Professional Documents
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Blume EV Primer 2.0 (June 2023)
Blume EV Primer 2.0 (June 2023)
EV Ecosystem
June 2023
Arpit Agarwal
Venkatesh Modi
Acknowledgements
As investors, we have the privilege of getting the front seat view of upcoming industries when we engage with
entrepreneurs. In this second version of the report, we attempt to reiterate our learnings that we gathered by
meeting and working closely with entrepreneurs in the EV ecosystem and the changes that have happened over
the last 1 year. We are especially thankful to the founders and team of Yulu, Euler Motors, ElectricPe, Battery
Smart, Autoverse, Zypp, Log9, Exponent Energy, Ohm Mobility, Godi Energy and PMI Electro for sharing their
insights. We would also like to express our gratitude to several leaders of the Indian auto industry for helping us
understand some of the basics of this ecosystem.
We are grateful to BNEF and Avendus Capital for providing us with future estimations.
We are thankful to the entire team at Blume Ventures for their support and encouragement, in particular Disha,
Rohit and Sonisha for providing key feedback. We also want to acknowledge contributions of our intern Advik
Singh in key segments of this primer.
$600M+ 175+
Blume Network
Unicorn
Soonicorn
On-demand hyperlocal delivery.
Series A
Autonomous EVs for shopfloors
(“Waymo for shopfloors &
warehouses”)
EV Charging as a
service
Seed/Pre
EV Components
Series A Manufacturer
EV Financing Platform
4
As on May 2023
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This report begins with a quick overview of the EV space and its fundamentals. Post the introduction, the report
is split into ve parts - 1) OEM business, 2) EV Distribution Business, 3) Energy Business, and 4) Financing 5)
Battery Recycling . The primer is designed in a way that the reader can pick up a singular part from the report in
case s/he is interested in that speci c segment.
We are introducing 2 new sections: 1) EV Distribution Business and 2) Battery Recycling given the number of
companies that are building up in this space and the potential of these markets to become large.
We have made reasonable assumptions while coming up with the estimates, particularly around market sizes
and TCO (total cost of ownership) calculations. In several cases, we took learnings from our portfolio companies
to create scenarios establishing a concept.
We believe each of these ve facets present sizeable opportunities within them. As compared to an year earlier,
more investment has own into these business models and we are happy to report that most of the cold start
problems discussed in the previous edition are getting solved. Through this primer, we continue to help build a
framework that allows entrepreneurs, investors, and corporates to navigate this tricky space better.
While we believe we have considered all possible scenarios, the possibility of errors and blindspots is never zero.
We are open to feedback and suggestions at climate@blume.vc.
6
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Part 1: Basics of an EV
What is an EV?
For the purpose of this report we will stick to the definition EV only representing Battery Enabled Vehicles (BEV) (and not any kind of hybrid, fuel cell models). 8
2 Wheeler 3 Wheeler
Euler HiLoad
4 Wheeler
E-Rickshaw
Mahindra Treo
9
The scope of the report covers the following vehicle
categories
2W 3W 4W 4W
Cargo
10
2W Passenger became TCO positive sometime in 2017-2018
with subsidy in place resulting in 10x jump in sales
EV (with subsidy) ICE
₹400000
₹300000
TCO (in INR)
₹200000
₹100000
₹0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Sales 1,644 1,422 1,435 1,440 15,108 26,255 25,172 1,41,441 5,84,665
All costs are ex-Delhi costs; Vehicle usage to be 30 kms/day for 5 yrs; inflated prices of fuel/energy considered; On-road mileage with a 20% discount from book mileage taken; Battery replacement cost for EVs considered wherever
applicable; Salvage value of ICE considered as per orange book value; Salvage value for EVs calculated with depreciated components - Battery, Mechanical, Electrical, Electronics and future battery prices; Vehicle sales data per 11
Vahan Dashboard;
2W Passenger will become TCO positive in 2023 without
any subsidy
ICE EV (With Subsidy) EV (Without Subsidy)
₹300k
₹225k
TCO (in INR)
₹150k
₹75k
₹0k
2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
All costs are ex-Delhi costs; ICE = Honda Activa; EV = Ather 450X; Vehicle usage to be 35 kms/day for 5 yrs; inflated prices of fuel/energy considered; On-road mileage with a 20% discount from book mileage taken; Battery
replacement cost for EVs considered wherever applicable; Salvage value of ICE considered as per orange book value; Salvage value for EVs calculated with depreciated components - Battery, Mechanical, Electrical, Electronics and 12
future battery prices
4W Passenger in 2023 is TCO positive with and without subsidy
due to availability of a smaller car and lower interest rates as
compared to 2022
ICE EV (with subsidy) EV (without subsidy)
₹19L ICE: Tata Tiago XZ Plus (CNG)
₹0L
2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
All costs are ex-Delhi costs; Vehicle usage to be 35 kms/day for 7 yrs; inflated prices of fuel/energy considered; On-road mileage with a 20% discount from book mileage taken; Battery replacement cost for EVs considered wherever
applicable; Salvage value of ICE considered as per orange book value; Salvage value for EVs calculated with depreciated components - Battery, Mechanical, Electrical, Electronics
13
TCO
TCO
1.Data represented for a 4W Passenger EV without subsidy; 2. Down payment taken to be 15% of ex-showroom cost; 3. Financing assumed to be for 5 yrs; 4. Energy Cost considered with inflated prices over the years; 5. Battery
Replacement Cost calculated per the battery price projections in future; 6. Salvage value determined per the battery price projections in the future and other components depreciation 14
TCO
2-Wheeler Ampere
Positive Hero Splendor ₹ 3,10,991 ₹ 1,66,817 ₹ 1,66,817
Commercial Magnus
2-Wheeler Bike Positive Bajaj Pulsar 150 ₹ 3,10,109 Revolt RV400 ₹ 1,96,375 ₹ 2,14,709
4W Cargo Positive TATA Ace Gold ₹ 32,72,749 TATA Ace EV ₹ 17,53,631 ₹ 20,19,069
75%
60%
45%
30%
15%
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
This chart is basis our in-house estimate of penetration in the market. We have taken into consideration the supply capacities and also the demand in larger city centers, where the ecosystem is more ready to adopt EVs. Vehicle 17
Projections taken per the base on the number of units sold in 2022 (ref Vahan Dashboard); 3W does not include e-richshaws; Does not include vehicles <250W power; Validated by industry experts
2W new EV sales to reach ~12M in 2030
2W Actual
11.97M
9.97M
8.31M
New EVs Sold (2W)
6.39M
4.26M
2.66M
1.77M
1.04M
0.75M
0.58M
187.53k
160.3k
156.27k
133.58k
New EVs Sold
120.21k
102.76k
92.47k
79.04k
71.13k
60.8k
54.71k
46.77k
36.47k
31.18k
25k 24.13k 22.79k
19.48k
408.12k
378.65k
New EVs Sold
340.1k
283.41k
252.8k
218.41k
167.91k
155.72k
129.77k
109.3k
86.51k
59.66k
33k 38.72k
25k
1.67k 6.75k
20,902
16,892
New EVs Sold
13,104
11,119
9,242
7,469
5,794
2,388
1,959
931
This chart is basis our in-house estimate of penetration in the market. We have taken into consideration the supply capacities and also the demand in larger city centers, where the ecosystem is more ready to adopt EVs. Vehicle 21
Projections taken per the base on the number of units sold in 2022 (ref Vahan Dashboard); 3W does not include e-richshaws; Does not include vehicles <250W power; Validated by industry experts
2W new EV Sales to cross >$20B by 2030
2W $21.7B
$18.2B
$15.2B
Market Size (in USD)
$11.7B
$7.8B
$4.9B
$3.3B
$2.1B
This chart is basis our in-house estimate of penetration in the market. We have taken into consideration the supply capacities and also the demand in larger city centers, where the ecosystem is more ready to adopt EVs. Vehicle 22
Projections taken per the base on the number of units sold in 2022 (ref Vahan Dashboard); 3W does not include e-richshaws; Does not include vehicles <250W power; Validated by industry experts
New EV Sales to cross >$5B by 2030 across 3W and Bus
3W (L3+L5+Cargo) Bus
Market Size (in USD billions)
$3.55
$2.82
$2.16
$1.8 $1.7
$1.48 $1.4
$1.18 $1.1
$0.91 $0.9
$0.7
$0.38 $0.5
$0.2 $0.3
This chart is basis our in-house estimate of penetration in the market. We have taken into consideration the supply capacities and also the demand in larger city centers, where the ecosystem is more ready to adopt EVs. Vehicle 23
Projections taken per the base on the number of units sold in 2022 (ref Vahan Dashboard); 3W does not include e-richshaws; Does not include vehicles <250W power; Validated by industry experts
New EV Sales to cross >$13B by 2030 across 4W
4W Passenger 4W Cargo
7.98
Market Size (in USD billions)
5.15 5.31
4.40
3.65
3.42
2.80
2.27
1.99
1.66 1.47
1.11
0.79
0.52
0.02 0.09
This chart is basis our in-house estimate of penetration in the market. We have taken into consideration the supply capacities and also the demand in larger city centers, where the ecosystem is more ready to adopt EVs. Vehicle 24
Projections taken per the base on the number of units sold in 2022 (ref Vahan Dashboard); 3W does not include e-richshaws; Does not include vehicles <250W power; Validated by industry experts
Basics of an EV
Subsection : How is an EV different
from an ICE?
Why is EV a fundamental innovation?
Far less complicated than ICE vehicle
● Fewer moving parts = Small(er) assembly lines + lower maintenance.
● 10-15x more models/brands of EVs will emerge due to lower barriers to entry = one for each
specific use-case.
Connected, by default
● Change in mindset of OEMs from one time sales to services.
● New business models around connectivity, servicing are emerging.
● Autonomous driving as a goal is closer with enhanced connectivity.
● 0-60% costlier to buy(with FAME II subsidies), running cost is 60-80% less – Fleet / heavy
use-cases become positive quickly.
● With FAME II subsidy most segments of passenger and cargo vehicles are TCO positive.
● Costs are coming down by 2x in 10 years – making each category even more affordable.
26
27
Battery
28
Battery
Li-Ion with its higher specific energy (Wh/kg), energy density (Wh/L) and specific power (W/kg) makes it the most adopted and
widely used cell chemistry. However, the right chemistry depends on multiple parameters which have a long term effect.
We expect the rise of Sodium-Ion batteries in the next 18-24 months as well.
Battery
30
Battery
Super Power
Ultra-long Lifespan
31
Battery
It enables the flow of ions between the cell terminals. The most
Electrolyte commonly used electrolyte is Lithium Hexafluorophosphate,
although it can be a non-metallic liquid conductor
Current Each terminal of a cell has a current collector, at the negative and
positive end. They facilitate the flow of electricity from positive
Electrolyte Collectors end to the vehicle motor during use and flow to the negative end
during charging
This is represented by State of Health (SOH) which represents the current energy storing capacity of a battery after usage
over a period of time.
Source: Tesla
33
Battery
Cell Protection - manages the charge in the cells to protect it from overcharge (=overheating) and
undercharge
Energy Management - controls the flow of energy in/out of the cell and monitors the State of Charge
(SOC) for maximum utilisation
Cell Balancing - prevents few cells from getting stressed during charging to avoid charge termination
and reduction in life of the battery
Provide telemetry from battery/cells such as voltage, current, temperature pressure, SOC, SOH(State of
Health)
34
Battery
• The formulation of AIS 156 was primarily triggered by a series of re incidents involving
electric vehicles.
• These incidents highlighted the need for stringent safety measures to be implemented
regarding battery technology.
• On September 27, 2022, MoRTH made changes to the implementation timeline in response
to clari cations sought by Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) and battery
manufacturers. The revised timeline was divided into two phases:
1. Phase 1: Effective from 1st December 2022
2. Phase 2: Effective from 31st March 2023
35
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Battery
Battery Packs: The regulations focus on the design and packaging of battery
packs to ensure they operate within controlled environments. Compliance requires
meeting speci c safety standards to mitigate the risk of re incidents.
Battery Management System (BMS): The BMS, responsible for monitoring and
controlling the battery's performance and health, is also subject to the safety
regulations. Compliance entails adherence to strict safety guidelines to ensure
optimal functioning.
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Battery
Additional Safety Fuse: An additional safety fuse is required to enhance battery pack safety.
This provides an extra layer of protection against potential hazards, such as overcurrent or short
circuits, by interrupting the electrical circuit.
Protection against Regenerative Braking: Safeguards to protect the battery pack during
regenerative braking, preventing potential battery damage or overheating.
Cell-to-Cell Spacing: Adequate spacing ensures the ef cient release of heat, minimizing the
risk of thermal events and improving overall safety.
IPx7 Compliance: Helps protect the battery pack from water-related damage, enhancing its
longevity and performance under different weather conditions.
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Battery
Earth Leakage Detection: Chargers to be equipped with earth leakage detection mechanisms to
identify any leakage of electric current to the earth. This feature enhances safety by preventing
electrical shocks and minimising the risk of re incidents.
EMI/EMC Testing: BMS units are subjected to Electromagnetic Interference (EMI) and
Electromagnetic Compatibility (EMC) testing as per AIS 004 standards. This minimises the potential for
interference with other vehicle systems.
Thermal Propagation Tests: To assess BMS’s ability to prevent or limit the spread of thermal events
and evaluate the pack's thermal management capabilities, helping mitigate the risk of re or thermal
runaway.
Audio-Visual Warning: In the event of a thermal event, the regulations mandate the inclusion of
audio-visual warning systems. These alerts notify vehicle occupants and nearby individuals, enabling
timely evacuation and ensuring safety during such critical situations.
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Battery
• Costlier components due to increased safety regulations such as use of microcontrollers, etc
OEM
• Temporary decrease in sales due to recertification process
• Smaller players who cannot comply will have to exit the market
39
Battery
What is the weight and the capacity of the battery Defines the cell chemistry to be used which determine
Cost
pack? the cost of the battery pack
What is the charging rate “c” which is to be Determines use of fast vs slow charging capabilities
Safety & Performance
achieved? (dependent on cell chemistry) (some chemistries allow for accepting >1c of charge)
What kind of BMS is to be used? Cheap vs High Impacts the life and the capacity of the battery pack
Performance
End? with advanced BMS able to maximize output
increased production
142 and mining capacity.
144 140
137
Additionally, we
130 125 124 anticipate
introduction of
116
112 Sodium Ion
116 109 chemistries to help
103 keep Li-Ion prices in
100
102 95 96 check.
90 89
85
88 80 82
75
74 70
60
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Battery Pack prices have been constantly dropping over the last decade making EVs extremely affordable for multiple use
cases, helping OEMs adopt them and, subsequently, make it available to the masses.
41
Source: Avendus, Internal Research
Electric Motor
42
Electric Motor
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Electric Motor
This type of motor runs through reluctance torque These motors are applicable where sizing,
where power can be transmitted to windings within and horsepower (hp) to weight, are critical.
the stator instead of the rotor unlike DC motors
In this the rotor has no windings or magnets, just 1. The rotor is potentially less expensive than
electric steel plates stacked together to form a rotor PM and IM motors
package. Unlike in an induction motor, a SynRM 2. The specific torque is acceptable and it is
rotor has no induced current and thus no losses. not affected by the rotor temperature
3. The field-oriented control algorithm is
simpler with respect to the one of IM drives.
44
Electric Motor
ICEV BEV
BEV ICEV
ICEV BEV
ICEV BEV
(0.7 for (1.4 for
Chevrolet V8) Prius)
45
Power Train
46
Power Train
47
Power Train
Cost & Performance What is the number of motors to This dictates where all the wheels are driven by a single motor or different
be used? sets of wheels have different motors → creating the need for a
transmission/propeller
Performance What is the placement of the This dictates whether the motor used is at the hub (typically BLDC is
motors? Hub or Central? used) or the distribution of power from multiple motors with transmission
Cost & Performance What is the capacity of the The motor needs to be able to operate at minimal/average current
motor? without drawing high current at high power → leading to overload of the
battery
Cost & Performance Direct Current vs Alternating If using an alternating current motor, there is a need for an inverter to
Current motor? convert the battery’s direct current to alternating current
Performance How sophisticated is the High end controllers have the ability to cut off current at low speeds with
controller per the need? pulse width modulation and support regenerative braking (process by
which the motor is used as a generator to recharge the batteries when
the vehicle is slowing down) among others
Interoperability Use of communication interfaces Communication interfaces allow the vehicle to share data to external
in the controller? system which is extremely crucial in shared mobility/autonomy
applications
Basics of an EV
Subsection : Current outlook & Cold
start problems for EV adoption in India
State of 2022: Multiple cold start problems for EV adoption in India
Given the software aspect coupled with India specific problems, a lot of R&D is required to build a good
vehicle suited for the country. This is now changing with the likes of Ather, Euler, Ola Electric bringing in
good vehicles in the market
Most of the components(outside of battery pack) of an EV have a dependency on China. This makes it
harder for OEMs to claim available subsidy that requires Indian components to be used in the vehicle.
Lack of charging infrastructure leads to “range anxiety” which is more of the fear of not finding chargers
vs running out of charge → Lower Sales of EVs → Not having enough vehicles on ground → Less attractive
for infrastructure companies to setup charging
There have not been enough vehicles sold to create a secondary market which would have created
enough data for the underwriters to understand and quantify risk
50
2023
2%
1%
7% 9%
2% 2%
18% 3%
2% 1%
4% 5% 4% 24%
10%
5% 2%
8%
17%
11%
8%
21%
82%
13% 16% 21%
With additional schemes and regulations in place, we expect the supply of key components to improve significantly
52
2023
Mom & Pop CPOs are emerging but they lack a very large aggregator platform for
demand generation
Some use cases are being solved with swapping (such as 2W and e-rickshaws)
Charging is slowly being solved for but remains the most under-developed of all the cold start problems
53
2023
1. Rise of large banks such as HDFC, ICICI, Kotak already offer competitive interest rates
• IDFC First now offers interests as low as 5.99% on the purchase of Ather scooters
2. With higher quality of vehicles and better components, underwriting of the vehicle is easier
Rise of new age EV first NBFCs and Fintech companies enable better access to financing options
3. Availability of on-ground operating data (powered by data connectivity and higher penetration)
allows more accurate underwriting.
Access to financing is largely solved and we see a uptick is EV purchase with this as an anchor
54
Charging
Battery Responsible for assembling the entire Represents the CPO aggregators and
Network
Assembler battery pack from all the individual Operator managers
cells along with the BMS
Responsible for putting together the Act as source of financing for the end
OEM Financier
entire vehicle along with all its HW customer
and SW components
55
Current Landscape of major players in India Battery Tech / Manufacturer /
Assembler / Recycler
Financing
EV Charging/Swapping
OEMs
2 Wheelers
4 Wheelers
56
Software
Represents a key persona who is
impacted by the fact/
How to read next set of slides (40-46)? information 3
2 Type of fact/information OEM Customer
Shared positive
Fact 1 Negative Impact 1 Positive Impact 1 Impact across Positive Impact 1
personas
Software
Fact 2
4 Red/Green boxes show how the
persona is impacted: -vs OR +ve
1 Represents a fact/information 6
Key takeaway from the slide
All the aspects of driving such as speed, torque, direction can be controlled by a software which is very different from an ICE vehicle
which had minimal software play
Manufacturer Battery
Assembler Facts Impact +ve -ve
Dealer Charging Point Charging Network
Operator Operator Financier 57
Software
Personalized Driving
Experience
All the aspects of driving such as speed, torque, direction can be controlled by a software which is
very different from an ICE vehicle which had minimal software play
Cell
OEM Customer
Personas
Manufacturer Battery
Assembler Facts Impact +ve -ve
Dealer Charging Point Charging Network
Operator Operator Financier 58
Mechanical
Fewer number of components disrupts the existing ICE model of business while providing a unique
outlook to the vehicle owner
Cell
OEM Customer
Personas
Manufacturer Battery
Assembler Facts Impact +ve -ve
Dealer Charging Point Charging Network
Operator Operator Financier 59
Electrical, Battery
Batteries degrade with every charge cycle and innovation in this space will cause a significant
difference
Cell
OEM Customer
Personas
Manufacturer Battery
Assembler Facts Impact +ve -ve
Dealer Charging Point Charging Network
Operator Operator Financier 60
India - Market
Competitive
With subsidy TCOs are becoming
Price Sensitive pricing on the
positive leading to higher penetration of
Market cheaper models
Market
EVS
of 2W Indian market is very unique
in its own way with evolving
characteristics of the
Subsidy is reducing OEMs are running against time to Higher upfront costs customer behaviour
and will eventually not increase their gross margins to continue will inhibit higher
exist being profitable penetration
Cell
OEM Customer
Personas
Manufacturer Battery
Assembler Facts Impact +ve -ve
Dealer Charging Point Charging Network
Operator Operator Financier 61
India - Environment
Mechanical components
Potholes/Bumpers impact High costs of
Poor road experience increased
battery health by drawing maintenance if not
conditions stress and fatigue in
too much current treated with care
operations
Overloading is a
practise of design
Damages critical
Driving conditions components if not water
are extreme protected
Indian driving conditions are extreme and unpredictable which requires OEMs to anticipate and solve for every issue making the product
development cycle very long. Batteries and mechanical components get affected the most and are tougher to perfect
Cell
Personas
Low number of "Range Anxiety" - fear of not Dealers & OEMs find it
charging points in finding chargers vs running difficult to make EV sales
India out of charge
Charging
High cost of fast Capital heavy business Requires power grid &
chargers for a CPO utility infra upgradation
Cell
OEM Customer
Personas
Manufacturer Battery
Assembler Facts Impact +ve -ve
Dealer Charging Point Charging Network
Operator Operator Financier 63
India - Financing
In the absence of a secondary market, financiers need to be tech enabled to underwrite the true
salvage value of the EV (=battery)
Cell
OEM Customer
Personas
Manufacturer Battery
Assembler Facts Impact +ve -ve
Dealer Charging Point Charging Network
Operator Operator Financier 64
Part 2: OEM Business Models and
Opportunities
Value Chain of an OEM Business
Battery Battery
Cell Manufacturer
Swapping Charging
Financier
Manufacturing &
Labour
Assembly
OEM After Sales Servicing Financier
(training)
Mobility Logistics
Providers Business
Marketing &
Sales
Personal
Fleet Owners
Commute
Warranty Management
(Premium paid to insurance
company or internal
allocation)
Financier 66
Key Personas in the OEM value chain
Battery Responsible for assembling the entire Dealers Act as sales channels for the OEMs
Assembler battery pack from all the individual cells
along with the BMS
Battery
Responsible for the assembling of Charging network for management of
Manufacturing Charging
multiple components and manufacturing plug-in chargers
& Assembly Operator
(if any)
Battery
Act as source of financing for the OEM to Swapping Network for management of battery
Financier
finance its capex, opex and R&D Operator swapping locations/stations
67
Types of OEMs
Distribution Distribution
IN
Sales & Marketing Sales & Marketing HOUSE
Examples Examples
68
Use of Open Architecture: CKD (Completely Knocked Down)
Assembler
Parts sourced from multiple Vehicle assembled in the Sales, Marketing, Distribution
suppliers across locations country/state of sales and Service done locally
● This is the most used strategy by OEMs when entering a new geography.
● It allows for easy transport of the components from multiple locations.
● Assembling in the selling country allows for reduction in excise duty and hence increased profit margins.
● In EVs, most of these components are sourced from China, South Korea, Taiwan and Japan.
● Local component manufacturers will be able to supply a few of the components as well. 69
Necessitates a set of reliable ODM players (Eg: Robert Bosch). And subsequently needs high order volumes
Limited product differentiation requires building a great brand → resulting in high upfront marketing costs
Need to be agile with customer targeting strategies → which requires ability to run multiple vertical experiments
70
Vertically Integrated OEM
71
Key Challenges of being a vertically Integrated OEM
Need access to manufacturing & assembly facilities of their choice OR high capital base to build one
Lack of high quality, inter disciplinary talent across battery, software and telematics
Need to have innovative low cost distribution strategy to reach the end customer
Need to have good engagement strategies for after sales services to fulfil value and build a brand
72
Brand
Distribution Afterservice
73
3 things that make an OEM win (Light Vehicles - 2W)
1. Brand:
Ability to engage with customers, generate demand, have high recall and sustain loyalty
a. Most iconic brands in auto have been created over decades and are known for high quality and performance.
However, brand advantage of ICEs has not been seen as being automatically transferable to EVs.
b. Given EVs are likely to have many brands and models, the power of a dealer is going to be significantly higher
than for an ICE.
2. Distribution:
Ability to distribute the products in the most efficient way by maximising reach with lowest costs
a. With online first approach, there is immense potential and competition for any new OEM to establish its
presence in the market.
b. Being able to reach the right customers in the fastest way while keeping low costs acts as a differentiator.
3. Afterservice:
Ability to provide the best after service with high NPS will enable maximum customer satisfaction
a. Given EVs are new to the market, operate in a software native world, have non standard battery and India as the
user makes the switch, s/he expects the OEM to overdeliver on their promise.
b. After service of EVs become one of the most important metrics on which any buyer will rate the OEM impacting
its NPS. Any OEM able to outperform on the the after service of the vehicles will be a clear winner (even at the
cost of high end EVs).
74
Product
Manufacturing Brand
75
3 things that make an OEM win (Heavy Vehicles - 3W,4W)
1. Product:
Ability to understand consumer needs sharply and deeply and capability to convert this into a product spec/
design
a. Various use cases exists and new ones keep getting created. Understanding them is a superpower.
b. An EV is a technically complex product - to tie all ends together one needs to have deep capability to convert a
use case into a design.
c. With experience and platformization a proven platform can be extended into multiple products leading to faster
times to market.
2. Manufacturing:
Ability to produce vehicles with the highest quality expected by a customer and at the least cost
a. EVs require fewer moving parts for which the assembly lines are very short. Hence there is no inherent
advantage of having deep pockets as long assembly lines are not required.
b. The advantages on procurement, supply chain management and distribution due to higher scale still accrue to
a larger OEM.
3. Brand:
Ability to engage with customers, generate demand, have high recall and sustain loyalty
a. Most iconic brands in auto have been created over decades and they always mean high quality and
performance. However, brand advantage of ICEs is not automatically transferable to EVs.
b. Given EVs are likely to have many brands and models, the power of a dealer is going to be significantly higher
than ICEs. 76
3
1. Will be able to pick from the
available kits
2. Products will be created on
4
top of the ODM kits High throughput product
3. OEMs will become design & Barriers to entry for OEM development → 6 months from start to
distribution players launch of a product
very low
77
1 When outsourced, there is limited play for an 2 Theoretically, it is possible to outsource completely but practically, it
OEM to have control of the make of the EV and is difficult to do except for a few parts such as batteries, power train
most of the effort goes into the business side - and electronics.
financing, marketing, sales allowing for different
business models such as charging network, Even outsourced assemblers shall require either long term volume
shared mobility, logistics, etc commitment or investment into machines that make the BIW.
Key Examples: In-house capabilities give immense control and allow for the OEM to
be able to make key decisions and innovations by having R&D in-
house.
79
Dealers
1 It is going to be a common sight to see a dealer selling EVs of 3 In the new age distribution model and with a
multiple brands.
more full stack approach taken by OEMs, there
This is driven by the following reasons: is an increased amount of dealership being
taken online which allows for cheaper lead
● Hundreds of EV models from hundreds of OEMs will generation and a more customized & controlled
require consolidation of dealer outlets. experience for a vehicle owner.
80
Case Study
In USD millions 81
Case Study
● Tesla's direct ties with chip suppliers ● High degree of automation that exists ● Tesla does not spend any money on
allowed it to move faster than in the factories leads to lower advertising for its products.
traditional automakers, which rely requirement of man power and ● This allows it to save a lot of promotion
on tier 1 suppliers who have impacts margins money for sales & marketing.
relationships with chipmakers.
● Tesla appears to better forecast Labour ($ per car) Advertising ($B)
demand than businesses that Tesla 2670 Tesla 0
produce many more cars than it Ford 4.4
does giving it stronger muscle Ford 2823
power on bargains and price GM 2951
GM 3.8
fluctuations for key components to
be sourced globally. ● This additionally adds more bottom
● Tesla spends 10-20% lower on labour margins to the business allowing it to
● When Tesla couldn’t get the chips it
per car compared to incumbent OEMs trade at a higher multiple
had counted on, it took the ones
that were available and rewrote the Carbon Credits
software that operated them to suit Brand Premium
its needs. Larger auto companies ● Tesla has been able to generate
couldn’t do that because they relied ● A direct to consumer approach has additional revenue by selling carbon
on outside suppliers for much of helped Tesla to build a premium credits. It made $1.78B in 2022 alone.
their software and computing brand.
expertise. ● Due to the brand Tesla has created, it (in $ M) 2022 2021 2020 2019
● Through strategic sourcing, Tesla is able to command a premium on CC
has managed to create 10% cost the price of its cars as well. 1780 1465 1580 594
revenue
benefits vis-à-vis other competitors. 82
Value chain
Cell Secondary Battery
Labour
Manufacturer Market Swapper
Leasing Agency
Battery
Assembly Line
Assembler
OEM
Technology
BMS
84
Battery Assembler
Battery
Responsible to assemble the entire
battery pack from all the individual
1 A leasing agency would underwrite the salvage value of the
Assembler cells along with the BMS
battery and typically leases it for 3 years assuming 1000
charge cycles.
Key Metrics Impacting margins This maybe hybrid with them picking up off-the-shelf packs
or jointly co-developing the battery pack to suit the needs
1. Defect rate of cells of the vehicle.
2. Number of charge cycles without deterioration
3. Charging cycle time An OEMs may also choose to engage with a cell
4. Charging cycle current (C) manufacturer to source the cells and assemble battery
packs inhouse to have complete control
85
Battery Assembler
86
Cell Manufacturer
Value Chain
● Procurement of the raw
Lithium, Cobalt, Mn, materials and investment into
Ni, Alternate technology are the most
Chemistry, Fuel Secondary important inputs
Recycler
Cells Market ● The pace at which the
technology is advancing and
the amount of money that is
Battery
Raw Materials Labour Assembler required in R&D to be able to
get the right chemistry is
challenging
● The cost to put up a factory of 1
Cell
Manufacturing GWh output is in the range of
Manufacturer
$80-150M, with PLI schemes
4-5 consortiums are emerging
OEM in India
● Outputs of the cell
Technology manufacturers feeds into
battery assembler and OEMs
(who may want to assemble
Logistics Financiers their own batteries)
87
Motor Manufacturer
Value Chain
Software/Tech
ODM
88
Motor Manufacturer
There are 2 business models for an electric motor 1.Heavily R&D focussed
manufacturer 2.Manufacturing commoditized motors
1. Sell to OEMs
2. Sell to ODMs/other appliance manufacturers Given new motor technology does not yet command a
premium in the market, it is rare to see a scaled up new
age motor company.
1 OEMs have high reliability on the sourcing of the electric 2 Given most of the current 2W EVs in India are imported
motor. It is one of the most important components
from China or have major components coming from
which also dictates the form factor and the segment of
China, there may soon be a lot of ODM kit manufacturers.
the operations.
A motor manufacturer will have tie ups with multiple
In most scenarios, a large OEM will have a strategic
ODMs to provide the required motors (IM, BLDC, PSM, etc).
partnership with a motor manufacturer to supply the
This supply will be of commoditised motors.
motors which would fit its requirements and use case.
If an ODM is able to innovate on motors, with a full stack
In some cases, an OEM may choose to co-develop a
kit they will be able to command a premium price.
motor along with the manufacturer by contributing on
the R&D side.
89
Software
Given EV is a software driven vehicle and a lot of data capture happens, there is a huge opportunity for
software first companies to integrate with the OEMs
GPS/Navigation Enhance the customer experience and allows OEMs to monetize via
ads; Planning/Optimisation
90
Data
Driver Behaviour Data Useful for insurance companies and building more customized
vehicles for a certain demographic
91
Automation
Availability of hardware and software opens up an opportunity for multiple automation solutions to be built
on top of the existing vehicle
On-demand services Allows for OEMs to maximize on monetisation while enhancing the
customer experience
Security Allows for customers to have increased safety, control and security of
the vehicles; very important for fleet owners
92
Mature state of software, data and automation implementations
OTA updates, media,
Cloud processing of entertainment, control
vehicle + component + commands, external
sensors + other external communications
data; remote diagnostics Cloud storage and processing
Flow of information/data
Semiconductors to
process downstream Firmware built
data received algorithms
Flow of information/data
Components and
sensors to capture: Remote control of
RPM, temperature, components and
cycles, pressure, age, sensors
Components and Sensors
etc
93
ODM Kit Business
Value Chain
R&D
Financier
94
ODM Kit Business
Salient Points
● Once a design is successful, an auto component manufacturer may expand the offering to become an end to end
platform provider
● Battery and Motor providers are likely to become the early adopters of this strategy
● In the next 2-3 years, a couple of ODMs based out of India will become dominant, being key suppliers to several
brand first OEMs
● ODMs will only focus on the design, engineering and manufacturing of the auto components and will own the IP
as well
● ODMs will NOT focus on branding, distribution, marketing of the end products
● Customer Service shall remain in a hybrid mode with some key pieces being owned by the ODM while the rest
owned by an OEM
95
Retrofit Kits
Value Chain
Raw
Manufacturing/ Retrofit Service
Materials/ Distribution
Assembling Kits Centers
Components
Vehicle
Owners
Financier
96
Retrofit Kits
Salient Points
● A retrofit business depends heavily on the ability of the manufacturer to design and manufacturer kits which
are certified but where the ROI is very high.
● Given retrofit requires significant changes to a vehicle there is a longer gestation to the manufacturer to train
the garages in installing and maintaining these kits.
● Like an OEM, retrofit business is also dependent on the availability of charging/swapping points.
● In many cases, a swap or a charge network operator would backward integrate and acquire a retrofit business.
● An important challenge in the business is for regulators to come up with guidelines on certification.
● Also a business opportunity for retrofit financier providers given the cost of retrofitting is likely to be as high as
100% of the price of the vehicle in the secondary market.
● In some cases the company can choose to procure existing ICE vehicles from the market and release them
back after the retrofitment
● In other cases there is a distribution strategy that needs to be deployed to reach the end customers via offline/
online/partnership channels
● Distribution via garages, service centers is key to reaching the end customer
97
Case Study
Vecmocon develops deep-tech IOT enabled solutions that helps OEMs get access to synchronised
smart components for EVs.
Partnership with battery and motor manufacturers allows it to provide an integrated offering of
its controllers and BMS to OEMs.
Data-centric approach to its products captures data points, with every component monitored
to deliver the optimal driving experience which is customised, tested and proven for rugged
Indian roads.
Reduce OEMs time to market for high-performance vehicles, with a plug-and-play architecture
for producing reliable, cost-effective EVs, complete with an entire software stack for fleet
management, maintenance, and service.
98
Case Study
Business Model
Vecmocon enables an OEM to build an intelligent EV via its ODM kit and and platform-as-a-service for a
sustainable and connected future
Revenue Sources
Programmable motor controller gives control over the energy conversion process and
Motor Controller runs to transform the energy from battery to a convenient waveform based on the inputs
of the rider.
Vehicle Intelligence
VIM adds to the security and reliability of the IoT architecture built for EVs
Module
ODM Kits
Displays super critical indicators for human safety, like SoC, range and faults with strong
Instrument Cluster user-friendliness and great accuracy, while consuming less power for the same.
1.2 kW smart charger for electric vehicles based on lithium-ion battery packs of 48, 60 and
EV Charger 72 volts, complying with recent government guidelines.
Platform
Algorithms for integrated components functioning; Cloud platform for analytics, OTA
Software & Platform Stack updates, software control of vehicle and other platform functions such as remote
diagnostics
99
Current Landscape of major players in India
3 Wheelers
4 Wheelers
100
Insurance
Financier
Marketing After Service Financier
Optional
102
How did the traditional ICE distribution work?
Sales After - Sales
Servicing
Investments by dealer
Manufacturers the
vehicles
Transportation
OEM Dealer Inventory
Insurance
103
How is the EV distribution different?
Sales After - Sales
Investments by dealer
vehicles vehicles
Transportation
Inventory Investments into new
OEM Dealer
equipment such as
dynamo, cell balancer, etc
There is an increased need to invest capital into post sales services such
as charging, financing, servicing, RSA (road side assistance), amongst
others.
106
Company Operated
OEM’s influence on distribution
Opex
Customer Experience Opex Capex
Lead generation costs
Ability to scale up
Capex Lead generation costs Ability to scale up
Franchise Operated
OEM’s influence on distribution
Customer Experience
OEM’s influence on distribution
Lead generation costs Customer Experience
Lead generation costs
Ability to scale up
Ability to scale up Capex
Single Channel
Influenced by the brand of vehicles offered Offers an offline store selling variants of single brand
Multi Channel
Uses multiple channels (online + offline)
Able to maintain low customer acquisition costs
Able to maintain low customer acquisition costs
Ability to maintain inventory of all brands
Mostly used by new age OEMs
remains a challenge
108
Multi channel here refers to research and discovery channels
Given aspects of charging, financing and servicing, building a full stack approach is key
to winning customer’s trust and delivering a great experience.
The inconvenience caused due to downtime leading to vehicle repairs in EV >>> ICE,
which requires an extremely smooth and handheld customer journey to be designed.
With the # of 2W OEMs that exist in the country, having an offline presence is not
cheap but needed for brand establishment.
After sales experience of customers is the most important journey of EV sales which is
dependent on the distribution model and can make or break the brand of an OEM.
109
Owning after-sales
Financing
experience
2. Charging:
• Lack of charging infrastructure remains a problem even now.
• A lot of brands/OEMs are solving for this by invested heavily into building out charging infrastructure (Eg: TATA Motors, MG, Ather, etc).
• Some brands are also tieing up with charging infrastructure providers such as Chargezone to offer an extensive charging network.
• Dealers on the other hand can tie up with charging aggregator companies (eg: ElectricPe, Bolt) to offer charging points at their
homes. While this does not solve for all the charging woes, it does provide customers with a sense of partial satisfaction.
4. Capital Efficiency:
• Investing into multiple channels (online, offline), managing inventory of multiple brands and acquiring customers is not cheap.
• Any new age distribution business ideally would balance the capex and opex costs which generating good margins for the business.
• Some of this can be achieved with cheaper access to capital, strategic partnerships or just plain old quick experiments to figure out
what work and what doesn’t!
111
1282 Energy Consumption in 2961 Energy to be consumed in 2023 53303 EV Energy Consumption in
TWh India GWh for EV charging GWh 2030
Total Money Spent on Money to be spent for EV Money spent for EV charging
$102B $235M $6.2B
Energy charging in 2023 in 2030
113
Energy Consumed by the vehicles
Capacity (in 2023 projected Total EV units to Total EV energy Total EV energy
Vehicle Category sales be sold in 2030 spend in 2023 spend in 2030
kWh)
3-Wheeler
9 42,288 3,47,840 $ 21.37M $ 372.20M
(Passenger+Cargo)
4W (Passenger +
25 59,665 4,08,123 $ 15.76M $ 277.77M
Commercial)
114
Challenges with electricity distribution
Capacity Space Regulation
The electricity distribution system in India is not ideal to support a fast adoption of EVs in the country
115
Primary Location of Charging High Demand Locations for PCS Swapping vs Plug In
116
Current Landscape of major players in India
EV Charging/Swapping
117
Charging & Swapping Infrastructure
Subsection: Battery Swapping
Value Chain of a Battery Swapping Network Operator
Battery
Assembler
Security &
Utility
Maintenance Financier Advertisers
Battery Swapping
Station Owner Network Operator Vehicle Owner
Aggregators
Battery
Assembler
119
Supply of Batteries
Battery
Assembler Supply: Sourcing of Batteries
Battery
Assembler
120
Creation of demand
Demand: Vehicle Owners + Others
122
Examples
123
Challenges of building a battery swapping network
A 2kWh battery would cost $350 which will earn a A typical swapping of 100 square feet with 10
net of $ 700 in its lifetime. To build a $100M batteries will earn $5000 amount. To generate
business, 142k number of batteries need to be $100M in revenue, 20000 number of points
procured with a $50M spent. needs to be acquired and maintained.
Multiple form factors of batteries exist with A robot assisted swapping station would require
different weight, dimensions and ergonomics an investment of $150k. Atleast 1000s of these
disallowing for building scalable networks with will need to be laid down by an OEM for good
lack of repeatability. accessibility requiring a spend of $150M!
124
New Paradigm of Interoperability of Batteries
“Interoperability” refers to the ability of EVs to interact with a range of different chargers, for those chargers to
interact with each other and with other charging management systems, and for payments to be processed
between charging service providers operating different charging networks.
Charging Charging Payment
Batteries
Stations Network Network
Different OEMs Different batteries Different chargers Different networks Different payments
Currently IS 17017 standards outline the standards for charging network but do not have standards for
swapping. Adoption of this is an additional factor determining the actual interoperability.
125
Benefits of swapping network
1 Significant increase in earnings for a commercial use case
Battery Maintenance/day Rs 20
128
Source: Internal calculations basis public information from Piaggio Ape E City’s website; All prices are in INR
Security &
Utility
Maintenance
Financier
Vehicle Owner
Battery Charging
Network
OEM
Real Estate Software
Other electrical
components & Aggregators
protector
130
A network operator here refers to an entity deploying and operating multiple charging points on their own books
Charging point operator vs Aggregator vs Charging Network Operator
Charging Point
Responsibilities Aggregator Charging Network Operator
Operator
Setup of charging
Y N Y
point
Demand Generation N Y Y
Security Y N Y
131
Creating supply of charging points
Supply Side: Aggregating CPOs
132
Financing of Chargers
Supply Side:Financing of Chargers
133
Catering to demand
Demand Side: Customer Engagement
Advertisers
Challenges
Expectations
Battery Charging
Network
● Access to large network
● Easily accessible, closer to existing
platforms and easy payments
● Highest uptime and service
OEM
Opportunity
Aggregators
● Advertising will become a big source
of revenue
● Cross selling of products, services,
premium offerings will increase the
margins of the business
134
Types of Charging
135
Charger Specifications
EVSE POWER RATINGS
Typical Segments
Power Level Current Type
Catered
136
Types of Chargers in India
Charging Point Slow Charger Fast Charger
AC or DC AC AC AC/DC AC DC DC
Vehicles 2W, 3W, Cars 2W, 3W, Cars 2W, 3W, Cars 2W, 3W, Cars Cars and Buses Cars and Buses
137
CAPEX
Low to Medium High
Requirement
138
Number of Charging
1000+ 12000+
Stations
Number of
400+
Charging Stations
Swapping/Plug-In Plug-In
Customers Public
Need for dedicated transformer, additional civil works in case of fast charger setup
Ability to generate demand is dependent on the network operator unless spending on marketing
Additional operational expense such as labour, technicians in case of a large charging point
141
Case Study
Log9 Materials is a deep-tech startup that develops and manufactures high-performance, long-
life, and safe battery solutions for electric vehicles (EVs), commercial fleets, and other applications.
A Cell-level innovation for LTO & LFP chemistry, allowing for reduction in material wastage,
costs, and temperature rise.
Product level innovations allow for safer battery packs with advanced thermal management
allowing for optimal battery performance with rapid charging
143
Case Study
Business Model
Log9 has unlocked multiple revenue channels by using its advanced cell innovation. This allows the
company to offer fast charging to its customers
Revenue Sources
Log9 Materials sells its battery packs to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and
Battery Pack fleet operators. The company's battery packs are used in electric vehicles, such as
scooters and rickshaws, as well as in stationary applications.
Log9 Materials also offers battery leasing services to businesses and individuals. The
company's battery leasing program allows customers to rent battery packs for a monthly
Battery Leasing
fee. This can be a more cost-effective option for businesses and individuals who do not
need to own their own battery packs.
Log9 Materials also offers services related to battery management and energy storage.
Battery Pack Solutions The company's products can be used to monitor and manage battery performance, and
its services can be used to design and install battery storage systems.
144
Case Study
e^pack
e^bms
e^pumps
One of the challenges with this business model is the lead time in 3000 cycle life warranty
With 100% rapid
sales and integrating the solution with the OEM vehicle. charging
1. Vehicle:
• Smaller Battery Pack and hence lower TCO Affordability
• Lower charging downtime and increased run time leading
to enhanced revenue potential
Unlocked 15-minute full charge on LFP cells -
making rapid charging affordable & scalable
2. Network:
• Higher utilisation of chargers v/s using LTO cells - expensive &
• Higher stickiness to the network unscalable
146
Part 5: Financing
Value chain of a financier
Insurance
Customer Data Financier OEM
Companies
148
Financing Market (Vehicle Sales)
2W 3W 4W Bus Total
8.00B
8B
7B 6.24B
Financing Market (in USD)
5B 4.90B
4B 3.73B
3.22
2.63B 2.69
3B 2.25
1.75B 1.74
1B 1.16B 1.16
3.01
2.13
0.68B 0.73
1.56
0.49
0.3 1.11 0.89 1.13
0.75 0.57 0.68 0.53 0.65
0.1 0.160.12 0.140.240.29 0.190.450.37 0.25 0.47 0.31 0.41
0B
2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Financing here refers to the interest earned on vehicle financing; Does not include the principal cost of the vehicle; Calculated per the vehicle projections in earlier slides 149
We have reduced our projections from last year due to a drastic reduction of interest rates from 15% to as low as 8.5% and additionally a reduction in projected EV sales.
Raising the right capital at the right prices to be Distribution of the capital to the right borrower
able to distribute to the borrower - OEMs, via the right channels to minimize distribution
Charging Players, Vehicle Owners cost while ensuring maximum coverage
Key Responsibilities
Estimating the risk potential of the borrower to Collection of the disbursed loan and the interest
minimize the default rates requires on-ground operations backed by tech
products
150
Underwriting
151
Underwriting
Ability to underwrite the battery risk is the toughest given the secondary market for EV batteries is yet to be
established - many other components have existed for >100 years
152
Underwriting
Capacity vs #cycle for LFP 100Ah 1c charge and 1C discharge from 3.65-2.5V at different temperatures
Use of liquid cooling reduces the battery degradation and increases the lifetime usage and the salvage value of the battery
98%
94%
90%
SOH (%)
86%
82%
78%
74%
70%
0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48
Vehicle Age (in months)
Operations of the vehicle in high temperatures leads to higher degradation - a vehicle designed for China/US cannot be
expected to function the same in India
Source: Geotab Blog; DCFC - Direct Current Fast Charge; Exclusively vehicles with no DCFC use; Primarily Charge Level 2, High Use
154
Underwriting
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48
Vehicle Age (in months)
While the use of fast chargers and higher charging capacity “C” delivers immediate value to the consumer, it has a long
term impact on the battery of the vehicle
Source: Geotab Blog; DCFC - Direct Current Fast Charge; Vehicles operating exclusively in hot climates, Primary Charge Level 2; High Use
155
Underwriting
2.27%
% change in resale value
1.13% 1.12%
0.98%
0.61% 0.55%
0.49%
0.27%
0.00%
-0.25%
-0.53%
-0.68%
-1.04%
Resale Value of non battery components heavily depends on the condition and is established with ICE underwriting
Source: Derived from Orange Book Value; Resale Value was taken for Tata Nexon 2018, Base resale price INR 523099, Driven 89600 kms
156
Underwriting
157
Ability to underwrite the tech of an EV will enable a Ability to distribute the loans to the right segment
financier to predict cash flows accurately of vehicle owners owning the right vehicles can
minimising non performing assets (NPA) become a differentiator
Cheap source of
Secondary Market capital
Ability to source the cheapest capital creates
Creation or access to secondary market uniquely
room for high margins which also allows to
positions a financier to predict secondary prices and sell
offer low interest to customers
in case of NPAs helping with recovery
158
What does an ideal financier look like?
1. Tech Underwriting:
Ability to underwrite the tech of an EV will enabled a financier to predict cash flows accurately minimising non performing
assets (NPA)
a. Given EVs are software first vehicles allows for immense capture of data which can be leveraged to form accurate prediction
models - this is however not easy given the lack of EVs in the market.
b. With the changing pace of the battery technology, there is also immense risk a financier will have to model.
2. Distribution:
Ability to distribute the loans to the right segment of vehicle owners owning the right vehicles can become a differentiator
a. Ability to build distribution partnerships (platforms like Flipkart, BigBasket, Udaan, etc) will help with immediate value
generation for the vehicle financed.
b. Given there are going to be 100s of OEMs who are using Chinese kits to assemble -> choosing the right vehicle to finance
avoids dissatisfied customers who may default.
4. Secondary Market:
Creation or access to secondary market uniquely positions a financier to predict secondary prices and sell in case of NPAs ->
helping with recovery
a. One of the biggest friction points is the lack of secondary market - any financier who is able to create a secondary market for
reuse of the batteries, components across multiple use cases will be able to command better underwriting and recover from
NPAs.
b. Access to secondary market by resale of vehicles in other countries also enables financiers to command salvage value. 159
Financing
Subsection: Mobility
Value Chain of an EV Mobility Business
Repairs & Maintenance Swapping
OEM/ Production Charging Network Operators
Accessories Providers Centers
Line
B2B Partners
Financer (Logistics/ E-commerce / Food Delivery)
Fleet Management System Provider
161
Macro perspective of a mobility business
While there are multiple personas involved in the value chain of a mobility business, companies that
want to build a large business would have to innovate on the following fronts:
Most financing gets used for: Areas where operational efficiency can be
• Purchase Vehicles improved
• Setup of the charging infra • Supply of vehicles
• Maintenance of vehicles • Charging infra utilisation
• Replacement of battery and other core • Demand management
components • Extending the life of the vehicle
• Other opex costs such as parking, logistics, etc
162
Financial Efficiency
Purchase of vehicles
163
Financial Efficiency
● 2W
● Plug-in charging is the easiest way to solve for charging.
● Partnering with existing aggregators allows the mobility
providers to open up extensive charging networks for their Type 2 AC Charger CCS Charger
fleets. Rs 1L Rs 14L
● Battery Swapping is handy when in need of a quick range
extension.
● Setting up of battery swapping stations involves investments
into batteries, chargers and operating the network.
● Partnering with battery swapping companies can help soften
the need to setup a captive infrastructure while scaling up fast.
● 3W/4W CHAdeMO
Type 1 DC Charger
Most 3Ws and 4Ws require fast charging solutions Rs 13.5L
● Rs 2,40,000
● They additionally required a dedicated parking space to charge
● Need to upgrade grid for charging multiple cars in parallel
164
Financial Efficiency
165
Operational Efficiency
an asset light model but they still guarantee a certain SLA to their users (usually larger e-commerce
businesses).
● Given there is always a constraint of quantity and quality of supply, ability to manage demand with
○ Fleet Optimisation: Due to the presence of data, high efficient utilisation of fleet is possible.
○ Safety & Rewards: Data and remote monitoring allows for rewarding better drivers over others.
○ Route Optimisation: Routes can be better planned by using the data that is captured on-ground.
○ Network Optimisation: Identifying areas with high density of demand and the right points of
focus immensely helps with bridging the gap and keeping the costs low.
166
Operational Efficiency
Demand Specific
Supply Specific
Operational Efficiency
Creating Ecosystem
● EVs will need planning of routes along charging
and swapping networks.
● Working with energy networks will be crucial for
mobility providers.
● Partnering with telematics players to leverage the Location Specific
Charging Repair & Maintenance
data collected will help in better network Infrastructure
optimisation.
● EVs are relatively new in the market hence
servicing and ensuring uptime is a big challenge.
● Access to maintenance service providers will
ensure higher reliability of operations.
Company Parking Hub
168
Operational Efficiency
Vehicle Usage Data Useful for tracking vehicle SOH, SOC and take preventive measures
OTA updates & Diagnostics Push updates to software leading to lower upgradation cost and time
On-demand services Allows to maximize on monetisation while enhancing the customer experience
Security Allows for company and customers to have increased safety, control and security.
Telematics Allows to operate the vehicle virtually/over the cloud leading to more safety and better monitoring
Media/Entertainment Enhances the customer experience and opens up opportunity for monetisation
GPS/Navigation Enhance the customer experience and allows for route optimisation thereby leading to lower time and costs
Possible Technology
Partners for Resource
Optimisation 169
Part 6: EV Battery Recycling
EV Battery Recycling Value Chain
Work Force
Scrapyards Technology
EV Owners
Financing Labour
Government
Schemes Physical Infra Equipment
Technology
171
EV Battery Recycling chain key personas
Sourcing Responsible for the collection of used Responsible for supply of machinery,
batteries from different sources for further Equipment equipment, and technologies used in
Firms
sorting and processing, Suppliers battery recycling processes.
Act as source of financing for the initial Engaged in the buying of recovered
Financier Material
collection and processing of the batteries. materials from the battery recycling
Buyers
process.
172
EV Battery Lifecycle
Lifecycle
New EV
Battery
Stationary Energy
Raw Material Storage
Extraction & Battery
Processing Manufacturer
EV
Cell Refurbishment
Reuse in
case of Small % goes
Battery
under-used Refurbishing for Battery
conditions Refurbishing
Retrofitment of
ICE
173
Market Size of Li-Ion batteries to exceed 63,000 tonnes by 2030
Weight
63,527
Weight of batteries (in KG tonnes)
51,694
42,447
33,758
25,388
18,832
14,310
10,840
LTO
LFP & LMO don’t contain cobalt and nickel in
LCO the electrode and generate a lower revenue
owing to the low value of recovered materials.
NMC111
Weight of diff
materials in a LIB and
Price
of
LIBs in India
40000
29
<1% 11 GWh 20000
13
0 10 8
5 6
176
Source: Internal and secondary research
Why Recycling?
It is profitable—disassembly from these products is cheaper than primary extraction activities. Reusing batteries for 2nd life
purposes drastically reduces costs.
Recycling lithium is expected to play an increasingly critical role in EV and large-scale energy storage— it is one of the key
products which provides an economic incentive for recycling.
.
At scale, recovered cobalt, nickel, manganese, and lithium products (among others) will contain higher concentrations of
the element than found in natural ores due to pre-processed raw materials.
Repurposing & reusing EV batteries could potentially supply upto 65% of stationary storage applications.
Reused batteries could be 30–70% less expensive than new counterparts by 2030.
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Mechanical Hydrometallurgical
Processing Process
Pyrolysis Pyrometallurgical
Process Process
Thermal decomposition process used to Heat is used to break down the batteries
break down organic materials into their and extract valuable metals, in a furnace.
constituent elements. The molten metals are collected and
refined.
Used to recycle batteries by breaking
down the plastic and electrolyte Most commonly used process.
components.
Pyrometallurgical Processing
The batteries are first shredded into small pieces. This step is important to increase the surface
Shredding area of the battery components, which makes it easier for the heat to break them down.
Shredded batteries are heated in a furnace at upto 1400K in the absence of oxygen. The organic
Pyrolysis materials in the batteries break down, release their energy, and the metal components in the
batteries to melt and vaporise.
The molten metals are then condensed and collected. This step is important to separate the
Condensation different metals from each other.
The collected metals are then refined to remove impurities. This step is important to ensure that
Refining the metals are of high quality and can be used to make new batteries.
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Hydrometallurgical Processing
The batteries are first shredded into small pieces to increase the surface area of the battery
Shredding components, which makes it easier for the chemicals to dissolve them.
The shredded batteries are then soaked in a solution of chemicals. The chemicals dissolve the
Soaking battery components, including the valuable metals.
The solution is then filtered to remove the solid particles. This step is important to remove any
Filtration impurities that could interfere with the extraction of the metals.
The filtered solution is then treated with a chemical like Sulphuric Acid that causes the metals
Precipitation to precipitate out of solution.
The precipitated metals are then purified to remove any impurities to ensure that the metals
Purification are of high quality and can be used to make new batteries.
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Future of Battery Recycling
Involves the use of carbonaceous materials, typically in Involves the use of supercritical fluids, such as carbon
the form of carbon or graphite, as reducing agents to dioxide, to selectively extract and separate metals
facilitate the reduction of metal oxides present in the from battery materials.
battery electrodes.
This method is under development, and offers more
This method is under development, and it has the environmentally friendly approach by eliminating the
potential to be more efficient and environmentally need for harsh chemicals and reducing energy
friendly than traditional methods. consumption.
Directly extracting and reusing cathode materials, such Utilises electrochemical processes to selectively
as lithium, cobalt, and nickel, without the need for dissolve and recover metals from battery
extensive processing or dismantling. components.
Offers a more cost-effective method of recovering Offers high selectivity, allowing for the targeted
valuable materials from batteries, however, it is not yet recovery of valuable metals while minimising waste
clear how efficient it is on a commercial scale and energy consumption.
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Insufficient collection infrastructure, particularly in certain regions or for specific battery types, linked to ‘extraction’ centres
can hinder the effective collection and recycling of used batteries.
The existence of several types of Li-ion batteries, each with its own distinct design, makes it difficult to establish recycling
centres that could cope with the full range of Li-ion batteries currently in use.
.
Li-ion batteries intended for EVs are typically quite large, with increasingly voluminous battery packs, making disassembly
more complex and potentially riskier.
Except for cobalt and nickel, most of the other constituent materials are more costly to salvage than simply to mine directly,
making it a tedious task to promote recycling to cater to demand.
Accurate identification and sorting of various battery chemistries and types can be challenging, requiring advanced
technologies and expertise.
Supply of lithium ion batteries from mobiles and laptops is not enough to setup a large recycling facility. Also, given EVs
have been in the market for the last 4-6 yrs only, most of the batteries have not yet reached their recycling stage yet.
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Case Study
Hub
Profit Margins: -61.61%
Case Study
Li-Cycle Tech
Li-Cycle's technology focuses on closed-loop recycling, promoting the circular economy by reducing the need for primary mining and
minimising waste
Utilises a hub-and-spoke model, where central processing hubs receive spent lithium-ion
Spoke batteries and perform initial mechanical pre-processing.
The recovered materials undergo further refining and purification to meet industry
Purification specifications at the hub.
184
Case Study
Areas of Operation
Rochester, New
Hub
York, United States
185
Case Study
Despite being one of the largest players in the industry, Li-Cycle still faces financial
challenges, indicating that the battery recycling industry is still evolving has has huge room
Growing Space with Scope for
for improvement.
Improvement
This also suggests there are opportunities for advancement in technology, operational
efficiency, and business models to optimise financial performance in the recycling sector.
There is massive scope for new technologies, such as carbo-thermal and other emerging
technologies underdevelopment in the space, to further enhance battery recycling.
Scope for New Technologies
These technologies can offer the potential for improved resource recovery, cost-
effectiveness and reduced environmental impacts, positively contributing to the growth of
this industry.
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Thank You