1 78.6
02 94.4 79.1 95.9 108.7 94.0 79.5
03 93.9 77.8 95.8 108.3 93.9 79.2
04 95.5 80.5 96.6 110.3 94.8 80.4
05 96.9 82.6 97.4 112.4 95.1 81.7
06 96.5 82.7 96.8 111.0 95.7 80.9
07 97.2 82.3 97.6 113.0 95.9 82.3
08 99.7 84.2 99.2 117.4 98.1 85.0
09 98.9 83.4 98.3 115.2 98.6 83.9
10 97.7 82.9 97.5 113.4 96.9 83.0
11 93.9 77.8 94.8 107.0 96.0 79.3
12 94.7 78.4 95.5 108.9 96.1 80.7
2008 01 92.6 76.5 94.0 105.6 94.3 78.9
02 89.0 73.4 90.8 97.8 93.8 74.4
03 84.3 70.2 86.9 88.2 92.1 68.7
04 79.5 66.1 83.0 78.5 90.4 63.0
05 78.6 65.4 82.3 77.0 89.8 62.1
06 78.8 66.8 82.1 76.5 89.9 61.8
07 80.6 67.7 83.5 79.9 91.2 63.8
08 83.4 71.2 85.4 84.7 92.0 66.6
09 84.3 71.9 86.2 86.4 92.9 67.5

1/6
Tüketici güven endeksi, alt endeksleri ve aylık değişim oranı, 2004-2011
Consumer confidence index, sub-indices and monthly rate of change, 2004-2011 Eski seri
Old series
Yeni seri
New series

Geçen 12 aylık döneme göre

gelecek 12 aylık dönemde
Geçen 12 aylık döneme göre Gelecek 12 aylık dönemde Gelecek 12 aylık dayanıklı tüketim mallarına
mevcut dönemde hanenin hanenin maddi durum dönemde genel ekonomik harcama yapma düşüncesi(4)
maddi durumu(3) beklentisi(2) durum beklentisi (2) Assessment on spending money Tüketici güven
Tüketici güven endeksi Financial situation of household Financial situation expectation General economic situation on durable goods endeksi(1)
Consumer confidence at present compared to the last of household expectation over next 12 months compared to Consumer confidence
index 12 months(3) over next 12 months (2) over next 12 months (2) the past 12 months(4) index(1)
10 78.9 67.7 82.1 75.8 90.2 61.0
11 73.9 61.2 78.8 67.3 88.2 55.7
12 74.0 60.6 79.8 69.5 86.2 56.7

2/6
Tüketici güven endeksi, alt endeksleri ve aylık değişim oranı, 2004-2011
Consumer confidence index, sub-indices and monthly rate of change, 2004-2011 Eski seri
Old series
Yeni seri
New series

Geçen 12 aylık döneme göre

gelecek 12 aylık dönemde
Geçen 12 aylık döneme göre Gelecek 12 aylık dönemde Gelecek 12 aylık dayanıklı tüketim mallarına
mevcut dönemde hanenin hanenin maddi durum dönemde genel ekonomik harcama yapma düşüncesi(4)
maddi durumu(3) beklentisi(2) durum beklentisi (2) Assessment on spending money Tüketici güven
Tüketici güven endeksi Financial situation of household Financial situation expectation General economic situation on durable goods endeksi(1)
Consumer confidence at present compared to the last of household expectation over next 12 months compared to Consumer confidence
index 12 months(3) over next 12 months (2) over next 12 months (2) the past 12 months(4) index(1)
2009 01 74.4 58.4 81.2 72.7 85.4 58.3
02 76.2 59.1 83.2 77.3 85.2 60.8
03 76.9 58.5 84.1 79.1 85.7 61.6
04 82.0 63.6 88.5 89.6 86.4 67.5
05 84.7 66.0 90.5 94.3 88.2 70.1
06 87.5 69.9 92.2 98.1 90.0 72.0
07 85.7 69.0 90.6 93.7 89.6 69.1
08 85.8 70.0 90.2 92.3 90.9 68.1
09 86.6 70.9 90.8 93.6 91.0 68.7
10 85.3 69.7 90.0 91.5 89.9 67.2
11 83.8 68.3 88.8 88.2 89.9 65.2
12 84.0 68.2 89.2 89.1 89.3 65.6
2010 01 84.3 67.7 89.6 90.0 90.0 66.0
02 86.5 69.5 91.4 94.4 90.5 68.6
03 89.1 71.9 93.3 99.3 91.9 71.5
04 89.9 73.3 94.0 100.9 91.4 72.6
05 91.2 75.7 94.5 102.1 92.5 73.4
06 92.7 77.9 95.3 104.4 93.1 74.8
07 92.7 78.9 94.8 103.2 94.0 74.3
08 92.8 79.0 94.5 102.7 95.0 74.1
09 95.2 81.1 96.2 107.4 96.1 77.2
10 93.3 78.3 95.0 104.7 95.3 75.8
11 95.5 81.0 96.2 108.1 96.6 78.1
12 94.4 79.3 95.6 107.0 95.7 77.8
2011 01 94.4 79.7 95.5 107.0 95.6 78.1
02 96.1 81.5 96.6 110.2 96.2 80.3
03 95.9 82.3 96.1 109.4 96.0 80.2
04 95.8 82.7 95.7 108.9 95.9 80.2
05 95.3 82.9 94.9 107.3 96.0 79.6
06 98.0 85.9 96.8 112.7 96.5 83.2
07 97.0 86.0 95.3 109.4 97.3 81.6
08 94.7 85.2 92.9 103.8 97.0 78.5
09 95.7 85.4 93.8 106.5 97.1 80.5
10 92.0 81.9 90.9 99.5 95.8 76.5
11 92.7 83.0 91.5 101.3 95.0 77.8
12 92.8 82.8 91.8 102.6 94.0 78.8

3/6
Tüketici güven endeksi, alt endeksleri ve aylık değişim oranı, 2004-2011
Consumer confidence index, sub-indices and monthly rate of change, 2004-2011 Eski seri
Old series
Yeni seri
New series

Geçen 12 aylık döneme göre

gelecek 12 aylık dönemde
Geçen 12 aylık döneme göre Gelecek 12 aylık dönemde Gelecek 12 aylık dayanıklı tüketim mallarına
mevcut dönemde hanenin hanenin maddi durum dönemde genel ekonomik harcama yapma düşüncesi(4)
maddi durumu(3) beklentisi(2) durum beklentisi (2) Assessment on spending money Tüketici güven
Tüketici güven endeksi Financial situation of household Financial situation expectation General economic situation on durable goods endeksi(1)
Consumer confidence at present compared to the last of household expectation over next 12 months compared to Consumer confidence
index 12 months(3) over next 12 months (2) over next 12 months (2) the past 12 months(4) index(1)
Aylık değişim (%)
Monthly change (%)
2004 02 -0.6 -1.3 -1.7 0.6 -0.3 0.5
03 -0.5 0.3 -0.7 -2.2 0.9 -0.9
04 -0.2 -0.6 -0.8 -0.5 1.3 0.0
05 -3.5 -3.6 -2.9 -5.5 -1.1 -3.8
06 -0.4 1.2 -0.9 -1.3 -0.2 -0.7
07 -1.6 -2.5 -1.2 -2.1 -0.3 -1.3
08 -3.0 -2.1 -3.2 -6.2 0.3 -4.5
09 1.4 0.7 1.0 2.3 1.3 1.8
10 1.0 1.1 0.6 1.3 1.1 1.0
11 -1.3 -1.5 -0.6 -1.4 -1.6 -1.1
12 1.3 -0.4 1.9 3.9 -0.9 2.8
2005 01 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 -0.8 0.3
02 -0.1 -0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 -0.2
03 -2.3 -2.8 -1.9 -4.1 -0.2 -3.4
04 -0.9 -0.2 -0.8 -2.0 -0.2 -1.9
05 0.1 -0.1 0.5 0.6 -0.5 0.0
06 -0.2 0.6 -0.4 -1.3 0.7 -1.5
07 0.7 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.2
08 -1.0 -0.8 -0.6 -2.0 -0.4 -2.0
09 -1.5 -2.7 -0.7 -2.3 -0.5 -2.3
10 2.7 0.9 2.5 4.9 2.1 3.1
11 1.2 0.9 1.7 3.0 -1.1 1.7
12 -0.2 -1.5 0.6 0.6 -0.7 -0.1
2006 01 1.9 0.7 2.2 4.0 0.3 2.7
02 -0.5 -0.7 0.1 -0.3 -1.0 -0.7
03 0.8 0.7 0.9 1.4 0.3 0.7
04 1.4 1.4 0.8 1.3 2.2 0.6
05 -1.4 -1.0 -1.1 -2.6 -0.5 -2.5
06 -5.6 -3.8 -4.9 -10.7 -1.7 -9.1
07 -2.8 -4.1 -2.2 -5.2 0.3 -4.5
08 3.0 2.6 2.3 5.1 1.8 3.7
09 -0.3 -1.8 0.2 0.3 -0.2 -0.1
10 0.7 1.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3
11 1.4 1.9 1.4 3.1 -0.8 2.3
12 -1.8 -3.1 -0.7 -1.8 -1.9 -1.6
2007 01 -0.2 0.2 0.0 -0.2 -0.5 -0.3
02 0.8 0.9 0.7 1.6 -0.1 1.2
03 -0.5 -1.6 -0.2 -0.4 -0.1 -0.4
04 1.7 3.5 0.9 1.9 1.0 1.5
05 1.4 2.6 0.8 1.9 0.3 1.6
06 -0.4 0.1 -0.6 -1.3 0.6 -1.0
07 0.7 -0.4 0.8 1.8 0.2 1.6
08 2.6 2.3 1.7 3.9 2.3 3.3
09 -0.9 -1.0 -1.0 -1.9 0.5 -1.3
10 -1.2 -0.6 -0.8 -1.6 -1.7 -1.1
11 -3.9 -6.1 -2.7 -5.7 -0.9 -4.4
12 0.9 0.7 0.7 1.8 0.1 1.7
2008 01 -2.2 -2.4 -1.5 -3.0 -1.9 -2.2
02 -4.0 -4.1 -3.4 -7.4 -0.6 -5.7
03 -5.2 -4.4 -4.3 -9.8 -1.8 -7.6
04 -5.8 -5.8 -4.5 -11.0 -1.9 -8.3
05 -1.1 -1.1 -0.8 -1.9 -0.6 -1.4
06 0.2 2.2 -0.3 -0.7 0.1 -0.6
07 2.2 1.4 1.7 4.5 1.4 3.2
08 3.5 5.1 2.4 6.1 1.0 4.5
09 1.2 0.9 0.8 1.9 1.0 1.3
10 -6.4 -5.9 -4.7 -12.2 -3.0 -9.6
11 -6.4 -9.5 -4.0 -11.2 -2.2 -8.8
4/6
Tüketici güven endeksi, alt endeksleri ve aylık değişim oranı, 2004-2011
Consumer confidence index, sub-indices and monthly rate of change, 2004-2011 Eski seri
Old series
Yeni seri
New series

Geçen 12 aylık döneme göre

gelecek 12 aylık dönemde
Geçen 12 aylık döneme göre Gelecek 12 aylık dönemde Gelecek 12 aylık dayanıklı tüketim mallarına
mevcut dönemde hanenin hanenin maddi durum dönemde genel ekonomik harcama yapma düşüncesi(4)
maddi durumu(3) beklentisi(2) durum beklentisi (2) Assessment on spending money Tüketici güven
Tüketici güven endeksi Financial situation of household Financial situation expectation General economic situation on durable goods endeksi(1)
Consumer confidence at present compared to the last of household expectation over next 12 months compared to Consumer confidence
index 12 months(3) over next 12 months (2) over next 12 months (2) the past 12 months(4) index(1)
12 0.2 -1.0 1.2 3.2 -2.3 1.8

5/6
Tüketici güven endeksi, alt endeksleri ve aylık değişim oranı, 2004-2011
Consumer confidence index, sub-indices and monthly rate of change, 2004-2011 Eski seri
Old series
Yeni seri
New series

Geçen 12 aylık döneme göre

gelecek 12 aylık dönemde
Geçen 12 aylık döneme göre Gelecek 12 aylık dönemde Gelecek 12 aylık dayanıklı tüketim mallarına
mevcut dönemde hanenin hanenin maddi durum dönemde genel ekonomik harcama yapma düşüncesi(4)
maddi durumu(3) beklentisi(2) durum beklentisi (2) Assessment on spending money Tüketici güven
Tüketici güven endeksi Financial situation of household Financial situation expectation General economic situation on durable goods endeksi(1)
Consumer confidence at present compared to the last of household expectation over next 12 months compared to Consumer confidence
index 12 months(3) over next 12 months (2) over next 12 months (2) the past 12 months(4) index(1)
2009 01 0.6 -3.6 1.8 4.7 -1.0 2.9
02 2.4 1.1 2.5 6.3 -0.2 4.2
03 0.9 -1.0 1.1 2.4 0.6 1.3
04 6.7 8.8 5.2 13.3 0.8 9.7
05 3.3 3.7 2.3 5.2 2.1 3.7
06 3.3 6.0 1.9 4.0 2.0 2.8
07 -2.1 -1.3 -1.8 -4.5 -0.4 -4.0
08 0.1 1.4 -0.5 -1.5 1.4 -1.5
09 0.9 1.2 0.7 1.5 0.1 0.9
10 -1.5 -1.6 -0.8 -2.3 -1.3 -2.1
11 -1.7 -2.1 -1.3 -3.5 0.0 -3.1
12 0.2 -0.1 0.5 1.0 -0.6 0.6
2010 01 0.4 -0.8 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.7
02 2.5 2.7 2.0 4.9 0.6 4.0
03 3.0 3.4 2.1 5.1 1.5 4.2
04 0.9 2.0 0.7 1.7 -0.5 1.5
05 1.4 3.3 0.5 1.2 1.2 1.1
06 1.6 2.9 0.9 2.2 0.7 2.0
07 0.0 1.3 -0.6 -1.1 0.9 -0.7
08 0.1 0.1 -0.3 -0.5 1.0 -0.2
09 2.6 2.7 1.9 4.6 1.2 4.1
10 -2.0 -3.4 -1.3 -2.6 -0.8 -1.8
11 2.3 3.4 1.3 3.3 1.3 3.1
12 -1.1 -2.0 -0.6 -1.0 -1.0 -0.4
2011 01 0.0 0.6 -0.2 0.0 -0.1 0.4
02 1.8 2.2 1.2 3.0 0.7 2.9
03 -0.2 1.0 -0.5 -0.8 -0.3 -0.2
04 -0.1 0.5 -0.4 -0.4 0.0 0.1
05 -0.6 0.3 -0.9 -1.5 0.0 -0.8
06 2.8 3.6 2.0 5.0 0.6 4.5
07 -1.0 0.1 -1.5 -2.9 0.9 -1.9
08 -2.4 -0.9 -2.5 -5.2 -0.4 -3.8
09 1.1 0.2 1.0 2.7 0.2 2.5
10 -3.9 -4.0 -3.2 -6.6 -1.3 -4.9
11 0.7 1.3 0.7 1.8 -0.9 1.7
12 0.2 -0.2 0.4 1.3 -1.0 1.3
TÜİK, Tüketici Güven Endeksi, 2004-2011
TurkStat, Consumer Confidence Index, 2004-2011
(1)Tüketici güven endeksi 2004-2011 dönemi değerleri Reg-ARIMA modeline dayalı yaklaşımla geriye çekilmiş seridir.
(1)Consumer confidence index data for 2004-2011 period are backcasted series obtained with Reg-ARIMA model-based approach.
(2)Alt endekslerin 2004-2011 dönemi değerleri çok değişkenli modele dayalı yaklaşımla geriye çekilmiş serilerdir.
(2)Sub-indices data for 2004-2011 period are backcasted series obtained with multivariate model-based approach.
(3)Alt endeksin 2004-2011 dönemi değerleri FARK yöntemine göre geriye çekilmiş serilerdir.
(3)Sub-indices data for 2004-2011 period are backcasted series obtained with DIFFERENCE method.
(4)Alt endeksin 2004-2011 dönemi değerleri ARIMAX yöntemine göre geriye çekilmiş serilerdir.
(4)Sub-indices data for 2004-2011 period are backcasted series obtained with ARIMAX methods.

6/6