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ORIGINAL ARTICLE

Elite Athletes Live Longer Than the General


Population: A Meta-Analysis
Nuria Garatachea, PhD; Alejandro Santos-Lozano, PhD;
Fabian Sanchis-Gomar, MD, PhD; Carmen Fiuza-Luces, PhD;
Helios Pareja-Galeano, MSc; Enzo Emanuele, MD, PhD;
and Alejandro Lucia, MD, PhD
Abstract

Objective: To perform a meta-analysis of cohort studies aimed at providing an accurate overview of


mortality in elite athletes.
Patients and Methods: We reviewed English-language scientific articles available in Medline and Web of
Science databases following the recommendations of the Meta-analyses Of Observational Studies in
Epidemiology group. We searched for publications on longevity and professional or elite athletes (with no
restriction on the starting date and up to March 31, 2014).
Results: Ten studies, including data from a total of 42,807 athletes (707 women), met all inclusion criteria.
The all-cause pooled standard mortality ratio (SMR) was 0.67 (95% CI, 0.55-0.81; P<.001) with no evi-
dence of publication bias (P¼.24) but with significant heterogeneity among studies (I2¼96%; Q¼224.46;
P<.001). Six studies provided data on cardiovascular disease (CVD) and 5 on cancer (in a total of 35,920
and 12,119 athletes, respectively). When only CVD was considered as a cause of mortality, the pooled SMR
was 0.73 (95% CI, 0.65-0.82; P<.001) with no evidence of bias (P¼.68) or heterogenity among studies
(I2=38%; Q¼8.07; P¼.15). The SMR for cancer was 0.60 (95% CI, 0.38-0.94; P¼.03) with no evidence of
bias (P¼.20) despite a significant heterogeneity (I2¼91%; Q¼44.21; P<.001).
Conclusion: The evidence available indicates that top-level athletes live longer than the general population
and have a lower risk of 2 major causes of mortality, namely, CVD and cancer.
ª 2014 Mayo Foundation for Medical Education and Research n Mayo Clin Proc. 2014;89(9):1195-1200

and ventricular arrhythmia.7 Accordingly, a

T
here is strong epidemiological evidence
that regular physical activity (eg, brisk certain tolerance “threshold” has been proposed
walking and jogging) has great poten- after which exercise would no longer be bene- For editorial
tial in the management and rehabilitation of ficial and might be even harmful to the heart.5,6 comment, see page
various diseases1,2 and is associated with lower Some authors recently postulated that stren- 1171; for a related
risk of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular dis- uous endurance exercise (eg, running) for article, see page
ease (CVD), hypertension, stroke, metabolic more than approximately 1 h/d might induce 1187
syndrome, type 2 diabetes, breast and colon deleterious effects on the human heart.8
From the Department of
cancer, depression, and falling.3,4 However, To determine whether the health benefits Physiotherapy and
whether the repeated exposure to the highest of exercise are actually confined (or not) to Nursing, University of
exercise levels, such as those required in profes- noncompetitive, moderate (or recreational) Zaragoza, Huesca, Spain
(N.G.); Research Institute
sional sports participation, affects human practice is of broad medical interest and might of Hospital 12 de Octubre
longevity and disease risk remains an open help clinicians have more evidence-based data (‘i+12’), Madrid, Spain
question.5,6 There is growing evidence on the on exercise benefits. Thus, we conducted a (N.G., A.S.-L., C.F.-L., A.L.),
Department of Biomedical
potential arrhythmogenic effects of intense meta-analysis of cohort studies comparing Sciences, University of
endurance exercise, such as marathon running, mortality in elite athletes with mortality in León, León, Spain (A.S.-L.);
in previously healthy people.3-14 The debate is the general population. We hypothesized Department of Physiology,
University of Valencia and
fueled by news media reports of sudden death that the overall health benefits of competitive Fundación Investigación
in young athletes and by recent provocative exercise would counteract any potential detri- Hospital Clínico Universi-
murine research establishing a cause-effect rela- mental effect, resulting in higher longevity and tario/INCLIVA, Valencia,

tionship between long-term forced treadmill lower disease risk in elite athletes than in the Affiliations continued at
training and the development of cardiac fibrosis general population. the end of this article.

Mayo Clin Proc. n September 2014;89(9):1195-1200 n http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.mayocp.2014.06.004 1195


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MAYO CLINIC PROCEEDINGS

PATIENTS AND METHODS Scale12 to assess the quality of each study


included in the meta-analysis.
Data Sources and Searches
We followed the recommendations of the Statistical Analyses
Meta-analyses Of Observational Studies in All analyses were performed with the Stata statis-
Epidemiology group9 [see the checklist in tical software package (version 13, StataCorp,
Supplemental Appendix 1 (available online at 2010). The meta-SMR was computed using a
http://www.mayoclinicproceedings.org)]. We random effects model, and heterogeneity was
searched for publications on longevity and pro- tested using the Q and I2 statistics. Calculations
fessional or elite athletes (with no restriction on were performed on the log of SMRs from the in-
the starting date and up to March 31, 2014). dividual studies, and the resulting pooled values
The search terms longevity or survival and pro- were then transformed back to the SMR scale.
fessional, elite, or Olympic athletes were used, or Separate meta-SMRs were calculated for CVD
combinations of 1 or more of these terms, and cancer. Because heterogeneity is expected to
with restrictions to English-language scientific exist in meta-analyses of observational studies,
articles (excluding congress abstracts) indexed meta-regression analysis was performed to ac-
in the Medline and Web of Science databases. count for sources of heterogeneity on the basis
We also extended the search spectrum to the of causes of mortality. Egger’s tests were used to
“related articles” and the bibliographies of all assess evidence of publication bias. The signifi-
retrieved studies. Once potentially relevant ar- cance level was set at P<.05.
ticles were identified, their reference lists and
abstracts were retrieved. Two authors inde- RESULTS
pendently assessed the records obtained by From an initial identification of 88,192 studies,
the search results. 88,138 were excluded (ie, not potentially rele-
vant studies, congress abstracts, and duplicated
Study Selection material). From the remaining 54 potentially
The criteria for including a study in the meta- relevant studies, 44 studies were excluded
analysis were as follows: (1) available informa- with reasons, namely, not written in English
tion on the evaluation of the longevity or (n¼3), SMR not reported (n¼38), and dupli-
survival; (2) athletic cohort composed solely cated or nonelite athletic population (n¼3).
of professional athletes or elite athletes (with Ten studies,13-22 including a total of 42,807
the latter implying having experience in inter- athletes (707 women), met all the inclusion
national competitions, eg, Olympic Games11); criteria (Table). Of a maximum 9-point score, 2
(3) using a cohort study design; and (4) studies had a quality score of 7, 6 had a quality
providing standard mortality ratio (SMR) with score of 8, and 2 had a quality score of 9. Thus,
95% CI or, alternatively, providing sufficient this meta-analysis included data on (1) profes-
observed and expected death data to allow sional team sport athletes (85.2% of the total),
this variable to be calculated. for example, North American and African Amer-
ican football and baseball players and Italian pro-
Data Extraction fessional soccer players; (2) Finnish and Polish
When the SMR and its 95% CI were not pro- Olympic athletes of various disciplines (9.6%),
vided directly, they were calculated from the re- namely, power, “mixed,” and endurance events;
ported observed and expected deaths as SMR ¼ (3) track and field athletes from Italy (2.7%); (4)
observed death/expected death and its 95% European road cyclists, that is, participants in
CI ¼ SMR  1.96 (observed death/expected the Tour de France (1.8%); and (5) Olympic (inter-
death)1/2. We also calculated the inverse vari- national) level athletes from Denmark partici-
ance weighted pooled summary estimates of pating in heterogeneous disciplines, including
SMRs (meta-SMRs). The meta-SMR (or “pooled team, power, and endurance sports (0.7%).
SMR”) represents a summary estimate of the The all-cause pooled SMR was 0.67 (95% CI,
increased risk of death in elite athletes than in 0.55-0.81; P<.001) with no evidence of publica-
the general population, weighted by the inverse tion bias (P¼.23) but with significant heteroge-
of the log variance of SMRs of each study. We neity among studies (I2¼96%; Q¼224.46;
used the Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment P<.001; Figure 1). Six studies provided data
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ELITE ATHLETES AND MORTALITY

TABLE. Main Characteristics of the Studies Entered in the Meta-Analysis


All-cause SMR SMR due to CVD SMR due to cancer
Reference, year Cases (95% CI) only (95% CI) only (95% CI)
Baron et al,13 n¼3439 0.53 (0.48-0.59) 0.68 (0.56-0.81) 0.58 (0.46-0.72)
2012 National Football League players with >5 pension-credited playing
seasons from 1959 to 1988
Belli et al,14 n¼24,000 1.00 (0.90-1.10) 0.83 (0.69-1.00) NA
2005 Italian professional soccer players active during 1960-1996 in the 3 top
leagues (A, B, and C)
Gajewski n¼2113 (424 women) 0.51 (0.45-0.57) NA NA
et al,15 2008 All Polish participants in all Olympic Games held in the 20th century
Kalist and n¼2641 0.31 (0.23-0.39) NA NA
Peng,16 Major US league baseball players who were born between 1945 and
2007 1964
Kujala et al,17 n¼2009 0.74 (0.69-0.79) 0.72 (0.64-0.82) 0.36 (0.24-0.52)
2001 Athletes who had represented Finland in international competitions
during 1920-1965 and were alive in January 1971
Marijon et al,18 n¼786 0.59 (0.51-0.68) 0.67 (0.50-0.88) NA
2013 French cyclists who competed in 1 or more editions of the Tour de
France during 1947-2012
Menotti et al,19 n¼1148 (283 women) 0.70 (0.47-0.93) NA NA
1990 Track and field athletes who had participated in international events as
members of the Italian national team from 1940 until now
Taioli,21 2007 n¼5389 0.68 (0.52-0.86) 0.41 (0.20-0.73) 0.31 (0.15-0.55)
Soccer players who were enrolled in the Italian professional leagues A
and B for at least 1 season between 1975 and 2003
Waterbor n¼985 0.94 (0.88-1.00) NA 1.05 (0.89-1.22)
et al,22 1988 All baseball players who played their first games for a professional
major league baseball team in the United States between 1911 and
1915 and who survived until 1925
Schnohr,20 n¼297 1.00 (0.80-1.20) 0.95 (0.63-1.26) 0.94 (0.56-1.32)
1971 Athletic champions (world record holders; medalists at Olympic
Games and World, European, or Nordic championships; members
of Olympic teams; Danish champions, record holders, and members
of national teams) born in Denmark between 1880 and 1910
CVD ¼ cardiovascular disease; NA ¼ not available; SMR ¼ standard mortality ratio.

on CVD13,14,17,18,20,21 and 5 on cancer (in a total vigorous but less competitive exercise. For
of 35,920 and 12,119 athletes, respec- instance, the all-cause SMR of well-trained recre-
tively).13,17,20-22 The pooled SMR for CVD was ational athletes (Dutch endurance ice-skaters)
only 0.73 (95% CI, 0.65-0.82; P<.001) with was 0.76 (95% CI, 0.68-0.85).23
no evidence of bias (P¼.68) or heterogeneity Growing evidence indicates that intense
among studies (I2¼38%; Q¼8.07; P¼.15; endurance exercise might produce cardiac al-
Figure 2). The SMR for cancer was 0.60 (95% terations (mainly increased risk of atrial fibril-
CI, 0.38-0.94; P¼.03) with no evidence of bias lation),5-7 and a “safety threshold” has been
(P¼.20) but with significant heterogeneity postulated to exist in competitive sports, espe-
among studies (I2¼91%; Q¼44.21; P<.001; cially in endurance events.5,6 However, the
Figure 3). studies analyzed here as well as other pub-
lished articles do not support that such type
DISCUSSION of exercise is overall harmful to the human
The results of this meta-analysis indicate that elite heart. Recent data indicated 58% lower overall
athletes live longer than the general population. mortality and 57% lower CVD risk in a large
Such a powerful effect on human longevity is cohort of participants in a 90-km cross-
comparable, if not higher, to that reported for country ski race,24 which was accompanied

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MAYO CLINIC PROCEEDINGS

be equal to approximately 10 years.29 Such


Reference, year Measure (95% CI) Weight P value continuous intense exercise loads are unrealistic
Baron et al,13 2012 0.53 (0.48-0.59) 11% <.001 for most athletes, including those participating
Belli et al,14 2005 1.00 (0.90-1.11) 11% >.99
in the Tour de France.30 Former participants
Gajewski et al,15 2008 0.51 (0.45-0.57) 11% <.001
Kallist and Peng,16 2007 0.31 (0.24-0.40) 9% <.001 in the Tour de France live longer than the gen-
Kujala et al,17 2001 0.74 (0.69-0.79) 11% <.001 eral population as indicated by a study
Marijon et al,18 2013 0.59 (0.51-0.68) 10% <.001
Menotti et al,19 1990 0.70 (0.50-0.98) 8% .04 included in our meta-analysis18 as well as by
Taioli,21 2007 0.68 (0.53-0.87) 9% <.001 a previous report.31 Particularly strong epide-
Waterbor et al,22 1988 0.94 (0.88-1.00) 11% .06
Schnohr,20 1971 1.00 (0.82-1.22) 10% >.99
miological evidence supporting the benefits of
Synthesis 0.67 (0.55-0.81) 100% <.001
strenuous endurance exercise on life expec-
tancy and health comes from Finish male
0.12 0.25 0.50 1.00 2.00 population-based cohort studies with elite ath-
SMR letes of various disciplines who were Olym-
pians between 1920 and 1965.17,32 Athletes,
FIGURE 1. Main results of the meta-analysis. SMR ¼ standard mortality ratio. especially endurance athletes, had higher
mean life expectancies than did controls32; in
by a rather mild increase in atrial fibrillation addition, they had lower mortality rates owing
risk (hazard ratio, 1.2).25 Veteran athletes to CVD than did controls.17 Consequently,
with arrhythmias have higher heart rate vari- former elite athletes had a lower risk of medica-
ability, which has a cardioprotective effect.26 tion for chronic diseases.33
Some evidence also starts to accumulate against Our meta-results have several limitations,
the notion that exercise benefits are confined to particularly regarding the differences between
“moderate” doses, at least in terms of total exer- studies in the duration of the selected time inter-
cise time, with higher moderate-to-vigorous vals used to calculate SMR. In addition, the
physical exercise (eg, brisk walking and apparent survival advantage conferred by
running) levels (450 min/wk), which are elite sports participation during a period of an in-
clearly above the minimum international rec- dividual’s life might be inflated by potential
ommendations of 150 min/wk,27 being associ- confounders, including lifestyle habits (indepen-
ated with longer life expectancy.28 On the dent from intense exercise) during or after retire-
other hand, caution is needed when extrapo- ment from competition. For instance, former
lating provocative data from animal studies to Finnish elite athletes were more physically active
humans.7 Benito et al7 reported a cause-effect during leisure time, smoked less, consumed less
relationship between long-term forced treadmill alcohol, and had a healthier diet than their refer-
training and the development of right ventricu- ents.34 Another important limitation arises from
lar remodeling in rats. The authors trained rats the absence of information on specific cause of
at approximately 90% of maximum heart rate, death in 3 studies15,16,19 (accounting for
1 h/d, 5 d/wk for 16 weeks; when translated w14% of the total meta-analysis sample) and,
to the human life span, this time period would especially, from the observed heterogeneity
among studies for all-cause pooled SMR as well
as for SMR due to cancer. A reason explaining
Reference, year Measure (95% CI) Weight P value such heterogeneity may be the large variability
Baron et al,13 2012 0.68 (0.57-0.82) 22% <.001 among studies in the sports phenotype of the co-
Belli et al,14 2005 0.83 (0.69-1.00) 22% .05
Kujala et al,17 2001 0.72 (0.64-0.81) 31% <.001
horts, which included athletes participating in
Marijon et al,18 2013 0.67 (0.51-0.89) 13% <.001 quite different sports specialties, that is, ranging
Taioli,21 2007 0.41 (0.21-0.78) 3% .01 from team sports with little aerobic component
Schnohr,20 1971 0.95 (0.67-1.34) 9% .75
Synthesis 0.73 (0.65-0.82) 100% <.001
such as baseball to extreme endurance events
such as Tour de France. In addition, the global
0.12 0.25 0.50 1.00 2.00 term cancer includes numerous cancer types
SMR that differ in etiology (ie, genetic vs lifestyle
factors) whereas only 1 study13 reported suba-
FIGURE 2. Results of the meta-analysis when only cardiovascular disease nalyses based on different cancer categories.
was considered as the cause of mortality. SMR ¼ standard mortality ratio. In contrast, only 2 studies reported SMR for
death due to musculoskeletal/connective tissue
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ELITE ATHLETES AND MORTALITY

diseases; that is, SMR¼0.90 (95% CI, 0.02-


5.02) in participants in the Tour de France18 vs Reference, year Measure (95% CI) Weight P value
SMR¼3 (95% CI, 0.97-7) in football players.13 Baron et al,13 2012 0.58 (0.46-0.73) 22% <.001
Kujala et al,17 2001 0.36 (0.24-0.53) 20% <.001
Whether this type of disease was specifically
Taioli,21 2007 0.31 (0.16-0.59) 16% <.001
caused by sports participation and might nega- Waterbor et al,22 1988 1.05 (0.90-1.23) 23% .54
tively affect the mortality of former athletes Schnohr,20 1971 0.94 (0.61-1.44) 19% .78

remains to be determined in studies with high Synthesis 0.60 (0.38-0.94) 100% .03

statistical power. In addition, there is a lack of


0.12 0.25 0.50 1.00 2.00
information on fatal accidents during sports
SMR
participation. Because female athletes accounted
for less than 2% of the total athletes’ sample
assessed in this meta-analysis, it is not possible FIGURE 3. Results of the meta-analysis when only cancer was considered as
the cause of mortality. SMR ¼ standard mortality ratio.
to determine whether there is a sex effect on
the association between elite sports participation
and mortality. Finally, the comparatively high
Correspondence: Address to Alejandro Lucía, MD, PhD,
weightage of studies performed by Kujala Universidad Europea de Madrid, 28670 Villaviciosa de
et al17 in Finnish Olympic athletes and by Baron Odón, Madrid, Spain (alejandro.lucia@uem.es).
et al13 and Taioli et al21 in football and soccer
players, respectively, may have skewed the
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