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Business Economics - Unit II
Business Economics - Unit II
Meaning:
o In Economics, use of the word ‘demand’ is made to show the relationship between the prices of a
commodity and the amounts of the commodity which consumers want to purchase at those price.
o Demand is one of the forces determining price.
o The theory of demand is related to the economic activity of a consumer, that is consumption, the
process through which a consumer obtains the goods and services he wants to consume is known as
demand.
Definition of Demand:
Hibdon defines, “Demand means the various quantities of goods that would be purchased per time
period at different prices in a given market.”
Bober defines, “By demand we mean the various quantities of given commodity or service which
consumers would buy in one market in a given period of time at various prices, or at various incomes,
or at various prices of related goods.”
Law of Demand:
The Law of demands states that the demand for a commodity increases when its price decreases
and falls when its price increases or raises, other things remains constant or same.
‘the other things’ includes income, price of the substitutes and complements, taste and preferences
of the consumer etc.
The law of demand can be illustrated more conveniently with the help of a demand schedule and a
demand curve.
Demand Schedule:
Demand schedule is a numeric tabulation showing the quantity that is demanded at selected prices. It
is the way of expressing the relationship between the price of a commodity and quantity demanded.
E.g. A hypothetical demand schedule for tea is given below;
Price per cup of tea (k) No. of cups of tea emanded Symbols representing price-
per consumer per day quantity combination
700 1 I
600 2 J
500 3 K
400 4 L
300 5 M
200 6 N
100 7 O
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o The table shows even alternative prices and the corresponding quantities (number of cups of tea)
demanded per day.
o Each price has a unique quantity demanded associated with it.
o As price per cup of tea decreases, daily demand for tea increases
o This relationship between quantity demanded of a product and its price is the law of demand
Demand Curve:
A demand curve is a graphical representation of the relationship quantity demanded and price. A
normal demand curve slops downwards form left to right. It is known as the negative slope of the
demand curve. Downward slope of a demand curve indicates an inverse relationship between the price
and quantity demanded. It implies that the quantity demanded rises as the price falls.
Price per cup (k)
Y D
7 i
6 j
5 k
4 l
3 m
2 n
0
1 D’
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
O X
Why does a demand curve slope downwards?
The negative slope of a demand curve, illustrating the inverse relationship between the price of a
commodity and the quantity demanded. There are two different alternative approaches to this
problems, they are known as;
(i) traditional approach
(ii) Modern approach
MUx = Px
i.e
Marginal Utility Price of
of commodity X = Commodity X
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M1
P1
M2
P2
D’
O Q Q1 Q3 X
Quantity of Commodity
Price Quantity demanded
OP OQ
OP1 OQ1
OP2 OQ2
As at the price OP, the consumer will demand OQ quantity of the commodity
At the price OP1 ,he will demand OQ1quantity
At the price OP2, he will demand OQ2 quantity
Thus at lower price, the consumer demands more of the commodity. This is what the law of
demand states.
The marginal utility curve itself becomes the demand curve of consumer.
At a lower price, a commodity can be put to different uses, at a higher price, use of the commodity is
restricted to a few important uses.
(e.g) The electricity can be used for lighting, cooking, heating, cooling, etc. suppose the price of
electricity rises, its consumption will be restricted only for lighting purpose, or cooking as result, the
total consumption of electricity or total demand for electricity will be decreased.
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Determinants of Demand:
(b) Price:
It is expressed as DN = f (P) P is price, other things being equal. The demand for commodity N
depends upon its own prices of the related goods i.e complements and substitutes. The demand for a
commodity is inversely related to its own price and the price of its complements. It is positively
related to its substitutes. Price elasticities and cross elasticities of non- durable goods help in their
demand forecasting.
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(c) Population:
It is expressed by DN = f (S), S means size of the population, other thing being equal, the demand
for commodity N depends upon the size of the population and its composition. Population can be
classified on rural and urban ratio, sex ratio, income groups, social status, and literacy. Demand for
non- durable goods influence by all these factors.
In forecasting the demand for Durable consumer goods, we have to study the following factors
about the demand for the goods.
(i) In case of durable consumer goods the consumer can post pone its replacement. He can use the
existing commodity longer buy getting repair to purchase latest model bike it depends upon factors
like social status, prestige of the commodity, income, taste, availability of spares etc. The rate of
replacement depends upon the wear, and tear rate.
(ii) use of consumer durable goods depends upon some other special facilities like electricity
supply for household goods, good roads for cars and bikes.
(iii) The purchase is durable consumer goods is a decision influenced by the family rather than
individual consumer durables are consumed in common by the member of a family.
E.g Television, refrigerator, washing machine, etc. are used common by the household.
The demand forecast of goods commonly used should take into account the number of households
rather than size of population while estimating the number of households, the income of house holds,
and composition of family should be taken into consideration.
(iv) Demand for durable consumer goods is very much influenced by their prices and the credit
facilities available by them. Some times availability of credit facilities, installment payments etc., can
offset the effect of a price increase on the demand.
Elasticity of Demand:
Elasticity of demand is the measure of the degree of change in the amount demanded of the
commodity in response to a given change in price of the commodity, price of some related goods or
change in consumer income.
Elasticity of Demand is 3 types:
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“The elasticity of demand in a market is great or small according as the amount demanded
increases much or little for a given fall in price and diminishes much or little for a given rise in price.”
– Alfred Marshal.
That the price elasticity of demand measures the responsiveness of the quantity demanded of a
commodity to a change in its price. The price elasticity of demand is commonly called the elasticity of
demand. This is because price is the most changeable factor influencing demand.
(or)
Symbolically:
EP = ∆ Q = 12 – 10 = 2, ∆ P = 4-3 = 1
= = 0.8
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Where a change in price however large, causes no change in quantity demanded. In this case
demand curve is vertical and parallel to price axis.
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Where a given proportionate change in price causes an equal proportionate change in quantity
demanded. Here the demand curve takes the form of, whose form is given by PQ= K, a constant.
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b) Luxury or necessity:
Necessities generally will tend to have inelastic demand while luxuries will tend to have an elastic
demand.
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inelastic because the frequency of purchase is also to be considered to find the overall part played that
commodity in the total budget.
f) Habit:
Once people form a habit of using a particular commodity, they do not care of price changes over a
certain range. Therefore demand for such commodities becomes inelastic.
g) Time:
Longer the period of time, more elastic is the demand. Shorter the time, less elastic is the
demand.
(or)
Symbolically:
EY =
E.g A household demands 30 liters of milk, when his monthly income is K300, 000. If the house
hold’s income increases to K500, 000 his demand for milk increases to 40 liters, the income elasticity
of demand will be,
EY =
∆Q = 40 – 30 = 10
EY = = 0.5
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When the amount demanded of commodity increases with increases in income and vice-versa, the
income demand curve will be shown as positively sloping from left upwards to the right. In this case
commodity in X axis and income Y axis the commodity is normal.
When the demand for a commodity for a commodity does not respond to changes in income. It is
said to be completely income inelastic. E.g Salt, post cards etc.
In these case, the income demand curve is shown as a straight line parallel to the vertical axis Y.
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When the amount demanded of a commodity diminishes with an increase in income of the
consumer, the commodity is said to be an inferior one. (e.g) low quality food grains, soaps, etc.
The income demand curve will be shown as sloping from left downwards to right.
The cross elasticity of demand is a measure of the responsiveness of purchases of Y to change in the
price of X. That is a change in the price of one good cause a change in the demand for another good.
(or)
Symbolically:
EC =
For e.g. Suppose the price of coffee rises from K1000 of 250 grams to K1200 per tin. As a result,
consumers’ demand for tea, an immediate substitute, rises from 70 kilos to 100 kilos. The cross
elasticity of demand of tea for coffee is
EC =
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Qx = 70 kg
Py = 1000
EC = = 2.14
The Cross elasticity of demand can be used to classify goods into three types;
Types of Demand:
a) Individual demand:
The quantity of a commodity which an individual is willing to buy at a particular price at specific
time, his given income, his taste and prices of the other commodities is known as ‘Individual’ demand
for a commodity.
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Market demand: The total quantity which all the consumers of a commodity are willing to buy at a
given price, income, other prices and taste is known as market demand.
Long term demand: It refers to the demand which exists over long period. The change is
perceptible only after a long period. E.g the change is perceptible only after a long period like
producer goods, consumer goods, durables and non- durable goods. Though their brands or varieties
demand will be short term demand.
Demand Forecasting:
A forecast is merely a prediction concerning the future. Thus a demand forecast is a prediction of
future sales. Demand forecasting is essential for a firm because it must plan its output to meet the
forecasted demand according to the quantities demanded and the time at which these are demanded.
The forecasting demand helps a firm to arrange for the supplies of the necessary inputs without any
wastage of materials and time and also helps a firm to diversify its output to stabilize its income
overtime. Demand forecasting is given great importance in countries like USA and UK because in
these countries firms produce on mass scale and overproduction may land the firms in big losses.
The purpose of demand forecasting differs according to the type of forecasting.
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set for demand forecasting depending upon how frequent the fluctuations in demand are, short- term
forecasting can be undertaken by affirm for the following purpose;
(i) Appropriate scheduling of production to avoid problems of over production and under- production.
(ii) Proper management of inventories
(iii) Evolving suitable price strategy to maintain consistent sales
(iv)Formulating a suitable sales strategy in accordance with the changing pattern of demand and extent
of competition among the firms.
(v) Forecasting financial requirements for the short period.
(2) Selection of goods: Categorisation of goods facilitates the selection of approach for demand
forecasting. Two fold classifications of goods may be resorted for forecasting.
(a) Consumer goods and capital goods
(b) Existing goods and new goods.
(3) Selection of method: There are different methods are there the success of particular method
depends upon the are of investigation, time available, resources, availability of data, availability of
trained personnel.
(4) Interpreting the results: This is most important step in demand forecasting. The results of
demand forecasting should be very carefully analysed before any inferences in drawn out of them.
Forecasting is based on a number of assumptions. If these assumption change, as they may due to
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changes in political, economic, social and international factors, the revision of forecast may become
inevitable.
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Demand Forecasting
Estimation of demand for a product in a forecast year/ period is termed as Demand forecast.
Demand forecast is a must for a firm operating its business as today's market is competitive,
dynamic and volatile.
Methods of Forecasting
Surveys Technique
• Survey of business executives, plant and equipment, expenditure plans. Basically
compilation of expenditure plans of related industries.
Opinion Polls
• Consumer survey: In this method the consumers are contacted personally to disclose their
future purchase plans. This could be of two types-Complete enumeration and sample survey.
• Sales force opinion method: In this method people who are closest to the market( sales
peoples) are asked for their opinion on future demand. Then opinion of different people is
compiled to get overall demand forecast.
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• Expert Opinion (Delphi Technique): Opinions of different experts are taken and compiled. If
there are discrepancies between the different viewpoints, successive rounds of iterations are
undertaken taking into account the opinions of other experts, until near consensus emerges
Statistical Methods
• Lagging indicator: These are indicators which lag the movements in economic activity or
business cycle.
Regression Method
• Identification of variables which influence the demand for the good whose function is under
estimation.
• (Econometric Models)
• Econometric forecasting models range from single equation models of the demand that the
firm faces for its product to large multiple equation models describing hundreds of sectors
and industries of the economy. Use estimating equations based on Economic Theory
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• Input output analysis was introduced by Prof. Leontief. With this technique the firm can also
forecast using Input output tables. It shows the use of the output of each industry as input by
other industries and for final consumption. Input and output analysis allow us to trace
through all these inter industry input and outputs flow though out the economy and to
determine the total increase of all the inputs required to meet the increased demand.
Supply
The term supply refers the amount of a goods and services that the producers are willing and able to
offer to the market at various prices during a period of time. The two important points of supply are
mentioned below:
a. Supply refers to the quantity of a commodity offered for sale in the market.
b. Supply is a flow. It is always measured at particular price and at particular point of time.
LAW OF SUPPLY:
Supply has functional relationship with price.
“Other things remaining the same, as the price of a commodity raises its supply are extended, and as
the price falls, its supply contracted.”
The quantity offered for sales varies directly with prices. i.e. the higher the price the larger is the
supply and vice versa.
The supply schedule represents the relationship between prices and the quantities that people are
willing to produce and sell. E.g. the following is the (market) supply schedule of supply.
It shows that price falls supply is contracted (or) amount supplied decreases and as price raises
supply is extended. This is the law of supply. It is represents by following chart,
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In this diagram, quantities supplied are measured along OX, and prices along OY, SS’ is the supply
curve, from any point P on the supply curve, PM is drawn perpendicular to OX and PO’ to OY.
Then at PM (=O’O), PO’ (=OM) quantity will be supplied. Note that supply curve slopes
downwards from right to left, as contrasted with demand curve, which slopes left to right. This
because price rises, supply is extended. If price falls too much, supply is extended. If price falls too
much, supply may dry up altogether. The price below which the seller will refuse to sell is called the
reserve price.
Suppose SS is the supply curve before the changes. S’S’ shows a decrease in supply because at the
same price PM (=P’M’) less is offered for sale. i.e. OM’ instead of OM.
The S”S” shows an increase in supply because at the same price PM (=P”M”) more is offered for
sale, OM” instead of OM. The student should carefully distinguish between the increase in quantity
supplied (extension of supply) and increase in supply.
Increase in supply means that the whole supply curve has shifted to a new position to the right. It is a
new curve.
Increase in the quantity supplied means that more is being offered at a higher price. The supply
curve is the same; the movement along the same curve simply indicates changes in quantities offered
as a result of a change in price. It does not represent any change in the supply schedule or condition
of supply.
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Supply function studies the functional relationship between supply of a commodity and its various
determinants. The supply of a commodity mainly depends on the goal of the firm, price of the
commodity, price of other goods, prices of factors of production used in the production of the
commodity and state of technology. In other words, supply of a commodity is a function of several
factors as expressed in the form of the following equation:
Sx=f(PX,Po,NF,G,PF,T,EX,GP)
Here,
Sx=Supply of Commodity
F=Functional relation
Px=Price of Commodity
Po=price of other goods
NF=Number of firms
G=Goal of the firm
PF=Price of factors of Production
T=technology
Ex=Expected future price
Gp=Government policy
Number of Firms:
Market supply of a commodity also dpends upon number of firm in the market. Increase in the
number of firms implies increase in market supply and conversely, decrease in the number of firms
implies decrease in market supply of a commodity.
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If the goal of the firm is to maximize profits, more quantity of the commodity will be offered at high
price. On the other hand, if the goal of the firm is to maximize sales or maximize output or
Employment more will be supplied even at the same price.
Change in Technology:
Change in technology also affects supply of the commodity. Improvement in the technique of
production reduces cost of production. Consequently, profits tend to increase inducing an increase in
supply.
Government Policy:
‘Taxation and Subsidy’ policy of the government also affects market supply of the commodity.
Increase in taxation tends to reduce the supply, while subsidies tend to induce greater supply of
commodity.
Elasticity of supply
The elasticity of supply is defined as the responsiveness of the quantity supplied of goods to
a change in its price. Elasticity of supply is measured by dividing the percentage change in quantity
supplied of goods with the percentage change in its price.
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The following are the main factors which affect the elasticity of supply of a commodity:
Nature Constraints:
The elasticity of supply is also influenced by the natural constraints in the production of a
commodity. If we wish to produce more teak wood, it will take years of plantation before it becomes
usable. Supply of teak wood will therefore be less elastic.
Risk Taking:
The elasticity of supply depends on the willingness of entrepreneurs to take risk. If entrepreneurs are
willing to take risk, the supply will be more elastic. On the other hand if entrepreneurs hesitate to
take risk, the supply will be inelastic.
Nature of the Commodity:
Perishable goods are relatively less elastic in supply than durable goods, because it is difficult to
store the perishables.
Cost of Production:
Elasticity of supply is also influenced by cost of production. If production is subject to law of
increasing costs, then supply of such goods will be elastic.
Time Factor:
Elasticity of supply is also influenced by time factor. Longer the time period, greater will be the
elasticity of supply. On the other hand, shorter the time period, lesser will be the elasticity of supply,
because it is not possible to change the supply of the goods in short period. In analyzing the effect of
time upon the elasticity of supply, economists find it useful to distinguish between:
Short period:
In short period, the plant capacity is fixed but output can be changed by changing the intensity of its
use. Supply is, therefore elastic.
Long period:
In long period, all desired changes including changes in plant capacity can be made, and supply
becomes still more elastic.
Technique of Production:
If the production technique of a commodity is quite complex and needs large stock of capital, then
the supply of that commodity will be less elastic, because production cannot be easily increase. On
the other hand, goods involving simple technique of production will have more elastic supply.
Market Equilibrium
Market equilibrium occurs where supply = demand. When the market is in equilibrium, there
is no tendency for prices to change. We say the market clearing price has been achieved
A market occurs where buyers and sellers meet to exchange money for goods.
The price mechanism refers to how supply and demand interact to set the market price and
amount of goods sold
At most prices planned demand does not equal planned supply. This is a state of
disequilibrium because there is either a shortage or surplus and firms have an incentive to
change the price.
Market equilibrium
Market equilibrium can be shown using supply and demand diagrams
In the diagram below, the equilibrium price is P1. The equilibrium quantity is Q1.
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If price was at P2. This is above the equilibrium of P1. At the price of P2, then supply (Q2)
would be greater than demand (Q1) and therefore there is too much supply. There is a
surplus. (Q2-Q1)
Therefore firms would reduce price and supply less. This would encourage more demand and
therefore the surplus will be eliminated. The new market equilibrium will be at Q3 and P1.
Movements to a new equilibrium
1. Increase in demand
If there was an increase in income the demand curve would shift to the right (D1 to D2). Initially,
there would be a shortage of the good. Therefore the price and quantity supplied will increase
leading to a new equilibrium at Q2, P2.
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2. Increase in supply
An increase in supply would lead to a lower price and more quantity sold.
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