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ABSTRACT. Until the middle of the present century it was a commonly accepted opinion
that theory change in science was the expression of cumulative progress consisting in the
acquisition of new truths and the elimination of old errors. Logical empiricists developed
this idea through a deductive model, saying that a theory 7" superseding a theory T must be
able logically to explain whatever T explained and something more as well. Popper too shared
this model, but stressed that 7" explains the old known facts in its own new way. The further
pursual of this line quickly led to the thesis of the non-comparability or incommensurability
of theories: if T and 7" are different, then the very concepts which have the same denomi-
nation in both actually have different meanings; in such a way any sentence whatever has
different meanings in T and in T" and cannot serve to compare them. Owing to this, the
deductive model was abandoned as a tool for understanding theory change and scientific
progress, and other models were proposed by people such as Lakatos, Kuhn, Feyerabend,
Sneed and Stegmiiller. The common feature of all these new positions may be seen in the
claim that no possibility exists of interpreting theory change in terms of the cumulative
acquisition of truth. It seems to us that the older and the newer positions are one-sided, and,
in order to eliminate their respective shortcomings, we propose to interpret theory change in
a new way.
The starting point consists in recognizing that every scientific discipline singles out its
specific domain of objects by selecting a few specific predicates for its discourse. Some of
these predicates must be operational (that is, directly bound to testing operations) and they
determine the objects of the theory concerned. In the case of a transition from T to T, we
must consider whether or not the operational predicates remain unchanged, in the sense of
being still related to the same operations. If they do not change in their relation to operations,
then T and 7" are comparable (and may sometimes appear as compatible, sometimes as
incompatible). If the operational predicates are not all identical in T a n d / ' , the two theories
show a rather high degree of incommensurability, and this happens because they do not refer
to the same objects. Theory change means in this case change of objects. But now we can see
that even incommensurability is compatible with progress conceived as the accumulation of
truth. Indeed, T and T remain true about their respective objects (7" does not disprove T),
and the global amount of truth acquired is increased.
In other words, scientific progress does not consist in a purely logical relationship between
theories, and moreover it is not linear. Yet it exists and may even be interpreted as an
accumulation of truth, provided we do not forget that every scientific theory is true only
about its own specific objects.
It may be pointed out that the solution advocated here relies upon a limitation of the
theory-ladeness of scientific concepts, which involves a reconsideration of their semantic
status and a new approach to the question of 'theoretical concepts'. First of all, the feature
of being theoretical is attributed to a concept not absolutely, but relatively, yet in a sense
different from Sneeds's: indeed every theory is basically characterized by its 'operational'
concepts, and the non-operati0nal are said to be 'theoretical', this distinction clearly de-
pending on every particular theory. For the operational concepts it happens that their mean-
ing splits into two parts: one I call the 'referential' component and the other the 'contextual'
component. It is only this second which is actually theory-laden, while the first represents a
'stable core' of meaning, which may remain invariant within different theories and in such
a way allow theory comparison. Hence it is possible to admit that every scientific concept is
theory-laden, but at the same time to admit as well that this feature is only partial in the
case of the operational concepts. This amounts to claming that the 'sentential view' of scien-
title theories may be kept, but that the empirical side also preserves its full role and, in
particular, is essential in every question concerning theory change, theory comparison and
evaluation of scientific progress.
J
SOME R E S T R I C T I O N S OF O U R A N A L Y S I S
In this spirit we may begin by saying that we are of the opinion that
question (a) admits of a composite answer, according to which science is,
from a certain point of view, a human activity and, from another point of
view, a system of knowledge. The first aspect implies that science, like all
human activities, is 'performed' in view of many personal and social goals
(and this legitimates debates such as those on the 'neutrality' and re-
sponsibility of science, which also affect the notion of scientific 'progress'
and give it a very special meaning). On the other hand, it must be recog-
nized that the most specific of these goals is that of producing a body of
reliable knowledge in a great variety of fields, and this leads to the second
qualification of science we mentioned (science as a system of knowledge),
which is practically the one traditionally considered by the philosophy of
science (at least when professionally understood). Without underestimat-
ing the legitimacy and the importance of the first qualification, we want
to make clear that science will be considered here only under the second
viewpoint, as the title of this paper explicitly indicates. Yet this delimita-
tion is still too vague, as science does not include all kinds of knowledge,
but only those which meet the requirements of what we could call 'objec-
tivity' and 'rigour'. We shall here feel free from providing an exact speci-
fication of these two requirements of science (we have provided it else-
SCIENTIFIC K N O W L E D G E 55
where) and we shall simply say that their fulfilment obtains at best in what
are usually called 'scientific theories'. For that reason we accept to adopt
a (conscious) limitation, i.e. to take into consideration scientific knowledge
only as far as it is expressed in scientific theories, in this way leaving aside
all those forms of accidental, scattered and unsystematic knowledge which
certainly deserve consideration when a comprehensive discourse on scien-
tific progress is made. A further limitation appears advisable for practical
reasons: we shall concentrate only on 'empirical theories', i.e. on those in
which sense data (of a very special kind) are considered to provide us with
substantial knowledge; and we shall ignore 'formal theories', not because
we are of the opinion that they do not contain knowledge, but because
they require quite a peculiar kind of study: the problem with which we are
concerned is already sufficiently complicated in the domain of empirical
theories, and its solution does not depend on its being treated together
with the question of 'formal knowledge'. It would be too optimistic and
perhaps naive to believe that after these important delimitations our field
of inquiry should be determined unambiguously and with total clarity.
Indeed the question: 'What is a scientific theory' is by no means a simple
and pacific one for, as is well known, the traditional 'statement view of
theories' has been stronly challenged in the past few years, but has not
been superseded by any other view which could be credited with a general
acceptance. This is, by the way, the reason why it would not really prove
profitable to explicitly discuss this question here, although some element
of this discussion will appear in our subsequent presentation.
The problems of why a theory is accepted or abandoned are among the
most frequently debated in the literature of recent years, but they are also
those in which it is possible to see how much confusion has been caused
by the interference and the uncontrolled exchange of different planes of
discussion. These problems may indeed be discussed on a factual plane;
they may been seen under a psychological or a sociological viewpoint; they
involve epistemic attitudes; they include logical aspects, and they have a
very important pragmatic component. Unfortunately, it too often happens
that different scholars lay stress on one single plane as if it were the only
which matters, trying to discredit the other approaches. What they are
actually able to do is to show the limitations of some of the other ap-
proaches (if this were to be taken as an all-explaining tool), but they are
not fair enough as to recognize the aspects of the problem which are rather
56 EVANDRO A G A Z Z I
well accounted for by the other approaches and, moreover, they seem
unaware of the shortcomings that their own approach shows, if it too is
taken as all-explanatory. An advantage of our further discussion will be
that we shall certainly consider the question of scientific progress in con-
nection (indeed in strict connection) with the question of theory change,
but without having to answer the question 'why' theory change has oc-
curred: it will be enough for our purposes to see 'that' it has occurred, and
to examine the situation which is determined within scientific knowledge
by virtue of this change.
THE N O T I O N OF PROGRESS
It has been typical of our Western culture to believe that the situation
emerging from this change always be the manifestation of 'progress', and
this concept has been endowed with a rich display of shades of meaning
the analysis of which we must leave to the historian of ideas. Indeed, owing
to the thematic delimitation we have introduced here, we shall simply be
concerned with the idea of progress as applied to scientific knowledge,
which means, as we have already said, to knowledge organized in the form
of scientific theories. Under this restriction the problem of scientific pro-
gress seems to become very simple, as everybody seems ready to accept
that scientific progress may perhaps be questionable if we consider all sides
of science, and especially those which concern its social impact, but its
cognitive side seems to be 'progressive' in a very patent and undeniable
sense.
This first impression has to be treated with caution: however when we
consider, as we have accepted to do, scientific knowledge as it is expressed
in scientific theories, what is really evident is that in every discipline there
is a succession of theories in time, that the new are 'different' from the old,
that a 'change' occurs, but this does not by itself imply 'progress'. In order
for change to be considered as progress, the factual ascertainment of its
having occurred must be accompanied by a value-judgment of some sort,
enabling us to claim that the new situation is 'better' than the previous
one. The difficulty lies precisely in the determination of this 'better'. Let
us note that this difficulty does not vanish when we enter the domain of
knowledge (which might seem to have dispensed with this kind of question,
being, as is usually said, 'value-free'). Indeed, it is precisely when we con-
SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE 57
sider scientific knowledge that we are very naturally inclined to share the
opinion that we know 'more' and 'better' than people belonging to older
generations. Now even the exact determination of this 'more' is by no
means unproblematic, for under its seemingly purely quantitative cate-
gorization it actually conceals much more, i.e. the idea of a 'selective'
process, consisting at least in the elimination o f old errors and the continual
addition of new truths. The idea of the 'better' is then more or less vaguely
understood in terms of deeper insight or of better correlation between the
different truths, and its expression is perhaps given by the familiar image
of science as a great and complex building, to the erection of which every
single scientist contributes by adding his own brick, while every generation
of scientists contributes by adding something like a new floor with beau-
tiful rooms. Roughly speaking, there is some kind of common consensus
in the appreciation of the development of scientific knowledge not simply
as change, but rather as linear and cumulative progress.
THE D E D U C T I V E M O D E L OF S C I E N T I F I C P R O G R E S S
This commonsense idea became very naturally the tacit guideline for those
people who first elaborated the conception that scientific knowledge ac-
tually consists of scientific theories, and who gave a characterization of
scientific theory which has remained valid and 'classical' for quite a long
time. According to this view, which was mainly developed in the specu-
lations of the logical empiricist philosophy of science beginning with the
Vienna Circle and continuing in particular with the Anglo-Saxon analyti-
cal philosophy of our century, scientific theories are conceived of as being
systems of logically connected sentences having the task of providing an
explanation of observed facts. In order to reach this goal, sentences were
divided into two classes: those which were purely descriptive of observed
facts (the explananda), and those which were introduced as hypotheses
from which formal deductive chains could be started which would end with
the factual sentences. This very familiar picture may be classified as ex-
pressing at the same time the so-called 'sentential view' of theories and the
'deductive model' of scientific explanation. It is also quite understandable
that these two patterns should be adopted when the problem of theory
change came to be investigated within the said school, and that they should
also be used in order to show when and why theory change occurs, and
58 EVANDRO AGAZZI
and this excludes any possibility of subtheory relation, but the variant (B)
may still be accepted in the sense of its first subcase, as we pointed out
above. However, owing to the incompatibility of T and 7,, it was necessary
to point out that 7" must be able to explain in its own new way and ac-
cording to its own new point o f view the explananda with respect to which
T was already successful, and in addition new explananda with respect to
which T was not successful and even falsified.
This general idea was further developed by Popper, who introduced
some criteria for measuring the 'truth content' of different theories, in
order to establish the progressive character of T" with respect to T, and
also proposed his theory of verisimilitude or approximation to truth. It lies
outside the scope of this paper to discuss these controversial theses of
Popper: we only want to note that Popper shared with the logical empir-
icist approach two essential tenets. The first is the conception of theories
as deductive systems intended to give an explanation of facts in the sense
described above; the second was that comparison between theories, and
thus the problem of justifying and interpreting theory change, was to be
approached according to a deductive model focused on the relation of
logical deducibility between the axioms of the theories and some single
sentences belonging to them.
It is exactly the deductive model which was later recognized as fully
inadequate to account for scientific progress, and its crisis was generally
interpreted as a refutation of the 'sentential view' of theories as such. We
are of the opinion that the question of the sentential view of theories re-
quires a different kind of discussion, but we shall postpone this point now.
respects. We may venture to say that the older and the newer conceptions
are all rather one-sided, in the sense that they correctly capture some fea-
ture of scientific theories and of scientific change, but emphasize them in
such a way as to disregard or at least underestimate other no less correct
and essential features.
THE O N E - S I D E D N E S S OF THE E X A M I N E D P O S I T I O N S
perceive that this role is not all-embracing and that experimental evidence
e.g. plays a no less important role in science. Then, however, we are im-
mediately confronted with the difficulties of the complex relations that
exist between these two sides of science, which in particular cannot be
separated by a clear-cut distinction. If this fact already suggests that we
not overemphasize deduction within theories, even more caution has to be
adopted when we take into consideration relations between different the-
ories; and we have already said above that the deductive model shows its
weakness especially here. Still it seems to us that the alternative approaches
which have been proposed have their own drawbacks.
In order to see this matter more clearly, some distinct aspects must be
analyzed.
(i) If two theories T and 7" exist as a matter of pure fact, the problem
of comparing them from a purely logical point of view is quite legitimate
and has even received considerable attention in mathematical logic, where
it has been shown when, how and to what extent such a comparison is
possible, if we understand it as something that should be expressed by
means of formal deductive tools or by means of model-theoretic ap-
proaches. Yet this problem has very little to do with the question of theory
change, and this for two distinct reasons: firstly because it is not said that
7" emerged as a kind of modification of dismission of T (they might well
be two rival theories existing at the same time, as has so often been the
case in the history of science). And secondly, because claiming that theory
change is essentially or primarily a question of logic means a transition to
quite a different problem. This problem is that of investigating the reasons
or the motives of the said change; and while it is perfectly correct to study
which deductive or, more generally, which logical relations exist between
two theories, it would be at least very debatable to maintain that the one
has replaced the other because of certain logical imperatives.
(ii) The second problem just mentioned might be characterized as the
question about when and why a theory change occurs, and here we have
many divergent answers. However it must be stressed that this variety of
answers and their discord are, at least to a great extent, the consequence
of two different attitudes which may be adopted, both of which are legit-
imate, provided they do not claim to be the only legitimate attitudes: we
would call them, respectively, the descriptive and the normative ap-
proaches. According to the descriptive approach, our question has to be
64 EVANDRO A G A Z Z I
role, but only a very restricted and specific empirical evidence, which re-
suits from standardized operational procedures of observation and mea-
surement. These procedures are certainly bound to some theoretical con-
text (the context which allowed the design of the instruments and of their
use), but this is not the theoretical context of the theory where these in-
struments are used as tools for providing the empirical evidence. For that
reason we abandon the terminology of 'observational' terms and adopt
instead the terminology of'operational' terms; and this is not just a matter
of words, as will be seen in the sequel. The consequence is that the dis-
tinction between operational and theoretical terms is not absolute, because
it is relative to the particular theory considered; however this relativity
does not imply that the distinction not be clear and unambiguous within
any single theory. In this way we reverse the well known thesis of Sneed,
according to which theoretical terms are simply T-theoretical (i.e. theo-
retical relative to a particular theory T, according to some criteria which
we need not mention here), while nothing is said regarding what is empir-
ical about the non-theoretical terms. According to our approach, opera-
tional terms are relative to the particular theory where they occur, and
they provide a foundation for the empirical claim of the theory, while the
theoretical terms are simply those which are non-operational (of course,
relative to the said theory). By stressing this we can avoid the total rela-
tivity in the meaning of all scientific concepts: it may be admitted that one
and the same concept changes its meaning at least to a certain extent
when passing from one theory to another, but this does not imply such a
radical modification as would prevent us from comparing theories. This
means that incommensurability is not a necessary consequence of the cor-
rectly stressed existence of a certain semantic relativity of scientific con-
cepts.
An important feature of this approach is that it enables us to recover
a great part of the 'sentential view of theories', without reducing it to a
purely logical feature. Indeed we shall consider the different scientific the-
ories as systems of sentences which are intended to speak truly about a
specific domain of objects. The problem is that of correctly understanding
how this domain of objects has to be conceived and determined and it is
here that operations play a decisive and central role. In this regard I allow
myself to refer to some previously published research, in order to avoid
too many details. 3 However, since most of these publications are in
SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE 67
ferential part'; besides this there is another part which depends on the
context of the whole theory, and which comes from the net of logical
relationships that link the basic predicates reciprocally and with the other
theoretical predicates (we shall call this their 'contextual part'. In the case
of the theoretical predicates, their entire meaning depends on the context
of the theory, being influenced in particular by the logical relations existing
with the operational as well as with the other theoretical predicates. There-
fore they are endowed with a 'contextual meaning' only.
This remark is very important, as it enables us to see that in the case of
the operational or basic predicates there is a part of their meaning which
is not context-dependent (or 'theory-laden'). It follows that, if we can
consider sentences entirely constituted of operational predicates, we can
restrict our attention to that part of their meaning which only depends on
the operational meaning of their predicates, that is to say, which simply
express their 'referential meaning'. It is certainly easy to recognize that
'meaning' has been understood intensionally, in the above, but this is no
special feature of our discourse, as all talk about context--dependence or
theory-ladeness of the meaning of concepts necessarily refers to the inten-
sional aspect of this meaning. What we explicitly add to this feature is
emphasis on the fact that referring to reality by means of certain standard
operations belongs to the intension of some concepts, and represents a part
of this intension which is not sensitive to the rest of it. This claim seems
to us very well grounded in the concrete analysis of any operational con-
cept. On the other hand, it should be superfluous to remark that the fact
that measuring instruments and the standardized way of using them de-
pend, generally speaking, 'on theories' does no harm. Indeed, these are
'other' theories, and therefore do not affect the pure operational character
of the referential meaning within the theory involved, as we have already
remarked.
THEORY COMPARISON
With this premiss borne in mind, we can proceed to consider the possibility
of comparing theories. Let us assume that two theories contain exactly the
same operational predicates, defined by means of the same operations. In
this case the two theories speak about the same domain of objects, and we
can try to look for a totally operational sentence which e.g. is a logical
SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE 69
THE I D E A OF S C I E N T I F I C T R U T H R E V I S I T E D
the best established scientific theories, such as for instance classical me-
chanics, had been found false and rejected by the introduction, say, of
relativity theory or quantum mechanics. This impression was wrong, as
these people forgot that a sentence or a system of sentences is never true
or false 'in itself', but always with regard to some domain of reference. In
particular, the sentences of a given scientific theory aim at being true not
'in general' or 'as such', but simply with regard to their intended objects.
Hence, the sentences of classical mechanics cannot be disproved by quan-
tum mechanics, because the transition from the first to the second means
a change of the domain of objects, as can be seen from the fact that some
predicates which are operational in the one are not operational in the
other, and also by the fact that those which may be operational in both
are actually related to different kinds of operations in the one and in the
other respectively (this is why, e.g., the problem of measurement has so
many complex implications in quantum physics, which it did not have in
classical physics). Therefore quantum mechanics cannot prove that classi-
cal mechanics is false about its (classical) objects. As a matter of fact, we
can claim that a theory which has successfully passed several severe tests,
which has given rise to a rich display of applications, which has been
confirmed by a great variety of independent indirect controls, etc. may be
considered, with 'practical certitude', as being true of its objects and re-
maining true for ever about them. In this sense we must say that classical
mechanics is still true and will remain true of its objects (this is why, by
the way, we still use classical mechanics in so many technological appli-
cations as well as in celestial mechanics, in astrophysics, etc.).
A L E G I T I M A T E SENSE OF C U M U L A T I V E S C I E N T I F I C P R O G R E S S
DIAGRAMS
,. T T'
1 2 3 t,"" 1 2 3 /,"" n /
/
SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE 73
Explications
(a) Thl, Th2, Tha, and Opt, Op2 are the theoretical and the operational
concepts in T.
Th'l, Th'2, Th'a, and Op'l, Op'2 are the theoretical and the operational
concepts in T'.
(b) The lines - - and -.-.- indicate the formal (i.e. mathematical or log-
ical) relations existing between the different concepts.
(c) The lines - - indicate the non-formal (i.e. referential) relations
existing between the operational concepts and their 'defining' concrete
operations.
(d) It is supposed that all concepts are indicated in Tand T' bythe same
name. Still their meaning is different at least because of their different for-
mal contexts in the two theories.
Comments
(a) The global meanings of Opl and Op2 are certainly different from
those of Op'~ and Op'2, owing to their different contexts. In particular,
though Op~ and Op'~ appear to be bound to Th~ and Th2 (Th'l and
Th'2) by the same formal relations f~ and f2, it happens that the meanings
of Thl and Th' 1, and of Th2 and Th'2 are different owing to their different
contextual definitions. In fact:
(i) Th~ is directly connected with Th2 by means of f5, and directly
connected with Th3 by means of t"4 (it is also indirectly connected with
Th3 by means of f5 and f6), while Th'l is directly connected with Th'2
by means of another function gl and it is indirectly connected with Th'3
according to two different patterns, i.e. via gl and t"6 and via gl and g2.
(ii) The referential meanings of Op2 and Op'2 are different, as they are
bound to two different operations 094 and o9,. But this difference in
meaning also affects Tha and Th'a by virtue of the functional relation
t"3, so that the meanings of Tha and Th'a are really quite different; and
this fact is certain to affect the whole theoretical context of T and T'.
(b) As to the referential meanings of Opl, Op2, Op'I, and Op'2, some
distinction has to be made:
(i) Opl and Op'l have the same referential meaning, as they are directly
related to the very same operations 091, o92, o93.
74 EVANDRO AGAZZI
(ii) Opz and Op'z have different referential meanings, as they are related
to two different operations co4 and 09,.
(c) If we now remember the strict relationship existing between the
operations and the objects of theories, it is easy to see that this has auto-
matic counterparts on the~referential meanings of their operational con-
cepts. The resulting possibilities are sketched in the following diagram.
2. Relationships between the domains of objects of two theories T and T'.
Comments
(a) This case occurs when all the operational concepts of T also appear
with the same referential meaning in T' while T' contains other operational
concepts of its own. We shall call the two theories locally comparable..
(b) In this case all the operational concepts in T and T' have the same
referential meaning. Therefore T and T" deal with the same domain of
objects and are called fully comparable.
(c) Here T and T' have in common at least some operational concepts
with the same referential meaning, while other operational concepts (even
if they are labelled with the same name) have actually different referential
meanings. This is in particular the case presented in diagram 1. We shall
call the two theories partially comparable.
(d) In this case all the operational concepts have different referential
SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE 75
meanings in T and T', which m e a n s that they deal with fully different
d o m a i n s o f objects. W e shall call them incomparable (or incommensurable).
As is clear, incommensurability is by no m e a n s the only possible case, but
just one a m o n g four possibilities.
Comments
FINAL REMARK
NOTES
1 For a good account and discussion of this 'deductive model' see e.g., C. Dilworth, Scientific
Progress, Reidel, Dordrecht, 1981.
2 For a brief but rigorous account of this position, and of its relation to most of the other
positions mentioned here, see in particular W. Stegmiiller, The Structuralist View of Theories,
Springer, Berlin 1979.
3 A rather detailed presentation of these ideas may be found in several publications of mine
which have appeared in Italian, including the last chapter of my book, Temi e problemi di
filosofia della fisica. Milano, 1969, Abete, Roma 19742, the essay'L'epistemologiacontem-
poranea: il concetto attuale di scienza', in Scienza e filosofia oggi, Massimo, Milano 1980,
pp. 7-20, and 'Proposta di una nuova caratterizzazione dell' oggettivit~i scientifica', in Iti-
nerari (1979) nn. 1-2, pp. 113-143. In other languages, see my: 'Les critrres srmantiques pour
la constitution de l'objet scientifique', in La skmantique dans les sciences, Office International
de Librairie, Bruxelles 1978, pp. 13-29; 'The Concept of Empirical Data. Proposal for an
Intensional Semantics of Empirical Theories' in M. Przetecki et al. (eds), Formal Methods in
the Methodology of Empirical Sciences, Reidel, Dordrecht 1976, pp. 153-157; 'Subjectivity,
Objectivity, and Ontological Commitment in the Empirical Sciences', in R.E. Butts and J.
Hintikka (eds.), Historical and Philosophical Dimensions of Logic, Methodology and Philos-
ophy of Science, Reidel, Dordrecht 1977, pp. 159 171; 'Eine Deutung der wissenschaftlichen
Objektivit/it',in Allgemeine Zeitschriftfiir Philosophie' 3 (1978), 20-47; and 'Realism v Nauke
i Istoriceskaja Priroda Naukovo Posnanija', in Voprosi Filosofii 6 (1980), 136,144.
Philosophisches Seminar
Universit~it Fribourg
CH-1700 Fribourg
Switzerland