SYSTEM MODEL

Mathematical model are useful to understand the behavior of

an infection when it enters a community and investigate
under which conditions it will be wiped out or continued.
Currently, COVID-19 is of great concern to researches,
governments, and all people because of high rate infection
spread and the significant number of deaths that
occoured. In December 2019 coronavirus first reported in
Wuhan, China. Coronavirus-confirmed cases reached
nearly four million in 187 countries, approximately 295000
people have lost their lives.
Two characteristics of the COVID-19 crisis are striking: first, its
extent in space, second its
extent in time. This crisis is indeed going to
have impact during an unknown, but probably
prolonged period of 18 months or longer,
affecting all activities on Earth, which makes it
a systemic crisis and not only a simple health
crisis. The closest analog we have at a global
scale is the H1N1 influenza pandemic of 1917-
1919 which killed between 17 and 50 million
people worldwide. Handling the
current COVID-19 crisis therefore requires a
holistic approach taking into consideration an extremely
complex system,I.e. human society as a whole