Wagner Group Rebellion

30/06/2023, 08:23 Wagner Group rebellion - Wikipedia
Wagner Group rebellion
Wagner Group rebellion

Part of the Russian invasion of Ukraine
A crowd in Rostov-on-Don watching a

Wagner tank with flowers sticking out of its
muzzle
Date 23–24 June 2023 (1 day)

Location Russia
Result Wagner forces halt advance
on 24 June, begin
withdrawing at 11:00 p.m.
(GMT+3). (see § Resolution)
Belligerents
Wagner
Russian
Group
government
Ministry of
Defence
Russian
Armed Forces
Federal Security
Service
National Guard
of Russia
Kadyrovites
Police of Russia
Commanders and leaders
Yevgeny Vladimir Putin
Prigozhin Sergei Shoigu
Valery Gerasimov
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wagner_Group_rebellion 1/41
Alexander Bortnikov
Viktor Zolotov
Ramzan Kadyrov
Strength
8,000– Unknown
25,000[note 1]
Casualties and losses
At least 32
killed, multiple 13–20+ killed[5][6]
wounded 6 helicopters and 1
airborne command-
(Prigozhin's
center plane shot
claim)[3]
down[note 3]
5 vehicles
destroyed[note 2] 2 vehicles captured[note 4]
On 23 June 2023, the Wagner Group, a Russian state-funded[7] private military company,[8]
rebelled against the government of Russia. The revolt arose amidst escalating tensions between the
heads of the Russian Ministry of Defence and Yevgeny Prigozhin, the leader of Wagner.[9]
Prigozhin portrayed the rebellion as a response to an alleged attack on his forces by the
ministry.[10][11] While Prigozhin has always defended the reasoning for the war,[12] he had
previously publicly denounced Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and Valery Gerasimov, blaming
Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu for the country's military shortcomings[13] and for handing over
"Russian territories" to Ukraine.[14] During the rebellion he demanded that they be turned over to
him.[15] In a televised address on 24 June, Russian president Vladimir Putin called Wagner PMCs
"patriots"[16] but also denounced Wagner's actions as treason and pledged to quell the
rebellion.[11][17]
Prigozhin's forces seized control of Rostov-on-Don and the Southern Military District headquarters
and advanced towards Moscow in an armored column.[18]
After the intervention of Belarusian president Alexander Lukashenko,[19] Putin publicly gave
Wagner the options of signing on with the Russian Ministry of Defense, going to Belarus or
disbanding.[20]
Prigozhin agreed to stand down[21] and, late on 24 June, began withdrawing from Rostov-on-Don.
The Russian Federal Security Service had opened a case for armed rebellion under Article 279 of
the Criminal Code, but closed it on 27 June and dropped the charges.
At least thirteen servicemen of the Russian military were killed during the rebellion,[5] while two
Russian military defectors and at least 30 Wagner members were killed on Wagner's side according
to Prigozhin.[3]
Background
Yevgeny Prigozhin and the Wagner Group
In the early 2000s, Prigozhin, having served a decade in prison before

embarking on an entrepreneurial path, emerged as a prominent figure in
Saint Petersburg's business landscape, gaining recognition for a string of
highly regarded restaurants. This connection eventually facilitated a
financial association with Putin, who was actively engaged in municipal
politics during that period.[22][23] Prigozhin gradually evolved into a
trusted and intimate confidant of Putin, forging a close personal bond.[24]
In 2014, Prigozhin founded the Wagner Group, a Russian private military

company. Despite the legal prohibition of private military companies in
Russia, Wagner operated unimpeded with implicit endorsement from the
government.[24] Many analysts have said that the government employed Yevgeny Prigozhin in
the services of the Wagner Group to allow for plausible deniability and to 2010
obscure the actual toll in terms of casualties and financial costs of
Russia's foreign interventions.[25]
Serving as a tool of Russian foreign and military policy, the Wagner Group emerged as a
formidable combat force in various regions, including the Donbas conflict.[26] It played a
significant role during Russia's military intervention in the Syrian civil war, providing support to
Syrian president Bashar al-Assad,[27][28] and has participated in conflicts in Mali, Libya, and the
Central African Republic. Wagner has garnered infamy due to its ruthless methods and its
participation in war crimes throughout Africa, the Middle East, and Ukraine, perpetrating
atrocities with impunity.[28][29][30]
The group maintains close ties with multiple African governments, enjoying considerable
autonomy to exploit the natural resources of these nations in return for supporting local forces in
their battle against anti-government rebels.[31][32] Wagner's economic endeavors in Africa
witnessed an upward trajectory even amidst the Russian invasion of Ukraine,[31] as the funds
generated were channeled towards financing the conflicts in Ukraine and other regions.[32]
Internal tensions during the invasion of Ukraine
Attempts to limit Prigozhin's influence
Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu (left) and Chief of the General Staff Valery Gerasimov have been the two most
prominent targets of Prigozhin's rhetoric.
According to United States officials, Yevgeny Prigozhin had longstanding disputes with the Russian
Ministry of Defense (MoD) "for years" prior to the full-scale invasion of Ukraine. However, these
tensions escalated and became more public during the Russo-Ukrainian War.[33][34][35] During the
initial stages of the invasion, the Russian Ground Forces suffered significant casualties, but the
announcement of mobilization for reservists was delayed by Putin. As a result, authorities actively
sought to enlist mercenaries for the invasion, which led to a heightened influence and power for
Prigozhin and the Wagner Group. Prigozhin was allocated substantial resources, including his own
aviation assets. Additionally, starting in the summer of 2022, he gained the authority to recruit
inmates from Russian prisons into the Wagner Group in exchange for their freedom.[36] Western
intelligence estimated that the number of Wagner mercenaries increased from "several thousand"
fighters around 2017–2018 to approximately 50,000 fighters by December 2022, with the majority
comprising criminal convicts recruited from prisons.[36]
Although the government provided them with increasingly large resources, Wagner had no legal
authority. Prigozhin held no official position and was neither appointed nor elected, meaning that
he technically had no authority to answer to.[37] Furthermore, Prigozhin gained international
recognition and abandoned his previously secluded personal life.[38] He frequently reported news
from the frontline while wearing military fatigues. Wagner began to be perceived as Prigozhin's
private army, operating beyond the boundaries of Russian legislation and the country's military
hierarchy. Dissatisfaction arose within the Ministry of Defense (MoD) and the General Staff,
leading them to make efforts to curtail Prigozhin's growing influence.[37] In early February 2023,
Prigozhin announced that Wagner had ceased recruiting prisoners,[39] which the British Defense
Ministry interpreted as a government ban on such recruitment. This change was expected to
diminish the group's fighting capacity.[40]
Conversely, Prigozhin portrayed himself as a populist figure who confronts the military
establishment,[41] repeatedly accusing it of failing to protect national interests. On 1 October 2022,
during Ukraine's Kharkiv counteroffensive, which expelled Russia from most of the region,
Prigozhin criticized the Russian command, stating that "All these bastards ought to be sent to the
front barefoot with just a submachine gun."[42] Due to his increased influence, Prigozhin was
among the few who dared to complain about the military commanders to Putin.[43][44] Prigozhin
primarily targeted the MoD, characterizing its officials as corrupt.[34][35] However, he also
criticized other segments of the Russian elite,[45] including the members of Russian parliament
and Russian oligarchs, whom he accused of attempting to "steal everything that belongs to the
people" during the war.[46][45] In one of his statements, Prigozhin criticized Russian elite and their
children for enjoying a luxurious and carefree life while ordinary people die in the war. Prigozhin
drew parallels between this "division in society" and the one preceding the 1917 Russian
Revolution, warning of potential uprisings by "soldiers and their loved ones" against such
injustice.[47][48] The Institute for the Study of War noted that Prigozhin's statements increased his
influence within the ultranationalist Russian milblogger community.[49]
Escalation during the battle of Bakhmut
During the grueling battle of Bakhmut, tensions between the

Wagner Group and the MoD reached a critical juncture.[49]
Prigozhin repeatedly voiced his dissatisfaction with the
Kremlin's inadequate ammunition supply. He issued threats of
withdrawing his forces unless his demands were fulfilled,
specifically blaming Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and Chief
of the General Staff Valery Gerasimov for the significant loss of A graveyard for dead Wagner
life among Wagner fighters, which he claimed amounted to fighters in Tyumen, Russia.
"tens of thousands" of casualties.[50] According to the United Prigozhin claimed the Ministry of
States, nearly half of the 20,000 Russian troops who lost their Defense's mismanagement led to
lives in Ukraine from December 2022 to June 2023 were "tens of thousands" of Wagner
Wagner fighters who perished in the battle of Bakhmut.[28] deaths in Bakhmut.[50]
Following the Russian proclamation of victory in Bakhmut in late May 2023, Wagner began
withdrawing from the city, giving way to regular troops.[51] Internal conflicts persisted between
Wagner and the military during this transition.[52][53] Prigozhin claimed that the military made
attempts to assault his retreating forces on both 3 June[54][55] and 5 June,[56][57] further claiming
that the Russian military had laid mines on the route taken by Wagner during their retreat from
Bakhmut.[58] On 5 June 2023, Prigozhin released a video through his social media platforms,
purporting to depict the apprehended Lt. Colonel Roman Venevitin of Russia's 72nd Brigade,
confessing to having ordered his troops to open fire on retreating Wagner forces, purportedly
under the influence of alcohol.[56][57]
On 27 May 2023, milblogger and former Defense Minister of the Donetsk People's Republic, Igor
"Strelkov" Girkin accused Prigozhin of conspiring to employ the Wagner Group to orchestrate a
coup within Russia. Girkin further claimed that Prigozhin was actively flouting the Russian 2022
war censorship laws by openly criticizing the Russian high command and that his forces were
effectively in a state of mutiny.[59] Prigozhin refuted these allegations, asserting that the Wagner
Group did not possess a sufficiently large army to execute a coup.[60]
Culmination of the Bakhmut battle, where Wagner played a pivotal role, marked the onset of a
period of increasing isolation from the establishment.[58] On 6 June 2023, Prigozhin made a public
accusation, asserting that influential individuals were actively sabotaging his highly profitable
catering enterprise in association with the Russian military. For more than ten years, these
catering contracts had served as a source of his wealth and clout.[58] Concurrently, Prigozhin
witnessed a surge in popularity among the Russian populace, particularly among nationalists. In a
May survey conducted by the Levada Center, respondents were asked to identify the politicians
they trusted the most, and for the first time, Prigozhin emerged as one of the top ten names on the
list, marking a notable shift in his public perception from non-political to political persona.[61][62]
Order to integrate Wagner
In mid-June 2023, the MoD ordered the Wagner Group to sign contracts with the military before 1
July. This move effectively integrated Wagner as a subordinate unit within the regular command
structure, thereby diminishing the influence of Prigozhin. However, Prigozhin declined to sign the
agreement, alleging incompetence on the part of Shoigu.[63][64] Reports from Meduza indicated
that this development would undermine Prigozhin's hold over Wagner and jeopardize the group's
profitable operations in Africa. [65] Prigozhin unsuccessfully attempted to circumvent the order for
Wagner's subordination while intensifying his criticism of the MoD.[66] He went as far as
advocating for the execution of Shoigu and hinting at a potential popular uprising against inept
officials.[58] Prigozhin believed that Putin would ultimately side with him in his struggle against the
MoD if he lauched a mutiny.[58][67][68]
Planning the rebellion
U.S. intelligence agencies observed a gradual accumulation of Wagner forces near the Russian
border[69] along with evidence of Wagner stockpiling equipment and resources in preparation for
the rebellion.[70][71] Although they obtained information regarding the where and how of the
planned rebellion, the exact timing remained unknown.[70] According to a source familiar with the
matter, Western intelligence agencies uncovered the plan through communications intercepts and
satellite image analysis.[71] Several weeks prior to the actual event, U.S. intelligence started
foreseeing a significant Wagner insurrection[70] and had obtained solid evidence of the imminent
rebellion before 21 June.[33] Prigozhin seemed to have set the plan in motion following the MoD
decision on 10 June, which would effectively integrate Wagner forces into the regular military.[70]
The foreign intelligence findings indicate that the revolt was planned in advance, contradicting
Prigozhin's claim that the decision to rebel was made on 23 June.[69]
Anonymous U.S. officials later disclosed[note 5] to The New York Times that Army General Sergey
Surovikin,[72] who acted as an intermediary between Prigozhin and the military hierarchy[73] and
was perceived to have close ties to Prigozhin,[72][73] had prior knowledge of the planned rebellion.
Additionally, there were indications that other Russian generals may have also lent their support to
the uprising. U.S. officials asserted that Prigozhin would not have instigated the rebellion unless he
harbored the belief that he had backing from specific sectors within the Russian power
structure.[72]
According to disclosures by Western officials to the The Wall Street Journal, the Russian Federal
Security Service discovered the plan two days before it was scheduled to be executed. The discovery
of the plan led to the premature initiation of the rebellion by Prigozhin which may have been one of
the reasons for its subsequent failure. Prigozhin intended to capture Defense Minister Shoigu and
chief of general staff Gerasimov during their planned joint visit to the southern region of Russia
that borders Ukraine and Western officials said the plan had a good chance of success had it not
been discovered, leading Prigozhin to improvise an alternative plan. Western officials said
intelligence findings indicated that Prigozhin's plan rested on his belief that a part of the armed
forces would join the rebellion. Western official said they believe Prigozhin informed some senior
military offices about his plan.[71] Commander of the Russian National Guard Viktor Zolotov has
claimed that Russian authorities learned about the planned rebellion and that it would be executed
between June 22 and June 25.[71] According to anonymous accounts conveyed by Meduza, it's
possible that the security services "didn’t have the nerve to tell the president that something's up
with Prigozhin [...] because if they reported the problem, decisions would have to be made. And
how would you make that decision?" According to Meduza's sources, after Prigozhin failed to evade
the order to integrate Wagner into the regular military, "Some bad foreboding spread in the air,
that something was about to happen." Kremlin officials "talked about it in meetings, and came to
the conclusion that [Prigozhin] is a daring opportunist who doesn’t play by the rules. When it came
to the risk of an armed insurrection, they thought it was nil." Consequently, they believed
Prigozhin's announcement of an uprising to be a bluff intended to extract concessions, only
realizing the seriousness of the situation once Wagner captured Rostov-on-Don.[66] Lukashenko
has said that both he and Putin had "slept through this situation" and that both "thought it would
fizzle out on its own [when it started to develop]".[74]
Many members of Wagner were not informed about the planned rebellion beforehand. As a result,
they were perplexed by Prigozhin's call to arms and uncertain as to which faction they should align
themselves with.[65] Demobilized Wagner veterans were instructed to remain on standby and await
orders from Prigozhin. Individuals in Moscow without any affiliation with Wagner reported
receiving calls, seemingly from the Wagner Group, urging them to join a rally in support of the
rebellion. Similar calls were made to residents of Rostov, soliciting support for the uprising.[65]
Rebellion
Prigozhin's announcement
In a video released on 23 June 2023, Prigozhin claimed that the government's justifications for
invading Ukraine were based on falsehoods, and that the invasion was designed to further the
interests of Russian elites.[75] He accused the MoD of attempting to deceive the public and the
president by portraying Ukraine as an aggressive and hostile adversary which, in collaboration with
NATO, was plotting an attack on Russian interests.[76] Prigozhin alleged that Shoigu and the
"oligarchic clan" had personal motives for initiating the war.[77]

Furthermore, he asserted that the Russian military command
intentionally concealed the true number of soldiers killed in
Ukraine, with casualties reaching up to 1,000 on certain
days.[78]
Later on 23 June, Prigozhin amplified a video that had already

been circulating in Wagner-associated Telegram channels that
reportedly showed the aftermath of a missile strike on a
Wagner rear camp. Prigozhin accused the Russian MoD of
conducting the strike, which he claimed killed 2,000 of his
fighters.[79][80][81][82] The MoD denied the allegations of
attacking Wagner's rear camps,[83] and the Institute for the
Study of War was unable to confirm the veracity of the video,
noting that it "may have been manufactured for informational
purposes".[79]
Map of the rebellion
Prigozhin declared the start of an armed conflict against the
Ministry of Defense in a message posted on his press service's
Telegram channel. He called upon individuals interested in joining the conflict against the
Ministry, accusing Shoigu of employing artillery and helicopters to assault Wagner. Additionally,
Prigozhin claimed that Shoigu had cowardly fled from Rostov-on-Don at nine o'clock in the
evening.[84] Consequently, the Federal Security Service initiated legal proceedings against
Prigozhin under Article 279 of the Criminal Code, which concerns armed rebellion.[85][86]
Surovikin and lieutenant general Vladimir Alekseyev appealed to the Wagner fighters, urging them
to cease hostilities.[87] Surovikin made his remarks in what the Financial Times described as a
"hostage-style video" and had, as of July 29, remained unaccounted for.[73] State-run Channel One
Russia broadcast an "emergency newscast," during which host Ekaterina Andreeva declared that
Prigozhin's statements regarding alleged attacks by regular military forces on Wagner positions
were false. Andreeva also mentioned that Putin had been briefed on the ongoing situation.[88] In
response to Prigozhin's statements, the country's military and National Guard deployed armored
vehicles in both Moscow and Rostov-on-Don.[89][note 6]
Capture of Rostov-on-Don
During the early morning of 24 June, Wagner forces crossed into Russia's Rostov Oblast from
Luhansk and swiftly captured Rostov-on-Don, encountering no apparent opposition. They
successfully took control of the Southern Military District headquarters, establishing a secure
perimeter in the adjacent streets.[91] Notably, Prigozhin, captured on film, was seen within the
courtyard of the headquarters building.[92] The Wagner forces fortified their position by planting
landmines and establishing security checkpoints in the city center of Rostov.[93] Wagner members
sported silver armbands to distinguish themselves.[94][95]
Prigozhin held a meeting with Deputy Defense Minister Yunus-bek Yevkurov and Deputy Chief of
Staff Vladimir Alekseyev at the headquarters, during which Yevkurov unsuccessfully attempted to
persuade Prigozhin to withdraw his troops.[96] Prigozhin then hunkered down in a bunker in the
city and took up command as a detachment of some thousands of Wagner forces advanced on
Moscow.[71] Shooting and explosions were later heard. The Rostelecom building was fired at for
unclear reasons.[91] Unconfirmed videos hinted at confrontations between Wagner forces and the
military within the city.[97]
Many of Rostov's business and facilities remained closed. The

municipal administration advised residents to stay at home
(seemingly to little effect) but never instituted counter-terrorism
measures.[91] Local shops reduced their operating hours, and long
queues formed at gas stations.[98] Some residents tried to stock up
on essentials, while others sought to leave the city, resulting in traffic
congestion and lengthy lines at the train station. However, there was
no widespread panic among the populace. Certain residents
congregated in the city center to meet Wagner fighters; the majority
was supportive, although a few engaged in arguments with them. The
Wagner fighters were pointedly amicable with the residents. Wagner
forces subsequently urged civilians to stay off the streets for their
own safety after which shooting and explosions broke out.[91]
Prigozhin met with Russia's
Eyewitness footage depicted a long convoy of military and civilian
Deputy Defense Minister
vehicles heading towards the city, purportedly comprising Chechen Yunus-bek Yevkurov in
paramilitaries (Kadyrovites) with the objective of engaging the Rostov-on-Don. Yevkurov
Wagner forces.[99][100] According to Chechen state media and failed to convince Prigozhin
various accounts, they did not reach the city center and did not enter to withdraw his troops.
into any hostilities.[101][102] A commander of the Chechen forces later
said that some of their teams had been as close as "500-700 meters
from Wagner fighters".[103]
Advance towards Moscow
After Wagner secured control over Rostov-on-Don, Prigozhin split

his forces and ordered a few thousand men to head to Moscow
while he commanded the rebellion from a bunker in Rostov.[71] The
armored columns of Wagner, consisting of tanks, armored vehicles,
anti-aircraft weaponry, and civilian trucks, began to advance
rapidly towards Moscow in the early hours of 24 June, covering a
distance of 1,100 kilometers (680 miles) from Rostov-on-
Don.[104][105][106] One column coming from Rostov, and another
crossing over from the occupied territory of Ukraine, advanced
across Voronezh Oblast with little resistance encountered.[106]
According to a source close to the leadership of the Donetsk
People's Republic, the convoy bound for Moscow comprised
approximately 5,000 combatants, under the leadership of the
senior Wagner commander Dmitry Utkin.[107][108] The column did
not attempt to occupy any cities it passed through, although it
might have taken control of several air bases.[104] 0:57
Outside the regional capital of Voronezh,[note 7] Wagner troops were Video of the Wagner Group
attacked by a helicopter. [105][110][111] The Air Force suffered convoy heading towards
significant losses while confronting Wagner troops, with six Moscow
helicopters and an airborne command-center plane shot
down.[112][note 3] At least thirteen Russian military personnel were
killed.[5][113] Two missiles—likely fired by Wagner's air defense systems—struck an oil depot and a
courtyard of a housing complex in Voronezh.[104] Wagner fighters drove past Voronezh, more than
halfway to Moscow,[105] and continued to push through Voronezh Oblast throughout the early
afternoon without entering important cities.[106] Social media posts also showed footage of fighting
between Wagner troops and the military in Voronezh proper, with Reuters citing military
reports.[109][114][115] According to media reports, Wagner group took control of all military facilities
in the city.[116][117][105]
Wagner proceeded into Lipetsk Oblast, approximately 400 kilometres (250 mi) from
Moscow.[118][119] They passed through the town of Yelets,[106] and continued north along the M4
highway.[120][121] In Lipetsk Oblast, authorities deliberately demolished highways using excavators
in an effort to impede the convoy's progress.[99][122] Some roadways were blocked with trucks and
school buses.[122][120] The military set up defensive lines along the Oka river (which flows just
south of Moscow) and barricaded bridge crossings.[99][122] The governors of Lipetsk Oblast and
Voronezh Oblast urged all civilians to stay indoors, following reports of military columns and
clashes along the M4 highway.[123][124][125]
Sergei Sobyanin, the mayor of Moscow, declared the implementation of the counter-terrorism
regime in the capital.[126] Armoured vehicles and an increased presence of security forces was
observed throughout Moscow. Municipal authorities contemplated a curfew,[99] and billboards
advertising Wagner recruitment were seen being hastily dismantled.[127] Der Spiegel reported a
complete sell-out of all flights departing from Moscow as people sought to escape the impending
situation.[128] According to the airplane-tracking website Flightradar24, an aircraft used by Putin
took off from Moscow and headed towards St. Petersburg. However, according to Kremlin
spokesman Dmitry Peskov, Putin was not on board,[129] and he remained in the Kremlin.[130]
Authorities also announced travel restrictions in Kaluga Oblast, which is adjacent to Moscow, with
Governor Vladislav Shapsha telling residents to "refrain from travelling by private vehicle on these
roads unless absolutely necessary".[131]
Meanwhile, the Federal Security Service (FSB) raided Wagner headquarters in Saint Petersburg.
Unconfirmed reports in Russian media said cardboard boxes containing 4 billion rubles ($47
million) were discovered from vehicles near the office,[132] and that cash in U.S. dollars,
handguns,[133] gold bars and packs of an unknown white powder were also seized.[134][133]
Prigozhin said that the money was intended for employee salaries, compensations to relatives of
fallen Wagner fighters[134] and other company expenses.[132] He hinted at Wagner's covert global
influence operations, including activities in Africa and the United States, which necessitated the
use of cash.[134] Olga Romanova, a journalist and leader of the Russian civil rights organization
Russia Behind Bars, accused the FSB of threatening relatives of convicts recruited by Wagner since
early hours of 24 June.[135] According to The Telegraph's anonymous sources, U.K. intelligence
similiarly found that Russian intelligence agencies threatened to harm families of Wagner leaders
during its advance on Moscow.[136]
Resolution
Prigozhin allegedly made personal efforts to establish contact with the presidential administration
on the afternoon of 24 June, including reaching out to Putin himself, who refused to speak with
him. Final negotiations were reportedly conducted by Anton Vaino, the chief of staff, Nikolai
Patrushev, the secretary of the Security Council, and Boris Gryzlov, the Russian ambassador to
Belarus. Prigozhin strongly insisted that high-ranking officials participate in the negotiations, with
Putin's refusal to engage paving the way for Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko's
intervention.[137] Lukashenko reportedly spoke with Prigozhin upon Putin's request,[138] acting as
a mediator to broker a settlement. The agreement entailed the Wagner fighters ceasing their
advancement and returning to their base, in exchange for a guarantee of their safety.[105]
In an audio statement, Prigozhin stated that he had accepted the deal to prevent bloodshed, and re-
explained his motivations for the rebellion, emphasizing that it was not a coup
attempt:[105][139][140][141]
They wanted to disband the Wagner military company. We embarked on a march of

justice on June 23. In 24 hours, we got to within 200 kilometers of Moscow. In this
time, we did not spill a single drop of our fighters' blood. Now the moment has come
when blood could be spilled. Understanding responsibility [for the chance] that Russian
blood will be spilled on one side, we are turning our columns around and going back to
field camps as planned.
— Yevgeny Prigozhin, official statement, Wagner press service's Telegram

channel.[142]
At around 11:00 p.m. (GMT+3) on 24 June, the Wagner Group commenced the withdrawal of their
forces from Rostov-on-Don.[143][144] Residents of Rostov-on-Don cheered Wagner troops as they
left the city, and some approached Prigozhin's vehicle and shook Prigozhin's hand through the
window.[145] When asked to comment on the outcome of the revolt in the last known video of him
during the rebellion, Prigozhin responded with levity: "It's normal, we have cheered everyone
up".[69] On 25 June, Wagner forces started to withdraw from Voronezh.[146] Wagner forces
reportedly returned to their positions in occupied regions of eastern Ukraine.[147]
Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov announced that the charges against Prigozhin would be
dropped and that Prigozhin would be sent to Belarus.[148] According to Peskov, Wagner fighters
would not face prosecution, and those who did not participate in the rebellion would have the
option to sign contracts with the Ministry of Defense. Peskov further conveyed that the Wagner
organization as a whole would return to its previous wartime deployment locations. Putin's office
reportedly expressed gratitude to Lukashenko for his efforts in quelling the rebellion.[149]
Reactions
Russian government
Vladimir Putin's address
Vladimir Putin addressed the nation on 24 June, denouncing

Wagner's actions as "treason" and vowing to take "harsh steps"
to suppress the rebellion. He stated the situation threatened the
existence of Russia itself. Putin drew historical parallels to the
Russian Revolution, which unfolded during the Russian
Empire's engagement on the Eastern Front of World War I and
resulted in territorial losses in the Treaty of Brest- Vladimir Putin addressing the nation
Litovsk.[78][130] Furthermore, Putin made an appeal to the about the Wagner Group rebellion
Wagner forces who "by deceit or threats" had been "dragged"
into participating in the rebellion.[150]
In response, Prigozhin stated that his main goal was to remove Shoigu and Gerasimov from
office[151] and reiterated his accusations of corruption against the MoD.[152]
After airing Putin's address, TV stations returned to their scheduled programming.[153]
Other government-aligned figures
Prominent Russian establishment politicians called on Prigozhin to stop his rebellion and
expressed support for Putin.[154][155][156] Dmitry Medvedev, the leader of United Russia, the
deputy chairman of the Security Council of Russia, and a former president of the country, stated
that "the world will be put on the brink of destruction" if Wagner would be able to take control of
the government and gain access to nuclear weapons.[157]
Ramzan Kadyrov, the head of the Chechen Republic, called the situation "treason", and stated that
his troops were en route to "zones of tension" to "preserve Russia's units and defend its
statehood".[158] Patriarch Kirill of Moscow, the spiritual leader of the Russian Orthodox Church,
called on Russians to pray for Putin.[159]
Russian civil society
Anti-war opposition
Russian opposition groups responded in a variety of ways.[160] Exiled former oil magnate and
opposition figure Mikhail Khodorkovsky urged Russians to support Prigozhin, saying that it was
important to back "even the devil" if he decided to take on the Kremlin.[161] However, he later
urged Russians to arm themselves, while stating that "Prigozhin is not our friend and not even our
ally".[162] The anarchist organizations Combat Organization of Anarcho-Communists (BOAK) and
Autonomous Action both expressed in separate statements that Prigozhin and Putin were equally
despisable, and that anarchists had no "side" to take in the conflict.[163] The BOAK urged fellow
anarchists to "stay away", and let the warring factions "bleed each other as much as possible. That
way, they won't be able to disturb people in the future." They also urged to "spend this time
preparing for an armed conflict".[163]
Russian Volunteer Corps leader Denis Kapustin praised Prigozhin, stating that despite their stark
ideological differences, he considered Prigozhin "a patriot of Russia."[160] He later called for
joinning the rebellion.[164][165][166] The Freedom of Russia Legion compared the events to those
during the Russian Revolution but advised readers to remember Wagner's numerous war crimes.
They urged people not to "attribute military honor and valor to [Prigozhin] which does not
exist."[160]
Ultranationalists and milbloggers
According to the ISW, Russian pro-war ultranationalists were divided between those who wanted
to move past the rebellion and others who demanded solutions to the flaws in Russia's security
exposed by the rebellion.[167] Igor "Strelkov" Girkin called for the execution of Prigozhin for the
rebellion and the "murder" of Russian officers, demanding it as "necessary for the preservation of
Russia as a state."[168]
Wider public
The Russian population displayed a predominantly "silent" and apathetic reaction towards the
rebellion.[169][170] In comparison to the 2016 Turkish coup d'état attempt, where numerous
Turkish citizens actively participated in anti-coup demonstrations, Russia analyst Anna Matveeva
noted the contrasting response.[171] In the city of Rostov-on-Don occupied by Wagner forces,
videos emerged of Russian civilians welcoming the rebels, bringing them amenities and
cheering.[172][169]
After explosions near Voronezh caused by Russian artillery fire,

the previously existing internet meme "to bomb Voronezh",
which referred to self-destructive blunders by the Russian
government, resurfaced on Russian social media.[173][174][122]
International
Western leaders moslty refrained from directly commenting on

the rebellion as it unfolded and immediately after, primarily A Rostov man holding a Wagner
due to concerns that Putin would exploit such comments to Group flag during the rebellion
claim that it was a foreign conspiracy.[175][176] Additionally,
concerns were raised over control of the Russian nuclear
arsenal.[177] U.S. president Joe Biden discussed the situation with French president Emmanuel
Macron, German chancellor Olaf Scholz, and British prime minister Rishi Sunak.[178]
Following the rebellion's conclusion, Biden was questioned on whether and how Putin has been
weakened by Prigozhin's actions, in which he affirmed “absolutely” while making the gaffe “it’s
hard to tell but he’s clearly losing the war in Iraq; he's losing the war at home.”[179][180]
In a phone conversation on 24 June, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan conveyed to Putin
that Turkey was ready to assist in finding a "peaceful resolution,"[181] urging him to act
sensibly.[182][183]
In Georgia, there were also demands for the closure of its border with Russia, but the Georgian
Ministry of Internal Affairs stated that it was presently unnecassary.[184] Ukrainian officials,
including President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and his advisor Mykhailo Podolyak, stated that the
insurrection was evidence of Russia's political instability, "weakness", and infighting among the
elite.[185][186][187][188][189] Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba called the rebellion an opportunity for
the international community to "abandon false neutrality" on Russia and to provide Kyiv with all
the weapons it needs to push Russian forces out of Ukraine.[190]
Moldovan foreign minister Nicu Popescu said that the events in Russia were proof that Moldova
should continue on its trajectory of distancing itself from the "Eurasian space of destruction and
war" and towards the European Union to ensure peace, stability and democracy in the country.[191]
Commenting on the negotiations, Belarusian President Lukashenko claimed to have convinced

Putin to engage in dialogue with Prigozhin, the only individual with whom a negotiated settlement
could be achieved, as opposed to resorting to assassination. Lukashenko further claimed that such
a course of action would prevent a potentially chaotic situation instigated by leaderless
Wagnerites.[192] Lukashenko has also claimed that Belarus' national defense will benefit from
Wagner's expertise.[193] Belarusian opposition leader Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya stated on Twitter
that the rebellion exposed the "weakness" of Putin and other dictatorial regimes,[194] and stated
that "We must seize this moment now."[195] Kastuś Kalinoŭski Regiment commander Dzianis
Prokharaŭ expressed a similar sentiment in a video address on social media, calling on Belarusian
military personnel not to interfere in the events.[196][197] Valery Sakhashchyk, the Representative
for Defence and National Security in the Belarusian United Transitional Cabinet in exile, called for
a quick decision to either "use [the] historical chance and become a prosperous European country"
or "lose everything". He called for the Belarusian military to assert the Nation's independence from
Russia, to "unite the nation", and to "tune in to our wave and stay in touch".[198][199]
A Belarusian foreign ministry official described the rebellion as a "gift to the collective West".[200]
Milorad Dodik, the president of Republika Srpska and former member of the presidency of Bosnia
and Herzegovina, voiced support for Putin in "his efforts to preserve peace and internal stability in
Russia and restore order in the military and other forces",[201] as did North Korea[202][203] and
China.[204][205] Muhoozi Kainerugaba, son of the Ugandan President and commander of the
Special Forces Command, stated that Uganda could send soldiers to Russia to help Putin in
quelling the rebellion if necessary.[206]
Aftermath
Fallout and restoring order
A sense of normalcy swiftly returned to Moscow. On 25 June, workers initiated the repairs of roads
that had been destroyed to impede Wagner's advancement.[207] Emergency counter-terrorism
measures were lifted in Moscow on 26 June.[208] Following the uprising, the Russian ruble
exchange rate experienced a sharp decline, reaching its lowest point since March 2022.[208] On 26
June, the MoD made an official announcement stating that Shoigu had paid a visit to the Russian
troops stationed in Ukraine.[209] Shoigu was prominently featured in state media coverage, often
appearing alongside Putin, in the following days, in an apparent show of confidence.[210] Moreover,
Putin undertook a series of public meet-and-greets, a departure from his typically secretive nature,
seemingly aiming to showcase public backing.[211]
Prigozhin and Putin's statements
On 26 June, Prigozhin released a recorded statement in which he defended the insurrection. He

claimed that the objective was to save the Wagner Group and hold accountable inept government
officials. Prigozhin emphasized that the uprising aimed not to overthrow the government and
reiterated his accusation that the shelling of Wagner troops by the regular military sparked the
rebellion. He asserted that the rebellion was halted to prevent a massacre and alleged that regular
military forces were the first to open fire during the uprising, resulting in the deaths of around 30
Wagner members. Prigozhin also favorably compared Wagner's ability to credibly threaten to
capture Moscow with the military's failed attempt to capture Kyiv.[212]
Hours after Prigozhin's audio message, Putin addressed the nation once again. He rebuked the
unnamed individuals who led the rebellion and reiterated his belief that it constituted an act of
betrayal. However, Putin characterized Wagner commanders and fighters as predominantly
patriots who were "covertly used against their comrades-in-arms." He confirmed that Russian
servicemen were killed by Wagner, referring to them as heroes. Putin also stated that members of
the group who do not wish to become regular contractors were allowed to transfer to Belarus.[213]
Fate of Wagner Group
On 27 June, Russian authorities said they had closed the criminal investigation and dropped the
charges against Prigozhin or any other participants in the rebellion,[214] and that Wagner's heavy
military equipment was to be transferred to the Russian armed forces.[215][216] The authorities
stated that rebels had "stopped the actions directly aimed at committing a crime".[217] In Belarus,
construction of camps for the Wagner Group was reported to have begun in Mogilev Region.[218]
However, the State Border Guard Service of Ukraine stated there was no evidence that such camps
were being built.[219] On the same day, Lukashenko confirmed the arrival of Prigozhin in Belarus,
saying that he was welcome to stay "for some time".[220]
On 29 June, the BBC rang over a "dozen" recruitment centres using Russian phone numbers
including, in Volgograd, Krasnodar, Murmansk and Kaliningrad. The BBC was told that they were
still signing contracts with the Wagner group and not the Russian MoD. A man in Volgograd a man
said to the BBC: "It's absolutely nothing to do with the defence ministry...Nothing has stopped,
we're still recruiting."[221]
Measures of NATO countries
In response to events, Estonia strengthened its border security,[222][186] while Latvia closed its
border with Russia and suspended the entry of Russian citizens.[223] Concerned about the potential
concentration of Wagner forces in neighboring Belarus, Latvia and Lithuania made a joint request
to NATO for additional troops to be deployed to their countries, specifically along the eastern
border of the alliance. Responding to earlier tentative plans to reinforce Lithuania, German
Minister of Defence Boris Pistorius announced on 26 June that Germany, as the leading nation of
the existing NATO battle group stationed in Lithuania, would dispatch a complete brigade
consisting of 4,000 troops. This deployment aims to establish the necessary infrastructure for
permanent stationing by 2026.[224][225][226]
Possible purge of suspected rebellion sympathizers
Multiple publications have reported that General Surovikin had been arrested by Russian
authorities after the rebellion.[227] The milblogger, Rybar, a former press officer for the Russian
MoD claimed that a purge was underway, targeting Russian generals who demonstrated "a lack of
decisiveness" when dealing with Wagner. Since the rebellion General Valery Gerasimov, Chief of
the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces, hasn't been seen in public.[228]
Analysis
Political assessment
The rebellion, the first of its kind in Russia since the constitutional crisis of 1993,[122] was widely
regarded in the following days as the most significant challenge to Putin's 23-year-long
reign.[229][230][101] Multiple publications have noted that the rebellion has weakened Putin's public
image.[231][229][232] Andrey Kolesnikov expressed a view that although the rebellion eroded Putin's
image, the Russian population does not view Prigozhin's challenge to the establishment as a
credible alternative. Therefore, they are likely to continue providing support, whether genuine or
feigned, to Putin's administration.[233] According to some analysts, the rebellion laid bare an
inherent weakness of Putin's system of power built upon a ruling coalition of competing power
centers[234][67][235] and a structure of subordinate "nominal" institutions[235] that was strained by
the descent into a militarised state and society.[67] According to a New York Times analysis, the
rebellion undermined Putin's legitimacy which relies on being viewed as a guarantor of stability
and security, which may cause a lasting erosion of support among the Russian power elite.[236]
According to Meduza, the rebellion did not last long enough to show whether Prigozhin's radical
populist rhetoric enjoyed a genuine base of support among Russia's security services.[235]
According to The Guardian, there were no sizeable spontaneous displays of public support for the
Putin government during the rebellion.[192]
Prigozhin's failed rebellion has been described as a desperate last-ditch effort in a losing power
struggle against factions within the Russian establishment that he despised.[58] According to some
commentators, the rebellion ended with relatively few immediate repercussions for the
perpetrators that had been labelled as traitors by Putin, suggesting that Putin's rule was weak
enough to challenge.[67]
The head of the Russian National Guard, Viktor Zolotov, was described as emerging victorious
from the rebellion. Zolotov claimed credit and was praised by Putin for defending the capital
Moscow against the Wagner Group. On 27 June, Putin declared that the Russian National Guard
would be equipped with heavy weapons, including tanks, in order to suppress any potential future
uprisings and assume a more prominent position in the Russo-Ukraine conflict.[237][73] According
to Time magazine, Zolotov's increased authority may signify the initiation of a purge of Putin's
opponents.[238]
The Institute for the Study of War has claimed that Lukashenko is using his role in resolving the
rebellion to gain influence and leverage in his relation with Russia, and that he may use the
presence of Wagner to reduce Belarus' dependence on the Russian military.[239]
Military assessment
British intelligence reportedly estimated that some 8,000 Wagner fighter participated in the
rebellion.[240] According to a senior U.S. Department of Defense official, U.S. intelligence agencies
monitored the defection of large numbers of Russian soldiers from their military commanders,
who then joined the Wagner movement. The official further stated that the operations carried out
by Wagner were widely supported by soldiers and officers deployed inside Ukraine as well as in
Russian territory and bases near the Ukrainian border.[241] U.S. and allied officials and
independent experts consulted by The New York Times said that Prigozhin appeared to believe
that a significant part of the Russian military would take his side during the rebellion.[72] Prigozhin
himself claimed that two Russian military defectors were killed while fighting alongside Wagner.[3]
Western officials believed that Prigozhin would have faced a decisive defeat had he tried to capture
Moscow and that this was likely the reason why Prigozhin ultimately agreed to a negotiated
resolution.[70] According to Western intelligence analysis, had a negotiated solution not been
reached, the rebellion would have likely culminated in a violent showdown in Moscow, resulting in
the deaths of thousands.[71][242] U.S. officials expressed concerns regarding the safety of Russia's
nuclear stockpile during this period.[33][70]
The Institute for the Study of War commented that "the rebellion exposed the weakness of the
Russian security forces and demonstrated Putin's inability to use his forces in a timely manner to
repel an internal threat and further eroded his monopoly on force"; and that the Russian military's
combat capabilities did not seem to be "substantially impacted" by the rebellion.[167] According to
CNN, allies cautioned Ukraine to avoid taking advantage of the rebellion to conduct strikes inside
Russian territory.[70] According to analysts consulted by The New York Times, the enduring
systemic problems within the Russian military, which were strongly criticized by Prigozhin and
widely condemned by the soldiers, were likely to persist following the rebellion. This, in turn, will
exacerbate the decline in morale.[243]
See also
Russia portal
Modern history
portal
Timeline of the Russian invasion of Ukraine (8 June 2023 – present)

Kornilov affair, a coup d'état attempt by General Lavr Kornilov against the Russian Provisional
Government in September 1917
1991 Soviet coup d'état attempt, an attempted coup by the State Committee on the State of
Emergency against President Mikhail Gorbachev in August
1993 Russian constitutional crisis, a military and political conflict between President Boris
Yeltsin, the Supreme Soviet of Russia and the Congress of People's Deputies of Russia in
October
Notes
1. Lower estimate per The Daily Telegraph citing anonymous sources from U.K. security
services,[1] upper estimate per Prigozhin[2]
2. Two UAZ-23632-148-64, one AMN-590951, one Kamaz 6x6 and one Ural-4320[4]
3. Six helicopters (three Mi-8MTPR-1 electronic warfare helicopters, one Mi-35 Hind, one Ka-52
Alligator, one Mi-8 transport), one Il-22M airborne command-center plane.[244][5][120][6]
4. 1 Tigr and 1 Kamaz-435029[4]
5. The New York Times noted that U.S. officials would have a vested interest in selectively
disseminating information damaging to Surovikin whom they believe to be more effective than
other members of the Russian military command.[72]
6. Rostov-on-Don is near the frontlines in Ukraine where Wagner troops had been operating, and
is also where Prigozhin had claimed that Wagner troops were headed.[89] It is directly
connected to Moscow by the M4 highway.[90]
7. halfway between Rostov-on-Don and Moscow[109]
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кажется, перевороты начинаются не с этого) Вот что он сказал. Полная расшифровка
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Russian army helicopters, 1 plane on June 24" (https://kyivindependent.com/ukraines-ai
r-force-wagner-troops-down-6-russian-army-helicopters-1-plane-on-june-24/). The Kyiv
Independent. Archived (https://web.archive.org/web/20230625175304/https://kyivindepe
ndent.com/ukraines-air-force-wagner-troops-down-6-russian-army-helicopters-1-plane-o
n-june-24/) from the original on 25 June 2023. Retrieved 25 June 2023. "The Russian
pro-Kremlin military bloggers reported on June 24 that the Wagner troops downed one
Ka-52 attack helicopter, one Mi-8 transport helicopter, three Mi-8 electronic warfare
helicopters, one Mi-35 attack helicopter, and one Il-18 aircraft."
"Frontline report: Russia suffers record aircraft losses during Wagner mutiny" (https://eu
romaidanpress.com/2023/06/25/frontline-report-russia-suffers-record-aircraft-losses-due
-to-wagner-coup/). Euromaidan Press. 25 June 2023. Retrieved 25 June 2023. "The
widely circulated footage confirms that Wagner forces shot down multiple aerial objects,
including: 1 assault helicopter Ka-52, 1 multi-purpose helicopter Mi-8, 3 Electric Warfare
helicopters, 1 transport helicopter, and 1 aerial command point plane IL-18."
"СМИ подтвердили сбитие "вагнеровцами" трех вертолетов Минобороны РФ" (htt
ps://web.archive.org/web/20230624152210/https://www.unian.net/war/vo-vremya-myate
zha-v-rossii-vagner-sbili-tri-vertoleta-novosti-vtorzheniya-rossii-na-ukrainu-amp-123054
45.html) [Mass media confirm the downing of three helicopters of the Russian Ministry
of Defense by Wagnerites]. UNIAN (in Russian). 24 June 2023. Archived from the
original (https://www.unian.net/war/vo-vremya-myatezha-v-rossii-vagner-sbili-tri-vertolet
g ( p y y g
a-novosti-vtorzheniya-rossii-na-ukrainu-amp-12305445.html) on 24 June 2023.
External links
Media related to Wagner Group rebellion at Wikimedia Commons
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30/06/2023, 08:23 Wagner Group rebellion - Wikipedia

Wagner Group rebellion

A crowd in Rostov-on-Don watching a

Date 23–24 June 2023 (1 day)

Yevgeny Prigozhin and the Wagner Group

In the early 2000s, Prigozhin, having served a decade in prison before

In 2014, Prigozhin founded the Wagner Group, a Russian private military

Internal tensions during the invasion of Ukraine

Attempts to limit Prigozhin's influence

Escalation during the battle of Bakhmut

During the grueling battle of Bakhmut, tensions between the

Order to integrate Wagner

Planning the rebellion

"oligarchic clan" had personal motives for initiating the war.[77]

Later on 23 June, Prigozhin amplified a video that had already

Many of Rostov's business and facilities remained closed. The

Advance towards Moscow

After Wagner secured control over Rostov-on-Don, Prigozhin split

They wanted to disband the Wagner military company. We embarked on a march of

— Yevgeny Prigozhin, official statement, Wagner press service's Telegram

Vladimir Putin's address

Vladimir Putin addressed the nation on 24 June, denouncing

After airing Putin's address, TV stations returned to their scheduled programming.[153]

Other government-aligned figures

Russian civil society

Ultranationalists and milbloggers

After explosions near Voronezh caused by Russian artillery fire,

Western leaders moslty refrained from directly commenting on

Commenting on the negotiations, Belarusian President Lukashenko claimed to have convinced

Fallout and restoring order

Prigozhin and Putin's statements

On 26 June, Prigozhin released a recorded statement in which he defended the insurrection. He

Fate of Wagner Group

Measures of NATO countries

Possible purge of suspected rebellion sympathizers

Timeline of the Russian invasion of Ukraine (8 June 2023 – present)

5. "LIVE — Wagner chief 'humiliated' Putin, Ukraine says" (https://www.dw.com/en/live-updates-w

113. "Песков: дело против Пригожина прекратят, он "уйдёт в Беларусь" (https://www.svoboda.

Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Wagner_Group_rebellion&oldid=1162583251"

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