EJERCICIO 1

PIEZAS DEFECTOSAS
P(A) 120 1%
P(B) 90 2%
P(C) 90 3%

P(A)=0.4 P(D)=3/90 0.03333333 3%

P(B)=0.3
P(C)=0.3

EJERCICIO 2
P(M|A)=0.30
AZUL P(A)=0.35
PECES P(H |A)=0.70

P(M|R)=0.60
ROJOS P(R)=0.65
P(H|R)=0.40

P(A|H)= P(A|M)=
P(A|H)= P(A)*P(H|A) P(A|M)= P(A)*P(M|A)
P(H) P(M)

P(A|H)= 0.35 * 0.70 P(A|M)= 0.35 * 0.30

0.35*0*70 + 0.65*0.40 0.35*0*30 + 0.65*0.60

P(A|H)= 0.245 P(A|M)= 0.105

0.505 0.495

P(A|H)= 0.485148515 P(A|M)= 0.21212121

P(A|H)= 49% P(A|M)= 21%

 CONTINUACION DEL E.2
EJERCICIO 2
P(R|H) P(R|M)
P(R|H)= P(R)*P(H|R) P(R|H)= P(R)*P(M|R)
P(H) P(M)

P(R|H)= 0.65 * 0.40 P(R|H)= 0.65 * 0.60

0.35*0.70 + 0.65*0.40 0.35*0.3 + 0.65*0.6

P(R|H)= 0.26 P(R|H)= 0.39

0.505 0.495

P(R|H)= 0.514851485 P(R|H)= 0.78787879

P(A|H)= 51% P(A|H)= 79%

EJERCICIO 3

ESTANTERIA N° NC TIPO NC TIPO

A 140 49 A 91 B
B 130 40 A 90 B
C 120 40 A 80 B

390 129 261

P(A)= 49/129
P(A)= 0.379844961
38%

EJERCICIO 4
D=DEFECTUOSA
P(A) 25% 2%
P(B) 35% 3%
P© 40% 5%

P(D)= P(A)*P(D|A)+P(B)*P(D|B)+P(C)*P(D|C)

P(D)= (0.45*0.02)+(0.35*0.03)+(0.40*0,05)

P(D)= 0.0395 4%
EJEJRCICIO 5
USO FALLOS P(F)= P(A)*P(F|A)+P(B)*P(F|B)
P(A) 45% 5% 0.0665
P(B) 55% 8%

P(A|F) P(A)*P(F|A) = 0.45*0.5 0.338 34%

P(F) 0.0665

EJERCICIO 6

EMPLEADOS DIRECTIVO
P(A) INGENIEROS 20% 75%
P(B) ECONOMISTAS 15% 50%
P(C) OTROS 65% 20%

P(E|D)= P(A)*P(D|A)+P(B)*P(D|B)+P(C)*P(D|C)

0.355 36%