OA

FN Clarivate Analytics Web of Science
VR 1.0
PT J
AU Sun, DA
Kang, JE
Batta, R
Song, Y
AF Sun, Dian
Kang, Jee Eun
Batta, Rajan
Song, Yan
TI Optimization of Evacuation Warnings Prior to a Hurricane Disaster
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE hurricane disaster; evacuation warning; risk communication; evacuation
decision-making; hurricane evacuation planning
ID DECISION-MAKING; MAJOR DISASTERS; RISK PERCEPTION; UNITED-STATES; MODEL;
BEHAVIOR; TRANSPORTATION; INFORMATION; KATRINA; EXPECTATIONS
AB The key purpose of this paper is to demonstrate that optimization of evacuation
warnings by time period and impacted zone is crucial for efficient evacuation of an
area impacted by a hurricane. We assume that people behave in a manner consistent
with the warnings they receive. By optimizing the issuance of hurricane evacuation
warnings, one can control the number of evacuees at different time intervals to
avoid congestion in the process of evacuation. The warning optimization model is
applied to a case study of Hurricane Sandy using the study region of Brooklyn. We
first develop a model for shelter assignment and then use this outcome to model
hurricane evacuation warning optimization, which prescribes an evacuation plan that
maximizes the number of evacuees. A significant technical contribution is the
development of an iterative greedy heuristic procedure for the nonlinear
formulation, which is shown to be optimal for the case of a single evacuation zone
with a single evacuee type case, while it does not guarantee optimality for
multiple zones under unusual circumstances. A significant applied contribution is
the demonstration of an interface of the evacuation warning method with a public
transportation scheme to facilitate evacuation of a car-less population. This
heuristic we employ can be readily adapted to the case where response rate is a
function of evacuation number in prior periods and other variable factors. This
element is also explored in the context of our experiment.
C1 [Sun, Dian; Song, Yan] Harbin Engn Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Harbin 150001,
Heilongjiang, Peoples R China.
[Kang, Jee Eun; Batta, Rajan] SUNY Buffalo, Ind & Syst Engn, Buffalo, NY 14260
USA.
C3 Harbin Engineering University; State University of New York (SUNY)
System; State University of New York (SUNY) Buffalo
RP Sun, DA (corresponding author), Harbin Engn Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Harbin
150001, Heilongjiang, Peoples R China.
EM sundian900621@163.com; jeeeunka@buffalo.edu; batta@buffalo.edu;
songyan@hrbeu.edu.cn
OI Sun, Dian/0000-0001-7320-5195
FU Chinese National Nature Science Foundation [71771061]; Major Strategic
Research Plan of Harbin Engineering University [HEUCFW170903]
FX The study was supported by the Chinese National Nature Science
Foundation (Grant No. 71771061) and the Major Strategic Research Plan of
Harbin Engineering University (Grant No. HEUCFW170903).
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NR 76
TC 6
Z9 6
U1 0
U2 20
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
PA ST ALBAN-ANLAGE 66, CH-4052 BASEL, SWITZERLAND
EI 2071-1050
J9 SUSTAINABILITY-BASEL
JI Sustainability
PD NOV
PY 2017
VL 9
IS 11
AR 2152
DI 10.3390/su9112152
PG 29
WC Green & Sustainable Science & Technology; Environmental Sciences;
Environmental Studies
WE Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED); Social Science Citation Index
(SSCI)
SC Science & Technology - Other Topics; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
GA FO4EH
UT WOS:000416793400226
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Karaye, IM
Horney, JA
Retchless, DP
Ross, AD
AF Karaye, Ibraheem M.
Horney, Jennifer A.
Retchless, David P.
Ross, Ashley D.
TI Determinants of Hurricane Evacuation from a Large Representative Sample
of the US Gulf Coast
SO INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH
LA English
DT Article
DE hurricane; evacuation; US Gulf Coast; disaster; vulnerability
ID HEALTH CONSEQUENCES; NORTH-CAROLINA; MODEL; RISK; PREPAREDNESS;
DISASTERS; RESPONSES
AB Exposure to natural disasters like hurricanes negatively impacts the mental and
physical health of populations, and evacuation is an important step taken to
prevent these adverse health events. This study uses data from a large
representative sample of U.S. Gulf Coast residents to explore the determinants of
hurricane evacuation. In December 2017, data were collected from 3030 residents of
the U.S. Gulf Coast, including Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Florida-
2557 of whom reported being impacted during the 2017 hurricane season. Bivariate
analyses were conducted using prevalence differences and tested for statistical
significance with chi-square tests. Multivariable logistic regression models were
fitted to identify factors associated with hurricane evacuation. One-third of the
respondents (919 of 2557; 35.9%) evacuated from a hurricane that impacted the U.S.
Gulf Coast in 2017. The determinants of hurricane evacuation in this population
were: residing in a mobile home, higher perception of storm surge risk, higher
perception of wind risk, self-sufficiency, carrying flood insurance, and reliance
on media and family for evacuation decisions. These findings may be relevant for
reducing the adverse health effects of hurricanes by improving emergency planning
and evacuation in this highly vulnerable region.
C1 [Karaye, Ibraheem M.; Horney, Jennifer A.] Univ Delaware, Program Epidemiol,
Newark, DE 19716 USA.
[Retchless, David P.; Ross, Ashley D.] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Marine Sci,
Galveston, TX 77554 USA.
C3 University of Delaware; Texas A&M University System
RP Karaye, IM (corresponding author), Univ Delaware, Program Epidemiol, Newark, DE
19716 USA.
EM karaye@udel.edu; horney@udel.edu; retchled@tamug.edu;
ashleydross@tamug.edu
RI Karaye, Ibraheem/AAJ-4479-2020; Horney, Jennifer/ABG-2433-2020
OI Horney, Jennifer/0000-0003-3060-0894; Karaye,
Ibraheem/0000-0001-6544-409X
FU Texas A&M University at Galveston's
FX This research was funded by Texas A&M University at Galveston's 2017
Texas Comprehensive Research Funds. The findings and conclusions are
those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of Texas
A&M University at Galveston.
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NR 43
TC 7
Z9 7
U1 1
U2 11
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
SN 1661-7827
EI 1660-4601
J9 INT J ENV RES PUB HE
JI Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health
PD NOV
PY 2019
VL 16
IS 21
AR 4268
DI 10.3390/ijerph16214268
PG 10
WC Environmental Sciences; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
(SSCI)
SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Public, Environmental & Occupational
Health
GA JQ3IF
UT WOS:000498842000214
PM 31684143
OA Green Published, gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Alawadi, R
Murray-Tuite, P
Marasco, D
Ukkusuri, S
Ge, Y
AF Alawadi, Roaa
Murray-Tuite, Pamela
Marasco, David
Ukkusuri, Satish
Ge, Yue
TI Determinants of full and partial household evacuation decision making in
hurricane matthew
SO TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART D-TRANSPORT AND ENVIRONMENT
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane evacuation; Partial household evacuation; Random parameters;
Hurricane Matthew
ID MODEL; UNDERSTAND; SIMULATION; DISASTERS; RESPONSES
AB This paper adds partial household evacuation to the traditional binary
evacuate/stay decision. Based on data from a survey of Jacksonville, FL residents
after Hurricane Matthew, multinomial (MNL) and random parameter MNL models were
developed to determine the influential factors and whether some variables' effects
are more nuanced than prior literature suggests. The random parameter model was
preferred to the fixed parameters model. Variables significant in this model
included injury concern, certainty about hurricane impact location, age, marital
status, family cohesion, and living in mobile or detached homes. Greater injury
concern results in lower likelihood of none of the household evacuating and greater
likelihood of partial evacuation, but lower likelihood of full household
evacuation. Similarly, greater certainty about hurricane impact increased the
probability of partial household evacuation but decreased the probability of full
evacuation. Respondent age had heterogenous effects; for 85.54% of respondents,
additional years of age increased the likelihood of the household staying. Married
households had a higher likelihood of staying or evacuating together. Similarly,
greater family cohesion was associated with the household remaining together.
Living in mobile homes decreased the likelihood that all of the household stays or
evacuates and increased the probability of partial household evacuation. Living in
a single-family detached home was associated with lower likelihood of all of the
household staying or evacuating and a greater likelihood of a partial household
evacuation. These findings can inform strategies that influence full or partial
household evacuations, material requirements based on these decisions, and ways to
reduce family risk.
C1 [Alawadi, Roaa; Murray-Tuite, Pamela; Marasco, David] Clemson Univ, Glenn Dept
Civil Engn, 109 Lowry Hall, Clemson, SC 29634 USA.
[Ukkusuri, Satish] Purdue Univ, Lyles Sch Civil Engn, 550 Stadium Mall Dr, W
Lafayette, IN 47907 USA.
[Ge, Yue] Univ Cent Florida, Sch Publ Adm, 12494 Univ Blvd, Orlando, FL 32816
USA.
C3 Clemson University; Purdue University System; Purdue University; Purdue
University West Lafayette Campus; State University System of Florida;
University of Central Florida
RP Murray-Tuite, P (corresponding author), Clemson Univ, Glenn Dept Civil Engn, 109
Lowry Hall, Clemson, SC 29634 USA.
EM ralawad@clemson.edu; pmmurra@clemson.edu; dmarasc@clemson.edu;
sukkusur@purdue.edu; yue.ge@ucf.edu
OI Alawadi, Roa'A/0000-0001-8513-1496
FU National Science Foundation, United States [CMMI-1520338]
FX This work was supported by National Science Foundation, United States
grant CMMI-1520338 "Hazards SEES: Bridging Information, Uncertainty, and
Decision-Making in Hurricanes using an Interdisciplinary Perspective"
for which the authors are grateful. However, the authors are solely
responsible for the content of this paper.
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NR 57
TC 10
Z9 10
U1 0
U2 4
PU PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
PI OXFORD
PA THE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON, OXFORD OX5 1GB, ENGLAND
SN 1361-9209
EI 1879-2340
J9 TRANSPORT RES D-TR E
JI Transport. Res. Part D-Transport. Environ.
PD JUN
PY 2020
VL 83
AR 102313
DI 10.1016/j.trd.2020.102313
PG 13
WC Environmental Studies; Transportation; Transportation Science &
Technology
(SSCI)
SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Transportation
GA LW0DB
UT WOS:000538816200005
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Huang, WR
Yin, K
Ghorbanzadeh, M
Ozguven, E
Xu, SD
Vijayan, L
AF Huang, Wenrui
Yin, Kai
Ghorbanzadeh, Mahyar
Ozguven, Eren
Xu, Sudong
Vijayan, Linoj
TI Integrating storm surge modeling with traffic data analysis to evaluate
the effectiveness of hurricane evacuation
SO FRONTIERS OF STRUCTURAL AND CIVIL ENGINEERING
LA English
DT Article
DE storm surge modeling; traffic; evacuation; Hurricane Irma
ID IMPACTS
AB An integrated storm surge modeling and traffic analysis were conducted in this
study to assess the effectiveness of hurricane evacuations through a case study of
Hurricane Irma. The Category 5 hurricane in 2017 caused a record evacuation with an
estimated 6.8 million people relocating statewide in Florida. The Advanced
Circulation (ADCIRC) model was applied to simulate storm tides during the hurricane
event. Model validations indicated that simulated pressures, winds, and storm surge
compared well with observations. Model simulated storm tides and winds were used to
estimate the area affected by Hurricane Irma. Results showed that the storm surge
and strong wind mainly affected coastal counties in south-west Florida. Only
moderate storm tides (maximum about 2.5 m) and maximum wind speed about 115 mph
were shown in both model simulations and Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)
post-hurricane assessment near the area of hurricane landfall. Storm surges did not
rise to the 100-year flood elevation level. The maximum wind was much below the
design wind speed of 150-170 mph (Category 5) as defined in Florida Building Code
(FBC) for south Florida coastal areas. Compared with the total population of about
2.25 million in the six coastal counties affected by storm surge and Category 1-3
wind, the statewide evacuation of approximately 6.8 million people was found to be
an over-evacuation due mainly to the uncertainty of hurricane path, which shifted
from south-east to south-west Florida. The uncertainty of hurricane tracks made it
difficult to predict the appropriate storm surge inundation zone for evacuation.
Traffic data were used to analyze the evacuation traffic patterns. In south-east
Florida, evacuation traffic started 4 days before the hurricane's arrival. However,
the hurricane path shifted and eventually landed in south-west Florida, which
caused a high level of evacuation traffic in south-west Florida. Over-evacuation
caused Evacuation Traffic Index (ETI) to increase to 200% above normal conditions
in some sections of highways, which reduced the effectiveness of evacuation.
Results from this study show that evacuation efficiency can be improved in the
future by more accurate hurricane forecasting, better public awareness of real-time
storm surge and wind as well as integrated storm surge and evacuation modeling for
quick response to the uncertainty of hurricane forecasting.
C1 [Huang, Wenrui; Yin, Kai; Ghorbanzadeh, Mahyar; Ozguven, Eren; Vijayan, Linoj]
Florida A&M Univ Florida State Univ Coll Engn, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
Tallahassee, FL 32310 USA.
[Yin, Kai; Xu, Sudong] Southeast Univ, Sch Transportat, Dept Port Waterway &
Coastal Engn, Nanjing 211189, Peoples R China.
C3 State University System of Florida; Florida A&M University; Southeast
University - China
RP Yin, K (corresponding author), Florida A&M Univ Florida State Univ Coll Engn,
Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Tallahassee, FL 32310 USA.; Yin, K (corresponding
author), Southeast Univ, Sch Transportat, Dept Port Waterway & Coastal Engn,
Nanjing 211189, Peoples R China.
EM kaiyin@seu.edu.cn
OI Vijayan Nair Rugminiamma, Linoj/0000-0001-5510-6257
FU National Science Foundation [1832068, 2101091]; Div Of Civil,
Mechanical, & Manufact Inn; Directorate For Engineering [2101091,
1832068] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
FX This study was supported in part by National Science Foundation (Nos.
1832068 and 2101091) and Dr. Kai Yin conducted preliminary ADCIRC
modeling study during his visit to FAMUFSU College of Engineering in
2018 before the NSF grant was awarded.
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TC 3
Z9 3
U1 8
U2 28
PU HIGHER EDUCATION PRESS
PI BEIJING
PA CHAOYANG DIST, 4, HUIXINDONGJIE, FUSHENG BLDG, BEIJING 100029, PEOPLES R
CHINA
SN 2095-2430
EI 2095-2449
J9 FRONT STRUCT CIV ENG
JI Front. Struct. Civ. Eng.
PD DEC
PY 2021
VL 15
IS 6
BP 1301
EP 1316
DI 10.1007/s11709-021-0765-1
EA DEC 2021
PG 16
WC Engineering, Civil
WE Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)
SC Engineering
GA YQ3OR
UT WOS:000735343500001
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Ghorbanzadeh, M
Vijayan, L
Yang, JY
Ozguven, EE
Huang, WR
Ma, MD
AF Ghorbanzadeh, Mahyar
Vijayan, Linoj
Yang, Jieya
Ozguven, Eren Erman
Huang, Wenrui
Ma, Mengdi
TI Integrating Evacuation and Storm Surge Modeling Considering Potential
Hurricane Tracks: The Case of Hurricane Irma in Southeast Florida
SO ISPRS INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GEO-INFORMATION
LA English
DT Article
DE hurricane evacuations; evacuation modeling; storm surge modeling; ADCIRC
plus SWAN; Hurricane Irma
ID ROAD EVACUATION; NETWORK; SYSTEM; METHODOLOGY; PERFORMANCE; SIMULATION;
SAFETY; USERS
AB Hurricane Irma, in 2017, made an unusual landfall in South Florida and the
unpredictability of the hurricane's path challenged the evacuation process
seriously and left many evacuees clueless. It was likely to hit Southeast Florida
but suddenly shifted its path to the west coast of the peninsula, where the
evacuation process had to change immediately without any time for individual
decision-making. As such, this study aimed to develop a methodology to integrate
evacuation and storm surge modeling with a case study analysis of Irma hitting
Southeast Florida. For this purpose, a coupled storm surge and wave finite element
model (ADCIRC+SWAN) was used to determine the inundation zones and roadways with
higher inundation risk in Broward, Miami-Dade, and Palm Beach counties in Southeast
Florida. This was fed into the evacuation modeling to estimate the regional
clearance times and shelter availability in the selected counties. Findings show
that it takes approximately three days to safely evacuate the populations in the
study area. Modeling such integrated simulations before the hurricane hit the state
could provide the information people in hurricane-prone areas need to decide to
evacuate or not before the mandatory evacuation order is given.</p>
C1 [Ghorbanzadeh, Mahyar] Florida State Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
[Vijayan, Linoj; Yang, Jieya; Ozguven, Eren Erman; Huang, Wenrui; Ma, Mengdi]
Florida State Univ, Florida Agr & Mech Univ, Coll Engn, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
C3 State University System of Florida; Florida State University; State
University System of Florida; Florida A&M University; Florida State
University
RP Ghorbanzadeh, M (corresponding author), Florida State Univ, Dept Civil &
Environm Engn, Tallahassee, FL 32310 USA.
EM mg17x@my.fsu.edu
OI Vijayan Nair Rugminiamma, Linoj/0000-0001-5510-6257; Yang,
Jieya/0000-0002-6444-8977; Ghorbanzadeh, Mahyar/0000-0002-5651-7573;
Ozguven, Eren/0000-0001-6006-7635
FU National Science Foundation [1832068]; Directorate For Engineering; Div
Of Civil, Mechanical, & Manufact Inn [1832068] Funding Source: National
Science Foundation
FX This research was funded by the National Science Foundation, grant
number 1832068.
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NR 71
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 3
U2 5
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2220-9964
J9 ISPRS INT J GEO-INF
JI ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Inf.
PD OCT
PY 2021
VL 10
IS 10
AR 661
DI 10.3390/ijgi10100661
PG 20
WC Computer Science, Information Systems; Geography, Physical; Remote
Sensing
SC Computer Science; Physical Geography; Remote Sensing
GA WP5KU
UT WOS:000713171200001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Feng, KR
Lin, N
AF Feng, Kairui
Lin, Ning
TI Reconstructing and analyzing the traffic flow during evacuation in
Hurricane Irma (2017)
LA English
DT Article
DE Traffic demand model; Large scale congestion; Hurricane evacuation
ID DESTINATION DEMAND ESTIMATION; REAL-TIME ESTIMATION; PREDICTION; COUNTS;
MATRICES; MODEL
AB Hurricane evacuation has long been a difficult problem perplexing local
government. Hurricane Irma in 2017 created the most extensive scale of evacuation
in Florida's history, involving about 6.5 million people in a mandatory evacuation
order and an estimated 4 million evacuation vehicles. Traffic jams emerged in mid-
Florida and rapidly spread to involve the entire state. To understand the hurricane
evacuation process, the spatial and temporal evolution of the traffic flow is a
critical piece of information, but it is usually not fully observed. Based on game
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reconstruct the traffic flow on all highways in Florida during Irma. The
reconstructed traffic conditions compare well with those simulated by dynamic
models while the reconstruction model is computationally much cheaper to use.
Validation with smartphone data further confirms that the reconstruction model
captures the traffic conditions for real evacuation processes. The reconstructed
data show that the evacuation rates for 5 representative cities - Key West, Miami,
Tampa, Orlando, and Jacksonville- in Florida were about 90.1%, 38.7%, 52.6%, 22.1%,
and 7%, respectively. The peak evacuation traffic flows from Tampa and Miami
arrived in the Orlando region at almost the same time, triggering the catastrophic
congestion through the entire state. Also, the evacuation for Hurricane Irma was
greater than that predicted by an evacuation demand model developed based on
previous event and survey data. The detailed evacuation traffic flow reanalysis
accomplished in this article lays a foundation for studying evacuation demand as
well as developing evacuation management policies.
C1 [Feng, Kairui; Lin, Ning] Princeton Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Princeton,
NJ 08544 USA.
C3 Princeton University
RP Feng, KR (corresponding author), 59 Olden St, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA.
EM kairuif@princeton.edu
RI feng, kairui/R-7237-2017
OI feng, kairui/0000-0001-8978-2480
FU National Science Foundation [1652448]; Div Of Civil, Mechanical, &
Manufact Inn; Directorate For Engineering [1652448] Funding Source:
National Science Foundation
FX We thank Professor Wei Ma at The Hong Kong Polytechnic University for
sharing with us the code of gradient-based dynamic OD estimation for
cross-model comparison. We thank Professor Elisa Long at UCLA for her
assistance on the use of the smartphone dataset. We also thank the
Florida Department of Transportation for providing the camera data
acquired during Hurricane Irma. This material is based upon work
supported by the National Science Foundation (grant 1652448).
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NR 50
TC 4
Z9 4
U1 3
U2 13
PI OXFORD
SN 1361-9209
EI 1879-2340
PD MAY
PY 2021
VL 94
AR 102788
DI 10.1016/j.trd.2021.102788
EA MAR 2021
PG 13
Technology
(SSCI)
GA SB0BA
UT WOS:000649666500007
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Park, S
Lee, G
Kim, JO
AF Park, Seula
Lee, Gunhak
Kim, Jung Ok
TI Flood Evacuation Mapping Using a Time-Distance cartogram
LA English
DT Article
DE flood evacuation map; flood evacuation cartogram; time-distance
cartogram; optimal shelter location; optimal evacuation route
ID WALKING SPEED; MODEL
AB When flooding occurs, people should be evacuated safely to designated shelters
along the optimal routes to minimize serious damages on lives and properties.
However, in general, only limited information related to evacuation procedures and
using a directional arrow to indicate existing shelters is provided on the
evacuation map. Moreover, the evacuation routes leading to nearby shelters are not
presented effectively to people in an emergency situation. This paper aimed to
provide an approach to generate a flood evacuation cartogram based on an actual
evacuation. The proposed time-distance cartogram preserves the topological
characteristics by minimizing distortion in transforming the evacuation routes. To
empirically evaluate its application, we applied the proposed method to Siheung
city in Korea. As a result, optimal shelter and evacuation routes were derived by
considering significant factors influencing the actual access to the facilities.
Moreover, the flood evacuation cartogram provides a more intuitive visualization
than classic topographic maps, by relocating shelters and reshaping the routes
intended for evacuation. The suggested method is significant as it provides
practical flood evacuation information effectively and intuitively, and the
generated cartograms as empirical results also provide helpful insights for more
efficient evacuation plans.
C1 [Park, Seula] Seoul Natl Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Seoul 08826, South
Korea.
[Lee, Gunhak] Seoul Natl Univ, Dept Geog, Seoul 08826, South Korea.
[Lee, Gunhak] Seoul Natl Univ, Inst Korean Reg Studies, Seoul 08826, South
Korea.
[Kim, Jung Ok] Adv Inst Convergence Technol, Suwon 16229, South Korea.
C3 Seoul National University (SNU); Seoul National University (SNU); Seoul
National University (SNU)
RP Lee, G (corresponding author), Seoul Natl Univ, Dept Geog, Seoul 08826, South
Korea.; Lee, G (corresponding author), Seoul Natl Univ, Inst Korean Reg Studies,
Seoul 08826, South Korea.
EM seula90@snu.ac.kr; gunhlee@snu.ac.kr; geostarl@snu.ac.kr
OI Park, Seula/0000-0002-6059-4731; Kim, Jung Ok/0000-0003-0241-9254
FU Ministry of Education of the Republic of Korea; National Research
Foundation of Korea [NRF-2017S1A5A2A01023539]; National Research
Foundation of Korea [2017S1A5A2A01023539] Funding Source: Korea
Institute of Science & Technology Information (KISTI), National Science
& Technology Information Service (NTIS)
FX This research was supported by the Ministry of Education of the Republic
of Korea and the National Research Foundation of Korea
(NRF-2017S1A5A2A01023539).
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NR 32
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 4
U2 23
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2220-9964
PD APR
PY 2020
VL 9
IS 4
AR 207
DI 10.3390/ijgi9040207
PG 15
Sensing
(SSCI)
GA LX0MT
UT WOS:000539535700022
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Botzen, WJW
Mol, JM
Robinson, PJ
Zhang, J
Czajkowski, J
AF Botzen, W. J. Wouter
Mol, Jantsje M.
Robinson, Peter J.
Zhang, Juan
Czajkowski, Jeffrey
TI Individual hurricane evacuation intentions during the COVID-19 pandemic:
insights for risk communication and emergency management policies
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DT Article
DE COVID-19; Evacuation; Hurricane preparedness; Pandemic; Risk perception
ID INFECTIOUS-DISEASES; DECISION-MAKING; OLDER-ADULTS; PERCEPTIONS; CHANCE;
IMPACT
AB The U.S. 2020 hurricane season was extraordinary because of a record number of
named storms coinciding with the COVID-19 pandemic. This study draws lessons on how
individual hurricane preparedness is influenced by the additional risk stemming
from a pandemic, which turns out to be a combination of perceptions of flood and
pandemic risks that have opposite effects on preparedness behavior. We conducted a
survey in early June 2020 of 600 respondents in flood-prone areas in Florida to
obtain insights into households' risk perceptions and preparedness for the upcoming
hurricane season under COVID-19. The results show that concerns over COVID-19
dominated flood risk perceptions and negatively impacted people's evacuation
intentions. Whereas hotel costs were the main obstacle to evacuating during
Hurricane Dorian in 2019 in the same geographic study area, the main evacuation
obstacle identified in the 2020 hurricane season is COVID-19. Our statistical
analyses investigating the factors influencing evacuation intentions show that
older individuals are less likely to evacuate under a voluntary order, because they
are more concerned about the consequences of becoming infected by COVID-19. We
observe similar findings based on a real-time survey we conducted in Florida with
another group of respondents under the threat of Hurricane Eta at the end of the
hurricane season in November 2020. We discuss the implications of our findings for
risk communication and emergency management policies that aim to improve hurricane
preparedness when dealing with additional health risks such as a pandemic, a
situation that may be exacerbated under the future climate.
C1 [Botzen, W. J. Wouter; Mol, Jantsje M.; Robinson, Peter J.] Vrije Univ, Inst
Environm Studies, NL-1081 HV Amsterdam, Netherlands.
[Botzen, W. J. Wouter] Univ Utrecht, Utrecht Univ Sch Econ USE, Utrecht,
Netherlands.
[Botzen, W. J. Wouter] Univ Penn, Wharton Sch, Risk Management & Decis Processes
Ctr, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA.
[Mol, Jantsje M.] Univ Amsterdam, Ctr Res Expt Econ & Polit Decis Making CREED,
Amsterdam, Netherlands.
[Zhang, Juan] Eastern Kentucky Univ, Coll Business, Richmond, KY 40475 USA.
[Czajkowski, Jeffrey] Natl Assoc Insurance Commissioners NAIC, Ctr Insurance
Policy & Res, Kansas City, KS USA.
C3 Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Utrecht University; University of
Pennsylvania; University of Amsterdam; Eastern Kentucky University
RP Botzen, WJW (corresponding author), Vrije Univ, Inst Environm Studies, NL-1081
HV Amsterdam, Netherlands.; Botzen, WJW (corresponding author), Univ Utrecht,
Utrecht Univ Sch Econ USE, Utrecht, Netherlands.; Botzen, WJW (corresponding
author), Univ Penn, Wharton Sch, Risk Management & Decis Processes Ctr,
Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA.
EM wouter.botzen@vu.nl
RI Mol, Jantsje/ACG-7465-2022; Botzen, Willem Jan Wouter/L-3123-2013
OI Botzen, Willem Jan Wouter/0000-0002-8563-4963; Robinson,
Peter/0000-0003-2833-8030; Mol, Jantsje/0000-0002-8833-5125
FU State of Florida Division of Emergency Management
FX This research was funded by the State of Florida Division of Emergency
Management.
CR ALAM S, 2021, HELIYON, V7
American Red Cross, 2020, PREP DIS COVID 19
[Anonymous], NATURAL HAZARDS REV, DOI DOI 10.1061/(ASCE)1527-6988(2000)1:2(119)
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NR 44
TC 11
Z9 11
U1 1
U2 16
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
PA ONE NEW YORK PLAZA, SUITE 4600, NEW YORK, NY, UNITED STATES
SN 0921-030X
EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
PD MAR
PY 2022
VL 111
IS 1
BP 507
EP 522
DI 10.1007/s11069-021-05064-2
EA OCT 2021
PG 16
WC Geosciences, Multidisciplinary; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences;
Water Resources
(SSCI)
SC Geology; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences; Water Resources
GA ZT3KN
UT WOS:000709224600001
PM 34690429
OA Green Published, hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Suwanno, P
Yaibok, C
Tsumita, N
Fukuda, A
Theerathitichaipa, K
Seefong, M
Jomnonkwao, S
Kasemsri, R
AF Suwanno, Piyapong
Yaibok, Chaiwat
Tsumita, Noriyasu
Fukuda, Atsushi
Theerathitichaipa, Kestsirin
Seefong, Manlika
Jomnonkwao, Sajjakaj
Kasemsri, Rattanaporn
TI Estimation of the Evacuation Time According to Different Flood Depths
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE traffic behavior; evacuation time; flood water evacuation; road network
ID VARIATIONAL INEQUALITY FORMULATION; TSUNAMI EVACUATION;
SPATIAL-DISTRIBUTION; NETWORK; CHOICE; IMPACT; MODEL; RISK; CALIBRATION;
MANAGEMENT
AB This study focused on pre-flood measures to estimate evacuation times impacted
by flood depths and identify alternate routes to reduce loss of life and manage
evacuation measures during flood disasters. Evacuation measures, including traffic
characteristics, were reviewed according to different flood depths. Several
scenarios were constructed for different flooding situations and traffic volumes.
Evacuation times in the study area were evaluated and compared for all scenarios
with reference to dry conditions. Results of network performance indicators
compared to the dry situation showed that average speed dropped to 2 km/h, VHT rose
above 200%, and VKT rose above 30%. Cumulative evacuee arrival percentage increased
when flood levels were higher than 5 cm. Flood levels of 10-15, 15-20, 20-25, and
25-30 cm represented percentages of remaining evacuees at 9%, 19%, 49%, and 83%,
respectively. Time taken to evacuate increased according to flood level. For flood
depths of 5-30 cm, travel time increased by 40, 90, 260, and 670 min, respectively,
suggesting the need for early evacuation before the flood situation becomes
serious.
C1 [Suwanno, Piyapong; Yaibok, Chaiwat] Rajamangala Univ Technol Srivijaya Univ,
Res Unit Technol & Innovat Civil Engn, Nakhon Si Thammarat 80210, Thailand.
[Tsumita, Noriyasu; Fukuda, Atsushi] Nihon Univ, Dept Transportat Syst Engn,
Chiba 2748501, Japan.
[Theerathitichaipa, Kestsirin; Seefong, Manlika; Jomnonkwao, Sajjakaj] Suranaree
Univ Technol, Sch Transportat Engn, Nakhon Ratchasima 30000, Thailand.
[Kasemsri, Rattanaporn] Suranaree Univ Technol, Sch Civil Engn, Nakhon
Ratchasima 30000, Thailand.
C3 Nihon University; Suranaree University of Technology; Suranaree
University of Technology
RP Kasemsri, R (corresponding author), Suranaree Univ Technol, Sch Civil Engn,
Nakhon Ratchasima 30000, Thailand.
EM kasemsri@sut.ac.th
RI Jomnonkwao, Sajjakaj/AAM-6092-2020
OI Jomnonkwao, Sajjakaj/0000-0002-9369-2741; Yaibok,
Chaiwat/0009-0008-7398-5740; Suwanno, Piyapong/0000-0001-7932-1840;
Fukuda, Atsushi/0000-0001-6588-0115
FU SUT Research and Development Fund [BRO7-712-65-12-05]
FX This research was funded by SUT Research and Development Fund (Grant No.
BRO7-712-65-12-05).
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NR 92
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 8
U2 8
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
JI Sustainability
PD APR
PY 2023
VL 15
IS 7
AR 6305
DI 10.3390/su15076305
PG 23
(SSCI)
GA D7GJ4
UT WOS:000970370700001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Sadri, AM
Ukkusuri, SV
Gladwin, H
AF Sadri, Arif Mohaimin
Ukkusuri, Satish V.
Gladwin, Hugh
TI Modeling joint evacuation decisions in social networks: The case of
Hurricane Sandy
SO JOURNAL OF CHOICE MODELLING
LA English
DT Article; Proceedings Paper
CT Conference of the International-Association-for-Travel-Behavior-Research
(IATBR)
CY 2015
CL Windsor, ENGLAND
SP Int Assoc Travel Behav Res
DE Hurricane Sandy; Evacuation decision; Social network; Ego-centric;
Dyadic level
ID TRAVEL DEMAND MODEL; NAME GENERATOR; MOBILIZATION TIME; UNDERSTAND;
CHOICE
AB Coastal areas of the United States are vulnerable to substantial loss of lives
and property damage from repeatedly occurring hurricanes and evacuation is the
usual recourse to prevent loss of life when high storm surge threatens. The
fundamental question in evacuation modeling is to explore the complex evacuation
decision-making process leading to an individual's decision to evacuate or not
during a hurricane threat. Recent studies suggest that the social network
characteristics of individuals could potentially determine overall evacuation
patterns. This study explores the joint evacuation decisions of individuals in
personal networks by using ego-centric social network data obtained from Hurricane
Sandy and by considering the nested structure of the ego-centric network data, i.e.
close contacts (alters) as nested within an individual (ego). In this regard, the
study develops a multinomial multilevel model of joint evacuation decisions at the
dyadic (ego-alter tie) level utilizing a Hierarchical Generalized Linear Modeling
(HGLM) approach. Model estimation results suggest factors that define a social tie
(contact frequency, discussion topic and geographic proximity) significantly
influence the evacuation decisions between individuals and their social partners.
In addition, individuals' (both ego and alter) own socio-demographics such as age,
marital status, previous evacuation experience, evacuation order, household's type,
size, location and proximity to a water body also affect the decision to evacuate.
These findings are useful to help emergency managers implement efficient evacuation
strategies and to facilitate planning by policymakers by determining fractions of
people evacuating or not for a major hurricane within the context of their social
networks.
C1 [Sadri, Arif Mohaimin; Ukkusuri, Satish V.] Purdue Univ, Lyles Sch Civil Engn,
550 Stadium Mall Dr, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA.
[Gladwin, Hugh] Florida Int Univ, Dept Global & Sociocultural Studies, 3000 NE
151st St, North Miami, FL 33181 USA.
C3 Purdue University System; Purdue University; Purdue University West
Lafayette Campus; State University System of Florida; Florida
International University
RP Sadri, AM (corresponding author), Purdue Univ, Lyles Sch Civil Engn, 550 Stadium
Mall Dr, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA.
EM sadri.buet@gmail.com; sukkusur@purdue.edu; gladwin@fiu.edu
OI Sadri, Arif Mohaimin/0000-0001-5571-6741
FU National Science Foundation [CMMI-1131503, CMMI-1322088]
FX The authors are grateful to National Science Foundation for the Grant
CMMI-1131503 to support the research presented in this paper. Several
questions used for the survey questionnaire were derived from earlier
research on the Hurricane Sandy evacuation done by Hugh Gladwin and
Betty Morrow supported by National Science Foundation grant
CMMI-1322088. The survey was conducted by Hugh Gladwin of Florida
International University. The writers also acknowledge Prof. Sharon
Christ of Purdue University for her valuable feedbacks on estimating the
multi-level model. The authors are grateful to the reviewers' valuable
comments that improved the manuscript. However, the authors are solely
responsible for the findings presented in this study.
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PI OXFORD
PA THE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON, OXFORD OX5 1GB, OXON, ENGLAND
SN 1755-5345
J9 J CHOICE MODEL
JI J. Choice Model.
PD DEC
PY 2017
VL 25
SI SI
BP 50
EP 60
DI 10.1016/j.jocm.2017.02.002
PG 11
WC Economics
WE Social Science Citation Index (SSCI); Conference Proceedings Citation Index -
Social Science & Humanities (CPCI-SSH)
SC Business & Economics
GA FN3VF
UT WOS:000415928400006
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zhu, YJ
Hu, YJ
Collins, JM
AF Zhu, Yi-Jie
Hu, Yujie
Collins, Jennifer M.
TI Estimating road network accessibility during a hurricane evacuation: A
case study of hurricane Irma in Florida
LA English
DT Article
DE Road accessibility; Hurricane; Evacuation; Behavioral response curves;
Distance decay
ID TRANSPORTATION; ROBUSTNESS; LINKS; MODEL
AB Understanding the spatio-temporal road network accessibility during a hurricane
evacuation-the level of ease of residents in an area in reaching evacuation
destination sites through the road network-is a critical component of emergency
management. While many studies have attempted to measure road accessibility (either
in the scope of evacuation or beyond), few have considered both dynamic evacuation
demand and characteristics of a hurricane. This study proposes a methodological
framework to achieve this goal. In an interval of every six hours, the method first
estimates the evacuation demand in terms of number of vehicles per household in
each county subdivision (sub-county) by considering the hurricane's wind radius and
track. The closest facility analysis is then employed to model evacuees' route
choices towards the predefined evacuation destinations. The potential crowdedness
index (PCI), a metric capturing the level of crowdedness of each road segment, is
then computed by coupling the estimated evacuation demand and route choices.
Finally, the road accessibility of each sub-county is measured by calculating the
reciprocal of the sum of PCI values of corresponding roads connecting evacuees from
the sub-county to the designated destinations. The method is applied to the entire
state of Florida during Hurricane Irma in September 2017. Results show that 1-75
and 1-95 northbound have a high level of congestion, and sub-counties along the
northbound 1-95 suffer from the worst road accessibility. In addition, this
research performs a sensitivity analysis for examining the impacts of different
choices of behavioral response curves on accessibility results.
C1 [Zhu, Yi-Jie; Collins, Jennifer M.] Univ S Florida, Sch Geosci, Tampa, FL 33620
USA.
[Hu, Yujie] Univ Florida, Dept Geog, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA.
[Hu, Yujie] Univ Florida, UF Informat Inst, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA.
C3 State University System of Florida; University of South Florida; State
University System of Florida; University of Florida; State University
System of Florida; University of Florida
RP Hu, YJ (corresponding author), Univ Florida, Dept Geog, Gainesville, FL 32611
USA.
EM yujiehu@ufl.edu
RI Zhu, Yijie/GPS-5670-2022; Hu, Yujie/O-9860-2018
OI Zhu, Yijie/0000-0001-7828-9148; Hu, Yujie/0000-0001-5814-0805
FU Center for Transportation Equity, Decisions and Dollars (CTEDD) - U.S.
Department of Transportation Research and Innovative Technology
Administration (OST-R)
FX Dr. Yujie Hu would like to acknowledge the support by a grant from the
Center for Transportation Equity, Decisions and Dollars (CTEDD) funded
by U.S. Department of Transportation Research and Innovative Technology
Administration (OST-R). We also thank the anonymous referees for their
valuable comments.
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DI 10.1016/j.trd.2020.102334
PG 13
Technology
(SSCI)
GA LW0DB
UT WOS:000538816200009
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Xu, KC
Davidson, RA
Nozick, LK
Wachtendorf, T
DeYoung, SE
AF Xu, Kecheng
Davidson, Rachel A.
Nozick, Linda K.
Wachtendorf, Tricia
DeYoung, Sarah E.
TI Hurricane evacuation demand models with a focus on use for prediction in
future events
SO TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART A-POLICY AND PRACTICE
LA English
DT Article
DE Ordered probit model; Hurricane evacuation prediction
ID DECISION-MAKING; BEHAVIOR; RISK
AB Although substantial literature exists on understanding hurricane evacuation
behavior, few studies have developed models that can be used for predicting
evacuation rates in future events. For this paper, we develop new ordered probit
models for evacuation using survey data collected in the hurricane-prone state of
North Carolina in 2011 and 2012. Since all covariates in the models are available
from the census or based on location, the new models can be applied to predict
evacuation rates for any future hurricane. The out-of-sample predictive power of
the new models are evaluated at the individual household level using cross
validation, and the aggregated level using available data from Hurricane Irene
(2011), Hurricane Isabel (2003) and Hurricane Floyd (1999). Model results are also
compared with an existing participation rate model, and a logistic regression model
available from the literature. Results at the individual household level suggests
approximately 70% of households' evacuation behavior will be predicted correctly.
Errors are evenly divided between false positives and false negatives, and with
accuracy increasing to 100% as the percentage of people who actually evacuate goes
to zero or all and decreasing to about 50% when the population is divided and about
half of all households actually evacuate. Aggregate results suggest the new models
compare favorably to the available ones, with average aggregate evacuation rate
errors of five percentage points. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
C1 [Xu, Kecheng; Nozick, Linda K.] Cornell Univ, Ithaca, NY USA.
[Davidson, Rachel A.; Wachtendorf, Tricia; DeYoung, Sarah E.] Univ Delaware,
Newark, DE USA.
C3 Cornell University; University of Delaware
RP Xu, KC (corresponding author), Cornell Univ, Ithaca, NY USA.
EM kx46@cornell.edu; rdavidso@udel.edu; LKN3@cornell.edu;
twachten@udel.edu; sedeyoun@udel.edu
RI Davidson, Rachel/V-2511-2019
OI Davidson, Rachel/0000-0002-6061-5985; Wachtendorf,
Tricia/0000-0002-7771-5069
FU National Science Foundation [0826832, 1331269]; Direct For Social, Behav
& Economic Scie; Divn Of Social and Economic Sciences [0826832] Funding
Source: National Science Foundation; Directorate For Engineering; Div Of
Civil, Mechanical, & Manufact Inn [1331269] Funding Source: National
Science Foundation
FX This publication was prepared by Cornell University and the University
of Delaware using Federal funds under awards 0826832 and 1331269 from
the National Science Foundation. The statements, findings, conclusions,
and recommendations are those of the authors and do not necessarily
reflect the views of the National Science Foundation.
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GA DL1BJ
UT WOS:000375366600009
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Musolino, G
Ahmadian, R
Xia, JQ
AF Musolino, Giovanni
Ahmadian, Reza
Xia, Junqiang
TI Enhancing pedestrian evacuation routes during flood events
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DT Article
DE Resilient solutions; Flood modelling; Flood hazard; Flood evacuation
route; Flood risk management; Human stability in floods
ID RISK PERCEPTION; MODEL; SIMULATION; STABILITY; TOOL
AB The increasing rate of anthropic activities in flood-prone areas and the effects
of climate change are aggravating the dangers posed by floods to people. One of the
main reasons for fatality during flood events is walking through floodwaters.
Although authorities strongly advise against walking in flood waters, evacuations
or the accessing of flooded areas by emergency services might be necessary. This
research proposes a novel approach to increasing resilience by retrofitting
existing infrastructures to enhance evacuation and access routes by reducing flood
hazard rate based on flood and pedestrian characteristics. The methodology was
applied to flash floods in two case studies in the UK, namely Boscastle and Borth,
highlighting that retrofitting small regions of the existing roads and pathways to
reduce flood hazard can enhance people's safety during the evacuation, and hence
provides a solution to improve the resilience of the existing environment.
C1 [Musolino, Giovanni; Ahmadian, Reza] Cardiff Univ, Sch Engn, Hydro Environm Res
Ctr, Cardiff CF24 3AA, Wales.
[Xia, Junqiang] Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources & Hydropower Engn S,
Wuhan 430072, Peoples R China.
C3 Cardiff University; Wuhan University
RP Musolino, G (corresponding author), Cardiff Univ, Sch Engn, Hydro Environm Res
Ctr, Cardiff CF24 3AA, Wales.
EM musolino.giovanni@gmail.com
RI Ahmadian, Reza/D-6242-2013
OI Ahmadian, Reza/0000-0003-2665-4734; Musolino,
Giovanni/0000-0002-6273-5630
FU Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council through the Centre
for Doctoral Training in Water Informatics: Science and Engineering
(WISE CDT) [EP/L016214/1]; Royal Academy of Engineering through Urban
Flooding Research Policy Impact Programme [UUFRIP\100031]
FX The research reported herein is funded by the Engineering and Physical
Sciences Research Council through the Centre for Doctoral Training in
Water Informatics: Science and Engineering (WISE CDT) with Grant Number:
EP/L016214/1, and the Royal Academy of Engineering through Urban
Flooding Research Policy Impact Programme with Grant Number:
UUFRIP\100031.
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TC 4
Z9 4
U1 13
U2 36
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 0921-030X
EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
PD JUL
PY 2022
VL 112
IS 3
BP 1941
EP 1965
DI 10.1007/s11069-022-05251-9
EA FEB 2022
PG 25
Water Resources
GA 2D8NN
UT WOS:000757922000001
OA Green Accepted, hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Adjei, E
Murray-Tuite, P
Ge, Y
Ukkusuri, S
Lee, SY
AF Adjei, Emmanuel
Ge, Yue
Ukkusuri, Satish
Lee, Seungyoon
TI Estimating hurricane evacuation destination and accommodation type
selection with perceived certainty variables
LA English
DT Article
DE Destination; Accommodation type; Perceived certainty; Hurricane
evacuation
ID FALSE DISCOVERY RATE; DECISION-MAKING; RISK PERCEPTION; HINDSIGHT BIAS;
NEW-ORLEANS; MODEL; TIME; INFORMATION; BEHAVIOR; KATRINA
AB This paper investigates how perceived certainty factors influenced households'
selection of destination and accommodation type during evacuation. Using survey
responses from Jacksonville, FL, multinomial logit models were developed for both
choices. For the first, greater understanding of hurricane-related graphics
decreased households' probability of staying within their community. Households
with a member who has special medical needs and those evacuating with a greater
number of vehicles were more likely to stay in the eastern portion of their county.
Greater perceived certainty about the hurricane impact location decreased
households' probability of evacuating to the south. For the accommodation model,
married evacuees and those who received official evacuation notices had increased
likelihood of staying in hotels/ motels, while those who evacuated a day before
landfall were less likely to do so. Greater perceived certainty about hurricane
impact time and frequency of communication with social network members increased
the probability of staying in a peer's home.
C1 [Adjei, Emmanuel; Murray-Tuite, Pamela] Clemson Univ, Glenn Dept Civil Engn, 109
[Ge, Yue] Univ Cent Florida, Sch Publ Adm, 528 W Livingston St,DPAC 448J,
Orlando, FL 32816 USA.
[Ukkusuri, Satish] Purdue Univ, Lyles Sch Civil Engn, 550 Stadium Mall Dr, W
[Lee, Seungyoon] Purdue Univ, Brian Lamb Sch Commun, 100 North Univ St, W
C3 Clemson University; State University System of Florida; University of
Central Florida; Purdue University System; Purdue University; Purdue
University West Lafayette Campus; Purdue University System; Purdue
University; Purdue University West Lafayette Campus
RP Murray-Tuite, P (corresponding author), Clemson Univ, Glenn Dept Civil Engn, 109
EM eadjei@g.clemson.edu; pmmurra@clemson.edu; yue.ge@ucf.edu;
sukkusur@purdue.edu; seungyoon@purdue.edu
FU National Science Foundation (NSF) [CMMI-1520338]
FX The research presented in this paper was supported by the National
Science Foundation (NSF) under Grant CMMI-1520338, for which the authors
are grateful. However, the authors are solely responsible for the
findings and conclusions in this study. We would also like to thank an
anonymous reviewers who provided constructive comments and suggestions
for improving this paper.
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NR 96
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 2
U2 5
PI OXFORD
SN 1361-9209
EI 1879-2340
PD APR
PY 2022
VL 105
AR 103235
DI 10.1016/j.trd.2022.103235
EA MAR 2022
PG 21
Technology
(SSCI)
GA 1Q7PQ
UT WOS:000802876300004
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Ersing, RL
Pearce, C
Collins, J
Saunders, ME
Polen, A
AF Ersing, Robin L.
Pearce, Christianne
Collins, Jennifer
Saunders, Michelle E.
Polen, Amy
TI Geophysical and Social Influences on Evacuation Decision-Making: The
Case of Hurricane Irma
SO ATMOSPHERE
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane Irma; evacuation decisions; geophysical vulnerability; social
vulnerability
ID VULNERABILITY; KATRINA; PREPAREDNESS; INFORMATION; NETWORKS; MODEL
AB Understanding the factors that influence evacuation decision-making among local
residents is of critical importance to those involved in monitoring and managing
weather-related hazards. This study examined both geophysical and social variables
that we believe influenced individual decision-making on whether to stay home, seek
out a public shelter, or leave the area entirely during Hurricane Irma. A 23-item
survey was administered to a convenience sample of adults (n = 234) who resided
within a coastal Florida county that received an evacuation warning during
Hurricane Irma in 2017. Results suggested sources of information relied on through
media, government, family, and social networks contributed to differences in
evacuation behavior. Moreover, potential exposure to weather-related conditions,
such as flooding and strong winds, along with the likelihood to use available
social resources, also influenced decisions to stay or leave the threatened area.
Finally, prior evacuation behavior was significantly associated with the decision
to evacuate during Hurricane Irma. The decision to evacuate for Hurricane Irma was
shown to impact decision-making to evacuate for major hurricanes in the future. If
these findings are applied to future storms, a broader conclusion can be made that
residents in vulnerable areas may be more likely to evacuate for major hurricanes
than they were in the past. Improved understanding of evacuation decision-making
can assist emergency managers in preparation and planning to reduce casualties
resulting from a hurricane or other weather-related hazard.
C1 [Ersing, Robin L.] Univ S Florida, Sch Publ Affairs, Tampa, FL 33620 USA.
[Pearce, Christianne; Collins, Jennifer; Saunders, Michelle E.] Univ S Florida,
Sch Geosci, Tampa, FL 33620 USA.
[Polen, Amy] Univ S Florida, Coll Publ Hlth, Tampa, FL 33620 USA.
University System of Florida; University of South Florida; State
University System of Florida; University of South Florida
RP Ersing, RL (corresponding author), Univ S Florida, Sch Publ Affairs, Tampa, FL
33620 USA.
EM rersing@usf.edu; cjordon@mail.usf.edu; collinsjm@usf.edu;
msaunders1@mail.usf.edu; amypolen@usf.edu
OI Collins, Jennifer/0000-0001-6780-8280; Polen, Amy/0000-0003-4560-1312
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NR 65
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 4
U2 10
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4433
J9 ATMOSPHERE-BASEL
JI Atmosphere
PD AUG
PY 2020
VL 11
IS 8
AR 851
DI 10.3390/atmos11080851
PG 19
WC Environmental Sciences; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
(SSCI)
SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
GA NL3LG
UT WOS:000567321000001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Verma, R
Shen, JY
Benedict, BC
Murray-Tuite, P
Lee, SY
Ge, Y
Ukkusuri, SV
AF Verma, Rajat
Shen, Jiayun
Benedict, Bailey C.
Lee, Seungyoon
Ge, Yue 'Gurt'
Ukkusuri, Satish V.
TI Progression of hurricane evacuation-related dynamic decision-making with
information processing
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane; Evacuation; Information processing; Certainty; Process
tracing; Dynamic decision making
ID RISK PERCEPTION; MODEL; EXPECTATIONS; DISASTER; TIME; COMPLEXITY;
ATTITUDES; WARNINGS; SURVIVAL; SEEKING
AB Conventional evacuation studies typically do not gauge the development of
participants' certainty about evacuation-related decisions with the updates in the
information provided to them. This study uses an online survey that provides three
kinds of progressively varied information about the current status of a
hypothetical hurricane for five days leading to its landfall and collects
respondents' certainty of their situational comprehension and evacuation-related
decisions each day. Most participants (84%) made a final decision (60% evacuate)
after seeing information of just one day (four days before the landfall),
indicating a tendency of swift decision-making. Modeling shows that the time spent
looking at information, especially uncertainty cone fore-cast maps, positively
influences the understanding of the hurricane's status, which in turn helps in
increasing the certainty of making evacuation-related decisions, with an increasing
temporal effect. This study contributes to the understanding of the public
perception of information and its association with evacuation-related decision-
making.
C1 [Verma, Rajat; Ukkusuri, Satish V.] Purdue Univ, Lyles Sch Civil Engn, 550
Stadium Ave, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA.
[Shen, Jiayun; Murray-Tuite, Pamela] Clemson Univ, Glenn Dept Civil Engn, S
Palmetto Blvd, Clemson, SC 29631 USA.
[Benedict, Bailey C.] Calif State Univ San Bernardino, Jack H Brown Coll
Business & Publ Adm, 5500 Univ Pkwy, San Bernardino, CA 92407 USA.
[Lee, Seungyoon] Purdue Univ, Brian Lamb Sch Commun, 100 N Univ St, W Lafayette,
IN 47907 USA.
[Ge, Yue 'Gurt'] Univ Cent Florida, Sch Publ Adm, 528 Livingston St,Ste 446,
Lafayette Campus; Clemson University; California State University
System; California State University San Bernardino; Purdue University
System; Purdue University; Purdue University West Lafayette Campus;
State University System of Florida; University of Central Florida
RP Ukkusuri, SV (corresponding author), Purdue Univ, Lyles Sch Civil Engn, 550
Stadium Ave, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA.
EM verma99@purdue.edu; jiayuns@g.clemson.edu; bailey.benedict@csusb.edu;
pmmurra@clemson.edu; seungyoon@purdue.edu; yue.ge@ucf.edu;
sukkusur@purdue.edu
RI Verma, Rajat/HZK-7318-2023; Benedict, Bailey/GRS-9915-2022
OI Verma, Rajat/0000-0002-2273-8706; Benedict, Bailey/0000-0002-3167-7538
FU National Science Foundation (NSF) [CMMI-1520338]
FX Funding Sources This work was supported by the National Science
Foundation (NSF) grant CMMI-1520338. NSF was not otherwise involved in
any specific role in this study.
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NR 67
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 8
U2 13
PI OXFORD
SN 1361-9209
EI 1879-2340
PD JUL
PY 2022
VL 108
AR 103323
DI 10.1016/j.trd.2022.103323
EA MAY 2022
PG 16
Technology
(SSCI)
GA 2B2FM
UT WOS:000810008300005
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Pei, S
Dahl, KA
Yamana, TK
Licker, R
Shaman, J
AF Pei, Sen
Dahl, Kristina A.
Yamana, Teresa K.
Licker, Rachel
Shaman, Jeffrey
TI Compound Risks of Hurricane Evacuation Amid the COVID-19 Pandemic in the
United States
SO GEOHEALTH
LA English
DT Article
DE COVID-19; hurricane; evacuation; climate; extreme events; epidemiology
AB The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season was extremely active and included, as of
early November, six hurricanes that made landfall in the United States during the
global coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Such an event would
necessitate a large-scale evacuation, with implications for the trajectory of the
pandemic. Here we model how a hypothetical hurricane evacuation from four counties
in southeast Florida would affect COVID-19 case levels. We find that hurricane
evacuation increases the total number of COVID-19 cases in both origin and
destination locations; however, if transmission rates in destination counties can
be kept from rising during evacuation, excess evacuation-induced case numbers can
be minimized by directing evacuees to counties experiencing lower COVID-19
transmission rates. Ultimately, the number of excess COVID-19 cases produced by the
evacuation depends on the ability of destination counties to meet evacuee needs
while minimizing virus exposure through public health directives. These results are
relevant to disease transmission during evacuations stemming from additional
climate-related hazards such as wildfires and floods.
C1 [Pei, Sen; Yamana, Teresa K.; Shaman, Jeffrey] Columbia Univ, Dept Environm Hlth
Sci, Mailman Sch Publ Hlth, New York, NY 10027 USA.
[Dahl, Kristina A.] Union Concerned Scientists, Climate & Energy Program,
Oakland, CA 94609 USA.
[Licker, Rachel] Union Concerned Scientists, Climate & Energy Program,
Washington, DC USA.
C3 Columbia University
RP Pei, S (corresponding author), Columbia Univ, Dept Environm Hlth Sci, Mailman
Sch Publ Hlth, New York, NY 10027 USA.; Dahl, KA (corresponding author), Union
Concerned Scientists, Climate & Energy Program, Oakland, CA 94609 USA.
EM sp3449@cumc.columbia.edu; kdahl@ucsusa.org
RI Yamana, Teresa/GNM-7684-2022; Dahl, Kristina/AAC-4813-2021
OI Dahl, Kristina/0000-0001-6471-8845; Yamana, Teresa/0000-0001-8349-3151;
Pei, Sen/0000-0002-7072-2995
FU NSF [DMS-2027369]; Barr Foundation; Common Sense Fund; Energy
Foundation; Farvue Foundation; Fresh Sound Foundation; MacArthur
Foundation; New York Community Trust; Rauch Foundation; Sand County
Charitable Trust; Scherman Foundation
FX The authors would like to acknowledge Stephen Wong, who graciously
provided data that informed this analysis. Astrid Caldas, Rachel
Cleetus, Juan Declet-Barreto, Adrienne Hollis, and Erika
Spanger-Siegfried provided inspiration and insight during the course of
the research. Work on this study was supported by NSF grant DMS-2027369,
a gift from the Morris-Singer Foundation, and the generous support of
the Barr Foundation, the Common Sense Fund, the Energy Foundation,
Farvue Foundation, the Fresh Sound Foundation, the MacArthur Foundation,
New York Community Trust, the Rauch Foundation, Sand County Charitable
Trust, The Scherman Foundation, three anonymous funders, and members of
the Union of Concerned Scientists.
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NR 59
TC 34
Z9 34
U1 1
U2 13
PU AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
PI WASHINGTON
PA 2000 FLORIDA AVE NW, WASHINGTON, DC 20009 USA
SN 2471-1403
J9 GEOHEALTH
JI GeoHealth
PD DEC
PY 2020
VL 4
IS 12
AR e2020GH000319
DI 10.1029/2020GH000319
PG 14
(SSCI)
Health
GA PM2UP
UT WOS:000603661300003
PM 33299960
OA gold, Green Published, Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Bian, RJ
Murray-Tuite, P
Trainor, J
Edara, P
Triantis, K
AF Bian, Ruijie
Trainor, Joseph
Edara, Praveen
Triantis, Konstantinos
TI Modeling Evacuees' Intended Responses to a Phased Hurricane Evacuation
Order
SO APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL
LA English
DT Article
DE hurricane evacuation; phased evacuation; warning responses; behavioral
intention; compliance
ID SHADOW EVACUATION; INFORMATION; PERCEPTIONS; BEHAVIOR; DISASTERS
AB Phased evacuation is an under-studied strategy, and relatively little is known
about compliance with the phased process. This study modelled households' responses
to a phased evacuation order based on a household behavioral intention survey.
About 66% of the evacuees reported that they would comply with a phased evacuation
order. A latent class logit model sorted evacuees into two classes ("evacuation
reluctant" and "evacuation keen") by their stakeholder perceptions (i.e., whether
government agencies have responsibility for the safety of individuals) and
evacuation perceptions (i.e., whether evacuation is an effective protective
action), while risk perception becomes non-significant in interpreting their
compliance behavior to a phased evacuation order. Those that evacuate to the home
of friends/relatives and/or bring more vehicles during evacuation are less likely
to follow phased evacuation orders. "Evacuation reluctant" individuals with a
longer housing tenure are more likely to follow phased evacuation orders.
"Evacuation keen" individuals with a longer travel delay expectation are more
likely to comply with phased evacuation orders. This study not only unveiled the
impacts of incorporating three psychological perceptions (i.e., risk, stakeholder,
and evacuation perceptions) in modeling compliance behavior (e.g., parameter
sign/significance shift) but also provides insights of evacuees' compliance
behavior to phased evacuation orders.
C1 [Bian, Ruijie] Louisiana State Univ, Louisiana Transportat Res Ctr, Baton Rouge,
LA 70808 USA.
[Murray-Tuite, Pamela] Clemson Univ, Glenn Dept Civil Engn, Clemson, SC 29634
USA.
[Trainor, Joseph] Univ Delaware, Biden Sch Publ Policy & Adm, Newark, DE 19716
USA.
[Edara, Praveen] Univ Missouri, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Columbia, MO 65211
USA.
[Triantis, Konstantinos] Virginia Tech, Grad Dept Ind & Syst Engn, Falls Church,
VA 22043 USA.
C3 Louisiana State University System; Louisiana State University; Clemson
University; University of Delaware; University of Missouri System;
University of Missouri Columbia; Virginia Polytechnic Institute & State
University
RP Murray-Tuite, P (corresponding author), Clemson Univ, Glenn Dept Civil Engn,
Clemson, SC 29634 USA.
EM rbian1@lsu.edu; pmmurra@clemson.edu; jtrainor@udel.edu;
edarap@missouri.edu; triantis@vt.edu
OI Bian, Ruijie/0000-0002-1781-1374
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NR 84
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 3
U2 3
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2076-3417
J9 APPL SCI-BASEL
JI Appl. Sci.-Basel
PD APR
PY 2023
VL 13
IS 8
AR 5194
DI 10.3390/app13085194
PG 18
WC Chemistry, Multidisciplinary; Engineering, Multidisciplinary; Materials
Science, Multidisciplinary; Physics, Applied
SC Chemistry; Engineering; Materials Science; Physics
GA F5ZC2
UT WOS:000983115100001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Yang, Y
Metcalf, S
Mao, L
AF Yang, Yan
Metcalf, Sara
Mao, Liang
TI Modeling transit-assisted hurricane evacuation through socio-spatial
networks
SO INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL INFORMATION SCIENCE
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane evacuation; socio-spatial network; public transit; on-road
traffic; agent-based simulation
ID AGENT-BASED SIMULATION; SOCIAL-INFLUENCE; BEHAVIORS
AB Increasing intensity and frequency of hurricane events underscores the need for
efficient and inclusive evacuation plans, particularly for carless and disabled
populations. Hurricane evacuation intrinsically involves both social and spatial
processes. People's decision to evacuate spreads over social networks; once their
decisions are made, they flee through spatial transportation networks. This article
describes a novel effort to integrate socio-spatial networks into an agent-based
evacuation simulation model, taking the Florida Keys in the USA as a study area. In
the model, households, as agents, were synthesized from Census data, then connected
by a 'home-workplace-neighborhood' social network, and registered to a spatial road
network. A threshold decision model was used to simulate social contagion of
households' decision to evacuate. The resulting travel demands were input into the
TRANSIMS platform to generate on-road traffic. The model analyzed scenarios of
automobile-only and public transit-assisted evacuation. The results show that the
simulated traffic under the automobile-only scenario aligns with the observed
traffic dynamics, which validates our socio-spatially integrated model. Adding
public transportation capacity significantly reduces the traffic load and
evacuation time, and provides a practical, accessible, and equitable route to
safety for low mobility populations.
C1 [Yang, Yan; Metcalf, Sara] SUNY Buffalo, Dept Geog, Amherst, NY USA.
[Mao, Liang] Univ Florida, Dept Geog, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA.
C3 State University of New York (SUNY) System; State University of New York
(SUNY) Buffalo; State University System of Florida; University of
Florida
RP Mao, L (corresponding author), Univ Florida, Dept Geog, Gainesville, FL 32611
USA.
EM liangmao@ufl.edu
RI Metcalf, Sara S./I-8593-2019
OI Metcalf, Sara S./0000-0003-1263-1902; Mao, Liang/0000-0002-7363-0308
10.1016/S1464-2867(01)00008-0]
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NR 47
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 4
U2 37
PU TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
PI ABINGDON
PA 2-4 PARK SQUARE, MILTON PARK, ABINGDON OR14 4RN, OXON, ENGLAND
SN 1365-8816
EI 1362-3087
J9 INT J GEOGR INF SCI
JI Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci.
PD DEC 2
PY 2021
VL 35
IS 12
SI SI
BP 2424
EP 2441
DI 10.1080/13658816.2020.1828590
EA OCT 2020
PG 18
WC Computer Science, Information Systems; Geography; Geography, Physical;
Information Science & Library Science
(SSCI)
SC Computer Science; Geography; Physical Geography; Information Science &
Library Science
GA XE5QP
UT WOS:000574204000001
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Parajuli, G
Neupane, S
Kunwar, S
Adhikari, R
Acharya, TD
AF Parajuli, Gaurav
Neupane, Shankar
Kunwar, Sandeep
Adhikari, Ramesh
Acharya, Tri Dev
TI A GIS-Based Evacuation Route Planning in Flood-Susceptible Area of
Siraha Municipality, Nepal
LA English
DT Article
DE flood; evacuation; AHP; map; flood susceptibility; network analysis;
evacuation route planning
ID ANALYTICAL HIERARCHY PROCESS; FREQUENCY RATIO; BIVARIATE; MODELS
AB Flood is one of the most frequently occurring and devastating disasters in
Nepal. Several locations in Nepal are at high risk of flood, which requires proper
guidance on early warning and safe evacuation of people to emergency locations
through optimal routes to minimize fatalities. However, the information is limited
to flood hazard mapping only. This study provides a comprehensive flood
susceptibility and evacuation route mapping in the Siraha Municipality of Nepal
where a lot of flood events have occurred in the past and are liable to happen in
the future. The flood susceptibility map was created using a Geographic Information
System (GIS)-based Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) over nine flood conditioning
factors. It showed that 47% of the total area was highly susceptible to flood, and
the remaining was in the safe zone. The assembly points where people would gather
for evacuation were selected within the susceptible zone through manual
digitization while the emergency shelters were selected within a safe zone such
that they can host the maximum number of people. The network analysis approach is
used for evacuation route mapping in which the closest facility analysis proposed
the optimum evacuation route based on the walking speed of evacuees to reach the
emergency shelter place considering the effect of slope and flood on the speed of
the pedestrian. A total of 12 out of 22 suggested emergency shelters were within 30
min, 7 within 60 min, and 2 within 100 min walk from the assembly point. Moreover,
this study suggests the possible areas for further shelter place allocations based
on service area analysis. This study can support the authorities' decision-making
for the flood risk assessment and early warning system planning, and helps in
providing an efficient evacuation plan for risk mitigation.
C1 [Parajuli, Gaurav; Neupane, Shankar; Kunwar, Sandeep; Adhikari, Ramesh]
Tribhuvan Univ, Dept Geomat Engn, Pashchimanchal Campus, Lamachaur 33700, Pokhara,
Nepal.
[Acharya, Tri Dev] Univ Calif Davis, Inst Transportat Studies, Davis, CA 95616
USA.
C3 Tribhuvan University; University of California System; University of
California Davis
RP Acharya, TD (corresponding author), Univ Calif Davis, Inst Transportat Studies,
Davis, CA 95616 USA.
EM pas074bge019@wrc.edu.np; pas074bge041@wrc.edu.np;
pas074bge037@wrc.edu.np; pas074bge031@wrc.edu.np; tdacharya@ucdavis.edu
FU University of California Davis Open Access Fund (UCD-OAF)
FX This research received no external funding. The APC was funded by the
University of California Davis Open Access Fund (UCD-OAF).
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NR 82
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 0
U2 0
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2220-9964
PD JUL
PY 2023
VL 12
IS 7
AR 286
DI 10.3390/ijgi12070286
PG 21
Sensing
GA N7KD5
UT WOS:001038747100001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Kumar, D
Ukkusuri, SV
AF Kumar, Dheeraj
Ukkusuri, Satish, V
TI Enhancing demographic coverage of hurricane evacuation behavior modeling
using social media
SO JOURNAL OF COMPUTATIONAL SCIENCE
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane evacuation; Enhancing demographic coverage; Spatial coverage;
Survey non-response; Evacuation decision making; Geotagged Tweets
ID NEW-ORLEANS; NONRESPONSE; KATRINA; RATES; BIAS
AB Hurricane evacuation is a complex dynamic process and a better understanding of
the factors which influence the evacuation behavior of the coastal residents could
be helpful in planning a better evacuation policy. Traditionally, the various
aspects of the household evacuation decisions have been determined by post-
evacuation questionnaire surveys, however, these surveys have seen a deterioration
in the quality of the data due to a gradual decrease in response rates in recent
years, which may lead to non-response bias. Increased activity of users on social
media, especially during emergencies, along with the geo-tagging of the posts,
provides an opportunity to gain insights into user's decision-making process, as
well as to gauge public opinion and activities using the social media data as a
supplement to the traditional survey data. This paper leverages the geo-tagged
Tweets posted in the New York City (NYC) and Jacksonville, FL in wake of Hurricane
Sandy and Matthew respectively to understand the evacuation behavior of the Twitter
users and compare them with that of the survey respondents. We design the Twitter
user classification problem as a novel HMM modeling framework to classify them into
one of the three categories: outside evacuation zone, evacuees, and non-evacuees.
We compare the demographic composition (age, gender, and race/ethnicity) and
spatial coverage of Twitter users with that of the survey respondents to highlight
the complementary nature of the two data sources, which when combined give a
representative sample of the population. We analyze the GPS coordinates of the
tweets by evacuees to understand evacuation and return time and evacuation location
patterns and compared them with survey respondents. The techniques presented in
this paper provide an alternative (fast and voluntary) source of information for
modeling evacuation behavior during emergencies, which is complementary in terms of
demographics and spatial distribution as compared to the traditional surveys and
could be useful for authorities to plan a better evacuation campaign to minimize
the risk to the life of the residents of the emergency hit areas. (C) 2020 Elsevier
B.V. All rights reserved.
C1 [Kumar, Dheeraj] Indian Inst Technol Roorkee, Dept Elect & Commun Engn, Roorkee,
Uttarakhand, India.
[Ukkusuri, Satish, V] Purdue Univ, Lyles Sch Civil Engn, W Lafayette, IN 47907
USA.
[Kumar, Dheeraj] Purdue Univ, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA.
C3 Indian Institute of Technology System (IIT System); Indian Institute of
Technology (IIT) - Roorkee; Purdue University System; Purdue University;
Purdue University West Lafayette Campus; Purdue University System;
Purdue University; Purdue University West Lafayette Campus
RP Ukkusuri, SV (corresponding author), Purdue Univ, Lyles Sch Civil Engn, W
EM dheeraj.kumar@ece.iitr.ac.in; sukkusur@purdue.edu
OI D, SATHEESH KUMAR/0000-0002-3808-9595
FU NSF [1520338]; Div Of Civil, Mechanical, & Manufact Inn; Directorate For
Engineering [1520338] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
FX This work is partly funded by NSF grant 1520338 Hazards SEES: Bridging
Information, Uncertainty and Decision-making in hurricanes using an
interdisciplinary approach. The findings in thismanuscript reflect the
views of the authors and not those of NSF.
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Z9 5
U1 1
U2 3
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
PA RADARWEG 29, 1043 NX AMSTERDAM, NETHERLANDS
SN 1877-7503
EI 1877-7511
J9 J COMPUT SCI-NETH
JI J. Comput. Sci.
PD SEP
PY 2020
VL 45
AR 101184
DI 10.1016/j.jocs.2020.101184
PG 15
WC Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications; Computer Science,
Theory & Methods
(SSCI)
SC Computer Science
GA OY5PN
UT WOS:000594298700004
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Roy, KC
Hasan, S
AF Roy, Kamol Chandra
Hasan, Samiul
TI Modeling the dynamics of hurricane evacuation decisions from twitter
data: An input output hidden markov modeling approach
SO TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART C-EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane evacuation; Hurricane Irma; Social media; Input output hidden
Markov model; Twitter; Florida
ID SOCIAL MEDIA; DISASTER; SYSTEM
AB Evacuations play a critical role in saving human lives during hurricanes. But
individual evacuation decision-making is a complex dynamic process, often studied
using post-hurricane survey data. Alternatively, ubiquitous use of social media
generates a massive amount of data that can be used to predict evacuation behavior
in real time. In this paper, we present a method to infer individual evacuation
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from home, the proposed model infers what activities are made by individuals, when
they decide to evacuate, and where they evacuate to. To validate our results, we
have created a labeled dataset from 38,256 tweets posted between September 2, 2017
and September 19, 2017 by 2,571 users from Florida during hurricane Irma. Our
findings show that the proposed IO-HMM method can be useful for inferring
evacuation behavior in real time from social media data. Since traditional surveys
are infrequent, costly, and often performed at a post hurricane period, the
proposed approach can be very useful for predicting evacuation demand as a
hurricane unfolds in real time.
C1 [Roy, Kamol Chandra; Hasan, Samiul] Univ Cent Florida, Dept Civil Environm &
Construct Engn, 12800 Pegasus Dr, Orlando, FL 32816 USA.
C3 State University System of Florida; University of Central Florida
RP Hasan, S (corresponding author), Univ Cent Florida, Dept Civil Environm &
EM roy.kamol@knights.ucf.edu; samiul.hasan@ucf.edu
RI roy, kamol/ABC-8218-2021; Hasan, Samiul/J-7539-2013
OI Roy, Kamol/0000-0003-4315-8724; Hasan, Samiul/0000-0002-5828-3352
FU U.S. Department of Transportation University Transportation Centers
Program under the project "Disaster Analytics: Disaster Preparedness and
Management through Online Social Media"; U.S. National Science
Foundation [CMMI-1917019]
FX This study was supported by the U.S. Department of Transportation
University Transportation Centers Program under the project "Disaster
Analytics: Disaster Preparedness and Management through Online Social
Media" and the U.S. National Science Foundation through the grant
CMMI-1917019. However, the authors are solely responsible for the facts
and accuracy of the information presented in the paper.
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EI 1879-2359
J9 TRANSPORT RES C-EMER
JI Transp. Res. Pt. C-Emerg. Technol.
PD FEB
PY 2021
VL 123
AR 102976
DI 10.1016/j.trc.2021.102976
EA JAN 2021
PG 16
WC Transportation Science & Technology
(SSCI)
SC Transportation
GA QK7GM
UT WOS:000620550600007
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wang, ZQ
Huang, J
Wang, HM
Kang, JL
Cao, WW
AF Wang, Zhiqiang
Huang, Jing
Wang, Huimin
Kang, Jinle
Cao, Weiwei
TI Analysis of Flood Evacuation Process in Vulnerable Community with Mutual
Aid Mechanism: An Agent-Based Simulation Framework
LA English
DT Article
DE flood evacuation; vulnerable community; mutual aid mechanism;
agent-based model; simulation
ID HURRICANE EVACUATION; MODEL; BEHAVIOR; DENSITY
AB Timely and secure evacuation of residents during flood disasters or other
emergency events is an important issue in urban community flood risk management,
especially in vulnerable communities. An agent-based modeling framework was
proposed in order to indicate how the community properties (e.g., community density
and percentage of vulnerable residents), residents' psychological attributes (e.g.,
flood risk tolerance threshold) and mutual aid mechanism affect the flood
evacuation process. Results indicated that: (1) The community density negatively
affected the flood evacuation efficiency. The greater the density of the community,
the longer the evacuation time. (2) There was a negative correlation between the
flood risk tolerance threshold of residents and evacuation efficiency. (3) The
proportion of vulnerable resident agents had opposite effects on the evacuation
efficiency of different types of communities, which was to negatively affect low-
density communities and positively affect high-density communities. (4) Mutual aid
mechanism can reduce evacuation time in low-density communities, and the effect was
more pronounced with a higher proportion of vulnerable resident agents in the
community. These findings can help managers to develop better emergency evacuation
management for urban communities.
C1 [Wang, Zhiqiang; Huang, Jing; Wang, Huimin; Kang, Jinle; Cao, Weiwei] Hohai
Univ, State Key Lab Hydrol Water Resources & Hydraul En, Nanjing 210098, Peoples R
China.
[Wang, Zhiqiang; Huang, Jing; Wang, Huimin; Kang, Jinle; Cao, Weiwei] Hohai
Univ, Inst Management Sci, Business Sch, Nanjing 211100, Peoples R China.
C3 Hohai University; Hohai University
RP Wang, ZQ; Wang, HM (corresponding author), Hohai Univ, State Key Lab Hydrol
Water Resources & Hydraul En, Nanjing 210098, Peoples R China.; Wang, ZQ; Wang, HM
(corresponding author), Hohai Univ, Inst Management Sci, Business Sch, Nanjing
211100, Peoples R China.
EM zqwang@hhu.edu.cn; j_huang@hhu.edu.cn; hmwang@hhu.edu.cn;
kjlhhu@hhu.edu.cn; cww@hhu.edu.cn
RI wang, huimin/HDM-8421-2022; WANG, HUIYUAN/IXX-2427-2023; wang,
hao/HSE-7975-2023; Wang, Hui/HMU-9512-2023; wang, hui/HSG-6135-2023;
wang, hui/GRS-4730-2022
OI HUANG, JING/0000-0002-6357-7443
FU National Natural Science Foundation of China [91846203, 71601070,
41877526]; National Key R&D Program of China [2017YFC1502603];
Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities [2017B728X14]
FX This research was funded by National Natural Science Foundation of China
(Grant number 91846203, 71601070 and 41877526), National Key R&D Program
of China (Grant number 2017YFC1502603) and the Fundamental Research
Funds for the Central Universities (Grant number 2017B728X14).
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NR 46
TC 13
Z9 13
U1 7
U2 48
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 1660-4601
PD JAN 2
PY 2020
VL 17
IS 2
AR 560
DI 10.3390/ijerph17020560
PG 21
(SSCI)
Health
GA KQ3LG
UT WOS:000516827400181
PM 31952331
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Harris, A
Roebber, P
Morss, R
AF Harris, Austin
Roebber, Paul
Morss, Rebecca
TI An agent-based modeling framework for examining the dynamics of the
hurricane-forecast-evacuation system
SO INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
LA English
DT Article
DE Agent-based model; Hurricane; Evacuation; Traffic; Decision making;
Forecast
ID EVACUEE PERCEPTION; DECISION-MAKING; RISK PERCEPTION; COMMUNICATION;
HAZARDS; STORM; RESPONSES; TEXAS; INFORMATION; SIMULATION
AB Hurricane evacuations involve many interacting physical-social factors and
uncertainties that evolve with time as the storm approaches and arrives. Because of
these complex and uncertain dynamics, improving the hurricaneforecast-evacuation
system remains a formidable challenge for researchers and practitioners alike. This
article introduces a modeling framework built to holistically investigate the
complex dynamics of the hurricaneforecast-evacuation system i.e., to determine
which factors are most important and how they interact across a range of real or
synthetic scenarios. The modeling framework, called FLEE, includes models of the
natural hazard (hurricane), the human system (information flow, evacuation
decisions), the built environment (road infrastructure), and connections between
systems (forecasts and warning information, traffic). In this paper, we describe
FLEE's conceptualization and implementation and present proof-of-concept
experiments illustrating its behaviors when key parameters are modified. In doing
so, we show how FLEE is capable of examining the dynamics of the hurricane-
forecast-evacuation system from a new perspective that is informed-by and builds-
upon empirical work. This information can support researchers and practitioners in
hazard risk management, meteorology, and related disciplines, thereby offering the
promise of direct applications to mitigate hurricane losses.
C1 [Harris, Austin; Roebber, Paul] Univ Wisconsin, 3200 N Cramer Ave,EMS Room,403
Univ Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI 53211 USA.
[Morss, Rebecca] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, 3090 Ctr Green Dr, Boulder, CO 80301
USA.
C3 University of Wisconsin System; University of Wisconsin Milwaukee;
National Center Atmospheric Research (NCAR) - USA
RP Harris, A (corresponding author), Univ Wisconsin, 3200 N Cramer Ave,EMS Room,403
Univ Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI 53211 USA.
EM harri377@uwm.edu; roebber@uwm.edu; morss@ucar.edu
FU University of Wisconsin-Milwau-kee's (UWM) Distinguished Dissertator
Fellowship; National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Advanced
Study Program's Graduate Student Fellowship; National Science Foundation
(NSF) HDBE Award [2100801]; UWM; NCAR; NSF; National Science Foundation;
Directorate For Engineering; Div Of Civil, Mechanical, & Manufact Inn
[2100801] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
FX This work was supported by the University of Wisconsin-Milwau-kee's
(UWM) Distinguished Dissertator Fellowship, the National Center for
Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Advanced Study Program's Graduate Student
Fellowship, and the National Science Foundation (NSF) HDBE Award
2100801. The authors thank UWM, NCAR, and NSF for their support, the
reviewers for their helpful comments, and Drs Jon Kahl and Clark Evans
for their feedback in the projects' early stages. Author contributions:
A.H, P.R., and R.M designed the research; A.H and P.R created the built
environment components of the model; R.M and A.H. built the human system
elements of the model; A.H, P.R., and R.M analyzed the data; A.H wrote
the paper with R.M and P.R providing edits. The National Center for
Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the National Science Foundation.
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NR 92
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 2
U2 11
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
J9 INT J DISAST RISK RE
JI Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct.
PD JAN
PY 2022
VL 67
AR 102669
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102669
EA NOV 2021
PG 25
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA WZ8OS
UT WOS:000720221800002
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Bian, R
Wilmot, CG
Gudishala, R
Baker, EJ
AF Bian, Ruijie
Wilmot, Chester G.
Gudishala, Ravindra
Baker, Earl J.
TI Modeling household-level hurricane evacuation mode and destination type
joint choice using data from multiple post-storm behavioral surveys
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane evacuation; Mode choice; Destination type choice; Nested
logit; Pooled data
ID UNDERSTAND
AB Since Hurricane Katrina, transit evacuation service has been seen to serve
critical needs in affected cities and an increasing number of hurricanes have
struck the east coast where more people rely on public transportation to evacuate.
Thus, it is important to model mode choice in evacuation for a better estimation of
evacuation transit demand. In this study, a joint mode and destination type choice
model was estimated based on multiple post-storm behavioral surveys from the
northeastern seaboard to the Gulf coast. A Nested Logit model specification was
used to estimate this joint choice model. The estimated model showed a significant
linkage between mode and destination type choice, which validated the choice of a
nested structure for the model. Selected variables include both household and zonal
characteristics, reflecting the attributes of alternatives (e.g., hotel price and
occupancy), the characteristics of households (e.g., residential stability and
community density), and the interactions between them (e.g., average accessibility
to a destination type). The use of multiple-storm data allowed the use of some
variables that have not been considered in the past because of few variations in
their values in a single dataset. Overall, the findings of this study provide
insight into the factors affecting mode and destination type choice of residents
during hurricane evacuation.
C1 [Bian, Ruijie; Wilmot, Chester G.; Gudishala, Ravindra] Louisiana State Univ,
Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 3240R Patrick F Taylor Hall, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA.
[Baker, Earl J.] Florida State Univ, Dept Geog, Tallahassee, FL 32306 USA.
C3 Louisiana State University System; Louisiana State University; State
University System of Florida; Florida State University
RP Bian, RJ (corresponding author), Louisiana State Univ, Dept Civil & Environm
Engn, 3240R Patrick F Taylor Hall, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA.
EM rbian1@lsu.edu; cecgw@lsu.edu; rgudis1@lsu.edu; jbaker@fsu.edu
FU Louisiana Department of Transportation and Development (LA DOTD); LA
DOTD; U.S. Army Corps of Engineers National Hurricane Program; New York
City Emergency Management Department
FX This research is funded by Louisiana Department of Transportation and
Development (LA DOTD). Original data collection is a part of other
projects: the post-Gustav survey was funded by LA DOTD; the post-Irene
survey was funded by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers National Hurricane
Program; the post-Sandy survey was funded by the New York City Emergency
Management Department. The willingness of these agencies to share their
data is greatly appreciated.
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TC 22
Z9 22
U1 1
U2 14
PI OXFORD
SN 0968-090X
PD FEB
PY 2019
VL 99
BP 130
EP 143
DI 10.1016/j.trc.2019.01.009
PG 14
(SSCI)
SC Transportation
GA HM3IV
UT WOS:000459367900008
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Lee, YH
Kim, HI
Han, KY
Hong, WH
AF Lee, Yoon Ha
Kim, Hyun Il
Han, Kun Yeun
Hong, Won Hwa
TI Flood Evacuation Routes Based on Spatiotemporal Inundation Risk
Assessment
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE spatiotemporal flood fluctuations; inundation risk assessment;
evacuation route; artificial neural network; geographic information
system
ID SUSCEPTIBILITY ASSESSMENT; MODEL; LIFE
AB For flood risk assessment, it is necessary to quantify the uncertainty of
spatiotemporal changes in floods by analyzing space and time simultaneously. This
study designed and tested a methodology for the designation of evacuation routes
that takes into account spatial and temporal inundation and tested the methodology
by applying it to a flood-prone area of Seoul, Korea. For flood prediction, the
non-linear auto-regressive with exogenous inputs neural network was utilized, and
the geographic information system was utilized to classify evacuations by walking
hazard level as well as to designate evacuation routes. The results of this study
show that the artificial neural network can be used to shorten the flood prediction
process. The results demonstrate that adaptability and safety have to be ensured in
a flood by planning the evacuation route in a flexible manner based on the
occurrence of, and change in, evacuation possibilities according to walking hazard
regions.
C1 [Lee, Yoon Ha] Hanyang Univ, Sustainable Bldg Mat & Construct Lab, Erica
Campus,55 Hanyangdaehak Ro, Ansan 15588, Gyeonggi Do, South Korea.
[Kim, Hyun Il; Han, Kun Yeun] Kyungpook Natl Univ, Dept Civil Engn, 80 Daehak
Ro, Daegu 41566, South Korea.
[Hong, Won Hwa] Kyungpook Natl Univ, Sch Architectural Civil Environm & Energy
Engn, 80 Daehak Ro, Daegu 41566, South Korea.
C3 Hanyang University; Kyungpook National University; Kyungpook National
University
RP Hong, WH (corresponding author), Kyungpook Natl Univ, Sch Architectural Civil
Environm & Energy Engn, 80 Daehak Ro, Daegu 41566, South Korea.
EM dldbsgk123@naver.com; hyuun228@gmail.com; kshanj@knu.ac.kr;
hongwonhwa@gmail.com
FU Korea Ministry of Environment (MOE)
FX This research was funded by the Korea Ministry of Environment (MOE).
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NR 44
TC 9
Z9 10
U1 2
U2 19
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD AUG
PY 2020
VL 12
IS 8
AR 2271
DI 10.3390/w12082271
PG 18
WC Environmental Sciences; Water Resources
SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Water Resources
GA NH4PT
UT WOS:000564654500001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Yi, WQ
Nozick, L
Davidson, R
Blanton, B
Coile, B
AF Yi, Wenqi
Nozick, Linda
Davidson, Rachel
Blanton, Brian
Coile, Brian
TI Optimization of the issuance of evacuation orders under evolving
hurricane conditions
SO TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART B-METHODOLOGICAL
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane evacuation modeling; Dynamic traffic assignment; Multi-stage
stochastic programming; Progressive hedging
ID DEPENDENT SEQUENTIAL LOGIT; CELL TRANSMISSION MODEL; SHELTER LOCATION;
DECISION-MAKING; SYSTEM; SIMULATION; ASSIGNMENT; STRATEGIES; NETWORKS;
BEHAVIOR
AB This paper develops a bi-level programming model to optimize the issuance of
evacuation orders with explicit consideration of (i) the highly uncertain evolution
of the storm, and (ii) the complexity of the behavioral reaction to evolving storm
conditions. A solution procedure based on progressive hedging is developed. A
realistic case study for the eastern portion of the state of North Carolina is
presented. Through the case study we demonstrate (1) the value of developing an
evacuation order policy based on the evolution of the storm in contrast to a static
policy; (2) the richness in the insights that can be provided by linking the
behavioral models for evacuation decision-making with dynamic traffic assignment-
based network flow models in a hurricane context; and (3) the computational promise
of a progressive hedging-based solution procedure to solve large instances of the
model. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
C1 [Yi, Wenqi; Nozick, Linda] Cornell Univ, Sch Civil & Environm Engn, Ithaca, NY
14850 USA.
[Davidson, Rachel] Univ Delaware, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Newark, DE 19716
USA.
[Blanton, Brian] Univ North Carolina Chapel Hill, Renaissance Comp Inst, 100
Europa Dr,Suite 540, Chapel Hill, NC 27517 USA.
[Coile, Brian] SUNY Stony Brook, Sch Marine & Atmospher Sci, New York, NY USA.
C3 Cornell University; University of Delaware; University of North
Carolina; University of North Carolina Chapel Hill; University of North
Carolina School of Medicine; State University of New York (SUNY) System;
State University of New York (SUNY) Stony Brook
RP Nozick, L (corresponding author), Cornell Univ, Sch Civil & Environm Engn,
Ithaca, NY 14850 USA.
EM wy92@cornell.edu; lkn3@cornell.edu; rdavidso@udel.edu;
Brian_Blanton@renci.org; brian.colle@stonybrook.edu
OI Davidson, Rachel/0000-0002-6061-5985; Yi, Wenqi/0000-0002-3897-0251
FU National Science Foundation [0826832, 1331269]; Divn Of Social and
Economic Sciences; Direct For Social, Behav & Economic Scie [0826832]
Funding Source: National Science Foundation; Div Of Civil, Mechanical, &
FX This publication was prepared by Cornell University and the University
of Delaware using Federal funds under awards 0826832 and 1331269 from
the National Science Foundation. The statements, findings, conclusions,
and recommendations are those of the authors and do not necessarily
reflect the views of the National Science Foundation.
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NR 84
TC 34
Z9 34
U1 0
U2 41
PI OXFORD
SN 0191-2615
J9 TRANSPORT RES B-METH
JI Transp. Res. Pt. B-Methodol.
PD JAN
PY 2017
VL 95
BP 285
EP 304
DI 10.1016/j.trb.2016.10.008
PG 20
WC Economics; Engineering, Civil; Operations Research & Management Science;
Transportation; Transportation Science & Technology
(SSCI)
SC Business & Economics; Engineering; Operations Research & Management
Science; Transportation
GA EI8XY
UT WOS:000392792700014
OA hybrid, Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Kusumo, ANL
Reckien, D
Verplanke, J
AF Kusumo, A. N. L.
Reckien, D.
Verplanke, J.
TI Utilising volunteered geographic information to assess resident's flood
evacuation shelters. Case study: Jakarta
SO APPLIED GEOGRAPHY
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuation shelter; Flood; Volunteered geographic information; Jakarta
ID DISASTER; TWITTER; LOCATION
AB Research on disaster response frequently uses volunteered geographic information
(VGI), due to its capability to provide near real-time information during and after
a disaster. It is much less commonly used in spatial planning related to disaster
management. However, VGI appears to have considerable potential for use in spatial
planning and offers some advantages over traditional methods. For example, VGI can
capture residents' preferences in a much faster, more timely, and more
comprehensive fashion than is possible with, for example, questionnaires and
surveys. This research investigates the usefulness of VGI for planning flood
evacuation shelters. Using Jakarta, Indonesia, as a case study, we use VGI to
capture the locations of flood evacuation shelters based on residents' preferences
during flood periods in 2013-2014 and 2014-2015 and compare these with the
locations of official shelters. Floods frequently affect Jakarta and the city
administration uses VGI in flood emergency responses. Moreover, Jakarta has been
identified as having the largest number of active Twitter users among cities
worldwide. Thus, Jakarta is an appropriate place to study the use of VGI for
planning evacuation shelters. VGI generated by Twitter users was used to identify
the shelter locations preferred by Jakarta residents, and more precisely the flood
evacuees. Of 171,046 tweets using keywords relating to flood evacuation, the
content of 306 tweets indicated that they had been sent from inside or near
evacuation shelters. The spatial pattern showed that those tweets were sent from
215 locations, mostly located near flooded areas. The analysis further showed that
35.6% of these shelter locations preferred by residents intersected with the
locations of official evacuation shelters. As a general conclusion, our study
demonstrates the advantages of using VGI for spatial planning, which mainly relates
to the ease of capturing community preferences over a large area. (C) 2017 The
Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.
C1 [Kusumo, A. N. L.] Jakarta Capital City Govt, Jakarta City Planning Dept,
Jakarta, Indonesia.
[Kusumo, A. N. L.; Reckien, D.; Verplanke, J.] Univ Twente, Fac Geoinformat Sci
& Earth Observat ITC, POB 217, NL-7500 AE Enschede, Netherlands.
C3 University of Twente
RP Kusumo, ANL (corresponding author), Jalan Jatipadang Baru G-5, Jakarta 12540,
Indonesia.
EM larasadya@gmail.com; d.reckien@utwente.nl; j.verplanke@utwente.nl
RI Reckien, Diana/P-7348-2015
OI Reckien, Diana/0000-0002-1145-9509
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NR 38
TC 23
Z9 25
U1 1
U2 21
PU ELSEVIER SCI LTD
PI OXFORD
SN 0143-6228
EI 1873-7730
J9 APPL GEOGR
JI Appl. Geogr.
PD NOV
PY 2017
VL 88
BP 174
EP 185
DI 10.1016/j.apgeog.2017.07.002
PG 12
WC Geography
WE Social Science Citation Index (SSCI)
SC Geography
GA FN7IP
UT WOS:000416192200016
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Jamrussri, S
Toda, Y
AF Jamrussri, Sarawut
Toda, Yuji
TI Available Flood Evacuation Time for High-Risk Areas in the Middle Reach
of Chao Phraya River Basin
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE flood hazard map; flood evacuation strategies; middle Chao Phraya River
Basin
ID HAZARD ADJUSTMENT; FUZZY-AHP; MANAGEMENT; MODEL; VULNERABILITY;
DISASTER; QUALITY; TRANSPORTATION; METHODOLOGY; EVENTS
AB Information about risk is essential to design flood risk management programs. To
our knowledge, this is the first attempt to develop an emergency flood evacuation
plan based on flood risk assessment. Flood risk assessment in the middle Chao
Phraya River Basin (CPRB) was simultaneously analyzed and mapped as the product of
flood hazard, and social vulnerability maps generated by fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy
Process (AHP) and fuzzy logic. One of the purposes of flood risk mapping is to
promote proper and prompt evacuation actions for residents. The emergency flood
evacuation model was tested to explore the available time of evacuation, to reduce
the risk or even the loss of life. The simulation results showed that significant
time was available for evacuation in the middle CPRB. This was calculated based on
a physical status of evacuees, safe evacuation condition, shortest evacuation path,
flood shelter, and road capacity.
C1 [Jamrussri, Sarawut] EGAT, Bang Kruai 11000, Nonthaburi, Thailand.
[Toda, Yuji] Nagoya Univ, Grad Sch Engn, Chikusa Ku, Furo Cho, Nagoya, Aichi
4648603, Japan.
C3 Nagoya University
RP Jamrussri, S (corresponding author), EGAT, Bang Kruai 11000, Nonthaburi,
Thailand.
EM sarawut.jam@egat.co.th; ytoda@cc.nagoya-u.ac.jp
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AR 1871
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PG 23
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GA HG9GB
UT WOS:000455314300166
OA Green Submitted, gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wang, D
Ozbay, K
Bian, ZL
AF Wang, Ding
Ozbay, Kaan
Bian, Zilin
TI Modeling and Analysis of Optimal Strategies for Leveraging Ride-Sourcing
Services in Hurricane Evacuation
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE hurricane; evacuation; ride-sourcing; shared mobility; pricing strategy;
subsidy; demand and supply; social equity
ID EMERGENCY EVACUATION; UNITED-STATES; TRANSIT; CHOICE; DEMAND;
RESILIENCE; ALLOCATION; DISASTERS; LESSONS; TRIPS
AB In many large-scale evacuations, public agencies often have limited resources to
evacuate all citizens, especially vulnerable populations such as the elderly and
disabled people, and the demand for additional transportation means for evacuation
can be high. The recent development of ride-sourcing companies can be leveraged in
evacuations as an additional and important resource in future evacuation planning.
In contrast to public transit, the availability of ride-sourcing drivers is highly
dependent on the price, since surge pricing will occur when the demand is high and
the supply is low. The key challenge is thus to find the balance between evacuation
demand and driver supply. Based on the two-sided market theory, we propose
mathematical modeling and analysis strategies that can help balance demand and
supply through a pricing mechanism designed for ride-sourcing services in
evacuation. A subsidy is considered in the model such that lower-income and
vulnerable individuals could benefit from ride-sourcing services. A hypothetical
hurricane evacuation scenario in New York City in the case study showed the
feasibility of the proposed method and the applicability of subsidies for ride-
sourcing services in evacuation. The methodology and results given in this research
can provide useful insights for modeling on-demand ride-sourcing for future
evacuation planning.
C1 [Wang, Ding; Ozbay, Kaan; Bian, Zilin] NYU, Tandon Sch Engn, C2SMART Univ
Transportat Ctr, Brooklyn, NY 11201 USA.
C3 New York University; New York University Tandon School of Engineering
RP Wang, D (corresponding author), NYU, Tandon Sch Engn, C2SMART Univ Transportat
Ctr, Brooklyn, NY 11201 USA.
EM dw2283@nyu.edu; kaan.ozbay@nyu.edu; zb536@nyu.edu
RI Wang, Ding/ABC-3600-2020; Bian, Zilin/EPT-7411-2022
OI Wang, Ding/0000-0002-2398-1409; Bian, Zilin/0000-0003-3514-9369
FU Connected Cities for Smart Mobility towards Accessible and Resilient
Transportation (C2SMART), a Tier 1 University Center - U.S. Department
of Transportation [69A3351747124]
FX This research and APC were funded by the Connected Cities for Smart
Mobility towards Accessible and Resilient Transportation (C2SMART), a
Tier 1 University Center awarded by U.S. Department of Transportation
under contract 69A3351747124.
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PD APR
PY 2021
VL 13
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PG 22
(SSCI)
GA RU7MO
UT WOS:000645328000001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Whytlaw, JL
Hutton, N
Yusuf, JE
Richardson, T
Hill, S
Olanrewaju-Lasisi, T
Antwi-Nimarko, P
Landaeta, E
Diaz, R
AF Whytlaw, Jennifer L.
Hutton, Nicole
Yusuf, Juita-Elena (Wie)
Richardson, Tihara
Hill, Saige
Olanrewaju-Lasisi, Taiwo
Antwi-Nimarko, Pamela
Landaeta, Eduardo
Diaz, Rafael
TI Changing vulnerability for hurricane evacuation during a pandemic:
Issues and anticipated responses in the early days of the COVID-19
pandemic
LA English
DT Article
DE Vulnerability; Hurricane plus pandemic event; Sheltering; Evacuation
ID SOCIAL VULNERABILITY; DECISION-MAKING; UNITED-STATES; BEHAVIOR; COUNTY;
PEOPLE; RISK
AB Hurricane evacuations during a pandemic require a revised understanding of
vulnerabilities within communities and the development of different strategies and
policies to accommodate the needs of populations vulnerable to the combined
hurricane-pandemic threat. The prolonged COVID-19 pandemic has added economic,
psychological, social, health, and workforce stressors to communities across the
United States. Using original research data from workshops held in May 2020
involving emergency management, public health, and related experts to support
planning efforts for hurricane evacuation and sheltering, we analyze two key
issues: (1) shifting sources of vulnerability in a COVID-19 environment and (2)
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socio-economic disparities were of increased concern to evacuation and shelter
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families with appropriate resources and facilities. There remains a need to expand
and standardize existing policies based on COVID-19 operating protocols to ensure
inclusivity of socio-economically disadvantaged and disabled individuals in
hurricane preparation efforts.
C1 [Whytlaw, Jennifer L.; Hutton, Nicole] Old Dominion Univ, Coll Arts & Letters,
Dept Polit Sci & Geog, Norfolk, VA 23529 USA.
[Yusuf, Juita-Elena (Wie); Richardson, Tihara; Hill, Saige; Olanrewaju-Lasisi,
Taiwo] Old Dominion Univ, Sch Publ Serv, Norfolk, VA 23529 USA.
[Antwi-Nimarko, Pamela; Landaeta, Eduardo] Old Dominion Univ, Coll Arts &
Letters, Grad Program Int Studies, Norfolk, VA 23529 USA.
[Diaz, Rafael] Old Dominion Univ, Virginia Modeling Anal & Simulat Ctr, Norfolk,
VA 23529 USA.
C3 Old Dominion University; Old Dominion University; Old Dominion
University; Old Dominion University
RP Whytlaw, JL (corresponding author), 7036 Batten Arts & Letters, Norfolk, VA
23529 USA.
EM jwhytlaw@odu.edu
RI ; Yusuf, Juita-Elena/F-6482-2011
OI /0000-0001-8263-141X; Yusuf, Juita-Elena/0000-0003-3599-1417;
Antwi-Nimarko, Pamela/0000-0002-9088-7236; Whytlaw,
Jennifer/0000-0002-1612-8805; Richardson, Tihara/0000-0001-9853-2715
FU National Science Foundationfunded Social Science Extreme Events Research
(SSEER) Network; CONVERGE facility at the Natural Hazards Center at the
University of Colorado Boulder (NSF) [1841338]
FX This research was supported by the National Science Foundationfunded
Social Science Extreme Events Research (SSEER) Network and the CONVERGE
facility at the Natural Hazards Center at the University of Colorado
Boulder (NSF Award #1841338) . Any opinions, findings, and conclusions
or recomTmendations expressed in this material are those of the authors
and do not necessarily reflect the views of the NSF, SSEER, or CONVERGE.
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PU ELSEVIER
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PY 2021
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DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102386
EA JUN 2021
PG 9
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA SW0GS
UT WOS:000664195600001
PM 36569576
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Alam, MS
Chakraborty, T
Hossain, MZ
Rahaman, KR
AF Alam, Md Shaharier
Chakraborty, Torit
Hossain, Md Zakir
Rahaman, Khan Rubayet
TI Evacuation dilemmas of coastal households during cyclone Amphan and
amidst the COVID-19 pandemic: a study of the Southwestern region of
Bangladesh
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuation decision; Cyclone Amphan; COVID-19; Coastal communities;
Bangladesh
ID DECISION-MAKING; RISK PERCEPTION; SIDR; RESPONSES; ORDERS; MODEL
AB Cyclone Amphan battered the coastal communities in the southwestern part of
Bangladesh in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. These coastal communities were
experiencing such a situation for the first time and faced the dilemma of whether
to stay at home and embrace the cyclone or be exposed to the COVID-19 virus in the
cyclone shelters by evacuating. This article intends to explore individuals'
decisions regarding whether to evacuate in response to cyclone Amphan and in light
of the risks of the COVID-19 pandemic. Consequently, this study investigated
evacuation behaviors among the households and explored the impacts of COVID-19
during the evacuation procedures. We conducted household surveys to collect primary
information and undertook 378 samples for interviews at a precision level of 0.05
in fourteen villages. Despite the utmost effort of the government, the results
demonstrated that 96.6% of people in the coastal area received a cyclone evacuation
order before the cyclone's landfall, and only 42% of people followed the evacuation
order. The majority of households chose to stay at home because of fear of COVID-19
exposure in the crowded shelters. Although half of the evacuees were housed in
cyclone shelters, COVID-19 preventive measures were apparently not set in place.
Thus, this study will assist in crafting future government policies to enhance
disaster evacuation plans by providing insights from the pandemic that can inform
disaster management plans in the Global South.
C1 [Alam, Md Shaharier] Florida State Univ, Dept Geog, Tallahassee, FL 32306 USA.
[Chakraborty, Torit] New Mexico State Univ, Dept Geog, Las Cruces, NM 88003 USA.
[Hossain, Md Zakir] Khulna Univ, Urban & Rural Planning Discipline, Khulna 9208,
Bangladesh.
[Rahaman, Khan Rubayet] St Marys Univ, Wicked Problems Lab, 923 Robie St,
Halifax, NS B3H 3C3, Canada.
C3 State University System of Florida; Florida State University; New Mexico
State University; Khulna University; Saint Marys University - Canada
RP Alam, MS (corresponding author), Florida State Univ, Dept Geog, Tallahassee, FL
32306 USA.
EM malam3@fsu.edu; toritcha@nmsu.edu; zakir@ku.ac.bd; khan.rahaman@smu.ca
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TC 1
Z9 1
U1 2
U2 2
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 0921-030X
EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
PD JAN
PY 2023
VL 115
IS 1
BP 507
EP 537
DI 10.1007/s11069-022-05564-9
EA AUG 2022
PG 31
Water Resources
GA 7U4VL
UT WOS:000844932300004
PM 36061077
OA Bronze, Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Hong, LZ
Frias-Martinez, V
AF Hong, Lingzi
Frias-Martinez, Vanessa
TI Modeling and predicting evacuation flows during hurricane Irma
SO EPJ DATA SCIENCE
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuation; Disaster; Geotagged tweets; Environmental factors;
Prediction model; Data-driven methods; Decision-making
ID DECISION-MAKING; DISASTER; UNDERSTAND; INFORMATION; BEHAVIOR
AB Evacuations are a common practice to mitigate the potential risks and damages
made by natural disasters. However, without proper coordination and management,
evacuations can be inefficient and cause negative impact. Local governments and
organizations need to have a better understanding of how the population responds to
disasters and evacuation recommendations so as to enhance their disaster management
processes. Previous studies mostly examine responses to evacuations at the
individual or household level by using survey methods. However, population flows
during disasters are not just the aggregation of individuals' decisions, but a
result of complex interactions with other individuals and the environment. We
propose a method to model evacuation flows and reveal the patterns of evacuation
flows at different spatial scales. Specifically, we gathered large-scale geotagged
tweets during Hurricane Irma to conduct an empirical study. First, we present a
method to characterize evacuation flows at different geographic scales: the state
level, considering evacuation flows across southern states affected by Irma; the
urban/rural area level, and the county level. Then we demonstrate results on the
predictability of evacuation flows in the most affected state, Florida, by using
the following environmental factors: the destructive force of the hurricane, the
socioeconomic context, and the evacuation policy issued for counties. Feature
analyses show that distance is a dominant predictive factor with counties that are
geographically closer generally having larger evacuation flows. Socioeconomic
levels are positively related to evacuation flows, with popular destinations
associated to higher socioeconomic levels. The results presented in this paper can
help decision makers to better understand population evacuation behaviors given
certain environmental features, which in turn will aid in the design of efficient
and informed preparedness and response strategies.
C1 [Hong, Lingzi] Univ North Texas, Coll Informat, Denton, TX 76201 USA.
[Frias-Martinez, Vanessa] Univ Maryland, Coll Informat Studies, College Pk, MD
20742 USA.
[Frias-Martinez, Vanessa] Univ Maryland, UMIACS, College Pk, MD 20742 USA.
C3 University of North Texas System; University of North Texas Denton;
University System of Maryland; University of Maryland College Park;
University System of Maryland; University of Maryland College Park
RP Frias-Martinez, V (corresponding author), Univ Maryland, Coll Informat Studies,
College Pk, MD 20742 USA.; Frias-Martinez, V (corresponding author), Univ Maryland,
UMIACS, College Pk, MD 20742 USA.
EM vfrias@umd.edu
OI Frias-Martinez, Vanessa/0000-0001-5114-7633
FU National Science Foundation [NSF-1750102]
FX This project is funded with the National Science Foundation Grant
NSF-1750102.
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NR 50
TC 11
Z9 11
U1 0
U2 4
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
EI 2193-1127
J9 EPJ DATA SCI
JI EPJ Data Sci.
PD SEP 29
PY 2020
VL 9
IS 1
AR 29
DI 10.1140/epjds/s13688-020-00247-6
PG 24
WC Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications; Social Sciences,
Mathematical Methods
(SSCI)
SC Mathematics; Mathematical Methods In Social Sciences
GA NV3KI
UT WOS:000574224700001
OA gold, Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Vicario, SA
Mazzoleni, M
Bhamidipati, S
Gharesifard, M
Ridolfi, E
Pandolfo, C
Alfonso, L
AF Alonso Vicario, S.
Mazzoleni, M.
Bhamidipati, S.
Gharesifard, M.
Ridolfi, E.
Pandolfo, C.
Alfonso, L.
TI Unravelling the influence of human behaviour on reducing casualties
during flood evacuation
SO HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL
LA English
DT Article
DE flood evacuation; human evacuation behaviour; agent-based modelling;
flood modelling; socio-hydrology; unsolved problems in hydrology (UPH);
UPH #21
ID SIMULATION; MODEL; RAINFALL; TSUNAMI; RISK; CITY; DAMAGE
AB Floods are the natural hazards that are causing the most deaths worldwide. Flood
early warning systems are one of the most cost-efficient methods to reduce death
rates, triggering decisions about the evacuation of exposed population. Although
previous studies have investigated the effect of human behaviours on evacuation
processes, studies analysing a combination of behaviours, flood onset and warning
timing are limited. Our objective is to explore how changes on the aforementioned
factors can affect casualties. This is done within a modelling framework that
includes an agent-based model, a hydraulic model, and a traffic model, which is
implemented for the case study of Orvieto (Italy). The results show that the number
of casualties is most impacted by people's behaviour. Besides, we found that a
delay of 30 min in releasing the warning can boost the number of casualties up to
six times. These results may help managers to propose effective emergency plans.
C1 [Alonso Vicario, S.; Gharesifard, M.; Alfonso, L.] IHE Delft, Inst Water Educ,
Dept Hydroinformat & Sociotech Innovat, Delft, Netherlands.
[Mazzoleni, M.; Ridolfi, E.] Uppsala Univ, Dept Earth Sci, Uppsala, Sweden.
[Mazzoleni, M.; Ridolfi, E.] Ctr Nat Hazards & Disaster Sci CNDS, Uppsala,
Sweden.
[Bhamidipati, S.] Delft Univ Technol, Energy & Ind, TBM, Delft, Netherlands.
[Gharesifard, M.] Delft Univ Technol, Dept Water Resources, Delft, Netherlands.
[Pandolfo, C.] Umbria Civil Protect Author, Ctr Funz, Foligno, Italy.
C3 IHE Delft Institute for Water Education; Uppsala University; Centre of
Natural Hazards & Disaster Science (CNDS); Delft University of
Technology; Delft University of Technology
RP Vicario, SA (corresponding author), IHE Delft, Inst Water Educ, Delft,
Netherlands.
EM saralonsovicario@gmail.com
RI Mazzoleni, Maurizio/O-2566-2016; Bhamidipati, Srirama/ABC-4403-2020;
Mazzoleni, Maurizio/F-5362-2018; Gharesifard, Mohammad/AAH-9090-2021;
Alfonso, Leonardo/B-5164-2011; Vicario, Sara Alonso/N-9846-2017
OI Mazzoleni, Maurizio/0000-0002-0913-9370; Bhamidipati,
Srirama/0000-0002-3869-8999; Mazzoleni, Maurizio/0000-0002-0913-9370;
Gharesifard, Mohammad/0000-0002-9553-0340; Alfonso,
Leonardo/0000-0002-8471-5876; Vicario, Sara Alonso/0000-0003-2481-1732;
Pandolfo, Claudia/0000-0003-4570-4717; Ridolfi,
Elena/0000-0002-4714-2511
FU Ground Truth 2.0 project - Environmental knowledge discovery of human
sensed data under the programme H2020-EU.3.5.5. - Developing
comprehensive and sustained global environmental observation and
information systems [689744, L 347 -2013-12-11]; H2020 Societal
Challenges Programme [689744] Funding Source: H2020 Societal Challenges
Programme
FX This work was supported by the Ground Truth 2.0 project - Environmental
knowledge discovery of human sensed data [Grant agreement ID: 689744]
under the programme H2020-EU.3.5.5. - Developing comprehensive and
sustained global environmental observation and information systems (L
347 -2013-12-11).
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Z9 18
U1 6
U2 34
PI ABINGDON
SN 0262-6667
EI 2150-3435
J9 HYDROLOG SCI J
JI Hydrol. Sci. J.
PD OCT 25
PY 2020
VL 65
IS 14
BP 2359
EP 2375
DI 10.1080/02626667.2020.1810254
EA OCT 2020
PG 17
WC Water Resources
SC Water Resources
GA OF3TX
UT WOS:000574992700001
OA Green Submitted, Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Si, YR
Li, JL
Si, YB
AF Si, Yunrui
Li, Junli
Si, Youbin
TI Urban Flood Loss Estimation and Evacuation Design Based on a 500-Year
Extreme Flood Event in Syracuse City
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE flood loss estimation; depth-damage function; emergency shelters;
evacuation route; geographic information system (GIS); urban flood
ID CLIMATE-CHANGE; SHORTEST-PATH; POPULATION; ALGORITHM; MODELS; HAZARD
AB To understand the potential risk of flooding in Syracuse City, New York State,
USA, this research attempted to accomplish the flood hazard assessment for a
simulated 500-year flood event in the downstream floodplain of Onondaga Creek
within Syracuse. Based on the commonly used category of flood damages, the flood
damage of Syracuse was divided into loss of buildings and loss of population. The
results showed that the city's center would have the highest damage rate for
buildings and a total of 1139 buildings would be inundated, of which 326 buildings
would be severely damaged by more than 80%. Furthermore, about 7390 people would be
directly affected by the flood event, among which approximately 900 people might
lose their lives. Communities near Onondaga Creek were assigned designated
evacuation shelters based on the accessibility and distance to the shelters. The
shortest available evacuation routes were calculated. More shelters should be
provided in the central downtown area, with its large population, and distributed
along the western bank of Onondaga Creek. This research offered a first approximate
flood loss estimation that might lead to more attention and studies concerning a
potential flood hazard in the future. It also provided science-based guidelines for
city authorities to refer to in practical flood hazard mitigation.
C1 [Si, Yunrui] Syracuse Univ, Dept Geog & Environm, Syracuse, NY 13244 USA.
[Li, Junli; Si, Youbin] Anhui Agr Univ, Sch Resources & Environm, Hefei 230036,
Peoples R China.
C3 Syracuse University; Anhui Agricultural University
RP Si, YB (corresponding author), Anhui Agr Univ, Sch Resources & Environm, Hefei
EM youbinsi@ahau.edu.cn
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NR 69
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 10
U2 10
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD JAN
PY 2023
VL 15
IS 1
AR 3
DI 10.3390/w15010003
PG 22
GA 7P8FQ
UT WOS:000908934900001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Blanton, B
Dresback, K
Colle, B
Kolar, R
Vergara, H
Hong, Y
Leonardo, N
Davidson, R
Nozick, L
Wachtendorf, T
AF Blanton, Brian
Dresback, Kendra
Colle, Brian
Kolar, Randy
Vergara, Humberto
Hong, Yang
Leonardo, Nicholas
Davidson, Rachel
Nozick, Linda
Wachtendorf, Tricia
TI An Integrated Scenario Ensemble-Based Framework for Hurricane Evacuation
Modeling: Part 2-Hazard Modeling
SO RISK ANALYSIS
LA English
DT Article
DE Coupled models; hurricane; river flow; storm surge; uncertainty
ID TROPICAL CYCLONE WINDS; STORM-SURGE ENSEMBLE; SEDIMENT TRANSPORT;
HYDRODYNAMIC MODEL; DATA ASSIMILATION; WAVE MODEL; PREDICTION; LANDFALL;
SYSTEM; PARAMETERIZATIONS
AB Hurricane track and intensity can change rapidly in unexpected ways, thus making
predictions of hurricanes and related hazards uncertain. This inherent uncertainty
often translates into suboptimal decision-making outcomes, such as unnecessary
evacuation. Representing this uncertainty is thus critical in evacuation planning
and related activities. We describe a physics-based hazard modeling approach that
(1) dynamically accounts for the physical interactions among hazard components and
(2) captures hurricane evolution uncertainty using an ensemble method. This loosely
coupled model system provides a framework for probabilistic water inundation and
wind speed levels for a new, risk-based approach to evacuation modeling, described
in a companion article in this issue. It combines the Weather Research and
Forecasting (WRF) meteorological model, the Coupled Routing and Excess STorage
(CREST) hydrologic model, and the ADvanced CIRCulation (ADCIRC) storm surge, tide,
and wind-wave model to compute inundation levels and wind speeds for an ensemble of
hurricane predictions. Perturbations to WRF's initial and boundary conditions and
different model physics/parameterizations generate an ensemble of storm solutions,
which are then used to drive the coupled hydrologic + hydrodynamic models.
Hurricane Isabel (2003) is used as a case study to illustrate the ensemble-based
approach. The inundation, river runoff, and wind hazard results are strongly
dependent on the accuracy of the mesoscale meteorological simulations, which
improves with decreasing lead time to hurricane landfall. The ensemble envelope
brackets the observed behavior while providing "best-case" and "worst-case"
scenarios for the subsequent risk-based evacuation model.
C1 [Blanton, Brian] Univ N Carolina, Renaissance Comp Inst, Chapel Hill, NC 27517
USA.
[Dresback, Kendra; Kolar, Randy] Univ Oklahoma, Sch Civil Engn & Environm Sci,
Norman, OK 73019 USA.
[Colle, Brian; Leonardo, Nicholas] SUNY Stony Brook, Sch Marine & Atmospher Sci,
Stony Brook, NY 11794 USA.
[Vergara, Humberto; Hong, Yang] Univ Oklahoma, Hydrometeorol & Remote Sensing
Lab, Norman, OK 73019 USA.
[Davidson, Rachel] Univ Delaware, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Newark, DE USA.
[Nozick, Linda] Cornell Univ, Civil & Environm Engn, Ithaca, NY USA.
[Wachtendorf, Tricia] Univ Delaware, Dept Sociol & Criminal Justice, Newark, DE
USA.
C3 University of North Carolina; University of North Carolina Chapel Hill;
University of Oklahoma System; University of Oklahoma - Norman; State
University of New York (SUNY) System; State University of New York
(SUNY) Stony Brook; University of Oklahoma System; University of
Oklahoma - Norman; University of Delaware; Cornell University;
University of Delaware
RP Blanton, B (corresponding author), Univ N Carolina, Renaissance Comp Inst,
Chapel Hill, NC 27517 USA.
EM Brian_Blanton@Renci.Org
RI Hong, Yang/D-5132-2009; Davidson, Rachel/V-2511-2019; Vergara, Humberto
J/I-8089-2016
OI Hong, Yang/0000-0001-8720-242X; Davidson, Rachel/0000-0002-6061-5985;
Vergara, Humberto J/0000-0003-0572-4545; Wachtendorf,
Tricia/0000-0002-7771-5069
FU National Science Foundation [CMMI-1331269] Funding Source: Medline; Div
Of Civil, Mechanical, & Manufact Inn; Directorate For Engineering
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NR 73
TC 17
Z9 17
U1 4
U2 18
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
PA 111 RIVER ST, HOBOKEN 07030-5774, NJ USA
SN 0272-4332
EI 1539-6924
J9 RISK ANAL
JI Risk Anal.
PD JAN
PY 2020
VL 40
IS 1
SI SI
BP 117
EP 133
DI 10.1111/risa.13004
PG 17
WC Public, Environmental & Occupational Health; Mathematics,
Interdisciplinary Applications; Social Sciences, Mathematical Methods
(SSCI)
SC Public, Environmental & Occupational Health; Mathematics; Mathematical
Methods In Social Sciences
GA KA2FH
UT WOS:000505612700008
PM 29694683
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Saha, SK
Pittock, J
AF Saha, Sebak Kumar
Pittock, Jamie
TI Responses to Cyclone Warnings: The Case of Cyclone Mora (2017) in
Bangladesh
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE Cyclone Mora; cyclone warnings; sources of cyclone warnings; reception
of cyclone warnings; evacuation; cyclone shelter; Bangladesh
ID TROPICAL CYCLONES; EVACUATION ORDERS; AILA; SIDR; LESSONS
AB Effective disaster warning systems prevent deaths and injuries and protect
livelihoods. We examined why people at risk do not move to safe places despite
warnings and evacuation orders, by looking at responses to warnings for Cyclone
Mora (2017) in Bangladesh in two villages of the Khulna District. Qualitative and
quantitative data showed that almost all respondents received warnings before the
cyclone, most from more than one source. However, only 21.6% of households took
shelter in any place other than their own house. Most of these households did so
with all members of their household, and most used a cyclone shelter. Almost all
non-evacuee households had more than one reason for not moving to another place.
The most important reasons were that they thought the weather was good despite
warnings, thought the cyclone would not occur in their area, had a fatalistic
attitude, were a long distance from the nearest cyclone shelter, had poor road
networks to go to the cyclone shelter, considered their own house to be a safe
place, were scared of burglary, recalled that nothing happened during previous
warnings, and were worried about overcrowded cyclone shelters. Our findings can
help develop more effective warning systems in cyclone-prone regions globally.
C1 [Saha, Sebak Kumar] Shahjalal Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Sociol, Sylhet 3114,
Bangladesh.
[Pittock, Jamie] Australian Natl Univ, Fenner Sch Environm & Soc, Acton, ACT
2600, Australia.
C3 Shahjalal University of Science & Technology (SUST); Australian National
University
RP Saha, SK (corresponding author), Shahjalal Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Sociol,
Sylhet 3114, Bangladesh.
EM sebak.kumar@gmail.com; jamie.pittock@anu.edu.au
RI Saha, Sebak Kumar/AAD-6792-2022; Pittock, Jamie/N-1541-2018
OI Saha, Sebak Kumar/0000-0002-6999-3085; Pittock,
Jamie/0000-0001-6293-996X
FU Australian Government; Australian National University (ANU), Australia;
School of Culture, History and Language, the Australian National
University, Australia
FX The first author was awarded an Endeavour Postgraduate Scholarship (PhD)
by the Australian Government and a Postgraduate Research Scholarship by
the Australian National University (ANU), Australia. He was also awarded
Fieldwork and Discretionary funding as a PhD student from the School of
Culture, History and Language, the Australian National University,
Australia.
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NR 42
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 1
U2 6
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
JI Sustainability
PD OCT
PY 2021
VL 13
IS 19
AR 11012
DI 10.3390/su131911012
PG 20
(SSCI)
GA WL2UE
UT WOS:000710265800001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Rahman, R
Hasan, S
Zaki, MH
AF Rahman, Rezaur
Hasan, Samiul
Zaki, Mohamed H.
TI Towards reducing the number of crashes during hurricane evacuation:
Assessing the potential safety impact of adaptive cruise control systems
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane evacuation; Stop-and-go traffic; Microscopic traffic
simulation; Surrogate safety measures; Adaptive cruise control
ID AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES; DRIVER ASSISTANCE; TRAFFIC FLOW; RISK; TIME
AB Ensuring safer mobility for evacuee drivers during a hurricane evacuation has
always been a major concern for traffic managers. That concern has grown further,
particularly after recent hurricanes, which forced millions of people to evacuate,
causing significant congestion and a high number of traffic crashes. Though several
strategies have been deployed to manage the heavy traffic demand during a hurricane
evacuation, current approaches seem to have less impact on traffic safety. In a
situation where people are ordered to evacuate to a safer place involving long
hours of driving, perception related errors are inevitable. In such conditions,
advanced driving assistance system or vehicle automation can have a positive
impact. In this study, we assess the safety impact of Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC)
systems during an evacuation. We develop a microscopic simulation model of
evacuation traffic in SUMO and calibrate it using real-world traffic data collected
during the evacuation period of hurricane Irma for a segment in the Interstate
highway in Florida. To evaluate the safety impact of ACC systems, we adopt two
surrogate measures: time to collision (TTC) and deceleration rate to avoid a
collision (DRAC). Our simulation experiments show that, during the evacuation,
about 49.7% of traffic collisions can be reduced at a 25% market penetration of ACC
equipped vehicles. Our result has potential implications for hurricane evacuation
management since a modest decrease in the number of crashes can help reduce the
massive delays most commonly experienced during a major evacuation.
C1 [Rahman, Rezaur; Hasan, Samiul; Zaki, Mohamed H.] Univ Cent Florida, Dept Civil
Environm & Construct Engn, 12800 Pegasus Dr, Orlando, FL 32816 USA.
EM rezaur.rahman@knights.ucf.edu; samiul.hasan@ucf.edu; mzaki@ucf.edu
RI zaki, mohamed H./AAF-7717-2019; Hasan, Samiul/J-7539-2013
OI zaki, mohamed H./0000-0002-2970-2423; Hasan, Samiul/0000-0002-5828-3352
FU Safety Research using Simulation University Transportation Center
(SAFER-SIM); U.S. National Science Foundation [CMMI-1917019]; U.S.
Department of Transportation's University Transportation Centers Program
[69A3551747131]
FX The research presented in this paper is supported by Safety Research
using Simulation University Transportation Center (SAFER-SIM) and the
U.S. National Science Foundation grant CMMI-1917019. SAFER-SIM is funded
by a grant from the U.S. Department of Transportation's University
Transportation Centers Program (69A3551747131) . However, the U.S.
Government assumes no liability for the contents or use thereof.
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NR 60
TC 4
Z9 4
U1 2
U2 12
PI OXFORD
SN 0968-090X
EI 1879-2359
PD JUL
PY 2021
VL 128
AR 103188
DI 10.1016/j.trc.2021.103188
EA MAY 2021
PG 16
(SSCI)
SC Transportation
GA SW8EE
UT WOS:000664746900002
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Kyne, D
Lomeli, AS
Donner, W
Zuloaga, E
AF Kyne, Dean
Lomeli, Arlett Sophia
Donner, William
Zuloaga, Erika
TI Who Will Stay, Who Will Leave: Decision-Making of Residents Living in
Potential Hurricane Impact Areas During a Hypothetical Hurricane Event
in the Rio Grande Valley
SO JOURNAL OF HOMELAND SECURITY AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
LA English
DT Article
DE evacuation decision making; Hurricane evacuation; Rio Grande Valley
ID FLOOD RISK-MANAGEMENT; DISASTER PREPAREDNESS; NETHERLANDS; PERCEPTION;
KATRINA; RACE
AB The Rio Grande Valley (RGV) has been impacted by various hurricanes throughout
history. While Hurricane evacuation has been studied extensively in other contexts,
there is limited systematic research on the warning and response to a large-scale
severe weather event in South Texas. This study attempts to understand the
evacuation decision-making behavior of Southern residents in the event of a
Hurricane making landfall over the Rio Grande Valley. The study uses an online
survey questionnaire with 1060 participants: 275 students attending the University
of Texas-Rio Grande Valley and the remaining 785 are members of the community.
Throughout the course of the study, information was gathered about selected
elements: demographic characteristics, living conditions, the following and
awareness of authority recommendations, decision maker roles, reasons for not
wanting to leave a disaster-prone area facing an emergency, perception of a safe
place, and expected help from both, governments and non-governmental organizations
(NGOs) during evacuation that could impact residents' evacuation decision. Findings
reveal there are a number of individuals who will remain in their place of
residence, even in the deadliest of hurricane Category 5. The study provides
complex factors influencing the nature of evacuation decision-making of individuals
who are Hispanics living in a unique geographical location of RGV.
C1 [Kyne, Dean; Lomeli, Arlett Sophia; Donner, William] Univ Texas Rio Grande
Valley, Dept Sociol, Edinburg, TX 78539 USA.
[Zuloaga, Erika] Univ Texas Rio Grande Valley, Dept Econ, Edinburg, TX 78539
USA.
C3 University of Texas System; University of Texas Rio Grande Valley;
University of Texas System; University of Texas Rio Grande Valley
RP Kyne, D (corresponding author), Univ Texas Rio Grande Valley, Dept Sociol,
Edinburg, TX 78539 USA.
EM dean.kyne@utrgv.edu
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NR 36
TC 8
Z9 8
U1 0
U2 18
PU WALTER DE GRUYTER GMBH
PI BERLIN
PA GENTHINER STRASSE 13, D-10785 BERLIN, GERMANY
SN 2194-6361
EI 1547-7355
J9 J HOMEL SECUR EMERG
JI J. Homel. Secur. Emerg. Manag.
PD JUN
PY 2018
VL 15
IS 2
AR 20170010
DI 10.1515/jhsem-2017-0010
PG 17
WC Public Administration
SC Public Administration
GA GR0VV
UT WOS:000442243300004
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Du, EH
Cai, XM
Sun, ZY
Minsker, B
AF Du, Erhu
Cai, Ximing
Sun, Zhiyong
Minsker, Barbara
TI Exploring the Role of Social Media and Individual Behaviors in Flood
Evacuation Processes: An Agent-Based Modeling Approach
SO WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH
LA English
DT Article
DE flood evacuation; agent-based modeling; opinion dynamics; social media
ID OPINION DYNAMICS; TRANSPORTATION; UNCERTAINTY; SENSITIVITY; CASCADES;
WARNINGS; TRANSIMS; SCIENCE; IMPACT
AB Flood warnings from various information sources are important for individuals to
make evacuation decisions during a flood event. In this study, we develop a general
opinion dynamics model to simulate how individuals update their flood hazard
awareness when exposed to multiple information sources, including global broadcast,
social media, and observations of neighbors' actions. The opinion dynamics model is
coupled with a traffic model to simulate the evacuation processes of a residential
community with a given transportation network. Through various scenarios, we
investigate how social media affect the opinion dynamics and evacuation processes.
We find that stronger social media can make evacuation processes more sensitive to
the change of global broadcast and neighbor observations, and thus, impose larger
uncertainty on evacuation rates (i.e., a large range of evacuation rates
corresponding to sources of information). For instance, evacuation rates are lower
when social media become more influential and individuals have less trust in global
broadcast. Stubborn individuals can significantly affect the opinion dynamics and
reduce evacuation rates. In addition, evacuation rates respond to the percentage of
stubborn agents in a nonlinear manner, i.e., above a threshold, the impact of
stubborn agents will be intensified by stronger social media. These results
highlight the role of social media in flood evacuation processes and the need to
monitor social media so that misinformation can be corrected in a timely manner.
The joint impacts of social media, quality of flood warnings, and transportation
capacity on evacuation rates are also discussed.
C1 [Du, Erhu; Cai, Ximing] Southern Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Environm Sci & Engn,
Shenzhen, Peoples R China.
[Du, Erhu; Cai, Ximing] Univ Illinois, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Urbana, IL
61801 USA.
[Sun, Zhiyong] Australian Natl Univ, Res Sch Engn, Canberra, ACT, Australia.
[Minsker, Barbara] Southern Methodist Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Dallas,
TX USA.
C3 Southern University of Science & Technology; University of Illinois
System; University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign; Australian National
University; Southern Methodist University
RP Du, EH (corresponding author), Southern Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Environm Sci &
Engn, Shenzhen, Peoples R China.; Du, EH (corresponding author), Univ Illinois,
Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Urbana, IL 61801 USA.
EM erhudu2@illinois.edu
RI Du, Erhu/AAM-5031-2020
OI Du, Erhu/0000-0002-0086-2394; Minsker, Barbara/0000-0001-7981-2973; Cai,
Ximing/0000-0002-7342-4512
FU Shenzhen Municipal Science and Technology Innovation Committee
[ZDSY20150831141712549]
FX The authors would like to thank Murugesu Sivapalan for providing
insightful comments to improve this study and Kevin Wallington for
proofreading the paper. The authors are grateful for the thoughtful
suggestions and comments from the Associate Editor and the three
anonymous reviewers. The data and source code for the model can be
acquired by contacting the corresponding author. Additional support was
provided by Shenzhen Municipal Science and Technology Innovation
Committee (#ZDSY20150831141712549).
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NR 87
TC 42
Z9 42
U1 10
U2 95
PI WASHINGTON
SN 0043-1397
EI 1944-7973
J9 WATER RESOUR RES
JI Water Resour. Res.
PD NOV
PY 2017
VL 53
IS 11
BP 9164
EP 9180
DI 10.1002/2017WR021192
PG 17
WC Environmental Sciences; Limnology; Water Resources
(SSCI)
SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Marine & Freshwater Biology; Water
Resources
GA FR0FL
UT WOS:000418736700029
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Alam, MS
Chakraborty, T
AF Alam, Md. Shaharier
Chakraborty, Torit
TI Understanding the nexus between public risk perception of COVID-19 and
evacuation behavior during cyclone Amphan in Bangladesh
SO HELIYON
LA English
DT Article
DE COVID-19; Risk perception; Cyclone Amphan; Evacuation behavior;
Principal component analysis
ID EFFECT SIZES; SOCIAL VULNERABILITY; CLIMATE-CHANGE; HAZARDS; ORDERS
AB In May 2020, when Bangladesh was struggling with community transmission of
COVID-19, the country had to face the strongest tropical storm-Cyclone Amphan -
which puts the evacuation process in jeopardy. Thus, it is crucial to measure the
public risk perception about COVID-19 and its influence on the evacuation decision.
This study explores the nexus between COVID-19 risk perception and coastal peoples'
evacuation decisions during cyclone Amphan. With an analysis of 378 sample
households survey data of the Satkhira district, this study developed the COVID-19
risk perception index using Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and categorized the
respondents based on the score. The result shows that 1.85 %, 21.43 %, 45.77 %,
25.13 %, and 5.82 % have very low, low, moderate, high, and very high-risk
perceptions, respectively. The analysis also reveals that 96.6 % of the respondents
received an evacuation order during Amphan, but only 42 % complied with the order.
The t-test analysis and common language effect size test of the survey data reveal
that the respondents with a high perception score are 65 % less likely to evacuate
than the respondents with low perception scores. This study has important
implications in guiding concerned authorities to combat natural disasters during
COVID-19 and other similar public health emergencies in the future.
C1 [Alam, Md. Shaharier; Chakraborty, Torit] Bangladesh Country Off, Asian Disaster
Preparedness Ctr, Rajshahi 6202, Bangladesh.
[Alam, Md. Shaharier; Chakraborty, Torit] Khulna Univ, Urban & Rural Planning
Discipline, Khulna 9208, Bangladesh.
C3 Khulna University
RP Alam, MS (corresponding author), Bangladesh Country Off, Asian Disaster
Preparedness Ctr, Rajshahi 6202, Bangladesh.; Alam, MS (corresponding author),
Khulna Univ, Urban & Rural Planning Discipline, Khulna 9208, Bangladesh.
EM alam.adpc@gmail.com
RI Alam, Md Shaharier/ABF-1376-2021
OI Alam, Md Shaharier/0000-0002-9608-6683
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NR 90
TC 8
Z9 8
U1 0
U2 9
PU ELSEVIER SCI LTD
PI OXFORD
EI 2405-8440
J9 HELIYON
JI Heliyon
PD JUL
PY 2021
VL 7
IS 7
AR e07655
DI 10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e07655
EA JUL 2021
PG 13
WC Multidisciplinary Sciences
SC Science & Technology - Other Topics
GA TT3QE
UT WOS:000680264800002
PM 34316522
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Matyas, C
Srinivasan, S
Cahyanto, I
Thapa, B
Pennington-Gray, L
Villegas, J
AF Matyas, Corene
Srinivasan, Sivaramakrishnan
Cahyanto, Ignatius
Thapa, Brijesh
Pennington-Gray, Lori
Villegas, Jorge
TI Risk perception and evacuation decisions of Florida tourists under
hurricane threats: a stated preference analysis
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricanes; Tourists; Evacuation; Risk perception; Florida
ID ATLANTIC; BEHAVIOR; EXPECTATIONS; INFORMATION; DISASTERS; ACCURACY;
LANDFALL; TRAVEL; SIZE
AB Though most hurricane evacuation studies have focused on residents, tourists are
also a vulnerable population. To assess their perceptions of risk and evacuation
likelihood under different hurricane conditions, we surveyed 448 tourists visiting
central Florida. Respondents viewed four maps emulating track forecast cones
produced by the National Hurricane Center and text information featuring variations
of storm intensity, coast of landfall, centerline position relative to the survey
site, time until landfall, and event duration. We performed chi-square tests to
determine which hurricane conditions, and aspects of tourists such as their
demographics and previous hurricane experience, most likely influenced their
ratings of risk and evacuation likelihood for respondents located on Pinellas
County beaches or inland near Orlando, FL. Highly rated scenarios featured a
Category 4 hurricane making landfall along the Gulf Coast with the centerline
passing over the sampling site. Overall, tourists that indicated the highest risk
and evacuation ratings were not previously affected by a hurricane, had a trip
duration of less than 6 days, and had checked for the possibility of a hurricane
strike before departure. However, results for other tourist attributes differed
between tourists in coastal and inland locations. We found that although somewhat
knowledgeable about hurricanes, tourists misinterpreted the track forecast cone and
hurricane conditions, which led to a lower perception of risk and subsequent
likelihood to evacuate. Tourists, particularly those from outside of Florida, need
to be better educated about the risks they face from hurricanes that make landfall.
C1 [Matyas, Corene] Univ Florida, Dept Geog, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA.
[Srinivasan, Sivaramakrishnan] Univ Florida, Dept Civil & Coastal Engn,
Gainesville, FL 32611 USA.
[Cahyanto, Ignatius; Thapa, Brijesh; Pennington-Gray, Lori] Univ Florida,
Tourism Crisis Management Inst, Eric Friedheim Tourism Inst, Gainesville, FL 32611
USA.
[Cahyanto, Ignatius; Thapa, Brijesh; Pennington-Gray, Lori] Univ Florida, Dept
Tourism Recreat & Sport Management, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA.
[Villegas, Jorge] Univ Illinois, Dept Business Adm, Springfield, IL USA.
C3 State University System of Florida; University of Florida; State
University System of Florida; University of Florida; State University
System of Florida; University of Florida; State University System of
Florida; University of Florida; University of Illinois System;
University of Illinois Springfield
RP Matyas, C (corresponding author), Univ Florida, Dept Geog, 3141 Turlington
Hall,Box 117315, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA.
EM matyas@ufl.edu
RI Srinivasan, Siva/AAO-7165-2021; Srinivasan,
Sivaramakrishnan/AAL-5749-2020; Villegas, Jorge/J-8046-2019; Matyas,
Corene/A-6435-2008
OI Srinivasan, Sivaramakrishnan/0000-0002-9008-0192; Matyas,
Corene/0000-0002-9773-2501; Villegas, Jorge/0000-0003-1929-9981; Thapa,
Brijesh/0000-0002-0163-5580
FU Eric Friedheim Foundation
FX We thank the Eric Friedheim Foundation for their financial contribution
that allowed us to conduct this study. We also thank the team of student
assistants who helped to administer the surveys and two anonymous
reviewers for their helpful comments.
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NR 64
TC 71
Z9 71
U1 0
U2 45
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
PA 233 SPRING ST, NEW YORK, NY 10013 USA
SN 0921-030X
EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
PD NOV
PY 2011
VL 59
IS 2
BP 871
EP 890
DI 10.1007/s11069-011-9801-0
PG 20
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA 829KB
UT WOS:000295577300016
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Pham, EO
Emrich, CT
Li, ZL
Mitchem, J
Cutter, SL
AF Pham, Erika O.
Emrich, Christopher T.
Li, Zhenlong
Mitchem, Jamie
Cutter, Susan L.
TI Evacuation Departure Timing during Hurricane Matthew
SO WEATHER CLIMATE AND SOCIETY
LA English
DT Article
DE Social Science; North America; Emergency preparedness; Emergency
response
ID RESPONSE RATES; DECISION-MAKING; RISK; INFORMATION; BEHAVIOR; FLORIDA
AB This study investigates evacuation behaviors associated with Hurricane Matthew
in October of 2016. It assesses factors influencing evacuation decisions and
evacuation departure times for Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina from an online
survey of respondents. Approximately 62% of the Florida sample, 77% of the Georgia
sample, and 67% of the South Carolina sample evacuated. Logistic regression
analysis of the departures in the overall time period identified variability in
evacuation timing, primarily dependent on prior experience, receipt of an
evacuation order, and talking with others about the evacuation order. However,
using four logistic regressions to analyze differences in departure times by day
shows that the only significant variable across the three main days of evacuation
was our proxy variable for evacuation-order times. Depending on the day, other
variables of interest include number of household vehicles, previous hurricane
experience, and receipt of an evacuation order. Descriptive results show that many
variables are considered in the decision to evacuate, but results from subsequent
analyses, and respondents' comments about their experiences, highlight that
evacuation orders are the primary triggering variable for when residents left.
C1 [Pham, Erika O.; Li, Zhenlong; Cutter, Susan L.] Univ South Carolina, Hazards &
Vulnerabil Res Inst, Dept Geog, Columbia, SC 29208 USA.
[Emrich, Christopher T.] Univ Cent Florida, Sch Publ Adm, Natl Ctr Integrated
Coastal Res, Orlando, FL 32816 USA.
[Mitchem, Jamie] Univ North Georgia, Inst Environm & Spatial Anal, Oakwood, GA
USA.
C3 University of South Carolina System; University of South Carolina
Columbia; State University System of Florida; University of Central
Florida; University of North Georgia
RP Pham, EO (corresponding author), Univ South Carolina, Hazards & Vulnerabil Res
Inst, Dept Geog, Columbia, SC 29208 USA.
EM epham@email.sc.edu
RI Cutter, Susan/R-8849-2019; Li, Zhenlong/M-1065-2017
OI Cutter, Susan/0000-0002-7005-8596; Li, Zhenlong/0000-0002-8938-5466
10.1016/S1464-2867(01)00008-0]
[Anonymous], J HOMELAND SECURITY
10.1177/028072709100900210
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NR 42
TC 10
Z9 10
U1 3
U2 9
PU AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC
PI BOSTON
PA 45 BEACON ST, BOSTON, MA 02108-3693 USA
SN 1948-8327
EI 1948-8335
J9 WEATHER CLIM SOC
JI Weather Clim. Soc.
PD APR
PY 2020
VL 12
IS 2
BP 235
EP 248
DI 10.1175/WCAS-D-19-0030.1
PG 14
WC Environmental Studies; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
(SSCI)
GA KH5CS
UT WOS:000510666800002
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Tripathy, SS
Bhatia, U
Mohanty, M
Karmakar, S
Ghosh, S
AF Tripathy, Shrabani S.
Bhatia, Udit
Mohanty, Mohit
Karmakar, Subhankar
Ghosh, Subimal
TI Flood evacuation during pandemic: a multi-objective framework to handle
compound hazard
SO ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
LA English
DT Article
DE flood evacuation; pandemic; optimization model; max– min approach
AB The evacuation of the population from flood-affected regions is a non-structural
measure to mitigate flood hazards. Shelters used for this purpose usually
accommodate a large number of flood evacuees for a temporary period. Floods during
a pandemic result in a compound hazard. Evacuations under such situations are
difficult to plan as social distancing is nearly impossible in the highly crowded
shelters. This results in a multi-objective problem with conflicting objectives of
maximizing the number of evacuees from flood-prone regions and minimizing the
number of infections at the end of the shelter's stay. To the best of our
knowledge, such a problem is yet to be explored in literature. Here we develop a
simulation-optimization framework, where multiple objectives are handled with a
max-min approach. The simulation model consists of an extended Susceptible-Exposed-
Infectious-Recovered-Susceptible model. We apply the proposed model to the flood-
prone Jagatsinghpur district in the state of Odisha, India. We find that the
proposed approach can provide an estimate of people required to be evacuated from
individual flood-prone villages to reduce flood hazards during the pandemic. At the
same time, this does not result in an uncontrolled number of new infections. The
proposed approach can generalize to different regions and can provide a framework
to stakeholders to manage conflicting objectives in disaster management planning
and to handle compound hazards.
C1 [Tripathy, Shrabani S.; Karmakar, Subhankar; Ghosh, Subimal] Indian Inst
Technol, Interdisciplinary Program Climate Studies, Mumbai 400076, Maharashtra,
India.
[Bhatia, Udit] Indian Inst Technol, Dept Civil Engn, Palaj 382355, Gandhinagar,
India.
[Mohanty, Mohit; Karmakar, Subhankar] Indian Inst Technol, Environemntal Sci &
Engn Dept, Mumbai 400076, Maharashtra, India.
[Karmakar, Subhankar; Ghosh, Subimal] Indian Inst Technol, Ctr Urban Sci & Engn,
Mumbai 400076, Maharashtra, India.
[Ghosh, Subimal] Indian Inst Technol, Dept Civil Engn, Mumbai 400076,
Maharashtra, India.
C3 Indian Institute of Technology System (IIT System); Indian Institute of
Technology (IIT) - Bombay; Indian Institute of Technology System (IIT
System); Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) - Gandhinagar; Indian
Institute of Technology System (IIT System); Indian Institute of
Technology (IIT) - Bombay; Indian Institute of Technology System (IIT
System); Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) - Bombay; Indian Institute
of Technology System (IIT System); Indian Institute of Technology (IIT)
- Bombay
RP Ghosh, S (corresponding author), Indian Inst Technol, Interdisciplinary Program
Climate Studies, Mumbai 400076, Maharashtra, India.
EM subimal@civil.iitb.ac.in
RI Ghosh, Subimal/E-8247-2010; Mohanty, Mohit/GOK-1672-2022
OI Ghosh, Subimal/0000-0002-5722-1440
FU Department of Science and Technology Swarnajayanti Fellowship Scheme
[DST/SJF/EASA-01/2018-19, SB/SJF/2019-20/11]; Strategic Programs, Large
Initiatives and Coordinated Action Enabler (SPLICE); Climate Change
Program [DST/CCP/CoE/140/2018]
FX The authors would like to thank the Department of Science and Technology
Swarnajayanti Fellowship Scheme, through Project No.
DST/SJF/E&ASA-01/2018-19; SB/SJF/2019-20/11, and Strategic Programs,
Large Initiatives and Coordinated Action Enabler (SPLICE) and Climate
Change Program through Project No. DST/CCP/CoE/140/2018. The authors
woultrategic Programs, Large Initiatives d also like to acknowledge the
district magistrate of Jagatsinghpur, Shri Sangram Keshari Mahapatra,
sub-Collector/District emergency officer Shri. Saswat Ranajn Dash and
Ms. Devjani Bhuyan (Odisha Administrative Services) for helping us with
the data and insight of the real situation. The authors thank the editor
and reviewers whose valuable feedbacks have improved the quality and
readability of the manuscript.
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NR 42
TC 19
Z9 19
U1 2
U2 17
PU IOP PUBLISHING LTD
PI BRISTOL
PA TEMPLE CIRCUS, TEMPLE WAY, BRISTOL BS1 6BE, ENGLAND
SN 1748-9326
J9 ENVIRON RES LETT
JI Environ. Res. Lett.
PD MAR
PY 2021
VL 16
IS 3
AR 034034
DI 10.1088/1748-9326/abda70
PG 11
GA QM6MC
UT WOS:000621890400001
OA gold, Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Musolino, G
Ahmadian, R
Xia, JQ
Falconer, RA
AF Musolino, Giovanni
Ahmadian, Reza
Xia, Junqiang
Falconer, Roger A.
TI Mapping the danger to life in flash flood events adopting a mechanics
based methodology and planning evacuation routes
SO JOURNAL OF FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT
LA English
DT Article
DE flash floods; flood evacuation route; flood risk management; flood
hazard; flood modelling; human stability in floods; shock capturing
models
ID HUMAN STABILITY; RISK; HAZARD; MODEL; VULNERABILITY; INSTABILITY;
SIMULATION; AREA
AB Extreme flood events are becoming more frequent and challenging due to climate
change. Key objectives of this study are to evaluate different criteria used in
assessing the hazard to people during flood events and, once determined, the most
suitable method is then used to assess the hazard and the safest route(s) for
evacuation during a flood event and for a particular case study. The results of the
application of two criteria are analysed in terms of the flood hazard assessment
with the two criteria being based on a widely used empirical approach and a
mechanics based approach. Both criteria are used to assess the flood hazard to
people during an extreme flash flood, which occurred on 16th August 2004 in
Boscastle (UK). Results obtained for this study have highlighted that the mechanics
based criteria are preferable in identifying the ideal escape routes, when
considering the flood characteristics and the corresponding response of a human
body. The main novelty of this study lies in linking the flood hazard rating with
the human body characteristics, when determining the safest route and with a
revised formula being developed, which includes the effects of ground slope in the
application to a real case study.
C1 [Musolino, Giovanni; Ahmadian, Reza; Falconer, Roger A.] Cardiff Univ,
Hydroenvironm Res Ctr, Sch Engn, Cardiff CF24 3AA, Wales.
[Xia, Junqiang] Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources & Hydropower Engn S,
Wuhan, Peoples R China.
C3 Cardiff University; Wuhan University
RP Musolino, G (corresponding author), Cardiff Univ, Hydroenvironm Res Ctr, Sch
Engn, Cardiff CF24 3AA, Wales.
EM musolinogd@cardiff.ac.uk
RI Ahmadian, Reza/AAC-9113-2019; Falconer, Roger/A-3714-2008
OI Ahmadian, Reza/0000-0003-2665-4734; Falconer, Roger/0000-0001-5960-2864;
Musolino, Giovanni/0000-0002-6273-5630; Xia,
Junqiang/0000-0001-7613-3457
FU Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council, through the Centre
for Doctoral Training in Water Informatics: Science and Engineering
(WISE CDT) [EP/L016214/1]; Royal Academy of Engineering through Urban
Flooding Research Policy Impact Programme [UUFRIP\100031]
FX The research reported herein has been funded by The Engineering and
Physical Sciences Research Council, through the Centre for Doctoral
Training in Water Informatics: Science and Engineering (WISE CDT), via
Grant Number: EP/L016214/1 and The Royal Academy of Engineering through
Urban Flooding Research Policy Impact Programme, via Grant Number:
UUFRIP\100031. The authors want to thank the anonymous reviewers and the
editor for their helpful and constructive comments which contribute to
improve the manuscript.
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NR 52
TC 19
Z9 20
U1 7
U2 23
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 1753-318X
J9 J FLOOD RISK MANAG
JI J. Flood Risk Manag.
PD DEC
PY 2020
VL 13
IS 4
AR e12627
DI 10.1111/jfr3.12627
EA MAY 2020
PG 19
GA OY6ZV
UT WOS:000535286800001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Fries, R
Chowdhury, M
Ma, YC
Stephen, L
AF Fries, Ryan
Chowdhury, Mashrur
Ma, Yongchang
Stephen, Liz
TI Evaluation of different contraflow strategies for hurricane evacuation
in Charleston, South Carolina
SO TRANSPORTATION PLANNING AND TECHNOLOGY
LA English
DT Article
DE computer modeling; evacuation; traffic management; travel time;
evacuation duration; contraflow
AB Limited specific evidence is available on the effectiveness of using contraflow
as an evacuation traffic management tool. This study was conducted to determine the
best combination of strategy options for evacuating Charleston, SC, along route I-
26 during the event of a hurricane or other events. PARAMICS microscopic traffic
simulator was used to evaluate the impact of each combination of evacuee response
timing and traffic control strategy, such as contraflow, with respect to average
vehicular travel time and evacuation duration. Analysis revealed the combination of
management strategies that created the lowest evacuation durations and travel times
for several types of anticipated evacuee responses. Furthermore, a proposed
reconfiguration of the I-526/I-26 interchange for contraflow operations produced
additional savings in travel times and evacuation durations. These findings support
the use of all lanes for contraflow during all evacuations and provide
justification to examine a possible reconfiguration of the I-526/I-26 interchange
for use during evacuations.
C1 [Fries, Ryan] So Illinois Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Edwardsville, IL 62026 USA.
[Chowdhury, Mashrur] Clemson Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Clemson, SC 29634 USA.
[Ma, Yongchang] IEM Inc, Morrisville, NC USA.
[Stephen, Liz] Jacobs Engn, Dallas, TX USA.
C3 Southern Illinois University System; Southern Illinois University
Edwardsville; Clemson University
RP Fries, R (corresponding author), So Illinois Univ, Dept Civil Engn, EB2063,
Edwardsville, IL 62026 USA.
EM rfries@siue.edu
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NR 35
TC 6
Z9 6
U1 0
U2 8
PI ABINGDON
SN 0308-1060
EI 1029-0354
J9 TRANSPORT PLAN TECHN
JI Transp. Plan. Technol.
PY 2011
VL 34
IS 2
BP 139
EP 154
AR PII 934348786
DI 10.1080/03081060.2011.554706
PG 16
SC Transportation
GA 733RN
UT WOS:000288280600003
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Rambha, T
Nozick, LK
Davidson, R
AF Rambha, Tarun
Nozick, Linda K.
Davidson, Rachel
TI Modeling hurricane evacuation behavior using a dynamic discrete choice
framework
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricanes; Evacuation; Demand estimation; Dynamic discrete choice;
Maximum-likelihood
ID OPTIMIZATION; DEMAND; TIME
AB Predicting evacuation-related choices of households during a hurricane is of
paramount importance to any emergency management system. Central to this problem is
the identification of socio-demographic factors and hurricane characteristics that
influence an individual's decision to stay or evacuate. However, decision makers in
such conditions do not make a single choice but constantly evaluate current and
anticipated conditions before opting to stay or evacuate. We model this behavior
using a finite-horizon dynamic discrete choice framework in which households may
choose to evacuate or wait in time periods prior to a hurricane's landfall. In each
period, an individual's utility depends not only on his/her current choices and the
present values of the influential variables, but also involves discounted expected
utilities from future choices should one decide to postpone their decision to
evacuate. Assuming generalized extreme value (GEV) errors, a nested algorithm
involving a dynamic program and a maximum likelihood method is used to estimate
model parameters. Panel data on households affected by Hurricane Gustav, which made
landfall in Louisiana on 1 September 2008, was fused with the National Hurricane
Center's forecasts on the trajectory and intensity for the case study in the paper.
C1 [Rambha, Tarun] Indian Inst Sci, Dept Civil Engn, Bengaluru, India.
[Rambha, Tarun] Indian Inst Sci, Ctr Infrastruct Sustainable Transportat & Urban
P, Bengaluru, India.
[Nozick, Linda K.] Cornell Univ, Sch Civil & Environm Engn, Ithaca, NY 14853
USA.
[Davidson, Rachel] Univ Delaware, Civil & Environm Engn, Newark, DE 19716 USA.
C3 Indian Institute of Science (IISC) - Bangalore; Indian Institute of
Science (IISC) - Bangalore; Cornell University; University of Delaware
RP Rambha, T (corresponding author), Indian Inst Sci IISc, Ctr Infrastruct
Sustainable Transportat & Urban P, CV Raman Rd, Bengaluru 560012, India.
EM tarunrambha@iisc.ac.in
FU NSF, United States [0826832, CMMI-1331269]; Direct For Social, Behav &
Economic Scie; Divn Of Social and Economic Sciences [0826832] Funding
Source: National Science Foundation
FX The authors thank the NSF, United States (Grant Nos. 0826832 and
CMMI-1331269) for financially supporting this research. The statements,
findings, and conclusions are those of the authors and do not
necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation.
Special thanks to Chester Wilmot and Ravindra Gudishala for sharing the
household survey data used in the paper. The first author would also
like to thank Abdul Pinjari for useful discussions on choice modeling.
The authors also appreciate constructive comments made by the reviewers
and the associate editor, which have significantly improved our paper.
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NR 65
TC 7
Z9 7
U1 0
U2 10
PI OXFORD
SN 0191-2615
EI 1879-2367
PD AUG
PY 2021
VL 150
BP 75
EP 100
DI 10.1016/j.trb.2021.06.003
EA JUN 2021
PG 26
(SSCI)
GA UA2MN
UT WOS:000684998400004
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU King, MA
Dorfman, MV
Einav, S
Niven, AS
Kissoon, N
Grissom, CK
AF King, Mary A.
Dorfman, Molly V.
Einav, Sharon
Niven, Alex S.
Kissoon, Niranjan
Grissom, Colin K.
TI Evacuation of Intensive Care Units During Disaster: Learning From the
Hurricane Sandy Experience
SO DISASTER MEDICINE AND PUBLIC HEALTH PREPAREDNESS
LA English
DT Article
DE disaster; evacuation; critical care; hurricanes; transportation of
patients; emergency preparedness
ID LESSONS; PREPAREDNESS; EARTHQUAKE; HOSPITALS; INCIDENT; CRISIS; SYSTEM;
HEALTH
AB Objective: Data on best practices for evacuating an intensive care unit (ICU)
during a disaster are limited. The impact of Hurricane Sandy on New York City area
hospitals provided a unique opportunity to learn from the experience of ICU
providers about their preparedness, perspective, roles, and activities.
Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional survey of nurses, respiratory
therapists, and physicians who played direct roles during the Hurricane Sandy ICU
evacuations.
Results: Sixty-eight health care professionals from 4 evacuating hospitals
completed surveys (35% ICU nurses, 21% respiratory therapists, 25% physicians-in-
training, and 13% attending physicians). Only 21% had participated in an ICU
evacuation drill in the past 2 years and 28% had prior training or real-life
experience. Processes were inconsistent for patient prioritization, tracking,
transport medications, and transport care. Respondents identified communication
(43%) as the key barrier to effective evacuation. The equipment considered most
helpful included flashlights (24%), transport sleds (21%), and oxygen tanks and
respiratory therapy supplies (19%). An evacuation wish list included walkie-
talkies/phones (26%), lighting/electricity (18%), flashlights (10%), and portable
ventilators and suction (16%).
Conclusions: ICU providers who evacuated critically ill patients during
Hurricane Sandy had little prior knowledge of evacuation processes or vertical
evacuation experience. The weakest links in the patient evacuation process were
communication and the availability of practical tools. Incorporating ICU providers
into hospital evacuation planning and training, developing standard evacuation
communication processes and tools, and collecting a uniform dataset among all
evacuating hospitals could better inform critical care evacuation in the future.
C1 [King, Mary A.] Univ Washington, Harborview Med Ctr, 325 9Th Ave, Seattle, WA
98104 USA.
[King, Mary A.; Dorfman, Molly V.] Seattle Childrens, Seattle, WA USA.
[Einav, Sharon] Shaare Zedek Med Ctr, Jerusalem, Israel.
[Niven, Alex S.] Madigan Army Med Ctr, Tacoma, WA 98431 USA.
[Kissoon, Niranjan] British Columbia Childrens Hosp, Vancouver, BC V6H 3V4,
Canada.
[Grissom, Colin K.] Intermountain Med Ctr, Murray, UT USA.
C3 Harborview Medical Center; University of Washington; University of
Washington Seattle; Seattle Children's Hospital; Hebrew University of
Jerusalem; Shaare Zedek Medical Center; Madigan Army Medical Center; BC
Childrens Hospital; University of British Columbia; Intermountain
Healthcare; Intermountain Medical Center
RP King, MA (corresponding author), Univ Washington, Harborview Med Ctr, Dept
Pediat, Box 359774,325 Ninth Ave, Seattle, WA 98104 USA.
EM maryking@u.washington.edu
RI Niven, Alexander/AAG-4198-2020; Kissoon, Niranjan/AAC-6140-2021
OI Kissoon, Niranjan/0000-0001-8847-9973
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NR 42
TC 18
Z9 18
U1 1
U2 28
PU CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS
PI NEW YORK
PA 32 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK, NY 10013-2473 USA
SN 1935-7893
EI 1938-744X
J9 DISASTER MED PUBLIC
JI Dis. Med. Public Health Prep.
PD FEB
PY 2016
VL 10
IS 1
BP 20
EP 27
DI 10.1017/dmp.2015.94
PG 8
WC Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
(SSCI)
SC Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
GA DI7YU
UT WOS:000373718700008
PM 26311514
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Bloemendaal, N
de Moel, H
Mol, JM
Bosma, PRM
Polen, AN
Collins, JM
AF Bloemendaal, Nadia
de Moel, Hans
Mol, Jantsje M.
Bosma, Priscilla R. M.
Polen, Amy N.
TI Adequately reflecting the severity of tropical cyclones using the new
Tropical Cyclone Severity Scale
LA English
DT Article
DE Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale; hurricane risk communication;
multiple hazards; tropical cyclone classification method; risk
perception
ID EVACUATION DECISION-MAKING; STORM-SURGE; SOCIAL AMPLIFICATION;
HURRICANE; RISK; CLASSIFICATION; FRAMEWORK; BENEFITS
AB For decades, meteorologists and governments have been warning communities in
coastal areas for an imminent tropical cyclone (TC) using the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale (SSHWS). The SSHWS categorizes a TC based on its maximum wind
speed, and is used in defining evacuation strategies and humanitarian response.
However, the SSHWS considers only the wind hazard of a TC, whereas a TC can also
cause severe conditions through its high storm surges and extreme rainfall,
triggering coastal and inland flooding. Consequently, the SSHWS fails to mirror the
TC's total severity. This becomes evident when looking at past events such as
Hurricane Harvey (2017), which was classified as a Tropical Storm while it caused
widespread flooding in the Houston (TX) area, with precipitation totals exceeding
1.5 m. Without including storm surge and rainfall information, adequate risk
communication with the SSHWS can be challenging, as the public can (mistakenly)
perceive a low-category TC as a low-risk TC. To overcome this, we propose the new
Tropical Cyclone Severity Scale (TCSS) that includes all three major TC hazards in
its classification. The new scale preserves the categorization as used in the
SSHWS, to maintain familiarity amongst the general public. In addition, we extend
the scale with a Category 6, to support communication about the most extreme TCs
with multiple hazards. The TCSS is designed to be applied on a local-scale, hereby
supporting local-scale risk communication efforts and evacuation strategies prior
to a TC landfall. The scale can be used for risk communication on both the total TC
risk and on the categories of the separate hazards, which can be valuable
especially in cases when one hazard is the predominant risk factor, such as excess
rainfall triggering flooding.
C1 [Bloemendaal, Nadia; de Moel, Hans; Mol, Jantsje M.; Bosma, Priscilla R. M.]
Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Inst Environm Studies IVM, NL-1081 HV Amsterdam, Netherlands.
[Polen, Amy N.] Univ S Florida, Coll Publ Hlth, Tampa, FL 33620 USA.
[Collins, Jennifer M.] Univ S Florida, Sch Geosci, Tampa, FL 33620 USA.
C3 Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; State University System of Florida;
University of South Florida; State University System of Florida;
University of South Florida
RP Bloemendaal, N (corresponding author), Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Inst Environm
Studies IVM, NL-1081 HV Amsterdam, Netherlands.
EM nadia.bloemendaal@vu.nl
RI Bloemendaal, Nadia/IWE-0919-2023; Mol, Jantsje/ACG-7465-2022
OI Mol, Jantsje/0000-0002-8833-5125; de Moel, Hans/0000-0002-6826-1974;
Polen, Amy/0000-0003-4560-1312; Bloemendaal, Nadia/0000-0002-3418-8692
FU VICI grant from the Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research
(NWO) [453-13-006]
FX The authors declare no competing interests. This research has been
funded by a VICI grant from the Netherlands Organization for Scientific
Research (NWO) (Grant Number 453-13-006).
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NR 59
TC 9
Z9 9
U1 3
U2 8
PI BRISTOL
SN 1748-9326
J9 ENVIRON RES LETT
PD JAN
PY 2021
VL 16
IS 1
AR 014048
DI 10.1088/1748-9326/abd131
PG 12
(SSCI)
GA PR1HV
UT WOS:000606994000001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Hines, E
Reid, CE
AF Hines, Emmanuelle
Reid, Colleen E.
TI Hospital Preparedness, Mitigation, and Response to Hurricane Harvey in
Harris County, Texas
LA English
DT Article
DE hospital; Hurricane Harvey; emergency preparedness; mitigation; flood
AB Objective: This case study documents Harris County hospitals' flood preparedness
and mitigation efforts before Hurricane Harvey, their collective response
experience during Hurricane Harvey, and their lessons learned in the storm's
aftermath. Methods: The case study was constructed using a survey of hospital
emergency managers, semi-structured interviews with local agencies involved in
public health, emergency management, and health care, and an analysis of news
reports and other documents from a variety of government agencies, local
organizations, and hospitals themselves. Results: Harris County hospitals learned
their most valuable lessons through their direct and repeated experience with
flooding over the years, leading to improved preparedness before Hurricane Harvey.
Hospital emergency response successes included infrastructure improvements, staff
resilience, advanced planning, and pre-established collaboration. However,
hospitals still experienced challenges with staff burnout, roadway flooding, and
patient evacuation. Conclusions: Although the current state of hospital flood
preparedness and mitigation is rather advanced and mature, it is advisable that
Harris County takes steps to strengthen emergency management efforts in hospitals
with fewer financial and staffing resources and less direct flood experience.
C1 [Hines, Emmanuelle; Reid, Colleen E.] Univ Colorado, Dept Geog, Boulder, CO
80309 USA.
[Hines, Emmanuelle] Univ Colorado, Nat Hazards Ctr, Boulder, CO 80309 USA.
[Reid, Colleen E.] Univ Colorado, Inst Behav Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA.
C3 University of Colorado System; University of Colorado Boulder;
University of Colorado System; University of Colorado Boulder;
University of Colorado System; University of Colorado Boulder
RP Hines, E (corresponding author), Univ Colorado, Dept Geog, Boulder, CO 80309
USA.; Hines, E (corresponding author), Univ Colorado, Nat Hazards Ctr, Boulder, CO
80309 USA.
EM emmanuelle.hines@colorado.edu
RI Reid, Colleen E/M-4939-2019
OI Reid, Colleen E/0000-0001-8572-1162
FU University of Colorado Boulder's Department of Geography; United
Government of Graduate Students (UGGS) at the University of Colorado
Boulder; Center to Advance Research and Teaching in the Social Sciences
(CARTSS) at the University of Colorado Boulder
FX Financial assistance was provided by the University of Colorado
Boulder's Department of Geography, the United Government of Graduate
Students (UGGS) at the University of Colorado Boulder, and the Center to
Advance Research and Teaching in the Social Sciences (CARTSS) at the
University of Colorado Boulder.
CR American Hospital Association (AHA), 2018, STAT AM HOSP ASS HOM
American Meteorological Society (AMS), 2010, WEATH ENV EXTR HLTH
[Anonymous], HOSP HLTH FAC EM EX
[Anonymous], 2014, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPAC, DOI DOI 10.7930/J07H1GGT
[Anonymous], 2014, 5 ASSESSMENT REPORT
Blau, STAT NEWS
Christensen J., THE CNN
Doiel M., BECKERS HOSP REV
Evans, WALL STR J
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Flynn SE., 2018, HIGHER GROUND SOPHIS
Foley KE., QUARTZ
Galehouse, TMC NEWS
George, TMC NEWS
Goldstein A., WASH POST
Harris Health System, HARRIS HLTH SYSTEM N
Hines E, 2020, AM J PUBLIC HEALTH, V110, P574, DOI 10.2105/AJPH.2019.305520
Hsu A, NPR
Keim ME, 2008, AM J PREV MED, V35, P508, DOI 10.1016/j.amepre.2008.08.022
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OBrien, HOUSTON HOSP PREPARE
Ortiz A., TEXAS HOSP ASS ANAL
PARK A, TIME
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Resnick B., VOX
Sullivan K., CHICAGO TRIBUNE
Texas Hospital Association (THA), 2018, TEX HOSP ASS HURR HA
TMC Pulse, 2017, TMC PULSE
Upton L, 2017, DISASTER MED PUBLIC, V11, P637, DOI 10.1017/dmp.2017.141
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Verduzco-Gutierrez M., TIRR MEMORIAL HERMAN
Wentling, STARS STRIPES
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NR 34
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 2
U2 6
PI NEW YORK
SN 1935-7893
EI 1938-744X
PD JUN 28
PY 2021
VL 17
AR PII S1935789321001464
DI 10.1017/dmp.2021.146
EA JUN 2021
PG 7
(SSCI)
GA 8R0RC
UT WOS:000757185400001
PM 34180391
OA Green Submitted, Green Accepted, hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Kulkarni, PA
Gu, H
Tsai, S
Passannante, M
Kim, S
Thomas, PA
Tan, CG
Davidow, AL
AF Kulkarni, Prathit A.
Gu, Hui
Tsai, Stella
Passannante, Marian
Kim, Soyeon
Thomas, Pauline A.
Tan, Christina G.
Davidow, Amy L.
TI Evacuations as a Result of Hurricane Sandy: Analysis of the 2014 New
Jersey Behavioral Risk Factor Survey
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane; Hurricane Sandy; evacuation; Behavioral Risk Factor
Surveillance System; New Jersey
ID DISASTERS; ORDERS
AB Objective: We characterized evacuations related to Hurricane Sandy, which made
landfall in New Jersey on October 29, 2012.
Methods: We analyzed data from the 2014 New Jersey Behavioral Risk Factor
Survey. The proportion of respondents reporting evacuation was used to estimate the
number of New Jersey adults who evacuated. We determined evacuation rates in
heavily impacted and less-impacted municipalities, as well as evacuation rates for
municipalities under and not under mandatory evacuation orders. We tested
associations between demographic and health factors, such as certain chronic health
conditions, and evacuation.
Results: Among respondents, 12.7% (95% CI: 11.8%-13.6%) reported evacuating,
corresponding to approximately 880,000 adults. In heavily impacted municipalities,
17.0% (95% CI: 15.2%-18.7%) evacuated, compared with 10.1% (95% CI: 9.0%-11.2%) in
less-impacted municipalities. In municipalities under mandatory evacuation orders,
42.5% (95% CI: 35.1%-49.8%) evacuated, compared with 11.8% (95% CI: 10.9%-12.9%) in
municipalities not under mandatory orders. Female gender (odds ratio [OR]: 1.36;
95% CI: 1.14-1.64), unmarried status (OR: 1.22; 95% CI: 1.02-1.46), shorter length
of residence (OR: 1.28; 95% CI: 1.03-1.60), and living in a heavily impacted
municipality (OR: 1.84; 95% CI: 1.54-2.20) were significantly associated with
evacuation. History of stroke (OR: 1.61; 95% CI: 1.02-2.53) was the only chronic
condition associated with evacuation.
Conclusions: Approximately 880,000 New Jersey adults evacuated because of
Hurricane Sandy. Those in heavily impacted municipalities and municipalities under
mandatory evacuation orders had higher evacuation rates; however, still fewer than
half evacuated. These findings can be used for future disaster planning.
C1 [Kulkarni, Prathit A.] Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Epidem Intelligence Serv, Div
Sci Educ & Profess Dev, Ctr Surveillance Epidemiol & Lab Serv, Atlanta, GA USA.
[Kulkarni, Prathit A.; Gu, Hui; Tsai, Stella; Tan, Christina G.] New Jersey Dept
Hlth, Div Epidemiol Environm & Occupat Hlth, Trenton, NJ USA.
[Passannante, Marian; Kim, Soyeon; Davidow, Amy L.] Rutgers Sch Publ Hlth,
Piscataway, NJ USA.
[Thomas, Pauline A.] Rutgers New Jersey Med Sch, Newark, NJ USA.
C3 Centers for Disease Control & Prevention - USA; New Jersey Department of
Health & Senior Services; Rutgers State University New Brunswick;
Rutgers State University Medical Center
RP Davidow, AL (corresponding author), 185 South Orange Ave,Med Sci Bldg F 596-A,
Newark, NJ 07103 USA.
EM davidoal@sph.rutgers.edu
OI Davidow, Amy/0000-0002-3660-7627
FU Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Public Health Preparedness
and Response Research to Aid Recovery from Hurricane Sandy grant [CDC
RFA-TP-13-001]
FX This study was supported in part by the Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention Public Health Preparedness and Response Research to Aid
Recovery from Hurricane Sandy grant (# CDC RFA-TP-13-001).
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NR 35
TC 4
Z9 4
U1 0
U2 8
PI NEW YORK
SN 1935-7893
EI 1938-744X
PD DEC
PY 2017
VL 11
IS 6
BP 720
EP 728
DI 10.1017/dmp.2017.21
PG 9
(SSCI)
GA FS6AF
UT WOS:000419879600014
PM 28659220
OA Green Published, Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Chelariu, OE
Iatu, C
Minea, I
AF Chelariu, Oana-Elena
Iatu, Corneliu
Minea, Ionut
TI A GIS-Based Model for Flood Shelter Locations and Pedestrian Evacuation
Scenarios in a Rural Mountain Catchment in Romania
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE flood hazard; spatial analysis; evacuation; vulnerability; shelter
location
ID RISK-MANAGEMENT; STRATEGIES; DISASTERS; ROUTES
AB Shelter and evacuation-route planning represents the core of safe and efficient
flood management. The methodology detailed in the present study includes an
analysis of the suitability of areas for evacuation points, as well as an
assessment of the degree of accessibility of those points during evacuation
scenarios in small mountainous drainage basins. The analysis is based on water
distribution and water-flow increase during the historic 2010 flooding of the
Sucevit,a basin, when the discharge increased in merely 40 min. The proposed model
considers the viability of pedestrian evacuation of the local population, as well
as the degree of accessibility of nearby evacuation points. Thus, according to the
results obtained for the mountain-based locality, 91.68% of the vulnerable
population can be evacuated in 30 min, while 8.32% of the inhabitants require up to
54 min to reach an evacuation point. In the case of Marginea, located in a plateau
area, the population under analysis can reach one of the evacuation points in
approximately 36 min. The present study can support the implementation of non-
structural flood management measures and decrease casualties through evacuation
optimization.
C1 [Chelariu, Oana-Elena; Iatu, Corneliu; Minea, Ionut] Alexandru Ioan Cuza Univ,
Fac Geog & Geol, Dept Geog, Iasi 700505, Romania.
C3 Alexandru Ioan Cuza University
RP Chelariu, OE; Minea, I (corresponding author), Alexandru Ioan Cuza Univ, Fac
Geog & Geol, Dept Geog, Iasi 700505, Romania.
EM oana.chelariu@uaic.ro; ionutminea1979@yahoo.com
RI Chelariu, Oana-Elena/GVU-4572-2022; Minea, Ionut/AAC-7564-2020;
Chelariu, Oana Elena/O-4753-2016
OI Minea, Ionut/0000-0002-4866-6421; Chelariu, Oana
Elena/0000-0003-4468-0688
FU Ministry of Research, Innovation and Digitisation, CNCS/CCCDI-UEFISCDI
within PNCDI III [PN-III-P1-1.1-PD-2019-0577]
FX This work was supported by a grant of the Ministry of Research,
Innovation and Digitisation, CNCS/CCCDI-UEFISCDI, project number
PN-III-P1-1.1-PD-2019-0577, within PNCDI III.
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NR 56
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 8
U2 15
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD OCT
PY 2022
VL 14
IS 19
AR 3074
DI 10.3390/w14193074
PG 18
GA 5G7XJ
UT WOS:000867206900001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Yang, H
Morgul, EF
Ozbay, K
Xie, K
AF Yang, Hong
Morgul, Ender Faruk
Ozbay, Kaan
Xie, Kun
TI Modeling Evacuation Behavior Under Hurricane Conditions
SO TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH RECORD
LA English
DT Article
AB The understanding of evacuation behavior is critical to establishing policies,
procedures, and organizational structure for an effective response to emergencies.
This study specifically investigated the evacuation behavioral responses under
hurricane conditions. The study aimed to explore the association between
contributing factors and the evacuation decision choices as well as evacuation
destination choices. Unlike previous studies that modeled each response behavior
separately, this study proposed to use the structural equation modeling approach to
examine the interrelationship between response behaviors. A case study was
performed with the data set from a survey conducted in New Jersey. With Bayesian
estimation approaches, the proposed structural equation models were estimated, and
the effect of each predictive variable was captured. An important finding is that
individuals' preference to evacuate did not significantly affect their choices of
evacuation destinations. In addition, other socioeconomic and demographic
characteristics that affected evacuation behavior were identified.
C1 [Yang, Hong] Old Dominion Univ, Dept Modeling Simulat & Visualizat Engn,
Transportat Res Inst, Frank Batten Coll Engn & Technol, 4700 Elkhorn Ave, Norfolk,
VA 23529 USA.
[Morgul, Ender Faruk; Ozbay, Kaan; Xie, Kun] NYU, Dept Civil & Urban Engn, Ctr
Urban Sci & Progress, Tandon Sch Engn,MetroTech Ctr 1, 19th Floor, Brooklyn, NY
11201 USA.
C3 Old Dominion University; New York University; New York University Tandon
School of Engineering
RP Yang, H (corresponding author), Old Dominion Univ, Dept Modeling Simulat &
Visualizat Engn, Transportat Res Inst, Frank Batten Coll Engn & Technol, 4700
Elkhorn Ave, Norfolk, VA 23529 USA.
EM hyang@odu.edu
RI Xie, Kun/HPI-2333-2023
OI Yang, Hong/0000-0003-2808-8852; Xie, Kun/0000-0002-8191-2786
FU New Jersey Office of Homeland Security and Preparedness; U.S. Department
of Homeland Security; Region 2 University Research Center at the City
University of New York
FX The survey data used in this study were obtained from a past research
project that was funded by the New Jersey Office of Homeland Security
and Preparedness using Urban Areas Security Initiative grant program
funds from the U.S. Department of Homeland Security. The authors thank
Jon A. Carnegie of the Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center at Rutgers
University for sharing the data. The research presented was partially
funded by the Region 2 University Research Center at the City University
of New York. The authors thank the staff of the Urban Mobility and
Intelligent Transportation Systems Laboratory at New York University for
the modeling support.
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NR 21
TC 22
Z9 23
U1 1
U2 14
PU SAGE PUBLICATIONS INC
PI THOUSAND OAKS
PA 2455 TELLER RD, THOUSAND OAKS, CA 91320 USA
SN 0361-1981
EI 2169-4052
J9 TRANSPORT RES REC
JI Transp. Res. Record
PY 2016
IS 2599
BP 63
EP 69
DI 10.3141/2599-08
PG 7
WC Engineering, Civil; Transportation; Transportation Science & Technology
(SSCI)
SC Engineering; Transportation
GA DR3IN
UT WOS:000379797000009
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Medina, N
Sanchez, A
Vojinovic, Z
AF Medina, Neiler
Sanchez, Arlex
Vojinovic, Zoran
TI Emergency Evacuation Behavior in Small Island Developing States:
Hurricane Irma in Sint Maarten
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE evacuation; predictors of evacuation; hurricanes Irma; binomial logistic
regression; risk management
ID DECISION-MAKING; DISASTERS; MODEL; RISK
AB Disasters triggered by natural hazards are becoming more frequent and more
intense, causing damage to infrastructure and causing loss of life. One way to
reduce disaster risk is by evacuating the hazardous area. However, despite the
amount of literature that exists on evacuation behavior, there is still a lack of
agreement on which variables can be used as predictors for individuals (or
households) to actually evacuate. This lack of agreement can be related to the many
variables that can affect the evacuation decision, from demographics, geographic,
the hazard itself, and also local or cultural differences that may influence
evacuation. Hence, it is essential to analyze and understand these variables based
on the specifics of a case study. This study aims to find the most significant
variables to be used as predictors of evacuation on the island of Sint Maarten,
using data collected after the disaster caused by Hurricane Irma in September 2017.
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property damage, quality of information, number of storeys of the house, and the
vulnerability index are the most significant variables influencing evacuation
decisions on the island. We believe the results of this paper offer a clear view to
risk managers on the island as to which variables are most important in order to
increase evacuation rates on Sint Maarten and to plan more efficiently for future
evacuations. In addition, the variables found in this study have the potential to
be the base information to set up, validate, and calibrate evacuation models.
C1 [Medina, Neiler] Univ Antioquia, Escuela Ambiental Fac Ingn, Calle 67 53-108,
Medellin 050010, Colombia.
[Medina, Neiler] Delft Univ Technol, Dept Biotechnol, Maasweg 9, NL-2629 HZ
Delft, Netherlands.
[Sanchez, Arlex; Vojinovic, Zoran] IHE Delft Inst Water Educ, Dept Environm Engn
& Water Technol, POB 3015, NL-2601 DA Delft, Netherlands.
[Vojinovic, Zoran] Univ Exeter, Coll Engn Math & Phys Sci, Ctr Water Syst,
Exeter EX4 4QF, England.
[Vojinovic, Zoran] Univ Belgrade, Fac Civil Engn, Bulevar Kralja Aleksandra 73,
Belgrade 11000, Serbia.
[Vojinovic, Zoran] Asian Inst Technol, Sch Engn & Technol, POB 4, Klongluang
12120, Pathum Thani, Thailand.
C3 Universidad de Antioquia; Delft University of Technology; IHE Delft
Institute for Water Education; University of Exeter; University of
Belgrade; Asian Institute of Technology
RP Medina, N (corresponding author), Univ Antioquia, Escuela Ambiental Fac Ingn,
Calle 67 53-108, Medellin 050010, Colombia.; Medina, N (corresponding author),
Delft Univ Technol, Dept Biotechnol, Maasweg 9, NL-2629 HZ Delft, Netherlands.
EM neiler.medina@udea.edu.co; a.sanchez@un-ihe.org; z.vojinovic@un-ihe.org
FU European Union [603663, 776866]; Departamento Administrativo de Ciencia,
Tecnologia e Innovacion
FX The research leading to these results has received funding from the
European Union Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2013) under Grant
agreement No. 603663 for the research project PEARL (Preparing for
Extreme and Rare events in coastaL regions), and from the European
Union's Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme under grant
agreement No. 776866 for the research project RECONECT. The study
reflects only the authors' views and the European Union is not liable
for any use that may be made of the information contained herein. In
addition, this work was partially supported by the Colombian government
through the Administrative Department of Science, Technology and
Innovation COLCIENCIAS. (Departamento Administrativo de Ciencia,
Tecnologia e Innovacion) by providing extra funding to a Ph.D.
researcher.
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NR 41
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 0
U2 0
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD JUN 2
PY 2023
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PT J
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Watanabe, T
Regmi, D
AF Thapa, Bhabana
Watanabe, Teiji
Regmi, Dhananjay
TI Flood Assessment and Identification of Emergency Evacuation Routes in
Seti River Basin, Nepal
SO LAND
LA English
DT Article
DE flood inundation map; hydrologic engineering center river analysis
system; unmanned aerial vehicle photogrammetry; evacuation route; flood
hazard; socioeconomic survey; combined approach
ID HEC-RAS; SOCIAL VULNERABILITY; CLIMATE-CHANGE; POSTDISASTER
RESETTLEMENT; NATURAL HAZARDS; AMERICAN-SAMOA; FLASH FLOODS; RISK;
INUNDATION; ADAPTATION
AB Sudden floods frequently occur in the Himalayas under changing climates. Rapid
glacial melt has resulted in the formation of glacial lakes and associated hazards.
This research aimed to (1) identify flood-prone houses, (2) determine pedestrian
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status in the Seti River Basin. Detailed hazard maps were created using field
survey results from unmanned aerial vehicle photogrammetry and the Hydrologic
Engineering Center River Analysis System. Questionnaire, focus-group, and key-
informant surveys helped identify the socioeconomic situation. Inundation maps
revealed that most residents are exposed to future flooding hazards without proper
evacuation routes. Highly impoverished and immigrant households were at the highest
risk in terms of income inequality and migration rate (p < 0.001) and were located
on the riverside. The locations of 455 laborers' houses were significantly
correlated with inundation hazards (p < 0.001). Governmental and associated
agencies must develop adequate plans to relocate low-income households. Group
discussions revealed the need for stronger adaptive capacity-building strategies
for future risk management. Pokhara requires better systematic and scientific land-
use planning strategies to address this issue efficiently. A similar approach that
combines flood modeling, proper evacuation route access, and socioeconomic survey
is suggested for this river basin.
C1 [Thapa, Bhabana] Hokkaido Univ, Grad Sch Environm Sci, Sapporo, Hokkaido
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[Watanabe, Teiji] Hokkaido Univ, Fac Environm Earth Sci, Sapporo, Hokkaido
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[Regmi, Dhananjay] Himalayan Res Ctr, Kathmandu 44600, Nepal.
[Regmi, Dhananjay] Nepal Tourism Board, Kathmandu 44600, Nepal.
C3 Hokkaido University; Hokkaido University
RP Thapa, B (corresponding author), Hokkaido Univ, Grad Sch Environm Sci, Sapporo,
Hokkaido 0600810, Japan.
EM bhabana@ees.hokudai.ac.jp; twata@ees.hokudai.ac.jp; ceo@ntb.org.np
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4, PROCEEDINGS, P1514
NR 117
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 3
U2 13
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-445X
J9 LAND-BASEL
JI Land
PD JAN
PY 2022
VL 11
IS 1
AR 82
DI 10.3390/land11010082
PG 33
WC Environmental Studies
SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology
GA YP8HA
UT WOS:000748859600001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Saunders, ME
Senkbeil, JC
AF Saunders, Michelle E.
Senkbeil, Jason C.
TI Perceptions of hurricane hazards in the mid-Atlantic region
SO METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS
LA English
DT Article
DE tropical cyclones; mid-Atlantic region; hazard perception; hurricane
warning graphics
ID EVACUATION DECISION-MAKING; TROPICAL CYCLONE WINDS; UNITED-STATES;
FLORIDA TOURISTS; LANDFALL; STORM; MODEL; FATALITIES; RESPONSES;
EXPOSURE
AB The mid-Atlantic region of the United States is susceptible to tropical cyclone
hazards. Within the past 15 years this region has experienced Hurricane Isabel in
2003, Hurricane Irene in 2011 and several tropical storms. The region was also
impacted by post-tropical Sandy in 2012. The perception of hurricane hazards among
residents of the mid-Atlantic region has not been directly researched. Furthermore,
there is a lack of research on the comprehension of information from hurricane
warning graphics that influences hazard perception. This research used a total of
eight hypothetical scenarios (four pairs) that varied storm track and storm size to
assess risk perception of hurricane hazards and characteristics. Each scenario was
represented using a four-panelled map featuring the National Hurricane Center's
cone of uncertainty, a new storm surge map and a new damaging wind map created by
the authors. A Qualtrics survey was used to collect responses to questions about
concern for personal harm and evacuation intent. Residents of the region perceived
falling trees, potential for damaging winds and the size of the storm to be the
greatest threats. Scenarios depicting larger storms with track lines that moved
inland were seen as more hazardous, resulting in greater concern and evacuation
intent. Coastal residents showed greater concern about distance from the track for
all scenarios and greater evacuation intent for larger storms compared to inland
residents.
C1 [Saunders, Michelle E.] Univ S Florida, Sch Geosci, 4202 E Fowler Ave,NES 107,
Tampa, FL 33620 USA.
[Senkbeil, Jason C.] Univ Alabama, Dept Geog, Tuscaloosa, AL USA.
C3 State University System of Florida; University of South Florida;
University of Alabama System; University of Alabama Tuscaloosa
RP Saunders, ME (corresponding author), Univ S Florida, Sch Geosci, 4202 E Fowler
Ave,NES 107, Tampa, FL 33620 USA.
EM msaunders1@mail.usf.edu
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NR 42
TC 9
Z9 9
U1 1
U2 22
PU WILEY-BLACKWELL
PI HOBOKEN
SN 1350-4827
EI 1469-8080
J9 METEOROL APPL
JI Meteorol. Appl.
PD JAN
PY 2017
VL 24
IS 1
BP 120
EP 134
DI 10.1002/met.1611
PG 15
WC Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
SC Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
GA EJ4WF
UT WOS:000393217100013
OA Green Published, Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Brown, S
Gargano, LM
Parton, H
Caramanica, K
Farfel, MR
Stellman, SD
Brackbill, RM
AF Brown, Shakara
Gargano, Lisa M.
Parton, Hilary
Caramanica, Kimberly
Farfel, Mark R.
Stellman, Steven D.
Brackbill, Robert M.
TI Hurricane Sandy Evacuation Among World Trade Center Health Registry
Enrollees in New York City
LA English
DT Article
DE disasters; emergency preparedness; community support; 9/11; zone
awareness
ID CENTER DISASTER; RISK-FACTORS; EXPOSURE; PREPAREDNESS; EXPERIENCES;
INJURIES; EVACUEES; HOUSTON; KATRINA
AB Objective Timely evacuation is vital for reducing adverse outcomes during
disasters. This study examined factors associated with evacuation and evacuation
timing during Hurricane Sandy among World Trade Center Health Registry (Registry)
enrollees.
Methods The study sample included 1162 adults who resided in New York City's
evacuation zone A during Hurricane Sandy who completed the Registry's Hurricane
Sandy substudy in 2013. Factors assessed included zone awareness, prior evacuation
experience, community cohesion, emergency preparedness, and poor physical health.
Prevalence estimates and multiple logistic regression models of evacuation at any
time and evacuation before Hurricane Sandy were created.
Results Among respondents who evacuated for Hurricane Sandy (51%), 24% had
evacuated before the storm. In adjusted analyses, those more likely to evacuate
knew they resided in an evacuation zone, had evacuated during Hurricane Irene, or
reported pre-Sandy community cohesion. Evacuation was less likely among those who
reported being prepared for an emergency. For evacuation timing, evacuation before
Hurricane Sandy was less likely among those with pets and those who reported 14 or
more poor physical health days.
Conclusions Higher evacuation rates were observed for respondents seemingly more
informed and who lived in neighborhoods with greater social capital. Improved
disaster messaging that amplifies these factors may increase adherence with
evacuation warnings.
C1 [Brown, Shakara] New York City Dept Hlth & Mental Hyg, Bur Epidemiol Serv, Long
Isl City, NY 11101 USA.
[Gargano, Lisa M.; Caramanica, Kimberly; Farfel, Mark R.; Stellman, Steven D.;
Brackbill, Robert M.] New York City Dept Hlth & Mental Hyg, World Trade Ctr Hlth
Registry, Long Isl City, NY 11101 USA.
[Parton, Hilary] New York City Dept Hlth & Mental Hyg, Bur Communicable Dis,
Long Isl City, NY 11101 USA.
[Stellman, Steven D.] Columbia Univ, Mailman Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol, New
York, NY USA.
C3 New York City Department of Health & Mental Hygiene; New York City
Department of Health & Mental Hygiene; New York City Department of
Health & Mental Hygiene; Columbia University
RP Brown, S (corresponding author), New York City Dept Hlth & Mental Hyg, Bur HIV,
Field Serv Unit, 42-09 28th St, Long Isl City, NY 11101 USA.
EM sbrown25@health.nyc.gov
RI Stellman, Steven/HOF-9687-2023
FU National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) of the
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) [5U50/OH009739,
1E11/OH009630]; Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry
(ATSDR), CDC [U50/ATU272750]; Impact of Hurricane Sandy on Morbidity and
Mortality in NYC, from the CDC [TP000585-01]; NYC DOHMH; National Center
for Environmental Health, CDC
FX This study was supported by Cooperative Agreement Numbers 5U50/OH009739
and 1E11/OH009630 from the National Institute for Occupational Safety
and Health (NIOSH) of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
(CDC); U50/ATU272750 from the Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease
Registry (ATSDR), CDC, which included support from the National Center
for Environmental Health, CDC; TP000585-01-Impact of Hurricane Sandy on
Morbidity and Mortality in NYC, from the CDC; and by the NYC DOHMH. Its
contents are solely the responsibility of the authors and do not
necessarily represent the official views of the CDC.
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NR 33
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 0
U2 9
PI NEW YORK
SN 1935-7893
EI 1938-744X
PD JUN
PY 2016
VL 10
IS 3
SI SI
BP 411
EP 419
DI 10.1017/dmp.2016.57
PG 9
(SSCI)
GA DQ3VD
UT WOS:000379130700016
PM 27098725
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Yusuf, JE
Whytlaw, JL
Hutton, N
Olanrewaju-Lasisi, T
Giles, B
Lawsure, K
Behr, J
Diaz, R
McLeod, G
AF Yusuf, Juita-Elena (Wie)
Whytlaw, Jennifer L. L.
Hutton, Nicole
Olanrewaju-Lasisi, Taiwo
Giles, Bridget
Lawsure, Kaleen
Behr, Joshua
Diaz, Rafael
McLeod, George
TI Evacuation behavior of households facing compound hurricane-pandemic
threats
SO PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION REVIEW
LA English
DT Article; Early Access
ID DECISION-MAKING; COVID-19; HEALTH; MODEL
AB This study examines households' prospective evacuation behavior during a
hurricane-pandemic compound threat. Data from a 2020 survey of coastal Virginia
households help answer two questions: (1) What factors associated with the threat
and impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and hurricanes influence the prospective
evacuation behavior of households during a compound hurricane-pandemic event? (2)
What are the equity implications for emergency management policies and practices to
support evacuation and sheltering during a compound hurricane-pandemic event?
Households in the sample were split between those who stated they would evacuate
away from the at-risk region and those who would stay. Greater household
vulnerability to hurricanes and COVID-19 and having sufficient financial resources
increase the likelihood of evacuation. Higher-income households were more likely to
have resources to evacuate and were less likely to suffer financial consequences
from a hurricane or pandemic. Racial minorities are more vulnerable to the pandemic
and face greater resource challenges when evacuating.
C1 [Yusuf, Juita-Elena (Wie)] Old Dominion Univ, Sch Publ Serv, 2137 Constant Hall,
Norfolk, VA 23529 USA.
[Whytlaw, Jennifer L. L.; Hutton, Nicole] Old Dominion Univ, Dept Polit Sci &
Geog, Norfolk, VA USA.
[Olanrewaju-Lasisi, Taiwo] Carnegie Mellon Univ Lib, Community Data Literacy,
Pittsburgh, PA USA.
[Giles, Bridget; Lawsure, Kaleen; Behr, Joshua; Diaz, Rafael] Old Dominion Univ,
Virginia Modeling Anal & Simulat Ctr, Suffolk, VA USA.
[McLeod, George] Old Dominion Univ, Ctr Geospatial Sci Educ & Analyt, Norfolk,
VA USA.
C3 Old Dominion University; Old Dominion University; Carnegie Mellon
University; Old Dominion University; Old Dominion University
RP Yusuf, JE (corresponding author), Old Dominion Univ, Sch Publ Serv, 2137
Constant Hall, Norfolk, VA 23529 USA.
EM jyusuf@odu.edu; jwhytlaw@odu.edu; nhuttons@odu.edu;
tlasisi@andrew.cmu.edu; bgiles@odu.edu; klawsure@odu.edu; jbehr@odu.edu;
rdiaz@odu.edu; gmcleod@odu.edu
RI ; Yusuf, Juita-Elena/F-6482-2011
OI Whytlaw, Jennifer/0000-0002-1612-8805; Yusuf,
Juita-Elena/0000-0003-3599-1417; Diaz, Rafael/0000-0002-8637-5967; Behr,
Joshua/0000-0002-0472-3068
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NR 51
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 3
U2 3
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 0033-3352
EI 1540-6210
J9 PUBLIC ADMIN REV
JI Public Adm. Rev.
PD 2023 APR 24
PY 2023
DI 10.1111/puar.13634
EA APR 2023
PG 16
GA E3TY1
UT WOS:000974815300001
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Lindell, MK
Sorensen, JH
Baker, EJ
Lehman, WP
AF Lindell, Michael K.
Sorensen, John H.
Baker, Earl J.
Lehman, William P.
TI Community response to hurricane threat: Estimates of household
evacuation preparation time distributions
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane evacuation models; Preparation time distributions;
Mobilization time distributions; Departure delay time distributions;
Social milling
ID TRAVEL DEMAND MODEL; DECISION-MAKING; COMMUNICATION; PREDICTION;
SIMULATION
AB Household evacuation preparation time distributions are essential when computing
evacuation time estimates (ETEs) for hurricanes with late intensification or late
changing tracks. Although evacuation preparation times have been assessed by
expected task completion times, actual task completion times, and departure delays,
it is unknown if these methods produce similar results. Consequently, this study
compares data from one survey assessing expected task completion times, three
surveys assessing actual task completion times, and three surveys assessing
departure delays after receiving a warning. In addition, this study seeks to
identify variables that predict household evacuation preparation times. These
analyses show that the three methods of assessing evacuation preparation times
produce results that are somewhat different, but the differences have plausible
explanations. Household evacuation preparation times are poorly predicted by
demographic variables, but are better predicted by variables that predict
evacuation decisions-perceived storm characteristics, expected personal impacts,
and evacuation facilitators.
C1 [Lindell, Michael K.] Univ Washington, Dept Urban Design & Planning, Box 355740,
Seattle, WA 98195 USA.
[Sorensen, John H.] Oak Ridge Natl Lab, Oak Ridge, TN 37831 USA.
[Baker, Earl J.] Hazards Management Grp, Tallahassee, FL 32309 USA.
[Lehman, William P.] US Army Corps Engineers Hydrol Engn Ctr, Davis, CA 95616
USA.
C3 University of Washington; University of Washington Seattle; United
States Department of Energy (DOE); Oak Ridge National Laboratory
RP Lindell, MK (corresponding author), Univ Washington, Dept Urban Design &
Planning, Box 355740, Seattle, WA 98195 USA.
EM mlindell@uw.edu; jhsorensen1@charter.net; hazgroup@comcast.net;
William.P.Lehman@usace.army.mil
FU US Army Corps of Engineers Sacramento District [W91238-16-P-0072];
National Science Foundation [CMMI-1760766, CMMI-1826455]
FX This material is based upon work supported by the US Army Corps of
Engineers Sacramento District under Contract W91238-16-P-0072 and the
National Science Foundation under Grants CMMI-1760766 and CMMI-1826455.
Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in
this material are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect
the views of the funding organizations.
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NR 46
TC 15
Z9 16
U1 3
U2 16
PI OXFORD
SN 1361-9209
PD AUG
PY 2020
VL 85
AR 102457
DI 10.1016/j.trd.2020.102457
PG 10
Technology
(SSCI)
GA MY6HF
UT WOS:000558515200029
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Little, M
Stone, T
Stone, R
Burns, J
Reeves, J
Cullen, P
Humble, I
Finn, E
Aitken, P
Elcock, M
Gillard, N
AF Little, Mark
Stone, Theona
Stone, Richard
Burns, Jan
Reeves, Jim
Cullen, Paul
Humble, Ian
Finn, Emmeline
Aitken, Peter
Elcock, Mark
Gillard, Noel
TI The Evacuation of Cairns Hospitals Due to Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi
SO ACADEMIC EMERGENCY MEDICINE
LA English
DT Article
ID LESSONS
AB ACADEMIC EMERGENCY MEDICINE 2012; 19:10881098 (C) 2012 by the Society for
Academic Emergency Medicine Abstract On February 2, 2011, Tropical Cyclone Yasi,
the largest cyclone to cross the Australian coast and a system the size of
Hurricane Katrina, threatened the city of Cairns. As a result, the Cairns Base
Hospital (CBH) and Cairns Private Hospital (CPH) were both evacuated, the hospitals
were closed, and an alternate emergency medical center was established in a sports
stadium 15 km from the Cairns central business district. This article describes the
events around the evacuation of 356 patients, staff, and relatives to Brisbane
(approximately 1,700 km away by road), closure of the hospitals, and the provision
of a temporary emergency medical center for 28 hours during the height of the
cyclone. Our experience highlights the need for adequate and exercised hospital
evacuation plans; the need for clear command and control with identified decision-
makers; early decision-making on when to evacuate; having good communication
systems with redundancy; ensuring that patients are adequately identified and
tracked and have their medications and notes; ensuring adequate staff, medications,
and oxygen for holding patients; and planning in detail the alternate medical
facility safety and its role, function, and equipment.
C1 [Little, Mark; Stone, Theona; Stone, Richard; Burns, Jan; Reeves, Jim; Cullen,
Paul; Humble, Ian; Finn, Emmeline] Cairns Base Hosp, Dept Emergency Med, Cairns,
Qld, Australia.
[Little, Mark; Aitken, Peter] James Cook Univ, Anton Breinl Ctr Publ Hlth & Trop
Med, Townsville, Qld 4811, Australia.
[Finn, Emmeline] Careflight Med Serv, Robina, Qld, Australia.
[Aitken, Peter] Townsville Hosp, Emergency Dept, Townsville, Qld, Australia.
[Gillard, Noel] Queensland Hlth, Emergency Management Unit, Brisbane, Qld,
Australia.
[Elcock, Mark] Royal Brisbane & Womens Hosp, Dept Emergency Med, Brisbane, Qld,
Australia.
C3 James Cook University; Queensland Health; Royal Brisbane & Women's
Hospital
RP Little, M (corresponding author), Cairns Base Hosp, Dept Emergency Med, Cairns,
Qld, Australia.
EM mark_little@health.qld.gov.au
RI Little, Mark/J-3849-2019
CR Australian Bureau of Statistics, NAT REG PROF CAIRNS
[Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology], TROP CYCL INT
Australian Government Bureau of Meterology, TRACK INT INF SEV TR
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10.1001/archsurg.137.10.1141
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[London Department of Health Emergency Preparedness Division], NHS EM PLANN GUID
20
National Health Service London, 2008, REV 5 LOND HOSP FIR
Noble N, J EMEG MED SERV
Queensland Government, QUEENSL STAT DIS MAN
Serenc M, 2011, AUSTR AVIAT, V4, P60
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Thompson M, FINAL STRAW ARE OUR
U.S. Government Accountability Office, DIS PREP PREL OBS EV
U.S. Government Accountability Office, DIS PREP LIM FED ASS
World Health Organization, HOSP SAF DIS RED RIS
NR 18
TC 11
Z9 11
U1 0
U2 10
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 1069-6563
EI 1553-2712
J9 ACAD EMERG MED
JI Acad. Emerg. Med.
PD SEP
PY 2012
VL 19
IS 9
BP E1088
EP E1098
DI 10.1111/j.1553-2712.2012.01439.x
PG 11
WC Emergency Medicine
SC Emergency Medicine
GA 007EQ
UT WOS:000308872000015
PM 22978739
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Brown, LM
Dosa, DM
Thomas, K
Hyer, K
Feng, ZL
Mor, V
AF Brown, Lisa M.
Dosa, David M.
Thomas, Kali
Hyer, Kathryn
Feng, Zhanlian
Mor, Vincent
TI The Effects of Evacuation on Nursing Home Residents With Dementia
SO AMERICAN JOURNAL OF ALZHEIMERS DISEASE AND OTHER DEMENTIAS
LA English
DT Article
DE Alzheimer's disease; disaster; nursing homes; evacuation; hurricane;
mortality
ID MENTAL-HEALTH; HURRICANE KATRINA; RESILIENCE; LESSONS; RELOCATION;
DISASTERS; EVACUEES; MEMORY; CARE
AB Background: In response to the hurricane-related deaths of nursing home
residents, there has been a steady increase in the number of facilities that
evacuate under storm threat. This study examined the effects of evacuation during
Hurricane Gustav on residents who were cognitively impaired. Methods: Nursing homes
in counties located in the path of Hurricane Gustav were identified. The Minimum
Data Set resident assessment files were merged with the Centers for Medicare
enrollment file to determine date of death for residents in identified facilities.
Difference-in-differences analyses were conducted adjusting for residents'
demographic characteristics and acuity. Results: The dataset included 21,255
residents living in 119 at risk nursing homes over three years of observation.
Relative to the two years before the storm, there was a 2.8 percent increase in
death at 30 days and a 3.9 percent increase in death at 90 days for residents with
severe dementia who evacuated for Hurricane Gustav, controlling for resident
demographics and acuity. Conclusions: The findings of this research reveal the
deleterious effects of evacuation on residents with severe dementia. Interventions
need to be developed and tested to determine the best methods for protecting this
at risk population when there are no other options than to evacuate the facility.
C1 [Brown, Lisa M.; Hyer, Kathryn] Univ S Florida, Sch Aging Studies, Tampa, FL
33612 USA.
[Dosa, David M.] Providence VA Med Ctr, Div Primary Care, Providence, RI USA.
[Dosa, David M.] Brown Univ, Dept Med, Providence, RI 02912 USA.
[Thomas, Kali; Feng, Zhanlian; Mor, Vincent] Brown Univ, Ctr Gerontol &
Healthcare Res, Providence, RI 02912 USA.
C3 State University System of Florida; University of South Florida; US
Department of Veterans Affairs; Veterans Health Administration (VHA);
Providence VA Medical Center; Brown University; Brown University
RP Brown, LM (corresponding author), Univ S Florida, Sch Aging Studies, MHC
1319,13301 Bruce B Downs Blvd, Tampa, FL 33612 USA.
EM lmb@usf.edu
RI Feng, Zhanlian/AAA-8985-2021; Brown, Lisa/G-5980-2014
OI Feng, Zhanlian/0000-0002-5231-6870; Thomas, Kali/0000-0003-3436-2184;
Brown, Lisa/0000-0002-3793-7310
FU National Institutes of Aging [RO1AG030619-01A2]; John A. Hartford
Foundation [2006-0172]
FX The authors disclosed receipt of the following financial support for the
research, authorship, and/or publication of this article: National
Institutes of Aging (RO1AG030619-01A2); John A. Hartford Foundation
(#2006-0172).
CR [Anonymous], ANN LONG TERM CARE
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NURS HOM EM PREP RES
United States Government Accountability Office, 2006, GAO06826 C COMM, P1
NR 44
TC 49
Z9 49
U1 2
U2 16
PI THOUSAND OAKS
SN 1533-3175
EI 1938-2731
J9 AM J ALZHEIMERS DIS
JI Am. J. Alzheimers Dis. Other Dement.
PD SEP
PY 2012
VL 27
IS 6
BP 406
EP 412
DI 10.1177/1533317512454709
PG 7
WC Geriatrics & Gerontology; Clinical Neurology
(SSCI)
SC Geriatrics & Gerontology; Neurosciences & Neurology
GA 995PA
UT WOS:000308021300006
PM 22930698
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Whitehead, JC
AF Whitehead, JC
TI One million dollars per mile? The opportunity costs of Hurricane
evacuation
SO OCEAN & COASTAL MANAGEMENT
LA English
DT Article
AB Emergency managers should balance the benefits and costs of voluntary and
mandatory evacuation orders when issuing orders prior to a hurricane. The only
estimate of hurricane evacuation costs is the often-quoted "one million dollars per
mile" of evacuated coastline. The purpose of this paper is to pursue better
measures of the opportunity costs of hurricane evacuations that depend on storm
intensity, behavior, and population. We model the hurricane evacuation decision of
households using revealed and stated preference methods with data from a survey of
North Carolina residents who experienced 1998s Hurricane Bonnie. We use the
evacuation predictions and estimates of household evacuation costs to estimate the
aggregate opportunity costs of hurricane evacuations. We find that hurricane
evacuation costs for ocean counties in North Carolina range from about $1 million
to $50 million depending on storm intensity and emergency management policy. These
costs are much less than "one million dollars per mile" of evacuated coastline. (C)
2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
C1 Univ N Carolina, Dept Econ & Finance, Wilmington, NC 28403 USA.
C3 University of North Carolina; University of North Carolina Wilmington
RP Whitehead, JC (corresponding author), Univ N Carolina, Dept Econ & Finance, 601
S Coll Rd, Wilmington, NC 28403 USA.
EM whiteheadj@uncwil.edu
RI Whitehead, John/AAF-5051-2020
CR [Anonymous], 1997, HURRICANE ANDREW ETH
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2000, EC EYE STORM 0226, P91
NR 15
TC 71
Z9 71
U1 1
U2 11
PU ELSEVIER SCI LTD
PI OXFORD
SN 0964-5691
J9 OCEAN COAST MANAGE
JI Ocean Coastal Manage.
PD DEC
PY 2003
VL 46
IS 11-12
BP 1069
EP 1083
DI 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2003.11.001
PG 15
WC Oceanography; Water Resources
SC Oceanography; Water Resources
GA 821IQ
UT WOS:000221454100006
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Calgaro, S
Borellini, M
Seni, AHA
Tirzi, MC
Gimo, AMD
Cebola, BR
Putoto, G
Trevisanuto, D
AF Calgaro, Serena
Borellini, Martina
Seni, Amir Hussein Abubacar
Tirzi, Maria Concetta
Gimo, Antonio Marcos Dias
Cebola, Bonifacio Rodriguez
Putoto, Giovanni
Trevisanuto, Daniele
TI Neonatal Intensive Care Unit Evacuation and Care During a Natural
Disaster: The Experience of Cyclone Idai in Beira, Mozambique
SO FRONTIERS IN PEDIATRICS
LA English
DT Article
DE NICU; neonatology; cyclone; natural disaster; Mozambique
ID HURRICANE-KATRINA; LESSONS; NICU
AB Global warming has increased the frequency of natural disasters, such as
cyclones. Mozambique is considered one of the most vulnerable countries to extreme
weather events. Natural disasters particularly affect vulnerable people, including
preterm and critical ill infants of Neonatal Intensive Care Units (NICUs).
Literature on NICU evacuations in the case of a natural disaster has been reported
in high-resource settings, but it is lacking in low-resource settings. On the 14th
of March 2019, a tropical cyclone (Idai) hit Mozambique. This report is a
descriptive analysis of the experience of the NICU evacuation and care during and
after cyclone Idai at Beira Central Hospital, Beira, Mozambique.
C1 [Calgaro, Serena; Borellini, Martina; Trevisanuto, Daniele] Univ Padua, Dept
Womans & Childs Hlth, Padua, Italy.
[Calgaro, Serena; Borellini, Martina; Tirzi, Maria Concetta; Putoto, Giovanni]
Doctors Africa CUAMM, Padua, Italy.
[Seni, Amir Hussein Abubacar; Gimo, Antonio Marcos Dias; Cebola, Bonifacio
Rodriguez] Cent Hosp Beira, Dept Pediat, Beira, Mozambique.
C3 University of Padua
RP Calgaro, S (corresponding author), Univ Padua, Dept Womans & Childs Hlth, Padua,
Italy.; Calgaro, S (corresponding author), Doctors Africa CUAMM, Padua, Italy.
EM serena.calgaro@gmail.com
RI Putoto, Giovanni/ABG-2069-2020
CR Barfield WD, 2017, PEDIATRICS, V139, DOI 10.1542/peds.2017-0507
Barkemeyer BM, 2006, PEDIATRICS, V117, pS369, DOI 10.1542/peds.2006-0099F
Barkemeyer BM, 2011, PEDIATRICS, V128, pS8, DOI 10.1542/peds.2010-3724E
Espiritu M, 2014, PEDIATRICS, V134, pE1662, DOI 10.1542/peds.2014-0936
International Organization for Migration, 2019, 3 INT ORG MIGR
Iwata O, 2017, NEONATOLOGY, V112, P92, DOI 10.1159/000466681
Kouadio IK, 2012, EXPERT REV ANTI-INFE, V10, P95, DOI [10.1586/eri.11.155,
10.1586/ERI.11.155]
NR 7
TC 4
Z9 4
U1 1
U2 5
PU FRONTIERS MEDIA SA
PI LAUSANNE
PA AVENUE DU TRIBUNAL FEDERAL 34, LAUSANNE, CH-1015, SWITZERLAND
SN 2296-2360
J9 FRONT PEDIATR
JI Front. Pediatr.
PD OCT 22
PY 2020
VL 8
AR 584281
DI 10.3389/fped.2020.584281
PG 6
WC Pediatrics
SC Pediatrics
GA OL3MQ
UT WOS:000585246100001
PM 33194918
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wong, SD
Pel, AJ
Shaheen, SA
Chorus, CG
AF Wong, Stephen D.
Pel, Adam J.
Shaheen, Susan A.
Chorus, Caspar G.
TI Fleeing from hurricane Irma: Empirical analysis of evacuation behavior
using discrete choice theory
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuations; Evacuee behavior; Portfolio choice model; Latent class
choice model; Hurricane Irma
ID TRAVEL DEMAND MODEL; DECISION-MAKING; UNDERSTAND; RISK; PREFERENCES;
PERCEPTION; RESPONSES
AB This paper analyzes the observed decision-making behavior of a sample of
individuals impacted by Hurricane Irma in 2017 (n = 645) by applying advanced
methods based in discrete choice theory. Our first contribution is identifying
population segments with distinct behavior by constructing a latent class choice
model for the choice whether to evacuate or not. We find two latent segments
distinguished by demographics and risk perception that tend to be either
evacuation-keen or evacuation-reluctant and respond differently to mandatory
evacuation orders.
Evacuees subsequently face a multi-dimensional choice composed of concurrent
decisions of their departure day, departure time of day, destination, shelter type,
transportation mode, and route. While these concurrent decisions are often analyzed
in isolation, our second contribution is the development of a portfolio choice
model (PCM), which captures decision-dimensional dependency (if present) without
requiring choices to be correlated or sequential. A PCM reframes the choice set as
a bundle of concurrent decision dimensions, allowing for flexible and simple
parameter estimation. Estimated models reveal subtle yet intuitive relations,
creating new policy implications based on dimensional variables, secondary
interactions, demographics, and risk-perception variables. For example, we find
joint preferences for early-nighttime evacuations (i.e., evacuations more than
three days before landfall and between 6:00 pm to 5:59 am) and early-highway
evacuations (i.e., evacuations more than three days before landfall and on a route
composed of at least 50% highways). These results indicate that transportation
agencies should have the capabilities and resources to manage significant nighttime
traffic along highways well before hurricane landfall.
C1 [Wong, Stephen D.; Shaheen, Susan A.] Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Civil & Environm
Engn, 109 McLaughlin Hall, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA.
[Pel, Adam J.] Delft Univ Technol, Fac Civil Engn & Geosci, Bldg 23,Stevinweg 1,
Delft, Netherlands.
[Wong, Stephen D.; Shaheen, Susan A.] Univ Calif Berkeley, Transportat
Sustainabil Res Ctr, 408 McLaughlin Hall, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA.
[Chorus, Caspar G.] Delft Univ Technol, Fac Technol Policy & Management, Bldg
31,Jaffalaan 5, Delft, Netherlands.
C3 University of California System; University of California Berkeley;
Delft University of Technology; University of California System;
University of California Berkeley; Delft University of Technology
RP Wong, SD (corresponding author), Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Civil & Environm
Engn, 109 McLaughlin Hall, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA.; Wong, SD (corresponding
author), Univ Calif Berkeley, Transportat Sustainabil Res Ctr, 408 McLaughlin Hall,
Berkeley, CA 94720 USA.
EM stephen.wong@berkeley.edu; a.j.pel@tudelft.nl; sshaheen@berkeley.edu;
C.G.Chorus@tudelft.nl
RI Chorus, Caspar/K-6667-2012
OI Wong, Stephen/0000-0002-3638-3651
FU National Science Foundation Graduate Research Opportunities Worldwide
(GROW) Fellowship [2015206632]
FX This study was made possible through funding received from the National
Science Foundation Graduate Research Opportunities Worldwide (GROW)
Fellowship (Fellow ID: 2015206632). The opportunity to explore this
topic was also made possible by the Graduate Research Fellowship
Program, which is administered by the National Science Foundation. We
would like to thank the many agencies and community organizations across
Florida for distributing the survey. We would also like to thank Joan L.
Walker for her guidance and assistance in the research design and data
collection. Finally, we would like to thank the two anonymous reviewers
who provided thoughtful comments for improving this paper.
[Anonymous], 2001, EXTENDED DISCRETE CH
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NR 65
TC 30
Z9 30
U1 2
U2 15
PI OXFORD
SN 1361-9209
PD FEB
PY 2020
VL 79
AR 102227
DI 10.1016/j.trd.2020.102227
PG 16
Technology
(SSCI)
GA KR8GQ
UT WOS:000517854400004
OA Green Submitted, Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Reininger, BM
Raja, SA
Carrasco, AS
Chen, ZX
Adams, B
McCormick, J
Rahbar, MH
AF Reininger, Belinda M.
Raja, Sartaj Alam
Carrasco, Ana Sanchez
Chen, Zhongxue
Adams, Barbara
McCormick, Joseph
Rahbar, Mohammad H.
TI Intention to Comply With Mandatory Hurricane Evacuation Orders Among
Persons Living Along a Coastal Area
LA English
DT Article
DE mandatory evacuation; Hispanics; poverty; public health; intention
ID PLANNED BEHAVIOR; KATRINA
AB Objectives: We examined the intention to comply with mandatory hurricane
evacuation orders among respondents living in coastal areas with pronounced poverty
by demographic and location characteristics.
Methods: A 3-county door-to-door survey was conducted with 1 randomly selected
resident per household. Households were selected using a 2-stage cluster sampling
strategy and stratified by county. The final sample included 3088 households in 100
census tracts across 3 counties.
Results: Findings suggest that the majority of residents living in areas prone
to hurricanes intend to comply with mandatory evacuation orders regardless of
income level. Variation in intention to comply with mandatory evacuation orders is
shown by age, gender, ethnicity, education, acculturation, county, and distance
from shoreline.
Conclusions: The demonstrated high intention to comply with evacuation orders in
impoverished areas suggests a need for improved planning to evacuate the most
vulnerable residents. Demographic and location characteristics associated with
decreased intention to comply may be considered for targeting messages and
education before disasters to modifying intentions and plans to evacuate.
C1 [Reininger, Belinda M.; McCormick, Joseph] Univ Texas Brownsville, Sch Publ
Hlth, Harlingen, TX USA.
[Raja, Sartaj Alam; Carrasco, Ana Sanchez; Chen, Zhongxue; Rahbar, Mohammad H.]
Univ Texas Houston, Sch Publ Hlth, Harlingen, TX USA.
[Adams, Barbara] Texas Dept State Hlth Serv, Harlingen, TX USA.
C3 University of Texas System; University of Texas Rio Grande Valley;
University of Texas System; University of Texas Health Science Center
Houston; Texas Department of State Health Services
RP Reininger, BM (corresponding author), UT Sch Publ Hlth Brownsville, 80 Ft
Brown,SPH Bldg, Brownsville, TX 78520 USA.
EM Belinda.M.Reininger@uth.tmc.edu
RI Chen, Zhongxue/K-1372-2013
OI Chen, Zhongxue/0000-0003-2537-7843; McCormick,
Joseph/0000-0002-5844-8102
FU Texas Department of State Health Services (DSHS) [2008-027641]; Center
for Clinical and Translational Sciences; National Institutes of Health
Clinical and Translational Award by the National Center for Research
Resources [UL1 RR024148]
FX This work was financially supported by the Texas Department of State
Health Services (DSHS) 90 #2008-027641 and the Center for Clinical and
Translational Sciences funded by National Institutes of Health Clinical
and Translational Award UL1 RR024148 funded by the National Center for
Research Resources.
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OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Bernardini, G
Quagliarini, E
AF Bernardini, Gabriele
Quagliarini, Enrico
TI How to Account for the Human Motion to Improve Flood Risk Assessment in
Urban Areas
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE flood risk assessment; flood evacuation; evacuation modelling;
behavioral design; urban built environment at risk; human motion in
floodwaters
ID HAZARD RISK; EVACUATION; SIMULATION; RESILIENCE; PERCEPTION; MODEL;
RIVER
AB Floods are critical disasters affecting urban areas and their users.
Interactions with floodwater spreading and built environment features influence the
users' reaction to the emergency, especially during immediate disaster phases
(i.e., evacuation). Recent studies tried to define simulation models to evaluate
such exposure-related criticalities, assess individuals' flood risk, and propose
risk-mitigation strategies aimed at supporting the community's proper response.
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minimum motion constraint conditions to extend their applicability depending on the
individuals' characteristics. Speed data from previous experiments are organized
using linear regression models. Results confirm how individuals' speed reduces when
depth and age increase. The most significant models are discussed to be implemented
in evacuation simulation models to describe the evacuees' motion in floodwaters
with different confidence degree levels and then assess the community's flood risk
and risk-reduction strategies effectiveness.
C1 [Bernardini, Gabriele; Quagliarini, Enrico] Univ Politecn Marche, Dept Construct
Civil Engn & Architecture, Via Brecce Bianche, I-60131 Ancona, Italy.
C3 Marche Polytechnic University
RP Bernardini, G (corresponding author), Univ Politecn Marche, Dept Construct Civil
Engn & Architecture, Via Brecce Bianche, I-60131 Ancona, Italy.
EM g.bernardini@univpm.it; e.quagliarini@staff.univpm.it
RI Bernardini, Gabriele/S-6283-2017
OI Bernardini, Gabriele/0000-0002-7381-4537; quagliarini,
enrico/0000-0002-1091-8929
FU scientific project "Building Resilience to Flood Impact Deriving from
Global Warming in Europe (BRIDGE)"; Polytechnic University of Marche
FX This research was funded by the scientific project "Building Resilience
to Flood Impact Deriving from Global Warming in Europe (BRIDGE)" funded
by the Polytechnic University of Marche internal program 2017/2018.
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PU MDPI
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J9 WATER-SUI
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GA MU8KA
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DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
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Li, ZL
Cutter, SL
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Li, Zhenlong
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SO INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DIGITAL EARTH
LA English
DT Article
DE Big data; disaster management; evacuation; social media; social distance
ID HURRICANE EVACUATION
AB Evacuation is an effective and commonly taken strategy to minimize death and
injuries from an incoming hurricane. For decades, interdisciplinary research has
contributed to a better understanding of evacuation behavior. Evacuation
destination choice modeling is an essential step for hurricane evacuation
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C1 [Jiang, Yuqin; Li, Zhenlong] Univ South Carolina, Dept Geog, Geoinformat & Big
Data Res Lab, Columbia, SC 29208 USA.
[Cutter, Susan L.] Univ South Carolina, Dept Geog, Hazards & Vulnerabil Res
Inst, Columbia, SC 29208 USA.
Columbia; University of South Carolina System; University of South
Carolina Columbia
RP Jiang, YQ (corresponding author), Univ South Carolina, Dept Geog, Geoinformat &
Big Data Res Lab, Columbia, SC 29208 USA.
EM yuqin@email.sc.edu
RI Li, Zhenlong/M-1065-2017; Cutter, Susan/R-8849-2019
OI Li, Zhenlong/0000-0002-8938-5466; Cutter, Susan/0000-0002-7005-8596;
Jiang, Yuqin/0000-0003-0632-624X
FU Office of the Vice President for Research, University of South Carolina
[13540-19-49772]; National Science Foundation (NSF) [2028791]
FX The research is supported by Office of the Vice President for Research,
University of South Carolina [grant number 13540-19-49772] and National
Science Foundation (NSF) [grant number 2028791].
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DA 2023-08-12
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PT J
AU Irsyad, HAW
Hitoshi, N
AF Irsyad, Hutama A. W.
Hitoshi, Nakamura
TI Flood disaster evacuation route choice in Indonesian urban riverbank
kampong: Exploring the role of individual characteristics, path risk
elements, and path network configuration
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuation route choice; Informal settlement; Human -centered
evacuation; Space syntax; Riverbank kampung; Evacuation simulation with
video
ID EMERGENCY EVACUATION; INFORMAL SETTLEMENTS; GENDER-DIFFERENCES;
CLIMATE-CHANGE; KNOWLEDGE; CITY; RESILIENCE; REDUCTION; DESIGN;
VULNERABILITY
AB Emergency evacuation is regarded as the most important disaster response action
for protecting human life from potentially lethal threats. Despite growing research
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realized and negotiated surrounding environment for evacuation path route choice.
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method based on a qualitative research approach, which included (1) walking
evacuation simulation with video analysis to understand the informality practices
and kampong's space setting, (2) an analysis of dweller's narrative experience
collected from walking interviews, (3) computational path network configuration
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evacuation routes differently based on their individual capacity, the safety
performance of path design, and path network characteristics in accommodating the
safest travel. When juxtaposing space syntax results with walking evacuation
simulation, the individual evacuation route choice is highly related to space
syntax measures (normalized angular choice at local radii), implying that the
majority of residents still prefer to walk on the straightest route (the route with
the least angular deviation) to reach the assembly/exit points. Furthermore, this
research demonstrates that not all residents have the same capabilities to walk on
the straightest evacuation route due to physical capacity and limitation that
relates to gender and ages differences in negotiating path risk elements. The use
of mixed method approaches provided a practical insight into emphasizing the human-
centered perspective in planning an effective flood emergency evacuation for
informal riverbank settlements through spatial design, planning, that respect
vulnerable groups.
C1 [Irsyad, Hutama A. W.] Shibaura Inst Technol, Grad Sch Engn & Sci, 307 Fukasaku
Minuma ku, Saitama 3378570, Japan.
[Hitoshi, Nakamura] Shibaura Inst Technol, Dept Planning Architecture & Environm
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C3 Shibaura Institute of Technology; Shibaura Institute of Technology
RP Irsyad, HAW (corresponding author), Shibaura Inst Technol, Grad Sch Engn & Sci,
307 Fukasaku Minuma ku, Saitama 3378570, Japan.
EM na21101@sic.shibaura-it.ac.jp; nakamu-h@shibaura-it.ac.jp
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NR 111
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 12
U2 18
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD OCT 15
PY 2022
VL 81
AR 103275
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.103275
EA SEP 2022
PG 23
Water Resources
GA 5J2WR
UT WOS:000868906300005
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Robinson, RM
Khattak, A
AF Robinson, R. Michael
Khattak, Asad
TI Evacuee Route Choice Decisions in a Dynamic Hurricane Evacuation Context
LA English
DT Article
ID BEHAVIOR; MODEL
AB Very high traffic volumes may lead to extensive congestion during hurricane
evacuations. Evacuation planners reduce this congestion by careful planning for
multiple hurricane scenarios and assignment of evacuation routes and timing. This
planning may be for naught if obstructions block key roadways. An advanced traveler
information system (ATIS) may be used to guide evacuees to alternate routes, but
how effective will that guidance be? Should the use of alternate routes be
encouraged? How are drivers likely to respond to delays and information? Will
information shorten or improve the reliability of travel times in emergency
conditions? Integration of a dynamic evacuation simulation and a decision-making
model (representative of the decisions made by potential hurricane evacuees when
provided with information on downstream traffic congestion and alternate routes)
can help emergency planners prepare for the unexpected. Advance modeling of likely
accident locations and the severity can forecast the effects of alternate route
use, help determine the best locations and timing of alternate route information,
and support decision making. This study integrated an evacuee route choice decision
model and a mesoscopic evacuation transportation simulation for southeastern
Virginia. Study results show how the effects of ATIS can be tested in advance, thus
allowing more comprehensive planning by emergency management and transportation
professionals. Simulations of ATIS' effectiveness in evacuation scenarios have been
largely unexplored. Methods presented can be applied in a variety of evacuation
scenarios and may be of particular value to emergency planners.
C1 [Robinson, R. Michael] Old Dominion Univ, Virginia Modeling Anal & Simulat Ctr,
Suffolk, VA 23435 USA.
[Khattak, Asad] Old Dominion Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Norfolk, VA 23529
USA.
C3 Old Dominion University; Old Dominion University
RP Robinson, RM (corresponding author), Old Dominion Univ, Virginia Modeling Anal &
Simulat Ctr, 1030 Univ Blvd, Suffolk, VA 23435 USA.
EM RMRobins@odu.edu
RI Khattak, Asad J./J-3340-2014
OI Khattak, Asad J./0000-0002-0790-7794
FU Virginia Modeling, Analysis, and Simulation Center (VMASC); Old Dominion
University (ODU) Transportation Research Institute
FX The support provided by the Virginia Modeling, Analysis, and Simulation
Center (VMASC) and the Old Dominion University (ODU) Transportation
Research Institute is appreciated.
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NR 23
TC 10
Z9 11
U1 1
U2 25
PI THOUSAND OAKS
SN 0361-1981
EI 2169-4052
PY 2012
IS 2312
BP 141
EP 149
DI 10.3141/2312-15
PG 9
GA 084PO
UT WOS:000314551800016
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Gehlot, H
Sadri, AM
Ukkusuri, SV
AF Gehlot, Hemant
Sadri, Arif M.
Ukkusuri, Satish V.
TI Joint modeling of evacuation departure and travel times in hurricanes
SO TRANSPORTATION
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane evacuation; Departure time; Travel time; Joint modelling;
Social networks
ID MOBILIZATION TIME; CHOICE; UNDERSTAND; IMPACT
AB Hurricanes are costly natural disasters periodically faced by households in
coastal and to some extent, inland areas. A detailed understanding of evacuation
behavior is fundamental to the development of efficient emergency plans. Once a
household decides to evacuate, a key behavioral issue is the time at which
individuals depart to reach their destination. An accurate estimation of evacuation
departure time is useful to predict evacuation demand over time and develop
effective evacuation strategies. In addition, the time it takes for evacuees to
reach their preferred destinations is important. A holistic understanding of the
factors that affect travel time is useful to emergency officials in controlling
road traffic and helps in preventing adverse conditions like traffic jams. Past
studies suggest that departure time and travel time can be related. Hence, an
important question arises whether there is an interdependence between evacuation
departure time and travel time? Does departing close to the landfall increases the
possibility of traveling short distances? Are people more likely to depart early
when destined to longer distances? In this study, we present a model to jointly
estimate departure and travel times during hurricane evacuations. Empirical results
underscore the importance of accommodating an inter-relationship among these
dimensions of evacuation behavior. This paper also attempts to empirically
investigate the influence of social ties of individuals on joint estimation of
evacuation departure and travel times. Survey data from Hurricane Sandy is used for
computing empirical results. Results indicate significant role of social networks
in addition to other key factors on evacuation departure and travel times during
hurricanes.
C1 [Gehlot, Hemant; Ukkusuri, Satish V.] Purdue Univ, Lyles Sch Civil Engn, W
[Sadri, Arif M.] Florida Int Univ, Moss Sch Construct Infrastruct & Sustainabil,
Miami, FL 33199 USA.
Lafayette Campus; State University System of Florida; Florida
International University
EM hgehlot@purdue.edu; asadri@fiu.edu; sukkusur@purdue.edu
OI Sadri, Arif Mohaimin/0000-0001-5571-6741; Ukkusuri,
Satish/0000-0001-8754-9925
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NR 61
TC 22
Z9 22
U1 0
U2 16
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 0049-4488
EI 1572-9435
J9 TRANSPORTATION
JI Transportation
PD DEC
PY 2019
VL 46
IS 6
SI SI
BP 2419
EP 2440
DI 10.1007/s11116-018-9958-4
PG 22
(SSCI)
GA JN2UA
UT WOS:000496754800021
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Desai, SP
Gordon, J
Harris, CA
AF Desai, Samir P.
Gordon, Jimmy
Harris, Curtis Andrew
TI The Economic Impact of Hurricane Evacuations on a Coastal Georgia
Hospital: A Case Study
SO FRONTIERS IN PUBLIC HEALTH
LA English
DT Article
DE hospital evacuation; coastal hospital; costs; vulnerable populations;
economic impact of hurricanes hurricane evacuation
ID LESSONS
AB Coastal hospitals are often faced with the challenging decision to either
evacuate or shelter-in-place in anticipation of a hurricane predicted to make
landfall. The costs associated with hospital evacuation not only include
transportation of patients to inland areas, but also the loss of revenue due to
interruption of regular operations and the cost of potential damage to the
hospital's infrastructure. Financial data provided by Memorial Health University
Medical Center (MUMC, Savannah, Georgia) such as average inpatient and outpatient
revenues, personnel wages, and transportation costs, were used to estimate the
potential economic impact of hurricane evacuations on a coastal hospital. The
results indicate that even prior to the arrival of tropical storm force winds, the
hospital will incur an estimated total expenditure of approximately $9.5 million
which includes evacuation expenses and loss of revenue due to disruption of regular
services. In case the hurricane makes landfall, revenue losses will continue to
accumulate until the hospital is able to resume regular operations. The cost of
relocating patients back to MUMC after the hurricane event and the cost of any
hurricane-related damage to the hospital infrastructure must also be taken into
consideration. In conclusion, even though hospital evacuation for hurricanes may be
unavoidable in certain circumstances, the financial burden placed upon the hospital
may be mitigated to a certain extent by forward planning, infrastructure upgrades,
and the rapid resumption of regular hospital hospital function.
C1 [Desai, Samir P.; Harris, Curtis Andrew] Univ Georgia, Inst Disaster Management,
Coll Publ Hlth, Athens, GA 30602 USA.
[Gordon, Jimmy] Mem Hlth Univ Med Ctr, 4700 Waters Ave, Savannah, GA 31404 USA.
C3 University System of Georgia; University of Georgia
RP Desai, SP (corresponding author), Univ Georgia, Inst Disaster Management, Coll
Publ Hlth, Athens, GA 30602 USA.
EM dsamir0l@outlook.com
CR [Anonymous], 2016, ATLANTIC OCEANOGRA
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Simmons A., 2005, HLTH CTR HELP KATRIN
0
10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2003.11.001
NR 18
TC 2
Z9 3
U1 1
U2 6
PI LAUSANNE
SN 2296-2565
J9 FRONT PUBLIC HEALTH
JI Front. Public Health
PD JUN 11
PY 2019
VL 7
AR 149
DI 10.3389/fpubh.2019.00149
PG 6
(SSCI)
GA IE9AV
UT WOS:000472666900001
PM 31245347
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Islam, S
Parr, S
Prazenica, R
Liu, DH
Namilae, S
AF Islam, Sabique
Parr, Scott
Prazenica, Richard
Liu, Dahai
Namilae, Sirish
TI Predictive modelling of fuel shortages during hurricane evacuation: An
epidemiological approach
SO IET INTELLIGENT TRANSPORT SYSTEMS
LA English
DT Article
ID FILTERS
AB High-volume evacuations, disruptions to the supply chain, and fuel hoarding from
non-evacuees have led to localized fuel shortages lasting several days during
recent hurricanes. While news reports mention fuel shortages in past hurricanes,
the crowdsource platform Gasbuddy has quantified the fuel shortages in the recent
hurricanes. The analysis of this fuel shortage data suggested fuel shortages
exhibited characteristics of an epidemic. Here, a Susceptible- Infected-Recovered
(SIR) epidemic model is developed to study the evolution of fuel shortage during a
hurricane evacuation. Additionally, we apply optimal control theory to identify an
effective intervention strategy. The study found a linear correlation between
traffic demand during the evacuation of Hurricane Irma and the resulting fuel
shortage data. This correlation is used in conjunction with the Statewide Regional
Evacuation Study Program (SRESP) surveys to estimate the evacuation traffic and
fuel shortages for potential hurricanes affecting south Florida. Results indicate
that evacuation of Miami-Dade County in the event of a Category-3 hurricane
landfall in the region, could lead to fuel shortages in up to 90% of the local
refuelling stations. The model indicates that this reduces to 28% by providing
relief to 75% of the gas stations during the first two days of the evacuation.
C1 [Islam, Sabique; Prazenica, Richard; Namilae, Sirish] Embry Riddle Aeronaut
Univ, Dept Aerosp Engn, 1 Aerosp Blvd, Daytona Beach, FL 32114 USA.
[Parr, Scott] Embry Riddle Aeronaut Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Daytona Beach, FL
USA.
[Liu, Dahai] Embry Riddle Aeronaut Univ, Coll Aviat, Daytona Beach, FL USA.
C3 Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University; Embry-Riddle Aeronautical
University; Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University
RP Namilae, S (corresponding author), Embry Riddle Aeronaut Univ, Dept Aerosp Engn,
1 Aerosp Blvd, Daytona Beach, FL 32114 USA.
EM namilaes@erau.edu
FU Department of Transportation, Center for Advanced Transportation
Mobility, NC AT University
FX Department of Transportation, Center for Advanced Transportation
Mobility, NC A&T University
CR [Anonymous], 2018, US CENSUS BUREAU QUI
Baker E., 2010, STATEWIDE REGIONAL E, V2
Bliss L., 2017, WHY FLORIDA RAN OUT
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Dong S, 2018, PHYSICA A, V492, P10, DOI 10.1016/j.physa.2017.09.077
6988(2002)3:1(12)
Downs P., 2010, STATEWIDE REGIONAL E, V3
FDOT, 2018, HURR IRM EFF FLOR FU
Federal Emergency Management Agency, 2018, 2017 HURR SEAS FEMA
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Gao L, 2016, SCI REP-UK, V6, DOI 10.1038/srep38220
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Kalman Rudolf E., 1960, J BASIC ENG-T ASME, V82, P35
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Lewis F. L., 2012, OPTIMAL CONTROL
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Li J, 2015, NAT HAZARDS REV, V16, DOI 10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000154
9488(2007)133:1(18)
National Hurricane Center, 2017, IRM GRAPH ACH 5 DAY
Sabet MT, 2014, OCEAN ENG, V91, P329, DOI 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2014.09.013
Sider A., 2017, GASBUDDY APP SCORES
Sprague DA, 2017, PLOS ONE, V12, DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0180802
Towers S, 2015, PLOS ONE, V10, DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0129179
Watts DJ, 2007, J CONSUM RES, V34, P441, DOI 10.1086/518527
Wolshon B, 2008, TRANSPORT RES REC, P38, DOI 10.3141/2041-05
Yang K, 2015, KYBERNETES, V44, P475, DOI 10.1108/K-05-2014-0103
Yang W, 2014, PLOS COMPUT BIOL, V10, DOI 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003583
NR 36
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 1
U2 4
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 1751-956X
EI 1751-9578
J9 IET INTELL TRANSP SY
JI IET Intell. Transp. Syst.
PD AUG
PY 2021
VL 15
IS 8
BP 1064
EP 1075
DI 10.1049/itr2.12083
EA JUN 2021
PG 12
WC Engineering, Electrical & Electronic; Transportation Science &
Technology
GA TD5UK
UT WOS:000658741300001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Blanchard, G
Dosa, D
AF Blanchard, Gary
Dosa, David
TI A Comparison of the Nursing Home Evacuation Experience Between
Hurricanes Katrina (2005) and Gustav (2008)
SO JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MEDICAL DIRECTORS ASSOCIATION
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane disasters; emergency preparedness; evacuation
ID FACILITIES
AB Background: One of the tragic legacies of Hurricane Katrina was the loss of life
among Louisiana (LA) nursing home (NH) residents. Katrina revealed a staggering
lack of emergency preparation and understanding of how to safely evacuate frail
populations. Three years later, LA braced for Hurricane Gustav, a storm heralded to
rival Katrina's power. Although its magnitude of destruction ultimately paled to
Katrina, the warnings and predicted path preceding Gustav yielded a process of NH
evacuations similar to Katrina. The goal of this article was to ascertain whether
NH administrative directors (ADS) felt more prepared to evacuate before Gustav.
Methods: In 2006, Dosa et al(5) (J Am Med Dir Assoc, 3/07), interviewed 20 NH
ADS by qualitative telephone survey to evaluate their lessons learned from Katrina.
Administrators at these 20 participating nursing homes were contacted and asked to
participate in a follow-up survey to compare hurricane preparedness between 2005
and 2008. Specifically, ADS were asked if they evacuated before Gustav, their
destination, and about logistical issues with evacuation (eg, transportation,
injuries). ADS were asked to rate their confidence with state assistance, hurricane
transportation, and evacuation preparedness on a 10-point scale (10 = most
confident) and compare their preparedness to Katrina.
Results: Sixteen of the 20 NHs that participated in 2006 agreed to be surveyed-
11 of whom held the same position before Katrina. Unlike Katrina, when only 45%
evacuated before the storm, all 16 NHs evacuated before Gustav (56% to another NH
and 46% to a church, gym, college, or other facility). Overall, ADS rated their
confidence in preparedness for Gustav as a mean of 8.3 (range 5 to 10) compared
with a mean of 5.4 (range 3 to 8) for Katrina, a 54% improvement. Of the 11 ADS
employed pre-Katrina, 73% reported improved collaboration with the state and 55%
noted improved transportation. Nevertheless, 7 ADS noted significant logistical
problems during evacuation (mostly transportation); 4 noted resident injuries (2
hip fractures, 1 traumatic fall, and 1 cerebrovascular accident); and 2 noted
resident posttraumatic stress.
Conclusions: NH ADS felt more prepared to evacuate their residents for Gustav,
owing partly to improved communication and collaboration with state agencies;
however, significant morbidity and logistical problems remain with evacuating frail
NH residents before hurricanes. (J Am Med Dir Assoc 2009; 10: 639-643)
C1 [Blanchard, Gary; Dosa, David] Rhode Isl Hosp, Div Geriatr, Providence, RI 02903
USA.
[Blanchard, Gary; Dosa, David] Brown Univ, Dept Med & Community Hlth,
Providence, RI 02912 USA.
[Dosa, David] Providence VA Med Ctr, Providence, RI USA.
[Dosa, David] Brown Univ, Ctr Gerontol & Hlth Care Res, Providence, RI 02912
USA.
C3 Lifespan Health Rhode Island; Rhode Island Hospital; Brown University;
US Department of Veterans Affairs; Veterans Health Administration (VHA);
Providence VA Medical Center; Brown University
RP Dosa, D (corresponding author), Rhode Isl Hosp, Div Geriatr, 593 Eddy St,APC
424, Providence, RI 02903 USA.
EM david_dosa@brown.edu
FU National Institutes of Health [R01-AG030619]
FX This study was funded by National Institutes of Health grant
R01-AG030619.
CR ANDERSON E, 2008, TIMES PICAYUNE 0831
[Anonymous], ANN LONG TERM CARE
Cefalu CA, 2009, J AM MED DIR ASSOC, V10, P76, DOI 10.1016/j.jamda.2008.09.004
HARRIS G, 2005, NY TIMES 0907
HULL A, 2005, WASHINGTON POST 0923, pA1
Langford Terri, 2005, HOUSTON CHRONIC 0927, pA1
Report No.:OEI-06-06-00020, 2006, OEI060600020 OFF INS
ROOT ED, 2007, AHRQ PUBLICATION
2008, TROPICAL WEATHER SUM
NR 13
TC 37
Z9 37
U1 1
U2 16
PU ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
PI NEW YORK
PA 360 PARK AVE SOUTH, NEW YORK, NY 10010-1710 USA
SN 1525-8610
EI 1538-9375
J9 J AM MED DIR ASSOC
JI J. Am. Med. Dir. Assoc.
PD NOV
PY 2009
VL 10
IS 9
BP 639
EP 643
DI 10.1016/j.jamda.2009.06.010
PG 5
WC Geriatrics & Gerontology
SC Geriatrics & Gerontology
GA 524NQ
UT WOS:000272150400010
PM 19883887
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zhu, Y
Li, H
Wang, ZH
Li, QH
Dou, Z
Xie, W
Zhang, ZR
Wang, RJ
Nie, W
AF Zhu, Yang
Li, Hong
Wang, Zhenhao
Li, Qihang
Dou, Zhan
Xie, Wei
Zhang, Zhongrong
Wang, Renjie
Nie, Wen
TI Optimal Evacuation Route Planning of Urban Personnel at Different Risk
Levels of Flood Disasters Based on the Improved 3D Dijkstra's Algorithm
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE Dijkstra's algorithm; shelter selection; evacuation time; road factor;
optimal evacuation route
ID DAM; DISTANCE; DENSITY; CHOICE
AB In the event of a flood, the choice of evacuation routes is vital for personnel
security. This is particularly true when road factors play an important role in
evacuation time. In this study, the traditional Dijkstra algorithm for route
planning is improved, and the evacuation model is improved from 2D to 3D. At the
same time, the Lasso regression method is adopted to take the road factors into
account in the pedestrian speed, and the location of shelter is selected and
optimized through the calculation results, and then based on the improved 3D
Dijkstra's algorithm, an optimal evacuation route method in different flood
disasters risk levels is proposed, which can make pedestrians reach the shelters
within the shortest time. After taking into account road factors (road width,
slope, non-motorized lane width, and pedestrian density), through the calculation
of the pedestrian speed formula, the estimated evacuation time of pedestrians is
obtained. By combining available shelters with evacuation routes, the optimized
algorithm improves the evacuation efficiency facing different risk levels of flood
disasters. The results show that when residents are confronted with flood disasters
of once-in-20-year, once-in-50-year, and once-in-100-year, the proposed
optimization algorithm can save 7.59%, 11.78%, and 17.78% of the evacuation time.
Finally, according to the verification of the actual effect in Meishan Town, the
proposed method of optimal evacuation route planning can effectively reduce the
evacuation time of pedestrians, evaluate, and optimize the location of existing
shelter, and provide suggestions for urban road reconstruction.
C1 [Zhu, Yang; Zhang, Zhongrong; Wang, Renjie] Lanzhou Jiaotong Univ, Sch Math &
Phys, Lanzhou 730070, Peoples R China.
[Zhu, Yang; Li, Hong; Wang, Zhenhao; Xie, Wei; Nie, Wen] Chinese Acad Sci,
Quanzhou Inst Equipment Mfg, Haixi Inst, Quanzhou 362000, Peoples R China.
[Li, Hong] Fuzhou Univ, Sch Adv Mfg, Jinjiang 362200, Peoples R China.
[Li, Qihang; Nie, Wen] Jiangxi Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Resources & Environm
Engn, Ganzhou 341000, Peoples R China.
[Dou, Zhan] Beijing Univ Chem Technol, Coll Mech & Elect Engn, Dept Safety Engn,
Beijing 100029, Peoples R China.
[Nie, Wen] State Key Lab Safety & Hlth Met Mines, Maanshan 243000, Peoples R
China.
C3 Lanzhou Jiaotong University; Chinese Academy of Sciences; Fuzhou
University; Jiangxi University of Science & Technology; Beijing
University of Chemical Technology
RP Zhang, ZR (corresponding author), Lanzhou Jiaotong Univ, Sch Math & Phys,
Lanzhou 730070, Peoples R China.; Nie, W (corresponding author), Chinese Acad Sci,
Quanzhou Inst Equipment Mfg, Haixi Inst, Quanzhou 362000, Peoples R China.; Nie, W
(corresponding author), Jiangxi Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Resources & Environm Engn,
Ganzhou 341000, Peoples R China.; Nie, W (corresponding author), State Key Lab
Safety & Hlth Met Mines, Maanshan 243000, Peoples R China.
EM zhangzhr2021@126.com; wen.nie@vip.tom.com
RI Li, Hong/C-4643-2008
OI Li, Hong/0000-0002-8659-086X; Xie, Wei/0000-0001-5689-2157; Li,
Qihang/0000-0002-1303-2621; zhang, zhongrong/0000-0002-8176-7144; Zhu,
Yang/0000-0002-6888-8865
FU Major Science and Technology Projects of Anhui Province
[202003a0702002]; National Key Research and Development Program of China
[2021YFC3001304]
FX This research was funded by theMajor Science and Technology Projects of
Anhui Province (No. 202003a0702002), and the National Key Research and
Development Program of China (2021YFC3001304).
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NR 41
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 7
U2 18
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
JI Sustainability
PD AUG
PY 2022
VL 14
IS 16
AR 10250
DI 10.3390/su141610250
PG 17
(SSCI)
GA 4A7FS
UT WOS:000845262900001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Lin, ZY
Hu, SB
Zhou, TZ
Zhong, YX
Zhu, Y
Shi, L
Lin, H
AF Lin, Zhiyu
Hu, Shengbin
Zhou, Tianzhong
Zhong, Youxin
Zhu, Ye
Shi, Lei
Lin, Hang
TI Numerical Simulation of Flood Intrusion Process under Malfunction of
Flood Retaining Facilities in Complex Subway Stations
SO BUILDINGS
LA English
DT Article
DE subway station; flood disaster prevention; VOF model; flood flow;
computational fluid dynamics
ID EVACUATION; RESILIENCE; DYNAMICS
AB In recent years, heavy rain and waterlogging accidents in subway stations have
occurred many times around the world. With the comprehensive development trend of
underground space, the accidents caused by flood flow intruding complex subway
stations and other underground complexes in extreme precipitation disasters will be
lead to more serious casualties and property damage. Therefore, it is necessary to
conduct numerical simulation of flood intrusion process under malfunction of flood
retaining facilities in complex subway stations. In order to prevent floods from
intruding subway stations and explore coping strategies, in this study, the
simulation method was used to study the entire process of flood intrusion into
complex subway stations when the flood retaining facilities fail in extreme rain
and flood disasters that occur once-in-a-century. The three-dimensional numerical
simulation model was constructed by taking a subway interchange station with a
property development floor in Nanning as a prototype. Based on the Volume of Fluid
(VOF) model method, the inundated area in the subway station during the process of
flood intrusion from the beginning to the basic stability was simulated, and it was
found that the property development floor has serious large-scale water
accumulation under extreme rainfall conditions. Through the dynamic monitoring of
the flood water level depth at important positions such as the entrances of the
evacuation passages, and the analysis of the influence of the design structure and
location distribution of different passages on the personnel evacuation plan, it
was found that the deep water accumulation at the entrances of the narrow, long,
and multi-run emergency safety passages are not conducive to the evacuation of
personnel. Finally, the flow of flood water into the subway tunnel through the
subway station was calculated. The research results provide certain reference and
guidance for the safety design of subway stations under extreme rainfall climatic
conditions.
C1 [Lin, Zhiyu; Lin, Hang] Cent South Univ, Sch Resources & Safety Engn, Changsha
[Hu, Shengbin; Zhou, Tianzhong; Zhong, Youxin; Zhu, Ye; Shi, Lei] Nanning Rail
Transit Co Ltd, Nanning 530028, Peoples R China.
C3 Central South University
RP Lin, H (corresponding author), Cent South Univ, Sch Resources & Safety Engn,
Changsha 410083, Peoples R China.
EM 215511010@csu.edu.cn; hqcsut2000@163.com; zhoutianzhong@nngdjt.com;
zyx@nngdjt.com; zhuye@nngdjt.com; shil@nngdjt.com; hanglin@csu.edu.cn
RI Lin, Hang/E-3318-2013
OI Lin, Hang/0000-0002-5924-5163
FU Science and Technology Hunan Civil Air Defense Research Project
[HNRFKJ-2021-07]; Project (2021) of Study on Flood Disaster Prevention
Model of Nanning Rail Transit; Science and Technology Progress and
Innovation Plan of Hunan Provincial Department of Transportation
[201003, 202120]
FX Science and Technology Hunan Civil Air Defense Research Project
(HNRFKJ-2021-07); Project (2021) of Study on Flood Disaster Prevention
Model of Nanning Rail Transit; Science and Technology Progress and
Innovation Plan of Hunan Provincial Department of Transportation
(201003); Science and Technology Progress and Innovation Plan of Hunan
Provincial Department of Transportation(202120).
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NR 46
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 31
U2 65
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2075-5309
J9 BUILDINGS-BASEL
JI BUILDINGS-BASEL
PD JUN
PY 2022
VL 12
IS 6
AR 853
DI 10.3390/buildings12060853
PG 18
WC Construction & Building Technology; Engineering, Civil
SC Construction & Building Technology; Engineering
GA 2N1DN
UT WOS:000818129000001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Das, S
AF Das, Saudamini
TI Evaluating climate change adaptation through evacuation decisions: a
case study of cyclone management in India
SO CLIMATIC CHANGE
LA English
DT Article
ID HURRICANE; VULNERABILITY; MODEL
AB Adaptations to extreme climatic events like tropical storms are being built into
disaster management by empowering vulnerable communities through activities like
disaster awareness, trainings on rescue measures, provisions of better
infrastructure, and strengthening of societal institutions under the Disaster Risk
Reduction and Disaster Risk Management programs. With increasing threats from
climate change, it is essential that the effectiveness of such measures is
evaluated and limitations are addressed. The State of Odisha in Eastern India had
witnessed nearly 10years of such capacity building for cyclone management when it
was hit by the severe cyclone Phailin in 2013. The public response to the
evacuation order was overwhelming. In some areas, as many as 95% of the residents
evacuated, and they were aware of the precautions to be taken before a storm
strikes whereas some other areas showed as low as 33% evacuation and least interest
in training and capacity building programs and maintenance of critical
infrastructure like cyclone shelters. Analyzing evacuation responses with logistic
regression, social economic issues like unemployment, prevalence of theft, and no
provision for the evacuation of livestock to safety explained the evacuation
failure significantly. In the future, such extreme events are predicted to hit
coastal areas with more intensity due to climate change, and this necessitates that
governments address such socio-economic problems along with cyclone adaptation
programs to make disaster management more effective.
C1 [Das, Saudamini] Inst Econ Growth, Delhi, India.
[Das, Saudamini] Natl Bank Agr & Rural Dev, Dept Econ Anal & Res, Mumbai, India.
RP Das, S (corresponding author), Inst Econ Growth, Delhi, India.; Das, S
(corresponding author), Natl Bank Agr & Rural Dev, Dept Econ Anal & Res, Mumbai,
India.
EM sdas_28@yahoo.co.in
RI Das, Saudamini/R-6956-2019
OI das, saudamini/0000-0002-4070-8447
FU Government of Odisha
FX This study was undertaken under the Government Of India-United Nations
Development Programme project "Enhancing Institutional and Community
Resilience to Disaster and Climate Change" and financial help from the
Government of Odisha is sincerely acknowledged. Sincere thanks go to all
three anonymous reviewers for their excellent suggestions and to Tejal
Johri for efficient research assistance.
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NR 43
TC 13
Z9 13
U1 1
U2 16
PU SPRINGER
PI DORDRECHT
PA VAN GODEWIJCKSTRAAT 30, 3311 GZ DORDRECHT, NETHERLANDS
SN 0165-0009
EI 1573-1480
J9 CLIMATIC CHANGE
JI Clim. Change
PD JAN
PY 2019
VL 152
IS 2
SI SI
BP 291
EP 305
DI 10.1007/s10584-018-2292-1
PG 15
(SSCI)
GA HK2AR
UT WOS:000457710400007
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Xie, K
Ozbay, K
Zhu, Y
Yang, H
AF Xie, Kun
Ozbay, Kaan
Zhu, Yuan
Yang, Hong
TI Evacuation Zone Modeling under Climate Change: A Data-Driven Method
SO JOURNAL OF INFRASTRUCTURE SYSTEMS
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuation zone; Emergency management; Resilience; Random forest;
Hurricane; Climate change
ID RESILIENCE ANALYSIS; NATURAL DISASTERS; HURRICANE; INFRASTRUCTURE;
EARTHQUAKE; AGREEMENT
AB Predetermined evacuation zones can be used to estimate the demand of evacuees,
which is helpful in assessing the resilience of transportation systems in the
presence of natural disasters. Evacuation zones defined based on current road
networks and environmental and demo-economic characteristics of a region cannot
remain the same in the future because long-term climate change such as the rise of
sea level would have major impacts on hurricane-related risks. Traditional methods
for the prediction of future evacuation zones rely heavily on the storm surge
models and could be time-consuming and costly to use. This study develops a novel
grid cell-based data-driven method that can predict future evacuation zones under
climate change without running the expensive storm surge models. The map of
Manhattan, which is the central area of New York City, was uniformly split into 45
x 45 m(2) grid cells as the basic geographical units of analysis. A decision tree
and a random forest were used to capture the relationship between grid cell-
specific features, such as geographical features, evacuation mobility, and demo-
economic features, and current zone categories that could reflect the risk levels
during hurricanes. Tenfold cross validation was used to evaluate model performance
and it was found that the random forest outperformed the decision tree in term of
the accuracy and kappa statistic. The random forest was used to predict the
delineation of evacuation zones in the 2050s and 2090s based on the predicted sea-
level rises and changes of demo-economic features. Compared with the current
zoning, the areas with a need for evacuation are expected to expand in the future.
The proposed method can be used to promptly estimate the future evacuation zones
under different sea-level rise scenarios and can provide the convenience to assess
transportation system resilience in the context of climate change. (c) 2017
American Society of Civil Engineers.
C1 [Xie, Kun; Ozbay, Kaan; Zhu, Yuan] NYU, Dept Civil & Urban Engn, Ctr Urban Sci &
Progress, Brooklyn, NY 11201 USA.
[Yang, Hong] Old Dominion Univ, Dept Modeling Simulat & Visualizat Engn,
C3 New York University; New York University Tandon School of Engineering;
Old Dominion University
RP Xie, K (corresponding author), NYU, Dept Civil & Urban Engn, Ctr Urban Sci &
EM kun.xie@nyu.edu; kaan.ozbay@nyu.edu; yuan.zhu@nyu.edu; hyang@nyu.edu
RI Zhu, Yuan/AAT-8119-2021; Xie, Kun/HPI-2333-2023
OI Yang, Hong/0000-0003-2808-8852; Zhu, Yuan/0000-0002-8133-2941; Xie,
Kun/0000-0002-8191-2786
FU National Science Foundation [1541164]; Direct For Social, Behav &
FX This paper is based on work supported by the National Science Foundation
under Grant 1541164 Critical Resilient Interdependent Infrastructure
Systems and Processes (CRISP): Type 1: Reductionist and Integrative
Approaches to Improve the Resilience of Multi-Scale Interdependent
Critical Infrastructure. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or
recommendations expressed in this material are those of the authors and
do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation.
The authors would like to thank Professor Minghua Zhang and his team
from the State University of New York at Stony Brook for providing the
climate prediction data as a part of the New York State Resiliency
Institute for Storms & Emergencies (NYRISE) project. The authors also
thank the anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments and
suggestions that help improve the paper.
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PU ASCE-AMER SOC CIVIL ENGINEERS
PI RESTON
PA 1801 ALEXANDER BELL DR, RESTON, VA 20191-4400 USA
SN 1076-0342
EI 1943-555X
J9 J INFRASTRUCT SYST
JI J. Infrastruct. Syst.
PD DEC
PY 2017
VL 23
IS 4
AR 04017013
DI 10.1061/(ASCE)IS.1943-555X.0000369
PG 9
WC Engineering, Civil
(SSCI)
SC Engineering
GA FQ5RN
UT WOS:000418418700011
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Younes, H
Darzi, A
Zhang, L
AF Younes, Hannah
Darzi, Aref
Zhang, Lei
TI How effective are evacuation orders? An analysis of decision making
among vulnerable populations in Florida during hurricane Irma
SO TRAVEL BEHAVIOUR AND SOCIETY
LA English
DT Article
DE Passively collected location-based services data; Natural disasters;
Evacuations; Vulnerable populations
ID NATURAL DISASTERS; BEHAVIOR
AB Natural disasters preparedness measures are of paramount importance in reducing
fatalities, economic tolls, and health concerns for vulnerable populations. One
such preparedness measure that policymakers can take is issuing an evacuation
order. Our study focuses on vulnerable populations including people in low lying
areas, flood evacuation zones, low income communities, sparsely populated areas,
and in manufactured or mobile homes. We analyze the evacuation decision and
distance of over 170,000 individuals using passively collected location-based
service (LBS) data in Florida before, during and after Hurricane Irma. We control
for evacuation order, evacuation order date, and storm path. The results of the
analysis are in line with hurricane evacuation studies using survey data, which
provides validation that using big data can be a reliable and efficient method to
analyze hurricane evacuation decision making. Our major findings are that (1)
individuals issued a mandatory order are far more likely to evacuate than if given
a voluntary order, (2) manufactured and mobile home residents are more likely to
evacuate short distances than site-built home residents but less likely to evacuate
longer distances, (3) people living in low income census tracts were less likely to
evacuate longer distances than those in higher income census tracts and (4)
population, employment and road density were positively associated with decision to
evacuate. The authors recommend that policies and hurricane preparation measures
pay particular attention to less densely populated and low-income regions as these
were identified as vulnerable areas that were less likely to evacuate.
C1 [Younes, Hannah] Univ Maryland, Coll Behav & Social Sci, Dept Geog Sci, 2138
Lefrak Hall, College Pk, MD 20742 USA.
[Darzi, Aref] Univ Maryland, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Maryland Transportat
Inst, 1124 Glenn Martin Hall, College Pk, MD 20742 USA.
[Zhang, Lei] Univ Maryland, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Maryland Transportat
Inst, 1173 Glenn Martin Hall, College Pk, MD 20742 USA.
C3 University System of Maryland; University of Maryland College Park;
University System of Maryland; University of Maryland College Park
RP Younes, H (corresponding author), Univ Maryland, Coll Behav & Social Sci, Dept
Geog Sci, 2138 Lefrak Hall, College Pk, MD 20742 USA.
EM hyounes@umd.edu; adarzi@umd.edu; lei@umd.edu
RI Younes, Hannah/AAC-1375-2020
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NR 34
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 2
U2 8
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2214-367X
EI 2214-3688
J9 TRAVEL BEHAV SOC
JI Travel Behav. Soc.
PD OCT
PY 2021
VL 25
BP 144
EP 152
DI 10.1016/j.tbs.2021.07.006
EA JUL 2021
PG 9
WC Transportation
SC Transportation
GA UO5NL
UT WOS:000694742300013
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Yang, K
Davidson, RA
Blanton, B
Colle, B
Dresback, K
Kolar, R
Nozick, LK
Trivedi, J
Wachtendorf, T
AF Yang, Kun
Davidson, Rachel A.
Blanton, Brian
Colle, Brian
Dresback, Kendra
Kolar, Randall
Nozick, Linda K.
Trivedi, Jennifer
Wachtendorf, Tricia
TI Hurricane evacuations in the face of uncertainty: Use of integrated
models to support robust, adaptive, and repeated decision-making
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane; Evacuation; Orders; Planning; Adaptive; Multi-stage
stochastic program
ID PREDICTION; PLANS
AB The evolution of a hurricane-how the track, intensity, forward speed, and
resulting hazard effects on land (strong winds, flooding) develop over its
lifetime-is often highly uncertain. Further, the uncertainty is dynamic because it
is resolved as events unfold until ultimately the storm's evolution is known
completely, and because the ensemble of forecasts changes over time. Emergency
managers recognize these challenges and may engage in some combination of robust,
adaptive, or repeated planning to address them. However, science- and engineering-
based evacuation decision support models typically do not formally incorporate
uncertainty. This article discusses the use of formal modeling to support robust,
adaptive, and repeated decision-making during an impending hurricane. It also
details a case study of Hurricane Isabel (2003) in North Carolina using the
recently introduced Integrated Scenario-based Evacuation (ISE) computational
framework to compare the effects of including each of the three features in the
modeling. Findings suggest that making the evacuation planning robust, adaptive,
and repeated should improve results by reducing both the numbers of people at risk
and unnecessary evacuation orders and travel. The magnitude of those benefits,
however, depends on uncertainty in, and evolution of, the attributes of the
particular hurricane.
C1 [Yang, Kun; Davidson, Rachel A.] Univ Delaware, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
Newark, DE 19716 USA.
[Blanton, Brian] Univ N Carolina, Renaissance Comp Inst, Chapel Hill, NC 27599
USA.
[Colle, Brian] SUNY Stony Brook, Sch Marine & Atmospher Sci, Stony Brook, NY
11794 USA.
[Dresback, Kendra; Kolar, Randall] Univ Oklahoma, Sch Civil Engn & Environm Sci,
[Nozick, Linda K.] Cornell Univ, Sch Civil & Environm Engn, Ithaca, NY 14850
USA.
[Yang, Kun; Davidson, Rachel A.; Trivedi, Jennifer; Wachtendorf, Tricia] Univ
Delaware, Disaster Res Ctr, Newark, DE 19716 USA.
[Wachtendorf, Tricia] Univ Delaware, Dept Sociol & Criminal Justice, Newark, DE
19716 USA.
C3 University of Delaware; University of North Carolina; University of
North Carolina Chapel Hill; State University of New York (SUNY) System;
State University of New York (SUNY) Stony Brook; University of Oklahoma
System; University of Oklahoma - Norman; Cornell University; University
of Delaware; University of Delaware
RP Davidson, RA (corresponding author), Univ Delaware, 360B,DuPont Hall, Newark, DE
19711 USA.
EM rdavidso@udel.edu
OI Davidson, Rachel/0000-0002-6061-5985
FU National Science Foundation [CMMI-1331269]
FX This research was supported in part through the use of Information
Technologies (IT) resources at the University of Delaware, specifically
the high-performance computing resources. The authors also thank the
National Science Foundation (CMMI-1331269) for financial support of this
research. The statements, findings, conclusions are those of the authors
and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science
Foundation or the University of Delaware.
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NR 32
TC 14
Z9 14
U1 1
U2 16
PU ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
PI AMSTERDAM
PA PO BOX 211, 1000 AE AMSTERDAM, NETHERLANDS
SN 2212-4209
PD MAY
PY 2019
VL 36
AR 101093
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101093
PG 10
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA HW2EX
UT WOS:000466496900011
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Martin, Y
Li, ZL
Cutter, SL
AF Martin, Yago
Li, Zhenlong
Cutter, Susan L.
TI Leveraging Twitter to gauge evacuation compliance: Spatiotemporal
analysis of Hurricane Matthew
SO PLOS ONE
LA English
DT Article
ID SOCIAL MEDIA; MODEL; UNDERSTAND; PATTERNS; BEHAVIOR; TIME
AB Hurricane Matthew was the deadliest Atlantic storm since Katrina in 2005 and
prompted one of the largest recent hurricane evacuations along the Southeastern
coast of the United States. The storm and its projected landfall triggered a
massive social media reaction. Using Twitter data, this paper examines the
spatiotemporal variability in social media response and develops a novel approach
to leverage geotagged tweets to assess the evacuation responses of residents. The
approach involves the retrieval of tweets from the Twitter Stream, the creation and
filtering of different datasets, and the statistical and spatial processing and
treatment to extract, plot and map the results. As expected, peak Twitter response
was reached during the pre-impact and preparedness phase, and decreased abruptly
after the passage of the storm. A comparison between two time periods-pre-
evacuation (October 2th-4th) and post-evacuation (October 7th-9 th)-indicates that
54% of Twitter users moved away from the coast to a safer location, with observed
differences by state on the timing of the evacuation. A specific sub-state analysis
of South Carolina illustrated overall compliance with evacuation orders and
detailed information on the timing of departure from the coast as well as the
destination location. These findings advance the use of big data and citizen-as-
sensor approaches for public safety issues, providing an effective and near real-
time alternative for measuring compliance with evacuation orders.
C1 [Li, Zhenlong] Univ South Carolina, Dept Geog, Columbia, SC 29208 USA.
Univ South Carolina, Hazards & Vulnerabil Res Inst, Columbia, SC USA.
Columbia; University of South Carolina System; University of South
Carolina Columbia
RP Li, ZL (corresponding author), Univ South Carolina, Dept Geog, Columbia, SC
29208 USA.
EM zhenlong@sc.edu
RI Cutter, Susan/R-8849-2019; Li, Zhenlong/M-1065-2017
OI Cutter, Susan/0000-0002-7005-8596; Li, Zhenlong/0000-0002-8938-5466;
Martin, Yago/0000-0002-0375-8971
FU University of South Carolina [13540-16-40838]
FX This study was partially funded by the University of South Carolina
through the 2015 SCFloods Research Initiative [grant no.
13540-16-40838]. The first author of this paper wants to express its
gratitude to the Fulbright Program and the Spanish Fulbright Commission
and lberdrola, as sponsoring company, for the educational funding for
the doctoral degree at the University of South Carolina. The funders had
no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to
publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
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NR 75
TC 92
Z9 93
U1 0
U2 24
PU PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE
PI SAN FRANCISCO
PA 1160 BATTERY STREET, STE 100, SAN FRANCISCO, CA 94111 USA
SN 1932-6203
J9 PLOS ONE
JI PLoS One
PD JUL 28
PY 2017
VL 12
IS 7
AR e0181701
DI 10.1371/journal.pone.0181701
PG 22
(SSCI)
GA FC1ED
UT WOS:000406579300023
PM 28753667
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Collins, J
Ersing, R
Polen, A
Saunders, M
Senkbeil, J
AF Collins, Jennifer
Ersing, Robin
Polen, Amy
Saunders, Michelle
Senkbeil, Jason
TI The Effects of Social Connections on Evacuation Decision Making during
Hurricane Irma
LA English
DT Article
ID RESPONSES; NETWORKS; STRESS; RISK; INFORMATION; FORECASTS; LOCATION;
HAZARDS; GUSTAV
AB This study investigates the influence of individuals' social connections in
their decision to either evacuate or not evacuate in the days preceding the
landfall of Hurricane Irma. Using Hurricane Irma in September 2017 as a case study,
a survey was conducted on two groups (those who evacuated and those who did not
evacuate) to assess people's social connections specifically examining three
dimensions: dependability, density, and diversity. These variables, together with
socioeconomic variables (e.g., race/ethnicity, age, education), were considered in
order to better explain the influences on evacuation decision-making. To collect
accurate ephemeral decision-making data from evacuees, the surveys were completed
during the evacuation for those who evacuated and shortly after the passage of
Hurricane Irma for those who did not evacuate. Through statistical analyses, it was
concluded that density and diversity of people's social networks played a
significant role in the decision to evacuate or not, with evacuees having more
dense and diverse relationships. On the other hand, the perceived dependability of
a person's social connections (i.e., their perceived access to resources and
support) did not significantly impact the decision to evacuate for Hurricane Irma.
This study has important implications for adding to the knowledge base on
community-based sustainable disaster preparedness and resilience.
C1 [Collins, Jennifer; Polen, Amy; Saunders, Michelle] Univ S Florida, Sch Geosci,
[Ersing, Robin] Univ S Florida, Sch Publ Affairs, Tampa, FL USA.
[Senkbeil, Jason] Univ Alabama, Dept Geog, Tuscaloosa, AL USA.
University System of Florida; University of South Florida; University of
Alabama System; University of Alabama Tuscaloosa
RP Collins, J (corresponding author), Univ S Florida, Sch Geosci, Tampa, FL 33620
USA.
EM collinsjm@usf.edu
RI Polen, Amy/V-8043-2019
FU University of Colorado Natural Hazards Center - National Science
Foundation [CMMI 1333610]; NSF RAPID [BCS-1760235]
FX We would like to acknowledge the remainder of the USF hurricane team for
their fieldwork including Emily Cerrito, Saurav Chakraborty, Christian
Santiago, Simran Gill, Vikrant Pendharkar, Luwen Wang, Sinjana Kolipaka,
and Brad Perich. We would also like to acknowledge Douglas Lunsford for
his statistical advice in analyzing an aspect of this dataset. This
research was funded in part by a grant from the University of Colorado
Natural Hazards Center through its Quick Response Grant Program, which
is funded by National Science Foundation Grant CMMI 1333610, as well as
a grant from NSF RAPID with (Grant BCS-1760235). Finally, we appreciate
the comments and suggestions from three anonymous reviewers, as well as
the editor of the journal Weather, Climate, and Society.
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NR 56
TC 37
Z9 37
U1 1
U2 16
PI BOSTON
SN 1948-8327
EI 1948-8335
J9 WEATHER CLIM SOC
PD JUL
PY 2018
VL 10
IS 3
BP 459
EP 469
DI 10.1175/WCAS-D-17-0119.1
PG 11
(SSCI)
GA HB3VD
UT WOS:000450978400001
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Hribar, LJ
Leal, AL
AF Hribar, Lawrence J.
Leal, Andrea L.
TI FLORIDA KEYS MOSQUITO CONTROL DISTRICT COMPREHENSIVE HURRICANE PLAN
SO JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MOSQUITO CONTROL ASSOCIATION
LA English
DT Article
DE Disaster; Florida Keys; hurricane; preparedness; plan
ID STORM; SURVEILLANCE; DISEASE
AB The hurricane plan developed by the Florida Keys Mosquito Control District and
approved by vote of the Board of Commissioners is presented. The plan is intended
to facilitate prompt resumption of services after a tropical cyclone (tropical
storm or hurricane) and to give direction and instructions to District staff who
evacuate before a storm makes landfall. Specific procedures are documented for
before and after storms, including communication, preparation of buildings and
vehicles, and evacuation. The need for food and water for staff immediately after a
storm is specifically mentioned in the plan. The plan is composed of five main
sections: general preparedness, Lower Keys procedures, Middle Keys procedures,
Upper Keys procedures, and aerial operations procedures. Also included is a section
covering satellite telephone operation and a list of telephone contacts for local
government and law enforcement agencies. An addendum details the District's policy
for compensation for public emergency response work so all employees are aware of
how they will be paid during the storm recovery period.
C1 [Hribar, Lawrence J.; Leal, Andrea L.] Florida Keys Mosquito Control Dist, 18
Aquamarine Dr, Key West, FL 33040 USA.
RP Hribar, LJ (corresponding author), Florida Keys Mosquito Control Dist, 18
Aquamarine Dr, Key West, FL 33040 USA.
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USDOL [United States Department of Labor], 2016, WAG HOURS WORK MIN W
NR 23
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 0
U2 2
PU AMER MOSQUITO CONTROL ASSOC
PI MOUNT LAUREL
PA 15000 COMMERCE PARKWAY, SUITE C, MOUNT LAUREL, NJ 08054 USA
SN 8756-971X
EI 1943-6270
J9 J AM MOSQUITO CONTR
JI J. Am. Mosq. Control Assoc.
PD JUN
PY 2020
VL 36
IS 2
SU S
BP 103
EP 105
PG 3
WC Entomology
SC Entomology
GA OU9XB
UT WOS:000591875100017
PM 33647134
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Morss, RE
Cuite, CL
Demuth, JL
Hallman, WK
Shwom, RL
AF Morss, Rebecca E.
Cuite, Cara L.
Demuth, Julie L.
Hallman, William K.
Shwom, Rachael L.
TI Is storm surge scary? The influence of hazard, impact, and fear-based
messages and individual differences on responses to hurricane risks in
the USA
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricanes; Storm surge; Flooding; Risk communication; Warnings;
Evacuation
ID SHADOW EVACUATION; FLOOD RISKS; NEW-ORLEANS; COMMUNICATION; PERCEPTION;
INFORMATION; EXPERIENCE; WARNINGS; WEATHER; PEOPLE
AB This article uses data from an online survey-based experiment to investigate how
risk communications and individual differences influence people's responses to
approaching hurricane risks. Survey data were collected from 1716 residents of
coastal areas of the USA affected by Hurricane Sandy. Respondents were randomly
assigned to receive a combination of textual messages about a hypothetical
approaching hurricane, including hazard-based, impact-based, and fear-based
messages. The analysis examines how the experimental messages influenced
respondents' evacuation intentions, risk perceptions, efficacy beliefs, and
perceptions of the information and its source. The influence of non-message
factors, including respondents' actual and perceived geographical exposure to
hurricane-related risks, evacuation planning, and hurricane-related experiences, is
also investigated. The results indicate that the high-impact and fear messages
increased evacuation intentions, risk perceptions, and response efficacy, but the
effects were small. The hazard message manipulations did not significantly
influence most of the dependent variables examined; in particular, neither of the
two storm surge messages tested increased evacuation intentions or risk perceptions
relative to the wind-only or flood message. There were also no significant
differences in message effects among respondents who lived or thought they lived in
areas at higher risk. Further, several individual difference variables examined
influenced evacuation intentions more than the message variations. Overall,
experience evacuating for Sandy was the strongest predictor of evacuation
intentions. These results indicate the importance of designing and evaluating
hazard risk communications in the context of the other messages people are
receiving and the individual differences that influence protective decision making.
C1 [Morss, Rebecca E.; Demuth, Julie L.] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder,
CO 80307 USA.
[Cuite, Cara L.; Hallman, William K.; Shwom, Rachael L.] Rutgers State Univ,
Dept Human Ecol, New Brunswick, NJ USA.
C3 National Center Atmospheric Research (NCAR) - USA; Rutgers State
University New Brunswick
RP Morss, RE (corresponding author), Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder, CO
80307 USA.
EM morss@ucar.edu
RI Hallman, William K/G-3591-2017
OI Hallman, William K/0000-0002-4524-9876
FU NJ Sea Grant Coastal Storm Awareness Program [R/CSAP-1-NJ]; National
Science Foundation
FX We thank Lucas Marxen of the Office of Research Analytics at Rutgers
University for assistance with the GIS analysis and for preparing Fig.
1. This work was supported by the NJ Sea Grant Coastal Storm Awareness
Program, Grant R/CSAP-1-NJ. The National Center for Atmospheric Research
is sponsored by the National Science Foundation.
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NR 104
TC 51
Z9 51
U1 1
U2 30
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD SEP
PY 2018
VL 30
SI SI
BP 44
EP 58
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2018.01.023
PN A
PG 15
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA GP1SA
UT WOS:000440595900006
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Shoji, M
Murata, A
AF Shoji, Masahiro
Murata, Akira
TI Social Capital Encourages Disaster Evacuation: Evidence from a Cyclone
in Bangladesh
SO JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT STUDIES
LA English
DT Article
ID COMMUNITY RESILIENCE; EMPIRICAL-EVIDENCE; TROPICAL CYCLONES; RISK;
RESPONSES; NETWORKS; DETERMINANTS; PREPAREDNESS; FRAMEWORK; RECOVERY
AB An essential responsibility of a government is to reduce disaster mortality of
citizens by encouraging prompt evacuation. Previous studies document that social
capital plays a multifaceted role in facilitating or aggravating evacuation
decisions; however, rigorous empirical evidence from developing countries is
scarce. Using unique survey data collected from cyclone-affected households in
Bangladesh, we examine the association between social capital and the decision to
evacuate. We find that those with higher bonding social capital are more likely to
evacuate, and the effect is even larger among religious minorities. By conducting a
sensitivity test, we confirm that it is implausible to explain these results by
unobserved socio-economic status or cyclone damage. We also disentangle five
potential mechanisms for the positive effect and demonstrate that it is mainly
driven by a reduction in the perceived risk of theft during evacuation. This
suggests that bonding social capital compensates for the lack of a well-functioning
law enforcement system, contributing to our understanding of the interactive roles
of communities and institutions during natural disaster.
C1 [Shoji, Masahiro] Univ Tokyo, Inst Social Sci, Tokyo, Japan.
[Murata, Akira] Chiba Keizai Univ, Fac Econ, Chiba, Japan.
C3 University of Tokyo
RP Shoji, M (corresponding author), Univ Tokyo, Inst Social Sci, Bunkyo Ku, 7-3-1
Hongo, Tokyo 1130033, Japan.
EM shoji@iss.u-tokyo.ac.jp
FU KAKENHI [16K03657]; Japan Society for the Promotion of Science;
Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research [16K03657] Funding Source: KAKEN
FX This study was financially supported by KAKENHI [grant number 16K03657]
from the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (PI: Masahiro
Shoji).
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NR 104
TC 4
Z9 4
U1 2
U2 20
PU ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
PI ABINGDON
PA 2-4 PARK SQUARE, MILTON PARK, ABINGDON OX14 4RN, OXON, ENGLAND
SN 0022-0388
EI 1743-9140
J9 J DEV STUD
JI J. Dev. Stud.
PD MAY 4
PY 2021
VL 57
IS 5
BP 790
EP 806
DI 10.1080/00220388.2020.1806245
EA AUG 2020
PG 17
WC Development Studies; Economics
SC Development Studies; Business & Economics
GA RO7KX
UT WOS:000561158400001
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zhu, Y
Ozbay, K
Xie, K
Yang, H
Morgul, EF
AF Zhu, Yuan
Ozbay, Kaan
Xie, Kun
Yang, Hong
Morgul, Ender Faruk
TI Network Modeling of Hurricane Evacuation Using Data-Driven Demand and
Incident-Induced Capacity Loss Models
SO JOURNAL OF ADVANCED TRANSPORTATION
LA English
DT Article
ID SIMULATION; SYSTEM; DURATION; IMPACT
AB The development of a hurricane evacuation simulation model is a crucial task in
emergency management and planning. Two major issues affect the reliability of an
evacuation model: one is estimations of evacuation traffic based on socioeconomic
characteristics, and the other is capacity change and its influence on evacuation
outcome due to traffic incidents in the context of hurricanes. Both issues can
impact the effectiveness of emergency planning in terms of evacuation order
issuance, and evacuation route planning. The proposed research aims to investigate
the demand and supply modeling in the context of hurricane evacuations. This
methodology created three scenarios for the New York City (NYC) metropolitan area,
including one base and two evacuation scenarios with different levels of traffic
demand and capacity uncertainty. Observed volume data prior to Hurricane Sandy is
collected to model the response curve of the model, and the empirical incident data
under actual evacuation conditions are analyzed and modeled. Then, the modeled
incidents are incorporated into the planning model modified for evacuation.
Simulation results are sampled and compared with observed sensor-based travel times
as well as O-D-based trip times of NYC taxi data. The results show that the
introduction of incident frequency and duration models can significantly improve
the performance of the evacuation model. The results of this approach imply the
importance of traffic incident consideration for hurricane evacuation simulation.
C1 [Zhu, Yuan] Inner Mongolia Univ, Inner Mongolia Ctr Transportat Res, Rm
A357c,Transportat Bldg,Inner Mongolia Univ Sou, Hohhot 010020, Inner Mongolia,
Peoples R China.
[Ozbay, Kaan] New York Univ NYU, Tandon Sch Engn, Dept Civil & Urban Engn,
C2SMART Ctr A Tier 1 USDOT UTC, 15 MetroTech Ctr 6th Floor, Brooklyn, NY 11201 USA.
[Ozbay, Kaan] New York Univ NYU, Tandon Sch Engn, Ctr Urban Sci & Progress CUSP,
15 MetroTech Ctr 6th Floor, Brooklyn, NY 11201 USA.
[Xie, Kun; Yang, Hong] Old Dominion Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 135
Kaufman Hall, Norfolk, VA 23529 USA.
[Morgul, Ender Faruk] Polytechn Inst New York Univ NYU Poly, Apple Inc, Dept
Civil & Urban Engn, New York, NY USA.
C3 Inner Mongolia University; Old Dominion University; Apple Inc
RP Zhu, Y (corresponding author), Inner Mongolia Univ, Inner Mongolia Ctr
Transportat Res, Rm A357c,Transportat Bldg,Inner Mongolia Univ Sou, Hohhot 010020,
Inner Mongolia, Peoples R China.
EM zhuyuan@imu.edu.cn; kaan.ozbay@nyu.edu; kxie@odu.edu; hyang@odu.edu;
enderfaruk@gmail.com
RI Xie, Kun/HPI-2333-2023
OI Xie, Kun/0000-0002-8191-2786; Zhu, Yuan/0000-0002-8133-2941; ozbay,
kaan/0000-0001-7909-6532; Yang, Hong/0000-0003-2808-8852
FU Young Scientists Fund of the National Natural Science Foundation of
China [61903205]; Young Scientists Fund of Natural Science of Inner
Mongolia [2019BS07002]; New York State Resiliency Institute for Storms
AMP; Emergencies (NYSRISE); NSF CRISP; NYU Provost Global Seed Fund
Grants; C2SMART, a Tier 1 UTC at New York University - U.S. Department
of Transportation
FX This study was partially supported by the Young Scientists Fund of the
National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant no. 61903205) and
Young Scientists Fund of Natural Science of Inner Mongolia (Grant no.
2019BS07002). The work was partially funded by New York State Resiliency
Institute for Storms & Emergencies (NYSRISE) and NSF CRISP: Type 1:
Reductionist and Integrative Approaches to Improve the Resiliency of
Multi-Scale Interdependent Critical Infrastructure and the project on A
Decision-Support System for Resilient Transportation Networks funded by
NYU Provost Global Seed Fund Grants. It was also partially supported by
C2SMART, a Tier 1 UTC at New York University funded by U.S. Department
of Transportation. The authors would like to acknowledge TRANSCOM for
providing incident data.
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NR 43
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 7
U2 14
PU WILEY-HINDAWI
PI LONDON
PA ADAM HOUSE, 3RD FL, 1 FITZROY SQ, LONDON, WIT 5HE, ENGLAND
SN 0197-6729
EI 2042-3195
J9 J ADV TRANSPORT
JI J. Adv. Transp.
PD SEP 3
PY 2021
VL 2021
AR 6620254
DI 10.1155/2021/6620254
PG 14
WC Engineering, Civil; Transportation Science & Technology
(SSCI)
GA UP4FV
UT WOS:000695338600003
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Fang, L
Edara, P
AF Fang, Lei
Edara, Praveen
TI Mobility Benefits of Intermediate Crossovers on Contraflow Facilities
During Hurricane Evacuation
LA English
DT Article
AB A contraflow facility, in which the direction of traffic on one or more travel
lanes is reversed to increase outbound capacity, is a major component of hurricane
evacuation plans in many coastal states. Contraflow facilities typically are
implemented when significant evacuation demand is expected (e.g., during a severe
hurricane). Typical contraflow plans have one upstream crossover that routes
vehicles into the contraflow lanes and one downstream crossover that routes
vehicles back into the regular lanes. How can contraflow facilities best be used to
optimize evacuation performance? The impact on mobility of additional intermediate
crossovers between the beginning and termination points of contraflow is
investigated. The proposed heuristic algorithm is the first attempt in the
literature to provide a systematic approach with iterative elimination to determine
the critical intermediate crossover locations that provide maximum improvement in
evacuation performance. Results of a case study of 1-64 in Hampton Roads, Virginia,
indicate that adding intermediate crossovers improves network performance for
medium- and high-demand evacuation situations. For low-demand situations, the
addition of intermediate crossovers does not improve network performance.
Therefore, any consideration of intermediate crossovers for low-demand evacuations
must be solely to provide access to roadside facilities such as gas, food, and
emergency services. For medium- and high-demand situations, the average travel time
improved 28% when four intermediate crossovers of the 44 potential crossover
locations were deployed in the 1-64 corridor.
C1 [Fang, Lei; Edara, Praveen] Univ Missouri, Columbia, MO 65211 USA.
C3 University of Missouri System; University of Missouri Columbia
RP Edara, P (corresponding author), Univ Missouri, E2509 Lafferre Hall, Columbia,
MO 65211 USA.
EM edarap@missouri.edu
OI Edara, Praveen/0000-0003-2707-642X
CR [Anonymous], 2005, CONTR PLAN FLOR INT
[Anonymous], 2011, OFF LOU HURR SURV GU
[Anonymous], 2010, STAT AL HURR EV GUID
[Anonymous], 2008, CIRG HURR EV REST TR
[Anonymous], 2012, HURR EV GUID
BALLARD A, 2006, FHWATX0604962P2 TEX
Collins J, 2008, EVALUATION CONTRAFLO
Dixit VV, 2008, TRANSP RES RECORD, P89, DOI 10.3141/2041-10
Edara P., 2012, 12R VCTIR
Florida Department of Transportation, 2006, CONTR PRACT ASS US R
Florida Department of Transportation, 2006, CONTR IMPL EXP SE CO
Hurricane Season Safety Information, 2009, HURR SEAS SAF INF
LIM YY, 2003, THESIS LOUISIANA STA
Mississippi Department of Transportation, 2012, CONTR PLAN INT HURR
PBS&J, 2007, NEW JERS EV STUD TRA
Texas Department of Transportation, 2012, HURR EV CONTR ROUT
6988(2005)6:3(143), 10.1061/(ASCE)1527-6988(2005)6:3(143)]
NR 20
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 0
U2 6
PI THOUSAND OAKS
SN 0361-1981
EI 2169-4052
PY 2014
IS 2459
BP 37
EP 46
DI 10.3141/2459-05
PG 10
GA CB2YV
UT WOS:000349495300005
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Lu, WK
Wang, F
Liu, L
Hu, GJ
Mao, JN
AF Lu, Weike
Wang, Feng
Liu, Lan
Hu, Guojing
Mao, Jiannan
TI PEDESTRIAN-BUS ROUTE AND PICKUP LOCATION PLANNING FOR EMERGENCY
EVACUATION
SO TRANSPORT
LA English
DT Article
DE emergency evacuation; pedestrian-bus network; pickup location
optimization; bus resource constraint; safety shelters; evacuation
duration tim
ID NETWORK DESIGN; MODEL
AB Planning for a bus-based regional evacuation is essential for emergency
preparedness, especially for hurricane or flood prone urban environments with large
numbers of transit-dependent or transit-captive populations. This paper develops an
optimization-based decision-support model for pedestrian-bus evacuation planning
under bus fleet, pedestrian and bus routes, and network constraints. Aiming to
minimize the evacuation duration time, an optimization model is proposed to
determine the optimal pickup nodes for evacuees to assemble using existing
pedestrian routes, and to allocate available bus fleet via bus routes and urban
road network to transport the assembled evacuees between the pickup nodes and
designated public shelters. The numerical examples with two scenarios based on the
Sioux Falls street network from North Dakota (United States) demonstrates that this
model can be used to optimize the evacuation duration time, the location of pickup
nodes and bus assignment simultaneously.
C1 [Lu, Weike; Liu, Lan; Mao, Jiannan] Southwest Jiaotong Univ, Sch Transportat &
Logist, Chengdu, Peoples R China.
[Wang, Feng] Texas State Univ, Ingram Sch Engn, San Marcos, TX USA.
[Hu, Guojing] Jackson State Univ, Dept Math & Stat Sci, Jackson, MS USA.
C3 Southwest Jiaotong University; Texas State University System; Texas
State University San Marcos; Jackson State University
RP Liu, L (corresponding author), Southwest Jiaotong Univ, Sch Transportat &
Logist, Chengdu, Peoples R China.
EM jianan_l@home.swjtu.edu.cn
RI Mao, jiannan/HSI-3329-2023
FU National Natural Science Foundation of China [61873216]
FX This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of
China (General Program, Grant No 61873216).
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NR 23
TC 2
Z9 3
U1 7
U2 30
PU VILNIUS GEDIMINAS TECH UNIV
PI VILNIUS
PA SAULETEKIO AL 11, VILNIUS, LT-10223, LITHUANIA
SN 1648-4142
EI 1648-3480
J9 TRANSPORT-VILNIUS
JI Transport
PY 2021
VL 36
IS 2
BP 176
EP 184
DI 10.3846/transport.2020.13674
PG 9
SC Transportation
GA SW1TJ
UT WOS:000664303200005
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Shirvani, M
Kesserwani, G
Richmond, P
AF Shirvani, Mohammad
Kesserwani, Georges
Richmond, Paul
TI Agent-based simulator of dynamic flood-people interactions
LA English
DT Article
DE coupled agent-based models; evaluation of flood evacuation and
mitigation strategies; flood risk analysis; human response dynamics
AB This article presents a simulator for the modelling of the two-way interactions
between flooding and people. The simulator links a hydrodynamic model to a
pedestrian model in a single agent-based modelling platform, Flexible Large-scale
Agent Modelling Environment for the Graphical Processing Unit (FLAMEGPU). Dynamic
coupling is achieved by the simultaneous update and exchange of information across
multiple agent types. Behavioural rules and states for the pedestrian agents are
proposed to account for the pedestrians' presence/actions in/to floodwater. These
are based on a commonly used hazard rate (HR) metric to evaluate the risk states of
people in floodwater, and by considering two roles for the pedestrians: evacuees or
responders for action during or before the flood event, respectively. The potential
of the simulator is demonstrated in a case study of a flooded and busy shopping
centre for two scenarios: (a) during a flood evacuation and (b) pre-flood
intervention to deploy a sandbag barrier. The evacuation scenario points to changes
in floodwater hydrodynamics around congested areas, which either worsen (by 5-8%)
or lessen (by 25%) the HR. The intervention scenario demonstrates the utility of
the simulator to select an optimal barrier height and number of responders for safe
and effective deployment. Accompanying details for software accessibility are
provided.
C1 [Shirvani, Mohammad; Kesserwani, Georges] Univ Sheffield, Sheffield City Ctr,
Dept Civil & Struct Engn, Mappin St, Sheffield, S Yorkshire, England.
[Richmond, Paul] Univ Sheffield, Sheffield City Ctr, Dept Comp Sci, Mappin St,
Sheffield, S Yorkshire, England.
C3 N8 Research Partnership; White Rose University Consortium; University of
Sheffield; N8 Research Partnership; White Rose University Consortium;
University of Sheffield
RP Kesserwani, G (corresponding author), Univ Sheffield, Dept Civil & Struct Engn,
Sheffield, S Yorkshire, England.
EM g.kesserwani@sheffield.ac.uk
RI Kesserwani, Georges/C-5213-2014; Shirvani, Mohammad/CAF-1164-2022
OI Kesserwani, Georges/0000-0003-1125-8384; Richmond,
Paul/0000-0002-4657-5518
FU Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council [EP/R007349/1]; EPSRC
[EP/R007349/1] Funding Source: UKRI
FX Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council, Grant/Award Number:
EP/R007349/1
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NR 57
TC 10
Z9 10
U1 5
U2 17
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 1753-318X
PD JUN
PY 2021
VL 14
IS 2
AR e12695
DI 10.1111/jfr3.12695
EA JAN 2021
PG 17
GA RZ3ZW
UT WOS:000608072600001
OA Green Accepted, Green Submitted, gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Kolen, B
van Gelder, PHAJM
AF Kolen, Bas
van Gelder, P. H. A. J. M.
TI Risk-Based Decision-Making for Evacuation in Case of Imminent Threat of
Flooding
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE flood risk; evacuation; probabilistic analysis; cost-benefit-analysis
ID NETHERLANDS; MANAGEMENT; LIFE
AB It is important for decision-makers in emergency response situations to
determine the scope, scale, timing, path and resettlement area of an evacuation
decision when there is an imminent threat of flooding. In this paper, a method
called the "Evacuation Diagram" is described to support risk-based evacuation
planning and decision-making. In case of an imminent threat of flooding, we refer
to the conditional risk, which is the risk given the forecasted water levels and
potential consequences during the next days of the event. Given the threat and
potential costs and benefits, evacuation decisions have to mitigate this
conditional risk. Since evacuation can be costly, decision-makers have to make a
trade-off between costs and benefits. In this research we present a method using a
cost-benefit analysis approach, in which we adopt the "Dutch flood risk approach"
to define the required strength of levees based on flood risk considerations. The
"Evacuation Diagram" method is derived from analytical derivations, based on
differential weighing of costs and benefits, which have an impact on a binary
choice (or a set of discrete choices) as to whether to instruct an area to evacuate
or not. Basically, this is an analysis of behavioural decision-making under risk,
investigating how a cost-benefit analysis can yield higher cost effectiveness in
risk reduction for human lives lost during possible evacuation incidents. The
method is applied to a Dutch case study and the results are compared to the
outcomes of the largest evacuation exercise ever held in the Netherlands, called
'Waterproef'. It is concluded that the risk-based evacuation method, as presented
in this paper, provides useful insight into collective and authoritative evacuation
order decisions.
C1 [Kolen, Bas] HKV Consultants, Elekt Weg 12, NL-2628 XG Delft, Netherlands.
[Kolen, Bas; van Gelder, P. H. A. J. M.] Delft Univ Technol, TU Delft Safety &
Secur Inst, Jaffalaan 5, NL-2628 BX Delft, Netherlands.
[van Gelder, P. H. A. J. M.] Delft Univ Technol, Fac Technol Policy &
Management, Dept Values Technol & Innovat, Sect Safety & Secur Sci, NL-2628 BX
Delft, Netherlands.
C3 Delft University of Technology; Delft University of Technology
RP van Gelder, PHAJM (corresponding author), Delft Univ Technol, TU Delft Safety &
Secur Inst, Jaffalaan 5, NL-2628 BX Delft, Netherlands.; van Gelder, PHAJM
(corresponding author), Delft Univ Technol, Fac Technol Policy & Management, Dept
Values Technol & Innovat, Sect Safety & Secur Sci, NL-2628 BX Delft, Netherlands.
EM B.Kolen@hkv.nl; p.h.a.j.m.vangelder@tudelft.nl
RI van Gelder, Pieter/D-5834-2014
OI van Gelder, Pieter/0000-0002-0001-0351
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NR 65
TC 11
Z9 11
U1 3
U2 7
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD OCT
PY 2018
VL 10
IS 10
AR 1429
DI 10.3390/w10101429
PG 15
(SSCI)
GA HB6UP
UT WOS:000451208400144
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Bhatia, KT
Nolan, DS
Schumacher, AB
Demaria, M
AF Bhatia, Kieran T.
Nolan, David S.
Schumacher, Andrea B.
Demaria, Mark
TI Improving Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts with PRIME
SO WEATHER AND FORECASTING
LA English
DT Article
ID SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE; STATISTICAL EQUILIBRIUM; PREDICTABILITY;
HURRICANE; VARIABILITY; COMBINATION; CALIBRATION; EVACUATION; ENSEMBLES;
SHEAR
AB The Prediction of Intensity Model Error (PRIME) forecasting scheme uses various
large-scale meteorological parameters as well as proxies for initial condition
uncertainty and atmospheric flow stability to provide operational forecasts of
tropical cyclone intensity forecast error. PRIME forecasts of bias and absolute
error are developed for the Logistic Growth Equation Model (LGEM), Decay
Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (DSHP), Hurricane Weather
Research and Forecasting Interpolated Model (HWFI), and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics
Laboratory Interpolated Hurricane Model (GHMI). These forecasts are evaluated in
the Atlantic and east Pacific basins for the 2011-15 hurricane seasons. PRIME is
also trained with retrospective forecasts (R-PRIME) from the 2015 version of each
model. PRIME error forecasts are significantly better than forecasts that use error
climatology for a majority of forecast hours, which raises the question of whether
PRIME could provide more than error guidance. PRIME bias forecasts for each model
are used to modify intensity forecasts, and the corrected forecasts are compared
with the original intensity forecasts. For almost all basins, forecast intervals,
and versions of PRIME, the bias-corrected forecasts achieve significantly lower
errors than the original intensity forecasts. PRIME absolute error and bias
forecasts are also used to create unique ensembles of the four models. These PRIME-
modified ensembles are found to frequently outperform the intensity consensus
(ICON), the equally weighted ensemble of DSHP, LGEM, GHMI, and HWFI.
C1 [Bhatia, Kieran T.; Nolan, David S.] Univ Miami, Rosenstiel Sch Marine &
Atmospher Sci, 4600 Rickenbacker Causeway, Miami, FL 33149 USA.
[Schumacher, Andrea B.] Colorado State Univ, Cooperat Inst Res Atmosphere, Ft
Collins, CO 80523 USA.
[Demaria, Mark] NOAA, Natl Hurricane Ctr, Miami, FL USA.
C3 University of Miami; Colorado State University; National Oceanic
Atmospheric Admin (NOAA) - USA; National Hurricane Center, NOAA
RP Bhatia, KT (corresponding author), Univ Miami, Rosenstiel Sch Marine & Atmospher
Sci, 4600 Rickenbacker Causeway, Miami, FL 33149 USA.
EM kbhatia@princeton.edu
OI Bhatia, Kieran/0000-0003-4613-6395
FU NOAA Joint Hurricane Testbed through Grant [NA13OAR4590188]
FX The authors thank Drs. Andrew Hazelton, Morris Bender, Edward Rappaport,
Christopher Landsea, and Michael Brennan for their suggestions and
comments during the internal review process. The authors also
acknowledge that Fig. 4 was created with plotting tools available online
(ftp://texmex.mit.edu/pub/emanuel/HURR/tracks/readme.pdf). The authors
were supported by the NOAA Joint Hurricane Testbed through Grant
NA13OAR4590188.
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NR 33
TC 11
Z9 11
U1 0
U2 4
PI BOSTON
SN 0882-8156
EI 1520-0434
J9 WEATHER FORECAST
JI Weather Forecast.
PD AUG
PY 2017
VL 32
IS 4
BP 1353
EP 1377
DI 10.1175/WAF-D-17-0009.1
PG 25
GA FE4WJ
UT WOS:000408213700006
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Diaz-Delgado, C
Iniestra, JG
AF Diaz-Delgado, C.
Gaytan Iniestra, J.
TI Flood Risk Assessment in Humanitarian Logistics Process Design
SO JOURNAL OF APPLIED RESEARCH AND TECHNOLOGY
LA English
DT Article
DE flood early warning system; humanitarian logistics; flood risk
assessment; evacuation plan
ID RELIEF
AB This article deals with the relationship between a flood risk assessment and the
humanitarian logistics process design related to emergency events caused by
flooding. The magnitude and timing of the flooding is estimated using a forecasting
model that requires a hydrologic component to convert rainfall into runoff as well
as a hydraulic component to route the flow through the stream network predicting
time and severity of the flood wave. Once these components are known, and with the
intention of mitigating the impact of the flood wave on the population, we provide
the relevant aspects to define humanitarian aid and evacuation plans including
processes and metrics of it. Finally, an example that integrates both methodologies
is included.
C1 [Diaz-Delgado, C.] Univ Autonoma Estado Mexico, Fac Ingn, Ctr Interamer Recursos
Agua, Toluca 50110, Estado De Mexic, Mexico.
[Gaytan Iniestra, J.] Univ Autonoma Estado Mexico, Fac Ingn, Toluca 50110,
Estado De Mexic, Mexico.
RP Diaz-Delgado, C (corresponding author), Univ Autonoma Estado Mexico, Fac Ingn,
Ctr Interamer Recursos Agua, Ciudad Univ S-N, Toluca 50110, Estado De Mexic,
Mexico.
EM cdiazd@uaemex.mx
RI Delgado, Carlos Díaz/B-3306-2016
OI Delgado, Carlos Díaz/0000-0001-6245-070X; Gaytan Iniestra,
Juan/0000-0003-3305-4788
CR [Anonymous], 2005, LOGISTICS SUPPLY CHA
AONbenfield, GLOB CAT REC 2013 IM
Balcik B, 2008, J INTELL TRANSPORT S, V12, P51, DOI 10.1080/15472450802023329
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Sodhi M.S., BUTTRESSING SUPPLY C
NR 27
TC 9
Z9 10
U1 1
U2 43
PU UNIV NACIONAL AUTONOMA MEXICO
PI MEXICO CITY
PA APARTADO POSTAL 70-399, MEXICO CITY, D.F. 21, MEXICO
SN 1665-6423
J9 J APPL RES TECHNOL
JI J. Appl. Res. Technol.
PD OCT
PY 2014
VL 12
IS 5
BP 976
EP 984
DI 10.1016/S1665-6423(14)70604-2
PG 9
GA AS8SD
UT WOS:000344517500016
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Chanson, H
Brown, R
AF Chanson, H.
Brown, R.
TI Turbulence in an inundated urban environment during a major flood:
implications in terms of people evacuation and sediment deposition
SO MECHANICS & INDUSTRY
LA English
DT Article
DE Flooding; urban environment; field data; turbulence; evacuation safety;
sediment
AB Floods through inundated urban environments constitute a hazard to the
population and infrastructure. A series of field measurements were performed in an
inundated section of the City of Brisbane (Australia) during a major flood in
January 2011. Using an acoustic Doppler velocimeter (ADV), detailed velocity and
suspended sediment concentration measurements were conducted about the peak of the
flood. The results are discussed with a focus on the safety of individuals in
floodwaters and the sediment deposition during the flood recession. The force of
the floodwaters in Gardens Point Road was deemed unsafe for individual evacuation.
A comparison with past laboratory results suggested that previous recommendations
could be inappropriate and unsafe in real flood flows.
C1 [Chanson, H.] Univ Queensland, Sch Civil Engn, Brisbane, Qld 4072, Australia.
[Brown, R.] Queensland Univ Technol, Fac Sci & Engn, Brisbane, Qld 4000,
Australia.
C3 University of Queensland; Queensland University of Technology (QUT)
RP Chanson, H (corresponding author), Univ Queensland, Sch Civil Engn, Brisbane,
Qld 4072, Australia.
EM h.chanson@uq.edu.au
RI Chanson, Hubert/A-1194-2008; Brown, Richard J/B-1586-2010
OI Chanson, Hubert/0000-0002-2016-9650; Brown, Richard
J/0000-0002-7772-4862
CR Abt S.R., 1999, AWRA, V25, P881
Asai Y., 2010, J HYDROSCIENCE HYDRA, V28, P15
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7900.0000666
Brown R, 2012, WATER RESOUR RES, V48, DOI 10.1029/2012WR012381
Chanson H, 2011, HOUILLE BLANCHE, P5
Cox R.J., 2004, P 8 NAT C HYDR WAT E, V8
1688.2008.00217.x
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Thieken AH, 2005, WATER RESOUR RES, V41, DOI 10.1029/2005WR004177
Velickovic M., 2011, P 34 WORLD C INT ASS, P3823
NR 12
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 1
U2 14
PU EDP SCIENCES S A
PI LES ULIS CEDEX A
PA 17, AVE DU HOGGAR, PA COURTABOEUF, BP 112, F-91944 LES ULIS CEDEX A,
FRANCE
SN 2257-7777
EI 2257-7750
J9 MECH IND
JI Mech. Ind.
PY 2014
VL 15
IS 2
BP 101
EP 106
DI 10.1051/meca/2014017
PG 6
WC Engineering, Mechanical; Mechanics
SC Engineering; Mechanics
GA AP6UG
UT WOS:000342212700001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Demuth, JL
Morss, RE
Lazo, JK
Trumbo, C
AF Demuth, Julie L.
Morss, Rebecca E.
Lazo, Jeffrey K.
Trumbo, Craig
TI The Effects of Past Hurricane Experiences on Evacuation Intentions
through Risk Perception and Efficacy Beliefs: A Mediation Analysis
LA English
DT Article
ID DECISION-MAKING; PREPAREDNESS; STRATEGIES; RESPONSES; APPEALS
AB Individuals' past experiences with a hazard can encompass many different
aspects, which can influence how they judge and respond to a future hurricane risk.
This study, which utilizes survey data from coastal residents who are at risk from
hurricanes, adds to understanding of past hazard experience in two ways. First, it
examines six different aspects of people's past hurricane experiences and the
relationships among them. Then, it draws on risk theories of behavioral responses
to explore how these different experiences influence people's evacuation intentions
for a hypothetical hurricane as mediated through multiple dimensions of risk
perception (cognitive, negative affective) and efficacy beliefs (self efficacy,
response efficacy). The results suggest that people can experience emotional or
otherwise severe impacts from a hurricane even if they do not have experiences with
evacuation, property damage, or financial loss. The results also reveal that
different past hurricane experiences operated through different combinations of
mediating variables to influence evacuation intentions. Some of these processes
enhanced intentions; for instance, experience with evacuation, financial loss, or
emotional impacts heightened negative affective risk perceptions, which increased
evacuation intentions. Other processes dampened evacuation intentions; for
instance, people with past hurricane-related emotional impacts had lower self
efficacy, which decreased evacuation intentions. In some cases, these enhancing and
dampening processes competed. Exploring people's different past weather experiences
and the mechanisms by which they can influence future behaviors is important for
more deeply understanding populations at risk and how they respond to weather
threats.
C1 [Demuth, Julie L.; Morss, Rebecca E.; Lazo, Jeffrey K.] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res,
POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA.
[Trumbo, Craig] Colorado State Univ, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA.
C3 National Center Atmospheric Research (NCAR) - USA; Colorado State
University
RP Demuth, JL (corresponding author), Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder, CO
80307 USA.
EM jdemuth@ucar.edu
RI Lazo, Jeffrey/AGD-8003-2022
FU National Science Foundation [0838702]; National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration; Direct For Social, Behav & Economic Scie; Divn Of Social
and Economic Sciences [0838702] Funding Source: National Science
Foundation
FX Thank you to three anonymous reviewers and to James Done for helpful
comments on the manuscript. Also, thank you to Betty Morrow, H. Dan
O'Hair, Claude Miller, Matthew Jensen, Ann Bostrom, and members of the
project's Expert Advisory Group for their contributions to the survey
design. This research was supported by National Science Foundation Award
0838702, which was jointly funded by the National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration. Views and opinions in this paper are those
of the authors.
CR [Anonymous], RISK GOVERNANCE COPI
[Anonymous], HLTH RISK SOC
10.1177/028072709100900210
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NR 49
TC 109
Z9 109
U1 1
U2 30
PI BOSTON
PA 45 BEACON ST, BOSTON, MA 02108-3693, UNITED STATES
SN 1948-8327
EI 1948-8335
J9 WEATHER CLIM SOC
PD OCT
PY 2016
VL 8
IS 4
BP 327
EP 344
DI 10.1175/WCAS-D-15-0074.1
PG 18
(SSCI)
GA ED8OJ
UT WOS:000389130500002
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Han, D
Kim, D
Kim, K
Wang, WJ
Jung, J
Kim, HS
AF Han, Daegun
Kim, Deokhwan
Kim, Kyunghun
Wang, Won-Joon
Jung, Jaewon
Kim, Hung Soo
TI Mega Flood Inundation Analysis and the Selection of Optimal Shelters
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE mega rainfall; mega flood; flood inundation map; evacuation shelter
ID MODEL; OPTIMIZATION; CALIBRATION; ALGORITHM
AB In recent decades, extreme storm events due to climate change have frequently
occurred worldwide, a few of which have even occurred consecutively; we class such
rainfall events as mega events. That is to say, if the inter-arrival time between
rainfall events with a 100-year frequency is less than the IETD (Inter-Event Time
Definition), the event can be considered a mega event. Therefore, the aim of this
study was to implement flood inundation analysis using the hypothetical mega event
from two consecutively occurring events of 100-year frequency, and select the
optimal shelters using a developed method for minimizing casualties from floods.
The Gyeongan stream basin, which is a tributary of the Namhan River in Korea, was
selected as the study area. This study calculates mega flood discharge using the
SSARR (Stream Synthesis and Reservoir Regulation) model, and conducts a flood
inundation analysis of mega floods via the level pool method and the HEC-GeoRAS
model. An inundation map was constructed, and the inundated area was classified
into three zones and five administrative districts. Sixteen shelters were selected
as candidates based on the criteria of the local government safety management plans
and the Guidelines for Establishing the Disaster Relief Plan of 2013. To evaluate
the candidates for evacuation in each district, we selected seven evaluation
indicators from the shelter criteria of several countries, and calculated the
weights of the indicators using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) method. As a
result, four optimal shelters were selected in the study area. The results of the
study can be used as the basic information for analyzing mega natural disaster
events and inundation, and for establishing evacuation shelters, which are one of
the non-structural flood protection measures.
C1 [Han, Daegun] Korea Res Inst Climate Change KRIC, Div Climate Policy Res,
Chunchon 24239, South Korea.
[Kim, Deokhwan; Jung, Jaewon] Korea Inst Civil Engn & Bldg Technol KICT, Dept
Hydro Sci & Engn Res, Goyang 10223, South Korea.
[Kim, Kyunghun; Kim, Hung Soo] Inha Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Incheon 22201, South
Korea.
[Wang, Won-Joon] Inha Univ, Dept Smart City Engn, Incheon 22201, South Korea.
C3 Korea Institute of Civil Engineering & Building Technology (KICT); Inha
University; Inha University
RP Kim, HS (corresponding author), Inha Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Incheon 22201, South
Korea.
EM hdg5871@kric.re.kr; kimdeokhwan@kict.re.kr; tgb611@naver.com;
makelest@naver.com; jaewonjung@kict.re.kr; sookim@inha.ac.kr
OI Kim, Hung Soo/0000-0001-8345-0610; Kim, Deokhwan/0000-0002-0968-3827;
Jung, Jaewon/0000-0002-6366-5099; Kim, Kyunghun/0000-0002-1844-502X
FU National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) - Korea government (MSIT)
[2017R1A2B3005695]
FX This research was funded by the National Research Foundation of Korea
(NRF) grant funded by the Korea government (MSIT) (No.
2017R1A2B3005695).
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NR 43
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 4
U2 12
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD APR
PY 2022
VL 14
IS 7
AR 1031
DI 10.3390/w14071031
PG 20
GA 0L0BK
UT WOS:000781150000001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Collins, J
Ersing, R
Polen, A
AF Collins, Jennifer
Ersing, Robin
Polen, Amy
TI Evacuation Decision-Making during Hurricane Matthew: An Assessment of
the Effects of Social Connections
LA English
DT Article
ID NETWORKS; HAZARDS; STRESS; VULNERABILITY; PREPAREDNESS; FORECASTS;
LOCATION; SUPPORT; GUSTAV
AB This study conducted in Florida examines the relationship between an
individual's social connections and their decision to evacuate during a hurricane
warning. Using Hurricane Matthew in 2016 as a case study, a survey was conducted on
two groups (those who evacuated and those who did not), assessing one's social
connections considering three dimensions: dependability, density, and diversity.
These factors, in addition to socioeconomic variables (e.g.,age, race, education),
were used to better define a picture for what influences evacuation decision-
making. To avoid memory decay, the surveys were completed at the time of the
evacuation for those who evacuated and immediately after the passage of Matthew for
those who did not evacuate. It was concluded, through statistical analyses, that
the perceived dependability of a person's social connections (i.e., their perceived
access to resources and support) played a significant role in the decision to
evacuate or not, with non-evacuees having more dependable relationships and having
a tightknit community they can rely on during a storm event. On the other hand, the
density and diversity of peoples' social connections did not significantly impact
the decision to evacuate. This study has important implications for adding to the
knowledge base on community-based sustainable disaster preparedness and resilience.
C1 [Collins, Jennifer; Polen, Amy] Univ S Florida, Sch Geosci, Tampa, FL 33620 USA.
[Ersing, Robin] Univ S Florida, Sch Publ Affairs, Tampa, FL USA.
RP Collins, J (corresponding author), Univ S Florida, Sch Geosci, Tampa, FL 33620
USA.
EM collinsjm@usf.edu
RI Polen, Amy/V-8043-2019
FU University of Colorado Natural Hazards Center through its Quick Response
Grant Program - National Science Foundation [CMMI1030760]
FX We would like to acknowledge the USF hurricane team for their fieldwork
including Michelle Saunders, Daniel Gessman, Christopher Mehta, Emily
Cerrito, Kerri Dickey, Amy Polen, and Saurav Chakraborty. We thank
Michelle Saunders for her help with creating Fig. 2. We would also like
to acknowledge Douglas Lunsford for his statistical advice in analyzing
this dataset. This research was funded in part by a grant from the
University of Colorado Natural Hazards Center through its Quick Response
Grant Program, which is funded by National Science Foundation Grant
Number CMMI1030760.
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TC 26
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U1 1
U2 29
PI BOSTON
SN 1948-8327
EI 1948-8335
J9 WEATHER CLIM SOC
PD OCT
PY 2017
VL 9
IS 4
BP 769
EP 776
DI 10.1175/WCAS-D-17-0047.1
PG 8
(SSCI)
GA FI9EX
UT WOS:000412308500009
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU DeYoung, SE
Wachtendorf, T
Farmer, AK
Penta, SC
AF DeYoung, Sarah E.
Wachtendorf, Tricia
Farmer, Ashley K.
Penta, Samantha C.
TI NOAA Radios and Neighbourhood Networks: Demographic Factors for Channel
Preference for Hurricane Evacuation Information
SO JOURNAL OF CONTINGENCIES AND CRISIS MANAGEMENT
LA English
DT Article
ID CRISIS COMMUNICATION; SOCIAL MEDIA; WARNING INFORMATION; NATURAL
DISASTERS; DECISION-MAKING; RISK PERCEPTION; TRUST; MODEL; PREPAREDNESS;
CREDIBILITY
AB This paper reviews literature on information channel type and disasters, and
presents results on hurricane evacuation information gathering. Results show that
respondents reported they would use television and radio most frequently for
gathering information about hurricane evacuation. Minority respondents reported
more preference of the use of community or local government as information sources
than white respondents, females gathered information from multiple channels more
than males, and younger residents gathered information from multiple channels more
than older respondents. Implications include areas for future research in how
channel utilization occurs during slow onset hazards in predominantly black
communities, how age and gender relate to channel preference, and how channel
preferences affect length of time to make decisions and engage in protective
actions.
C1 [DeYoung, Sarah E.] Univ Georgia, Coll Publ Hlth, Disaster Management Inst Hlth
Policy & Management, Wright Hall Suite 145 & 105,100 Foster Rd, Athens, GA 30602
USA.
[Wachtendorf, Tricia; Farmer, Ashley K.; Penta, Samantha C.] Univ Delaware,
Disaster Res Ctr, 166 Graham Hall, Newark, DE 19716 USA.
C3 University System of Georgia; University of Georgia; University of
Delaware
RP DeYoung, SE (corresponding author), Univ Georgia, Coll Publ Hlth, Disaster
Management Inst Hlth Policy & Management, Wright Hall Suite 145 & 105,100 Foster
Rd, Athens, GA 30602 USA.
EM sedeyoun@udel.edu; twachten@udel.edu; akfarmer@udel.edu; spenta@udel.edu
OI Wachtendorf, Tricia/0000-0002-7771-5069
FU National Science Foundation [1331269, 0826832]; Directorate For
Engineering; Div Of Civil, Mechanical, & Manufact Inn [1331269] Funding
Source: National Science Foundation; Divn Of Social and Economic
Sciences; Direct For Social, Behav & Economic Scie [0826832] Funding
FX This paper is a revised version of a paper submitted to the American
Sociological Association's Annual meeting for 2015. The research and
data collected for this paper was supported by the National Science
Foundation (grants #'s 1331269 and 0826832).
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[No title captured]
NR 87
TC 15
Z9 16
U1 1
U2 47
PU WILEY-BLACKWELL
PI HOBOKEN
SN 0966-0879
EI 1468-5973
J9 J CONTING CRISIS MAN
JI J. Cont. Crisis Manag.
PD DEC
PY 2016
VL 24
IS 4
BP 275
EP 285
DI 10.1111/1468-5973.12123
PG 11
WC Management
GA EC0LW
UT WOS:000387793600008
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU La Greca, AM
Burdette, ET
Brodar, KE
AF La Greca, Annette M.
Burdette, Evan T.
Brodar, Kaitlyn E.
TI Climate change and extreme weather disasters: evacuation stress is
associated with youths' somatic complaints
SO FRONTIERS IN PSYCHOLOGY
LA English
DT Article
DE somatic complaints; adolescents; children; evacuation; climate change;
disasters
ID POSTTRAUMATIC-STRESS; HURRICANE-ANDREW; PHYSICAL HEALTH; PTSD SYMPTOMS;
CHILD ANXIETY; DEPRESSION; RISK; ADOLESCENTS; EXPERIENCES; EXPOSURE
AB ObjectiveClimate-change has brought about more frequent extreme-weather events
(e.g., hurricanes, floods, and wildfires) that may require families to evacuate,
without knowing precisely where and when the potential disaster will strike. Recent
research indicates that evacuation is stressful for families and is associated with
psychological distress. Yet, little is known about the potential impact of
evacuation stressors on child health. After Hurricane Irma, which led to a mass
evacuation in Florida, we examined whether evacuation stressors and hurricane
exposure were uniquely associated with youth somatic complaints, and whether youth
psychological distress (i.e., symptoms of posttraumatic stress, anxiety, and
depression) served as a potential mediating pathway between evacuation stressors,
hurricane experiences, and somatic complaints. MethodThree months after Irma, 226
mothers of youth aged 7-17 years (N=226; M age = 9.76 years; 52% boys; 31%
Hispanic) living in the five southernmost Florida counties reported on evacuation
stressors, hurricane-related life threat and loss/disruption, and their child's
psychological distress and somatic complaints using standardized measures.
ResultsStructural equation modeling revealed a good model fit (& chi;(2) = 32.24, p
= 0.003, CFI = 0.96, RMSEA = 0.08, SRMR = 0.04). Even controlling for life-
threatening hurricane experiences (& beta; = 0.26) and hurricane loss and
disruption (& beta; = 0.26), greater evacuation stressors were associated with
greater symptoms of youth psychological distress (& beta; = 0.34; p's < 0.001), and
greater psychological distress was associated with more somatic complaints (& beta;
= 0.67; p < 0.001). Indirect effects revealed that evacuation stressors (p <
0.001), actual life-threatening events (p < 0.01), and loss and disruption (p <
0.01) were all uniquely and indirectly associated with youths' somatic complaints
via youth psychological distress. DiscussionFindings suggest that even coping with
the threat of a disaster may be sufficient to prompt psychological and physical
health symptoms in youth. Due in part to climate change, threats of disaster occur
much more often than actual disaster exposure, especially for areas that are prone
to hurricanes or wildfires. Preparing youth and families residing in vulnerable
areas for potential disaster evacuation or sheltering-in-place appears critical.
Encouraging families to develop Disaster Plans and teaching stress management
skills may reduce both youth distress and somatic health problems.
C1 [La Greca, Annette M.; Burdette, Evan T.; Brodar, Kaitlyn E.] Univ Miami, Coll
Arts & Sci, Dept Psychol, Coral Gables, FL 33146 USA.
C3 University of Miami
RP La Greca, AM (corresponding author), Univ Miami, Coll Arts & Sci, Dept Psychol,
Coral Gables, FL 33146 USA.
EM alagreca@miami.edu
FU College of Arts and Sciences at the University of Miami, Coral Gables,
FL; College of Arts and Sciences at the University of Miami; Department
of Psychology Flipse Funds
FX & nbsp;Funding for the initial project was supported by a small grant
from the College of Arts and Sciences at the University of Miami, Coral
Gables, FL. Open access publication fees were supported by several
sources, including: the College of Arts and Sciences at the University
of Miami; Department of Psychology Flipse Funds; and the Distinguished
Professorship Funds for the AL.
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6988(2005)6:3(129), 10.1061/ASCE1527-698820056:3129, DOI 10.1061/ASCE1527-
698820056:3129]
6988(2005)6:3(143), 10.1061/(ASCE)1527-6988(2005)6:3(143)]
NR 93
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 2
U2 2
PI LAUSANNE
SN 1664-1078
J9 FRONT PSYCHOL
JI Front. Psychol.
PD JUN 22
PY 2023
VL 14
AR 1196419
DI 10.3389/fpsyg.2023.1196419
PG 13
WC Psychology, Multidisciplinary
SC Psychology
GA L4AJ5
UT WOS:001022698700001
PM 37425189
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Torres, JM
Bass, B
Irza, N
Fang, Z
Proft, J
Dawson, C
Kiani, M
Bedient, P
AF Torres, Jacob M.
Bass, Benjamin
Irza, Nicholas
Fang, Zheng
Proft, Jennifer
Dawson, Clint
Kiani, Morteza
Bedient, Philip
TI Characterizing the hydraulic interactions of hurricane storm surge and
rainfall-runoff for the Houston-Galveston region
SO COASTAL ENGINEERING
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane rainfall-runoff; Hurricane storm surge; Surge barrier;
Distributed inland hydrology; Unsteady riverine modeling; SWAN plus
ADCIRC
ID MODEL; WAVES; WATER
AB Planning of traditional coastal flood risk management strategies are largely
predicated on storm surge protection against extreme hurricanes, i.e. storm surge.
However, (1) hurricane storm surge and (2) hurricane rainfall-runoff are not
mutually exclusive flood hazards. Little research has emphasized the need for
quantifying and characterizing the joint hydraulic processes between hurricane
storm surge and rainfall-runoff during real events for enhancing effective flood
risk mitigation. In this regard, an improved hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling
framework has been developed for the Houston Ship Channel (HSC) and Galveston Bay
to serve as a quantitative testbed for evaluating coupled hurricane storm surge and
rainfall-runoff. Modularity within the modeling framework allows for landfall
shifting of historical hurricane tracks, wind fields, and corresponding rainfall
patterns to serve as numerical model inputs, as well as providing an expanded
dataset of storm events. Distributed hydrologic and unsteady hydraulic analyses of
upstream rainfall-runoff and storm surge are conducted for hurricanes Katrina
(2005), Ike (2008), and Isaac (2012) under three synthetically shifted landfall
locations near the HSC and Galveston Bay regions. For the modeled scenarios,
results show that peak flows from storm surge easily dominate those of rainfall-
runoff, but that rainfall-runoff can constitute more than half of the total flood
volume draining towards the HSC. Most modeled scenarios reveal less than 24 h of
separation between peak surge and peak rainfall-runoff. In the same way that storm
surge is sensitive to hurricane landfall location and angle of approach, so are
spatial rainfall distributions and associated inland runoff processes, due to wide
topological variations in coastal watershed boundaries. Analysis of coastal flood
mitigation is extended with the dynamic modeling of a proposed storm surge barrier
system at the HSC, with its performance quantified under the given hurricanes. The
surge barrier system is demonstrated to be hydraulically feasible for all
scenarios, with maximum water surface elevation reductions ranging between 0.63 m
and 3.28 m. However, accurate storm surge and riverine flood forecasting methods
will be critical for achieving optimal gate and barrier operations. (C) 2015
Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
C1 [Torres, Jacob M.; Bass, Benjamin; Irza, Nicholas; Bedient, Philip] Rice Univ,
Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Houston, TX 77005 USA.
[Fang, Zheng; Kiani, Morteza] Univ Texas Arlington, Dept Civil Engn, Arlington,
TX USA.
[Proft, Jennifer] Univ Texas Austin, Dept Aerosp Engn, Austin, TX 78712 USA.
[Dawson, Clint] Univ Texas Austin, Dept Aerosp Engn & Engn Mech, Austin, TX
78712 USA.
C3 Rice University; University of Texas System; University of Texas
Arlington; University of Texas System; University of Texas Austin;
University of Texas System; University of Texas Austin
RP Torres, JM (corresponding author), Rice Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 6100
Main MS-317, Houston, TX 77005 USA.
EM torres@rice.edu; benb0228@gmail.com; jnil@rice.edu; nickfang@uta.edu;
jennifer@ices.utexas.edu; clint@ices.utexas.edu;
kiani.morteza@mavs.uta.edu; bedient@rice.edu
RI Dawson, Clint/AAH-3213-2021
OI Dawson, Clint/0000-0001-7273-0684
FU Houston Endowment under the Severe Storm Prediction, Education, and
Evacuation from Disasters (SSPEED) Center; National Science Foundation
[DMS-1217071]; Extreme Science and Engineering Discovery Environment
(XSEDE) grant [TG-DMS080016N]; Texas Advanced Computing Center; Division
of Computing and Communication Foundations; Direct For Computer & Info
Scie & Enginr [1442735] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
FX This research was supported by the Houston Endowment under the Severe
Storm Prediction, Education, and Evacuation from Disasters (SSPEED)
Center. C. Dawson also acknowledges the support of National Science
Foundation grant DMS-1217071, the Extreme Science and Engineering
Discovery Environment (XSEDE) grant TG-DMS080016N, and the Texas
Advanced Computing Center for the use of their computing resources. The
authors would also like to extend their sincerest gratitude to Ph.D.
candidates Wei Du, Ali Samii, and Gajanan Choudhary at the University of
Texas at Austin for SWAN + ADCIRC training and assistance, as well as
the anonymous reviewers for their advice and suggestions on improving
this manuscript.
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NR 42
TC 46
Z9 46
U1 2
U2 40
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 0378-3839
EI 1872-7379
J9 COAST ENG
JI Coast. Eng.
PD DEC
PY 2015
VL 106
BP 7
EP 19
DI 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2015.09.004
PG 13
WC Engineering, Civil; Engineering, Ocean
SC Engineering
GA CY0CE
UT WOS:000366073100003
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Burger, J
Gochfeld, M
Lacy, C
AF Burger, Joanna
Gochfeld, Michael
Lacy, Clifton
TI Concerns and future preparedness plans of a vulnerable population in New
Jersey following Hurricane Sandy
SO DISASTERS
LA English
DT Article
DE disaster preparedness; environmental justice; evacuation; Hurricane
Sandy; personal disaster impact
ID RISK PERCEPTION; DISASTER PREPAREDNESS; MEDICAL NEEDS; HEALTH;
RESPONSES; ACCESS; CARE; EVACUATION; KATRINA
AB Knowing how people prepare for disasters is essential to developing resiliency
strategies. This study examined recalled concerns, evacuation experiences, and the
future preparedness plans of a vulnerable population in New Jersey, United States,
following Hurricane Sandy in 2012. Understanding the responses of minority
communities is key to protecting them during forthcoming disasters. Overall, 35 per
cent of respondents were not going to prepare for an event. Intended future
preparedness actions were unrelated to respondents' ratings of personal impact.
More Blacks and Hispanics planned on preparing than Whites (68 versus 55 per cent),
and more Hispanics planned on evacuating than did others who were interviewed. A
higher percentage of respondents who had trouble getting to health centres were
going to prepare than others. Respondents' concerns were connected to safety and
survival, protecting family and friends, and having enough food and medicine,
whereas future actions included evacuating earlier and buying sufficient supplies
to shelter in place.
C1 [Burger, Joanna] Rutgers State Univ, Environm & Occupat Hlth Sci Inst, Div Life
Sci, Biol, Piscataway, NJ USA.
[Burger, Joanna] Rutgers State Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Piscataway, NJ USA.
[Gochfeld, Michael] Rutgers State Univ, Environm & Occupat Hlth Sci Inst,
Piscataway, NJ USA.
[Gochfeld, Michael] Rutgers State Univ, Robert Wood Johnson Med Sch, Piscataway,
NJ USA.
[Lacy, Clifton] Rutgers State Univ, Sch Commun & Informat, Profess Practice,
Piscataway, NJ USA.
[Lacy, Clifton] Rutgers State Univ, Robert Wood Johnson Med Sch, Med,
Piscataway, NJ USA.
[Lacy, Clifton] Rutgers State Univ, Ctr Emergency Preparedness Infrastruct &
Commun, Piscataway, NJ USA.
C3 Rutgers State University New Brunswick; Rutgers State University New
Brunswick; Rutgers State University New Brunswick; Rutgers State
University New Brunswick; Rutgers State University Medical Center;
Rutgers State University New Brunswick; Rutgers State University New
Brunswick; Rutgers State University Medical Center; Rutgers State
University New Brunswick
RP Burger, J (corresponding author), Rutgers State Univ, Sch Arts & Sci, Nelson
Hall,Room B218,Busch Campus, Piscataway, NJ 08854 USA.
EM burger@biology.rutgers.edu
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NR 68
TC 8
Z9 8
U1 1
U2 17
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 0361-3666
EI 1467-7717
J9 DISASTERS
JI Disasters
PD JUL
PY 2019
VL 43
IS 3
BP 658
EP 685
DI 10.1111/disa.12350
PG 28
WC Environmental Studies; Social Sciences, Interdisciplinary
SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Social Sciences - Other Topics
GA ID6VN
UT WOS:000471818400010
PM 30990925
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Shirvani, M
Kesserwani, G
Kesserwani, Georges
TI Flood-pedestrian simulator for modelling human response dynamics during
flood-induced evacuation: Hillsborough stadium case study
SO NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES
LA English
DT Article
ID AGENT-BASED-MODEL; MANAGEMENT; LIFE; BEHAVIOR; SPEED; BODY
AB The flood-pedestrian simulator uses a parallel approach to couple a hydrodynamic
model to a pedestrian model in a single agent-based modelling (ABM) framework on
graphics processing units (GPU), allowing dynamic exchange and processing of
multiple-agent information across the two models. The simulator is enhanced with
more realistic human body characteristics and in-model behavioural rules. The new
features are implemented in the pedestrian model to factor in age- and gender-
related walking speeds for the pedestrians in dry zones around the floodwater and
to include a maximum excitement condition. It is also adapted to use age-related
moving speeds for pedestrians inside the floodwater, with either a walking
condition or a running condition. The walking and running conditions are applicable
without and with an existing two-way interaction condition that considers the
effects of pedestrian congestion on the floodwater spreading. A new autonomous
change of direction condition is proposed to make pedestrian agents autonomous in
wayfinding decisions driven by their individual perceptions of the flood risk or
the dominant choice made by the others. The relevance of the newly added
characteristics and rules is demonstrated by applying the augmented simulator to
reproduce a synthetic test case of a flood evacuation in a shopping centre, to then
contrast its outcomes against the version of the simulator that does not consider
age and gender in the agent characteristics. The enhanced simulator is demonstrated
for a real-world case study of a mass evacuation from the Hillsborough football
stadium, showing usefulness for flood emergency evacuation planning in outdoor
spaces where destination choice and individual risk perception have great influence
on the simulation outcomes.
C1 [Shirvani, Mohammad; Kesserwani, Georges] Univ Sheffield, Sheffield City Ctr,
Dept Civil & Struct Engn, Mappin St, Sheffield S1 3JD, S Yorkshire, England.
Sheffield
RP Kesserwani, G (corresponding author), Univ Sheffield, Sheffield City Ctr, Dept
Civil & Struct Engn, Mappin St, Sheffield S1 3JD, S Yorkshire, England.
OI Kesserwani, Georges/0000-0003-1125-8384
FU UK Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council [EP/R007349/1]
FX This research has been supported by the UK Engineering and Physical
Sciences Research Council (grant no. EP/R007349/1).
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NR 69
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 4
U2 19
PU COPERNICUS GESELLSCHAFT MBH
PI GOTTINGEN
PA BAHNHOFSALLEE 1E, GOTTINGEN, 37081, GERMANY
SN 1561-8633
EI 1684-9981
J9 NAT HAZARD EARTH SYS
JI Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.
PD OCT 20
PY 2021
VL 21
IS 10
BP 3175
EP 3198
DI 10.5194/nhess-21-3175-2021
PG 24
Water Resources
GA WL6LS
UT WOS:000710515500001
OA gold, Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wu, HC
Lindell, MK
Prater, CS
Samuelson, CD
AF Wu, Hao-Che
Lindell, Michael K.
Prater, Carla S.
Samuelson, Charles D.
TI Effects of Track and Threat Information on Judgments of Hurricane Strike
Probability
SO RISK ANALYSIS
LA English
DT Article
DE Communicating uncertainty; graphical displays; hurricane track;
uncertainty cone
ID RISK COMMUNICATION; WEATHER FORECASTS; BASE-RATE; MENTAL ROTATIONS;
UNCERTAINTY; EVACUATION; DECISION; REPRESENTATION; PERCEPTION;
PSYCHOLOGY
AB Although evacuation is one of the best strategies for protecting citizens from
hurricane threat, the ways that local elected officials use hurricane data in
deciding whether to issue hurricane evacuation orders is not well understood. To
begin to address this problem, we examined the effects of hurricane track and
intensity information in a laboratory setting where participants judged the
probability that hypothetical hurricanes with a constant bearing (i.e., straight
line forecast track) would make landfall in each of eight 45 degree sectors around
the Gulf of Mexico. The results from 162 participants in a student sample showed
that the judged strike probability distributions over the eight sectors within each
scenario were, unsurprisingly, unimodal and centered on the sector toward which the
forecast track pointed. More significantly, although strike probability judgments
for the sector in the direction of the forecast track were generally higher than
the corresponding judgments for the other sectors, the latter were not zero. Most
significantly, there were no appreciable differences in the patterns of strike
probability judgments for hurricane tracks represented by a forecast track only, an
uncertainty cone only, or forecast track with an uncertainty cone-a result
consistent with a recent survey of coastal residents threatened by Hurricane
Charley. The study results suggest that people are able to correctly process basic
information about hurricane tracks but they do make some errors. More research is
needed to understand the sources of these errors and to identify better methods of
displaying uncertainty about hurricane parameters.
C1 [Wu, Hao-Che; Lindell, Michael K.; Prater, Carla S.] Texas A&M Univ, Hazard
Reduct & Recovery Ctr, College Stn, TX 77843 USA.
[Samuelson, Charles D.] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Psychol, College Stn, TX 77843 USA.
C3 Texas A&M University System; Texas A&M University College Station; Texas
A&M University System; Texas A&M University College Station
RP Lindell, MK (corresponding author), Texas A&M Univ, Hazard Reduct & Recovery
Ctr, 3137 TAMU, College Stn, TX 77843 USA.
EM mlindell@tamu.edu
RI Samuelson, Charles/AAG-5532-2020
OI Samuelson, Charles/0000-0002-2437-6905
FU National Science Foundation [SES-0838654, IIS-1212790]; Div Of
Information & Intelligent Systems; Direct For Computer & Info Scie &
Enginr [1212790] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
FX This article is based on work supported by the National Science
Foundation under Grants SES-0838654 and IIS-1212790.
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NR 48
TC 40
Z9 40
U1 0
U2 24
PU WILEY-BLACKWELL
PI HOBOKEN
SN 0272-4332
EI 1539-6924
J9 RISK ANAL
JI Risk Anal.
PD JUN
PY 2014
VL 34
IS 6
BP 1025
EP 1039
DI 10.1111/risa.12128
PG 15
(SSCI)
GA AJ9DT
UT WOS:000338007900005
PM 24147664
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Morss, RE
Demuth, JL
Lazo, JK
Dickinson, K
Lazrus, H
Morrow, BH
Demuth, Julie L.
Lazo, Jeffrey K.
Dickinson, Katherine
Lazrus, Heather
Morrow, Betty H.
TI Understanding Public Hurricane Evacuation Decisions and Responses to
Forecast and Warning Messages
LA English
DT Article
ID RISK PERCEPTION; WEATHER FORECASTS; UNITED-STATES; FEAR APPEALS;
STORM-SURGE; UNCERTAINTY; INFORMATION; CLIMATE; COMMUNICATION; BEHAVIOR
AB This study uses data from a survey of coastal Miami-Dade County, Florida,
residents to explore how different types of forecast and warning messages influence
evacuation decisions, in conjunction with other factors. The survey presented
different members of the public with different test messages about the same
hypothetical hurricane approaching Miami. Participants' responses to the
information were evaluated using questions about their likelihood of evacuating and
their perceptions of the information and the information source. Recipients of the
test message about storm surge height and the message about extreme impacts from
storm surge had higher evacuation intentions, compared to nonrecipients. However,
recipients of the extreme-impacts message also rated the information as more
overblown and the information source as less reliable. The probabilistic message
about landfall location interacted with the other textual messages in unexpected
ways, reducing the other messages' effects on evacuation intentions. These results
illustrate the importance of considering trade-offs, unintended effects, and
information interactions when deciding how to convey weather information.
Recipients of the test message that described the effectiveness of evacuation had
lower perceptions that the information was overblown, suggesting the potential
value of efficacy messaging. In addition, respondents with stronger individualist
worldviews rated the information as significantly more overblown and had
significantly lower evacuation intentions. This illustrates the importance of
understanding how and why responses to weather messages vary across subpopulations.
Overall, the analysis demonstrates the potential value of systematically
investigating how different people respond to different types of weather risk
messages.
C1 [Morss, Rebecca E.; Demuth, Julie L.; Lazrus, Heather] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res,
Mesoscale & Microscale Meteorol Lab, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA.
[Lazo, Jeffrey K.; Dickinson, Katherine] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Res Applicat
Lab, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA.
[Morrow, Betty H.] SocRes Miami, Miami, FL USA.
C3 National Center Atmospheric Research (NCAR) - USA; National Center
Atmospheric Research (NCAR) - USA
RP Morss, RE (corresponding author), Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder, CO
80307 USA.
EM morss@ucar.edu
RI Lazo, Jeffrey/AGD-8003-2022; Dickinson, Katherine Lee/AGV-2829-2022;
DICKINSON, KATHERINE L./ABB-7962-2020
OI DICKINSON, KATHERINE L./0000-0001-6390-200X
FU National Science Foundation [0838702]; National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration; Direct For Social, Behav & Economic Scie; Divn Of Social
and Economic Sciences [0838702] Funding Source: National Science
Foundation
FX The authors thank H. Dan O'Hair, Claude Miller, Matthew Jensen, Ann
Bostrom, and members of the project's expert advisory group for their
contributions to the survey design. This research was supported by
National Science Foundation Award 0838702, which was jointly funded by
the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The National Center
for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the National Science
Foundation. Views and opinions in this paper are those of the authors.
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NR 100
TC 83
Z9 83
U1 1
U2 40
PI BOSTON
SN 0882-8156
EI 1520-0434
J9 WEATHER FORECAST
PD APR
PY 2016
VL 31
IS 2
BP 395
EP 417
DI 10.1175/WAF-D-15-0066.1
PG 23
(SSCI)
GA DM2ZJ
UT WOS:000376216300003
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Bass, B
Bedient, P
AF Bass, Benjamin
Bedient, Philip
TI Surrogate modeling of joint flood risk across coastal watersheds
SO JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
LA English
DT Article
DE Tropical cyclones; Joint flooding; Flood risk; Machine leaming
ID STORM-SURGE PREDICTION; TROPICAL CYCLONES; NEURAL-NETWORKS; RAINFALL;
HAZARD
AB This study discusses the development and performance of a rapid prediction
system capable of representing the joint rainfall-runoff and storm surge flood
response of tropical cyclones (TCs) for probabilistic risk analysis. Due to the
computational demand required for accurately representing storm surge with the
high-fidelity ADvanced CIRCulation (ADCIRC) hydrodynamic model and its coupling
with additional numerical models to represent rainfall-runoff, a surrogate or
statistical model was trained to represent the relationship between hurricane wind-
and pressure-field characteristics and their peak joint flood response typically
determined from physics based numerical models. This builds upon past studies that
have only evaluated surrogate models for predicting peak surge, and provides the
first system capable of probabilistically representing joint flood levels from TCs.
The utility of this joint flood prediction system is then demonstrated by improving
upon probabilistic TC flood risk products, which currently account for storm surge
but do not take into account TC associated rainfall-runoff. Results demonstrate the
source apportionment of rainfall-runoff versus storm surge and highlight that
slight increases in flood risk levels may occur due to the interaction between
rainfall-runoff and storm surge as compared to the Federal Emergency Management
Association's (FEMAs) current practices. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights
reserved.
C1 [Bass, Benjamin; Bedient, Philip] Rice Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 6100
Main MS-317, Houston, TX 77005 USA.
C3 Rice University
RP Bass, B (corresponding author), Rice Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 6100 Main
MS-317, Houston, TX 77005 USA.
EM benb0228@gmail.com; bedient@rice.edu
Evacuation from Disasters (SSPEED) Center
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University of Texas at Austin United States, the Texas General Land
Office and the Texas Advanced Computing Center for the use of their
computing resources. Finally, authors would like to thank Norberto C.
Nadal-Caraballo at the U. S. Army Engineer Research and Development
Center for providing probability distributions of the study regions
tropical cyclone characteristics.
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PG 15
WC Engineering, Civil; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary; Water Resources
SC Engineering; Geology; Water Resources
GA FZ1LU
UT WOS:000427338900013
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Logan, M
Bradley, BM
Chen, BD
Kruger, J
Van Meter, J
Paetznick, B
Smith, MJ
Romero-Steiner, S
AF Logan, Marinda
Bradley, Belen Moran
Chen, Brenda
Kruger, Judy
Van Meter, Jessica
Paetznick, Brandon
Smith, Michael J.
Romero-Steiner, Sandra
TI A Policy Analysis of Preparedness for Hurricane Evacuations in the
United States, 1990 to 2019: Implementation in Coastal States
SO HEALTH SECURITY
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricanes; Mortality; Mandatory evacuation; Public health preparedness;
response; Policy
ID SHELTER-IN-PLACE; ENVIRONMENTAL-HEALTH; HOSPITAL-EVACUATION; DISASTERS;
COSTS
AB Hurricane or typhoon evacuations in the United States are typically managed by
state, territorial, or tribal emergency management officials with federal, state,
and local agency operational support. The evacuation process may involve issuing
mandatory or "voluntary" evacuation orders to alert the community and mitigate loss
of life and injury. We conducted an analysis of state and local hurricane
evacuation policies identified through a literature review (January 1990 to June
2019) and key informant interviews with state public health and emergency
management officials in Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina,
South Carolina, and Texas in October and November 2019. Findings from the
literature review show that most gaps in hurricane evacuation preparedness-based on
44 policy-related publications identified in the review-could be categorized into 4
themes: shelters, evacuation decisionmaking, at-risk populations, and
transportation. Findings from key informant interviews for 7 states revealed that
coastal states have been able to address most of these gaps since Hurricane Katrina
in 2005. However, an important remaining gap in preparedness is providing timely
warnings to at-risk populations during hurricane evacuations.
C1 [Logan, Marinda; Bradley, Belen Moran; Chen, Brenda; Kruger, Judy; Van Meter,
Jessica; Paetznick, Brandon; Smith, Michael J.; Romero-Steiner, Sandra] Ctr Dis
Control & Prevent, Publ Hlth Ethics & Strategy Unit PHESU, 1600 Clifton Rd NE,MS
H21-8, Atlanta, GA 30329 USA.
C3 Centers for Disease Control & Prevention - USA
RP Logan, M (corresponding author), Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Publ Hlth Ethics &
Strategy Unit PHESU, 1600 Clifton Rd NE,MS H21-8, Atlanta, GA 30329 USA.
EM mlogan@cdc.gov
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World Vision, 2005 HURR KATR FACTS
NR 42
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 5
U2 10
PU MARY ANN LIEBERT, INC
PI NEW ROCHELLE
PA 140 HUGUENOT STREET, 3RD FL, NEW ROCHELLE, NY 10801 USA
SN 2326-5094
EI 2326-5108
J9 HEALTH SECUR
JI Health Secur.
PD FEB 1
PY 2022
VL 20
IS 1
BP 65
EP 73
DI 10.1089/hs.2021.0125
EA DEC 2021
PG 9
GA ZH2NJ
UT WOS:000732960600001
PM 34935495
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Davidow, AL
Thomas, P
Kim, S
Passannante, M
Tsai, S
Tan, C
AF Davidow, Amy L.
Thomas, Pauline
Kim, Soyeon
Passannante, Marian
Tsai, Stella
Tan, Christina
TI Access to Care in the Wake of Hurricane Sandy, New Jersey, 2012
LA English
DT Article
DE Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System; delivery of health care;
hurricane; vulnerable populations
ID DISEASE
AB Objective Evacuation and damage following a widespread natural disaster may
affect short-term access to medical care. We estimated medical care needs in New
Jersey following Hurricane Sandy in 2012.
Methods Hurricane Sandy-related questions regarding medical needs included in
the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System survey were administered to survey
respondents living in New Jersey when Sandy occurred.
Results Recently arrived foreign-born residents were more likely than US-born
residents to need medical care following Sandy. Others with greater medical needs
included the uninsured and evacuees. Persons who evacuated or lived in areas that
experienced the greatest hurricane impact were less likely to be able to fill a
prescription. Only 15% of New Jerseyans were aware of the Emergency Pharmaceutical
Assistance Program (EPAP), a federal program which allows prescription refills for
the uninsured following a disaster. Recently arrived foreign-born residents and the
uninsured were less frequently aware of EPAP: 8.7% and 10.9%.
Conclusions Populations with impaired access to care in normal timessuch as the
recently arrived foreign-born and the uninsuredwere also at risk of compromised
access in the hurricane's aftermath. Measures to address prescription refills
during a disaster need better promotion among at-risk populations. (Disaster Med
Public Health Preparedness. 2016;10:485-491)
C1 [Davidow, Amy L.; Kim, Soyeon; Passannante, Marian] Rutgers Sch Publ Hlth,
Piscataway, NJ USA.
[Tsai, Stella; Tan, Christina] New Jersey Dept Hlth, Div Epidemiol Environm &
Occupat Hlth, Newark, NJ USA.
[Thomas, Pauline] Rutgers New Jersey Med Sch, Newark, NJ USA.
C3 New Jersey Department of Health & Senior Services; Rutgers State
University New Brunswick; Rutgers State University Medical Center
RP Davidow, AL (corresponding author), Med Sci Bldg,185 South Orange Ave, Newark,
NJ 07103 USA.
EM davidoal@sph.rutgers.edu
OI Davidow, Amy/0000-0002-3660-7627
and Response Research to Aid Recovery from Hurricane Sandy grant [CDC
RFA-TP-13-001]
FX This study was supported in part by the Centers for Disease Control and
Recovery from Hurricane Sandy grant (# CDC RFA-TP-13-001).
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NR 25
TC 7
Z9 7
U1 0
U2 2
PI NEW YORK
SN 1935-7893
EI 1938-744X
PD JUN
PY 2016
VL 10
IS 3
SI SI
BP 485
EP 491
DI 10.1017/dmp.2016.79
PG 7
(SSCI)
GA DQ3VD
UT WOS:000379130700024
PM 27292171
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Huang, GW
AF Huang, Guangwei
TI Enhancing Dialogue between Flood Risk Management and Road Engineering
Sectors for Flood Risk Reduction
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE Flooding; road; evacuation safety; road planning
ID CLIMATE-CHANGE; IMPACT; TRANSPORT; WEATHER; MODEL
AB Disaster reduction is one of the most important keys towards sustainable
development. Using a number of case studies, the present work was intended to
elucidate the need for improved communication between the urban flood management
community and the road planning sector for better flood risk management. These
cases were classified in three categories: (1) Road tragedy during evacuation, (2)
Why some roads are vulnerable to flooding, (3) How to quickly evaluate the
potential impact of road construction on surface drainage characteristics. These
cases provided strong evidence that insufficient dialogue between water and road
sectors may hinder sound flood risk management by recommending wrong flood
evacuation routes that are life threatening and neglecting the impact of road
construction on the alteration of surface drainage characteristics. These cases
were selected purposively but not comprehensively. Based on findings from these
case studies, it can be stated that evacuation safety should be improved through
better communication between flood risk and road management professionals, which in
turn will lead to better road planning.
C1 [Huang, Guangwei] Sophia Univ, Grad Sch Global Environm Studies, Tokyo 1028554,
Japan.
C3 Sophia University
RP Huang, GW (corresponding author), Sophia Univ, Grad Sch Global Environm Studies,
Tokyo 1028554, Japan.
EM huang@genv.sophia.ac.jp
FU Japan Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology
FX This research work was part of Sophia Research Branding Project, which
was funded by Japan Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and
Technology.
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NR 22
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 4
U2 20
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
JI Sustainability
PD JUN
PY 2018
VL 10
IS 6
AR 1773
DI 10.3390/su10061773
PG 15
(SSCI)
GA GK9LE
UT WOS:000436570100085
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Alaeddine, H
Serrhini, K
Maizia, M
Neron, E
AF Alaeddine, H.
Serrhini, K.
Maizia, M.
Neron, E.
TI A spatiotemporal optimization model for the evacuation of the population
exposed to flood hazard
LA English
DT Article
AB Managing the crisis caused by natural disasters, and especially by floods,
requires the development of effective evacuation systems. An effective evacuation
system must take into account certain constraints, including those related to
traffic network, accessibility, human resources and material equipment (vehicles,
collecting points, etc.). The main objective of this work is to provide assistance
to technical services and rescue forces in terms of accessibility by offering
itineraries relating to rescue and evacuation of people and property. We consider
in this paper the evacuation of an urban area of medium size exposed to the hazard
of flood. In case of inundation, most people will be evacuated using their own
vehicles. Two evacuation types are addressed in this paper: (1) a preventive
evacuation based on a flood forecasting system and (2) an evacuation during the
disaster based on flooding scenarios. The two study sites on which the developed
evacuation model is applied are the Tours valley (Fr, 37), which is protected by a
set of dikes (preventive evacuation), and the Gien valley (Fr, 45), which benefits
from a low rate of flooding (evacuation before and during the disaster). Our goal
is to construct, for each of these two sites, a chronological evacuation plan,
i.e., computing for each individual the departure date and the path to reach the
assembly point (also called shelter) according to a priority list established for
this purpose. The evacuation plan must avoid the congestion on the road network.
Here we present a spatiotemporal optimization model (STOM) dedicated to the
evacuation of the population exposed to natural disasters and more specifically to
flood risk.
C1 [Alaeddine, H.; Serrhini, K.; Maizia, M.] Univ Tours, Lab Citeres, Tours,
France.
[Alaeddine, H.; Neron, E.] Univ Tours, Lab Informat, Tours, France.
C3 Universite de Tours; Universite de Tours
RP Alaeddine, H (corresponding author), Univ Tours, Lab Citeres, Tours, France.
EM houssein.alaeddine@hotmail.fr
OI Alaeddine, Houssein/0000-0001-6816-3621
FU LA REGION CENTRE (France); FEDER (Europe)
FX We would like to thank LA REGION CENTRE (France) and FEDER (Europe) for
funding this research. Also our thanks for the editor Thomas Glade and
the two anonymous referees for assessing this paper.
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Alaeddine H., 2014, TRAFFIC SIGNMENT ALG
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NR 38
TC 6
Z9 6
U1 1
U2 26
PI GOTTINGEN
SN 1561-8633
PY 2015
VL 15
IS 3
BP 687
EP 701
DI 10.5194/nhess-15-687-2015
PG 15
Water Resources
GA CE9JT
UT WOS:000352160900024
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Dosa, D
Hyer, K
Thomas, K
Swaminathan, S
Feng, ZL
Brown, L
Mor, V
AF Dosa, David
Hyer, Kathryn
Thomas, Kali
Swaminathan, Shailender
Feng, Zhanlian
Brown, Lisa
Mor, Vincent
TI To Evacuate or Shelter in Place: Implications of Universal Hurricane
Evacuation Policies on Nursing Home Residents
LA English
DT Article
DE Nursing home emergency preparedness; transfer trauma; Hurricane Katrina;
disasters
ID LOUISIANA; MORTALITY; OUTCOMES; KATRINA
AB Objective: To examine the differential morbidity/mortality associated with
evacuation versus sheltering in place for nursing home (NH) residents exposed to
the 4 most recent Gulf hurricanes.
Methods: Observational study using Medicare claims and NH data sources. We
compared the differential mortality/morbidity for long-stay residents exposed to 4
recent hurricanes (Katrina, Rita, Gustav, and Ike) relative to those residing at
the same NHs over the same time periods during the prior 2 nonhurricane years as a
control. Using an instrumental variable analysis, we then evaluated the independent
effect of evacuation on outcomes at 90 days.
Results: Among 36,389 NH residents exposed to a storm, the 30- and 90-day
mortality/hospitalization rates increased compared with nonhurricane control years.
There were a cumulative total of 277 extra deaths and 872 extra hospitalizations at
30 days. At 90 days, 579 extra deaths and 544 extra hospitalizations were observed.
Using the instrumental variable analysis, evacuation increased the probability of
death at 90 days from 2.7% to 5.3% and hospitalization by 1.8% to 8.3%, independent
of other factors.
Conclusion: Among residents exposed to hurricanes, evacuation significantly
exacerbated subsequent morbidity/mortality. Copyright (C) 2012 - American Medical
Directors Association, Inc.
C1 [Dosa, David] Brown Univ, Warren Alpert Med Sch, Ctr Gerontol & Healthcare Res,
Dept Biol & Med, Providence, RI 02912 USA.
[Dosa, David] Providence VA Med Ctr, Div Primary Care, Providence, RI USA.
[Dosa, David; Swaminathan, Shailender; Feng, Zhanlian; Mor, Vincent] Brown Univ,
Dept Community Hlth, Providence, RI 02912 USA.
[Hyer, Kathryn; Thomas, Kali; Brown, Lisa] Univ S Florida, Sch Aging Studies,
Tampa, FL USA.
[Brown, Lisa] Univ S Florida, Dept Aging & Mental Hlth Dispar, Tampa, FL USA.
C3 Brown University; US Department of Veterans Affairs; Veterans Health
Administration (VHA); Providence VA Medical Center; Brown University;
State University System of Florida; University of South Florida; State
RP Dosa, D (corresponding author), Brown Univ, Warren Alpert Med Sch, Ctr Gerontol
& Healthcare Res, Dept Biol & Med, Box G-S121-6,121 S Main St, Providence, RI 02912
USA.
EM david_dosa@brown.edu
OI Feng, Zhanlian/0000-0002-5231-6870; Thomas, Kali/0000-0003-3436-2184;
Brown, Lisa/0000-0002-3793-7310
FU National Institutes of Aging [RO1AG030619-01A2]; Department of Veterans
Affairs Health Services Research and Development Service [CDA 08-280];
John A. Hartford Foundation [2006-0172]
FX This study was funded by the National Institutes of Aging
(RO1AG030619-01A2), Department of Veterans Affairs Health Services
Research and Development Service (CDA 08-280), and John A. Hartford
Foundation (#2006-0172).
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WorldClim, WORLDCLIM GLOB CLIM
Xian Y, 2011, JAMA-J AM MED ASSOC, V305, P373, DOI 10.1001/jama.2011.22
NR 28
TC 49
Z9 49
U1 1
U2 22
PI NEW YORK
PA STE 800, 230 PARK AVE, NEW YORK, NY 10169 USA
SN 1525-8610
EI 1538-9375
PD FEB
PY 2012
VL 13
IS 2
DI 10.1016/j.jamda.2011.07.011
PG 7
(SSCI)
GA 898HX
UT WOS:000300733600027
PM 21885350
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zhou, ZC
Zhang, YZ
Gou, JJ
Kan, N
Zhao, FD
Yao, LL
Hou, SK
AF Zhou, Zichen
Zhang, Yongzhong
Gou, Jianjun
Kan, Nan
Zhao, Feida
Yao, Lulu
Hou, Shike
TI Successful Large Hospital Evacuation With 11 350 Patients Transferred in
the 2021 Zhengzhou Flood
LA English
DT Article
DE disasters; emergency preparedness; floods; hospital administration;
patient transfer
AB Objectives:This is a case report of a huge hospital evacuation with 11 350
inpatients in the 2021 Zhengzhou flood in China, using a mixed methods analysis.
Methods:The qualitative part was a content analysis of semi-structured interviews
of 6 key hospital staff involved in evacuation management. The evacuation
experience was reviewed according to the 4 stages of disaster management:
prevention, preparation, response, and recovery. Results:Because of unprecedented
torrential rain, the flood exceeded expectations, and there was a lack of local
preventive measures. In preparation, according to the alert, the evacuation was
planned to reduce the workload on inpatients and to accept the surge of medical
needs by the flood. In response, the prioritization of critically ill patients and
large-scale collaboration of hospital staff, rescue teams, and accepting branch
made it possible to successfully transfer all 11 350 inpatients. In recovery,
restoring medical services and a series of activities to improve the hospital's
vulnerability were carried out. Conclusions:A hospital evacuation is one of the
strategies of the business continuity plan of a hospital. For the evacuation,
leadership and collaboration were important. Challenges such as prolonged roadway
flooding and the infrastructure issues were needed to be addressed throughout the
evacuation process.
C1 [Zhou, Zichen] Tianjin Univ, Coll Management & Econ, Tianjin, Peoples R China.
[Zhang, Yongzhong; Zhao, Feida; Yao, Lulu] Tianjin Univ, Inst Disaster &
Emergency Med, Tianjin, Peoples R China.
[Gou, Jianjun; Kan, Nan] Zhengzhou Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Zhengzhou, Henan,
Peoples R China.
[Hou, Shike] Tianjin Univ, Inst Disaster & Emergency Med, Asia Pacific Div
Disaster Med & Publ Hlth Prepared, Disaster Med Chinese Med Assoc, Tianjin, Peoples
R China.
C3 Tianjin University; Tianjin University; Zhengzhou University; Tianjin
University
RP Hou, SK (corresponding author), Tianjin Univ, Inst Disaster & Emergency Med,
Asia Pacific Div Disaster Med & Publ Hlth Prepared, Disaster Med Chinese Med Assoc,
Tianjin, Peoples R China.
EM houshike@tju.edu.cn
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NR 12
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 0
U2 0
PI NEW YORK
SN 1935-7893
EI 1938-744X
PD JUL 24
PY 2023
VL 17
AR e434
DI 10.1017/dmp.2023.94
PG 6
(SSCI)
GA M6WU8
UT WOS:001031608600001
PM 37485830
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Fujiki, K
Laleau, M
AF Fujiki, Kenji
Laleau, Melanie
TI A geographic approach for spatializing emergency sheltering needs in a
crisis situation - Case study of a massive evacuation triggered by a
major Seine flood in Ile-de-France region
SO HOUILLE BLANCHE-REVUE INTERNATIONALE DE L EAU
LA French
DT Article
DE massive evacuation; GIS; emergency sheltering; Ile-de-France region
ID SOCIAL VULNERABILITY; DISASTER
AB One million inhabitants could be flooded and 6.5 million could suffer
electricity or water outage in case of a major Seine flood in the Ile-de-France
(Paris) region - these impacts question the feasibility of a massive evacuation in
the scenario of a flood similar or superior to the 100-year flood of 1910. Our
study aims at developing a decision support tool for the regional authorities
(Prefecture de Police de Paris), in their planning process of a massive evacuation.
It consists in a GIS methodology designed to identify spatialized emergency
sheltering needs of affected populations. The methodology relies on the combination
of two indexes, aggregated at the building scale: (1) an "exposure index" -
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physical direct impacts (flood height, geographic isolation, utilities outage).
This index is computed for a given flood scenario and stems from the planning
process of the Prefecture de Police de Paris, coordinating crisis management at the
regional scale, and its considerations regarding a potential evacuation strategy;
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C1 [Fujiki, Kenji] Univ Strasbourg, CNRS, LIVE, UMR 7362, Strasbourg, France.
[Laleau, Melanie] Prefecture Police Paris SGZDS, Paris, France.
C3 Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); CNRS - Institute of
Ecology & Environment (INEE); UDICE-French Research Universities;
Universites de Strasbourg Etablissements Associes; Universite de
Strasbourg
RP Fujiki, K (corresponding author), Univ Strasbourg, CNRS, LIVE, UMR 7362,
Strasbourg, France.
EM kenji.fujiki@live-cnrs.unistra.fr
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Z9 1
U1 1
U2 6
PI ABINGDON
SN 0018-6368
EI 1958-5551
J9 HOUILLE BLANCHE
JI Houille Blanche-Rev. Int.
PD NOV 13
PY 2019
IS 3-4
BP 75
EP 83
DI 10.1051/lhb/2019043
PG 9
WC Water Resources
(SSCI)
SC Water Resources
GA JV8DX
UT WOS:000502591200009
OA Bronze, Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Yabe, T
Ukkusuri, SV
AF Yabe, Takahiro
Ukkusuri, Satish, V
TI Effects of income inequality on evacuation, reentry and segregation
after disasters
LA English
DT Article
DE Inequality; Social equity; Spatial segregation; Evacuation; Disaster
resilience; Mobile phone data
ID HURRICANE EVACUATION; MAJOR DISASTERS; RISK PERCEPTION; HUMAN MOBILITY;
EXPERIENCES; IMPACT
AB Large-scale disasters often trigger mass evacuation due to significant damages
to urban systems. Understanding the evacuation and reentry (return) process of
affected individuals is crucial for disaster management. Moreover, measuring the
heterogeneity in the individuals' post-disaster behavior with respect to their
socio-economic characteristics is essential for policy making. Recent studies have
used large-scale location datasets collected from mobile devices to analyze post-
disaster mobility patterns. Despite the availability of such data and the societal
importance of the problem, no studies have focused on how income inequality affects
the equity in post-disaster mobility. To overcome these research gaps, we overlay
mobility data with income information from census to quantify the effects of income
inequality on evacuation and reentry behavior after disasters, and the resulting
spatial income segregation. Spatio-temporal analysis using location data of more
than 1.7 million mobile phone users from Florida affected by Hurricane Irma reveal
significant effects of income inequality on evacuation behavior. Evacuees with
higher income were more likely to evacuate from affected areas and reach safer
locations with less damage on housing and infrastructure. These differences were
common among evacuees from both inside and outside mandatory evacuation zones. As a
result of such effects of inequality, significant spatial income segregation was
observed in the affected areas. Insights on the effects of income inequality on
post-disaster mobility and spatial segregation could contribute to policies that
better address social equity in pre-disaster preparation and post-disaster relief.
C1 [Yabe, Takahiro; Ukkusuri, Satish, V] Purdue Univ, Lyles Sch Civil Engn, 550
Stadium Mall Dr, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA.
Lafayette Campus
RP Ukkusuri, SV (corresponding author), Purdue Univ, Lyles Sch Civil Engn, 550
Stadium Mall Dr, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA.
EM tyabe@purdue.edu; sukkusur@purdue.edu
OI Yabe, Takahiro/0000-0001-8967-1967
FU Purdue Systems Collaboratory; NSF [1638311]; Div Of Civil, Mechanical, &
FX We thank collaborators of Safegraph Inc. for preparing the mobile phone
GPS data used in this study. T.Y. is partly supported by the Doctoral
Fellowship provided by the Purdue Systems Collaboratory. T.Y and S.V.U
were partly supported by NSF Grant No. 1638311 CRISP Type
2/Collaborative Research: Critical Transitions in the Resilience and
Recovery of Interdependent Social and Physical Networks.
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NR 73
TC 27
Z9 27
U1 7
U2 34
PI OXFORD
SN 1361-9209
PD MAY
PY 2020
VL 82
AR 102260
DI 10.1016/j.trd.2020.102260
PG 15
Technology
(SSCI)
GA LK2JZ
UT WOS:000530686800010
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU VanDevanter, N
Raveis, VH
Kovner, CT
McCollum, M
Keller, R
AF VanDevanter, Nancy
Raveis, Victoria H.
Kovner, Christine T.
McCollum, Meriel
Keller, Ronald
TI Challenges and Resources for Nurses Participating in a Hurricane Sandy
Hospital Evacuation
SO JOURNAL OF NURSING SCHOLARSHIP
LA English
DT Article
DE Nurse's disaster experience; nurses' disaster preparedness education;
Superstorm Sandy
AB PurposeWeather-related disasters have increased dramatically in recent years. In
2012, severe flooding as a result of Hurricane Sandy necessitated the mid-storm
patient evacuation of New York University Langone Medical Center. The purpose of
this study was to explore, from the nurses' perspective, what the challenges and
resources were to carrying out their responsibilities, and what the implications
are for nursing education and preparation for disaster.
DesignThis mixed-methods study included qualitative interviews with a purposive
sample of nurses and an online survey of nurses who participated in the evacuation.
MethodsThe interviews explored prior disaster experience and training,
communication, personal experience during the evacuation, and lessons learned. The
cross-sectional survey assessed social demographic factors, nursing education and
experience, as well as potential challenges and resources in carrying out their
disaster roles.
FindingsQualitative interviews provided important contextual information about
the specific challenges nurses experienced and their ability to respond
effectively. Survey data identified important resources that helped nurses to carry
out their roles, including support from coworkers, providing support to others,
personal resourcefulness, and leadership. Nurses experienced considerable
challenges in responding to this disaster due to limited prior disaster experience,
training, and education, but drew on their personal resourcefulness, support from
colleagues, and leadership to adapt to those challenges.
ConclusionsDisaster preparedness education in schools of nursing and practice
settings should include more hands-on disaster preparation exercises, more low-tech
options to address power loss, and specific policies on nurses' disaster roles.
Clinical RelevanceNurses play a critical role in responding to disasters.
Learning from their disaster experience can inform approaches to nursing education
and preparation.
C1 [VanDevanter, Nancy; Kovner, Christine T.] NYU, Rory Meyers Coll Nursing, New
York, NY USA.
[Raveis, Victoria H.] NYU, Coll Dent, New York, NY USA.
[McCollum, Meriel] Univ N Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC USA.
[Keller, Ronald] NYU, Langone Med Ctr, Nursing NYU Hosp Ctr, New York, NY USA.
C3 New York University; New York University; University of North Carolina;
University of North Carolina Chapel Hill; New York University; NYU
Langone Medical Center
RP VanDevanter, N (corresponding author), NYU, Coll Nursing, 433 1st Ave, New York,
NY 10010 USA.
EM nvd2@nyu.edu
RI Raveis, Victoria/AAU-8250-2020
OI Raveis, Victoria/0000-0001-6063-7669; McCollum,
Meriel/0000-0003-2683-5543; Keller, Ronald/0000-0002-9657-4329; kovner,
christine/0000-0001-7983-1066
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TC 27
Z9 27
U1 0
U2 11
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 1527-6546
EI 1547-5069
J9 J NURS SCHOLARSHIP
JI J. Nurs. Scholarsh.
PD NOV
PY 2017
VL 49
IS 6
BP 635
EP 643
DI 10.1111/jnu.12329
PG 9
WC Nursing
(SSCI)
SC Nursing
GA FK7LF
UT WOS:000413687000007
PM 28806490
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Kakimoto, R
Yoshida, M
AF Kakimoto, Ryuji
Yoshida, Mamoru
TI Evacuation action during torrential rain considering situation awareness
error using protection motivation theory
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuation action; Situation awareness; Naturalistic decision -making;
Protection motivation theory; Questionnaire survey; Flood
ID RISK
AB The torrential rains in July 2018 caused considerable river overflow, flood
damage, and land-slides, particularly in western Japan. At that time, 232
fatalities and missing persons were recorded, with most human damage caused by
delays in evacuation. These delays occur during most torrential rain events, and
can presumably be attributed to a situation awareness error in the disaster
response of residents. This study analyzed the evacuation decision-making structure
by adding a situation awareness error to the protection motivation theory
framework. Accord-ingly, the evacuation actions of residents during torrential
rains in Japan in 2018 were surveyed and analyzed using structural equation
modeling and logistic regression. Most respondents chose not to evacuate despite
showing a high intention to do so. Such respondents evacuated only in re-sponse to
a trigger such as a dramatic change in their surrounding environment or the receipt
of an evacuation appeal. By considering situation awareness errors in protection
motivation theory, this study identified active and passive evacuation decisions to
clarify the stage at which evacua-tion delays occurred. The findings provide
guidance on the stage of situation awareness that should be promoted and the
specific measures required to achieve efficient evacuation.
C1 [Kakimoto, Ryuji] Kumamoto Univ, Fac Adv Sci & Technol, Kumamoto, Japan.
[Yoshida, Mamoru] Nagasaki Univ, Fac Environm Sci, Nagasaki, Japan.
C3 Kumamoto University; Nagasaki University
RP Kakimoto, R (corresponding author), Kumamoto Univ, Fac Adv Sci & Technol,
Kumamoto, Japan.
EM kakimoto@kumamot-u.ac.jp
FU Japan Society for the Promotion of Science [19H02263]
FX This work was supported by the Japan Society for the Promotion of
Science Grant -in -Aid for Scientific Research (B) [Grant Number
19H02263] .
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PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD NOV
PY 2022
VL 82
AR 103343
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.103343
EA OCT 2022
PG 13
Water Resources
GA 5R0EZ
UT WOS:000874194900006
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Pillac, V
Van Hentenryck, P
Even, C
AF Pillac, Victor
Van Hentenryck, Pascal
Even, Caroline
TI A conflict-based path-generation heuristic for evacuation planning
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuation planning and scheduling; Regional evacuation; Disaster
management; Conflict-based path generation
ID OPTIMIZATION; MODEL
AB Evacuation planning and scheduling is a critical aspect of disaster management
and national security applications. This paper proposes a conflict-based path-
generation approach for evacuation planning. Its key idea is to decompose the
evacuation planning problem into a master and a subproblem. The subproblem
generates new evacuation paths for each evacuated area, while the master problem
optimizes the flow of evacuees and produce an evacuation plan. Each new path is
generated to remedy conflicts in the evacuation flows and adds new columns and a
new row in the master problem. The algorithm is applied to a set of large-scale
evacuation scenarios ranging from the Hawkesbury-Nepean flood plain (West Sydney,
Australia) which require evacuating in the order of 70,000 persons, to the New
Orleans metropolitan area and its 1,000,000 residents. Experiments illustrate the
scalability of the approach which is able to produce evacuation for scenarios with
more than 1200 nodes, while a direct Mixed Integer Programming formulation becomes
intractable for instances with more than 5 nodes. With this approach, realistic
evacuations scenarios can be solved near-optimally in reasonable time, supporting
both evacuation planning in strategic, tactical, and operational environments. (C)
2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
C1 [Pillac, Victor; Even, Caroline] Natl ICT Ausbalia NICTA, West Melbourne, Vic,
Australia.
[Van Hentenryck, Pascal] Univ Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA.
C3 University of Michigan System; University of Michigan
RP Van Hentenryck, P (corresponding author), Univ Michigan, Ind & Operat Engn, 1205
Beal Ave, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA.
EM victor.pillac@nicta.com.au; pvanhent@umich.edu;
caroline.even@nicta.com.au
FU Australian Government; Australian Research Council through ICT Centre of
Excellence program
FX NICTA is funded by the Australian Government as represented by the
Department of Broadband, Communications and the Digital Economy and the
Australian Research Council through the ICT Centre of Excellence
program. The authors would like to thank the anonymous referees for
their comments and suggestions.
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NR 34
TC 42
Z9 42
U1 6
U2 56
PI OXFORD
SN 0191-2615
EI 1879-2367
PD JAN
PY 2016
VL 83
BP 136
EP 150
DI 10.1016/j.trb.2015.09.008
PG 15
(SSCI)
GA DB0ML
UT WOS:000368202100009
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wang, Y
Kyriakidis, M
Dang, VN
AF Wang, Yi
Kyriakidis, Miltos
Dang, Vinh N.
TI Incorporating human factors in emergency evacuation-An overview of
behavioral factors and models
LA English
DT Review
DE Emergency evacuation; Behavioral factors; Evacuation timeline; Empirical
observations; Pedestrian evacuation; Vehicular evacuation
ID HURRICANE EVACUATION; DECISION-MAKING; RISK PERCEPTION; ROUTE CHOICE;
CROWD EVACUATION; DRIVING BEHAVIOR; SOCIAL-INFLUENCE; EXIT CHOICE;
GAME-THEORY; INFORMATION
AB Evacuation modelling has developed over time from simple engineering equations
that do not consider behavioral tendencies to more sophisticated models with the
potential to represent evacuation behaviors and decisions. This paper aims to lay
the foundations for a more realistic representation of human factors in evacuation
models, which is needed to ensure the adequacy of the infrastructure, decision
processes and safety of evacuation. To provide a clearer picture of the empirical
knowledge and modelling for evacuation studies, a generalized timeline is
introduced. Recent behavioral evidence from empirical studies in the fields of both
pedestrian evacuation and vehicular evacuations are reviewed to investigate the
impact of various factors on the evacuee behavior over different phases. The
consensus perspective on key behaviors that emerges is then used to review and
consolidate the recent advances in evacuation modelling, in particular with respect
to the formulations and techniques for representing these behaviors. Within each of
these discussions, we pointed to current limitations and make corresponding
suggestions on future research directions.
C1 [Wang, Yi; Kyriakidis, Miltos] Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Future Resilient Syst,
Singapore ETH Ctr, Singapore, Singapore.
[Kyriakidis, Miltos; Dang, Vinh N.] Paul Scherrer Inst, Lab Energy Syst Anal,
Villigen, Switzerland.
C3 Swiss Federal Institutes of Technology Domain; Paul Scherrer Institute
RP Wang, Y (corresponding author), Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Future Resilient Syst,
Singapore ETH Ctr, Singapore, Singapore.
EM yi.wang@frs.ethz.ch; miltiadis.kyriakidis@psi.ch; vinh.dang@psi.ch
RI Dang, Vinh N/HDO-0223-2022
OI Dang, Vinh N/0000-0002-4921-2421; WANG, YI/0000-0003-0210-421X
FU Singapore's National Research Foundation [FI 370074011]; ETH Zurich [FI
370074011]
FX This work was conducted at the Future Resilient Systems at the
Singapore-ETH Center, which was established collaboratively between ETH
Zurich and Singapore's National Research Foundation (FI 370074011) under
its Campus for Research Excellence and Technological Enterprise
programme.
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NR 166
TC 15
Z9 16
U1 18
U2 107
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD JUN 15
PY 2021
VL 60
AR 102254
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102254
EA MAY 2021
PG 15
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA SQ7AH
UT WOS:000660504000005
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Mort, M
Walker, M
Williams, AL
Bingley, A
AF Mort, Maggie
Walker, Marion
Williams, Alison Lloyd
Bingley, Amanda
TI Displacement: Critical insights from flood-affected children
SO HEALTH & PLACE
LA English
DT Article
DE Displacement; Children and young people; Flooding; Evacuation; Social
vulnerability
ID COMMUNITY DISASTER; PLACE; WATER; RECOVERY
AB Little is known about how children and young people are affected by evacuation
following flooding. Participatory research using creative methods allowed us to
elicit flood stories and recovery pathways over time. We found that children's
relationships with space and place were severely challenged following evacuation
from home. They suffered losses, including loss of agency, friendship networks and
familiar space. They experienced distress, anxiety and disillusionment with
societal responses. Sustained attention by flood risk and recovery agencies is
required to address children's ongoing needs following evacuation. From
policymakers recognition is overdue that young people are citizens who already
contribute to community flood response and so need to be more explicitly consulted
and included in the development of flood risk management.
C1 [Mort, Maggie; Walker, Marion; Williams, Alison Lloyd] Univ Lancaster, Bowland
North, Dept Sociol, Lancaster LA1 4YT, England.
[Bingley, Amanda] Univ Lancaster, Div Hlth Res, Lancaster, England.
C3 N8 Research Partnership; Lancaster University; N8 Research Partnership;
Lancaster University
RP Mort, M (corresponding author), Univ Lancaster, Bowland North, Dept Sociol,
Lancaster LA1 4YT, England.
EM m.mort@lancaster.ac.uk
RI ; Bingley, Amanda/N-1544-2015
OI Walker, Marion Patricia/0000-0001-6426-6383; Bingley,
Amanda/0000-0002-4817-614X; Lloyd Williams, Alison/0000-0001-6193-602X;
Mort, Margaret Mary Elizabeth/0000-0003-0188-324X
FU UK Economic and Social Research Council [ES/MOO7367/1]; European Union's
Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme [653753]; ESRC
[ES/M007367/1] Funding Source: UKRI; H2020 Societal Challenges Programme
[653753] Funding Source: H2020 Societal Challenges Programme
FX This work has received funding from the UK Economic and Social Research
Council [grant number: ES/MOO7367/1] and the European Union's Horizon
2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 653753
(views expressed are those of the authors, not these agencies).
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NR 38
TC 22
Z9 22
U1 0
U2 11
PU ELSEVIER SCI LTD
PI OXFORD
SN 1353-8292
EI 1873-2054
J9 HEALTH PLACE
JI Health Place
PD JUL
PY 2018
VL 52
BP 148
EP 154
DI 10.1016/j.healthplace.2018.05.006
PG 7
(SSCI)
GA GN5AI
UT WOS:000439053800016
PM 29890442
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Trenberth, KE
Cheng, LJ
Jacobs, P
Zhang, YX
Fasullo, J
AF Trenberth, Kevin E.
Cheng, Lijing
Jacobs, Peter
Zhang, Yongxin
Fasullo, John
TI Hurricane Harvey Links to Ocean Heat Content and Climate Change
Adaptation
SO EARTHS FUTURE
LA English
DT Article
DE hurricane; ocean heat content; rainfall; extreme events; climate change;
adaptation
ID TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY; OF-ATMOSPHERE RADIATION; ENERGY; VARIABILITY;
TRANSPORTS; TRENDS; FLUXES
AB While hurricanes occur naturally, human-caused climate change is supercharging
them and exacerbating the risk of major damage. Here using ocean and atmosphere
observations, we demonstrate links between increased upper ocean heat content due
to global warming with the extreme rainfalls from recent hurricanes. Hurricane
Harvey provides an excellent case study as it was isolated in space and time. We
show that prior to the beginning of northern summer of 2017, ocean heat content was
the highest on record both globally and in the Gulf of Mexico, but the latter
sharply decreased with hurricane Harvey via ocean evaporative cooling. The lost
ocean heat was realized in the atmosphere as moisture, and then as latent heat in
record-breaking heavy rainfalls. Accordingly, record high ocean heat values not
only increased the fuel available to sustain and intensify Harvey but also
increased its flooding rains on land. Harvey could not have produced so much rain
without human-induced climate change. Results have implications for the role of
hurricanes in climate. Proactive planning for the consequences of human-caused
climate change is not happening in many vulnerable areas, making the disasters much
worse.
Plain Language Summary Human-induced climate change continues to warm the oceans
which provide the memory of past accumulated effects. The resulting environment,
including higher ocean heat content and sea surface temperatures, invigorates
tropical cyclones to make them more intense, bigger, and longer lasting and greatly
increases their flooding rains. The main example here is Hurricane Harvey in August
2017, which can be reasonably isolated in terms of influences on and by the
environment. Hurricanes keep tropical oceans cooler as a consequence of their
strong winds that increase evaporation. Here we show for the first time that the
rainfall likely matches the evaporation and the corresponding ocean heat loss.
Planning for such supercharged hurricanes (adaptation) by increasing resilience
(e.g., better building codes and flood protection) and preparing for contingencies
(such as evacuation routes, power cuts, and so forth) is essential but not adequate
in many areas, including Texas, Florida, and Puerto Rico where Harvey, Irma, and
Maria took their toll.
C1 [Trenberth, Kevin E.; Zhang, Yongxin; Fasullo, John] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB
3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA.
[Cheng, Lijing] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, Int Ctr Climate &
Environm Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China.
[Jacobs, Peter] George Mason Univ, Dept Environm Sci & Policy, Fairfax, VA 22030
USA.
C3 National Center Atmospheric Research (NCAR) - USA; Chinese Academy of
Sciences; Institute of Atmospheric Physics, CAS; George Mason University
RP Trenberth, KE (corresponding author), Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder,
CO 80307 USA.
EM trenbert@ucar.edu
RI cheng, lijing/W-2261-2017; Trenberth, Kevin Edward/A-5683-2012; Keyes,
Dennis/AAZ-9285-2021; Fasullo, John/H-4552-2019
OI cheng, lijing/0000-0002-9854-0392; Trenberth, Kevin
Edward/0000-0002-1445-1000; Fasullo, John/0000-0003-1216-892X; Jacobs,
Peter/0000-0002-6951-7126
FU National Key R&D Program of China [2017YFA0603202]; DOE grant
[DE-SC0012711]; National Science Foundation; U.S. Department of Energy
(DOE) [DE-SC0012711] Funding Source: U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)
FX L. Cheng is supported by the National Key R&D Program of China
(2017YFA0603202). This research is partially sponsored by DOE grant
DE-SC0012711. NCAR is sponsored by the National Science Foundation. Many
thanks to John Abraham and Rebecca Morss for comments and suggestions.
OHC data are available at http://159.226.119.60/cheng/. Argo data are
available at http://doi.org/10.17882/42182 and we thank the Argo Project
http://www.argo.ucsd.edu/Acknowledging_Argo.html. NOAA High Resolution
SST data were provided from https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/by the
NOAA/OAR/ESRL PSD, Boulder, Colorado, USA. We use monthly TOA Clouds and
the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES) Energy Balanced and Filled
(EBAF) Ed. 4.0 radiation on (Loeb et al., 2009)
http://ceres.larc.nasa.gov/order_data.php and the operational FLASHFlux
product from Langley Atmospheric Science Data Center
https://ceres.larc.nasa.gov/products.php?product=FLASHFlux. The
atmospheric data are the global reanalyses from ECMWF Interim
Re-Analysis (ERA-I; Dee et al., 2011)
http://data-portal.ecmwf.int/data/d/interim_daily/ and the North
American Regional Reanalysis (NARR; Mesinger et al., 2006)
https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/gridded/data.narr.html. The GPCP
version used is 1DD (1 degree daily) V1.3. available at
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/data/globalprecipitation-climatology-project-g
pcpdaily/ access/.
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NR 77
TC 164
Z9 168
U1 17
U2 134
PI WASHINGTON
EI 2328-4277
J9 EARTHS FUTURE
JI Earth Future
PD MAY
PY 2018
VL 6
IS 5
BP 730
EP 744
DI 10.1029/2018EF000825
PG 15
WC Environmental Sciences; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary; Meteorology &
Atmospheric Sciences
SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Geology; Meteorology & Atmospheric
Sciences
GA GJ8KY
UT WOS:000435639800005
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Mohajervatan, A
Tavakoli, N
Khankeh, H
Raeisi, AR
Atighechian, G
AF Mohajervatan, Ali
Tavakoli, Nahid
Khankeh, Hamidreza
Raeisi, Ahmad Reza
Atighechian, Golrokh
TI Identifying flood response experiences in Iranian health system: A
qualitative study
LA English
DE emergency response and evacuation; flood damages; health impacts
ID IMPACTS; ADAPTATION
AB One of the most essential purposes of the health system is to ensure that people
affected by various disastrous events, such as floods, have access timely to basic
health services. Therefore, enhancing the preparedness and response plans for such
events should be a national priority. Because of the complexity and devastating
impacts of floods on public health, it is a crucial to understand the various
aspects of flood experience in the country. The experiences of managers and
operational staff from various units of the Iranian health system are a valuable
source for understanding flood complexities. These experiences were explored using
19 semi-structured interviews with people who had firsthand experience of this
phenomenon. Based on the results, in order to provide a flood response plan, it is
necessary to adhere to the principles and foundations that can meet the needs
arising from the flood. Our study showed that the health system's response to
flooding can be divided into two categories: initial and specific functions. A
comprehensive response requires an initial function to prevent flood impacts, and
specific functions are needed to prevent and treat flood-related diseases. These
results could form the basis for the health system's response to future floods.
C1 [Mohajervatan, Ali] Golestan Univ Med Sci, Sch Paramed Sci, Dept Anesthesia &
Prehosp Emergency, Gorgan, Iran.
[Tavakoli, Nahid; Raeisi, Ahmad Reza; Atighechian, Golrokh] Isfahan Univ Med
Sci, Hlth Management & Econ Res Ctr, Esfahan, Iran.
[Khankeh, Hamidreza] Univ Social Welf & Rehabil Sci, Res Ctr Emergency &
Disaster Hlth, Tehran, Iran.
[Tavakoli, Nahid] Isfahan Univ Med Sci, Hlth Management & Econ Res Ctr, Esfahan,
Iran.
C3 Golestan University of Medical Sciences; Isfahan University Medical
Science; Isfahan University Medical Science
RP Tavakoli, N (corresponding author), Isfahan Univ Med Sci, Hlth Management & Econ
Res Ctr, Esfahan, Iran.
EM tavakoli@mng.mui.ac.ir
RI Atighechian, Golrokh/AAC-4877-2019
FU Isfahan University of Medical Sciences [399504]; Fund for Support of
Researchers and Technologists of Iran [99021449]
FX The researcher would like to thank all of the managers and staff from
the health system who participated in the interviews and shared their
experiences with the study team. Ethical consideration: This article is
a part of the result of a Ph.D. thesis from Isfahan University of
Medical Sciences with the approved number 399504 and is supported by the
Fund for Support of Researchers and Technologists of Iran with the
approved number 99021449. I would like to thank them for their support
of this student dissertation.
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318X.2008.00010.x
NR 48
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 0
U2 0
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 1753-318X
PD 2023 JUL 18
PY 2023
DI 10.1111/jfr3.12932
EA JUL 2023
PG 12
GA M5OI0
UT WOS:001030705700001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Naulin, JP
Payrastre, O
Gaume, E
AF Naulin, J. -P.
Payrastre, O.
Gaume, E.
TI Spatially distributed flood forecasting in flash flood prone areas:
Application to road network supervision in Southern France
LA English
DT Article
DE Flash flood; Forecast; Distributed model; Event management; Ungauged
watershed
ID SEPTEMBER 2002; GARD REGION; RAINFALL; RUNOFF; MODEL
AB Accurate flood forecasts are critical to an efficient flood event management
strategy. Until now, hydro-meteorological forecasts have mainly been used to
establish early-warnings in France (meteorological and flood vigilance maps) or
over the world (flash-flood guidances). These forecasts are typically limited
either to the main streams covered by the flood forecasting services or to
watersheds with specific assets like check dams, which in most cases are well
gauged river sections, thus leaving aside large parts of the territory. This paper
presents a distributed hydro-meteorological forecasting approach, which makes use
of the high spatial and temporal resolution rainfall estimates that are now
available, to provide information at ungauged sites. The proposed system intended
to detect road inundation risks had initially been developed and tested in areas of
limited size. This paper presents the extension of such a system to an entire
region (i.e. the Gard region in Southern France), including over 2000 crossing
points between rivers and roads and its validation with respect to a large data set
of actual reported road inundations observed during recent flash flood events.
These initial validation results appear to be most promising. The eventual proposed
tool would provide the necessary information for flood event management services to
identify the areas at risk and adopt appropriate safety and rescue measures: i.e.
pre-positioning of rescue equipment, interruption of the traffic on the exposed
roads and determination of safe access or evacuation routes. Moreover, beyond the
specific application to the supervision of a road network, the research undertaken
herein also provides results for the performance of hydro-meteorological forecasts
on ungauged headwaters. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
C1 [Naulin, J. -P.; Payrastre, O.; Gaume, E.] LUNAM Univ, IFSTTAR, GERS, F-44344
Bouguenais, France.
C3 Universite Gustave-Eiffel
RP Gaume, E (corresponding author), LUNAM Univ, IFSTTAR, GERS, F-44344 Bouguenais,
France.
EM eric.gaume@ifsttar.fr
RI Gaume, Eric/G-6312-2013; Payrastre, Olivier/V-3548-2019
OI Gaume, Eric/0000-0002-7260-9793; Payrastre, Olivier/0000-0002-8396-5873
FU French National Research Agency [ANR-08-RISKNAT-006-01/PREDI-FLOOD]
FX This work benefited from the support of the French National Research
Agency, Contract Number ANR-08-RISKNAT-006-01/PREDI-FLOOD. The authors
thank Marco Borga and the two anonymous reviewers for their very helpful
comments on earlier versions of this paper.
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NR 38
TC 47
Z9 47
U1 1
U2 77
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 0022-1694
EI 1879-2707
J9 J HYDROL
JI J. Hydrol.
PD APR 12
PY 2013
VL 486
BP 88
EP 99
DI 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.01.044
PG 12
GA 125JZ
UT WOS:000317537400007
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Thompson, RR
Garfin, DR
Silver, RC
AF Thompson, Rebecca R.
Garfin, Dana Rose
Silver, Roxane Cohen
TI Evacuation from Natural Disasters: A Systematic Review of the Literature
SO RISK ANALYSIS
LA English
DT Review
DE Evacuation; natural disaster; systematic review
ID HURRICANE EVACUATION; RISK PERCEPTION; DECISION-MAKING; RESPONSES;
INFORMATION; BEHAVIOR; MODEL; TIME; COMMUNICATION; DETERMINANTS
AB Research on evacuation from natural disasters has been published across the
peer-reviewed literature among several disparate disciplinary outlets and has
suggested a wide variety of predictors of evacuation behavior. We conducted a
systematic review to summarize and evaluate the current literature on demographic,
storm-related, and psychosocial correlates of natural disaster evacuation behavior.
Eighty-three eligible papers utilizing 83 independent samples were identified. Risk
perception was a consistent positive predictor of evacuation, as were several
demographic indicators, prior evacuation behavior, and having an evacuation plan.
The influence of prior experiences, self-efficacy, personality, and links between
expected and actual behavior were examined less frequently. Prospective,
longitudinal designs are relatively uncommon. Although difficult to conduct in
postdisaster settings, more prospective, methodologically rigorous studies would
bolster inferences. Results synthesize the current body of literature on evacuation
behavior and can help inform the design of more effective predisaster evacuation
warnings and procedures.
C1 [Thompson, Rebecca R.; Garfin, Dana Rose; Silver, Roxane Cohen] Univ Calif
Irvine, Dept Psychol & Social Behav, 4201 Social & Behav Sci Gateway, Irvine, CA
92697 USA.
[Silver, Roxane Cohen] Univ Calif Irvine, Program Publ Hlth, Irvine, CA USA.
[Silver, Roxane Cohen] Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Med, Irvine, CA 92717 USA.
C3 University of California System; University of California Irvine;
University of California System; University of California Irvine;
University of California System; University of California Irvine
RP Silver, RC (corresponding author), Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Psychol & Social
Behav, 4201 Social & Behav Sci Gateway, Irvine, CA 92697 USA.
EM rsilver@uci.edu
RI Garfin, Dana/AAY-4021-2020
FU Federal Alliance for Safe Homes (FLASH)
FX Preparation of this article was supported in part by funding from the
Federal Alliance for Safe Homes (FLASH) to the first two authors. The
content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not
necessarily represent the official views of FLASH. The authors declare
no conflicts of interest.
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NR 104
TC 128
Z9 131
U1 29
U2 160
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 0272-4332
EI 1539-6924
J9 RISK ANAL
JI Risk Anal.
PD APR
PY 2017
VL 37
IS 4
BP 812
EP 839
DI 10.1111/risa.12654
PG 28
(SSCI)
GA EU3WB
UT WOS:000400960600013
PM 28000928
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Houston, D
Ball, T
Werritty, A
Black, AR
AF Houston, Donald
Ball, Tom
Werritty, Alan
Black, Andrew R.
TI Social Influences on Flood Preparedness and Mitigation Measures Adopted
by People Living with Flood Risk
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE flood vulnerability; flood resilience; social inequality
ID VULNERABILITY; HEALTH; RESILIENCE; MANAGEMENT; INEQUALITY; INSURANCE;
ENGLAND; IMPACTS; POLICY; PLACE
AB This paper aims to analyse evidence, based on one of the largest and most
representative samples of households previously flooded or living with flood risk
to date, of social patterns in a range of flood resilience traits relating to
preparedness prior to a flood (e.g., property adaptations, contents insurance,
etc.) and mitigations enacted during and immediately following a flood (e.g.,
receiving a warning, evacuation into temporary accommodation, etc.). The data were
collected from a 2006 survey of 1223 households from a variety of locations across
Scotland between one and twelve years after major local floods. Our analysis
identifies remarkably few social differences in flood preparedness and mitigation
measures, although some aspects of demography, housing and length of residence in
an area, as well as personal flood history, are important. In light of this
finding, we argue that social differences in vulnerability and resilience to
flooding arise from deep-seated socio-economic and socio-spatial inequalities that
affect exposure to flood risk and ability to recover from flood impacts. The
engrained, but well-meaning, assumption in flood risk management that impoverished
households and communities are lacking or deficient in flood preparedness or
mitigation knowledge and capabilities is somewhat pejorative and misses
fundamental, yet sometimes invisible, social stratifications play out in subtle but
powerful ways to affect households' and communities' ability to avoid and recover
from floods. We argue that general poverty and inequality alleviation measures,
such as tax and welfare policy and urban and community regeneration schemes, are
likely to be as, if not more, important in alleviating social inequalities in the
long-term impacts of floods than social targeting of flood risk management policy.
C1 [Houston, Donald] Univ Portsmouth, Sch Environm Geog & Geosci, Portsmouth PO1
3HE, Hants, England.
[Ball, Tom] Univ Winchester, Dept Archaeol Anthropol & Geog, Anthropol & Geog,
Winchester SO22 4NR, Hants, England.
[Werritty, Alan; Black, Andrew R.] Univ Dundee, Geog & Environm Sci, Dundee DD1
4HN, Scotland.
C3 University of Portsmouth; University of Winchester; University of Dundee
RP Houston, D (corresponding author), Univ Portsmouth, Sch Environm Geog & Geosci,
Portsmouth PO1 3HE, Hants, England.
EM donald.houston@port.ac.uk; tom.ball@winchester.ac.uk;
a.werritty@dundee.ac.uk; a.z.black@dundee.ac.uk
OI Houston, Donald/0000-0002-7178-9630; Black, Andrew/0000-0001-9292-1146
CR [Anonymous], 2011, CLIMATE CHANGE JUSTI
[Anonymous], 2007, EXPLORING SOCIAL IMP
[Anonymous], 2006, HAZARDS VULNERABILIT
[Anonymous], 2008, DEV EVIDENCE BASE FL
Ball T, 2013, AREA, V45, P266, DOI 10.1111/area.12038
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NR 42
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 5
U2 16
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD NOV
PY 2021
VL 13
IS 21
AR 2972
DI 10.3390/w13212972
PG 16
GA XE1XJ
UT WOS:000723188300001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Rufat, S
Howe, PD
AF Rufat, Samuel
Howe, Peter D.
TI Small-Area Estimations from Survey Data for High-Resolution Maps of
Urban Flood Risk Perception and Evacuation Behavior
SO ANNALS OF THE AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF GEOGRAPHERS
LA English
DE evacuation behavior; mapping; risk perception; small-area estimations;
survey data
ID PUBLIC-OPINION; MULTILEVEL REGRESSION; SOCIAL VULNERABILITY;
CLIMATE-CHANGE; GEOGRAPHIC-VARIATION; MITIGATION BEHAVIOR; US STATES;
POSTSTRATIFICATION; COMMUNICATION; RESILIENCE
AB "Behavior-blind" risk assessments, mapping, and policy do not account for
individual responses to risks, due to challenges in collecting accurate information
at scales relevant to decision-making. There is useful spatial information in
social survey data that is sometimes analyzed for spatial patterns despite
potential biases. This article explores whether risk perception and adaptive
behavior can be inferred from census and hazard exposure data with a specifically
designed survey. An underlying question is what precautions surveys should take
before mapping the results. We find that a hybrid multilevel regression and
(synthetic) poststratification (MRP-MRSP) model can facilitate the transition from
individual survey data to small-area estimations at different scales, including
200-m grid cells. We demonstrate this model using municipal-level survey data
collected in the Paris region, France. We find that model accuracy is not decreased
at finer scales provided there is a strong spatial predictor such as hazard
exposure. Our findings show that a wide range of flood risk perception and
evacuation behavior can be estimated with such downscaling techniques. Although
this type of modeling is not yet commonly used among geographers, our study
suggests that it can improve mapping of survey results and, in particular, can
provide spatially explicit behavioral information for risk assessment and policy.
C1 [Rufat, Samuel] Inst Univ France, Paris, France.
[Rufat, Samuel] CY Cergy Paris Univ, Geog Dept, F-95011 Paris, France.
[Howe, Peter D.] Utah State Univ, Dept Environm & Soc, Geog, Logan, UT 84322
USA.
C3 Institut Universitaire de France; CY Cergy Paris Universite; Utah System
of Higher Education; Utah State University
RP Rufat, S (corresponding author), Inst Univ France, Paris, France.; Rufat, S
(corresponding author), CY Cergy Paris Univ, Geog Dept, F-95011 Paris, France.
EM samuel.rufat@u-cergy.fr; peter.howe@usu.edu
RI Rufat, Samuel/ABG-5119-2021
OI Rufat, Samuel/0000-0001-6356-1233
FU French National Research Agency [ANR20-CE03-0009]; Institut
Universitaire de France [IUF-2016-5296]; Mobile Lives Forum [498C02-A0];
U.S. National Science Foundation [NSF BCS-1753082]
FX This research was partially supported by funds from the French National
Research Agency (ANR20-CE03-0009), the Institut Universitaire de France
(IUF-2016-5296), the Mobile Lives Forum (498C02-A0), and the U.S.
National Science Foundation (NSF BCS-1753082).
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NR 85
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 1
U2 7
PI ABINGDON
SN 2469-4452
EI 2469-4460
J9 ANN AM ASSOC GEOGR
JI Ann. Am. Assoc. Geogr.
PD 2022 AUG 6
PY 2022
DI 10.1080/24694452.2022.2105685
EA AUG 2022
PG 23
WC Geography
SC Geography
GA 5D9FJ
UT WOS:000865239000001
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Chand, CP
Ali, MM
Himasri, B
Bourassa, MA
Zheng, YX
AF Chand, C. Purna
Ali, M. M.
Himasri, Borra
Bourassa, Mark A.
Zheng, Yangxing
TI Predicting Indian Ocean Cyclone Parameters Using an Artificial
Intelligence Technique
SO ATMOSPHERE
LA English
DT Article
DE cyclone prediction; artifical neural networks; land crossing point; mean
distance error; scatter index
ID PRESSURE FIELDS; SEA-SURFACE
AB Precise prediction of a cyclone track with wind speed, pressure, landfall point,
and the time of crossing the land are essential for disaster management and
mitigation, including evacuation processes. In this paper, we use an artificial
neural network (ANN) approach to estimate the cyclone parameters. For this purpose,
these parameters are obtained from the International Best Track Archive for Climate
Stewardship (IBTrACS), from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
(NOAA). Since ANN benefits from a large number of data points, each cyclone track
is divided into different segments. We use past information to predict the
geophysical parameters of a cyclone. The predicted values are compared with the
observations.
C1 [Chand, C. Purna; Ali, M. M.; Himasri, Borra] Andhra Pradesh State Disaster
Management Author, Kunchanapalli 522501, Andhra Pradesh, India.
[Ali, M. M.; Bourassa, Mark A.; Zheng, Yangxing] Florida State Univ, Ctr Ocean
Atmospher Predict Studies, Tallahassee, FL 32310 USA.
C3 State University System of Florida; Florida State University
RP Ali, MM (corresponding author), Andhra Pradesh State Disaster Management Author,
Kunchanapalli 522501, Andhra Pradesh, India.; Ali, MM (corresponding author),
Florida State Univ, Ctr Ocean Atmospher Predict Studies, Tallahassee, FL 32310 USA.
EM purnachandch@gmail.com; mmali@coaps.fsu.edu; sri.himaborra@gmail.com;
bourassa@coaps.fsu.edu; yzheng@fsu.edu
OI , Ali/0000-0002-3821-6099; Bourassa, Mark/0000-0003-3345-9531; Zheng,
Yangxing/0000-0003-2039-1494; chand, purna/0000-0001-6968-0698
FU NASA Physical Oceanography via the Jet Propulsion Laboratory [1419699];
Global Ocean Monitoring and Observing Program, National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, through the
Northern Gulf of Mexico Institute (NGI) [100007298, 20-NGI3-106]; NASA
physical oceanography through the Jet Propulsion Laboratory [1419699]
FX This research was funded at Florida State University in part by NASA
Physical Oceanography via the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (Contract
#1419699) and in part by the Global Ocean Monitoring and Observing
Program (Fund #100007298), National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, through the Northern Gulf
of Mexico Institute (NGI grant number 20-NGI3-106), and partially funded
by NASA physical oceanography through the Jet Propulsion Laboratory
(Contract #1419699).
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NR 28
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 3
U2 4
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4433
J9 ATMOSPHERE-BASEL
JI Atmosphere
PD JUL
PY 2022
VL 13
IS 7
AR 1157
DI 10.3390/atmos13071157
PG 13
GA 3K9JB
UT WOS:000834388500001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Li, QW
Soleimaniamiri, S
Li, XP
AF Li, Qianwen
Soleimaniamiri, Saeid
Li, Xiaopeng
TI Optimal mass evacuation planning for electric vehicles before natural
disasters
LA English
DT Article
DE Emergency evacuation; Vehicle routing; Vehicle scheduling; Electric
vehicle; Charging station
ID SIMULATION-MODEL; SYSTEM
AB The electric vehicle (EV) market has significantly expanded because EVs have
lower operational costs while leaving less environmental footprint than internal
combustion engine vehicles. However, EVs also come with drawbacks, including long
charging time and short operational ranges. With these drawbacks and limited
charging facilities, efficient long-distance EV evacuation management is
challenging and has not been properly addressed. Without an efficient evacuation
plan, serious congestion could happen at charging facilities, the evacuation
process would be excessively long, and thus human lives may be put at risk. This
study is motivated to investigate the optimal mass evacuation planning for EVs
considering limited charging facilities. A three-stage method is proposed to
efficiently approach this problem. A case study of Florida hurricane evacuation is
conducted. The method's effectiveness is verified by comparing it with a benchmark.
Management insights and policy indications are drawn through sensitivity analysis
of key parameters.
C1 [Li, Qianwen; Soleimaniamiri, Saeid; Li, Xiaopeng] Univ S Florida, Dept Civil &
Environm Engn, Tampa, FL USA.
C3 State University System of Florida; University of South Florida
RP Li, XP (corresponding author), Univ S Florida, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
Tampa, FL USA.
EM xiaopengli@usf.edu
RI Soleimaniamiri, Saeid/IQT-4996-2023
FU United States Department of Energy Grant [DE-EE0008880]
FX This research is supported by the United States Department of Energy
Grant# DE-EE0008880.
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NR 30
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 3
U2 12
PI OXFORD
SN 1361-9209
EI 1879-2340
PD JUN
PY 2022
VL 107
AR 103292
DI 10.1016/j.trd.2022.103292
EA MAY 2022
PG 17
Technology
(SSCI)
GA 1Q6UJ
UT WOS:000802819800003
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Cuite, CL
Shwom, RL
Hallman, WK
Morss, RE
Demuth, JL
AF Cuite, Cara L.
Shwom, Rachael L.
Hallman, William K.
Morss, Rebecca E.
Demuth, Julie L.
TI Improving Coastal Storm Evacuation Messages
LA English
DT Article
ID DECISION-MAKING; RISK PERCEPTION; HURRICANE IKE; INFORMATION; RESIDENTS;
RESPONSES; MODEL; INTENTIONS; ACCURACY
AB Evacuation before severe coastal storms is a critical tool for keeping coastal
residents safe. Effective messaging of evacuations could help save lives, but there
is little evidence-based guidance on the advantages or disadvantages of specific
messaging. Ideally, evacuation messages would convince those most at risk to
evacuate and those who do not need to evacuate to stay in their homes. Using an
online survey of 1716 coastal residents in Connecticut, New Jersey, and New York,
this study randomly assigned respondents to message conditions in each of two
hypothetical storm scenarios. Results from the first scenario indicate that those
who saw mandatory evacuation messages had higher evacuation intentions than those
who saw advisory messages, and both of those messages resulted in slightly higher
evacuation intentions than voluntary evacuation messages. However, voluntary
messages resulted in lower evacuation intentions for those that did not live in
evacuation zones compared to those who did live in evacuation zones, which may help
reduce shadow evacuation. In the second scenario, identifying an evacuation area by
the municipality name or the individual's street name resulted in similar
evacuation intentions across all participants. Messages identifying an evacuation
area by "flood zone'' or "flood-prone area'' resulted in equally high evacuation
intentions for those who believe they live in a flood zone, but these messages
suppressed evacuation intentions for those who do not believe they live in a flood
zone. This indicates that such messages could also be an effective approach for
reducing shadow evacuation. Implications for risk communicators and emergency
managers are discussed.
C1 [Cuite, Cara L.; Shwom, Rachael L.; Hallman, William K.] Rutgers State Univ,
Dept Human Ecol, New Brunswick, NJ 08901 USA.
[Morss, Rebecca E.; Demuth, Julie L.] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder,
CO 80307 USA.
C3 Rutgers State University New Brunswick; National Center Atmospheric
Research (NCAR) - USA
RP Cuite, CL (corresponding author), Rutgers State Univ, Dept Human Ecol, New
Brunswick, NJ 08901 USA.
EM cuite@aesop.rutgers.edu
RI Hallman, William K/G-3591-2017
OI Hallman, William K/0000-0002-4524-9876
FU NJ Sea Grant Coastal Storm Awareness Program [R/CSAP-1-NJ]
FX This research was supported by the NJ Sea Grant Coastal Storm Awareness
Program, Grant R/CSAP-1-NJ. We wish to acknowledge the assistance of
Lucas Marxen and the Rutgers Office of Research Analytics for their
assistance with GIS analysis, and our collaborators Steven Decker,
Christopher Obropta, Karen O'Neil, and David Robinson.
CR Abramson D. M., 2015, HURRICANE SANDY PLAC
6988(2004)5:3(115)
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Daziano R, 2015, FORECASTING EVACUATI
Dwo K., 2002, NAT HAZARDS REV, V3, P12, DOI [doi:10.1061/(ASCE)1527-
6988(2002)3:1(12), DOI 10.1061/(ASCE)1527-6988(2002)3:1(12)]
Dwo K., 2000, GLOBAL ENV CHANGE B, V2, P143
FEMA, 2015, NAT FLOOD HAZ LAYER
Field A., 2013, DISCOVERING STAT USI
6996.0000074
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Marlon J, 2015, HURRICANE PERCEPTION
Monmouth University Polling Institute, 2013, SUSP SAND SURV IMP N
National Hurricane Center, 2015, SEA LAND OV SURG HUR
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PALEN L, 2008, EDUCAUSE Q, V3, P76
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2867(01)00013-4, DOI 10.1016/S1464-2867(01)00013-4]
6988(2005)6:3(129), 10.1061/ASCE1527-698820056:3129, DOI 10.1061/ASCE1527-
698820056:3129]
NR 44
TC 18
Z9 18
U1 2
U2 13
PI BOSTON
SN 1948-8327
EI 1948-8335
J9 WEATHER CLIM SOC
PD APR
PY 2017
VL 9
IS 2
BP 155
EP 170
DI 10.1175/WCAS-D-16-0076.1
PG 16
(SSCI)
GA ET4YM
UT WOS:000400291000004
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Goodwin, BS
Donaho, JC
AF Goodwin, Bradford S., Jr.
Donaho, John C.
TI Tropical Storm and Hurricane Recovery and Preparedness Strategies
SO ILAR JOURNAL
LA English
DT Article
DE business continuity; disaster planning; flood; hurricane; impact on
research; natural disaster; preparedness; recovery
AB The goal of this article is to present lessons learned from the devastating
effects of two specific natural disasters in Texas: Tropical Storm Allison, which
flooded Houston in June 2001, and Hurricane Ike, which caused severe damage in
Galveston in September 2008. When a disaster is predictable, good predisaster
planning can help to save animals' lives. However, as disasters are usually not
predictable and tend not to follow a script, that plan needs to be easily adaptable
and flexible. It should address all aspects of the program and include an
evacuation strategy for the animals, data backup, and identification of emergency
equipment such as generators and communication systems. Media communication must
also be considered as the general public may become emotional about animal-related
issues; adverse attention and public scrutiny can be expected if animals die. The
psychological impact of the disaster on the lives of those it directly affects may
require attention and accommodation in the postdisaster recovery period. Following
an overview of each disaster we describe plans for recovery, impacts on research,
business continuity programs, and planning and preparation strategies developed
against future natural disasters. Long-term planning includes building design as an
important factor in protecting both the animals and the research equipment. Lessons
learned include successful responses, evaluation for improvements, and preparedness
plans and procedures to guard against future disaster-related destruction or loss
of facilities, research programs, and animal lives.
C1 [Goodwin, Bradford S., Jr.] Univ Texas Hlth Sci Ctr Houston, Ctr Lab Anim Med &
Care, Houston, TX 77030 USA.
[Donaho, John C.] Univ Texas Med Branch, Anim Resources Ctr, Galveston, TX USA.
C3 University of Texas System; University of Texas Health Science Center
Houston; University of Texas System; University of Texas Medical Branch
Galveston
RP Goodwin, BS (corresponding author), Univ Texas Hlth Sci Ctr Houston, Ctr Lab
Anim Med & Care, 6431 Fannin St,Room MSE R542, Houston, TX 77030 USA.
EM bradford.s.goodwin@uth.tmc.edu
FU NCRR (NIH); FEMA reimbursements; State of Texas and benevolence funds
FX We thank Ms. Kelly Garner and Mrs. Susan Goodwin for their helpful
editorial comments, technical assistance, and critique of this
manuscript. Funding was provided through two C06 grants from the NCRR
(NIH), FEMA reimbursements, and State of Texas and benevolence funds.
CR *AM NAT RED CROSS, 2009, GETT ASS
[Anonymous], 1957, REMARKS NATL DEFENSE
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NR 19
TC 11
Z9 11
U1 1
U2 22
PU INST LABORATORY ANIMAL RESEARCH, NATL RES COUNCIL
PI WASHINGTON
PA 500 FIFTH ST, N W, WASHINGTON, DC 20001 USA
SN 1084-2020
J9 ILAR J
JI ILAR J.
PY 2010
VL 51
IS 2
BP 104
EP 119
DI 10.1093/ilar.51.2.104
PG 16
WC Veterinary Sciences
SC Veterinary Sciences
GA 590OR
UT WOS:000277236900002
PM 20375433
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Nakanishi, H
Wise, S
Suenaga, Y
Manley, E
AF Nakanishi, Hitomi
Wise, Sarah
Suenaga, Yoshihiro
Manley, Ed
TI Simulating emergencies with transport outcomes Sim (SETOSim):
Application of an agent-based decision support tool to community
evacuation planning
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuation; Agent-based model; Natural hazards; Disaster risk reduction;
Japan; Decision support tool
ID INFORMATION; RESPONSES; MODEL; RISK
AB In the time since the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami and Hurricane Katrina in 2005,
an increasing number of studies have focused on developing agent-based simulations
of citizen evacuation behaviours. The application of simulation to practice (i.e.
evacuation planning, community disaster risk reduction strategy), however, is
limited. This research aims to explore the effective application of agent-based
evacuation simulation to better inform community evacuation planning through a
collaborative process. The study developed an evacuation modelling tool focusing on
the storm surge and flood evacuation behaviours of residents living in Takamatsu,
Japan. The city of Takamatsu borders the Seto Inland Sea, an area where the risks
from water-related disasters are increasing. The tidal flow of the Seto Inland Sea
and storm surge flooding are simulated based on data from the 2004 typhoons, which
seriously flooded the study area. An agent-based model exploring the relative
vulnerability of residents as a function of location, demographic attributes
including age, and previous experience is developed based on a questionnaire survey
of residents which gathered information on their stated preference of evacuation. A
visualisation of the simulation was shared with residents through workshops held in
five neighbourhoods. It was also shared with government officials. The feedback
from residents and governments officials on the effective applications to community
evacuation planning are discussed and plans for future research are outlined.
C1 [Nakanishi, Hitomi] Univ Canberra, Fac Arts & Design, Sch Design & Built
Environm, Bruce, ACT 2601, Australia.
[Wise, Sarah; Manley, Ed] UCL, Fac Built Environm, Ctr Adv Spatial Anal, Gower
St, London WC1E 6BT, England.
[Suenaga, Yoshihiro] Kagawa Univ, Fac Engn & Design, 2217-20 Hayashi Cho,
Takamatsu, Kagawa 7610396, Japan.
C3 University of Canberra; University of London; University College London;
Kagawa University
RP Nakanishi, H (corresponding author), Univ Canberra, Fac Arts & Design, Sch
Design & Built Environm, Bruce, ACT 2601, Australia.
EM hitomi.nakanishi@canberra.edu.au; s.wise@ucl.ac.uk;
suenaga@eng.kagawa-u.ac.jp; ed.manley@ucl.ac.uk
RI Wise, Sarah/AFS-3374-2022
OI Wise, Sarah/0000-0002-5552-4747; Manley, Ed/0000-0002-8904-0513;
Nakanishi, Hitomi/0000-0003-4247-7168
FU Obayashi Foundation; Seeds Development Research Fund (Social Problem
Solution Type) of Kagawa University Research Promotion Program
2019(KURPP)
FX This research was funded by Obayashi Foundation Research Grant Financial
support to research for the year 2016 and Seeds Development Research
Fund (Social Problem Solution Type) of Kagawa University Research
Promotion Program 2019(KURPP). The authors thank representatives of
neighbourhood associations of five communities, members of city assembly
of Takamatsu, and officers of Takamatsu City and Kagawa Prefecture who
provided valuable information and assistance. The author also thank Mr
Kimiharu Saita, a weather forecaster who gave a valuable presentation to
residents and comments to the authors. We would also like to thank three
anonymous reviewers who provided useful comments that has improved this
paper.
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NR 63
TC 13
Z9 13
U1 1
U2 27
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD OCT
PY 2020
VL 49
AR 101657
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101657
PG 21
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA NT5IB
UT WOS:000572973300001
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Shao, WY
Xian, SY
Lin, N
Small, MJ
AF Shao, Wanyun
Xian, Siyuan
Lin, Ning
Small, Mitchell J.
TI A sequential model to link contextual risk, perception and public
support for flood adaptation policy
SO WATER RESEARCH
LA English
DT Article
DE Policy support; Flood adaptation; Risk perception; Contextual flood risk
factors
ID CLIMATE-CHANGE; ENVIRONMENTAL RISK; STORM-SURGE; GENDER; VIEWS; RACE;
ADJUSTMENT; INSURANCE; RESPONSES; WEATHER
AB The economic damage from coastal flooding has dramatically increased over the
past several decades, owing to rapid development in shoreline areas and possible
effects of climate change. To respond to these trends, it is imperative for policy
makers to understand individuals' support for flood adaptation policy. Using
original survey data for all coastal counties of the United States Gulf Coast
merged with contextual data on flood risk, this study investigates coastal
residents' support for two adaptation policy measures: incentives for relocation
and funding for educational programs on emergency planning and evacuation.
Specifically, this study explores the interactive relationships among contextual
flood risks, perceived flood risks and policy support for flood adaptation, with
the effects of social-demographic variables being controlled. Age, gender, race and
partisanship are found to significantly affect individuals' policy support for both
adaptation measures. The contextual flooding risks, indicated by distance from the
coast, maximum wind speed and peak height of storm surge associated with the last
hurricane landfall, and percentage of high-risk flood zone per county, are shown to
impact one's perceptions of risk, which in turn influence one's support for both
policy measures. The key finding risk perception mediates the impact of contextual
risk conditions on public support for flood management policies highlights the need
to ensure that the public is well informed by the latest scientific, engineering
and economic knowledge. To achieve this, more information on current and future
flood risks and options available for mitigation as well as risk communication
tools are needed. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
C1 [Shao, Wanyun] Auburn Univ, Montgomery, AL USA.
[Xian, Siyuan; Lin, Ning] Princeton Univ, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA.
[Small, Mitchell J.] Carnegie Mellon Univ, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA.
C3 Auburn University System; Auburn University; Princeton University;
Carnegie Mellon University
RP Xian, SY (corresponding author), Princeton Univ, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA.
EM sxian@princeton.edu
RI Xian, Siyuan/K-2833-2017; Shao, Wanyun/AAD-6361-2020
OI Xian, Siyuan/0000-0001-9355-4229; Shao, Wanyun/0000-0002-1609-7383
FU U.S. Department of Commerce's National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration's Gulf of Mexico Coastal Storm Program under NOAA Award
[NA10OAR4170078]; Texas Sea Grant; Louisiana Sea Grant; Florida Sea
Grant; Mississippi-Alabama Sea Grant Consortium; National Science
Foundation [NSF-EAR-1520683]; Anderson Family Visiting Professorship in
Energy and the Environment; Department of Civil and Environmental
Engineering
FX We would like to thank Kirby Goidel, LaDonn Swann, Tracy Sempier, and
Melissa Schneider for their support in designing and implementing the
2012 Gulf Coast Climate Change Survey. The survey research included in
the analysis was supported by the U.S. Department of Commerce's National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Gulf of Mexico Coastal Storm
Program under NOAA Award NA10OAR4170078, Texas Sea Grant, Louisiana Sea
Grant, Florida Sea Grant, and Mississippi-Alabama Sea Grant Consortium.
The views expressed herein do necessarily reflect the views of any of
these organizations. Neither the organizations nor the individuals named
above bear any responsibility for any remaining errors. We would like to
thank Nida Jackson for raw data processing. S. Xian and N. Lin are
supported by National Science Foundation Grant: NSF-EAR-1520683. M.J.
Small was supported by the Anderson Family Visiting Professorship in
Energy and the Environment, while visiting Princeton University in the
Andlinger Center for Energy and the Environment and the Department of
Civil and Environmental Engineering.
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NR 77
TC 29
Z9 29
U1 6
U2 83
PI OXFORD
SN 0043-1354
EI 1879-2448
J9 WATER RES
JI Water Res.
PD OCT 1
PY 2017
VL 122
BP 216
EP 225
DI 10.1016/j.watres.2017.05.072
PG 10
WC Engineering, Environmental; Environmental Sciences; Water Resources
(SSCI)
SC Engineering; Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Water Resources
GA FD2ZW
UT WOS:000407404300022
PM 28601034
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Borowski, E
Stathopoulos, A
AF Borowski, Elisa
Stathopoulos, Amanda
TI Protection or Peril of Following the Crowd in a Pandemic-Concurrent
Flood Evacuation
SO NATURAL HAZARDS REVIEW
LA English
DT Article
ID WILLINGNESS-TO-PAY; DISCRETE-CHOICE EXPERIMENTS; RISK PERCEPTION;
CONTINGENT VALUATION; BEHAVIORAL-RESPONSE; REGRET MINIMIZATION;
DECISION-MAKING; EMOTIONS MATTER; PREFERENCES; UTILITY
AB The decisions of whether and how to evacuate during a climate disaster are
influenced by a wide range of factors, including emergency messaging, social
influences, and sociodemographics. Further complexity is introduced when multiple
hazards occur simultaneously, such as a flood evacuation taking place amid a viral
pandemic that requires physical distancing. Such multihazard events can necessitate
a nuanced navigation of competing decision-making strategies wherein a desire to
follow peers is weighed against contagion risks. To better understand these trade-
offs, we distributed an online survey during a COVID-19 pandemic surge in July 2020
to 600 individuals in three midwestern and three southern states in the United
States with high risk of flooding. In this paper, we estimate a random parameter
discrete choice model in both preference space and willingness-to-pay space. The
results of our model show that the directionality and magnitude of the influence of
peers' choices of whether and how to evacuate vary widely across respondents.
Overall, the decision of whether to evacuate is positively impacted by peer
behavior, while the decision of how to evacuate (i.e., ride-type selection) is
negatively impacted by peer influence. Furthermore, an increase in flood threat
level lessens the magnitude of peer impacts. In terms of the COVID-19 pandemic
impacts, respondents who perceive it to be a major health risk are more reluctant
to evacuate, but this effect is mitigated by increased flood threat level. These
findings have important implications for the design of tailored emergency messaging
strategies and the role of shared rides in multihazard evacuations. Specifically,
emphasizing or deemphasizing the severity of each threat in a multihazard scenario
may assist in: (1) encouraging a reprioritization of competing risk perceptions;
and (2) magnifying or neutralizing the impacts of social influence, thereby (3)
nudging evacuation decision-making toward a desired outcome. (C) 2022 American
Society of Civil Engineers.
C1 [Borowski, Elisa; Stathopoulos, Amanda] Northwestern Univ, Technol Inst, Dept
Civil & Environm Engn, 2145 Sheridan Rd, Evanston, IL 60208 USA.
C3 Northwestern University
RP Stathopoulos, A (corresponding author), Northwestern Univ, Technol Inst, Dept
EM elisaborowski2022@u.northwestern.edu; a-stathopoulos@northwestern.edu
FU National Defense Science and Engineering Graduate (NDSEG) fellowship; US
National Science Foundation (NSF) [1847537]; Northwestern University
Center for Engineering Sustainability and Resilience Seed Funding;
Northwestern's IRB [STU00211228]; Div Of Civil, Mechanical, & Manufact
Inn; Directorate For Engineering [1847537] Funding Source: National
Science Foundation
FX This research was supported in part by funding from the National Defense
Science and Engineering Graduate (NDSEG) fellowship provided to Elisa
Borowski and the US National Science Foundation (NSF) Career Grant No.
1847537 and from Leslie and Mac McQuown via Northwestern University
Center for Engineering Sustainability and Resilience Seed Funding to
Amanda Stathopoulos. The survey is approved by Northwestern's IRB with
Study No. STU00211228. We appreciate constructive comments from
reviewers that helped improve this paper.
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NR 108
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 5
U2 6
PI RESTON
SN 1527-6988
EI 1527-6996
J9 NAT HAZARDS REV
JI Nat. Hazards Rev.
PD FEB 1
PY 2023
VL 24
IS 1
AR 04022045
DI 10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000577
PG 15
WC Engineering, Civil; Environmental Studies; Geosciences,
Multidisciplinary; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences; Water Resources
(SSCI)
SC Engineering; Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Geology; Meteorology &
Atmospheric Sciences; Water Resources
GA 7B7VG
UT WOS:000899336200005
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Korolov, V
Kurowska, K
Korolova, O
Zaiets, Y
Milkovich, I
Kryszk, H
AF Korolov, Volodymyr
Kurowska, Krystyna
Korolova, Olha
Zaiets, Yaroslav
Milkovich, Igor
Kryszk, Hubert
TI Methodology for Determining the Nearest Destinations for the Evacuation
of People and Equipment from a Disaster Area to a Safe Area
SO REMOTE SENSING
LA English
DT Article
DE shortest distance; flood zone; safe area; flood zone boundary;
destination
ID FLOOD RISK-ASSESSMENT; HAZARD; KINGDOM; IMAGES; MODEL
AB Floods are the most frequent natural disasters in the world. In the system of
warning and flood protection of areas at risk of flooding in the event of its
occurrence, it seems advisable to initially work out the possibility of evacuating
the population, animals, equipment, material values, etc. In this article, a
methodology for determining destinations (points of destination) for the evacuation
of people and equipment from a predicted flood zone (of a natural disaster) to a
safe area is proposed based upon the criterion of the shortest possible distance.
In the paper, a scenario is considered that involves the contours of the flood zone
boundaries for several variants of the intensity of the probable development of
future events (with the aid of geoinformation technologies), and the coordinates of
the objects to evacuate are permanent and known in advance. With the known
coordinates of the objects and the closest points of the boundary of the predicted
flood zone, the shortest distances can be calculated. Based on these calculations,
the appropriate destinations for evacuation are determined. The proposed
methodology can be used for flood forecasting and flood zone modeling to assess the
economic and social risks of their aftereffects and to allow the public, local
governments, and other organizations to better understand the potential risks of
floods and to identify the measures needed to save lives and avoid damage to and
loss of property and equipment. This methodology, in contrast to known approaches,
allows the determination of the nearest locations for the evacuation of people and
equipment from a flood zone (of a natural disaster) to safe areas, to be determined
for several variants, depending on the possible development of future events. The
methodology is algorithm-driven and presented in the form of a flowchart and is
suitable for use in the appropriate software. The proposed methodology is an
introduction to the next stages of research related to the determination of safe
places for evacuation of people and their property (equipment) to safe places. This
is especially important in case of sudden weather events (flash floods).
C1 [Korolov, Volodymyr; Korolova, Olha; Zaiets, Yaroslav; Milkovich, Igor] Hetman
Petro Sahaidachnyi Natl Army Acad, UA-79026 Lvov, Ukraine.
[Kurowska, Krystyna; Kryszk, Hubert] Univ Warmia & Mazury, Fac Geoengn, Dept
Spatial Anal & Real Estate Market, Prawochenskiego 15, PL-10720 Olsztyn, Poland.
C3 Hetman Petro Sahaidachnyi National Army Academy; University of Warmia &
Mazury
RP Kurowska, K (corresponding author), Univ Warmia & Mazury, Fac Geoengn, Dept
Spatial Anal & Real Estate Market, Prawochenskiego 15, PL-10720 Olsztyn, Poland.
EM kvn_lviv@ukr.net; krystyna.kurowska@uwm.edu.pl; ok_im2@ukr.net;
YG_nc@i.ua; olya_igor@ukr.net; hubert.kryszk@uwm.edu.pl
OI Kurowska, Krystyna/0000-0002-1517-7402; Korolev,
Vladimir/0000-0001-8421-584X; Korol'ova, Ol'ga/0000-0002-9265-8445;
Mil'kovic, Igor/0000-0003-4478-9536
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2615(91)90037-J
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NR 50
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 3
U2 10
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2072-4292
J9 REMOTE SENS-BASEL
JI Remote Sens.
PD JUN
PY 2021
VL 13
IS 11
AR 2170
DI 10.3390/rs13112170
PG 18
WC Environmental Sciences; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary; Remote Sensing;
Imaging Science & Photographic Technology
SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Geology; Remote Sensing; Imaging
Science & Photographic Technology
GA SQ8KP
UT WOS:000660599300001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Peterson, LJ
June, J
Sakib, N
Dobbs, D
Dosa, DM
Thomas, KS
Jester, DJ
Hyer, K
AF Peterson, Lindsay J.
June, Joseph
Sakib, Nazmus
Dobbs, Debra
Dosa, David M.
Thomas, Kali S.
Jester, Dylan J.
Hyer, Kathryn
TI Assisted Living Communities During Hurricane Irma: The Decision to
Evacuate or Shelter in Place and Resident Acuity
LA English
DT Article
DE Assisted living; disaster response; evacuation
ID NURSING-HOME RESIDENTS; FACILITIES; LESSONS; KATRINA
AB Objectives: To investigate the factors associated with whether assisted living
communities (ALCs) in Florida evacuated or sheltered in place for Hurricane Irma in
2017, focusing on license type as a proxy for acuity of care.
Design: Cross-sectional study using data collected by the state through its
emergency reporting system and a post-hurricane survey.
Setting and Participants: Analyses included all 3112 ALCs in the emergency
reporting system. A subset of 1880 that completed the survey provided supplementary
data.
Methods: chi(2) tests were used to examine differences between ALC
characteristics (license type, size, payment, profit status, rural location,
geographical region, and being under an evacuation order) and whether they
evacuated. Logistic regression was used to test associations between
characteristics and evacuation status.
Results: Of 3112 ALCs, 560 evacuated and 2552 sheltered in place. Bivariate
analysis found significant associations between evacuation status and evacuation
order, license type (mental health care), payment, and region. In the adjusted
analysis, medium and larger ALCs were 43% (P < .001) and 53% (P < .001) less likely
to evacuate than ALCs with fewer than 25 beds. Compared with ALCs in the Southeast,
nearly every region was more likely to evacuate, with the highest likelihood in the
Central West (odds ratio 1.76, 95% confidence interval 1.35-2.30). ALCs under an
evacuation order were 8 times more likely to evacuate (P < .001). We found no
relationship between evacuation status and having a license to provide higher care.
Conclusions and Implications: Prior research highlighting harm associated with
evacuation has led to recommendations that long-term care facilities carefully
consider resident impairment in evacuation decision-making. Evidence that small
ALCs are more likely to evacuate and that having a higher-care license is not
associated with evacuation likelihood shows research is needed to understand how
ALCs weigh resident risks in decisions to evacuate or shelter in place. (C) 2020
AMDA - The Society for Post-Acute and Long-Term Care Medicine.
C1 [Peterson, Lindsay J.; June, Joseph; Dobbs, Debra; Jester, Dylan J.; Hyer,
Kathryn] Univ S Florida, Sch Aging Studies, Florida Policy Exchange Ctr Aging,
[Sakib, Nazmus] Univ S Florida, Coll Engn, Tampa, FL 33620 USA.
[Dosa, David M.] Providence Vet Affairs Med Ctr, Infect Dis Res Program,
Providence, RI USA.
[Dosa, David M.; Thomas, Kali S.] Providence Vet Affairs Med Ctr, Ctr Innovat
Long Term Serv & Supports, Providence, RI USA.
[Dosa, David M.; Thomas, Kali S.] Brown Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Providence, RI
02912 USA.
[Dosa, David M.] Brown Univ, Warren Alpert Sch Med, Providence, RI 02912 USA.
University System of Florida; University of South Florida; US Department
of Veterans Affairs; Veterans Health Administration (VHA); Providence VA
Medical Center; US Department of Veterans Affairs; Veterans Health
Administration (VHA); Providence VA Medical Center; Brown University;
Brown University
RP Peterson, LJ (corresponding author), Univ S Florida, Sch Aging Studies, 4202 E
Fowler Ave,MHC 1343, Tampa, FL 33620 USA.
EM ljpeterson@usf.edu
RI Sakib, Nazmus/HKF-4816-2023
OI Dobbs, Debra/0000-0002-9282-7624; Sakib, Nazmus/0000-0001-7223-8366;
Jester, Dylan/0000-0001-9878-9633; Thomas, Kali/0000-0003-3436-2184
FU National Institute on Aging of the National Institutes of Health
[R01AG060581-01]
FX This work was supported by the National Institute on Aging of the
National Institutes of Health under award number R01AG060581-01.
CR Achenbach J, 2017, PHILADELPHIA INQUIRE
Brown LM, 2015, CURR PSYCHOL, V34, P506, DOI 10.1007/s12144-015-9361-7
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NR 23
TC 7
Z9 7
U1 1
U2 5
PI NEW YORK
SN 1525-8610
EI 1538-9375
PD AUG
PY 2020
VL 21
IS 8
BP 1148
EP +
DI 10.1016/j.jamda.2020.01.104
PG 8
(SSCI)
GA MU6DM
UT WOS:000555761900023
PM 32151551
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Lezama, NG
Riddles, LM
Pollan, WA
Profenna, LC
AF Lezama, Nicholas G.
Riddles, Lawrence M.
Pollan, William A.
Profenna, Leonardo C.
TI Disaster Aeromedical Evacuation
SO MILITARY MEDICINE
LA English
DT Article
AB Successful disaster aeromedical evacuation depends on applying the principles
learned by moving patients since World War II, culminating in today's global
patient movement system. This article describes the role of the Department of
Defense patient movement system in providing defense support to civil authorities
during the 2008 hurricane season and the international disaster response to the
2010 Haiti earthquake. Adapting and applying the principles of active partnerships,
establishing patient movement requirements, patient preparation, and in-transit
visibility have resulted in the successful aeromedical evacuation of over 1,600
patients since the federal response to Hurricane Katrina.
C1 [Lezama, Nicholas G.] Uniformed Serv Univ Hlth Sci, Dept Prevent Med & Biometr,
Bethesda, MD 20814 USA.
[Riddles, Lawrence M.] Command Surg Off, US Transportat Command, Scott AFB, IL
62225 USA.
[Pollan, William A.] Command Surg Off, Air Mobil Command, Scott AFB, IL 62225
USA.
[Profenna, Leonardo C.] USAF, Sch Aerosp Med, Aeromed Consult Serv, San Antonio,
TX 78235 USA.
C3 Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences - USA; United
States Department of Defense; United States Air Force; United States
Department of Defense; United States Air Force; United States Department
of Defense; United States Air Force
RP Lezama, NG (corresponding author), Uniformed Serv Univ Hlth Sci, Dept Prevent
Med & Biometr, 4301 Jones Bridge Rd, Bethesda, MD 20814 USA.
CR [Anonymous], 2008, NAT RESP FRAM
Archer N, 2011, ACAD MED, V86, P889, DOI 10.1097/ACM.0b013e31821b3e14
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HENRY J, 2006, JOINT CTR OPERATIONA, V8
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2006, NATL DISASTER MED SY
NR 10
TC 4
Z9 6
U1 0
U2 1
PU OXFORD UNIV PRESS
PI OXFORD
PA GREAT CLARENDON ST, OXFORD OX2 6DP, ENGLAND
SN 0026-4075
EI 1930-613X
J9 MIL MED
JI Milit. Med.
PD OCT
PY 2011
VL 176
IS 10
BP 1128
EP 1132
DI 10.7205/MILMED-D-11-00040
PG 5
WC Medicine, General & Internal
SC General & Internal Medicine
GA 831EK
UT WOS:000295711300010
PM 22128647
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Siam, MRK
Wang, HZ
Lindell, MK
Chen, C
Vlahogianni, EI
Axhausen, K
AF Siam, M. R. K.
Wang, Haizhong
Lindell, Michael K.
Chen, Chen
Vlahogianni, Eleni, I
Axhausen, Kay
TI An interdisciplinary agent-based multimodal wildfire evacuation model:
Critical decisions and life safety
LA English
DT Article
DE Wildfire evacuation; Evacuation decision-making; Agent-based modeling
ID HURRICANE KATRINA; POPULATION EXPOSURE; TRAVEL-TIME; SIMULATION;
BEHAVIOR; FIRE; URBAN; VULNERABILITY; MANAGEMENT; TRIGGERS
AB This article applies an interdisciplinary agent-based model (ABM) of wildfire
evacuation to the devastating 2018 wildfire in Mati, Greece, where the second-
deadliest wildfire of the 21st century took place. This model integrates the
natural hazard system (wildfire propagation) with the sociotechnical response
system comprising social (population response) and engineered (transportation
network and shelter location) components. The research objective is to investi-gate
the effects on wildfire casualties of the risk area population's decisions about
(1) whether to leave and how long to wait (i.e., departure time); (2) what
transportation mode to use (e.g., walking or driving); and (3) how fast to travel.
Analysis of several evacuation scenarios shows that the absence of children, multi-
modal travel, staged evacuation, and increased shelter capacity lead to a more
successful wildfire evacuation. These analyses can help emergency managers improve
the effectiveness of their communities' wildfire evacuation plans.
C1 [Siam, M. R. K.; Wang, Haizhong; Lindell, Michael K.; Chen, Chen] Oregon State
Univ, Sch Civil & Construct Engn, Corvallis, OR 97331 USA.
[Vlahogianni, Eleni, I] Natl Tech Univ Athens, Sch Civil Engn, Dept Transportat
Planning & Engn, Athens 15773, Greece.
[Axhausen, Kay] Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Inst Transport Planning & Syst IVT, CH-
8093 Zurich, Switzerland.
C3 Oregon State University; National Technical University of Athens; Swiss
Federal Institutes of Technology Domain; ETH Zurich
RP Wang, HZ (corresponding author), Oregon State Univ, Sch Civil & Construct Engn,
Corvallis, OR 97331 USA.
EM siamm@oregonstate.edu; Haizhong.Wang@oregonstate.edu;
lindellm@oregonstate.edu; chenc4@oregonstate.edu; elenivl@mail.ntua.gr;
axhausen@ivt.baug.ethz.ch
RI Vlahogianni, Eleni/F-6575-2013
OI Vlahogianni, Eleni/0000-0002-2423-5475; Siam, Mohammad Rayeedul
Kalam/0000-0003-2042-5412
FU National Science Foundation, United States of America [1826407, 1826455,
1563618, 1952792]; Switzerland National Science Foundation
[IZSEZ0-191164]; Swiss National Science Foundation (SNF) [IZSEZ0_191164]
Funding Source: Swiss National Science Foundation (SNF); Directorate For
Engineering; Div Of Civil, Mechanical, & Manufact Inn [1952792, 1563618]
Funding Source: National Science Foundation; Directorate For
Engineering; Div Of Civil, Mechanical, & Manufact Inn [1826455, 1826407]
Funding Source: National Science Foundation
FX The authors are grateful to Dr. Costas Synolakis from Sonny Astani
Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering at University of
Southern California and Dr. Nikos Kalligeris from Institute of
Geodynamics at the National Observatory of Athens for their generous
sharing of the modeling scenario and preliminary dataset on fire
propagation and population distributions. We also extend our sincerest
gratitude to Dr. Alireza Mostafizi for his contribution in the initial
ABM development. We are grateful for the funding support from the
National Science Foundation, United States of America through grant CMMI
#1826407, #1826455, #1563618, #1952792 and Switzerland National Science
Foundation through grant # IZSEZ0-191164: An Interdisciplinary
Agentbased Model for Evacuation. Any opinions, findings, and conclusion
or recommendations expressed in this research are those of the authors
and do not necessarily reflect the view of the funding agencies.
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NR 121
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 8
U2 33
PI OXFORD
SN 1361-9209
EI 1879-2340
PD FEB
PY 2022
VL 103
AR 103147
DI 10.1016/j.trd.2021.103147
EA JAN 2022
PG 25
Technology
(SSCI)
GA YT9HQ
UT WOS:000751664700003
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Albulescu, AC
AF Albulescu, Andra-Cosmina
TI Exploring the links between flood events and the COVID-19 infection
cases in Romania in the new multi-hazard-prone era
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DE Multi-hazard; Multi-hazard management; Flood hazard; COVID-19 pandemic;
Flood evacuation
ID EXCEPTIONAL FLOODS; MANAGEMENT; RIVER; CONTEXT
AB The occurrence of flood events amid the COVID-19 pandemic represents a prominent
part of the emerging multi-hazard landscape, as floods are one of the most frequent
and destructive natural hazards. This spatial and temporal overlap of hydrological
and epidemiological hazards translates into compounded negative effects, causing a
shift in the hazard management paradigm, in which hazard interaction takes centre
stage. This paper calls into question whether the river flood events that occurred
during the COVID-19 pandemic in Romania and the way that they were managed had an
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cases registered in the selected counties is difficult to identify, but the
analysis shows that all flood events were followed by various size increases in the
COVID-19 confirmed cases at the end of the incubation time range. The findings are
critically interpreted by providing viral load and social-related contexts,
allowing a proper understanding of the interactions between concurrent hazards.
C1 [Albulescu, Andra-Cosmina] Alexandru Ioan Cuza Univ, Tuln Res Stn Via RECENT
AIR,Bd Carol 1, 11, Iasi 700506, Romania.
[Albulescu, Andra-Cosmina] Alexandru Ioan Cuza Univ, Fac Geog & Geol, Iasi,
Romania.
C3 Alexandru Ioan Cuza University; Alexandru Ioan Cuza University
RP Albulescu, AC (corresponding author), Alexandru Ioan Cuza Univ, Tuln Res Stn Via
RECENT AIR,Bd Carol 1, 11, Iasi 700506, Romania.
EM cosminaalbulescu@yahoo.com
RI Albulescu, Andra-Cosmina/AAY-8569-2021
OI Albulescu, Andra-Cosmina/0000-0002-2315-4729
FU Faculty of Geography and Geology, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University of Iasi
FX This research work was funded by the Faculty of Geography and Geology,
Alexandru Ioan Cuza University of Iasi.
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NR 87
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 1
U2 1
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 0921-030X
EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
PD 2023 MAR 22
PY 2023
DI 10.1007/s11069-023-05918-x
EA MAR 2023
PG 21
Water Resources
GA A4GF7
UT WOS:000954721700001
PM 37251346
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Hatori, T
Moriwaki, R
Shingu, K
AF Hatori, Tsuyoshi
Moriwaki, Ryo
Shingu, Keiichi
TI Disparity between evacuation intention and actual evacuation behavior
during a heavy rain induced disaster event in Japan: Exploring the role
of everyday awareness of disaster preparedness
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuation behavior; Everyday awareness of disaster preparedness;
Water-related disaster; Commitment; Mediation analysis
ID PLANNED BEHAVIOR; PROTECTION MOTIVATION; MITIGATION BEHAVIOR;
CLIMATE-CHANGE; FLOOD RISK; RESIDENTS; ATTITUDE; HAZARDS; PREDICT;
PEOPLE
AB The purpose of this study was to identify the ex-ante determinants of disaster
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disaster preparedness that were associated with evacuation choice. The participants
had a high level of disaster preparedness, including evacua-tion intentions, but
many of them did not actually evacuate even when evacuation warnings were issued
due to heavy rains. Furthermore, only prior contemplation of evacuation criteria
(associ-ated with the commitment to evacuate) was directly related to evacuation
behavior. Finally, me-diation analysis indicated that prior contemplation mediated
the relationship between evacua-tion intentions and actual evacuation. The
implications of these findings for education and com-munications to reduce disaster
risk are discussed.
C1 [Hatori, Tsuyoshi; Moriwaki, Ryo; Shingu, Keiichi] Ehime Univ, 3 Bunkyo Cho,
Matsuyama, Ehime 7908577, Japan.
C3 Ehime University
RP Hatori, T (corresponding author), Ehime Univ, 3 Bunkyo Cho, Matsuyama, Ehime
7908577, Japan.
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NR 67
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 3
U2 3
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD JUN 15
PY 2023
VL 92
AR 103729
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.103729
EA MAY 2023
PG 11
Water Resources
GA H7FV5
UT WOS:000997587600001
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Roy, C
Sarkar, SK
Aring;berg, J
Kovordanyi, R
AF Roy, Chandan
Sarkar, Saroje Kumar
Aberg, Johan
Kovordanyi, Rita
TI The current cyclone early warning system in Bangladesh: Providers' and
receivers' views
LA English
DT Article
DE Accurate tropical cyclone forecasting; Informative warning message;
Warning message interpretation; Meteorologists' perspective; Residents'
perspective; Principal component analysis
ID EVACUATION; DISASTERS; VULNERABILITY; REANALYSIS; NEEDS; RISK
AB Bangladesh has experienced several catastrophic Tropical Cyclones (TCs) during
the last decades. Despite the efforts of disaster management organizations, as well
as the Bangladesh Meteorological Department (BMD), there were lapses in the
residents' evacuation behavior. To examine the processes of TC forecasting and
warning at BMD and to understand the reasons for residents' reluctance to evacuate
after a cyclone warning, we conducted an individual in-depth interview among the
meteorologists at BMD, as well as a questionnaire survey among the residents living
in the coastal areas. The results reveal that the forecasts produced by BMD are not
reliable for longer than 12-h. Therefore, longer-term warnings have to be based on
gross estimates of TC intensity and motion, which renders the disseminated warning
messages unreliable. Our results indicate that residents in the coastal areas
studied, do not follow the evacuation orders due to mistrust of the warning
messages which can deter from early evacuation; and insufficient number of shelters
and poor transportation possibilities which discourages late evacuation.
Suggestions made by the residents highlight the necessity of improved warning
messages in the future. These findings indicate the need for improved forecasting,
and more reliable and more informative warning messages for ensuring a timely
evacuation response from residents. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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[Sarkar, Saroje Kumar] Rajshahi Univ, Dept Stat, Rajshai 6205, Bangladesh.
C3 Linkoping University; University of Rajshahi
RP Roy, C (corresponding author), Linkoping Univ, Dept Comp & Informat Sci, S-58183
Linkoping, Sweden.
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rita.kovordanyi@liu.se
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NR 79
TC 39
Z9 39
U1 3
U2 29
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD JUN
PY 2015
VL 12
BP 285
EP 299
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2015.02.004
PG 15
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA CM5NM
UT WOS:000357735000026
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wang, ZX
Sun, Y
Li, CH
Jin, L
Sun, XG
Liu, XL
Wang, TX
AF Wang, Zixiong
Sun, Ya
Li, Chunhui
Jin, Ling
Sun, Xinguo
Liu, Xiaoli
Wang, Tianxiang
TI Analysis of Small and Medium-Scale River Flood Risk in Case of Exceeding
Control Standard Floods Using Hydraulic Model
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE small and medium-scale river; flood risk; submerged area; submerged
depth; evacuation plan
ID LOW IMPACT DEVELOPMENT; HAZARD ASSESSMENT; MANAGEMENT; GIS; DESIGN;
BASIN; OVERFLOW; REGION; EVENT; CHINA
AB Exceeding control standard floods pose threats to the management of small and
medium-scale rivers. Taking Fuzhouhe river as an example, this paper analyzes the
submerged depth, submerged area and arrival time of river flood risk in the case of
exceeding control standard floods (with return period of 20, 50, 100 and 200 years)
through a coupled one- and two-dimensional hydrodynamic model, draws the flood risk
maps and proposes emergency plans. The simulation results of the one-dimensional
model reveal that the dikes would be at risk of overflowing for different
frequencies of floods, with a higher level of risk on the left bank. The results of
the coupled model demonstrate that under all scenarios, the inundation area
gradually increases with time until the flood peak subsides, and the larger the
flood peak, the faster the inundation area increases. The maximum submerged areas
are 42.73 km(2), 65.95 km(2), 74.86 km(2) and 82.71 km(2) for four frequencies of
flood, respectively. The change of submerged depth under different frequency floods
shows a downward-upward-downward trend and the average submerged depth of each
frequency floods is about 1.4 m. The flood risk maps of different flood frequencies
are created by GIS to analyze flood arrival time, submerged area and submerged
depth to plan escape routes and resettlement units. The migration distances are
limited within 4 km, the average migration distance is about 2 km, the vehicle
evacuation time is less than 20 min, and the walking evacuation time is set to
about 70 min. It is concluded that the flood risk of small and medium-scale rivers
is a dynamic change process, and dynamic flood assessment, flood warning and
embankment modification scheme should be further explored.
C1 [Wang, Zixiong; Liu, Xiaoli] Anhui Agr Univ, Sch Engn, Hefei 230036, Peoples R
China.
[Wang, Zixiong; Li, Chunhui; Wang, Tianxiang] Dalian Univ Technol, Sch Ocean Sci
& Technol, Panjin 124221, Peoples R China.
[Wang, Zixiong] Guangzhou Pearl River Water Resources Protect Tec, Minist Water
Resources, Pearl River Water Resources Commiss, Guangzhou 510635, Peoples R China.
[Sun, Ya] Dalian Maritime Univ, Coll Environm Sci & Engn, Dalian 116026, Peoples
R China.
[Jin, Ling] Hydrol & Water Resources Survey Bur Zhumadian, Zhumadian 463000,
Peoples R China.
[Sun, Xinguo; Wang, Tianxiang] Huaiyin Inst Technol, Jiangsu Smart Factory Engn
Res Ctr, Huaian 223003, Peoples R China.
C3 Anhui Agricultural University; Dalian University of Technology; Dalian
Maritime University; Huaiyin Institute of Technology
RP Liu, XL (corresponding author), Anhui Agr Univ, Sch Engn, Hefei 230036, Peoples
R China.; Wang, TX (corresponding author), Dalian Univ Technol, Sch Ocean Sci &
Technol, Panjin 124221, Peoples R China.; Wang, TX (corresponding author), Huaiyin
Inst Technol, Jiangsu Smart Factory Engn Res Ctr, Huaian 223003, Peoples R China.
EM zxwang0817@163.com; 13322246994@163.com;
lichunhui123123@mail.dlut.edu.cn; evan_cools@163.com;
sunxinguo48144562@163.com; xl.liu@ahau.edu.cn; tianxiang@dlut.edu.cn
RI Li, Chun/HKW-1738-2023; liu, xiao/HMD-7454-2023; Liu,
Xiaoli/HGE-7614-2022; liu, xiao/HKE-9880-2023
FU National Natural Science Foundation of China [51809032]; Fundamental
Research Funds for the Central Universities [DUT20RC(3)059]; Natural
Science Foundation of the Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions
[BK20191050]; Jiangsu Smart Factory Engineering Research Center
[JSSFER2019A5, JSSFER2019A6]; Natural Science Foundation of Anhui
Province of China [1808085ME158]; Natural Science Research Project of
Jiangsu Province Colleges and Universities [18KJD560001]; Philosophy and
Social Science Project of Jiangsu Province Colleges and Universities
[2019SJA1659]
FX This research was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation
of China (Grant No. 51809032), the Fundamental Research Funds for the
Central Universities (Grant No. DUT20RC(3)059), the Major Basic Research
Project of the Natural Science Foundation of the Jiangsu Higher
Education Institutions (Grant No. BK20191050) and the Opening Foundation
of Jiangsu Smart Factory Engineering Research Center (Grant No.
JSSFER2019A5, No. JSSFER2019A6), Foundation of Natural Science
Foundation of Anhui Province of China (1808085ME158), Natural Science
Research Project of Jiangsu Province Colleges and Universities (Grant
No. 18KJD560001), Philosophy and Social Science Project of Jiangsu
Province Colleges and Universities (Grant No. 2019SJA1659).
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NR 60
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 8
U2 26
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD JAN
PY 2022
VL 14
IS 1
AR 57
DI 10.3390/w14010057
PG 19
GA ZE9UK
UT WOS:000759222200001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Kubo, S
Yoshida, H
Ichimura, T
Wijerathne, MLL
Hori, M
AF Kubo, Shiori
Yoshida, Hidenori
Ichimura, Tsuyoshi
Wijerathne, M. L. L.
Hori, Muneo
TI Study on influence of prior recognition of flooding state on evacuation
behavior
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuation simulation; Multi-agent system; Flooding analysis; Storm
surge; Prior recognition of flooding state
AB In recent years, disasters have caused extensive water damage in various parts
of Japan. Flooded evacuation routes and ineffective hazard maps commonly constrain
evacuees' behavior, which results in casualties. In this study, storm surge
flooding analysis was carried out using OpenFOAM, which is a computational fluid
dynamics software that monitors flooding state as a function of time, and
evacuation simulations using a multi-agent system that considers evacuation
behavior knowing the flooding state established by the flooding analysis. In some
of the scenarios, many residents were caught in the flooding and could not be
evacuated. Additional evacuation simulations revealed that evacuation behavior is
more effective if residents have advance knowledge of the area expected to flood.
Identifying these flood hazard areas and recognizing these areas in advance as
impassable enables evacuees to avoid flood hazard areas; consequently, there is a
decrease in the number of evacuees who get caught in the flooding. Anticipating the
area expected to be flooded suggests the best evacuation locations and routes.
Using these simulation results with useful hazard maps and disaster education,
residents will correctly recognize the risk of a storm surge disaster and prepare
for it, which will assist recovery. Finally, our analytical and simulation approach
to disaster management is amenable to long-term planning for disaster-resistant
cities.
C1 [Kubo, Shiori] Univ Tokyo, Inst Ind Sci, 5-1-5 Kashiwanoha, Kashiwa, Chiba
2778574, Japan.
[Yoshida, Hidenori] Kagawa Univ, Fac Engn & Design, 2217-20 Hayashi Cho,
Takamatsu, Kagawa 7610396, Japan.
[Ichimura, Tsuyoshi; Wijerathne, M. L. L.] Univ Tokyo, Earthquake Res Inst,
Bunkyo Ku, 1-1-1 Yayoi, Tokyo 1130032, Japan.
[Hori, Muneo] Japan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Res Inst Value Added
Informat Generat, Kanazawa Ku, 3173-25 Showa Machi, Yokohama, Kanagawa 2360001,
Japan.
C3 University of Tokyo; Kagawa University; University of Tokyo; Japan
Agency for Marine-Earth Science & Technology (JAMSTEC)
RP Kubo, S (corresponding author), Univ Tokyo, Inst Ind Sci, 5-1-5 Kashiwanoha,
Kashiwa, Chiba 2778574, Japan.
EM shiori_kubo@metall.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp
RI kubo, shiori/GVU-8969-2022
OI Hori, Muneo/0000-0002-0642-6753
FU JSPS [19J14428]; Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research [19J14428]
Funding Source: KAKEN
FX This work was supported by JSPS Grant-in-Aid for JSPS Fellows Grant
Number 19J14428.
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NR 31
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 3
U2 14
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD SEP
PY 2021
VL 63
AR 102437
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102437
EA JUL 2021
PG 12
Water Resources
GA UF5OZ
UT WOS:000688624600006
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Golshani, N
Shabanpour, R
Mohammadian, A
Auld, J
Ley, H
AF Golshani, Nima
Shabanpour, Ramin
Mohammadian, Abolfazl
Auld, Joshua
Ley, Hubert
TI Evacuation decision behavior for no-notice emergency events
LA English
DT Article
DE No-notice disaster; Evacuation decision; Two-step clustering;
Multivariate ordered probit
ID TRAVEL DEMAND MODEL; HURRICANE EVACUATION; UNDERSTAND; CHOICE; DISASTER;
TIME
AB No-notice emergency events refer to unpredictable disasters such as earthquakes,
chemical spills, or terrorist attacks, where it is impracticable to forewarn the
public about their occurrence and design evacuation plans for them. This calls for
an in-depth investigation of people's evacuation behavior and identifying the most
influential factors in their evacuation planning process to develop policy-
sensitive pre-disaster plans for such events. As a response to this need, the
current study investigates individuals' evacuation decision behavior in the context
of no-notice emergency events. Since it is highly expected that people will have
heterogenous decision behavior in such situations, we first apply a clustering
algorithm to classify them into three maximally homogeneous clusters. Then,
cluster-specific multivariate ordered probit models are developed to estimate the
likelihood of selecting any of the three options of ignoring the situation, seeking
shelter at the place, and evacuating to a safe place. The model estimation results
indicate that a wide spectrum of factors affect the evacuation decision including
individuals' socio-economic attributes, disaster characteristics, built-environment
factors, and government evacuation order. Further, variations of estimated
coefficients across the population clusters highlight the significant
dissimilarities in decision behavior of their associated members.
C1 [Golshani, Nima; Shabanpour, Ramin; Mohammadian, Abolfazl] Univ Illinois, Dept
Civil & Mat Engn, Chicago, IL USA.
[Auld, Joshua] Argonne Natl Lab, Syst Modelling & Controls Grp, Argonne, IL
60439 USA.
[Ley, Hubert] Argonne Natl Lab, Transportat Res & Anal Comp Ctr, Argonne, IL
60439 USA.
C3 University of Illinois System; University of Illinois Chicago;
University of Illinois Chicago Hospital; United States Department of
Energy (DOE); Argonne National Laboratory; United States Department of
Energy (DOE); Argonne National Laboratory
RP Golshani, N (corresponding author), 842 W Taylor St, Chicago, IL 60607 USA.
EM ngolsh2@uic.edu; rshaba4@uic.edu; kouros@uic.edu; jauld@anl.gov;
hley@anl.gov
RI Mohammadian, Abolfazl/B-6727-2012
OI Mohammadian, Abolfazl/0000-0003-3595-3664; Golshani,
Nima/0000-0002-9335-3133
FU University of Chicago [FP062899-D, D2015-SRER-007]; Federal Transit
Agency [D2015-SRER-007]; [FTA-2013-005-TRI]
FX This work was performed under subcontract FP062899-D with the University
of Chicago, and is part of contract D2015-SRER-007 between the Federal
Transit Agency and the University of Chicago. The contract has been
awarded as part of the broad agency announcement FTA-2013-005-TRI under
the title "Coordinated Transit Response Planning and Operations Support
Tools for Mitigating Impacts of All-Hazard Emergency Events". However,
the authors are solely responsible for the findings of this research.
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10.1177/028072709100900210
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Carnegie J., 2010, TRANSP RES 89 ANN M
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10.1016/j.trc.2012.11.005
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NR 39
TC 22
Z9 22
U1 0
U2 28
PI OXFORD
SN 1361-9209
EI 1879-2340
PD DEC
PY 2019
VL 77
BP 364
EP 377
DI 10.1016/j.trd.2019.01.025
PG 14
Technology
(SSCI)
GA JW5NT
UT WOS:000503099300027
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Cote, DW
McGee, TK
AF Cote, Doug W.
McGee, Tara K.
TI An exploration of residents' intended wildfire evacuation responses in
Mt. Lorne, Yukon, Canada
SO FORESTRY CHRONICLE
LA English
DT Article
DE wildfire; evacuation; evacuation alternatives; evacuation intentions;
wildfire safety; Yukon; Canada
ID WILDLAND-URBAN INTERFACE; SOCIAL-PSYCHOLOGY; PUBLIC RESPONSE; HURRICANE;
ALTERNATIVES; PERCEPTIONS; SAFETY; DEFEND; STAY
AB Wildfire evacuations disrupt people's lives, create an additional hazard for
emergency responders and residents, and are expensive to execute. Alternatives to
evacuation are used in Australia and a few jurisdictions in the United States.
Numerous studies have examined the "stay and defend" option during a wildfire in
Australia, and evacuation alternatives have also been examined in the US. However,
evacuation alternatives have not yet received scholarly attention in Canada. This
study focused on the community of Mt. Lorne, Yukon, and explored residents'
perceptions of alternatives to evacuation due to wildfires, their evacuation
intentions, and factors that influenced their intentions. Focus group participants
planned to stay on their property despite a wildfire evacuation order because of
the perceived safety of their property, and concerns about evacuating including
leaving their property unprotected, losing harvested meat or other food stocks due
to spoiling, and not knowing what to do with sled dog teams or livestock. However,
some of these residents lacked the knowledge about how to stay on their property
safely.
C1 [Cote, Doug W.] Yukon Wildland Fire Management, Whitehorse, YT, Canada.
[McGee, Tara K.] Univ Alberta, Dept Earth & Atmospher Sci, Edmonton, AB T6G 2E3,
Canada.
C3 University of Alberta
RP McGee, TK (corresponding author), Univ Alberta, Dept Earth & Atmospher Sci, 1-26
Earth Sci Bldg, Edmonton, AB T6G 2E3, Canada.
EM Doug.Cote@gov.yk.ca; tmcgee@ualberta.ca
OI McGee, Tara/0000-0003-2234-8879
CR Alexander ME, 2012, WILDERNESS MED, P240
[Anonymous], 2003, ENVIRON HAZARDS-UK, DOI [DOI 10.1016/J.HAZARDS2004.01.001,
DOI 10.1016/J.HAZARDS.2004.01.001]
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1816.1971.tb00362.x
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10.1016/j.hazards.2005.10.006
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10.1016/j.forpol.2008.02.002
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10.1080/17477891.2011.635185
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6996.0000038
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Tibbits A., 2007, Environmental Hazards, V7, P283, DOI
10.1016/j.envhaz.2007.08.001
Victorian Bushfires Royal Commission, 2010, FIN REP REC
2867(01)00013-4, DOI 10.1016/S1464-2867(01)00013-4]
NR 37
TC 17
Z9 17
U1 0
U2 15
PU CANADIAN INST FORESTRY
PI MATTAWA
PA C/O CANADIAN ECOLOGY CENTRE, PO BOX 430, 6905 HWY 17 W, MATTAWA, ONTARIO
P0H 1V0, CANADA
SN 0015-7546
EI 1499-9315
J9 FOREST CHRON
JI For. Chron.
PD JUL-AUG
PY 2014
VL 90
IS 4
BP 498
EP 502
DI 10.5558/tfc2014-100
PG 5
WC Forestry
SC Forestry
GA AQ1YQ
UT WOS:000342581400019
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Bloom, MS
Palumbo, J
Saiyed, N
Lauper, U
Lin, S
AF Bloom, Michael S.
Palumbo, Jillian
Saiyed, Nazia
Lauper, Ursula
Lin, Shao
TI Food and Waterborne Disease in the Greater New York City Area Following
Hurricane Sandy in 2012
LA English
DT Article
DE hurricane; infectious disease transmission; public health; floods
ID INFECTIOUS-DISEASES; NATURAL DISASTERS; HEALTH; FLOOD; SURVEILLANCE;
BANGLADESH; EPIDEMICS; OUTBREAK; EVACUEES; HOUSTON
AB Objective We aimed to evaluate residence in evacuation areas (storm areas) as a
risk factor for food and waterborne disease (FWBD) associated with Hurricane Sandy
flooding.
Methods We captured 9601 incident outpatient and inpatient FWBD hospital
discharge diagnoses for residents of the greater New York City area. We used
Poisson or negative binomial regression models to compare the covariate-adjusted
risk for a FWBD diagnosis, pre-Sandy (10/28-11/09, 2001-2011) vs. post-Sandy
(10/28-11/09, 2012), for residents of storm and non-storm areas.
Results Outpatient FWBD risk was lower for storm area residents after Hurricane
Sandy (risk ratio [RR]=0.58, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.46-0.74), and varied
by age, sex, and county. However, storm area residents 65 years of age or older
experienced higher risk after Hurricane Sandy (RR=2.16, 95% CI: 1.11-4.19), albeit
based on few cases. Inpatient FWBD risk was lower for non-storm area residents
after Hurricane Sandy (RR=0.79, 95% CI: 0.66-0.95), and varied by age, race, and
county, although there was no significant change for storm area residents (RR=0.86,
95% CI: 0.69-1.08). Those 65 years of age were also at lower risk for inpatient
FWBD diagnosis, yet the effect was weaker for storm area (RR=0.89, 95% CI: 0.67-
1.18) than for non-storm area residents (RR=0.68, 95% CI: 0.52-0.89).
Conclusions Hurricane preparation, mitigation, and response activities in the
greater New York City area may have led to protective effects for FWBD. (Disaster
Med Public Health Preparedness. 2016;10:503-511)
C1 [Bloom, Michael S.; Palumbo, Jillian; Lauper, Ursula; Lin, Shao] SUNY Albany,
Dept Environm Hlth Sci, Rensselaer, NY USA.
[Bloom, Michael S.; Saiyed, Nazia; Lin, Shao] SUNY Albany, Dept Epidemiol &
Biostat, Rensselaer, NY USA.
[Saiyed, Nazia] Sinai Urban Hlth Inst, Chicago, IL USA.
(SUNY) Albany; State University of New York (SUNY) System; State
University of New York (SUNY) Albany
RP Bloom, MS (corresponding author), Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Environm Hlth Sci, Rm
157,One Univ Pl, Rensselaer, NY 12144 USA.
EM mbloom@albany.edu
RI Lauper, Ursula/IVV-2646-2023; Bloom, Michael S/A-5743-2010
OI Lauper, Ursula/0000-0002-6262-0112; Lin, Shao/0000-0002-5535-7504;
Bloom, Michael/0000-0002-0028-5494
FU Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) [1U01 TP000566-01]
FX This work was supported by Grant #1U01 TP000566-01 from the Centers for
Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). The content is solely the
responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the
official views of the CDC.
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TC 8
Z9 8
U1 0
U2 22
PI NEW YORK
SN 1935-7893
EI 1938-744X
PD JUN
PY 2016
VL 10
IS 3
SI SI
BP 503
EP 511
DI 10.1017/dmp.2016.85
PG 9
(SSCI)
GA DQ3VD
UT WOS:000379130700027
PM 27181600
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Lee, D
Yoon, S
Park, ES
Kim, Y
Yoon, DK
AF Lee, Dongkwan
Yoon, Soyeon
Park, Eun-Seon
Kim, Yuseung
Yoon, D. K.
TI Factors Contributing to Disaster Evacuation: The Case of South Korea
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE natural disasters; evacuation behavior; evacuation drill; demographic
and socio-economic factor; Korea
ID NATURAL DISASTERS; HURRICANE KATRINA; DECISION-MAKING; RISK PERCEPTION;
OLDER-ADULTS; BEHAVIOR; RACE; COMMUNICATION; VULNERABILITY; PREPAREDNESS
AB There has been increasing interest in effective evacuation in response to
natural disasters, particularly in understanding human evacuation behavior. It is
important to determine the factors affecting evacuation decision making to promote
prompt evacuation. This study focuses on the effects of past experiences on
evacuation behavior in South Korea, especially the evacuation drill experience.
Additionally, the influence of demographic and socio-economic characteristics on
evacuation behavior is considered. After collecting data through telephone surveys,
t-tests and logit regression models were used to evaluate the data. The results
reveal that an evacuation drill experience is positively related to making a
decision to evacuate. The results also confirm that certain demographic factors,
such as age and household size, as well as socio-economic factors, such as
household income and housing type, influence evacuation decisions. Besides these,
knowing the location of a shelter is another factor that improves the chances of
evacuation. Finally, discussions and suggestions for increasing participation in
evacuation drills are provided.
C1 [Lee, Dongkwan; Yoon, Soyeon; Park, Eun-Seon; Yoon, D. K.] Yonsei Univ, Dept
Urban Planning & Engn, 50 Yonsei Ro, Seoul 03722, South Korea.
[Kim, Yuseung] Univ Southern Maine, Masters Program Policy Planning &
Management, 34 Bedford St, Portland, ME 04104 USA.
C3 Yonsei University; University of Maine System; University of Southern
Maine
RP Yoon, DK (corresponding author), Yonsei Univ, Dept Urban Planning & Engn, 50
Yonsei Ro, Seoul 03722, South Korea.
EM matoto@yonsei.ac.kr; syyoon100@yonsei.ac.kr; parkeunseon@yonsei.ac.kr;
yuseung.kim@maine.edu; dkyoon@yonsei.ac.kr
RI Yoon, Dong Keun/I-1555-2012
OI Lee, Dongkwan/0000-0002-7620-3600; Yoon, D.K./0000-0002-1573-5769
FU Basic Science Research Program through the National Research Foundation
of Korea (NRF) - Ministry of Education of Korea [2015R1D1A1A01059239];
National Research Foundation of Korea [2015R1D1A1A01059239] Funding
Source: Korea Institute of Science & Technology Information (KISTI),
National Science & Technology Information Service (NTIS)
FX This research was supported by Basic Science Research Program through
the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) funded by the Ministry
of Education of Korea (No. 2015R1D1A1A01059239).
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TC 10
Z9 10
U1 4
U2 24
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
JI Sustainability
PD OCT
PY 2018
VL 10
IS 10
AR 3818
DI 10.3390/su10103818
PG 16
(SSCI)
GA GY4UB
UT WOS:000448559400460
OA Green Published, gold, Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Nguyen, L
Yang, Z
Li, J
Pan, ZH
Cao, GF
Jin, F
AF Nguyen, Long
Yang, Zhou
Li, Jia
Pan, Zhenhe
Cao, Guofeng
Jin, Fang
TI Forecasting People's Needs in Hurricane Events from Social Network
SO IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON BIG DATA
LA English
DT Article
DE Disaster relief; needs forecasting; concern flow; LSTM; hurricane
events; sequence to sequence model
ID MEDIA
AB Social networks can serve as a valuable communication channel for asking for
help, offering assistance, and coordinating rescue activities in disaster because
it allows users to continuously update critical information in the fast-changing
disaster environment. This paper presents a novel sequence to sequence based
framework for forecasting people's needs during disasters using social media and
weather data. It consists of two Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models, one of which
encodes input sequences of weather information and the other plays as a conditional
decoder that decodes the encoded vector and forecasts the survivors' needs. Case
studies using data collected during Hurricane Sandy in 2012, Hurricane Harvey and
Hurricane Irma in 2017 demonstrate that the proposed approach outperformed the
statistical language model n-gram, LSTM generative model, and convolutional neural
network (CNN) based model. This research indicates its great promise for enhancing
disaster management such as evacuation planning and commodity delivery.
C1 [Nguyen, Long; Yang, Zhou; Jin, Fang] Texas Tech Univ, Dept Comp Sci, Lubbock,
TX 79409 USA.
[Li, Jia] Texas Tech Univ, Dept Civil Environm & Construct Engn, Lubbock, TX
79409 USA.
[Pan, Zhenhe] Kinet DB Inc, Arlington, VA 22203 USA.
[Cao, Guofeng] Texas Tech Univ, Dept Geosci, Lubbock, TX 79409 USA.
C3 Texas Tech University System; Texas Tech University; Texas Tech
University System; Texas Tech University; Texas Tech University System;
Texas Tech University
RP Jin, F (corresponding author), Texas Tech Univ, Dept Comp Sci, Lubbock, TX 79409
USA.
EM long.nguyen@ttu.edu; zhou.yang@ttu.edu; jia.li@ttu.edu;
zhenhepan@gmail.com; guofeng.cao@ttu.edu; fang.jin@ttu.edu
RI Yang, Zhou/GON-8509-2022; Cao, Guofeng/HCI-4257-2022
OI Nguyen, Hoang Long/0000-0001-7673-7955; Cao, Guofeng/0000-0003-4827-1558
FU U.S. National Science Foundation [CNS-1737634]
FX This work was supported by the U.S. National Science Foundation under
Grant CNS-1737634.
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SC Computer Science
GA YG8HU
UT WOS:000742723200019
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Ahmadian, R
Falconer, RA
Wicks, J
AF Ahmadian, R.
Falconer, R. A.
Wicks, J.
TI Benchmarking of flood inundation extent using various dynamically linked
one- and two-dimensional approaches
LA English
DT Article
DE 1-D; 2-D linking; ADI numerical scheme; flood extent; flood inundation;
flood modelling; Greenwich Embayment; TVD numerical scheme
ID DIFFUSION-WAVE TREATMENT; TVD-MACCORMACK; SIMULATION; MODELS;
MANAGEMENT; RESOLUTION; 1D
AB An accurate representation of linking processes between one-dimensional (1-D)
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(ADI) and total variation diminishing (TVD) 2-D numerical schemes widely used in
flood models such as Flood Modeller Pro (). The flood inundation levels and extent
predicted by each numerical scheme were similar when the discharge method was used
to link the models, whereas they were dependent on the numerical scheme when the
water-level method was used. Consequently, where decisions affecting public safety
are informed by the modelling, such as evacuation following a breach, it is
recommended that the discharge-linking method should be used for linking models.
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[Wicks, J.] CH2M, Burderop Pk, Swindon, Wilts, England.
C3 Cardiff University
RP Ahmadian, R (corresponding author), Cardiff Univ, Sch Engn, Queens Bldg, Cardiff
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EM AhmadianR@cf.ac.uk
RI Falconer, Roger Alexander/A-3714-2008; Ahmadian, Reza/AAC-9113-2019
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TC 21
Z9 21
U1 0
U2 15
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 1753-318X
PD JAN
PY 2018
VL 11
SU 1
BP S314
EP S328
DI 10.1111/jfr3.12208
PG 15
GA FU2OS
UT WOS:000423690200025
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Ridpath, AD
Bregman, B
Jones, L
Reddy, V
Waechter, H
Balter, S
AF Ridpath, Alison D.
Bregman, Brooke
Jones, Lucretia
Reddy, Vasudha
Waechter, Haena
Balter, Sharon
TI Challenges to Implementing Communicable Disease Surveillance in New York
City Evacuation Shelters After Hurricane Sandy, November 2012
SO PUBLIC HEALTH REPORTS
LA English
DT Article
ID INFECTIOUS-DISEASES; NATURAL DISASTERS; PREVENTION; EVACUEES; HOUSTON
AB Hurricane Sandy hit New York City (NYC) on October 29, 2012. Before and after
the storm, 73 temporary evacuation shelters were established. The total census of
these shelters peaked at approximately 6,800 individuals. Concern about the spread
of communicable diseases in shelters prompted the NYC Department of Health and
Mental Hygiene (DOHMH) to rapidly develop a surveillance system to report
communicable diseases and emergency department transports from shelters. We
describe the implementation of this system. Establishing effective surveillance in
temporary shelters was challenging and required in-person visits by DOHMH staff to
ensure reporting. After system establishment, surveillance data were used to
identify some potential disease clusters. For the future, we recommend pre-event
planning for disease surveillance.
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[Ridpath, Alison D.; Bregman, Brooke; Jones, Lucretia; Reddy, Vasudha; Waechter,
Haena; Balter, Sharon] New York City Dept Hlth & Mental Hyg, New York, NY USA.
C3 Centers for Disease Control & Prevention - USA; New York City Department
of Health & Mental Hygiene
RP Balter, S (corresponding author), New York City Dept Hlth & Mental Hyg, Gotham
Ctr 2, CN 22A,42-09 28th St, Queens, NY 11101 USA.
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NR 18
TC 16
Z9 16
U1 0
U2 13
PU ASSOC SCHOOLS PUBLIC HEALTH
PI WASHINGTON
PA 1900 M ST NW, STE 710, WASHINGTON, DC 20036 USA
SN 0033-3549
J9 PUBLIC HEALTH REP
JI Public Health Rep.
PD JAN-FEB
PY 2015
VL 130
IS 1
BP 48
EP 53
DI 10.1177/003335491513000106
PG 6
(SSCI)
GA AY6ER
UT WOS:000347660700006
PM 25552754
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Afrin, T
Aragon, LG
Lin, ZB
Yodo, N
AF Afrin, Tanzina
Aragon, Lucy G.
Lin, Zhibin
Yodo, Nita
TI An Integrated Data-Driven Predictive Resilience Framework for Disaster
Evacuation Traffic Management
LA English
DT Article
DE resilience; data-driven; LSTM; traffic; transportation; disaster;
management; evacuation
ID NETWORKS; SYSTEMS
AB Maintaining smooth traffic during disaster evacuation is a lifesaving step.
Traffic resilience is often used to define the ability of a roadway during disaster
evacuation to withstand and recover its functionality from disturbances in terms of
traffic flow caused by a disaster. However, a high level of variances due to system
complexity and inherent uncertainty associated with disaster and evacuation risks
poses great challenges in predicting traffic resilience during evacuation. To fill
this gap, this study aimed to propose a new integrated data-driven predictive
resilience framework that enables incorporating traffic uncertainty factors in
determining road traffic conditions and predicting traffic performance using
machine learning approaches and various space and time (spatiotemporal) data
sources. This study employed an augmented Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)-based
approach with correlated spatiotemporal traffic data to predict traffic conditions,
then to map those conditions to traffic resilience levels: daily traffic, segment
traffic, and overall route traffic. A case study of Hurricane Irma's evacuation
traffic was used to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed framework. The
results indicated that the proposed method could effectively predict traffic
conditions and thus help to determine traffic resilience. The data also confirmed
that the traffic infrastructures along the US I-75 route remained resilient despite
the disturbances during the disaster evacuation activities. The findings of this
study suggest that the proposed framework is applicable to other disaster
management scenarios to obtain more robust decisions for the emergency response
during disaster evacuation.
C1 [Afrin, Tanzina; Yodo, Nita] North Dakota State Univ, Dept Ind & Mfg Engn,
Fargo, ND 58102 USA.
[Aragon, Lucy G.] Pontif Catholic Univ Peru, Dept Engn, Lima 15088, Peru.
[Lin, Zhibin; Yodo, Nita] North Dakota State Univ, Dept Civil Construct &
Environm Engn, Fargo, ND 58102 USA.
C3 North Dakota State University Fargo; Pontificia Universidad Catolica del
Peru; North Dakota State University Fargo
RP Afrin, T; Yodo, N (corresponding author), North Dakota State Univ, Dept Ind &
Mfg Engn, Fargo, ND 58102 USA.; Yodo, N (corresponding author), North Dakota State
Univ, Dept Civil Construct & Environm Engn, Fargo, ND 58102 USA.
EM tanzina.afrin@ndsu.edu; nita.yodo@ndsu.edu
FU National Science Foundation (NSF) EPSCoR RII Track-2 Program
[OIA-2119691]
FX This research was partially funded by the National Science Foundation
(NSF) EPSCoR RII Track-2 Program under the NSF award # OIA-2119691.
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NR 37
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 5
U2 5
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2076-3417
J9 APPL SCI-BASEL
JI Appl. Sci.-Basel
PD JUN 5
PY 2023
VL 13
IS 11
AR 6850
DI 10.3390/app13116850
PG 17
GA I8US2
UT WOS:001005485300001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Li, Y
Gong, JH
Zhu, J
Ye, L
Song, YQ
Yue, YJ
AF Li, Y.
Gong, J. H.
Zhu, J.
Ye, L.
Song, Y. Q.
Yue, Y. J.
TI Efficient dam break flood simulation methods for developing a
preliminary evacuation plan after the Wenchuan Earthquake
LA English
DT Article
ID RISK
AB The Xiaojiaqiao barrier lake, which was the second largest barrier lake formed
by the Wenchuan Earthquake had seriously threatened the lives and property of the
population downstream. The lake was finally dredged successfully on 7 June 2008.
Because of the limited time available to conduct an inundation potential analysis
and make an evacuation plan, barrier lake information extraction and real-time dam
break flood simulation should be carried out quickly, integrating remote sensing
and geographic information system (GIS) techniques with hydrologic/hydraulic
analysis. In this paper, a technical framework and several key techniques for this
real-time preliminary evacuation planning are introduced. An object-oriented method
was used to extract hydrological information on the barrier lake from unmanned
aerial vehicle (UAV) remote sensing images. The real-time flood routine was
calculated by using shallow-water equations, which were solved by means of a finite
volume scheme on multiblock structured grids. The results of the hydraulic
computations are visualized and analyzed in a 3-D geographic information system for
inundation potential analysis, and an emergency response plan is made. The results
show that if either a full-break or a half-break situation had occurred for the
Chapinghe barrier lake on 19 May 2008, then the Xiaoba Town region and the Sangzao
Town region would have been affected, but the downstream towns would have been less
influenced. Preliminary evacuation plans under different dam break situations can
be effectively made using these methods.
C1 [Li, Y.; Gong, J. H.; Ye, L.] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Remote Sensing Applicat,
State Key Lab Remote Sensing Sci, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China.
[Li, Y.; Gong, J. H.] Zhejiang CAS Applicat Ctr Geoinformat, Hangzhou 314100,
Zhejiang, Peoples R China.
[Zhu, J.] SW Jiaotong Univ, Chengdu 610031, Peoples R China.
[Song, Y. Q.] Tianjin Normal Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Tianjin 300387,
Peoples R China.
[Yue, Y. J.] Chinese Acad Sci, Ecoenvironm Sci Res Ctr, Beijing 100185, Peoples
R China.
C3 Chinese Academy of Sciences; Southwest Jiaotong University; Tianjin
Normal University; Chinese Academy of Sciences; Research Center for
Eco-Environmental Sciences (RCEES)
RP Gong, JH (corresponding author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Remote Sensing Applicat,
State Key Lab Remote Sensing Sci, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China.
EM jhgong@irsa.ac.cn
FU National Natural Science Foundation of China [41101363, 40871181];
Chinese Academy of Sciences [315 (KZCX2-EW-318)]; Basic Research Program
of China, 973 Program [2007CB714402]
FX This research is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of
China (41101363, 40871181), the Key Knowledge Innovative Project of the
Chinese Academy of Sciences 315 (KZCX2-EW-318), and the Basic Research
Program of China, 973 Program, No. 2007CB714402.
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NR 21
TC 21
Z9 22
U1 3
U2 50
PI GOTTINGEN
SN 1561-8633
EI 1684-9981
PY 2012
VL 12
IS 1
BP 97
EP 106
DI 10.5194/nhess-12-97-2012
PG 10
Water Resources
GA 891RP
UT WOS:000300234600011
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU DeSalvo, KB
Hyre, AD
Ompad, DC
Menke, A
Tynes, LL
Muntner, P
AF DeSalvo, Karen B.
Hyre, Amanda D.
Ompad, Danielle C.
Menke, Andy
Tynes, L. Lee
Muntner, Paul
TI Symptoms of posttraumatic stress disorder in a New Orleans workforce
following Hurricane Katrina
SO JOURNAL OF URBAN HEALTH-BULLETIN OF THE NEW YORK ACADEMY OF MEDICINE
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane Katrina; natural disaster; posttraumatic stress disorder; risk
factors
ID 1989 NEWCASTLE EARTHQUAKE; TERRORIST ATTACKS; MENTAL-HEALTH; DISASTER;
MORBIDITY; COMMUNITY; SEQUELAE; VICTIMS
AB On August 29, 2005, Hurricane Katrina made landfall resulting in catastrophic
damage and flooding to New Orleans, LA, and the Gulf Coast, which may have bad
significant mental health effects on the population. To determine rates and
predictors of symptoms consistent with a diagnosis of Posttraumatic stress disorder
(PTSD) in New Orleans residents following Hurricane Katrina, we conducted a web-
based survey 6 months after Hurricane Katrina made landfall. Participants included
1,542 employees from the largest employer in New Orleans. The prevalence of PTSD
symptoms was 19.2%. Predictors of PTSD symptoms in a multivariate-adjusted
regression model included female sex, non-black race, knowing someone who died in
the storm, not having property insurance, having bad a longer evacuation, a much
longer work commute compared to before Hurricane Katrina, and currently living in a
newly purchased or rented house or in a temporary trailer. Despite universal health
coverage and the benefits of an employee assistance program for all employees, only
28.5% of those with PTSD symptoms had talked to a health professional about the
events of Hurricane Katrina or issues encountered since the storm. A significant
burden of PTSD symptoms was present 6 months following Hurricane Katrina among a
large group of adults who had returned to work in New Orleans. Given their key role
in the economic redevelopment of the region, there is a tremendous need to identify
those in the workforce with symptoms consistent with PTSD and to enhance treatment
options. The strong relationship between displacement from ones' pre-Katrina
residence and symptoms of PTSD suggests a need to focus resource utilization and
interventions on individuals living in temporary housing.
C1 Tulane Univ, Hlth Sci Ctr, Sch Med, Dept Med,Sect Gen Internal Med & Geriatr,
New Orleans, LA 70112 USA.
Tulane Univ, Sch Publ Hlth & Trop Med, Dept Epidemiol, New Orleans, LA USA.
New York Acad Med, Ctr Urban Epidemiol Studies, New York, NY USA.
Tulane Univ, Sch Med, Dept Psychiat, New Orleans, LA 70112 USA.
Jefferson Parish Human Serv Author, Metairie, LA USA.
C3 Tulane University; Tulane University; New York Academy of Medicine;
Tulane University
RP DeSalvo, KB (corresponding author), Tulane Univ, Hlth Sci Ctr, Sch Med, Dept
Med,Sect Gen Internal Med & Geriatr, 1430 Tulane Ave,SL-16, New Orleans, LA 70112
USA.
EM kdesalv@tulane.edu
RI Ompad, Danielle C./F-3163-2013
OI Ompad, Danielle C./0000-0003-0240-0393
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NR 22
TC 105
Z9 109
U1 0
U2 17
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 1099-3460
EI 1468-2869
J9 J URBAN HEALTH
JI J. Urban Health
PD MAR
PY 2007
VL 84
IS 2
BP 142
EP 152
DI 10.1007/s11524-006-9147-1
PG 11
WC Public, Environmental & Occupational Health; Medicine, General &
Internal
(SSCI)
SC Public, Environmental & Occupational Health; General & Internal Medicine
GA 152FA
UT WOS:000245345300002
PM 17226081
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Sexton, KH
Alperin, LM
Stobo, JD
AF Sexton, Karen H.
Alperin, Lynn M.
Stobo, John D.
TI Lessons from Hurricane Rita: The University of Texas Medical Branch
hospital's evacuation
SO ACADEMIC MEDICINE
LA English
DT Article
AB In September 2005, the University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston (UTMB)
was threatened by Hurricane Rita, a category five storm. Abandoning its historic
practice of clearing the hospital of all but the sickest patients, UTMB rapidly
organized and conducted the first total evacuation in its 114-year history. The
authors report how this was accomplished and lessons learned.
Specific factors were crucial for success including identifying an incident
commander with sole authority to make decisions, developing and communicating a set
of guiding principles, setting patient safety as our top priority, establishing an
incident command center that consolidated vital institutional functions, avoiding
delays in deciding to evacuate, identifying strategic partners, selecting essential
personnel who would not be distracted by personal concerns during the emergency,
and conducting periodic trial runs of emergency preparedness.
Complex demands for communication were not met as well as was hoped. Technical
problems were encountered with some communication devices that proved inoperable;
trial runs would have probably revealed these problems in advance. Also, in-transit
communication could be improved-not always knowing which patients were where, what
vehicles were mired in stalled traffic, and what relocations occurred impeded
optimal communication with patients' family members. Finally, a system ensuring
that the recipients of UTMB's electronic records had the proper software to receive
them would have facilitated communication and helped record keeping. The authors
encourage physicians, as essential members of the health care team, to become
better prepared to respond to disasters.
C1 Univ Texas, Med Branch, Hosp & Clin, Galveston, TX 77555 USA.
C3 University of Texas System; University of Texas Medical Branch Galveston
RP Sexton, KH (corresponding author), Univ Texas, Med Branch, Hosp & Clin, 301 Univ
Blvd, Galveston, TX 77555 USA.
EM khsexton@utmb.edu
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Pizzi L, CREW RESOURCE MANAGE
NR 7
TC 24
Z9 24
U1 0
U2 8
PU LIPPINCOTT WILLIAMS & WILKINS
PI PHILADELPHIA
PA 530 WALNUT ST, PHILADELPHIA, PA 19106-3621 USA
SN 1040-2446
J9 ACAD MED
JI Acad. Med.
PD AUG
PY 2007
VL 82
IS 8
BP 792
EP 796
DI 10.1097/ACM.0b013e3180d096b9
PG 5
WC Education, Scientific Disciplines; Health Care Sciences & Services
SC Education & Educational Research; Health Care Sciences & Services
GA 199PK
UT WOS:000248707500010
PM 17762257
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Rahman, MM
Arif, MSI
Hossain, MT
Almohamad, H
Al Dughairi, AA
Al-Mutiry, M
Abdo, HG
AF Rahman, Md Mostafizur
Arif, Md. Saidul Islam
Hossain, Md. Tanvir
Almohamad, Hussein
Al Dughairi, Ahmed Abdullah
Al-Mutiry, Motrih
Abdo, Hazem Ghassan
TI Households' vulnerability assessment: empirical evidence from
cyclone-prone area of Bangladesh
SO GEOSCIENCE LETTERS
LA English
DT Article
DE Cyclone; Risk assessment; Exposure; Vulnerability; Bangladesh
ID CLIMATE-CHANGE; PHYSICAL VULNERABILITY; SOCIAL VULNERABILITY; DISASTER
MANAGEMENT; TROPICAL CYCLONES; RISK; IMPACT; ADAPTATION; PEOPLE;
PERCEPTION
AB Despite Bangladesh being vulnerable to cyclones, there is a dearth of research
on cyclone vulnerability assessment. Assessing a household's vulnerability is
considered a crucial step in avoiding the adverse effects of catastrophe risks.
This research was conducted in the cyclone-prone district of Barguna, Bangladesh.
This study's purpose is to evaluate this region's vulnerability. A questionnaire
survey was conducted using a convenience sample technique. A door-to-door survey of
388 households in two Unions of Patharghata Upazila, Barguna district, was
conducted. Forty-three indicators were selected to assess cyclone vulnerability.
The results were quantified using an index-based methodology with a standardized
scoring method. Where applicable, descriptive statistics have been obtained. In
terms of vulnerability indicators, we also utilized the chi-square test to compare
Kalmegha and Patharghata Union. When appropriate, the non-parametric Mann-Whitney U
test was employed to evaluate the relationship between the Vulnerability Index
Score ( VIS) and the union. According to the results, the environmental
vulnerability (0.53 +/- 0.17) and the composite vulnerability index (0.50 +/- 0.08)
were significantly greater in Kalmegha Union than in Patharghata Union. They faced
inequity in government assistance (71%) and humanitarian aid (45%) from national
and international organizations. However, 83% of them underwent evacuation
practices. 39% were satisfied with the WASH conditions at the cyclone shelter,
whereas around half were dissatisfied with the status of the medical facilities.
Most of them (96%) rely only on surface water for drinking. National and
international organizations should have a comprehensive plan for disaster risk
reduction that encompasses all individuals, regardless of race, geography, or
ethnicity.
C1 [Rahman, Md Mostafizur; Arif, Md. Saidul Islam] Bangladesh Univ Profess, Fac
Arts & Social Sci, Dept Disaster Management & Resilience, Dhaka 1216, Bangladesh.
[Hossain, Md. Tanvir] Khulna Univ, Social Sci Sch, Sociol Discipline, Khulna
9208, Bangladesh.
[Almohamad, Hussein; Al Dughairi, Ahmed Abdullah] Qassim Univ, Coll Arab
Language & Social Studies, Dept Geog, Buraydah 51452, Saudi Arabia.
[Al-Mutiry, Motrih] Princess Nourah Bint Abdulrahman Univ, Coll Arts, Dept Geog,
Riyadh 11671, Saudi Arabia.
[Abdo, Hazem Ghassan] Tartous Univ, Fac Arts & Humanities, Geog Dept, Tartous,
Syria.
C3 Khulna University; Qassim University; Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman
University
RP Abdo, HG (corresponding author), Tartous Univ, Fac Arts & Humanities, Geog Dept,
Tartous, Syria.
EM hazemabdo@tartous-univ.edu.sy
RI Almohamad, Hussein/CAI-1039-2022; Hossain, Md. Tanvir/AAS-3339-2021
OI Almohamad, Hussein/0000-0001-8887-915X; Hossain, Md.
Tanvir/0000-0003-0315-6900; Abdo, Hazem/0000-0001-9283-3947; Islam Arif,
Md. Saidul/0000-0003-3372-6548
FU Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
[PNURSP2022R241]
FX This project was funded by Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University
Research Supporting Project Number PNURSP2022R241, Princess Nourah bint
Abdulrahman University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
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TC 0
Z9 0
U1 0
U2 0
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 2196-4092
J9 GEOSCI LETT
JI Geosci. Lett.
PD JUN 6
PY 2023
VL 10
IS 1
AR 26
DI 10.1186/s40562-023-00280-z
PG 21
WC Geosciences, Multidisciplinary; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
SC Geology; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
GA I7GS5
UT WOS:001004439600001
PM 37305781
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Liu, Y
Irish, JL
AF Liu, Yi
Irish, Jennifer L.
TI Characterization and prediction of tropical cyclone forerunner surge
LA English
DT Article
DE Tropical cyclones; Forerunner surge; Modeling; Forecasting; Physical
scaling; ADCIRC
ID SWAN PLUS ADCIRC; RESPONSE FUNCTION-APPROACH; HURRICANE WAVES; MODEL;
WIND; BAY
AB Forerunner surge, a water level rise ahead of tropical cyclone landfall, often
strikes coastal communities unexpectedly, stranding people and increasing loss of
life. Surge forecasting systems and emergency managers almost exclusively focus on
peak surge, while much less attention is given to forerunner surge. To address the
need for fast and accurate forecasting of forerunner surge, we analyze high-
fidelity surge simulations in Virginia, New York/New Jersey and Texas and extract
physical scaling laws between readily available storm track information and
forerunner surge magnitude and timing. We demonstrate that a dimensionless
relationship between central-pressure scaled surge and wind-duration scaled time
may effectively be used for rapid forerunner surge forecasting, where uncertainty
is considered. We use our method to predict forerunner surge for Hurricanes Ike
(2008)-a significant forerunner surge event-and Harvey (2017). The predicted
forerunner surge 24 to 6 h before Hurricane Ike's landfall ranged from 0.4 to 2.8
m, where the observed forerunner surge ranged from 0.4 to 2.6 m. This new method
has the potential to be incorporated into real-time surge forecasting systems to
aid emergency management and evacuation decisions.
C1 [Liu, Yi; Irish, Jennifer L.] Virginia Tech, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
Blacksburg, VA 24061 USA.
C3 Virginia Polytechnic Institute & State University
RP Liu, Y (corresponding author), Virginia Tech, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
Blacksburg, VA 24061 USA.
EM echoliu@vt.edu
OI Liu, Yi/0000-0002-4991-2866
FU National Science Foundation [CMMI-1206271, EAR-163009]; Mid-Atlantic
Coastal Storms Graduate Research Fellowship [R/71858M]
FX This material is based upon work supported by the National Science
Foundation under Grant Nos. CMMI-1206271 and EAR-163009, and the
Mid-Atlantic Coastal Storms Graduate Research Fellowship (Project No.
R/71858M). The work used resources of the Advanced Research Computing at
Virginia Tech. The authors wish to thank the USACE for providing surge
simulation data, Oceanweather, Inc. for allowing use of their PBL Model,
Drs. Casey Dietrich and Joannes Westerink for providing the ADCIRC mesh
and model setup used in Texas, and Dr. Andrew Kennedy for providing his
observational data from Hurricane Ike. The Texas simulation data can be
obtained in the supplemental material and the NACCS data is publicly
available online.
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NR 47
TC 9
Z9 9
U1 3
U2 9
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 0378-3839
EI 1872-7379
J9 COAST ENG
JI Coast. Eng.
PD MAY
PY 2019
VL 147
BP 34
EP 42
DI 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2019.01.005
PG 9
SC Engineering
GA HR4NS
UT WOS:000463123800004
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Roy, KC
Hasan, S
Sadri, AM
Cebrian, M
AF Roy, Kamol Chandra
Hasan, Samiul
Sadri, Arif Mohaimin
Cebrian, Manuel
TI Understanding the efficiency of social media based crisis communication
during hurricane Sandy
SO INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFORMATION MANAGEMENT
LA English
DT Article
DE Crisis communication; Hurricane warning; Evacuation; Social media;
Twitter; Hurricane Sandy; Disaster management
ID RISK COMMUNICATION; TIME-SERIES; MODEL; ANALYTICS
AB Rapid communication during extreme events is one of the critical aspects of
successful disaster management strategies. Due to their ubiquitous nature, social
media platforms are expected to offer a unique opportunity for crisis
communication. In this study, about 52.5 million tweets related to hurricane Sandy
posted by 13.75 million users are analyzed to assess the effectiveness of social
media communication during disasters and identify the contributing factors leading
to effective crisis communication strategies. Efficiency of a social media user is
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followers and friends, user category, bot score (controlled by a human or a
machine), and activity patterns (predictability of activity frequency). Since the
proposed efficiency metric is easy to evaluate, it can potentially detect effective
social media users in real time to communicate information and awareness to
vulnerable communities during a disaster.
C1 [Roy, Kamol Chandra; Hasan, Samiul] Univ Cent Florida, Dept Civil Environm &
Construct Engn, Orlando, FL 32816 USA.
[Sadri, Arif Mohaimin] Florida Int Univ, Moss Sch Construct Infrastruct &
Sustainabil, Moss Dept Construct Management, Miami, FL 33199 USA.
[Cebrian, Manuel] Max Planck Inst Human Dev, Berlin, Germany.
C3 State University System of Florida; University of Central Florida; State
University System of Florida; Florida International University; Max
Planck Society
Construct Engn, Orlando, FL 32816 USA.
EM samiul.hasan@ucf.edu
RI roy, kamol/ABC-8218-2021; Hasan, Samiul/J-7539-2013
OI Hasan, Samiul/0000-0002-5828-3352; Sadri, Arif
Mohaimin/0000-0001-5571-6741; Roy, Kamol/0000-0003-4315-8724
FU U.S. Department of Transportation's University Transportation Centers
Program under Southeastern Transportation Center; U.S. National Science
Foundation [1832578, 1917019]; Div Of Civil, Mechanical, & Manufact Inn;
Directorate For Engineering [1832578, 1917019] Funding Source: National
Science Foundation
FX This work was supported by the U.S. Department of Transportation's
University Transportation Centers Program under Southeastern
Transportation Center and the U.S. National Science Foundation (Grant
IDs CMMI #1832578 and #1917019). The authors are solely responsible for
the facts and accuracy of the information presented in the paper.
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Z9 41
U1 11
U2 103
PU ELSEVIER SCI LTD
PI OXFORD
SN 0268-4012
EI 1873-4707
J9 INT J INFORM MANAGE
JI Int. J. Inf. Manage.
PD JUN
PY 2020
VL 52
AR 102060
DI 10.1016/j.ijinfomgt.2019.102060
PG 13
WC Information Science & Library Science
SC Information Science & Library Science
GA KU8NP
UT WOS:000519969300013
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Salmoral, G
Casado, MR
Muthusamy, M
Butler, D
Menon, PP
Leinster, P
AF Salmoral, Gloria
Casado, Monica Rivas
Muthusamy, Manoranjan
Butler, David
Menon, Prathyush P.
Leinster, Paul
TI Guidelines for the Use of Unmanned Aerial Systems in Flood Emergency
Response
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE drone applications; deployment time; monitoring; flood modelling;
evacuation; rescue; resilience
ID MANAGEMENT; REMOTE; KERALA; MODEL
AB There is increasing interest in using Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) in flood
risk management activities including in response to flood events. However, there is
little evidence that they are used in a structured and strategic manner to best
effect. An effective response to flooding is essential if lives are to be saved and
suffering alleviated. This study evaluates how UAS can be used in the preparation
for and response to flood emergencies and develops guidelines for their deployment
before, during and after a flood event. A comprehensive literature review and
interviews, with people with practical experience of flood risk management,
compared the current organizational and operational structures for flood emergency
response in both England and India, and developed a deployment analysis matrix of
existing UAS applications. An online survey was carried out in England to assess
how the technology could be further developed to meet flood emergency response
needs. The deployment analysis matrix has the potential to be translated into an
Indian context and other countries. Those organizations responsible for overseeing
flood risk management activities including the response to flooding events will
have to keep abreast of the rapid technological advances in UAS if they are to be
used to best effect.
C1 [Salmoral, Gloria; Casado, Monica Rivas; Muthusamy, Manoranjan; Leinster, Paul]
Cranfield Univ, Sch Water Energy & Environm, Coll Rd, Cranfield MK4 30AL, Beds,
England.
[Butler, David] Univ Exeter, Coll Engn Math & Phys Sci, Ctr Water Syst, Harrison
Bldg,Streatham Campus,North Pk Rd, Exeter EX4 4QF, Devon, England.
[Menon, Prathyush P.] Univ Exeter, Coll Engn Math & Phys Sci, Ctr Syst Dynam &
Control, Harrison Bldg,Streatham Campus,North Pk Rd, Exeter EX4 4QF, Devon,
England.
C3 Cranfield University; University of Exeter; University of Exeter
RP Casado, MR (corresponding author), Cranfield Univ, Sch Water Energy & Environm,
Coll Rd, Cranfield MK4 30AL, Beds, England.
EM gloria.salmoral@cranfield.ac.uk; m.rivas-casado@cranfield.ac.uk;
Manoranjan.Muthusamy@cranfield.ac.uk; D.Butler@exeter.ac.uk;
P.M.Prathyush@exeter.ac.uk; Paul.Leinster@cranfield.ac.uk
RI Butler, David/I-2991-2012; Salmoral, Gloria/R-4970-2016; Rivas Casado,
Monica/N-4711-2015
OI Butler, David/0000-0001-5515-3416; Salmoral, Gloria/0000-0002-3359-3354;
Rivas Casado, Monica/0000-0002-4169-3099; Leinster,
Paul/0000-0001-6073-0142; Muthusamy, Manoranjan/0000-0002-4700-4573
FU EPSRC [EP/P02839X/1, EP/N010329/1]; EPSRC [EP/N010329/1, EP/P02839X/1]
Funding Source: UKRI
FX This research was funded by EPSRC, EP/P02839X/1 "Emergency flood
planning and management using unmanned aerial systems" and EPSRC
EP/N010329/1 "BRIM: Building Resilience Into risk Management". Due to
the ethically sensitivity nature of the research (interviews),
supporting data cannot be made available.
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NR 89
TC 22
Z9 22
U1 3
U2 8
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD FEB
PY 2020
VL 12
IS 2
AR 521
DI 10.3390/w12020521
PG 22
GA KU6TF
UT WOS:000519846500212
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Park, I
Seong, H
Ryu, Y
Rhee, DS
AF Park, Inhwan
Seong, Hoje
Ryu, Yonguk
Rhee, Dong Sop
TI Measuring Inundation Depth in a Subway Station Using the Laser Image
Analysis Method
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE urban flood; inundation depth; laser image analysis; evacuation time
ID EVACUATION; SYSTEM
AB Subway station platforms are vulnerable to flood damage. Thus, investigation of
inundation properties in subway platforms is required to ensure the safety of
citizens against flooding. In this study, the evacuation time and safety were
analyzed in a subway station model using inundation depth measurements. The subway
station model contained shallow water depth conditions, which did not allow for
contact-type measurement devices. Instead, an image analysis procedure using laser
images was proposed to measure the inundation depth. The proposed laser image
analysis method can recognize a boundary line between the water and air by
visualizing the water surface using a laser sheet. The inundation depth
measurements using the image analysis method were reasonably accurate, resulting in
differences of 2.97-7.67% compared to the results obtained using a digital point
gauge. When inflow positions and flowrates of rainwater were changed, the measured
results showed that the inundation depth increased in areas in which the rainwater
inflow was relatively small or collided when moving in the direction opposite to
the rainwater. The calculated evacuation time from the subway station showed that a
drainage system is required to decrease the inundation depth in areas of inflowing
rainwater collision. Furthermore, the estimated results of evacuation safety showed
that safety handles are necessary even in low depth regions to prevent people from
falling down due to increased flow velocity, during evacuation.
C1 [Park, Inhwan; Seong, Hoje; Rhee, Dong Sop] Korea Inst Civil Engn & Bldg
Technol, 283 Goyangdae Ro, Goyang Si 10223, Gyeonggi Do, South Korea.
[Ryu, Yonguk] Pukyong Natl Univ, Ocean Engn Dept, Busan 48513, South Korea.
C3 Korea Institute of Civil Engineering & Building Technology (KICT);
Pukyong National University
RP Rhee, DS (corresponding author), Korea Inst Civil Engn & Bldg Technol, 283
Goyangdae Ro, Goyang Si 10223, Gyeonggi Do, South Korea.
EM inhwanpark@kict.re.kr; hoje.seong@kict.re.kr; yuryu@pknu.ac.kr;
dsrhee@kict.re.kr
RI Park, Inhwan/ACH-5658-2022
OI Park, Inhwan/0000-0002-7329-4789
FU Strategic Research Project (Smart Flood Management) - Korea Institute of
Civil Engineering and Building Technology
FX This study was supported by a grant from Strategic Research Project
(Smart Flood Management) funded by the Korea Institute of Civil
Engineering and Building Technology.
CR Aberle J., 2017, EXPT HYDRAULICS METH
Committee of Countermeasures against Inundation Disasters in Underground Spaces
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한국방재학회논문집], V15, P189
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Wang HF, 2008, COMBUST THEOR MODEL, V12, P529, DOI 10.1080/13647830701847875
Zhang D., 2013, P 2013 IAHR WORLD C
NR 16
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 4
U2 22
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD NOV
PY 2018
VL 10
IS 11
AR 1558
DI 10.3390/w10111558
PG 14
GA HC3XM
UT WOS:000451736300065
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Dixit, V
Montz, T
Wolshon, B
AF Dixit, Vinayak
Montz, Thomas
Wolshon, Brian
TI Validation Techniques for Region-Level Microscopic Mass Evacuation
Traffic Simulations
LA English
DT Article
AB The experiences of several recent evacuations have demonstrated how a mass
evacuation of a major city can affect traffic throughout an entire region. This
realization has brought the need for analyzing and evaluating evacuation plans at a
regional level. Numerous recent studies have devoted themselves to the topic of
simulating large-scale evacuations. However, few studies have developed procedures
for the validation of large-scale models. This paper discusses validation within
the context of the recent development of the regional multimodal evacuation model
for New Orleans, Louisiana. The New Orleans model is unique because it is among the
first ever to incorporate qualitative and quantitative model validation procedures
based on field data collected during an actual mass evacuation. The paper discusses
the various statistics considered for validation, including their inherent
advantages and disadvantages. It also presents the results obtained from the
validation exercises of the New Orleans model. The study concluded that regression
analyses were the most appropriate for statistically analyzing the spatial and
temporal data correlations between the traffic patterns produced within the
simulation and those actually observed during the Hurricane Katrina evacuation.
From a qualitative standpoint, colorized spatiotemporal maps were also found to be
quite effective for visualizing traffic speed and volume patterns. The maps were
also invaluable for quickly identifying and analyzing bottleneck areas at both the
local and regional levels.
C1 [Dixit, Vinayak; Montz, Thomas; Wolshon, Brian] Louisiana State Univ, Gulf Coast
Res Ctr Evacuat & Transportat Resilien, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA.
C3 Louisiana State University System; Louisiana State University
RP Dixit, V (corresponding author), Louisiana State Univ, Gulf Coast Res Ctr
Evacuat & Transportat Resilien, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA.
EM vinayak@lsu.edu
OI Dixit, Vinayak/0000-0001-7643-409X
FU U.S. Department of Transportation; U.S. Department of Transportation
through Gulf Coast Research Center for Evacuation and Transportation
Resiliency at Louisiana State University
FX The authors of this paper gratefully acknowledge the support provided
for this research by the U.S. Department of Transportation under the
project Application of TRANSIMS for the Multimodal Microscale Simulation
of the New Orleans Emergency Evacuation Plan. The authors also
acknowledge the support provided by the U.S. Department of
Transportation through the agency's support of the Gulf Coast Research
Center for Evacuation and Transportation Resiliency at Louisiana State
University.
CR BARCELO J, 2004, 83 ANN M TRANSP RES
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*US FHWA, 2004, PUBL US DEP TRANSP, V3
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6988(2005)6:3(129), 10.1061/ASCE1527-698820056:3129, DOI 10.1061/ASCE1527-
698820056:3129]
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6988(2005)6:3(143), 10.1061/(ASCE)1527-6988(2005)6:3(143)]
NR 17
TC 26
Z9 26
U1 0
U2 16
PI THOUSAND OAKS
SN 0361-1981
EI 2169-4052
PY 2011
IS 2229
BP 66
EP 74
DI 10.3141/2229-08
PG 9
GA 834GS
UT WOS:000295948400009
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Guo, P
Xia, JQ
Zhou, MR
Falconer, RA
Chen, Q
Zhang, XL
AF Guo, Peng
Xia, Junqiang
Zhou, Meirong
Falconer, Roger A.
Chen, Qian
Zhang, Xiaolei
TI Selection of optimal escape routes in a flood-prone area based on 2D
hydrodynamic modelling
SO JOURNAL OF HYDROINFORMATICS
LA English
DT Article
DE escape route; escape speed; flood-prone area; human stability;
hydrodynamic module; Lower Yellow River
ID EVACUATION; BEDS
AB Optimizing escape routes during an extreme flood event is an effective way to
mitigate casualties. In this study, a model for selecting optimal escape routes in
a flood-prone area has been proposed, which includes a module for predicting the
two-dimensional (2D) hydrodynamics and modules for assessing the hazard degree for
evacuees, calculation of evacuation times and determination of different escape
routes. In the module for determining escape routes, two evacuation schemes were
used: scheme A to find optimal escape routes based on established road networks and
scheme B to design a new optimal evacuation route. Extreme overbank floods occurred
in the Lower Yellow River (LYR) in July 1958 ('58.7') and August 1982 ('82.8') and
the proposed model was applied to select the optimal escape routes on a typical
floodplain area of the LYR for these two floods. Model predictions indicated that:
(i) the optimal escape routes for these two floods were the same for all three
starting locations, and the optimized routes provided 3 h more time for evacuees to
escape; and (ii) the time of evacuation would need to be earlier for the '58.7'
flood because of its larger amount of water volume and higher peak discharge.
C1 [Guo, Peng; Xia, Junqiang; Zhou, Meirong; Chen, Qian; Zhang, Xiaolei] Wuhan
Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources & Hydropower Engn S, Wuhan 430072, Hubei,
Peoples R China.
[Falconer, Roger A.] Cardiff Univ, Hydroenvironm Res Ctr, Sch Engn, Cardiff CF24
3AA, S Glam, Wales.
C3 Wuhan University; Cardiff University
RP Xia, JQ (corresponding author), Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources &
Hydropower Engn S, Wuhan 430072, Hubei, Peoples R China.
EM xiajq@whu.edu.cn
RI Falconer, Roger/A-3714-2008
OI Falconer, Roger/0000-0001-5960-2864
FU National Natural Science Foundation of China [51725902, 51579186]; Key
Cultivating Project from Wuhan University [2042017kf0238]; Global
Challenges Research Fund at Cardiff University; UK-China Urban Flooding
Research Impact Programme
FX The study was partly supported by the National Natural Science
Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 51725902 and 51579186) and the Key
Cultivating Project from Wuhan University (Grant No. 2042017kf0238). It
was also partly supported by two international projects of the Global
Challenges Research Fund at Cardiff University and the UK-China Urban
Flooding Research Impact Programme.
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V35, P48
NR 27
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 7
U2 25
PU IWA PUBLISHING
PI LONDON
PA ALLIANCE HOUSE, 12 CAXTON ST, LONDON SW1H0QS, ENGLAND
SN 1464-7141
EI 1465-1734
J9 J HYDROINFORM
JI J. Hydroinform.
PD NOV
PY 2018
VL 20
IS 6
BP 1310
EP 1322
DI 10.2166/hydro.2018.161
PG 13
WC Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications; Engineering, Civil;
Environmental Sciences; Water Resources
SC Computer Science; Engineering; Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Water
Resources
GA HI1CW
UT WOS:000456182500007
OA Green Accepted, Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Stewart, AE
AF Stewart, Alan E.
TI Gulf Coast Residents Underestimate Hurricane Destructive Potential
LA English
DT Article
ID UNITED-STATES; RISK; HEURISTICS
AB Most people do not realize that hurricane destructiveness increases nonlinearly
with increases in storm intensity. Three studies were conducted to examine people's
perceptions of hurricane destructive potential and their likelihood of evacuation.
In the first study, undergraduate students (n = 349) provided damage ratings of
hurricanes in each Saffir-Simpson category. A majority (84%) of students produced
only linearly increasing damage profiles by hurricanes. In the second study, a
simple random sample of Gulf Coast residents (n = 402) who participated in a
telephone survey when a tropical storm was affecting the U.S. east coast revealed
that a majority (77%) thought hurricane damages increased linearly with hurricane
category and hence underestimated the damage major hurricanes could produce. In the
third study, a simple random sample (n = 396) of Gulf Coast residents participated
in an experiment over the telephone during an active phase of the 2008 hurricane
season. One-half of the sample received information about the nonlinearly
increasing damage potential of hurricanes; the other half received the Saffir-
Simpson hurricane scale category alone. The group in which hurricane damages were
framed nonlinearly reported significantly greater self-reported likelihood of
evacuation than residents who received the Saffir-Simpson hurricane category
information. Studies 1 and 2 suggest that the public needs to learn more about the
nonlinear relationship between hurricane intensity and the corresponding damages
that may result. Study 3 suggests that framing possible storm damages in the
nonlinearly increasing multiples of damages produced relative to a minimal
hurricane may increase compliance with evacuation orders.
C1 Univ Georgia, CHDS, Athens, GA 30602 USA.
C3 University System of Georgia; University of Georgia
RP Stewart, AE (corresponding author), Univ Georgia, CHDS, 402 Aderhold Hall,
Athens, GA 30602 USA.
EM aeswx@uga.edu
FU College of Education, University of Georgia; University of Colorado
Natural Hazards Center; National Science Foundation [CMMI0734304]
FX The research in study 2 was funded by a Faculty Development Grant from
the College of Education, University of Georgia. The research in study 3
was funded by a grant from the University of Colorado Natural Hazards
Center through its Quick Response Research Program, which is funded by
National Science Foundation Grant CMMI0734304. The author wishes to
thank Dr. Jeff K. Lazo for his helpful comments and suggestions on an
earlier draft of this manuscript.
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NR 45
TC 9
Z9 9
U1 0
U2 9
PI BOSTON
SN 1948-8327
EI 1948-8335
J9 WEATHER CLIM SOC
PD APR
PY 2011
VL 3
IS 2
BP 116
EP 127
DI 10.1175/2011WCAS1077.1
PG 12
(SSCI)
GA 913EE
UT WOS:000301855600006
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zhu, Y
Peng, M
Zhang, P
Zhang, LM
AF Zhu, Yan
Peng, Ming
Zhang, Peng
Zhang, Limin
TI Warning Decision-Making for Landslide Dam Breaching Flood Using
Influence Diagrams
SO FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE
LA English
DT Article
DE decision-making; Influence Diagrams; landslide dam; risk assessment;
evacuation warning
ID BREAK EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT; PART 2 APPLICATION; HUMAN RISKS; SIMULATION;
MODEL
AB Warning and evacuation are among the most effective ways for saving human lives
and properties from landslide dam hazards. A new warning decision model for
landslide dam break is developed using Influence Diagrams to minimize the total
losses. An Influence Diagram is a simple visual representation of a decision
problem. It analyzes the qualitative (causal) relationships between the variables
via a logic diagram and determines the quantitative relationships via conditional
probability and Bayes' theorem. The model is applied for the warning decision-
making of the 2008 Tangjiashan landslide dam. The new model unifies the dam failure
probability, evacuation, life loss, and flood damage in an Influence Diagram.
Besides, a warning criterion is proposed for efficient decision-making. The model
is more advanced than the decision tree since the inter-relationships of influence
factors are qualitatively analyzed with causality connections and quantitatively
analyzed with conditional probabilities. It is more efficient than a dynamic
decision-making model (DYDEM) as it can directly calculate the three types of flood
loss (i.e., evacuation cost, flood damage, and monetized life loss) and the
expected total loss. Moreover, the probabilities of the influence factors leading
to known results can be obtained through inversion analysis based on Bayesian
theory. The new warning decision model offers an efficient way to save lives from
landslide dam breaking and avoid unnecessary expenses from premature warning and
evacuation.
C1 [Zhu, Yan; Peng, Ming] Tongji Univ, Key Lab Geotech & Underground Engn, Minist
Educ, Shanghai, Peoples R China.
[Zhu, Yan; Peng, Ming] Tongji Univ, Coll Civil Engn, Dept Geotech Engn,
Shanghai, Peoples R China.
[Zhu, Yan] China Shipbldg NDRI Engn Co Ltd, Shanghai Res Ctr Ocean & Shipbldg
Engn, Shanghai, Peoples R China.
[Zhang, Peng] Qingdao Univ Technol, Coll Civil Engn, Qingdao, Peoples R China.
[Zhang, Limin] Hong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, HKSAR,
Hong Kong, Peoples R China.
C3 Tongji University; Tongji University; Qingdao University of Technology;
Hong Kong University of Science & Technology
RP Peng, M (corresponding author), Tongji Univ, Key Lab Geotech & Underground Engn,
Minist Educ, Shanghai, Peoples R China.; Peng, M (corresponding author), Tongji
Univ, Coll Civil Engn, Dept Geotech Engn, Shanghai, Peoples R China.; Zhang, P
(corresponding author), Qingdao Univ Technol, Coll Civil Engn, Qingdao, Peoples R
China.
EM pengming@tongji.edu.cn; zhangpchn@qut.edu.cn
RI Zhang, Li-Min/G-9891-2011
OI Zhang, Li-Min/0000-0001-7208-5515
FU Shanghai Rising-Star Program [20QB1406000]; National Natural Science
Foundation of China [41877234, 41731283, 42071010, 4201101075]; Natural
Science Foundation of Shandong province [ZR2019QEE008]; Fundamental
Research Funds for the Central Universities
FX The authors acknowledge the support from the Shanghai Rising-Star
Program (20QB1406000), the National Natural Science Foundation of China
(41877234, 41731283, 42071010, 4201101075), the Natural Science
Foundation of Shandong province (Grant No. ZR2019QEE008), and the
Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities.
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NR 46
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 8
U2 46
PI LAUSANNE
EI 2296-6463
J9 FRONT EARTH SC-SWITZ
JI Front. Earth Sci.
PD AUG 6
PY 2021
VL 9
AR 679862
DI 10.3389/feart.2021.679862
PG 18
WC Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
SC Geology
GA TZ9KJ
UT WOS:000684786400004
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Resio, DT
Irish, JL
AF Resio, Donald T.
Irish, Jennifer L.
TI Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge Risk
SO CURRENT CLIMATE CHANGE REPORTS
LA English
DT Article
DE Tropical cyclones; Storm surges; Forecasting; Climate change; Sea-level
rise; Coastal hazards
ID SEA-LEVEL RISE; HURRICANE SURGE; EL-NINO; COASTAL; MODEL; IMPACT; WIND;
SIMULATION; REANALYSIS; FREQUENCY
AB Tropical cyclone storm surge represents a significant threat to communities
around the world. These surge characteristics vary spatially and temporally over a
range of scales; therefore, conceptual frameworks for understanding and mitigating
them must be cast within a context of risk that covers the complete range of
hazards, their consequences, and methods for mitigation. A review of primary
overlapping time scales and associated spatial scales for tropical cyclone surge
hazards covers two scales of particular interest: (1) synoptic-scale predictions
used for warnings and evacuation decisions and (2) long-term estimation of hazards
and related risks needed for coastal planning and decision-making. Factors that can
affect these estimates, such as episodic variations in tropical cyclone
characteristics and longer-term climate change and sea-level rise are then examined
in the context of their potential impacts on hazards and risks related to tropical
cyclone surges.
C1 [Resio, Donald T.] Univ North Florida, Coll Comp Engn & Construct, Taylor Engn
Res Inst, 1 UNF Dr, Jacksonville, FL 32224 USA.
[Irish, Jennifer L.] Virginia Tech, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Blacksburg, VA
24061 USA.
C3 State University System of Florida; University of North Florida;
Virginia Polytechnic Institute & State University
RP Resio, DT (corresponding author), Univ North Florida, Coll Comp Engn &
Construct, Taylor Engn Res Inst, 1 UNF Dr, Jacksonville, FL 32224 USA.
EM don.resio@unf.edu; jirish@vt.edu
OI Irish, Jennifer/0000-0002-2429-5953
FU National Sea Grant College Program of the U.S. Department of Commerce's
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration [NA10OAR4170099];
Coastal Hazards Center of Excellence, based at the University of North
Carolina at Chapel Hill, under Department of Homeland Security
[2008-ST-061-ND0001]
FX Dr. Irish's work on this material is based on work supported by the
National Sea Grant College Program of the U.S. Department of Commerce's
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (Grant No.
NA10OAR4170099). Dr. Resio's work was supported by the Coastal Hazards
Center of Excellence, based at the University of North Carolina at
Chapel Hill, under Grant 2008-ST-061-ND0001 from the Department of
Homeland Security. The views expressed here do not necessarily reflect
the views of these organizations.
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NR 91
TC 31
Z9 31
U1 4
U2 17
PU SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
PI HEIDELBERG
PA TIERGARTENSTRASSE 17, D-69121 HEIDELBERG, GERMANY
SN 2198-6061
J9 CURR CLIM CHANGE REP
JI Curr. Clim. Chang. Rep.
PD JUN
PY 2015
VL 1
IS 2
BP 74
EP 84
DI 10.1007/s40641-015-0011-9
PG 11
GA VI2LN
UT WOS:000463895800003
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU JOSEPH, PV
AF JOSEPH, PV
TI TROPICAL CYCLONE HAZARDS AND WARNING AND DISASTER MITIGATION SYSTEMS IN
INDIA
SO SADHANA-ACADEMY PROCEEDINGS IN ENGINEERING SCIENCES
LA English
DT Article
AB The main features of a cyclone that cause death and destruction are: (1) Storm
surge, a rapid increase in sea level along the coast, primarily caused by the
strong surface wind field of the cyclone as it approaches the coast, (2) the
violent sustained wind and wind gusts and cyclone-spawned tornadoes, and (3) the
heavy rain and consequent flooding. The paper describes the structure of a
tropical cyclone of hurricane intensity and its damage potential, cyclone
detection, tracking, forecasting and warning systems. It concludes that with over
a hundred years of research and operational experience on cyclones available with
the meteorological community and with the INSAT and cyclone detection radar
network, India has now an efficient cyclone warning system. This system would
however benefit from further sophistication notably the use of Doppler Radars for
cyclone wind field monitoring and an aircraft reconnaissance facility for probing
cyclones. Research is needed to develop techniques for better forecasting of the
tracks of cyclones more than a day ahead and also their intensity changes.
Cyclone disaster mitigation arrangements were organised in the maritime states
of India only during the last 25 years. This relatively young field requires more
developmental work, particularly in coastal area planning to reduce property
losses, and exploration of alternative approaches to large-scale evacuation of the
coastal population threatened by cyclones to distant temporary shelters.
NR 0
TC 4
Z9 4
U1 0
U2 8
PU INDIAN ACADEMY SCIENCES
PI BANGALORE
PA P B 8005 C V RAMAN AVENUE, BANGALORE 560 080, INDIA
SN 0256-2499
J9 SADHANA-ACAD P ENG S
JI Sadhana-Acad. Proc. Eng. Sci.
PD AUG
PY 1994
VL 19
BP 551
EP 566
DI 10.1007/BF02835639
PN 4
PG 16
WC Engineering, Multidisciplinary
SC Engineering
GA PX265
UT WOS:A1994PX26500002
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Dixit, VV
Pande, A
Radwan, E
Abdel-Aty, M
AF Dixit, Vinayak V.
Pande, Anurag
Radwan, Essam
Abdel-Aty, Mohamed
TI Understanding the impact of a recent hurricane on mobilization time
during a subsequent hurricane
LA English
DT Article
AB It is not uncommon for a region to be affected by multiple hurricanes in a span
of a few weeks. The behavior of the evacuees during a subsequent hurricane in the
sat ne season is affected by the damage to the infrastructure and to the vehicles
and assets belonging to evacuees, as well as by the psychological impact of the
preceding hurricane. One such behavioral aspect that affects traffic-loading rates
during a hurricane is the evacuation delay or mobilization time. In this study,
"mobilization time for an evacuee" is defined as the difference between the time at
which the decision to leave is made and the actual time of departure. This paper
proposes a methodology that can be used to understand the factors associated with
the mobilization time during a subsequent hurricane while accounting for the
effects of the preceding hurricane. The effects of the preceding hurricane were
accounted for by modeling mobilization times simultaneously with an ordinal
variable representing evacuation participation levels during Hurricane Charley. The
data from a survey conducted with the evacuees of Hurricane Frances, which made
landfall 3 weeks after Hurricane Charley, were used in this study. The errors for
the two simultaneously estimated models were significantly correlated. The results
showed that home ownership, the number of individuals in the household, income
levels, and the level or the risk of a surge were significant in the model and
explained the mobilization times for households. Pet ownership) and the number of
children in households, known to increase mobilization times during isolated
hurricanes, were not found to be significant in the model. The implications of
these findings for the demand S-curve are briefly discussed.
C1 [Dixit, Vinayak V.; Pande, Anurag; Radwan, Essam; Abdel-Aty, Mohamed] Univ Cent
Florida, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Orlando, FL 32816 USA.
RP Dixit, VV (corresponding author), Univ Cent Florida, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
EM wdixit@yahoo.com
RI pande, anurag/C-8801-2012; Abdel-Aty, Mohamed/E-1348-2016; Radwan,
Essam/E-2020-2017
OI Dixit, Vinayak/0000-0001-7643-409X; Abdel-Aty,
Mohamed/0000-0002-4838-1573; Pande, Anurag/0000-0002-3456-7932
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PI THOUSAND OAKS
SN 0361-1981
EI 2169-4052
PY 2008
IS 2041
BP 49
EP 57
DI 10.3141/2041-06
PG 9
GA 345CR
UT WOS:000258974100007
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Sun, D
Zhang, LP
Su, ZF
AF Sun, Dian
Zhang, Lupeng
Su, Zifeng
TI Evacuate or Stay? A Typhoon Evacuation Decision Model in China Based on
the Evolutionary Game Theory in Complex Networks
LA English
DT Article
DE emergency evacuation; evacuation decision-making; evolutionary game
theory; evacuees
ID HURRICANE; OPTIMIZATION; BEHAVIORS
AB The Chinese Government has played an important role in organizing the evacuation
of typhoon disasters, and in-depth analysis of individual behavioral decisions is a
prerequisite for adopting an effective emergency organization plan. Existing
evacuation plans only consider how the Government issues the early warning and
organizes the mandatory evacuation, but does not formulate effective policies to
improve the efficiency of self-evacuation of evacuees and lacks the understanding
of individual evacuation decision-making. Using game-based theory in a small-world
network context, we build an evolutionary game model of evacuation decision
diffusion between evacuees in the context of a complex network. The model simulates
the effects of guaranteeing the evacuation order and providing material supplies on
the evacuation decision diffusion in a small-world network in China. The results
showed that various levels of policy-implementation led to different rates of
evacuation. As the cost-reduction of the evacuation process increased, the
evacuation response rate in the social system increased. In contrast, as the rate
of reducing the non-evacuation cost decreased or the cost-reduction rate of non-
evacuation increased, the evacuation response rate in the social system decreased.
The study findings provided insights on emergency planning and the effectiveness of
their implementation in social networks, which can be used to improve evacuation
policy.
C1 [Sun, Dian] Tsinghua Univ, Sch Publ Policy & Management, Beijing 100084, Peoples
R China.
[Sun, Dian] Tsinghua Univ, Beijing Planning Off Philosophy & Social Sci, Ctr
Crisis Management Res, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China.
[Zhang, Lupeng] Beijing Univ Aeronaut & Astronaut, Sch Publ Adm, Beijing 100191,
Peoples R China.
[Su, Zifeng] Peking Univ, Sch Econ, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China.
[Su, Zifeng] Finance Res & Dev Ctr, China Dev Bank, Beijing, Peoples R China.
C3 Tsinghua University; Tsinghua University; Beihang University; Peking
University
RP Zhang, LP (corresponding author), Beijing Univ Aeronaut & Astronaut, Sch Publ
Adm, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China.
EM sundian900621@163.com; zhanglupeng@buaa.edu.cn; suzifeng@cdb.cn
OI Sun, Dian/0000-0001-7320-5195; Su, Zifeng/0000-0002-2076-5209
71790611]; Ministry of education of Humanities and Social Science
project [18YJC630245]; National Social Science Foundation of China
[2018MZD018]
FX This research was funded by National Natural Science Foundation of
China, grant number 71804084, 71771061, 71790611, The Ministry of
education of Humanities and Social Science project, grant number
18YJC630245, and National Social Science Foundation of China, grant
number 2018MZD018.
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TC 13
Z9 13
U1 6
U2 58
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 1660-4601
PD FEB 1
PY 2020
VL 17
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AR 682
DI 10.3390/ijerph17030682
PG 17
(SSCI)
Health
GA KR7GF
UT WOS:000517783300007
PM 31973050
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Feng, KR
Lin, N
Xian, SY
Chester, MV
AF Feng, Kairui
Lin, Ning
Xian, Siyuan
Chester, Mikhail, V
TI Can we evacuate from hurricanes with electric vehicles?
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane evacuation; Climate change; Power system; Electric vehicle;
Transportation
AB The increasing usage of electrical vehicles (EVs) might not meet the safety
requirement of massive hurricane evacuations, which may happen more frequently in
the future climate. Here we investigate the challenge of widely using EVs for
hurricane evacuation through analyzing the power demand during the vast historical
evacuation before Hurricane Irma (2017). We find that, if the majority of the
evacuating vehicles were EVs, Florida would face a serious challenge in power
supply, with its six out of nine main power authorities, especially those in the
mid-Florida, being short of power during the evacuation process. Also, the power
outage in mid-Florida could induce cascading failure of the entire power network
throughout Florida. We argue that policymakers need to consider the evacuation
problem as EVs are increasingly adopted in disaster prone regions. Potential
solutions include developing centralized charging strategies, improving battery
technology, and adopting hybrid vehicles in addition to EVs.
C1 [Feng, Kairui; Lin, Ning; Xian, Siyuan] Princeton Univ, Dept Civil & Environm
Engn, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA.
[Chester, Mikhail, V] Arizona State Univ, Civil Environm & Sustainable Engn,
Tempe, AZ 85287 USA.
C3 Princeton University; Arizona State University; Arizona State
University-Tempe
RP Feng, KR (corresponding author), Princeton Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
Princeton, NJ 08544 USA.
EM kairuif@princeton.edu
RI Xian, Siyuan/K-2833-2017; feng, kairui/R-7237-2017
OI Xian, Siyuan/0000-0001-9355-4229; feng, kairui/0000-0001-8978-2480
FU National Science Foundation [1520683, 1652448]; Div Of Civil,
Mechanical, & Manufact Inn; Directorate For Engineering [1652448]
FX Kairui Feng, Ning Lin and Siyuan Xian were supported by National Science
Foundation (grants 1520683 and 1652448).
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NR 20
TC 16
Z9 16
U1 1
U2 9
PI OXFORD
SN 1361-9209
PD SEP
PY 2020
VL 86
AR 102458
DI 10.1016/j.trd.2020.102458
PG 5
Technology
(SSCI)
GA NO2QL
UT WOS:000569329000011
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Newnham, EA
Balsari, S
Lam, RPK
Kashyap, S
Pham, P
Chan, EYY
Patrick, K
Leaning, J
AF Newnham, Elizabeth A.
Balsari, Satchit
Lam, Rex Pui Kin
Kashyap, Shraddha
Pham, Phuong
Chan, Emily Y. Y.
Patrick, Kaylie
Leaning, Jennifer
TI Self-efficacy and barriers to disaster evacuation in Hong Kong
SO INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PUBLIC HEALTH
LA English
DT Article
DE Disaster preparedness; Self-efficacy; Decision-making; Evacuation;
Natural disaster; Asia
ID SOCIAL COGNITIVE THEORY; LATENT PROFILE ANALYSIS; HURRICANE EVACUATION;
PREPAREDNESS; SANDY; ADAPTATION; BELIEFS; LESSONS; SOUTH
AB To investigate specific challenges to Hong Kong's capacity for effective
disaster response, we assessed perceived barriers to evacuation and citizens' self-
efficacy.
Global positioning system software was used to determine random sampling
locations across Hong Kong, weighted by population density. The resulting sample of
1023 participants (46.5% female, mean age 40.74 years) were invited to complete
questionnaires on emergency preparedness, barriers to evacuation and self-efficacy.
Latent profile analysis and multinomial logistic regression were used to identify
self-efficacy profiles and predictors of profile membership.
Only 11% of the sample reported feeling prepared to respond to a disaster. If
asked to evacuate in an emergency, 41.9% of the sample cited significant issues
that would preclude them from doing so. Self-efficacy was negatively associated
with barriers to disaster response so that participants reporting higher levels of
self-efficacy cited fewer perceived barriers to evacuation.
Hong Kong has established effective strategies for emergency response, but
concerns regarding evacuation and mobilisation remain. The findings indicate that
improving self-efficacy for disaster response has potential to increase evacuation
readiness.
C1 [Newnham, Elizabeth A.; Balsari, Satchit; Patrick, Kaylie; Leaning, Jennifer]
Harvard TH Chan Sch Publ Hlth, FXB Ctr Hlth & Human Rights, Boston, MA USA.
[Newnham, Elizabeth A.] Curtin Univ, Sch Psychol & Speech Pathol, Perth, WA,
Australia.
[Lam, Rex Pui Kin] Univ Hong Kong, Li Ka Shing Fac Med, Emergency Med Unit, Hong
Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China.
[Kashyap, Shraddha] Univ Western Australia, Sch Psychol, Perth, WA, Australia.
[Pham, Phuong] Harvard Univ, Harvard Humanitarian Initiat, Cambridge, MA 02138
USA.
[Chan, Emily Y. Y.] Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Collaborating Ctr Oxford Univ & CUHK
Disaster & M, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China.
C3 Harvard University; Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Curtin
University; University of Hong Kong; University of Western Australia;
Harvard University; Chinese University of Hong Kong
RP Newnham, EA (corresponding author), Harvard TH Chan Sch Publ Hlth, FXB Ctr Hlth
& Human Rights, Boston, MA USA.; Newnham, EA (corresponding author), Curtin Univ,
Sch Psychol & Speech Pathol, Perth, WA, Australia.
EM enewnham@hsph.harvard.edu
RI Chan, Emily Ying Yang/H-6849-2017
OI Chan, Emily Ying Yang/0000-0002-8854-5093; Lam, Rex Pui
Kin/0000-0001-5937-8989; Pham, Phuong/0000-0002-5696-2933; Newnham,
Elizabeth/0000-0001-5042-108X
FU Hong Kong Jockey Club Charities Trust; National Health and Medical
Research Council Early Career Fellowship; Curtin Research Fellowship;
Hong Kong Jockey Club Disaster Preparedness and Response Institute
FX The study received funding from The Hong Kong Jockey Club Charities
Trust, and the first author was supported by a National Health and
Medical Research Council Early Career Fellowship and Curtin Research
Fellowship. We wish to acknowledge the support of the Hong Kong Jockey
Club Disaster Preparedness and Response Institute and the valuable
contributions of Kai Hsaio, Kevin Hung, Derek Lam, May Yeung, Eva Lam,
Celeste Tang, and our research assistants. We extend our heartfelt
gratitude to the participants of the study.
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NR 42
TC 15
Z9 15
U1 1
U2 26
PU SPRINGER BASEL AG
PI BASEL
PA PICASSOPLATZ 4, BASEL, 4052, SWITZERLAND
SN 1661-8556
EI 1661-8564
J9 INT J PUBLIC HEALTH
JI Int. J. Public Health
PD DEC
PY 2017
VL 62
IS 9
BP 1051
EP 1058
DI 10.1007/s00038-017-1036-8
PG 8
(SSCI)
GA FL8LU
UT WOS:000414502100011
PM 28932872
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Bishop, LC
Thornby, J
AF Bishop, Leigh C.
Thornby, John
TI Psychiatric Consultation With Medical Evacuees of Hurricane Katrina
SO WILDERNESS & ENVIRONMENTAL MEDICINE
LA English
DT Article
DE acute stress disorder; disaster, natural; hurricane; psychiatric
emergency services
ID DISASTER; ISSUES
AB Objective.-To Study the scope of clinical activities and the postoperational
attitudes of mental health professionals responding emergently to a mass urban
evacuation.
Methods.-Eleven mental health care providers participating in a reception team
for medical evacuees after Hurricane Katrina were asked to complete a survey
seeking data regarding cases encountered, psychopharmacologic interventions, and
mental health Support for evacuated medical personnel. Participants rated their
levels of agreement with statements characterizing various aspects of the clinical
experience.
Results.-Nine of 11 providers returned surveys, for a response rate of 82%.
Among 35 evacuees requiring immediate psychiatric consultation, acute stress
disorder and dementia, equally represented among these cases, accounted for half
the diagnoses. Medication interventions were relatively uncommon. Consultants
provided mental health support to 14 evacuated medical professionals. Although
somewhat uncertain about their role, psychiatric consultants strongly agreed that
they would be willing to serve in future disaster operations of this type.
Conclusions.-In major disasters, psychiatric consultants are likely to play a
critical role in providing emergency mental health services for both medical
evacuees and evacuated medical professionals.
C1 [Bishop, Leigh C.] Michael E DeBakey VA Med Ctr, Houston, TX USA.
[Bishop, Leigh C.] Baylor Coll Med, Menninger Dept Psychiat & Behav Sci,
Houston, TX 77030 USA.
[Thornby, John] Baylor Coll Med, Dept Med, Houston, TX 77030 USA.
C3 Baylor College of Medicine; Baylor College of Medicine; Baylor College
of Medicine
RP Bishop, LC (corresponding author), Michael E DeBakey VA Med Ctr, Houston, TX
USA.
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NR 13
TC 4
Z9 4
U1 0
U2 1
PI NEW YORK
SN 1080-6032
EI 1545-1534
J9 WILD ENVIRON MED
JI Wildern. Environ. Med.
PD SPR
PY 2009
VL 20
IS 1
BP 1
EP 5
DI 10.1580/06-WEME-OR-040.1
PG 5
WC Public, Environmental & Occupational Health; Sport Sciences
(SSCI)
SC Public, Environmental & Occupational Health; Sport Sciences
GA 420HR
UT WOS:000264280300001
PM 19364161
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU An, S
Wang, Z
Cui, JX
AF An, Shi
Wang, Ze
Cui, Jianxun
TI Integrating Regret Psychology to Travel Mode Choice for a
Transit-Oriented Evacuation Strategy
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE evacuation; travel mode choice; regret model; utility model;
transit-oriented strategy
ID HURRICANE EVACUATION; MINIMIZATION
AB Facing the potential dangers from sudden disasters in urban cities, emergency
administrators have to make an appropriate evacuation plan to mitigate negative
consequences. However, little attention has been paid to evacuee real decision
psychology when developing a strategy. The aim of this paper is to analyze evacuee
mode choice behavior considering regret aversion psychology during evacuation.
First, the utility-based and regret-based models are formulated to obtain evacuees'
preferences on travel mode choice, respectively. According to the data collected
from the stated preference (SP) survey on evacuee mode choice, the estimation
results show that the regret-based model performs better than the utility model.
Moreover, based on the estimates from behavioral analysis, the elasticities of
evacuee mode choices are calculated, and transit strategy simulation is undertaken
to investigate the influence on evacuee mode switching from private automobile to
public transit. The results are expected to help emergency administrators to make a
transit-oriented strategy for a sustainable evacuation plan, especially for the
benefit of carless people.
C1 [An, Shi; Wang, Ze; Cui, Jianxun] Harbin Inst Technol, Sch Transportat Sci &
Engn, Harbin 150090, Peoples R China.
C3 Harbin Institute of Technology
RP Wang, Z (corresponding author), Harbin Inst Technol, Sch Transportat Sci & Engn,
73 Huanghe Rd, Harbin 150090, Peoples R China.
EM anshi@hit.edu.cn; zezewang@hit.edu.cn; cuijianxun@hit.edu.cn
FU Chinese National Natural Science Fund [51478151]; Key Laboratory of
Advanced Material & Intelligent Control Technology on Transportation
Safety, China
FX The authors wish to acknowledge the support of the Chinese National
Natural Science Fund (No. 51478151) and the Key Laboratory of Advanced
Material & Intelligent Control Technology on Transportation Safety,
China.
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NR 38
TC 10
Z9 10
U1 4
U2 27
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
JI Sustainability
PD JUL
PY 2015
VL 7
IS 7
BP 8116
EP 8131
DI 10.3390/su7078116
PG 16
(SSCI)
GA CQ1JU
UT WOS:000360354500004
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Guan, XY
Chen, C
AF Guan, Xiangyang
Chen, Cynthia
TI A behaviorally-integrated individual-level state-transition model that
can predict rapid changes in evacuation demand days earlier
SO TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART E-LOGISTICS AND TRANSPORTATION REVIEW
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuation demand prediction; State-transition model; Heterogeneous data
fusion; Online prediction
ID PARTICLE FILTER; TIME; URBAN
AB Timely and accurate forecast of evacuation demand is key for emergency
responders to plan and organize effective evacuation efforts during a disaster. The
state of the art in evacuation demand forecasting includes behavior-based models
and dynamic flow-based models. Both lines of work have limitations: behavioral
models are static, meaning that they cannot adjust model predictions by utilizing
field observation in real time as the disaster unfolds; and the flow-based models
often have relatively short prediction windows ranging from minutes to hours.
Consequently, both types of models fall short of being able to predict sudden
changes (e.g., a surge or an abrupt drop) of evacuation demand in advance. This
paper develops a behaviorally-integrated individual-level state-transition model
for online predictions of evacuation demand. On a daily basis, the model takes in
observed evacuation data and updates its forecasted evacuation demand for the
future. An individual-level survival model formulation is devised for the state-
transition model to account for history-dependent transition probabilities and
allow individual heterogeneity. A Bayesian updating approach is employed to
assimilate observed evacuation data in real time. To enable a longer-term
perspective on how evacuation demand may evolve over time so that rapid surges or
drops in demand can be predicted days in advance, the model integrates insights
from existing behavioral curves (either from past disasters or simply expert
opinions). Using a likelihood-based approach, the state-transition model integrates
the future trends of evacuation demand informed by the behavioral curve when
updating its forecasts. The theoretical proof of the developed state-transition
model shows that the likelihood function guarantees a unique global solution. The
model is tested in six scenarios using mobile app-based data for Hurricane Harvey
that hit the US in 2017. The results demonstrate its robustness: in all six
scenarios, the model is able to predict accurately the occurrence of the rapid
surges or drops in evacuation demand at least two days ahead. The current study
contributes to the field of evacuation modeling by integrating the two lines of
work (behavior-based and flow-based models) using mobile app-based data for
Hurricane Harvey.
C1 [Guan, Xiangyang; Chen, Cynthia] Univ Washington, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
C3 University of Washington; University of Washington Seattle
RP Chen, C (corresponding author), Univ Washington, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
EM qzchen@uw.edu
FU National Science Foundation Civil, Mechanical and Manufacturing
Innovation [1536340]; National Institutes of Health [1R01GM108731-01A1];
Cuebiq through its Data for Good program; Directorate For Engineering;
Div Of Civil, Mechanical, & Manufact Inn [1536340] Funding Source:
FX The two authors greatly appreciate the support from FACEBOOK Research
and the conversations the two authors had with the Facebook team
afterwards. This work was also supported by National Science Foundation
Civil, Mechanical and Manufacturing Innovation Grant 1536340 and
National Institutes of Health Grant 1R01GM108731-01A1. The specification
of an individual-level state transition model is also inspired from the
second author's conversation with Dr. Michelle (Xiaochun) Wang whose
work at the CA Department of Water Resources is on modeling space-time
trajectories of salmons in the Pacific Ocean. Anonymized and privacy
enhanced mobility data was provided by Cuebiq through its Data for Good
program. The authors also appreciate comments from Mr. Brennan Lake of
Cuebiq.
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NR 37
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 5
U2 23
PI OXFORD
SN 1366-5545
EI 1878-5794
J9 TRANSPORT RES E-LOG
JI Transp. Res. Pt. e-Logist. Transp. Rev.
PD AUG
PY 2021
VL 152
AR 102381
DI 10.1016/j.tre.2021.102381
EA JUN 2021
PG 17
(SSCI)
GA US9FP
UT WOS:000697731100013
PM 34305437
OA Bronze, Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Shirvani, M
Kesserwani, G
Richmond, P
Kesserwani, Georges
Richmond, Paul
TI Agent-based modelling of pedestrian responses during flood emergency:
mobility behavioural rules and implications for flood risk analysis
LA English
DT Article
DE emergency evacuation simulations; microscopic analysis; pedestrian
mobility in floodwater; safety thresholds; toppling and sliding
instability; walking speed
ID SIMULATION; SPEED; LIFE
AB An agent-based model (ABM) for simulating the interactions between flooding and
pedestrians is augmented to more realistic model responses of evacuees during
floodwater flow. In this version of the ABM, the crowd of pedestrians have
different body heights and weight, and extra behavioural rules are added to
incorporate pedestrians' states of stability and walking speed in floodwater. The
augmented ABM is applied to replicate an evacuation scenario for a synthetic test
case of a flooded shopping centre. Simulation runs are performed with increasingly
sophisticated configuration modes for the pedestrians' behavioural rules.
Simulation results are analysed based on spatial and temporal indicators informing
on the dynamic variations of the flood risk states of the flooded pedestrians, i.e.
in terms of a commonly used flood Hazard Rating (HR) metric, variable walking
speed, and instability due to toppling and/or sliding. Our analysis reveals
significantly prolonged evacuation times and risk exposure levels as the stability
and walking speed behavioural rules become more sophisticated. Also, it allows us
to identify more conservative HR thresholds of pedestrian instability in
floodwater, and a new formula relating walking speed states to the HR for stable
pedestrians in floodwater. Accompanying details for software accessibility are
provided.
C1 [Shirvani, Mohammad; Kesserwani, Georges] Univ Sheffield, Dept Civil & Struct
Engn, Sheffield City Ctr, Mappin St, Sheffield S1 3JD, S Yorkshire, England.
[Richmond, Paul] Univ Sheffield, Dept Comp Sci, Sheffield City Ctr, Mappin St,
Sheffield S1 3JD, S Yorkshire, England.
Sheffield; N8 Research Partnership; White Rose University Consortium;
University of Sheffield
RP Kesserwani, G (corresponding author), Univ Sheffield, Dept Civil & Struct Engn,
Sheffield City Ctr, Mappin St, Sheffield S1 3JD, S Yorkshire, England.
OI Richmond, Paul/0000-0002-4657-5518; Kesserwani,
Georges/0000-0003-1125-8384
FU UK Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC)
[EP/R007349/1]; EPSRC [EP/R007349/1] Funding Source: UKRI
FX This work was supported by the UK Engineering and Physical Sciences
Research Council (EPSRC) grant EP/R007349/1. We thank Mozhgan Kabiri
Chimeh and Peter Heywood from the Research Software Engineering
(https://rse.shef.ac.uk/) group for providing technical support during
the implementation of the flood-pedestrian simulator on FLAMEGPU. We
also thank Charge Rouge, Simon Tait and the two anonymous reviewers for
their careful reading and their very many insightful comments and
suggestions, which greatly helped the authors to improve the quality of
this paper.
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NR 40
TC 10
Z9 10
U1 9
U2 23
PU IWA PUBLISHING
PI LONDON
SN 1464-7141
EI 1465-1734
J9 J HYDROINFORM
JI J. Hydroinform.
PD SEP
PY 2020
VL 22
IS 5
BP 1078
EP 1092
DI 10.2166/hydro.2020.031
PG 15
Resources
GA NY5AU
UT WOS:000576403000007
OA Green Submitted, Bronze, Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Timpson, S
Ratliff, E
Ross, M
Williams, M
Atkinson, J
Bowen, A
McCurdy, S
AF Timpson, Sandra
Ratliff, Eric
Ross, Michael
Williams, Mark
Atkinson, John
Bowen, Anne
McCurdy, Sheryl
TI A Psychosocial Comparison of New Orleans and Houston Crack Smokers in
the Wake of Hurricane Katrina
SO SUBSTANCE USE & MISUSE
LA English
DT Article
DE New Orleans; Hurricane Katrina; disaster; trauma; evacuation; crack
cocaine
ID POSTTRAUMATIC-STRESS-DISORDER; PSYCHOLOGICAL DISTRESS; NATURAL DISASTER;
DRUG-USE; ADOLESCENTS; PREVALENCE; STORIES; HISTORY; TRAUMA; IMPACT
AB The purpose of this study was to compare psychological distress in a sample of
African American crack cocaine users who relocated to Houston from New Orleans
after Hurricane Katrina to African American drug users resident in Houston. Fifty-
four African Americans from New Orleans were compared to a sample of 162 people in
Houston. Data were collected between June 2002 and December 2005. There were no
significant differences between the two groups on either depression or anxiety, but
the New Orleans sample scored higher on the self-esteem scale and scored slightly
lower on the risk-taking scale.
C1 [Timpson, Sandra; Ratliff, Eric; Ross, Michael; Williams, Mark; Atkinson, John;
McCurdy, Sheryl] Univ Texas Houston, Sch Publ Hlth, Ctr Hlth Promot & Prevent,
Houston, TX USA.
[Bowen, Anne] Univ Wyoming, Dept Psychol, Laramie, WY 82071 USA.
Houston; University of Texas School Public Health; University of Wyoming
RP Timpson, S (corresponding author), Univ Texas Houston, Sch Publ Hlth, Ctr Hlth
Promot & Prevent Res, 7000 Fannin,Suite 2510, Houston, TX 77030 USA.
EM stimpson@sph.uth.tmc.edu
RI McCurdy, Sheryl A/F-9107-2016
OI McCurdy, Sheryl A/0000-0003-0526-1608; Ross, Michael
W./0000-0002-5718-9989
FU National Institute on Drug Abuse
FX This research was supported by a grant from the National Institute on
Drug Abuse. The opinions expressed herein are solely those of the
authors.
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NR 43
TC 3
Z9 4
U1 0
U2 2
PU TAYLOR & FRANCIS INC
PI PHILADELPHIA
PA 530 WALNUT STREET, STE 850, PHILADELPHIA, PA 19106 USA
SN 1082-6084
EI 1532-2491
J9 SUBST USE MISUSE
JI Subst. Use Misuse
PY 2009
VL 44
IS 12
BP 1695
EP 1710
DI 10.3109/10826080902962094
PG 16
WC Substance Abuse; Psychiatry; Psychology
(SSCI)
SC Substance Abuse; Psychiatry; Psychology
GA 523RU
UT WOS:000272093000004
PM 19895301
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Ariccio, S
Petruccelli, I
Cancellieri, UG
Quintana, C
Villagra, P
Bonaiuto, M
AF Ariccio, S.
Petruccelli, I.
Cancellieri, U. Ganucci
Quintana, C.
Villagra, P.
Bonaiuto, M.
TI Loving, leaving, living: Evacuation site place attachment predicts
natural hazard coping behavior
SO JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL PSYCHOLOGY
LA English
DT Article
DE Place attachment; Evacuation; Natural hazard; Risk perception; Risk
coping; Manipulation
ID SECURE BASE SCHEMA; RISK PERCEPTION; HURRICANE EVACUATION; EARTHQUAKE
RISK; SENSE; COMMUNICATION; WILLINGNESS; IDENTITY; REPRESENTATIONS;
ACCESSIBILITY
AB Almost all the studies about place attachment in environmental risk contexts
only consider the role of place attachment to home or local area. However,
especially when it comes to risks requiring evacuation from home and local area, it
is likely that place attachment to evacuation sites, if any, becomes relevant too.
The present studies intend to understand how place attachment to evacuation sites
affects coping behaviors in natural hazard contexts.
A first study (N = 184) investigates how place attachment predicts intention to
evacuate on the tsunami prone Chilean coast. Evacuation site place attachment is
found to improve intention to evacuate prediction, after controlling for the
traditional cognitive antecedents of intention to evacuate. Two experimental
studies subsequently test the role of evacuation site place attachment in imaginary
environmental risk contexts. The second study (N = 115) finds that participants
would rather go to an affectively significant evacuation site rather than to anon-
affectively significant one, when asked to choose. The third study (N = 81) finds
an effect of evacuation site place attachment on intention to evacuate. It is
concluded that evacuation site place attachment could play a relevant role in time
of evacuation Theoretical and practical implications for policy making are
discussed, as well as the need for further studies.
C1 [Ariccio, S.; Bonaiuto, M.] Sapienza Univ Roma, Dipartimento Psicol Proc
Sviluppo & Socializzaz, Rome, Italy.
[Petruccelli, I.] Univ Mercatorum, Rome, Italy.
[Cancellieri, U. Ganucci] Univ Stranieri Dante Alighieri Reggio Calabria,
Dipartimento Sci Societa & Formaz Area Mediterran, Reggio Di Calabria, Italy.
[Quintana, C.; Villagra, P.] Univ Austral Chile, Lab Paisaje & Resiliencia
Urbana PRULAB, Valdivia, Chile.
[Villagra, P.] Univ Austral Chile, Fac Ciencias, Inst Ciencias Ambientales &
Evolut, Valdivia, Chile.
[Bonaiuto, M.] Ctr Interuniv Ric Psicol Ambientale CIRPA, Rome, Italy.
C3 CIVIS; Sapienza University Rome; Universita Telematica Mercatorum;
Universidad Austral de Chile; Universidad Austral de Chile
RP Ariccio, S (corresponding author), Via Marsi 78,Room 403, I-00185 Rome, Italy.
EM silvia.ariccio@uniroma1.it
RI ARICCIO, SILVIA/AAC-4173-2019; Villagra, Paula/J-3632-2014
OI Villagra, Paula/0000-0001-6428-3933; ARICCIO, SILVIA/0000-0002-8328-0014
FU Sapienza Universita di Roma; PhD Programme in Social, Developmental and
Educational Research Psychology at the Dipartimento di Psicologia dei
Processi di Sviluppo e Socializzazione, Sapienza Universita di Roma;
CIRPA; Dipartimento di Psicologia dei Processi di Sviluppo e
Socializzazione, Sapienza Universita di Roma [RP11916B83877BBA];
CONICYT-Fondecyt [1150137]
FX The first Author is grateful to Sapienza Universita di Roma who provided
50% increase on her PhD fellowship funding for the whole time spent at
UACh, Valdivia, Chile, in order to work on Study 1 (from April to
December 2016).; The first Author acknowledges support in all the
research phases (2014-2017) from the PhD fellowship and funding within
the PhD Programme in Social, Developmental and Educational Research
Psychology at the Dipartimento di Psicologia dei Processi di Sviluppo e
Socializzazione, Sapienza Universita di Roma. The last Author
acknowledges funding support both from CIRPA (mobility to Chile and to
various conferences) and from the Dipartimento di Psicologia dei
Processi di Sviluppo e Socializzazione, Sapienza Universita di Roma
(University funding 2019 protocol n. RP11916B83877BBA).; Authors also
wish to thank CONICYT-Fondecyt N.1150137 for funding fieldwork in Chile
and PRULAB for providing human resources for the application of the
questionnaire on site.
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NR 78
TC 11
Z9 11
U1 4
U2 20
PU ACADEMIC PRESS LTD- ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
PI LONDON
PA 24-28 OVAL RD, LONDON NW1 7DX, ENGLAND
SN 0272-4944
EI 1522-9610
J9 J ENVIRON PSYCHOL
JI J. Environ. Psychol.
PD AUG
PY 2020
VL 70
AR 101431
DI 10.1016/j.jenvp.2020.101431
PG 18
WC Environmental Studies; Psychology, Multidisciplinary
SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Psychology
GA NG8PX
UT WOS:000564243300003
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Bostrom, A
Morss, R
Lazo, JK
Demuth, J
Lazrus, H
AF Bostrom, Ann
Morss, Rebecca
Lazo, Jeffrey K.
Demuth, Julie
Lazrus, Heather
TI Eyeing the storm: How residents of coastal Florida see hurricane
forecasts and warnings
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane; Forecast; Warning; Mental models; Risk communication
ID DECISION-MAKING; EVACUATION DECISIONS; RISK COMMUNICATION; TROPICAL
CYCLONES; MENTAL MODELS; VULNERABILITY; UNCERTAINTY; INFORMATION;
BANGLADESH; DISASTERS
AB This paper examines the societal dimensions of warning decisions during extreme
weather events in one of the most hurricane-prone areas in the U.S., Miami-Dade
County, Florida. With the aim of informing improvements in the hurricane forecast
and warning system, and better understanding warning decisions in extreme weather
events, we explore how members of the public obtain and use hurricane forecasts and
warnings in decision making. Results from in depth mental models interviews with
members of the public (N = 28) and survey data from three counties in Florida (N =
460) show that a large majority of respondents have some hurricane experience,
which influences their thinking about storm impacts, individual actions to mitigate
the hazard, and vulnerability to the hazard. Comparison with results from previous
research with warning system professionals (National Weather Service forecasters,
media broadcasters, and public officials) indicates several gaps between
professionals and laypeople including different perceptions of hurricane risks
overall and related to flooding from storm surge. The findings suggest several
areas for improvements in the hurricane forecast and warning system.
C1 [Bostrom, Ann] Univ Washington, Evans Sch Publ Policy & Governance, Seattle, WA
98195 USA.
[Morss, Rebecca; Demuth, Julie; Lazrus, Heather] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB
[Lazo, Jeffrey K.] Jeffrey K Lazo Consulting LLC, Gunnison, CO USA.
C3 University of Washington; University of Washington Seattle; National
Center Atmospheric Research (NCAR) - USA
RP Bostrom, A (corresponding author), Univ Washington, Evans Sch Publ Policy &
Governance, Seattle, WA 98195 USA.
EM abostrom@uw.edu
FU National Science Foundation [NSF 0729302]; Eunice Kennedy Shriver
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development research
infrastructure Grant [P2C HD042828]
FX We gratefully acknowledge funding from the National Science Foundation
under NSF 0729302, and thank Keisha Childers, Risa Pavia, Ross Gilliland
and Rebecca Hudson for excellent research assistance. Partial support
for this research came from a Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute
of Child Health and Human Development research infrastructure Grant, P2C
HD042828, to the Center for Studies in Demography & Ecology at the
University of Washington.
0050-9
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NR 80
TC 27
Z9 27
U1 3
U2 48
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD SEP
PY 2018
VL 30
SI SI
BP 105
EP 119
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2018.02.027
PN A
PG 15
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA GP1SA
UT WOS:000440595900011
PM 30923669
OA Green Accepted, Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Nakamura, I
Llasat, MC
AF Nakamura, Isao
Carmen Llasat, Maria
TI Policy and systems of flood risk management: a comparative study between
Japan and Spain
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DT Article
DE Flood risk management; Flood warning; Japan; Spain; Catalonia; Tokyo;
Barcelona
ID EVOLUTION
AB This paper shows a comparison from the perspective of flood risk management
between two regions of different countries: Tokyo Metropolis (Japan) and Catalonia
(Spain). The comparison is based on flood damage data for a 30-year period (1981-
2010), legislation, disaster management plans, recovering measures, and
communication strategies. A total of 219 flood events and 110 deaths were recorded
in Catalonia during 1981-2010, while there were 191 floods in Tokyo, during the
same period, giving place to 27 deaths and missing people. In both countries, most
of the deaths occurred outdoors and the majority as a consequence of imprudent
behavior. Nearly 10% of flood victims in Catalonia were foreign citizens. Regarding
the institutions from the state and the communities involved in flood risk
management, we have found a similar structure between the two countries. In
accordance with the European Floods Directive, all the Spanish regions susceptible
of having floods have flood hazard maps for different return periods, including 500
years while in the case of Japan the return periods are usually shorter. Recently,
flood risk maps have been built for Catalonia, but none is available in a foreign
language. Although all the maps are available in Internet, in Spain it is not
mandatory to distribute maps to the public neither evacuation maps in flood-prone
areas. On the contrary, evacuation and hazard maps in Japan have some parts written
in different languages. In both countries, flood hazard maps are not compulsorily
linked to other countermeasures such as land-use regulation (the municipality has
the last decision) or flood insurance. Thresholds of heavy rain warnings are
similar in both countries, using rain amounts over both short and long periods.
Although the Japanese method appears more sophisticated using humidity and runoff
indexes, it is too complicated for people to understand it. In contrast, only
Catalonia has forecast thresholds considering probability levels. On flood
insurance, only Spain has governmental aid to the flood insurance system. The level
of flood risk perception is low among the population in both countries, and social
communication for flood risk is insufficient, mainly in Catalonia. Thus, it is very
important that individuals recognize the flood risk in the area to reduce the
number of victims.
C1 [Nakamura, Isao] Toyo Univ, Dept Sociol, Bunkyo Ku, Hakusan 5-28-20, Tokyo
1128606, Japan.
[Carmen Llasat, Maria] Univ Barcelona, Dept Appl Phys, Marti & Franques 1, E-
08028 Barcelona, Spain.
C3 Toyo University; University of Barcelona
RP Llasat, MC (corresponding author), Univ Barcelona, Dept Appl Phys, Marti &
Franques 1, E-08028 Barcelona, Spain.
EM nakamura-I@toyo.jp; carmell@am.ub.es
RI Llasat, Maria Carmen/AAB-7873-2020
OI Llasat, Maria Carmen/0000-0001-8720-4193
FU Toyo University; Spanish project HOPE [CGL2014-52571-R]
FX This study received funding from Toyo University (fund for abroad
special study) and was developed during the stay of Prof. Nakamura at
the University of Barcelona. We acknowledge the Catalan Water Agency and
Civil Protection of Catalonia for information, as well as the
meteorological services AEMET and SMC. Thanks go to Montserrat Llasat
and Joan Gilabert for collaboration and to Edanz Group Ltd. for
reviewing the paper. The study has been developed in the framework of
the international HYMEX project and the Spanish project HOPE
(CGL2014-52571-R).
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NR 53
TC 14
Z9 14
U1 1
U2 41
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 0921-030X
EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
PD JUN
PY 2017
VL 87
IS 2
BP 919
EP 943
DI 10.1007/s11069-017-2802-x
PG 25
Water Resources
GA EU5LK
UT WOS:000401072600018
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Izumi, T
Das, S
Abe, M
Shaw, R
AF Izumi, Takako
Das, Sangita
Abe, Miwa
Shaw, Rajib
TI Managing Compound Hazards: Impact of COVID-19 and Cases of Adaptive
Governance during the 2020 Kumamoto Flood in Japan
LA English
DT Article
DE COVID-19; flood; compound hazards; evacuation; volunteerism; adaptive
governance
ID DISASTERS
AB Japan experienced natural hazards during the COVID-19 pandemic as some other
countries did. Kumamoto and Kagoshima prefectures, including many other parts of
southern Japan, experienced record-breaking heavy rain on 4th July 2020. While many
countries were affected by compound hazards, some cases such as the Kumamoto flood
did not cause a spike of the COVID-19 cases even after going through massive
evacuation actions. This study aims to understand how COVID-19 made an impact on
people's response actions, learn the challenges and problems during the response
and recovery phases, and identify any innovative actions and efforts to overcome
various restrictions and challenges through a questionnaire survey and interviews
with the affected people. With an increase in the risk of compound hazards, it has
become important to take a new, innovative, and non-traditional approach. Proper
understanding and application of adaptive governance can make it possible to come
up with a solution that can work directly on the complex challenges during
disasters. This study identified that a spike of COVID-19 cases after the disaster
could be avoided due to various preventive measures taken at the evacuation
centers. It shows that it is possible to manage compound hazard risks with
effective preparedness. Furthermore, during emergencies, public-private-partnership
as well as collaboration among private organizations and local business networks
are extremely important. These collaborations generate a new approach, mechanism
and platform to tackle unprecedented challenges.
C1 [Izumi, Takako] Tohoku Univ, Int Res Inst Disaster Sci IRIDeS, Sendai, Miyagi
9808572, Japan.
[Abe, Miwa] Kumamoto Univ, Kumamoto Innovat Dev Org KIDO, Kumamoto 8608555,
Japan.
[Shaw, Rajib] Keio Univ, Grad Sch Media & Governance, Tokyo 1088345, Japan.
C3 Tohoku University; Kumamoto University; Keio University
RP Izumi, T (corresponding author), Tohoku Univ, Int Res Inst Disaster Sci IRIDeS,
Sendai, Miyagi 9808572, Japan.
EM izumi@irides.tohoku.ac.jp; sangita.r.das@gmail.com;
m-abe@kumamoto-u.ac.jp; shaw@sfc.keio.ac.jp
OI Shaw, Rajib/0000-0003-3153-1800
FU Fukuzawa Research Fund of Keio University; JSPS KAKENHI [JP19K02035]
FX Fukuzawa Research Fund of Keio University; JSPS KAKENHI Grant Number
JP19K02035.
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Z9 7
U1 5
U2 15
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 1660-4601
PD FEB
PY 2022
VL 19
IS 3
AR 1188
DI 10.3390/ijerph19031188
PG 16
(SSCI)
Health
GA ZF9JZ
UT WOS:000759885400001
PM 35162212
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Page-Tan, C
AF Page-Tan, Courtney
TI The Role of Social Media in Disaster Recovery Following Hurricane Harvey
SO JOURNAL OF HOMELAND SECURITY AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
LA English
DT Article
DE GIS; Hurricane Harvey; resilience; social media; social network
analysis; spatial analysis
ID NETWORK ANALYSIS; TWITTER; INFORMATION; COMMUNITY; RESPONSES; LESSONS;
LIFE
AB Hurricane Harvey was social media's first real stress test as a disaster
response and recovery mechanism. A confluence of conditions makes it an ideal case
study of social media's role in disaster recovery: the lack of a government-issued
evacuation order, a call from government leadership for willing and able volunteers
with a boat or high-water vehicle to perform life-saving rescues, and wide-spread
adoption of social media platforms in the Houston area. While research on online
social networks and disasters continues to grow, social scientists know little
about how these online networks transform during a crisis and, further, how they
drive disaster outcomes. With two original datasets, this study investigates how
Houston's online social network transformed during Hurricane Harvey (2017), and the
relationship between social media activity and post-Harvey recovery. The findings
of a social network analysis (N= 2,387,610) and subsequent statistical analyses
reveal the Houston-area online social network grew denser, clustered, and more
efficient during the disaster. A spatial analysis and three separate regression
models of activity before, during, and after Hurricane Harvey reveal that among 333
Nextdoor Neighborhoods, hyperlocal social media activity was a statistically
significant predictor of the rate of rebuilding in these geographically based
online communities. These findings suggest that policy and decision-makers should
invest into online and offline hyperlocal social networks well before a disaster
strikes, and leverage resources and legislation to maintain and strengthen the
telecommunications and energy infrastructure that supports access to social media
and telecommunications infrastructure during a time of crisis.
C1 [Page-Tan, Courtney] Embry Riddle Aeronaut Univ Worldwide & Online, Dept Secur &
Emergency Serv, Daytona Beach, FL 32114 USA.
RP Page-Tan, C (corresponding author), Embry Riddle Aeronaut Univ Worldwide &
Online, Dept Secur & Emergency Serv, Daytona Beach, FL 32114 USA.
EM courtneypagetan@gmail.com
RI Page-Tan, Courtney/AGZ-7566-2022
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DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wild, AJ
Bebbington, MS
Lindsay, JM
Charlton, DH
AF Wild, Alec J.
Bebbington, Mark S.
Lindsay, Jan M.
Charlton, Danielle H.
TI Modelling spatial population exposure and evacuation clearance time for
the Auckland Volcanic Field, New Zealand
SO JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH
LA English
DT Article
DE Emergency management; Volcanic Risk; Evacuation; Hazard; Auckland
Volcanic Field
ID HURRICANE EVACUATION; ERUPTION; HAZARD; CONSEQUENCES; RISK; TOOL
AB Auckland, New Zealand's largest city (population of similar to 1.6 million), is
situated atop the monogenetic Auckland Volcanic Field (AVF). As in many places
faced with volcanic activity, evacuation is seen as the best risk mitigation
strategy for preserving lives in the event of volcanic unrest and/or an eruption.
However, planning for an evacuation can be challenging. In particular, the
uncertainty in vent location resulting from the monogenetic nature of the field
makes identifying neighbourhoods to be evacuated impractical until well into the
pre-eruption unrest period. This study uses spatial analysis methods to assess
exposure for both population and private transport ownership as well as to identify
those areas requiring public transport support for an evacuation. These data were
overlaid on a range of possible vent locations across the AVF using a 500 x 500 m
grid. At each possible vent location, a 5 km evacuation zone is modelled, following
the official contingency plan for evacuation in a future AVF event. In order to
simulate vent location uncertainty leading up to a future eruption, a range of
buffer distances were applied around the modelled vent locations.
The exposure data derived were then used to model evacuation clearance time,
which considered four phases: 1) the time taken to decide to call an evacuation; 2)
the public notification time; 3) the evacuee's time to prepare; and 4) evacuee's
travel time to beyond the evacuation zone. The length of time involved in phases 1
to 3 are all independent of the vent location; our analysis found these phases
could be completed within 36 h, with over 80% confidence. Travel times to beyond
the evacuation zone were modelled using the exposure analysis for population and
private transport ownership combined with road network data and vehicle carrying
capacity. This revealed travel times for this phase ranging from less than 1 up to
11 h, depending on traffic congestion, when considering no vent uncertainty. By
combining the times modelled for all four phases, we found that when there is high
certainty in the vent location, the median total evacuation clearance time with no
congestion is approximately 37 h. However, include a 10 km vent uncertainty buffer
into the model, the evacuation clearance time can increase to between 38 and 55 h,
dependent on traffic congestion. A vent in the densely populated inner Auckland and
CBD area would result in the greatest population required to evacuate, and also the
greatest need for public transport support given the low vehicle ownership in this
area. Our results can be used to inform emergency management decision making, and
the model can be adapted for other regions as well as for other hazards. (C) 2021
The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.
C1 [Wild, Alec J.; Lindsay, Jan M.; Charlton, Danielle H.] Univ Auckland, Sch
Environm, Private Bag 92019, Auckland 1142, New Zealand.
[Bebbington, Mark S.] Massey Univ, Volcan Risk Solut, Private Bag 11222,
Palmerston North 4442, New Zealand.
C3 University of Auckland; Massey University
RP Wild, AJ (corresponding author), Univ Auckland, Sch Environm, Private Bag 92019,
Auckland 1142, New Zealand.
EM awil302@aucklanduni.ac.nz
RI Lindsay, Jan M/H-1716-2013; Charlton, Danielle/IQT-6694-2023
OI Charlton, Danielle/0000-0002-7837-514X
FU Determining Volcanic Risk in Auckland (DEVORA) research programme; New
Zealand Earthquake Commission (EQC); Resilience to Nature's Challenges
Volcano Programme [GNS-RNC047]
FX The Determining Volcanic Risk in Auckland (DEVORA) research programme
and the New Zealand Earthquake Commission (EQC) provided funding for
this project. MSB was supported by the Resilience to Nature's Challenges
Volcano Programme, Grant GNSRNC047.
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PY 2021
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PG 22
(SSCI)
SC Geology
GA SV3GC
UT WOS:000663709900004
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Yore, R
Walker, JF
AF Yore, Rebekah
Walker, Joanna Faure
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SO DISASTERS
LA English
DT Article
DE disaster; Dominica; early warning; evacuation; hazard; Hurricane Maria;
Philippines; preparedness; resilience; risk; Super Typhoon Yolanda;
Typhoon Haiyan
ID DISASTER PREPAREDNESS; TORNADO; COMMUNICATION
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Typhoon Yolanda in the Philippines in 2013 and Hurricane Maria in Dominica in 2017
to test the efficacy of early warning systems in prompting residents to take
appropriate action ahead of severe hazards. Both events were rare and extreme but
occurred in locations that regularly experience less severe tropical cyclones. The
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Z9 8
U1 3
U2 22
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 0361-3666
EI 1467-7717
J9 DISASTERS
JI Disasters
PD JUL
PY 2021
VL 45
IS 3
BP 691
EP 716
DI 10.1111/disa.12434
EA NOV 2020
PG 26
WC Environmental Studies; Social Sciences, Interdisciplinary
SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Social Sciences - Other Topics
GA SO8MP
UT WOS:000591388900001
PM 32129911
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Senkbeil, J
Reed, J
Collins, J
Brothers, K
Saunders, M
Skeeter, W
Cerrito, E
Chakraborty, S
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AF Senkbeil, Jason
Reed, Jacob
Collins, Jennifer
Brothers, Kimberly
Saunders, Michelle
Skeeter, Walker
Cerrito, Emily
Chakraborty, Saurav
Polen, Amy
TI Perceptions of Hurricane-Track Forecasts in the United States
LA English
DT Article
DE Communications; decision making; Emergency preparedness; Geographic
information systems (GIS); Risk assessment; Societal impacts
ID EVACUATION DECISIONS; EVACUEE PERCEPTION; IMPACT BIAS; HAZARDS;
COMMUNICATION; UNCERTAINTY; JUDGMENTS; RESPONSES; TWITTER; FLORIDA
AB Hurricanes Isaac (2012), Harvey (2017), and Irma (2017) were storms with
different geophysical characteristics and track forecast consistencies. Despite the
differences, common themes emerged from the perception of track forecasts from
evacuees for each storm. Surveys with a mixture of closed and open-ended responses
were conducted during the evacuations of each storm while the storm characteristics
and decision-making were fresh in the minds of evacuees. Track perception accuracy
for each evacuee was quantified by taking the difference between three metrics:
perceived track and official track (PT - OT), perceived track and forecast track
(PT - FT), and home location and perceived track (HL - PT). Evacuees from
Hurricanes Isaac and Harvey displayed a tendency to perceive hurricane tracks as
being closer to their home locations than what was forecast to occur and what
actually occurred. The large sample collected for Hurricane Irma provided a chance
to statistically verify some of the hypotheses generated from Isaac and Harvey.
Results from Hurricane Irma confirmed that evacuees expected a storm to be closer
to their home locations after controlling for regional influences. Furthermore,
participants with greater previous hurricane experience perceived a track as being
closer to their home locations, and participants residing in zip codes
corresponding with nonmandatory evacuation zones also perceived tracks as being
closer to their home locations. These findings suggest that most evacuees from
hurricanes in the United States appear to perceive storms as being closer to their
home locations than they are and overestimate wind speeds at their homes, thus
overestimating the true danger from landfalling hurricanes in many storms.
C1 [Senkbeil, Jason; Reed, Jacob; Brothers, Kimberly] Univ Alabama, Dept Geog,
Tuscaloosa, AL 35487 USA.
[Collins, Jennifer; Saunders, Michelle; Cerrito, Emily; Chakraborty, Saurav;
Polen, Amy] Univ S Florida, Sch Geosci, Tampa, FL 33620 USA.
[Skeeter, Walker] Univ Delaware, Dept Geog, Newark, DE USA.
C3 University of Alabama System; University of Alabama Tuscaloosa; State
University System of Florida; University of South Florida; University of
Delaware
RP Senkbeil, J (corresponding author), Univ Alabama, Dept Geog, Tuscaloosa, AL
35487 USA.
EM jcsenkbeil@ua.edu
OI Reed, Jacob/0000-0001-5089-8005
FU National Science Foundation RAPID Grant [BCS-1760235]
FX The Hurricane Irma research was sponsored by National Science Foundation
RAPID Grant BCS-1760235.
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J9 WEATHER CLIM SOC
PD JAN
PY 2020
VL 12
IS 1
BP 15
EP 29
DI 10.1175/WCAS-D-19-0031.1
PG 15
(SSCI)
GA JQ8WY
UT WOS:000499220200001
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wang, QY
Wallace, SW
AF Wang, Qingyi
Wallace, Stein W.
TI Non-compliance in transit-based evacuation pick-up point assignments
SO SOCIO-ECONOMIC PLANNING SCIENCES
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuation planning; Evacuee non-compliance behavior; Pick-up point
assignments; Stochastic programming
ID NETWORK DESIGN PROBLEM; MULTIOBJECTIVE APPROACH; HURRICANE EVACUATION;
SHELTER LOCATION; MODEL; ROUTES
AB In the literature on evacuation planning, a basic assumption is that all
evacuees are fully compliant with respect to the officially planned evacuee-to-
facility assignments. However, this assumption is challenged in reality. Hence, we
propose two-stage stochastic evacuation pick-up point assignment models, which
explicitly incorporate uncertain non-compliance behavior of evacuees. In the first
stage, evacuees of each demand point are assigned to a specific transit pick-up
point. In the second stage, imbalances of evacuees at each pick-up point are
revealed based on the first-stage assignments and the realized non-compliance
relevant scenarios. With numerical studies and a case study, we investigate the
importance of including correlated stochastic noncompliance behavior in the models,
illustrate that our models are effective to produce better pick-up point assignment
plans and obtain managerial insights on evacuation planning and model applications.
C1 [Wang, Qingyi; Wallace, Stein W.] Sichuan Univ, Business Sch, Chengdu 610064,
Peoples R China.
[Wallace, Stein W.] Norwegian Sch Econ, Dept Business & Management Sci,
Helleveien 30, NO-5045 Bergen, Norway.
C3 Sichuan University; Norwegian School of Economics (NHH)
RP Wallace, SW (corresponding author), Sichuan Univ, Business Sch, Chengdu 610064,
Peoples R China.
EM Stein.Wallace@nhh.no
OI Wang, Qingyi/0000-0002-1214-2183
FU Research Council of Norway, Norway [308790]
FX Wallace is supported in part by The Research Council of Norway, Norway
(Grant No. 308790). The authors are thankful to the editors and
anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments and valuable
suggestions.
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TC 1
Z9 1
U1 3
U2 8
PI NEW YORK
SN 0038-0121
EI 1873-6041
J9 SOCIO-ECON PLAN SCI
JI Socio-Econ. Plan. Sci.
PD AUG
PY 2022
VL 82
AR 101259
DI 10.1016/j.seps.2022.101259
EA JUN 2022
PN B
PG 19
WC Economics; Management; Operations Research & Management Science
(SSCI)
SC Business & Economics; Operations Research & Management Science
GA 3K7XJ
UT WOS:000834288900006
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Kuligowski, E
AF Kuligowski, Erica
TI Evacuation decision-making and behavior in wildfires: Past research,
current challenges and a future research agenda
SO FIRE SAFETY JOURNAL
LA English
DT Article
DE Wildfires; Human behavior; Evacuation; Modeling; Bushfires; WUI fires
ID BLACK SATURDAY BUSHFIRES; WILDLAND-URBAN INTERFACE; HURRICANE
EVACUATION; MODEL; SIMULATION; TRENDS; STAY
AB Wildfires are becoming more common around the world, and households are
frequently advised to evacuate when these fires threaten nearby communities.
Effective evacuation requires an understanding of human behavior in wildfires,
which is an area that needs further exploration. The purpose of this article is to
present current research performed and data collected on evacuation decision-making
and behavior during wildlandurban interface (WUI) fires, identify gaps in the
research, and develop a future research plan for further data collection of
important WUI fire evacuation topics. Research in this area can support
developments of evacuation simulation models, and improvements in education
programs, planning, decision-making, and design requirements for community-wide WUI
fire evacuation.
C1 [Kuligowski, Erica] NIST, 100 Bur Dr, Gaithersburg, MD 20899 USA.
C3 National Institute of Standards & Technology (NIST) - USA
RP Kuligowski, E (corresponding author), NIST, 100 Bur Dr, Gaithersburg, MD 20899
USA.
EM ericakuligowski@gmail.com
OI Kuligowski, Erica/0000-0001-6121-4983
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NR 63
TC 27
Z9 27
U1 6
U2 16
PU ELSEVIER SCI LTD
PI OXFORD
SN 0379-7112
EI 1873-7226
J9 FIRE SAFETY J
JI Fire Saf. J.
PD MAR
PY 2021
VL 120
SI SI
AR 103129
DI 10.1016/j.firesaf.2020.103129
EA APR 2021
PG 9
WC Engineering, Civil; Materials Science, Multidisciplinary
(SSCI)
SC Engineering; Materials Science
GA RN5LI
UT WOS:000640392200005
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Mostafizi, A
Wang, HZ
Cox, D
Dong, SJ
AF Mostafizi, Alireza
Wang, Haizhong
Cox, Dan
Dong, Shangjia
TI An agent-based vertical evacuation model for a near-field tsunami:
Choice behavior, logical shelter locations, and life safety
LA English
DT Article
DE Agent-based modeling; Tsunami evacuation; Vertical evacuation behavior;
Shelter locations; Decision-making
ID HURRICANE EVACUATION; DECISION-MAKING; COMMUNITY VARIATIONS; INUNDATION
DEPTH; MOMENTUM FLUX; HAZARDS; TIME; VULNERABILITY; SIMULATION;
MITIGATION
AB In the event of near-field tsunamis, vertical evacuation can be an alternative
protective action to horizontal evacuation. The objective of this paper is to
present an agent-based modeling (ABM) framework to evaluate vertical evacuation
behavior and shelter locations for a near-field tsunami hazard from a Magnitude 9.0
Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ) earthquake. The expected mortality rate depending on
the location of the vertical evacuation shelter (VES) has been chosen as the
primary criterion to assess the effectiveness of the vertical evacuation. In
addition, maximum tsunami wave height and the vertical evacuation behavior changes
with changes in the placement of the VES have been assessed from a constraint point
of view. The results revealed that (1) the choice of VES locations will directly
impact the proportion of the people who evacuate vertically; (2) The percentage of
people who evacuate vertically exponentially drops as the shelter gets farther from
the population centroid; (3) the location of shelter significantly impacts the
total mortality rates; (4) improvements in evacuees' mobility, such as faster
walking speed or shorter milling time, will significantly reduce mortality rate and
expand the area of choices for VES locations; and (5) when more people choose to
evacuate vertically, the total mortality rate reduces notably. However, wrong
placement of VES, and at the same time promoting vertical evacuation behavior can
result in catastrophic mortality rates. In addition, a study on the impact of the
distance of the VES to the ocean, to the population centroid, and to the horizontal
shelters outside of the inundation zone, on the total mortality rate and the
evacuation efficiency has been performed. This work reveals the non-linear
correlation between the aforementioned characteristics of the VES on the expected
mortality rate. The results of this research provide an evidence-driven vertical
evacuation modeling framework to guide decision makers at city, state, and federal
level to understand the dynamics of vertical evacuation behavior and choice of
vertical evacuation shelter locations for a community.
C1 [Mostafizi, Alireza; Wang, Haizhong; Cox, Dan; Dong, Shangjia] Oregon State
Univ, Coll Engn, Sch Civil & Construct Engn, 101 Kearney Hall, Corvallis, OR 97331
USA.
C3 Oregon State University
RP Wang, HZ (corresponding author), Oregon State Univ, Coll Engn, Sch Civil &
Construct Engn, 101 Kearney Hall, Corvallis, OR 97331 USA.
EM mostafia@oregonstate.edu; Haizhong.Wang@oregonstate.edu;
Dan.Cox@oregonstate.edu; dongs@oregonstate.edu
OI Dong, Shangjia/0000-0003-4280-0500
FU National Science Foundation, through division of Civil, Mechanical, and
Manufacturing, and Innovation (CMMI); Humans, Disasters, and the Built
Environment (HDBE) program [1563618, 1826407, 1902888]
FX The authors would like to acknowledge the funding support from the
National Science Foundation, through division of Civil, Mechanical, and
Manufacturing, and Innovation (CMMI) and the Humans, Disasters, and the
Built Environment (HDBE) program through grants: CMMIHDBE #1563618,
#1826407, and #1902888. Any opinions, findings, and conclusion or
recommendations expressed in this research are those of the authors and
do not necessarily reflect the view of the funding agencies.
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NR 87
TC 58
Z9 58
U1 2
U2 40
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD MAR
PY 2019
VL 34
BP 467
EP 479
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2018.12.018
PG 13
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA HN2RJ
UT WOS:000460032200046
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Page-Tan, C
Fraser, T
AF Page-Tan, Courtney
Fraser, Timothy
TI COVID-19 to go? The role of disasters and evacuation in the COVID-19
pandemic
SO GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuation; Disaster; Pandemic; Resilience; COVID-19; GIS; Networks
ID BEHAVIOR; EARTHQUAKE
AB Since the start of the pandemic, some U.S. communities have faced record storms,
fires, and floods. Communities have confronted the increased challenge of curbing
the spread of COVID-19 amid evacuation orders and shortterm displacement that
result from hazards. This raises the question of whether disasters, evacuations,
and displacements have resulted in above-average infection rates during the COVID-
19 pandemic. This study investigates the relationship between disaster intensity,
sheltering-in-place, evacuation-related mobility, and contagion following Hurricane
Zeta in Southeastern Louisiana and The Wildfires in Napa and Sonoma Counties,
California, known as the Glass Fire. We draw on data from the county subdivision
level and mapped and aggregated tallies of Facebook user movement from the Facebook
Data for Good program's GeoInsights Portal. We test the effects of disasters,
evacuation, and shelter-in-place behaviors on COVID-19 spread using panel data
models, matched panel models, and synthetic control experiments. Our findings
suggest associations between disaster intensity and higher rates of COVID-19 cases.
We also find that while sheltering-in-place led to decreases in the spread of
COVID-19, evacuation-related mobility did not result in our hypothesized surge of
cases immediately after the disasters. The findings from this study aim to inform
policymakers and scholars about how to better respond to disasters during multi-
crisis events, such as offering hotel accommodations to evacuees instead of mass
shelters and updating intake and accommodation procedures at shelters, such as
administration temperature screenings, offering hand sanitizing stations, and
providing isolated areas for ill evacuees.
C1 [Page-Tan, Courtney] Embry Riddle Aeronaut Univ, Dept Secur & Emergency Serv, 1
Aerosp Blvd, Daytona Beach, FL 32114 USA.
[Fraser, Timothy] Northeastern Univ, Dept Polit Sci, 960A Renaissance Pk,360
Huntington Ave, Boston, MA 02115 USA.
C3 Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University; Northeastern University
RP Page-Tan, C (corresponding author), Embry Riddle Aeronaut Univ, Dept Secur &
Emergency Serv, 1 Aerosp Blvd, Daytona Beach, FL 32114 USA.
EM courtneypagetan@gmail.com; timothy.fraser.1@gmail.com
OI Fraser, Timothy/0000-0002-4509-0244; Page-Tan,
Courtney/0000-0002-3584-3484
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NR 98
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 3
U2 11
PU ELSEVIER SCI LTD
PI OXFORD
SN 0959-3780
EI 1872-9495
J9 GLOBAL ENVIRON CHANG
JI Glob. Environ. Change-Human Policy Dimens.
PD MAR
PY 2022
VL 73
AR 102471
DI 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102471
EA JAN 2022
PG 12
WC Environmental Sciences; Environmental Studies; Geography
(SSCI)
SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Geography
GA 1D3XH
UT WOS:000793736500004
PM 35035122
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Dawson, C
Kubatko, EJ
Westerink, JJ
Trahan, C
Mirabito, C
Michoski, C
Panda, N
AF Dawson, Clint
Kubatko, Ethan J.
Westerink, Joannes J.
Trahan, Corey
Mirabito, Christopher
Michoski, Craig
Panda, Nishant
TI Discontinuous Galerkin methods for modeling Hurricane storm surge
SO ADVANCES IN WATER RESOURCES
LA English
DT Article
DE Discontinuous Galerkin methods; Hurricane storm surge; Shallow water
equations
ID SHALLOW-WATER; CONSERVATION-LAWS; COMPUTATIONS; EQUATIONS; FLOW
AB Storm surge due to hurricanes and tropical storms can result in significant loss
of life, property damage, and long-term damage to coastal ecosystems and
landscapes. Computer modeling of storm surge can be used for two primary purposes:
forecasting of surge as storms approach land for emergency planning and evacuation
of coastal populations, and hindcasting of storms for determining risk, development
of mitigation strategies, coastal restoration and sustainability.
Storm surge is modeled using the shallow water equations, coupled with wind
forcing and in some events, models of wave energy. In this paper, we will describe
a depth-averaged (2D) model of circulation in spherical coordinates. Tides,
riverine forcing, atmospheric pressure, bottom friction, the Coriolis effect and
wind stress are all important for characterizing the inundation due to surge. The
problem is inherently multi-scale, both in space and time. To model these problems
accurately requires significant investments in acquiring high-fidelity input
(bathymetry, bottom friction characteristics, land cover data, river flow rates,
levees, raised roads and railways, etc.), accurate discretization of the
computational domain using unstructured finite element meshes, and numerical
methods capable of capturing highly advective flows, wetting and drying, and multi-
scale features of the solution.
The discontinuous Galerkin (DG) method appears to allow for many of the features
necessary to accurately capture storm surge physics. The DG method was developed
for modeling shocks and advection-dominated flows on unstructured finite element
meshes. It easily allows for adaptivity in both mesh (h) and polynomial order (p)
for capturing multi-scale spatial events. Mass conservative wetting and drying
algorithms can be formulated within the DG method.
In this paper, we will describe the application of the DG method to hurricane
storm surge. We discuss the general formulation, and new features which have been
added to the model to better capture surge in complex coastal environments. These
features include modifications to the method to handle spherical coordinates and
maintain still flows, improvements in the stability post-processing (i.e. slope-
limiting), and the modeling of internal barriers for capturing overtopping of
levees and other structures. We will focus on applications of the model to recent
events in the Gulf of Mexico, including Hurricane Ike. (C) 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All
rights reserved.
C1 [Dawson, Clint; Trahan, Corey; Mirabito, Christopher; Michoski, Craig; Panda,
Nishant] Inst Computat Engn & Sci, Austin, TX 78712 USA.
[Kubatko, Ethan J.] Ohio State Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn & Geodet Sci,
Columbus, OH 43210 USA.
[Westerink, Joannes J.] Dept Civil Engn & Geol Sci, Computat Hydraul Lab, Notre
Dame, IN 46556 USA.
C3 University System of Ohio; Ohio State University
RP Dawson, C (corresponding author), Inst Computat Engn & Sci, 1 Univ Stn,C0200,
Austin, TX 78712 USA.
EM clint@ices.utexas.edu; kubatko.3@osu.edu; jjw@nd.edu
RI Dawson, Clint/AAH-3213-2021
OI Dawson, Clint/0000-0001-7273-0684; Michoski, Craig/0000-0002-6356-233X
FU National Science Foundation [OCI-0749015, OCI-0746232]
FX The authors acknowledge support from the National Science Foundation,
grants OCI-0749015 and OCI-0746232. Computational resources were
provided by the National Science Foundation Tera-Grid, project number
TG-DMS080016N, and the Texas Advanced Computing Center at The University
of Texas at Austin.
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NR 24
TC 58
Z9 60
U1 0
U2 21
PU ELSEVIER SCI LTD
PI OXFORD
SN 0309-1708
J9 ADV WATER RESOUR
JI Adv. Water Resour.
PD SEP
PY 2011
VL 34
IS 9
SI SI
BP 1165
EP 1176
DI 10.1016/j.advwatres.2010.11.004
PG 12
WC Water Resources
SC Water Resources
GA 830JQ
UT WOS:000295653700009
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Shao, WY
Jiang, LJ
Fang, L
Zhu, DZ
Sun, ZL
AF Shao, Wei-yun
Jiang, Li-jie
Fang, Lei
Zhu, David Z.
Sun, Zhi-lin
TI Assessment of the safe evacuation of people walking through flooding
staircases based on numerical simulation
SO JOURNAL OF ZHEJIANG UNIVERSITY-SCIENCE A
LA English
DT Article
DE Staircase; Rest platform; Flood; Evacuation; Computational fluid
dynamics (CFD) simulation
ID FLOW CHARACTERISTICS; SKIMMING FLOWS; 2-PHASE FLOW; TURBULENCE; MODELS
AB A numerical model was developed to evaluate the possibility of people walking in
a flooding flow on a staircase with rest platforms. Commercial software was used
and validated by experimental data for flows on staircases and stepped spillways.
The effects of the rest platform, the staircase slope, and the staircase pattern on
the flooding flow characteristics are discussed. A comparison of staircases with or
without rest platforms shows that the flow velocity increases significantly
downstream of the rest platform on a straight-run type, which would have negative
effects on the safe evacuation of people walking through a flooding staircase. The
slope of the staircase, ranging from 26.6 degrees to 30 degrees, has less effect on
safe evacuation. A comparison of flows on straight-run (with or without rest
platforms), 90 degrees-turn and 180 degrees-turn staircases (with rest platforms)
shows that the rest platforms on the latter two staircases could induce a
redistribution of the flow field on the rest platform and downstream. The
distribution of evacuation indicators along the longitudinal planes of those
staircases indicates that a 90 degrees-turn staircase or a straight staircase
without rest platform would be the first choice for trapped people evacuating from
underground spaces.
C1 [Shao, Wei-yun; Fang, Lei] Zhejiang Univ, Coll Civil Engn & Architecture,
Hangzhou 310058, Zhejiang, Peoples R China.
[Jiang, Li-jie] Zhejiang Design Inst Water Conservancy & Hydroele, Hangzhou
310002, Zhejiang, Peoples R China.
[Zhu, David Z.] Univ Alberta, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Edmonton, AB T6G 2W2,
Canada.
[Jiang, Li-jie; Sun, Zhi-lin] Zhejiang Univ, Dept Ocean Sci & Engn, Hangzhou
C3 Zhejiang University; University of Alberta; Zhejiang University
RP Fang, L (corresponding author), Zhejiang Univ, Coll Civil Engn & Architecture,
Hangzhou 310058, Zhejiang, Peoples R China.
EM shaowy@zju.edu.cn; fanglei1999@126.com
RI Zhu, Dan/HTQ-7132-2023
OI Zhu, Dan/0000-0002-9971-6222
FU Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities [2009QNA4024];
Program for Zhejiang Leading Team of S&T Innovation, China [2010R50037]
FX Project supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central
Universities (No. 2009QNA4024), and the Program for Zhejiang Leading
Team of S&T Innovation (No. 2010R50037), China
CR Simoes ALA, 2010, J HYDRAUL RES, V48, P329, DOI 10.1080/00221686.2010.481853
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6, P107, DOI 10.1007/978-3-540-89465-0_21
NR 35
TC 5
Z9 6
U1 5
U2 34
PU ZHEJIANG UNIV
PI HANGZHOU
PA EDITORIAL BOARD, 20 YUGU RD, HANGZHOU, 310027, PEOPLES R CHINA
SN 1673-565X
EI 1862-1775
J9 J ZHEJIANG UNIV-SC A
JI J. Zhejiang Univ.-SCI A
PD FEB
PY 2015
VL 16
IS 2
BP 117
EP 130
DI 10.1631/jzus.A1400154
PG 14
WC Engineering, Multidisciplinary; Physics, Applied
SC Engineering; Physics
GA CA6IU
UT WOS:000349016200004
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Chapuis, K
Pham, MD
Brugiere, A
Zucker, JD
Drogoul, A
Tranouez, P
Daude, E
Taillandier, P
AF Chapuis, Kevin
Pham Minh-Duc
Brugiere, Arthur
Zucker, Jean-Daniel
Drogoul, Alexis
Tranouez, Pierrick
Daude, Eric
Taillandier, Patrick
TI Exploring multi-modal evacuation strategies for a landlocked population
using large-scale agent-based simulations
SO INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL INFORMATION SCIENCE
LA English
DT Article
DE Agent-based simulation; evacuation policy; risk context; traffic model;
urban area
ID MODELS; BEHAVIOR; ENVIRONMENT
AB At a time when the impacts of climate change and increasing urbanization are
making risk management more complex, there is an urgent need for tools to better
support risk managers. One approach increasingly used in crisis management is
preventive mass evacuation. However, to implement and evaluate the effectiveness of
such strategy can be complex, especially in large urban areas. Modeling approaches,
and in particular agent-based models, are used to support implementation and to
explore a large range of evacuation strategies, which is impossible through drills.
One major limitation with simulation of traffic based on individual mobility models
is their capacity to reproduce a context of mixed traffic. In this paper, we
propose an agent-based model with the capacity to overcome this limitation. We
simulated and compared different spatio-temporal evacuation strategies in the
flood-prone landlocked area of the Phuc Xa district in Hanoi. We demonstrate that
the interaction between distribution of transport modalities and evacuation
strategies greatly impact evacuation outcomes. More precisely, we identified staged
strategies based on the proximity to exit points that make it possible to reduce
time spent on road and overall evacuation time. In addition, we simulated improved
evacuation outcomes through selected modification of the road network.
C1 [Chapuis, Kevin] Univ Montpellier, Univ Guyane, Univ La Reunion, Espace
Dev,IRD,Univ Antilles,Univ Nouvelle Caldon, Montpellier, France.
[Pham Minh-Duc; Brugiere, Arthur; Zucker, Jean-Daniel; Drogoul, Alexis;
Taillandier, Patrick] Sorbonne Univ, UMMISCO, IRD, Bondy, France.
[Pham Minh-Duc; Brugiere, Arthur; Drogoul, Alexis; Taillandier, Patrick] Thuyloi
Univ, IJL ACROSS, IRD, Hanoi, Vietnam.
[Tranouez, Pierrick] Normandy Univ, EA LITIS, Rouen, France.
[Daude, Eric] Normandy Univ, CNRS, UMR IDEES, Rouen, France.
[Taillandier, Patrick] Univ Toulouse, INRAE, UR MIAT, Castanet Tolosan, France.
C3 Institut de Recherche pour le Developpement (IRD); Universite de
Montpellier; University of La Reunion; UDICE-French Research
Universities; Sorbonne Universite; Cadi Ayyad University of Marrakech;
Hanoi University of Science & Technology (HUST); Institut de Recherche
pour le Developpement (IRD); University Cheikh Anta Diop Dakar;
University of Yaounde I; Institut de Recherche pour le Developpement
(IRD); Thuyloi University; Universite de Rouen Normandie; Centre
National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); Universite de Rouen
Normandie; Universite Le Havre Normandie; INRAE
RP Chapuis, K (corresponding author), Univ Montpellier, Univ Guyane, Univ La
Reunion, Espace Dev,IRD,Univ Antilles,Univ Nouvelle Caldon, Montpellier, France.
EM kevin.chapuis@gmail.com
RI Drogoul, Alexis/GOJ-8922-2022
OI Drogoul, Alexis/0000-0002-9685-9199
FU ANR ESCAPE project of the French National Research Agency
[ANR-16-CE39-0011-01]; RIN ESCAPE Serious Game project, grant of the
Normandy Region; Agence Nationale de la Recherche (ANR)
[ANR-16-CE39-0011] Funding Source: Agence Nationale de la Recherche
(ANR)
FX This work is funded by the ANR ESCAPE project, grant
[ANR-16-CE39-0011-01] of the French National Research Agency and by the
RIN ESCAPE Serious Game project, grant of the Normandy Region.
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NR 64
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 7
U2 20
PI ABINGDON
SN 1365-8816
EI 1362-3087
J9 INT J GEOGR INF SCI
JI Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci.
PD SEP 2
PY 2022
VL 36
IS 9
BP 1741
EP 1783
DI 10.1080/13658816.2022.2069774
EA MAY 2022
PG 43
WC Computer Science, Information Systems; Geography; Geography, Physical;
Information Science & Library Science
(SSCI)
SC Computer Science; Geography; Physical Geography; Information Science &
Library Science
GA 3Y1BX
UT WOS:000796413100001
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Senkbeil, J
Collins, J
Reed, J
AF Senkbeil, Jason
Collins, Jennifer
Reed, Jacob
TI Evacuee Perception of Geophysical Hazards for Hurricane Irma
LA English
DT Article
DE Communications/decision making; Emergency preparedness; Risk assessment;
Societal impacts
ID LANDFALL; FORECAST; MODEL; RISK
AB Hurricane Irma was one of the strongest Atlantic hurricanes in history before
landfall and caused a large evacuation. A total of 155 evacuees at interstate rest
areas were asked to rank their concern about damage at their residence for six
different geophysical hurricane hazards. Additionally, they were asked about their
perceived maximum wind speeds (PMWS) and the wind speeds at which they thought
damage would occur (DW) at their residence. These wind speeds were then compared to
the actual peak wind gusts (APG) nearest to each resident's location. Results show
a significantly greater concern for wind and storm size, compared to other hazards
(tornadoes, rainfall/flooding, storm surge, falling trees). The mean PMWS of
evacuees was greater than the mean APG, suggesting widespread misperception of wind
speeds. Furthermore, the mean APG was less than the mean DW, and the mean PMWS was
also higher than the DW. Additional tests found no significant differences in wind
perception between residents with previous storm experiences and no experience, and
no significant differences between those who resided in mandatory evacuation zip
codes and those who did not. These results suggest that wind speed risk is poorly
understood, even though it is a high concern for evacuees from hurricanes. The
communication of wind speed risk in forecasts should possibly be modified by
placing greater emphasis on postlandfall impacts, wind speed decay after landfall,
and wind speeds that cause damage to different types of residences.
C1 [Senkbeil, Jason; Reed, Jacob] Univ Alabama, Dept Geog, Tuscaloosa, AL 35487
USA.
[Collins, Jennifer] Univ S Florida, Sch Geosci, Tampa, FL USA.
C3 University of Alabama System; University of Alabama Tuscaloosa; State
RP Senkbeil, J (corresponding author), Univ Alabama, Dept Geog, Tuscaloosa, AL
35487 USA.
EM jcsenkbeil@ua.edu
OI Reed, Jacob/0000-0001-5089-8005
FU NSF RAPID [BCS-1760235]
FX The Hurricane Irma research was sponsored by NSF RAPID Grant
BCS-1760235. We also would like to acknowledge members of the USF
hurricane team, especially Emily Cerrito, Amy Polen, Michelle Saunders,
and Saurav Chakraborty, for their field work in Hurricane Irma.
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NR 39
TC 17
Z9 17
U1 1
U2 10
PI BOSTON
SN 1948-8327
EI 1948-8335
J9 WEATHER CLIM SOC
PD JAN
PY 2019
VL 11
IS 1
BP 217
EP 227
DI 10.1175/WCAS-D-18-0019.1
PG 11
(SSCI)
GA HJ5YQ
UT WOS:000457260200001
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Ahmad, I
Wang, XQ
Waseem, M
Zaman, M
Aziz, F
Khan, RZN
Ashraf, M
AF Ahmad, Ijaz
Wang, Xiuquan
Waseem, Muhammad
Zaman, Muhammad
Aziz, Farhan
Khan, Rana Zain Nabi
Ashraf, Muhammad
TI Flood Management, Characterization and Vulnerability Analysis Using an
Integrated RS-GIS and 2D Hydrodynamic Modelling Approach: The Case of
Deg Nullah, Pakistan
SO REMOTE SENSING
LA English
DT Article
DE HEC-RAS 2D model; flood characterization; flood vulnerability; flood
hazard maps; Deg Nullah
ID HAZARD ASSESSMENT; FLASH-FLOOD; RIVER; RISK; SIMULATION; SAR; REDUCTION;
IMPACT; BREACH; ZONES
AB One-dimensional (1D) hydraulic models have been extensively used to conduct
flood simulations for investigating flood depth and extent maps. However, the 1D
models cannot simulate many other flood characteristics, such as flood velocity,
duration, arrival time and recession time when the flow is not restricted within
the channel. These flood characteristics cannot be disregarded as they play an
important role in developing flood mitigation and evacuation strategies. This study
formulates a two-dimensional (2D) hydrodynamic model combined with remote sensing
(RS) and geographic information system (GIS) approach to generate additional flood
characteristic maps that cannot be produced with 1D models. The model was applied
to a transboundary river of Deg Nullah in Pakistan to simulate an extreme flood
event experience in 2014. The flood extent images from the moderate resolution
imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) and observed flood extents were used to evaluate
the model performance. Moreover, an entropy distance-based approach was proposed to
facilitate the integrated multivariate flood vulnerability classification. The
simulated 2D flood modeling results showed a good agreement with the flood extents
registered by MODIS and the observed ones. The northwest parts of Deg Nullah near
Seowal, Dullam Kahalwan and Zafarwal were the most vulnerable areas due to high
flood depths and prolonged flooding duration. Whereas high flood velocities, short
flood arrival time, prolonged flood duration and recession times were observed in
the upper reach of Deg Nullah thereby making it the most susceptible, critical and
vulnerable region to flooding events.
C1 [Ahmad, Ijaz; Waseem, Muhammad; Khan, Rana Zain Nabi] Univ Engn & Technol, Ctr
Excellence Water Resources Engn, Lahore 54890, Pakistan.
[Wang, Xiuquan; Aziz, Farhan] Univ Prince Edward Isl, Sch Climate Change &
Adaptat, 550 Univ Ave, Charlottetown, PE C1A 4P3, Canada.
[Zaman, Muhammad] Univ Agr Faisalabad, Dept Irrigat & Drainage, Faisalabad
38000, Pakistan.
[Ashraf, Muhammad] Khwaja Fareed Univ Engn & Informat Technol, Dept Agr Engn,
Rahim Yar Khan 64200, Pakistan.
[Ashraf, Muhammad] Commonwealth Sci & Ind Res, Org Land & Water, Canberra, ACT
2601, Australia.
C3 University of Engineering & Technology Lahore; University of Prince
Edward Island; University of Agriculture Faisalabad; Khwaja Fareed
University of Engineering & Information Technology, Pakistan;
Commonwealth Scientific & Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO)
RP Wang, XQ (corresponding author), Univ Prince Edward Isl, Sch Climate Change &
Adaptat, 550 Univ Ave, Charlottetown, PE C1A 4P3, Canada.
EM dr.ijaz@uet.edu.pk; xxwang@upei.ca; waseem.jatoi@cewre.edu.pk;
muhammad.zaman@uaf.edu.pk; faziz@upei.ca; znk@cewre.edu.pk;
dr.ashraf@kfueit.edu.pk
RI Ahmad, Ijaz/AAX-8015-2021; Aziz, Farhan/ADL-2988-2022; Waseem,
Muhammad/AAF-3658-2019; Zaman, Muhammad/ITT-3200-2023; Wang,
Xander/Q-9659-2018
OI Ahmad, Ijaz/0000-0002-7219-8533; Aziz, Farhan/0000-0002-4308-4414;
Waseem, Muhammad/0000-0001-7860-3037; Zaman,
Muhammad/0000-0003-1105-2343; Wang, Xander/0000-0002-3718-3416
FU Higher Education Commission of Pakistan [SRGP-1593]
FX This research was funded funded by the Higher Education Commission of
Pakistan (grant: SRGP-1593). The authors also thank the Punjab
Irrigation Department for providing the data required for this research
without any cost.
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NR 65
TC 6
Z9 6
U1 6
U2 11
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2072-4292
JI Remote Sens.
PD MAY
PY 2022
VL 14
IS 9
AR 2138
DI 10.3390/rs14092138
PG 19
GA 1F9PE
UT WOS:000795490800001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Yaghoubi, T
Ardalan, A
Zavareh, DK
Khankeh, H
Nejati, A
Ebadi, A
AF Yaghoubi, Tahereh
Ardalan, Ali
Zavareh, Davoud Khorasani
Khankeh, Hamidreza
Nejati, Amir
Ebadi, Abass
TI Decision-making on Hospital Emergency Evacuation in Disasters and
Emergencies: Findings From a Systematic Review
SO IRANIAN RED CRESCENT MEDICAL JOURNAL
LA English
DT Review
DE Hospital Evacuation; Decision-Making; Disasters; Emergencies
ID SHELTER-IN-PLACE; HURRICANE-KATRINA; SUPPORT-SYSTEMS; LESSONS;
MANAGEMENT; SANDY; SIMULATION; EXPERIENCE; FACILITIES; FLOOD
AB Context: Disasters are increasing worldwide, with more devastating effects than
ever before. Hospitals must maintain their normal functions or have an evacuation
plan due to the rate of damages at the time of a sudden disaster. The present study
was conducted to determine the effective determinants and components in hospital
evacuation decision-making.
Evidence Acquisition: In this systematic review study, which was conducted in
2016, bibliographies, citation databases, and other available records such as
international guidelines, documents and reports of organizations and academic
dissertations were used to find an answer to the following question: What are the
effective components in hospital evacuation decision-making? Finally, 34 articles
were included in this systematic review. This systematic review article was checked
with PRISMA checklist.
Results: The common factors affecting hospital emergency evacuation decision-
making were classified into 4 general categories and 40 subcategories, which have
been explored during thematic analysis. These 4 categories included hospital
infrastructure consequences, threat, internal factors, and external factors. Level
of risk was the most important component of threat category and it was mentioned in
most of the reviewed literature. Loss of electricity and water, communication and
transportation, resources such as staff, and removing patient devices were the most
mentioned factors in hospital infrastructure consequences, external factors, and
internal factors, respectively.
Conclusions: Different variables affect the process of hospital emergency
evacuation decision-making. Thus, further studies are needed to develop a decision-
making tool for hospital emergency evacuations in Iran.
C1 [Yaghoubi, Tahereh] Mazandaran Univ Med Sci, Hlth Sci Res Ctr, Sch Nursing &
Midwifery, Sari, Iran.
[Yaghoubi, Tahereh; Ardalan, Ali; Nejati, Amir] Univ Tehran Med Sci, Sch Publ
Hlth, Dept Disaster Publ Hlth, Tehran, Iran.
[Ardalan, Ali] Univ Tehran Med Sci, Natl Inst Hlth Res, Dept Disaster &
Emergency Hlth, Tehran, Iran.
[Ardalan, Ali] Harvard Univ, Harvard Humanitarian Initiat, Cambridge, MA 02138
USA.
[Zavareh, Davoud Khorasani] Shahid Beheshti Univ Med Sci, Safety Promot & Injury
Prevent Res Ctr, Tehran, Iran.
[Zavareh, Davoud Khorasani] Shahid Beheshti Univ Med Sci, Sch Hlth Safety &
Environm, Dept Hlth Disaster & Emergency, Tehran, Iran.
[Zavareh, Davoud Khorasani] Karolinska Inst, Dept Clin Sci & Educ, Stockholm,
Sodersjukhuset, Sweden.
[Khankeh, Hamidreza] Univ Social Welfare & Rehabil, Dept Disaster & Emergency
Hlth, Tehran, Iran.
[Ebadi, Abass] Baqiyatallah Univ Med Sci, Fac Nursing, Tehran, Iran.
C3 Mazandaran University Medical Sciences; Tehran University of Medical
Sciences; Tehran University of Medical Sciences; Harvard University;
Shahid Beheshti University Medical Sciences; Shahid Beheshti University
Medical Sciences; Karolinska Institutet; Sodersjukhuset Hospital;
Baqiyatallah University of Medical Sciences (BMSU)
RP Zavareh, DK (corresponding author), Karolinska Inst, Dept Clin Sci & Educ,
Stockholm, Sodersjukhuset, Sweden.; Zavareh, DK (corresponding author), Shahid
Beheshti Univ Med Sci, Sch HSE, Dept Hlth Disaster & Emergency, Tehran, Iran.
EM davoud.khorasani@gmail.com
RI Zavareh, Davoud Khorasani/AAG-8513-2019; Khankeh,
Hamidreza/AAF-4581-2021; Ebadi, Abbas/S-3847-2018
OI Zavareh, Davoud Khorasani/0000-0001-6265-8148; Ebadi,
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TC 13
Z9 13
U1 6
U2 37
PU KOWSAR PUBL
PI HOENSBROEK
PA PATERSWEG 22,, HOENSBROEK, LIMBURG 6431 GC, NETHERLANDS
SN 2074-1804
EI 2074-1812
J9 IRAN RED CRESCENT ME
JI Iran. Red Crescent Med. J.
PD NOV
PY 2017
VL 19
IS 11
AR e14214
DI 10.5812/ircmj.14214
PG 8
GA GB3CD
UT WOS:000428931900002
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Gao, YJ
Zhao, SY
Deng, JH
Yu, ZQ
Rahman, M
AF Gao Yunjian
Zhao Siyuan
Deng Jianhui
Yu Zhiqiu
Rahman Mahfuzur
TI Flood assessment and early warning of the reoccurrence of river blockage
at the Baige landslide
SO JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES
LA English
DT Article
DE Baige landslide; outburst flood; flood assessment; flood early warning;
HEC-RAS
ID SE TIBETAN PLATEAU; UPPER JINSHA RIVER; DAMMED LAKE; GLACIAL LAKES;
FAILURE; CHINA; RISK; SICHUAN
AB On 10th Oct. and 3rd Nov. 2018, two successive landslides occurred in the Jinsha
River catchment at Baige Village, Tibet Autonomous Region, China. The landslides
blocked the major river and formed the barrier lake, which finally caused the huge
flood disaster loss. The hillslope at Baige landslide site has been still deforming
after the 2018 slidings, which is likely to fail and block the Jinsha River again
in the future. Therefore the investigation of 2018 flood disaster at the Baige
landslide is of a great significance to provide a classic case for flood assessment
and early warning for the future disaster. The detailed survey revealed that the
outstanding inundations induced bank collapse disasters upstream the Baige
landslide dams, and the field investigations and hydrological simulation suggested
that the downstream of the Baige landslide were seriously flooded due to the two
periods of the outburst floods. On these bases, the early warning process of
potential outburst floods at the Baige landslide was advised, which contains four
stages: Outburst Flood Simulating Stage, Outburst Flood Forecasting Stage,
Emergency Plan and Emergency Evacuation Stage. The study offers a conceptual model
for the mitigation of landslides and flood disasters in the high-relief mountainous
region in Tibet.
C1 [Gao Yunjian; Zhao Siyuan; Deng Jianhui; Yu Zhiqiu] Sichuan Univ, Coll Water
Resource & Hydropower, State Key Lab Hydraul & Mt River Engn, Chengdu 610065,
Peoples R China.
[Rahman Mahfuzur] Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Mt Hazards & Surface Proc, Inst Mt
Hazards & Environm, Chengdu 610041, Peoples R China.
C3 Sichuan University; Chinese Academy of Sciences; Institute of Mountain
Hazards & Environment, CAS
RP Zhao, SY (corresponding author), Sichuan Univ, Coll Water Resource & Hydropower,
State Key Lab Hydraul & Mt River Engn, Chengdu 610065, Peoples R China.
EM gaoyunjiansu@163.com; zhaosiyuan@scu.edu.cn
FU Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program
[2019QZKK0905]; National Key R&D Program of China [2018YFC15050004];
National Natural Science Foundation [42007248]
FX The Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program,
No.2019QZKK0905; National Key R&D Program of China, No.2018YFC15050004;
National Natural Science Foundation Projects, No.42007248
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NR 49
TC 4
Z9 4
U1 18
U2 94
PU SCIENCE PRESS
PI BEIJING
PA 16 DONGHUANGCHENGGEN NORTH ST, BEIJING 100717, PEOPLES R CHINA
SN 1009-637X
EI 1861-9568
J9 J GEOGR SCI
JI J. Geogr. Sci.
PD NOV
PY 2021
VL 31
IS 11
SI SI
BP 1694
EP 1712
DI 10.1007/s11442-021-1918-9
PG 19
WC Geography, Physical
SC Physical Geography
GA WS1EI
UT WOS:000714930800008
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Song, YL
Yan, XD
AF Song, Yulei
Yan, Xuedong
TI A Method for Formulizing Disaster Evacuation Demand Curves Based on SI
Model
LA English
DT Article
DE evacuation demand curves; social influence; Susceptible-Infective model;
sensitivity analyses; Tianjin Explosions
ID HURRICANE; TIME
AB The prediction of evacuation demand curves is a crucial step in the disaster
evacuation plan making, which directly affects the performance of the disaster
evacuation. In this paper, we discuss the factors influencing individual evacuation
decision making (whether and when to leave) and summarize them into four kinds:
individual characteristics, social influence, geographic location, and warning
degree. In the view of social contagion of decision making, a method based on
Susceptible-Infective (SI) model is proposed to formulize the disaster evacuation
demand curves to address both social influence and other factors' effects. The
disaster event of the "Tianjin Explosions" is used as a case study to illustrate
the modeling results influenced by the four factors and perform the sensitivity
analyses of the key parameters of the model. Some interesting phenomena are found
and discussed, which is meaningful for authorities to make specific evacuation
plans. For example, due to the lower social influence in isolated communities,
extra actions might be taken to accelerate evacuation process in those communities.
C1 [Song, Yulei; Yan, Xuedong] Beijing Jiaotong Univ, Sch Traff & Transportat, MOE
Key Lab Urban Transportat Complex Syst Theory, Beijing 100044, Peoples R China.
C3 Beijing Jiaotong University
RP Yan, XD (corresponding author), Beijing Jiaotong Univ, Sch Traff & Transportat,
MOE Key Lab Urban Transportat Complex Syst Theory, Beijing 100044, Peoples R China.
EM 14120879@bjtu.edu.cn; xdyan@bjtu.edu.cn
RI Yan, Xuedong/S-3681-2019; Yan, Xuedong/L-6957-2019; Yan,
Xuedong/A-5126-2009
OI Yan, Xuedong/0000-0003-0120-9183; Yan, Xuedong/0000-0003-0120-9183;
FU National Natural Science Foundation of China [71210001]
FX This work is financially supported by the National Natural Science
Foundation of China (71210001).
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NR 54
TC 7
Z9 8
U1 2
U2 19
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 1660-4601
PD OCT
PY 2016
VL 13
IS 10
AR 986
DI 10.3390/ijerph13100986
PG 21
(SSCI)
Health
GA EE4KF
UT WOS:000389570100053
PM 27735875
OA Green Published, Green Submitted, gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Golshani, N
Shabanpour, R
Mohammadian, A
Auld, J
Ley, H
AF Golshani, Nima
Shabanpour, Ramin
Mohammadian, Abolfazl
Auld, Joshua
Ley, Hubert
TI Modeling evacuation demand during no-notice emergency events: Tour
formation behavior
LA English
DT Article
DE No-notice emergency; Disaster management; Evacuation tour; Intermediate
stop; Joint modeling; Rank ordered model
ID HURRICANE EVACUATION; TRAVEL DEMAND; CHOICE; TIME; UNDERSTAND;
SIMULATION; DISASTER; IMPACTS; SYSTEM
AB Disastrous events have been drastically increasing - both in frequency and
destructive capacity - over the past few years. While advance-notice events have
received a great deal of attention in the literature of disaster management, not
much attention so far has been given to the no-notice events mainly because of the
scarcity of data. As an attempt to address this critical gap, the current study
proposes a disaggregate evacuation demand framework to understand evacuees' travel
behavior in case of no-notice emergency events. The proposed framework comprises
four main steps of evacuation decision, evacuation planning, tour formation, and
activity schedule update. This article is dedicated to the introduction of the
framework structure and elaboration on the tour formation step. In this step, we
first estimate the total number of intermediate stops, travel time, and distance of
the evacuation tours for those who decide to evacuate through a joint modeling
structure and then, determine the type of each intermediate stop (if any). It is
found that a broad range of factors including evacuees' demographic profiles,
built-environment attributes, and characteristics of the disastrous event plays a
significant role in people's evacuation behavior during no-notice emergency events.
The findings of this study can assist responsible agencies in understanding
evacuees' complex behavior, and consequently, in devising effective strategies to
alleviate economic damages and casualties resulted by such events.
C1 [Golshani, Nima; Shabanpour, Ramin; Mohammadian, Abolfazl] Univ Illinois, Dept
Civil & Mat Engn, Chicago, IL USA.
[Auld, Joshua] Argonne Natl Lab, Syst Modelling & Controls Grp, Argonne, IL
60439 USA.
[Ley, Hubert] Argonne Natl Lab, Transportat Res & Anal Comp Ctr, Argonne, IL
60439 USA.
C3 University of Illinois System; University of Illinois Chicago;
University of Illinois Chicago Hospital; United States Department of
Energy (DOE); Argonne National Laboratory; United States Department of
Energy (DOE); Argonne National Laboratory
RP Shabanpour, R (corresponding author), 842 W Taylor St, Chicago, IL 60607 USA.
EM ngolsh2@uic.edu; rshaba4@uic.edu; kouros@uic.edu; jauld@anl.gov;
hley@anl.gov
OI Golshani, Nima/0000-0002-9335-3133; Mohammadian,
Abolfazl/0000-0003-3595-3664
FU University of Chicago [FP062899-D, D2015-SRER-007]; Federal Transit
Agency [D2015-SRER-007]
FX This work was performed under subcontract FP062899-D with the University
of Chicago, and is part of contract D2015-SRER-007 between the Federal
Transit Agency and the University of Chicago. The US Government retains
for itself, and others acting on its behalf, a paid-up, non-exclusive,
and irrevocable worldwide license in said article to reproduce, prepare
derivative works, distribute copies to the public, and perform publicly
and display publicly, by or on behalf of the Government.
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PI OXFORD
SN 0968-090X
PD SEP
PY 2020
VL 118
AR 102713
DI 10.1016/j.trc.2020.102713
PG 17
(SSCI)
SC Transportation
GA NI8DJ
UT WOS:000565577400003
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Huang, GW
AF Huang, Guangwei
TI A Comparative Study on Flood Management in China and Japan
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE Jia Rang; eastward diversion; Jingjiang flood diversion area
AB Attempts at flood management during the 20th century resulted in more flood
disasters. To gain a better understanding of what went wrong, it is necessary to
examine historical evidence, seek ancient wisdom and compare practices of flood
management in different countries. This study examines flood management concepts
and practices in China and Japan during different periods of time in history and
the differences in the two countries' current management of flood retarding basins.
It reveals that during the Western Han Dynasty (206 BC-24 AD), China proposed to
redirect a river course to gain sufficient flood retarding capacity, and this same
concept was realized, either coincidentally or intentionally, during the Edo period
of Japan (1603-1868). In modern times, however, the management of flood retarding
basins differs fundamentally between China and Japan. In addition, this study
investigates the differences in emergency evacuation practices between China and
Japan. This is the first study to highlight the link between a Chinese concept and
a Japanese practice that are separated by more than 1000 years.
C1 [Huang, Guangwei] Sophia Univ, Grad Sch Global Environm Studies, Chiyoda Ku, 7-1
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Chiyoda Ku, 7-1 Kioicho, Tokyo 1028554, Japan.
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IS 9
BP 2821
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DI 10.3390/w6092821
PG 9
GA AQ6EP
UT WOS:000342902900016
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Munawar, HS
Mojtahedi, M
Hammad, AWA
Ostwald, MJ
Waller, ST
AF Munawar, Hafiz Suliman
Mojtahedi, Mohammad
Hammad, Ahmed W. A.
Ostwald, Michael J.
Waller, S. Travis
TI An AI/ML-Based Strategy for Disaster Response and Evacuation of Victims
in Aged Care Facilities in the Hawkesbury-Nepean Valley: A Perspective
SO BUILDINGS
LA English
DT Article
DE Hawkesbury-Nepean valley; flood event; early warning system; artificial
intelligence; image processing; machine learning
ID LAND USE/LAND COVER; FLOOD DISASTER; BIG DATA; MANAGEMENT; AREAS;
SYSTEM; IMPACT; MODEL; LIDAR; RISK
AB The Hawkesbury-Nepean Valley, Australia's longest coastal catchment, is spanned
by a river system of more than 470 km, that runs from Goulburn to Broken Bay,
covering a total area of over 2.2 million hectares. This region has remained prone
to flood events, with considerable mortalities, economic impacts and
infrastructural losses occurring quite regularly. The topography, naturally
variable climatic conditions and the 'bathtub' effect in the region are responsible
for the frequent flood events. In response, the Government at the national/federal,
state and local level has focused on the design of efficient flood risk management
strategies with appropriate evacuation plans for vulnerable communities from
hospitals, schools, childcare and aged care facilities during a flood event.
Despite these overarching plans, specialized response and evacuation plans for aged
care facilities are critical to reducing the loss incurred by flood events in the
region. This is the focus of this present paper, which reviews the history of flood
events and responses to them, before examining the utilization of artificial
intelligence (AI) techniques during flood events to overcome the flood risks. An
early flood warning system, based on AI/Machine Learning (ML) strategy is being
suggested for a timely decision, enhanced disaster prediction, assessment and
response necessary to overcome the flood risks associated with aged care facilities
within the Hawkesbury-Nepean region. A framework entailing AI/ML methods for
identifying the safest route to the destination using UAV and path planning has
been proposed for timely disaster response and evacuation of the residents of aged
care facilities.
C1 [Munawar, Hafiz Suliman; Mojtahedi, Mohammad; Hammad, Ahmed W. A.; Ostwald,
Michael J.] Univ New South Wales, Sch Built Environm, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia.
[Waller, S. Travis] Univ New South Wales, Sch Civil & Environm Engn, Sydney, NSW
2052, Australia.
C3 University of New South Wales Sydney; University of New South Wales
Sydney
RP Munawar, HS (corresponding author), Univ New South Wales, Sch Built Environm,
Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia.
EM h.munawar@unsw.edu.au; m.mojtahedi@unsw.edu.au; a.hammad@unsw.edu.au;
m.ostwald@unsw.edu.au; s.waller@unsw.edu.au
RI ; Ostwald, Michael/G-7356-2013
OI Mojtahedi, Mohammad/0000-0001-6942-0650; Hammad, Ahmed
WA/0000-0001-6190-0078; Ostwald, Michael/0000-0001-6210-6984; Munawar,
Hafiz Suliman/0000-0001-8492-0274
FU CDRI
FX The authors would like to acknowledge CDRI for the guidance and support
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NR 105
TC 6
Z9 6
U1 6
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PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2075-5309
J9 BUILDINGS-BASEL
JI BUILDINGS-BASEL
PD JAN
PY 2022
VL 12
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AR 80
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PG 23
(SSCI)
GA ZE0KL
UT WOS:000758581100001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Borowski, E
Stathopoulos, A
AF Borowski, Elisa
Stathopoulos, Amanda
TI On-demand ridesourcing for urban emergency evacuation events: An
exploration of message content, emotionality, and intersectionality
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuation; Ridesourcing; Transportation mode; Choice model;
Intersectionality; Emotionality
ID DISCRETE-CHOICE EXPERIMENTS; NO-NOTICE EVACUATION; HURRICANE EVACUATION;
BEHAVIORAL-RESPONSE; DECISION RULES; MODE CHOICE; MIXED LOGIT; DISASTER;
TRAVEL; MATTER
AB Evacuation mode choice has been researched over the past decade for disaster
management and planning, focusing primarily on established modes such as personal
automobiles, carpooling, and transit. Recently, however, on-demand ridesourcing has
become a viable mode alternative, most notably through the growth of major
transportation network companies, such as Uber and Lyft. The availability of this
new transportation option is expected to have important implications for adaptive
disaster response. The goal of this work is to investigate the influence of
internal and external contextual factors on preferred ridesourcing applications
during small-scale urban evacuations. A case study was conducted in the three most
populous metropolitan areas in the United States. Data were collected using an
internet-based stated preference survey, and a discrete choice model was estimated
to analyze the 185 responses. Determinants of on-demand ridesourcing for evacuation
include internal factors, such as interactions between race, gender, and income,
and external contextual factors, such as the evacuation notification source,
consequence severity, immediacy, evacuation distance, unfamiliarity of
surroundings, and traveling with others. Findings are illustrated through three
ridesourcing applications based on specific evacuation needs. Policy
recommendations are provided for the design of equitable evacuation services, soft
policy communication strategies, and public-private partnerships.
C1 [Borowski, Elisa; Stathopoulos, Amanda] Northwestern Univ, Technol Inst, Dept
C3 Northwestern University
RP Stathopoulos, A (corresponding author), Northwestern Univ, Technol Inst, Dept
EM elisaborowski2022@u.northwestern.edu; a-stathopoulos@northwestern.edu
RI Stathopoulos, Amanda/GWM-4799-2022; Stathopoulos, Amanda/K-2386-2014
FU U.S. Department of Defense (DOD) through the National Defense Science
and Engineering Graduate (NDSEG); Junior William A. Patterson
Professorship Chair in Transportation at Northwestern University; U.S.
National Science Foundation (NSF) Faculty Early Career Development
Program (CAREER) Award [1847537]; Div Of Civil, Mechanical, & Manufact
Inn; Directorate For Engineering [1847537] Funding Source: National
Science Foundation
FX Funding for the first author was provided by the U.S. Department of
Defense (DOD) through the National Defense Science and Engineering
Graduate (NDSEG) fellowship program. The second author received partial
funding from the Junior William A. Patterson Professorship Chair in
Transportation at Northwestern University and the U.S. National Science
Foundation (NSF) Faculty Early Career Development Program (CAREER) Award
#1847537. The authors appreciate thorough comments from three reviewers
that helped us improve this manuscript.
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12842-4_54
NR 154
TC 13
Z9 13
U1 1
U2 21
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD APR
PY 2020
VL 44
AR 101406
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101406
PG 15
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA KR7YD
UT WOS:000517832100007
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Kwasnik, A
Barletta, P
Abreu, AR
Castillo, C
Brito, Y
Chediak, AD
AF Kwasnik, Aleksandra
Barletta, Pamela
Abreu, Alexandre R.
Castillo, Catalina
Brito, Yoel
Chediak, Alejandro D.
TI A survey of positive airway pressure therapy preparedness and outcomes
following Hurricane Irma in patients with obstructive sleep apnea
SO JOURNAL OF CLINICAL SLEEP MEDICINE
LA English
DT Article
DE obstructive sleep apnea; positive airway pressure; extreme weather
events; hurricane; nonadherence
ID CPAP ADHERENCE
AB Study Objectives: Clinical benefit from positive pressure therapy is dependent
on treatment adherence. Extreme weather events, such as floods, hurricanes, and
tornadoes, can contribute to nonadherence by electricity loss and mandatory
evacuation. We aimed to evaluate the concerns and behaviors of regular positive
airway pressure users surrounding the extreme weather event Hurricane Irma.
Methods: A questionnaire on positive pressure concerns surrounding Hurricane
Irma was completed by 117 patients with pre-hurricane objectively confirmed
treatment adherence as defined by Medicare. Responses were tabulated to identify
concerns and behavior in preparation for and after Hurricane Irma. Cloud-based
monitoring, available on 50 (43%) cases, was used to determine the effect of self-
reported electricity loss on treatment adherence before and after the storm.
Quantitative use data pre- and post-Hurricane Irma was compared by t test with P
< .05 considered statistically significant.
Results: Post-hurricane 78 (67%) patients were unable to use treatment with mean
duration of 4.3 days. Of these, snoring, choking, and sleepiness were reported in
64%, 19%, and 42%, respectively. Loss of electricity was identified as the cause of
missed treatment in 71 patients. In those with cloud monitoring, mean 14-day pre-
and post-hurricane use differed by 8 minutes (P =.056). Cloud-monitored cases with
loss of electricity had a decline in mean use of 33 minutes for the first 7 days
post-hurricane. There was a trend towards increased use post-hurricane in those
that retained electricity. Many patients expressed dissatisfaction with the
availability of preparedness guidelines.
Conclusions: Although common, loss of electricity was not the sole disruptor of
positive pressure use after extreme weather events. Regular users of positive
airway pressure experience both disruption in patterns of use and concerns
regarding preparedness for extreme weather events.
C1 [Kwasnik, Aleksandra; Barletta, Pamela; Abreu, Alexandre R.; Castillo, Catalina;
Brito, Yoel; Chediak, Alejandro D.] Univ Miami, Miller Sch Med, Div Pulm Crit Care
& Sleep Med, Miami, FL 33136 USA.
C3 University of Miami
RP Chediak, AD (corresponding author), Univ Miami, Miller Sch Med, Div Pulm Crit
Care & Sleep Med, Miami, FL 33136 USA.
EM axc1599@med.miami.edu
RI Chediak, Alejandro Dimas/AFO-8316-2022
CR American Sleep Apnea AssociationWebsite, 2017, CPAP PROGR HELP HURR
[Anonymous], 2017, HURRICANE IRMA LOCAL
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Borowski M., 2019, IT WAS DECADE WILD S
Cangialosi J.P, 2018, HURRICANE IRMA
Centers for Medicare andMedicaid Services (CMS), CRIT DEC MEM CONT PO
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Dahlberg N., 2017, 1 8 MILLION S FLORID
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114MG
Galetke W, 2011, RESPIRATION, V82, P155, DOI 10.1159/000322838
Lin HS, 2007, ARCH OTOLARYNGOL, V133, P69, DOI 10.1001/archotol.133.1.69
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Miami Dade County, EM EV ASS
Pagel JF, 2005, PRIM CARE, V32
Pavwoski P, 2017, NEUROL-CLIN PRACT, V7, P77, DOI 10.1212/CPJ.0000000000000320
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Sawyer AM, 2014, SLEEP BREATH, V18, P875, DOI 10.1007/s11325-014-0959-z
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Weaver Terri E, 2008, Proc Am Thorac Soc, V5, P173, DOI 10.1513/pats.200708-
119MG
NR 21
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 0
U2 0
PU AMER ACAD SLEEP MEDICINE
PI DARIEN
PA 2510 N FRONTAGE RD, DARIEN, IL 60561 USA
SN 1550-9389
EI 1550-9397
J9 J CLIN SLEEP MED
JI J. Clin. Sleep Med.
PD SEP 15
PY 2020
VL 16
IS 9
BP 1539
EP 1544
DI 10.5664/jcsm.8610
PG 6
WC Clinical Neurology
SC Neurosciences & Neurology
GA PE0OS
UT WOS:000598073400015
PM 32501211
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Lee, DC
Smith, SW
Carr, BG
Doran, KM
Portelli, I
Grudzen, CR
Goldfrank, LR
AF Lee, David C.
Smith, Silas W.
Carr, Brendan G.
Doran, Kelly M.
Portelli, Ian
Grudzen, Corita R.
Goldfrank, Lewis R.
TI Geographic Distribution of Disaster-Specific Emergency Department Use
After Hurricane Sandy in New York City
LA English
DT Article
DE emergency department utilization; geographic information systems;
disaster medicine; vulnerable populations
ID HEALTH-CARE; POPULATIONS; IMPACT; SURVEILLANCE; HOMELESS; DIALYSIS;
LESSONS; DISEASE; KATRINA; SYSTEM
AB Objective We aimed to characterize the geographic distribution of post-Hurricane
Sandy emergency department use in administrative flood evacuation zones of New York
City.
Methods Using emergency claims data, we identified significant deviations in
emergency department use after Hurricane Sandy. Using time-series analysis, we
analyzed the frequency of visits for specific conditions and comorbidities to
identify medically vulnerable populations who developed acute postdisaster medical
needs.
Results We found statistically significant decreases in overall post-Sandy
emergency department use in New York City but increased utilization in the most
vulnerable evacuation zone. In addition to dialysis- and ventilator-dependent
patients, we identified that patients who were elderly or homeless or who had
diabetes, dementia, cardiac conditions, limitations in mobility, or drug dependence
were more likely to visit emergency departments after Hurricane Sandy. Furthermore,
patients were more likely to develop drug-resistant infections, require isolation,
and present for hypothermia, environmental exposures, or administrative reasons.
Conclusions Our study identified high-risk populations who developed acute
medical and social needs in specific geographic areas after Hurricane Sandy. Our
findings can inform coherent and targeted responses to disasters. Early
identification of medically vulnerable populations can help to map hot spots
requiring additional medical and social attention and prioritize resources for
areas most impacted by disasters. (Disaster Med Public Health Preparedness.
2016;10:351-361)
C1 [Lee, David C.; Smith, Silas W.; Doran, Kelly M.; Portelli, Ian; Grudzen, Corita
R.; Goldfrank, Lewis R.] NYU, Sch Med, Ronald O Perelman Dept Emergency Med, New
York, NY USA.
[Lee, David C.; Doran, Kelly M.; Grudzen, Corita R.] NYU, Sch Med, Dept Populat
Hlth, New York, NY USA.
[Carr, Brendan G.] Thomas Jefferson Univ, Sidney Kimmel Med Coll, Dept Emergency
Med, Philadelphia, PA 19107 USA.
[Carr, Brendan G.] US Dept HHS, Emergency Care Coordinat Ctr, Off Assistant
Secretary Preparedness & Response, Washington, DC 20201 USA.
C3 New York University; New York University; Jefferson University
RP Lee, DC (corresponding author), 462 First Ave,Room A345, New York, NY 10016 USA.
EM david.lee@nyumc.org
OI Doran, Kelly/0000-0001-8961-3724; Grudzen, Corita/0000-0003-3039-8497
FU US Department of Health and Human Services, Office of the Assistant
Secretary for Preparedness and Response (ASPR) [HITEP 150030-01-00];
ASPR [HITEP130006-01-00]; NYU School of Medicine; Fridolin Charitable
Trust
FX This work was funded by the US Department of Health and Human Services,
Office of the Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and Response (ASPR),
award number HITEP 150030-01-00, to the NYU School of Medicine.
Additional funding was received from ASPR, award number
HITEP130006-01-00, by the NYU School of Medicine. For work unrelated to
the current study, SWS derives additional salary support from the
Fridolin Charitable Trust to the Ronald O. Perelman Department of
Emergency Medicine Safety Program and has received an intramural
departmental innovation grant.
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NR 32
TC 34
Z9 34
U1 0
U2 20
PI NEW YORK
SN 1935-7893
EI 1938-744X
PD JUN
PY 2016
VL 10
IS 3
SI SI
BP 351
EP 361
DI 10.1017/dmp.2015.190
PG 11
(SSCI)
GA DQ3VD
UT WOS:000379130700009
PM 26857616
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Rainear, AM
Lin, CA
AF Rainear, Adam M.
Lin, Carolyn A.
TI Communication Factors Influencing Flood-Risk-Mitigation Motivation and
Intention among College Students
LA English
DT Article
DE Social Science; Extreme events; Flood events; Storm surges; Societal
impacts
ID INFORMATION-SEEKING; FEAR APPEALS; RIVER FLOOD; PERCEPTIONS; RESPONSES;
BEHAVIOR; ADAPTATION; FRAMEWORK; BENEFITS; PEOPLE
AB When attempting to communicate flood risk, trust in and perceptions toward risk
information dissemination as well as individual efficacy factors can play a
significant role in affecting risk-mitigation motivation and intention. This study
seeks to examine how risk communication, risk perception, and efficacy factors
affect evacuation motivation and behavioral intentions in response to a presumed
flood risk, as based on a conceptual framework guided by protection motivation
theory. An online survey was administered to college students (N = 239) from a
region that is subject to sea level rise and storm surges. Path analysis results
indicate that, while less information-source trust predicts greater risk
perception, greater information-source trust predicts greater mitigation-
information-seeking intention, lower self-efficacy, and stronger response efficacy.
As lower mitigation-information-seeking intention similarly predicts greater risk
perception, greater mitigation-information-seeking intention also predicts stronger
response efficacy. Significant predictors of evacuation motivation include lower
risk perception as well as greater information-source trust, severity perception,
and response efficacy. Implications of these findings are discussed in terms of
information dissemination channels, messaging strategies, and recent severe
flooding events.
C1 [Rainear, Adam M.] West Chester Univ Penn, Dept Commun & Media, W Chester, PA
19383 USA.
[Lin, Carolyn A.] Univ Connecticut, Dept Commun, Storrs, CT USA.
C3 University of Connecticut
RP Rainear, AM (corresponding author), West Chester Univ Penn, Dept Commun & Media,
W Chester, PA 19383 USA.
EM arainear@wcupa.edu
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NR 50
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 1
U2 10
PI BOSTON
SN 1948-8327
EI 1948-8335
J9 WEATHER CLIM SOC
PD JAN
PY 2021
VL 13
IS 1
BP 125
EP 135
DI 10.1175/WCAS-D-20-0016.1
PG 11
(SSCI)
GA SY3JS
UT WOS:000665787800010
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Secor, DH
Zhang, F
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Li, M
AF Secor, David H.
Zhang, Fan
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Li, Ming
TI Ocean destratification and fish evacuation caused by a Mid-Atlantic
tropical storm
SO ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE
LA English
DT Article
DE cold pool; destratification; evacuation; hurricane; Mid-Atlantic Bight;
migration; regional ocean model; telemetry
ID BLACK-SEA BASS; COASTAL OCEAN; COLD POOL; BIGHT; MODEL; SHELF;
TEMPERATURE; RECRUITMENT
AB Tropical and extratropical storms commonly occur in the Northwest Atlantic
Ocean, sometimes causing catastrophic losses to coastal fisheries. Still, their
influence on fish movements and range shifts is poorly known. We coupled
biotelemetry observations of black sea bass in the U.S. Mid-Atlantic Bight with
numerical modelling of the coastal ocean to evaluate the influence of Hermine (3-8
September 2016) on cold pool thermal destratification and fish evacuation. Spring
through fall, black sea bass is a sedentary species, with movements focused on
structure where they support important commercial and recreational fisheries.
During summer 2016, we characterized the movements of 45 acoustically tagged black
sea bass at three sites deploying acoustic receivers moored in shelf waters 18-31km
east of Ocean City, Maryland, and at depths 20-32m in the southern Mid-Atlantic
Bight. On 3 September 2016, cyclonic winds of Hermine caused rapid destratification
of the water column. At experimental sites, bottom temperatures rose from 13 to 23
degrees C in 10h. An oceanographic model and observing data showed that the effects
of this destratification dominated large portions of the Mid-Atlantic Bight and had
long term effects on seasonal evolution of the shelf temperature. Nearly half of
remaining black sea bass on 3 September (40%) permanently evacuated the
experimental sites. Those that remained showed long-term depressed activity levels.
Although the cause of this incomplete evacuation is unknown, it exemplifies partial
migration, which may buffer black sea bass to regional impacts of changed timing or
increased incidence of tropical storms.
C1 [Secor, David H.; O'Brien, Michael H. P.] Univ Maryland, Chesapeake Biol Lab,
Ctr Environm Sci, Solomons, MD 20688 USA.
[Zhang, Fan; Li, Ming] Univ Maryland, Horn Point Lab, Ctr Environm Sci,
Cambridge, MD USA.
C3 University System of Maryland; University of Maryland Center for
Environmental Science; University System of Maryland; University of
Maryland Center for Environmental Science
RP Secor, DH (corresponding author), Univ Maryland, Chesapeake Biol Lab, Ctr
Environm Sci, Solomons, MD 20688 USA.
EM secor@cbl.umces.edu
RI O'Brien, Michael HP/ABF-9080-2021; Li, Ming/B-3485-2015; Secor, David
H./D-4367-2012
OI O'Brien, Michael HP/0000-0003-1420-6395; Li, Ming/0000-0003-1492-4127;
Secor, David H./0000-0001-6007-4827; Zhang, Fan/0000-0002-9637-0529
FU Maryland Department of Natural Resources and Maryland Energy
Administration [14-16-2151 MEA]; NOAA [NA13OAR4830233]; Maryland Sea
Grant [NA14OAR4170090]; Maryland Sea Grant Fellowship
FX This study was supported by a grant by Maryland Department of Natural
Resources and Maryland Energy Administration (14-16-2151 MEA) to DHS and
grants from NOAA (NA13OAR4830233) and Maryland Sea Grant
(NA14OAR4170090) to M.L. FZ was supported by a Maryland Sea Grant
Fellowship. Captain D. Stauffer (FV Fin Chaser), A. Horne, R. Brodnick,
and C. Lozano assisted with field work.
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NR 51
TC 23
Z9 23
U1 0
U2 13
PU OXFORD UNIV PRESS
PI OXFORD
PA GREAT CLARENDON ST, OXFORD OX2 6DP, ENGLAND
SN 1054-3139
EI 1095-9289
J9 ICES J MAR SCI
JI ICES J. Mar. Sci.
PD MAR-APR
PY 2019
VL 76
IS 2
BP 573
EP 584
DI 10.1093/icesjms/fsx241
PG 12
WC Fisheries; Marine & Freshwater Biology; Oceanography
SC Fisheries; Marine & Freshwater Biology; Oceanography
GA HU2KJ
UT WOS:000465099500022
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Ji, XH
Fu, SC
AF Ji, Xuehua
Fu, Shaochuan
TI Modeling Multi-Objective Optimization with Updating Information on
Humanitarian Response to Flood Disasters
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE flood disaster; road network; information updates; optimal scheduling;
emergency rescue
ID LOGISTICS NETWORK DESIGN; ROUTING PROBLEM; RELIEF; TIME; EVACUATION;
FACILITIES
AB Unpredictable natural disasters brought by extreme climate change compound
difficulties and cause a variety of systemic risks. It is thus critical to provide
possibilistic scheduling schemes that simultaneously involve emergency evacuation
and relief allocation. But the existing literature seldom takes emergency
evacuation and relief supplies as a joint consideration, nor do they explore the
impact of an unpredictable flood disaster on the scheduling scheme. A multi-stage
stochastic programming model with updating information is constructed in this
study, which considers the uncertainty of supply and demand, road network, and
multiple types of emergency reliefs and vehicles. In addition, a fuzzy algorithm
based on the objective weighting of two-dimensional Euclidean distance is
introduced, through moderating an effect analysis of the fuzzy number.
Computational results show that humanitarian equity for allocating medical supplies
in the fourth period under the medium and heavy flood is about 100%, which has the
same as the value of daily and medical supplies within the first and third period
in the heavy scenarios. Based on verifying the applicability and rationality of the
model and method, the result also presents that the severity of the flood and the
fairness of resources is not a simple cause-and-effect relationship, and the
consideration of survivor is not the only factor for humanitarian rescue with
multi-period. Specifically, paying more attention to a trade-off analysis between
the survival probability, the timeliness, and the fairness of humanitarian service
is essential. The work provides a reasonable scheme for updating information and
responding to sudden natural disasters flexibly and efficiently.
C1 [Ji, Xuehua; Fu, Shaochuan] Beijing Jiaotong Univ, Sch Econ & Management,
C3 Beijing Jiaotong University
RP Ji, XH (corresponding author), Beijing Jiaotong Univ, Sch Econ & Management,
EM 20113037@bjtu.edu.cn
FU Social Science Foundation of Beijing [21JCB091]
FX This study was supported by the Social Science Foundation of Beijing
(21JCB091).
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NR 45
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 3
U2 3
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD JUN 2
PY 2023
VL 15
IS 11
AR 2122
DI 10.3390/w15112122
PG 22
GA I7SW4
UT WOS:001004758000001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Iroume, JYA
Onguene, R
Koffi, FD
Colmet-Daage, A
Stieglitz, T
Sone, WE
Bogning, S
Olinga, JMO
Ntchantcho, R
Ntonga, JC
Braun, JJ
Briquet, JP
Etame, J
AF Iroume, Junior Yves-Audrey
Onguene, Raphael
Koffi, Francis Djanna
Colmet-Daage, Antoine
Stieglitz, Thomas
Sone, Willy Essoh
Bogning, Sakaros
Olinga, Joseph Magloire Olinga
Ntchantcho, Romaric
Ntonga, Jean-Claude
Braun, Jean-Jacques
Briquet, Jean-Pierre
Etame, Jacques
TI The 21st August 2020 Flood in Douala (Cameroon): A Major Urban Flood
Investigated with 2D HEC-RAS Modeling
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE flood hazard assessment; HEC-RAS; hydraulic modeling; Tongo Bassa
watershed; urban floods
ID RIVER; VULNERABILITY; RAINFALL; GIS
AB A major flood event occurred on 21 August 2020 in the densely populated Makepe
Missoke neighborhood in the city of Douala (Cameroon, Africa). Nearly 2210
buildings and 12,376 victims spread over 82 hectares were affected. A 2D HEC-RAS
model is applied to simulate and characterize this event. A cross analysis of flood
depth and flow velocity is used to classify the flood risk and identify areas
exposed from low to high hazard. The simulations provide detailed information on
the flood characteristics (extent, depth, velocity, arrival time, and duration).
The simulated maximum water surface profiles are consistent with the floods marks
with differences ranging from 0.02 m to 0.44 m, indicating a good agreement between
the observed and simulated water levels at the peak flow (NSE = 0.94, Erel = 0.92,
RMSE = 0.21 m). The maximum inundation level is 4.48 m and the flow velocity is
globally low at less than 1 m/s. The average flood arrival time and duration are 5
h and 26 h, respectively, for a threshold height of 0.5 m. These results indicate a
fast mobilization of the major river channel for the evacuation of this flood. The
level of accuracy of the developed model of the 21 August 2020 flood event is
appropriate for flood hazard assessment in the city of Douala and is designed to
find operational application in future events.
C1 [Iroume, Junior Yves-Audrey; Onguene, Raphael; Koffi, Francis Djanna; Etame,
Jacques] Univ Douala, Univ Inst Technol, Technol & Appl Sci Lab, POB 8698, Douala,
Cameroon.
[Iroume, Junior Yves-Audrey; Bogning, Sakaros; Ntchantcho, Romaric; Ntonga,
Jean-Claude] Inst Geol & Min Res, Vogt St,POB 4110, Yaounde, Cameroon.
[Iroume, Junior Yves-Audrey; Onguene, Raphael; Bogning, Sakaros; Braun, Jean-
Jacques] Inst Rech Dev, Lab Mixte Int Dynam Ecosyst Continentaux Afrique, POB 1857,
Yaounde, Cameroon.
[Colmet-Daage, Antoine] Philia Ingn, 193 Ave Jean Rieux, F-31500 Toulouse,
France.
[Stieglitz, Thomas] Aix Marseille Univ, Coll France, CEREGE, CNRS,IRD,INRAE, F-
13100 Aix En Provence, France.
[Sone, Willy Essoh] Univ Douala, Inst Fisheries & Aquat Sci, Ecosyst & Fishery
Resources Lab, POB 2701, Douala, Cameroon.
[Olinga, Joseph Magloire Olinga] Douala Urban Council DUC, POB 1857, Douala,
Cameroon.
[Braun, Jean-Jacques] Univ Toulouse, CNRS, Geosci & Environm, IRD, 14 Ave
Edouard Berlin, F-31400 Toulouse, France.
[Briquet, Jean-Pierre] Univ Montpellier, CNRS, HydroSci Montpellier, IRD, 300 Av
Pr E Jeanbrau, F-34090 Montpellier, France.
C3 Institut de Recherche pour le Developpement (IRD); Centre National de la
Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); INRAE; Institut de Recherche pour le
Developpement (IRD); UDICE-French Research Universities; Aix-Marseille
Universite; Universite PSL; College de France; Centre National de la
Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); Institut de Recherche pour le
Developpement (IRD); Universite de Toulouse; Centre National de la
Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); Institut de Recherche pour le
Developpement (IRD); Universite de Montpellier
RP Iroume, JYA (corresponding author), Univ Douala, Univ Inst Technol, Technol &
Appl Sci Lab, POB 8698, Douala, Cameroon.; Iroume, JYA (corresponding author), Inst
Geol & Min Res, Vogt St,POB 4110, Yaounde, Cameroon.; Iroume, JYA (corresponding
author), Inst Rech Dev, Lab Mixte Int Dynam Ecosyst Continentaux Afrique, POB 1857,
Yaounde, Cameroon.
EM iroumejunior21@outlook.fr; ziongra@yahoo.fr; djannaj@gmail.com;
antoine.colmet-daage@philia-ingenierie.fr; stieglitz@cerege.fr;
pharellwilly2@yahoo.fr; sakarosb@gmail.com; joseph_olinga87@yahoo.fr;
ntchantcho@yahoo.fr; ntonga_jc@yahoo.fr; jbraun1@gmail.com;
jean-pierre.bricquet@ird.fr; etame.jacques@yahoo.fr
RI IROUME, Junior/GPX-2434-2022; Bogning, Sakaros/HCI-0307-2022; BRAUN,
Jean-Jacques/ABI-7098-2020
OI BRAUN, Jean-Jacques/0000-0003-2979-6164; IROUME, JUNIOR YVES -
AUDREY/0000-0003-0561-8478; Stieglitz, Thomas/0000-0002-2946-391X;
Bogning Dongue, Sakaros/0000-0002-9697-6133
FU Interdisciplinary Research Program on Climate and Urban Environment
(PRInCE) [CCM 1362.01K]; French Global Environment Facility (FGEF);
French Development Agency (FDA); Douala City Council (DCC); French
Research Institute for Sustainable Development (IRD); Laboratory of
Technology and Applied Science, University Institute of Technology of
the University of Douala; ANR @RAction chair of excellence medLOC
[ANR-14-ACHN-0007-01-T]; Agence Nationale de la Recherche (ANR)
[ANR-14-ACHN-0007] Funding Source: Agence Nationale de la Recherche
(ANR)
FX This work was carried out with the scientific, technical, and financial
support of the Interdisciplinary Research Program on Climate and Urban
Environment (PRInCE), within the framework of the AFD Convention CCM
1362.01K of the project "Douala, Sustainable City: Sustainable
development and valorization of the Makepe Missoke site", co-funded by
the French Global Environment Facility (FGEF), the French Development
Agency (FDA), and the Douala City Council (DCC). The PRInCE was
conducted under the scientific auspices of the French Research Institute
for Sustainable Development (IRD) and the Laboratory of Technology and
Applied Science, University Institute of Technology of the University of
Douala. However, the DCC, FGEF, and the FDA do not intend to give any
approval or disapproval to the opinions expressed in this paper; these
must be considered as specific to the authors. Additional funding for
equipment (DGPS) was provided by the ANR @RAction chair of excellence
medLOC (ANR-14-ACHN-0007-01-T. Stieglitz).
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NR 87
TC 6
Z9 6
U1 12
U2 18
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD JUN
PY 2022
VL 14
IS 11
AR 1768
DI 10.3390/w14111768
PG 19
GA 2A9ZW
UT WOS:000809855700001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Kim, HI
Han, KY
AF Kim, Hyun Il
Han, Kun Yeun
TI Linking Hydraulic Modeling with a Machine Learning Approach for Extreme
Flood Prediction and Response
SO ATMOSPHERE
LA English
DT Article
DE extreme flooding; DAMBRK; random forest; flood prediction; flood risk
estimation
ID DAM
AB An emergency action plan (EAP) for reservoirs and urban areas downstream of dams
can alleviate damage caused by extreme flooding. An EAP is a disaster action plan
that can designate evacuation paths for vulnerable districts. Generally,
calculation of dam-break discharge in accordance with dam inflow conditions,
calculation of maximum water surface elevation as per hydraulic channel routing,
and flood map generation using topographical data are prepared for the purposes of
creating an EAP. However, rainfall and flood patterns exhibited in the context of
climate change can be extremely diverse. In order to prepare an efficient flood
response, techniques should be considered that are capable of generating flood maps
promptly while taking dam inflow conditions into account. Therefore, this study
aims to propose methodology that is capable of generating flood maps rapidly for
any dam inflow conditions. The proposed methodology was performed by linking a
dynamic numerical analysis model (DAMBRK) with a random forest regression
technique. The previous standard method of drawing flood maps often requires a
significant amount of time depending on accuracy and personnel availability;
however, the technique proposed here is capable of generating a flood map within
one minute. Through use of this methodology, the time taken to prepare flood maps
in large-scale water-disaster situations can be reduced. Moreover, methodology for
estimating flood risk via use of flood mapping has been proposed. This study would
provide assistance in establishing disaster countermeasures that take various flood
scenarios into account by promptly providing flood inundation information to
disaster-related agencies.
C1 [Kim, Hyun Il] Korea Inst Civil Engn & Bldg Technol, 283 Goyangdae Ro, Goyang
10223, South Korea.
[Han, Kun Yeun] Kyungpook Natl Univ, Dept Civil Engn, 80 Daehak Ro, Daegu 41566,
South Korea.
C3 Korea Institute of Civil Engineering & Building Technology (KICT);
Kyungpook National University
RP Han, KY (corresponding author), Kyungpook Natl Univ, Dept Civil Engn, 80 Daehak
Ro, Daegu 41566, South Korea.
EM hyunn228@gmail.com; kshanj@knu.ac.kr
FU Korea Environment Industry & Technology Institute (KEITI) though the
Water Management Research Program - Korea Ministry of Environment (MOE)
[79609]
FX This work was supported by Korea Environment Industry & Technology
Institute (KEITI) though the Water Management Research Program, funded
by Korea Ministry of Environment (MOE) (79609).
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NR 19
TC 4
Z9 4
U1 4
U2 16
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4433
J9 ATMOSPHERE-BASEL
JI Atmosphere
PD SEP
PY 2020
VL 11
IS 9
AR 987
DI 10.3390/atmos11090987
PG 15
GA OI5UJ
UT WOS:000583342900001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU VanDevanter, N
Kovner, CT
Raveis, VH
McCollum, M
Keller, R
AF VanDevanter, Nancy
Kovner, Christine T.
Raveis, Victoria H.
McCollum, Meriel
Keller, Ronald
TI Challenges of Nurses' Deployment to Other New York City Hospitals in the
Aftermath of Hurricane Sandy
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane Sandy nurses' deployment-related practice-based challenges;
Psychological distress; Regional and national disaster response policy
implications
AB On October 29, 2012, a 12-ft storm surge generated by Hurricane Sandy
necessitated evacuation and temporary closure of three New York City hospitals
including NYU Langone Medical Center (NYULMC). NYULMC nurses participated in the
evacuation, and 71 % were subsequently deployed to area hospitals to address
patient surge for periods from a few days up to 2 months when NYULMC reopened. This
mixed methods study explored nurses' experience in the immediate disaster and the
subsequent deployment. More than 50 % of deployed nurse participants reported the
experience to be extremely or very stressful. Deployed nurses encountered practice
challenges related to working in an unfamiliar environment, limited orientation,
legal concerns about clinical assignments. They experienced psychosocial challenges
associated with the intense experience of the evacuation, uncertainty about future
employment, and the increased demands of managing the deployment. Findings provide
data to inform national and regional policies to support nurses in future
deployments.
C1 [VanDevanter, Nancy; Kovner, Christine T.; Raveis, Victoria H.; McCollum,
Meriel; Keller, Ronald] NYU, New York, NY 10012 USA.
C3 New York University
RP VanDevanter, N (corresponding author), NYU, New York, NY 10012 USA.
EM nvd2@nyu.edu
RI Raveis, Victoria/AAU-8250-2020
OI Raveis, Victoria/0000-0001-6063-7669; McCollum,
Meriel/0000-0003-2683-5543; kovner, christine/0000-0001-7983-1066;
Keller, Ronald/0000-0002-9657-4329
FU New York University College of Dentistry Pilot Research Developmental
Award
FX Funding for the study was provided by New York University College of
Dentistry Pilot Research Developmental Award. We are grateful to NYULMC
nurses for sharing their experiences, to Vice President and Chief
Nursing Officer Kimberly Glassman PhD, RN for her support facilitating
access to nurses and for the technical assistance from her staff with
the online survey and to Farida Fatehi for her assistance with data
analysis.
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10.1016/j.dmr.2007.08.001
NR 10
TC 21
Z9 22
U1 0
U2 12
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 1099-3460
EI 1468-2869
J9 J URBAN HEALTH
JI J. Urban Health
PD AUG
PY 2014
VL 91
IS 4
BP 603
EP 614
DI 10.1007/s11524-014-9889-0
PG 12
Internal
(SSCI)
GA AN6AH
UT WOS:000340674900001
PM 25053507
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Nasso, C
Bertagna, S
Mauro, F
Marino, A
Bucci, V
AF Nasso, Carlo
Bertagna, Serena
Mauro, Francesco
Marino, Alberto
Bucci, Vittorio
TI SIMPLIFIED AND ADVANCED APPROACHES FOR EVACUATION ANALYSIS OF PASSENGER
SHIPS IN THE EARLY STAGE OF DESIGN
SO BRODOGRADNJA
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuation analysis; Ship Safety; Safe Return to Port; Passenger ship
AB In order to improve the survival capability of passenger and ro-ro ships in
event of fire or flooding, in the last few years a set of international Regulations
has been issued. In particular, the Regulation SOLAS "Safe Return to Port" is
addressed towards design criteria able to guarantee adequate functionality of the
ship when a casualty occurs. The Regulation requires the evacuation of the ship
when a given threshold of damage (i.e., fire and flood) is exceeded. The evacuation
analysis has become of primary importance even in the early-stage design. Indeed,
the new amendments to SOLAS Regulation II-2/13.3.2.7 makes the evacuation analysis
mandatory for both new and existing passenger and ro-ro ships since the early steps
of the project. In this paper, the current IMO Guidelines have been analysed, and a
case study for the evacuation of a 3600-person cruise ship has been carried out by
means of both a simplified and an advanced method. To perform advanced
calculations, two different software, based on virtual reality, have been used and
the results have been compared with simplified method ones.
C1 [Nasso, Carlo; Bertagna, Serena; Mauro, Francesco; Marino, Alberto; Bucci,
Vittorio] Univ Trieste, Dept Engn & Architecture, Via A Valerio 10, I-34127
Trieste, Italy.
C3 University of Trieste
RP Nasso, C (corresponding author), Univ Trieste, Dept Engn & Architecture, Via A
Valerio 10, I-34127 Trieste, Italy.
EM cnasso@units.it; sbertagna@units.it; fmauro@units.it; marino@units.it;
vbucci@units.it
RI MAURO, Francesco/AAA-6281-2020; Mauro, Francesco/L-8700-2016; Bucci,
Vittorio/L-5509-2016; Bertagna, Serena/M-7900-2018; Mauro,
Francesco/AAZ-6302-2021; MARINO', ALBERTO/L-9211-2015
OI MAURO, Francesco/0000-0003-3471-9411; Mauro,
Francesco/0000-0003-3471-9411; Bucci, Vittorio/0000-0001-5929-8655;
Bertagna, Serena/0000-0002-1100-5048; MARINO',
ALBERTO/0000-0001-9878-2941
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NR 23
TC 13
Z9 14
U1 5
U2 17
PU UNIV ZAGREB FAC MECHANICAL ENGINEERING & NAVAL ARCHITECTURE
PI ZAGREB
PA IVANA LUCICA 5, ZAGREB, 10002, CROATIA
SN 0007-215X
EI 1845-5859
J9 BRODOGRADNJA
JI Brodogradnja
PD SEP
PY 2019
VL 70
IS 3
BP 43
EP 59
DI 10.21278/brod70303
PG 17
WC Engineering, Marine
SC Engineering
GA JB5MF
UT WOS:000488606700003
OA Green Submitted, gold, Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Mirzaei-Zohan, SA
Gheibi, M
Chahkandi, B
Mousavi, S
Khaksar, RY
Behzadian, K
AF Mirzaei-Zohan, Seyed Ali
Gheibi, Mohammad
Chahkandi, Benyamin
Mousavi, SeyedehNiloufar
Khaksar, Reza Yeganeh
Behzadian, Kourosh
TI A new integrated agent-based framework for designing building emergency
evacuation: A BIM approach
LA English
DT Article
DE Agent-based modeling; Building information models; Decision tree;
Emergency evacuation; System safety
AB Today, safety control is considered one of the most important pillars of
building construction processes due to maintaining security in major incidents such
as fire, earthquake, and flood, and placing a basis of mutual trust between
builders and residents for building design and con-struction. The evacuation
process is a key aspect of safety control in case of an emergency such as a fire.
This study develops a new integrated agent-based framework for designing building
emergency evacuation by using Building Information Model (BIM). Three main steps of
the framework include data collection, building model development, and evacuation
simulation with a combination of Revit-MassMotion. The methodology is demonstrated
through its application to a real case of a multi-story commercial building located
in Iran. The building model is simulated through three scenarios with a different
number of floors (i.e., one, two, and three floors). In each scenario, the safety
of evacuation is evaluated for three designs of stairs in the building. The results
show the best performance of the building evacuation in all scenarios can be
achieved when two individual stairs are designed for each floor. Other influential
factors including the maximum density, vision time, and agent count are more
acceptable compared to other design factors. These parameters can also be used to
design a control system by using smart conceptual models based on both decision
tree and auto-work break structure methods.
C1 [Mirzaei-Zohan, Seyed Ali; Khaksar, Reza Yeganeh] Sadjad Univ Technol, Dept
Civil Engn, Mashhad, Iran.
[Gheibi, Mohammad] Assoc Talent Liberty Technol TULTECH, EE-10615 Tallinn,
Estonia.
[Gheibi, Mohammad] Tech Univ Liberec, Inst Nanomat Adv Technol & Innovat,
Studentsk 1402-2, Liberec 46117, Czech Republic.
[Chahkandi, Benyamin] Univ Tehran, Sch Civil Engn, Tehran, Iran.
[Mousavi, SeyedehNiloufar] Tecnol Monterrey, Escuela Ingn & Ciencias, Ave
Eugenio Garza Sada 2501, Monterrey 64849, NL, Mexico.
[Behzadian, Kourosh] Univ West London, Sch Comp & Engn, London W5 5RF, England.
[Behzadian, Kourosh] UCL, Dept Civil Environm & Geomat Engn, Gower St, London
WC1E 6BT, England.
C3 Technical University Liberec; University of Tehran; Tecnologico de
Monterrey; University of London; University College London
RP Khaksar, RY (corresponding author), Sadjad Univ Technol, Dept Civil Engn,
Mashhad, Iran.; Behzadian, K (corresponding author), UCL, Dept Civil Environm &
Geomat Engn, Gower St, London WC1E 6BT, England.
EM alimirzaee1995@gmail.com; mohamadgheibi@ymail.com; beniaminch@gmail.com;
a00829487@exatec.tec.mx; rezayeganeh@sadjad.ac.ir;
kourosh.behzadian@uwl.ac.uk
RI Behzadian, Kourosh/IVU-6500-2023; Behzadian, Kourosh/GXW-2721-2022
OI Behzadian, Kourosh/0000-0002-1459-8408; Gheibi,
Mohammad/0000-0003-1987-5790
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NR 36
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 6
U2 6
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD JUL
PY 2023
VL 93
AR 103753
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.103753
EA MAY 2023
PG 19
Water Resources
GA K0AL3
UT WOS:001013159900001
OA hybrid, Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Sritart, H
Miyazaki, H
Kanbara, S
Hara, T
AF Sritart, Hiranya
Miyazaki, Hiroyuki
Kanbara, Sakiko
Hara, Takashi
TI Methodology and Application of Spatial Vulnerability Assessment for
Evacuation Shelters in Disaster Planning
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE evacuation shelters; spatial distribution; spatial accessibility; GIS;
vulnerability assessment; shelter demand and resources; disaster risk
reduction
ID URBAN EMERGENCY SHELTERS; ODA RIVER; POPULATION; ACCESSIBILITY; DESIGN;
JAPAN
AB Evacuation shelters are the most important means for safeguarding people in
hazardous areas and situations, and thus minimizing losses, particularly those due
to a disaster. Therefore, evacuation shelter assignment and evacuation planning are
some of the critical factors for reducing vulnerability and increasing resilience
in disaster risk reduction. However, an imbalance of shelter distribution and
spatial heterogeneity of a population are the critical issues limiting the
accessibility of evacuation shelters in real situations. In this study, we propose
a methodology for spatial assessment to reduce vulnerability and evaluate the
spatial distribution of both shelter demand and resources, considering spatial
accessibility. The method was applied to the case study of Mabi, in the context of
a disaster caused by the 2018 flooding. We applied this approach to evaluate the
area and identified the vulnerability of the evacuation shelters and the residents.
The proposed method revealed that 54.55% of the designated evacuation shelters and
59% of the total population were physically vulnerable to the flood. The results
highlight, using GIS maps, that the total shelter capacity was significantly
decreased to 43.86%. The outcome assessment addressed specific vulnerable shelters
and the imbalance between the demand for and resources of each shelter.
Accordingly, this study provides practical information and a valuable reference for
supporting local governments and stakeholders to improve future disaster planning,
prevention, and preparedness.
C1 [Sritart, Hiranya; Miyazaki, Hiroyuki] Asian Inst Technol, Sch Engn & Technol,
Dept Informat & Commun Technol, Post Box 4, Pathum Thani 12120, Thailand.
[Miyazaki, Hiroyuki] Univ Tokyo, Ctr Spatial Informat Sci, Chiba 2778568, Japan.
[Kanbara, Sakiko] Kochi Univ, Fac Nursing, Ike Kochi 2751-1, Kochi, Japan.
[Hara, Takashi] Data Cradle, 1-7-2 Achi, Kurashiki, Okayama 7100055, Japan.
C3 Asian Institute of Technology; University of Tokyo; Kochi University
RP Sritart, H (corresponding author), Asian Inst Technol, Sch Engn & Technol, Dept
Informat & Commun Technol, Post Box 4, Pathum Thani 12120, Thailand.
EM st119886@ait.asia; miyazaki@ait.asia; kanbara@cc.u-kochi.ac.jp;
iknow@d-cradle.or.jp
RI Kanbara, Sakiko/GSO-0260-2022; Miyazaki, Hiroyuki/H-6919-2012
OI Miyazaki, Hiroyuki/0000-0001-7262-4566; Kanbara,
Sakiko/0000-0003-1274-1685; Sritart, Hiranya/0000-0003-2617-647X
FU JSPS KAKENHI [18K19695]; Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research
[18K19695] Funding Source: KAKEN
FX The research leading to these results has received funding from JSPS
KAKENHI, grant number 18K19695.
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NR 63
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 11
U2 33
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
JI Sustainability
PD SEP
PY 2020
VL 12
IS 18
AR 7355
DI 10.3390/su12187355
PG 22
(SSCI)
GA OJ9XL
UT WOS:000584307000001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Koks, EE
Jongman, B
Husby, TG
Botzen, WJW
AF Koks, E. E.
Jongman, B.
Husby, T. G.
Botzen, W. J. W.
TI Combining hazard, exposure and social vulnerability to provide lessons
for flood risk management
SO ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & POLICY
LA English
DT Article
DE Flooding; Social vulnerability; Flood risk management; Risk financing
ID SEA-LEVEL RISE; COASTAL COMMUNITIES; CLIMATE-CHANGE; DISASTER;
ADAPTATION; IMPACTS; PEOPLE; COUNTY
AB Flood risk assessments provide inputs for the evaluation of flood risk
management (FRM) strategies. Traditionally, such risk assessments provide estimates
of loss of life and economic damage. However, the effect of policy measures aimed
at reducing risk also depends on the capacity of households to adapt and respond to
floods, which in turn largely depends on their social vulnerability. This study
shows how a joint assessment of hazard, exposure and social vulnerability provides
valuable information for the evaluation of FRM strategies. The adopted Methodology
uses data on hazard and exposure combined with a social vulnerability index. The
relevance of this state-of-the-art approach taken is exemplified in a case-study of
Rotterdam, the Netherlands. The results show that not only a substantial share of
the population can be defined as socially vulnerable, but also that the population
is very heterogeneous, which is often ignored in traditional flood risk management
studies. It is concluded that FRM measures, such as individual mitigation,
evacuation or flood insurance coverage should not be applied homogenously across
large areas, but instead should be tailored to local characteristics based on the
socioeconomic characteristits of individual households and neighborhoods. (C) 2014
Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
C1 [Koks, E. E.; Jongman, B.; Husby, T. G.; Botzen, W. J. W.] Vrije Univ Amsterdam,
Inst Environm Studies IVM, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
C3 Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
RP Koks, EE (corresponding author), Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Inst Environm Studies
IVM, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
EM elco.koks@vu.nl
RI Koks, Elco/ABE-7946-2020; Botzen, Willem Jan Wouter/L-3123-2013;
Jongman, Brenden/G-4822-2015
OI Koks, Elco/0000-0002-4953-4527; Botzen, Willem Jan
Wouter/0000-0002-8563-4963; Jongman, Brenden/0000-0002-3361-2498
FU EU FP7 TURAS project [282834]; European Commission through the ENHANCE
project [308438]
FX The research was conducted as part of the Climate Proof Flood Risk
Management and Decision Support Tools themes within the Knowledge for
Climate programme; supported by the EU FP7 TURAS project (Grant
Agreement No. 282834); and part of this research was funded by the
European Commission through the ENHANCE project (Grant Agreement No.
308438).
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(SSCI)
GA CB4EQ
UT WOS:000349581400005
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Clay, PM
Colburn, LL
Seara, T
AF Clay, Patricia M.
Colburn, Lisa L.
Seara, Tarsila
TI Social bonds and recovery: An analysis of Hurricane Sandy in the first
year after landfall
SO MARINE POLICY
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane Sandy; Social bonds; Bonding social capital; Fishing
communities
ID SMALL-SCALE FISHERMEN; NEW-ORLEANS; NEW-ENGLAND; MANAGEMENT; COMMUNITY;
VULNERABILITY; MISSISSIPPI; POLICY; INCOME; PLACE
AB Hurricane Sandy was one of the most devastating, hurricanes to hit US shores.
The brunt of the impact was felt in New York and New Jersey, especially among
coastal towns such as fishing communities. A survey of these two states assessed
social and economic impacts to 958 commercial and recreational fishermen and
fishing-related business owners 12 months post-storm. Many businesses and
communities were still struggling, due to heavy infrastructure damages and revenue
losses with low insurance coverage, but also to disrupted fishing patterns for some
species. Social bonds were credited by many as a key aid to recovery. Social bonds
(sometimes called bonding social capital) have been shown to be critical for
evacuation and recovery in other disasters. However, few studies examine social
bonds and disasters within the context of fisheries. This paper expands upon that
topic. Published by Elsevier Ltd.
C1 [Clay, Patricia M.] NOAA Fisheries, Northeast Fisheries Sci Ctr, Social Sci
Branch, F-ST5,Sta 12424,1315 East West Highway, Silver Spring, MD 20910 USA.
[Colburn, Lisa L.] NOAA Fisheries, Northeast Fisheries Sci Ctr, Social Sci
Branch, 28 Tarzwell Dr, Narragansett, RI 02882 USA.
[Seara, Tarsila] Univ New Haven, Dept Biol & Environm Sci, 300 Boston Post Rd,
West Haven, CT 06516 USA.
C3 National Oceanic Atmospheric Admin (NOAA) - USA; National Oceanic
Atmospheric Admin (NOAA) - USA; University New Haven
RP Clay, PM (corresponding author), NOAA Fisheries, Northeast Fisheries Sci Ctr,
Social Sci Branch, F-ST5,Sta 12424,1315 East West Highway, Silver Spring, MD 20910
USA.
EM Patricia.M.Clay@noaa.gov; Lisa.L.Colburn@noaa.gov; TSeara@newhaven.edu
RI Clay, Patricia M./I-4406-2019; Seara, Tarsila/AAJ-6229-2020
OI Clay, Patricia M./0000-0001-5923-4133;
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NR 93
TC 17
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U1 1
U2 33
PU ELSEVIER SCI LTD
PI OXFORD
SN 0308-597X
EI 1872-9460
J9 MAR POLICY
JI Mar. Pol.
PD DEC
PY 2016
VL 74
BP 334
EP 340
DI 10.1016/j.marpol.2016.04.049
PG 7
WC Environmental Studies; International Relations
SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology; International Relations
GA EF7EY
UT WOS:000390494100040
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Watts, J
Morss, RE
Barton, CM
Demuth, JL
AF Watts, Joshua
Morss, Rebecca E.
Barton, C. Michael
Demuth, Julie L.
TI Conceptualizing and implementing an agent-based model of information
flow and decision making during hurricane threats
SO ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricanes; Evacuation decisions; Agent-based modeling; Natural hazards;
Information networks; Risk communication
ID RISK COMMUNICATION; EVACUATION DECISIONS; SOCIAL NETWORKS; MENTAL
MODELS; LAND-USE; SIMULATION; RESPONSES; SYSTEMS; HETEROGENEITY;
PERCEPTION
AB This article introduces an agent-based modeling laboratory for investigating how
evolving hazard information, propagated through forecaster, media, public official,
and peer information networks, affects patterns of public protective-action
decisions during hurricane threats. The model, called CHIME ABM, provides a
platform for integrating atmospheric science, social science, and computer and
information science knowledge and data to explore the complex socio-ecological
dynamics of modern hazard information and decision systems from a new perspective.
First, the model's interdisciplinary conceptualization and implementation is
described. Results are then presented from experiments demonstrating the model's
behaviors and comparing patterns of evacuation decisions when key agent parameters
and the geographical population distribution, forecast skill, and storm are varied.
The article illustrates how this type of theoretically and empirically informed
digital laboratory can be used to develop new insights into the interactions among
environmental hazards, information flow, protective decisions, and societal
outcomes.
C1 [Watts, Joshua; Barton, C. Michael] Arizona State Univ, Ctr Social Dynam &
Complex, Tempe, AZ USA.
[Morss, Rebecca E.; Demuth, Julie L.] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Mesoscale &
Microscale Meteorol Lab, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA.
C3 Arizona State University; Arizona State University-Tempe; National
Center Atmospheric Research (NCAR) - USA
RP Morss, RE (corresponding author), Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Mesoscale & Microscale
Meteorol Lab, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA.
EM morss@ucar.edu
RI Barton, C Michael/IUM-2529-2023
OI Barton, C Michael/0000-0003-2561-1927
FU National Science Foundation [AGS 1331490]
FX The authors acknowledge Sean Bergin, Wendy Cegielski, Nicholas Gauthier,
and Grant Snitker for their assistance with the development and testing
of the agent-based model. We also thank our collaborators on the larger
project, especially Heather Lazrus, Olga Wilhelmi, Christopher Davis,
Kathryn Fossell, David Ahijevych, Chris Snyder, Leysia Palen, and
Kenneth Anderson, for their contributions to this research. The work
reported here was supported by National Science Foundation award AGS
1331490. The National Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by
the National Science Foundation.
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NR 83
TC 19
Z9 20
U1 4
U2 30
PU ELSEVIER SCI LTD
PI OXFORD
SN 1364-8152
EI 1873-6726
J9 ENVIRON MODELL SOFTW
JI Environ. Modell. Softw.
PD DEC
PY 2019
VL 122
AR 104524
DI 10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.104524
PG 20
WC Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications; Engineering,
Environmental; Environmental Sciences; Water Resources
(SSCI)
Resources
GA JP1XC
UT WOS:000498063900014
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Suzuki, T
Watanabe, T
Okuyama, S
AF Suzuki, Takeyasu
Watanabe, Takanori
Okuyama, Shin'ichiro
TI Facilitating Community Risk Communication for Wide-Area Evacuation
during Large-Scale Floods
LA English
DT Article
DE risk communications; CAUSE model; BECAUSE model; wide-area evacuation;
expected maximum rainfall; community disaster management plan; flood;
role of stakeholders
AB Large-scale floods have been occurring more frequently in Japan as a result of
current global weather anomalies, yet evacuation procedures face several issues.
These include low evacuation rates of citizens, wide-area evacuation by car, and
residents who cannot evacuate on their own. For example, in the Kofu Basin,
Yamanashi Prefecture, due to the size of the potential inundation area and a
population that exceeds 300,000 people spread across 10 municipalities, a large
number of residents would have to evacuate across municipal boundaries by car. The
author proposed and applied a risk communication method to the Riverside District,
Chuo City (with about 1400 households and a population of about 4000), assisting in
developing a community disaster management plan for wide-area evacuation without a
single victim in case of floods, which has been in place for three years. The next
step was risk communication to key stakeholders, such as national, prefectural, and
municipal governments. Finally, a public symposium on large-scale evacuation in the
Kofu Basin was held. During the panel discussion with representatives of the Kofu
River and National Road Office, prefectural government of Yamanashi, the
municipality, community residents, and the author as panelists, the role of each
stakeholder in area-wide evacuation was clarified and confirmed.
C1 [Suzuki, Takeyasu] Univ Yamanashi, Disaster & Environm Sustainable Adm Res Ctr,
Kofu, Yamanashi 4008511, Japan.
[Watanabe, Takanori] Sanpoh Co Ltd, Kai, Yamanashi 4000111, Japan.
[Okuyama, Shin'ichiro] Univ Yamanashi, Integrated Grad Sch Med Engn & Agr Sci,
Civil & Environm Engn Course, Kofu, Yamanashi 4008511, Japan.
C3 University of Yamanashi; University of Yamanashi
RP Suzuki, T (corresponding author), Univ Yamanashi, Disaster & Environm
Sustainable Adm Res Ctr, Kofu, Yamanashi 4008511, Japan.
EM takeyasu@yamanashi.ac.jp
FU River Sabo R D System
FX This research was funded by the River Sabo R & D System and implemented
by the commission of MLIT, Japan.
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Suzuki T., 2014, WISDOM TECHNIQUE MEC, P154
Suzuki T., 2016, P DISASTER INFORM ST, V14, P105
Suzuki T., 2015, CITY PLAN REV, V64, P64
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Suzuki T, 2012, AM J CARDIOL, V109, P122, DOI 10.1016/j.amjcard.2011.08.012
NR 14
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 1
U2 6
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 1660-4601
PD JUL 2
PY 2019
VL 16
IS 14
AR 2466
DI 10.3390/ijerph16142466
PG 17
(SSCI)
Health
GA IQ3NV
UT WOS:000480659300020
PM 31373328
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Rahman, M
Chen, NS
Islam, MM
Dewan, A
Pourghasemi, HR
Washakh, RMA
Nepal, N
Tian, SF
Faiz, H
Alam, M
Ahmed, N
AF Rahman, Mahfuzur
Chen, Ningsheng
Islam, Md Monirul
Dewan, Ashraf
Pourghasemi, Hamid Reza
Washakh, Rana Muhammad Ali
Nepal, Nirdesh
Tian, Shufeng
Faiz, Hamid
Alam, Mehtab
Ahmed, Naveed
TI Location-allocation modeling for emergency evacuation planning with GIS
and remote sensing: A case study of Northeast Bangladesh
SO GEOSCIENCE FRONTIERS
LA English
DT Article
DE Natural disasters; Emergency evacuation centers; Flooding; Machine
learning; Multi-criteria decision making; Location-allocation model
ID MULTICRITERIA DECISION-MAKING; SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINE; FLOOD HAZARD;
CLIMATE-CHANGE; SUSCEPTIBILITY; AREA; VULNERABILITY; WEIGHTS
AB This work developed models to identify optimal spatial distribution of emergency
evacuation centers (EECs) such as schools, colleges, hospitals, and fire stations
to improve flood emergency planning in the Sylhet region of northeastern
Bangladesh. The use of location-allocation models (LAMs) for evacuation in regard
to flood victims is essential to minimize disaster risk. In the first step, flood
susceptibility maps were developed using machine learning models (MLMs), including:
Levenberg-Marquardt back propagation (LM-BP) neural network and decision trees (DT)
and multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) method. Performance of the MLMs and MCDM
techniques were assessed considering the area under the receiver operating
characteristic (AUROC) curve. Mathematical approaches in a geographic information
system(GIS) for four well-known LAM problems affecting emergency rescue time are
proposed: maximal covering location problem (MCLP), the maximize attendance (MA),
p-median problem (PMP), and the location set covering problem(LSCP). The results
showed that existing EECs were not optimally distributed, and that some areas were
not adequately served by EECs (i.e., not all demand points could be reached within
a 60-min travel time). We concluded that the proposed models can be used to improve
planning of the distribution of EECs, and that application of the models could
contribute to reducing human casualties, property losses, and improve emergency
operation. (C) 2021 ChinaUniversity of Geosciences (Beijing) and Peking University.
Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V.
C1 [Rahman, Mahfuzur; Chen, Ningsheng; Tian, Shufeng; Faiz, Hamid; Alam, Mehtab]
Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mt Hazards & Environm IMHE, Key Lab Mt Hazards & Earth
Surface Proc, Chengdu 610041, Peoples R China.
[Rahman, Mahfuzur; Chen, Ningsheng; Tian, Shufeng; Faiz, Hamid; Alam, Mehtab;
Ahmed, Naveed] Univ Chinese Acad Sci UCAS, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China.
[Rahman, Mahfuzur; Islam, Md Monirul] Int Univ Business Agr & Technol IUBAT,
Dept Civil Engn, Dhaka 1230, Bangladesh.
[Dewan, Ashraf] Curtin Univ, Sch Earth & Planetary Sci, Kent St, Bentley, WA
6102, Australia.
[Pourghasemi, Hamid Reza] Shiraz Univ, Coll Agr, Dept Nat Resources & Environm
Engn, Shiraz, Iran.
[Washakh, Rana Muhammad Ali] Neijiang Normal Univ, Sch Architecture, Neijiang
[Washakh, Rana Muhammad Ali] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Beijing
[Nepal, Nirdesh] Global Inst Interdisciplinary Studies, Kathmandu 3084, Nepal.
C3 Chinese Academy of Sciences; Institute of Mountain Hazards &
Environment, CAS; Chinese Academy of Sciences; University of Chinese
Academy of Sciences, CAS; International University of Business
Agriculture & Technology (IUBAT); Curtin University; Shiraz University;
Neijiang Normal University; Chinese Academy of Sciences; Institute of
Tibetan Plateau Research, CAS
RP Chen, NS (corresponding author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mt Hazards & Environm
IMHE, Key Lab Mt Hazards & Earth Surface Proc, Chengdu 610041, Peoples R China.;
Chen, NS (corresponding author), Univ Chinese Acad Sci UCAS, Beijing 100049,
Peoples R China.
EM chennsh@imde.ac.cn
RI Dewan, Ashraf/O-2191-2015; Alam, Mehtab/AAC-6895-2022; Islam,
Monirul/AAT-2083-2021; Nepal, Nirdesh/AIF-4605-2022; Rahman,
Mahfuzur/AAB-2860-2021; Pourghasemi, Hamid Reza/G-9926-2014
OI Dewan, Ashraf/0000-0001-5594-5464; Alam, Mehtab/0000-0003-2099-7103;
Rahman, Mahfuzur/0000-0001-8402-156X; Pourghasemi, Hamid
Reza/0000-0003-2328-2998; Tian, Shufeng/0000-0002-9385-0746
135 Strategic Programof the Institute of Mountain Hazards and
Environment (IMHE), Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) [SDS-135-1705]
FX This study is based on a PhD thesis by first author: Mahfuzur Rahman,
which is supervised by Professor Ningsheng Chen. The authors acknowledge
and appreciate the provision of rainfall and water level data by the
Bangladesh Water Development Board (BWDB), without which this study
would not have been possible. Authors would like to thank the handling
editor for his editorial comments and anonymous reviewers for their
careful review of the original manuscript and their valuable suggestions
which helped us to improve the manuscript. This research was funded by
the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41861134008
and 41671112) and the 135 Strategic Programof the Institute
ofMountainHazards and Environment (IMHE), Chinese Academy of Sciences
(CAS) (Grant No. SDS-135-1705).
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PY 2021
VL 12
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AR 101095
DI 10.1016/j.gsf.2020.09.022
PG 17
(SSCI)
SC Geology
GA RH8LS
UT WOS:000636463500013
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Shultz, JM
Kossin, JP
Hertelendy, A
Burkle, F
Fugate, C
Sherman, R
Bakalar, J
Berg, K
Maggioni, A
Espinel, Z
Sands, DE
LaRocque, RC
Salas, RN
Galea, S
AF Shultz, James M.
Kossin, James P.
Hertelendy, Attila
Burkle, Fredrick, Jr.
Fugate, Craig
Sherman, Ronald
Bakalar, Johnna
Berg, Kim
Maggioni, Alessandra
Espinel, Zelde
Sands, Duane E.
LaRocque, Regina C.
Salas, Renee N.
Galea, Sandro
TI Mitigating the Twin Threats of Climate-Driven Atlantic Hurricanes and
COVID-19 Transmission
LA English
DT Article
DE climate change; climate drivers; COVID-19; evacuation; hurricane;
mitigation; pandemic; sheltering
ID HEALTH; CHALLENGES; EVACUATION; DISEASE
AB The co-occurrence of the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season and the ongoing
coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic creates complex dilemmas for
protecting populations from these intersecting threats. Climate change is likely
contributing to stronger, wetter, slower-moving, and more dangerous hurricanes.
Climate-driven hazards underscore the imperative for timely warning, evacuation,
and sheltering of storm-threatened populations - proven life-saving protective
measures that gather evacuees together inside durable, enclosed spaces when a
hurricane approaches. Meanwhile, the rapid acquisition of scientific knowledge
regarding how COVID-19 spreads has guided mass anti-contagion strategies, including
lockdowns, sheltering at home, physical distancing, donning personal protective
equipment, conscientious handwashing, and hygiene practices. These life-saving
strategies, credited with preventing millions of COVID-19 cases, separate and move
people apart. Enforcement coupled with fear of contracting COVID-19 have motivated
high levels of adherence to these stringent regulations. How will populations react
when warned to shelter from an oncoming Atlantic hurricane while COVID-19 is
actively circulating in the community? Emergency managers, health care providers,
and public health preparedness professionals must create viable solutions to
confront these potential scenarios: elevated rates of hurricane-related injury and
mortality among persons who refuse to evacuate due to fear of COVID-19, and the
resurgence of COVID-19 cases among hurricane evacuees who shelter together.
C1 [Shultz, James M.] Univ Miami, Miller Sch Med, Dept Publ Hlth Sci, Ctr Disaster
& Extreme Event Preparedness DEEP Ct, Miami, FL 33136 USA.
[Kossin, James P.] NOAA, Natl Ctr Environm Informat NCEI, Ctr Weather & Climate,
Madison, WI USA.
[Hertelendy, Attila] Florida Int Univ, Coll Business, Dept Informat Syst &
Business Analyt, Miami, FL 33199 USA.
[Burkle, Fredrick, Jr.] Harvard Univ, Harvard TH Chan Sch Publ Hlth, Harvard
Humanitarian Initiat, Boston, MA 02115 USA.
[Burkle, Fredrick, Jr.] Woodrow Wilson Int Ctr Scholars, Washington, DC USA.
[Fugate, Craig] Craig Fugate Consulting LLC, FEMA, Gainesville, FL USA.
[Sherman, Ronald] FEMA, River Forest, IL USA.
[Bakalar, Johnna; Maggioni, Alessandra] Univ Miami, Miller Sch Med, Dept Publ
Hlth Sci, Miami, FL 33136 USA.
[Berg, Kim] Johns Hopkins Bloomberg Sch Publ Hlth, Baltimore, MD USA.
[Espinel, Zelde] Univ Miami, Miller Sch Med, Dept Psychiat & Behav Sci,
Sylvester Comprehens Canc Ctr, Miami, FL 33136 USA.
[Sands, Duane E.] Minist Hlth, Nassau, New Providence, Bahamas.
[LaRocque, Regina C.] Harvard Med Sch, Massachusetts Gen Hosp, Div Infect Dis,
Boston, MA 02115 USA.
[Salas, Renee N.] Harvard Med Sch, Massachusetts Gen Hosp, Dept Emergency Med,
[Salas, Renee N.] Harvard TH Chan Sch Publ Hlth, Harvard Global Hlth Inst, Ctr
Climate Hlth & Global Environm, Boston, MA USA.
[Galea, Sandro] Boston Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Boston, MA USA.
C3 University of Miami; National Oceanic Atmospheric Admin (NOAA) - USA;
State University System of Florida; Florida International University;
Harvard University; Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health;
University of Miami; Johns Hopkins University; Johns Hopkins Bloomberg
School of Public Health; University of Miami; Harvard University;
Harvard Medical School; Massachusetts General Hospital; Harvard
University; Harvard Medical School; Massachusetts General Hospital;
Harvard University; Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Boston
University
RP Shultz, JM (corresponding author), Univ Miami, Miller Sch Med, Dept Publ Hlth
Sci, Ctr Disaster & Extreme Event Preparedness DEEP Ct, Miami, FL 33136 USA.
EM jshultz1@med.miami.edu
RI Galea, Sandro/GLR-6066-2022; Kossin, James/C-2022-2016
OI Kossin, James/0000-0003-0461-9794; Shultz, James/0000-0003-3279-5533;
Burkle, Frederick/0000-0002-5110-7284
CR American Red Cross, 2020, COVID 19 NONC SHELT
American Red Cross, 2020, FEED COVID 19 CONGR
American Red Cross, 2020, PREL CONGR SHELT OP
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NR 68
TC 24
Z9 24
U1 1
U2 14
PI NEW YORK
SN 1935-7893
EI 1938-744X
PD AUG
PY 2020
VL 14
IS 4
BP 494
EP 503
AR PII S1935789320002438
DI 10.1017/dmp.2020.243
PG 10
(SSCI)
GA PH4ZP
UT WOS:000600423000035
PM 32660664
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Ploran, EJ
Trasciatti, MA
Farmer, EC
AF Ploran, Elisabeth J.
Trasciatti, Mary Anne
Farmer, E. Christa
TI Efficacy and authority of the message sender during emergency
evacuations: a mixed methods study
SO JOURNAL OF APPLIED COMMUNICATION RESEARCH
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuation communication; coastal storm; Superstorm Sandy; authority
ID ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON; RISK PERCEPTION; DECISION-MAKING;
COMMUNICATION; INFORMATION; RESIDENTS; RESPONSES; FORECAST; BEHAVIOR;
REAL
AB To understand why coastal residents do not always evacuate before storms, a pair
of studies analyzed evacuation decision-making among residents of Long Beach, NY
and surrounding municipalities on Long Island, NY via a mixed methodology approach.
First, residents who lived in Long Beach, NY during Superstorm' (hurricane turned
post-tropical cyclone) Sandy in October 2012 were interviewed about their
evacuation decision. Second, 34 pre-storm messages were developed and administered
to residents of the same area: faced with a hypothetical oncoming hurricane,
respondents indicated after each message whether they would evacuate. In the
interviews, residents spoke more about friends and family than traditional
authority figures; survey results, however, imply that residents are more likely to
evacuate given messages from traditional authority figures. This can be resolved
with the Elaboration Likelihood Model of persuasion, which suggests that motivation
and emotional state influence information processing. Implications for actual
emergency message formation are discussed.
C1 [Ploran, Elisabeth J.] Hofstra Univ, Dept Psychol, Hempstead, NY 11550 USA.
[Trasciatti, Mary Anne] Hofstra Univ, Dept Rhetor & Publ Advocacy, Hempstead, NY
11550 USA.
[Farmer, E. Christa] Hofstra Univ, Dept Geol Environm & Sustainabil, Hempstead,
NY 11550 USA.
C3 Hofstra University; Hofstra University; Hofstra University
RP Ploran, EJ (corresponding author), Hofstra Univ, Dept Psychol, Hempstead, NY
11550 USA.
EM psyejp@hofstra.edu
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NR 48
TC 7
Z9 7
U1 1
U2 5
PI ABINGDON
SN 0090-9882
EI 1479-5752
J9 J APPL COMMUN RES
JI J. Appl. Commun. Res.
PY 2018
VL 46
IS 3
BP 291
EP 322
DI 10.1080/00909882.2018.1464659
PG 32
WC Communication
SC Communication
GA GH9GN
UT WOS:000433977600002
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Lindell, MK
Arlikatti, S
Huang, SK
AF Lindell, Michael K.
Arlikatti, Sudha
Huang, Shih-Kai
TI Immediate behavioral response to the June 17, 2013 flash floods in
Uttarakhand, North India
LA English
DT Article
DE Flash flood; Warning; Evacuation; Psychological reactions; India
ID RISK PERCEPTION; MENTAL MODELS; WARNINGS; EVACUATION; DISASTER; TSUNAMI;
COMMUNICATION; EARTHQUAKE; BELIEFS; HAZARD
AB The 2013 Uttarakhand flash flood was such a surprise for those at risk that the
predominant source of information for their risk was environmental cues and,
secondarily, peer warnings rather than official warnings. Of those who received
warnings, few received information other than the identity of the flood threat. A
survey of 316 survivors found that most people's first response was to immediately
evacuate but some stayed to receive additional information, confirm their warnings,
or engage in evacuation preparations. Unfortunately, engaging in these milling
behaviors necessarily delayed their final evacuations. Mediation analysis revealed
that psychological reactions mediated the relationship between information sources
and behavioral responses. Further analyses revealed that immediate evacuation and
evacuation delay were both predicted best by information search and positive
affect, but correlation analyses indicated that a number of other models were also
plausible. Final evacuation was best predicted by immediate evacuation and, to a
significantly lesser extent, household together. Overall, results suggest that the
Protective Action Decision Model (PADM) should be considered a useful framework for
examining household responses to flash floods in developing countries like India.
It supports the conclusion that a household's first warning source is a function of
two distinct detection and dissemination systems within a community-an official
system and an informal system. However, it fails to capture what pre-impact
emergency preparedness entails for rapid onset events in a developing country
context. Further research is needed to determine the relative importance of
situational and cultural characteristics in producing these observed differences.
C1 [Lindell, Michael K.] Univ Washington, Dept Urban Design & Planning, Box 355740,
[Arlikatti, Sudha] Rabdan Acad, Business Continu Management & Integrated
Emergenc, Fac Resilience, Abu Dhabi, U Arab Emirates.
[Huang, Shih-Kai] Jacksonville State Univ, Dept Emergency Management,
Jacksonville, AL 36265 USA.
C3 University of Washington; University of Washington Seattle; Jacksonville
State University
RP Lindell, MK (corresponding author), Univ Washington, Dept Urban Design &
Planning, Box 355740, Seattle, WA 98195 USA.
EM mlindell@uw.edu; sarlikatti@ra.ac.ae; shuang@jsu.edu
OI Arlikatti, Sudha/0000-0002-1214-1500; Huang,
Shih-Kai/0000-0001-6001-0049
FU National Science Foundation [IMEE-11361323, CMMI-1760766]
FX This article is based on work supported by the National Science
Foundation under grants IMEE-11361323 and CMMI-1760766. Any opinions,
findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material
are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the
National Science Foundation.
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NR 96
TC 45
Z9 45
U1 9
U2 43
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD MAR
PY 2019
VL 34
BP 129
EP 146
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2018.11.011
PG 18
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA HN2RJ
UT WOS:000460032200013
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Juan, A
Fang, Z
Bedient, PB
AF Juan, Andrew
Fang, Zheng
Bedient, Philip B.
TI Developing a Radar-Based Flood Alert System for Sugar Land, Texas
SO JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGIC ENGINEERING
LA English
DT Article
DE Radar; Flood forecasting; Hydrologic models; Hydraulic models; Mapping
ID NEXRAD RAINFALL; MAP
AB In recent years, there have been an increasing number of watersheds that relied
on weather radars to provide accurate precipitation information for flood warning
purposes. The major impetus for using a radar-based flood warning system is the
increased flood warning lead time because of its wider spatial and temporal
coverage when compared with rain and stream gauges alone. This paper presents a
framework for a radar-based flood alert system (FAS) for the Oyster Creek Watershed
to aid the City of Sugar Land in flood forecasting. Precipitation from two actual
storm events in 2009 and 2010 were processed in the hydrologic model Hydrologic
Engineering Center-hydrologic modeling system (HEC-HMS) to obtain storm
hydrographs. After model calibration, the simulated peak flows were then inputted
into the hydraulic model, Hydrologic Engineering Center river analysis system (HEC-
RAS), to produce water surface elevations. The study includes two flood warning
features of Sugar Land's FAS: the flood plain map library (FPML) and the flood
warning indicator (FWI). The FPML has the capability of portraying inundation
levels in real time by displaying predelineated floodplain maps that best represent
the current condition during storm events, whereas FWI could serve as a first line
of defense by delineating specific areas with potential flooding problems within a
watershed by using calibrated radar rainfall data. Both features aim to help city
officials and emergency personnel plan for flood monitoring, evacuation planning,
and traffic routing. (C) 2015 American Society of Civil Engineers.
C1 [Juan, Andrew; Bedient, Philip B.] Rice Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 6100
Main St MS-317, Houston, TX 77005 USA.
[Fang, Zheng] Univ Texas Arlington, Dept Civil Engn, POB 19308,416 Yate St,
Arlington, TX 76019 USA.
C3 Rice University; University of Texas System; University of Texas
Arlington
RP Fang, Z (corresponding author), Univ Texas Arlington, Dept Civil Engn, POB
19308,416 Yate St, Arlington, TX 76019 USA.
EM andrew.juan@rice.edu; nickfang@uta.edu; bedient@rice.edu
CR [Anonymous], ARCGIS 10 0 COMP SOF
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NR 33
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 0
U2 24
PI RESTON
SN 1084-0699
EI 1943-5584
J9 J HYDROL ENG
JI J. Hydrol. Eng.
PD MAY
PY 2017
VL 22
IS 5
SI SI
AR E5015001
DI 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0001194
PG 11
WC Engineering, Civil; Environmental Sciences; Water Resources
GA ER1IX
UT WOS:000398544700001
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Tang, Y
Zhou, TZ
Zhong, YX
Hu, SB
Lin, J
Lin, ZY
Liu, HW
Liu, BH
Zhao, YL
Wang, YX
Lin, H
AF Tang, Yi
Zhou, Tianzhong
Zhong, Youxin
Hu, Shengbin
Lin, Jing
Lin, Zhiyu
Liu, Hongwei
Liu, Baohua
Zhao, Yanlin
Wang, Yixian
Lin, Hang
TI Risk Assessment for Critical Flood Height of Pedestrian Escape in Subway
Station
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE Monte Carlo method; 3D simulation; maximum pedestrian capacity; minimum
speed of safe escape; critical escape flood level height
ID EVACUATION DYNAMICS; SIMULATION
AB The escape of pedestrians in the subway station is hampered by floods created by
heavy rain. In order to explore the critical flood level in a subway station so
that pedestrians can escape safely, the case study of the Mingxiu Road subway
station in Nanning, China, was conducted using numerical simulation techniques. In
total, 30 groups of sample pedestrians with different walking speeds and numbers
were randomly generated by the Monte Carlo method, and 3D simulation software was
used for escape simulation. The simulated escape data were put into the SVM model,
and the maximum pedestrian capacity and minimum speed of pedestrians were solved
successfully with different conditions of the Mingxiu Road subway station. Then, a
1:1 contour model of the pedestrian was constructed to simulate the flood
resistance of the pedestrian escaping at the minimum speed. The flood resistance
and the friction force between the pedestrian and the ground were compared to
calculate the critical escape flood level height, and the critical escape flood
level height of an adult, child, and elder was 87.4 cm,75.5 cm, and 83.0 cm,
respectively.
C1 [Tang, Yi; Lin, Zhiyu; Liu, Hongwei; Liu, Baohua; Lin, Hang] Cent South Univ,
Sch Resources & Safety Engn, Changsha 410083, Peoples R China.
[Zhou, Tianzhong; Zhong, Youxin; Hu, Shengbin; Lin, Jing] Nanning Rail Transit
Co Ltd, Nanning 530028, Peoples R China.
[Zhao, Yanlin] Hunan Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Energy & Safety Engn, Xiangtan
[Wang, Yixian] Hefei Univ Technol, Sch Civil Engn, Hefei 230009, Peoples R
China.
C3 Central South University; Hunan University of Science & Technology;
Hefei University of Technology
RP Lin, H (corresponding author), Cent South Univ, Sch Resources & Safety Engn,
Changsha 410083, Peoples R China.
EM hanglin@csu.edu.cn
RI Lin, Hang/E-3318-2013; Zhao, Yanlin/M-8882-2013
OI Lin, Hang/0000-0002-5924-5163; Wang, Yixian/0000-0002-2346-3097
FU Science and Technology Hunan Civil Air Defense Research Project
[HNRFKJ-2021-07]; Project (2021) of Study on Flood Disaster Prevention
Model of Nanning Rail Transit
FX The Science and Technology Hunan Civil Air Defense Research Project
(HNRFKJ-2021-07); Project (2021) of Study on Flood Disaster Prevention
Model of Nanning Rail Transit.
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V53, P89, DOI 10.18555/kicpd.2018.53.9
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Zhou M, 2020, PHYSICA A, V556, DOI 10.1016/j.physa.2020.124779
NR 35
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 21
U2 27
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD NOV
PY 2022
VL 14
IS 21
AR 3409
DI 10.3390/w14213409
PG 19
GA 6C0MH
UT WOS:000881717700001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Glassey, S
AF Glassey, Steve
TI Did Harvey Learn from Katrina? Initial Observations of the Response to
Companion Animals during Hurricane Harvey
SO ANIMALS
LA English
DT Article
DE animals; disasters; hoarding; Hurricane Harvey
ID PET EVACUATION FAILURE; MANAGING ANIMALS; RISK-FACTORS; DISASTERS;
CHALLENGES; EMERGENCY; OWNERS
AB The aftermath of Hurricane Katrina in 2005 became the genesis of animal
emergency management and created significant reforms in the US particularly the
passage of the Pets Emergency and Transportation Standards Act in 2006 that
required state and local emergency management arrangements to be pet-and service
animal-inclusive. More than a decade later Hurricane Harvey struck the Gulf states
with all 68 directly related deaths occurring in the state of Texas. In this study,
six key officials involved in the response underwent a semi-structured interview to
investigate the impact of the PETS Act on preparedness and response. Though the
results have limitations due to the low sample size, it was found that the PETS Act
and the lessons of Hurricane Katrina had contributed to a positive cultural shift
to including pets (companion animals) in emergency response. However, there was a
general theme that plans required under the PETS Act were under-developed and many
of the animal response lessons from previous emergencies remain unresolved. The
study also observed the first empirical case of disaster hoarding which highlights
the need for animal law enforcement agencies to be active in emergency response.
C1 [Glassey, Steve] Publ Safety Inst New Zealand, POB 216, Wellington 6140, New
Zealand.
RP Glassey, S (corresponding author), Publ Safety Inst New Zealand, POB 216,
Wellington 6140, New Zealand.
EM steve@publicsafety.institute
RI Glassey, Steve/C-4683-2011
OI Glassey, Steve/0000-0002-3957-5528
FU Travel Prefab
FX Acknowledgement is made to Travel Prefab who sponsored the international
flights associated with data collection. Travel Prefab had no role in
the design of the study; in the collection, analyses, or interpretation
of data; in the writing of the manuscript; or in the decision to publish
the results.
CR Alfonso F, HOUSTON HUMANE SOC G
Anderson A, 2006, RESCUED SAVINGS ANIM
[Anonymous], 2010, AM BAR ASS MOD ACT G
[Anonymous], 1989, DISASTER RESPONSE PR
[Anonymous], 2010, PET OWNER EMERGENCY
[Anonymous], 2006, HURRICANE KATRINA PE
Barker A, THUNDER DANCERS HELP
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10.2752/175303712X13316289505503
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Shiley M, 2006, DARK WATER RISING SU
Watts C, EXCLUSIVE M LAMBERTS
World Animal Awareness Society, HOUST SPCA ACC KILL
NR 37
TC 13
Z9 13
U1 0
U2 11
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
SN 2076-2615
J9 ANIMALS-BASEL
JI Animals
PD APR
PY 2018
VL 8
IS 4
AR 47
DI 10.3390/ani8040047
PG 9
WC Agriculture, Dairy & Animal Science; Veterinary Sciences; Zoology
(SSCI)
SC Agriculture; Veterinary Sciences; Zoology
GA GE7YA
UT WOS:000431447800005
PM 29601478
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Bennani, O
Druon, E
Leone, F
Tramblay, Y
Saidi, ME
AF Bennani, Oumaima
Druon, Ernest
Leone, Frederic
Tramblay, Yves
Saidi, Mohamed El Mehdi
TI A spatial and integrated flood risk diagnosis Relevance for disaster
prevention at Ourika valley (High Atlas-Morocco)
SO DISASTER PREVENTION AND MANAGEMENT
LA English
DT Article
DE Vulnerability; Evacuation plan; Ourika valley; Risk indice
ID SOCIAL VULNERABILITY; FLASH-FLOOD; REDUCTION; CLIMATE; FRANCE; DAMAGE;
STORM; LIFE
AB Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to identify vulnerable areas for flood
hazard and to analyze stakes exposed in touristic valley of Morrocan mountains. The
three goals are: methodological (low-cost diagnosis without starting data),
operational (to show the risk and identify avenues of prevention in Ourika) and
incentive (to reproduce this on other sectors in Morocco).
Design/methodology/approach - The vulnerability of three areas of the Ourika
valley (the most frequented) was assessed by a hydro-geomorphological study, human
frequentation surveys and risk indices at the building scale.
Findings - Surveys carried out in the field allowed the identification of areas
with high risk, the evaluation of the buildings' vulnerability and the
frequentation of the valley. Evacuation plans, allowing easy access to potential
refuges in case of flood, were finally proposed.
Originality/value - The reproducible, inexpensive and relevant nature of the
approach (integrated and spatialized) helps in decision making and facilitating
dialogue for prevention.
C1 [Bennani, Oumaima] Cadi Ayyad Univ, Lab Geosci & Environm, Marrakech, Morocco.
[Bennani, Oumaima] UPV, IRD, UMR GRED, Montpellier, France.
[Druon, Ernest; Leone, Frederic] Paul Valery Univ Montpellier, UMR GRED,
Montpellier, France.
[Druon, Ernest; Leone, Frederic] Paul Valery Univ Montpellier, IRD, Montpellier,
France.
[Leone, Frederic] Cadi Ayyad Univ, Lab MediTer, Int Mix, Marrakech, Morocco.
[Tramblay, Yves] Univ Montpellier, IRD, CNRS, HydroSci Montpellier, Montpellier,
France.
[Saidi, Mohamed El Mehdi] Univ Cadi Ayyad, Marrakech, Morocco.
C3 Cadi Ayyad University of Marrakech; Institut de Recherche pour le
Developpement (IRD); Institut de Recherche pour le Developpement (IRD);
Institut de Recherche pour le Developpement (IRD); Cadi Ayyad University
of Marrakech; Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS);
Institut de Recherche pour le Developpement (IRD); Universite de
Montpellier; Cadi Ayyad University of Marrakech
RP Bennani, O (corresponding author), Cadi Ayyad Univ, Lab Geosci & Environm,
Marrakech, Morocco.; Bennani, O (corresponding author), UPV, IRD, UMR GRED,
Montpellier, France.
EM oumaima.bennani@gmail.com
RI SAIDI, Mohamed El Mehdi/HNI-3048-2023; Tramblay, Yves/AAA-4405-2022;
saidi, mehdi/L-6520-2019
OI Tramblay, Yves/0000-0003-0481-5330; saidi, mehdi/0000-0001-8949-2547
FU French Institut de Recherche pour le Developpement: the LMI TREMA;
Socially Responsible Projects of Cadi Ayyad University; French Institut
de Recherche pour le Developpement: LMI MediTer
FX The research was done with the support of two joint research
laboratories from the French Institut de Recherche pour le
Developpement: the LMI TREMA and LMI MediTer; and with the support of
the Socially Responsible Projects of Cadi Ayyad University.
CR [Anonymous], 2014, ADV GEOSCIENCES, DOI DOI 10.5194/ADGEO-38-1-2014
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[No title captured]
[No title captured]
[No title captured]
[No title captured]
[No title captured]
[No title captured]
[No title captured]
NR 49
TC 7
Z9 7
U1 0
U2 4
PU EMERALD GROUP PUBLISHING LTD
PI BINGLEY
PA HOWARD HOUSE, WAGON LANE, BINGLEY BD16 1WA, W YORKSHIRE, ENGLAND
SN 0965-3562
EI 1758-6100
J9 DISASTER PREV MANAG
JI Disaster Prev. Manag.
PY 2019
VL 28
IS 5
BP 548
EP 564
DI 10.1108/DPM-12-2018-0379
PG 17
WC Environmental Studies; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health;
Management
Health; Business & Economics
GA LT2NR
UT WOS:000536909500002
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Goodie, AS
Sankar, AR
Doshi, P
AF Goodie, Adam S.
Sankar, Adithya Raam
Doshi, Prashant
TI Experience, risk, warnings, and demographics: Predictors of evacuation
decisions in Hurricanes Harvey and Irma
LA English
DT Article
ID BEHAVIOR; MODEL; COMMUNICATION; EXPECTATIONS; UNDERSTAND; RESPONSES
AB Hurricanes Harvey and Irma in 2017 provided opportunities to study demographic
and experiential predictors of evacuation behavior, including factors that differ
between hurricanes. A Qualtrics panel targeted the 12 Texas counties evacuated
during Hurricane Harvey, and the 23 Florida counties and 27 Georgia ZIP codes
evacuated during Hurricane Irma. 822 respondents completed the survey 14-21
December 2017, including demographic and experiential variables related to
evacuation. Younger adults and those who lived with children were more likely to
evacuate. Perceived risk and previous trauma were associated with evacuation, but
hurricane experience was not. In two logistic regressions, frequency of receiving
evacuation orders and perceived risk remained as significant predictors, including
subjective and objective measures of the degree to which others evacuate.
Theoretical and policy implications are discussed.
C1 [Goodie, Adam S.] Univ Georgia, Dept Psychol, Athens, GA 30602 USA.
[Sankar, Adithya Raam] Univ Georgia, Inst Artificial Intelligence, Athens, GA
30602 USA.
[Doshi, Prashant] Univ Georgia, Dept Comp Sci, Athens, GA 30602 USA.
C3 University System of Georgia; University of Georgia; University System
of Georgia; University of Georgia; University System of Georgia;
University of Georgia
RP Goodie, AS (corresponding author), Univ Georgia, Dept Psychol, Athens, GA 30602
USA.
EM goodie@uga.edu
FU NSF [1761549]; Div Of Information & Intelligent Systems; Direct For
Computer & Info Scie & Enginr [1761549] Funding Source: National Science
Foundation
FX The research reported here was supported by NSF (nsf.gov) award
#1761549.
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10.1016/j.ijdrr.2017.03.006
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NR 28
TC 20
Z9 20
U1 1
U2 4
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD DEC
PY 2019
VL 41
AR 101320
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101320
PG 8
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA JZ2HI
UT WOS:000504924200018
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Quang, MP
Tallam, K
AF Minh Pham Quang
Tallam, Krti
TI Predicting Flood Hazards in the Vietnam Central Region: An Artificial
Neural Network Approach
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE flood risk assessment; artificial neural networks; natural hazards;
machine learning; flood forecasting
ID SUSCEPTIBILITY; CLASSIFICATION; VULNERABILITY
AB Flooding as a hazard has negatively impacted Vietnam's agriculture, economy, and
infrastructure with increasing intensity because of climate change. Flood hazards
in Vietnam are difficult to combat, as Vietnam is densely populated with rivers and
canals. While there are attempts to lessen the damage through hazard mitigation
policies, such as early evacuation warnings, these attempts are made heavily
reliant on short-term traditional statistical models and physical hydrology
modeling, which provide suboptimal results. The current situation is caused by the
fragmented approach from the Vietnamese government and exacerbates a need for more
centralized and robust flood predictive systems. Local governments need to employ
their own prediction models which often lack the capacity to draw key insights from
limited flood occurrences. Given the robustness of machine learning, especially in
low data settings, in this study, we attempt to introduce an artificial neural
network model with the aim to create long-term forecast and compare it with other
machine learning approaches. We trained the models using different variables
evaluated under three characteristics: climatic, hydrological, and socio-economic.
We found that our artificial neural network model performed substantially better
both in performance metrics (91% accuracy) and relative to other models and can
predict well flood hazards in the long term.
C1 [Minh Pham Quang] VNU HCM High Sch Gifted, Ho Chi Minh City 70000, Vietnam.
[Tallam, Krti] Stanford Univ, Dept Biol, Stanford, CA 94305 USA.
C3 Stanford University
RP Quang, MP (corresponding author), VNU HCM High Sch Gifted, Ho Chi Minh City
70000, Vietnam.; Tallam, K (corresponding author), Stanford Univ, Dept Biol,
Stanford, CA 94305 USA.
EM minhquangpham6@gmail.com; ktallam7@stanford.edu
OI T, Krti/0000-0002-4509-4157; Pham Quang, Minh/0000-0001-9693-2408
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Dang VH, 2020, WATER-SUI, V12, DOI 10.3390/w12061555
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NR 57
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 5
U2 8
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
JI Sustainability
PD OCT
PY 2022
VL 14
IS 19
AR 11861
DI 10.3390/su141911861
PG 18
(SSCI)
GA 5G9FG
UT WOS:000867295200001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Galarneau, TJ
Hamill, TM
AF Galarneau, Thomas J., Jr.
Hamill, Thomas M.
TI Diagnosis of Track Forecast Errors for Tropical Cyclone Rita (2005)
Using GEFS Reforecasts
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricanes; Synoptic-scale processes; Ensembles; Numerical weather
prediction; forecasting
ID HURRICANE; PREDICTION; GUIDANCE; MODEL; GFS
AB Analysis and diagnosis of the track forecasts for Tropical Cyclone (TC) Rita
(2005) from the Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) reforecast dataset is
presented. The operational numerical weather prediction guidance and GEFS
reforecasts initialized at 0000 UTC 20-22 September 2005, 2-4 days prior to
landfall, were all characterized by a persistent left-of-track error. The numerical
guidance indicated a significant threat of landfall for the Houston, Texas, region
on 24 September. The largest mass evacuation in U.S. history was ordered, with the
evacuation resulting in more fatalities than TC Rita itself. TC Rita made landfall
along the Texas-Louisiana coastal zone on 24 September. This study utilizes
forecasts from the GEFS reforecast and a high-resolution regional reforecast. The
regional reforecast was generated using the Advanced Hurricane Weather Research and
Forecasting Model (AHW) with the GEFS reforecasts providing the initial and
boundary conditions. The results show that TC Rita's track was sensitive to errors
in both the synoptic-scale flow and TC intensity. Within the GEFS reforecast
ensemble, the nonrecurving members were characterized by a midlevel subtropical
anticyclone that extended too far south and west over the southern United States,
and an upper-level cutoff low west and anticyclone east of TC Rita that were too
weak. The AHW regional reforecast ensemble further highlighted the role of
intensity and steering-layer depth in TC Rita's track. While the AHW forecast was
initialized with a TC that was too weak, the ensemble members that were able to
intensify TC Rita more rapidly produced a better track forecast because the TCs
followed a deeper steering-layer flow.
C1 [Galarneau, Thomas J., Jr.] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Boulder, CO 80307 USA.
[Hamill, Thomas M.] NOAA, Earth Syst Res Lab, Div Phys Sci, Boulder, CO USA.
C3 National Center Atmospheric Research (NCAR) - USA; National Oceanic
Atmospheric Admin (NOAA) - USA
RP Galarneau, TJ (corresponding author), Univ Arizona, Dept Atmospher Sci, POB
210081, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA.
EM tom.galarneau.jr@gmail.com
RI Galarneau, Thomas J/AAR-7125-2020
OI Galarneau, Thomas J/0000-0002-2342-2594
FU NOAA HFIP Award [NA12NWS4680005]
FX Research support was provided by NOAA HFIP Award NA12NWS4680005. We
thank George Bryan (NCAR) for his valuable comments on the manuscript.
We also thank Gary Bates (NOAA/ESRL) for providing technical support and
Mike Fiorino (NOAA/ESRL) for generating the GEFS TC forecast tracks.
Three anonymous reviewers are thanked for their helpful comments on the
manuscript.
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Wu CC, 2009, MON WEATHER REV, V137, P2471, DOI 10.1175/2009MWR2762.1
NR 31
TC 9
Z9 9
U1 0
U2 10
PI BOSTON
SN 0882-8156
EI 1520-0434
J9 WEATHER FORECAST
PD OCT
PY 2015
VL 30
IS 5
BP 1334
EP 1354
DI 10.1175/WAF-D-15-0036.1
PG 21
GA CT5JA
UT WOS:000362843700015
OA Green Submitted, hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Stephens, W
Wilt, GE
Lehnert, EA
Molinari, NM
LeBlanc, TT
AF Stephens, William
Wilt, Grete E.
Lehnert, Erica Adams
Molinari, NoelleAngelique M.
LeBlanc, Tanya Telfair
TI A Spatial and Temporal Investigation of Medical Surge in Dallas-Fort
Worth During Hurricane Harvey, Texas 2017
LA English
DT Article
DE hurricane; medical surge; spatial analysis; interrupted time series
analysis
ID INTERRUPTED TIME-SERIES
AB Objective: When 2017 Hurricane Harvey struck the coastline of Texas on August
25, 2017, it resulted in 88 fatalities and more than US $125 billion in damage to
infrastructure. The floods associated with the storm created a toxic mix of
chemicals, sewage and other biohazards, and over 6 million cubic meters of garbage
in Houston alone. The level of biohazard exposure and injuries from trauma among
persons residing in affected areas was widespread and likely contributed to
increases in emergency department (ED) visits in Houston and cities receiving
hurricane evacuees. We investigated medical surge resulting from these evacuations
in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) metroplex EDs. Methods: We used data sourced from the
North Texas Syndromic Surveillance Region 2/3 in ESSENCE to investigate ED visit
surge following the storm in DFW hospitals because this area received evacuees from
the 60 counties with disaster declarations due to the storm. We used the
interrupted time series (ITS) analysis to estimate the magnitude and duration of
the ED surge. ITS was applied to all ED visits in DFW and visits made by patients
residing in any of the 60 counties with disaster declarations due to the storm. The
DFW metropolitan statistical area included 55 hospitals. Time series analyses
examined data from March 1, 2017-January 6, 2018 with focus on the storm impact
period, August 14-September 15, 2017. Data from before, during, and after the storm
were visualized spatially and temporally to characterize magnitude, duration, and
spatial variation of medical surge attributable to Hurricane Harvey. Results:
During the study period overall, ED visits in the DFW area rose immediately by
about 11% (95% CI: 9%, 13%), amounting to similar to 16 500 excess total visits
before returning to the baseline on September 21, 2017. Visits by patients
identified as residing in disaster declaration counties to DFW hospitals rose
immediately by 127% (95% CI: 125%, 129%), amounting to 654 excess visits by
September 29, 2017, when visits returned to the baseline. A spatial analysis
revealed that evacuated patients were strongly clustered (Moran's I = 0.35, P <
0.0001) among 5 of the counties with disaster declarations in the 11-day window
during the storm surge. Conclusions: The observed increase in ED visits in DFW due
to Hurricane Harvey and ensuing evacuation was significant. Anticipating medical
surge following large-scale hurricanes is critical for community preparedness
planning. Coordinated planning across stakeholders is necessary to safeguard the
population and for a skillful response to medical surge needs. Plans that address
hurricane response, in particular, should have contingencies for support beyond the
expected disaster areas.
C1 [Stephens, William] Off Publ Hlth Informat, Tarrant Cty Publ Hlth, Ft Worth, TX
USA.
[Wilt, Grete E.; Lehnert, Erica Adams] Geospatial Res Anal & Serv Program, Div
Toxicol & Human Hlth Sci, Atlanta, GA 30329 USA.
[Molinari, NoelleAngelique M.; LeBlanc, Tanya Telfair] Ctr Dis Control & Prevent
CDC, Ctr Preparedness & Response, Div State & Local Readiness, Appl Sci & Evaluat
Branch, Atlanta, GA USA.
RP Wilt, GE (corresponding author), Geospatial Res Anal & Serv Program, Div Toxicol
& Human Hlth Sci, Atlanta, GA 30329 USA.
EM gretewilt@gmail.com
FU Intramural CDC HHS [CC999999] Funding Source: Medline
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NR 15
TC 6
Z9 6
U1 1
U2 8
PI NEW YORK
SN 1935-7893
EI 1938-744X
PD FEB
PY 2020
VL 14
IS 1
BP 111
EP 118
DI 10.1017/dmp.2019.143
PG 8
(SSCI)
GA LB9CS
UT WOS:000524927400019
PM 31996271
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Song, Y
Park, Y
Lee, J
Park, M
Song, Y
AF Song, Yangho
Park, Yoonkyung
Lee, Jungho
Park, Moojong
Song, Youngseok
TI Flood Forecasting and Warning System Structures: Procedure and
Application to a Small Urban Stream in South Korea
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE flash flood forecasting; flood forecasting and warning system; flood
warning criteria; rainfall; runoff
ID GENETIC PROGRAMMING-MODEL; RUNOFF
AB The runoff from heavy rainfall reaches urban streams quickly, causing them to
rise rapidly. It is therefore of great importance to provide sufficient lead time
for evacuation planning and decision making. An efficient flood forecasting and
warning method is crucial for ensuring adequate lead time. With this objective,
this paper proposes an analysis method for a flood forecasting and warning system,
and establishes the criteria for issuing urban-stream flash flood warnings based on
the amount of rainfall to allow sufficient lead time. The proposed methodology is a
nonstructural approach to flood prediction and risk reduction. It considers water
level fluctuations during a rainfall event and estimates the upstream (alert point)
and downstream (confluence) water levels for water level analysis based on the
rainfall intensity and duration. We also investigate the rainfall/runoff and flow
rate/water level relationships using the Hydrologic Engineering Center's Hydrologic
Modeling System (HEC-HMS) and the HEC's River Analysis System (HEC-RAS) models,
respectively, and estimate the rainfall threshold for issuing flash flood warnings
depending on the backwater state based on actual watershed conditions. We present a
methodology for issuing flash flood warnings at a critical point by considering the
effects of fluctuations in various backwater conditions in real time, which will
provide practical support for decision making by disaster protection workers. The
results are compared with real-time water level observations of the Dorim Stream.
Finally, we verify the validity of the flash flood warning criteria by comparing
the predicted values with the observed values and performing validity analysis.
C1 [Song, Yangho; Lee, Jungho] Hanbat Natl Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
Daejeon 34158, South Korea.
[Park, Yoonkyung] Deepcloud Co Ltd, Corp Affiliated Res Inst, Busan 48058, South
Korea.
[Park, Moojong] Hanseo Univ, Dept Aeronaut & Civil Engn, Seosan 31962, South
Korea.
[Song, Youngseok] Daegu Tech Univ, Dept Civil Engn & Landscape Architectural,
Daegu 42734, South Korea.
C3 Hanbat National University; Hanseo University
RP Song, Y (corresponding author), Daegu Tech Univ, Dept Civil Engn & Landscape
Architectural, Daegu 42734, South Korea.
EM kind711@hanmail.net
RI Song, Yangho/AAS-7502-2020
OI Song, Yangho/0000-0002-3937-3547
FU Korea Meteorological Administration Research and Development Program
[2018-03010]
FX This work was funded by the Korea Meteorological Administration Research
and Development Program under Grant KMI (2018-03010).
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NR 26
TC 9
Z9 9
U1 4
U2 18
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD AUG
PY 2019
VL 11
IS 8
AR 1571
DI 10.3390/w11081571
PG 21
GA IV9CM
UT WOS:000484561500045
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Jiang, JH
Lai, XJ
Huang, Q
AF Jiang, Jiahu
Lai, Xijun
Huang, Qun
TI The characteristics of flood responses to the restoration of polders on
Dongting Lake, China
SO HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES
LA English
DT Article
DE coupled hydrodynamic model; China; Dongting Lake; flood response; lake
restoration
ID APPROXIMATE RIEMANN SOLVERS; YANGTZE; RISK
AB The serious shrinkage of Dongting Lake in China has led to the deterioration of
its flood diversion and storage capacity, and now flood disasters have become more
frequent. A lake restoration strategy is proposed in order to relieve flood-prone
areas. However, flood movement is a dynamic process, so that approaches neglecting
the hydrodynamics cannot accurately represent flood responses to restoring polders
to a lake in a complex river basin. Here, a coupled one-dimensional and two-
dimensional hydrodynamic model was applied to investigate flood responses to
restoring polders to Dongting Lake under the conditions of the 1998 flood event.
Quantified flood reduction effects show that The characteristics of flood responses
vary significantly with the management option chosen. Appropriate strategies of
lake restoration are suggested according to different flood responses. Polders of
type 11, which favour flood discharge, should be restored in order to streamline
flood conveyance. Considering the ecological requirements of the lakes and
wetlands, type I polders far from main flows can be partially restored, resulting
in evacuation of residents to safe areas but keeping the cultivation.
C1 Chinese Acad Sci, Nanjing Inst Geog & Limnol, Nanjing 210008, Peoples R China.
C3 Chinese Academy of Sciences; Nanjing Institute of Geography & Limnology,
CAS
RP Jiang, JH (corresponding author), Chinese Acad Sci, Nanjing Inst Geog & Limnol,
East Beijing Rd 73, Nanjing 210008, Peoples R China.
EM xilai@niglas.ac.cn
RI LAI, Xijun/F-8722-2010
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NR 27
TC 18
Z9 19
U1 5
U2 31
PI ABINGDON
SN 0262-6667
EI 2150-3435
J9 HYDROLOG SCI J
JI Hydrol. Sci. J.-J. Sci. Hydrol.
PD AUG
PY 2007
VL 52
IS 4
BP 671
EP 685
PG 15
WC Water Resources
SC Water Resources
GA 199YE
UT WOS:000248730300006
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wu, JS
Fang, WP
Hu, ZQ
Hong, BZ
AF Wu, Jiansong
Fang, Weipeng
Hu, Zhuqiang
Hong, Bangzhao
TI Application of Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Assessment of Flood in Urban
Underground Spaces
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE flood; underground spaces; Bayesian Network; emergency decision-making;
dynamic risk assessment
ID DELPHI METHOD; EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT; RISK ANALYSIS; NETWORKS; PIPELINES;
IMPACT; MODEL; BASIN; RIVER
AB Urban underground facilities tend to be vulnerable to flood that is generated by
the breaking of a dam or a levee, or a flash flood after an exceptional rainfall.
Rapid and dynamic assessment of underground flood evolution process is of great
significance for safety evacuation and disaster reduction. Taking advantage of the
Delphi method to determine the Bayesian conditional probabilities collected by
expert knowledge, this paper proposes an integrated Bayesian Network (BN) framework
for rapidly and dynamically assessing the flood evolution process and consequences
in underground spaces. The proposed BN framework, including seventeen nodes, can
represent the flood disaster drivers, flood disaster bearers, flood mitigation
actions, and on-site feedback information. Given evidences to specific nodes, the
risk distribution of typical flood scenarios can be quantitatively estimated. The
results indicate that the proposed framework can be useful for dynamically
evaluating underground flood evolution process and identifying the critical
influencing factors. This BN-based framework is helpful for Scenario-Response-based
predictive analyses to support decision that is related to flood disaster emergency
response.
C1 [Wu, Jiansong; Fang, Weipeng; Hu, Zhuqiang; Hong, Bangzhao] China Univ Min &
Technol, Dept Safety Technol & Management, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China.
C3 China University of Mining & Technology
RP Wu, JS (corresponding author), China Univ Min & Technol, Dept Safety Technol &
Management, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China.
EM jiansongwu@hotmail.com; wweipengfang@gmail.com; zhuqianghu2016@163.com;
hongbangzhao@126.com
FU National Natural Science Foundation of China [11502283]; National Key
Research and Development Program of China [2017YFC0805001]; Yue Qi Young
Scholar Program of China University of Mining & Technology, Beijing
grant number [11502283], National Key Research and Development Program
of China grant number [2017YFC0805001] and the Yue Qi Young Scholar
Program of China University of Mining & Technology, Beijing.
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NR 47
TC 18
Z9 18
U1 14
U2 76
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD SEP
PY 2018
VL 10
IS 9
AR 1112
DI 10.3390/w10091112
PG 21
(SSCI)
GA GY7UR
UT WOS:000448821900004
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Takagi, H
Li, S
de Leon, M
Esteban, M
Mikami, T
Matsumaru, R
Shibayama, T
Nakamura, R
AF Takagi, Hiroshi
Li, Siyang
de Leon, Mario
Esteban, Miguel
Mikami, Takahito
Matsumaru, Ryo
Shibayama, Tomoya
Nakamura, Ryota
TI Storm surge and evacuation in urban areas during the peak of a storm
LA English
DT Article
DE Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda); Tacloban; Storm surge; Pedestrian evacuation;
Numerical simulation; Depth -velocity product
AB The present paper examines the impact of floodwater caused by the storm surge
brought about by Typhoon Haiyan in 2013, focusing on downtown Tacloban in Leyte
Island, the Philippines. A reliable numerical model for predicting such flooding
was developed by calibrating the results of field investigations, including footage
from a video clip taken during the storm surge. The simulation reveals that flow
velocities along the streets in downtown Tacloban reached up to 7 m/s due to flow
contraction along the high-density blocks of houses, and how water levels reached
their peak in just 10 min. According to the depth-velocity product criteria, often
used for evaluating the vulnerability of people and buildings to floodwaters, only
8% of the length of streets in downtown Tacloban were within the safe limits that
allow pedestrian evacuation. Based on these findings, the present research
concludes that pedestrian evacuation in the middle of a storm surge generated by a
strong typhoon is a high-risk behavior. Thus, clearly and objectively, evacuation
during this time should not be encouraged, even when seawater intrudes the houses
of local residents. In this respect, it would appear imperative that prior to the
arrival of the typhoon all residents should evacuate areas at risk of being
flooded. Though the flood height was significant in the downtown area, the damage
to these houses was limited. If it was not possible for some reason to evacuate
prior to the arrival of the typhoon, those in solid houses should first consider
vertical evacuation and the possibility that they could survive in their place,
rather than courageously evacuating in an unpredictable water flow. (C) 2015
Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
C1 [Takagi, Hiroshi; Li, Siyang] Tokyo Inst Technol, Grad Sch Sci & Engn, Meguro
Ku, 2-12-1 Ookayama, Tokyo 1528550, Japan.
[de Leon, Mario] De La Salle Univ, Dept Civil Engn, 2401 Taft Ave, Manila 1004,
Philippines.
[Esteban, Miguel] Univ Tokyo, Grad Sch Frontier Sci, 5-1-5 Kashiwanoha, Kashiwa,
Chiba 2778563, Japan.
[Mikami, Takahito; Shibayama, Tomoya; Nakamura, Ryota] Waseda Univ, Dept Civil &
Environm Engn, Shinjuku Ku, 3-4-1 Okubo, Tokyo 1698555, Japan.
[Matsumaru, Ryo] Toyo Univ, Fac Reg Dev Studies, Bunkyo Ku, 5-28-20 Hakusan,
C3 Tokyo Institute of Technology; De La Salle University; University of
Tokyo; Waseda University; Toyo University
RP Takagi, H (corresponding author), 2-12-1-S6-212 Ookayama,Meguro Ku, Tokyo
1528550, Japan.
EM takagi@ide.titech.ac.jp; lsyiverson0510@gmail.com;
mario.deleon@dlsu.edu.ph; esteban.fagan@gmail.com;
takahito8765@gmail.com; matsumaru@toyo.jp; shibayama@waseda.jp;
ryota_nakamura617@yahoo.co.jp
RI Mikami, Takahito/B-9987-2014; Takagi, Hiroshi/B-4566-2017
OI Mikami, Takahito/0000-0003-1611-0549; Takagi,
Hiroshi/0000-0002-3668-688X; Esteban, Miguel/0000-0003-3032-499X;
Shibayama, Tomoya/0000-0002-2348-244X; Nakamura,
Ryota/0000-0003-0587-3970
FU JSPS KAKENHI [26702009]; J-RAPID Program of Japan Science and Technology
Agency (JST); Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and
Technology (MEXT) (Waseda University); Grants-in-Aid for Scientific
Research [26702009] Funding Source: KAKEN
FX The funds for the present research were provided by JSPS KAKENHI Grant
Number 26702009 (Tokyo Institute of Technology), J-RAPID Program of
Japan Science and Technology Agency (JST) (grant to Tokyo Institute of
Technology), and Strategic Research Foundation Grant aided Project for
Private Universities from Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports,
Science and Technology (MEXT) (Waseda University).
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NR 39
TC 37
Z9 38
U1 0
U2 37
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 0378-3839
EI 1872-7379
J9 COAST ENG
JI Coast. Eng.
PD FEB
PY 2016
VL 108
BP 1
EP 9
DI 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2015.11.002
PG 9
SC Engineering
GA DC8IP
UT WOS:000369463400001
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wu, CL
Chau, KW
AF Wu, C. L.
Chau, K. W.
TI A flood forecasting neural network model with genetic algorithm
SO INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENT AND POLLUTION
LA English
DT Article
DE flood forecasting model; hybrid algorithms; artificial neural networks;
genetic algorithms
ID PARTICLE SWARM OPTIMIZATION
AB it will be useful to attain a quick and accurate flood forecasting, particularly
in a flood-prone region. The accomplishment of this objective can have far reaching
significance by extending the lead time for issuing disaster warnings and
furnishing ample time for citizens in vulnerable areas to take appropriate action,
such as evacuation. In this paper, a novel hybrid model based on recent artificial
intelligence technology, namely, a genetic algorithm (GA)-based artificial neural
network (ANN), is employed for flood forecasting. As a case study, the model is
applied to a prototype channel reach of the Yangtze River in China. Water levels at
the downstream station, Han-Kou, are forecasted on the basis of water levels with
lead times at the upstream station, Luo-Shan. An empirical linear regression model,
a conventional ANN model and a GA model are used as the benchmarks for comparison
of performances. The results reveal that the hybrid GA-based ANN algorithm, under
cautious treatment to avoid over-fitting, is able to produce better accuracy in
performance, although at the expense of additional modelling parameters and
possibly slightly longer computation time.
C1 Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Dept Civil & Struct Engn, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R
China.
Changjiang Water Resources Commiss, Wuhan 430010, HuBei, Peoples R China.
C3 Hong Kong Polytechnic University
RP Chau, KW (corresponding author), Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Dept Civil & Struct
Engn, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R China.
EM ceclwu@polyu.edu.hk; cekwchau@polyu.edu.hk
RI Wu, C.L./A-9998-2010; Chau, Kwok-wing/E-5235-2011
OI Chau, Kwok-wing/0000-0001-6457-161X
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0699(1999)4:3(232)
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9496(1999)125:1(25)
NR 19
TC 83
Z9 84
U1 0
U2 21
PU INDERSCIENCE ENTERPRISES LTD
PI GENEVA
PA WORLD TRADE CENTER BLDG, 29 ROUTE DE PRE-BOIS, CASE POSTALE 856, CH-1215
GENEVA, SWITZERLAND
SN 0957-4352
EI 1741-5101
J9 INT J ENVIRON POLLUT
JI Int. J. Environ. Pollut.
PY 2006
VL 28
IS 3-4
BP 261
EP 273
DI 10.1504/IJEP.2006.011211
PG 13
GA 120GJ
UT WOS:000243072200005
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Farzin, S
Singh, VP
Karami, H
Farahani, N
Ehteram, M
Kisi, O
Allawi, MF
Mohd, NS
El-Shafie, A
AF Farzin, Saeed
Singh, Vijay P.
Karami, Hojat
Farahani, Nazanin
Ehteram, Mohammad
Kisi, Ozgur
Allawi, Mohammed Falah
Mohd, Nuruol Syuhadaa
El-Shafie, Ahmed
TI Flood Routing in River Reaches Using a Three-Parameter Muskingum Model
Coupled with an Improved Bat Algorithm
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE flood routing; Muskingum model; hydrologic models; improved bat
algorithm; Wilson flood; Karahan flood
ID PARAMETER-ESTIMATION; DIFFUSIVE MODEL; OPTIMIZATION; URBAN; SIMULATION;
DAM
AB Design of hydraulic structures, flood warning systems, evacuation measures, and
traffic management require river flood routing. A common hydrologic method of flood
routing is the Muskingum method. The present study attempted to develop a three-
parameter Muskingum model considering lateral flow for flood routing, coupling with
a new optimization algorithm namely, Improved Bat Algorithm (IBA). The major
function of the IBA is to optimize the estimated value of the three-parameters
associated with the Muskingum model. The IBA acts based on the chaos search tool,
which mainly enhances the uniformity and erogidicty of the population. In addition,
the current research, unlike the other existing models which consider flood
routing, is based on dividing one reach to a few intervals to increase the accuracy
of flood routing models. Three case studies with lateral flow were considered for
this study, including the Wilson flood, Karahan flood, and Myanmar flood. Seven
performance indexes were examined to evaluate the performance of the proposed
Muskingum model integrated with IBA, with other models that were also based on the
Muskingum Model with three-parameters but utilized different optimization
algorithms. The results for the Wilson flood showed that the proposed model could
reduce the Sum of Squared Deviations (SSD) value by 89%, 51%, 93%, 69%, and 88%,
compared to the Genetic Algorithm (GA), Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO)
algorithm, Pattern Search (PS) algorithm, Harmony Search (HS) algorithm, and Honey
Bee Mating Optimization (HBMO), respectively. In addition, increasing the number of
intervals for flood routing significantly improved the accuracy of the results. The
results indicated that the Sum of Absolute Deviations (SAD) using IBA for the
Karahan flood was 117, which had reduced by 83%, 88%, 94%, and 12%, compared to the
PSO, GA, HS, and BA, respectively. Furthermore, the achieved results for the
Myanmar flood showed that SSD for IBA relative to GA, BA, and PSO was reduced by
32%, 11%, and 42%, respectively. In conclusion, the proposed Muskingum Model
integrated with IBA considering the existence of lateral flow, outperformed the
existing applied simple Muskingum models in previous studies. In addition, the more
the number of intervals used in the model, the better the accuracy of flood routing
prediction achieved.
C1 [Farzin, Saeed; Karami, Hojat; Farahani, Nazanin; Ehteram, Mohammad] Semnan
Univ, Fac Civil Engn, Dept Water Engn & Hydraul Struct, Semnan 3513119111, Iran.
[Singh, Vijay P.] Texas A&M Univ, Zachry Dept Civil Engn, Dept Biol & Agr Engn,
321 Scoates Hall, College Stn, TX 77843 USA.
[Kisi, Ozgur] Ilia State Univ, Fac Nat Sci & Engn, Tbilisi 0162, Georgia.
[Allawi, Mohammed Falah] Univ Kebangsaan Malaysia, Fac Engn & Built Environm,
Civil & Struct Engn Dept, Bangi 43600, Malaysia.
[Mohd, Nuruol Syuhadaa; El-Shafie, Ahmed] Univ Malaya, Fac Engn, Civil Engn
Dept, Kuala Lumpur 50603, Malaysia.
C3 Semnan University; Texas A&M University System; Texas A&M University
College Station; Ilia State University; Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia;
Universiti Malaya
RP Ehteram, M (corresponding author), Semnan Univ, Fac Civil Engn, Dept Water Engn
& Hydraul Struct, Semnan 3513119111, Iran.
EM saeed.farzin@semnan.ac.ir; vsingh@tamu.edu; hkarami@semnan.ac.ir;
N.farahani@semnan.ac.ir; mohammdehteram@semnan.ac.ir;
ozgur.kisi@iliauni.edu.ge; mohmmd.falah@gmail.com; n_syuhadaa@um.edu.my;
elshafie@um.edu.my
RI El-Shafie, Ahmed/J-1799-2014; Karami, Hojat/AAU-1618-2020; Allawi,
Mohammed/AAU-1578-2020; Kisi, Ozgur/AAD-8932-2019; MOHD, NURUOL
SYUHADAA/B-9443-2010; Farzin, Saeed/AAB-3877-2020
OI El-Shafie, Ahmed/0000-0001-5018-8505; MOHD, NURUOL
SYUHADAA/0000-0002-1965-1087; Kisi, Ozgur/0000-0001-7847-5872; Farzin,
Saeed/0000-0003-4209-9558; Allawi, mohammed/0000-0002-2725-687X
FU University of Malaya Research Grant (UMRG) University of Malaya,
Malaysia [RP025A-18SUS]
FX This research was funded by the University of Malaya Research Grant
(UMRG) coded RP025A-18SUS University of Malaya, Malaysia.
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NR 46
TC 24
Z9 24
U1 2
U2 8
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD SEP
PY 2018
VL 10
IS 9
AR 1130
DI 10.3390/w10091130
PG 24
GA GY7UR
UT WOS:000448821900022
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Sa'adi, Z
Ismail, AZ
Yusop, Z
Yusof, ZM
AF Sa'adi, Zulfaqar
Ismail, Ahmad Zuhdi
Yusop, Zulkifli
Yusof, Zainab Mohamad
TI Effect of the tide on flood modeling and mapping in Kota Tinggi, Johor,
Malaysia
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DT Article
DE Flood modeling; GEV; HEC-GeoRAS; HEC-HMS; HEC-RAS; Johor River; Kota
Tinggi flood
AB This study aimed at mapping the Kota Tinggi flood event in 2006/2007 that had
caused massive damages to properties and the environment. The flood was associated
with unusually high intensity and continuous rainfall, and high tide. Therefore, a
reliable technique of floodplain mapping is crucial for the improvement of flood
control strategies and for preparing an evacuation plan. The main objective of this
study is to incorporate the effect of tide on flood modeling analysis. The
inundated areas were mapped for various annual recurrent intervals (ARI) using peak
flow data from 1965 to 2010. The study used Light Detection and Ranging data for
flood modeling using HEC-HMS, HEC-RAS, and HEC-GeoRAS. The Generalized Extreme
Value model was found to be the best fit for the annual flood simulation. The HEC-
HMS hydrologic model was calibrated and validated using observed hydrographs in
September 2002 and January 2003, respectively. Due to riverbank overflow, the
level-discharge rating curve during flood events is not valid which causes
underestimation of the peak flow in the observed flow. Therefore, the simulated
hydrographs which model the actual peak flow provide more reasonable results of
625.3 m(3)/s for the December 2006 flood and 743.9 m(3)/s for the January 2007
flood. The modeling took into account the tidal effect. When the tidal effect was
not considered, the simulated flood depth was 43% lower than the observed flood.
However, the inclusion of the tidal effect has reduced the simulation error with an
average similarity with the observed flood at 91.4% based on site verification. The
simulation results show that the river flow starts to over bank for ARIs exceeding
25 years.
C1 [Sa'adi, Zulfaqar; Ismail, Ahmad Zuhdi; Yusop, Zulkifli] Univ Teknol Malaysia,
Fac Engn, Ctr Environm Sustainabil & Water Secur IPASA, Sch Civil Engn, Utm Sekudai
81310, Johor, Malaysia.
[Yusof, Zainab Mohamad] Univ Teknol Malaysia UTM, Fac Engn, Sch Civil Engn,
Johor Baharu 81310, Malaysia.
C3 Universiti Teknologi Malaysia; Universiti Teknologi Malaysia
RP Sa'adi, Z (corresponding author), Univ Teknol Malaysia, Fac Engn, Ctr Environm
Sustainabil & Water Secur IPASA, Sch Civil Engn, Utm Sekudai 81310, Johor,
Malaysia.
EM zulfaqar@utm.my; ahmadzuhdiismail@utm.my; zulyusop@utm.my;
zainabyusof@utm.my
OI Affandy, Nur Azizah/0000-0001-7237-9142
FU Water Security and Sustainable Development Hub - UK Research and
Innovation's Global Challenges Research Fund (GCRF) [ES/S008179/1];
Universiti Teknologi Malaysia under High Impact Research Grant [04G46]
FX This work was supported by the Water Security and Sustainable
Development Hub funded by the UK Research and Innovation's Global
Challenges Research Fund (GCRF) [Grant No.: ES/S008179/1] Universiti
Teknologi Malaysia under High Impact Research Grant [Grant No.: Vot No
04G46].
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NR 39
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 1
U2 6
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 0921-030X
EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
PD JUL
PY 2022
VL 112
IS 3
BP 2053
EP 2081
DI 10.1007/s11069-022-05256-4
EA MAR 2022
PG 29
Water Resources
GA 2D8NN
UT WOS:000765713000002
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Fan, J
Huang, GW
AF Fan, Juan
Huang, Guangwei
TI Evaluation of Flood Risk Management in Japan through a Recent Case
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE flood; vulnerability; susceptibility; coping capacity; Chikuma River
ID CLIMATE-CHANGE; URBANIZATION; VULNERABILITY; VEGETATION; ROUGHNESS;
IMPACTS; CHINA
AB Major disasters cause loss of life and serious disturbance to livelihoods.
Integrative and innovative risk management is needed to reduce the impacts of such
a disturbance. To pursue this, a better understanding of the current level of
disaster risk management is indispensible. Following this line of thinking, the
present work was intended to evaluate the various aspects of flood risk management
in Japan using a recent case of major flooding that occurred last autumn as a
result of a major storm. The focus was on the vulnerability assessment for the
disaster-stricken area using various kinds of information including topographic
features, land use, flood warning system, evacuation behavior, levee structure,
insurance system and government support for recovery. Such an integrative
assessment shed new light on vulnerability-generating mechanisms. In particular, it
found that the disaster-stricken area has a high level of coping capacity related
to flood disasters. However, the high level of coping capacity hinders the
reduction of susceptibility to the impacts of flooding. Based on this finding, a
new, simple but operational vulnerability management framework was proposed, which
may help decision-makers prioritize actions for vulnerability reduction.
C1 [Fan, Juan; Huang, Guangwei] Sophia Univ, Sch Global Environm Studies, Tokyo
1028554, Japan.
RP Huang, GW (corresponding author), Sophia Univ, Sch Global Environm Studies,
EM zhbfanjuan@126.com; huanggwx@sophia.ac.jp
FU Sophia University, Japan, Internal Grant, 2019
FX This research was funded by Sophia University, Japan, Internal Grant,
2019. We would like to express our gratitude to the reviewers for their
very constructive comments and professional advice, which greatly
improved the quality of the manuscript.
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NR 37
TC 9
Z9 9
U1 1
U2 17
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
JI Sustainability
PD JUL
PY 2020
VL 12
IS 13
AR 5357
DI 10.3390/su12135357
PG 17
(SSCI)
GA MM5IZ
UT WOS:000550191500001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Greenstein, J
Chacko, J
Ardolic, B
Berwald, N
AF Greenstein, Josh
Chacko, Jerel
Ardolic, Brahim
Berwald, Nicole
TI Impact of Hurricane Sandy on the Staten Island University Hospital
Emergency Department
SO PREHOSPITAL AND DISASTER MEDICINE
LA English
DT Article
DE disaster medicine; emergency department; emergency preparedness;
hurricane
AB Introduction: On October 29, 2012, Hurricane Sandy touched down in New York City
(NYC; New York USA) causing massive destruction, paralyzing the city, and
destroying lives. Research has shown that considerable damage and loss of life can
be averted in at-risk areas from advanced preparation in communication procedures,
evacuation planning, and resource allocation. However, research is limited in
describing how natural disasters of this magnitude affect emergency departments
(EDs).
Hypothesis/Problem: The aim of this study was to identify and describe trends in
patient volume and demographics, and types of conditions treated, as a result of
Hurricane Sandy at Staten Island University Hospital North (SIUH-N; Staten Island,
New York USA) site ED.
Methods: A retrospective chart review of patients presenting to SIUH-N in the
days surrounding the storm, October 26, 2012 through November 2, 2012, was
completed. Data were compared to the same week of the year prior, October 28, 2011
through November 4, 2011. Daily census, patient age, gender, admission rates, mode
of arrival, and diagnoses in the days surrounding the storm were observed.
Results: A significant decline in patient volume was found in all age ranges on
the day of landfall (Day 0) with a census of 114; -55% compared to 2011. The daily
volume exhibited a precipitous drop on the days preceding the storm followed by a
return to usual volumes shortly after. A notably larger percentage of patients were
seen for medication refills in 2012; 5.8% versus 0.4% (P<.05). Lacerations and cold
exposure also were increased substantially in 2012 at 7.6% versus 2.8% (P < .05)
and 3.8% versus 0.0% (P < .05) of patient visits, respectively. A large decline in
admissions was observed in the days prior to the storm, with a nadir on Day + 1 at
five percent (-22%). Review of admitted patients revealed atypical admissions for
home care service such as need for supplemental oxygen or ventilator. In addition,
a drop in Emergency Medical Services (EMS) utilization was seen on Days 0 and +1.
The SIUH-N typically sees 18% of patients arriving via EMS. On Day + 1, only two
percent of patients arrived by ambulance.
Conclusion: The daily ED census saw a significant decline in the days preceding
the storm. In addition, the type of conditions treated varied from baseline, and a
considerable drop in hospital admissions was seen. Data such as these presented
here can help make predictions for future scenarios.
C1 [Greenstein, Josh; Chacko, Jerel; Ardolic, Brahim; Berwald, Nicole] Staten Isl
Univ Hosp, Emergency Dept, Staten Isl, NY USA.
C3 Northwell Health
RP Berwald, N (corresponding author), Staten Isl Univ Hosp, 475 Seaview Ave, Staten
Isl, NY 10305 USA.
EM nberwald@northwell.edu
CR Casey-Lockyer M, 2013, MMWR-MORBID MORTAL W, V62, P393
NR 1
TC 11
Z9 11
U1 0
U2 7
PI NEW YORK
SN 1049-023X
EI 1945-1938
J9 PREHOSP DISASTER MED
JI Prehospital Disaster Med.
PD JUN
PY 2016
VL 31
IS 3
BP 335
EP 339
DI 10.1017/S1049023X16000261
PG 5
GA DM9AM
UT WOS:000376655700016
PM 27230082
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wong, SD
Yu, MQ
Kuncheria, A
Shaheen, SA
Walker, JL
AF Wong, Stephen D.
Yu, Mengqiao
Kuncheria, Anu
Shaheen, Susan A.
Walker, Joan L.
TI Willingness of Hurricane Irma evacuees to share resources: a
multi-modeling approach
SO TRANSPORTMETRICA A-TRANSPORT SCIENCE
LA English
DT Article
DE Joint Choice modeling; multi-choice latent class choice model; portfolio
choice model; Hurricane evacuations; sharing economy
ID NESTED LOGIT MODEL; LATENT CLASS MODEL; RESIDENTIAL LOCATION; TRAVEL
MODE; PREFERENCE HETEROGENEITY; STATED PREFERENCE; SOCIAL NETWORKS;
CHOICE ANALYSIS; JOINT ANALYSIS; CAR OWNERSHIP
AB Recent technological improvements have expanded the sharing economy (e.g.
Airbnb, Lyft, and Uber), coinciding with a growing need for evacuation resources.
To understand factors that influence sharing willingness in evacuations, we
employed a multi-modeling approach using three model types: (1) four binary logit
models that capture sharing scenario separately; (2) a portfolio choice model (PCM)
that estimates dimensional dependency, and (3) a multi-choice latent class choice
model (LCCM) that jointly estimates multiple scenarios via latent classes. We
tested our approach by employing online survey data from Hurricane Irma (2017)
evacuees (n=368). The multi-model approach uncovered behavioral nuances
undetectable with one model. For example, the multi-choice LCCM and PCM models
uncovered scenario correlation and the multi-choice LCCM found three classes -
transportation sharers, adverse sharers, and interested sharers - with different
memberships. We suggest that local agencies consider broader sharing mechanisms
across resource types and time (i.e. before, during, and after evacuations).
C1 [Wong, Stephen D.] Univ Alberta, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Edmonton, AB,
Canada.
[Wong, Stephen D.; Shaheen, Susan A.] Univ Calif Berkeley, Transportat
Sustainabil Res Ctr, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA.
[Wong, Stephen D.; Shaheen, Susan A.] Univ Calif Berkeley, Inst Transportat
Studies, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA.
[Wong, Stephen D.; Yu, Mengqiao; Kuncheria, Anu; Shaheen, Susan A.; Walker, Joan
L.] Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA.
C3 University of Alberta; University of California System; University of
California Berkeley; University of California System; University of
California Berkeley
RP Wong, SD (corresponding author), Univ Alberta, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
Edmonton, AB, Canada.
EM stephenwong@ualberta.ca
RI Kuncheria, Anu/CAA-0428-2022
OI Kuncheria, Anu/0000-0003-4975-2425
FU National Science Foundation Graduate Research Fellowship Program; Dwight
D. Eisenhower Transportation Fellowship Program
FX We thank emergency and transportation agencies, cities, planning
councils, and news sources across Florida who distributed the survey.
This research was made possible by the National Science Foundation
Graduate Research Fellowship Program and the Dwight D. Eisenhower
Transportation Fellowship Program. We thank the two anonymous reviewers
for their helpful insights on improving this paper.
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NR 132
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 9
U2 25
PI ABINGDON
SN 2324-9935
EI 2324-9943
J9 TRANSPORTMETRICA A
JI Transportmetrica A
PD MAR 15
PY 2023
VL 19
IS 2
DI 10.1080/23249935.2021.2017064
EA FEB 2022
PG 36
WC Transportation; Transportation Science & Technology
(SSCI)
SC Transportation
GA C4RP5
UT WOS:000758121600001
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Gan, BR
Yang, XG
Liao, HM
Zhou, JW
AF Gan, Bin-Rui
Yang, Xing-Guo
Liao, Hai-Mei
Zhou, Jia-Wen
TI Flood Routing Process and High Dam Interception of Natural Discharge
from the 2018 Baige Landslide-Dammed Lake
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE Baige landslide dam; natural discharge; flood routing; numerical
simulation; high dam interception
ID OUTBURST FLOOD; HYDRAULIC MODELS; UNCERTAINTY; INUNDATION; RIVER;
EQUIFINALITY; PROPAGATION; RESOLUTION; FAILURE; BREAK
AB The outburst flood of the Baige landslide dam caused tremendous damage to
infrastructure, unfinished hydraulic buildings, roads, and bridges that were built
or under construction along the Jinsha River. Can downstream hydraulic buildings,
such as high dams with flood control and discharge function, accommodate outburst
floods or generate more serious losses due to wave overtopping? In this study, the
unsteady flow of a one-dimensional hydraulic calculation was used to simulate
natural flood discharge. Assuming a high dam (Yebatan arch dam) is constructed
downstream, the flood processes were carried out in two forms of high dam
interception (complete interception, comprehensive flood control of blocking and
draining). Moreover, three-dimensional visualization of the inundation area was
performed. Simulation results indicate that the Yebatan Hydropower Station can
completely eliminate the outburst flood risk even under the most dangerous
situations. This station can reduce the flood peak and delay the peak flood arrival
time. Specifically, the flood peak decreased more obviously when it was closer to
the upstream area, and the flood peak arrival time was more delayed when the flood
spread further downstream. In addition, the downstream water depth was reduced by
approximately 10 m, and the inundation area was reduced to half of the natural
discharge. This phenomenon shows that hydraulic buildings such as high dams can
reduce the inundation area of downstream farmlands and extend the evacuation time
for downstream residents during the flood process, thus reducing the loss of life
and property.
C1 [Gan, Bin-Rui; Liao, Hai-Mei; Zhou, Jia-Wen] Sichuan Univ, State Key Lab Hydraul
& Mt River Engn, Chengdu 610065, Sichuan, Peoples R China.
[Yang, Xing-Guo] Sichuan Univ, Coll Water Resource & Hydropower, Chengdu 610065,
Sichuan, Peoples R China.
C3 Sichuan University; Sichuan University
RP Zhou, JW (corresponding author), Sichuan Univ, State Key Lab Hydraul & Mt River
Engn, Chengdu 610065, Sichuan, Peoples R China.
EM brgan@stu.scu.edu.cn; 89022251@163.com; liaohm62@163.com;
jwzhou@scu.edu.cn
FU National Key R&D Program of China [2018YFC1508601]; National Natural
Science Foundation of China [51639007, 41977229]
FX This research was funded by the National Key R&D Program of China, grant
number 2018YFC1508601 and the National Natural Science Foundation of
China, grant number 51639007 and 41977229.
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NR 33
TC 4
Z9 4
U1 8
U2 28
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD FEB
PY 2020
VL 12
IS 2
AR 605
DI 10.3390/w12020605
PG 17
GA KU6TF
UT WOS:000519846500296
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zagonari, F
Rossi, C
AF Zagonari, Fabio
Rossi, Claudio
TI A heterogeneous multi-criteria multi-expert decision-support system for
scoring combinations of flood mitigation and recovery options
SO ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE
LA English
DT Article
DE Multi-criteria multi-expert; Decision-support system; Flood mitigation;
Flood recovery; NET framework
ID KNOWLEDGE; AGGREGATION; ASSESSMENTS; MANAGEMENT; SELECTION; MODELS;
TOPSIS
AB In this study, we developed an innovative operational decision-support system
(DSS) based on flood data and mitigation or recovery options, that can be used by
both nave and expert users to score portfolios of flood mitigation or recovery
measures. The DSS combines exposure (i.e., economic, social, or environmental
values at risk) and resilience (i.e., protection of the main equilibrium functions
of human and physical systems). Experts from different fields define indices and
functions, stakeholders express their attitudes towards risk, relative weights, and
risk perceptions, and both groups use a shared learning process for risk
assessment. The DSS algorithms include the "technique for order performance by
similarity to ideal solution" (TOPSIS) and the "basic linguistic term set" (BLTS)
methods for heterogeneous multi-criteria multi-expert decision-making. Decisions
are illustrated using fixed or bounded values of flood depth, duration, and
frequency, with plausible parameter values, for a case study of Cesenatico. The
best mitigation option was construction of sand dunes and development of evacuation
plans, which achieved 32% of the potential net benefit. The best recovery option
was construction of sand dunes and development of evacuation plans and insurance
schemes, which achieved 42% of the potential net benefit. Mitigation options
outperformed recovery options whenever the relative importance of exposure with
respect to resilience was greater than 95%. Sensitivity analysis revealed that the
best mitigation option was most robust with respect to flood duration and depth;
the best recovery option was most robust with respect to the relative weights
attached to economic, social, and environmental factors. Both options were
similarly robust with respect to interdependencies between the options. (C) 2013
Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
C1 [Zagonari, Fabio] Univ Bologna, Dipartimento Sci Econ, I-47900 Rimini, Italy.
[Rossi, Claudio] Univ Bologna, I-40126 Bologna, Italy.
C3 University of Bologna; University of Bologna
RP Zagonari, F (corresponding author), Univ Bologna, Dipartimento Sci Econ, Via
Anghera 22, I-47900 Rimini, Italy.
EM fabio.zagonari@unibo.it
OI ZAGONARI, FABIO/0000-0002-9872-8731; Rossi, Claudio/0000-0003-2270-6322
FU European Commission through the project "Innovative Technologies for
safer European coasts in a changing climate" (THESEUS) [244104,
FP7.2009-1]
FX We are grateful for the support of the European Commission through the
project "Innovative Technologies for safer European coasts in a changing
climate" (THESEUS, Contract 244104, FP7.2009-1; www.theseusproject.eu).
We thank the project coordinator, Barbara Zanuttigh, of the University
of Bologna (Italy), for her patient work.
CR Anisseh M, 2012, ARTIF INTELL REV, V38, P325, DOI 10.1007/s10462-011-9258-2
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NR 35
TC 32
Z9 33
U1 2
U2 42
PU ELSEVIER SCI LTD
PI OXFORD
SN 1364-8152
EI 1873-6726
J9 ENVIRON MODELL SOFTW
JI Environ. Modell. Softw.
PD NOV
PY 2013
VL 49
BP 152
EP 165
DI 10.1016/j.envsoft.2013.08.004
PG 14
Environmental; Environmental Sciences; Water Resources
Resources
GA 260DQ
UT WOS:000327575600013
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Li, B
Mostafavi, A
AF Li, Bo
Mostafavi, Ali
TI Location intelligence reveals the extent, timing, and spatial variation
of hurricane preparedness
SO SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
LA English
DT Article
ID MOBILITY; WILMA
AB Hurricanes are one of the most catastrophic natural hazards faced by residents
of the United States. Improving the public's hurricane preparedness is essential to
reduce the impact and disruption of hurricanes on households. Inherent in
traditional methods for quantifying and monitoring hurricane preparedness are
significant lags, which hinder effective monitoring of residents' preparedness in
advance of an impending hurricane. This study establishes a methodological
framework to quantify the extent, timing, and spatial variation of hurricane
preparedness at the census block group level using high-resolution location
intelligence data. Anonymized cell phone data on visits to points-of-interest for
each census block group in Harris County before 2017 Hurricane Harvey were used to
examine residents' hurricane preparedness. Four categories of points-of-interest,
grocery stores, gas stations, pharmacies and home improvement stores, were
identified as they have close relationship with hurricane preparedness, and the
daily number of visits from each CBG to these four categories of POIs were
calculated during preparation period. Two metrics, extent of preparedness and
proactivity, were calculated based on the daily visit percentage change compared to
the baseline period. The results show that peak visits to pharmacies often occurred
in the early stage of preparation, whereas the peak of visits to gas stations
happened closer to hurricane landfall. The spatial and temporal patterns of visits
to grocery stores and home improvement stores were quite similar. However,
correlation analysis demonstrates that extent of preparedness and proactivity are
independent of each other. Combined with synchronous evacuation data, CBGs in
Harris County were divided into four clusters in terms of extent of preparedness
and evacuation rate. The clusters with low preparedness and low evacuation rate
were identified as hotspots of vulnerability for shelter-in-place households that
would need urgent attention during response. Hence, the research findings provide a
new data-driven approach to quantify and monitor the extent, timing, and spatial
variations of hurricane preparedness. Accordingly, the study advances data-driven
understanding of human protective actions during disasters. The study outcomes also
provide emergency response managers and public officials with novel data-driven
insights to more proactively monitor residents' disaster preparedness, making it
possible to identify under-prepared areas and better allocate resources in a timely
manner.
C1 [Li, Bo; Mostafavi, Ali] Texas A&M Univ, Urban Resilience AI Lab, Zachry Dept
Civil & Environm Engn, College Stn, TX 77843 USA.
C3 Texas A&M University System; Texas A&M University College Station
RP Li, B (corresponding author), Texas A&M Univ, Urban Resilience AI Lab, Zachry
Dept Civil & Environm Engn, College Stn, TX 77843 USA.
EM libo@tamu.edu
FU National Science Foundation [CMMI1846069]; Texas AM University [699];
Microsoft Azure AI for Public Health
FX This material is based in part upon work supported by the National
Science Foundation under Grant CMMI1846069 (CAREER), Texas A&M
University X-Grant 699, and the Microsoft Azure AI for Public Health
grant. The authors also would like to acknowledge the data support from
Spectus. Any opinions, findings, conclusions or recommendations
expressed in this material are those of the authors and do not
necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation, Texas
A&M University, Microsoft Azure, or Spectus.
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NR 46
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 5
U2 6
PU NATURE PORTFOLIO
PI BERLIN
PA HEIDELBERGER PLATZ 3, BERLIN, 14197, GERMANY
SN 2045-2322
J9 SCI REP-UK
JI Sci Rep
PD SEP 27
PY 2022
VL 12
IS 1
AR 16121
DI 10.1038/s41598-022-20571-3
PG 13
GA 4X4YW
UT WOS:000860850600024
PM 36168037
OA gold, Green Submitted, Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Konami, T
Koga, H
Kawatsura, A
AF Konami, Takahiro
Koga, Hirohisa
Kawatsura, Akihiko
TI Role of pre-disaster discussions on preparedness on consensus-making of
integrated flood management (IFM) after a flood disaster, based on a
case in the Abukuma River Basin, Fukushima, Japan
LA English
DT Article
DE Integrated water resources management; Integrated flood management;
Disaster preparedness; Abukuma river; Typhoon Hagibis
AB In October 2019, Typhoon Hagibis struck wide areas of Japan, including the
Abukuma River Basin and caused a serious flood disaster. Four months later, based
on the challenges of the disaster, relevant national and local authorities have
agreed to carry out an integrated flood management (IFM) project, towards enhanced
flood protection, "no one left behind" evacuation, and less socio-economic damage.
The authors provide a brief report on the disaster with the preparedness and on
this project with its consensus-making process, and then discuss the role of pre-
disaster discussions on preparedness on consensus-making of IFM, in addition to
their primary function.
C1 [Konami, Takahiro; Koga, Hirohisa; Kawatsura, Akihiko] Minist Land Infrastruct
Transport & Tourism Japan, Tokyo, Japan.
[Konami, Takahiro] Minist Land Infrastruct Transport & Tourism Japan, Int
Cooperat & Projects, Chiyoda Ku, 2-1-3 Kasumigaseki, Tokyo 1008918, Japan.
RP Konami, T (corresponding author), Minist Land Infrastruct Transport & Tourism
Japan, Tokyo, Japan.; Konami, T (corresponding author), Minist Land Infrastruct
Transport & Tourism Japan, Int Cooperat & Projects, Chiyoda Ku, 2-1-3 Kasumigaseki,
EM konami-t2fx@mlit.go.jp; koga-h85aa@mlit.go.jp;
kawatsura-a84cj@mlit.go.jp
CR APFM/WMO, 2009, INTEGRATED FLOOD MAN
Associated Programme on Flood Management (APFM)/World Meteorological
Organization (WMO), 2008, URBAN FLOOD RISK MAN
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PLANNING POLICY STAT
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NR 23
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 2
U2 8
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD FEB 1
PY 2021
VL 53
AR 102012
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.102012
PG 10
Water Resources
GA QE6GW
UT WOS:000616304900007
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Billman, M
Atoba, K
Thompson, C
Brody, S
AF Billman, Matthew
Atoba, Kayode
Thompson, Courtney
Brody, Samuel
TI How about Now? Changes in Risk Perception before and after Hurricane
Irma
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE hurricanes; risk perception; resilience; mitigation
ID NUCLEAR-POWER-PLANT; SITUATIONAL THEORY; WILDFIRE RISK; FLOOD RISK;
SOCIAL AMPLIFICATION; PUBLIC RESPONSE; PERCEIVED RISK; SELF-EFFICACY;
HAZARDS; COMMUNICATION
AB Risk reduction behaviors are often voluntary and influenced by how at-risk an
individual personally feels, known as risk perception. This paper examines how risk
perception changed from before and six months after Hurricane Irma, a Category 3
storm that narrowly missed Sarasota County, FL. Both surveys asked about residents'
hurricane risk perceptions, evacuation behaviors, mitigation plans, and attitudes
about self-efficacy. For each question found in both surveys, the research used t-
tests (alpha = 0.05) to assess whether significant changes in risk perceptions
occurred between responses. The results suggest that Hurricane Irma had a notable
impact on risk perception. The changes were most evident in reported levels of
self-efficacy as residents were less likely to feel able to sufficiently prepare
for or recover from hurricane impacts after Hurricane Irma. Respondents were also
more likely to believe individuals are responsible for preparing for hurricane
impacts. The findings have implications for public risk communicators, who may find
it effective and sustainable to appeal to residents' lowered self-efficacy or sense
of responsibility for the dangers of hurricanes while implementing policies and
communication strategies.
C1 [Billman, Matthew; Thompson, Courtney] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Geog, College Stn,
TX 77843 USA.
[Atoba, Kayode; Brody, Samuel] Texas A&M Univ, Inst Disaster Resilient Texas,
College Stn, TX 77843 USA.
[Brody, Samuel] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Marine & Coastal Environm Sci, Galveston,
TX 77554 USA.
A&M University System; Texas A&M University College Station; Texas A&M
University System
RP Atoba, K (corresponding author), Texas A&M Univ, Inst Disaster Resilient Texas,
EM matthew.billman.168@gmail.com; kayodeatoba@tamu.edu;
Cthompson24@tamu.edu
OI Atoba, Kayode/0000-0003-4616-7917
FU National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine's Gulf
Research Early-Career
FX This research was funded by the National Academies of Sciences,
Engineering, and Medicine's Gulf Research Early-Career Fellowship
Program.
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NR 89
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 2
U2 2
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
JI Sustainability
PD MAY 7
PY 2023
VL 15
IS 9
AR 7680
DI 10.3390/su15097680
PG 19
(SSCI)
GA G2WH6
UT WOS:000987816800001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Jang, JH
AF Jang, Jiun-Huei
TI An Advanced Method to Apply Multiple Rainfall Thresholds for Urban Flood
Warnings
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE urban flood warning; inundation model; rainfall threshold; warning level
ID CLIMATE-CHANGE IMPACTS; INUNDATION SIMULATION; MODEL; RIVER; REAL;
FLOWS; BASIN
AB Issuing warning information to the public when rainfall exceeds given thresholds
is a simple and widely-used method to minimize flood risk; however, this method
lacks sophistication when compared with hydrodynamic simulation. In this study, an
advanced methodology is proposed to improve the warning effectiveness of the
rainfall threshold method for urban areas through deterministic-stochastic
modeling, without sacrificing simplicity and efficiency. With regards to flooding
mechanisms, rainfall thresholds of different durations are divided into two groups
accounting for flooding caused by drainage overload and disastrous runoff, which
help in grading the warning level in terms of emergency and severity when the two
are observed together. A flood warning is then classified into four levels
distinguished by green, yellow, orange, and red lights in ascending order of
priority that indicate the required measures, from standby, flood defense,
evacuation to rescue, respectively. The proposed methodology is tested according to
22 historical events in the last 10 years for 252 urbanized townships in Taiwan.
The results show satisfactory accuracy in predicting the occurrence and timing of
flooding, with a logical warning time series for taking progressive measures. For
systems with multiple rainfall thresholds already in place, the methodology can be
used to ensure better application of rainfall thresholds in urban flood warnings.
C1 [Jang, Jiun-Huei] Natl Sci & Technol Ctr Disaster Reduct, New Taipei City 23143,
Taiwan.
C3 National Science & Technology Center for Disaster Reduction (NCDR)
RP Jang, JH (corresponding author), Natl Sci & Technol Ctr Disaster Reduct, New
Taipei City 23143, Taiwan.
EM jamesjang@ncdr.nat.gov.tw
OI Jang, Jiun-Huei/0000-0001-6471-254X
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NR 50
TC 23
Z9 23
U1 1
U2 27
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD NOV
PY 2015
VL 7
IS 11
BP 6056
EP 6078
DI 10.3390/w7116056
PG 23
GA CX8AF
UT WOS:000365923400009
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wolshon, B
AF Wolshon, Brian
TI Empirical characterization of mass evacuation traffic flow
LA English
DT Article
AB Among the many gaps in the current state of mass evacuation planning and
analysis practice has been a lack of the field-based study of traffic flows under
actual evacuation conditions. Without observational studies of such conditions, the
simulations and forecasts of roadway performance during emergencies have
historically been based on conjecture and professional judgment. However, the
recent series of hurricane evacuations along the U.S. Gulf Coast has given
investigators the opportunity to collect and evaluate traffic conditions during
evacuation scenarios. This paper uses recently collected traffic data from two
recent evacuations in Louisiana to assess how well various roadway classifications
in different geographic areas were able to carry traffic during emergencies under
both normal-flow and contraflow operations. The objectives were to characterize the
general conditions of traffic flow under an evacuation condition, to address
lingering questions related to maximum sustainable flows, and to examine how the
flows compared with those suggested in the Highway Capacity Manual (HCM). The
findings of this work suggest that during evacuations most roadways carry flows
well below the HCM-predicted maximums and that despite the enormous demand
conditions generated by a mass evacuation, the maximum flows on urban roadways
typically do not even reach those of typical daily commuter periods.
C1 Louisiana State Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA.
RP Wolshon, B (corresponding author), Louisiana State Univ, Dept Civil & Environm
Engn, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA.
EM brian@rsip.lsu.edu
CR [Anonymous], 2000, HIGHW CAP MAN
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Townsend F. F., 2006, FEDERAL RESPONSE HUR
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947X(2006)132:1(1)
WOLSHON B, 2004, NCHRP SYNTHESIS HIGH, V340
NR 11
TC 22
Z9 22
U1 0
U2 8
PI THOUSAND OAKS
SN 0361-1981
EI 2169-4052
PY 2008
IS 2041
BP 38
EP 48
DI 10.3141/2041-05
PG 11
GA 345CR
UT WOS:000258974100006
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Fraser, T
Morikawa, L
Aldrich, DP
AF Fraser, Timothy
Morikawa, Larissa
Aldrich, Daniel P.
TI Rumor has it: The role of social ties and misinformation in evacuation
to nearby shelters after disaster
SO CLIMATE RISK MANAGEMENT
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuation; Shelters; Social capital; Mixed methods; QCA; TSCS; Japan
ID RECOVERY; HOME; PARTICIPATION; ASSOCIATION; RESILIENCY; CAROLINA;
STRATEGY; TRIGGERS; HAZARDS; FLOOD
AB When crisis strikes, why do some communities utilize evacuation shelters more
than others? This mixed methods study draws on a new dataset of almost-daily
tallies of evacuees at 660 local shelters following Japan's 2018 Eastern Iburi
Earthquake in Hokkaido to create a large-N timeseries cross sectional (TSCS)
dataset of local, short-distance evacuation. We pair time-series crosssectional
data models with qualitative comparative analysis (QCA) of nine affected
municipalities to examine why some shelters see higher evacuation rates than
others. While past studies have used Facebook user data, post-hoc surveys, or ad-
hoc roadside interviews to measure evacuation, this study uses meticulously
recorded shelter attendance data to draw inferences about evacuation behavior.
Controlling for types of shelters, damage levels, infrastructure quality, social
vulnerability, governance capacity, and community resources, we find that in
affected communities, stronger bridging social ties, especially when aided by
linking ties, motivate greater evacuation to shelters. In unaffected communities,
stronger bonding and bridging ties encourage potentially unnecessary evacuation,
helping spread rumors during blackouts. These results highlight the necessity of
clear, transparent communication with the public, and fostering trust in government
during crises.
C1 [Fraser, Timothy] Northeastern Univ, Polit Sci Dept, 960A Renaissance Pk,360
Huntington Ave, Boston, MA 02115 USA.
[Morikawa, Larissa] Northeastern Univ, Coll Social Sci & Humanities, Secur &
Resilience Program, 215H Renaissance Pk,360 Huntington Ave, Boston, MA 02115 USA.
[Aldrich, Daniel P.] Northeastern Univ, Dept Polit Sci, Polit Sci Publ Policy &
Urban Affairs, 215H Renaissance Pk,360 Huntington Ave, Boston, MA 02115 USA.
[Aldrich, Daniel P.] Northeastern Univ, Dept Polit Sci, Secur & Resilience
Program, 215H Renaissance Pk,360 Huntington Ave, Boston, MA 02115 USA.
C3 Northeastern University; Northeastern University; Northeastern
University; Northeastern University
RP Fraser, T (corresponding author), Northeastern Univ, Polit Sci Dept, 960A
Renaissance Pk,360 Huntington Ave, Boston, MA 02115 USA.
EM timothy.fraser.1@gmail.com; morikawa.l@northwestern.edu;
daniel.aldrich@gmail.com
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NR 69
TC 8
Z9 8
U1 6
U2 21
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-0963
J9 CLIM RISK MANAG
JI CLIM. RISK MANAG.
PY 2021
VL 33
AR 100320
DI 10.1016/j.crm.2021.100320
EA MAY 2021
PG 13
WC Environmental Sciences; Environmental Studies; Meteorology & Atmospheric
Sciences
(SSCI)
GA UH0VA
UT WOS:000689657300003
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Oyedele, P
Kola, E
Olorunfemi, F
Walz, Y
AF Oyedele, Peter
Kola, Edinam
Olorunfemi, Felix
Walz, Yvonne
TI Understanding Flood Vulnerability in Local Communities of Kogi State,
Nigeria, Using an Index-Based Approach
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE flood vulnerability; indicators; flood-prone communities; lack of
resilience; Kogi State; Nigeria
ID SOCIAL VULNERABILITY; RISK
AB In West Africa, the impacts of flooding are becoming more severe with climate
warming. Flood-prone communities in Kogi State in north-central Nigeria are
affected by annual flooding and some extreme flood events. The negative impacts
remain a major obstacle to development, environmental sustainability, and human
security, exacerbating poverty in the region. Reducing and managing the impacts of
flooding are increasingly becoming a challenge for individual households. Analysing
vulnerability to flooding (a function of exposure, susceptibility, and lack of
resilience) and identifying its causes using an index-based approach to achieve
sustainable flood risk management were the focus of this study. A semi-structured
questionnaire was used to collect relevant data from 400 households in 20
purposively selected communities. Based on expert opinions and an extensive
literature review, 16 sets of relevant indicators were developed. These indicators
were normalised and aggregated to compute the flood vulnerability index (FVI) for
each community. This was then used to compare, classify, and rank communities in
terms of their vulnerability to flooding. The results of the study showed that the
selected communities were at varying levels of the risk of flooding. Four of the
communities including the Onyedega, Ogba Ojubo, Odogwu, and Ichala Edeke
communities were found to have very high vulnerability to flooding compared to
others. Several factors such as poor building structures, lack of evacuation and
flood management measures, over-dependence of households on agriculture, lack of
diversification of economic activities, and weak household economic capacity were
identified as causes. These findings are useful for developing flood risk reduction
and adaptation strategies, such as ecosystem-based approaches, to reduce current
and future vulnerability to flooding in Nigeria and other developing countries with
similar conditions.
C1 [Oyedele, Peter; Kola, Edinam] Univ Lome, Dept Geog, West African Sci Serv Ctr
Climate Change & Adapte, Grad Res Program Climate Change & Disaster Risk M,
01BP1515, Lome, Togo.
[Oyedele, Peter; Walz, Yvonne] United Nations Univ, Inst Environm & Human Secur,
Pl Vereinten Nationen 1, D-53113 Bonn, Germany.
[Olorunfemi, Felix] Nigerian Inst Social & Econom Res, PMB 5,UI Post Off,Oyo Rd,
Ibadan 200132, Oyo, Nigeria.
RP Oyedele, P (corresponding author), Univ Lome, Dept Geog, West African Sci Serv
Ctr Climate Change & Adapte, Grad Res Program Climate Change & Disaster Risk M,
01BP1515, Lome, Togo.; Oyedele, P (corresponding author), United Nations Univ, Inst
Environm & Human Secur, Pl Vereinten Nationen 1, D-53113 Bonn, Germany.
EM bolupeter@gmail.com
OI Walz, Yvonne/0000-0003-3781-5038; Oyedele, Peter
Boluwaji/0000-0002-2478-9486
FU German Federal Ministry for Education and Research
FX The authors wish to express their sincere gratitude to the West African
Climate Change and Adapted Land Use (WASCAL) funded by the German
Federal Ministry for Education and Research for providing financial
support to the corresponding author to carry out this research as part
of his postgraduate studies. Special thanks to the staff of the
Environmental Vulnerability & Ecosystem Services (EVES) section, United
Nations University, Institute for Environment and Human Security
(UNU-EHS), Bonn, Germany, for their support and contributions to this
research during the corresponding author's short scientific visit to the
institution. Likewise, thanks to the technical staff of the Environment
and Physical Infrastructure Policy Department of the Nigerian Institute
of Social and Economic Research (NISER), Ibadan, Nigeria, for providing
and enabling the working environment for the corresponding author.
Finally, the authors would like to express their gratitude to the
Climate Change Unit of the Kogi State Ministry of Environment and
Natural Resources, as well as the Kogi State Emergency Management Agency
(SEMA), Nigeria, for their collaboration in the data collection.
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NR 60
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 4
U2 7
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD SEP
PY 2022
VL 14
IS 17
AR 2746
DI 10.3390/w14172746
PG 21
GA 4K5EX
UT WOS:000851973900001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Long, EF
Chen, MK
Rohla, R
AF Long, Elisa F.
Chen, M. Keith
Rohla, Ryne
TI Political storms: Emergent partisan skepticism of hurricane risks
SO SCIENCE ADVANCES
LA English
DT Article
ID SCIENCE LITERACY
AB Mistrust of scientific evidence and government-issued guidelines is increasingly
correlated with political affiliation. Survey evidence has documented skepticism in
a diverse set of issues including climate change, vaccine hesitancy, and, most
recently, COVID-19 risks. Less well understood is whether these beliefs alter high-
stakes behavior. Combining GPS data for 2.7 million smartphone users in Florida and
Texas with 2016 U.S. presidential election precinct-level results, we examine how
conservative-media dismissals of hurricane advisories in 2017 influenced evacuation
decisions. Likely Trump-voting Florida residents were 10 to 11 percentage points
less likely to evacuate Hurricane Irma than Clinton voters (34% versus 45%), a gap
not present in prior hurricanes. Results are robust to fine-grain geographic
controls, which compare likely Clinton and Trump voters living within 150 m of each
other. The rapid surge in media-led suspicion of hurricane forecasts-and the
resulting divide in self-protective measures-illustrates a large behavioral
consequence of science denialism.
C1 [Long, Elisa F.; Chen, M. Keith; Rohla, Ryne] Univ Calif Los Angeles, Anderson
Sch Management, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA.
C3 University of California System; University of California Los Angeles
RP Long, EF (corresponding author), Univ Calif Los Angeles, Anderson Sch
Management, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA.
EM elisa.long@anderson.ucla.edu
RI Long, Elisa/AFQ-5915-2022
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NR 25
TC 21
Z9 21
U1 1
U2 12
PU AMER ASSOC ADVANCEMENT SCIENCE
PI WASHINGTON
PA 1200 NEW YORK AVE, NW, WASHINGTON, DC 20005 USA
SN 2375-2548
J9 SCI ADV
JI Sci. Adv.
PD SEP
PY 2020
VL 6
IS 37
AR eabb7906
DI 10.1126/sciadv.abb7906
PG 7
(SSCI)
GA NR1XL
UT WOS:000571356100026
PM 32917709
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Abdulrahman, KZ
Faris, MR
Ibrahim, HM
Yousif, OSQ
Ghafoor, AA
Othman, LS
Karakouzian, M
AF Abdulrahman, Kawa Z.
Faris, Mariwan R.
Ibrahim, Hekmat M.
Yousif, Omed S. Q.
Ghafoor, Alan Abubaker
Othman, Luqman S.
Karakouzian, Moses
TI Hypothetical failure of the Khassa Chai dam and flood risk analysis for
Kirkuk, Iraq
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DT Article
DE Flood simulation; Dam failure; 2D Flow modeling; HEC-RAS; Flood risk
assessment
ID HEC-RAS; BREACH; MODELS
AB Many of Iraqi's high-hazard dams lack an Emergency Action Plan, which should
include a flood inundation map to show which downstream areas would be flooded if
the dams were to fail. This article presents the results of the simulation of a
hypothetical 2D dam break for the 58 m high Khassa Chai dam in Kirkuk, Iraq, using
HEC-RAS 2D 5.0.7 software. The Khassa Chai dam is situated 7.4 km north of Kirkuk.
The simulations revealed that the dam-break flood will affect eight major bridges
and the majority of Kirkuk city's metropolitan neighborhoods. Within an hour, the
floodwaters will reach the city's center. The flood hazard map revealed that if the
Khassa Chai dam fails, many people, vehicles, and structures will be at danger. The
findings of this paper can be used to identify evacuation routes and refuge sites
as well as build suitable warning systems in order to limit the risk for fatalities
if the Khassa Chai dam fails. Moreover, as the effect of modeling bridges
downstream of failed dams has not been explored yet, to the knowledge of the
authors, eight bridges have been modeled. It was concluded that ignoring bridges in
such a large dam break model will not affect the results significantly, which saves
the time of data collection and model development.
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Kurdistan Regio, Iraq.
[Faris, Mariwan R.] Univ Kirkuk, Coll Engn, Dept Civil Engn, Kirkuk 36001, Iraq.
[Othman, Luqman S.; Karakouzian, Moses] Univ Halabja, Dept Civil Engn, Halabja
46018, Kurdistan Regio, Iraq.
[Abdulrahman, Kawa Z.; Faris, Mariwan R.; Ibrahim, Hekmat M.; Yousif, Omed S.
Q.; Ghafoor, Alan Abubaker; Othman, Luqman S.; Karakouzian, Moses] Univ Nevada,
Civil & Environm Engn & Construct, 4505 Maryland Pkwy, Las Vegas, NV 89154 USA.
C3 University of Sulimanyah; University of Kirkuk; Nevada System of Higher
Education (NSHE); University of Nevada Las Vegas
RP Abdulrahman, KZ (corresponding author), Univ Sulaimani, Coll Engn, Dept Water
Resources Engn, Sulaymaniyah 46002, Kurdistan Regio, Iraq.; Abdulrahman, KZ
(corresponding author), Univ Nevada, Civil & Environm Engn & Construct, 4505
Maryland Pkwy, Las Vegas, NV 89154 USA.
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NR 54
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 4
U2 9
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 0921-030X
EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
PD SEP
PY 2022
VL 113
IS 3
BP 1833
EP 1851
DI 10.1007/s11069-022-05371-2
EA MAY 2022
PG 19
Water Resources
GA 4P7DM
UT WOS:000790611000003
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Huo, AD
Guan, WK
Dang, J
Wu, TZ
Shantai, H
Wang, W
Van Liew, MW
AF Huo, Ai-Di
Guan, Wen-Ke
Dang, Jian
Wu, Tian-Zhong
Shantai, Hainiken
Wang, Wei
Van Liew, Michael W.
TI Submerged area of typical torrential flood and debris-flow disasters in
Mengzong Gully, China
SO GEOMATICS NATURAL HAZARDS & RISK
LA English
DT Article
DE HEC-RAS; HEC-GeoRAS; torrential flood and debris flow inundation
scenarios; Mengzong Gully
AB The torrential flooding and debris flow disasters associated with global climate
change pose not only serious threat to individual lives and property, but also
impact economic development. Accurately simulating flood scenarios can help to
reduce the losses caused by torrential flooding and debris flow by making early
warning, evacuation planning, and risk analysis possible. In this study, HEC-RAS
software and HEC-GeoRAS module were employed in GIS (geographic information system)
to simulate the flood overtopping in the Mengzong Gully of Batang River in flood
scenarios occurring once in 20, 50, and 100 years, respectively. The simulated
floods provided valuable information including scope and depth of submersion via 2D
visualization.
C1 [Huo, Ai-Di; Dang, Jian] Changan Univ, Dept Hydrol & Water Resources, Sch
Environm Sci & Engn, Xian 710054, Peoples R China.
[Huo, Ai-Di] Inst Water Resources & Hydropower Res, State Key Lab Simulat &
Regulat Water Cycle River, Beijing 100038, Peoples R China.
[Huo, Ai-Di] Changan Univ, Minist Educ, Key Lab Subsurface Hydrol & Ecol Effect
Arid Reg, Xian 710054, Peoples R China.
[Guan, Wen-Ke; Wu, Tian-Zhong; Shantai, Hainiken] Xinjiang Acad Forestry,
Afforestat Desert Control Res Inst, Urumqi 830000, Peoples R China.
[Wang, Wei] Northwest Inst Forest Inventory Planning & Design, Xian 710048,
Peoples R China.
[Van Liew, Michael W.] Univ Nebraska, Sch Nat Resources, Lincoln, NE 68583 USA.
C3 Chang'an University; China Institute of Water Resources & Hydropower
Research; Chang'an University; University of Nebraska System; University
of Nebraska Lincoln
RP Huo, AD (corresponding author), Changan Univ, Dept Hydrol & Water Resources, Sch
Environm Sci & Engn, Xian 710054, Peoples R China.; Huo, AD (corresponding author),
Inst Water Resources & Hydropower Res, State Key Lab Simulat & Regulat Water Cycle
River, Beijing 100038, Peoples R China.; Huo, AD (corresponding author), Changan
Univ, Minist Educ, Key Lab Subsurface Hydrol & Ecol Effect Arid Reg, Xian 710054,
Peoples R China.
EM huoaidi@163.com
FU Science and Technology Support Project of the Tarim Populus National
Nature Region in Xinjiang [2015XJ-001]; Open Research Fund of State Key
Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin,
China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research
[IWHR-SKL-201510]; Project of Science and Technology of Social
Development in Shaanxi Province [2016SF-411]
FX We would like to thank the Science and Technology Support Project of the
Tarim Populus National Nature Region in Xinjiang [2015XJ-001]; the
project of Open Research Fund of State Key Laboratory of Simulation and
Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water
Resources and Hydropower Research [grant number IWHR-SKL-201510]; and
the Project of Science and Technology of Social Development in Shaanxi
Province [grant number 2016SF-411].
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NR 9
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 5
U2 17
PI ABINGDON
SN 1947-5705
EI 1947-5713
J9 GEOMAT NAT HAZ RISK
JI Geomat. Nat. Hazards Risk
PY 2016
VL 7
SU 1
BP 18
EP 24
DI 10.1080/19475705.2016.1181340
PG 7
Water Resources
GA EL5UU
UT WOS:000394687500003
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Urata, J
Hato, E
AF Urata, Junji
Hato, Eiji
TI Dynamics of local interactions and evacuation behaviors in a social
network
LA English
DT Article
DE Local interaction; Network formation; Evacuation behavior; Departure
choice
ID DISCRETE-CHOICE MODELS; HURRICANE; INDIVIDUALS; UNDERSTAND; TIME;
HETEROGENEITY; DEPARTURE; FRAMEWORK
AB This paper examines how social interaction affects the choice to evacuate during
a network formation process. The primary objective is to evaluate in detail the
influence of other individuals by considering how influencers and entire network
structures affect one-to-one interactions. This study proposes an analytical
framework for the simultaneous evaluation of local interaction and face-to-face
communication network formation. This framework is appropriate for dynamic
scenarios, because local interactions strongly influence human decision making and
because network formation changes over time. Our detailed local interaction model,
which is based on Brock and Durlauf (2001), analyzes the differences in the
interaction weights related to pairs and behaviors. We estimate the utility and the
asymmetric weight parameters in the local interaction model by using the nested
pseudo-likelihood approach. Our proposed network formation model, which is based on
the discrete choice model, evaluates the probability of face-to-face communication
and the spatial correlations of the interaction pairs in an area. Our case study
validates the introduction of (1) asymmetric weights of interaction in the
evacuation departure choice and (2) spatial correlation in the network formation
model, using the behavioral data collected during a no-notice disaster in a
devastated settlement. In numerical simulations, the proposed evaluation framework
can effectively illustrate the impact of network structures on the choice
probabilities influenced by interactions. Additionally, the framework is useful for
evaluating the critical measures for prompt evacuation.
C1 [Urata, Junji; Hato, Eiji] Univ Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
C3 University of Tokyo
RP Urata, J (corresponding author), Univ Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
EM urata@bin.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp; hato@bin.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp
OI HATO, Eiji/0000-0003-3932-7791
FU JSPS, Japan [17K14739, 20K14844]; Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research
[17K14739, 20K14844] Funding Source: KAKEN
FX The authors are grateful to Hideki Yaginuma for the useful discussions.
A part of this study was supported by JSPS Grant-in-Aid for Young
Scientists B, Japan Grant Number 17K14739 and JSPS Grant-in-Aid for
Early-Career Scientists, Japan 20K14844.
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NR 90
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 2
U2 13
PI OXFORD
SN 0968-090X
EI 1879-2359
PD APR
PY 2021
VL 125
AR 103056
DI 10.1016/j.trc.2021.103056
EA MAR 2021
PG 18
(SSCI)
SC Transportation
GA RH2ZS
UT WOS:000636094000011
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zachria, A
AF Zachria, Anthony
TI Deaths related to Hurricane Rita and mass evacuation
SO CHEST
LA English
DT Meeting Abstract
CT CHEST 2006 Conference
CY OCT 21-26, 2006
CL Salt Lake City, UT
C1 Univ Texas, Hlth Sci Ctr, Houston, TX USA.
Houston
NR 0
TC 9
Z9 9
U1 0
U2 1
PU AMER COLL CHEST PHYSICIANS
PI NORTHBROOK
PA 3300 DUNDEE ROAD, NORTHBROOK, IL 60062-2348 USA
SN 0012-3692
J9 CHEST
JI Chest
PD OCT
PY 2006
VL 130
IS 4
SU S
BP 124S
EP 124S
DI 10.1378/chest.130.4_MeetingAbstracts.124S-c
PG 1
WC Critical Care Medicine; Respiratory System
WE Conference Proceedings Citation Index - Science (CPCI-S); Science Citation Index
Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)
SC General & Internal Medicine; Respiratory System
GA 095DI
UT WOS:000241288000145
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Morss, RE
Hayden, MH
Hayden, Mary H.
TI Storm Surge and "Certain Death": Interviews with Texas Coastal Residents
following Hurricane Ike
LA English
DT Article
AB Hurricane Ike made landfall near Galveston, Texas, on 13 September 2008 as a
large category 2 storm that generated significant storm surge and flooding. This
article presents findings from an empirical case study of Texas coastal residents'
perceptions of hurricane risk, protective decision making, and opinions of
hurricane forecasts related to Hurricane Ike. The results are based on data from
interviews with 49 residents affected by Hurricane Ike, conducted approximately
five weeks after landfall. While most interviewees were aware that Ike was
potentially dangerous, many were surprised by how much coastal flooding the
hurricane caused and the resulting damage. For many-even long-time residents-Ike
was a learning experience. As the hurricane approached, interviewees and their
households made complex, evolving preparation and evacuation decisions. Although
evacuation orders were an important consideration for some interviewees, many
obtained information about Ike frequently from multiple sources to evaluate their
own risk and make protective decisions. Given the storm surge and damage Ike
caused, a number of interviewees believed that Ike's classification on the Saffir-
Simpson scale did not adequately communicate the risk Ike posed. The "certain
death" statement issued by the National Weather Service helped convince several
interviewees to evacuate. However, others had strong negative opinions of the
statement that may negatively influence their interpretation of and response to
future warnings. As these findings indicate, empirical studies of how intended
audiences obtain, interpret, and use hurricane forecasts and warnings provide
valuable knowledge that can help design more effective ways to convey hurricane
risk.
C1 [Morss, Rebecca E.; Hayden, Mary H.] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Natl Sci Fdn,
Boulder, CO 80307 USA.
C3 National Center Atmospheric Research (NCAR) - USA; National Science
Foundation (NSF)
RP Morss, RE (corresponding author), Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Natl Sci Fdn, POB
EM morss@ucar.edu
FU National Science Foundation
FX The National Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the
[Anonymous], 2005, ENVIRON HAZARDS-UK, DOI [10.1016/j.hazards.2006.10.002, DOI
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NR 40
TC 99
Z9 99
U1 1
U2 20
PI BOSTON
SN 1948-8327
J9 WEATHER CLIM SOC
PD JUL
PY 2010
VL 2
IS 3
BP 174
EP 189
DI 10.1175/2010WCAS1041.1
PG 16
(SSCI)
GA V22HS
UT WOS:000208266900002
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zhang, FQ
Morss, RE
Sippel, JA
Beckman, TK
Clements, NC
Hampshire, NL
Harvey, JN
Hernandez, JM
Morgan, ZC
Mosier, RM
Wang, S
Winkley, SD
AF Zhang, Fuqing
Morss, Rebecca E.
Sippel, J. A.
Beckman, T. K.
Clements, N. C.
Hampshire, N. L.
Harvey, J. N.
Hernandez, J. M.
Morgan, Z. C.
Mosier, R. M.
Wang, S.
Winkley, S. D.
TI An in-person survey investigating public perceptions of and responses to
hurricane Rita forecasts along the Texas Coast
LA English
DT Article
AB Hurricane Rita made landfall near the Texas-Louisiana border in September 2005,
causing major damage and disruption. As Rita approached the Gulf Coast,
uncertainties in the storm's track and intensity forecasts, combined with the
aftermath of Hurricane Katrina, led to major evacuations along the Texas coast and
significant traffic jams in the broader Houston area. This study investigates the
societal impacts of Hurricane Rita and its forecasts through a face-to-face survey
with 120 Texas Gulf Coast residents. The survey explored respondents' evacuation
decisions prior to Hurricane Rita, their perceptions of hurricane risk, and their
use of and opinions on Hurricane Rita forecasts. The vast majority of respondents
evacuated from Hurricane Rita, and more than half stated that Hurricane Katrina
affected their evacuation decision. Although some respondents said that their
primary reason for evacuating was local officials' evacuation order, many reported
using information about the hurricane to evaluate the risk it posed to them and
their families. Despite the major traffic jams and the minor damage in many
evacuated regions, most evacuees interviewed do not regret their decision to
evacuate. The majority of respondents stated that they intend to evacuate for a
future category 3 hurricane, but the majority would stay for a category 2
hurricane. Most respondents obtained forecasts from multiple sources and reported
checking forecasts frequently. Despite the forecast uncertainties, the respondents
had high confidence in and satisfaction with the forecasts of Rita provided by the
National Hurricane Center.
C1 [Zhang, Fuqing; Sippel, J. A.; Beckman, T. K.; Clements, N. C.; Hampshire, N.
L.; Harvey, J. N.; Hernandez, J. M.; Morgan, Z. C.; Mosier, R. M.; Wang, S.;
Winkley, S. D.] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Atomospher Sci, College Stn, TX 77845 USA.
[Morss, Rebecca E.] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Boulder, CO USA.
C3 Texas A&M University System; Texas A&M University College Station;
National Center Atmospheric Research (NCAR) - USA
RP Zhang, FQ (corresponding author), Texas A&M Univ, Dept Atomospher Sci, College
Stn, TX 77845 USA.
EM fzhang@tamu.edu
RI Zhang, Fuqing/E-6522-2010; Wang, Shuguang/C-2893-2011; Sippel,
Jason/Z-5338-2019
OI Zhang, Fuqing/0000-0003-4860-9985; Wang, Shuguang/0000-0003-1861-9285;
Sippel, Jason/0000-0001-8342-0729
CR [Anonymous], 2004, NAT HAZARDS REV, DOI DOI 10.1061/(ASCE)1527-
6988(2004)5:3(115)
[Anonymous], ENV HAZARDS, DOI DOI 10.1016/S1464-2867(01)00014-6
10.1177/028072709100900210
Blumenthal Ralph, 2005, NY TIMES 0514, pA1
Cross JA, 1990, INT J MASS EMERGENCI, V8, P31
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MORSS RB, IN PRESS B AM METEOR
White JC, 2000, INT J PHYTOREMEDIAT, V2, P133, DOI 10.1080/15226510008500035
NR 17
TC 73
Z9 74
U1 0
U2 20
PI BOSTON
SN 0882-8156
J9 WEATHER FORECAST
PD DEC
PY 2007
VL 22
IS 6
BP 1177
EP 1190
DI 10.1175/2007WAF2006118.1
PG 14
(SSCI)
GA 247PJ
UT WOS:000252091500002
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Jester, DJ
Thomas, KS
Peterson, LJ
Dosa, DM
Andel, R
Hyer, K
AF Jester, Dylan J.
Thomas, Kali S.
Peterson, Lindsay J.
Dosa, David M.
Andel, Ross
Hyer, Kathryn
TI Effect of Hurricane Irma on daily direct-care nurse staffing in nursing
homes
SO JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN GERIATRICS SOCIETY
LA English
DT Article
DE disaster medicine; long‐ term care reimbursement; Payroll‐
Based Journaling
ID MORTALITY; EVACUATION; RESIDENTS; QUALITY; LESSONS; KATRINA
AB Objectives To examine the effect of Hurricane Irma on staff-related financial
expenditures and daily direct-care nurse staffing levels.
Design Retrospective cohort study.
Setting September 3-24, 2017 in the state of Florida, United States. Hurricane
Irma made landfall on September 10, 2017.
Participants Six hundred and fifty-three nursing homes (NHs), 81 evacuated
facilities, and 572 facilities that sheltered-in-place.
Measurements This study used data from Payroll-Based Journaling (PBJ),
Certification and Survey Provider Enhanced Reports (CASPER), and Florida's health
providers' emergency reporting system. PBJ provided estimates of daily direct-care
nurse staffing levels for registered nurses, licensed practical nurses, and
certified nursing assistants. CASPER reported facility-level characteristics such
as profit status, chain membership, and special care unit availability. Florida's
emergency reporting system identified evacuation status during Hurricane Irma.
Linear mixed-effects models were used to estimate the unique contribution of
evacuation status on daily staffing increases over time from September 3 to 10.
Results Among all facilities, we found significant increases in staffing for
licensed practical nurses (p = 0.02) and certified nursing assistants (p < 0.001),
but not for registered nurses (p = 0.10) before Hurricane Irma made landfall. From
1 week before landfall to 2 weeks after landfall (September 3-24), an additional
estimated $2.41 million was spent on direct-care nurse staffing. In comparison to
facilities that sheltered-in-place, evacuated facilities increased staffing levels
of all nurse types (all p < 0.001). At landfall, evacuated facilities spent an
estimated $93.74 on nurse staffing per resident whereas facilities that sheltered-
in-place spent $76.10 on nurse staffing per resident.
Conclusion NHs face unprecedented challenges during hurricanes, including
maintaining adequate direct-care nurse staffing levels to meet the needs of their
residents. NHs that evacuated residents had an increase in direct-care nurse
staffing that was greater than that seen in NHs that sheltered-in-place.
C1 [Jester, Dylan J.; Peterson, Lindsay J.; Andel, Ross; Hyer, Kathryn] Univ S
Florida, Sch Aging Studies, Florida Policy Exchange Ctr Aging, Tampa, FL 33620 USA.
[Thomas, Kali S.; Dosa, David M.] Providence Vet Affairs Med Ctr, Ctr Innovat
[Thomas, Kali S.; Dosa, David M.] Brown Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Providence, RI
02912 USA.
[Dosa, David M.] Providence Vet Affairs Med Ctr, Infect Dis Res Program,
Providence, RI USA.
C3 State University System of Florida; University of South Florida; US
Providence VA Medical Center; Brown University; US Department of
Veterans Affairs; Veterans Health Administration (VHA); Providence VA
Medical Center; Brown University
RP Jester, DJ (corresponding author), Univ S Florida, Sch Aging Studies, 13301
Bruce B Downs Blvd,MHC 1318, Tampa, FL 33612 USA.
EM djjester@usf.edu
OI Andel, Ross/0000-0003-4083-4790; Jester, Dylan/0000-0001-9878-9633
FU National Institute on Aging [R01AG060581-01]
FX National Institute on Aging, Grant/Award Number: R01AG060581-01
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10.1016/j.jamda.2017.02.005
NR 23
TC 8
Z9 8
U1 1
U2 9
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 0002-8614
EI 1532-5415
J9 J AM GERIATR SOC
JI J. Am. Geriatr. Soc.
PD AUG
PY 2021
VL 69
IS 8
BP 2298
EP 2305
DI 10.1111/jgs.17220
EA MAY 2021
PG 8
WC Geriatrics & Gerontology; Gerontology
(SSCI)
GA UA2VH
UT WOS:000649478900001
PM 33979461
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Johnson, S
Yu, DP
AF Johnson, Sarah
Yu, Dapeng
TI From flooding to finance: NHS ambulance-assisted evacuations of care
home residents in Norfolk and Suffolk, UK
LA English
DT Article
DE coastal; economic assessment; emergency response and evacuation; fluvial
ID EMERGENCY EVACUATION; ROAD NETWORK; HEALTH-STATUS; VULNERABILITY; RISK;
MANAGEMENT; MODEL; ACCESSIBILITY; IMPACT; FLOW
AB Focusing on the counties of Norfolk and Suffolk (UK), this investigation
examines the effect of coastal and fluvial flooding on the use of ambulance service
vehicles in the assisted evacuation of care home residents and quantifies the cost
of this service to the NHS under flood conditions. This was completed using GIS
Network Analyst functions to identify the impacts of flood probability (high: 1 in
30, medium: 1 in 30 to 1 in 100, and low: 1 in 100 to 1 in 1000) and target
ambulance response-times (7, 18, 120, and 180 min) on ambulance service area, road
network accessibility, the number of vulnerable care homes and their accessibility,
the appropriateness of pre-identified evacuation routes, and the drive-time based
evacuation cost to the National Health Service (NHS). The results indicate that
approximately 68 care homes and 2,320 residents in Norfolk and Suffolk are at risk
of inundation, and care home accessibility, in addition to ambulance service area,
decreases with shorter ambulance response-times and lower flood probabilities.
Additionally, the use of pre-identified evacuation routes, by the ambulance
service, promotes efficient navigation between ambulance stations, care homes, and
rest centres, but can unfavourably cause network clustering if unmanaged. In
association with these routes, an estimated cost of evacuation based on ambulance
drive-time was calculated at 34,000- pound 42,000 pound depending on flood
probability. The importance of this research is highlighted by the current lack of
identified flood evacuation and accessibility maps for emergency responder use, and
the associated lack of evacuation cost estimations to be used by the government and
NHS to budget for aid assistance during these natural disasters. Therefore, the
application of this approach at a national level in the flood emergency planning
process would be beneficial to promote strategic efficiency and financial
preparedness of ambulance services for the purpose of ambulance-assisted flood
evacuations.
C1 [Johnson, Sarah; Yu, Dapeng] Loughborough Univ, Sch Social Sci, Geog & Environm,
Loughborough, Leics, England.
C3 Loughborough University
RP Johnson, S (corresponding author), Loughborough Univ, Sch Social Sci, Geog &
Environm, Loughborough, Leics, England.
EM s.johnson@lboro.ac.uk
OI Johnson, Sarah/0000-0003-3964-288X
FU NERC [NE/S017186/1, NE/N013050/1, NE/R009600/1, NE/M008770/1] Funding
Source: UKRI
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NR 135
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 2
U2 25
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 1753-318X
PD MAR
PY 2020
VL 13
IS 1
AR e12592
DI 10.1111/jfr3.12592
EA JAN 2020
PG 22
(SSCI)
GA KM6ZZ
UT WOS:000506261000001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Yang, LE
Scheffran, J
Susser, D
Dawson, R
Chen, YD
AF Yang, Liang Emlyn
Scheffran, Juergen
Suesser, Diana
Dawson, Richard
Chen, Yongqin David
TI Assessment of Flood Losses with Household Responses: Agent-Based
Simulation in an Urban Catchment Area
SO ENVIRONMENTAL MODELING & ASSESSMENT
LA English
DT Article
DE Flood risk and damage; Flood loss assessment; Adaptation and response;
Urban area; Agent-based modeling; Pearl River Delta; Hong Kong
ID DAMAGE ASSESSMENT; RISK PERCEPTION; COUPLED HUMAN; MODEL; UNCERTAINTY;
MITIGATION; STRATEGIES; WARNINGS; SENSITIVITY; KNOWLEDGE
AB Densely populated coastal urban areas are often exposed to multiple hazards, in
particular floods and storms. Flood defenses and other engineering measures
contribute to the mitigation of flood hazards, but a holistic approach to flood
risk management should consider other interventions from the human side, including
warning information, adaptive behavior, people/property evacuation, and the
multilateral relief in local communities. There are few simulation approaches to
consider these factors, and these typically focus on collective human actions. This
paper presents an agent-based model that simulates flood response preferences and
actions taken within individual households to reduce flood losses. The model
implements a human response framework in which agents assess different flood
scenarios according to warning information and decide whether and how much they
invest in response measures to reduce potential inundation damages. A case study
has been carried out in the Ng Tung River basin, an urbanized watershed in northern
Hong Kong. Adopting a digital elevation model (DEM) as the modeling environment and
a building map of household locations in the case area, the model considers the
characteristics of households and the flood response behavior of their occupants.
We found that property value, warning information, and storm conditions all
influence household losses, with downstream and high density areas being
particularly vulnerable. Results further indicate (i) that a flood warning system,
which provides timely, accurate, and broad coverage rainstorm warning, can reduce
flood losses by 30-40%; and (ii) to reduce losses, it is more effective and cheaper
to invest early in response measures than late actions. This dynamic agent-based
modeling approach is an innovative attempt to quantify and model the role of human
responses in flood loss assessments. The model is demonstrated being useful for
analyzing household scale flood losses and responses and it has the potential to
contribute to flood emergency planning resource allocation in pluvial flood
incidents.
C1 [Yang, Liang Emlyn; Scheffran, Juergen] Univ Hamburg, Inst Geog, Res Grp Climate
Change & Secur, Grindelberg 7, D-20144 Hamburg, Germany.
[Yang, Liang Emlyn] Christian Albrechts Univ Kiel, Grad Sch Human Dev
Landscapes, Leibnizstr 3, D-24118 Kiel, Germany.
[Suesser, Diana] Univ Hamburg, Inst Geog, Bundesstr 55, D-20146 Hamburg,
Germany.
[Suesser, Diana] Univ Hamburg, Sch Integrated Climate Syst Sci, CliSAP,
Bundesstr 55, D-20146 Hamburg, Germany.
[Dawson, Richard] Newcastle Univ, Sch Engn, Room 3-19,Cassie Bldg, Newcastle
Upon Tyne NE1 7RU, Tyne & Wear, England.
[Chen, Yongqin David] Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Dept Geog & Resource Management,
Wong Foo Yuan Bldg, Shatin, Hong Kong, Peoples R China.
C3 University of Hamburg; University of Kiel; University of Hamburg;
University of Hamburg; N8 Research Partnership; Newcastle University -
UK; Chinese University of Hong Kong
RP Yang, LE (corresponding author), Univ Hamburg, Inst Geog, Res Grp Climate Change
& Secur, Grindelberg 7, D-20144 Hamburg, Germany.; Yang, LE (corresponding author),
Christian Albrechts Univ Kiel, Grad Sch Human Dev Landscapes, Leibnizstr 3, D-24118
Kiel, Germany.
EM lyang@gshdl.uni-kiel.de; juergen.scheffran@uni-hamburg.de;
diana.suesser@posteo.de; richard.dawson@newcastle.ac.uk;
ydavidchen@cuhk.edu.hk
RI Yang, Liang Emlyn/AAA-8705-2021; Scheffran, Jürgen/M-6876-2019
OI Yang, Liang Emlyn/0000-0003-4414-4009; Scheffran,
Jürgen/0000-0002-7171-3062; Susser, Diana/0000-0002-9757-3491
FU China Scholarship Council (CSC); Cluster of Excellence "CliSAP",
University of Hamburg through the German Science Foundation (DFG)
[EXC177]; EPSRC [EP/K012398/1, EP/R010102/1] Funding Source: UKRI
FX This work was supported by the China Scholarship Council (CSC) and the
Cluster of Excellence "CliSAP" (EXC177), University of Hamburg, funded
through the German Science Foundation (DFG).
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NR 68
TC 36
Z9 36
U1 6
U2 61
PU SPRINGER
PI DORDRECHT
SN 1420-2026
EI 1573-2967
J9 ENVIRON MODEL ASSESS
JI Environ. Model. Assess.
PD AUG
PY 2018
VL 23
IS 4
BP 369
EP 388
DI 10.1007/s10666-018-9597-3
PG 20
(SSCI)
GA GL3AS
UT WOS:000436999700003
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Huang, L
Yu, ZC
Wang, W
Song, Y
Wang, YQ
AF Huang, Li
Yu, Zhicheng
Wang, Wei
Song, Yue
Wang, Yunqing
TI Multiobjective programming model for a class of flood disaster emergency
material allocation
LA English
DE direct economic losses; emergency material allocation; multiobjective
planning; supply satisfaction; urban flood control
ID RESOURCE-ALLOCATION; RELIEF DISTRIBUTION; OPTIMIZATION MODEL; LOGISTICS;
RISK; EVACUATION; MANAGEMENT; ALGORITHM; SELECTION
AB Flood disasters are a hot topic in the field of disaster prevention and control.
To reduce the high-density economic losses caused by floods, it is necessary to
effectively and reasonably distribute emergency supplies to disaster sites during
the emergency cycle. This article describes setting up a comprehensive multirescue
site, multidisaster site, and multiobjective programming model to measure the total
amount of time taken to transport supplies and economic losses endured in the
response and recovery. Moreover, we use the evolutionary algorithm based on the
Pareto concept and simulate the calculation using computer simulation. Finally, a
case study is carried out based on various supply data of the historical flood
disaster and the flood control supply reserves in the Jiangsu Province. The
optimization results are discussed using the sorting method that approaches the
ideal solution, and three feasible emergency plans are given, which can provide a
reference for emergency supply transportation for urban flood control.
C1 [Huang, Li] Hohai Univ, Sch Publ Adm, Nanjing, Peoples R China.
[Huang, Li; Wang, Wei] Tianjin Univ, State Key Lab Hydraul Engn Simulat &
Safety, Tianjin, Peoples R China.
[Yu, Zhicheng; Wang, Wei; Song, Yue; Wang, Yunqing] Hohai Univ, Coll Harbour
Coastal & Offshore Engn, Nanjing, Peoples R China.
[Wang, Wei] Hohai Univ, Nantong Ocean & Coastal Engn Res Inst, Nantong, Peoples
R China.
[Wang, Wei] Hohai Univ, Coll Harbour Coastal & Offshore Engn, Nanjing 210098,
Peoples R China.
C3 Hohai University; Tianjin University; Hohai University; Hohai
University; Hohai University
RP Wang, W (corresponding author), Hohai Univ, Coll Harbour Coastal & Offshore
Engn, Nanjing 210098, Peoples R China.
EM 13813826667@hhu.edu.cn
FU National Key RD Project [2021YFC3001002]; National Natural Science
Foundation of China [71974052]; Fundamental Research Funds for the
Central Universities [B210205012]; Nantong Municipal Social Livelihood
Science and Technology Key Project [MS22021002]
FX ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This work was funded by National Key R&D Project (no.
2021YFC3001002), National Natural Science Foundation of China (no.
71974052), the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities
(no. B210205012), and the Nantong Municipal Social Livelihood Science
and Technology Key Project (No. MS22021002).
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NR 65
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 10
U2 10
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 1753-318X
PD 2023 MAY 11
PY 2023
DI 10.1111/jfr3.12918
EA MAY 2023
PG 20
GA F8HB9
UT WOS:000984693100001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Thomas, KS
Dosa, D
Hyer, K
Brown, LM
Swaminathan, S
Feng, ZL
Mor, V
AF Thomas, Kali S.
Dosa, David
Hyer, Kathryn
Brown, Lisa M.
Swaminathan, Shailender
Feng, Zhanlian
Mor, Vincent
TI Effect of Forced Transitions on the Most Functionally Impaired Nursing
Home Residents
SO JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN GERIATRICS SOCIETY
LA English
DT Article
DE nursing home; transitions; hurricane
ID INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES; MORTALITY; MDS; EVACUATION; OUTCOMES
AB Objectives To examine the hospitalization rate and mortality associated with
forced mass transfer of nursing home (NH) residents with the highest levels of
functional impairment. Design Retrospective cohort study. Setting One hundred
nineteen Texas and Louisiana NHs identified as being at risk for evacuation for
Hurricane Gustav. Participants Six thousand four hundred sixty-four long-stay
residents residing in at-risk NHs for at least three consecutive months before
landfall of Hurricane Gustav. Measurements Using Medicare claims and instrumental
variable analysis, the mortality (death at 30 and 90 days) and hospitalization
rates (at 30 and 90 days) of the most functionally impaired long-stay residents who
were evacuated for Hurricane Gustav were compared with those of the most
functionally impaired residents who did not evacuate. Results The effect of
evacuation was associated with 8% more hospitalizations by 30 and 90 days for the
most functionally impaired residents. Evacuation was not significantly related to
mortality. Conclusion The most functionally impaired NH residents experience more
hospitalizations but not mortality as a consequence of forced mass transfer. With
the inevitability of NH evacuations for many different reasons, harm mitigation
strategies focused on the most impaired residents are needed.
C1 [Thomas, Kali S.; Dosa, David; Swaminathan, Shailender; Feng, Zhanlian; Mor,
Vincent] Brown Univ, Ctr Gerontol & Healthcare Res, Providence, RI 02912 USA.
[Dosa, David] Brown Univ, Warren Alpert Med Sch, Providence, RI 02912 USA.
[Hyer, Kathryn; Brown, Lisa M.] Univ S Florida, Sch Aging Studies, Tampa, FL
USA.
C3 Brown University; Brown University; State University System of Florida;
University of South Florida
RP Thomas, KS (corresponding author), Brown Univ, Ctr Gerontol & Healthcare Res,
Box G-S121 6, Providence, RI 02912 USA.
EM Kali_Thomas@brown.edu
OI Feng, Zhanlian/0000-0002-5231-6870; Brown, Lisa/0000-0002-3793-7310;
Thomas, Kali/0000-0003-3436-2184
FU National Institute on Aging [RO1AG030619]; John A. Hartford Foundation
[2006-0172]; Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality [R36HS19671-01]
FX This study was funded by the National Institute on Aging (RO1AG030619),
the John A. Hartford Foundation (2006-0172), and the Agency for
Healthcare Research and Quality (R36HS19671-01).
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NR 25
TC 19
Z9 19
U1 1
U2 7
PU WILEY-BLACKWELL
PI HOBOKEN
SN 0002-8614
J9 J AM GERIATR SOC
JI J. Am. Geriatr. Soc.
PD OCT
PY 2012
VL 60
IS 10
BP 1895
EP 1900
DI 10.1111/j.1532-5415.2012.04146.x
PG 6
(SSCI)
GA 019LF
UT WOS:000309740400013
PM 23002792
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Ogawa, K
Inoue, T
Hiramatsu, Y
Mishra, J
AF Ogawa, Kohei
Inoue, Takuya
Hiramatsu, Yuki
Mishra, Jagriti
TI A Route Search System to Avoid the Danger to Life in Dynamic Inundation
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE flood; evacuation; route search; levee breech; shelter
ID INSTABILITY
AB In recent years, the frequency of torrential rains has increased due to abnormal
weather conditions. Torrential rains have caused extensive flooding damage in many
areas. As delays in evacuation can pose a threat to life, a quick search for safe
evacuation routes has become more important than ever before. In this study, we
constructed a new system for searching evacuation routes that incorporates a
function that varies the weight of each road in the route search depending on the
distance from the flooded area D and the distance that the flood area extends in 10
min D' (i.e., the flood's inundation speed). We conducted multiple hypothetical
flood simulations with different locations of levee breaches and shelters in the
study site (Obihiro City, Japan). Then, we compared the results with the
conventional system that does not include the proposed function. The results showed
that the system proposed in this study increased the number of successful evacuees
by up to 2.16 times compared to the conventional system. In our system, the weight
function is set to the C-d power of D/D'; increasing the model parameter C-d
selects a route that detours more of the flooded area. The model parameter C-d that
maximizes the number of successful evacuees is roughly constant, regardless of the
locations of the levee breaches or shelters in the study site.
C1 [Ogawa, Kohei; Inoue, Takuya] Hiroshima Univ, Grad Sch Adv Sci & Engn,
Higashihiroshima 7398551, Japan.
[Hiramatsu, Yuki] Civil Engn Res Inst Cold Reg, Sapporo 0628602, Japan.
[Mishra, Jagriti] Jawaharlal Nehru Univ, Sch Environm Sci, New Delhi 110067,
India.
C3 Hiroshima University; Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi
RP Inoue, T (corresponding author), Hiroshima Univ, Grad Sch Adv Sci & Engn,
Higashihiroshima 7398551, Japan.
EM inouetakuya@hiroshima-u.ac.jp
OI Inoue, Takuya/0000-0003-1423-8186
FU Cross-ministerial Strategic Innovation Promotion Program (SIP); JSPS
KAKENHI [22H01602]; Ramanujan Fellowship [RJF/2021/000168]
FX This work was supported by Cross-ministerial Strategic Innovation
Promotion Program (SIP) and JSPS KAKENHI Grant Number 22H01602.
Participation in Jagriti Mishra was made possible by Ramanujan
Fellowship no. RJF/2021/000168.
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NR 30
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 2
U2 2
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD APR
PY 2023
VL 15
IS 7
AR 1417
DI 10.3390/w15071417
PG 12
GA D7BF7
UT WOS:000970235800001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Doran, KM
McCormack, RP
Johns, EL
Carr, BG
Smith, SW
Goldfrank, LR
Lee, DC
AF Doran, Kelly M.
McCormack, Ryan P.
Johns, Eileen L.
Carr, Brendan G.
Smith, Silas W.
Goldfrank, Lewis R.
Lee, David C.
TI Emergency Department Visits for Homelessness or Inadequate Housing in
New York City before and after Hurricane Sandy
LA English
DT Article
DE Homelessness; Disaster medicine; Emergency department utilization;
Geographic information systems; Vulnerable populations
ID HEALTH; WELFARE
AB Hurricane Sandy struck New York City on October 29, 2012, causing not only a
large amount of physical damage, but also straining people's health and disrupting
health care services throughout the city. In prior research, we determined that
emergency department (ED) visits from the most vulnerable hurricane evacuation
flood zones in New York City increased after Hurricane Sandy for several medical
diagnoses, but also for the diagnosis of homelessness. In the current study, we
aimed to further explore this increase in ED visits for homelessness after
Hurricane Sandy's landfall. We performed an observational before-and-after study
using an all-payer claims database of ED visits in New York City to compare the
demographic characteristics, insurance status, geographic distribution, and health
conditions of ED patients with a primary or secondary ICD-9 diagnosis of
homelessness or inadequate housing in the first week after Hurricane Sandy's
landfall versus the baseline weekly average in 2012 prior to Hurricane Sandy. We
found statistically significant increases in ED visits for diagnosis codes of
homelessness or inadequate housing in the week after Hurricane Sandy's landfall.
Those accessing the ED for homelessness or inadequate housing were more often
elderly and insured by Medicare after versus before the hurricane. Secondary
diagnoses among those with a primary ED diagnosis of homelessness or inadequate
housing also differed after versus before Hurricane Sandy. These observed
differences in the demographic, insurance, and co-existing diagnosis profiles of
those with an ED diagnosis of homelessness or inadequate housing before and after
Hurricane Sandy suggest that a new population cohort-potentially including those
who had lost their homes as a result of storm damage-was accessing the ED for
homelessness or other housing issues after the hurricane. Emergency departments may
serve important public health and disaster response roles after a hurricane,
particularly for people who are homeless or lack adequate housing. Further,
tracking ED visits for homelessness may represent a novel surveillance mechanism to
assess post-disaster infrastructure impact and to prepare for future disasters.
C1 [Doran, Kelly M.; McCormack, Ryan P.; Smith, Silas W.; Goldfrank, Lewis R.; Lee,
David C.] NYU, Sch Med, Ronald O Perelman Dept Emergency Med, 462 First Ave,Room
A345, New York, NY 10016 USA.
[Doran, Kelly M.; Lee, David C.] NYU, Sch Med, Dept Populat Hlth, New York, NY
USA.
[Johns, Eileen L.] New York City Ctr Innovat Data Intelligence, New York, NY
USA.
[Carr, Brendan G.] Thomas Jefferson Univ, Sidney Kimmel Med Coll, Dept Emergency
Med, Philadelphia, PA 19107 USA.
[Carr, Brendan G.] Emergency Care Coordinat Ctr, Off Assistant Secretary
Preparedness & Response, Dept Hlth & Human Serv, Washington, DC USA.
RP Lee, DC (corresponding author), NYU, Sch Med, Ronald O Perelman Dept Emergency
Med, 462 First Ave,Room A345, New York, NY 10016 USA.
RI McCormack, Ryan/AAF-4325-2022; McCormack, Ryan/AFI-8740-2022
OI McCormack, Ryan/0000-0002-7210-4736; McCormack,
Ryan/0000-0002-7210-4736; Doran, Kelly/0000-0001-8961-3724
Secretary for Preparedness and Response (ASPR) [HITEP-150030-01-00];
ASPR
award number HITEP-150030-01-00 to the NYU School of Medicine. The
funding agency (ASPR) played no role in the design or conduct of the
study; collection, management, analysis, or interpretations of the data;
preparation of the manuscript; or decision to publish. SWS derives
additional salary support from the Fridolin Charitable Trust to the
Ronald O. Perelman Department of Emergency Medicine Safety Program and
has received an intramural departmental 2015 scholarly innovation grant
for work unrelated to the current study."
CR American College of Emergency Physicians, FACT SHEET EMTALA
[Anonymous], 2013, HURRICANE SANDY ACTI
[Atmospheric Administration Hurricane Research Division National Oceanic], 30
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NR 16
TC 16
Z9 16
U1 0
U2 16
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 1099-3460
EI 1468-2869
J9 J URBAN HEALTH
JI J. Urban Health
PD APR
PY 2016
VL 93
IS 2
BP 331
EP 344
DI 10.1007/s11524-016-0035-z
PG 14
Internal
(SSCI)
GA DJ8MI
UT WOS:000374466000008
PM 26979519
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Witt, JK
Clegg, BA
AF Witt, Jessica K.
Clegg, Benjamin A.
TI Dynamic Ensemble Visualizations to Support Understanding for Uncertain
Trajectories
SO JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL PSYCHOLOGY-APPLIED
LA English
DT Article
DE visualizations; ensembles; decision making; hurricane forecasts
ID DECISION-MAKING; HURRICANE; EVACUATION
AB Public Significance Statement Current approaches to showing the potential path
of an incoming hurricane have well-known flaws, and this research investigates a
new method to allow people to understand the areas that might be at risk. Findings
from several experiments demonstrate that showing multiple, simultaneous, fast
moving icons to illustrate the spread of possible tracks can provide a different
sense of the possible threat, and specifically, these "zoomies" better convey risk
that the storm will deviate from the most likely forecast path. Furthermore, these
displays offer several design opportunities that could be used to communicate
additional factors such as the magnitude of the storm and thus could afford a more
complete communication of hurricane threats.
When making decisions about uncertain spatial trajectories, such as storm
forecasts, people rely on visualizations to support their understanding. Four
experiments explored novel visualizations-dynamic ensembles. Nonexperts used
visualizations to interpret probabilistic information about potential paths of a
hurricane. Experiment 1 focused on global properties of the distribution, and
showed dynamic ensembles imply a larger area at risk than traditional cones of
uncertainty. Experiment 2 compared decisions with cones versus dynamic ensembles at
specific individual locations. Dynamic ensembles offer more appreciation of risk
outside the center of the distribution, and less abrupt in transitions from
evacuation to nonevacuation choices. Experiment 3 compared decisions for dynamic
ensembles versus static line ensembles. Similar evacuation rates across the two
conditions suggest ensembles, rather than dynamics, are the more critical feature.
Experiment 4 examined whether an additional dimension can be included in dynamic
ensembles using color coding. Decisions reacted to this ancillary feature, with
higher evacuation rates for locations threatened by more severe outcomes. Outcomes
highlight the ability to systematically vary the level of risk communicated through
the ensembles while also communicating the continuous nature of the risk. The
overall findings show the viability of presenting uncertain spatial information
using dynamic ensembles.
C1 [Witt, Jessica K.; Clegg, Benjamin A.] Colorado State Univ, Dept Psychol, 1876
Campus Delivery, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA.
C3 Colorado State University
RP Witt, JK (corresponding author), Colorado State Univ, Dept Psychol, 1876 Campus
Delivery, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA.
EM Jessica.Witt@colostate.edu
OI Witt, Jessica/0000-0003-1139-1599; Clegg, Benjamin/0000-0001-6026-5076
FU National Science Foundation [BCS-1632222, SES-2030059]; Office of Naval
Research [N00014-17-1-2825, N00014-20-1-2518]
FX The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose. This work was
supported by the National Science Foundation (grant numbers BCS-1632222
and SES-2030059) and a fellowship from the CSU School of Global
Environmental Sustainability to Jessica K. Witt and by Dr. Jeff Morrison
and the Office of Naval Research (grant numbers N00014-17-1-2825 and
N00014-20-1-2518 to Benjamin A. Clegg). Materials, data, and analysis
scripts can be found on the Open Science Framework webpage
(https://osf.io/fd682/).
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NR 53
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 1
U2 6
PU AMER PSYCHOLOGICAL ASSOC
PI WASHINGTON
PA 750 FIRST ST NE, WASHINGTON, DC 20002-4242 USA
SN 1076-898X
EI 1939-2192
J9 J EXP PSYCHOL-APPL
JI J. Exp. Psychol.-Appl.
PD SEP
PY 2022
VL 28
IS 3
BP 451
EP 467
DI 10.1037/xap0000370
EA JUN 2021
PG 17
WC Psychology, Applied
SC Psychology
GA 4I5SS
UT WOS:000733159400001
PM 34138622
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Kelly, FE
Bailey, CR
Aldridge, P
Brennan, PA
Hardy, RP
Henrys, P
Hussain, A
Jenkins, M
Lang, A
McGuire, N
McNarry, A
Osborn, M
Pittilla, L
Ralph, M
Sarkar, S
Taft, D
AF Kelly, F. E.
Bailey, C. R.
Aldridge, P.
Brennan, P. A.
Hardy, R. P.
Henrys, P.
Hussain, A.
Jenkins, M.
Lang, A.
McGuire, N.
McNarry, A.
Osborn, M.
Pittilla, L.
Ralph, M.
Sarkar, S.
Taft, D.
TI Fire safety and emergency evacuation guidelines for intensive care units
and operating theatres: for use in the event of fire, flood, power cut,
oxygen supply failure, noxious gas, structural collapse or other
critical incidents Guidelines from the Association of Anaesthetists and
the Intensive Care Society
SO ANAESTHESIA
LA English
DT Article
DE fire; evacuation; intensive care; anaesthesia
AB The need to evacuate an ICU or operating theatre complex during a fire or other
emergency is a rare event but one potentially fraught with difficulty: Not only is
there a risk that patients may come to harm but also that staff may be injured and
unable to work. Designing newly-built or refurbished ICUs and operating theatre
suites is an opportunity to incorporate mandatory fire safety features and improve
the management and outcomes of such emergencies: These include well-marked manual
fire call points and oxygen shut off valves (area valve service units); the ability
to isolate individual zones; multiple clear exit routes; small bays or side rooms;
preference for ground floor ICU location and interconnecting routes with operating
theatres; separate clinical and non-clinical areas. ICUs and operating theatre
suites should have a bespoke emergency evacuation plan and route map that is
readily available. Staff should receive practical fire and evacuation training in
their clinical area of work on induction and annually as part of mandatory
training, including 'walk-through practice' or simulation training and location of
manual fire call points and fire extinguishers, evacuation routes and location and
operation of area valve service units. The staff member in charge of each shift
should be able to select and operate fire extinguishers and lead an evacuation.
Following an emergency evacuation, a network-wide response should be activated,
including retrieval and transport of patients to other ICUs if needed. A full
investigation should take place and ongoing support and follow-up of staff
provided.
C1 [Kelly, F. E.; Hardy, R. P.] Royal United Hosp Bath NHS Fdn Trust, Dept
Anaesthesia & Intens Care Med, Bath, Avon, England.
[Bailey, C. R.] Guys & St Thomas NHS Fdn Trust, Dept Anaesthesia, London,
England.
[Aldridge, P.] Leeds Teaching Hosp NHS Trust, Secur & Corp Affairs, Leeds, W
Yorkshire, England.
[Aldridge, P.; Hussain, A.] Natl Assoc Healthcare Fire Officers, Daventry,
England.
[Brennan, P. A.] Portsmouth Hosp Univ Trust, Portsmouth, Hants, England.
[Henrys, P.] BOC Ltd, Guildford, Surrey, England.
[Henrys, P.] British Compressed Gas Assoc Med Gas Comm, Derby, England.
[Hussain, A.] AH Fire Ltd, Derby, England.
[Hussain, A.] Royal United Hosp NHS Fdn Trust, Intens Care Unit, Bath, Avon,
England.
[Jenkins, M.] Univ Nottingham, Fac Engn, Human Factors Res Grp, Nottingham,
England.
[Lang, A.] Devices Med & Healthcare Prod Regulatory Ag, London, England.
[McGuire, N.] Western Gen Hosp, Dept Anaesthesia, Edinburgh, Midlothian,
Scotland.
[McNarry, A.] Royal United Hosp Bath NHS Fdn Trust, Dept Oncol, Bath, Avon,
England.
[Osborn, M.] North England Paediat Crit Care Network & Paediat, London, England.
[Pittilla, L.] NHS Improvement Dept Hlth, London, England.
[Ralph, M.] Med Gas Assoc, London, England.
[Ralph, M.] Sherwood Forest Hosp NHS Fdn Trust, Dept Anaesthesia & Intens Care
Med, Sutton In Ashfield, Notts, England.
[Sarkar, S.] Intens Care Soc, London, England.
C3 Guy's & St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust; N8 Research Partnership; White
Rose University Consortium; University of Leeds; University of
Nottingham; University of Edinburgh
RP Kelly, FE (corresponding author), Royal United Hosp Bath NHS Fdn Trust, Dept
Anaesthesia & Intens Care Med, Bath, Avon, England.
EM fiona.kelly@doctors.org.uk
RI McNarry, Alistair/ABC-5143-2020; Bailey, Craig R/E-8907-2010
OI McNarry, Alistair/0000-0003-3429-0299; Bailey, Craig/0000-0002-7084-3842
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NR 42
TC 6
Z9 6
U1 1
U2 11
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 0003-2409
EI 1365-2044
J9 ANAESTHESIA
JI Anaesthesia
PD OCT
PY 2021
VL 76
IS 10
BP 1377
EP 1391
DI 10.1111/anae.15511
EA MAY 2021
PG 15
WC Anesthesiology
SC Anesthesiology
GA UL6IA
UT WOS:000649851900001
PM 33984872
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Socas, RAM
Gonzalez, MA
Marin, YR
Castillo-Garcia, CL
Jimenez, J
das Dores de Jesus da Silva, L
Gonzalez-Rodriguez, L
AF Martinez Socas, Rolando Ariel
Alvarez Gonzalez, Michael
Marin, Yoandy Rodriguez
Lazaro Castillo-Garcia, Carlos
Jimenez, Jorge
das Dores de Jesus da Silva, Luciana
Gonzalez-Rodriguez, Lisdelys
TI Simulating the Flood Limits of Urban Rivers Embedded in the Populated
City of Santa Clara, Cuba
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE hydraulic simulation; river flood; HEC-RAS model
AB Floods are a natural phenomenon that cause damage to structures and property as
well as negatively affect human life. Assessing the extent, speed, power, and depth
of flooding has always been a challenge for water resource planners. This research
developed a hydraulic simulation model for the Cubanicay and Belico urban rivers
embedded in the city of Santa Clara, Cuba. The methodology was based on a one-
dimensional model of the Hydrological Engineering River Analysis System (HEC-RAS)
and GIS-based methods. The HEC-RAS model (Beta) and three modeling flood tests for
scenarios of 1% (100 years), 2% (50 years), and 10% (10 years) of probability for
hydrometeorological events were analyzed. Bank lines, flow path lines, and cross-
section cut lines were extracted from Digital Elevation Models. Manning's roughness
coefficients were considered for the channel morphology and soil typology. The
flood Beta model results were accurate with a difference of +/- 0.10 m considering
the water footprint found in the field. The results showed that the areas near the
control section 2 + 87 presented a high risk of flooding. The flood limit map for
urban areas could be an important tool for researchers, planners, and local
governments for risk assessment and to develop evacuation plans and flood
mitigation strategies in order to reduce human and economic losses during a flood.
C1 [Martinez Socas, Rolando Ariel; Marin, Yoandy Rodriguez; Lazaro Castillo-Garcia,
Carlos] Univ Cent Marta Abreu Las Villas, Fac Construcc, Carretera CamajuaniKm 9 1-
2, Santa Clara 50100, Cuba.
[Alvarez Gonzalez, Michael] Empresa Invest & Proyectos Hidraul Villa Clara, Ave
Libertadores 201 E Jesus Menendez & Danielito, Santa Clara, Cuba.
[Jimenez, Jorge] Univ Concepcion, Fac Ingn, Concepcion 4030000, Chile.
[das Dores de Jesus da Silva, Luciana] Univ Concepcion, Fac Ciencias
Ambientales, Concepcion 4030000, Chile.
[Gonzalez-Rodriguez, Lisdelys] Univ Las Amer, Fac Ingn & Negocios, Sede
Concepcion, Concepcion 4030000, Chile.
[Gonzalez-Rodriguez, Lisdelys] Univ Las Amer, Fac Ingn & Negocios, Nucleo Invest
Data Sci NIDS, Santiago 7500000, Chile.
C3 Universidad Central "Marta Abreu" de Las Villas; Universidad de
Concepcion; Universidad de Concepcion; Universidad de Las Americas -
Chile; Universidad de Las Americas - Chile
RP Gonzalez-Rodriguez, L (corresponding author), Univ Las Amer, Fac Ingn &
Negocios, Sede Concepcion, Concepcion 4030000, Chile.; Gonzalez-Rodriguez, L
(corresponding author), Univ Las Amer, Fac Ingn & Negocios, Nucleo Invest Data Sci
NIDS, Santiago 7500000, Chile.
EM rolandoarielms@gmail.com; michaelalvarezglez@gmail.com;
yoandy1998@gmail.com; ccgarcia@uclv.cu; jorgejimenez@udec.cl;
lucisilva@udec.cl; lgonzalezr@udla.cl
OI Castillo Garcia, Carlos Lazaro/0000-0002-6430-2775; Gonzalez Rodriguez,
Lisdelys/0000-0002-7892-4604; Martinez Socas, Rolando
Ariel/0000-0002-0185-4302
FU Empresa de Investigaciones y Proyectos Hidraulicos, Villa Clara, Cuba;
Universidad de Las Americas, Chile
FX This research was funded by Empresa de Investigaciones y Proyectos
Hidraulicos, Villa Clara, Cuba and Universidad de Las Americas, Chile
and the APC was funded by Program to Support Publication in Open Access
Journals 2023 of Universidad de Las Americas, Chile.
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NR 45
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 2
U2 2
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD MAY 9
PY 2023
VL 15
IS 10
AR 1805
DI 10.3390/w15101805
PG 18
GA H7MS6
UT WOS:000997766700001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Tsai, YL
Rastogi, C
Kitanidis, PK
Field, CB
AF Tsai, Yi-Lin
Rastogi, Chetanya
Kitanidis, Peter K.
Field, Christopher B.
TI Routing algorithms as tools for integrating social distancing with
emergency evacuation
LA English
DT Article
ID DISASTER RESPONSE; GO; GAME
AB One of the lessons from the COVID-19 pandemic is the importance of social
distancing, even in challenging circumstances such as pre-hurricane evacuation. To
explore the implications of integrating social distancing with evacuation
operations, we describe this evacuation process as a Capacitated Vehicle Routing
Problem (CVRP) and solve it using a DNN (Deep Neural Network)-based solution (Deep
Reinforcement Learning) and a non-DNN solution (Sweep Algorithm). A central
question is whether Deep Reinforcement Learning provides sufficient extra routing
efficiency to accommodate increased social distancing in a time-constrained
evacuation operation. We found that, in comparison to the Sweep Algorithm, Deep
Reinforcement Learning can provide decision-makers with more efficient routing.
However, the evacuation time saved by Deep Reinforcement Learning does not come
close to compensating for the extra time required for social distancing, and its
advantage disappears as the emergency vehicle capacity approaches the number of
people per household.
C1 [Tsai, Yi-Lin; Kitanidis, Peter K.] Stanford Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
[Rastogi, Chetanya] Stanford Univ, Dept Comp Sci, Stanford, CA 94305 USA.
[Kitanidis, Peter K.; Field, Christopher B.] Stanford Univ, Woods Inst Environm,
[Kitanidis, Peter K.] Stanford Univ, Inst Computat & Math Engn, Stanford, CA
94305 USA.
[Field, Christopher B.] Stanford Univ, Dept Biol, Stanford, CA 94305 USA.
[Field, Christopher B.] Stanford Univ, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Stanford, CA 94305
USA.
C3 Stanford University; Stanford University; Stanford University; Stanford
University; Stanford University; Stanford University
RP Tsai, YL (corresponding author), Stanford Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
EM yilin2@stanford.edu
OI Tsai, Yi-Lin/0000-0002-6698-3762; Kitanidis, Peter/0000-0001-8113-9968
FU Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment; Department of Civil and
Environmental Engineering at Stanford University; Department of Earth
System Science at Stanford University; Microsoft AI for Earth Program;
Stanford RISE (Respond. Innovate. Scale. Empower.) COVID-19 Crisis
Response Research Grant and Fellowship
FX This research was supported by Stanford Woods Institute for the
Environment, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at
Stanford University, Department of Earth System Science at Stanford
University, Microsoft AI for Earth Program, and Stanford RISE (Respond.
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NR 69
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 3
U2 18
PU NATURE PORTFOLIO
PI BERLIN
SN 2045-2322
J9 SCI REP-UK
JI Sci Rep
PD OCT 4
PY 2021
VL 11
IS 1
AR 19623
DI 10.1038/s41598-021-98643-z
PG 14
GA WB5OV
UT WOS:000703622500039
PM 34608178
OA Green Submitted, Green Published, gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Tsuda, H
Tebakari, T
AF Tsuda, Hinako
Tebakari, Taichi
TI A macroscopic analysis of the demographic impacts of flood inundation in
Thailand (2005-2019)
SO PROGRESS IN EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE
LA English
DT Article
DE Demographics; Flood; Inundation; Thailand
ID NATURAL DISASTERS; EVACUATION
AB In Thailand, floods are occurring more frequently due to climate change, and
recent economic development and population growth may have altered the way in which
people interact with floods, including migration to other regions. In this study,
we analyzed the relationship between flooding and population distribution across
Thailand from 2005 to 2019 to improve measures for minimizing flood damage. We used
population distribution point data from 2009 to 2019 produced by Oak Ridge National
Laboratory to analyze trends in population movement and distribution, by examining
whether population sizes were greater than, less than, or equal to estimated values
in regions throughout Thailand. The results suggest that floods in 2011 and 2017
caused temporary migration to areas that were not inundated or to the metropolitan
Bangkok area. Flood responses changed after the 2011 floods, which have been
described as the worst flood in Thai history. Next, we examined the relationship
between the number of regions with lower than estimated population and flood data
for the previous year including precipitation, inundated area, and deaths caused by
flooding. Inundation area had a significant impact on population decline, with
correlation coefficients of 0.426 and 0.501 for the north and northeast,
respectively. The number of deaths caused by flooding in a given year also led to a
population decline in the following year. However, precipitation did not exhibit
the same trend. Therefore, population demographics after floods have shown regional
characteristics in recent years, with Thai people shifting from a flood-tolerance
lifestyle to a flood-avoidance lifestyle, mainly in local urban areas and the
metropolitan Bangkok area.
C1 [Tsuda, Hinako; Tebakari, Taichi] Chuo Univ, Grad Sch Sci & Engn, Civil Human &
Environm Sci & Engn Course, 1-13-27 Kasuga,Bunkyo Ku, Tokyo, Japan.
C3 Chuo University
RP Tsuda, H (corresponding author), Chuo Univ, Grad Sch Sci & Engn, Civil Human &
Environm Sci & Engn Course, 1-13-27 Kasuga,Bunkyo Ku, Tokyo, Japan.
EM a18.84hf@g.chuo-u.ac.jp
FU Japan Science and Technology Agency (JST)/Japan International
Cooperation Agency (JICA) Science and Technology Research Partnership
for Sustainable Development (SATREPS) program; Strategic International
Collaborative Research Program East Asia Joint Research Program (SICORP
e-ASIA JRP) [21338544, 15543675]
FX This study was supported by the Japan Science and Technology Agency
(JST)/Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) Science and
Technology Research Partnership for Sustainable Development (SATREPS)
program (PI: Prof.Taik an OKI) and the Strategic International
Collaborative Research Program East Asia Joint Research Program (SICORP
e-ASIA JRP; PI: Prof.Taik an OKI) (Grant nos. 21338544, 15543675).
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NR 27
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 0
U2 0
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 2197-4284
J9 PROG EARTH PLANET SC
JI Prog. Earth Planet. Sci.
PD JUL 13
PY 2023
VL 10
IS 1
AR 36
DI 10.1186/s40645-023-00569-9
PG 13
SC Geology
GA M4ME7
UT WOS:001029955700001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Burger, J
Gochfeld, M
Lacy, C
AF Burger, Joanna
Gochfeld, Michael
Lacy, Clifton
TI Ethnic differences in risk: experiences, medical needs, and access to
care after hurricane Sandy in new jersey
SO JOURNAL OF TOXICOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH-PART A-CURRENT ISSUES
LA English
DT Article
DE Preparedness; hurricane Sandy; access to care; environmental justice;
federally qualified health centers
ID ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE; SERVICES; PERCEPTIONS; POPULATION; DISASTERS;
RESPONSES; LESSONS; DESIGN
AB This survey investigation assessed an economically challenged and largely
minority population regarding concerns, evacuation status, medical needs and access
to care during, and after, Hurricane Sandy by ethnicity status for patients using
New Jersey's Federally Qualified Health Centers (FQHC). Data obtained contribute to
understanding risk from disasters, and improving environmental justice for
vulnerable populations following disasters. FQHCs provide medical and dental
services for 5% of New Jersey 's population; 95% of those served are uninsured,
underinsured, or live below the poverty level. Economically vulnerable individuals
are more at risk and were disproportionately harmed by Sandy. There were ethnic
differences in days evacuated, days without power and heat, self-rating of
personal/family impact, center use, need and access, and interruptions of care and
medications. Hispanics and Blacks reported needing centers significantly more than
White population. Primary medical conditions were diabetes, asthma, hypertension,
and arrhythmia and heart disease, which did not vary ethnically. Understanding
medical needs and concerns of vulnerable populations may help policymakers and
practitioners prepare and respond promptly to disasters, reducing risk, and
building resiliency for the medical care system.
C1 [Burger, Joanna] Rutgers State Univ, Div Life Sci, 604 Allison Rd, Piscataway,
NJ 08854 USA.
[Burger, Joanna; Gochfeld, Michael] Rutgers State Univ, Environm & Occupat Hlth
Sci Inst, Piscataway, NJ USA.
[Gochfeld, Michael; Lacy, Clifton] Rutgers State Univ, Robert Wood Johnson Med
Sch, Piscataway, NJ USA.
[Lacy, Clifton] Rutgers State Univ, Ctr Emergency Preparedness Infrastruct &
Commun E, New Brunswick, NJ USA.
[Lacy, Clifton] Rutgers State Univ, Sch Commun & Informat, New Brunswick, NJ
USA.
Brunswick; Rutgers State University New Brunswick; Rutgers State
University Medical Center; Rutgers State University New Brunswick;
Rutgers State University New Brunswick
RP Burger, J (corresponding author), Rutgers State Univ, Div Life Sci, 604 Allison
Rd, Piscataway, NJ 08854 USA.
OI Burger, Joanna/0000-0002-8877-2966
FU Centers for Disease Control and Prevention [CDC-RFA-13-001]; National
Institute of Environmental Health Sciences [P30ES005022]
FX This work was supported by the Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention [CDC-RFA-13-001]; National Institute of Environmental Health
Sciences [P30ES005022].
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NR 45
TC 14
Z9 14
U1 2
U2 8
PI PHILADELPHIA
SN 1528-7394
EI 1087-2620
J9 J TOXICOL ENV HEAL A
JI J. Toxicol. Env. Health Part A
PD JAN 17
PY 2019
VL 82
IS 2
BP 128
EP 141
DI 10.1080/15287394.2019.1568329
PG 14
WC Environmental Sciences; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health;
Toxicology
(SSCI)
Health; Toxicology
GA HN2YZ
UT WOS:000460052100005
PM 30722754
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Okuno, S
Ikeuchi, K
Aihara, K
AF Okuno, Shunya
Ikeuchi, Koji
Aihara, Kazuyuki
TI Practical Data-Driven Flood Forecasting Based on Dynamical Systems
Theory
LA English
DT Article
DE delay embedding; flood forecasting; Japanese river; nonlinear time
series analysis; phase‐ space reconstruction
ID PREDICTION; RAINFALL
AB Data-driven flood forecasting methods are useful, especially for rivers that
lack information required for building physical models. Although the former methods
can forecast river stages using only past water levels and rainfall data, they
cannot easily predict unprecedented water levels and require a large amount of data
to build accurate models. We focus on phase-space reconstruction approaches based
on dynamical systems theory and develop a practical data-driven forecasting method
to overcome existing problems. The proposed method can predict unprecedented water
levels owing to a proposed correction term, and provide forecasts using only a
small number of water level increase events. We applied the proposed method to data
from actual rivers and it achieved the best forecast performance among existing
data-driven methods, including a multilayer perceptron, and a conventional method
based on phase-space reconstruction. In addition, the proposed method forecasted
the exceedance of the evacuation warning level 6 h earlier for small and steep
rivers. Given its performance and maintainability, the proposed method can be
applied to many gauged rivers to facilitate early evacuation.
C1 [Okuno, Shunya] Univ Tokyo, Inst Ind Sci, Tokyo, Japan.
[Okuno, Shunya] Kozo Keikaku Engn Inc, Weather Disaster Prevent Sect, Tokyo,
Japan.
[Ikeuchi, Koji] Univ Tokyo, Sch Engn, Dept Civil Engn, Tokyo, Japan.
[Aihara, Kazuyuki] Univ Tokyo, Int Res Ctr Neurointelligence WPI IRCN, Tokyo,
Japan.
C3 University of Tokyo; University of Tokyo; University of Tokyo
RP Okuno, S (corresponding author), Univ Tokyo, Inst Ind Sci, Tokyo, Japan.; Okuno,
S (corresponding author), Kozo Keikaku Engn Inc, Weather Disaster Prevent Sect,
Tokyo, Japan.
EM okuno@sat.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp
OI Okuno, Shunya/0000-0003-3518-7648
FU Kozo Keikaku Engineering Inc.; JSPS KAKENHI [JP15H05707]; AMED
[JP20dm0307009]; World Premier International Research Center Initiative,
Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology, Japan
FX We thank Prof. Christian W. Dawson for the ANNEX 2005/2006 data set. We
thank the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport, and Tourism for
providing access to the web service of the Water Information System. We
thank Dr. Yoshito Hirata for introducing us to the ANNEX 2005/2006 data
set and for suggestions and feedback on the early stage of this study.
This research was partially supported by Kozo Keikaku Engineering Inc.,
JSPS KAKENHI Grant Number JP15H05707, AMED under Grant Number
JP20dm0307009, and World Premier International Research Center
Initiative, Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and
Technology, Japan.
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NR 38
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 4
U2 26
PI WASHINGTON
SN 0043-1397
EI 1944-7973
J9 WATER RESOUR RES
PD MAR
PY 2021
VL 57
IS 3
AR e2020WR028427
DI 10.1029/2020WR028427
PG 18
Resources
GA RG6YG
UT WOS:000635680800050
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Gacu, JG
Monjardin, CEF
Senoro, DB
Tan, FJ
AF Gacu, Jerome G.
Monjardin, Cris Edward F.
Senoro, Delia B.
Tan, Fibor J.
TI Flood Risk Assessment Using GIS-Based Analytical Hierarchy Process in
the Municipality of Odiongan, Romblon, Philippines
LA English
DT Article
DE AHP; digital elevation model; flood; GIS; risk assessment
ID URBAN AREA; MODELS; BASIN; AHP
AB The archipelagic Romblon province frequently experiences typhoons and heavy
rains that causes extreme flooding, this produces particular concern about the
severity of damage in the Municipality of Odiongan. Hence, this study aimed to
assess the spatial flood risk of Odiongan using the analytical hierarchy process
(AHP), considering disaster risk factors with data collected from various
government agencies. The study employed the geographic information system (GIS) to
illustrate the spatial distribution of flooding in the municipality. Sendai
Framework was the basis of risk analysis in this study. The hazard parameters
considered were average annual rainfall, elevation, slope, soil type, and flood
depth. Population density, land use, and household number were considered
parameters for the exposure assessment. Vulnerability assessments considered gender
ratio, mean age, average income, number of persons with disabilities, educational
attainment, water usage, emergency preparedness, type of structures, and distance
to evacuation area as physical, social, and economic factors. Each parameter was
compared to one another by pairwise comparison to identify the weights based on
experts' judgment. These weights were then integrated into the flood risk
assessment computation. The results led to a flood risk map which recorded nine
barangays (small local government units) at high risk of flooding, notably the
Poblacion Area. The results of this study will guide local government units in
developing prompt flood management programs, appropriate mitigation measures,
preparedness, and response and recovery strategies to reduce flood risk and
vulnerability to the population of Odiongan.
C1 [Gacu, Jerome G.; Monjardin, Cris Edward F.; Senoro, Delia B.; Tan, Fibor J.]
Mapua Univ, Sch Grad Studies, Masters Program Civil Engn, Manila 1002, Philippines.
[Gacu, Jerome G.; Monjardin, Cris Edward F.; Senoro, Delia B.; Tan, Fibor J.]
Mapua Univ, Sch Civil Environm & Geol Engn, Manila 1002, Philippines.
[Gacu, Jerome G.] Romblon State Univ, Civil Engn Dept, Coll Engn & Technol,
Odiongan 5505, Romblon, Philippines.
[Monjardin, Cris Edward F.; Senoro, Delia B.; Tan, Fibor J.] Mapua Univ,
Yuchengco Innovat Ctr, Resiliency & Sustainable Dev Ctr, Manila 1002, Philippines.
C3 Mapua University; Mapua University; Mapua University
RP Monjardin, CEF (corresponding author), Mapua Univ, Sch Grad Studies, Masters
Program Civil Engn, Manila 1002, Philippines.; Monjardin, CEF (corresponding
author), Mapua Univ, Sch Civil Environm & Geol Engn, Manila 1002, Philippines.;
Monjardin, CEF (corresponding author), Mapua Univ, Yuchengco Innovat Ctr,
Resiliency & Sustainable Dev Ctr, Manila 1002, Philippines.
EM cefmonjardin@mapua.edu.ph
RI Gacu, Jerome Gabutero/HSG-1224-2023; SENORO, DELIA/GSI-9890-2022
OI Gacu, Jerome Gabutero/0000-0003-1577-7552; Tan,
Fibor/0000-0002-2240-2612; Monjardin, Cris Edward/0000-0003-3688-4402;
Senoro, Delia/0000-0002-5255-9979
FU Department of Science and Technology-Engineering Research and
Development for Technology; Mapua University
FX The study was funded by the Department of Science and
Technology-Engineering Research and Development for Technology and Mapua
University.
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NR 70
TC 6
Z9 6
U1 6
U2 9
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2076-3417
J9 APPL SCI-BASEL
JI Appl. Sci.-Basel
PD OCT
PY 2022
VL 12
IS 19
AR 9456
DI 10.3390/app12199456
PG 31
GA 5G0RR
UT WOS:000866715800001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Puttinaovarat, S
Horkaew, P
AF Puttinaovarat, Supattra
Horkaew, Paramate
TI Flood Forecasting System Based on Integrated Big and Crowdsource Data by
Using Machine Learning Techniques
SO IEEE ACCESS
LA English
DT Article
DE Flood forecasting system; big data; machine learning; crowdsource; deep
learning
ID SPATIAL INTERPOLATION; NETWORKS; PRECIPITATION
AB Flood is one of the most disruptive natural hazards, responsible for loss of
lives and damage to properties. A number of cities are subject to monsoons
influences and hence face the disaster almost every year. Early notification of
flood incident could benefit the authorities and public to devise both short and
long terms preventive measures, to prepare evacuation and rescue mission, and to
relieve the flood victims. Geographical locations of affected areas and respective
severities, for instances, are among the key determinants in most flood
administration. Thus far, an effective means of anticipating flood in advance
remains lacking. Existing tools were typically based on manually input and prepared
data. The processes were tedious and thus prohibitive for real-time and early
forecasts. Furthermore, these tools did not fully exploit more comprehensive
information available in current big data platforms. Therefore, this paper proposes
a novel flood forecasting system based on fusing meteorological, hydrological,
geospatial, and crowdsource big data in an adaptive machine learning framework.
Data intelligence was driven by state-of-the-art learning strategies. Subjective
and objective evaluations indicated that the developed system was able to forecast
flood incidents, happening in specific areas and time frames. It was also later
revealed by benchmarking experiments that the system configured with an MLP ANN
gave the most effective prediction, with correct percentage, Kappa, MAE and RMSE of
97.93, 0.89, 0.01 and 0.10, respectively.
C1 [Puttinaovarat, Supattra] Prince Songkla Univ, Fac Sci & Ind Technol, Surat
Thani Campus, Surat Thani 84000, Thailand.
[Horkaew, Paramate] Suranaree Univ Technol, Inst Engn, Sch Comp Engn, Nakhon
Ratchasima 30000, Thailand.
C3 Prince of Songkla University; Suranaree University of Technology
RP Horkaew, P (corresponding author), Suranaree Univ Technol, Inst Engn, Sch Comp
Engn, Nakhon Ratchasima 30000, Thailand.
EM phorkaew@sut.ac.th
RI Puttinaovarat, Supattra/AAB-1430-2019; Horkaew, Paramate/AAA-2540-2019
OI Puttinaovarat, Supattra/0000-0001-8597-3538; Horkaew,
Paramate/0000-0003-0879-7125
FU Agricultural Research Development Agency (Public Organization)
[PRP6105021450]
FX This work was supported in part by the Agricultural Research Development
Agency (Public Organization) under Grant PRP6105021450.
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NR 61
TC 28
Z9 30
U1 1
U2 39
PI PISCATAWAY
SN 2169-3536
J9 IEEE ACCESS
JI IEEE Access
PY 2020
VL 8
BP 5885
EP 5905
DI 10.1109/ACCESS.2019.2963819
PG 21
WC Computer Science, Information Systems; Engineering, Electrical &
Electronic; Telecommunications
SC Computer Science; Engineering; Telecommunications
GA LB5NI
UT WOS:000524682100014
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Maurin, J
Ferreira, P
Tourment, R
Boulay, A
AF Maurin, Jean
Ferreira, Patrick
Tourment, Remy
Boulay, Arnaud
TI Level of safety of the levees a tool for the massive evacuation of
Orleans's valley in case of major flood of the Loire
LA French
DT Article
AB More than 300 000 people live in the zones threatened by the major flood of the
Loire, protected behind 600 km from high levees. In case of breach in one of these
levees, the thousands of human lives would be threatened directly. How to react
facing an extreme phenomenon to put to the shelter the population?
A preventive evacuation of the populations the more exposed to the risk of
breach impose itself therefore.
The device rests above all on a clear indicator permitting to take the decision
of evacuation, and on an organization prepared previously to give the more of
success luck to this large-scale operation.
The example of the valley inundable concerning the south part of Orleans's
agglomeration protected by the levee of the valley of Orleans illustrates this
gait. In case of major rise in the water level of the Loire, a level of safety of
the levee has been defined, indeed the height of the levee presenting a protective
obvious level is not sufficient to guarantee the valley of a possible breach whose
consequences would be catastrophic. The preventive and massive evacuation remains
the only solution to guarantee the security of the 70 000 people living in this
sector.
The prefect of Loiret and his services finalized this device in dialogue with
the different local actors, this project constitutes an example for the other
ligerian agglomerations (Tours, Angers, Blois...).
C1 [Tourment, Remy] Irstea, Aix En Provence, France.
C3 INRAE
EM jean.maurin@developpement-durable.gouv.fr;
Patrick.Ferreira@loiret.gouv.fr; remy.tourment@cemagref.fr;
arnaud.boulay@developpement-durable.gouv.fr
OI Tourment, Remy/0000-0003-0549-1075
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TC 0
Z9 0
U1 0
U2 4
PU EDP SCIENCES S A
PI LES ULIS CEDEX A
FRANCE
SN 0018-6368
EI 1958-5551
J9 HOUILLE BLANCHE
PD FEB
PY 2013
IS 1
BP 16
EP 21
DI 10.1051/lhb/2013003
PG 6
WC Water Resources
SC Water Resources
GA 183HV
UT WOS:000321806200003
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Jacob, B
Mawson, AR
Payton, M
Guignard, JC
AF Jacob, Binu
Mawson, Anthony R.
Payton, Marinelle
Guignard, John C.
TI Disaster mythology and fact: Hurricane Katrina and social attachment
SO PUBLIC HEALTH REPORTS
LA English
DT Editorial Material
ID CYCLONE TRACY; CRISIS; RISK
AB Misconceptions about disasters and their social and health consequences remain
prevalent despite considerable research evidence to the contrary. Eight such myths
and their factual counterparts were reviewed in a classic report on the public
health impact of disasters by Claude de Ville de Goyet entitled, The Role of WHO in
Disaster Management: Relief, Rehabilitation, and Reconstruction (Geneva, World
Health Organization, 1991), and two additional myths and facts were added by Pan
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Katrina, with particular emphasis on psychosocial needs and behaviors, based on
data gleaned from scientific sources as well as printed and electronic media
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mass evacuation and resettlement should place a high priority on keeping families
together-and even entire neighborhoods, where possible-so as to preserve the
familiar and thereby minimize the adverse effects of separation and major
dislocation on mental and physical health.
C1 [Mawson, Anthony R.] Univ Mississippi, Med Ctr, Dept Pediat, Div Genet &
Epidemiol, Jackson, MS 39216 USA.
[Jacob, Binu] Ctr Hlth Protect, Arkansas Dept Hlth, Little Rock, AR USA.
[Payton, Marinelle] Jackson State Univ, Coll Publ Serv, Jackson, MS USA.
[Guignard, John C.] Guignard Biodynam, Metairie, LA USA.
C3 University of Mississippi; University of Mississippi Medical Center;
Jackson State University
RP Mawson, AR (corresponding author), Univ Mississippi, Med Ctr, Dept Pediat, Div
Genet & Epidemiol, 2500 N State St, Jackson, MS 39216 USA.
EM amawson@prevmed.umsmed.edu
RI Jacob, Binu/K-7621-2016
OI Jacob, Binu/0000-0002-2770-8741
FU NIMHD NIH HHS [5P20-MD00534-02, P20 MD000534] Funding Source: Medline
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TC 43
Z9 43
U1 0
U2 26
PI THOUSAND OAKS
SN 0033-3549
EI 1468-2877
J9 PUBLIC HEALTH REP
JI Public Health Rep.
PD SEP-OCT
PY 2008
VL 123
IS 5
BP 555
EP 566
DI 10.1177/003335490812300505
PG 12
(SSCI)
GA 337KJ
UT WOS:000258434700009
PM 18828410
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Leskens, JG
Brugnach, M
Hoekstra, A
AF Leskens, Johannes G.
Brugnach, Marcela
Hoekstra, Arjen
TI How do Interactive Flood Simulation Models Influence Decision-Making? An
Observations-Based Evaluation Method
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE hydrologic modelling; flood risk management; co-production of knowledge;
collaborative knowledge construction; interactive modelling; interactive
simulations
ID KNOWLEDGE CONSTRUCTION; WATER MANAGEMENT; INFORMATION; COLLABORATION;
UNCERTAINTY; DISCOURSE; SCIENCES; SYSTEMS; ANALYZE; RISK
AB Interactive flood simulations models are computer models that are usable for
practitioners during work sessions, allowing demand-driven flood simulations
together with domain experts. It is assumed among developers of such models that
these interactive models better serve decision-making processes, resulting in
better informed decisions about, for example, evacuation and rescue operations. In
order to test this assumption, we present a method that uses observations to
monitor and evaluate decision-making processes in work sessions where interactive
models are applied. We present a theoretical framework as a basis for this method,
based on theory of collaborative knowledge construction, and operationalize this
into measurable metrics. We demonstrate our method in two cases of flood disaster
management and illustrate and discuss the strengths and weaknesses.
C1 [Leskens, Johannes G.] Univ Appl Sci Rotterdam, Inst Built Environm IGO, NL-3015
GG Rotterdam, Netherlands.
[Leskens, Johannes G.] Nelen & Schuurmans, NL-3511 AE Utrecht, Netherlands.
[Brugnach, Marcela] BC3, Leioa 48940, Spain.
[Brugnach, Marcela] Basque Fdn Sci, Ikerbasque, Bilbao 48013, Spain.
[Brugnach, Marcela; Hoekstra, Arjen] Univ Twente, Water Management Grp, NL-7500
AE Enschede, Netherlands.
[Hoekstra, Arjen] Natl Univ Singapore, Lee Kuan Yew Sch Publ Policy, Inst Water
Policy, Singapore 259772, Singapore.
C3 Basque Foundation for Science; University of Twente; National University
of Singapore
RP Leskens, JG (corresponding author), Univ Appl Sci Rotterdam, Inst Built Environm
IGO, NL-3015 GG Rotterdam, Netherlands.; Leskens, JG (corresponding author), Nelen
& Schuurmans, NL-3511 AE Utrecht, Netherlands.
EM j.g.leskens@hr.nl; marcela.burgnach@bc3research.org;
a.y.hoekstra@utwente.nl
RI Hoekstra, Arjen/B-4980-2008
OI Hoekstra, Arjen/0000-0002-4769-5239; Brugnach,
Marcela/0000-0001-8522-8650
FU research and development program 3Di Water Management; Spanish
Government through Maria de Maeztu excellence accreditation 2018-2022 of
BC3 [MDM-2017-0714]
FX Research was made possible by a grant from the research and development
program 3Di Water Management. We gratefully acknowledge the various
employees of the water boards that participated in case studies. This
research is partly supported by the Spanish Government through Maria de
Maeztu excellence accreditation 2018-2022 (Ref. MDM-2017-0714) of BC3.
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NR 43
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 3
U2 8
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD NOV
PY 2019
VL 11
IS 11
AR 2427
DI 10.3390/w11112427
PG 16
(SSCI)
GA JV3KG
UT WOS:000502264500229
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Sadik, MS
Nakagawa, H
Rahman, R
Shaw, R
Kawaike, K
Fujita, K
AF Sadik, Md. Shibly
Nakagawa, Hajime
Rahman, Rezaur
Shaw, Rajib
Kawaike, Kenji
Fujita, Kumiko
TI A Study on Cyclone Aila Recovery in Koyra, Bangladesh: Evaluating the
Inclusiveness of Recovery with Respect to Predisaster Vulnerability
Reduction
SO INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK SCIENCE
LA English
DT Article
DE Bangladesh; Cyclone Aila; Diagnostic analysis; Disaster risk reduction;
Post-disaster reconstruction
ID EVACUATION ORDERS; WATER MANAGEMENT; SOCIAL NETWORKS; COASTAL;
DISPLACEMENT
AB The need to consider disaster risk reduction at the time of recovery is well-
recognized. Viable disaster risk reduction measures should resolve the root causes
of predisaster vulnerabilities. Accordingly, we investigated the recovery from the
impact of Cyclone Aila in Koyra Upazila, Bangladesh, which was severely damaged by
this 2009 cyclone. Our research focused on understanding pre-Aila vulnerabilities
to cyclone impact and examined the degree of inclusion of vulnerability reduction
measures within the recovery process. A composite methodology that included an
institutional survey, key informant interviews, collection of the judgment of
experts, focus group discussions, and a score-based quantification technique was
adopted. Through a process of understanding pre-Aila vulnerabilities, recognition
of the root causes of these inherent weaknesses, and identification of appropriate
measures for pre-Aila vulnerability reduction, a set of 23 indicators were selected
to represent the most desirable vulnerability reduction measures to implement
during recovery. A score-based technique was applied to measure the degree of
inclusion of vulnerability reduction within the recovery with respect to the
indicators. The scoring result shows that the degree of inclusion of vulnerability
reduction within the recovery was poor. The result specifies that among the 23
indicators of potential vulnerability reduction measures, 10 are completely missing
and the rest are only partially included. The overall findings imply that the Koyra
community continues to live with a vulnerability similar to that of the pre-Aila
period.
C1 [Sadik, Md. Shibly] Kyoto Univ, Dept Civil & Earth Resources Engn, Fushimi Ku,
Kyoto 6128235, Japan.
[Sadik, Md. Shibly] Ctr Environm & Geog Informat Serv, Dhaka 1212, Bangladesh.
[Nakagawa, Hajime; Kawaike, Kenji; Fujita, Kumiko] Kyoto Univ, Disaster Prevent
Res Inst, Fushimi Ku, Kyoto 6128235, Japan.
[Rahman, Rezaur] Bangladesh Univ Engn & Technol, Inst Water & Flood Management,
Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh.
[Shaw, Rajib] Keio Univ, Grad Sch Media & Governance, Shonan Fujisawa
Campus,5322 Endo, Fujisawa, Kanagawa 2520882, Japan.
C3 Kyoto University; Kyoto University; Bangladesh University of Engineering
& Technology (BUET); Keio University
RP Sadik, MS (corresponding author), Kyoto Univ, Dept Civil & Earth Resources Engn,
Fushimi Ku, Kyoto 6128235, Japan.; Sadik, MS (corresponding author), Ctr Environm &
Geog Informat Serv, Dhaka 1212, Bangladesh.
EM sadik.shibly.52e@st.kyoto-u.ac.jp
RI Shaw, Rajib/AAI-4834-2020
OI Shaw, Rajib/0000-0003-3153-1800; Sadik, Md Shibly/0000-0001-9205-4791
FU Japan Government scholarship (MEXT); JST-JICA
FX The first author of this article is the recipient of a Japan Government
scholarship (MEXT). This academic research was a part of a collaborative
research project (SATREP) between Bangladesh and the Japan Government
funded by JST-JICA for whose support the authors wish to express their
thanks and appreciation.
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NR 57
TC 21
Z9 22
U1 1
U2 7
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 2095-0055
EI 2192-6395
J9 INT J DISAST RISK SC
JI Int. J. Disaster Risk Sci.
PD MAR
PY 2018
VL 9
IS 1
BP 28
EP 43
DI 10.1007/s13753-018-0166-9
PG 16
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA GA8ZG
UT WOS:000428629700003
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Intini, P
Ronchi, E
Gwynne, S
Pel, A
AF Intini, Paolo
Ronchi, Enrico
Gwynne, Steven
Pel, Adam
TI Traffic Modeling for Wildland-Urban Interface Fire Evacuation
SO JOURNAL OF TRANSPORTATION ENGINEERING PART A-SYSTEMS
LA English
DT Article
ID HURRICANE EVACUATION; WILDFIRE EVACUATION; TRANSPORTATION NETWORKS;
DRIVING BEHAVIOR; DECISION-MAKING; TIME; INFORMATION; UNDERSTAND;
SIMULATION; OPTIMIZATION
AB Several traffic modeling tools are currently available for evacuation planning
and real-time decision support during emergencies. This paper reviews potential
traffic-modeling approaches in the context of wildland-urban interface (WUI) fire-
evacuation applications. Existing modeling approaches and features are evaluated
pertaining to fire-related, spatial, and demographic factors; intended application
(planning or decision support); and temporal issues. This systematic review shows
the importance of the following modeling approaches: dynamic modeling structures,
considering behavioral variability and route choice; activity-based models for
short-notice evacuation planning; and macroscopic traffic simulation for real-time
evacuation management. Subsequently, the modeling features of 22 traffic models and
applications currently available in practice and the literature are reviewed and
matched with the benchmark features identified for WUI fire applications. Based on
this review analysis, recommendations are made for developing traffic models
specifically applicable to WUI fire evacuation, including possible integrations
with wildfire and pedestrian models.
C1 [Intini, Paolo] Polytech Univ Bari, 4 Via Orabona, I-70126 Bari, Italy.
[Intini, Paolo] Lund Univ, POB 118, S-22100 Lund, Sweden.
[Ronchi, Enrico] Lund Univ, Box 118, S-22100 Lund, Sweden.
[Gwynne, Steven] Natl Res Council Canada, Montreal Rd Bldg M-59,Room 225,
Ottawa, ON K1A 0R6, Canada.
[Pel, Adam] Delft Univ Technol, POB 5048, NL-2600 GA Delft, Netherlands.
C3 Politecnico di Bari; Lund University; Lund University; National Research
Council Canada; Delft University of Technology
RP Intini, P (corresponding author), Polytech Univ Bari, 4 Via Orabona, I-70126
Bari, Italy.; Intini, P (corresponding author), Lund Univ, POB 118, S-22100 Lund,
Sweden.
EM paolo.intini@poliba.it; enrico.ronchi@brand.lth.se;
steven.gwynne@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca; a.j.pel@tudelft.nl
RI Intini, Paolo/B-9189-2019; Ronchi, Enrico/H-7130-2019
OI Intini, Paolo/0000-0003-1696-8131; Ronchi, Enrico/0000-0002-2789-6359;
Gwynne, Steve/0000-0002-2758-3897
FU National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) [60NANB16D282];
Lerici Foundation
FX This work is funded by the National Institute of Standards and
Technology (NIST) (Grant No. 60NANB16D282) and is part of the project
"Modeling requirements for an open-access Multiphysics approach to
planning of urban evacuations caused by wildfire disasters." The authors
acknowledge the Fire Protection Research Foundation (FPRF) at the
National Fire Protection Association (NFPA) as administrator of the NIST
grant. The authors thank Guillermo Rein and Rahul Wadhwani for their
contribution to the fire modeling aspects of the project and Albin
Bergstedt for his contribution to the review of traffic models/tools.
The authors also acknowledge Amanda Kimball and Daniel Gorham at the
FPRF as well as the Technical Panel for their continuous support during
the project. Paolo Intini acknowledges the Lerici Foundation for
providing financial support for his research at Lund University.
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NR 144
TC 26
Z9 26
U1 5
U2 54
PI RESTON
SN 2473-2907
EI 2473-2893
J9 J TRANSP ENG A-SYST
JI J. Transp. Eng. Pt A-Syst.
PD MAR 1
PY 2019
VL 145
IS 3
AR 04019002
DI 10.1061/JTEPBS.0000221
PG 15
(SSCI)
GA HJ6AX
UT WOS:000457266400006
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Lee, CC
Chou, C
Mostafavi, A
AF Lee, Cheng-Chun
Chou, Charles
Mostafavi, Ali
TI Specifying evacuation return and home-switch stability during short-term
disaster recovery using location-based data
LA English
DT Article
ID COMMUNITY RECOVERY; NATURAL DISASTERS; FLOOD INSURANCE; MOBILITY
AB The objectives of this study are: (1) to specify evacuation return and home-
switch stability as two critical milestones of short-term recovery during and in
the aftermath of disasters; and (2) to understand the disparities among
subpopulations in the duration of these critical recovery milestones. Using
privacy-preserving fine-resolution location-based data, we examine evacuation and
home move-out rates in Harris County, Texas in the context of the 2017 Hurricane
Harvey. For each of the two critical recovery milestones, the results reveal the
areas with short- and long-return durations and enable evaluating disparities in
evacuation return and home-switch stability patterns. In fact, a shorter duration
of critical recovery milestone indicators in flooded areas is not necessarily a
positive indication. Shorter evacuation return could be due to barriers to
evacuation and shorter home move-out rate return for lower-income residents is
associated with living in rental homes. In addition, skewed and non-uniform
recovery patterns for both the evacuation return and home-switch stability were
observed in all subpopulation groups. All return patterns show a two-phase return
progress pattern. The findings could inform disaster managers and public officials
to perform recovery monitoring and resource allocation in a more proactive, data-
driven, and equitable manner.
C1 [Lee, Cheng-Chun; Mostafavi, Ali] Texas A&M Univ, Zachry Dept Civil & Environm
Engn, Urban Resilience AI Lab, 199 Spence St, College Stn, TX 77843 USA.
[Chou, Charles] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Comp Sci & Engn, 435 Nagle St, College Stn,
TX 77843 USA.
RP Lee, CC (corresponding author), Texas A&M Univ, Zachry Dept Civil & Environm
Engn, Urban Resilience AI Lab, 199 Spence St, College Stn, TX 77843 USA.
EM ccbarrylee@tamu.edu
OI Lee, Cheng-Chun/0000-0002-9441-9229
FU National Science Foundation [CMMI-1846069]; Texas A M University [699]
FX This material is based in part upon work supported by the National
Science Foundation under Grant CMMI-1846069 (CAREER), and the Texas A &M
University X-Grant 699. The authors also would like to acknowledge the
data support from Spectus. Any opinions, findings, conclusions or
do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation,
Texas A &M University, or Spectus.
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NR 50
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 3
U2 4
PU NATURE PORTFOLIO
PI BERLIN
SN 2045-2322
J9 SCI REP-UK
JI Sci Rep
PD SEP 26
PY 2022
VL 12
IS 1
AR 15987
DI 10.1038/s41598-022-20384-4
PG 13
GA 4W3VW
UT WOS:000860095400024
PM 36163362
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Mellgard, G
Abramson, D
Okamura, C
Weerahandi, H
AF Mellgard, George
Abramson, David
Okamura, Charles
Weerahandi, Himali
TI Hurricanes and healthcare: a case report on the influences of Hurricane
Maria and managed Medicare in treating a Puerto Rican resident
SO BMC HEALTH SERVICES RESEARCH
LA English
DT Article
DE Case report; Hurricane Maria; Puerto Rico; Managed Medicare; End stage
renal disease; Special enrollment period
ID UNITED-STATES; IMPACT; EMERGENCY; KATRINA
AB Background While Medicare is a federal health insurance program, managed
Medicare limits access to healthcare services to networks within states or
territories. However, if a natural disaster requires evacuation, displaced patients
are at risk of losing coverage for their benefits. Previous literature has
discussed the quality of managed Medicare plans within Puerto Rico but has not
addressed the adequacy of this coverage if residents are displaced to the
continental United States. We explore Hurricane Maria's impact on a resident of
Puerto Rico with chronic health problems, and the challenges he faces seeking
healthcare in New York. Case presentation A 59-year-old male with a history of
diabetes mellitus type II, coronary artery disease, peripheral vascular disease
status post right foot amputation, and end-stage kidney disease on hemodialysis was
admitted in October of 2017 for chest pain and swelling of legs for 5 days. The
patient had missed his last three dialysis sessions after Hurricane Maria forced
him to leave Puerto Rico. In examining this patient's treatment, we observe the
effect of Hurricane Maria on the medical management of Puerto Rican residents and
identify challenges managed Medicare may pose to patients who cross state or
territory lines. Conclusions We employ this patient's narrative to frame a larger
discussion of Puerto Rican managed Medicare and provide additional recommendations
for healthcare providers. Moreover, we consider this case in the context of
disaster-related continuity of care for patients with complex medical conditions or
treatment regimens. To address the gaps in the care of these patients, this article
proposes (1) developing system-based approaches for screening displaced patients,
(2) increasing the awareness of Special Enrollment Periods related to Medicare
among healthcare providers, and (3) creating policy solutions to assure access to
care for patients with complex medical conditions.
C1 [Mellgard, George; Okamura, Charles; Weerahandi, Himali] New York Univ Langone,
Dept Med, New York, NY 10016 USA.
[Abramson, David] NYU, Coll Global Publ Hlth, New York, NY USA.
[Weerahandi, Himali] NYU, Sch Med, Dept Populat Hlth, New York, NY USA.
C3 New York University; New York University; New York University
RP Mellgard, G (corresponding author), New York Univ Langone, Dept Med, New York,
NY 10016 USA.
EM george.mellgard@icahn.mssm.edu
RI Weerahandi, Himali/P-9560-2019
OI Mellgard, George/0000-0002-8649-9855; Weerahandi,
Himali/0000-0001-9614-345X
FU NYU CTSA grant from the National Center for Advancing Translational
Sciences, National Institutes of Health [KL2TR001446]; National Heart,
Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health [K23HL145110]
FX Dr. Weerahandi was supported by the NYU CTSA grant from the National
Center for Advancing Translational Sciences, National Institutes of
Health (KL2TR001446) and is currently supported by a grant from the
National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health
(K23HL145110). The NIH had no involvement in the design and conduct of
the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the
data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; and decision
to submit the manuscript for publication. The content is solely the
responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the
official views of the NIH. The funding body played no role in the design
of the study, data collection and analysis, or writing of the
manuscript.
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[Anonymous], 2018, US HURR STRIK DEC
[Anonymous], 2016, SELECTED POPULATION
[Anonymous], 2017, HURR MARIA
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NR 22
TC 7
Z9 7
U1 0
U2 4
PU BMC
PI LONDON
PA CAMPUS, 4 CRINAN ST, LONDON N1 9XW, ENGLAND
EI 1472-6963
J9 BMC HEALTH SERV RES
JI BMC Health Serv. Res.
PD NOV 8
PY 2019
VL 19
IS 1
AR 818
DI 10.1186/s12913-019-4630-z
PG 5
WC Health Care Sciences & Services
(SSCI)
SC Health Care Sciences & Services
GA JL6XD
UT WOS:000495672200001
PM 31703682
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Joannette, J
AF Joannette, Jean
TI Effects of risk on the determination of the dams flood safety at
Hydro-Quebec
LA French
DT Article
DE safety check flood; dam failure; modelling hydraulic uncertainties;
incremental damages
AB This article looks at aspects of the hydraulic studies carried out in dam safety
reviews at Hydro-Quebec. It is a reflection on the judicious choice, for a
population at risk and the owner of the dam, of the safety check flood considering
certain underlying risks. The safety check flood determination method, based on the
incremental damage evaluation in the event of a structure's failure, is briefly
presented.
Risk is defined and categorized by accounting for unpredictable and often
unfavourable turns of events associated with a failure and the damage caused. The
uncertainties associated with water management.(upstream dam having an unfavourable
management) and water levels (debris in the outlet works, gate not operational,
etc.). Three possible levels of risk are defined: normal, critical and
catastrophic.
The effects of the uncertainties may be evaluated when defining the flooding
zones and by the method of analysis of damages caused by a failure. These
uncertainties can produce a translation of the incremental failure flooding zone.
This can modify the level of consequences of a dam failure and even the
determination of the safety check flood of a dam.
The approach presented can help to define the risk attached to the choice of the
safety check flood and to determine the required hydraulic structures. It also
enables quantifying the importance of the possible risks, the level of vigilance
required, the dam safety measures and the intervention delay for evacuation of
people at risk.
C1 Hydro Quebec Prod, Direct Barrages & Infrastruct, Quebec City, PQ, Canada.
C3 Hydro-Quebec
RP Joannette, J (corresponding author), Hydro Quebec Prod, Direct Barrages &
Infrastruct, Quebec City, PQ, Canada.
EM joannette.jean@hydro.qc.ca
CR HYDRO-QUEBEC - DIVISION PRODUCTION, 2001, GUID ET RUPT BARR
HYDRO-QUEBEC - VICE-PRESIDENCE INGENIERIE, 1995, COMPL ST MAUR EV CRU
NICOLET N., 1997, RAPPORT COMMISSION S
NR 3
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 0
U2 15
PU EDP SCIENCES S A
PI LES ULIS CEDEX A
FRANCE
SN 0018-6368
EI 1958-5551
J9 HOUILLE BLANCHE
PD OCT
PY 2014
IS 5
BP 59
EP 64
DI 10.1051/lhb/2014051
PG 6
WC Water Resources
SC Water Resources
GA AT9NT
UT WOS:000345254600010
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Miles, T
Zhang, DX
Foltz, G
Zhang, J
Meinig, C
Bringas, F
Trinanes, J
Le Henaff, M
Vargas, MA
Coakley, S
Edwards, C
Gong, DL
Todd, R
Oliver, M
Wilson, D
Whilden, K
Kirkpatrick, B
Chardon-Maldonado, P
Morell, J
Hernandez, D
Kuska, G
Stienbarger, C
Bailey, K
Zhang, CD
Glenn, S
Goni, G
AF Miles, Travis
Zhang, Dongxiao
Foltz, Gregory
Zhang, Jun
Meinig, Christian
Bringas, Francis
Trinanes, Joaquin
Le Henaff, Matthieu
Vargas, Maria Aristizabal
Coakley, Sam
Edwards, Catherine
Gong, Donglai
Todd, Robert
Oliver, Matthew
Wilson, Douglas
Whilden, Kerri
Kirkpatrick, Barbara
Chardon-Maldonado, Patricia
Morell, Julio
Hernandez, Debra
Kuska, Gerhard
Stienbarger, Cheyenne
Bailey, Kathleen
Zhang, Chidong
Glenn, Scott
Goni, Gustavo
TI Uncrewed Ocean Gliders and Saildrones Support Hurricane Forecasting and
Research
SO OCEANOGRAPHY
LA English
DT Article
AB In the United States alone, hurricanes have been responsible for thousands of
deaths and over US$1 trillion in damages since 1980
(https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/billions/). These impacts are significantly greater
globally, particularly in regions with limited hurricane early warning systems and
where large portions of the population live at or near sea level. The high
socioeconomic impacts of tropical cyclones will increase with a changing climate,
rising sea level, and increasing coastal populations. To mitigate these impacts,
efforts are underway to improve hurricane track and intensity forecasts, which
drive storm surge models and evacuation orders and guide coastal preparations.
Hurricane track forecasts have improved steadily over past decades, while intensity
forecasts have lagged until recently (Cangialosi a combination of large-scale
atmospheric circulation, internal storm dynamics, and air-sea interactions (Wadler
et al., 2021, and references therein). Components of the sustained ocean observing
system (e.g., profiling floats, expendable bathythermographs, drifters, moorings)
are useful for understanding the role of the the ocean observing system,
particularly collection of data near the air-sea interface and in coastal regions,
boundary
RI Zhang, Jun A/F-9580-2012; zhang, chao/HTO-2468-2023; zhang,
chao/IXD-9965-2023; zhang, chi/GRX-3610-2022; Whilden, Kerri
A/A-2702-2019; Foltz, Gregory/B-8710-2011; Goni, Gustavo J/D-2017-2012
OI Zhang, Jun A/0000-0003-3713-0223; Whilden, Kerri A/0000-0001-9566-0981;
Foltz, Gregory/0000-0003-0050-042X; Goni, Gustavo J/0000-0001-7093-3170;
Kuska, Gerhard F/0009-0004-3874-9620; Gong, Donglai/0000-0002-1697-1739
FU NOAA's Office of Marine and Aviation Operations (OMAO); NOAA's Office of
Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR): Weather Program Office
[NA21OAR4590394]; Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory
(AOML); Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory (PMEL); Cooperative
Institute for Climate, Ocean and Ecosystem Studies (CICOES/UW); Oceans
Portfolio; NOAA; National Science Foundation; Office of Naval Research;
NOAA OMAO; NOAA [NA16NOS0120020]
FX The Saildrone project work was supported by NOAA's Office of Marine and
Aviation Operations (OMAO) and Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric
Research (OAR): Weather Program Office (NA21OAR4590394), Atlantic
Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory (AOML), Pacific Marine
Environmental Laboratory (PMEL), Cooperative Institute for Climate,
Ocean and Ecosystem Studies (CICOES/UW), and the Oceans Portfolio. The
glider work was supported by NOAA (Integrated Ocean Observing System,
Global Ocean Monitoring and Observing Program, IOOS Regional
Associations-MARACOOS, CARICOOS, SECOORA, and GCOOS-made possible in
part by supplemental funds from the Bipartisan Budget Act of 2018 and
the 2019 Additional Supplemental Appropriations for Disaster Relief
Act), the National Science Foundation, and Office of Naval Research.
Support for the NOAA and US Navy glider partnership was made possible by
NOAA OMAO. Rutgers researchers were also partially supported by NOAA
(NA16NOS0120020). This is PMEL contribution #5333.
CR Cangialosi JP, 2020, WEATHER FORECAST, V35, P1913, DOI 10.1175/WAF-D-20-0059.1
Domingues R, 2021, MON WEATHER REV, V149, P1265, DOI 10.1175/MWR-D-20-0100.1
Glenn SM, 2016, NAT COMMUN, V7, DOI 10.1038/ncomms10887
Halliwell GR, 2020, J ATMOS OCEAN TECH, V37, P467, DOI 10.1175/JTECH-D-18-0195.1
Le Henaff M, 2021, J GEOPHYS RES-OCEANS, V126, DOI 10.1029/2020JC016969
Meinig C, 2019, FRONT MAR SCI, V6, DOI 10.3389/fmars.2019.00448
Testor P, 2019, FRONT MAR SCI, V6, DOI 10.3389/fmars.2019.00422
Todd RE, 2018, GEOPHYS RES LETT, V45, P10509, DOI 10.1029/2018GL079180
Wadler JB, 2021, MON WEATHER REV, V149, P245, DOI 10.1175/MWR-D-20-0145.1
Zhang DX, 2019, OCEANOGRAPHY, V32, P122, DOI 10.5670/oceanog.2019.220
NR 10
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 0
U2 2
PU OCEANOGRAPHY SOC
PI ROCKVILLE
PA P.O. BOX 1931, ROCKVILLE, MD USA
SN 1042-8275
J9 OCEANOGRAPHY
JI Oceanography
PD DEC
PY 2021
VL 34
IS 4
BP 78
EP 81
DI 10.5670/oceanog.2021.supplement.02-28
PG 4
WC Oceanography
SC Oceanography
GA ZT7TY
UT WOS:000769355300014
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU McCaughey, JW
Mundir, I
Daly, P
Mahdi, S
Patt, A
AF McCaughey, Jamie W.
Mundir, Ibnu
Daly, Patrick
Mahdi, Saiful
Patt, Anthony
TI Trust and distrust of tsunami vertical evacuation buildings: Extending
protection motivation theory to examine choices under social influence
LA English
DT Article
DE Tsunami; Evacuation; Protection motivation theory; Trust; Social
influence; Social norms
ID RISK PERCEPTIONS; FEAR APPEALS; BEHAVIOR; VESUVIUS; CYCLONE; NORMS
AB Tsunami vertical evacuation (TVE) buildings have the potential to save many
lives. Yet whether TVE buildings actually save lives depends critically on whether
people trust and evacuate to them, a question that has not previously been
researched. We examine the case of the city of Banda Aceh, Indonesia, where a M8.6
earthquake on 11-April-2012 caused a spontaneous mass evacuation but no tsunami.
Our survey of residents living near TVE buildings (n = 202) shows that they clearly
prefer horizontal evacuation: in the 2012 earthquake, only 26% evacuated to a TVE
building, while 74% evacuated horizontally; if a similar earthquake happened in the
future, only 32% intend to evacuate to a TVE building, while 68% intend to evacuate
horizontally. To investigate the reasons for this, we extend protection motivation
theory to examine people's choices among protective actions under social influence.
Those who prefer to evacuate horizontally do not trust the safety of the TVE
building and think they can reach a safe inland destination in time, while those
who prefer to evacuate to a TVE building think they cannot reach a safe inland
destination in time. Encouragement from friends and family influences people's
evacuation destinations but official information and training do not. These
findings suggest that more attention to the social context is crucial for the
effectiveness of TVE buildings. Our extension of protection motivation theory to
include choices among protective actions under social influence can be broadly
useful in research on self-protective behavior in natural hazards, public health,
and other contexts.
C1 [McCaughey, Jamie W.; Daly, Patrick] Nanyang Technol Univ, Earth Observ
Singapore, Singapore, Singapore.
[McCaughey, Jamie W.; Patt, Anthony] ETH, Dept Environm Syst Sci, Inst Environm
Decis, Zurich, Switzerland.
[Mundir, Ibnu; Mahdi, Saiful] Int Ctr Aceh & Indian Ocean Studies, Aceh,
Indonesia.
[Mahdi, Saiful] Syiah Kuala Univ, Stat Dept, Banda Aceh, Indonesia.
C3 Nanyang Technological University & National Institute of Education (NIE)
Singapore; Nanyang Technological University; Swiss Federal Institutes of
Technology Domain; ETH Zurich; Universitas Syiah Kuala
RP McCaughey, JW (corresponding author), Nanyang Technol Univ, Earth Observ
Singapore, Singapore, Singapore.
EM jmccaughey@ntu.edu.sg
RI Mahdi, Saiful/S-3395-2017; Mahdi, Sarosh/HMV-3819-2023
OI Mahdi, Saiful/0000-0001-9756-1864; McCaughey, Jamie
W./0000-0003-1490-5022
FU National Research Foundation Singapore; Singapore Ministry of Education
under the Research Centres of Excellence initiative; Earth Observatory
of Singapore (EOS); EOS [134]
FX The International Centre for Aceh and Indian Ocean Studies facilitated
this research in collaboration with Syiah Kuala University and the
Ar-Raniry State Islamic University. Rizanna Rosemary and Lely Safrina
helped design measures of risk perception. Nizamuddin, Ardian Syah, and
Muzailin Affan carried out geospatial analyses. Hayatullah, Nyak Anwar,
Zulkifli Ak, Asiah Uzia, Cut Murnita, Fanny Nailufar, Fitriani, Ida
Fitria, Israyani, Jihan, Safrina, and Syafriani Tahir helped refine
research instruments and carried out field research. Nanda Elviera, Ida
Fitria, Jonah Yong, Rita Zahara, Sari Novita, and Divya Hundlani carried
out data management and verification. Maida Irawani, Cut Dian Fitri, and
Ivan Arisandy provided operational support. This research is supported
by the National Research Foundation Singapore and the Singapore Ministry
of Education under the Research Centres of Excellence initiative. This
work was funded by the Earth Observatory of Singapore (EOS) and is EOS
Contribution Number 134. We thank three anonymous reviewers whose
comments have led us to improve this manuscript. We express our deep
gratitude to the people of Aceh for their participation in this
research.
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NR 43
TC 42
Z9 42
U1 2
U2 17
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD SEP
PY 2017
VL 24
BP 462
EP 473
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2017.06.016
PG 12
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA FL0XM
UT WOS:000413936100047
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Xiong, X
Harville, EW
Mattison, DR
Elkind-Hirsch, K
Pridjian, G
Buekens, P
AF Xiong, Xu
Harville, Emily W.
Mattison, Donald R.
Elkind-Hirsch, Karen
Pridjian, Gabriella
Buekens, Pierre
TI Exposure to Hurricane Katrina, post-traumatic stress disorder and birth
outcomes
SO AMERICAN JOURNAL OF THE MEDICAL SCIENCES
LA English
DT Article
DE depression; disaster; low birth weight; post-traumatic stress disorder;
pregnancy
ID PREGNANCY OUTCOMES; DISASTER; SUPPORT; SCALE
AB Background. Little is known about the effects of natural disasters on pregnancy
outcomes. We studied mental health and birth outcomes among women exposed to
Hurricane Katrina. Methods: We collected data prospectively from a cohort of 301
women from New Orleans and Baton Rouge. Pregnant women were interviewed during
pregnancy about their experiences during the hurricane, and whether they had
experienced symptoms of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) and/or depression.
High hurricane exposure was defined as having 3 or more of the 8 severe hurricane
experiences, such as feeling that one's life was in danger, walking through
floodwaters, or having a loved one die. Results: The frequency of low birth weight
was higher in women with high hurricane exposure (14.0%) than women without high
hurricane exposure (4.7%), with an adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 3.3; 95% confidence
interval (0): 1.13-9.89; P < 0.01. The frequency of preterm birth was higher in
women with high hurricane exposure (14.0%) than women without high hurricane
exposure (6.3%), with aOR: 2.3; 95% CI: 0.82-6.38; P > 0.05. There were no
significant differences in the frequency of low birth weight or preterm birth
between women with PTSD or depression and women without PTSD or depression (P >
0.05). Conclusions: Women who had high hurricane exposure were at an increased risk
of having low birth weight infants. Rather than a general exposure to disaster,
exposure to specific severe disaster events and the intensity of the disaster
experience may be better predictors of poor pregnancy outcomes. To prevent poor
pregnancy outcomes during and after disasters, future disaster preparedness may
need to include the planning of earlier evacuation of pregnant women to minimize
their exposure to severe disaster events.
C1 [Xiong, Xu; Harville, Emily W.; Buekens, Pierre] Tulane Univ, Sch Publ Hlth &
Trop Med, Dept Epidemiol, New Orleans, LA 70112 USA.
[Mattison, Donald R.] NICHHD, NIH, Rockville, MD USA.
[Elkind-Hirsch, Karen] Womens Hosp Med Ctr, Womans Hlth Res Inst, Baton Rouge,
LA USA.
[Pridjian, Gabriella] Tulane Univ, Sch Med, Dept Obstet & Gynecol, New Orleans,
LA 70112 USA.
C3 Tulane University; National Institutes of Health (NIH) - USA; NIH Eunice
Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health & Human Development
(NICHD); Tulane University
RP Xiong, X (corresponding author), Tulane Univ, Sch Publ Hlth & Trop Med, Dept
Epidemiol, 1440 Canal St,SL-18, New Orleans, LA 70112 USA.
EM xxiong@tulane.edu
RI Mattison, Donald R/C-2015-2009; Harville, Emily/AFS-8572-2022; Mattison,
Donald/L-4661-2013
OI Harville, Emily/0000-0003-0319-0922; Mattison,
Donald/0000-0001-5623-0874
FU NIH/NICHD [3U01HD040477-0552]; National Institute of Child Health And
Human Development [K12HD043451]
FX This study was supported by NIH/NICHD 3U01HD040477-0552. Dr. Harville is
a BIRCWH scholar, supported by Grant Number K12HD043451 from the
National Institute of Child Health And Human Development.
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X
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b
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7659.2006.00084.x
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NR 17
TC 137
Z9 139
U1 3
U2 21
PI PHILADELPHIA
SN 0002-9629
J9 AM J MED SCI
JI Am. J. Med. Sci.
PD AUG
PY 2008
VL 336
IS 2
BP 111
EP 115
DI 10.1097/MAJ.0b013e318180f21c
PG 5
(SSCI)
GA 342KP
UT WOS:000258783300006
PM 18703903
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Nomura, S
Murakami, M
Ozaki, A
Sawano, T
Leppold, C
Nishikawa, Y
Saito, H
Oikawa, T
Tsubokura, M
AF Nomura, Shuhei
Murakami, Michio
Ozaki, Akihiko
Sawano, Toyoaki
Leppold, Claire
Nishikawa, Yoshitaka
Saito, Hiroaki
Oikawa, Tomoyoshi
Tsubokura, Masaharu
TI Comparative risk assessment of non-communicable diseases by evacuation
scenario- a retrospective study in the 7 years following the Fukushima
Daiichi nuclear power plant accident
SO GLOBAL HEALTH ACTION
LA English
DT Article
DE Japan; Fukushima; evacuation; non-communicable diseases
ID POSTTRAUMATIC-STRESS-DISORDER; EAST JAPAN EARTHQUAKE; INVERSE
PROBABILITY; METABOLIC SYNDROME; HURRICANE-KATRINA; CLINICAL-PRACTICE;
PROPENSITY SCORE; HEART-FAILURE; HEALTH-CARE; DISASTER
AB Background: As a result of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant accident,
many residents evacuated and were exposed to changes in their living environment
and socioeconomic status, and to persistent stressors. Past studies have suggested
the potential for these circumstances to contribute to long-term changes to
population health.
Objective: The objective of this study was to gain a better understanding of
long-term health effects of evacuation, by evaluating the risk of non-communicable
diseases among evacuees from Minamisoma City (one of the closest municipalities to
the power plant) until 2017.
Methods: The study evaluated data from annual health check-ups for residents
aged 40-74 years covered by National Health Insurance (who are largely self-
employed) from 2010 to 2017 administered by Minamisoma City. Diabetes,
hyperlipidemia, and hypertension were defined from the results of blood sampling.
Annual changes in age-adjusted prevalence were estimated by evacuation scenario. We
also performed an inverse-probability weighting (IPW) analysis to adjust for
baseline covariates in 2010 and estimated the differences in the risk of diabetes,
hyperlipidemia, and hypertension by evacuation scenario as of the 2017 health
check-up in reference to the no-evacuation group.
Results: A total of 1,837 individuals were considered in this study. Regardless
of evacuation scenario, there was statistical evidence suggesting an upward and a
downward trend in diabetes and hypertension from 2010 to 2017, respectively, while
hyperlipidemia showed no remarkable change. IPW analyses demonstrated that disease
risks in 2017 did not differ significantly among people with different evacuation
scenarios.
Conclusions: Region-specific factors played an important role in the health
effects of the evacuation. Our findings have important implications for the need of
an assessment of the health effects of evacuations in more localized manner.
Further research in this area will strengthen the communities' preparedness for
future disasters that require mass evacuation.
C1 [Nomura, Shuhei; Ozaki, Akihiko; Sawano, Toyoaki; Tsubokura, Masaharu]
Minamisoma Municipal Gen Hosp, Res Ctr Community Hlth, Fukushima, Japan.
[Nomura, Shuhei] Univ Tokyo, Grad Sch Med, Dept Global Hlth Policy, Tokyo,
Japan.
[Nomura, Shuhei] Keio Univ, Sch Med, Dept Hlth Policy & Management, Tokyo,
Japan.
[Murakami, Michio] Fukushima Med Univ, Sch Med, Dept Hlth Risk Commun,
Fukushima, Japan.
[Ozaki, Akihiko] Tokiwa Fdn, Jyoban Hosp, Dept Breast Surg, Fukushima, Japan.
[Sawano, Toyoaki] Tokiwa Fdn, Jyoban Hosp, Dept Surg, Fukushima, Japan.
[Sawano, Toyoaki; Saito, Hiroaki; Tsubokura, Masaharu] Fukushima Med Univ, Sch
Med, Dept Radiat Hlth Management, Fukushima, Japan.
[Leppold, Claire] Univ Melbourne, Ctr Hlth Equ, Melbourne Sch Populat & Global
Hlth, Child & Community Wellbeing Unit, Melbourne, Vic, Australia.
[Nishikawa, Yoshitaka] Soma Cent Hosp, Dept Internal Med, Fukushima, Japan.
[Nishikawa, Yoshitaka] Kyoto Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth Informat, Kyoto,
Japan.
[Saito, Hiroaki] Sendai Kousei Hosp, Dept Gastroenterol, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan.
[Oikawa, Tomoyoshi] Minamisoma Municipal Gen Hosp, Dept Neurosurg, Fukushima,
Japan.
C3 University of Tokyo; Keio University; Fukushima Medical University;
Fukushima Medical University; University of Melbourne; Kyoto University;
Sendai Kousei Hospital
RP Nomura, S (corresponding author), Keio Univ, Sch Med, Dept Hlth Policy &
Management, Shinjuku Ku, 35 Shinanomachi, Tokyo 1608582, Japan.
EM s-nomura@keio.jp
RI Tsubokura, Masaharu/AAV-4364-2021; Nomura, Shuhei/HCH-5356-2022;
Nishikawa, Yoshitaka/GLV-3579-2022; SAITO, HIROAKI/HLH-2447-2023
OI Tsubokura, Masaharu/0000-0001-8027-202X; Nomura,
Shuhei/0000-0002-2963-7297; Nishikawa, Yoshitaka/0000-0003-3313-1990;
SAITO, HIROAKI/0000-0002-0824-454X; Ozaki, Akihiko/0000-0003-4415-9657
FU Japan Society for the Promotion of Science [KAKEN JP20H04354]; Research
project on the Health Effects of Radiation by Ministry of the
Environment, Japan; Ministry of the Environment
FX The present work was supported in part by a grant from the Japan Society
for the Promotion of Science (KAKEN JP20H04354), and by Research project
on the Health Effects of Radiation organized by Ministry of the
Environment, Japan; Ministry of the Environment.
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NR 76
TC 4
Z9 4
U1 2
U2 4
PI ABINGDON
EI 1654-9880
J9 GLOBAL HEALTH ACTION
JI Glob. Health Action
PD JAN 1
PY 2021
VL 14
IS 1
AR 1918886
DI 10.1080/16549716.2021.1918886
PG 13
(SSCI)
GA SL1OB
UT WOS:000656687700001
PM 34058969
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Aune, KT
Gesch, D
Smith, GS
AF Aune, Kyle T.
Gesch, Dean
Smith, Genee S.
TI A spatial analysis of climate gentrification in Orleans Parish,
Louisiana post-Hurricane Katrina
SO ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH
LA English
DT Article
DE Climate change; Environmental gentrification; Extreme weather; Sea level
rise; Elevation
ID NEW-YORK-CITY; RESIDENTIAL-MOBILITY; TROPICAL CYCLONES; UNITED-STATES;
HEALTH; VULNERABILITY; DISPLACEMENT; DISPARITIES; MIGRATION; DISASTER
AB Background: Hurricane Katrina made landfall in New Orleans, Louisiana as a
Category 3 storm in August 2005. Storm surges, levee failures, and the low-lying
nature of New Orleans led to widespread flooding, damage to over 70% of occupied
housing, and evacuation of 80-90% of city residents. Only 57% of the city's black
population has returned. Many residents complain of gentrification following
rebuilding efforts. Climate gentrification is a recently described phenomenon
whereby the effects of climate change, most notably rising sea levels and more
frequent flooding and storm surges, alter housing values in a way that leads to
gentrification.
Objective: To examine the climate gentrification following hurricane Katrina by
(1) estimating the associations between flooding severity, ground elevation, and
gentrification and (2) whether these relationships are modified by neighborhood
level pre- and post-storm sociodemographic factors.
Methods: Lidar data collected in 2002 were used to determine elevation. Water
gauge height of Lake Ponchartrain was used to estimate flood depth. Using census
tracts as a proxy for neighborhoods, demographic, housing, and economic data from
the 2000 decennial census and the 2010 and 2015 American Community Survey 5-year
estimates US Census records were used to determine census tracts considered
eligible for gentrification (median income < 2000 Orleans Parish median income). A
gentrification index was created using tract changes in education level, population
above the poverty limit, and median household income. Proportional odds ordinal
logistic regression was used with product terms to test for effect measure
modification by sociodemographic factors.
Results: Census tracts eligible for gentrification in 2000 were 80.2% black.
Median census tract flood depth was significantly lower in areas eligible to
undergo gentrification (0.70 m vs. 1.03 m). Residents of gentrification-eligible
tracts in 2000 were significantly more likely to be black, less educated, lower
income, unemployed, and rent their home rather than own. In 2015 in these same
eligible tracts, areas that underwent gentrification became significantly whiter,
more educated, higher income, less unemployed, and more likely to live in a multi-
unit dwelling. Gentrification was inversely associated with flood depth and
directly associated with ground elevation in eligible tracts. Marginal effect
modification was detected by the effect of pre-storm black race on the
relationships of flood depth and elevation with gentrification.
Conclusions: Gentrification was strongly associated with higher ground elevation
in New Orleans. These results provide evidence to support the idea of climate
gentrification described in other low-elevation major metropolitan areas like
Miami, FL. High elevation, low-income, demographically transitional areas in
particular that is areas that more closely resemble high-income area demographics,
may be vulnerable to future climate gentrification.
C1 [Aune, Kyle T.; Smith, Genee S.] Johns Hopkins Bloomberg Sch Publ Hlth,
Baltimore, MD USA.
[Gesch, Dean] US Geol Survey, Sioux Falls, SD USA.
C3 Johns Hopkins University; Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public
Health; United States Department of the Interior; United States
Geological Survey
RP Smith, GS (corresponding author), Johns Hopkins Bloomberg Sch Publ Hlth, Dept
Environm Hlth & Engn, 615 N Wolfe St,W7513-D, Baltimore, MD 21205 USA.
EM genee.smith@jhu.edu
RI Aune, Kyle/AAU-6467-2020; Aune, Kyle T/AAC-2150-2020; Gesch,
Dean/H-9386-2019
OI Aune, Kyle T/0000-0001-7356-4403; Gesch, Dean/0000-0002-8992-4933
FU National Institutes of Health Training Grant [T32ES007141-34]; Hopkins
Center for Health Disparities Solutions [U54MD000214]
FX This work was supported by the National Institutes of Health Training
Grant [T32ES007141-34]; and the Hopkins Center for Health Disparities
Solutions [U54MD000214]. These funding sources had no role in study
design; collection, analysis, or interpretation of data; writing of the
report; or the decision to submit the article for publication. Any use
of trade, firm, or product names is for descriptive purposes only and
does not imply endorsement by the U.S. Government.
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NR 61
TC 26
Z9 25
U1 12
U2 70
PU ACADEMIC PRESS INC ELSEVIER SCIENCE
PI SAN DIEGO
PA 525 B ST, STE 1900, SAN DIEGO, CA 92101-4495 USA
SN 0013-9351
EI 1096-0953
J9 ENVIRON RES
JI Environ. Res.
PD JUN
PY 2020
VL 185
AR 109384
DI 10.1016/j.envres.2020.109384
PG 9
(SSCI)
Health
GA LJ2YB
UT WOS:000530034100009
PM 32240840
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wong-Parodi, G
Feygina, I
AF Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle
Feygina, Irina
TI Factors Influencing (Mal)adaptive Responses to Natural Disasters: The
Case of Hurricane Matthew
LA English
DT Article
DE Social Science; North America; Hurricanes; typhoons; Communications;
decision making; Planning; Policy
ID HEALTH BEHAVIOR-CHANGE; MITIGATION BEHAVIOR; SOCIAL SUPPORT;
CLIMATE-CHANGE; SELF-EFFICACY; OLDER-ADULTS; PREPAREDNESS; STRESS; RISK;
FLOOD
AB Climate-related disasters are on the rise, with a 44% increase between 1994 and
2013, and the population at risk is ever growing. The need to help people protect
their well-being, families, and homes is of utmost importance. We surveyed
individuals impacted by Hurricane Matthew in real time in October 2016 to explore
the role of mental health, self-efficacy, social support, and evacuation and
attitudinal factors on disaster response. We asked, How much do 1) evacuation-
relevant factors (reported evacuation zone, awareness of risk, and source of
warning); 2) attitudes (climate- and environment-related perceptions and
intentions); and 3) psychosocial factors (mental health, self-efficacy, and social
support) contribute to engagement in protective behaviors (evacuation and
preparation)? We found 1) greater immediate exposure to risk increases protective
behaviors; 2) climate and environmental concern increase preparation, but not
evacuation; and 3) people with greater mental health and self-efficacy respond in
ways commensurate with risk, taking protective actions if they live within a
reported evacuation zone and not if they are not at risk, while those with lower
mental health and self-efficacy do not respond in line with risks. These findings
paint a complex picture of disaster response and suggest that preparedness efforts
need to go beyond simple policy prescriptions (e.g., mandated evacuations) or
improved messaging toward a focus on developing comprehensive programs that build
human capital and provide people with psychological and social resources in advance
of, during, and after an extreme weather event.
C1 [Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle] Carnegie Mellon Univ, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA.
[Feygina, Irina] Climate Cent, Princeton, NJ USA.
C3 Carnegie Mellon University
RP Wong-Parodi, G (corresponding author), Carnegie Mellon Univ, Pittsburgh, PA
15213 USA.
EM gwongpar@cmu.edu; ifeygina@climatecentral.org
OI Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle/0000-0001-5207-7489
FU Rita Allen Foundation; Environmental Defense Fund
FX This work was supported by the Rita Allen Foundation and the
Environmental Defense Fund.
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GA GT3GD
UT WOS:000444388000001
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Simpson, RH
AF Simpson, RH
TI Stepping stones in the evolution of a national hurricane policy
LA English
DT Article
AB Like most government policies directly affecting the welfare of the nation, the
evolution of a coherent national policy on hurricane warnings, public preparedness,
and subsequent disaster relief has been event motivated-a product of crisis
management. This process began near the turn of this century, first with the
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scientists, which led to the present hurricane policies.
The result of successive crisis management actions by the government and, after
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communities, led to the evolution of a national policy on hurricanes that
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threatening event, from anticipation and preparedness, to relief and recovery from
a hurricane disaster.
The plan that evolved is a remarkable example of cooperation between federal,
state, and local organizations devoted to the protection of life and property, and
recovery from disaster. And it is a tribute to the altruism with which both
government and private organizations have collaborated to protect and promote
public welfare. Nevertheless, the mechanics of relocating coastal residents from
harm's way in the face of a hurricane emergency remain complex and in some areas
uncertain, considering the ever-increasing time required for systematic evacuation.
RP Simpson, RH (corresponding author), Harbour Sq,540 N St SW,Apt S 803,
Washington, DC 20024 USA.
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OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Ghosh, T
Krishnamurti, TN
AF Ghosh, T.
Krishnamurti, T. N.
TI Improvements in Hurricane Intensity Forecasts from a Multimodel
Superensemble Utilizing a Generalized Neural Network Technique
LA English
DT Article
DE Neural networks; Optimization; Regression analysis; Superensembles
ID ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM; SEASONAL CLIMATE; SURFACE PARAMETERS;
TROPICAL CYCLONES; ATMOSPHERIC MODEL; TRACK FORECAST; SKILL; WEATHER;
SCHEME; PACIFIC
AB Forecasting tropical storm intensities is a very challenging issue. In recent
years, dynamical models have improved considerably. However, for intensity
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contributed to somewhat improved forecasts. The Florida State University (FSU)
multimodel superensemble is one that, over the years, has systematically provided
improved forecasts for hurricanes, numerical weather prediction, and seasonal
climate forecasts. The present study considers an artificial neural network (ANN),
based on biological principles, for the construction of a multimodel ensemble. ANN
has been used for constructing multimodel consensus forecasts for tropical cyclone
intensities. This study uses the generalized regression neural network (GRNN)
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input models improved guidance for tropical storm intensities may be obtained. The
consensus using GRNN mostly outperforms all the models included in the study and
the ensemble mean. Forecast errors at the longer forecast leads are considerably
less for this multimodel superensemble based on the generalized regression neural
network. The skill and correlations of different models along with the developed
consensus are provided in our analysis. Results suggest that this consensus
forecast may be used for operational guidance and for planning and emergency
evacuation management. Possibilities for future improvements of the consensus based
on new advances in statistical algorithms are also indicated.
C1 [Ghosh, T.; Krishnamurti, T. N.] Florida State Univ, Dept Earth Ocean &
Atmospher Sci, Tallahassee, FL 32306 USA.
C3 State University System of Florida; Florida State University
RP Ghosh, T (corresponding author), Florida State Univ, Dept Earth Ocean &
Atmospher Sci, Tallahassee, FL 32306 USA.
EM tirthankarghosh2@gmail.com
RI Ghosh/AAV-5603-2020
OI Ghosh/0000-0002-1632-7265
FU NOAA [NA15OAR4320064]
FX This work was supported by a research grant from NOAA Award
NA15OAR4320064. The authors benefited from discussion of this work with
Dr. Mark DeMaria of the National Hurricane Center, Miami, Florida. The
authors are thankful to the anonymous reviewers for their valuable
comments that improved the paper.
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EI 1520-0434
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PG 13
GA GL4DJ
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DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Hofflinger, A
Somos-Valenzuela, MA
Vallejos-Romero, A
AF Hofflinger, Alvaro
Somos-Valenzuela, Marcelo A.
Vallejos-Romero, Arturo
TI Response time to flood events using a social vulnerability index
(ReTSVI)
LA English
DT Article
ID HURRICANE KATRINA; NATURAL HAZARDS; LAKE PALCACOCHA; LIFE; HOUSEHOLDS;
DISASTER; CLIMATE; PREPAREDNESS; UNCERTAINTY; FAILURE
AB Current methods to estimate evacuation time during a natural disaster do not
consider the socioeconomic and demographic characteristics of the population. This
article develops the Response Time by Social Vulnerability Index (ReTSVI). ReTSVI
combines a series of modules that are pieces of information that interact during an
evacuation, such as evacuation rate curves, mobilization, inundation models, and
social vulnerability indexes, to create an integrated map of the evacuation rate in
a given location. We provide an example of the application of ReTSVI in a potential
case of a severe flood event in Huaraz, Peru. The results show that during the
first 5 min of the evacuation, the population that lives in neighborhoods with a
high social vulnerability evacuates 15 % and 22 % fewer people than the blocks with
medium and low social vulnerability. These differences gradually decrease over time
after the evacuation warning, and social vulnerability becomes less relevant after
30 min The results of the application example have no statistical significance,
which should be considered in a real case of application. Using a methodology such
as ReTSVI could make it possible to combine social and physical vulnerability in a
qualitative framework for evacuation, although more research is needed to
understand the socioeconomic variables that explain the differences in evacuation
rate.
C1 [Hofflinger, Alvaro; Vallejos-Romero, Arturo] Univ La Frontera, Nucleo Ciencias
Sociales, Temuco 4780000, Chile.
[Hofflinger, Alvaro; Somos-Valenzuela, Marcelo A.] Univ La Frontera, Butamallin
Res Ctr Global Change, Temuco 4780000, Chile.
C3 Universidad de La Frontera; Universidad de La Frontera
RP Somos-Valenzuela, MA (corresponding author), Univ La Frontera, Butamallin Res
Ctr Global Change, Temuco 4780000, Chile.
EM marcelo.somos@ufrontera.cl
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TC 15
Z9 15
U1 2
U2 14
PI GOTTINGEN
SN 1561-8633
PD JAN 28
PY 2019
VL 19
IS 1
BP 251
EP 267
DI 10.5194/nhess-19-251-2019
PG 17
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA HJ2JO
UT WOS:000456994800001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Sohn, W
Kotval-Karamchandani, Z
AF Sohn, Wonmin
Kotval-Karamchandani, Zeenat
TI Risk perception of compound emergencies: A household survey on flood
evacuation and sheltering behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic
SO SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY
LA English
DT Article
DE Multi -hazard risk; Natural disaster; Emergency management; Coronavirus;
Logistic regression
ID SOCIAL VULNERABILITY; DISASTERS; PEOPLE
AB Compound hazards are derived from independent disasters that occur
simultaneously. Since the outbreak of COVID-19, the coupling of low-probability
high-impact climate events has introduced a novel form of conflicting stressors
that inhibits the operation of traditional logistics developed for single-hazard
emergencies. The competing goals of hindering virus contagion and expediting
massive evacuation have posed unique challenges for community safety. Yet, how a
community perceives associated risks has been debated. This research utilized a
web-based survey to explore the relationship between residents??? perceptions of
conflicting risks and emergency choices made during a historic compound event, the
flooding in 2020 in Michigan, US that coincided with the pandemic. After the event,
postal mail was randomly sent to 5,000 households living in the flooded area,
collecting 556 responses. We developed two choice models for predicting
survivors??? evacuation options and sheltering length. The impact of
sociodemographic factors on perceptions of COVID-19 risks was also examined. The
results revealed greater levels of concern among females, democrats, and the
economically inactive population. The relationship between evacuation choice and
concern about virus exposure was dependent upon the number of seniors in the
household. Concern about a lack of mask enforcement particularly discouraged
evacuees from extended sheltering.
C1 [Sohn, Wonmin; Kotval-Karamchandani, Zeenat] Michigan State Univ, Sch Planning
Design & Construct, 552W Circle Dr, E Lansing, MI 48824 USA.
C3 Michigan State University
RP Sohn, W (corresponding author), Michigan State Univ, Sch Planning Design &
Construct, 552W Circle Dr, E Lansing, MI 48824 USA.
EM wonmin@msu.edu
OI Sohn, Wonmin/0009-0003-6013-0077
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NR 116
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 5
U2 5
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2210-6707
EI 2210-6715
J9 SUSTAIN CITIES SOC
JI Sust. Cities Soc.
PD JUL
PY 2023
VL 94
AR 104553
DI 10.1016/j.scs.2023.104553
EA MAR 2023
PG 15
WC Construction & Building Technology; Green & Sustainable Science &
Technology; Energy & Fuels
SC Construction & Building Technology; Science & Technology - Other Topics;
Energy & Fuels
GA M2LJ6
UT WOS:001028545100001
PM 36992858
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Kharazi, BA
Behzadan, AH
AF Kharazi, Bahareh Alizadeh
Behzadan, Amir H.
TI Flood depth mapping in street photos with image processing and deep
neural networks
SO COMPUTERS ENVIRONMENT AND URBAN SYSTEMS
LA English
DT Article
DE Water depth; Flood; Disaster management; Image processing; Deep
learning; Edge detection
ID ELEVATION MODEL ACCURACY; MULTISENSOR APPROACH; SIMULATION; RISK; DEM
AB Many parts of the world experience severe episodes of flooding every year. In
addition to the high cost of mitigation and damage to property, floods make roads
impassable and hamper community evacuation, movement of goods and services, and
rescue missions. Knowing the depth of floodwater is critical to the success of
response and recovery operations that follow. However, flood mapping especially in
urban areas using traditional methods such as remote sensing and digital elevation
models (DEMs) yields large errors due to reshaped surface topography and
microtopographic variations combined with vegetation bias. This paper presents a
deep neural network approach to detect submerged stop signs in photos taken from
flooded roads and intersections, coupled with Canny edge detection and
probabilistic Hough transform to calculate pole length and estimate floodwater
depth. Additionally, a tilt correction technique is implemented to address the
problem of sideways tilt in visual analysis of submerged stop signs. An in-house
dataset, named BluPix 2020.1 consisting of paired web-mined photos of submerged
stop signs across 10 FEMA regions (for U.S. locations) and Canada is used to
evaluate the models. Overall, pole length is estimated with an RMSE of 17.43 and
8.61 in. in pre- and post-flood photos, respectively, leading to a mean absolute
error of 12.63 in. in floodwater depth estimation. Findings of this research are
sought to equip jurisdictions, local governments, and citizens in flood-prone
regions with a simple, reliable, and scalable solution that can provide (near-)
real time estimation of floodwater depth in their surroundings.
C1 [Kharazi, Bahareh Alizadeh] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Landscape Architecture & Urban
Planning, 3137 TAMU, College Stn, TX 77843 USA.
[Behzadan, Amir H.] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Construct Sci, 3137 TAMU, College Stn,
TX 77843 USA.
RP Behzadan, AH (corresponding author), Texas A&M Univ, Dept Construct Sci, 3137
TAMU, College Stn, TX 77843 USA.
EM bahareh.alizadeh@tamu.edu; abehzadan@tamu.edu
OI Alizadeh, Bahareh/0000-0002-0059-8490
FU National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), U.S. Department
of Commerce [NA18OAR4170088]
FX This study is funded by award #NA18OAR4170088 from the National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), U.S. Department of Commerce. The
authors would also like to thank Mr. Nathan Young for his assistance in
data collection. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, and
recommendations expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do
not necessarily represent the views of the NOAA, Department of Commerce,
or the individual named above.
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[No title captured]
NR 86
TC 29
Z9 29
U1 5
U2 18
PU ELSEVIER SCI LTD
PI OXFORD
SN 0198-9715
EI 1873-7587
J9 COMPUT ENVIRON URBAN
JI Comput. Environ. Urban Syst.
PD JUL
PY 2021
VL 88
AR 101628
DI 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2021.101628
EA APR 2021
PG 12
Environmental; Environmental Studies; Geography; Operations Research &
Management Science; Regional & Urban Planning
SC Computer Science; Engineering; Environmental Sciences & Ecology;
Geography; Operations Research & Management Science; Public
Administration
GA SR8EO
UT WOS:000661278600004
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Mattas, C
Karpouzos, D
Georgiou, P
Tsapanos, T
AF Mattas, Christos
Karpouzos, Dimitris
Georgiou, Pantazis
Tsapanos, Theodoros
TI Two-Dimensional Modelling for Dam Break Analysis and Flood Hazard
Mapping: A Case Study of Papadia Dam, Northern Greece
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE dam break; 2D HEC-RAS model; overtopping; piping; flood hazard mapping;
sensitivity analysis
AB Dams are expensive technical constructions that ensure food production, sustain
farmers' income, and cover a large percentage of urban water supply demands.
However, the threat of a dam break flood, which can be extremely dangerous for the
local society, should be taken into account, and proactive mitigation measures
should be planned. Towards this direction, dam break modelling and flood hazard
assessment are essential for developing flood crisis management and evacuation
plans. In this study, a hypothetical case of failure of the Papadia dam in the
Florina Regional Unit in northern Greece is examined. Two scenarios of failure were
considered: overtopping and piping. A two-dimensional numerical model for the two
failure scenarios was used to simulate the dam break process and flood wave routing
using HEC-RAS software. A sensitivity analysis of the mesh size and breach
parameters was performed to better understand their impact on the critical outputs
of the simulation model. Flood hazard maps were produced in GIS environment based
on water depth and velocity criteria. Furthermore, two classification approaches
were adopted to assess the flood hazard using the product of water depth and
velocity. The results showed that the extent of the inundated area could affect
most of the study area and could cause severe damage to agricultural activities.
C1 [Mattas, Christos] Aristotle Univ Thessaloniki, Sch Geol, Dept Struct Hist &
Appl Geol, Thessaloniki 54124, Greece.
[Karpouzos, Dimitris; Georgiou, Pantazis] Aristotle Univ Thessaloniki, Sch Agr,
Dept Hydraul Soil Sci & Agr Engn, Thessaloniki 54124, Greece.
[Tsapanos, Theodoros] Aristotle Univ Thessaloniki, Sch Geol, Dept Geophys,
Thessaloniki 54124, Greece.
C3 Aristotle University of Thessaloniki; Aristotle University of
Thessaloniki; Aristotle University of Thessaloniki
RP Karpouzos, D (corresponding author), Aristotle Univ Thessaloniki, Sch Agr, Dept
Hydraul Soil Sci & Agr Engn, Thessaloniki 54124, Greece.
EM dimkarp@agro.auth.gr
OI Georgiou, Pantazis/0000-0002-5539-0881
FU Interreg IPA Cross border Cooperation Program
FX This research is part of the project "Joint Cross Border Cooperation for
Securing Societies against Natural and Man-Made Disasters (J-CROSS)"
funded by Interreg IPA Cross border Cooperation Program "Greece-Republic
of North Macedonia 2014-2020".
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NR 65
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 9
U2 9
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD MAR
PY 2023
VL 15
IS 5
AR 994
DI 10.3390/w15050994
PG 25
GA 9V0HK
UT WOS:000948082400001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Howland, RE
Madsen, AM
Nicaj, L
Noe, RS
Casey-Lockyer, M
Begier, E
AF Howland, Renata E.
Madsen, Ann M.
Nicaj, Leze
Noe, Rebecca S.
Casey-Lockyer, Mary
Begier, Elizabeth
TI Assessing Electronic Death Registration and American Red Cross Systems
for Mortality Surveillance During Hurricane Sandy, October 29-November
10, 2012, New York City
LA English
DT Article
DE hurricane; mortality; vital statistics; Red Cross; public health
surveillance
AB Objective: We briefly describe 2 systems that provided disaster-related
mortality surveillance during and after Hurricane Sandy in New York City, namely,
the New York City Health Department Electronic Death Registration System (EDRS) and
the American Red Cross paper-based tracking system.
Methods: Red Cross fatality data were linked with New York City EDRS records by
using decedent name and date of birth. We analyzed cases identified by both systems
for completeness and agreement across selected variables and the time interval
between death and reporting in the system.
Results: Red Cross captured 93% (41/44) of all Sandy-related deaths; the
completeness and quality varied by item, and timeliness was difficult to determine.
The circumstances leading to death captured by Red Cross were particularly useful
for identifying reasons individuals stayed in evacuation zones. EDRS variables were
nearly 100% complete, and the median interval between date of death and reporting
was 6 days (range: 0-43 days).
Conclusions: Our findings indicate that a number of steps have the potential to
improve disaster-related mortality surveillance, including updating Red Cross
surveillance forms and electronic databases to enhance timeliness assessments,
greater collaboration across agencies to share and use data for public health
preparedness, and continued expansion of electronic death registration systems.
C1 [Howland, Renata E.; Madsen, Ann M.; Begier, Elizabeth] New York City Dept Hlth
& Mental Hyg, Bur Vital Stat, New York, NY USA.
[Noe, Rebecca S.] Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Natl Ctr Environm Hlth, Chamblee,
GA USA.
[Casey-Lockyer, Mary] Amer Red Cross, Disaster Hlth Serv, Washington, DC 20006
USA.
C3 New York City Department of Health & Mental Hygiene; Centers for Disease
Control & Prevention - USA; American Red Cross
RP Howland, RE (corresponding author), NYC Dept Hlth & Mental Hyg, Long Isl City,
NY 11101 USA.
EM rroney@health.nyc.gov
OI Madsen, Ann/0000-0002-9206-708X
FU NCHM CDC HHS [U38 HM000414, 5U38HM000414-5] Funding Source: Medline;
Intramural CDC HHS [CC999999] Funding Source: Medline
CR [Anonymous], 2013, BLOOMBERG
Casey-Lockyer Mary, 2012, Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report, V61, P529
Chiu CH, 2013, AM J PUBLIC HEALTH, V103, pE52, DOI 10.2105/AJPH.2013.301291
Farag NH, 2013, DISASTER MED PUBLIC, V7, P13, DOI 10.1001/dmp.2012.54
World Health Organization, 2010, INT STAT CLASS DIS R
NR 6
TC 3
Z9 4
U1 0
U2 6
PI NEW YORK
SN 1935-7893
EI 1938-744X
PD DEC
PY 2014
VL 8
IS 6
BP 489
EP 491
DI 10.1017/dmp.2014.133
PG 3
(SSCI)
GA CA0KB
UT WOS:000348605600007
PM 25859690
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Chinnasamy, P
AF Chinnasamy, Pennan
TI Inference of basin flood potential using nonlinear hysteresis effect of
basin water storage: case study of the Koshi basin
SO HYDROLOGY RESEARCH
LA English
DT Article
DE flood prediction; Ganges basin; GRACE; Koshi; nonlinear regression;
water storage
ID GROUNDWATER STORAGE; RIVER-BASIN; MODEL; ASSIMILATION; SIMULATION;
DISCHARGE; DYNAMICS; IMPACT; ERRORS
AB Current flood forecasting tools for river basins subject to extreme seasonal
monsoon rainfall are of limited value because they do not consider nonlinearity
between basin hydrological properties. The goal of this study is to develop models
that account for nonlinearity relationships in flood forecasting, which can aid
future flood warning and evacuation system models. Water storage estimates from the
Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment, along with observed discharge and rainfall
data were used to develop two multivariate autoregressive monthly discharge models.
Model-I was based on rainfall only, while Model-II was based on rainfall and water
storage estimates for the Koshi subbasin within the Ganges River basin. Results
indicate that the saturation of water storage units in the basin play a vital role
in the prediction of peak floods with lead times of 1 to 12 months. Model-II
predicted monthly discharge with Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) ranging from 0.66
to 0.87, while NSE was 0.4 to 0.85 for Model-I. Model-II was then tested with a 3-
month lead to predict the 2008 Koshi floods with NSE of 0.75. This is the first
study to use 'fixed effects' multivariate regression in flood prediction,
accounting for the nonlinear hysteresis effect of basin storage on floods.
C1 [Chinnasamy, Pennan] Int Water Management Inst, Colombo, Sri Lanka.
C3 CGIAR; International Water Management Institute (IWMI)
RP Chinnasamy, P (corresponding author), Int Water Management Inst, Colombo, Sri
Lanka.
EM p.chinnasamy@cgiar.org
RI Chinnasamy, Pennan/ABE-9440-2020
OI Chinnasamy, Pennan/0000-0002-3184-2134
FU Consortium of International Agricultural Research Centers (CGIAR)
Research Program on Water, Land and Ecosystems (WLE)
FX The author gratefully acknowledges the financial support provided by the
Consortium of International Agricultural Research Centers (CGIAR)
Research Program on Water, Land and Ecosystems (WLE). Sincere gratitude
is extended to Dr John T. Reager from the University of California,
Irvine, for providing helpful comments for the formulation of the paper.
Gratitude is also extended to an anonymous reviewer and Dr Vladimir
Smakhtin, Theme Leader at the International Water Management Institute,
whose comments greatly impacted the paper. The author thanks Kriubaharan
Jeremiah (Ashoka Trust for Research in Ecology and the Environment),
Michael G. Sunde (University of Missouri), and Vaskar Dahal (University
of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) for helping with the R programming
codes. The author acknowledges Dr Sean Swenson from the Gravity Recovery
and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission for providing the land water
storage data. The author declares no conflict of interest.
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NR 47
TC 16
Z9 16
U1 2
U2 19
PU IWA PUBLISHING
PI LONDON
PA REPUBLIC-EXPORT BLDG, UNITS 1 04 & 1 05, 1 CLOVE CRESCENT, LONDON,
ENGLAND
SN 1998-9563
EI 2224-7955
J9 HYDROL RES
JI Hydrol. Res.
PD DEC
PY 2017
VL 48
IS 6
BP 1554
EP 1565
DI 10.2166/nh.2016.268
PG 12
WC Water Resources
SC Water Resources
GA FN6RX
UT WOS:000416144600007
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Henry, M
Kawasaki, A
Takigawa, I
Meguro, K
AF Henry, M.
Kawasaki, A.
Takigawa, I.
Meguro, K.
TI The impact of income disparity on vulnerability and information
collection: an analysis of the 2011 Thai Flood
LA English
DT Article
DE Age; education; evacuation; flooding; income; information dissemination;
media use
ID RISK
AB The impact of income disparity on vulnerability and information collection
during the 2011 Thai Flood was examined through a survey investigation. Lower-
income respondents were found to have been more likely to be inundated by the flood
than higher-income respondents because of the location of their residences, and
lower-income respondents whose residences flooded were also less likely to have
evacuated. Television was widely used, regardless of income level, but lower-income
respondents tended to also utilise lowertechnology modes, such as radios and
loudspeakers, in contrast to the Internetbased modes used by higher-income
respondents. Lower-income respondents also tended to be less aware of the
government hotline; however, those that were aware of it were more likely to find
it useful. Overall, while income was a good predictor of people's flood
vulnerability, it was not the best predictor for media usage; other demographic
characteristics, such as education level and age, should also be considered.
C1 [Henry, M.] Hokkaido Univ, Fac Engn, Div Field Engn Environm, Sapporo, Hokkaido,
Japan.
[Kawasaki, A.] Univ Tokyo, Sch Engn, Dept Civil Engn, Tokyo, Japan.
[Takigawa, I.] Hokkaido Univ, Grad Sch Informat Sci & Technol, Div Comp Sci &
Informat Technol, Sapporo, Hokkaido, Japan.
[Meguro, K.] Univ Tokyo, Inst Ind Sci, Int Ctr Urban Safety Engn ICUS, Tokyo,
Japan.
C3 Hokkaido University; University of Tokyo; Hokkaido University;
University of Tokyo
RP Henry, M (corresponding author), Hokkaido Univ, Fac Engn, Div Field Engn
Environm, Kita Ku, North 13 West 8, Sapporo, Hokkaido 0608628, Japan.
EM mwhenry@eng.hokudai.ac.jp
RI Takigawa, Ichigaku/B-3823-2012
OI Takigawa, Ichigaku/0000-0001-5633-995X; Kawasaki,
Akiyuki/0000-0002-1769-7604
FU Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Challenging Exploratory
Research) [25560161]; Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research [25560161,
17H06116, 24404009, 25282091] Funding Source: KAKEN
FX This investigation was partially supported by the Japan Society for the
Promotion of Science (Challenging Exploratory Research, project no.
25560161).
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NR 24
TC 13
Z9 13
U1 0
U2 9
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 1753-318X
PD SEP
PY 2017
VL 10
IS 3
BP 339
EP 348
DI 10.1111/jfr3.12144
PG 10
(SSCI)
GA FF9SK
UT WOS:000409357300006
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Akaishi, T
Morino, K
Maruyama, Y
Ishibashi, S
Takayama, S
Abe, M
Kanno, T
Tadano, Y
Ishii, T
AF Akaishi, Tetsuya
Morino, Kazuma
Maruyama, Yoshikazu
Ishibashi, Satoru
Takayama, Shin
Abe, Michiaki
Kanno, Takeshi
Tadano, Yasunori
Ishii, Tadashi
TI Restoration of clean water supply and toilet hygiene reduces infectious
diseases in post-disaster evacuation shelters: A multicenter
observational study
SO HELIYON
LA English
DT Article
DE Disaster; Evacuation shelter; Infectious diseases; Toilet hygiene; Water
supply
ID EAST-JAPAN EARTHQUAKE; HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUEES; RAPID
NEEDS-ASSESSMENT; MENTAL-HEALTH; TSUNAMI; DISASTERS; STRESS; MORTALITY;
STANDARDS; OUTBREAK
AB After a massive disaster, many residents in affected areas are forced to
temporarily stay in evacuation shelters. The exact impact of the state of resource
supply and infrastructure in evacuation shelters on the health status of evacuees
has not been sufficiently studied. Two weeks after the 2011 Great East Japan
Earthquake (GEJE), comprehensive surveillance related to the health status and
hygiene level was performed for all evacuation shelters (328 shelters with 46,480
evacuees at the peak) in one of the most devastating medical zones after the
tsunami hit the area (Ishinomaki City). The joint relief team regularly visited all
evacuation shelters across the area to assess the situation of resource supply
levels, infrastructural damage, rapid need of resources, and the health status of
the evacuees. In this cross-sectional observational study, we evaluated the
relationship between the resource supply levels and health status among evacuees in
two time periods (days 14-19 and 20-25). Among the evaluated vital resources, clean
tap water supply was among the most disrupted by the disaster, and was not fully
restored in most shelters during the assessment period. The cross-sectional
relationship between resource supplies and morbidity was inconsistent between the
two assessment periods, reflecting the multifactorial nature of health status in
evacuation shelters. The clean tap water supply level at the first assessment
showed a strong negative correlation with the subsequent prevalence of respiratory
or gastrointestinal infectious conditions at the second assessment. Restorations in
the clean tap water supply and toilet hygiene correlated each other, and both
correlated with a decrease in the prevalence of gastrointestinal infectious
conditions. In conclusion, disrupted clean tap water supply and inadequate toilet
hygiene after a massive disaster would jointly harm the health status of those in
shelters. Prompt assessments using quick visual assessment and restorations of
these key resources have validity with suppressed environmental health risks among
evacuees.
C1 [Akaishi, Tetsuya; Takayama, Shin; Abe, Michiaki; Kanno, Takeshi; Tadano,
Yasunori; Ishii, Tadashi] Tohoku Univ, Dept Educ & Support Reg Med, Sendai, Miyagi,
Japan.
[Morino, Kazuma] Yamagata Prefectural Cent Hosp, Dept Emergency Med, Yamagata,
Japan.
[Maruyama, Yoshikazu] Japan Red Cross Med Ctr, Dept Disaster Med, Tokyo, Japan.
[Ishibashi, Satoru] Japan Red Cross Ishinomaki Hosp, Dept Emergency Med,
Ishinomaki, Japan.
C3 Tohoku University; Yamagata Prefectural Central Hospital; Japanese Red
Cross Medical Center
RP Akaishi, T (corresponding author), Tohoku Univ, Dept Educ & Support Reg Med,
Sendai, Miyagi, Japan.
EM t-akaishi@med.tohoku.ac.jp
RI Kanno, Takeshi/HIR-9574-2022; Takayama, Shin/ABF-3340-2021; Akaishi,
Tetsuya/ABI-7460-2022; Takayama, Shin/GSN-7228-2022; Takayama,
Shin/AAP-7007-2021
OI Kanno, Takeshi/0000-0001-7305-5924; Takayama, Shin/0000-0002-6388-4566;
Takayama, Shin/0000-0002-6388-4566
FU Japan Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology
[1041554]
FX This work was supported by the Japan Ministry of Education, Culture,
Sports, Science and Technology (award number 1041554).
CR [Anonymous], 2011, HUM CHART MIN STAND
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NR 43
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 2
U2 5
PU ELSEVIER SCI LTD
PI OXFORD
EI 2405-8440
J9 HELIYON
JI Heliyon
PD MAY
PY 2021
VL 7
IS 5
AR e07044
DI 10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e07044
EA MAY 2021
PG 12
GA SV1PU
UT WOS:000663597900034
PM 34036202
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Yang, JY
Alisan, O
Ma, MD
Ozguven, EE
Huang, WR
Vijayan, L
AF Yang, Jieya
Alisan, Onur
Ma, Mengdi
Ozguven, Eren Erman
Huang, Wenrui
Vijayan, Linoj
TI Spatial Accessibility Analysis of Emergency Shelters with a
Consideration of Sea Level Rise in Northwest Florida
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE spatial accessibility; hurricane evacuation; sea level rise; floating
catchment area; storm surge
ID HEALTH-CARE
AB Hurricane-induced storm surge and flooding often lead to the closures of
evacuation routes, which can be disruptive for the victims trying to leave the
impacted region. This problem becomes even more challenging when we consider the
impact of sea level rise that happens due to global warming and other climate-
related factors. As such, hurricane-induced storm surge elevations would increase
nonlinearly when sea level rise lifts, flooding access to highways and bridge
entrances, thereby reducing accessibility for affected census block groups to
evacuate to hurricane shelters during hurricane landfall. This happened with the
Category 5 Hurricane Michael which swept the east coast of Northwest Florida with
long-lasting damage and impact on local communities and infrastructure. In this
paper, we propose an integrated methodology that utilizes both sea level rise (SLR)
scenario-informed storm surge simulations and floating catchment area models built
in Geographical Information Systems (GIS). First, we set up sea level rise
scenarios of 0, 0.5, 1, and 1.5 m with a focus on Hurricane Michael's impact that
led to the development of storm surge models. Second, these storm surge simulation
outputs are fed into ArcGIS and floating catchment area-based scenarios are created
to study the accessibility of shelters. Findings indicate that rural areas lost
accessibility faster than urban areas due to a variety of factors including shelter
distributions, and roadway closures as spatial accessibility to shelters for
offshore populations was rapidly diminishing. We also observed that as inundation
level increases, urban census block groups that are closer to the shelters get
extremely high accessibility scores through FCA calculations compared to the other
block groups. Results of this study could guide and help revise existing strategies
for designing emergency response plans and update resilience action policies.
C1 [Yang, Jieya; Alisan, Onur; Ma, Mengdi; Ozguven, Eren Erman; Huang, Wenrui]
Florida State Univ, Florida Agr & Mech Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Coll Engn,
[Vijayan, Linoj] Louisiana State Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Baton Rouge,
LA 70808 USA.
C3 State University System of Florida; Florida A&M University; Florida
State University; Louisiana State University System; Louisiana State
University
RP Yang, JY (corresponding author), Florida State Univ, Florida Agr & Mech Univ,
Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Coll Engn, Tallahassee, FL 32310 USA.
EM jy19j@fsu.edu; oalisan@fsu.edu; mma4@fsu.edu; eozguven@eng.famu.fsu.edu;
whuang@eng.famu.fsu.edu; linojr@lsu.edu
RI alisan, onur/N-5158-2019
OI alisan, onur/0000-0001-9311-3984; Yang, Jieya/0000-0002-6444-8977
FU National Science Foundation [1832068]
FX This research was funded by National Science Foundation Award #1832068.
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NR 48
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 0
U2 0
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
JI Sustainability
PD JUL
PY 2023
VL 15
IS 13
AR 10263
DI 10.3390/su151310263
PG 22
(SSCI)
GA M5ZL1
UT WOS:001030996200001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Hajhashemi, E
Murray-Tuite, PM
Hotle, SL
Wernstedt, K
AF Hajhashemi, Elham
Murray-Tuite, Pamela M.
Hotle, Susan L.
Wernstedt, Kris
TI Using agent-based modeling to evaluate the effects of Hurricane Sandy's
recovery timeline on the ability to work
LA English
DT Article
DE Agent-based modeling; Hurricane Sandy; Adaptation
ID EVACUATION; SIMULATION; TRAVEL
AB Hurricane Sandy greatly disrupted the New York City (NYC) region's
transportation systems, electric power systems, work locations, and schools in
2012. This study uses survey responses from NYC Metropolitan Area residents to
develop an agent-based model that depicts commuter travel behavior and adaptation
after the disruption. Six scenarios were tested to quantify which systems were more
critical to recover for an earlier return to productivity - defined as the ability
to work for one's employer. The recommended system restoration order depends on the
pattern of normal commuting behavior. In the NYC Metropolitan Area, a larger share
of commuters use transit to commute than in any other US metropolitan area. This
resulted in the model indicating the subway/rail system recovery as the most
important factor for returning the most people to productivity. The second most
important factor is widespread power restoration itself, which allows residents to
telework while waiting for the transportation system to recover. The next most
important factor is the reopening of schools and daycares (with associated
infrastructure systems), freeing parents to commute. The remaining expedited system
recovery scenarios tested using the agent-based model resulted in a faster return
to productivity than the baseline, but to a lesser degree than the subway/rail,
power, and childcare systems scenarios. Additional analysis of recovery shows that
households with higher annual income benefit more from power recovery compared to
those with lower incomes. Moreover, the effectiveness of recovery scenarios can
differ based on residential location and the extent of disruption in that location.
C1 [Hajhashemi, Elham; Hotle, Susan L.] Virginia Polytech Inst & State Univ, Sch
Civil & Environm Engn, 750 Drillfield Dr, Blacksburg, VA 24061 USA.
[Murray-Tuite, Pamela M.] Clemson Univ, Glenn Dept Civil Engn, 210 Lowry Hall,
[Wernstedt, Kris] Virginia Polytech Inst & State Univ, Sch Publ & Int Affairs,
900 N Glebe Rd, Arlington, VA 22203 USA.
C3 Virginia Polytechnic Institute & State University; Clemson University;
Virginia Polytechnic Institute & State University
RP Murray-Tuite, PM (corresponding author), Clemson Univ, Glenn Dept Civil Engn,
210 Lowry Hall, Clemson, SC 29634 USA.
EM elhamh@vt.edu; pmmurra@clemson.edu; shotle3@vt.edu; krisw@vt.edu
FU NSF [1822436, 1313674]; Directorate For Engineering; Div Of Civil,
Mechanical, & Manufact Inn [1822436] Funding Source: National Science
Foundation; Div Of Civil, Mechanical, & Manufact Inn; Directorate For
Engineering [1313674] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
FX Partial funding for this work was provided by NSF grant #1822436, for
which the authors are grateful. Survey data for this project was
collected under NSF grant #1313674. However, the content of this paper
is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily
reflect NSF views.
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NR 41
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 0
U2 13
PI OXFORD
SN 1361-9209
PD DEC
PY 2019
VL 77
BP 506
EP 524
DI 10.1016/j.trd.2019.08.011
PG 19
Technology
(SSCI)
GA JW5NT
UT WOS:000503099300036
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Robinson, RM
Khattak, A
AF Robinson, R. Michael
Khattak, Asad
TI Route Change Decision Making by Hurricane Evacuees Facing Congestion
LA English
DT Article
AB Successful evacuations of metropolitan areas require overcoming unexpected
congestion that reduces traffic flows. Congestion may result from accidents,
incidents, or other events that reduce road capacity. Traffic professionals and
emergency managers may promote deviations from planned routes to bypass an area of
congestion and speed mass exit. However, some route changes may actually reduce
traffic flow rates, and in these cases decision makers may want to discourage use
of alternate routes. By using results of a behavioral survey of potential hurricane
evacuees, this study identifies variables associated with the decision to alter
routes and also identifies frequently used information sources. A dynamic traffic
simulation with a decision-making model using this information is proposed as a
means for evacuation decision makers to assess impacts of driver decisions. Results
from more than 800 responses showed the potentially strong influence of effective
advanced traveler information systems to support decisions made by hurricane
evacuees on whether to use an alternate route when faced with congestion. Results
of this study are a timely contribution to those seeking a better understanding of
driver behavior during evacuations and improvement of emergency management
efficiency and efficacy.
C1 [Robinson, R. Michael] Old Dominion Univ, Virginia Modeling Anal & Simulat Ctr,
[Khattak, Asad] Old Dominion Univ, Civil & Environm Engn Dept, Norfolk, VA 23529
USA.
C3 Old Dominion University; Old Dominion University
RP Robinson, RM (corresponding author), Old Dominion Univ, Virginia Modeling Anal &
Simulat Ctr, 135 Kaufmann Hall, Norfolk, VA 23529 USA.
EM RMRobins@odu.edu
RI Khattak, Asad J./J-3340-2014
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6988(2005)6:3(129), 10.1061/ASCE1527-698820056:3129, DOI 10.1061/ASCE1527-
698820056:3129]
6988(2005)6:3(143), 10.1061/(ASCE)1527-6988(2005)6:3(143)]
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VIRGINIAN PILOT SUMM
NR 24
TC 21
Z9 21
U1 0
U2 17
PI THOUSAND OAKS
SN 0361-1981
EI 2169-4052
PY 2010
IS 2196
BP 168
EP 175
DI 10.3141/2196-18
PG 8
GA 730AF
UT WOS:000287995100018
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Mizelle, RM
AF Mizelle, Richard M., Jr.
TI Hurricane Katrina, Diabetes, and the Meaning of Resiliency
SO ISIS
LA English
DT Article
AB Hurricane Katrina offered a revealing snapshot of the historical vulnerability
that New Orleans and Gulf Coast residents have long experienced and continue to
face. In particular, population groups with special health needs-those suffering
from debilitating chronic diseases-were among those most at risk during the storm.
Focusing specifically on diabetic evacuees during and after Katrina, this essay
examines how the lack of planning during the disaster led to diminished access to
dialysis as well as poor food and inadequate insulin management in evacuation
shelters. In so doing, it underscores the strong links between disasters and public
health concerns such as elevated risks for complications, emergency room visits,
hospitalizations, and reduced life expectancy for individuals with diabetes. As the
case of Katrina powerfully illustrates, populations suffering from chronic diseases
like diabetes suffer disproportionately from disasters and other disruptive events.
C1 [Mizelle, Richard M., Jr.] Univ Houston, Dept Hist, 3553 Cullen Blvd,Room 524,
C3 University of Houston System; University of Houston
RP Mizelle, RM (corresponding author), Univ Houston, Dept Hist, 3553 Cullen
Blvd,Room 524, Houston, TX 77204 USA.
EM rmmizelle@uh.edu
CR Allweiss P., 2011, DIABETES MANAGE, V1, P369, DOI 10.2217/dmt.11.31
Anderson AH, 2009, KIDNEY INT, V75, P1202, DOI 10.1038/ki.2009.5
[Anonymous], 2007, DISCOVERY INSULIN
[Anonymous], 2003, BITTERSWEET DIABETES
[Anonymous], WAKE KATRINA NEW PAR
Cefalu WT, 2006, DIABETES CARE, V29, P158, DOI 10.2337/diacare.29.1.158
Diabetes Disaster Response Coalition, PAT PREP PLAN
Greenough PG, 2008, ANN EMERG MED, V51, P426, DOI
10.1016/j.annemergmed.2007.04.004
Kopp JB, 2007, CLIN J AM SOC NEPHRO, V2, P814, DOI 10.2215/CJN.03481006
Mizelle E., 2014, BACKWATER BLUES MISS
Mizelle Jr Richard M., 2018, AM HIST FEB, P8
Mizelle RM, 2016, OPEN RIVERS RETHINKI
Spera Keith, 2005, NEW ORLEANS TIMES PI
Tuchman A, 2009, LANCET, V374, P1140, DOI 10.1016/S0140-6736(09)61730-X
Wailoo Keith, 2010, KATRINAS IMPRINT RAC, P1
NR 16
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 0
U2 6
PU UNIV CHICAGO PRESS
PI CHICAGO
PA 1427 E 60TH ST, CHICAGO, IL 60637-2954 USA
SN 0021-1753
EI 1545-6994
J9 ISIS
JI Isis
PD MAR 1
PY 2020
VL 111
IS 1
BP 120
EP 128
DI 10.1086/707822
PG 9
WC History & Philosophy Of Science
(SSCI); Arts & Humanities Citation Index (A&HCI)
SC History & Philosophy of Science
GA KT7QX
UT WOS:000519209100010
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Ivanov, VY
Xu, DH
Dwelle, MC
Sargsyan, K
Wright, DB
Katopodes, N
Kim, J
Tran, VN
Warnock, A
Fatichi, S
Burlando, P
Caporali, E
Restrepo, P
Sanders, BF
Chaney, MM
Nunes, AMB
Nardi, F
Vivoni, ER
Istanbulluoglu, E
Bisht, G
Bras, RL
AF Ivanov, Valeriy Y.
Xu, Donghui
Dwelle, M. Chase
Sargsyan, Khachik
Wright, Daniel B.
Katopodes, Nikolaos
Kim, Jongho
Tran, Vinh Ngoc
Warnock, April
Fatichi, Simone
Burlando, Paolo
Caporali, Enrica
Restrepo, Pedro
Sanders, Brett F.
Chaney, Molly M.
Nunes, Ana M. B.
Nardi, Fernando
Vivoni, Enrique R.
Istanbulluoglu, Erkan
Bisht, Gautam
Bras, Rafael L.
TI Breaking Down the Computational Barriers to Real-Time Urban Flood
Forecasting
SO GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
LA English
DT Article
DE estimation and forecasting; extreme events; floods; megacities and urban
environment; uncertainty assessment
ID POLYNOMIAL CHAOS; UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION; COMPLEX-MODELS; ENSEMBLE;
STREAMFLOW; SIMULATIONS; PERFORMANCE; CALIBRATION; INFERENCE; OVERLAND
AB Flooding impacts are on the rise globally, and concentrated in urban areas.
Currently, there are no operational systems to forecast flooding at spatial
resolutions that can facilitate emergency preparedness and response actions
mitigating flood impacts. We present a framework for real-time flood modeling and
uncertainty quantification that combines the physics of fluid motion with advances
in probabilistic methods. The framework overcomes the prohibitive computational
demands of high-fidelity modeling in real-time by using a probabilistic learning
method relying on surrogate models that are trained prior to a flood event. This
shifts the overwhelming burden of computation to the trivial problem of data
storage, and enables forecasting of both flood hazard and its uncertainty at scales
that are vital for time-critical decision-making before and during extreme events.
The framework has the potential to improve flood prediction and analysis and can be
extended to other hazard assessments requiring intense high-fidelity computations
in real-time.
Plain Language Summary Currently, we cannot forecast flooding depths and extent
in real-time at a high level of detail in urban areas. This is the result of two
key issues: detailed and accurate flood modeling requires a lot of computing power
for large areas such as a city, and uncertainty in precipitation forecasts is high.
We present an innovative flood forecasting method that resolves flood
characteristics with enough detail to inform emergency response efforts such as
timely road closures and evacuation. This is achieved by performing complex
analysis of information on flooding impacts well before a future storm event, which
subsequently allows much faster predictions when flooding actually happens. This
approach completely changes the demand for required resources, replacing the nearly
impossible burden of computation in real-time with the easy problem of data
storage, feasible even with a low-end computer. Example results for Hurricane
Harvey flooding in Houston, TX, show that predictions of both flood hazard and
uncertainty work well over different areas of the city. This approach has the
potential to provide timely and detailed information for emergency response efforts
to help save lives and reduce other negative impacts during major flood events and
other natural hazards.
Key Points
There is presently no means to forecast urban flooding at high resolution due to
prohibitive computational demands and data uncertainties
Proposed framework combines high-fidelity modeling and probabilistic learning to
forecast flood attributes with uncertainty in real-time
The framework can be extended to other real-time hazard forecasting, requiring
high-fidelity simulations of extreme computational demand
C1 [Ivanov, Valeriy Y.; Xu, Donghui; Dwelle, M. Chase; Katopodes, Nikolaos] Univ
Michigan, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA.
[Sargsyan, Khachik] Sandia Natl Labs, Livermore, CA USA.
[Wright, Daniel B.] Univ Wisconsin, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Madison, WI
53706 USA.
[Kim, Jongho; Tran, Vinh Ngoc] Univ Ulsan, Sch Civil & Environm Engn, Ulsan,
South Korea.
[Warnock, April] SRI Int, Ann Arbor, MI USA.
[Fatichi, Simone] Natl Univ Singapore, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Singapore,
Singapore.
[Burlando, Paolo] Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Inst Environm Engn, Zurich,
Switzerland.
[Caporali, Enrica] Univ Florence, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Florence, Italy.
[Sanders, Brett F.] Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Irvine, CA
USA.
[Sanders, Brett F.] Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Urban Planning, Irvine, CA USA.
[Chaney, Molly M.] Princeton Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Princeton, NJ
08544 USA.
[Nunes, Ana M. B.] Univ Fed Rio de Janeiro, Dept Meteorol, Rio De Janeiro,
Brazil.
[Nardi, Fernando] Univ Foreigners Perugia, Water Resources Res & Documentat Ctr,
Perugia, Italy.
[Vivoni, Enrique R.] Arizona State Univ, Sch Earth & Space Explorat, Tempe, AZ
USA.
[Vivoni, Enrique R.] Arizona State Univ, Sch Sustainable Engn & Built Environm,
Tempe, AZ USA.
[Istanbulluoglu, Erkan] Univ Washington, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Seattle, WA
98195 USA.
[Bisht, Gautam] Pacific Northwest Natl Lab, Atmospher Sci & Global Change Div,
Richland, WA 99352 USA.
[Bras, Rafael L.] Georgia Inst Technol, Sch Civil & Environm Engn, Atlanta, GA
30332 USA.
[Bras, Rafael L.] Georgia Inst Technol, Sch Earth & Atmospher Sci, Atlanta, GA
30332 USA.
C3 University of Michigan System; University of Michigan; United States
Department of Energy (DOE); Sandia National Laboratories; University of
Wisconsin System; University of Wisconsin Madison; University of Ulsan;
SRI International; National University of Singapore; Swiss Federal
Institutes of Technology Domain; ETH Zurich; University of Florence;
Princeton University; Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro; University
Foreigners Perugia; Arizona State University; Arizona State
University-Tempe; Arizona State University; Arizona State
University-Tempe; University of Washington; University of Washington
Seattle; United States Department of Energy (DOE); Pacific Northwest
National Laboratory; University System of Georgia; Georgia Institute of
Technology; University System of Georgia; Georgia Institute of
Technology
RP Ivanov, VY; Xu, DH (corresponding author), Univ Michigan, Dept Civil & Environm
Engn, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA.
EM ivanov@umich.edu; donghui.xu@pnnl.gov
RI Nunes, Ana M. B./AAD-4081-2019; Vivoni, Enrique/E-1202-2012; Sanders,
Brett/K-7153-2012; Wright, Daniel/AAW-9851-2020; Bisht,
Gautam/J-4822-2014
OI Nunes, Ana M. B./0000-0002-1877-2688; Vivoni,
Enrique/0000-0002-2659-9459; Wright, Daniel/0000-0002-9050-4266; Xu,
Donghui/0000-0002-2859-2664; Bisht, Gautam/0000-0001-6641-7595; Fatichi,
Simone/0000-0003-1361-6659; Tran, Vinh Ngoc/0000-0001-8272-4843;
Warnock, April/0000-0001-8146-2765; Ivanov, Valeriy/0000-0002-5208-2189
FU Sandia National Laboratories; U.S. Department of Energy's National
Nuclear Security Administration [DE-NA-0003525]; Catalyst Program" of
Michigan Institute for Computational Discovery and Engineering at the
University of Michigan; NSF [1725654]; Michigan Department of Natural
Resources, Office of the Great Lakes; Water Management Research Program
- Ministry of Environment of Korean government [127554]; U.S. Department
of Energy, Office of Science, Office of Advanced Scientific Computing
Research, Scientific Discovery; U.S. Department of Energy, Office of
Science, Subsurface Biogeochemical Research (SBR) program through the
SBR Scientific Focus Area project at Pacific Northwest National
Laboratory; Directorate For Geosciences [1725654] Funding Source:
National Science Foundation; Office of Polar Programs (OPP) [1725654]
FX The authors acknowledge the support from the Sandia National
Laboratories and the Uncertainty Quantification group for their help
with navigating UQ and UQTk. Sandia National Laboratories is a
multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology and
Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of
Honeywell International, Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy's
National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA-0003525.
The authors acknowledge the constructive criticism of two anonymous
reviewers that has led to substantial improvements of this manuscript.
The study was seed-funded by the "Catalyst Program" of Michigan
Institute for Computational Discovery and Engineering at the University
of Michigan, and partially supported by the NSF grant 1725654 and grant
awarded by the Michigan Department of Natural Resources, Office of the
Great Lakes to V. Y. Ivanov. J. Kim was supported by a grant 127554 from
the Water Management Research Program funded by the Ministry of
Environment of Korean government. K. Sargsyan was supported in part by
the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Science, Office of Advanced
Scientific Computing Research, Scientific Discovery through Advanced
Computing (SciDAC) program through the FASTMath Institute. G. Bisht was
supported by the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Science,
Subsurface Biogeochemical Research (SBR) program through the SBR
Scientific Focus Area project at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory.
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NR 85
TC 11
Z9 11
U1 6
U2 26
PI WASHINGTON
SN 0094-8276
EI 1944-8007
J9 GEOPHYS RES LETT
JI Geophys. Res. Lett.
PD OCT 28
PY 2021
VL 48
IS 20
AR e2021GL093585
DI 10.1029/2021GL093585
PG 12
SC Geology
GA YO3HN
UT WOS:000747834500012
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Rickless, DS
Wilt, GE
Sharpe, JD
Molinari, N
Stephens, W
LeBlanc, TT
AF Rickless, David S.
Wilt, Grete E.
Sharpe, J. Danielle
Molinari, Noelle
Stephens, William
LeBlanc, Tanya Telfair
TI Social Vulnerability and Access of Local Medical Care During Hurricane
Harvey: A Spatial Analysis
LA English
DT Article
DE emergency medical services; geographic mapping; natural disasters;
social vulnerability; spatial statistics
ID DISASTER; HEALTH; SURGE; EVACUATION; KATRINA; TIME; SURVEILLANCE;
EVACUEES; HAZARDS; PEOPLE
AB Objectives: When Hurricane Harvey struck the coastline of Texas in 2017, it
caused 88 fatalities and over US $125 billion in damage, along with increased
emergency department visits in Houston and in cities receiving hurricane evacuees,
such as the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex (DFW). This study explored demographic
indicators of vulnerability for patients from the Hurricane Harvey impact area who
sought medical care in Houston and in DFW. The objectives were to characterize the
vulnerability of affected populations presenting locally, as well as those
presenting away from home, and to determine whether more vulnerable communities
were more likely to seek medical care locally or elsewhere. Methods: We used
syndromic surveillance data alongside the Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention Social Vulnerability Index to calculate the percentage of patients
seeking care locally by zip code tabulation area. We used this variable to fit a
spatial lag regression model, controlling for population density and flood extent.
Results: Communities with more patients presenting for medical care locally were
significantly clustered and tended to have greater socioeconomic vulnerability,
lower household composition vulnerability, and more extensive flooding.
Conclusions: These findings suggest that populations remaining in place during a
natural disaster event may have needs related to income, education, and employment,
while evacuees may have more needs related to age, disability, and single-parent
household status.
C1 [Rickless, David S.; Wilt, Grete E.; Sharpe, J. Danielle] Ctr Dis Control &
Prevent, Agcy Tox Subst & Dis Registry, Off Innovat & Analyt, Geospatial Res Anal &
Serv Program, Atlanta, GA 30333 USA.
[Wilt, Grete E.] Harvard TH Chan Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Environm Hlth, Boston, MA
USA.
[Sharpe, J. Danielle] Emory Univ, Rollins Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol,
Atlanta, GA 30322 USA.
[Molinari, Noelle; LeBlanc, Tanya Telfair] Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Ctr
Preparedness & Response, Div State & Local Readiness, Appl Sci & Evaluat Branch,
Atlanta, GA USA.
[Stephens, William] Texas Informat, Dallas, TX USA.
C3 Centers for Disease Control & Prevention - USA; Harvard University;
Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Emory University; Rollins
School Public Health; Centers for Disease Control & Prevention - USA
RP Rickless, DS (corresponding author), Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Agcy Tox Subst &
Dis Registry, Off Innovat & Analyt, Geospatial Res Anal & Serv Program, Atlanta, GA
30333 USA.
EM opv1@cdc.gov
OI Rickless, David/0000-0001-5531-2878; Sharpe, J.
Danielle/0000-0003-1898-6202
FU NIH [T32 ES 007069]
FX NIH Grant T32 ES 007069 supported the development of this manuscript.
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B0CF9F395003]
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10.1007/s12199-011-0257-3
U.S. Census Bureau, 2016, AM COMMUNITY SURVEY
United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Hurricane
Center, 2018, COSTL US TROP CYCL T
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Yi P., 2010, SOCIOECON PLANN SCI, V44, P151, DOI DOI 10.1016/J.SEPS.2009.11.002
NR 51
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 2
U2 8
PI NEW YORK
SN 1935-7893
EI 1938-744X
PD MAR 15
PY 2021
VL 17
AR PII S1935789320004218
DI 10.1017/dmp.2020.421
EA MAR 2021
PG 9
(SSCI)
GA 8R0MX
UT WOS:000757364700001
PM 33720000
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Considine, TJ
Jablonowski, C
Posner, B
Bishop, CH
AF Considine, TJ
Jablonowski, C
Posner, B
Bishop, CH
TI The value of hurricane forecasts to oil and gas producers in the Gulf of
Mexico
SO JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY
LA English
DT Article
ID INFORMATION
AB The threat of hurricanes often forces producers of crude oil and natural gas in
the Gulf of Mexico to evacuate offshore drilling rigs and temporarily to cease
production. More accurate hurricane forecasts would result in fewer false alarms,
thereby preventing these unnecessary evacuations and disruptions in production.
This study estimates the value of both existing and more accurate hurricane
forecast information. A probabilistic cost - loss model is used to estimate the
incremental value of hurricane forecast information for oil and gas leases in the
Gulf of Mexico over the past two decades. Detailed computations of hurricane
forecasting accuracy are performed using records from the National Hurricane Center
and Marine Forecast/Advisory from 1980 to 2000. Evacuation costs and potential
losses are estimated using data from the Minerals Management Service and oil
company drilling records. Estimates indicate that the value of existing 48-h
hurricane forecast information to oil and gas producers averaged roughly $8 million
per year during the 1990s, which substantially exceeds the operating budget of the
National Hurricane Center. From an industry perspective, however, these values are
a small fraction of drilling and production costs. Moreover, although recent
hurricane forecast accuracy is improving, it has not been sufficient to create
significant value to this industry. On the other hand, forecast value dramatically
increases with improvements in accuracy, rising by more than $15 million per year
with a simulated 50% improvement in 48-h forecast accuracy.
C1 Penn State Univ, University Pk, PA 16801 USA.
Int Petr Associates Inc, Ashburn, VA USA.
USN, Res Lab, Monterey, CA USA.
C3 Pennsylvania Commonwealth System of Higher Education (PCSHE);
Pennsylvania State University; Pennsylvania State University -
University Park; United States Department of Defense; United States
Navy; Naval Research Laboratory
RP Considine, TJ (corresponding author), Penn State Univ, 125 Holser Bldg,
University Pk, PA 16801 USA.
EM cpw@psu.edu
RI Bishop, Craig/AAR-7238-2020
OI Bishop, Craig/0000-0002-7898-6493; Considine,
Timothy/0000-0001-6844-9494
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BAQUET AE, 1976, AM J AGR ECON, V58, P511, DOI 10.2307/1239268
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0450(1982)021<0518:ATVOFF>2.0.CO;2
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WILKS DS, 1993, AGR SYST, V42, P277, DOI 10.1016/0308-521X(93)90059-B
NR 16
TC 24
Z9 24
U1 0
U2 8
PI BOSTON
SN 0894-8763
J9 J APPL METEOROL
JI J. Appl. Meteorol.
PD SEP
PY 2004
VL 43
IS 9
BP 1270
EP 1281
DI 10.1175/1520-0450(2004)043<1270:TVOHFT>2.0.CO;2
PG 12
GA 853LI
UT WOS:000223828700003
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Kelman, I
Ahmed, B
Esraz-Ul-Zannat, M
Saroar, MM
Fordham, M
Shamsudduha, M
AF Kelman, Ilan
Ahmed, Bayes
Esraz-Ul-Zannat, Md
Saroar, Md Mustafa
Fordham, Maureen
Shamsudduha, Mohammad
TI Warning systems as social processes for Bangladesh cyclones
SO DISASTER PREVENTION AND MANAGEMENT
LA English
DT Article
DE Bangladesh; Storms; Cyclone vulnerability; Warning process; Warning
system
ID TROPICAL CYCLONES; EVACUATION ORDERS; SIDR; VULNERABILITY; HAZARDS; RISK
AB Purpose The purpose of this paper is to connect the theoretical idea of warning
systems as social processes with empirical data of people's perceptions of and
actions for warning for cyclones in Bangladesh.
Design/methodology/approach A case study approach is used in two villages of
Khulna district in southwest Bangladesh: Kalabogi and Kamarkhola. In total, 60
households in each village were surveyed with structured questionnaires regarding
how they receive their cyclone warning information as well as their experiences of
warnings for Cyclone Sidr in 2007 and Cyclone Aila in 2009.
Findings People in the two villages had a high rate of receiving cyclone
warnings and accepted them as being credible. They also experienced high impacts
from the cyclones. Yet evacuation rates to cyclone shelters were low. They did not
believe that significant cyclone damage would affect them and they also highlighted
the difficulty of getting to cyclone shelters due to poor roads, leading them to
prefer other evacuation options which were implemented if needed.
Originality/value Theoretical constructs of warning systems, such as the First
Mile and late warning, are rarely examined empirically according to people's
perceptions of warnings. The case study villages have not before been researched
with respect to warning systems. The findings provide empirical evidence for long-
established principles of warning systems as social processes, usually involving
but not relying on technical components.
C1 [Kelman, Ilan] UCL, Inst Global Hlth, London, England.
[Kelman, Ilan; Ahmed, Bayes; Fordham, Maureen; Shamsudduha, Mohammad] UCL, Inst
Risk & Disaster Reduct, London, England.
[Kelman, Ilan] Univ Agder, Kristiansand, Norway.
[Ahmed, Bayes] UCL, Humanitarian Inst, London, England.
[Esraz-Ul-Zannat, Md; Saroar, Md Mustafa] Khulna Univ Engn & Technol, Dept Urban
& Reg Planning URP, Khulna, Bangladesh.
[Fordham, Maureen] UCL, Gender & Disaster Network, London, England.
C3 University of London; University College London; University of London;
University College London; University of Agder; University of London;
University College London; Khulna University of Engineering & Technology
(KUET); University of London; University College London
RP Kelman, I (corresponding author), UCL, Inst Global Hlth, London, England.
EM ilan_kelman@hotmail.com
RI Saroar, Mustafa/AAI-7257-2021; Shamsudduha, Mohammad/AAG-2342-2019;
Ahmed, Bayes/G-6913-2013
OI Saroar, Mustafa/0000-0002-2832-3691; Shamsudduha,
Mohammad/0000-0002-9708-7223; Ahmed, Bayes/0000-0001-5092-5528;
Esraz-Ul-Zannat, Md./0000-0002-6443-2553
CR Akhand MH, 2000, EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS FOR NATURAL DISASTER REDUCTION, P49
Allen RM, 2009, SEISMOL RES LETT, V80, P682, DOI 10.1785/gssrl.80.5.682
Cannon T., 2007, WID C FRAG STAT GROU
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DOI 10.1007/978-94-017-8598-3_5]
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Mileti D.S., 1975, MONOGRAPH, V21
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Saha SK, 2017, DISASTERS, V41, P505, DOI 10.1111/disa.12214
Shahid S, 2008, NAT HAZARDS, V46, P391, DOI 10.1007/s11069-007-9191-5
SOMMER A, 1972, LANCET, V1, P1029
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NR 26
TC 13
Z9 13
U1 1
U2 14
PU EMERALD GROUP PUBLISHING LTD
PI BINGLEY
PA HOWARD HOUSE, WAGON LANE, BINGLEY BD16 1WA, W YORKSHIRE, ENGLAND
SN 0965-3562
EI 1758-6100
J9 DISASTER PREV MANAG
JI Disaster Prev. Manag.
PY 2018
VL 27
IS 4
BP 370
EP 379
DI 10.1108/DPM-12-2017-0318
PG 10
WC Environmental Studies; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health;
Management
Health; Business & Economics
GA GM7QK
UT WOS:000438387500001
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU de Moel, H
van Vliet, M
Aerts, JCJH
AF de Moel, Hans
van Vliet, Mathijs
Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.
TI Evaluating the effect of flood damage-reducing measures: a case study of
the unembanked area of Rotterdam, the Netherlands
SO REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
LA English
DT Article
DE Flood risk; Risk modelling; Damage-reducing measures; Building codes
ID RISK; UNCERTAINTY; MODEL; HOUSEHOLDS
AB Empirical evidence of increasing flood damages and the prospect of climatic
change has initiated discussions in the flood management community on how to
effectively manage flood risks. In the Netherlands, the framework of multi-layer
safety (MLS) has been introduced to support this risk-based approach. The MLS
framework consists of three layers: (i) prevention, (ii) spatial planning and (iii)
evacuation. This paper presents a methodology to evaluate measures in the second
layer, such as wet proofing, dry proofing or elevating buildings. The methodology
uses detailed land-use data for the area around the city of Rotterdam (up to
building level) that has recently become available. The vulnerability of these
detailed land-use classes to flooding is assessed using the stage-damage curves
from different international models. The methodology is demonstrated using a case
study in the unembanked area of Rotterdam in the Netherlands, as measures from the
second layer may be particularly effective there. The results show that the flood
risk in the region is considerable: EUR 36 million p.a. A large part (almost 60 %)
of this risk results from industrial land use, emphasising the need to give this
category more attention in flood risk assessments. It was found that building level
measures could substantially reduce flood risks in the region because of the
relatively low inundation levels of buildings. Risk to residential buildings would
be reduced by 40 % if all buildings would be wet-proofed, by 89 % if all buildings
would be dry-proofed and elevating buildings over 100 cm would render the risk
almost zero. While climate change could double the risk in 2100, such building
level measures could easily nullify this effect. Despite the high potential of such
measures, actual implementation is still limited. This is partly caused by the lack
of knowledge regarding these measures by most Dutch companies and the legal
impossibility for municipalities to enforce most of these measures as they would go
beyond the building codes established at the national level.
C1 [de Moel, Hans; van Vliet, Mathijs; Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.] Vrije Univ
Amsterdam, Inst Environm Studies, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
[de Moel, Hans; van Vliet, Mathijs; Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.] Vrije Univ
Amsterdam, Amsterdam Global Change Inst, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
[van Vliet, Mathijs] Wageningen Univ, Publ Adm & Policy Grp, NL-6700 AP
Wageningen, Netherlands.
C3 Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Wageningen
University & Research
RP de Moel, H (corresponding author), Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Inst Environm Studies,
Amsterdam, Netherlands.
EM hans.de.moel@vu.nl
RI de Moel, Hans/L-1311-2013; Aerts, Jeroen Cjh/M-8431-2013; van Vliet,
Mathijs/G-3381-2012
OI van Vliet, Mathijs/0000-0003-1820-8144; de Moel,
Hans/0000-0002-6826-1974
CR Aerts JCJH, 2012, UNDERSTANDING MANAGI
Aerts JCJH, 2011, ANN NY ACAD SCI, V1227, P1, DOI 10.1111/j.1749-
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[Anonymous], 2007, OVERSTROMINGSRISICOS
[Anonymous], 2008, AANDACHT VEILIGHEID
[Anonymous], 2010, BENEFITS FLOOD COAST
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CBS, 2008, BEST BOD 2008
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De Kort R, 2012, KWETSBAARHEID BUITEN
de Moel H, 2012, NAT HAZARD EARTH SYS, V12, P1045, DOI 10.5194/nhess-12-1045-
2012
de Moel H., 2012, THESIS VU U AMSTERDA
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Ministry I&E, 2011, BESL ALG REG RUIMT O
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Ministry I&E and Ministry of Economic Affairs, 2012, DELT 2013 WERK DELT
Ministry of internal affairs, 2011, BOUWB 2012, V2011, P416
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2012
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VANNEUVILLE W, 2006, MIRA200602 U GENT
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Ward PJ, 2011, NAT HAZARD EARTH SYS, V11, P3181, DOI 10.5194/nhess-11-3181-2011
Wind HG, 1999, WATER RESOUR RES, V35, P3459, DOI 10.1029/1999WR900192
NR 63
TC 73
Z9 73
U1 5
U2 7
PU SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
PI HEIDELBERG
PA TIERGARTENSTRASSE 17, D-69121 HEIDELBERG, GERMANY
SN 1436-3798
EI 1436-378X
J9 REG ENVIRON CHANGE
JI Reg. Envir. Chang.
PD JUN
PY 2014
VL 14
IS 3
SI SI
BP 895
EP 908
DI 10.1007/s10113-013-0420-z
PG 14
WC Environmental Sciences; Environmental Studies
(SSCI)
GA AH3OX
UT WOS:000336035100004
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Combs, DL
Parrish, RG
McNabb, SJN
Davis, JH
AF Combs, DL
Parrish, RG
McNabb, SJN
Davis, JH
TI Deaths related to Hurricane Andrew in Florida and Louisiana, 1992
SO INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY
LA English
DT Article
DE death investigation; disaster epidemiology; hurricanes; mortality;
natural disasters
AB Background. information about circumstances leading to disaster-related deaths
helps emergency response coordinators and other public health officials respond to
the needs of disaster victims and develop policies for reducing the mortality and
morbidity of future disasters. in this paper, we describe the decedent population,
circumstances of death, and population-based mortality rates related to Hurricane
Andrew, and propose recommendations for evaluating and reducing the public health
impact of natural disasters.
Methods. To ascertain the number and circumstances of deaths attributed to
Hurricane Andrew in Florida and Louisiana, we contacted medical examiners in 11
Florida counties and coroners in 36 Louisiana parishes.
Results. In Florida medical examiners attributed 44 deaths to the hurricane. The
mortality rate for directly-related deaths was 4.4 per 1 000 000 population and
that for indirectly-related deaths was 9.5 per 1 000 000 population. In Louisiana,
coroners attributed 11 resident deaths to the hurricane. Mortality rates were 0.6
per 1 000 000 population for deaths directly related to the storm and 2.8 for
deaths indirectly related to the storm, Six additional deaths occurred among
nonresidents who drowned in international waters in the Gulf of Mexico. In both
Florida and Louisiana, mortality rates generally increased with age and were higher
among whites and males.
Conclusions, In addition to encouraging people to follow existing
recommendations, we recommend emphasizing safe driving practices during evacuation
and clean-up, equipping shelters with basic medical needs for the population
served, and modifying zoning and housing legislation. We also recommend developing
and using a standard definition for disaster-related deaths, and using population-
based statistics to describe the public health effectiveness of policies intended
to reduce disaster-related mortality.
C1 CTR DIS CONTROL & PREVENT,INT HLTH PROGRAM OFF,ATLANTA,GA 30341.
OFF MED EXAMINER,MIAMI,FL.
RP Combs, DL (corresponding author), CTR DIS CONTROL & PREVENT,NATL CTR ENVIRONM
HLTH,4770 BUFORD HIGHWAY NE,ATLANTA,GA 30341, USA.
RI McNabb, Scott JN/F-2761-2011
OI McNabb, Scott JN/0000-0002-3847-6181
CR BAXTER PJ, 1981, JAMA-J AM MED ASSOC, V246, P2585, DOI 10.1001/jama.246.22.2585
COMBS DL, 1992, DEATH INVESTIGATION
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DUCLOS P, 1991, EUR J EPIDEMIOL, V7, P365, DOI 10.1007/BF00145001
Frazier K., 1979, VIOLENT FACE NATURE
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MCNABB SJN, 1995, SOUTHERN MED J, V88, P615, DOI 10.1097/00007611-199506000-
00003
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NOJI EK, 1993, J TROP MED HYG, V96, P370
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SIDDIQUE AK, 1991, J DIARRHOEAL DIS RES, V9, P310
1993, MMWR-MORBID MORTAL W, V42, P249
NR 19
TC 28
Z9 34
U1 0
U2 6
PU OXFORD UNIV PRESS UNITED KINGDOM
PI OXFORD
PA WALTON ST JOURNALS DEPT, OXFORD, ENGLAND OX2 6DP
SN 0300-5771
J9 INT J EPIDEMIOL
JI Int. J. Epidemiol.
PD JUN
PY 1996
VL 25
IS 3
BP 537
EP 544
DI 10.1093/ije/25.3.537
PG 8
GA VC482
UT WOS:A1996VC48200010
PM 8671554
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Oh, WS
Yu, DJ
Muneepeerakul, R
AF Oh, Woi Sok
Yu, David J.
Muneepeerakul, Rachata
TI Efficiency-fairness trade-offs in evacuation management of urban floods:
The effects of the shelter capacity and zone prioritization
SO PLOS ONE
LA English
DT Article
ID AGENT-BASED MODEL; SIMULATION; LOCATION; LIFE; ALLOCATION; BENEFITS;
HAZARDS; SYSTEMS; RISK; TIME
AB With increasing flood risk, evacuation has become an important research topic in
urban flood management. Urban flood evacuation is a complex problem due to i) the
complex interactions among several components within a city and ii) the need to
consider multiple, often competing, dimensions/objectives in evacuation analysis.
In this study, we focused on the interplay between two such objectives: efficiency
and fairness. We captured the evacuation process in a conceptual agent-based model
(ABM), which was analyzed under different hard infrastructure and institutional
arrangement conditions, namely, various shelter capacity distributions as a hard
infrastructure property and simultaneous/staged evacuation as an institutional
arrangement. Efficiency was measured as the time it takes for a person to evacuate
to safety. Fairness was defined by how equally residents suffered from floods, and
the level of suffering depended on the perceived risk and evacuation time. Our
findings suggested that efficiency is more sensitive to the shelter capacity
distribution, while fairness changes more notably according to the evacuation
priority assigned to the divided zones in staged evacuation. Simultaneous
evacuation generally tended to be more efficient but unfairer than staged
evacuation. The efficiency-fairness trade-off was captured by Pareto-optimal
strategies, among which uniform capacity cases led to a higher efficiency while
prioritizing high-risk residents increases fairness. Strategies balancing
efficiency and fairness featured a uniform capacity and prioritized high-risk
residents at an intermediate time delay. These findings more clearly exposed the
interactions between different factors and could be adopted as benchmarks to inform
more complicated evacuation ABMs.
C1 [Oh, Woi Sok; Muneepeerakul, Rachata] Univ Florida, Dept Agr & Biol Engn,
[Yu, David J.] Purdue Univ, Lyles Sch Civil Engn, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA.
[Yu, David J.] Purdue Univ, Dept Polit Sci, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA.
[Yu, David J.] Purdue Univ, Ctr Environm, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA.
C3 State University System of Florida; University of Florida; Purdue
University System; Purdue University; Purdue University West Lafayette
Campus; Purdue University System; Purdue University; Purdue University
West Lafayette Campus; Purdue University System; Purdue University;
Purdue University West Lafayette Campus
RP Muneepeerakul, R (corresponding author), Univ Florida, Dept Agr & Biol Engn,
EM rmuneepe@ufl.edu
RI Oh, Woi Sok/AAA-1823-2022
OI Yu, David J./0000-0001-9929-1933; Oh, Woi Sok/0000-0003-1666-0700
FU Army Research Office/Army Research Laboratory (Multidisciplinary
University Research Initiative) [W911NF1810267]; U.S. Department of
Defense (DOD) [W911NF1810267] Funding Source: U.S. Department of Defense
(DOD)
FX WO and RM were supported by the Army Research Office/Army Research
Laboratory (https://www.arl.army.mil/) under award no. W911NF1810267
(Multidisciplinary University Research Initiative). The views and
conclusions contained in this document are those of the authors and
should not be interpreted as representing the official policies either
expressed or implied by the Army Research Office or the US Government.
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JI PLoS One
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VL 16
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AR e0253395
PG 15
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UT WOS:000671691200006
PM 34157044
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Saksena, S
Dey, S
Merwade, V
Singhofen, PJ
AF Saksena, Siddharth
Dey, Sayan
Merwade, Venkatesh
Singhofen, Peter J.
TI A Computationally Efficient and Physically Based Approach for Urban
Flood Modeling Using a Flexible Spatiotemporal Structure
LA English
DT Article
ID SURFACE-WATER; HYDROLOGY; GROUNDWATER; SIMULATION; MANAGEMENT;
RESOLUTION; BENCHMARK; RISK
AB Recent unprecedented events have highlighted that the existing approach to
managing flood risk is inadequate for complex urban systems because of its
overreliance on simplistic methods at coarse-resolution large scales, lack of model
physicality using loose hydrologic-hydraulic coupling, and absence of urban water
infrastructure at large scales. Distributed models are a potential alternative as
they can capture the complex nature of these events through simultaneous tracking
of hydrologic and hydrodynamic processes. However, their application to large-scale
flood mapping and forecasting remains challenging without compromising on
spatiotemporal resolution, spatial scale, model accuracy, and local-scale
hydrodynamics. Therefore, it is essential to develop techniques that can address
these issues in urban systems while maximizing computational efficiency and
maintaining accuracy at large scales. This study presents a physically based but
computationally efficient approach for large-scale (area > 10(3) km(2)) flood
modeling of extreme events using a distributed model called Interconnected Channel
and Pond Routing. The performance of the proposed approach is compared with a
hyperresolution-fixed-mesh model at 60-m resolution. Application of the proposed
approach reduces the number of computational elements by 80% and the simulation
time for Hurricane Harvey by approximately 4.5 times when compared to the fixed-
resolution model. The results show that the proposed approach can simulate the
flood stages and depths across multiple gages with a high accuracy (R-2 > 0.8).
Comparison with Federal Emergency Management Agency building damage assessment data
shows a correlation greater than 95% in predicting spatially distributed flooded
locations. Finally, the proposed approach can estimate flood stages directly from
rainfall for ungaged streams.
Plain Language Summary Climate change and land development or urbanization is
expected to exacerbate both the intensity and frequency of extreme flooding
worldwide. As the flood severity rises, there is a growing need to develop flood
prediction and alert systems that provide fast and reliable forecasts. Currently,
it is extremely difficult to identify how much, when, and where the flooding will
occur, which can create uncertainty in evacuation planning and preparation. This
study proposes a method to improve the urban flood prediction by incorporating more
physicality into the numerical flood models, which enables a better estimation of
the depth, location, and arrival time of flooding. The graphical elements used to
construct the models result in a better representation of the real-world physical
features, thereby improving the accuracy of flood simulation. Moreover, the
approach presented here also decreases the computation time required to simulate
flooding, which is vital for providing timely forecasts. The proposed methods are
tested across a large and complex urban system using the rainfall from Hurricane
Harvey (2017) and validated using three additional flood events in Texas, United
States.
C1 [Saksena, Siddharth] Virginia Polytech Inst & State Univ, Via Dept Civil &
Environm Engn, Blacksburg, VA 24061 USA.
[Dey, Sayan; Merwade, Venkatesh] Purdue Univ, Lyles Sch Civil Engn, W Lafayette,
IN 47907 USA.
[Singhofen, Peter J.] Streamline Technol Inc, Winter Springs, FL USA.
C3 Virginia Polytechnic Institute & State University; Purdue University
System; Purdue University; Purdue University West Lafayette Campus
RP Saksena, S (corresponding author), Virginia Polytech Inst & State Univ, Via Dept
Civil & Environm Engn, Blacksburg, VA 24061 USA.
EM ssaksena@vt.edu
RI Saksena, Siddharth/J-2094-2019; Dey, Sayan/AAO-5080-2020; Merwade,
Venkatesh/D-4387-2015
OI Saksena, Siddharth/0000-0003-3746-6368; Dey, Sayan/0000-0002-5327-8431;
Merwade, Venkatesh/0000-0001-5518-2890
FU U.S. National Science Foundation [1737633]
FX This work was performed with funding from the U.S. National Science
Foundation (Grant 1737633). Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or
do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation.
Data used in this paper are available as a Hydroshare resource
(http://www.hydroshare.org/resource/e314ed52a83a46dd9e575304c299bd83).Th
e authors also thank Kimberly Peterson from the Lyles School of Civil
Engineering for proofreading the paper.
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U2 41
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PG 22
Resources
GA KV0RN
UT WOS:000520132500020
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Fan, Q
Tian, Z
Wang, W
AF Fan, Qiang
Tian, Zhong
Wang, Wei
TI Study on Risk Assessment and Early Warning of Flood-Affected Areas when
a Dam Break Occurs in a Mountain River
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE flood risk; risk assessment and early warning; quantitative assessment;
fuzzy analytic hierarchy process; risk level
ID ANALYTIC HIERARCHY PROCESS; MANAGEMENT; SIMULATION; EUROPE; MODEL;
WATER; POWER; REAL; AHP
AB Under the influence of extreme weather conditions or other unfavorable factors,
if a dam break occurs in a mountain river, it will cause a great number of
casualties and property losses in the affected downstream areas. Usually, early
warning of the affected areas downstream of the dam depends mainly on qualitative
evaluation and cannot be quantitatively evaluated. Based on the authors'
calculation of floods for many years, this study presents a quantitative assessment
method for flood risk. The Ertan Hydropower Station in Southwest China and the
flood-affected areas were chosen as the object of this study. Based on field
surveys, research literature data, and the authors' calculations, the basic data of
the Ertan Hydropower Station and the calculation results of the dam break were
obtained, and 35 representative flood-affected areas were selected to study risk
assessment and early warning. The fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) was used
to build a mathematical model for quantitative analysis. The population, flood
arrival time, flood level, evacuation time, and local GDP (Gross Domestic Product)
were selected as five typical evaluation factors. Finally, this study calculated
and counted the risk level of 35 representative flood-affected areas, and the study
results were applied to Quxue and Guanmaozhou Hydropower Station.
C1 [Fan, Qiang; Tian, Zhong; Wang, Wei] Sichuan Univ, State Key Lab Hydraul & Mt
River Engn, Chengdu 610065, Sichuan, Peoples R China.
C3 Sichuan University
RP Tian, Z; Wang, W (corresponding author), Sichuan Univ, State Key Lab Hydraul &
Mt River Engn, Chengdu 610065, Sichuan, Peoples R China.
EM scufanqiang@hotmail.com; tianzhong@scu.edu.cn; profwang@sina.com
OI Fan, Qiang/0000-0002-1330-2126; Tian, Zhong/0000-0002-1182-7025
FU National Key Research and Development Program of China [2016YFC0401603];
National Natural Science Foundation of China [51879178]
FX This study was funded by National Key Research and Development Program
of China [No. 2016YFC0401603]; National Natural Science Foundation of
China [51879178].
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NR 50
TC 15
Z9 16
U1 0
U2 25
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD OCT
PY 2018
VL 10
IS 10
AR 1369
DI 10.3390/w10101369
PG 18
GA HB6UP
UT WOS:000451208400084
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Brodie, M
Weltzien, E
Altman, D
Blendon, RJ
Benson, JM
AF Brodie, Mollyann
Weltzien, Erin
Altman, Drew
Blendon, Robert J.
Benson, John M.
TI Experiences of Hurricane Katrina evacuees in Houston shelters:
Implications for future planning
SO AMERICAN JOURNAL OF PUBLIC HEALTH
LA English
DT Article
AB Objectives. To shed light on how the public health community can promote the
recovery of Hurricane Katrina victims and protect people in future disasters, we
examined the experiences of evacuees housed in Houston area shelters 2 weeks after
the hurricane.
Methods. A survey was conducted September 10 through 12, 2005, with 680 randomly
selected respondents who were evacuated to Houston from the Gulf Coast as a result
of Hurricane Katrina. Interviews were conducted in Red Cross shelters in the
greater Houston area.
Results. Many evacuees suffered physical and emotional stress during the storm
and its aftermath, including going without adequate food and water. In comparison
with New Orleans and Louisiana residents overall, disproportionate numbers of this
group were African American, had low incomes, and had no health insurance coverage.
Many had chronic health conditions and relied heavily on the New Orleans public
hospital system, which was destroyed in the storm.
Conclusions. Our results highlight the need for better plans for emergency
communication and evacuation of low-income and disabled citizens in future
disasters and shed light on choices facing policymakers in planning for the long-
term health care needs of vulnerable populations.
C1 Henry J Kaiser Family Fdn, Menlo Pk, CA 94025 USA.
Harvard Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Boston, MA 02115 USA.
C3 Harvard University; Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health
RP Brodie, M (corresponding author), Henry J Kaiser Family Fdn, 2400 Sand Hill Rd,
Menlo Pk, CA 94025 USA.
EM mbrodie@kff.org
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NR 9
TC 264
Z9 265
U1 2
U2 83
PU AMER PUBLIC HEALTH ASSOC INC
PI WASHINGTON
PA 800 I STREET, NW, WASHINGTON, DC 20001-3710 USA
SN 0090-0036
J9 AM J PUBLIC HEALTH
JI Am. J. Public Health
PD AUG
PY 2006
VL 96
IS 8
BP 1402
EP 1408
DI 10.2105/AJPH.2005.084475
PG 7
(SSCI)
GA 070NR
UT WOS:000239530000018
PM 16571686
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Collins, AJ
Foytik, P
Frydenlund, E
Robinson, RM
Jordan, CA
AF Collins, Andrew J.
Foytik, Peter
Frydenlund, Erika
Robinson, R. Michael
Jordan, Craig A.
TI Generic Incident Model for Investigating Traffic Incident Impacts on
Evacuation Times in Large-Scale Emergencies
LA English
DT Article
ID ROAD CURVATURE; SIMULATION; CRASHES; ENGLAND; NETWORK
AB Traffic incidents cause a ripple effect of reduced travel speeds, lane changes,
and the pursuit of alternative routes that results in gridlock on the immediately
affected and surrounding roadways. The disruptions caused by the secondary effects
significantly degrade travel time reliability, which is of great concern to the
emergency planners who manage evacuations. Outcomes forecast by a generic incident
model embedded in a microscopic evacuation simulation, the Real-Time Evacuation
Planning Model (RtePM), were examined to quantify the change in time required for
an emergency evacuation that results from traffic incidents. The incident model
considered vehicle miles traveled on each individual segment of the studied road
network model. The two scenarios considered for this investigation were evacuations
of (a) Washington, D.C., after a simulated terrorist attack and (b) Virginia Beach,
Virginia, in response to a simulated hurricane. These results could help the
emergency planning community understand and investigate the impact of traffic
incidents during an evacuation.
C1 [Collins, Andrew J.; Foytik, Peter; Frydenlund, Erika; Robinson, R. Michael;
Jordan, Craig A.] Old Dominion Univ, Virginia Modeling Anal & Simulat Ctr, Suffolk,
VA 23435 USA.
C3 Old Dominion University
RP Collins, AJ (corresponding author), Old Dominion Univ, Virginia Modeling Anal &
Simulat Ctr, 1030 Univ Blvd, Suffolk, VA 23435 USA.
EM ajcollin@odu.edu
RI ; Frydenlund, Erika/M-8151-2015
OI Jordan, Craig/0000-0003-3892-7701; Frydenlund,
Erika/0000-0002-7694-7845; Collins, Andrew/0000-0002-8012-2272
FU U.S. Department of Homeland Security Regional Catastrophic Preparedness
Grant through the Virginia Department of Emergency Management
FX The authors are grateful to the team at the Johns Hopkins University
Applied Physics Laboratory and to Janet Clements of the All Hazards
Consortium for support in the further development of the RtePM model.
The authors thank Cambridge Systematics and Rich Margiotta of the
Transportation Research Board's Strategic Highway Research Program 2
(SHRP 2) for assistance with data. This work was funded by a U.S.
Department of Homeland Security Regional Catastrophic Preparedness Grant
through the Virginia Department of Emergency Management.
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NR 36
TC 7
Z9 7
U1 1
U2 26
PU NATL ACAD SCIENCES
PI WASHINGTON
PA 2101 CONSTITUTION AVE NW, WASHINGTON, DC 20418 USA
SN 0361-1981
EI 2169-4052
PY 2014
IS 2459
BP 11
EP 17
DI 10.3141/2459-02
PG 7
GA CB2YV
UT WOS:000349495300002
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Kruger, J
Smith, MJ
Chen, B
Paetznick, B
Bradley, BM
Abraha, R
Logan, M
Chang, ER
Sunshine, G
Romero-Steiner, S
AF Kruger, Judy
Smith, Michael J.
Chen, Brenda
Paetznick, Brandon
Bradley, Belen Moran
Abraha, Rosa
Logan, Marinda
Chang, Erich R.
Sunshine, Gregory
Romero-Steiner, Sandra
TI Hurricane Evacuation Laws in Eight Southern US Coastal States - December
2018
SO MMWR-MORBIDITY AND MORTALITY WEEKLY REPORT
LA English
DT Article
C1 [Kruger, Judy; Chen, Brenda; Paetznick, Brandon] CDC, Div State & Local
Readiness, Ctr Preparedness & Response, Atlanta, GA 30333 USA.
[Smith, Michael J.; Abraha, Rosa] CDC, Ctr Preparedness & Response, Atlanta, GA
30333 USA.
[Bradley, Belen Moran] CDC, Ctr Global Hlth, Commun, Atlanta, GA 30333 USA.
[Logan, Marinda] CDC, Sci, Atlanta, GA 30333 USA.
[Chang, Erich R.; Sunshine, Gregory] CDC, Ctr State Tribal Local & Terr Support,
Publ Hlth Law Program, Atlanta, GA 30333 USA.
[Romero-Steiner, Sandra] CDC, Ctr Preparedness & Response, Off Sci & Publ Hlth
Practice, Atlanta, GA 30333 USA.
C3 Centers for Disease Control & Prevention - USA; Centers for Disease
Control & Prevention - USA; Centers for Disease Control & Prevention -
USA; Centers for Disease Control & Prevention - USA; Centers for Disease
Control & Prevention - USA; Centers for Disease Control & Prevention -
USA
RP Kruger, J (corresponding author), CDC, Div State & Local Readiness, Ctr
Preparedness & Response, Atlanta, GA 30333 USA.
EM JKruger@cdc.gov
OI Chang, Erich/0000-0002-8264-3848; Reis, AlessanRSS/0000-0001-8486-7469
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National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 2020, HURR
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EV OP EV AD
NR 10
TC 4
Z9 4
U1 0
U2 3
PU CENTERS DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION
PI ATLANTA
PA 1600 CLIFTON RD, ATLANTA, GA 30333 USA
SN 0149-2195
EI 1545-861X
J9 MMWR-MORBID MORTAL W
JI MMWR-Morb. Mortal. Wkly. Rep.
PD SEP 11
PY 2020
VL 69
IS 36
BP 1233
EP 1237
PG 5
GA NN3RW
UT WOS:000568709500001
PM 32914768
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU O'Shea, T
Bates, P
Neal, J
AF O'Shea, Thomas
Bates, Paul
Neal, Jeffrey
TI Testing the impact of direct and indirect flood warnings on population
behaviour using an agent-based model
LA English
DT Article
ID RISK; SIMULATION; EVACUATION; MANAGEMENT; HAZARD
AB This paper uses a coupled hydrodynamic agent-based model (HABM) to investigate
the effect of direct or indirect warnings in flood incident response. This model
uses the LISFLOOD-FP hydrodynamic model and the NetLogo agent-based framework and
is applied to the 2005 flood event in Carlisle, UK. The hydrodynamic model provides
a realistic simulation of detailed flood dynamics through the event, whilst the
agent-based model component enables simulation and analysis of the complex, in-
event social response. NetLogo enables alternative probabilistic daily routine and
agent choice scenarios for the individuals of Carlisle to be simulated in a coupled
fashion with the flood inundation. Specifically, experiments are conducted using a
novel "enhanced social modelling component" based on the Bass diffusion model. From
the analysis of these simulations, management stress points (predictable or
otherwise) can be presented to those responsible for hazard management and post-
event recovery. The results within this paper suggest that these stress points can
be present, or amplified, due to a lack of preparedness or a lack of phased
evacuation measures. Furthermore, the methods outlined here have the potential for
application elsewhere to reduce the complexity and improve the effectiveness of
flood incident management. The paper demonstrates the influence that emergent
properties have on systematic vulnerability and risk from natural hazards in
coupled socio-environmental systems.
C1 [O'Shea, Thomas; Bates, Paul; Neal, Jeffrey] Univ Bristol, Sch Geog Sci,
Bristol, Avon, England.
C3 University of Bristol
RP O'Shea, T (corresponding author), Univ Bristol, Sch Geog Sci, Bristol, Avon,
England.
EM t.oshea@bristol.ac.uk
RI Neal, Jeffrey C/C-8723-2009; Bates, Paul D/C-8026-2012
OI Neal, Jeffrey C/0000-0001-5793-9594; Bates, Paul D/0000-0001-9192-9963;
O'Shea, Thomas/0000-0003-0484-2005
FU EWS Educational Trust [16-1-717/EDU341, NE/S003061/1]
FX This research has been supported by the EWS Educational Trust (grant no.
16-1-717/EDU341) and is affiliated with research conducted for the
project entitled "An Interdisciplinary Approach to Understanding Past,
Present and Future Flood Risk in Vietnam" under the Hydro-meterological
Hazards in Vietnam programme (grant no. NE/S003061/1).
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NR 91
TC 7
Z9 7
U1 4
U2 26
PI GOTTINGEN
SN 1561-8633
EI 1684-9981
PD AUG 20
PY 2020
VL 20
IS 8
BP 2281
EP 2305
DI 10.5194/nhess-20-2281-2020
PG 25
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA NF1QT
UT WOS:000563077500001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Valeriano, OCS
Koike, T
Yang, DW
Nyunt, CT
Duong, VK
Nguyen, LC
AF Valeriano, Oliver Cristian Saavedra
Koike, Toshio
Yang, Dawen
Nyunt, Cho Thanda
Duong Van Khanh
Nguyen Lan Chau
TI Flood simulation using different sources of rainfall in the Huong River,
Vietnam
LA English
DT Article
DE distributed hydrological model; flood forecast; Huong River; inundation
areas; quantitative precipitation forecast; TRMM; typhoon; Vietnam
ID HYDROLOGICAL MODEL; BASINS; FUTURE; SCHEME
AB The possibility of simulating flooding in the Huong River basin, Vietnam, was
examined using quantitative precipitation forecasts at regional and global scales.
Raingauge and satellite products were used for observed rainfall. To make maximum
use of the spatial heterogeneity of the different types of rainfall data, a
distributed hydrological model was set up to represent the hydrological processes.
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observed in situ. The forecast on a global scale showed better performance during
normal flow peak simulations than during extreme events. In contrast, it was found
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gives results that are in close agreement with results using raingauge data. Using
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first step in developing a future efficient early warning system and evacuation
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[Duong Van Khanh; Nguyen Lan Chau] Minist Nat Resources & Environm, Natl
Hydrometeorol Serv Vietnam, Hanoi, Vietnam.
C3 University of Tokyo; Tsinghua University
RP Valeriano, OCS (corresponding author), Univ Tokyo, Dept Civil Engn, Bunkyo Ku,
EM oliver@hydra.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp
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OI Nyunt, Cho Thanda/0000-0002-6812-3459;
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NR 15
TC 16
Z9 16
U1 1
U2 16
PI ABINGDON
SN 0262-6667
EI 2150-3435
J9 HYDROLOG SCI J
PD OCT
PY 2009
VL 54
IS 5
BP 909
EP 917
DI 10.1623/hysj.54.5.909
PG 9
WC Water Resources
SC Water Resources
GA 508QJ
UT WOS:000270947700008
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Millet, B
Carter, AP
Broad, K
Cairo, A
Evans, SD
Majumdar, SJ
AF Millet, Barbara
Carter, Andrew P.
Broad, Kenneth
Cairo, Alberto
Evans, Scotney D.
Majumdar, Sharanya J.
TI Hurricane Risk Communication: Visualization and Behavioral Science
Concepts
LA English
DT Article
DE Social Science; Forecasting
ID EVACUATION DECISION-MAKING; SOCIAL VULNERABILITY; UNCERTAINTY
VISUALIZATION; MENTAL MODELS; INFORMATION; PERCEPTION; ATTENTION;
KATRINA; FLORIDA; HEALTH
AB Increasingly, the risk assessment community has recognized the social and
cultural aspects of vulnerability to hurricanes and other hazards that impact
planning and public communication. How individuals and communities understand and
react to natural hazard risk communications can be driven by a number of different
cognitive, cultural, economic, and political factors. The social sciences have seen
an increased focus over the last decade on studying hurricane understanding and
responses from a social, cognitive, or decision science perspective, which, broadly
defined, includes a number of disparate fields. This paper is a cross-disciplinary
and critical review of those efforts as they are relevant to hurricane risk
communication development. We focus on two areas that, on the basis of a
comprehensive literature review and discussions with experts in the field, have
received comparatively little attention from the hazards community: 1) research
concerning visual communications and the way in which individuals process,
understand, and make decisions regarding them and 2) the way in which vulnerable
communities understand and interact with hurricane warning communications. We go on
to suggest areas that merit increased research and draw lessons or guidance from
the broader hazards/social science research realm that has implications for
hurricane planning and risk communication, particularly the development and
dissemination of hurricane forecast products.
C1 [Millet, Barbara] Univ Miami, Sch Commun, Dept Cinema & Interact Media, Coral
Gables, FL 33124 USA.
[Carter, Andrew P.; Broad, Kenneth] Univ Miami, Abess Ctr Ecosyst Sci, Coral
Gables, FL USA.
[Broad, Kenneth; Majumdar, Sharanya J.] Univ Miami, Rosenstiel Sch Marine &
Atmospher Sci, 4600 Rickenbacker Causeway, Miami, FL 33149 USA.
[Cairo, Alberto] Univ Miami, Sch Commun, Dept Journalism & Media Management,
Coral Gables, FL 33124 USA.
[Evans, Scotney D.] Univ Miami, Sch Educ & Human Dev, Dept Educ & Psychol
Studies, Coral Gables, FL 33124 USA.
[Carter, Andrew P.] Defenders Wildlife, Ctr Conservat Innovat, Washington, DC
USA.
C3 University of Miami; University of Miami; University of Miami;
University of Miami; University of Miami
RP Millet, B (corresponding author), Univ Miami, Sch Commun, Dept Cinema & Interact
Media, Coral Gables, FL 33124 USA.
EM bmillet@miami.edu
RI /AAI-2776-2021
OI /0000-0001-9002-6463; Millet, Barbara/0000-0002-2618-2186; Evans,
Scotney/0000-0003-0897-0725
FU University of Miami Laboratory for Integrative Knowledge Program
[PG012061]
FX This study was supported by the University of Miami Laboratory for
Integrative Knowledge Program (Award PG012061). The authors declare no
potential conflicts of interest.
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[No title captured]
[No title captured]
[No title captured]
[No title captured]
[No title captured]
[No title captured]
[No title captured]
[No title captured]
NR 114
TC 13
Z9 13
U1 5
U2 33
PI BOSTON
SN 1948-8327
EI 1948-8335
J9 WEATHER CLIM SOC
PD APR
PY 2020
VL 12
IS 2
BP 193
EP 211
DI 10.1175/WCAS-D-19-0011.1
PG 19
(SSCI)
GA KF8TX
UT WOS:000509510500001
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Dombroski, M
Fischhoff, B
Fischbeck, P
AF Dombroski, Matt
Fischhoff, Baruch
Fischbeck, Paul
TI Predicting emergency evacuation and sheltering behavior: A structured
analytical approach
SO RISK ANALYSIS
LA English
DT Article
DE disasters; evacuation; radiological dispersion devices; risk assessment;
risk communication
ID RESPONSES
AB We offer a general approach to predicting public compliance with emergency
recommendations. It begins with a formal risk assessment of an anticipated
emergency, whose parameters include factors potentially affecting and affected by
behavior, as identified by social science research. Standard procedures are used to
elicit scientific experts' judgments regarding these behaviors and dependencies, in
the context of an emergency scenario. Their judgments are used to refine the model
and scenario, enabling local emergency coordinators to predict the behavior of
citizens in their area. The approach is illustrated with a case study involving a
radiological dispersion device (RDD) exploded in downtown Pittsburgh, PA. Both
groups of experts (national and local) predicted approximately 80-90% compliance
with an order to evacuate workplaces and 60-70% compliance with an order to shelter
in place at home. They predicted 10% lower compliance for people asked to shelter
at the office or to evacuate their homes. They predicted 10% lower compliance
should the media be skeptical, rather than supportive. They also identified
preparatory policies that could improve public compliance by 20-30%. We consider
the implications of these results for improving emergency risk assessment models
and for anticipating and improving preparedness for disasters, using Hurricane
Katrina as a further case in point.
C1 Carnegie Mellon Univ, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA.
C3 Carnegie Mellon University
RP Fischhoff, B (corresponding author), Carnegie Mellon Univ, Pittsburgh, PA 15213
USA.
EM baruch@andrew.cmu.edu
RI Fischhoff, Baruch/I-9859-2014
OI Fischhoff, Baruch/0000-0002-3030-6874
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NR 50
TC 52
Z9 53
U1 1
U2 54
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 0272-4332
EI 1539-6924
J9 RISK ANAL
JI Risk Anal.
PD DEC
PY 2006
VL 26
IS 6
BP 1675
EP 1688
DI 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2006.00833.x
PG 14
(SSCI)
GA 117IS
UT WOS:000242867200022
PM 17184405
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Han, YS
Shin, ET
Eum, TS
Song, CG
AF Han, Yong-sik
Shin, Eun Taek
Eum, Tae Soo
Song, Chang Geun
TI Inundation Risk Assessment of Underground Space Using
Consequence-Probability Matrix
LA English
DT Article
DE underground space; inundation; hydrodynamic modeling; evacuation
difficulty; consequence-probability matrix
ID HUMAN STABILITY; FLOOD HAZARD; MODELS
AB Increases in the frequency and severity of extreme rainfall might cause
catastrophic submergence of underground spaces. Therefore, it is essential to
predict the flood risk for proactive design. This study presents the methodology of
acquiring risk level considering both flood intensity and evacuation difficulty.
The flood momentum was computed by a 2D hydraulic flow model, and the flood
intensity (FI) was employed to evaluate the consequence of flooding. To investigate
the level of evacuation difficulty, the spatial layout of rooms, together with
walking speed, were considered in the risk analysis process. If stormwater runoff
enters an underground space, zones far away from the inlet usually have low risk
levels. However, when the level of evacuation difficulty was considered, the risk
level was dependent on the evacuation distance and location of the inlet and exit.
If people are in zones with a risk level of 4 or 5, a rapid evacuation is necessary
for preventing human casualties. The proposed methodology incorporated with the
inundation model can be applied to any underground space regardless of the location
of stairs, the number of exits, shape of rooms, or layout of the floor.
Consequently, it will contribute to mitigating flood damage in an underground
space.
C1 [Han, Yong-sik; Shin, Eun Taek; Eum, Tae Soo; Song, Chang Geun] Incheon Natl
Univ, Dept Safety Engn, Incheon 22012, South Korea.
C3 Incheon National University
RP Song, CG (corresponding author), Incheon Natl Univ, Dept Safety Engn, Incheon
22012, South Korea.
EM dydtlr11456@icloud.com; euntaek.shin@outlook.com; djaxotn00@inu.ac.kr;
baybreeze119@inu.ac.kr
RI Song, Chang Geun/AAC-5571-2022
FU National Research Council of Science and Technology (NST) grant from the
Korean government (MSIP) [CRC-16-02-KICT]
FX This research was funded by a National Research Council of Science and
Technology (NST) grant from the Korean government (MSIP) [No.
CRC-16-02-KICT].
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NR 27
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 11
U2 37
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2076-3417
J9 APPL SCI-BASEL
JI Appl. Sci.-Basel
PD MAR 2
PY 2019
VL 9
IS 6
AR 1196
DI 10.3390/app9061196
PG 11
GA HU1FG
UT WOS:000465017200134
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zhan, SL
Chen, L
Chen, PK
Ye, Y
AF Zhan, Sha-lei
Chen, Liang
Chen, Ping-Kuo
Ye, Yong
TI A Vehicle Route Planning Method of Two-Phase Large-Scale Crowd
Evacuation in Typhoon Relief Activities
SO MATHEMATICAL PROBLEMS IN ENGINEERING
LA English
DT Article
ID HURRICANE EVACUATION; SIMULATION-MODEL; HYBRID
AB Large-scale crowd evacuation is an important measure guaranteeing the safety of
disaster-stricken victims in typhoon relief activities. Decision-making related to
antityphoon crowd evacuation must take full consideration of the destructive effect
of typhoons and their secondary disasters, time urgency, and resource limitation.
To give full play to limited vehicle resources, the influence of a typhoon and its
secondary disasters on antityphoon evacuation are mainly manifested during the
execution of evacuation tasks in this article. The shortest time spent in
completing all evacuation tasks was taken as the objective. Then, a vehicle route
selection model for two-phase large-scale antityphoon crowd evacuation was built
under an uncertain environment, and a matrix encoding-based genetic algorithm was
designed to solve the model. Under the background of Super Typhoon Meranti in 2016,
the model and algorithm were applied to crowd evacuation in a typhoon in Xiamen for
a simulated analysis. Results indicate that in typhoon relief activities, emergency
decision makers can use the proposed method to acquire a scientific and reasonable
route selection scheme for antityphoon crowd evacuation according to related
typhoon disaster data.
C1 [Zhan, Sha-lei] Zhejiang Gongshang Univ, Sch Management & E Business, Hangzhou
[Chen, Liang] Wenzhou Univ, Coll Math Phys & Elect Informat Engn, Wenzhou,
Peoples R China.
[Chen, Ping-Kuo] Wenzhou Business Coll, Dept Logist Management, Wenzhou, Peoples
R China.
[Ye, Yong] Wenzhou Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth & Management, Dept Management,
Wenzhou, Peoples R China.
C3 Zhejiang Gongshang University; Wenzhou University; Wenzhou Medical
University
RP Chen, PK (corresponding author), Wenzhou Business Coll, Dept Logist Management,
Wenzhou, Peoples R China.; Ye, Y (corresponding author), Wenzhou Med Univ, Sch Publ
Hlth & Management, Dept Management, Wenzhou, Peoples R China.
EM a1104100@ms23.hinet.net; yong_ye@foxmall.com
FU Zhejiang Provincial Philosophy and Social Science Program of China
[18NDJC198YB]; National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)
[71601146, 71872131, 71603237]; Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science
Foundation of China [LQ16G010005, LY19G030004]
FX This work was supported by the Zhejiang Provincial Philosophy and Social
Science Program of China (grant no. 16ZJQN025YB), the National Natural
Science Foundation of China (NSFC) (grant nos. 71601146, 71872131, and
71603237), the Zhejiang Provincial Philosophy and Social Science Program
of China (grant no. 18NDJC198YB), and Zhejiang Provincial Natural
Science Foundation of China (grant nos. LQ16G010005 and LY19G030004).
CR Alinaghian M, 2018, OMEGA-INT J MANAGE S, V76, P85, DOI
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9488(2007)133:1(61)
NR 27
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 5
U2 40
PU HINDAWI LTD
PI LONDON
PA ADAM HOUSE, 3RD FLR, 1 FITZROY SQ, LONDON, W1T 5HF, ENGLAND
SN 1024-123X
EI 1563-5147
J9 MATH PROBL ENG
JI Math. Probl. Eng.
PD AUG 31
PY 2019
VL 2019
AR 9539746
DI 10.1155/2019/9539746
PG 9
WC Engineering, Multidisciplinary; Mathematics, Interdisciplinary
Applications
SC Engineering; Mathematics
GA IX7MH
UT WOS:000485867600001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Alisan, O
Ghorbanzadeh, M
Ulak, MB
Kocatepe, A
Ozguven, EE
Horner, M
Huang, WR
AF Alisan, Onur
Ghorbanzadeh, Mahyar
Ulak, Mehmet Baran
Kocatepe, Ayberk
Ozguven, Eren Erman
Horner, Mark
Huang, Wenrui
TI Extending interdiction and median models to identify critical hurricane
shelters
LA English
DT Article
DE r-interdiction model; p-median model; Two-step modeling; Shelter
selection; Special needs shelters; Emergency logistics
ID FACILITY LOCATION; CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE; ACCESSIBILITY; AGGREGATION;
PROTECTION; DISASTER; IMPACT
AB Shelters serve as critical facilities where people gather during and after
hurricanes. A basic requirement of 'operation' for a shelter is being functional
and available to help. However, what happens when shelters themselves are damaged
and unable to serve those people? An open question with key policy implications is:
How can we identify the most critical shelter(s) as a part of broader emergency
evacuation operations and how can we respond to an interdiction? This paper
develops a two-step modeling framework consisting of enhanced r-interdiction median
models (RIM) to identify the most significant shelter(s) and revised p-median
models to identify shelters to repurpose during such an interdiction where shelters
are rendered off-line. Proposed models are applied on a Southeast Florida case
study with respect to scenarios based on varying hurricane strength and shelter
demand. Findings indicate that models are susceptible to travel cost variation
based on the demand-weighted objectives, and that shelter selections vary due to
different demand scenarios created which focus on different population segments. As
hurricane strength increases, critical shelter identification is driven by flooding
and storm surge risks. These findings can inform efforts to harden those critical
shelters so that they can better serve populations in need.
C1 [Alisan, Onur] Middle East Tech Univ, Dept City & Reg Planning, New Bldg Room
401, Ankara, Turkey.
[Ghorbanzadeh, Mahyar; Ozguven, Eren Erman; Huang, Wenrui] FAMU FSU Coll Engn,
2525 Pottsdamer St, Tallahassee, FL 32310 USA.
[Ulak, Mehmet Baran] SUNY Stony Brook, Stony Brook, NY 11790 USA.
[Kocatepe, Ayberk] Connet Transportat Grp, Travel Modeling & Analyt, 3111 N Univ
Dr,Suite 725, Coral Springs, FL 33065 USA.
[Horner, Mark] Florida State Univ, Dept Geog, 600 W Coll Ave, Tallahassee, FL
32306 USA.
C3 Middle East Technical University; State University System of Florida;
Florida A&M University; Florida State University; State University of
New York (SUNY) System; State University of New York (SUNY) Stony Brook;
State University System of Florida; Florida State University
RP Alisan, O (corresponding author), Middle East Tech Univ, Dept City & Reg
Planning, New Bldg Room 401, Ankara, Turkey.
EM alisan@metu.edu.tr; mg17x@my.fsu.edu; baranulag@gmail.com;
akocatepe@ctgconsult.com; eozguven@fsu.edu; mhorner@fsu.edu;
whuang@eng.famu.fsu.edu
RI Ghorbanzadeh, Mahyar/J-1488-2018; alisan, onur/N-5158-2019
OI alisan, onur/0000-0001-9311-3984; Ozguven, Eren/0000-0001-6006-7635;
Ulak, Mehmet/0000-0002-0893-3871
FU Turkish Fulbright Commission, Turkey; US NSF, United States [1832068]
FX This project was partially sponsored by the Turkish Fulbright
Commission, Turkey and US NSF, United States award 1832068. We also
thank the Florida Department of Transportation for providing the roadway
data. The opinions, findings and conclusions expressed in this
publication are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the
Turkish Fulbright Commission, the National Science Foundation and the
Florida Department of Transportation.
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NR 45
TC 8
Z9 8
U1 1
U2 11
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD FEB
PY 2020
VL 43
AR 101380
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101380
PG 17
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA KG5JX
UT WOS:000509985700016
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Newman, B
Gallion, C
AF Newman, Brian
Gallion, Courtney
TI Hurricane Harvey: Firsthand Perspectives for Disaster Preparedness in
Graduate Medical Education
LA English
DT Editorial Material
AB When disasters strike, hospitals are challenged to continue the delivery of
health care, much of which is dependent on trainees. Fortunately, disasters are
infrequent; however, that infrequency leads to an absence of training in how to
plan and execute a disaster response, and leaves medical professionals and trainees
unprepared to handle the burden of a disaster when it strikes. In August 2017,
Hurricane Harvey tested the efficacy of the graduate medical education (GME)
disaster plan at Corpus Christi Medical Center (CCMC) and provided an opportunity
to evaluate residents' performance in a disaster situation in the inpatient
setting. In this Invited Commentary, the authors recall their experience at CCMC
during Hurricane Harvey and its aftermath. They describe the challenges that
resulted from a disaster plan that proved to be inadequate. Based on their own
lessons learned, the authors offer several recommendations for more effective
disaster planning for GME programs: adequate staffing, adequate resources, optimal
team structure, effective communication, safe evacuation, and thorough planning.
This evaluation of how the residents prepared for and responded to an actual
natural disaster provides perspective into organizational and institutional
processes that could benefit from further development and implementation.
C1 [Newman, Brian] Alaska Reg Hosp, Anchorage, AK USA.
[Newman, Brian] Corpus Christi Med Ctr, Corpus Christi, TX USA.
[Gallion, Courtney] Corpus Christi Med Ctr, Med Educ, Corpus Christi, TX USA.
RP Gallion, C (corresponding author), HCA Corpus Christi Med Ctr, Grad Med Educ,
3315 S Alameda, Corpus Christi, TX 78411 USA.
EM Courtney.Gallion@hcahealthcare.com
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NR 4
TC 11
Z9 11
U1 1
U2 9
PI PHILADELPHIA
PA TWO COMMERCE SQ, 2001 MARKET ST, PHILADELPHIA, PA 19103 USA
SN 1040-2446
EI 1938-808X
J9 ACAD MED
JI Acad. Med.
PD SEP
PY 2019
VL 94
IS 9
BP 1267
EP 1269
DI 10.1097/ACM.0000000000002696
PG 3
GA IT6FV
UT WOS:000482966800009
PM 31460912
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Bricker, JD
Schwanghart, W
Adhikari, BR
Moriguchi, S
Roeber, V
Giri, S
AF Bricker, Jeremy D.
Schwanghart, Wolfgang
Adhikari, Basanta Raj
Moriguchi, Shuji
Roeber, Volker
Giri, Sanjay
TI Performance of Models for Flash Flood Warning and Hazard Assessment: The
2015 Kali Gandaki Landslide Dam Breach in Nepal
SO MOUNTAIN RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
LA English
DT Article
DE Nepal; earthquake; landslide dam breach; flood; HEC-RAS; Delft-FLOW;
steep mountain stream
ID OUTBURST FLOODS; DISCHARGE
AB The 2015 magnitude 7.8 Gorkha earthquake and its aftershocks weakened mountain
slopes in Nepal. Co- and postseismic landsliding and the formation of landslide-
dammed lakes along steeply dissected valleys were widespread, among them a
landslide that dammed the Kali Gandaki River. Overtopping of the landslide dam
resulted in a flash flood downstream, though casualties were prevented because of
timely evacuation of low-lying areas. We hindcast the flood using the BREACH
physically based dam-break model for upstream hydrograph generation, and compared
the resulting maximum flow rate with those resulting from various empirical
formulas and a simplified hydrograph based on published observations. Subsequent
modeling of downstream flood propagation was compromised by a coarse-resolution
digital elevation model with several artifacts. Thus, we used a digital-elevation-
model preprocessing technique that combined carving and smoothing to derive
topographic data. We then applied the 1-dimensional HEC-RAS model for downstream
flood routing, and compared it to the 2-dimensional Delft-FLOW model. Simulations
were validated using rectified frames of a video recorded by a resident during the
flood in the village of Beni, allowing estimation of maximum flow depth and speed.
Results show that hydrological smoothing is necessary when using coarse topographic
data (such as SRTM or ASTER), as using raw topography underestimates flow depth and
speed and overestimates flood wave arrival lag time. Results also show that the 2-
dimensional model produces more accurate results than the 1-dimensional model but
the 1-dimensional model generates a more conservative result and can be run in a
much shorter time. Therefore, a 2-dimensional model is recommended for hazard
assessment and planning, whereas a 1-dimensional model would facilitate real-time
warning declaration.
C1 [Bricker, Jeremy D.] Delft Univ Technol, Dept Hydraul Engn, Fac Civil Engn &
Geosci, POB 5048, NL-2600 GA Delft, Netherlands.
[Bricker, Jeremy D.; Moriguchi, Shuji; Roeber, Volker] Tohoku Univ, Int Res Inst
Disaster Sci, Aoba Ku, 468-1 AzaAoba, Sendai, Miyagi 9800845, Japan.
[Schwanghart, Wolfgang] Univ Potsdam, Inst Earth & Environm Sci, Karl Liebknecht
Str 24-25, D-14476 Potsdam, Germany.
[Adhikari, Basanta Raj] Tribhuvan Univ, Inst Engn, Dept Civil Engn, Pulchowk
Campus, Kirtipur, Nepal.
[Giri, Sanjay] Deltares, Boussinesqweg 1, NL-2629 HV Delft, Netherlands.
[Giri, Sanjay] Deltares, POB 177, NL-2600 MH Delft, Netherlands.
C3 Delft University of Technology; Tohoku University; University of
Potsdam; Tribhuvan University; Institute of Engineering (IOE) - Nepal;
Deltares; Deltares
RP Bricker, JD (corresponding author), Delft Univ Technol, Dept Hydraul Engn, Fac
Civil Engn & Geosci, POB 5048, NL-2600 GA Delft, Netherlands.; Bricker, JD
(corresponding author), Tohoku Univ, Int Res Inst Disaster Sci, Aoba Ku, 468-1
AzaAoba, Sendai, Miyagi 9800845, Japan.
EM jeremy.bricker@gmail.com
RI Adhikari, Basanta Raj/Q-2988-2019; Schwanghart, Wolfgang/U-2681-2019;
Schwanghart, Wolfgang/G-4205-2010; Giri, Sanjay/AAD-6379-2020
OI Bricker, Jeremy/0000-0002-7503-6652
FU Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research [15K06224] Funding Source: KAKEN
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TC 15
Z9 15
U1 1
U2 28
PU INT MOUNTAIN SOC
PI BERN
PA University of Bern, Mittelstrasse 43, BERN, SWITZERLAND
SN 0276-4741
EI 1994-7151
J9 MT RES DEV
JI Mt. Res. Dev.
PD FEB
PY 2017
VL 37
IS 1
BP 5
EP 15
DI 10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-16-00043.1
PG 11
WC Environmental Sciences; Geography, Physical
SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Physical Geography
GA EM5VO
UT WOS:000395382000002
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Anshuka, A
van Ogtrop, FF
Sanderson, D
Leao, SZ
AF Anshuka, Anshuka
van Ogtrop, Floris F.
Sanderson, David
Leao, Simone Z.
TI A systematic review of agent-based model for flood risk management and
assessment using the ODD protocol
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DT Review
DE Systems model; Agent-based model; Hydrology; Flood risk management; ODD
protocol
ID LAND-USE MODELS; COUPLED HUMAN; SIMULATION; ADAPTATION; BEHAVIOR;
IMPACT; SCALE; STRATEGIES; NETWORKS; WARNINGS
AB Recently, applications of agent-based model (ABM) have been used to understand
the interaction between social and hydrological systems. These systems are dynamic
and co-evolving, which can be captured through different decision-making entities
in an ABM simulation. Therefore, this review aims to better understand the use of
ABM for flood risk management and assessment (FRMA). The review comprises a
systematic selection of literature using the PRISMA method, which is then assessed
using an adapted version of the overview, design, and detail (ODD) protocol to
better understand the ABM model development process for FRMA. The review finds that
the use of the ODD protocol was only seen in 25% of the studies. The studies which
did not explicitly use the ODD had a comprehensive description of the models,
albeit done in a non-standardised way. Modellers continue to face the dilemma
between parsimony and the breadth of the model as identified from the design
component of the ODD. The hydrological component is mainly captured in the sub-
model process of the ODD, however, improvements in the definition of the sub-model
component may warrant a more comprehensive description of the processes and
facilitate comparison across studies. The applications of ABM have shown promise to
understand long term flood risks, test the efficacy of policies and better
understand the factors that affect warning response during the flood evacuation
process. ODD adopted for this review may consequently allow for the adoption and
more coherent use of the protocol to document models in FRMA.
C1 [Anshuka, Anshuka; Sanderson, David; Leao, Simone Z.] Univ New South Wales, Fac
Arts Design & Architecture, Sch Built Environm, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
[van Ogtrop, Floris F.] Univ Sydney, Fac Sci, Sch Life & Environm Sci, Sydney,
NSW, Australia.
C3 University of New South Wales Sydney; University of Sydney
RP Anshuka, A (corresponding author), Univ New South Wales, Fac Arts Design &
Architecture, Sch Built Environm, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
EM anshuka@unsw.edu.au
RI Ogtrop, Floris/ABB-6115-2021
OI Sanderson, David/0000-0003-0398-4343; van Ogtrop,
Floris/0000-0002-5505-3869
FU CAUL
FX Open Access funding enabled and organized by CAUL and its Member
Institutions. The authors have not disclosed any funding.
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TC 2
Z9 2
U1 12
U2 25
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 0921-030X
EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
PD JUL
PY 2022
VL 112
IS 3
BP 2739
EP 2771
DI 10.1007/s11069-022-05286-y
EA MAR 2022
PG 33
Water Resources
GA 2D8NN
UT WOS:000767003300001
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Shah, AA
Ye, JZ
Pan, L
Ullah, R
Shah, SIA
Fahad, S
Naz, S
AF Shah, Ashfaq Ahmad
Ye, Jingzhong
Pan, Lu
Ullah, Raza
Shah, Syed Irshad Ali
Fahad, Shah
Naz, Shaista
TI Schools' Flood Emergency Preparedness in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province,
Pakistan
LA English
DT Article
DE Emergency preparedness; Flood disaster; Pakistan; School resilience;
School safety culture
ID SAFETY CLIMATE; CHILDREN; DISABILITIES
AB Pakistan is highly exposed to climate-induced disasters, especially floods.
Flooding history shows that educational establishments have been disproportionately
hard-hit by flooding events. In Pakistan, school safety and preparedness is still a
choice, rather than a mandatory requirement for all schools. But schools in
Pakistan do have a responsibility to keep safe the students in their care,
especially during and after the catastrophic events. This implies the need to
maintain the environment in and around school property, so as to minimize the
impacts of floods and to have the mechanisms in place to maximize a school's
resilience. This study examined the emergency preparedness activities of 20 schools
in four districts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province that had recently been severely
affected by floods. Through face to face interviews and a structured questionnaire
(n = 100) we collected data on the four pillars of emergency preparedness:
emergency planning, preparation measures, safe school facilities, and hazard
education and training. The study revealed that the majority of the sample schools
had experienced more than one natural hazard-induced disaster, predominantly
flooding, yet despite this had not undertaken adequate emergency preparedness
activities. There are particular gaps with regard to plans for students with
disabilities, the continuity of school operations after a disaster, the presence of
maps to identify evacuation routes, the availability of emergency equipment and
resources, disaster preparedness guidelines, and psychological first aid and crisis
counseling. The strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats analysis that our
researchers carried out indicates that, although schools in the survey have taken
many steps towards flood preparedness, many weaknesses still exist and there remain
significant opportunities to strengthen the preparedness level of many schools. The
goal of this study is to inform policy decisions that improve school safety in
Pakistan and to suggest the priority areas for future school disaster preparedness
and management efforts.
C1 [Shah, Ashfaq Ahmad; Ye, Jingzhong; Pan, Lu] China Agr Univ, Coll Humanities &
Dev Studies COHD, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China.
[Ullah, Raza] Univ Agr Faisalabad, Inst Agr & Resource Econ, Faisalabad 38000,
Pakistan.
[Shah, Syed Irshad Ali] Zhejiang Univ, Dept Agr Econ & Management, Hangzhou
[Fahad, Shah] Northwest A&F Univ, Coll Econ & Management, Yangling 712100,
Shaanxi, Peoples R China.
[Naz, Shaista] Univ Agr Peshawar AUP, IDS, Peshawar 25000, Khyber Pakhtunk,
Pakistan.
C3 China Agricultural University; University of Agriculture Faisalabad;
Zhejiang University; Northwest A&F University - China
RP Ye, JZ (corresponding author), China Agr Univ, Coll Humanities & Dev Studies
COHD, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China.
EM yejz@cau.edu.cn
RI Shah, PhD, Ashfaq Ahmad/J-2476-2019; Shah, Ashfaq Ahmad/AAT-7073-2021;
Ullah, Raza/AAF-1319-2020; Fahad, Shah/K-4922-2019; Fahad,
Shah/GZM-2604-2022
OI Shah, PhD, Ashfaq Ahmad/0000-0001-9142-2441; Ullah,
Raza/0000-0003-3036-1926; Fahad, Shah/0000-0002-7080-3031;
FU Chinese Scholarship Council (CSC)
FX This study was part of Ph.D. research at the College of Humanities and
Development Studies (COHD), China Agricultural University, Beijing,
China. The research project was made possible by the sponsorship of the
Chinese Scholarship Council (CSC). We are extremely thankful to the
College of Humanities and Development (COHD) Studies, as well as the
Directorate of Elementary and Secondary Education (E&SE) Khyber
Pakhtunkhwa and school representatives, for their effective support and
coordination in organizing and conducting successful interviews.
Further, we would like to thank our survey team members in conducting
interviews during August and September 2017. We are very thankful to
Nicholas Parrott for his contribution to the proofreading and editing of
this manuscript.
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U2 30
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PI NEW YORK
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EI 2192-6395
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PY 2018
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IS 2
BP 181
EP 194
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PG 14
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA GJ9JN
UT WOS:000435717300004
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Chitwatkulsiri, D
Miyamoto, H
Weesakul, S
AF Chitwatkulsiri, Detchphol
Miyamoto, Hitoshi
Weesakul, Sutat
TI Development of a Simulation Model for Real-Time Urban Floods Warning: A
Case Study at Sukhumvit Area, Bangkok, Thailand
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE urban flood management; flood forecasting; weather radar; integrated
hydraulic modeling; and evacuation lead time
ID SPONGE CITIES; PREDICTION; RESOLUTION; WATER; MANAGEMENT; IMPACT
AB Increasingly frequent, high-intensity rain events associated with climatic
change are driving urban drainage systems to function beyond their design discharge
capacity. It has become an urgent issue to mitigate the water resource management
challenge. To address this problem, a real-time procedure for predicting the
inundation risk in an urban drainage system was developed. The real-time procedure
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[Weesakul, Sutat] Asian Inst Technol, Sch Engn & Technol, Water Engn &
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RP Chitwatkulsiri, D (corresponding author), Shibaura Inst Technol, Dept Civil
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TC 6
Z9 6
U1 2
U2 22
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD JUN
PY 2021
VL 13
IS 11
AR 1458
DI 10.3390/w13111458
PG 17
GA SR1YW
UT WOS:000660841100001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Demuth, JL
Morss, RE
Palen, L
Anderson, KM
Anderson, J
Kogan, M
Stowe, K
Bica, M
Lazrus, H
Wilhelmi, O
Henderson, J
AF Demuth, Julie L.
Morss, Rebecca E.
Palen, Leysia
Anderson, Kenneth M.
Anderson, Jennings
Kogan, Marina
Stowe, Kevin
Bica, Melissa
Lazrus, Heather
Wilhelmi, Olga
Henderson, Jen
TI "Sometimes da #beachlife ain't always da wave": Understanding People's
Evolving Hurricane Risk Communication, Risk Assessments, and Responses
Using Twitter Narratives
LA English
DT Article
DE Communications; decision making; Risk assessment
ID DECISION-MAKING; EVACUATION INTENTIONS; SOCIAL MEDIA; BIG DATA;
PERCEPTION; INFORMATION; EMOTION; WEATHER; IKE; MESSAGES
AB This article investigates the dynamic ways that people communicate, assess, and
respond as a weather threat evolves. It uses social media data, which offer unique
records of what people convey about their real-world risk contexts. Twitter
narratives from 53 people who were in a mandatory evacuation zone in a New York
City neighborhood during Hurricane Sandy in 2012 were qualitatively analyzed. The
study provides rich insight into the complex, dynamic information behaviors and
risk assessments of people at risk, and it illustrates how social media data can be
collected, sampled, and analyzed to help provide this understanding. Results show
that this sample of people at significant risk attended to forecast information and
evacuation orders as well as multiple types of social and environmental cues.
Although many tweeted explicitly about the mandatory evacuation order, forecast
information was usually referenced only implicitly. Social and environmental cues
grew more important as the threat approached and often triggered heightened risk
perceptions or protective actions. The results also reveal the importance of
different aspects of people's cognitive and affective risk perceptions as well as
specific emotions (e.g., fear, anger) for understanding risk assessments. People
discussed a variety of preparatory and protective behavioral responses and
exhibited multiple types of coping responses (e.g., humor) as the threat evolved.
People's risk assessments and responses were closely intertwined, and their risk
perceptions were not continuously elevated as the hurricane approached; they
exhibited different ways of interpreting, coping, and responding as they accessed
and processed evolving information about the threat.
C1 [Demuth, Julie L.; Morss, Rebecca E.; Lazrus, Heather; Wilhelmi, Olga] Natl Ctr
Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA.
[Palen, Leysia; Anderson, Kenneth M.; Anderson, Jennings; Kogan, Marina; Stowe,
Kevin; Bica, Melissa] Univ Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309 USA.
[Henderson, Jen] Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Boulder, CO USA.
C3 National Center Atmospheric Research (NCAR) - USA; University of
Colorado System; University of Colorado Boulder
RP Demuth, JL (corresponding author), Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder, CO
80307 USA.
EM jdemuth@ucar.edu
RI Anderson, Kenneth M/A-2971-2008
OI Anderson, Kenneth M/0000-0001-9860-7908
FU National Science Foundation; National Science Foundation Award
[1331490]; Div Atmospheric & Geospace Sciences; Directorate For
Geosciences [1331490] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
FX The authors thank Jennifer Boehnert for designing Fig. 2. This research
is supported by National Science Foundation Award 1331490. The National
Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the National Science
Foundation.
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TC 31
Z9 31
U1 2
U2 28
PI BOSTON
SN 1948-8327
EI 1948-8335
J9 WEATHER CLIM SOC
PD JUL
PY 2018
VL 10
IS 3
BP 537
EP 560
DI 10.1175/WCAS-D-17-0126.1
PG 24
(SSCI)
GA GL0OL
UT WOS:000436789100002
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Pedzisai, E
Mutanga, O
Odindi, J
Bangira, T
AF Pedzisai, Ezra
Mutanga, Onisimo
Odindi, John
Bangira, Tsitsi
TI A novel change detection and threshold-based ensemble of scenarios
pyramid for flood extent mapping using Sentinel-1 data
SO HELIYON
LA English
DT Article
DE Change detection and thresholding; Flood extent map; SAR; Scenarios
ensemble; Sentinel-1
ID RIVER; INUNDATION
AB Flood disasters destroy infrastructure, disrupt ecosystem processes, adversely
affect social and economic activities and cause human fatalities. As such, flood
extent mapping (FEM) is critical to mitigate these impacts. Specifically, FEM is
essential to mitigate adverse impacts through early warning, efficient response
during evacuation, search, rescue and recovery. Furthermore, accurate FEM is
crucial for policy formulation, planning and management, rehabilitation, and
promoting community resilience for sustainable occupation and use of floodplains.
Recently, remote sensing has become valuable in flood studies. However, whereas
free passive remote sensing images have been common input into predictive models,
damage assessment and FEM, their utility is constrained by clouds during flooding
events. Conversely, microwave-based data is unconstrained by clouds, hence is
important for FEM. Hence, to increase the reliability and accuracy of FEM using
Sentinel-1 radar data, we propose a three-step process that builds an ensemble of
scenarios pyramid (ESP) based on change detection and thresholding technique. We
deployed the ESP technique and tested it on a use-case based on two, five and 10
images. The usecase calculated three co-polarized Vertical-Vertical (VV) and three
cross-polarized Vertical-Horizontal (VH) normalized difference flood index
scenarios to form six binary classified FEMs at the base. We ensembled the base
scenarios to three dual-polarized centre FEMs, and likewise the centre scenarios to
a final pinnacle flood extent map. The base, centre and pinnacle scenarios were
validated using six binary classification performance metrics. The results show
that the ESP increased the base-to-pinnacle minimum classification performance
metrics with overall accuracy, Cohen's Kappa, intersect over union, recall, F1-
score, and Matthews Correlation coefficient of 93.204%, 0.864, 0.865, 0.870, 0.927,
and 0.871 respectively. The study also established that the VV channels were
superior in FEM than VH at the ESP base. Overall, this study demonstrates the
efficacy of the ESP for operational flood disaster management.
C1 [Pedzisai, Ezra; Mutanga, Onisimo; Odindi, John; Bangira, Tsitsi] Sch Agr Earth
& Environm Sci, Discipline Geog, Private Bag X01, ZA-3201 Pietermaritzburg, South
Africa.
RP Pedzisai, E (corresponding author), Sch Agr Earth & Environm Sci, Discipline
Geog, Private Bag X01, ZA-3201 Pietermaritzburg, South Africa.
EM ezpedzisai@gmail.com
OI Pedzisai, Ezra/0000-0002-9117-7666; Bangira, Tsitsi/0000-0002-0435-9518
FU National Research Foundation of South Africa (NRF) Research Chair in
Land Use Planning and Management [84157]
FX Onisimo Mutanga was supported by the National Research Foundation of
South Africa (NRF) Research Chair in Land Use Planning and Management
[84157].
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NR 72
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 4
U2 4
PU CELL PRESS
PI CAMBRIDGE
PA 50 HAMPSHIRE ST, FLOOR 5, CAMBRIDGE, MA 02139 USA
EI 2405-8440
J9 HELIYON
JI Heliyon
PD MAR
PY 2023
VL 9
IS 3
AR e13332
DI 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e13332
EA FEB 2023
PG 13
GA D5GI0
UT WOS:000969012200001
PM 36895372
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Rohli, RV
Collins, JM
Ersing, RL
Lunsford, GD
Ludwig, AM
AF Rohli, Robert V.
Ersing, Robin L.
Lunsford, G. Douglas
Ludwig, Ashley M.
TI Hurricane Preparedness among University Residential Housing Assistants
and Staff
LA English
DT Article
ID RISK PERCEPTIONS; DISASTER PREPAREDNESS; EVACUATION; VULNERABILITY;
INFORMATION; RESPONSES
AB While much research has been invested in understanding preparedness among
emergency managers during natural disasters, substantially less attention has been
devoted to evaluating the level of understanding and preparedness among
nonemergency management employees who must direct others during natural disasters.
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and gender, ethnicity, and automobile access. Only hurricane knowledge and
preparation anxiety were found to influence the preparedness construct
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university resident assistants and residential life professionals and, by
extension, to student populations from typical vulnerabilities that the general
population experiences in disaster scenarios. This research may have implications
in other large organizations in which leaders or decision-makers have great
influence on employees or other populations to ensure that the organizational
leadership is fully equipped when faced with an oncoming hurricane or other
disaster threat.
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Rouge, LA 70803 USA.
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[Ludwig, Ashley M.] UMS Wright Preparatory Sch, Mobile, AL USA.
C3 Louisiana State University System; Louisiana State University; State
University System of Florida; University of South Florida; State
University System of Florida; University of South Florida; Keiser
University
RP Rohli, RV (corresponding author), Louisiana State Univ, Dept Oceanog & Coastal
Sci, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA.
EM rohli@lsu.edu
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NR 50
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 0
U2 14
PI BOSTON
SN 1948-8327
EI 1948-8335
J9 WEATHER CLIM SOC
PD APR
PY 2018
VL 10
IS 2
BP 341
EP 359
DI 10.1175/WCAS-D-17-0012.1
PG 19
(SSCI)
GA GI2LT
UT WOS:000434202600011
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Paynter, S
Nachabe, M
AF Paynter, Shayne
Nachabe, Mahmood
TI Use of generalized extreme value covariates to improve estimation of
trends and return frequencies for lake levels
LA English
DT Article
DE drought; flood frequency; generalized extreme value; lake stage; return
period; trend
ID FLOOD EVENTS
AB One of the most important tools in water management is the accurate forecast of
long-term and short-term extreme values for flood and drought conditions.
Traditional methods of trend detection are not suited for hydrologic systems while
traditional methods of predicting extreme frequencies may be highly inaccurate in
lakes. Traditional frequency estimates assume independence from trend or initial
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C1 [Paynter, Shayne; Nachabe, Mahmood] Univ S Florida, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
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RP Paynter, S (corresponding author), Univ S Florida, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
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TC 5
Z9 6
U1 1
U2 12
PU IWA PUBLISHING
PI LONDON
SN 1464-7141
EI 1465-1734
J9 J HYDROINFORM
JI J. Hydroinform.
PY 2011
VL 13
IS 1
BP 13
EP 24
DI 10.2166/hydro.2010.077
PG 12
Resources
GA 720SU
UT WOS:000287301900002
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wang, Q
Taylor, JE
AF Wang, Qi
Taylor, John E.
TI Quantifying Human Mobility Perturbation and Resilience in Hurricane
Sandy
SO PLOS ONE
LA English
DT Article
ID IMPACT
AB Human mobility is influenced by environmental change and natural disasters.
Researchers have used trip distance distribution, radius of gyration of movements,
and individuals' visited locations to understand and capture human mobility
patterns and trajectories. However, our knowledge of human movements during natural
disasters is limited owing to both a lack of empirical data and the low precision
of available data. Here, we studied human mobility using high-resolution movement
data from individuals in New York City during and for several days after Hurricane
Sandy in 2012. We found the human movements followed truncated power-law
distributions during and after Hurricane Sandy, although the beta value was
noticeably larger during the first 24 hours after the storm struck. Also, we
examined two parameters: the center of mass and the radius of gyration of each
individual's movements. We found that their values during perturbation states and
steady states are highly correlated, suggesting human mobility data obtained in
steady states can possibly predict the perturbation state. Our results demonstrate
that human movement trajectories experienced significant perturbations during
hurricanes, but also exhibited high resilience. We expect the study will stimulate
future research on the perturbation and inherent resilience of human mobility under
the influence of hurricanes. For example, mobility patterns in coastal urban areas
could be examined as hurricanes approach, gain or dissipate in strength, and as the
path of the storm changes. Understanding nuances of human mobility under the
influence of such disasters will enable more effective evacuation, emergency
response planning and development of strategies and policies to reduce fatality,
injury, and economic loss.
C1 [Wang, Qi; Taylor, John E.] Virginia Tech, Charles E Via Jr Dept Civil &
Environm Engn, Civil Engn Network Dynam Lab, Blacksburg, VA 24061 USA.
C3 Virginia Polytechnic Institute & State University
RP Taylor, JE (corresponding author), Virginia Tech, Charles E Via Jr Dept Civil &
Environm Engn, Civil Engn Network Dynam Lab, Blacksburg, VA 24061 USA.
EM jet@vt.edu
FU National Science Foundation [1142379]; Virginia Tech's Open Access
Subvention Fund; Div Of Civil, Mechanical, & Manufact Inn; Directorate
For Engineering [1733695, 1142379] Funding Source: National Science
Foundation
FX This study is supported by the National Science Foundation under Grant
No. 1142379. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations
expressed in this material are those of the authors and do not
necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation. Open
access publication of this article was supported by Virginia Tech's Open
Access Subvention Fund. The funders had no role in study design, data
collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the
manuscript.
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U2 41
PI SAN FRANCISCO
SN 1932-6203
J9 PLOS ONE
JI PLoS One
PD NOV 19
PY 2014
VL 9
IS 11
AR e112608
PG 5
GA AU3SG
UT WOS:000345533200028
PM 25409009
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Xu, DD
Qing, C
Deng, X
Yong, ZL
Zhou, WF
Ma, ZX
AF Xu, Dingde
Qing, Chen
Deng, Xin
Yong, Zhuolin
Zhou, Wenfeng
Ma, Zhixing
TI Disaster Risk Perception, Sense of Pace, Evacuation Willingness, and
Relocation Willingness of Rural Households in Earthquake-Stricken Areas:
Evidence from Sichuan Province, China
LA English
DT Article
DE risk perception; sense of place; evacuation willingness; relocation
willingness; earthquake; China
ID GORGES RESERVOIR AREA; DECISION-MAKING; POVERTY VULNERABILITY; FLOOD
RISK; PREPAREDNESS; PLACE; MODEL; INFORMATION; PREDICTORS; LIVELIHOOD
AB Based on survey data from 327 rural households in the areas affected by the
Wenchuan Earthquake and Lushan Earthquake in Sichuan Province, this study
systematically analyzed disaster risk perception, sense of place, evacuation
willingness, and relocation willingness among residents in these earthquake-
stricken areas. Further, this study constructed an ordinal logistic regression
analysis to probe the correlations between residents' disaster risk perception or
sense of place and evacuation willingness and relocation willingness, respectively.
The results showed that (1) faced with the threat of earthquake disasters,
residents have a strong willingness to evacuate and relocate. Specifically, 93% and
78% of the residents in the Wenchuan Earthquake and Lushan Earthquake areas were
willing to evacuate and relocate, respectively, whereas 4% and 17% of the residents
were unwilling to evacuate and relocate, respectively. (2) Place dependence and the
severity of disaster occurrence were significantly positively correlated with
residents' evacuation willingness, while the interaction term between place
dependence and the severity of disaster occurrence was negatively related to
residents' evacuation willingness. Specifically, when everything else remains
constant, every one-unit increase in place dependence and severity corresponds to
increases in the odds of willingness to evacuate by factors of 0.042 and 0.051,
respectively; every one-unit increase in place dependence x severity corresponds to
a decrease in the odds of willingness to evacuation by a factor of 0.004. (3) Place
identity was significantly negatively correlated with residents' relocation
willingness, while place dependence and severity of disaster occurrence were
positively related to residents' relocation willingness. The interaction term
between place dependence and the severity of disaster occurrence as well as the
interaction term between place identity and severity of disaster occurrence were
significantly negatively correlated with residents' relocation willingness.
Specifically, every one-unit increase in place identity corresponds to a decrease
in the odds of willingness to relocate by a factor of 0.034, while every one-unit
increase in place dependence and severity corresponds to increases in the odds of
willingness to relocate by factors of 0.041 and 0.028, respectively, and every one-
unit increase in place dependence x severity and place identity x severity
corresponds to decreases in the odds of willingness to relocate by factors of 0.003
and 0.003, respectively.
C1 [Xu, Dingde] Sichuan Agr Univ, Coll Management, Sichuan Ctr Rural Dev Res,
Chengdu 611130, Peoples R China.
[Qing, Chen; Yong, Zhuolin; Zhou, Wenfeng; Ma, Zhixing] Sichuan Agr Univ, Coll
Management, Chengdu 611130, Peoples R China.
[Deng, Xin] Sichuan Agr Univ, Coll Econ, Chengdu 611130, Peoples R China.
C3 Sichuan Agricultural University; Sichuan Agricultural University;
Sichuan Agricultural University
RP Xu, DD (corresponding author), Sichuan Agr Univ, Coll Management, Sichuan Ctr
Rural Dev Res, Chengdu 611130, Peoples R China.
EM dingdexu@sicau.edu.cn; qingchen@stu.sicau.edu.cn; dingdexu@sicau.edu.cn;
zhuolinyong@stu.sicau.edu.cn; wenfengzhou@stu.sicau.edu.cn;
zhixingma@stu.sicau.edu.cn
RI Qing, Chen/AFQ-7860-2022; Xu, Dingde/GNP-8560-2022; Deng,
Xin/AAU-5244-2020; Xu, Dingde/A-2084-2013
OI Xu, Dingde/0000-0001-6359-6540; Deng, Xin/0000-0002-0009-3708
41601614, 41701622]; undergraduate research interest cultivation program
in 2020 of Sichuan agricultural university [2020466, 2020465];
innovation training program of Sichuan Agricultural University in 2019
[2019106226105]
(Grant No. 41801221; No.41571527; No. 41601614; No. 41701622),
undergraduate research interest cultivation program in 2020 of Sichuan
agricultural university (No.2020466; No. 2020465), and the innovation
training program of Sichuan Agricultural University in 2019
(2019106226105).
6988(2002)3:3(107)
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Xu DD, 2015, SUSTAINABILITY-BASEL, V7, P4850, DOI 10.3390/su7054850
NR 61
TC 31
Z9 31
U1 1
U2 32
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 1660-4601
PD JAN 2
PY 2020
VL 17
IS 2
AR 602
DI 10.3390/ijerph17020602
PG 19
(SSCI)
Health
GA KQ3LG
UT WOS:000516827400223
PM 31963490
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Koike, T
AF Koike, Toshio
TI Evolution of Japan's flood control planning and policy in response to
climate change risks and social changes
SO WATER POLICY
LA English
DT Article
DE Climate change; Disaster resilience; Disaster risk reduction; Flood
control planning; Flood control policy; Paris Agreement on Climate
Change; Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction; SDGs;
Sustainability
AB Building a sustainable society by strengthening disaster resilience is a common
goal in the world. It is crucial to promote cooperation between the general public
and the science community by sharing data, information, knowledge, experiences, and
ideas. Japan has routinely been beset by catastrophic floods caused mainly by
destructive typhoons and critically active seasonal fronts. With the turn of the
21st century, changes in climate and society required additional realignment into
the standardized procedures that had evolved over the previous half-century.
Japan's new policy, 'River Basin Disaster Resilience and Sustainability by All,'
takes comprehensive measures, mainly consisting of flood prevention, exposure
reduction, and appropriate evacuation, response and recovery, aiming to strengthen
disaster resilience and achieve sustainability through concerted efforts among all
stakeholders. The policy can play a key role in the achievement of the common
global goal.
C1 [Koike, Toshio] Int Ctr Water Hazard & Risk Management ICHARM, Publ Works Res
Inst PWRI, 1-6 Minamihara, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058516, Japan.
C3 PWRI: Public Works Research Institute
RP Koike, T (corresponding author), Int Ctr Water Hazard & Risk Management ICHARM,
Publ Works Res Inst PWRI, 1-6 Minamihara, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058516, Japan.
EM koike@icharm.org
CR Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 2015, DEV COOP CHART
Ministry of Land Infrastructure Transport and Tourism, 2015, APPR DIS PREV MIT
RE
Ministry of Land Infrastructure Transport and Tourism, 2017, REB RISK CONSC WELL
Ministry of Land Infrastructure Transport and Tourism, 2008, STUD AD MEAS CLIM
CH
Ministry of Land Infrastructure Transport and Tourism, 2015, STUD CLIM CHANG AD
M
Ministry of Land Infrastructure Transport and Tourism, 2015, FLOOD CONTR PLANN
RE
Ministry of Land Infrastructure Transport and Tourism, 2019, FLOOD CONTR PLANN
CL
Ministry of Land Infrastructure Transport and Tourism, 2015, MAN DET MAX EXP HAZ
Nakamura S., 2014, HIST STUDY STANDARDI
Program for Risk Information on Climate Change (SOUSEI) led by the Ministry of
Education Culture Sports Science and Technology of Japan (MEXT), 2019, DAT POL DEC
MAK FUT
Wakigawa K., 2007, STUDY EVALUATION MET
Yoshino N, 2017, J INFRASTRUCT POLICY, V1, P129, DOI 10.24294/jipd.v1i2.69
NR 12
TC 4
Z9 4
U1 3
U2 14
PU IWA PUBLISHING
PI LONDON
ENGLAND
SN 1366-7017
EI 1996-9759
J9 WATER POLICY
JI Water Policy
PD DEC
PY 2021
VL 23
SU 1
SI SI
BP 77
EP 84
DI 10.2166/wp.2021.287
EA DEC 2021
PG 8
WC Water Resources
SC Water Resources
GA XQ7SK
UT WOS:000729278500001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Shirley, T
Padmanabha, B
Murray-Tuite, P
Huynh, N
Comert, G
Shen, JY
AF Shirley, Thomas
Padmanabha, Bhavya
Huynh, Nathan
Comert, Gurcan
Shen, Jiayun
TI Exploring the Potential of Using Privately-Owned, Self-Driving
Autonomous Vehicles for Evacuation Assistance
LA English
DT Article
ID HURRICANE EVACUATION; ADOPTION; CARLESS; MODELS; POLICY
AB The potential use of privately-owned autonomous vehicles (AVs) for the
evacuation of carless households threatened by hurricanes is underexplored. Based
on 518 original survey responses from South Carolina (SC) residents, an ordered
logistic model was developed to determine the willingness of individuals to
temporarily share their AVs for evacuation without their presence. The model
results indicated that respondents who (a) were unemployed, (b) had experience
giving disaster relief assistance, (c) took regular religious trips and were more
comfortable with AVs (d) delivering packages and (e) being purchased and shared for
income in the next five years were more willing to share for evacuation.
Respondents who (a) were aged 65 or older, (b) had income below $15,000 per year,
and (c) had less than two social media accounts were less willing to share. The
model was applied to a state-wide synthetic population to simulate a disaster
scenario in SC under different AV market penetration (p) scenarios to determine the
potential use of AVs for evacuation assistance. Monte Carlo simulation results
indicated that the percentage of households that can be evacuated increased
linearly with respect to p, by 5.5% for every 1% increase in p until p was nearly
20%. When p was 30% or higher, the number of shared AVs was sufficient to evacuate
all households in need. Therefore, in SC, if privately-owned AVs are widely
available, they could serve as a viable alternative or be used to supplement the
traditional evacuation programs that rely on buses.
C1 [Shirley, Thomas; Murray-Tuite, Pamela; Shen, Jiayun] Clemson Univ, Dept Civil
Engn, Clemson, SC 29634 USA.
[Padmanabha, Bhavya; Huynh, Nathan] Univ South Carolina, Dept Civil & Environm
Engn, Columbia, SC 29208 USA.
[Comert, Gurcan] Benedict Coll, Dept Comp Sci Phys & Engn, Columbia, SC 29204
USA.
C3 Clemson University; University of South Carolina System; University of
South Carolina Columbia; Benedict College
RP Murray-Tuite, P (corresponding author), Clemson Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Clemson,
SC 29634 USA.
EM pmmurra@clemson.edu
OI Shen, Jiayun/0000-0003-4062-2130
FU US Department of Transportation (USDOT) Center for Connected Multimodal
Mobility (C2M2) (Tier 1 University Transportation Center) headquartered
at Clemson University, Clemson, South Carolina, USA [69A3551747117];
C2M2
FX The authors are grateful for the support from C2M2. &is study was based
upon a project funded by the US Department of Transportation (USDOT)
Center for Connected Multimodal Mobility (C2M2) (Tier 1 University
Transportation Center) headquartered at Clemson University, Clemson,
South Carolina, USA, Grant 69A3551747117.
CR [Anonymous], 2018, UNDERSTANDING EVACUE
[Anonymous], 2005, SPSS 14 0 STAT PROCE
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NR 54
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 2
U2 10
PU WILEY-HINDAWI
PI LONDON
SN 0197-6729
EI 2042-3195
J9 J ADV TRANSPORT
JI J. Adv. Transp.
PD SEP 25
PY 2021
VL 2021
AR 2156964
DI 10.1155/2021/2156964
PG 11
GA WB4LG
UT WOS:000703544600001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Anderson, AH
Cohen, AJ
Kutner, NG
Kopp, JB
Kimmel, PL
Muntner, P
AF Anderson, Amanda H.
Cohen, Andrew J.
Kutner, Nancy G.
Kopp, Jeffrey B.
Kimmel, Paul L.
Muntner, Paul
TI Missed dialysis sessions and hospitalization in hemodialysis patients
after Hurricane Katrina
SO KIDNEY INTERNATIONAL
LA English
CT 40th Annual Meeting of the American-Society-of-Nephrology/Annual Renal
Week
CY OCT 31-NOV 05, 2007
CL San Francisco, CA
SP Amer Soc Nephrol
DE disaster; end-stage renal disease; hemodialysis; hospitalization; missed
dialysis; preparedness
ID RELIEF TASK-FORCE; INTERDIALYTIC WEIGHT-GAIN; PSYCHOMETRIC PROPERTIES;
DISASTER; PREDICTORS; EARTHQUAKE; SURVIVAL; NONCOMPLIANCE; ORGANIZATION;
PREVALENCE
AB In order to evaluate the factors that contributed to missed dialysis sessions
and increased hospitalizations of hemodialysis patients after Hurricane Katrina, we
contacted 386 patients from 9 New Orleans hemodialysis units. Data were collected
through structured telephone interviews on socio-demographics, dialysis factors,
and evacuation characteristics. Overall, 44% of patients reported missing at least
one and almost 17% reported missing 3 or more dialysis sessions. The likelihood of
missing 3 or more sessions was greater for those whose dialysis vintage was less
than 2 years compared to those for whom it was 5 or more years, who had 38 or fewer
billed dialysis sessions compared to those who had 39 or more in the 3 months
before the storm, who lived alone before the storm, who were unaware of their
dialysis facility's emergency plans, who did not evacuate prior to hurricane
landfall, and who were placed in a shelter. The adjusted odds ratio of
hospitalization among patients who missed 3 or more compared to those who did not
miss any dialysis sessions was 2.16 (95% CI: 1.05-4.43). These findings suggest
that when preparing for future disasters more emphasis needs to be placed on
patient awareness and early execution of emergency plans. Kidney International
(2009) 75, 1202-1208; doi:10.1038/ki.2009.5; published online 11 February 2009
C1 [Muntner, Paul] Mt Sinai Sch Med, Dept Community & Prevent Med, New York, NY
10029 USA.
[Anderson, Amanda H.; Muntner, Paul] Tulane Univ, Sch Publ Hlth & Trop Med, Dept
Epidemiol, New Orleans, LA USA.
[Anderson, Amanda H.] Univ Penn, Sch Med, Dept Med, Ctr Clin Epidemiol &
Biostat, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA.
[Cohen, Andrew J.] Ochsner Hlth Syst, Nephrol Sect, Dept Med, New Orleans, LA
USA.
[Kutner, Nancy G.] Emory Univ, US Renal Data Syst Rehabil Qual Life Special
Stud, Dept Med, Atlanta, GA 30322 USA.
[Kopp, Jeffrey B.] NIDDK, Kidney Dis Sect, NIH, Bethesda, MD USA.
[Kimmel, Paul L.] George Washington Univ, Dept Med, Div Renal Dis & Hypertens,
Washington, DC USA.
C3 Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai; Tulane University; University
of Pennsylvania; Pennsylvania Medicine; Ochsner Health System; Emory
University; National Institutes of Health (NIH) - USA; NIH National
Institute of Diabetes & Digestive & Kidney Diseases (NIDDK); George
Washington University
RP Muntner, P (corresponding author), Mt Sinai Sch Med, Dept Community & Prevent
Med, 1 Gustave L Levy Pl,Box 1057, New York, NY 10029 USA.
EM paul.muntner@mssm.edu
RI Kopp, Jeffrey B/O-2681-2015
OI Kopp, Jeffrey B/0000-0001-9052-186X
FU NIDDK NIH HHS [N01-DK-7-5004, N01-DK-1-2471] Funding Source: Medline;
PHS HHS [HHSN267200715004C] Funding Source: Medline
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NR 31
TC 78
Z9 79
U1 0
U2 3
PI NEW YORK
PA 360 PARK AVE SOUTH, NEW YORK, NY 10010-1710 USA
SN 0085-2538
EI 1523-1755
J9 KIDNEY INT
JI Kidney Int.
PD JUN
PY 2009
VL 75
IS 11
BP 1202
EP 1208
DI 10.1038/ki.2009.5
PG 7
WC Urology & Nephrology
WE Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED); Conference Proceedings Citation
Index - Science (CPCI-S)
SC Urology & Nephrology
GA 447YK
UT WOS:000266227800012
PM 19212421
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Rehse, D
Riordan, R
Rottke, N
Zietz, J
AF Rehse, Dominik
Riordan, Ryan
Rottke, Nico
Zietz, Joachim
TI The effects of uncertainty on market liquidity: Evidence from Hurricane
Sandy
SO JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS
LA English
DT Article
DE Uncertainty; Liquidity; Financial crisis; Natural experiment
ID INFERENCE
AB We test the effects of uncertainty on market liquidity using Hurricane Sandy as
a natural experiment. Given the unprecedented strength, scale, and nature of the
storm, the potential damages of a landfall near the Greater New York area were
unpredictable and therefore uncertain. Using a difference-in-differences setting,
we compare the market reactions of Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) with and
without properties in the widely published evacuation zone of New York City prior
to landfall. We find relatively less trading and wider bid-ask spreads in affected
REITs. The results confirm theory on the detrimental effects of uncertainty on
market functioning. (C) 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an
open access article under the CC BY license.
(http://creativecommons.orgilicenses/by/4.0/)
C1 [Rehse, Dominik] ZEW Mannheim, L 7,1, D-68161 Mannheim, Germany.
[Riordan, Ryan] Queens Univ, Stephen JR Smith Sch Business, Goodes Hall,143
Union St W, Kingston, ON K7L 3N6, Canada.
[Rottke, Nico; Zietz, Joachim] EBS Univ Wirtschaft & Recht, EBS Business Sch,
Gustav Stresemann Ring 3, D-65189 Wiesbaden, Germany.
C3 Zentrum fur Europaische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW); Queens University -
Canada; European Business School (EBS) University
RP Rehse, D (corresponding author), ZEW Mannheim, L 7,1, D-68161 Mannheim, Germany.
EM mail@dominik-rehse.com
RI Riordan, Ryan/AAN-9850-2021; Rehse, Dominik/M-8900-2018
OI Rehse, Dominik/0000-0003-0954-0946; Zietz, Joachim/0000-0001-8874-5370;
Riordan, Ryan/0000-0003-4538-1241
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NR 25
TC 36
Z9 36
U1 7
U2 38
PU ELSEVIER SCIENCE SA
PI LAUSANNE
PA PO BOX 564, 1001 LAUSANNE, SWITZERLAND
SN 0304-405X
J9 J FINANC ECON
JI J. Financ. Econ.
PD NOV
PY 2019
VL 134
IS 2
BP 318
EP 332
DI 10.1016/j.jfineco.2019.04.006
PG 15
WC Business, Finance; Economics
GA JI4DL
UT WOS:000493417700004
OA Green Submitted, hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Rickard, LN
Schuldt, JP
Eosco, GM
Scherer, CW
Daziano, RA
AF Rickard, Laura N.
Schuldt, Jonathon P.
Eosco, Gina M.
Scherer, Clifford W.
Daziano, Ricardo A.
TI The Proof is in the Picture: The Influence of Imagery and Experience in
Perceptions of Hurricane Messaging
LA English
DT Article
ID CLIMATE-CHANGE; RISK PERCEPTIONS; VISUAL LITERACY; EVACUATION
INTENTIONS; SCIENCE COMMUNICATION; INFORMATION; PERSUASION; RESPONSES;
UNCERTAINTY; HEALTH
AB Although evidence suggests that photographs can enhance persuasive messaging by
offering "proof,'' less research considers their utility relative to other visual
forms that ostensibly convey more information but more abstractly. Drawing on
communication and information processing theory, this study examines the influence
of visual features and personal experience variables in a domain with urgent need
to better understand their role: hurricane messaging. In a between subjects
experiment, residents of New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut (N = 1052) were
exposed to a hypothetical hurricane forecast accompanied by a photograph of storm
surge inundating a house (indexical image), a map of projected storm surge (iconic
image), or no image (control), depending on condition. Results revealed that
participants in the indexical condition perceived the greatest risk overall and
were more likely to mention evacuation as a behavioral intention than did those in
the iconic and control conditions, controlling for individual differences (gender,
state of residence, etc.). Moreover, risk perception was greatest among residents
in the indexical condition reporting fewer personal impacts of hurricanes,
suggesting a moderating effect of hurricane experience on risk judgment but not on
behavioral intention. Consistent with a dual-process model perspective, when
exposed to an image of an identifiable "victim,'' participants with less direct
experience may have employed an affect heuristic, resulting in heightened risk
perceptions. Practically speaking, using evocative photographs as proof may be
preferable to a map or text-only approach when warning public audiences of a given
hazard, but ethical issues and empirical questions remain.
C1 [Rickard, Laura N.] Univ Maine, Dept Commun & Journalism, Orono, ME 04469 USA.
[Schuldt, Jonathon P.; Scherer, Clifford W.] Cornell Univ, Dept Commun, Ithaca,
NY USA.
[Eosco, Gina M.] Eastern Res Grp, Arlington, VA USA.
[Daziano, Ricardo A.] Cornell Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Ithaca, NY 14853
USA.
C3 University of Maine System; University of Maine Orono; Cornell
University; Cornell University
RP Rickard, LN (corresponding author), Univ Maine, Dept Commun & Journalism, Orono,
ME 04469 USA.
EM laura.rickard@maine.edu
RI Rickard, Laura/K-2909-2019; Daziano, Ricardo A/N-4604-2014
OI Daziano, Ricardo A/0000-0002-5613-429X
FU National Sea Grant College Program, National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce [R/CSAP-4-NY, R/CSAP-5-NY];
University of Connecticut; New Jersey Sea Grant Consortium; Research
Foundation of State University of New York
FX This manuscript was prepared by the authors using Federal funds from two
projects (# R/CSAP-4-NY and # R/CSAP-5-NY) funded under the Coastal
Storm Awareness Program (NOAA Awards NA13OAR4830227, NA13OAR4830228, and
NA13OAR4830229) from the National Sea Grant College Program, National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce. The
federal funds were provided via appropriations under the Disaster Relief
Appropriations Act of 2013 (P.L. 113-2) and the Sea Grant Act (33 U.S.C.
1121 et seq.). Funding was awarded to the financial hosts of the Sea
Grant College Programs in Connecticut, New Jersey, and New York via
their financial host institutions, the University of Connecticut, the
New Jersey Sea Grant Consortium, and the Research Foundation of State
University of New York, respectively. The statements, findings,
conclusions, and recommendations are those of the author(s) and do not
necessarily reflect the views of the National Sea Grant College Program,
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the U.S. Department of
Commerce nor any of the other listed organizations.
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NR 89
TC 25
Z9 25
U1 1
U2 29
PI BOSTON
SN 1948-8327
EI 1948-8335
J9 WEATHER CLIM SOC
PD JUL
PY 2017
VL 9
IS 3
BP 471
EP 485
DI 10.1175/WCAS-D-16-0048.1
PG 15
(SSCI)
GA FB1SY
UT WOS:000405925000010
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Thompson, RR
Holman, EA
Silver, RC
AF Thompson, Rebecca R.
Holman, E. Alison
TI Media Coverage, Forecasted Posttraumatic Stress Symptoms, and
Psychological Responses Before and After an Approaching Hurricane
SO JAMA NETWORK OPEN
LA English
DT Article
ID DISORDER; EXPOSURE; BIASES
AB IMPORTANCE Exposure to disaster-related media coverage is associated with
negative mental health outcomes. However, risk factors that render individuals
vulnerable to this exposure are unknown. Hurricane-associated media exposure was
expected to explain the association between forecasted posttraumatic stress (PTS)
and adjustment after the hurricane.
OBJECTIVE To examine forecasted PTS responses and media coverage as risk factors
for negative mental health outcomes in the context of media coverage of an
approaching disaster (Hurricane Irma).
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS In a representative probability community
sample of 1637 adults from Florida, respondents completed 2 online surveys: the
first during the 60 hours before Hurricane Irma's landfall (wave 1; September 8-11,
2017) and the second approximately 1 month later (wave 2; October 12-29, 2017).
Poststratification weights were applied to facilitate population-based inferences.
Data were analyzed from October 19 through 31, 2018.
MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Posttraumatic stress responses, psychological
distress, functional impairment, and worry about future events.
RESULTS The wave 1 survey included 1637 participants (57.0% response rate); 1478
participants were retained at the wave 2 follow-up (90.3% retention) (weighted
proportion of women, 62.2%; mean [SD] age, 59.1 [15.2] years). The final weighted
sample closely approximated US Census benchmarks for the state of Florida. Data
analyses using structural equation modeling revealed that exposure to media
coverage of the hurricane (beta = 0.21; 95% CI, 0.11-0.31; P <.001) and forecasted
PTS (beta = 0.44; 95% CI, 0.35-0.52; P <.001) were significantly associated with
adjustment after the hurricane. In addition, a significant indirect path from
forecasted PTS to adjustment after the storm occurred through exposure to
hurricane-related media coverage (beta = 0.07; 95% CI, 0.05-0.08; P <.001).
Covariates included demographics, mental health diagnoses before the storm,
perceived evacuation zone status, and degree of hurricane exposure.
CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE Results of this study provide a more thorough
understanding of how psychological factors before hurricanes are associated with
adjustment after hurricanes via media consumption. The findings may also
demonstrate the importance of considering prestorm psychological factors when
assessing poststorm outcomes, with implications for the media and public health
efforts.
C1 [Thompson, Rebecca R.; Silver, Roxane Cohen] Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Psychol
Sci, 4201 Social & Behav Sci, Irvine, CA 92697 USA.
[Holman, E. Alison] Univ Calif Irvine, Sue & Bill Gross Sch Nursing, Irvine, CA
USA.
[Silver, Roxane Cohen] Univ Calif Irvine, Program Publ Hlth, Irvine, CA USA.
University of California System; University of California Irvine
RP Silver, RC (corresponding author), Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Psychol Sci, 4201
Social & Behav Sci, Irvine, CA 92697 USA.
EM rsilver@uci.edu
FU NSF [BCS-1760764]
FX This study was supported by grant BCS-1760764 from the NSF (Drs Silver
and Holman).
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NR 37
TC 19
Z9 19
U1 0
U2 4
PU AMER MEDICAL ASSOC
PI CHICAGO
PA 330 N WABASH AVE, STE 39300, CHICAGO, IL 60611-5885 USA
SN 2574-3805
J9 JAMA NETW OPEN
JI JAMA Netw. Open
PD JAN
PY 2019
VL 2
IS 1
AR e186228
DI 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2018.6228
PG 12
GA HU6WO
UT WOS:000465422700056
PM 30646189
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Badakhsh, R
Harville, E
Banerjee, B
AF Badakhsh, Roshan
Harville, Emily
Banerjee, Baishakhi
TI The Childbearing Experience During a Natural Disaster
SO JOGNN-JOURNAL OF OBSTETRIC GYNECOLOGIC AND NEONATAL NURSING
LA English
DT Article
DE pregnancy; stress; Hurricane Katrina; evacuation; social support;
qualitative analysis
ID MENTAL-HEALTH; HURRICANE KATRINA; EXPOSURE; OUTCOMES; VICTIMS; STRESS
AB Objective
To gain insight into the needs of pregnant women during Hurricane Katrina.
Design
Grounded theory using semistructured interviews.
Setting
Participants were recruited with flyers. Interviews were conducted in a location
preferred by the participant.
Patients/Participants
Eleven participants were interviewed. All were pregnant during the storm, lived
in an area affected by Hurricane Katrina prior to the storm, were between the ages
of 18 and 49, and spoke English.
Methods
Qualitative interviews were performed and recorded, transcribed, and reviewed to
organize the women's thoughts into categories.
Results
The core category was disruption of life during pregnancy, and four additional
subcategories were destruction of normalcy, uncertainty, loss of expectations, and
coping with disruption.
Conclusion
The women relied on family and friends for support. Life in New Orleans for
months after the storm was difficult due to unreliable information. Health care
professionals that interact with pregnant women should move toward use of
electronic medical records and educate women about coping with stress during
pregnancy.
C1 [Badakhsh, Roshan] Louisiana Off Publ Hlth, New Orleans, LA USA.
[Harville, Emily] Tulane Univ, Sch Publ Hlth & Trop Med, New Orleans, LA USA.
[Banerjee, Baishakhi] Duke Univ, Ctr S Asian Studies, Durham, NC USA.
C3 Tulane University; Duke University
RP Badakhsh, R (corresponding author), 1450 L&A Rd, Metairie, LA 70001 USA.
EM rbadakhsh@hotmail.com
RI Harville, Emily/AFS-8572-2022
OI Harville, Emily/0000-0003-0319-0922
FU NIH [R21 MH078185-01, K12HD043451]
FX Supported by NIH grants R21 MH078185-01 and K12HD043451. The authors
thank Dr. Tina Strickland for conducting one of the interviews and
assisting with participant recruitment.
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NR 15
TC 26
Z9 27
U1 1
U2 10
PI NEW YORK
SN 0884-2175
EI 1552-6909
J9 JOGNN-J OBST GYN NEO
JI JOGNN
PD JUL-AUG
PY 2010
VL 39
IS 4
BP 489
EP 497
DI 10.1111/j.1552-6909.2010.01160.x
PG 9
WC Nursing; Obstetrics & Gynecology
(SSCI)
SC Nursing; Obstetrics & Gynecology
GA 625OG
UT WOS:000279904100014
PM 20629936
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Cotugno, A
Smith, V
Baker, T
Srinivasan, R
AF Cotugno, Angela
Smith, Virginia
Baker, Tracy
Srinivasan, Raghavan
TI A Framework for Calculating Peak Discharge and Flood Inundation in
Ungauged Urban Watersheds Using Remotely Sensed Precipitation Data: A
Case Study in Freetown, Sierra Leone
SO REMOTE SENSING
LA English
DT Article
DE urban flood mapping; remotely sensed precipitation; peak discharge;
HEC-RAS
ID LAND-USE CHANGE; CLIMATE-CHANGE; SENSING DATA; URBANIZATION; CATCHMENT;
RUNOFF; FUTURE; COVER; MODEL; INTEGRATION
AB As the human population increases, land cover is converted from vegetation to
urban development, causing increased runoff from precipitation events. Additional
runoff leads to more frequent and more intense floods. In urban areas, these flood
events are often catastrophic due to infrastructure built along the riverbank and
within the floodplains. Sufficient data allow for flood modeling used to implement
proper warning signals and evacuation plans, however, in least developed countries
(LDC), the lack of field data for precipitation and river flows makes hydrologic
and hydraulic modeling difficult. Within the most recent data revolution, the
availability of remotely sensed data for land use/land cover (LULC), flood mapping,
and precipitation estimates has increased, however, flood mapping in urban areas of
LDC is still limited due to low resolution of remotely sensed data (LULC, soil
properties, and terrain), cloud cover, and the lack of field data for model
calibration. This study utilizes remotely sensed precipitation, LULC, soil
properties, and digital elevation model data to estimate peak discharge and map
simulated flood extents of urban rivers in ungauged watersheds for current and
future LULC scenarios. A normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) analysis was
proposed to predict a future LULC. Additionally, return period precipitation events
were calculated using the theoretical extreme value distribution approach with two
remotely sensed precipitation datasets. Three calculation methods for peak
discharge (curve number and lag method, curve number and graphical TR-55 method,
and the rational equation) were performed and compared to a separate Soil and Water
Assessment Tool (SWAT) analysis to determine the method that best represents urban
rivers. HEC-RAS was then used to map the simulated flood extents from the peak
discharges and ArcGIS helped to determine infrastructure and population affected by
the floods. Finally, the simulated flood extents from HEC-RAS were compared to
historic flood event points, images of flood events, and global surface water
maximum water extent data. This analysis indicates that where field data are
absent, remotely sensed monthly precipitation data from Integrated Multi-satellitE
Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) where GPM is the Global Precipitation Mission can be
used with the curve number and lag method to approximate peak discharges and input
into HEC-RAS to represent the simulated flood extents experienced. This work
contains a case study for seven urban rivers in Freetown, Sierra Leone.
C1 [Cotugno, Angela; Smith, Virginia] Villanova Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
Villanova, PA 19085 USA.
[Baker, Tracy] Nat Conservancy Africa Program, Highland, NY 12528 USA.
[Srinivasan, Raghavan] Texas A&M Agrilife Res, Blackland Res & Extens Ctr,
Temple, TX 76502 USA.
[Srinivasan, Raghavan] Texas A&M Agrilife Res, Dept Ecol & Conservat Biol,
Temple, TX 76502 USA.
[Srinivasan, Raghavan] Texas A&M Univ, Temple, TX 76502 USA.
C3 Villanova University; Texas A&M University System; Texas A&M University
College Station; Texas A&M AgriLife Research; Texas A&M University
System; Texas A&M University College Station; Texas A&M AgriLife
Research; Texas A&M University System
RP Smith, V (corresponding author), Villanova Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
Villanova, PA 19085 USA.
EM acotugn1@villanova.edu; virginia.smith@villanova.edu;
tracy.baker@TNC.org; srinivasan@tamu.edu
OI Smith, Virginia/0000-0002-5640-8692
FU Catholic Relief Services for the development of a Water Fund; Villanova
University College of Engineering Department of Civil and Environmental
Engineering
FX This research was funded by Catholic Relief Services for the development
of a Water Fund for the Peninsula in partnership with The Nature
Conservancy and the Villanova University College of Engineering
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering as well as
contributions from an anonymous donor.
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NR 107
TC 4
Z9 4
U1 1
U2 18
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2072-4292
JI Remote Sens.
PD OCT
PY 2021
VL 13
IS 19
AR 3806
DI 10.3390/rs13193806
PG 21
(SSCI)
GA WI2YM
UT WOS:000708232400001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Creach, A
Bastidas-Arteaga, E
Pardo, S
Mercier, D
AF Creach, Axel
Bastidas-Arteaga, Emilio
Pardo, Sophie
Mercier, Denis
TI Vulnerability and costs of adaptation strategies for housing subjected
to flood risks: Application to La Gueriniere France
SO MARINE POLICY
LA English
DT Article
DE Xynthia; Coastal flood; Human vulnerability; Residential houses; Climate
change; Adaptation strategies; Economic assessment
ID SEA-LEVEL RISE; STORM XYNTHIA; LIFE; LESSONS; POLICY; SURGES
AB Coastal flooding along the Atlantic coast caused by Storm Xynthia killed 41
people. The location and configuration of residential housing were the main factors
affecting the vulnerability of people to flooding. The French government responded
by destroying buildings in the most flood-prone areas and relocating residents to
safer areas. This strategy attracted much criticism, in particular because of the
high costs involved with demolition on this scale, and that not insufficient
consideration was given to other possible solutions. In this study, the goal is to
compare different adaptation strategies in terms of cost of implementation and
efficiency in order to reduce the vulnerability of houses to flooding. The
strategies are grouped based on: (i) protection, (ii) relocation, (iii) housing
architectural adaptation, and (iv) preventive warning and evacuation. This work is
applied to La Gueriniere, an Atlantic coastal town at risk of coastal flooding,
although it was not impacted by Storm Xynthia. The initial results show that the
most efficient strategy to reduce housing vulnerability to coastal flooding is also
the most expensive. Ranked from the most to the least efficient and expensive, the
strategies are as follows: (i) relocation, (ii) housing architectural adaptation,
(iii) protection, (iv) and preventive warning and evacuation. Until now, these
strategies have been limited as they omit human behaviour in response to coastal
flooding scenarios. Therefore, this study examines the role of human behaviour in
relation to different mitigative strategies. The efficiency and costs of the
strategies are then reappraised.
C1 [Creach, Axel; Mercier, Denis] Sorbonne Univ, Lab ENeC, UFR Geog & Amenagement,
CNRS,UMR 8185, 191 Rue St Jacques, F-75005 Paris, France.
[Bastidas-Arteaga, Emilio] Univ Nantes, Inst Rech Genie Civil & Mecan GeM, UMR
6183, CNRS, Nantes, France.
[Pardo, Sophie] Univ Nantes, Inst Econ & Management Nantes, Nantes, France.
C3 4EU+; UDICE-French Research Universities; Sorbonne Universite; Centre
National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); CNRS - Institute for
Humanities & Social Sciences (INSHS); Centre National de la Recherche
Scientifique (CNRS); CNRS - Institute for Engineering & Systems Sciences
(INSIS); Nantes Universite; Nantes Universite
RP Creach, A (corresponding author), Sorbonne Univ, Lab ENeC, UFR Geog &
Amenagement, CNRS,UMR 8185, 191 Rue St Jacques, F-75005 Paris, France.
EM axel.creach@sorbonne-universite.fr; emilio.bastidas@univ-nantes.fr;
sophie.pardo@univ-nantes.fr; denis.mercier@sorbonne-universite.fr
RI Pardo, Sophie/AHA-6091-2022; Bastidas-Arteaga, Emilio/A-6090-2012
OI Pardo, Sophie/0000-0002-9839-4946; Bastidas-Arteaga,
Emilio/0000-0002-7370-5218; Creach, Axel/0000-0002-6444-735X; Mercier,
Denis/0000-0003-2325-1390
FU COSELMAR research program - Regional Council of Pays de la Loire
FX This work was supported by COSELMAR research program, funded by the
Regional Council of Pays de la Loire.
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PY 2020
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PG 13
WC Environmental Studies; International Relations
SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology; International Relations
GA LZ5KQ
UT WOS:000541263200002
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Lim, HR
Lim, MBB
Rojas, AWM
AF Lim, Hector R., Jr.
Lim, Ma Bernadeth B.
Rojas, Ann Wendy M.
TI Towards modelling of evacuation behavior and planning for emergency
logistics due to the Philippine Taal Volcanic eruption in 2020
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DT Article
DE Correlation analysis; Departure timing; Destination choice; Mode choice;
Emergency planning
ID HURRICANE-EVACUATION; DECISION-MAKING; CHOICE; HOUSEHOLDS; DETERMINANTS;
UNDERSTAND; LUZON; AREA
AB Emergency evacuation is the immediate escape of people away from a place of an
imminent threat to a place of safety. The ability of the households to evacuate is
a crucial component in reducing disaster risks. Logistical issues such as a lack of
resources during and after the evacuation, as well as road congestion, might arise,
especially in short and no-notice calamities such as a volcanic eruption. This
study examines the relationship of variables of evacuation logistics of Barangay
Banga, Talisay, Batangas, in the context of the 2020 Taal Volcanic eruption. A
survey was conducted based on the evacuation experience of the households at the
onset of the eruption. First, a descriptive statistical analysis was performed for
all the variables on household evacuation logistics to understand the evacuation
behavior of households. These variables include the type of evacuation, departure
timing, evacuation mode, and destination type choice. Additionally, a pairwise
correlaton analysis was employed to identify the influential factors related to
household evacuation logistics such as socio-demographic and household
characteristics, their experience with Taal Volcano's recurring activities and
relationship with other evacuation-related decisions. The results of this study aim
to provide insights into a better understanding of the evacuation behavior of
households in the context of a volcanic eruption and be useful in the evacuation
logistics planning of the country.
C1 [Lim, Hector R., Jr.; Lim, Ma Bernadeth B.] Univ Philippines Los Banos, Coll
Engn & Agroind Technol, Laguna, Philippines.
[Rojas, Ann Wendy M.] Univ Philippines Los Banos, Coll Econ & Management,
Laguna, Philippines.
C3 University of the Philippines System; University of the Philippines Los
Banos; University of the Philippines System; University of the
Philippines Los Banos
RP Lim, MBB (corresponding author), Univ Philippines Los Banos, Coll Engn & Agroind
Technol, Laguna, Philippines.
EM hrlim@up.edu.ph; mblim4@up.edu.ph; amrojas@up.edu.ph
FU University of the Philippines System Enhanced Creative Work and Research
Grant [ECWRG-2020-226R]
FX This study was funded by the University of the Philippines System
Enhanced Creative Work and Research Grant (ECWRG-2020-226R).
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NR 73
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 3
U2 26
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 0921-030X
EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
PD OCT
PY 2022
VL 114
IS 1
BP 553
EP 581
DI 10.1007/s11069-022-05401-z
EA JUN 2022
PG 29
Water Resources
GA 4X4VL
UT WOS:000804537100001
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Ahmadi, C
Karampourian, A
Samarghandi, MR
AF Ahmadi, Changiz
Karampourian, Arezou
Samarghandi, Mohammad Reza
TI Explain the challenges of evacuation in floods based on the views of
citizens and executive managers
SO HELIYON
LA English
DT Article
DE Natural disasters; Floods; Disaster medicine; Qualitative research
ID PREPAREDNESS; FATALITIES; HOSPITALS
AB Background: Flood is one of the natural hazards that causes a lot of human and
financial losses. Emergency evacuation in the response phase is necessary to reduce
damage. The present study was conducted to explain the challenges related to
evacuation in floods based on the views of citizens and executive managers.
Materials and methods: In this study, a qualitative research method with a
contractual content analysis approach was used. 27 participants including 10
citizens and 17 executive managers were included in the study by pur-posive
sampling. Semi-structured interviews were used to collect data. In order to have
confidence the validity of the results, rigor was certified by using the guidelines
suggested by Guba and Lincoln for making trustworthiness. The duration of the
interview was between 45 min and 60 min. The interviews were handwritten by line-
by-line content analysis and then analyzed. Results: Data analysis led to the
extraction of 6 main categories with 14 sub-categories including: lack of primary
warning system (with 2 sub-categories, lack of national early warning system and
lack of attention to early warning), insufficient resources (with 4 sub-categories,
lack of equipment, lack of manpower Human resources, inadequate allocation of
financial resources and lack of information resources), problems related to unpre-
paredness (having 2 sub-categories, lack of pre-determined program and lack of
attention to public education), problems related to emergency housing (having 2
sub-categories, lack of housing program and lack of attention to indigenous culture
in housing), lack of risk perception (has 2 sub-categories of people's belief in
floods and of-ficials' belief in flood) and problems related to lack of
coordination (has 2 sub-categories of internal disharmony and external disharmony).
Conclusion: To increase evacuation, it is necessary to identify the relevant
challenges. Establishing an early warning system and evacuation plan, supply of
resources, and increase risk perception and coordination can increase the speed of
evacuation and reduce the financial and human losses caused by floods.
C1 [Ahmadi, Changiz] Hamadan Univ Med Sci, Hamadan, Iran.
[Karampourian, Arezou] Hamadan Univ Med Sci, Urol & Nephrol Res Ctr, Chron Dis
Home Care Res Ctr, Sch Nursing & Midwifery, Hamadan, Iran.
[Samarghandi, Mohammad Reza] Hamadan Univ Med Sci, Hamadan, Iran.
C3 Hamadan University of Medical Sciences; Hamadan University of Medical
Sciences; Hamadan University of Medical Sciences
RP Karampourian, A (corresponding author), Hamadan Univ Med Sci, Urol & Nephrol Res
Ctr, Chron Dis Home Care Res Ctr, Sch Nursing & Midwifery, Hamadan, Iran.
EM a.karampourian@umsha.ac.ir
RI Samarghandi, Mohammad Reza/V-8494-2017; Karampourian, Arezo/G-2080-2017
OI Samarghandi, Mohammad Reza/0000-0001-9145-1656; Karampourian,
Arezo/0000-0001-5351-3596
FU Hamadan University of Medical Sciences; [IRUMSHA.REC.1400.039]
FX Funding statement Changiz Ahmadi was supported by Hamadan University of
Medical Sciences [IRUMSHA.REC.1400.039] .
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NR 48
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 3
U2 6
PU CELL PRESS
PI CAMBRIDGE
PA 50 HAMPSHIRE ST, FLOOR 5, CAMBRIDGE, MA 02139 USA
EI 2405-8440
J9 HELIYON
JI Heliyon
PD SEP
PY 2022
VL 8
IS 9
AR e10759
DI 10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e10759
EA SEP 2022
PG 7
GA 5F6IK
UT WOS:000866417100010
PM 36193530
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Chau, KW
Wu, CL
Li, YS
AF Chau, KW
Wu, CL
Li, YS
TI Comparison of several flood forecasting models in Yangtze river
SO JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGIC ENGINEERING
LA English
DT Article
ID OPERATING RULES; FUZZY
AB In a flood-prone region, quick and accurate flood forecasting is imperative. It
can extend the lead time for issuing disaster warnings and allow sufficient time
for habitants in hazardous areas to take appropriate action, such as evacuation. In
this paper, two hybrid models based on recent artificial intelligence technology,
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adaptive-network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), are employed for flood
forecasting in a channel reach of the Yangtze River in China. An empirical linear
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levels at the upstream station, Luo-Shan. When cautious treatment is made to avoid
overfitting, both hybrid algorithms produce better accuracy in performance than the
linear regression model. The ANFIS model is found to be optimal, but it entails a
large number of parameters. The performance of the ANN-GA model is also good, yet
it requires longer computation time and additional modeling parameters.
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China.
Changjiang Water Resources Commiss, Wuhan 430010, Peoples R China.
C3 Hong Kong Polytechnic University
RP Chau, KW (corresponding author), Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Dept Civil & Struct
Engn, Hung HOm, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R China.
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NR 24
TC 262
Z9 266
U1 0
U2 91
PI RESTON
SN 1084-0699
EI 1943-5584
J9 J HYDROL ENG
JI J. Hydrol. Eng.
PD NOV-DEC
PY 2005
VL 10
IS 6
BP 485
EP 491
DI 10.1061/(ASCE)1084-0699(2005)10:6(485)
PG 7
WC Engineering, Civil; Environmental Sciences; Water Resources
GA 976TU
UT WOS:000232757100006
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Deng, HF
Aldrich, DP
Danziger, MM
Gao, JX
Phillips, NE
Cornelius, SP
Wang, QR
AF Deng, Hengfang
Aldrich, Daniel P.
Danziger, Michael M.
Gao, Jianxi
Phillips, Nolan E.
Cornelius, Sean P.
Wang, Qi Ryan
TI High-resolution human mobility data reveal race and wealth disparities
in disaster evacuation patterns
SO HUMANITIES & SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS
LA English
DT Article
ID RESILIENCE
AB Major disasters such as extreme weather events can magnify and exacerbate pre-
existing social disparities, with disadvantaged populations bearing
disproportionate costs. Despite the implications for equity and emergency planning,
we lack a quantitative understanding of how these social fault lines translate to
different behaviours in large-scale emergency contexts. Here we investigate this
problem in the context of Hurricane Harvey, using over 30 million anonymized GPS
records from over 150,000 opted-in users in the Greater Houston Area to quantify
patterns of disaster-inflicted relocation activities before, during, and after the
shock. We show that evacuation distance is highly homogenous across individuals
from different types of neighbourhoods classified by race and wealth, obeying a
truncated power-law distribution. Yet here the similarities end: we find that both
race and wealth strongly impact evacuation patterns, with disadvantaged minority
populations less likely to evacuate than wealthier white residents. Finally, there
are considerable discrepancies in terms of departure and return times by race and
wealth, with strong social cohesion among evacuees from advantaged neighbourhoods
in their destination choices. These empirical findings bring new insights into
mobility and evacuations, providing policy recommendations for residents, decision-
makers, and disaster managers alike.
C1 [Deng, Hengfang; Wang, Qi Ryan] Northeastern Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
[Aldrich, Daniel P.] Northeastern Univ, Dept Polit Sci, Boston, MA 02115 USA.
[Danziger, Michael M.] Northeastern Univ, Network Sci Inst, Boston, MA 02115
USA.
[Gao, Jianxi] Rensselaer Polytech Inst, Dept Comp Sci, Troy, NY 12180 USA.
[Phillips, Nolan E.] Harvard Univ, Dept Sociol, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA.
[Phillips, Nolan E.] Accenture, Arlington, VA USA.
[Cornelius, Sean P.] Ryerson Univ, Dept Phys, Toronto, ON, Canada.
C3 Northeastern University; Northeastern University; Northeastern
University; Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute; Harvard University;
Toronto Metropolitan University
RP Wang, QR (corresponding author), Northeastern Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
Boston, MA 02115 USA.; Cornelius, SP (corresponding author), Ryerson Univ, Dept
Phys, Toronto, ON, Canada.
EM cornelius@ryerson.ca; q.wang@northeastern.edu
RI Gao, Jianxi/I-1300-2013; Danziger, Michael M/B-8705-2017; Deng,
Hengfang/HHS-7369-2022
OI Gao, Jianxi/0000-0002-3952-208X; Danziger, Michael
M/0000-0002-2674-0109; Deng, Hengfang/0000-0001-8083-8441; Wang,
Qi/0000-0001-6804-1173; Aldrich, Daniel/0000-0002-4150-995X
FU National Science Foundation (NSF) [1735505, 1761950]; Rensselaer-IBM AI
Research Collaboration; National Science Foundation [2047488]; Direct
For Computer & Info Scie & Enginr; Div Of Information & Intelligent
Systems [2047488] Funding Source: National Science Foundation; Divn Of
Social and Economic Sciences; Direct For Social, Behav & Economic Scie
[1735505] Funding Source: National Science Foundation; Div Of Civil,
Mechanical, & Manufact Inn; Directorate For Engineering [1761950]
FX The team acknowledges the support from the National Science Foundation
(NSF 1735505 and 1761950). J.G. also acknowledges the support of
National Science Foundation under Grant No. 2047488, and the
Rensselaer-IBM AI Research Collaboration.
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NR 45
TC 16
Z9 16
U1 1
U2 9
PU SPRINGERNATURE
PI LONDON
PA CAMPUS, 4 CRINAN ST, LONDON, N1 9XW, ENGLAND
EI 2662-9992
J9 HUM SOC SCI COMMUN
JI Hum. Soc. Sci. Commun.
PD JUN 15
PY 2021
VL 8
IS 1
AR 144
DI 10.1057/s41599-021-00824-8
PG 8
WC Humanities, Multidisciplinary; Social Sciences, Interdisciplinary
WE Social Science Citation Index (SSCI); Arts & Humanities Citation Index
(A&HCI)
SC Arts & Humanities - Other Topics; Social Sciences - Other Topics
GA SV3BZ
UT WOS:000663699200002
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Bilskie, MV
Asher, TG
Miller, PW
Fleming, JG
Hagen, SC
Luettich, RA
AF Bilskie, M. V.
Asher, T. G.
Miller, P. W.
Fleming, J. G.
Hagen, S. C.
Luettich Jr., R. A.
TI Real-Time Simulated Storm Surge Predictions during Hurricane Michael
(2018)
LA English
DT Article
DE Forecast pdfs; skill; Hindcasts; Operational forecasting; Model errors;
Model evaluation; performance; Ocean models
ID SHALLOW-WATER; EVACUATION DECISIONS; MODEL; SCALE; WAVES; ATLANTIC;
TIDES; SWAN
AB Storm surge caused by tropical cyclones can cause overland flooding and lead to
loss of life while damaging homes, businesses, and critical infrastructure. In
2018, Hurricane Michael made landfall near Mexico Beach, Florida, on 10 October
with peak wind speeds near 71.9 m s(-1) (161 mph) and storm surge over 4.5 m
NAVD88. During Hurricane Michael, water levels and waves were predicted near-real
time using a deterministic, depth-averaged, high-resolution ADCIRC+SWAN model of
the northern Gulf of Mexico. The model was forced with an asymmetrical parametric
vortex model [generalized asymmetric Holland model (GAHM)] based on Michael's
National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecast track and strength. The authors report
errors between simulated and observed water level time series, peak water level,
and timing of peak for NHC advisories. Forecasts of water levels were within 0.5 m
of observations, and the timing of peak water levels was within 1 h as early as 48
h before Michael's eventual landfall. We also examined the effect of adding far-
field meteorology in our TC vortex model for use in real-time forecasts. In
general, we found that including far-field meteorology by blending the TC vortex
with a basin-scale NWP product improved water level forecasts. However, we note
that divergence between the NHC forecast track and the forecast track of the
meteorological model supplying the far-field winds represents a potential
limitation to operationalizing a blended wind field surge product. The approaches
and data reported herein provide a transparent assessment of water level forecasts
during Hurricane Michael and highlight potential future improvements for more
accurate predictions.
C1 [Bilskie, M. V.] Univ Georgia, Sch Environm Civil Agr & Mech Engn, Athens,
Georgia.
[Asher, T. G.; Luettich Jr., R. A.] Univ North Carolina Chapel Hill, Dept Marine
Sci, Chapel Hill, NC USA.
[Miller, P. W.] Louisiana State Univ, Coll Coast & Environm, Baton Rouge, LA
USA.
[Fleming, J. G.] Scimaritan, Baton Rouge, LA USA.
[Hagen, S. C.] Louisiana State Univ, Ctr Coastal Resiliency, Baton Rouge, LA
USA.
[Hagen, S. C.] Louisiana State Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Baton Rouge, LA
USA.
[Hagen, S. C.] Louisiana State Univ, Ctr Computat & Technol, Baton Rouge, LA
USA.
C3 University of North Carolina; University of North Carolina Chapel Hill;
University of North Carolina School of Medicine; Louisiana State
University System; Louisiana State University; Louisiana State
University System; Louisiana State University
RP Bilskie, MV (corresponding author), Univ Georgia, Sch Environm Civil Agr & Mech
Engn, Athens, Georgia.
EM mbilskie@uga.edu
OI Bilskie, Matthew/0000-0002-7697-7403; Miller, Paul/0000-0002-0512-8295
FU U.S. Department of Homeland Security [2015-ST-061-ND0001-01]; National
Oceanic Partnership Program Award [5120731]; National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Ecological Effects of Sea Level Rise
(EESLR) Program [NA10NOS4780146, NA16NOS4780208]; Louisiana Sea Grant
Laborde Chair
FX This material is based upon work supported by the U.S. Department of
Homeland Security under Grant Award 2015-ST-061-ND0001-01 and the
National Oceanic Partnership Program Award 5120731. The views and
conclusions contained in this document are those of the authors and
should not be interpreted as necessarily representing the official
policies, either expressed or implied, of the U.S Department of Homeland
Security. This research was also funded in part under the National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Ecological Effects of Sea
Level Rise (EESLR) Program (Awards NA10NOS4780146 and NA16NOS4780208),
and the Louisiana Sea Grant Laborde Chair. This work used High
Performance Computing at the University of Georgia's (UGA) Georgia
Advanced Computing Research Center, Louisiana State University (LSU),
and the Louisiana Optical Network Initiative (LONI). The statements and
conclusions are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the
views of DHS, NOAA, Louisiana Sea Grant, UGA, LSU, or LONI. The authors
also wish to thank the three anonymous reviewers for their invaluable
input into this manuscript.
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NR 81
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 3
U2 6
PI BOSTON
SN 0882-8156
EI 1520-0434
J9 WEATHER FORECAST
PD JUL
PY 2022
VL 37
IS 7
BP 1085
EP 1102
DI 10.1175/WAF-D-21-0132.1
PG 18
GA 4X7HZ
UT WOS:000861010100001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Valois, P
Caron, M
Gousse-Lessard, AS
Talbot, D
Renaud, JS
AF Valois, Pierre
Caron, Maxime
Gousse-Lessard, Anne-Sophie
Talbot, Denis
Renaud, Jean-Sebastien
TI Development and validation of five behavioral indices of flood
adaptation
SO BMC PUBLIC HEALTH
LA English
DT Article
DE Adaptation; Climate change; Index; Validation; Flooding
ID HEALTH IMPACTS; SOCIAL VULNERABILITY
AB Background: In the current context of climate change, climate forecasts for the
province of Quebec (Canada) are a lengthening of the thunderstorm season and an
increase in episodes of intense precipitations. These changes in the distribution
of precipitations could heighten the intensity or frequency of floods, a natural
hazard that concerns 80% of Quebec's riverside municipalities. For the health and
safety of the at-risk population, it is very important to make sure they have
acquired necessary adaptive behaviors against flooding hazard. However, there has
been no assessment of these flood adaptation behaviors to date. Thus, the aim of
this study was to develop and validate five indices of adaptation to flooding.
Methods: A sample of 1951 adults completed a questionnaire by phone. The
questionnaire, specifically developed for this study, measured whether they did or
did not adopt the behaviors that are proposed by public health officials to protect
themselves against flooding.
Results: The results of the item, confirmatory factor, and multiple
correspondence analyses contributed to the development of five indices
corresponding to the adaptation behaviors to adopt according to the chronology of
events: (a) pre-alert preventive behaviors, (b) behaviors to carry out after the
alert is issued, (c) behaviors to adopt during a flood not requiring evacuation,
(d) behaviors to adopt during a flood requiring evacuation, and (e) post-flood
behaviors. The results of this study also showed that people who perceive a risk of
flooding in their home in the next 5 years tend to adopt more preventive behaviors
and adaptation behaviors than those who perceive little or no risk at all. They
also reveal that people who feel more adverse effects on their physical or mental
health tend to adopt more adaptive behaviors than those who feel little or no
adverse effects on their health.
Conclusion: Across a series of psychometric analyses, the results showed that
these flood adaptation indices could properly measure a vast range of adaptive
behaviors according to the chronology of events. Therefore, researchers, public
health agencies, and professionals can use them to monitor the evolution of
individuals' adaptive behaviors during floods.
C1 [Valois, Pierre; Caron, Maxime; Gousse-Lessard, Anne-Sophie] Univ Laval, Fac
Educ, 2320 Rue Bibliotheques, Quebec City, PQ G1V 0A6, Canada.
[Talbot, Denis; Renaud, Jean-Sebastien] Univ Laval, Fac Med, 1050 Ave Med,
Quebec City, PQ G1V 0A6, Canada.
C3 Laval University; Laval University
RP Valois, P (corresponding author), Univ Laval, Fac Educ, 2320 Rue Bibliotheques,
EM pierre.valois@fse.ulaval.ca
OI Talbot, Denis/0000-0003-0431-3314; Valois, Pierre/0000-0002-9565-0895
FU Green Fund of the Quebec government (QC, Canada)
FX This research was supported by the Green Fund of the Quebec government
(QC, Canada) as part of the 2013-2020 Climate Change Action Plan
(http://www.mddelcc.gouv.qc.ca/cgfv/programmes.htm). The funders had no
role in the study design, data collection and analysis, decision to
publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
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NR 47
TC 11
Z9 11
U1 1
U2 14
PU BMC
PI LONDON
PA CAMPUS, 4 CRINAN ST, LONDON N1 9XW, ENGLAND
EI 1471-2458
J9 BMC PUBLIC HEALTH
JI BMC Public Health
PD FEB 28
PY 2019
VL 19
AR 245
DI 10.1186/s12889-019-6564-0
PG 17
(SSCI)
GA HN2UT
UT WOS:000460041100008
PM 30819122
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Tu, HW
Wang, XK
Zhang, WS
Peng, H
Ke, Q
Chen, XM
AF Tu, Huawei
Wang, Xiekang
Zhang, Wanshun
Peng, Hong
Ke, Qian
Chen, Xiaomin
TI Flash Flood Early Warning Coupled with Hydrological Simulation and the
Rising Rate of the Flood Stage in a Mountainous Small Watershed in
Sichuan Province, China
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE flash floods; early warning indicators; HEC-HMS model; small watershed;
mountainous area
ID HEC-HMS; RAINFALL; MODEL; CATCHMENTS; RUNOFF; BASIN; INTERPOLATION;
SYSTEM; STATE
AB Flash floods in mountainous areas have become more severe and frequent as a
result of climate change and are a threat to public safety and social development.
This study explores the application of distributed hydrological models in flash
floods risk management in a small watershed in Sichuan Province, China, and aims to
increase early warning lead time in mountainous areas. The Hydrologic Engineering
Center's Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) model was used to simulate the flash
flood process and analyze the variation in flood hydrographs. First, the HEC-HMS
model was established based on geospatial data and the river network shape, and
eight heavy rainfall events from 2010 to 2015 were used for model calibration and
validation, showing that the HEC-HMS model was effective for the simulation of
mountain floods in the study area. Second, with the assumption that rainfall and
flood events have the same frequency, the flood hydrographs with different
frequencies (p = 1%, 2%, 5%, and 10%) were calculated by the HEC-HMS model. The
rising limbs of the flood hydrographs were significantly different and can be
divided into three parts (0-5 h, 6-10 h, and 11-15 h). The rising rate of the flood
stage for each part of the flood hydrograph increases in multiples. According to
the analysis of the flood hydrographs, two critical early warning indicators with
an invention patent were determined in the study: the flood stage for immediate
evacuation and the rising rate. The application of the indicators in the study
shows that it is feasible to advance the time of issuing an early warning signal,
and it is expected that the indicators can offer a reference for flash flood early
warning in the study area and other small watersheds in mountainous areas.
C1 [Tu, Huawei; Peng, Hong] Wuhan Univ, Sch Water Resources & Hydropower Engn,
State Key Lab Water Resources & Hydropower Engn S, Wuhan 430072, Peoples R China.
[Wang, Xiekang] Sichuan Univ, State Key Lab Hydraul & Mt River Engn, Chengdu
610065, Sichuan, Peoples R China.
[Zhang, Wanshun; Chen, Xiaomin] Wuhan Univ, Sch Resource & Environm Sci, Wuhan
[Ke, Qian] Delft Univ Technol, Fac Civil Engn & Geosci, Dept Hydraul Engn, NL-
2628 CN Delft, Netherlands.
C3 Wuhan University; Sichuan University; Wuhan University; Delft University
of Technology
RP Peng, H (corresponding author), Wuhan Univ, Sch Water Resources & Hydropower
Engn, State Key Lab Water Resources & Hydropower Engn S, Wuhan 430072, Peoples R
China.
EM thw_whu@whu.edu.cn; wangxiekang@scu.edu.cn; wszhang@whu.edu.cn;
hongpeng@whu.edu.cn; Q.ke@tudelft.nl; xiaominchen@whu.edu.cn
RI chen, xin/IQW-3432-2023; chen, xi/GXH-3653-2022; chen,
xia/GXM-5435-2022; chen, xia/GYR-3948-2022
OI Ke, Qian/0000-0002-3111-994X
FU National Key Research and Development Program of China [2017YFC1502504];
National Natural Science Foundation of China [41877531]
FX This research was funded by the National Key Research and Development
Program of China (No. 2017YFC1502504) and the National Natural Science
Foundation of China (Grant No. 41877531).
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NR 38
TC 11
Z9 13
U1 18
U2 44
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD JAN
PY 2020
VL 12
IS 1
AR 255
DI 10.3390/w12010255
PG 17
GA KU6TM
UT WOS:000519847200255
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Platt, SL
Ranasinghe, G
Jayathilaka, HADGS
Jayasinghe, C
Jayasinghe, MTR
Walker, P
Maskell, D
AF Platt, Shawn L.
Ranasinghe, Gihan
Jayathilaka, H. A. D. G. S.
Jayasinghe, C.
Jayasinghe, M. T. R.
Walker, Pete
Maskell, Daniel
TI Retrofitting and rehabilitation of vernacular housing in flood prone
areas in Sri Lanka
SO JOURNAL OF BUILDING ENGINEERING
LA English
DT Article
DE Cement block; Fired clay brick; Masonry; Refuge; Resilience
ID MASONRY; BEHAVIOR
AB This paper presents findings from an investigation into applications to improve
the structural resilience and safety of low-rise vernacular masonry homes when
subject to extreme flooding. In 2016 and 2017 flooding brought devastation
throughout many areas in Sri Lanka. Findings from field investigations to evaluate,
characterize, and quantify the extent and nature of structural damage to low rise
vernacular masonry houses from these flood events are presented. Low cost solutions
were developed to enhance the flexural capacity of masonry walls using reinforced
plasters. Single storey homes in rural areas are particularly at risk from rapid
flood events, and limited evacuation opportunities require a means of in-situ
refuge. Focusing on these risks, a unique retrofitting project, including an
elevated refuge area for occupants to escape and shelter during flood events, is
also presented. This research will directly improve the welfare of vulnerable
communities living in flood risk areas, minimizing the risk of flood induced
structural failure, while enabling people to safely remain in their homes.
C1 [Platt, Shawn L.; Walker, Pete; Maskell, Daniel] Univ Bath, BRE Ctr Innovat
Construct Mat, Bath BA2 7AY, Avon, England.
[Ranasinghe, Gihan; Jayathilaka, H. A. D. G. S.; Jayasinghe, C.; Jayasinghe, M.
T. R.] Univ Moratuwa, Dept Civil Engn, Moratuwa, Sri Lanka.
C3 University of Bath; University Moratuwa
RP Platt, SL (corresponding author), Univ Bath, BRE Ctr Innovat Construct Mat, Bath
BA2 7AY, Avon, England.
EM S.L.Platt@bath.ac.uk; gihanb93@gmail.com; gaindusaranga@gmail.com;
chintha@uom.lk; thishan@uom.lk; p.walker@bath.ac.uk;
d.maskell@bath.ac.uk
RI Ranasinghe, Gihan/HMV-5276-2023
OI Platt, Shawn/0000-0003-1837-4572; Maskell, Daniel/0000-0002-0324-3329;
Jayathilaka, Gaindu/0000-0001-7886-2952
FU Royal Society [CHG\R1\170062]
FX The authors wish to thank the Royal Society (Challenge Grants 2017.
Project CHG\R1\170062: Safer communities with hydrometeorological
disaster resilient houses) for their support. In addition, the authors
all thank: The National Building Research Organisation (NBRO) ; National
Housing Development Authority; University of Moratuwa.
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British Standards, 2011, BS BREED SCI, P772
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in Hurricane Engineering. Learning from Our Past, P34
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Papanicolaou C, 2011, CONSTR BUILD MATER, V25, P504, DOI
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10.13140/RG.2.2.36062.13122]
NR 25
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 4
U2 9
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
EI 2352-7102
J9 J BUILD ENG
JI J. Build. Eng.
PD SEP
PY 2021
VL 41
AR 102420
DI 10.1016/j.jobe.2021.102420
EA MAR 2021
PG 13
GA SV1EP
UT WOS:000663568800002
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Festa, N
Throgmorton, KF
Heaphy, N
Canavan, M
Gill, TM
AF Festa, Natalia
Throgmorton, Kaitlin F.
Heaphy, Nora
Canavan, Maureen
Gill, Thomas M.
TI Association of Nursing Home Exposure to Hurricane-Related Inundation
With Emergency Preparedness
LA English
DT Article
ID RISK; EVACUATION; KATRINA
AB IMPORTANCE Whether US nursing homes are well prepared for exposure to hurricane-
related inundation is uncertain.
OBJECTIVES To estimate the prevalence of nursing homes exposed to hurricane-
related inundation and evaluate whether exposed facilities are more likely to meet
Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) emergency preparedness standards.
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS This cross-sectional study included CMS-
certified nursing homes in Coastal Atlantic and Gulf Coast states from January 1,
2017, to December 31, 2019. The prevalence of facilities exposed to at least 2 feet
of hurricane-related inundation used models from the National Hurricane Center
across coastal areas overseen by 5 CMS regional offices: New England, New York
metropolitan area, Mid-Atlantic region, Southeast and Eastern Gulf Coast, and
Western Gulf Coast. Critical emergency preparedness deficiencies cited during CMS
life safety code inspections were identified.
MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES The analysis used generalized estimating equations
with binomial and negative binomial distributions to evaluate associations between
exposure status and the presence and number of critical emergency preparedness
deficiencies. Regionally stratified associations (odds ratios [ORs]) and rate
ratios [RRs]) with 95% CIs, adjusted for state-level fixed effects and nursing home
characteristics, were reported.
RESULTS Of 5914 nursing homes, 617 (10.4%) were at risk of inundation exposure,
and 1763 (29.8%) had a critical emergency preparedness deficiency. Exposed
facilities were less likely to be rural, were larger, and had similar CMS health
inspection, quality, and staffing ratings compared with unexposed facilities.
Exposure was positively associated with the presence and number of emergency
preparedness deficiencies for the nursing homes within the Mid-Atlantic region
(adjusted OR, 1.91 [95% CI, 1.15-3.20]; adjusted RR, 2.51 [95% CI, 1.41-4.47]).
Conversely, exposure was negatively associated with the number of emergency
preparedness deficiencies among facilities within the Western Gulf Coast (aRR, 0.55
[95% CI, 0.36-0.86]). The associations for the number of emergency preparedness
deficiencies remained after correction for multiple comparisons.
CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE The findings of this cross-sectional study suggest
that the association between exposure to hurricane-related inundation and nursing
home emergency preparedness differs considerably across the Coastal Atlantic and
Gulf regulatory regions. These findings further suggest that there may be
opportunities to reduce regional heterogeneity and improve the alignment of nursing
home emergency preparedness with surrounding environmental risks.
C1 [Festa, Natalia] Yale Univ, Natl Clinician Scholars Program, 333 Cedar St,POB
208088, New Haven, CT 06510 USA.
[Festa, Natalia; Gill, Thomas M.] Yale Sch Med, Dept Internal Med, New Haven, CT
USA.
[Throgmorton, Kaitlin F.] Yale Univ, Sch Med, Harvey Cushing John Hay Whitney
Med Lib, New Haven, CT USA.
[Heaphy, Nora] Yale Univ, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, New Haven, CT USA.
[Canavan, Maureen] Yale Sch Med, Dept Internal Med Canc Outcomes & Publ Policy &
E, New Haven, CT USA.
C3 Yale University; Yale University; Yale University; Yale University; Yale
University
RP Festa, N (corresponding author), Yale Univ, Natl Clinician Scholars Program, 333
Cedar St,POB 208088, New Haven, CT 06510 USA.
EM natalia.festa@yale.edu
RI Festa, Natalia/GQP-7354-2022; Gill, Thomas M./H-7043-2019
OI Festa, Natalia/0000-0003-4487-6832; Gill, Thomas M./0000-0002-6450-0368;
Heaphy, Nora/0000-0002-5315-7154; Throgmorton,
Kaitlin/0000-0001-6333-5199
FU National Institute on Aging [T32 AG019134, P30AG021342]; Clinical and
Translational Science Awards Program from the National Center for
Advancing Translational Sciences [TL1 TR001864]
FX This study was supported by training grant T32 AG019134 from the
National Institute on Aging (Dr Festa), Clinical and Translational
Science Awards Program TL1 TR001864 from the National Center for
Advancing Translational Sciences (Dr Festa), and grant P30AG021342 from
the National Institute on Aging to the Yale Claude D. Pepper Older
Americans Independence Center, where the study was performed.
CR [Anonymous], 2008, RET AG AM BUILD HLTH
[Anonymous], 2006, LOUISIANA ACT NO 540
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10.1016/j.jamda.2009.06.010
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Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, 2021, UPD GUID EM PREP APP
Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, PROV INF PROV DAT CA
Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, 2021, LIF SAF COD HLTH CAR
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Montgomery J., 2015, SHELTER PLACE PLANNI
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National Hurricane Center, 2015, WEATHER CLIM SOC, V7, P109
National Weather Service National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 2022,
SAF FLOOD
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10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.03.009
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United States Federal Emergency Management Agency, 2018, 2018 INT BUILD COD C
van Heerden IL, 2007, PUBLIC ADMIN REV, V67, P24, DOI 10.1111/j.1540-
6210.2007.00810.x
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NR 43
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 0
U2 0
PI CHICAGO
SN 2574-3805
J9 JAMA NETW OPEN
JI JAMA Netw. Open
PD JAN 6
PY 2023
VL 6
IS 1
AR e2249937
PG 12
GA 8F5LD
UT WOS:000919704000007
PM 36607635
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Chen, P
Zhang, S
Bao, JH
Zhao, HY
AF Chen, Peng
Zhang, Shuo
Bao, Jianhua
Zhao, Hongyang
TI Evaluation of evacuation difficulty of urban resident during storm
water-logging based on walking experiment
LA English
DT Article
DE difficulty; refuge; travel; water-logging disaster
AB Frequent water-logging disasters in cities are serious threats to urban
residents. When a water-logging disaster occurs, it is essential for residents to
evacuate, taking refuge to reduce losses and to ensure safety. This project studied
evacuation difficulty for residents in the Daoli District of Harbin during storm
water-logging. Starting from external factors and internal factors influencing
resident evacuation, the study screened indicators for assessing the difficulty of
evacuation during urban rainstorm water-logging, constructed an evaluation index
system and evaluation models to assess the difficulty of evacuation of residents.
Results showed that residents in the vicinity of the three streets, Xinyang Road
and Minqing Street, Zhaolin Street and Anfeng Street in the study area have
difficulty in evacuation in the case of a 5-year torrential rain disaster. Other
areas had little impact. In a 100-year torrential rain situation, it is more
difficult for residents in Stone Road Bridge, the intersection of Market Street and
Toulong Street, the intersection of Touloing Street and Zhaolin Street, the
intersection of Anfa Street and JingweiErdao Street, and Anguo Street, while other
areas were not seriously affected. The research results can provide new ideas for
the study of evacuation of residents during urban water-logging, and can also
provide decision-making basis for disaster prevention and mitigation for urban
emergency departments.
C1 [Chen, Peng; Zhang, Shuo; Bao, Jianhua; Zhao, Hongyang] Jilin Normal Univ, Coll
Tourism & Geog Sci, Siping 136000, Peoples R China.
C3 Jilin Normal University
RP Chen, P (corresponding author), Jilin Normal Univ, Coll Tourism & Geog Sci,
Siping 136000, Peoples R China.
EM pp11290@163.com
FU Project of Education Department of Jilin Province [JJKH20200428KJ];
Project of Science and Technology Department of Jilin Province
[20200403074SF]
FX Project of Education Department of Jilin Province, Grant/Award Number:
JJKH20200428KJ; Project of Science and Technology Department of Jilin
Province, Grant/Award Number: 20200403074SF
CR Chen P, 2012, INT J ENV RES PUB HE, V9, P2057, DOI 10.3390/ijerph9062057
[胡蓓蓓 Hu Beibei], 2012, [地理科学, Scientia Geographica Sinica], V32, P846
Kohei M., 2010, SEISAN KENKYU, V62, P149
Li N., 2002, J NAT DIS, V11, P113
Peng C., 2014, INT J ENV RES PUB HE, V10, P9964
Shinji I., 2002, RIVER TECH PAP, V8, P15
Shinji I., 2002, J HYDROSCI HYDRAUL E, V8, P25
Sun Y., 2007, J XINJIANG ED INSTIT, V23, P120
[解以扬 Xie Yiyang], 2005, [水科学进展, Advances in Water Science], V16, P384
Xu H., 2014, 30 YEAR TEMPORAL SPA, V4, P30
Yasuda K., 2008, J CATASTROPHOL, V2, P47
NR 13
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 4
U2 11
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 1753-318X
PD DEC
PY 2022
VL 15
IS 4
AR e12850
DI 10.1111/jfr3.12850
EA SEP 2022
PG 12
GA 6A4YC
UT WOS:000852965200001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU King, MA
Niven, AS
Beninati, W
Fang, R
Einav, S
Rubinson, L
Kissoon, N
Devereaux, AV
Christian, MD
Grissom, CK
AF King, Mary A.
Niven, Alexander S.
Beninati, William
Fang, Ray
Einav, Sharon
Rubinson, Lewis
Kissoon, Niranjan
Devereaux, Asha V.
Christian, Michael D.
Grissom, Colin K.
CA Task Force Mass Critical Care
TI Evacuation of the ICU Care of the Critically Ill and Injured During
Pandemics and Disasters: CHEST Consensus Statement
SO CHEST
LA English
DT Article
ID EXTRACORPOREAL MEMBRANE-OXYGENATION; AEROMEDICAL EVACUATION;
HURRICANE-KATRINA; LESSONS; HOSPITALS; PREPAREDNESS; HEALTH;
TRANSPORTATION; CRASH; AIR
AB BACKGROUND: Despite the high risk for patient harm during unanticipated ICU
evacuations, critical care providers receive little to no training on how to
perform safe and effective ICU evacuations. We reviewed the pertinent published
literature and off er suggestions for the critical care provider regarding ICU
evacuation. The suggestions in this article are important for all who are involved
in pandemics or disasters with multiple critically ill or injured patients,
including front-line clinicians, hospital administrators, and public health or
government officials.
METHODS: The Evacuation and Mobilization topic panel used the American College
of Chest Physicians (CHEST) Guidelines Oversight Committee's methodology to develop
seven key questions for which specific literature searches were conducted to
identify studies upon which evidence-based recommendations could be made. No
studies of sufficient quality were identified. Therefore, the panel developed
expert opinion-based suggestions using a modified Delphi process.
RESULTS: Based on current best evidence, we provide 13 suggestions outlining a
systematic approach to prepare for and execute an effective ICU evacuation during a
disaster. Interhospital and intrahospital collaboration and functional ICU
communication are critical for success. Pre-event planning and preparation are
required for a no-notice evacuation. A Critical Care Team Leader must be designated
within the Hospital Incident Command System. A three-stage ICU Evacuation Timeline,
including (1) no immediate threat, (2) evacuation threat, and (3) evacuation
implementation, should be used. Detailed suggestions on ICU evacuation, including
regional planning, evacuation drills, patient transport preparation and equipment,
patient prioritization and distribution for evacuation, patient information and
tracking, and federal and international evacuation assistance systems, are also
provided.
CONCLUSIONS: Successful ICU evacuation during a disaster requires active
preparation, participation, communication, and leadership by critical care
providers. Critical care providers have a professional obligation to become better
educated, prepared, and engaged with the processes of ICU evacuation to provide a
safe continuum of critical care during a disaster. CHEST 2014; 146(4_Suppl): e44S-
e60S
C1 [King, Mary A.] Univ Washington, Harborview Med Ctr, Seattle, WA 98104 USA.
[Niven, Alexander S.] Uniformed Serv Univ Hlth Sci, Madigan Army Med Ctr,
Tacoma, WA USA.
[Beninati, William] Univ Utah, Sch Med, Intermt Telecrit Care, Salt Lake City,
UT USA.
[Fang, Ray] Univ Maryland, Med Ctr, Baltimore, MD 21201 USA.
[Einav, Sharon] Hebrew Univ Jerusalem, Fac Med, Shaare Zedek Med Ctr, Jerusalem,
Israel.
[Rubinson, Lewis] Univ Maryland, Sch Med, R Adams Cowley Shock Trauma Ctr,
Baltimore, MD 21201 USA.
[Kissoon, Niranjan] Univ British Columbia, BC Childrens Hosp, Vancouver, BC V5Z
1M9, Canada.
[Kissoon, Niranjan] Univ British Columbia, Sunny Hill Hlth Ctr, Vancouver, BC
V5Z 1M9, Canada.
[Devereaux, Asha V.] Sharp Hosp, Coronado, CA USA.
[Christian, Michael D.] Canadian Armed Forces, Royal Canadian Med Serv, Toronto,
ON, Canada.
[Christian, Michael D.] Mt Sinai Hosp, Toronto, ON M5G 1X5, Canada.
[Grissom, Colin K.] Univ Utah, Intermt Med Ctr, Salt Lake City, UT USA.
C3 Harborview Medical Center; University of Washington; University of
Washington Seattle; Madigan Army Medical Center; Utah System of Higher
Education; University of Utah; University System of Maryland; University
of Maryland Baltimore; Hebrew University of Jerusalem; Shaare Zedek
Medical Center; University System of Maryland; University of Maryland
Baltimore; BC Childrens Hospital; University of British Columbia;
University of British Columbia; University of Toronto; Sinai Health
System Toronto; Intermountain Healthcare; Intermountain Medical Center;
Utah System of Higher Education; University of Utah
RP King, MA (corresponding author), Univ Washington, Harborview Med Ctr, Pediat
Trauma Intens Care Unit, 325 9th Ave,Box 359774, Seattle, WA 98104 USA.
EM maryking@uw.edu
RI Kissoon, Niranjan/AAC-6140-2021; Christian, Michael/AAZ-4452-2020;
Luyckx, Valerie Ann/J-9747-2019; Niven, Alexander/AAG-4198-2020;
Etienne, Mill/HNB-4383-2023; Christian, Mike/AAO-6338-2020
OI Christian, Michael/0000-0001-9644-9950; Luyckx, Valerie
Ann/0000-0001-7066-8135; Etienne, Mill/0000-0002-8086-3986; Christian,
Mike/0000-0001-9644-9950; West, T Eoin/0000-0001-5503-7204; Baez,
Amado/0000-0002-8399-9205; Lawler, James/0000-0003-3736-8485; Kissoon,
Niranjan/0000-0001-8847-9973
FU Centers of Disease Control and Prevention [1U90TP00591-01]; Department
of Health and Human Services from the Office of Preparedness of
Emergency Operations [1 - HFPEP070013-01-00]; University of
California-Davis
FX This publication was supported by the Cooperative Agreement Number
1U90TP00591-01 from the Centers of Disease Control and Prevention, and
through a research sub award agreement through the Department of Health
and Human Services [Grant 1 - HFPEP070013-01-00] from the Office of
Preparedness of Emergency Operations. In addition, this publication was
supported by a grant from the University of California-Davis.
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NR 83
TC 16
Z9 16
U1 2
U2 21
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 0012-3692
J9 CHEST
JI Chest
PD OCT
PY 2014
VL 146
IS 4
SU S
BP E44S
EP E60S
DI 10.1378/chest.14-0735
PG 17
WC Critical Care Medicine; Respiratory System
(SSCI)
SC General & Internal Medicine; Respiratory System
GA AR4RN
UT WOS:000343574100003
PM 25144509
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Koyama, N
Yamada, T
AF Koyama, Naoki
Yamada, Tadashi
TI A Proposed Simultaneous Calculation Method for Flood by River Water,
Inland Flood, and Storm Surge at Tidal Rivers of Metropolitan Cities: A
Case Study of Katabira River in Japan
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE simultaneous calculation method; flood by river water; inland flood;
storm surge; tidal river; mitigation measures; inundation; metropolitan
Japanese cities
ID CLIMATE-CHANGE; URBANIZATION; RISK
AB All metropolitan cities in Japan are located in low-lying areas that surround
ports. Accordingly, significant floods that occur in these cities will trigger the
simultaneous occurrence of flooding by river water and inland flooding. However,
existing studies have focused on the impact of flooding by river water, inland
flooding, and high tide in tidal rivers, and disaster mitigation measures focused
on detailed flooding processes in such flooding areas have not been conducted thus
far. This study focused on a tidal river, i.e., Katabira River of Yokohama city,
one of Japan's metropolitan cities, to construct a simultaneous occurrence model of
flooding by river water and inland flooding, including the impact of a high tide.
Numerical analysis was conducted using this model, and the results show that the
flooded area significantly changed from 0.004 to 0.149 km(2)according to the tide
level of the estuary. Moreover, by simultaneously solving the calculation of
flooding by river water and inland flooding, we found that there was a difference
of 50 min between the occurrences of these floods. Therefore, we found that there
is a possibility that, if evacuation is not conducted at the time of occurrence of
inland flooding, evacuation during subsequent river-water flooding may not be
possible. Based on these results, our proposed method was found to be useful for
tidal rivers of metropolitan cities.
C1 [Koyama, Naoki] Chuo Univ, Grad Sch Sci & Engn, Civil Human & Environm Engn
Course, Bunkyo Ku, 1-13-27 Kasuga, Tokyo 1128551, Japan.
[Yamada, Tadashi] Chuo Univ, Fac Sci & Engn, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Bunkyo
Ku, 1-13-27 Kasuga, Tokyo 1128551, Japan.
C3 Chuo University; Chuo University
RP Koyama, N (corresponding author), Chuo Univ, Grad Sch Sci & Engn, Civil Human &
Environm Engn Course, Bunkyo Ku, 1-13-27 Kasuga, Tokyo 1128551, Japan.
EM koyama@civil.chuo-u.ac.jp; yamada@civil.chuo-u.ac.jp
FU Unit for Research and Application Solution of Water-Related Disaster
Science and Information of Research and Development Initiative (RDI),
Chuo University
FX This research was supported by Unit for Research and Application
Solution of Water-Related Disaster Science and Information of Research
and Development Initiative (RDI), Chuo University.
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NR 36
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 5
U2 16
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD JUN
PY 2020
VL 12
IS 6
AR 1769
DI 10.3390/w12061769
PG 18
GA ML4RR
UT WOS:000549455600001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Izumi, T
Shaw, R
AF Izumi, Takako
Shaw, Rajib
TI A multi-country comparative analysis of the impact of COVID-19 and
natural hazards in India, Japan, the Philippines, and USA
LA English
DT Article
DE COVID-19; Evacuation; Volunteerism; All-hazards approach; Compund
hazard; Natural hazard
AB Several countries have been affected by natural hazards during the COVID-19
pandemic. The combination of the pandemic and natural hazards has led to serious
challenges that include financial losses and psychosocial stress. Additionally,
this compound disaster affected evacuation decision making, where to evacuate,
volunteer participation in mitigation and recovery, volunteer support acceptance,
and interest in other hazard risks. This study investigated the impact of COVID-19
on disaster response and recovery from various types of hazards, with regard to
preparedness, evacuation, volunteering, early recovery, awareness and knowledge of
different types of hazards, and preparedness capacity development. This study
targets hazards such as Cyclone Amphan in India, the Kumamoto flood in Japan,
Typhoon Rolly in the Philippines, and the California wildfires in the U.S. This
study made several recommendations, such as the fact that mental health support
must be taken into consideration during COVID-19 recovery. It is necessary to
improve the genral condition of evacuation centers in order to encourage people to
act immediately. A pandemic situation necessitates a strong communication strategy
and campaign with particular regard to the safety of evacuation centers, the
necessity of a lockdown, and the duration required for it to reduce the
psychological impact. Both national and local governments are expected to
strengthen their disaster risk reduction (DRR) capacity, which calls for the multi
hazard management of disaster risk at all levels and across all sectors.
C1 [Izumi, Takako] Tohoku Univ, Int Res Inst Disaster Sci IRIDeS, Sendai, Miyagi,
Japan.
[Shaw, Rajib] Keio Univ, Grad Sch Media & Governance, Tokyo, Japan.
C3 Tohoku University; Keio University
RP Izumi, T (corresponding author), Tohoku Univ, Int Res Inst Disaster Sci IRIDeS,
Sendai, Miyagi, Japan.
EM izumi@irides.tohoku.ac.jp
OI Shaw, Rajib/0000-0003-3153-1800
FU Fukuzawa Research Fund of Keio University; JSPS KAKENHI [JP19K02035]
FX The authors acknowledge the funding support from the Fukuzawa Research
Fund of Keio University and JSPS KAKENHI (GrantNumber JP19K02035) .
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NR 61
TC 6
Z9 6
U1 2
U2 12
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD APR 15
PY 2022
VL 73
AR 102899
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.102899
EA MAR 2022
PG 14
Water Resources
GA 0N9AL
UT WOS:000783122200007
PM 35308103
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Lee, S
Jain, S
Ginsbach, K
Son, YJ
AF Lee, Seunghan
Jain, Saurabh
Ginsbach, Keeli
Son, Young-Jun
TI Dynamic-data-driven agent-based modeling for the prediction of
evacuation behavior during hurricanes
SO SIMULATION MODELLING PRACTICE AND THEORY
LA English
DT Article
DE Dynamic-data-driven modeling; Evacuation behaviors; Hurricanes; Disaster
management; Agent-based simulation
ID DECISION FIELD-THEORY; OPTIMIZATION; SIMULATION; NETWORK; INFORMATION;
ENVIRONMENT; LOGISTICS; PROTOCOL; POLICIES; KATRINA
AB Establishing an efficient disaster management strategy against severe natural
disasters is essential to mitigate and relieve their catastrophic consequences. In
order to understand the situation during such devastating events, it is crucial to
incorporate individuals' behaviors and their decision-making processes, which
requires an amalgamation of information from various sources such as survey data,
information regarding location and intensity of disasters, government's policies,
and supplies in the affected region. This work proposes a dynamic-data-driven model
for individual decision-making processes capable of tracking people's preference
value over time, incorporating dynamic environmental changes using Bayesian
updates. An agent-based simulation was used to model each of the components vital
to devise an effective disaster management strategy. Moreover, the proposed model
allows deriving quantitative relationships among people's evacuations, their
demographic information, and risk perception based on environmental changes,
including traffic status, gas outage, and government notice. For this study, the
authors considered Florida's situations during hurricanes Irma, Michael, and Dorian
in 2017, 2018, and 2019. What-if analyses were also conducted to find the best
disaster management policy for government agencies to minimize the hurricane's
effect, which will help prepare for future disaster situations.
C1 [Lee, Seunghan] SUNY Buffalo, Dept Ind & Syst Engn, SUNY 211 Putnam Way,
Buffalo, NY 14260 USA.
[Jain, Saurabh; Ginsbach, Keeli; Son, Young-Jun] Univ Arizona, Dept Syst & Ind
Engn, 1127 James E Rogers Way, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA.
(SUNY) Buffalo; University of Arizona
RP Son, YJ (corresponding author), Univ Arizona, Dept Syst & Ind Engn, 1127 James E
Rogers Way, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA.
EM slee232@buffalo.edu; saurabhjain@email.arizona.edu;
keeliginsbach@email.arizona.edu; son@sie.arizona.edu
OI Lee, Seunghan/0000-0001-5191-6332; Son, Young-Jun/0000-0002-4004-2155
FU National Science Foundation (NSF) under NSF-CMMI [1662865]; Directorate
For Engineering; Div Of Civil, Mechanical, & Manufact Inn [1662865]
FX This research is supported by National Science Foundation (NSF) under
NSF-CMMI 1662865.
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NR 77
TC 8
Z9 8
U1 6
U2 28
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 1569-190X
EI 1878-1462
J9 SIMUL MODEL PRACT TH
JI Simul. Model. Pract. Theory
PD JAN
PY 2021
VL 106
AR 102193
DI 10.1016/j.simpat.2020.102193
PG 26
WC Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications; Computer Science,
Software Engineering
(SSCI)
SC Computer Science
GA OX7RJ
UT WOS:000593757000001
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Allen, AT
Flinn, AM
Moore, WF
AF Allen, Andrew T.
Flinn, Anna M.
Moore, William F.
TI The 81st Medical Group Obstetrics and Gynecology flight's role during
Hurricane Katrina
SO MILITARY MEDICINE
LA English
CT Armed Forces District Meeting of the
American-College-of-Obstetricians-and-Gynecologists
CY OCT 30-NOV 03, 2005
CL Seattle, WA
SP Amer Coll Obstetricians & Gynecol, Armed Forces District
AB Background: The Obstetrics and Gynecology (OB/GYN) flight at Keesler Medical
Center sheltered 36 pregnant women and their families during Hurricane Katrina to
ensure that appropriate medical care would be available. Ironically, the hospital's
emergency generators were destroyed during the 30-foot storm surge, while one woman
with a previous cesarean section went into active labor. She ultimately underwent a
cesarean delivery using battery-operated flashlights for illumination. After the
storm, the damage to the hospital was so extensive as to require aeromedical
evacuation of the pregnant patients and their families. In addition, two OB/GYN
physicians transferred to a nearby shelter on base and provided general medical
care to its occupants. Conclusion: OB/GYN physicians in the military play a vital
role in the care of victims of natural disasters. In addition to pregnancy-related
issues, OB/GYN physicians can be expected to provide primary and emergency care to
victims under austere conditions.
C1 81st MSGS SGCG, Keesler Med Ctr, Dept Obstet & Gynecol, Keesler AFB, MS 39534
USA.
Naval Med Ctr San Diego, Dept Obstet & Gynecol, San Diego, CA 92134 USA.
C3 United States Department of Defense; United States Navy; Naval Medical
Center San Diego
RP Allen, AT (corresponding author), 81st MSGS SGCG, Keesler Med Ctr, Dept Obstet &
Gynecol, 301 Fisher St, Keesler AFB, MS 39534 USA.
CR [Anonymous], 2005, TROPICAL CYCLONE REP
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NR 4
TC 8
Z9 8
U1 0
U2 2
PU ASSN MILITARY SURG US
PI BETHESDA
PA 9320 OLD GEORGETOWN RD, BETHESDA, MD 20814 USA
SN 0026-4075
J9 MIL MED
JI Milit. Med.
PD FEB
PY 2007
VL 172
IS 2
BP 199
EP 201
DI 10.7205/MILMED.172.2.199
PG 3
WE Conference Proceedings Citation Index - Science (CPCI-S); Science Citation Index
Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)
GA 136NY
UT WOS:000244232600019
PM 17357777
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Burger, J
Gochfeld, M
AF Burger, Joanna
Gochfeld, Michael
TI Perceptions of severe storms, climate change, ecological structures and
resiliency three years post-hurricane Sandy in New Jersey
SO URBAN ECOSYSTEMS
LA English
DT Article
DE Climate change; Concerns; Environmental justice; Evacuation; Dunes; Salt
marshes; Sandy; Hurricanes
ID NEW-YORK-CITY; NUCLEAR-WASTE; MENTAL-HEALTH; ATTITUDES; EROSION;
KATRINA; SURGE; BEACH; RISK; RESPONSES
AB Global warming is leading to increased frequency and severity of storms that are
associated with flooding, increasing the risk to urban, coastal populations. This
study examined perceptions of the relationship between severe storms, sea level
rise, climate change and ecological barriers by a vulnerable environmental justice
population in New Jersey. Patients using New Jersey's Federally Qualified Health
Centers were interviewed after Hurricane [Superstorm] Sandy because it is essential
to understand the perceptions of uninsured, underinsured, and economically
challenged people to better develop a resiliency strategy for the most vulnerable
people. Patients (N = 355) using 6 centers were interviewed using a structured
interview form. Patients were interviewed in the order they entered the reception
area, in either English or Spanish. Respondents were asked to rate their agreement
with environmental statements. Respondents 1) agreed with experts that "severe
storms were due to climate change", "storms will come more often", and that
"flooding was due to sea level rise", 2) did not agree as strongly that "climate
change was due to human activity", 3) were neutral for statements that "Sandy
damages were due to loss of dunes or salt marshes". 4) did not differ as a function
of ethnic/racial categories, and 5) showed few gender differences. It is imperative
that the public understand that climate change and sea level rise are occurring so
that they support community programs (and funding) to prepare for increased
frequency of storms and coastal flooding. The lack of high ratings for the role of
dunes and marshes in preventing flooding indicates a lack of understanding that
ecological structures protect coasts, and suggests a lack of support for management
actions to restore dunes as part of a coastal preparedness strategy. Perceptions
that do not support a public policy of coastal zone management to protect
coastlines can lead to increased flooding, extensive property damages, and injuries
or loss of life.
C1 [Burger, Joanna] Rutgers State Univ, Div Life Sci, Piscataway, NJ 08854 USA.
[Gochfeld, Michael] Rutgers State Univ, UMDNJ Robert Wood Johnson Med Sch,
Environm & Occupat Hlth, Piscataway, NJ USA.
Brunswick; Rutgers State University Medical Center
RP Burger, J (corresponding author), Rutgers State Univ, Div Life Sci, Piscataway,
NJ 08854 USA.
and Response Research to Aid Recovery from Hurricane Sandy
[CDC-RFA-13-001]; New Jersey Medical School, Rutgers University; New
Jersey Department of Human Services; New Jersey Department of Health;
Division of Life Sciences, Rutgers University; NIEHS Center
[P30ES005022]
FX This study was supported by the Centers for Disease Control and
Recovery from Hurricane Sandy (CDC-RFA-13-001) grant to New Jersey
Department of Health, which included collaboration with the New Jersey
Medical School, Rutgers University, New Jersey Department of Human
Services, New Jersey Department of Health, and the Division of Life
Sciences, Rutgers University, as well as the NIEHS Center (P30ES005022).
Our project and protocol were approved by the New Jersey Primary Care
Association, the Directors of the participating Federally Qualified
Health Centers, and Rutgers Institutional Review Board (Protocol
E14-319, Notice of Exemption). We thank K. Grant Davis (CEO of New
Jersey Primary Care Association), her Executive Board, and the Center
Directors of the Federally Qualified Health Centers for allowing us to
interview their patients, their staff for being so accommodating,
Clarimel Cepeda, Marta Hernandez, Ahmed Nezar, Alan Perez, and Ana
Quintero for aid in interviewing, and all those patients who consented
to be interviewed. We particularly thank C. Jeitner and T. Pittfield for
logistical and graphic support. This paper represents the views of the
authors, and not the funding agencies.
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NR 81
TC 9
Z9 9
U1 6
U2 86
PU SPRINGER
PI DORDRECHT
SN 1083-8155
EI 1573-1642
J9 URBAN ECOSYST
JI Urban Ecosyst.
PD DEC
PY 2017
VL 20
IS 6
BP 1261
EP 1275
DI 10.1007/s11252-017-0678-x
PG 15
WC Biodiversity Conservation; Ecology; Environmental Sciences; Urban
Studies
(SSCI)
SC Biodiversity & Conservation; Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Urban
Studies
GA FP4XD
UT WOS:000417619400009
PM 29398897
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Jiang, X
Meng, J
Fan, BJ
Zhao, CX
Zheng, YS
Xiao, QL
Zhang, CJ
Ma, DF
AF Jiang, Xun
Meng, Jie
Fan, Bingjie
Zhao, Chongxu
Zheng, Yanshuang
Xiao, Qianlu
Zhang, Chunjin
Ma, Dongfang
TI Comparative analysis and risk assessment of dam-break floods: taking
Pingshuijiang Reservoir as an example
SO HYDROLOGY RESEARCH
LA English
DT Article
DE dam-break discharge; dam-break flood; dam-break scenario; flood routing;
Pingshuijiang Reservoir
ID RIVER
AB Due to the huge potential energy associated with water storage in reservoirs,
dam-break floods are often catastrophically destructive for people and structures
downstream. This study aims to simulate and compare floods generated under various
dam-break scenarios and their downstream impacts, taking Pingshuijiang Reservoir in
southeastern China as an example. A two-dimensional hydrodynamic model is used to
simulate the downstream evolution of floods under three dam-break scenarios, and
the breach flood and downstream inundation process are analyzed. Gradual failure of
the main dam leads to near-total inundation of the nearby town over c. 1 h,
allowing time for warning and evacuation. Instantaneous failure of the main dam
results in larger peak flow, greater submergence depth and faster inundation (20
min), leaving little time for warning/evacuation. Instantaneous failure of the
auxiliary dam generates a much lower peak flow magnitude and, although the town is
still largely submerged within 45 min, the shallow water depth and low velocity are
conducive to rescue/evacuation. The results show significant variation in flood
process and submergence due to dam size and failure mode that provide guidance for
dam-break flood risk assessment and disaster avoidance planning.
C1 [Jiang, Xun] Zhejiang Design Inst Water Conservancy & Hydroelec, 66 Funing Lane,
Hangzhou 310000, Peoples R China.
[Meng, Jie] Zhejiang Yugong Informat Technol Co Ltd, T2-3A,Horui Sci Pk,Changhe
St, Hangzhou 310000, Peoples R China.
[Fan, Bingjie] Shanxi Yellow River Flexible Flood Proofing Emerge, 4738 Sushui
East St, Yuncheng 044000, Peoples R China.
[Zhao, Chongxu; Zheng, Yanshuang; Xiao, Qianlu; Zhang, Chunjin; Ma, Dongfang]
Yellow River Conservancy Commiss, Yellow River Inst Hydraul Res, 45 Shunhe Rd,
Zhengzhou 450003, Peoples R China.
[Zhao, Chongxu; Zheng, Yanshuang; Xiao, Qianlu; Zhang, Chunjin; Ma, Dongfang]
MWR, Key Lab Lower Yellow River Channel & Estuary Regul, Zhengzhou 450003, Peoples
R China.
C3 Yangtze River Water Resources Protection Bureau; Chinese Academy of
Sciences
RP Zhao, CX (corresponding author), Yellow River Conservancy Commiss, Yellow River
Inst Hydraul Res, 45 Shunhe Rd, Zhengzhou 450003, Peoples R China.; Zhao, CX
(corresponding author), MWR, Key Lab Lower Yellow River Channel & Estuary Regul,
Zhengzhou 450003, Peoples R China.
EM charles_zcx@163.com
FU Science and Technology Development Foundation of Yellow River Institute
of Hydraulic Research [HKF202202]; National Natural Science Foundation
of China [U2243220, 51909100, 52009047]; Fundamental Research Funds for
the Central Scientific Research Institute [HKY-JBYW-2020-03]
FX This study was sponsored by Science and Technology Development
Foundation of Yellow River Institute of Hydraulic Research (Grant No.
HKF202202), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.
U2243220, 51909100 and 52009047) and the Fundamental Research Funds for
the Central Scientific Research Institute (Grant No. HKY-JBYW-2020-03).
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NR 24
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 12
U2 12
PU IWA PUBLISHING
PI LONDON
ENGLAND
SN 1998-9563
EI 2224-7955
J9 HYDROL RES
JI Hydrol. Res.
PD FEB
PY 2023
VL 54
IS 2
BP 265
EP 275
DI 10.2166/nh.2023.129
EA FEB 2023
PG 11
WC Water Resources
SC Water Resources
GA D7OW6
UT WOS:000940995600001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Seo, SN
Bakkensen, LA
AF Seo, S. Niggol
Bakkensen, Laura A.
TI Is Tropical Cyclone Surge, Not Intensity, What Kills So Many People in
South Asia?
LA English
DT Article
ID SEA-LEVEL RISE; CLIMATE-CHANGE IMPACTS; STATISTICAL LIFE; HURRICANE
SURGE; MODELS; BANGLADESH; FATALITIES; VULNERABILITY; BENGAL; BAY
AB This paper statistically examines the hypothesis that the level of storm surge,
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cyclone fatalities in SouthAsia. Because the potential causal link between
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attributable to storm surge. In South Asia, adaptation strategies should target a
higher level of storm surge instead of higher-intensity storms. Policies to combat
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RP Seo, SN (corresponding author), Muaebak Inst Global Warming Studies, Seoul,
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TC 15
Z9 15
U1 1
U2 12
PI BOSTON
SN 1948-8327
EI 1948-8335
J9 WEATHER CLIM SOC
PD APR
PY 2017
VL 9
IS 2
BP 171
EP 181
DI 10.1175/WCAS-D-16-0059.1
PG 11
(SSCI)
GA ET4YM
UT WOS:000400291000005
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Lumbroso, D
Stone, K
Vinet, F
AF Lumbroso, Darren
Stone, Karin
Vinet, Freddy
TI An assessment of flood emergency plans in England and Wales, France and
the Netherlands
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DT Article
DE Assessment; Emergency plans; Metrics; Floods
AB This paper details research carried out in England and Wales, France and the
Netherlands on the evaluation of emergency plans for floods. To assess the flood
emergency plans, 22 metrics were developed. These metrics covered a range of issues
from the aims and objectives of the plan to training and exercises. A number of
emergency plans in each of the three countries were reviewed using these metrics,
and online surveys of emergency planners were carried out. The objectives of the
surveys were to establish what information emergency planners believe is useful to
incorporate in emergency plans and at what level of detail. The developed metrics
and survey of end-users provided a basis to compare emergency plans. The
effectiveness of an emergency plan is difficult to measure, and end-users often
stated that this can only be assessed accurately after a plan has been used. Many
emergency planners indicated that a well-defined description of the roles,
responsibilities and communication is essential for a plan to be effective. These
aspects tended to be well covered in the evaluated plans. However, other more
technical aspects such as accessibility of roads, evacuation, depiction of the
flood hazard and impacts of floods on critical infrastructure can be considerably
improved. The main challenge for emergency planners is to avoid filling plans with
generic text and to provide an appropriate level of specific detail in the plan
whilst ensuring the "usability" of the plan.
C1 [Lumbroso, Darren] HR Wallingford, Wallingford OX10 8BA, Oxon, England.
[Lumbroso, Darren] Lab Cent Ponts & Chaussees, F-44341 Bouguenais, France.
[Stone, Karin] Deltares, Delft, Netherlands.
[Vinet, Freddy] Univ Montpellier 3, Gest Soc Territoires & Risques GESTER, F-
34032 Montpellier, France.
C3 HR Wallingford Limited; Universite Gustave-Eiffel; Laboratoire Central
des Ponts et Chaussees (LCPC); Deltares; Universite de Montpellier;
Universite Paul-Valery
RP Lumbroso, D (corresponding author), HR Wallingford, Howbery Pk, Wallingford OX10
8BA, Oxon, England.
EM d.lumbroso@hrwallingford.co.uk
RI Lumbroso, Darren M/AAF-2561-2020
FU Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra)/Environment
Agency Flood and Coastal Erosion in England and Wales; Ministere de
l'Ecologie, de l'Energie, du Developpement durable et de la Mer, en
charge des Technologies vertes et des Negociations sur le climat in
France; Royal Academy of Engineers (RAEng)
FX This research was carried out as part of the Flood Incident Management-A
FRAMEwork for improvement (FIM FRAME) project carried out as part of the
second ERA-Net CRUE funding initiative (http://www.crue-eranet.net/).
The project is funded by the joint Department for Environment, Food and
Rural Affairs (Defra)/Environment Agency Flood and Coastal Erosion Risk
Management Research and Development Programme in England and Wales and
the Ministere de l'Ecologie, de l'Energie, du Developpement durable et
de la Mer, en charge des Technologies vertes et des Negociations sur le
climat in France. We wish to acknowledge the support of the both the
funders, the emergency responders who participated in this research and
the comments of the reviewers. This work would also not have been
possible without the Royal Academy of Engineers (RAEng) who provided a
Global Research award to one of the authors. We wish to extend our
thanks to the RAEng for their support.
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NR 55
TC 33
Z9 36
U1 2
U2 40
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 0921-030X
EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
PD JUL
PY 2011
VL 58
IS 1
BP 341
EP 363
DI 10.1007/s11069-010-9671-x
PG 23
Water Resources
GA 778IC
UT WOS:000291696300020
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Fereshtehpour, M
Karamouz, M
AF Fereshtehpour, M.
Karamouz, M.
TI DEM Resolution Effects on Coastal Flood Vulnerability Assessment:
Deterministic and Probabilistic Approach
LA English
DT Article
DE DEM resolution; bathtub model; inundation map; kriging; map accuracy;
sequential Gaussian simulation
ID DIGITAL ELEVATION MODEL; SEA-LEVEL RISE; ERROR PROPAGATION; SPATIAL
DATABASES; UNCERTAINTY; ACCURACY; IMPACT; TERRAIN; LIDAR; DELINEATION
AB Flood modeling is highly influenced by topography data set. Lower resolution
digital elevation models (DEMs) are usually used because of their availability and
less computational burden when they are used in modeling applications. However, low
accuracy of these DEMs yields to even lower accuracy in flood risk analysis through
spatial modeling. This study aims to explore the DEM resolution effects on coastal
flood risk assessments. For this purpose, deterministic and probabilistic
approaches are employed for flood inundation modeling utilizing hydrologically
connected bathtub method. High-resolution light detection and ranging (LiDAR) DEM
is considered as the most accurate data from which different resolution maps are
obtained using resampling techniques. This is incorporated into an error analysis
framework along with U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) National Elevation Dataset (NED)
DEMs. The probabilistic framework is developed by simulating the spatial
variability of elevation errors compared to LiDAR DEM through a Monte Carlo-based
method called sequential Gaussian simulation. The proposed methodology is applied
to the lower Manhattan in New York City. By integrating the flood model into the
developed framework, flood inundation probability at each grid cells is obtained.
Furthermore, using the concept of accuracy-efficiency tradeoffs, a framework for
selecting a suitable spatial resolution for probabilistic flood risk assessment has
been suggested. The results show that by exercising a range of options presented in
this paper, a broader insight into mapping resolution can be provided, improving
flood assessment, evacuation zones, and mitigation plans depending upon the data
availability in a region.
C1 [Fereshtehpour, M.] Univ Tehran, Sch Civil Engn, Tehran, Iran.
[Fereshtehpour, M.; Karamouz, M.] Univ Utah, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Salt
Lake City, UT 84112 USA.
C3 University of Tehran; Utah System of Higher Education; University of
Utah
RP Karamouz, M (corresponding author), Univ Utah, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Salt
EM karamouz@ut.ac.ir
RI Fereshtehpour, Mohammad/Y-3084-2018; Karamouz, Mohammad/W-8384-2018;
Karamouz, Mohammad/Z-2080-2019
OI Fereshtehpour, Mohammad/0000-0002-0249-8522; Karamouz,
Mohammad/0000-0002-6573-262X
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[No title captured]
NR 74
TC 25
Z9 25
U1 2
U2 29
PI WASHINGTON
SN 0043-1397
EI 1944-7973
J9 WATER RESOUR RES
PD JUL
PY 2018
VL 54
IS 7
BP 4965
EP 4982
DI 10.1029/2017WR022318
PG 18
Resources
GA GR3OG
UT WOS:000442502100044
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Miller, RL
AF Miller, Robert L.
TI Modeling Temporal Accessibility of an Urban Road Network during an
Extreme Pluvial Flood Event
LA English
DT Article
AB This study presents a model-based framework to assess the time-varying
accessibility of a roadway network on a system-wide level during extreme flood
events. A regional MIKE 21 hydrodynamic model consisting of 1,912,576 computational
points with mesh cell resolutions ranging from 70 to 15 m is utilized to compute
regional inundation during an extreme 500-year flood scenario. This approach allows
for an explicit accounting of the impact of pluvial flooding on roadway network
accessibility. Accessibility conditioned on flood depth is then computed using a
raster approximation of the roadway network model employing the flood-fill search
method. The approach is demonstrated in the flood-prone low-gradient region of
Lafayette, Louisiana, which experienced a devastating flood event in August 2016.
The findings suggest that the main evacuation points enjoy a greater degree of
accessibility compared to medical facilities within the urban core of the city
during the flood peak. Significant improvements in network accessibility can be
made by targeted mitigation of specifically flood-prone roadway segments. However,
the analysis demonstrates the adverse impacts of such mitigation activities in low-
gradient urban floodplain systems when implementing routine drainage compensation
steps. The approach provides key insights into the role played by pluvial flooding
and flood duration on network accessibility and can help inform emergency response
and transportation systems planning and design efforts.
C1 [Miller, Robert L.] Univ Louisiana Lafayette, Dept Civil Engn, POB 43598,
Lafayette, LA 70504 USA.
C3 University of Louisiana Lafayette
RP Miller, RL (corresponding author), Univ Louisiana Lafayette, Dept Civil Engn,
POB 43598, Lafayette, LA 70504 USA.
EM robert.miller@louisiana.edu
FU Louisiana DOT and Development Louisiana Transportation Research Center
Transportation Innovation for Research Exploration (LTRC TIRE) program
[DOT-LT-1000269]; National Academies of Sciences Gulf Research
Fellowship Program
FX The author would like to thank two anonymous referees for their helpful
suggestions that led to an improved manuscript. This work was sponsored
in part by the Louisiana DOT and Development Louisiana Transportation
Research Center Transportation Innovation for Research Exploration (LTRC
TIRE) program under Grant No. DOT-LT-1000269, and by an award from the
National Academies of Sciences Gulf Research Fellowship Program.
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NR 29
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 6
U2 21
PI RESTON
SN 1527-6988
EI 1527-6996
J9 NAT HAZARDS REV
PD NOV 1
PY 2022
VL 23
IS 4
AR 04022032
DI 10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000586
PG 10
(SSCI)
GA 4N3PN
UT WOS:000853931000018
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Gao, SD
Wang, Y
AF Gao, Shangde
Wang, Yan
TI Explainable deep learning powered building risk assessment model for
proactive hurricane response
SO RISK ANALYSIS
LA English
DT Article
DE deep learning; explainable artificial intelligence; natural hazards;
risk assessment
ID EVACUATION DECISION-MAKING; NEW-ORLEANS; PERCEPTION; SURGE; INFORMATION;
FORECAST; HAZARDS; IMPACT; WIND
AB Climate change and rapid urban development have intensified the impact of
hurricanes, especially on the Southeastern Coasts of the United States. Localized
and timely risk assessments can facilitate coastal communities' preparedness and
response to imminent hurricanes. Existing assessment methods focused on hurricane
risks at large spatial scales, which were not specific or could not provide
actionable knowledge for residents or property owners. Fragility functions and
other widely utilized assessment methods cannot model the complex relationships
between building features and hurricane risk levels effectively. Therefore, we
develop and test a building-level hurricane risk assessment with deep feedforward
neural network (DFNN) models. The input features of DFNN models cover the meta
building characteristics, fine-grained meteorological, and hydrological
environmental parameters. The assessment outcomes, that is, risk levels, include
the probability and intensity of building/property damages induced by wind and
surge hazards. We interpret the DFNN models with local interpretable model-agnostic
explanations (LIME). We apply the DFNN models to a case building in Cameron County,
Louisiana in response to a hypothetical imminent hurricane to illustrate how the
building's risk levels can be timely assessed with the updating weather forecast.
This research shows the potential of deep-learning models in integrating multi-
sourced features and accurately predicting buildings' risks of weather extremes for
property owners and households. The AI-powered risk assessment model can help
coastal populations form appropriate and updating perceptions of imminent
hurricanes and inform actionable knowledge for proactive risk mitigation and long-
term climate adaptation.
C1 [Wang, Yan] Univ Florida, Dept Urban & Reg Planning, POB 115706, Gainesville, FL
32611 USA.
Univ Florida, Florida Inst Built Environm Resilience, Coll Design Construct &
Planning, Gainesville, FL USA.
C3 State University System of Florida; University of Florida; State
University System of Florida; University of Florida
RP Wang, Y (corresponding author), Univ Florida, Dept Urban & Reg Planning, POB
115706, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA.; Wang, Y (corresponding author), Univ Florida,
Florida Inst Built Environm Resilience, POB 115706, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA.
EM yanw@ufl.edu
RI Gao, Shangde/GRJ-9813-2022
OI Gao, Shangde/0000-0003-2218-2872
FU University of Florida faculty start-up funds
FX This material is based upon work supported by the University of Florida
faculty start-up funds. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or
do not necessarily reflect the views of the University of Florida.
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NR 73
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 10
U2 29
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 0272-4332
EI 1539-6924
J9 RISK ANAL
JI Risk Anal.
PD JUN
PY 2023
VL 43
IS 6
BP 1222
EP 1234
DI 10.1111/risa.13990
EA JUL 2022
PG 13
(SSCI)
GA I4UT2
UT WOS:000822069700001
PM 35803597
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Le, PD
Leonard, M
Westra, S
AF Phuong Dong Le
Leonard, Michael
Westra, Seth
TI Spatially dependent flood probabilities to support the design of civil
infrastructure systems
SO HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES
LA English
DT Article
ID RAINFALL EXTREMES; CONTINUOUS SIMULATION; COPULA; FRAMEWORK;
INDEPENDENCE; INFERENCE; MODEL
AB Conventional flood risk methods typically focus on estimation at a single
location, which can be inadequate for civil infrastructure systems such as road or
railway infrastructure. This is because rainfall extremes are spatially dependent;
to understand overall system risk, it is necessary to assess the interconnected
elements of the system jointly. For example, when designing evacuation routes it is
necessary to understand the risk of one part of the system failing given that
another region is flooded or exceeds the level at which evacuation becomes
necessary. Similarly, failure of any single part of a road section (e.g., a flooded
river crossing) may lead to the wider system's failure (i.e., the entire road
becomes inoperable). This study demonstrates a spatially dependent intensity-
duration-frequency (IDF) framework that can be used to estimate flood risk across
multiple catchments, accounting for dependence both in space and across different
critical storm durations. The framework is demonstrated via a case study of a
highway upgrade comprising five river crossings. The results show substantial
differences in conditional and unconditional design flow estimates, highlighting
the importance of taking an integrated approach. There is also a reduction in the
estimated failure probability of the overall system compared with the case where
each river crossing is treated independently. The results demonstrate the potential
uses of spatially dependent intensity-duration-frequency methods and suggest the
need for more conservative design estimates to take into account conditional risks.
C1 [Phuong Dong Le; Leonard, Michael; Westra, Seth] Univ Adelaide, Sch Civil
Environm & Min Engn, Adelaide, SA, Australia.
[Phuong Dong Le] Thuyloi Univ, Fac Water Resources Engn, 175 Tay Son, Hanoi,
Vietnam.
C3 University of Adelaide; Thuyloi University
RP Le, PD (corresponding author), Univ Adelaide, Sch Civil Environm & Min Engn,
Adelaide, SA, Australia.; Le, PD (corresponding author), Thuyloi Univ, Fac Water
Resources Engn, 175 Tay Son, Hanoi, Vietnam.
EM lephuongdong_tb@tlu.edu.vn
RI Leonard, Michael/AAP-1853-2021
OI Leonard, Michael/0000-0002-9519-3188
FU Australia Awards Scholarships [DP150100411]
FX This research has been supported by the Australia Awards Scholarships
(grant no. DP150100411).
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NR 61
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 0
U2 3
PI GOTTINGEN
SN 1027-5606
EI 1607-7938
J9 HYDROL EARTH SYST SC
JI Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.
PD NOV 27
PY 2019
VL 23
IS 11
BP 4851
EP 4867
DI 10.5194/hess-23-4851-2019
PG 17
WC Geosciences, Multidisciplinary; Water Resources
SC Geology; Water Resources
GA JR6JL
UT WOS:000499729200003
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Baynes, ERC
Bardin, C
Friedrich, H
AF Baynes, Edwin R. C.
Bardin, Charline
Friedrich, Heide
TI Fluvial evacuation of landslide material from bedrock-confined channels
under controlled experimental conditions
SO GEOMORPHOLOGY
LA English
DT Article
DE Sediment transport; Landslides; Rivers; Laboratory modelling
ID SEDIMENT PULSES; MOUNTAIN RIVERS; SIERRA-NEVADA; EROSION; EARTHQUAKE;
HILLSLOPE; EVOLUTION; INCISION; EQUILIBRIUM; MOTION
AB The supply of sediment from hillslopes to channels is rarely constant, with
discrete events (e.g., landslides) known to transfer large volumes of sediment in
geologically-short periods of time. especially in tectonically active areas.
Understanding the rates and patterns of subsequent sediment evacuation is important
for understanding variability of landscape evolution, as well as mitigating the
risk of geohazards associated with bed aggradation and the loss of channel capacity
to convey flood waters. Here, we performed a series of controlled laboratory flume
experiments to explore the controls on sediment transport after a single sediment
input in scenarios with (i) different initial input volumes (4-25 kg) under
constant flow conditions (40 l/s), (ii) a constant initial input volume (12 kg)
under different flow magnitudes (5-60 l/s), and (iii) a repeat of the input
sediment volumes in scenario (i) but with the same volume of water delivered using
a ramped hydrograph (0-60-0 l/s). We find the presence of sediment piles impacts
the flow hydraulics, with a backwater effect developing upstream of the pile that
causes a flow acceleration around the location of the pile. For a given discharge,
larger sediment piles have a greater impact on the flow hydraulics, which in turn
induces higher rates of sediment transport and erosion of the pile. In all cases,
sediment remains at the initial pile input location for the duration of the
sediment evacuation, acting to protect the bed from erosion. We highlight the role
of geomorphic-hydraulic interactions in controlling the sediment evacuation, and
suggest there is an optimal combination of pile size and flow conditions (flow
magnitude and hydrograph shape) for accelerated rates of sediment transport, which
are important for the short-term and long-term channel dynamics and the landscape
evolution variability. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
C1 [Baynes, Edwin R. C.; Bardin, Charline; Friedrich, Heide] Univ Auckland, Dept
Civil & Environm Engn, Auckland, New Zealand.
[Baynes, Edwin R. C.] Loughborough Univ, Geog & Environm, Loughborough, Leics,
England.
[Bardin, Charline] Inst Natl Sci Appl, Dept Genie Energet & Environm, Lyon,
France.
C3 University of Auckland; Loughborough University; Institut National des
Sciences Appliquees de Lyon - INSA Lyon
RP Baynes, ERC (corresponding author), Loughborough Univ, Geog & Environm,
Loughborough, Leics, England.
EM e.baynes@lboro.ac.uk
RI Friedrich, Heide/B-1454-2010
OI Friedrich, Heide/0000-0002-6419-5973; Baynes, Edwin/0000-0002-8666-7628
FU George Mason Centre for the Natural Environment at the University of
Auckland
FX The work was funded by the George Mason Centre for the Natural
Environment at the University of Auckland. The authors thank Oane Galama
for his technical support in performing the experiments and Joris Heyman
for making the Tractrac software available and for helpful discussions
related to the software use.
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NR 54
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 2
U2 14
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 0169-555X
EI 1872-695X
J9 GEOMORPHOLOGY
JI Geomorphology
PD NOV 1
PY 2020
VL 368
AR 107359
DI 10.1016/j.geomorph.2020.107359
PG 12
WC Geography, Physical; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
SC Physical Geography; Geology
GA NR7IF
UT WOS:000571733700001
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Gargano, LM
Caramanica, K
Sisco, S
Brackbill, RM
Stellman, SD
AF Gargano, Lisa M.
Caramanica, Kimberly
Sisco, Sarah
Brackbill, Robert M.
Stellman, Steven D.
TI Exposure to the World Trade Center Disaster and 9/11-Related
Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder and Household Disaster Preparedness
LA English
DT Article
DE World Trade Center; preparedness; post-traumatic stress disorder;
Hurricane Sandy
ID EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS; MENTAL-HEALTH; SOCIAL SUPPORT; EXPERIENCE;
HURRICANE; SYMPTOMS; TERRORISM; ATTACKS; PEOPLE; CHECKLIST
AB Objective In a population with prior exposure to the World Trade Center
disaster, this study sought to determine the subsequent level of preparedness for a
new disaster and how preparedness varied with population characteristics that are
both disaster-related and non-disaster-related.
Methods The sample included 4496 World Trade Center Health Registry enrollees
who completed the Wave 3 (2011-2012) and Hurricane Sandy (2013) surveys.
Participants were considered prepared if they reported possessing at least 7 of 8
standard preparedness items. Logistic regression was used to determine associations
between preparedness and demographic and medical factors, 9/11-related post-
traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) assessed at Wave 3, 9/11 exposure, and social
support.
Results Over one-third (37.5%) of participants were prepared with 18.8%
possessing all 8 items. The item most often missing was an evacuation plan (69.8%).
Higher levels of social support were associated with being prepared. High levels of
9/11 exposure were associated with being prepared in both the PTSD and non-PTSD
subgroups.
Conclusions Our findings indicate that prior 9/11 exposure favorably impacted
Hurricane Sandy preparedness. Future preparedness messaging should target people
with low social support networks. Communications should include information on
evacuation zones and where to find information about how to evacuate. (Disaster Med
Public Health Preparedness. 2015;9:625-633)
C1 [Gargano, Lisa M.; Caramanica, Kimberly; Brackbill, Robert M.; Stellman, Steven
D.] New York City Dept Hlth & Mental Hyg, World Trade Ctr Hlth Registry, Long Isl
City, NY USA.
[Sisco, Sarah] New York City Dept Hlth & Mental Hyg, Off Emergency Preparedness
& Response, Long Isl City, NY USA.
[Stellman, Steven D.] Columbia Univ, Mailman Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol, New
York, NY USA.
C3 New York City Department of Health & Mental Hygiene; New York City
Department of Health & Mental Hygiene; Columbia University
RP Gargano, LM (corresponding author), 42-09 28th St,7th Floor, Long Isl City, NY
11101 USA.
EM lgargano1@health.nyc.gov
RI Stellman, Steven/HOF-9687-2023
FU National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) of the
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) [5U50/OH009739,
1E11/OH009630]; Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry
(ATSDR), CDC [U50/ATU272750]; National Center for Environmental Health,
CDC; New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene (NYC DOHMH)
FX This study was supported by Cooperative Agreement Numbers 5U50/OH009739
and 1E11/OH009630 from the National Institute for Occupational Safety
and Health (NIOSH) of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
(CDC); U50/ATU272750 from the Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease
Registry (ATSDR), CDC, which included support from the National Center
for Environmental Health, CDC; and by the New York City Department of
Health and Mental Hygiene (NYC DOHMH). Its contents are solely the
responsibility of the authors and do not necessarily represent the
official views of NIOSH-CDC.
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NR 59
TC 13
Z9 13
U1 1
U2 16
PI NEW YORK
SN 1935-7893
EI 1938-744X
PD DEC
PY 2015
VL 9
IS 6
BP 625
EP 633
DI 10.1017/dmp.2015.71
PG 9
(SSCI)
GA CW9MP
UT WOS:000365323100007
PM 26073949
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Forero-Ortiz, E
Martinez-Gomariz, E
Porcuna, MC
AF Forero-Ortiz, Edwar
Martinez-Gomariz, Eduardo
Canas Porcuna, Manuel
TI A review of flood impact assessment approaches for underground
infrastructures in urban areas: a focus on transport systems
LA English
DT Review
DE impact assessment; flood risk; urban pluvial flooding; resilience;
hydrodynamic modelling; metro system; subway
ID RISK-ASSESSMENT; CLIMATE-CHANGE; METRO SYSTEMS; LIFE; EVACUATION;
MANAGEMENT; SHANGHAI; PRECIPITATION; PERSPECTIVES; SIMULATION
AB Flooding events can produce significant disturbances in underground transport
systems within urban areas and lead to economic and socioenvironmental well-known
consequences, which can be worsened by variations in the occurrence of weather and
climate extremes. A better comprehension of these impacts and their conditions is
consequently needed. Hence, this paper presents a state-of-the-art literature
review on flood impact assessment in "metro" systems, analysing their purposes and
their shortcomings. This document shows the adaptation measures dealing with
specific classes of pluvial flood damages, besides identifying prospective paths
towards the application of suitable actions facing actual and projected hazards in
metro systems worldwide.
C1 [Forero-Ortiz, Edwar; Martinez-Gomariz, Eduardo] Cetaqua, Water Technol Ctr,
Crit Infrastruct Management & Resilience Dept, Barcelona, Spain.
[Forero-Ortiz, Edwar; Martinez-Gomariz, Eduardo] Tech Univ Catalonia, Flumen Res
Inst, Civil & Environm Engn Dept, Barcelona, Spain.
[Canas Porcuna, Manuel] Transports Metropolitans Barcelona, Projects &
Maintenance Area, Infrastruct Serv, Barcelona, Spain.
C3 Universitat Politecnica de Catalunya
RP Forero-Ortiz, E (corresponding author), CETaqua, Barcelona, Spain.
EM eaforero@cetaqua.com
RI Martinez, Eduardo/IQW-9071-2023; Gomariz, Eduardo Martínez/I-1269-2019;
Forero-Ortiz, Edwar/GSN-1091-2022; Forero Ortiz, Edwar
Andres/C-4607-2014
OI Gomariz, Eduardo Martínez/0000-0002-0189-0725; Forero Ortiz, Edwar
Andres/0000-0002-5238-278X
FU RESCCUE project - European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation
programme [700174]
FX This research was funded by the RESCCUE project, which is sponsored by
the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme
under grant agreement No. 700174, whose support is gratefully
recognised.
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NR 66
TC 11
Z9 11
U1 20
U2 128
PI ABINGDON
SN 0262-6667
EI 2150-3435
J9 HYDROLOG SCI J
PD AUG 17
PY 2020
VL 65
IS 11
BP 1943
EP 1955
DI 10.1080/02626667.2020.1784424
EA JUL 2020
PG 13
WC Water Resources
SC Water Resources
GA MZ1FW
UT WOS:000547443700001
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zhao, X
Ren, G
Huang, ZF
AF Zhao, Xing
Ren, Gang
Huang, Zheng-feng
TI Optimizing one-way traffic network reconfiguration and lane-based
non-diversion routing for evacuation
LA English
DT Article
DE transport planning; transportation networks
ID MODEL; OPTIMIZATION; DESIGN; CONFIGURATION; CAPACITY; SEARCH; FLOW
AB Unfortunately, situations such as flood, hurricanes, chemical accidents, and
other events occur frequently more and more. To improve the efficiency and
practicality of evacuation management plan, an integrated optimization model of
one-way traffic network reconfiguration and lane-based non-diversion routing with
crossing elimination at intersection for evacuation is constructed in this paper.
It is an integrated model aiming at minimizing the network clearance time based on
Cell Transmission Model. A hybrid algorithm with modified genetic algorithm and
tabu search method is devised for approximating optimal problem solutions. To
verify the effectiveness of the proposed model and solving method, two cases are
illustrated in this paper. Through the first example, it can be seen that the
proposed model and algorithm can effectively solve the integrated problems, and
compared with the objective value of the original network, the network clearance
time of the final solution reduces by 47.4%. The calculation results for the
realistic topology and size network of Ningbo in China, which locates on the east
coast of the Pacific Ocean, justify the practical value of the model and solution
method, and solutions under different settings of reduction amount of merging cell
capacity embody obvious differences. Copyright (c) 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
C1 [Zhao, Xing] Hohai Univ, Coll Civil & Transportat Engn, 1 Xikang Rd, Nanjing
210098, Jiangsu, Peoples R China.
[Ren, Gang] Southeast Univ, Sch Transportat, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China.
[Huang, Zheng-feng] Ningbo Univ, Fac Maritime & transportat, Ningbo 315211,
Zhejiang, Peoples R China.
C3 Hohai University; Southeast University - China; Ningbo University
RP Zhao, X (corresponding author), Hohai Univ, Coll Civil & Transportat Engn, 1
Xikang Rd, Nanjing 210098, Jiangsu, Peoples R China.
EM bright-0701@163.com
51408321]
FX This research is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of
China (nos. 51408190, 51578149 and 51408321).
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NR 51
TC 14
Z9 14
U1 0
U2 41
PU WILEY-HINDAWI
PI LONDON
SN 0197-6729
EI 2042-3195
J9 J ADV TRANSPORT
JI J. Adv. Transp.
PD JUN
PY 2016
VL 50
IS 4
BP 589
EP 607
DI 10.1002/atr.1362
PG 19
GA DN6UJ
UT WOS:000377211700014
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Jester, DJ
Peterson, LJ
Thomas, KS
Dosa, DM
Andel, R
AF Jester, Dylan J.
Peterson, Lindsay J.
Thomas, Kali S.
Dosa, David M.
Andel, Ross
TI Nursing Home Compare Star Rating and Daily Direct-Care Nurse Staffing
During Hurricane Irma
LA English
DT Article
DE Nursing Home Compare; disaster preparedness and response; nurse staffing
ID RACIAL DISPARITIES; RESIDENTS; QUALITY; EVACUATION; MORTALITY; KATRINA
AB Objectives: Nursing homes (NHs) are affected by major hurricanes and other
natural disasters. To mitigate adverse effects of a major hurricane, NHs often
increase their direct-care nurse staffing levels to meet the needs of their
residents. However, the quality rating of the NH may affect the resources available
to obtain and retain staff. This data brief provides estimates of direct-care nurse
staffing levels by quality star rating during Hurricane Irma.
Design: Retrospective cohort study from September 3, 2017, to September 10,
2017.
Setting and Participants: 570 Florida NHs that sheltered in place during
Hurricane Irma.
Methods: We stratified NHs by their NH Compare overall quality star rating and
then measured change in direct-care nurse staffing levels for registered nurses,
licensed practical nurses, and certified nursing assistants.
Results: We found that the NH Compare overall star rating was positively
associated with a greater staffing level response during Hurricane Irma among
registered nurses, licensed practical nurses, and certified nursing assistants.
This change was largest for 5-star facilities and smallest for 1-star facilities.
Conclusions and Implications: Higher-quality NHs may be more responsive and have
the resources to be more responsive, to increased needs during a natural disaster.
Our findings may serve as a platform for ongoing discussion on the role of the
federal, state, and local governments in ensuring minimum staffing standards during
natural disasters. (C) 2021 AMDA - The Society for Post-Acute and Long-Term Care
Medicine.
C1 [Jester, Dylan J.] Univ Calif San Diego, Dept Psychiat, 9500 Gilman Dr 0664, La
Jolla, CA 92093 USA.
[Jester, Dylan J.] Univ Calif San Diego, Sam & Rose Stein Inst Res Aging, La
Jolla, CA 92093 USA.
[Jester, Dylan J.; Peterson, Lindsay J.; Andel, Ross] Univ S Florida, Florida
Policy Exchange Ctr Aging, Sch Aging Studies, Tampa, FL 33620 USA.
[Thomas, Kali S.; Dosa, David M.] Providence Vet Affairs Med Ctr, Ctr Innovat
[Thomas, Kali S.; Dosa, David M.] Brown Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Providence, RI
02912 USA.
C3 University of California System; University of California San Diego;
University of California System; University of California San Diego;
State University System of Florida; University of South Florida; US
Providence VA Medical Center; Brown University; Brown University
RP Jester, DJ (corresponding author), Univ Calif San Diego, Dept Psychiat, 9500
Gilman Dr 0664, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA.
EM djester@health.ucsd.edu
OI Jester, Dylan/0000-0001-9878-9633; Andel, Ross/0000-0003-4083-4790
FU National Institute on Aging of the National Institutes of Health
[R01AG060581-01]
FX This work was supported by the National Institute on Aging of the
National Institutes of Health under award number R01AG060581-01. The
funder did not have a role in the design, methods, analysis, or
preparation of this manuscript.
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10.1016/j.jamda.2020.01.104
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10.1177/0898264318767778
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NR 30
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 0
U2 2
PI NEW YORK
SN 1525-8610
EI 1538-9375
PD AUG
PY 2022
VL 23
IS 8
BP 1409
EP +
DI 10.1016/j.jamda.2021.09.038
EA AUG 2022
PG 5
GA 4E8QL
UT WOS:000848084700030
PM 34740564
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Tellman, B
Schank, C
Schwarz, B
Howe, PD
de Sherbinin, A
AF Tellman, Beth
Schank, Cody
Schwarz, Bessie
Howe, Peter D.
de Sherbinin, Alex
TI Using Disaster Outcomes to Validate Components of Social Vulnerability
to Floods: Flood Deaths and Property Damage across the USA
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE social vulnerability; flooding; validation; USA; property damage; death
ID CLIMATE-CHANGE; NATURAL DISASTERS; UNITED-STATES; HURRICANE KATRINA;
BUILT ENVIRONMENT; ADAPTIVE CAPACITY; RIVER-FLOODS; NEW-ORLEANS;
ADAPTATION; HAZARDS
AB Social vulnerability indicators seek to identify populations susceptible to
hazards based on aggregated sociodemographic data. Vulnerability indices are rarely
validated with disaster outcome data at broad spatial scales, making it difficult
to develop effective national scale strategies to mitigate loss for vulnerable
populations. This paper validates social vulnerability indicators using two flood
outcomes: death and damage. Regression models identify sociodemographic factors
associated with variation in outcomes from 11,629 non-coastal flood events in the
USA (2008-2012), controlling for flood intensity using stream gauge data. We
compare models with (i) socioeconomic variables, (ii) the composite social
vulnerability index (SoVI), and (iii) flood intensity variables only. The SoVI
explains a larger portion of the variance in death (AIC = 2829) and damage (R-2=
0.125) than flood intensity alone (death-AIC = 2894; damage-R-2= 0.089), and models
with individual sociodemographic factors perform best (death-AIC = 2696; damage-R-
2= 0.229). Socioeconomic variables correlated with death (rural counties with a
high proportion of elderly and young) differ from those related to property damage
(rural counties with high percentage of Black, Hispanic and Native American
populations below the poverty line). Results confirm that social vulnerability
influences death and damage from floods in the USA. Model results indicate that
social vulnerability models related to specific hazards and outcomes perform better
than generic social vulnerability indices (e.g., SoVI) in predicting non-coastal
flood death and damage. Hazard- and outcome-specific indices could be used to
better direct efforts to ameliorate flood death and damage towards the people and
places that need it most. Future validation studies should examine other flood
outcomes, such as evacuation, migration and health, across scales.
C1 [Tellman, Beth] Columbia Univ, Earth Inst, New York, NY 10025 USA.
[Tellman, Beth; Schwarz, Bessie] Cloud St, New York, NY 11213 USA.
[Schank, Cody] Dell EMC, Austin, TX 78759 USA.
[Howe, Peter D.] Utah State Univ, Dept Environm & Soc, Logan, UT 84321 USA.
[de Sherbinin, Alex] Columbia Univ, Ctr Int Earth Sci Informat Network CIESIN,
Earth Inst, Palisades, NY 10964 USA.
C3 Columbia University; Utah System of Higher Education; Utah State
University; Columbia University
RP Tellman, B (corresponding author), Columbia Univ, Earth Inst, New York, NY 10025
USA.; Tellman, B (corresponding author), Cloud St, New York, NY 11213 USA.
EM et2663@columbia.edu; codyschank@gmail.com; Bessie@cloudtostreet.info;
peter.howe@usu.edu; adesherbinin@ciesin.columbia.edu
OI de Sherbinin, Alex/0000-0002-8875-4864; Tellman,
Beth/0000-0003-3026-6435
FU Google Earth Engine Research Award; Utah State University
FX This research was partially funded by a Google Earth Engine Research
Award, and The Utah State University.
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NR 140
TC 24
Z9 24
U1 6
U2 27
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
JI Sustainability
PD AUG
PY 2020
VL 12
IS 15
AR 6006
DI 10.3390/su12156006
PG 28
(SSCI)
GA MZ4IL
UT WOS:000559085600001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Duijndam, SJ
Botzen, WJW
Hagedoorn, LC
Bubeck, P
Haer, T
Pham, M
Aerts, JCJH
AF Duijndam, Sem J.
Botzen, W. J. Wouter
Hagedoorn, Liselotte C.
Bubeck, Philip
Haer, Toon
Pham, My
Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.
TI Drivers of migration intentions in coastal Vietnam under increased flood
risk from sea level rise
SO CLIMATIC CHANGE
LA English
DT Article
DE Migration; Adaptation; Sea-level rise; Flooding; Sustainable
livelihoods; Household survey
ID CLIMATE-CHANGE; INSURANCE; DISPLACEMENT; COMMUNITIES; PERCEPTIONS;
ADAPTATION; INSIGHTS; DEMAND; HEALTH
AB Elevated flood risk due to sea level rise is expected to increase migration from
coastal areas. This presents an enormous policy challenge given the hundreds of
millions of people living in low-lying coastal areas globally. Despite its
relevance, little empirical research has been done on what drives coastal residents
to migrate or stay under increased flood risk. This study aims to improve the
knowledge base on this topic by collecting and analyzing unique survey data of
flood-prone coastal residents in Central Vietnam. To explain permanent migration
intentions under increased flood risk, we present respondents with realistic
scenarios of more frequent severe flooding and utilize a theoretical framework that
incorporates flood risk indicators as well as key indicators of sustainable
livelihoods. Results indicate that flood risk could play a major role in future
migration behavior; permanent migration intentions strongly increase under the
scenarios of increased flood risk. Several individual characteristics also play an
important role in the migration decision. Regression analyses reveal that
respondents who implemented in situ flood adaptation, and thereby reduced their
flood risk, are less inclined to migrate. Past experiences during flooding such as
evacuation or the reception of help from community members or the government are
also strong predictors of migration intentions. Of the sustainable livelihood
indicators, social capital plays the most important role, where a larger social
network inside (outside) the place of residence is negatively (positively) related
to migration intentions. We draw lessons from these insights for policymakers
aiming to anticipate the challenge of sea level rise-induced migration.
C1 [Duijndam, Sem J.; Botzen, W. J. Wouter; Hagedoorn, Liselotte C.; Haer, Toon;
Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.] Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Inst Environm Studies IVM, De
Boelelaan 1085, NL-1081 HV Amsterdam, Netherlands.
[Botzen, W. J. Wouter] Univ Utrecht, Sch Econ, Kriekenpitpl 21-22, NL-3584 EC
Utrecht, Netherlands.
[Botzen, W. J. Wouter] Univ Penn, Risk Management & Decis Proc Ctr, Wharton Sch,
Philadelphia, PA USA.
[Bubeck, Philip; Pham, My] Univ Potsdam, Inst Environm Sci & Geog, Karl
Liebknecht Str 24-25, D-14476 Potsdam, Germany.
[Pham, My] Ctr Social Res & Dev, 2-33 Nguyen Truong St, Hue City, Vietnam.
[Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.] Deltares, Boussinesqweg 1, NL-2629 HV Delft,
Netherlands.
C3 Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Utrecht University; University of
Pennsylvania; University of Potsdam; Deltares
RP Duijndam, SJ (corresponding author), Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Inst Environm Studies
IVM, De Boelelaan 1085, NL-1081 HV Amsterdam, Netherlands.
EM sem.duijndam@vu.nl
RI Botzen, Willem Jan Wouter/L-3123-2013
OI Botzen, Willem Jan Wouter/0000-0002-8563-4963; Bubeck,
Philip/0000-0001-5163-5290; Duijndam, Sem/0000-0001-6826-1563; Aerts,
Jeroen/0000-0002-2162-5814; Haer, Toon/0000-0001-6172-2793
FU 2021 RISK Award of Munich Re Foundation; United Nations Office for
Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR); German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD,
Graduate School Scholarship Programme) [9189848]; University of Potsdam
FX Philip Bubeck partly received funding from the 2021 RISK Award of Munich
Re Foundation in collaboration with the United Nations Office for
Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR). My Pham has been supported by the
German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD, Graduate School Scholarship
Programme; grant no. 9189848). The survey was funded by the University
of Potsdam.
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NR 67
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 4
U2 4
PU SPRINGER
PI DORDRECHT
SN 0165-0009
EI 1573-1480
J9 CLIMATIC CHANGE
JI Clim. Change
PD FEB
PY 2023
VL 176
IS 2
AR 12
DI 10.1007/s10584-022-03479-9
PG 22
GA 8G0OQ
UT WOS:000920052100001
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Ayeb-Karlsson, S
AF Ayeb-Karlsson, Sonja
TI When the disaster strikes: Gendered (im)mobility in Bangladesh
LA English
DT Article
DE Disaster; (im)mobility; Gender; Non-evacuation behaviour; Trapped
populations
ID CLIMATE-CHANGE; HURRICANE KATRINA; NATURAL DISASTERS; FORGOTTEN
CASUALTIES; Q METHODOLOGY; WOMEN; MIGRATION; MOBILITY; CHILDREN; CYCLONE
AB Gender influences people's behaviour in various ways. This study investigates
gendered (im) mobility during cyclone strikes in Bangladesh. During such strikes
people have described being unable to move away from environmentally high-risk
locations and situations. The Q-based Discourse Analysis used by this study shows
how and why gender-roles (im)mobilised people in three coastal locations during the
cyclones. People (and especially women) explained that failing to evacuate to the
cyclone shelters when a disaster strikes was not uncommon. Gender, or feminine and
masculine social roles, played a significant role in these evacuation decisions
while facilitating or constraining their mobility. The gendered subjectivities
presented different accepted social behaviours and spaces for women and men. In
this way, immobility (social, psychological, and geographical) was strongly
gendered. Masculine roles were expected to be brave and protective, while female
'mobility' could be risky. Women's mobility therefore ended up being constrained to
the home. In other words, when the disaster strikes, everyone did not have the same
ability to move. These empirical insights are important to inform climate policy in
a way that it better supports vulnerable populations worldwide as they confront
global environmental changes today and in the future.
C1 [Ayeb-Karlsson, Sonja] Univ Sussex, Falmer Brighton, England.
[Ayeb-Karlsson, Sonja] United Nat Univ, Inst Environm & Human Secur, Bonn,
Germany.
C3 University of Sussex
RP Ayeb-Karlsson, S (corresponding author), Univ Sussex, Arts Rd Bldg C, Brighton
BN1 9SJ, E Sussex, England.
EM S.Ayeb-Karlsson@sussex.ac.uk
OI Ayeb-Karlsson, Dr Sonja/0000-0001-6124-2730
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Z9 32
U1 2
U2 19
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-0963
J9 CLIM RISK MANAG
PY 2020
VL 29
AR 100237
DI 10.1016/j.crm.2020.100237
PG 24
Sciences
(SSCI)
GA ND4QD
UT WOS:000561885900001
OA gold, Green Published, Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Chandrawati, TB
Ratna, AAP
Sari, RF
AF Chandrawati, T. B.
Ratna, A. A. P.
Sari, R. F.
TI Path Selection using Fuzzy Weight Aggregated Sum Product Assessment
SO INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF COMPUTERS COMMUNICATIONS & CONTROL
LA English
DT Article
DE evacuation route; MCDM; Fuzzy AHP; WASPAS-F
ID MULTICRITERIA DECISION-MAKING; HIERARCHY PROCESS AHP; FLOOD HAZARD;
WASPAS METHOD; LOCATION SELECTION; MODEL; REGION; GIS; AREAS; IRAN
AB The search for safe evacuation routes is an important issue to save flood
victims so they can reach the evacuation centre. This research is a simulation of
searching for safe and fast travel evacuation route that have 24 alternative
routes. Every road that will be transverse has a limit with certain criteria.
Calculate of the weight of the constraints using the Multi-Criteria Decision Making
(MCDM) method, namely the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Weight Aggregated
Sum Product Assessment (WASPAS) based on Fuzzy logic. The criteria of obstacle that
qualitative for obscurity so that it makes sense fuzzy will provide supportive
input for the MCDM problem. The Fuzzy AHP method is applied to calculate the weight
of an application while the Fuzzy WASPAS (WASPAS-F)method is used to determine the
safest alternative route. By using the Fuzzy AHP and WASPAS-F methods, a safe and
fast pathway weights 0.662.
C1 [Chandrawati, T. B.; Ratna, A. A. P.; Sari, R. F.] Univ Indonesia, Dept Elect
Engn, Depok, Indonesia.
C3 University of Indonesia
RP Chandrawati, TB (corresponding author), Univ Indonesia, Dept Elect Engn, Depok,
Indonesia.
EM t.brenda@ui.ac.id; ratna@eng.ui.ac.id; riri@ui.ac.id
FU Ministry of Research, Technology, and Higher Education (Kemristekdikti)
[NKB-1849/UN2.R3.1/HKP.05.00/2019]
FX This work is supported by a doctoral dissertation research grant from
the Ministry of Research, Technology, and Higher Education
(Kemristekdikti) under grant no. NKB-1849/UN2.R3.1/HKP.05.00/2019
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NR 65
TC 9
Z9 9
U1 3
U2 15
PU CCC PUBL-AGORA UNIV
PI BIHOR
PA PIATA TINERETULUI 8, ORADEA, JUD, BIHOR, 410526, ROMANIA
SN 1841-9836
EI 1841-9844
J9 INT J COMPUT COMMUN
JI Int. J. Comput. Commun. Control
PD OCT
PY 2020
VL 15
IS 5
AR 3978
DI 10.15837/ijccc.2020.5.3978
PG 19
WC Automation & Control Systems; Computer Science, Information Systems
SC Automation & Control Systems; Computer Science
GA NN8FA
UT WOS:000569021200009
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Mavhura, E
AF Mavhura, Emmanuel
TI The 2014 Tokwe-Mukorsi floods: Were the civil protection authorities in
Zimbabwe prepared for the disaster?
LA English
DT Article
DE civil protection; flood disaster; indicators; preparedness; variables
ID RISK REDUCTION; RESILIENCE; VULNERABILITY; KNOWLEDGE; FRAMEWORK;
DISTRICT; NETWORK; LEVEL
AB Flood preparedness involves building capacities that enable minimising losses
through effective response and recovery. While there are many preparedness
assessments at household and community level, very few have been conducted at
institutional level. This study assessed the households' perspectives of the
preparedness of civil protection institutions in Zimbabwe during the 2014 Tokwe-
Mukorsi flood disaster and identified the capacity building needs of the civil
protection institutions. It used a 5-point Likert scale to measure six preparedness
indicators: emergency plans, early warning systems, evacuation, resources, disaster
knowledge, and relocation camp management. Data came from a cross-sectional survey
involving 656 household-heads who were randomly selected among the affected
villagers of Tokwe-Mukorsi. The findings revealed various gaps in preparedness both
at indicator and at variable level. While some indicators showed incipient levels
of development in all their variables, others had a combination of low and
developed variables. The preparedness elements that critically need immediate
attention include the development of emergency plans, evacuation of populations at
risk and the prepositioning of resources. However, it is pertinent to mention that
civil protection systems in Zimbabwe need to strengthen most of their preparedness
elements. As such, this study recommends strengthening preparedness activities in
civil protection systems.
C1 [Mavhura, Emmanuel] Bindura Univ Sci Educ, Geog, Bindura, Mashonaland Cen,
Zimbabwe.
RP Mavhura, E (corresponding author), Bindura Univ Sci Educ, Geog, Bindura,
Mashonaland Cen, Zimbabwe.
EM edmavhura@gmail.com
RI MAVHURA, EMMANUEL/N-6989-2013
OI MAVHURA, EMMANUEL/0000-0003-3037-601X
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NR 48
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 2
U2 6
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 1753-318X
PD JUN
PY 2021
VL 14
IS 2
AR e12687
DI 10.1111/jfr3.12687
EA JAN 2021
PG 12
GA RZ3ZW
UT WOS:000609288300001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Cook, KL
Turowski, JM
Hovius, N
AF Cook, Kristen L.
Turowski, Jens M.
Hovius, Niels
TI Width control on event-scale deposition and evacuation of sediment in
bedrock-confined channels
SO EARTH SURFACE PROCESSES AND LANDFORMS
LA English
DT Article
DE bedload transport; discharge variability; bedrock-alluvial channels;
channel width; hysteresis
ID BEDLOAD TRANSPORT RATES; BED-LOAD TRANSPORT; TEMPORAL VARIATIONS; RIVER;
EROSION; STEEP; HYSTERESIS; MORPHOLOGY; THRESHOLD; MIGRATION
AB In mixed bedrock-alluvial rivers, the response of the system to a flood event
can be affected by a number of factors, including coarse sediment availability in
the channel, sediment supply from the hillslopes and upstream, flood sequencing and
coarse sediment grain size distribution. However, the impact of along-stream
changes in channel width on bedload transport dynamics remains largely unexplored.
We combine field data, theory and numerical modelling to address this gap. First,
we present observations from the Daan River gorge in western Taiwan, where the
river flows through a 1 km long 20-50 m wide bedrock gorge bounded upstream and
downstream by wide braidplains. We documented two flood events during which coarse
sediment evacuation and redeposition appear to cause changes of up to several
metres in channel bed elevation. Motivated by this case study, we examined the
relationships between discharge, channel width and bedload transport capacity, and
show that for a given slope narrow channels transport bedload more efficiently than
wide ones at low discharges, whereas wider channels are more efficient at high
discharges. We used the model sedFlow to explore this effect, running a random
sequence of floods through a channel with a narrow gorge section bounded upstream
and downstream by wider reaches. Channel response to imposed floods is complex, as
high and low discharges drive different spatial patterns of erosion and deposition,
and the channel may experience both of these regimes during the peak and recession
periods of each flood. Our modelling suggests that width differences alone can
drive substantial variations in sediment flux and bed response, without the need
for variations in sediment supply or mobility. The fluctuations in sediment
transport rates that result from width variations can lead to intermittent bed
exposure, driving incision in different segments of the channel during different
portions of the hydrograph. (c) 2020 The Authors. Earth Surface Processes and
Landforms published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd
C1 [Cook, Kristen L.; Turowski, Jens M.; Hovius, Niels] GFZ German Res Ctr Geosci,
GFZ Sect 4-6, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany.
[Hovius, Niels] Potsdam Univ, Inst Earth & Environm Sci, Potsdam, Germany.
C3 Helmholtz Association; Helmholtz-Center Potsdam GFZ German Research
Center for Geosciences; University of Potsdam
RP Cook, KL (corresponding author), GFZ German Res Ctr Geosci, GFZ Sect 4-6, D-
14473 Potsdam, Germany.
EM klcook@gfz-potsdam.de
RI Turowski, Jens Martin/A-6629-2009
OI Turowski, Jens Martin/0000-0003-1558-0565; Cook,
Kristen/0000-0003-2355-4877
FU Taiwan NSC [2811-M-002-092]; National Taiwan University
FX Fieldwork in Taiwan was supported by Taiwan NSC grant 2811-M-002-092 and
National Taiwan University. KLC thanks former postdoc advisor John Suppe
for support, as well as Po-Nong Li and Chia-Yu Chen for assistance in
the field. We thank two anonymous reviewers for their constructive
feedback.
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NR 55
TC 10
Z9 10
U1 0
U2 4
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 0197-9337
EI 1096-9837
J9 EARTH SURF PROC LAND
JI Earth Surf. Process. Landf.
PD NOV
PY 2020
VL 45
IS 14
BP 3702
EP 3713
DI 10.1002/esp.4993
EA SEP 2020
PG 12
GA OJ9UF
UT WOS:000569940500001
OA Green Published, hybrid, Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Manopiniwes, W
Irohara, T
AF Manopiniwes, Wapee
Irohara, Takashi
TI Optimization model for temporary depot problem in flood disaster
response
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DT Article
DE Humanitarian logistics; Optimization model; Temporary facility; Floods
ID RELIEF DISTRIBUTION; LOGISTICS; OPERATIONS; ALLOCATION; FACILITIES;
RIVER; HUBS
AB The objective of this research is to establish a model that characterizes
integrated humanitarian operations management in response to flood disasters,
during which an optimal framework that describes the interactions between different
elements in the relief supply chain is crucial. In principle, it is necessary to
develop a model that controls the total flow of supply distribution and evacuation
planning, as well as the location routing of facilities that handle relief supplies
from the sources all the way down the relief chain to the hands of the recipients.
The location-routing model was proposed in response to the temporary depot problem
that is particular to such disasters. To formulate this problem, the use of a
multi-period approach to describe the problem was presented, and multimodal
transportation was considered in order to more closely mimic the realistic behavior
of a flooding disaster.
C1 [Manopiniwes, Wapee] Chiang Mai Univ, Dept Ind Engn, Ctr Healthcare Engn Syst,
Fac Engn, Chiang Mai 50200, Thailand.
[Irohara, Takashi] Sophia Univ, Fac Sci & Technol, Tokyo 1028554, Japan.
C3 Chiang Mai University; Sophia University
RP Manopiniwes, W (corresponding author), Chiang Mai Univ, Dept Ind Engn, Ctr
Healthcare Engn Syst, Fac Engn, Chiang Mai 50200, Thailand.
EM wapee.m@cmu.ac.th; irohara@sophia.ac.jp
RI Irohara, Takashi/AAD-1756-2022; MANOPINIWES, WAPEE/L-8012-2017
OI Manopiniwes, Wapee/0000-0001-6121-7316; IROHARA,
TAKASHI/0000-0003-2040-9703
FU Chiang Mai University
FX This research work was partially supported by Chiang Mai University.
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NR 43
TC 7
Z9 7
U1 3
U2 26
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 0921-030X
EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
PD JAN
PY 2021
VL 105
IS 2
BP 1743
EP 1763
DI 10.1007/s11069-020-04374-1
EA OCT 2020
PG 21
Water Resources
GA PX9NX
UT WOS:000579324300002
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Yuan, FX
Xu, YC
Li, QC
Mostafavi, A
AF Yuan, Faxi
Xu, Yuanchang
Li, Qingchun
Mostafavi, Ali
TI Spatio-temporal graph convolutional networks for road network inundation
status prediction during urban flooding
SO COMPUTERS ENVIRONMENT AND URBAN SYSTEMS
LA English
DT Article
DE Road network; Critical infrastructure; STGCN; Urban flooding; Smart
flood resilience
ID FLASH-FLOOD; IMPACT; DISRUPTION; SHANGHAI; AREAS; MODEL
AB The objective of this study is to predict the near-future flooding status of
road segments based on their own and adjacent road segments' current status through
the use of deep learning framework on fine-grained traffic data. Predictive flood
monitoring for situational awareness of road network status plays a critical role
to support crisis response activities such as evaluation of the loss of access to
hospitals and shelters. Existing studies related to near-future prediction of road
network flooding status at road segment level are missing. Using fine-grained
traffic speed data related to road sections, this study designed and implemented
three spatio-temporal graph convolutional network (STGCN) models to predict road
network status during flood events at the road segment level in the context of the
2017 hurricane Harvey in Harris County (Texas, USA). Model 1 consists of two
spatio-temporal blocks considering the adjacency and distance between road
segments, while model 2 contains an additional elevation block to account for
elevation difference between road segments. Model 3 includes three blocks for
considering the adjacency and the product of distance and elevation difference
between road seg-ments. The analysis tested the STGCN models and evaluated their
prediction performance. Our results indicated that model 1 and model 2 have
reliable and accurate performance for predicting road network flooding status in
near future (e.g., 2-4 h) with model precision and recall values larger than 98%
and 96%, respectively. With reliable road network status predictions in floods, the
proposed model can benefit affected communities to avoid flooded roads and the
emergency management agencies to implement evacuation and relief resource delivery
plans
C1 [Yuan, Faxi] MAPFRE Insurance, Adv Analyt, 11 Gore Rd, Webster, MA 01570 USA.
[Yuan, Faxi; Li, Qingchun; Mostafavi, Ali] Texas A&M Univ, Zachry Dept Civil &
Environm Engn, Urban Resilience AI Lab, College Stn, TX 77840 USA.
[Xu, Yuanchang] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Comp Sci & Engn, Urban Resilience AI Lab,
RP Yuan, FX (corresponding author), MAPFRE Insurance, Adv Analyt, 11 Gore Rd,
Webster, MA 01570 USA.
EM fyuan@mapfreusa.com; yuanchangxu@tamu.edu; qingchunlea@tamu.edu;
amostafavi@civil.tamu.edu
FU National Science Foundation CRISP 2.0 Type 2
FX Acknowledgements The authors would like to acknowledge funding support
from the National Science Foundation CRISP 2.0 Type 2 #1832662. The
authors would also like to acknowledge INRIX for providing the traffic
data. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed
in this research are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect
the view of the funding agencies.
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NR 55
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 18
U2 30
PU ELSEVIER SCI LTD
PI OXFORD
SN 0198-9715
EI 1873-7587
J9 COMPUT ENVIRON URBAN
JI Comput. Environ. Urban Syst.
PD OCT
PY 2022
VL 97
AR 101870
DI 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2022.101870
EA AUG 2022
PG 12
Environmental; Environmental Studies; Geography; Operations Research &
Management Science; Regional & Urban Planning
SC Computer Science; Engineering; Environmental Sciences & Ecology;
Geography; Operations Research & Management Science; Public
Administration
GA 4W2HF
UT WOS:000859986200002
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Yusmah, MY
Bracken, LJ
Sahdan, Z
Norhaslina, H
Melasutra, MD
Ghaffarianhoseini, A
Sumiliana, S
Farisha, AS
AF Yusmah, M. Y.
Bracken, L. J.
Sahdan, Z.
Norhaslina, H.
Melasutra, M. D.
Ghaffarianhoseini, A.
Sumiliana, S.
Farisha, A. S.
TI Understanding urban flood vulnerability and resilience: a case study of
Kuantan, Pahang, Malaysia
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DT Article
DE Vulnerability; Resilience; FGD; Urban flooding; Pahang; Malaysia
ID CLIMATE-CHANGE; SOCIAL VULNERABILITY; COMMUNITY RESILIENCE; DISASTER;
METAPHOR; AREA
AB Malaysia is frequently affected by the annual flooding event caused by the
seasonal monsoon which accounts for significant losses. Flood risk, exposure and
damage potential are increasing, causing the level of poverty and vulnerability to
rise. The annual occurrence of the flood hazard has forced residents to prepare
beforehand to help them spring back to their daily life faster. This study aimed to
investigate and understand the vulnerability and resilience of the victims towards
floods in Kuantan, Pahang. A qualitative approach of focus group discussion (FGD)
is used to obtain detailed and authentic information. A total of thirty-one (31)
participants who were flood victims took part in the FGD. Six groups were formed
for the FGD based on different criteria such as gender, age, education background,
occupation, monthly income and social class. Each FGD group consisted of four to
six participants. When the participants were asked to rank their top five daily
challenges, many thought that flooding is not a threat compared to food, because
flooding occurs annually and is predictable. The results showed that the
participants are well aware of the causes of the vulnerability faced by them due to
the flooding event. Reasons highlighted from the results for the flood occurrence
are the demography of the area, the location of the houses, the improper and
inaccurate information and evacuation plan, the management of the transit centre
and the lack of preparation by the community. The participants also thought that
poor dissemination of early warning information and flood control infrastructures
from the government and other related agencies caused the victims to have
insufficient time to prepare for emergencies, hence causing the recovery process to
be slower. However, from their hands-on experiences, they were able to put forward
suggestions on the resilience towards flood for future references.
C1 [Yusmah, M. Y.; Norhaslina, H.; Ghaffarianhoseini, A.; Farisha, A. S.] Univ
Malaya, Fac Arts & Social Sci, Dept Geog, Kuala Lumpur 50603, Malaysia.
[Bracken, L. J.] Univ Durham, Inst Hazard Risk & Resilience, Durham DH1 3LE,
England.
[Sahdan, Z.] Univ Pendidikan Sultan Idris, Dept Geog & Environm, Tanjong Malim
35900, Perak, Malaysia.
[Melasutra, M. D.] Univ Malaya, Fac Architecture & Built Environm, Dept Urban
Planning, Kuala Lumpur 50603, Malaysia.
[Sumiliana, S.] Drainage & Irrigat Dept, Water Resources & Hydrol Unit, Kuantan,
Pahang, Malaysia.
C3 Universiti Malaya; N8 Research Partnership; Durham University;
Universiti Pendidikan Sultan Idris; Universiti Malaya
RP Yusmah, MY (corresponding author), Univ Malaya, Fac Arts & Social Sci, Dept
Geog, Kuala Lumpur 50603, Malaysia.
EM dr.safiah@um.edu.my
RI Sahdan, Zuriatunfadzliah/HLW-1178-2023; YUSOFF, SAFIAH
MUHAMMAD/B-9663-2010; Bracken, Louise/L-8198-2018
OI Sahdan, Zuriatunfadzliah/0000-0002-6070-4611; YUSOFF, SAFIAH
MUHAMMAD/0000-0002-4317-6124; Bracken, Louise/0000-0002-1268-5516
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TC 11
Z9 11
U1 9
U2 34
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 0921-030X
EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
PD MAR
PY 2020
VL 101
IS 2
BP 551
EP 571
DI 10.1007/s11069-020-03885-1
PG 21
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA KW4ZI
UT WOS:000521174200013
OA Green Accepted, hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zhai, G
Ikeda, S
AF Zhai, G.
Ikeda, S.
TI Empirical analysis of Japanese flood risk acceptability within
multi-risk context
LA English
DT Article
ID DECISION-MAKING; EVACUATION; MANAGEMENT
AB This paper establishes a framework of a multi-risk context for analyzing
acceptable risk beyond single-risk context and empirically examines how other risks
affects flood risk acceptability based on Rational Action Paradigm (RAP) by using a
survey conducted in the Toki-Shonai River region of Japan. The main findings
obtained by cross-sectional analysis and covariance structure analysis within a
multi-risk context can be summarized as follows.
-Nearly half of the respondents accept no flood risk at all.
-Flood risk acceptability depends on not only on the factors of flood risk
itself (e.g. frequency, consequence, and characteristics), but also other types of
risks involved in our technological society.
-Flood risk acceptability is associated with a multi-risk context. Whether a
risk is accepted depends on its perceived importance relative to others as well as
the balance of its cost and benefit. Providing budget information and ensuring
preparedness for flood risk may also affect the acceptability.
C1 [Zhai, G.] Nanjing Univ, Lab Urban Disaster & Publ Safety, Nanjing 210093,
Peoples R China.
[Zhai, G.] Nanjing Univ, Sino French Ctr Urban Reg & Planning Studies, Nanjing
[Zhai, G.] Nanjing Univ, Dept Urban & Reg Planning, Nanjing 210093, Peoples R
China.
[Ikeda, S.] Natl Res Inst Earth Sci & Disaster Prevent, Tsukuba, Ibaraki
3050006, Japan.
[Ikeda, S.] Univ Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058573, Japan.
C3 Nanjing University; Nanjing University; Nanjing University; National
Research Institute for Earth Science & Disaster Resilience; University
of Tsukuba
RP Zhai, G (corresponding author), Nanjing Univ, Lab Urban Disaster & Publ Safety,
22 Hankou Rd, Nanjing 210093, Peoples R China.
EM guofang.zhai@gmail.com
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VL 8
IS 5
BP 1049
EP 1066
DI 10.5194/nhess-8-1049-2008
PG 18
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA 359LF
UT WOS:000259987500010
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Fan, J
Huang, GW
AF Fan, Juan
Huang, Guangwei
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Society?
LA English
DT Article
DE flood vulnerability; aging society; gender; physical ability; evacuation
ID GENDER-DIFFERENCES; AGE
AB It is a well-accepted notion that women are more vulnerable to natural disasters
than men, especially in developing countries. However, in developed countries, how
women's empowerment by economic and social development has reduced the gender gap
in vulnerability remains insufficiently answered. As Japan passed its golden age,
moving into an aging society, a study on how the gender difference in flood
vulnerability has evolved can contribute to a better understanding of the types and
causes of vulnerability, leading to better flood risk management in a new social
context. Following this thinking, the present study conducted a longitudinal
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that the flood vulnerability at present is more driven by age-related physical
ability decline, much less relevant to gender. Based on the results, it proposed a
new framework for assessing flood vulnerability in an aging society. Such outcomes
can help with the better formulation of flood management policies and probing into
solutions.
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pIX
White P., 2005, DEV
NR 37
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 1
U2 2
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 1660-4601
PD JAN
PY 2023
VL 20
IS 2
AR 1299
DI 10.3390/ijerph20021299
PG 11
(SSCI)
Health
GA 7Z3VZ
UT WOS:000915492000001
PM 36674055
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Baugh, J
Altuntas, A
AF Baugh, John
Altuntas, Alper
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SO SCIENCE OF COMPUTER PROGRAMMING
LA English
DT Article
DE Formal methods; Model checking; Scientific computing; Earth and
atmospheric sciences
AB Used to predict the effects of hurricane storm surge, ocean circulation models
are essential tools for evacuation planning, vulnerability assessment, and
infrastructure design. Implemented as numerical solvers that operate on large-scale
datasets, these models determine the geographic extent and severity of coastal
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overland flows. The approach allows us to draw useful conclusions about
implementation choices and guarantees about the extension, in particular that it is
equivalence preserving. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
C1 [Baugh, John; Altuntas, Alper] North Carolina State Univ, Dept Civil Construct &
Environm Engn, Raleigh, NC 27695 USA.
C3 North Carolina State University
RP Baugh, J (corresponding author), North Carolina State Univ, Dept Civil Construct
& Environm Engn, Raleigh, NC 27695 USA.
EM jwb@ncsu.edu
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TC 4
Z9 4
U1 0
U2 14
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 0167-6423
EI 1872-7964
J9 SCI COMPUT PROGRAM
JI Sci. Comput. Program.
PD JUN 15
PY 2018
VL 158
BP 100
EP 121
DI 10.1016/j.scico.2017.08.012
PG 22
WC Computer Science, Software Engineering
SC Computer Science
GA GE4CX
UT WOS:000431163000007
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Cai, L
Li, YB
Chen, M
Zou, ZX
AF Cai Lin
Li, Yingbing
Chen Min
Zou Zixin
TI Tropical cyclone risk assessment for China at the provincial level based
on clustering analysis
LA English
DT Article
DE Tropical cyclones; improved ST-DBSCAN; clustering analysis; risk
assessment
ID TYPHOON DISASTER
AB Accurate risk assessment is essential to help allocate the resource for disaster
relief and make the evacuation decision when hit by a Tropical Cyclone (TC). The
integrated analysis of the hazard-bearing body and the intrinsic characteristics of
TCs are promising to provide a clear pattern of the caused risks. However, in the
literature, the origin of a TC is not considered in risk assessment. In this
article, we propose a risk assessment method aided the analysis of the origins of
TCs. Specifically, in order to obtain the knowledge of potential risk, this method
first clustered the origins of TCs by an improved ST-DBSCAN algorithm and then make
an integrated analysis by combining the analysis results with the hazard-bearing
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investigated. Results show that the improved ST-DBSCAN can identify regions where
TCs generated there have stronger intensities and are more likely to make landfall,
and the provincial risks are distinct among TCs generated from different areas.
Analysis of annual risk changes in provinces is performed based on the results.
These results are valuable for both TC disaster prevention and mitigation.
C1 [Cai Lin; Li, Yingbing; Chen Min; Zou Zixin] Wuhan Univ, Sch Geodesy & Geomat,
Wuhan, Peoples R China.
C3 Wuhan University
RP Li, YB (corresponding author), Wuhan Univ, Sch Geodesy & Geomat, Wuhan, Peoples
R China.
EM ybli@whu.edu.cn
OI LI, YingBing/0000-0002-0661-085X
FU National Key R&D Program of China: National Public Security Emergency
Platform [2018YFC0807000]
FX This research work was supported by the National Key R&D Program of
China: National Public Security Emergency Platform [2018YFC0807000].
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Zhong S., 2018, ADV METEOROL, V2018, P1
NR 44
TC 6
Z9 6
U1 10
U2 34
PI ABINGDON
SN 1947-5705
EI 1947-5713
PY 2020
VL 11
IS 1
BP 869
EP 886
DI 10.1080/19475705.2020.1753823
PG 18
Water Resources
GA LM9WF
UT WOS:000532597500001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Krane, NK
Kahn, MJ
Markert, RJ
Whelton, PK
Traber, PG
Taylor, IL
AF Krane, N. Kevin
Kahn, Marc J.
Markert, Ronald J.
Whelton, Paul K.
Traber, Peter G.
Taylor, Ian L.
TI Surviving Hurricane Katrina: Reconstructing the educational enterprise
of Tulane University School of Medicine
LA English
DT Article
AB Hurricane Katrina was one of the greatest natural disasters to ever strike the
United States. Tulane University School of Medicine, located in downtown New
Orleans, and its three major teaching hospitals were flooded in the aftermath of
the storm and forced to close. Faculty, students, residents, and staff evacuated to
locations throughout the country. All critical infrastructure that normally
maintained the school, including information technology, network communication
servers, registration systems, and e-mail, became nonoperational. However, on the
basis of experiences learned when Tropical Storm Allison flooded the Texas Medical
Center in 2001, Baylor College of Medicine, University of Texas-Houston, University
of Texas Medical Branch in Galveston, and Texas A&M School of Medicine created the
South Texas Alliance of Academic Health Centers, which allowed Tulane to move its
education programs to Houston. Using Baylor's facilities, Tulane faculty rebuilt
and delivered the preclinical curriculum, and clinical rotations were made
available at the Alliance schools. Remarkably, the Tulane School of Medicine was
able to resume all educational activities within a month after the storm,
Educational reconstruction approaches, procedures employed, and lessons in
institutional recovery learned are discussed so that other schools can prepare
effectively for either natural or man-made disasters. Key disaster-response
measures include designating an evacuation/command site in advance; backing up
technology, communication, financial, registration, and credentialing systems; and
establishing partnership with other institutions and leaders.
C1 Tulane Univ, Hlth Sci Ctr, New Orleans, LA 70012 USA.
C3 Tulane University
RP Krane, NK (corresponding author), Tulane Univ, Hlth Sci Ctr, 1430 Tulane Ave,SL-
95, New Orleans, LA 70012 USA.
EM kkrane@tulane.edu
RI Kahn, Marc/AAF-7547-2021; Kahn, Marc J/G-1682-2011
OI KAHN, MARC/0000-0002-9781-9316
CR Bowers Paula J, 2004, Nurs Manage, V35, P50, DOI 10.1097/00006247-200404000-
00014
Franklin C, 2004, CRIT CARE MED, V32, P884, DOI
10.1097/01.CCM.0000115256.47517.43
NORCROSS ED, 1993, AM SURGEON, V59, P28
Schiermeier Q, 2005, NATURE, V438, P903, DOI 10.1038/438903a
NR 4
TC 15
Z9 15
U1 0
U2 7
PI PHILADELPHIA
SN 1040-2446
J9 ACAD MED
JI Acad. Med.
PD AUG
PY 2007
VL 82
IS 8
BP 757
EP 762
DI 10.1097/ACM.0b013e3180cf6ee5
PG 6
GA 199PK
UT WOS:000248707500004
PM 17762249
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Lee, DC
Gupta, VK
Carr, BG
Malik, S
Ferguson, B
Wall, SP
Smith, SW
Goldfrank, LR
AF Lee, David C.
Gupta, Vibha K.
Carr, Brendan G.
Malik, Sidrah
Ferguson, Brandy
Wall, Stephen P.
Smith, Silas W.
Goldfrank, Lewis R.
TI Acute post-disaster medical needs of patients with diabetes: emergency
department use in New York City by diabetic adults after Hurricane Sandy
SO BMJ OPEN DIABETES RESEARCH & CARE
LA English
DT Article
ID POSTTRAUMATIC-STRESS-DISORDER; QUALITY-OF-LIFE; GLYCEMIC CONTROL;
NATURAL DISASTER; EARTHQUAKE; HEALTH; IMPACT; CARE; LESSONS; KATRINA
AB Objective: To evaluate the acute impact of disasters on diabetic patients, we
performed a geospatial analysis of emergency department (ED) use by New York City
diabetic adults in the week after Hurricane Sandy.
Research design and methods: Using an all-payer claims database, we
retrospectively analyzed the demographics, insurance status, and medical
comorbidities of post-disaster ED patients with diabetes who lived in the most
geographically vulnerable areas. We compared the patterns of ED use among diabetic
adults in the first week after Hurricane Sandy's landfall to utilization before the
disaster in 2012.
Results: In the highest level evacuation zone in New York City, postdisaster
increases in ED visits for a primary or secondary diagnosis of diabetes were
attributable to a significantly higher proportion of Medicare patients. Emergency
visits for a primary diagnosis of diabetes had an increased frequency of certain
comorbidities, including hypertension, recent procedure, and chronic skin ulcers.
Patients with a history of diabetes visited EDs in increased numbers after
Hurricane Sandy for a primary diagnosis of myocardial infarction, prescription
refills, drug dependence, dialysis, among other conditions.
Conclusions: We found that diabetic adults aged 65 years and older are
especially at risk for requiring postdisaster emergency care compared to other
vulnerable populations. Our findings also suggest that there is a need to support
diabetic adults particularly in the week after a disaster by ensuring access to
medications, aftercare for patients who had a recent procedure, and optimize their
cardiovascular health to reduce the risk of heart attacks.
C1 [Lee, David C.; Gupta, Vibha K.; Malik, Sidrah; Ferguson, Brandy; Wall, Stephen
P.; Smith, Silas W.; Goldfrank, Lewis R.] NYU, Sch Med, Ronald O Perelman Dept
Emergency Med, New York, NY 10003 USA.
[Lee, David C.] NYU, Sch Med, Dept Populat Hlth, New York, NY 10003 USA.
[Carr, Brendan G.] Thomas Jefferson Univ, Dept Emergency Med, Sidney Kimmel Med
Coll, Philadelphia, PA 19107 USA.
[Carr, Brendan G.] US Dept HHS, Emergency Care Coordinat Ctr, Off Assistant
Secretary Preparedness & Response, Washington, DC 20201 USA.
RP Lee, DC (corresponding author), NYU, Sch Med, Ronald O Perelman Dept Emergency
Med, New York, NY 10003 USA.; Lee, DC (corresponding author), NYU, Sch Med, Dept
Populat Hlth, New York, NY 10003 USA.
OI Wall, Stephen/0000-0003-3965-5074
Secretary for Preparedness and Response (ASPR) [HITEP-150030-01-00]
award number HITEP-150030-01-00 to the NYU School of Medicine.
CR Abir M, 2013, PREHOSP DISASTER MED, V28, P23, DOI [10.1017/S1049023X12001513,
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Cherniack E Paul, 2008, Am J Disaster Med, V3, P133
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Tanaka M, 2014, DIABETES CARE, V37, pE212, DOI 10.2337/dc14-1479
Thethi TK, 2010, DISASTER MED PUBLIC, V4, pS33, DOI 10.1001/dmp.2010.10
Trotter G, 2010, J CLIN ETHIC, V21, P294
Wilson James L, 2013, J Emerg Manag, V11, P9
Zgibor JC, 2007, DIABETES RES CLIN PR, V75, P313, DOI
10.1016/j.diabres.2006.07.007
NR 49
TC 25
Z9 25
U1 0
U2 8
PU BMJ PUBLISHING GROUP
PI LONDON
PA BRITISH MED ASSOC HOUSE, TAVISTOCK SQUARE, LONDON WC1H 9JR, ENGLAND
EI 2052-4897
J9 BMJ OPEN DIAB RES CA
JI BMJ Open Diab. Res. Care
PD FEB
PY 2016
VL 4
IS 1
AR e000248
DI 10.1136/bmjdrc-2016-000248
PG 10
WC Endocrinology & Metabolism
SC Endocrinology & Metabolism
GA EA1DQ
UT WOS:000386333100065
PM 27547418
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Arrieta, MI
Foreman, RD
Crook, ED
Icenogle, ML
AF Arrieta, Martha I.
Foreman, Rachel D.
Crook, Errol D.
Icenogle, Marjorie L.
TI Insuring continuity of care for chronic disease patients after a
disaster: Key preparedness elements
SO AMERICAN JOURNAL OF THE MEDICAL SCIENCES
LA English
DT Article
DE disaster preparedness; chronic disease; continuity of care; health
disparity; Hurricane Katrina
ID HURRICANE-KATRINA EVACUEES; MENTAL-HEALTH; AFTERMATH; NEEDS; SURGE
AB Background: Care for patients with chronic diseases is a challenge after a
disaster. This is particularly true for individuals from health disparate
populations as they are less likely to evacuate, have fewer financial resources and
often depend on resources-trapped institutions for their care. The specific aim of
the study presented here was to elicit challenges and solutions in the provision of
health care to those with chronic diseases after Hurricane Katrina in coastal
Alabama and Mississippi. Methods: Focusing on agencies providing care to health
disparate populations, a qualitative methodology was employed using in-depth
interviews with health and social service providers. Participants identified key
elements essential to disaster preparedness. Results: Predisaster issues were
patient education and preparedness, evacuation, special needs shelters, and health
care provider preparedness. Postdisaster issues were communication, volunteer
coordination, and donation management. Conclusions: Lessons learned from those on
the ground administering health care during disasters should inform future disaster
preparations. Furthermore, the methodological approach used in this study
engendered collaboration between health care institutions and may enhance future
interagency disaster preparedness.
C1 [Arrieta, Martha I.; Foreman, Rachel D.; Crook, Errol D.] Univ S Alabama, Ctr
Healthy Communities, Mobile, AL 36688 USA.
[Arrieta, Martha I.; Foreman, Rachel D.; Crook, Errol D.] Univ S Alabama, Dept
Internal Med, Mobile, AL 36688 USA.
[Icenogle, Marjorie L.] Univ S Alabama, Coll Business, Mobile, AL 36688 USA.
C3 University of South Alabama; University of South Alabama; University of
South Alabama
RP Arrieta, MI (corresponding author), 2451 Fillingim St,Box 97, Mobile, AL 36617
USA.
EM marrieta@usouthal.edu
FU U.S. Department of Health and Human Services [US2MP002001]; Office of
Minority Health; National Institutes of Health; National Center on
Minority Health and Health Disparities; R24 MD001094-02 [National
Institutes of Health, National Center on Minority Health and Health
Disparities]
FX This publication is made possible through grant number US2MP002001 from
the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Office of Minority
Health, with support from the National Institutes of Health, National
Center on Minority Health and Health Disparities, to the Morehouse
School of Medicine for the Regional Coordinating Center for Hurricane
Response. Its contents are solely the responsibility of the authors and
do not necessarily represent the official views of the U.S. Department
of Health and Human Services. This publication also made possible
through grant number R24 MD001094-02 (National Institutes of Health,
National Center on Minority Health and Health Disparities).
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2006, ATLAS TI SCI SOFTWAR
NR 29
TC 26
Z9 27
U1 0
U2 7
PI PHILADELPHIA
SN 0002-9629
J9 AM J MED SCI
JI Am. J. Med. Sci.
PD AUG
PY 2008
VL 336
IS 2
BP 128
EP 133
DI 10.1097/MAJ.0b013e318180f209
PG 6
(SSCI)
GA 342KP
UT WOS:000258783300009
PM 18703906
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Quader, MA
Khan, AU
Malak, MA
Kervyn, M
AF Quader, Mohammad Abdul
Khan, Amanat Ullah
Malak, Md. Abdul
Kervyn, Matthieu
TI Mainstreaming Decentralization and Collaboration in Disaster Risk
Management: Insights from Coastal Bangladesh
LA English
DT Article
DE Coastal Bangladesh; Cyclone preparedness program (CPP);
Decentralization; Disaster risk governance; Institutional linkage; Union
disaster management committee (UDMC)
ID RESILIENCE; GOVERNANCE; CYCLONE; IMPACTS; SYSTEM; SURGE
AB Bangladesh is renowned in disaster risk reduction (DRR) for active involvement
of community people and local disaster management institutions in DRR activities.
Our study aimed to describe the disaster risk management (DRM) institutions and
assess their functioning in six coastal unions across the three coastal zones of
Bangladesh. Both qualitative and quantitative research approaches were used. The
study focused on two key local institutions-the Union Disaster Management
Committees (UDMCs) and the Cyclone Preparedness Program (CPP)-functioning at the
union level in DRM. Such institutions have both horizontal and vertical
collaborations with other institutions. However, we argue that the UDMCs' external
dependencies in their functioning indicate their limited financial and
administrative autonomy, which is a barrier to successfully institutionalizing
disaster management. The results show that the CPP is the most successful program,
markedly increasing the trust of the people in warning dissemination and evacuation
efforts in the event of a cyclone. Although the adoption of decentralized risk
management systems has resulted in significant progress in increased rate of
evacuation and reduced death rate and damage, lack of funding and equipment,
limited coordination between institutions, lack of skilled and knowledgeable
workforce, and inappropriate power structures may reduce the effectiveness of DRR
activities prior to, during, and following disasters.
C1 [Quader, Mohammad Abdul; Kervyn, Matthieu] Vrije Univ Brussel, Dept Geog Earth
Syst Sci, B-1050 Brussels, Belgium.
[Quader, Mohammad Abdul; Malak, Md. Abdul] Jagannath Univ, Dept Geog & Environm,
Dhaka 1100, Bangladesh.
[Khan, Amanat Ullah] Dhaka Univ, Dept Geog & Environm, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh.
[Khan, Amanat Ullah] Bangladesh Univ Profess, Dept Environm Sci, Dhaka 1216,
Bangladesh.
C3 Vrije Universiteit Brussel; University of Dhaka
RP Quader, MA (corresponding author), Vrije Univ Brussel, Dept Geog Earth Syst Sci,
B-1050 Brussels, Belgium.; Quader, MA (corresponding author), Jagannath Univ, Dept
Geog & Environm, Dhaka 1100, Bangladesh.
EM mquader@vub.be
RI Quader, Mohammad Abdul/AAC-4598-2019
OI Quader, Mohammad Abdul/0000-0002-8176-3856
FU VLIR-UOS (Flemish Inter-Universities Council)
FX AcknowledgmentsWe want to extend our thanks to Elaine Newby for
proofreading. The people who participated in this research are greatly
acknowledged. We are grateful to VLIR-UOS (Flemish Inter-Universities
Council) for providing funding for the Ph.D. study of Mohammad Abdul
Quader.
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UNISDR (United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction), 2012, RED
VULN EXP DIS
NR 49
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 0
U2 0
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 2095-0055
EI 2192-6395
PD JUN
PY 2023
VL 14
IS 3
BP 382
EP 397
DI 10.1007/s13753-023-00495-w
EA JUN 2023
PG 16
Water Resources
GA K5XF8
UT WOS:001016448800002
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Meyer, R
Broad, K
Orlove, B
Petrovic, N
AF Meyer, Robert
Broad, Kenneth
Orlove, Ben
Petrovic, Nada
TI Dynamic Simulation as an Approach to Understanding Hurricane Risk
Response: Insights from the Stormview Lab
SO RISK ANALYSIS
LA English
DT Article
DE Adaptation; decision making; hurricanes; laboratory simulation; natural
hazards
ID EVACUATION DECISION-MAKING; FLORIDA; PERCEPTIONS; INFORMATION; DISASTER;
RITA
AB This article investigates the use of dynamic laboratory simulations as a tool
for studying decisions to prepare for hurricane threats. A prototype web-based
simulation named Stormview is described that allows individuals to experience the
approach of a hurricane in a computer-based environment. In Stormview participants
can gather storm information through various media, hear the opinions of neighbors,
and indicate intentions to take protective action. We illustrate how the ability to
exert experimental control over the information viewed by participants can be used
to provide insights into decision making that would be difficult to gain from field
studies, such as how preparedness decisions are affected by the nature of news
coverage of prior storms, how a storm's movement is depicted in graphics, and the
content of word-of-mouth communications. Data from an initial application involving
a sample of Florida residents reveal a number of unexpected findings about
hurricane risk response. Participants who viewed forecast graphics, which contained
track lines depicting the most likely path of the storm, for example, had higher
levels of preparation than those who saw graphics that showed only uncertainty
coneseven among those living far from the predicted center path. Similarly, the
participants who were most likely to express worry about an approaching storm and
fastest to undertake preparatory action were those who, ironically, had never
experienced one. Finally, external validity is evidenced by a close rank-order
correspondence between patterns of information use revealed in the lab and that
found in previous cross-sectional field studies.
C1 [Meyer, Robert] Univ Penn, Wharton Sch, Dept Mkt, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA.
[Meyer, Robert] Univ Penn, Wharton Sch, Ctr Risk & Decis Proc, Philadelphia, PA
19104 USA.
[Broad, Kenneth] Univ Miami, Rosenstiel Sch Marine & Atmospher Sci, Coral
Gables, FL 33124 USA.
[Broad, Kenneth] Univ Miami, Abess Ctr Ecosyst Sci & Policy, Coral Gables, FL
33124 USA.
[Orlove, Ben] Columbia Univ, Sch Int & Publ Affairs, New York, NY 10027 USA.
[Orlove, Ben; Petrovic, Nada] Columbia Univ, Ctr Res Environm Decis Making, New
York, NY 10027 USA.
C3 University of Pennsylvania; University of Pennsylvania; University of
Miami; University of Miami; Columbia University; Columbia University
RP Meyer, R (corresponding author), Univ Penn, Wharton Sch, Dept Mkt, 3700 Walnut
St, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA.
EM meyerr@wharton.upenn.edu
RI Orlove, Ben/I-6327-2015
OI Orlove, Ben/0000-0003-0489-4219
FU NSF-SES from the National Science Foundation [0838650, 0951516]; Direct
For Social, Behav & Economic Scie; Divn Of Social and Economic Sciences
[1238317, 0951516, 0838650] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
FX This research was supported by Grants NSF-SES #0838650 and NSF-SES
#0951516 from the National Science Foundation. The authors wish to thank
two anonymous reviewers for helpful comments on earlier drafts of the
aricle, as well colleagues at the Center for Research on Environmental
Decisions, Columbia University, the University of Miami, and the
University of Pennsylvania for their help and guidance in the
development of the research.
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NR 32
TC 59
Z9 59
U1 1
U2 33
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 0272-4332
EI 1539-6924
J9 RISK ANAL
JI Risk Anal.
PD AUG
PY 2013
VL 33
IS 8
BP 1532
EP 1552
DI 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01935.x
PG 21
(SSCI)
GA 202IA
UT WOS:000323206100015
PM 23231496
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Mirzapour, SA
Wong, KY
Govindan, K
AF Mirzapour, Seyed Ali
Wong, Kuan Yew
Govindan, Kannan
TI A Capacitated Location-Allocation Model for Flood Disaster Service
Operations with Border Crossing Passages and Probabilistic Demand
Locations
SO MATHEMATICAL PROBLEMS IN ENGINEERING
LA English
DT Article
ID FACILITY LOCATION; 1-CENTER PROBLEM; OR/MS RESEARCH; EMERGENCY; PLANE;
DISTANCE; ALGORITHM
AB Potential consequences of flood disasters, including severe loss of life and
property, induce emergency managers to find the appropriate locations of relief
rooms to evacuate people from the origin points to a safe place in order to lessen
the possible impact of flood disasters. In this research, a p-center location
problem is considered in order to determine the locations of some relief rooms in a
city and their corresponding allocation clusters. This study presents a mixed
integer nonlinear programming model of a capacitated facility location-allocation
problem which simultaneously considers the probabilistic distribution of demand
locations and a fixed line barrier in a region. The proposed model aims at
minimizing the maximum expected weighted distance from the relief rooms to all the
demand regions in order to decrease the evacuation time of people from the affected
areas before flood occurrence. A real-world case study has been carried out to
examine the effectiveness and applicability of the proposed model.
C1 [Mirzapour, Seyed Ali; Wong, Kuan Yew] Univ Teknol Malaysia, Fac Mech Engn, Dept
Mfg & Ind Engn, Utm Skudai 81310, Malaysia.
[Govindan, Kannan] Univ Southern Denmark, Dept Business & Econ, DK-5230 Odense,
Denmark.
C3 Universiti Teknologi Malaysia; University of Southern Denmark
RP Wong, KY (corresponding author), Univ Teknol Malaysia, Fac Mech Engn, Dept Mfg &
Ind Engn, Utm Skudai 81310, Malaysia.
EM wongky@fkm.utm.my
RI Govindan, Kannan/M-5996-2017; Wong, Kuan Yew/D-1577-2010
OI Govindan, Kannan/0000-0002-6204-1196; Mirzapour, Seyed
Ali/0000-0002-3797-7857
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NR 56
TC 8
Z9 8
U1 1
U2 23
PU HINDAWI LTD
PI LONDON
SN 1024-123X
EI 1563-5147
J9 MATH PROBL ENG
JI Math. Probl. Eng.
PY 2013
VL 2013
AR 507953
DI 10.1155/2013/507953
PG 11
WC Engineering, Multidisciplinary; Mathematics, Interdisciplinary
Applications
SC Engineering; Mathematics
GA 279PR
UT WOS:000328972400001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zhu, Y
Ozbay, K
Yang, H
Zuo, F
Sha, D
AF Zhu, Yuan
Ozbay, Kaan
Yang, Hong
Zuo, Fan
Sha, Di
TI Modeling and Simulation of Cascading Failures in Transportation Systems
during Hurricane Evacuations
LA English
DT Article
ID CAPACITY
AB Effective and timely evacuation is critical in alleviating the impact of
hurricanes. As such, evacuation models are often sought to support the preparedness
of evacuations. One important task in the modeling process is to evaluate exogenous
factors that cause transportation system capacity loss during evacuation. Typical
factors include direct damage to the roadway network due to storm surge and
cascading impacts because of other facilities failures. For example, power outage
can lead to signal failure and subway suspension. This paper aims to develop a
macroscopic simulation-based approach to study the capacity loss of the roadway
network in evacuation due to signal loss as a consequence of power outage. In
particular, to simulate the case in which traffic signals lose power, a capacity-
reduction model from signalized intersections to unsignalized (all-way stop
control) intersections was developed and calibrated using microscopic model created
in SUMO and Synchro. We used the downtown Manhattan as a case study area and
created a hypothetical power-grid network in terms of neighborhoods. Six scenarios
were built to simulate power loss of different neighborhoods. The simulation
results give insights on how cascading failures of power network affect roadway
network and evacuation process.
C1 [Zhu, Yuan] Inner Mongolia Univ, Inner Mongolia Ctr Transportat Res, Rm
A357c,Transportat Bldg, Hohhot 010020, Inner Mongolia, Peoples R China.
[Ozbay, Kaan; Zuo, Fan; Sha, Di] NYU, Tandon Sch Engn, Dept Civil & Urban Engn,
15 MetroTech Ctr,6th Floor, Brooklyn, NY 11201 USA.
[Ozbay, Kaan; Zuo, Fan; Sha, Di] NYU, Tandon Sch Engn, Ctr Urban Sci & Progress
CUSP, 15 MetroTech Ctr,6th Floor, Brooklyn, NY 11201 USA.
[Yang, Hong] Old Dominion Univ, Dept Modeling Simulat & Visualizat Engn, 4700
Elkhorn Ave, Norfolk, VA 23529 USA.
C3 Inner Mongolia University; New York University; New York University
Tandon School of Engineering; New York University; New York University
Tandon School of Engineering; Old Dominion University
RP Zhu, Y (corresponding author), Inner Mongolia Univ, Inner Mongolia Ctr
Transportat Res, Rm A357c,Transportat Bldg, Hohhot 010020, Inner Mongolia, Peoples
R China.
EM zhuyuan@imu.edu.cn; kaan.ozbay@nyu.edu; hyang@odu.edu; fz380@nyu.edu;
ds5317@nyu.edu
RI Zhu, Yuan/AAT-8119-2021
OI Yang, Hong/0000-0003-2808-8852; Zhu, Yuan/0000-0002-8133-2941
FU Young Scientists Fund of the National Natural Science Foundation of
China [61903205]; Young Scientists Fund of Natural Science of Inner
Mongolia [2019BS07002]; NSF CRISP: Type 1: Reductionist and Integrative
Approaches to Improve the Resiliency of Multi-Scale Interdependent
Critical Infrastructure; project on A Decision-Support System for
Resilient Transportation Networks - NYU Provost Global Seed Fund Grants
FX This study was partially supported by the Young Scientists Fund of the
National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant no. 61903205) and
Young Scientists Fund of Natural Science of Inner Mongolia (grant no.
2019BS07002). This study was partially support by the project of the NSF
CRISP: Type 1: Reductionist and Integrative Approaches to Improve the
Resiliency of Multi-Scale Interdependent Critical Infrastructure, and
the project on A Decision-Support System for Resilient Transportation
Networks funded by NYU Provost Global Seed Fund Grants.
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NR 18
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 6
U2 15
PU WILEY-HINDAWI
PI LONDON
SN 0197-6729
EI 2042-3195
J9 J ADV TRANSPORT
JI J. Adv. Transp.
PD APR 23
PY 2021
VL 2021
AR 5599073
DI 10.1155/2021/5599073
PG 12
GA SJ3XR
UT WOS:000655466200001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wong, SHD
Walker, JL
Shaheen, SA
AF Wong, Stephen D.
Walker, Joan L.
Shaheen, Susan A.
TI Bridging the gap between evacuations and the sharing economy
SO TRANSPORTATION
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuations; Sharing economy; Shared mobility; Transportation network
company (TNC); Hurricane Irma; Emergency management
ID HURRICANE EVACUATION; MODEL; RESPONSES; SERVICES; BEHAVIOR; KATRINA;
TRANSIT; PEOPLE
AB This paper examines the opportunities for addressing evacuations by leveraging
the sharing economy. To support this research, we use a mixed-method approach
employing archival research of sharing economy actions, 24 high-ranking expert
interviews, and a survey of individuals impacted by Hurricane Irma in 2017 (n =
645). Using these data, we contribute to the literature in four key ways. First, we
summarize sharing economy company actions in 30 U.S. disasters. Second, we discuss
results from 24 expert interviews on 11 sharing economy benefits (ranging from
resource redundancy to positive company press coverage) and 13 limitations (ranging
from driver reliability to the digital divide). Experts included six
directors/executives of emergency/transportation agencies, two executives of
sharing economy companies, and eight senior-level agency leaders. Third, we use
these interviews, specifically negative opinions of the sharing economy, to inform
our Hurricane Irma survey, which contributes empirical evidence of the feasibility
of shared resources. Despite just 1.1% and 5.4% of respondents using transportation
network companies (TNCs, also known as ridesourcing and ridehailing) and
homesharing respectively during the Irma evacuation, some respondents were
extremely willing to offer their own resources including transportation before
evacuating (29.1%), transportation while evacuating (23.6%), and shelter for free
(19.2%) in a future disaster. We also find spare capacity of private assets exists
for future evacuations with just 11.1% and 16% of respondents without spare
seatbelts and beds/mattresses, respectively. Finally, we conclude with practice-
ready policy recommendations for public agencies to leverage shared resources
including: communication partnerships, surge flagging (i.e., identifying and
reducing unfair price increases), and community-based sharing systems.
C1 [Wong, Stephen D.; Walker, Joan L.] Univ Calif Berkeley, Civil & Environm Engn,
[Shaheen, Susan A.] Univ Calif Berkeley, Transportat Sustainabil Res Ctr, Civil
& Environm Engn, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA.
C3 University of California System; University of California Berkeley;
University of California System; University of California Berkeley
RP Wong, SHD (corresponding author), Univ Calif Berkeley, Civil & Environm Engn,
EM stephen.wong@berkeley.edu; joanwalker@berkeley.edu;
sshaheen@berkeley.edu
OI Shaheen, Susan/0000-0002-3350-856X; Wong, Stephen/0000-0002-3638-3651
FU Transportation Sustainability Research Center at UC Berkeley
FX This research was made possible through the openness and flexibility of
the interviewed experts in sharing their time and knowledge. We would
also like to acknowledge numerous emergency and transportation agencies,
cities, and planning councils across Florida who distributed the survey.
The opportunity to explore this topic was made possible by the Graduate
Research Fellowship Program, which is administered by the National
Science Foundation. The Transportation Sustainability Research Center at
UC Berkeley also provided generous support to this research. We also
acknowledge that aspects of this paper were presented at the
Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting in 2018. Finally, we would
like to thank the two anonymous reviewers who provided thoughtful
comments for improving this paper.
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NR 167
TC 8
Z9 8
U1 3
U2 18
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 0049-4488
EI 1572-9435
J9 TRANSPORTATION
JI Transportation
PD JUN
PY 2021
VL 48
IS 3
BP 1409
EP 1458
DI 10.1007/s11116-020-10101-3
EA APR 2020
PG 50
(SSCI)
GA SN3JY
UT WOS:000526225000001
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Sadek, M
Li, XX
AF Sadek, Mohammed
Li, Xuxiang
TI Low-Cost Solution for Assessment of Urban Flash Flood Impacts Using
Sentinel-2 Satellite Images and Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process: A Case
Study of Ras Ghareb City, Egypt
SO ADVANCES IN CIVIL ENGINEERING
LA English
DT Article
ID INFORMATION
AB Natural hazards are indeed counted as the most critical challenges facing our
world, represented in floods, earthquakes, volcanoes, hurricanes, and forest fires.
Among these natural hazards, the flash flood is regarded the most frequent. In this
work, we utilized two Sentinel-2 satellite images, before and after the flash
flood, SRTM and photos captured by using a helicopter. This paper aims at three
prime objectives. Firstly, the flood influence is determined on the city of Ras
Ghareb, Egypt, based on analyzing free satellite data (Sentinel-2 images).
Secondly, fuzzy the analytical hierarchy process (FAHP) method and a geographical
information system (GIS) are integrated for flood risk analysis and evaluation in
the flood-prone area. Finally, such a flood vulnerability map is used as an index
to assist the decision-makers prepare for probable flooding. FAHP is preferable as
it can cater to the uncertainties in data and analysis. As a result, FAHP is
appropriate to determine the flood-vulnerable area in cities especially due to the
matching with the most destroyed areas identified by the change detection between
the two Sentinel-2 images. Then, the decision-maker can depend on Sentinel-2 images
to estimate the flood influence through a regional scale or applying the FAHP on
cities susceptible to flash floods in case of unavailable satellite images to
contribute in establishing an early warning system enough to the evacuation of the
risky areas.
C1 [Sadek, Mohammed; Li, Xuxiang] Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Human Settlements &
Civil Engn, Xian 710049, Shaanxi, Peoples R China.
C3 Xi'an Jiaotong University
RP Li, XX (corresponding author), Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Human Settlements &
Civil Engn, Xian 710049, Shaanxi, Peoples R China.
EM hupo0311@hotmail.com
OI sadek, mohammed/0000-0001-5648-6570
FU Chinese Scholarship Council - Ministry of Science and Technology of the
People's Republic of China [2013FY112500]
FX We would like to thank Professor Li Xuxiang for the continuous support
and also Dr. Hou Kang for his help and Chinese Scholarship Council for
financial support. Finally, we thanked the municipal government that
helped us clarify the extent of flood damage. This work was funded by
the Ministry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of China
(2013FY112500).
CR Ahmed B, 2015, NAT HAZARDS, V79, P1707, DOI 10.1007/s11069-015-1922-4
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NR 34
TC 10
Z9 10
U1 1
U2 7
PU HINDAWI LTD
PI LONDON
SN 1687-8086
EI 1687-8094
J9 ADV CIV ENG
JI Adv. Civ. Eng.
PY 2019
VL 2019
AR 2561215
DI 10.1155/2019/2561215
PG 15
GA IF8TP
UT WOS:000473366400001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Federico, JL
Banks, RE
AF Federico, Jennifer L.
Banks, Ron E.
TI PET PODs: A Tool to Assist with Good Welfare Provisions during Emergent
Conditions
SO JOURNAL OF APPLIED ANIMAL WELFARE SCIENCE
LA English
DT Article
DE Disaster preparedness; PETS act; emergency; evacuation shelter; pets
AB The PETS Act amended the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency
Assistance Act to ensure state and local emergency preparedness operational plans
included provisions for individuals with household pets and service animals
following a major disaster or emergency. While the national newsworthy events are
usually large scope disasters, there are also local events which do not meet the
minimal conditions to qualify for state or federal level welfare support. Local
governments should be prepared to house pets at evacuation shelters, regardless of
the breadth of the event, and especially for local events that do not reach the
level of state or federal disasters. Wake County, North Carolina developed a
concept of prepared sustainment "PET PODs" equipped with inventory and operational
instructions required to create and operate an animal evacuation shelter, which
could be, or not be, closely associated with the human evacuation shelter. The Wake
County Animal Center "PET PODs" provided supplies for animals which arrived with
their owners at evacuation shelters during Hurricane Florence, which in addition to
volunteer personnel and donated feed provisions, established the foundation for
good animal welfare for dozens of animals.
C1 [Federico, Jennifer L.] Wake Cty Anim Ctr, Dept Environm Serv, Anim Serv Div,
820 Beacon Lake Dr, Raleigh, NC 27610 USA.
[Banks, Ron E.] Univ Oklahoma, Hlth Sci Ctr, Dept Pathol, Div Comparat Med,
C3 University of Oklahoma System; University of Oklahoma Health Sciences
Center; University of Oklahoma - Norman
RP Federico, JL (corresponding author), Wake Cty Anim Ctr, Dept Environm Serv, Anim
Serv Div, 820 Beacon Lake Dr, Raleigh, NC 27610 USA.
EM jennifer.federico@wakegov.com
CR [Anonymous], 2006, FEDERAL RESPONSE HUR
[Anonymous], 2019, AM RED CROSS FIND OP
[Anonymous], 2007, LLIS LESSON LEARNED
[Anonymous], 2007, LLIS BEST PRACTICE S
[Anonymous], 2010, ADA REQUIREMENTS SER
Association of Shelter Veterinarians (ASV), 2010, GUIDELINES STANDARDS
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), 2014, AN PUBL EV CTR
National Alliance of State Animal and Agricultural Emergency Programs (NASAAEP),
2014, EM AN SHELT BEST PRA
North Carolina Department of Agriculture & Consumer Services (NCDA), 2018, NC AN
WELF ADM COD
NR 10
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 0
U2 12
PI ABINGDON
SN 1088-8705
EI 1532-7604
J9 J APPL ANIM WELF SCI
JI J. Appl. Anim. Welf. Sci.
PY 2020
VL 23
IS 3
BP 253
EP 264
DI 10.1080/10888705.2019.1619179
EA JUL 2019
PG 12
GA ME5XJ
UT WOS:000476141700001
PM 31307233
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Nomura, S
Blangiardo, M
Tsubokura, M
Ozaki, A
Morita, T
Hodgson, S
AF Nomura, Shuhei
Blangiardo, Marta
Tsubokura, Masaharu
Ozaki, Akihiko
Morita, Tomohiro
Hodgson, Susan
TI Postnuclear disaster evacuation and chronic health in adults in
Fukushima, Japan: a long-term retrospective analysis
SO BMJ OPEN
LA English
DT Article
ID NUCLEAR-POWER-PLANT; INTERNAL RADIATION-EXPOSURE; BODY-COUNTER SURVEYS;
TOWN SCHOOL-CHILDREN; NPP ACCIDENT; HURRICANE KATRINA; CONSECUTIVE
YEARS; MARCH 2011; EARTHQUAKE; CONTAMINATION
AB Objective: Japan's 2011 Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant incident required
the evacuation of over a million people, creating a large displaced population with
potentially increased vulnerability in terms of chronic health conditions. We
assessed the long-term impact of evacuation on diabetes, hyperlipidaemia and
hypertension.
Participants: We considered participants in annual public health check-ups from
2008 to 2014, administrated by Minamisoma City and Soma City, located about 10-50
km from the Fukushima nuclear plant.
Methods: Disease risks, measured in terms of preincident and post-incident
relative risks, were examined and compared between evacuees and non-evacuees/
temporary-evacuees. We also constructed logistic regression models to assess the
impact of evacuation on the disease risks adjusted for covariates.
Results: Data from a total of 6406 individuals aged 40-74 years who participated
in the check-ups both at baseline (2008-2010) and in one or more postincident years
were analysed. Regardless of evacuation, significant post-incident increases in
risk were observed for diabetes and hyperlipidaemia (relative risk: 1.27-1.60 and
1.12-1.30, respectively, depending on evacuation status and post-incident year).
After adjustment for covariates, the increase in hyperlipidaemia was significantly
greater among evacuees than among non-evacuees/ temporaryevacuees (OR 1.18, 95% CI
1.06 to 1.32, p< 0.01).
Conclusions: The singularity of this study is that evacuation following the
Fukushima disaster was found to be associated with a small increase in long-term
hyperlipidaemia risk in adults. Our findings help identify discussion points on
disaster planning, including preparedness, response and recovery measures,
applicable to future disasters requiring mass evacuation.
C1 [Nomura, Shuhei; Blangiardo, Marta; Hodgson, Susan] Imperial Coll London, Sch
Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, London, England.
[Blangiardo, Marta; Hodgson, Susan] Imperial Coll London, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept
Epidemiol & Biostat, MRC PHE Ctr Environm & Hlth, London, England.
[Tsubokura, Masaharu] Univ Tokyo, Inst Med Sci, Div Social Commun Syst Adv Clin
Res, Tokyo, Japan.
[Ozaki, Akihiko] Minamisoma Municipal Gen Hosp, Dept Surg, Fukushima, Japan.
[Morita, Tomohiro] Soma Cent Hosp, Dept Internal Med, Fukushima, Japan.
C3 Imperial College London; Imperial College London; University of Tokyo
RP Nomura, S (corresponding author), Imperial Coll London, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept
Epidemiol & Biostat, London, England.
EM s.nomura13@imperial.ac.uk
RI Tsubokura, Masaharu/AAV-4364-2021; Tsubokura, Masaharu/D-7300-2017;
Nomura, Shuhei/HCH-5356-2022; Ozaki, Akihiko/AAD-3889-2021
OI Tsubokura, Masaharu/0000-0001-8027-202X; Tsubokura,
Masaharu/0000-0001-8027-202X; Nomura, Shuhei/0000-0002-2963-7297; Ozaki,
Akihiko/0000-0003-4415-9657
FU Japan Student Services Organization
FX This study was supported by a scholarship from Japan Student Services
Organization.
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ANNEX A LEVELS AND E
World Health Organization, 2013, HEALTH RISK ASSESSME
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NR 50
TC 50
Z9 52
U1 0
U2 12
PI LONDON
SN 2044-6055
J9 BMJ OPEN
JI BMJ Open
PY 2016
VL 6
IS 2
AR e010080
DI 10.1136/bmjopen-2015-010080
PG 11
GA DT5HX
UT WOS:000381514500087
PM 26846896
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Chen, YJ
Lin, HJ
Liou, JJ
Cheng, CT
Chen, YM
AF Chen, Yun-Ju
Lin, Hsuan-Ju
Liou, Jun-Jih
Cheng, Chao-Tzuen
Chen, Yung-Ming
TI Assessment of Flood Risk Map under Climate Change RCP8.5 Scenarios in
Taiwan
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE climate change; dynamic downscaling; high-resolution; indictor-based;
risk maps
ID EXTREME RAINFALL; INTEGRATED APPROACH; GIS; VULNERABILITY;
SUSCEPTIBILITY; MITIGATION; MANAGEMENT; MODELS; TRENDS
AB Climate change has exerted a significant global impact in recent years, and
extreme weather-related hazards and incidents have become the new normal. For
Taiwan in particular, the corresponding increase in disaster risk threatens not
only the environment but also the lives, safety, and property of people. This
highlights the need to develop a methodology for mapping disaster risk under
climate change and delineating those regions that are potentially high-risk areas
requiring adaptation to a changing climate in the future. This study provides a
framework of flood risk map assessment under the RCP8.5 scenario by using different
spatial scales to integrate the projection climate data of high resolution,
inundation potential maps, and indicator-based approach at the end of the 21st
century in Taiwan. The reference period was 1979-2003, and the future projection
period was 2075-2099. High-resolution climate data developed by dynamic downscaling
of the MRI-JMA-AGCM model was used to assess extreme rainfall events. The flood
risk maps were constructed using two different spatial scales: the township level
and the 5 km x 5 km grid. As to hazard-vulnerability(H-V) maps, users can overlay
maps of their choice-such as those for land use distribution, district planning,
agricultural crop distribution, or industrial distribution. Mapping flood risk
under climate change can support better informed decision-making and policy-making
processes in planning and preparing to intervene and control flood risks. The
elderly population distribution is applied as an exposure indicator in order to
guide advance preparation of evacuation plans for high-risk areas. This study found
that higher risk areas are distributed mainly in northern and southern parts of
Taiwan and the hazard indicators significantly increase in the northern, north-
eastern, and southern regions under the RCP8.5 scenario. Moreover, the near-
riparian and coastal townships of central and southern Taiwan have higher
vulnerability levels. Approximately 14% of townships have a higher risk level of
flooding disaster and another 3% of townships will become higher risk. For higher-
risk townships, adaptation measures or strategies are suggested to prioritize
improving flood preparation and protecting people and property. Such a flood risk
map can be a communication tool to effectively inform decision- makers, citizens,
and stakeholders about the variability of flood risk under climate change. Such
maps enable decision-makers and national spatial planners to compare the relative
flood risk of individual townships countrywide in order to determine and prioritize
risk adaptation areas for planning spatial development policies.
C1 [Chen, Yun-Ju; Lin, Hsuan-Ju; Liou, Jun-Jih; Cheng, Chao-Tzuen; Chen, Yung-Ming]
Natl Sci & Technol Ctr Disaster Reduct, New Taipei 23143, Taiwan.
C3 National Science & Technology Center for Disaster Reduction (NCDR)
RP Chen, YJ (corresponding author), Natl Sci & Technol Ctr Disaster Reduct, New
Taipei 23143, Taiwan.
EM yjchen@ncdr.nat.gov.tw; buildart827@gmail.com; jjliou@ncdr.nat.gov.tw;
ctcheng@ncdr.nat.gov.tw; ymchen@ncdr.nat.gov.tw
OI Chen, Yungming/0000-0001-7265-1927
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NR 77
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 7
U2 16
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD JAN
PY 2022
VL 14
IS 2
AR 207
DI 10.3390/w14020207
PG 17
(SSCI)
GA ZB6FJ
UT WOS:000756935400001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Guclu, H
Kumar, S
Galloway, D
Krauland, M
Sood, R
Bocour, A
Hershey, TB
van Nostrand, E
Potter, M
AF Guclu, Hasan
Kumar, Supriya
Galloway, David
Krauland, Mary
Sood, Rishi
Bocour, Angelica
Hershey, Tina Batra
van Nostrand, Elizabeth
Potter, Margaret
TI An Agent-Based Model for Addressing the Impact of a Disaster on Access
to Primary Care Services
LA English
DT Article
DE primary care access; planning; agent-based model; spatial; hurricane;
Superstorm Sandy
ID NEW-YORK-CITY; HURRICANE SANDY; HEALTH; LESSONS; PREPAREDNESS;
INFLUENZA; DELIVERY
AB Objective Hurricane Sandy in the Rockaways, Queens, forced residents to evacuate
and primary care providers to close or curtail operations. A large deficit in
primary care access was apparent in the immediate aftermath of the storm. Our
objective was to build a computational model to aid responders in planning to
situate primary care services in a disaster-affected area.
Methods Using an agent-based modeling platform, HAZEL, we simulated the
Rockaways population, its evacuation behavior, and primary care providers'
availability in the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy. Data sources for this model
included post-storm and community health surveys from New York City, a survey of
the Rockaways primary care providers, and research literature. The model then
tested geospatially specific interventions to address storm-related access
deficits.
Results The model revealed that areas of high primary care access deficit were
concentrated in the eastern part of the Rockaways. Placing mobile health clinics in
the most populous census tracts reduced the access deficit significantly, whereas
increasing providers' capacity by 50% reduced the deficit to a lesser degree.
Conclusions An agent-based model may be a useful tool to have in place so that
policy makers can conduct scenario-based analyses to plan interventions optimally
in the event of a disaster.
C1 [Guclu, Hasan; Hershey, Tina Batra; van Nostrand, Elizabeth; Potter, Margaret]
Univ Pittsburgh, Grad Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth Policy & Management, 130 DeSoto St,
Pittsburgh, PA 15261 USA.
[Kumar, Supriya] Univ Pittsburgh, Grad Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Behav & Community
Hlth Sci, 130 DeSoto St, Pittsburgh, PA 15261 USA.
[Galloway, David; Krauland, Mary] Univ Pittsburgh, Grad Sch Publ Hlth, Publ Hlth
Dynam Lab, Pittsburgh, PA 15261 USA.
[Guclu, Hasan] Istanbul Medeniyet Univ, Sch Med, Dept Biostat & Med Informat,
Istanbul, Turkey.
[Sood, Rishi; Bocour, Angelica] New York City Dept Hlth & Mental Hyg, Bur
Primary Care Access & Planning, New York, NY USA.
C3 Pennsylvania Commonwealth System of Higher Education (PCSHE); University
of Pittsburgh; Pennsylvania Commonwealth System of Higher Education
(PCSHE); University of Pittsburgh; Pennsylvania Commonwealth System of
Higher Education (PCSHE); University of Pittsburgh; Istanbul Medeniyet
University; New York City Department of Health & Mental Hygiene
RP Guclu, H (corresponding author), Univ Pittsburgh, Grad Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth
Policy & Management, 130 DeSoto St, Pittsburgh, PA 15261 USA.; Kumar, S
(corresponding author), Univ Pittsburgh, Grad Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Behav & Community
Hlth Sci, 130 DeSoto St, Pittsburgh, PA 15261 USA.
EM guclu@pitt.edu; supriya@pitt.edu
RI Guclu, Hasan/HJB-1612-2022; Guclu, Hasan/B-7080-2008
OI Guclu, Hasan/0000-0003-3582-9460; Guclu, Hasan/0000-0003-3582-9460;
Kumar, Supriya/0000-0001-8373-105X; Krauland, Mary/0000-0002-1548-6221;
Van Nostrand, Elizabeth/0000-0002-1274-6251; Hershey,
Tina/0000-0002-8600-6168
FU University of Pittsburgh Center for Public Health Practice by The
Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and Response [1 HITEP130004-01-00]
FX Funded through the University of Pittsburgh Center for Public Health
Practice by The Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and Response
Project Number 1 HITEP130004-01-00.
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NR 31
TC 4
Z9 4
U1 0
U2 12
PI NEW YORK
SN 1935-7893
EI 1938-744X
PD JUN
PY 2016
VL 10
IS 3
SI SI
BP 386
EP 393
DI 10.1017/dmp.2016.44
PG 8
(SSCI)
GA DQ3VD
UT WOS:000379130700013
PM 27075561
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Obuobi-Donkor, G
Eboreime, E
Shalaby, R
Agyapong, B
Adu, MK
Owusu, E
Mao, WY
Oluwasina, F
Pazderka, H
Agyapong, VIO
AF Obuobi-Donkor, Gloria
Eboreime, Ejemai
Shalaby, Reham
Agyapong, Belinda
Adu, Medard K.
Owusu, Ernest
Mao, Wanying
Oluwasina, Folajinmi
Pazderka, Hannah
Agyapong, Vincent I. O.
TI Evaluating Community Resilience and Associated Factors One Year after
the Catastrophic Fort McMurray Flood
LA English
DT Article
DE natural disaster; flooding; mental health; resilience; Fort McMurray;
support
ID 1989 NEWCASTLE EARTHQUAKE; POSTTRAUMATIC-STRESS-DISORDER; DISASTER
VICTIMS SPEAK; MENTAL-HEALTH; PSYCHOSOCIAL SEQUELAE; PSYCHOLOGICAL
RESILIENCE; IMPACT; TRAUMA; VULNERABILITY; PREVALENCE
AB Background: Resilience after natural disasters is becoming an increasingly key
area of research. In April 2020, parts of Fort McMurray were affected by severe
floods. The flooding caused the loss of properties, evacuation of some residents,
and effects on their mental health. Objective: This study explores the prevalence
and associated factors between flood experience and low resilience a year after the
2020 floods in Fort McMurray. Method: Data collection was accomplished one year
after the flood, from 24 April to 2 June 2021, using an online survey. The data
were analyzed with SPSS version 25 using univariate analysis with the chi-squared
test and binary logistic regression analysis. Results: The prevalence of low
resilience was 37.4%. Respondents under 25 years were nearly 26 times more likely
to show low resilience (OR = 0.038; 95% CI 0.004-0.384) than respondents 40 years
and above. Responders with a history of depression (OR = 0.258 95% CI: 0.089-0.744)
and a history of anxiety (OR = 0.212; CI 95% 0.068-0.661) were nearly four to five
times more likely to show low resilience than those without a history. Similarly,
respondents willing to receive mental health counselling (OR = 0.134 95% CI: 0.047-
0.378) were 7.5 times more likely to show low resilience. Participants residing in
the same house before the flood were almost 11 times more likely to show low
resilience (OR = 0.095; 95% CI 0.021-0.427) than those who relocated. Participants
who received support from the Government of Alberta were less likely to express low
resilience than those who received no or limited support (OR = 208.343; 95% CI
3.284-13,218.663). Conclusion: The study showed a low resilience rate among
respondents following the 2020 flooding in Fort McMurray. Factors contributing to
low resilience include age, history of depression or anxiety, and place of
residence after the flood. After the flood, receiving support from the government
was shown to be a protective factor. Further studies are needed to explore robust
risk factors of low resilience and measures to promote normal to high resilience
among flood victims in affected communities.
C1 [Obuobi-Donkor, Gloria; Adu, Medard K.; Agyapong, Vincent I. O.] Dalhousie Univ,
Dept Psychiat, Halifax, NS B3H4R2, Canada.
[Eboreime, Ejemai; Shalaby, Reham; Agyapong, Belinda; Owusu, Ernest; Mao,
Wanying; Oluwasina, Folajinmi; Pazderka, Hannah; Agyapong, Vincent I. O.] Univ
Alberta, Dept Psychiat, Edmonton, AB T6G2R3, Canada.
C3 Dalhousie University; University of Alberta
RP Agyapong, VIO (corresponding author), Dalhousie Univ, Dept Psychiat, Halifax, NS
B3H4R2, Canada.; Agyapong, VIO (corresponding author), Univ Alberta, Dept Psychiat,
Edmonton, AB T6G2R3, Canada.
EM vn602367@dal.ca
RI Eboreime, Ejemai/J-4321-2019; Agyapong, Vincent/HRB-6512-2023
OI Eboreime, Ejemai/0000-0001-8277-2570; Agyapong, Vincent Israel
Opoku/0000-0002-2743-0372; Oluwasina, Folajinmi/0000-0002-5120-9782;
Obuobi-Donkor, Gloria/0000-0001-5325-8054; Agyapong,
Belinda/0000-0001-7633-6529
FU Mental Health Foundation; Douglas Harden Trust Fund; Government of
Alberta
FX This study was supported by grants from the Mental Health Foundation,
the Douglas Harden Trust Fund, and the Government of Alberta.
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NR 60
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 0
U2 2
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 1660-4601
PD DEC
PY 2022
VL 19
IS 23
AR 16153
DI 10.3390/ijerph192316153
PG 16
(SSCI)
Health
GA 6Y8HP
UT WOS:000897329800001
PM 36498243
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Ayeb-Karlsson, S
AF Ayeb-Karlsson, Sonja
TI 'I do not like her going to the shelter': Stories on gendered disaster
(im)mobility and wellbeing loss in coastal Bangladesh
LA English
DT Article
DE Disasters; (im)mobility; Gender; Mental health; Non-economic loss and
damage; Non-evacuation behaviour; Trapped populations
ID HURRICANE KATRINA; CLIMATE-CHANGE; CYCLONE SIDR; FORGOTTEN CASUALTIES;
NATURAL DISASTERS; MIGRATION; HAZARDS; WOMEN; EVACUATION; EXPERIENCE
AB The literature body on cyclone strikes in Bangladesh suggests that people
sometimes fail to evacuate, and that more women than men have died in past
disasters. People's reasoning and decision-making leading up to their disaster
(im)mobility are strongly embedded in social structures such as gender systems.
Subjective non evacuation behaviours are founded in collective understandings and
reproductions of social values. People's perceptions around these values therefore
offer important empirical evidence that helps us understand who, how and why some
people end up immobile or 'trapped' when disaster strikes. This study builds on
individual and collective unstructured people-centred storytelling sessions and
discourse analysis. The storytelling study captured rich empirical insights around
the notions of disaster (im)mobility, and their links to the existing power and
gender systems. Three thematic areas were identified including; safe and unsafe
spaces for women and men, female and male knowledge, and male and female
experiences of 'internal damages', trauma and mental ill health. The insightful
storylines of socially immobilising attitudes can support building robust climate
policy and DRR frameworks that better protect our most vulnerable people across the
globe.
C1 [Ayeb-Karlsson, Sonja] Univ Sussex, Brighton BN1 9SJ, E Sussex, England.
[Ayeb-Karlsson, Sonja] United Nat Univ, Inst Environm & Human Secur, Bonn,
Germany.
C3 University of Sussex
RP Ayeb-Karlsson, S (corresponding author), Univ Sussex, Brighton BN1 9SJ, E
Sussex, England.
EM S.Ayeb-Karlsson@sussex.ac.uk
OI Ayeb-Karlsson, Dr Sonja/0000-0001-6124-2730
FU Munich Re Foundation
FX First and foremost, I would like to thank the people who opened their
homes and dedicated their time to this research. I also thank Prof
Dominic Kniveton at University of Sussex and Mr Terry Cannon at
Institute of Development Studies for their constructive comments and for
our extensive critical conversations leading up to the improvement of
the manuscript. I am grateful for the heartfelt support from my Gibika
project team, and especially Mr Istiakh Ahmed for all the time we spent
in field. I also thank the funding organisation of this reserach Munich
Re Foundation, and in particular Mr Thomas Loster and Mr Christian
Barthelt. I am appreciative of the efforts invested by additional
colleagues at the International Centre for Climate Change and
Development, Institute of Development Studies, University of Sussex, UN
University's Institute for Environment and Human Security and Durham
University, and particularly Dr Christopher D. Smith, Dr Andrew Baldwin
and Prof David Ockwell, who in one way or another have supported the
article's development. Finally, I thank the Lancet Countdown network for
the rich and insightful discussions during our working group meetings.
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NR 92
TC 26
Z9 26
U1 2
U2 14
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD NOV
PY 2020
VL 50
AR 101904
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101904
PG 12
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA PG3PB
UT WOS:000599649700009
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Chan, FKS
Yang, LE
Mitchell, G
Wright, N
Guan, MF
Lu, XH
Wang, ZL
Montz, B
Adekola, O
AF Chan, Faith Ka Shun
Yang, Liang Emlyn
Mitchell, Gordon
Wright, Nigel
Guan, Mingfu
Lu, Xiaohui
Wang, Zilin
Montz, Burrell
Adekola, Olalekan
TI Comparison of sustainable flood risk management by four countries - the
United Kingdom, the Netherlands, the United States, and Japan - and the
implications for Asian coastal megacities
LA English
DT Article
ID CLIMATE-CHANGE; HURRICANE-KATRINA; RIVER DELTA; URBAN; INSURANCE;
LESSONS; FUTURE; UK; MISSISSIPPI; STRATEGIES
AB Sustainable flood risk management (SFRM) has become popular since the 1980s.
Many governmental and non-governmental organisations have been keen on implementing
the SFRM strategies by integrating social, ecological, and economic themes into
their flood risk management (FRM) practices. However, the justifications for SFRM
are still somewhat embryonic, and it is not yet clear whether this concept is
influencing current policies in different countries. This paper reviews the past
and current flood management experiences from flood defence to SFRM in four
developed countries to highlight lessons for coastal megacities in development. The
paper explores recent strategies such as "Making Space for Water", Planning Policy
Statement 25 (PPS25), and the National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF) in the UK
and "Room for the River" in the Netherlands, which were implemented to mitigate
flooding, integrate FRM with sustainability concepts, and deliver sound FRM
practice for future generations. In this context, the United States has also
established a National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), and in a different approach,
Japan has developed an advanced flood warning and evacuation contingency system to
prepare for climatic extremes. These case studies give good lessons in achieving
long-term SFRM to deliver sound flood management practices considering socio-
economic and environmental concerns. Most developing coastal megacities especially
in Asia are still heavily reliant on a traditional hard-engineering approach, which
may not be enough to mitigate substantial risks due to human factors (e.g. large
population, rapid socio-economic growth, subsidence from excessive groundwater
extraction) and natural factors (e.g. climate change including sea-level rise and
land subsidence). It is clear that different countries and cities have their
interpretation of SFRM, but this paper explores how policymakers can adopt "mixed
options" to move towards long-term thinking about sustainability with social,
economic, and environmental considerations.
C1 [Chan, Faith Ka Shun] Univ Nottingham Ningbo China, Dept Geog Sci, Ningbo
[Chan, Faith Ka Shun] Univ Leeds, Water Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire,
England.
[Yang, Liang Emlyn] Ludwig Maximilian Univ Munich LMU, Dept Geog, Munich,
Germany.
[Mitchell, Gordon] Univ Leeds, Sch Geog & Water Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, W
Yorkshire, England.
[Wright, Nigel] Nottingham Trent Univ, Res & Innovat, 50 Shakespeare St,
Nottingham NG1 4FQ, Notts, England.
[Guan, Mingfu] Univ Hong Kong, Dept Civil Engn, Pok Fu Lam, Hong Kong, Peoples R
China.
[Lu, Xiaohui] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Urban Environm, Key Lab Urban Environm &
Hlth, Xiamen 361021, Peoples R China.
[Lu, Xiaohui] Univ Nottingham Ningbo China, Nottingham Univ Business Sch China,
Ningbo 315100, Peoples R China.
[Wang, Zilin; Montz, Burrell] East Carolina Univ, Dept Geog Planning & Environm,
A-227 Brewster Bldg, Greenville, NC 27858 USA.
[Adekola, Olalekan] York St John Univ, Sch Humanities, York YO31 7EX, N
Yorkshire, England.
C3 University of Nottingham Ningbo China; N8 Research Partnership; White
Rose University Consortium; University of Leeds; University of Munich;
N8 Research Partnership; White Rose University Consortium; University of
Leeds; Nottingham Trent University; University of Hong Kong; Chinese
Academy of Sciences; Institute of Urban Environment, CAS; University of
Nottingham Ningbo China; University of North Carolina; East Carolina
University; York Saint John University
RP Chan, FKS (corresponding author), Univ Nottingham Ningbo China, Dept Geog Sci,
Ningbo 315100, Peoples R China.; Chan, FKS (corresponding author), Univ Leeds,
Water Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, England.; Yang, LE (corresponding author),
Ludwig Maximilian Univ Munich LMU, Dept Geog, Munich, Germany.; Lu, XH
(corresponding author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Urban Environm, Key Lab Urban
Environm & Hlth, Xiamen 361021, Peoples R China.; Lu, XH (corresponding author),
Univ Nottingham Ningbo China, Nottingham Univ Business Sch China, Ningbo 315100,
Peoples R China.
EM faith.chan@nottingham.edu.cn; emlyn.yang@lmu.de;
xiaohui.lu@nottingham.edu.cn
RI Wright, Nigel/ABO-7247-2022; CAS, KLUEH/T-5743-2019; Chan, Faith Ka
Shun/H-1541-2017; Guan, Mingfu/N-8118-2015
OI Wright, Nigel/0000-0002-1289-2830; Chan, Faith Ka
Shun/0000-0001-6091-6596; Guan, Mingfu/0000-0002-5684-4697; Montz,
Burrell/0000-0002-4251-294X; Mitchell, Gordon/0000-0003-0093-4519
FU National Key Research and Development Program of China
[2019YFC1510400s]; National Natural Science Foundation of China
[41850410497]
FX This research has been supported by the National Key Research and
Development Program of China (grant no. 2019YFC1510400s) and the
National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant no. 41850410497).
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TC 1
Z9 1
U1 5
U2 24
PI GOTTINGEN
SN 1561-8633
EI 1684-9981
PD AUG 12
PY 2022
VL 22
IS 8
BP 2567
EP 2588
DI 10.5194/nhess-22-2567-2022
PG 22
Water Resources
GA 3S5AW
UT WOS:000839609700001
OA Green Submitted, gold, Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Liu, DL
Li, Y
AF Liu, Delin
Li, Yue
TI Social vulnerability of rural households to flood hazards in western
mountainous regions of Henan province, China
LA English
DT Article
ID NATURAL HAZARDS; INDEX; RISK
AB Evaluating social vulnerability is a crucial issue in risk and disaster
management. In this study, a household social vulnerability index (HSVI) to flood
hazards was developed and used to assess the social vulnerability of rural
households in western mountainous regions of Henan province, China. Eight key
indicators were identified using existing literature and discussions with experts
from multiple disciplines and local farmers, and their weights were determined
using principle component analysis (PCA) and an expert scoring method. The results
showed that (1) the ratio of perennial work in other places, hazard-related
training and illiteracy ratio (15+) were the most dominant factors of social
vulnerability. (2) The numbers of high, moderate and low vulnerability households
were 14, 64 and 16, respectively, which accounted for 14.9, 68.1 and 17.0% of the
total interviewed rural households, respectively. (3) The correlation coefficient
between household social vulnerability scores and casualties in a storm flood in
July 2010 was significant at 0.05 significance level (r = 0.748), which indicated
that the selected indicators and their weights were valid. (4) Some mitigation
strategies to reduce household social vulnerability to flood hazards were proposed,
which included (1) improving the local residents' income and their disaster-related
knowledge and evacuation skills, (2) developing emergency plans and carrying out
emergency drills and training, (3) enhancing the accuracy of disaster monitoring
and warning systems and (4) establishing a specific emergency management department
and comprehensive rescue systems. These results can provide useful information for
rural households and local governments to prepare, mitigate and respond to flood
hazards, and the corresponding strategies can help local house-holds to reduce
their social vulnerability and improve their ability to resist flood hazard.
C1 [Liu, Delin] Henan Polytech Univ, Safety & Emergency Management Res Ctr, Jiaozuo
[Li, Yue] Case Western Reserve Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Cleveland, OH 44106 USA.
C3 Henan Polytechnic University; Case Western Reserve University
RP Liu, DL (corresponding author), Henan Polytech Univ, Safety & Emergency
Management Res Ctr, Jiaozuo 454000, Peoples R China.; Li, Y (corresponding author),
Case Western Reserve Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Cleveland, OH 44106 USA.
EM liudelina@163.com; yueli@mtu.edu
RI Li, Yue/F-9000-2010
OI LIU, Delin/0000-0002-9792-9267; Li, Yue/0000-0002-2654-1580
FU National Natural Science Foundation of China [U1504705]; Humanities &
Social Science Research Project of the Education Department, Henan
province [2014-gh-060]; Fundamental Research Funds for the Universities
of Henan province [NSFRF140149]
FX This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of
China (grant no. U1504705), Humanities & Social Science Research Project
of the Education Department, Henan province (grant no. 2014-gh-060), and
the Fundamental Research Funds for the Universities of Henan province
(grant no. NSFRF140149). The authors also express thanks for the
insightful and constructive comments from the reviewers and the editor.
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[No title captured]
[No title captured]
NR 31
TC 32
Z9 33
U1 5
U2 54
PI GOTTINGEN
SN 1561-8633
PY 2016
VL 16
IS 5
BP 1123
EP 1134
DI 10.5194/nhess-16-1123-2016
PG 12
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA DP0VD
UT WOS:000378207200006
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Kiaghadi, A
Rifai, HS
Burleson, DW
AF Kiaghadi, Amin
Rifai, Hanadi S.
Burleson, Daniel W.
TI Development of a storm surge driven water quality model to simulate
spills during hurricanes
SO MARINE POLLUTION BULLETIN
LA English
DT Article
DE Dye tracer; EFDC; Hurricane Ike; Storage tanks; Houston Ship Channel;
Galveston Bay
ID OIL-SPILL; BAY; PREDICTION; TRANSPORT; REGIONS; IMPACT; SLOSH; WAVES
AB Hurricanes can cause widespread environmental pollution that has yet to be fully
articulated. This study develops a predictive water quality model to forecast
potential contamination resulting from buckled or ruptured storage tanks in coastal
industrialized areas when subjected to storm surge. The developed EFDC-Storm Surge
model (EFDC-SS) couples EPA's EFDC code with the SWAN-ADCIRC hurricane simulation
model. EFDC-SS is demonstrated using the Houston Ship Channel in Texas as a testbed
and hurricane Ike as a model hurricane. Conservative and decaying dye runs
evaluated various hurricane scenarios, combined with spills released at different
locations and release times. Results showed that tank locations with shorter
distances to the main waterbody and lower ground elevations have a higher risk of
inundation and rapid spill mass transport. It was also determined that hurricane
strength and landfall location, the location of the spill, and the spill release
time relative to peak surge were interdependent.
C1 [Kiaghadi, Amin] Univ Houston, Civil & Environm Engn, Houston, TX 77204 USA.
[Rifai, Hanadi S.] Univ Houston, Civil & Environm Engn, 4726 Calhoun, Houston,
TX 77204 USA.
[Burleson, Daniel W.] Univ Houston, Cullen Coll Engn, Houston, TX 77204 USA.
C3 University of Houston System; University of Houston; University of
Houston System; University of Houston; University of Houston System;
University of Houston
RP Rifai, HS (corresponding author), Univ Houston, Civil & Environm Engn, 4726
Calhoun, Houston, TX 77204 USA.
EM rifai@uh.edu
OI Kiaghadi, Amin/0000-0001-9706-6222
FU Houston Endowment; Texas Commission on Environmental Quality; US-EPA;
National Science Foundation (NSF) GK-12 Program [0840889]; Severe Storm
Prevention, Education and Evacuation from Disasters (SSPEED) Center;
Division Of Graduate Education; Direct For Education and Human Resources
FX Support was provided by the Houston Endowment, the Texas Commission on
Environmental Quality, the US-EPA, the National Science Foundation (NSF)
GK-12 Program Award #0840889, and the Severe Storm Prevention, Education
and Evacuation from Disasters (SSPEED) Center; they are gratefully
acknowledged. Maria Modelska and Adithya Govindarajan are acknowledged
for providing valuable comments on the manuscript.
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ARCADIS, 2011, ADCIRC BAS STORM SUR
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950X(2005)131:4(137)
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NR 50
TC 9
Z9 9
U1 1
U2 39
PI OXFORD
SN 0025-326X
EI 1879-3363
J9 MAR POLLUT BULL
JI Mar. Pollut. Bull.
PD APR
PY 2018
VL 129
IS 2
BP 714
EP 728
DI 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2017.10.063
PG 15
WC Environmental Sciences; Marine & Freshwater Biology
SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Marine & Freshwater Biology
GA GG2HM
UT WOS:000432510800030
PM 29103659
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Fan, X
Tang, CX
van Westen, CJ
Alkema, D
AF Fan, X.
Tang, C. X.
van Westen, C. J.
Alkema, D.
TI Simulating dam-breach flood scenarios of the Tangjiashan landslide dam
induced by the Wenchuan Earthquake
LA English
DT Article
ID OUTBURST FLOODS; FAILURE; LAKE; EMERGENCY; DISCHARGE; EROSION; SLIDE
AB Floods from failures of landslide dams can pose a hazard to people and property
downstream, which have to be rapidly assessed and mitigated in order to reduce the
potential risk. The Tangjiashan landslide dam induced by the M-w = 7.9 2008
Wenchuan earthquake had impounded the largest lake in the earthquake affected area
with an estimated volume of 3x10(8) m(3), and the potential catastrophic dam breach
posed a serious threat to more than 2.5 million people in downstream towns and
Mianyang city, located 85 km downstream. Chinese authorities had to evacuate parts
of the city until the Tangjiashan landslide dam was artificially breached by a
spillway, and the lake was drained. We propose an integrated approach to simulate
the dam-breach floods for a number of possible scenarios, to evaluate the severity
of the threat to Mianyang city. Firstly, the physically-based BREACH model was
applied to predict the flood hydrographs at the dam location, which were calibrated
with observational data of the flood resulting from the artificial breaching. The
output hydrographs from this model were inputted into the 1-D-2-D SOBEK
hydrodynamic model to simulate the spatial variations in flood parameters. The
simulated flood hydrograph, peak discharge and peak arrival time at the downstream
towns fit the observations. Thus this approach is capable of providing reliable
predictions for the decision makers to determine the mitigation plans. The
sensitivity analysis of the BREACH model input parameters reveals that the average
grain size, the unit weight and porosity of the dam materials are the most
sensitive parameters. The variability of the dam material properties causes a large
uncertainty in the estimation of the peak flood discharge and peak arrival time,
but has little influence on the flood inundation area and flood depth downstream.
The effect of cascading breaches of smaller dams downstream of the Tangjiashan dam
was insignificant, due to their rather small volumes, which were only 2% of the
volume of the Tangjiashan lake. The construction of the spillway was proven to have
played a crucial role in reducing the dam-breach flood, because all the other
natural breach scenarios would have caused the flooding of the downstream towns and
parts of Mianyang city. However, in retrospect improvements on the spillway design
and the evacuation planning would have been possible. The dam-break flood risk will
be better controlled by reducing the spillway channel gradient and the porosity of
the coating of the channel bottom. The experience and lessons we learned from the
Tangjiashan case will contribute to improving the hazard mitigation and risk
management planning of similar events in future.
C1 [Fan, X.] Chengdu Univ Technol, State Key Lab Geohazards Prevent & Geoenvironm
Pr, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China.
[Fan, X.; Tang, C. X.; van Westen, C. J.; Alkema, D.] Univ Twente, Fac
Geoinformat Sci & Earth Observat ITC, NL-7500 AE Enschede, Netherlands.
C3 Chengdu University of Technology; University of Twente
RP Fan, X (corresponding author), Chengdu Univ Technol, State Key Lab Geohazards
Prevent & Geoenvironm Pr, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China.
EM fan21676@itc.nl
RI Van Westen, Cees J/A-4043-2010; Van Westen, Cees/AAE-4091-2020
OI Van Westen, Cees J/0000-0002-2992-902X; Van Westen,
Cees/0000-0002-2992-902X
FU National Natural Science Foundation of the People's Republic of China
[41130745]; Creative Team Program of Ministry of Education of China
[IRT0812]; United Nations University - ITC Centre for Spatial Analysis
and Disaster Risk Management of the University of Twente, the
Netherlands
FX This research was financially supported by the National Natural Science
Foundation of the People's Republic of China (41130745) and the Creative
Team Program of Ministry of Education of China (IRT0812), in
collaboration with the United Nations University - ITC Centre for
Spatial Analysis and Disaster Risk Management of the University of
Twente, the Netherlands. The authors acknowledge the Mianyang
Hydrological Center, Sichuan Hydrological and Water Resource Bureau and
local municipalities for providing the hydrological and meteorological
data. We thank Prof. Chuan Tang and Prof. Jing Zhu for their support to
the fieldwork and data collection. We thank Alexander Strom, Theo van
Asch and Jia-Jyun Dong for constructive comments on an earlier
manuscript.
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NR 46
TC 58
Z9 61
U1 3
U2 55
PI GOTTINGEN
SN 1561-8633
EI 1684-9981
PY 2012
VL 12
IS 10
BP 3031
EP 3044
DI 10.5194/nhess-12-3031-2012
PG 14
Water Resources
GA 029EA
UT WOS:000310476400003
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Colle, BA
Hathaway, JR
Bojsza, EJ
Moses, JM
Sanders, SJ
Rowan, KE
Hils, AL
Duesterhoeft, EC
Boorboor, S
Kaufman, AE
Brennan, SE
AF Colle, Brian A.
Hathaway, Julia R.
Bojsza, Elizabeth J.
Moses, Josef M.
Sanders, Shadya J.
Rowan, Katherine E.
Hils, Abigail L.
Duesterhoeft, Elizabeth C.
Boorboor, Saeed
Kaufman, Arie E.
Brennan, Susan E.
TI Risk Perception and Preparation for Storm Surge Flooding A Virtual
Workshop with Visualization and Stakeholder Interaction
SO BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
LA English
DT Article
DE Decision making; Emergency preparedness; Flood events; Planning;
Societal impacts; Vulnerability
ID INFORMATION; EVACUATION; IMPACT
AB Many factors shape public perceptions of extreme weather risk; understanding
these factors is important to encourage preparedness. This article describes a
novel workshop designed to encourage individual and community decision-making about
predicted storm surge flooding. Over 160 U.S. college students participated in this
4-h experience. Distinctive features included 1) two kinds of visualizations,
standard weather forecasting graphics versus 3D computer graphics visualization; 2)
narrative about a fictitious storm, role-play, and guided discussion of
participants' concerns; and 3) use of an "ethical matrix," a collective decision-
making tool that elicits diverse perspectives based on the lived experiences of
diverse stakeholders. Participants experienced a narrative about a hurricane with
potential for devastating storm surge flooding on a fictitious coastal college
campus. They answered survey questions before, at key points during, and after the
narrative, interspersed with forecasts leading to predicted storm landfall. During
facilitated breakout groups, participants role-played characters and filled out an
ethical matrix. Discussing the matrix encouraged consideration of circumstances
impacting evacuation decisions. Participants' comments suggest several components
may have influenced perceptions of personal risk, risks to others, the importance
of monitoring weather, and preparing for emergencies. Surprisingly, no differences
between the standard forecast graphics versus the immersive, hyperlocal
visualizations were detected. Overall, participants' comments indicate the workshop
increased appreciation of others' evacuation and preparation challenges.
C1 [Colle, Brian A.; Bojsza, Elizabeth J.; Moses, Josef M.; Boorboor, Saeed;
Kaufman, Arie E.; Brennan, Susan E.] SUNY Stony Brook, Stony Brook, NY 11794 USA.
[Hathaway, Julia R.] US EPA, Washington, DC USA.
[Sanders, Shadya J.] Howard Univ, Washington, DC USA.
[Rowan, Katherine E.; Duesterhoeft, Elizabeth C.] George Mason Univ, Fairfax, VA
USA.
[Hils, Abigail L.] Australian Natl Ctr Publ Awareness Sci, Canberra, ACT,
Australia.
(SUNY) Stony Brook; United States Environmental Protection Agency;
Howard University; George Mason University
RP Colle, BA (corresponding author), SUNY Stony Brook, Stony Brook, NY 11794 USA.
EM brian.colle@stonybrook.edu
OI Moses, Josef/0000-0001-5177-6085
FU NSF [1940302]
FX & nbsp;We thank the three anonymous reviewers for comments that improved
this manuscript. This material is based on work supported by NSF under
Grant 1940302. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or
recommendations expressed in this material are those of the author (s)
and do not necessarily reflect the views and policies of the National
Science Foundation and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Thanks to
our volunteer facilitators and to SBU's studio team for assistance in
producing the weather forecasting videos. We acknowledge the Setalcott
and Setauket Nations' lands upon which we performed our research, and we
pay our respects to their elders (past, present, and emerging).
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NR 23
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 3
U2 3
PI BOSTON
SN 0003-0007
EI 1520-0477
J9 B AM METEOROL SOC
JI Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc.
PD JUL
PY 2023
VL 143
IS 7
BP E1232
EP E1240
DI 10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0145.1
PG 9
GA M0FR0
UT WOS:001026952800001
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zhang, ZJ
Liang, J
Zhou, YJ
Huang, ZJ
Jiang, J
Liu, JG
Yang, LL
AF Zhang, Zongjia
Liang, Jun
Zhou, Yujue
Huang, Zhejun
Jiang, Jie
Liu, Junguo
Yang, Lili
TI A multi-strategy-mode waterlogging-prediction framework for urban flood
depth
LA English
DT Article
ID ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORK; DIFFUSION-WAVE TREATMENT; TIME-SERIES;
REGRESSION; MACHINE
AB Flooding is one of the most disruptive natural disasters, causing substantial
loss of life and property damage. Coastal cities in Asia face floods almost every
year due to monsoon influences. Early notification of flooding events enables
governments to implement focused preventive actions. Specifically, short-term
forecasts can buy time for evacuation and emergency rescue, giving flood victims
timely relief. This paper proposes a novel multi-strategy-mode waterlogging-
prediction (MSMWP) framework for forecasting waterlogging depth based on time
series prediction and a machine learning regression method. The framework
integrates historical rainfall and waterlogging depth to predict near-future
waterlogging in time under future meteorological circumstances. An expanded
rainfall model is proposed to consider the positive correlation of future rainfall
with waterlogging. By selecting a suitable prediction strategy, adjusting the
optimal model parameters, and then comparing the different algorithms, the optimal
configuration of prediction is selected. In the actual-value testing, the selected
model has high computational efficiency, and the accuracy of predicting the
waterlogging depth after 30 min can reach 86.1 %, which is superior to many data-
driven prediction models for waterlogging depth. The framework is useful for
accurately predicting the depth of a target point promptly. The prompt
dissemination of early warning information is crucial to preventing casualties and
property damage.
C1 [Zhang, Zongjia] Harbin Inst Technol, Sch Environm, Harbin 150001, Peoples R
China.
[Zhang, Zongjia; Liang, Jun; Huang, Zhejun; Yang, Lili] Southern Univ Sci &
Technol, Dept Stat & Data Sci, Shenzhen 518055, Peoples R China.
[Zhou, Yujue; Jiang, Jie] Southern Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Comp Sci & Engn,
Shenzhen 518055, Peoples R China.
[Liu, Junguo] Southern Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Environm Sci & Engn, Shenzhen
[Liu, Junguo] North China Univ Water Resources & Elect Power, Henan Prov Key Lab
Hydrosphere & Watershed Water S, Zhengzhou 450046, Peoples R China.
C3 Harbin Institute of Technology; Southern University of Science &
Technology; Southern University of Science & Technology; Southern
University of Science & Technology; North China University of Water
Resources & Electric Power
RP Yang, LL (corresponding author), Southern Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Stat & Data
Sci, Shenzhen 518055, Peoples R China.
EM yangll@sustech.edu.cn
OI HUANG, ZHEJUN/0000-0002-3406-2942; Liu, Junguo/0000-0002-5745-6311
FU Key Technologies Research and Development Program [2018YFC0807000,
2019YFC0810705]; National Natural Science Foundation of China; National
Outstanding Youth Science Fund Project of the National Natural Science
Foundation of China [71771113]; Shenzhen scientific research funding for
postdocs stand out [K22627501]; Shenzhen Science and Technology Plan
platform and carrier special [ZDSYS20210623092007023]; Shenzhen Science
and Technology Program [KCXFZ20201221173601003]; Henan Provincial Key
Laboratory of Hydrosphere and Watershed Water Security
FX This research has been supported by the Key Technologies Research and
Development Program (grant nos. 2018YFC0807000 and 2019YFC0810705), the
National Natural Science Foundation of China, the National Outstanding
Youth Science Fund Project of the National Natural Science Foundation of
China (grant no. 71771113), Shenzhen scientific research funding for
postdocs stand out (grant no. K22627501), Shenzhen Science and
Technology Plan platform and carrier special (grant no.
ZDSYS20210623092007023), Shenzhen Science and Technology Program
(KCXFZ20201221173601003), and the Henan Provincial Key Laboratory of
Hydrosphere and Watershed Water Security.
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NR 43
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 20
U2 25
PI GOTTINGEN
SN 1561-8633
EI 1684-9981
PD DEC 22
PY 2022
VL 22
IS 12
BP 4139
EP 4165
DI 10.5194/nhess-22-4139-2022
PG 27
Water Resources
GA 7F9RG
UT WOS:000902174800001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Sayama, T
Yamada, M
Sugawara, Y
Yamazaki, D
AF Sayama, Takahiro
Yamada, Masafumi
Sugawara, Yoshito
Yamazaki, Dai
TI Ensemble flash flood predictions using a high-resolution nationwide
distributed rainfall-runoff model: case study of the heavy rain event of
July 2018 and Typhoon Hagibis in 2019
SO PROGRESS IN EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE
LA English
DT Article
DE Ensemble forecasting; Flash floods; Rainfall-runoff-inundation model;
Typhoon Hagibis; Uncertainty; Flood forecasting; Quantitative
precipitation forecasting; Saturated subsurface flow; Distributed
hydrological model; Meso-scale Ensemble Prediction System (MEPS)
ID STREAMFLOW FORECASTS; PAKISTAN FLOOD; ALERT SYSTEM; PART; JAPAN;
PRECIPITATION; VERIFICATION; TEMPERATURE; SIMULATION; DESIGN
AB The heavy rain event of July 2018 and Typhoon Hagibis in October 2019 caused
severe flash flood disasters in numerous parts of western and eastern Japan. Flash
floods need to be predicted over a wide range with long forecasting lead time for
effective evacuation. The predictability of flash floods caused by the two extreme
events is investigated by using a high-resolution (similar to 150 m) nationwide
distributed rainfall-runoff model forced by ensemble precipitation forecasts with
39 h lead time. Results of the deterministic simulation at nowcasting mode with
radar and gauge composite rainfall could reasonably simulate the storm runoff
hydrographs at many dam reservoirs over western Japan for the case of heavy
rainfall in 2018 (F18) with the default parameter setting. For the case of Typhoon
Hagibis in 2019 (T19), a similar performance was obtained by incorporating
unsaturated flow effect in the model applied to Kanto Region. The performance of
the ensemble forecast was evaluated based on the bias ratios and the relative
operating characteristic curves, which suggested the higher predictability in peak
runoff for T19. For the F18, the uncertainty arises due to the difficulty in
accurately forecasting the storm positions by the frontal zone; as a result, the
actual distribution of the peak runoff could not be well forecasted. Overall, this
study showed that the predictability of flash floods was different between the two
extreme events. The ensemble spreads contain quantitative information of predictive
uncertainty, which can be utilized for the decision making of emergency responses
against flash floods.
C1 [Sayama, Takahiro; Yamada, Masafumi] Kyoto Univ, Disaster Prevent Res Inst, Uji,
[Sugawara, Yoshito] Kyoto Univ, Grad Sch Engn, Nishikyo Ku, Kyoto 6158530,
Japan.
[Yamazaki, Dai] Univ Tokyo, Inst Ind Sci, Meguro Ku, 4-6-1 Komaba, Tokyo
1538505, Japan.
C3 Kyoto University; Kyoto University; University of Tokyo
RP Sayama, T (corresponding author), Kyoto Univ, Disaster Prevent Res Inst, Uji,
EM sayama.takahiro.3u@kyoto-u.ac.jp
RI Yamazaki, Dai/J-3029-2012
OI Yamazaki, Dai/0000-0002-6478-1841; YAMADA, Masafumi/0000-0002-5718-9233
FU Cabinet Office, Government of Japan, Cross-ministerial Strategic
Innovation Promotion Program (SIP), "Enhancement of Societal Resiliency
against Natural Disasters"; JSPS KAKENHI [19H02248, 19K24678];
Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research [19K24678, 19H02248] Funding
Source: KAKEN
FX This work was supported by Cabinet Office, Government of Japan,
Cross-ministerial Strategic Innovation Promotion Program (SIP),
"Enhancement of Societal Resiliency against Natural Disasters" (PI:
Prof. Hori) and JSPS KAKENHI Grant Number 19H02248 (PI: Sayama) and
19K24678 (PI: Prof. Nihei).
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NR 60
TC 18
Z9 18
U1 3
U2 14
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 2197-4284
J9 PROG EARTH PLANET SC
JI Prog. Earth Planet. Sci.
PD DEC 10
PY 2020
VL 7
IS 1
AR 75
DI 10.1186/s40645-020-00391-7
PG 18
SC Geology
GA PD9EW
UT WOS:000597980000001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Harris, A
Roebber, P
Morss, R
AF Harris, Austin
Roebber, Paul
Morss, Rebecca
TI A New Verification Approach? Using Coupled Natural-Human Models to
Evaluate the Impact of Forecast Errors on Evacuations
LA English
DT Article
DE Forecast verification/skill; Coupled models; Decision making; Emergency
preparedness; Societal impacts
ID SYSTEM
AB In addition to measuring forecast accuracy in terms of errors in a tropical
system's forecast track and other meteorological characteristics, it is important
to measure the impact of those errors on society. With this in mind, the authors
designed a coupled natural-human modeling framework with high-level representations
of the natural hazard (hurricane), the human system (information flow, evacuation
decisions), the built environment (road infrastructure), and connec-tions between
elements (forecasts and warning information, traffic). Using the model, this
article begins exploring how tropical cyclone forecast errors impact evacuations
and, in doing so, builds toward the development of new verification approaches.
Specifically, the authors implement track errors representative of 2007 and 2022,
and create situations with unexpected rapid intensifica-tion and/or rapid onset,
and evaluate their impact on evacuations across real and hypothetical forecast
scenarios (e.g., Hurricane Irma, Hurricane Dorian making landfall across east
Florida). The results provide first-order evidence that 1) reduced forecast track
errors across the 2007-22 period translate to improvements in evacuation outcomes
across these cases and 2) unexpected rapid intensification and/or rapid onset
scenarios can reduce evacuation rates, and increase traffic, across the most
impacted areas. In exploring these relationships, the results demonstrate how
experiments with coupled natural-human models can offer a societally relevant
complement to traditional metrics of forecast accuracy. In doing so, this work
points toward further development of natural-human models and associated
methodologies to address these types of questions and improve forecast verification
across the weather enterprise.
C1 [Harris, Austin; Roebber, Paul] Univ Wisconsin Milwaukee, Boulder, CO 53211 USA.
[Harris, Austin; Morss, Rebecca] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Boulder, CO 80305 USA.
C3 National Center Atmospheric Research (NCAR) - USA
RP Harris, A (corresponding author), Univ Wisconsin Milwaukee, Boulder, CO 53211
USA.; Harris, A (corresponding author), Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Boulder, CO 80305
USA.
EM austinh@ucar.edu
FU National Science Foundation [2100801, 2100837, 1852977]; NSF; National
Center for Atmospheric Research
FX This material is based upon work supported by the National Science
Foundation under Grants 2100801 and 2100837. The authors thank NSF for
their support. This material is also based upon work supported by the
National Center for Atmospheric Research, which is a major facility
sponsored by the National Science Foundation under Cooperative Agreement
1852977.
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NR 28
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 2
U2 2
PI BOSTON
SN 0003-0007
EI 1520-0477
PD JUN
PY 2023
VL 104
IS 6
BP E1166
EP E1178
DI 10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0136.1
PG 13
GA L7GB9
UT WOS:001024895900001
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Quader, MA
Khan, AU
Kervyn, M
AF Quader, Mohammad Abdul
Khan, Amanat Ullah
Kervyn, Matthieu
TI Assessing Risks from Cyclones for Human Lives and Livelihoods in the
Coastal Region of Bangladesh
LA English
DT Article
DE exposure; hazard; vulnerability; capacity; risk map; casualty; cyclone;
cyclone shelter; PCA; Bangladesh
ID SOCIAL VULNERABILITY; CLIMATE-CHANGE; NATURAL DISASTERS; METEOROLOGICAL
HAZARDS; RESILIENCE INDEX; SEA-LEVEL; DISPLACEMENT; IMPACTS; PART;
METHODOLOGY
AB As a disaster prone country, Bangladesh is regularly hit by natural hazards,
including devastating cyclones, such as in 1970, 1991 and 2007. Although the number
of cyclones' fatalities reduced from 0.3 million in 1970 to a few thousand or fewer
in recent events, loss of lives and impact on livelihoods remains a concern. It
depends on the meteorological characteristics of cyclone and the general
vulnerability and capacity of the exposed population. In that perspective, a
spatially explicit risk assessment is an essential step towards targeted disaster
risk reduction. This study aims at analyzing the spatial variation of the different
factors contributing to the risk for coastal communities at regional scale,
including the distribution of the hazards, exposure, vulnerability and capacity. An
exploratory factor analysis method is used to map vulnerability contrasts between
local administrative units. Indexing and ranking using geospatial techniques are
used to produce maps of exposure, hazard, vulnerability, capacities and risk.
Results show that vulnerable populations and exposed areas are distributed along
the land sea boundary, islands and major inland rivers. The hazard, assessed from
the density of historical cyclone paths, is highest in the southwestern part of the
coast. Whereas cyclones shelters are shown to properly serve the most vulnerable
populations as priority evacuation centers, the overall pattern of capacity
accounting for building quality and road network shows a more complex pattern.
Resultant risk maps also provide a reasonable basis from which to take further
structural measures to minimize loss of lives in the upcoming cyclones.
C1 [Quader, Mohammad Abdul; Kervyn, Matthieu] Vrije Univ Brussel, Dept Geog, Earth
Syst Sci, B-1050 Brussels, Belgium.
[Quader, Mohammad Abdul] Jagannath Univ, Dept Geog & Environm, Dhaka 1100,
Bangladesh.
[Khan, Amanat Ullah] Univ Dhaka, Dept Geog & Environm, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh.
C3 Vrije Universiteit Brussel; University of Dhaka
RP Quader, MA (corresponding author), Vrije Univ Brussel, Dept Geog, Earth Syst
Sci, B-1050 Brussels, Belgium.; Quader, MA (corresponding author), Jagannath Univ,
Dept Geog & Environm, Dhaka 1100, Bangladesh.
EM mquader@vub.ac.be; amanat.ullah@gmail.com; makervyn@vub.ac.be
RI Quader, Mohammad Abdul/AAC-4598-2019; Kervyn, Matthieu/I-6512-2015;
Kervyn, Matthieu/GPX-5428-2022
OI Quader, Mohammad Abdul/0000-0002-8176-3856; Kervyn,
Matthieu/0000-0002-4966-3468;
FU VLIR-UOS
FX We would like to acknowledge VLIR-UOS for funding this research under
the framework of ICP PhD Scholarship. Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics
(BBS) is acknowledged to make the population census data available
online. Special thanks to my colleague Abdul Malak for digitizing some
missing parts of administrative boundaries. We also thank five anonymous
reviewers for giving comments on the manuscript that helped to improve
it greatly.
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NR 88
TC 43
Z9 44
U1 5
U2 40
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 1660-4601
PD AUG
PY 2017
VL 14
IS 8
AR 831
DI 10.3390/ijerph14080831
PG 26
(SSCI)
Health
GA FF1UL
UT WOS:000408684300001
PM 28757550
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Pruchno, R
Wilson-Genderson, M
Heid, AR
Cartwright, FP
AF Pruchno, Rachel
Wilson-Genderson, Maureen
Heid, Allison R.
Cartwright, Francine P.
TI Type of Disaster Exposure Affects Functional Limitations of Older People
6 Years Later
SO JOURNALS OF GERONTOLOGY SERIES A-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES AND MEDICAL
SCIENCES
LA English
DT Article
DE Disaster exposure; Functional limitations; Hurricane Sandy
ID EAST JAPAN EARTHQUAKE; MENTAL-HEALTH; DISABILITY PREVALENCE; PHYSICAL
FUNCTION; RISK; SYMPTOMS; STRESS; DEPRESSION; TRENDS; IMPACT
AB Background: Natural disasters, including earthquakes, tsunamis, tornadoes, and
hurricanes, are traumatic events that simultaneously affect the lives of many
people. Although much is known about the effects that natural disasters have on
mental health, little is known about how natural disasters affect physical health.
These analyses add to the literature by examining the ways in which four types of
disaster exposure (geographic, peri-traumatic stress, personal and property loss,
and poststorm hardship) experienced by older people during and after Hurricane
Sandy affected functional limitations.
Methods: We analyzed five waves of data from the ORANJ BOWL panel ("Ongoing
Research on Aging in New Jersey: Bettering Opportunities for Wellness in Life")
using multilevel mixed-effects models.
Results: We found that although peri-traumatic stress and poststorm hardship
each had independent effects on functional limitations, the effects of peri-
traumatic stress dominated and were evident 6 years after the hurricane. Geographic
exposure and personal/property loss were not associated with functional
limitations.
Conclusions: These findings add important information to what is known about
older people who experience a natural disaster and suggest opportunities for
intervention. Finding that an individual's emotional response during the disaster
plays an important role in the development of functional limitations suggests that
reduction of exposure to traumatic stress during a storm (ie, evacuation from a
storm area) may be important for older people. Likewise, interventions immediately
after a disaster that target older people who experience high levels of peri-
traumatic distress may be needed in order to alleviate functional limitations
before they develop.
C1 [Pruchno, Rachel; Heid, Allison R.; Cartwright, Francine P.] Rowan Univ, New
Jersey Inst Successful Aging, Sch Osteopath Med, Stratford, NJ 08084 USA.
[Wilson-Genderson, Maureen] Temple Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Philadelphia, PA USA.
C3 Rowan University; Rowan University School of Osteopathic Medicine;
Pennsylvania Commonwealth System of Higher Education (PCSHE); Temple
University
RP Pruchno, R (corresponding author), Rowan Univ, New Jersey Inst Successful Aging,
SOM, 42 E Laurel Rd,Suite 2300, Stratford, NJ 08084 USA.
EM pruchnra@rowan.edu
RI Cartwright, Francine P/IQV-6748-2023
OI Cartwright, Francine P/0000-0001-5309-0394
FU University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey; National Institute
on Aging [R01AG046463]; Assistant Secretary for Preparedness Response [1
HITEP130008]
FX This work was supported by the University of Medicine and Dentistry of
New Jersey, the Assistant Secretary for Preparedness & Response (1
HITEP130008), and the National Institute on Aging (R01AG046463).
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NR 53
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 1
U2 8
PU OXFORD UNIV PRESS INC
PI CARY
PA JOURNALS DEPT, 2001 EVANS RD, CARY, NC 27513 USA
SN 1079-5006
EI 1758-535X
J9 J GERONTOL A-BIOL
JI J. Gerontol. Ser. A-Biol. Sci. Med. Sci.
PD NOV
PY 2020
VL 75
IS 11
BP 2139
EP 2146
DI 10.1093/gerona/glz258
PG 8
(SSCI)
GA OD5CR
UT WOS:000579870000018
PM 31678995
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Naito, H
Sueta, D
Hanatani, S
Ikeda, H
Hirosue, A
Senokuchi, T
Araki, E
Tsujita, K
Nakayama, H
Kasaoka, S
AF Naito, Hisaki
Sueta, Daisuke
Hanatani, Satoko
Ikeda, Hatsuo
Hirosue, Akiyuki
Senokuchi, Takafumi
Araki, Eiichi
Tsujita, Kenichi
Nakayama, Hideki
Kasaoka, Shunji
TI Factors Affecting Human Damage in Heavy Rains and Typhoon Disasters
SO TOHOKU JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL MEDICINE
LA English
DT Article
DE disaster medicine; flood disasters; heavy rain; typhoon; fatalities
ID FLOOD FATALITIES; PARAMETERS
AB Floods due to heavy rains or typhoons are frequent annual hazards in Japan. This
study aims to reduce disaster fatalities and contribute to disaster risk reduction.
This retrospective observational study analyzed fatalities caused by heavy rains or
typhoons. In Japan, 578 fatalities, related to seven occurrences of heavy rains and
16 typhoons, occurred between 2016 and 2020. Moreover, 13,195 houses collapsed due
to hazards. Furthermore, 334 (73.2%) of the 456 fatalities were > 60 years old.
Heavy rains caused more local area destruction due to floods and landslides than
typhoons although wind- and disaster-related mortalities were found to be caused by
typhoons. Human damage was eminent in older people because of their vulnerabilities
and possibly dangerous behavior. Many fatalities were due to floods (46.9%) and
landslides (44.1%). Indoor and outdoor mortalities due to heavy rains or typhoons
were 157 (55.9%) and 124 (44.1%), respectively, and 24 (21.8%) of 124 outdoor
mortalities occurred in vehicles. The number of recent flood mortalities in Japan
correlates with the number of destroyed houses. Analyzing the victim's locations in
the 2020 Kumamoto Heavy Rain using hazard and inundation maps suggested the
difficulty of ensuring the safety of people living in dangerous areas. This study
showed the characteristics of flood damage by heavy rains and typhoons in Japan and
reports that flood damage is increasing because of the hazard size and community
aging. Disaster risk reduction, disaster education, and evacuation safety plans for
the elderly using hazard maps were important for strengthening disaster resilience.
C1 [Naito, Hisaki; Hanatani, Satoko; Ikeda, Hatsuo; Kasaoka, Shunji] Kumamoto Univ
Hosp, Disaster Med Educ & Res Ctr, Kumamoto, Kumamoto, Japan.
[Sueta, Daisuke; Tsujita, Kenichi] Kumamoto Univ Hosp, Dept Cardiovasc Med,
Kumamoto, Kumamoto, Japan.
[Hanatani, Satoko; Senokuchi, Takafumi; Araki, Eiichi] Kumamoto Univ Hosp, Dept
Diabet Metab & Endocrinol, Kumamoto, Kumamoto, Japan.
[Hirosue, Akiyuki; Nakayama, Hideki] Kumamoto Univ Hosp, Fac Life Sci, Dept Oral
& Maxillofacial Surg, Kumamoto, Kumamoto, Japan.
C3 Kumamoto University; Kumamoto University; Kumamoto University; Kumamoto
University
RP Naito, H (corresponding author), Kumamoto Univ, Kumamoto Univ Hosp, Disaster Med
Educ & Res Ctr, Chuo Ku, 1-1-1 Honjo, Kumamoto, Kumamoto 8608556, Japan.
EM 319rikuyuku@kuh.kumamoto-u.ac.jp
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NR 26
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 2
U2 7
PU TOHOKU UNIV MEDICAL PRESS
PI SENDAI
PA 2-1, SEIRYO-MACHI, AOBA-KU, SENDAI, MIYAGI 980-8575, JAPAN
SN 0040-8727
EI 1349-3329
J9 TOHOKU J EXP MED
JI Tohoku J. Exp. Med.
PD FEB
PY 2022
VL 256
IS 2
BP 175
EP 185
DI 10.1620/tjem.256.175
PG 11
WC Medicine, General & Internal; Medicine, Research & Experimental
SC General & Internal Medicine; Research & Experimental Medicine
GA ZK8OR
UT WOS:000763243900001
PM 35236809
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Nakakita, E
Sato, H
Nishiwaki, R
Yamabe, H
Yamaguchi, K
AF Nakakita, Eiichi
Sato, Hiroto
Nishiwaki, Ryuta
Yamabe, Hiroyuki
Yamaguchi, Kosei
TI Early Detection of Baby-Rain-Cell Aloft in a Severe Storm and Risk
Projection for Urban Flash Flood
SO ADVANCES IN METEOROLOGY
LA English
DT Article
ID 1ST RADAR ECHOES; CUMULUS CLOUDS; PRECIPITATION
AB In July 2008, five people were killed by a tragic flash flood caused by a local
torrential heavy rainfall in a short time in Toga River. Fromthis tragic accident,
we realized that a system which can detect hazardous rain-cells in the earlier
stage is strongly needed and would provide an additional 5 to 10 min for
evacuation. By analyzing this event, we verified that a first radar echo aloft, by
volume scan observation, is a practical and important sign for early warning of
flash flood, and we named a first echo as a "baby-rain-cell" of Guerrilla-heavy
rainfall. Also, we found a vertical vorticity criterion for identifying hazardous
rain-cells and developed a heavy rainfall prediction system that has the important
feature of not missing any hazardous rain-cell. Being able to detect heavy rainfall
by 23.6 min on average before it reaches the ground, this system is implemented in
XRAIN in the Kinki area. Additionally, to resolve the relationship between baby-
rain-cell growth and vorticity behavior, we carried out an analysis of vorticity
inside baby-rain-cells and verified that a pair of positive and negative vertical
vortex tubes as well as an updraft between them existed in a rain-cell in the early
stage.
C1 [Nakakita, Eiichi; Yamaguchi, Kosei] Kyoto Univ, Disaster Prevent Res Inst, Uji,
[Sato, Hiroto] Kyoto Univ, Grad Sch Engn, Uji, Kyoto 6110011, Japan.
[Nishiwaki, Ryuta] Sumitomo Heavy Ind Ltd, Shinagawa Ku, Tokyo 1416025, Japan.
[Yamabe, Hiroyuki] Tokyo Elect Power Co Holdings Inc, Chiyoda Ku, Tokyo 1008560,
Japan.
C3 Kyoto University; Kyoto University; Sumitomo Heavy Industries Ltd; Tokyo
Electric Power Company
RP Nakakita, E (corresponding author), Kyoto Univ, Disaster Prevent Res Inst, Uji,
EM nakakita@hmd.dpri.kyoto-u.ac.jp
OI Yamaguchi, Kosei/0000-0002-0885-169X
FU JSPS KAKENHI [22226010, 15H05765]; Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research
[15H05765, 22226010] Funding Source: KAKEN
FX The authors greatly acknowledge the financial support of JSPS KAKENHI
(Grant nos. 22226010 and 15H05765). The valuable assistance and data
from the Kasen-Sabo Research project by the Ministry of Land,
Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) of Japan is also deeply
appreciated.
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Shimizu S., 2007, NIED REPORT, V70, P1
NR 26
TC 7
Z9 7
U1 0
U2 12
PU HINDAWI LTD
PI LONDON
SN 1687-9309
EI 1687-9317
J9 ADV METEOROL
JI Adv. Meteorol.
PY 2017
VL 2017
AR 5962356
DI 10.1155/2017/5962356
PG 15
GA EK7YB
UT WOS:000394140000001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Bass, B
Torres, JM
Irza, JN
Proft, J
Sebastian, A
Dawson, C
Bedient, P
AF Bass, Benjamin
Torres, Jacob M.
Irza, John N.
Proft, Jennifer
Sebastian, Antonia
Dawson, Clint
Bedient, Philip
TI Surge dynamics across a complex bay coastline, Galveston Bay, TX
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane; Storm surge; ADCIRC; Galveston bay; Barrier islands; Sea
level rise
ID WIND
AB While tidal exchange across bay coastlines has been well studied, research to
date has not provided a comprehensive analysis of the volume of surge that can flow
across bay coastlines during tropical cyclone events. Such insight can particularly
be useful for understanding coastal storm surge dynamics that influence regional
inundation and can help guide surge mitigation strategies for semi-enclosed bay
systems. In this study, a suite of 80 synthetic tropical cyclones were simulated to
characterize the volume of surge that flows across Galveston Bays complex 98 km
coastline, which is made up of tidal inlets, intermittent barrier islands, and
existing surge defenses along the Upper Texas Gulf Coast. Tropical cyclone
characteristics analyzed in this study include the wide variety of tropical cyclone
intensity (V-max) and size (R-max) combinations possible for the region, with the
storm surge response of each tropical cyclone simulated using the ADCIRC + SWAN
model. In-depth analysis of coastal and in bay storm surge responses was performed
for baseline or existing conditions as well as scenarios representing severe
barrier island erosion and future conditions based on intermediate sea level
projections for the year 2050 and 2 100. Findings demonstrate that while the
majority of surge may flow across tidal inlets for smaller, weaker storms, a storm
intensity and size threshold exists that results in greater flow across barrier
islands, having important implications for surge mitigation strategies. Analysis
demonstrates that while this threshold may occur for extreme tropical cyclones
under baseline conditions, this transition can occur for relatively, significantly
weaker and smaller storms under the erosion and sea level rise scenarios evaluated.
C1 [Bass, Benjamin] Woodard & Curran, 888 Figueroa St,Suite 1700, Los Angeles, CA
90017 USA.
[Torres, Jacob M.] Lockwood Andrews & Newnan Inc, Houston, TX USA.
[Irza, John N.] Walter P Moore, Houston, TX USA.
[Proft, Jennifer] Univ Texas Austin, Dept Aerosp Engn, Austin, TX 78712 USA.
[Sebastian, Antonia; Bedient, Philip] Rice Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
[Dawson, Clint] Univ Texas Austin, Dept Aerosp Engn & Engn Mech, Austin, TX
78712 USA.
C3 University of Texas System; University of Texas Austin; Rice University;
University of Texas System; University of Texas Austin
RP Bass, B (corresponding author), Woodard & Curran, 888 Figueroa St,Suite 1700,
Los Angeles, CA 90017 USA.
EM bbass@woodardcurran.com; JMTorres@lan-inc.com; nirza@walterpmoore.com;
jennifer@ices.utexas.edu; ags3@rice.edu; clint@ices.utexas.edu;
bedient@rice.edu
RI Dawson, Clint/AAH-3213-2021; Sebastian, Antonia/GLT-6958-2022;
Sebastian, Antonia/K-7931-2019
OI Dawson, Clint/0000-0001-7273-0684; Sebastian,
Antonia/0000-0002-4309-2561;
Evacuation from Disasters (SSPEED) Center; National Science Foundation
PIRE grant [OISE-154837]; National Science Foundation [ACT-1339801];
Extreme Science and Engineering Discovery Environment (XSEDE)
[TG-DMS080016N]
Center and the National Science Foundation PIRE grant OISE-154837. C.
Dawson also acknowledges the support of National Science Foundation
grant ACT-1339801, the Extreme Science and Engineering Discovery
Environment (XSEDE) grant TG-DMS080016N, and the Texas Advanced
Computing Center for the use of their computing resources.
Bass B, 2017, NAT HAZARDS, V85, P575, DOI 10.1007/s11069-016-2587-3
Brandon CM, 2014, SCI REP-UK, V4, DOI 10.1038/srep07366
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Federal Emergency Management Association (FEMA), 2011, FLOOD INF PORT FEMA
Federal Emergency Management Association (FEMA) U. S. Army Corps of Engineers
(USACE), 2011, FLOOD INS STUD COAST
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ARCH
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U.S. Census Bureau, 2010, POP PER SQUAR MIL
NR 37
TC 11
Z9 11
U1 0
U2 10
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 0378-3839
EI 1872-7379
J9 COAST ENG
JI Coast. Eng.
PD AUG
PY 2018
VL 138
BP 165
EP 183
DI 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2018.04.019
PG 19
SC Engineering
GA GJ1YF
UT WOS:000435063100013
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Reininger, B
Alam, S
Carrasco, A
Chen, Z
Adams, B
McCormick, J
Rahbar, M
AF Reininger, B.
Alam, S.
Carrasco, A.
Chen, Z.
Adams, B.
McCormick, J.
Rahbar, M.
TI Intention to Comply With Mandatory Hurricane Evacuation Orders Among
Persons Living Along a Coastal Area (vol 6, pg 4, 2012)
LA English
DT Correction
RI Chen, Zhongxue/K-1372-2013
OI Chen, Zhongxue/0000-0003-2537-7843
CR Reininger BM, 2013, DISASTER MED PUBLIC, V7, P46, DOI 10.1001/dmp.2012.57
NR 1
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 0
U2 5
PI NEW YORK
SN 1935-7893
PD FEB
PY 2013
VL 7
IS 1
BP 111
EP 111
DI 10.1017/dmp.2013.37
PG 1
(SSCI)
GA 199ZW
UT WOS:000323036100016
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Strahm, AM
Bagne, AG
Rued, HA
Larson, KJ
Roemmich, JN
Hilmert, CJ
AF Strahm, Anna M.
Bagne, Angela G.
Rued, Heidi A.
Larson, Kate J.
Roemmich, James N.
Hilmert, Clayton J.
TI Prenatal traumatic stress and offspring hair cortisol concentration: A
nine year follow up to the Red River flood pregnancy study
SO PSYCHONEUROENDOCRINOLOGY
LA English
DT Article
ID MATERNAL STRESS; AWAKENING RESPONSE; SALIVARY CORTISOL; CHILD OUTCOMES;
MECHANISMS; EXPOSURE; DISEASE; BIRTH
AB Introduction: Findings concerning the relationship between maternal prenatal
and child cortisol concentrations are inconsistent. This study examined whether
the influence of an objective traumatic stressor during pregnancy, distance from a
natural flood disaster, moderated the association between prenatal maternal diurnal
cortisol and 9-year old offspring hair cortisol concentrations.
Methods: Data were collected from 56 of the mothers who took part in a study of
flood-related pregnancy outcomes in 2009 and their children. Data included distance
of the maternal home from evacuation areas, four maternal saliva cortisol
assessments (waking, 30 min after waking, afternoon, and before bed) provided
within 3-months of the flood crest and child hair samples to assess cortisol
secretion over the past month.
Results: There was a significant interaction between proximity to flooding
during pregnancy and maternal cortisol AUC predicting child hair cortisol, after
controlling for maternal age, gestational age at cortisol sampling, sex of the
child, current socioeconomic status and current maternal stress. At greater
distance from flooding (lower stress conditions) there was a non-statistically
significant positive association between maternal cortisol and child cortisol. In
contrast, living closer to flooding (higher stress conditions) produced a
significant negative association between maternal and child cortisol.
Conclusion: Experiencing a traumatic stressor during pregnancy may alter
maternal-fetal programming of the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis. The direct
threat of flooding led to offspring cortisol concentrations that resembled cortisol
production seen in mothers with symptoms of PTSD and their offspring. This
alteration is evident in nine-year-old offspring and may help explain
inconsistencies in the previous literature.
C1 [Strahm, Anna M.; Bagne, Angela G.; Rued, Heidi A.; Hilmert, Clayton J.] North
Dakota State Univ, Fargo, ND 58105 USA.
[Larson, Kate J.; Roemmich, James N.] North Dakota State Univ, USDA ARS, Grand
Forks Human Nutr Res Ctr, Fargo, ND USA.
C3 North Dakota State University Fargo; North Dakota State University
Fargo; United States Department of Agriculture (USDA)
RP Hilmert, CJ (corresponding author), North Dakota State Univ, Fargo, ND 58105
USA.
EM clayton.hilmert@ndsu.edu
OI Strahm, Anna M/0000-0002-0112-0288
FU North Dakota State University Research Development; USDA Agricultural
Research Service Project [3062-51000-054-00D]
FX This research was supported by a Research and Creative Activity Seed
Award from the North Dakota State University Research Development and by
USDA Agricultural Research Service Project #3062-51000-054-00D.
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NR 31
TC 8
Z9 8
U1 1
U2 6
PI OXFORD
SN 0306-4530
J9 PSYCHONEUROENDOCRINO
JI Psychoneuroendocrinology
PD MAR
PY 2020
VL 113
AR 104579
DI 10.1016/j.psyneuen.2019.104579
PG 5
WC Endocrinology & Metabolism; Neurosciences; Psychiatry
(SSCI)
SC Endocrinology & Metabolism; Neurosciences & Neurology; Psychiatry
GA LD3MV
UT WOS:000525937600023
PM 31931471
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Sultana, P
Thompson, PM
Wesselink, A
AF Sultana, Parvin
Thompson, Paul M.
Wesselink, Anna
TI Coping and resilience in riverine Bangladesh
SO ENVIRONMENTAL HAZARDS-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
LA English
DT Article
DE Bangladesh; erosion; flood; infrastructure; migration; socio-hydrology
ID CLIMATE-CHANGE; FLOODPLAIN; VULNERABILITY; MANAGEMENT; FLOODS;
INSTITUTIONS; ADAPTATION; DISASTERS; TEMPORARY; HAZARDS
AB This paper investigates the impacts of two successive years of severe floods on
households, their coping strategies and resilience to riverine hazards in northern
Bangladesh. Based on focus groups and interviews with the same households after
floods in 2016 and 2017, we found a cumulative decline in assets through sale of
livestock and borrowing, and almost all households evacuated short term to higher
places. Three notable recent ways that vulnerable households use socio-hydrological
landscapes to enhance their resilience to hazards were revealed. Firstly, local
flood protection embankments were the main destination for evacuation and were
highly valued as safe places, although they breached and failed to protect the
land. Secondly, community organisations, formed mainly for livelihood enhancement,
took initiatives to provide warnings, to help households relocate during floods,
and to access relief and rehabilitation services. Thirdly, seasonal migration by
men, particularly to urban areas, is an important element of long-term coping and
resilience based on diversified livelihoods for about 70% of these rural
households. Although the unintended use of infrastructure, social capital and urban
opportunities all form part of coping and resilience strategies in hazardous
riverine landscapes, the high mobility that they are based on is not supported by
enabling policies.
C1 [Sultana, Parvin; Thompson, Paul M.] Middlesex Univ, Flood Hazard Res Ctr,
London NW4 4BT, England.
C3 Middlesex University
RP Sultana, P (corresponding author), Middlesex Univ, Flood Hazard Res Ctr, London
NW4 4BT, England.
EM parvin@agni.com
RI Sultana, Arifin/AAF-4581-2020; Wesselink, Anna J/L-1791-2013
OI Sultana, Arifin/0000-0002-1014-5284; Wesselink, Anna
J/0000-0003-1120-3359
FU Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (NWO) Urbanising Deltas
of the World programme [W 07.69.110]
FX This work was supported by the Netherlands Organisation for Scientific
Research (NWO) Urbanising Deltas of the World programme under grant
number W 07.69.110.
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[No title captured]
[No title captured]
[No title captured]
NR 42
TC 12
Z9 12
U1 1
U2 23
PI ABINGDON
SN 1747-7891
EI 1878-0059
J9 ENVIRON HAZARDS-UK
JI Environ. Hazards
PD JAN 1
PY 2020
VL 19
IS 1
SI SI
BP 70
EP 89
DI 10.1080/17477891.2019.1665981
EA SEP 2019
PG 20
WC Environmental Studies
GA JZ5DV
UT WOS:000486557600001
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zhai, CW
Reilly, AC
Guikema, SD
AF Zhai, Chengwei
Reilly, Allison C.
Guikema, Seth D.
TI Individual learning as a driver of changes in community vulnerability
under repeated hurricanes and changing climate
SO RISK ANALYSIS
LA English
DT Article
DE agent-based model; hurricane mitigation; learning; repeated hazards
ID MITIGATION BEHAVIOR; DECISION-MAKING; POWER-SYSTEM; MODEL; RISK;
EVACUATION; SIMULATION; FLORIDA; IMPACT; DAMAGE
AB The risks from singular natural hazards such as a hurricane have been
extensively investigated in the literature. However, little is understood about how
individual and collective responses to repeated hazards change communities and
impact their preparation for future events. Individual mitigation actions may drive
how a community's resilience evolves under repeated hazards. In this paper, we
investigate the effect that learning by homeowners can have on household mitigation
decisions and on how this influences a region's vulnerability to natural hazards
over time, using hurricanes along the east coast of the United States as our case
study. To do this, we build an agent-based model (ABM) to simulate homeowners'
adaptation to repeated hurricanes and how this affects the vulnerability of the
regional housing stock. Through a case study, we explore how different initial
beliefs about the hurricane hazard and how the memory of recent hurricanes could
change a community's vulnerability both under current and potential future
hurricane scenarios under climate change. In some future hurricane environments,
different initial beliefs can result in large differences in the region's long-term
vulnerability to hurricanes. We find that when some homeowners mitigate soon after
a hurricane-when their memory of the event is the strongest-it can help to
substantially decrease the vulnerability of a community.
C1 [Zhai, Chengwei; Guikema, Seth D.] Univ Michigan, Dept Ind & Operat Engn, Ann
Arbor, MI 48109 USA.
[Zhai, Chengwei] One Concern Inc, Menlo Pk, CA USA.
[Reilly, Allison C.] Univ Maryland, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, College Pk, MD
USA.
C3 University of Michigan System; University of Michigan; University System
of Maryland; University of Maryland College Park
RP Zhai, CW (corresponding author), 855 Oak Grove Ave, Menlo Pk, CA 94025 USA.
EM czhai@oneconcern.com
RI Reilly, Allison/HGA-8219-2022
OI Zhai, Chengwei/0000-0002-8508-9838
FU National Academies Gulf Research Program Early-Career Research
Fellowship; National Science Foundation [1331399]; Divn Of Social and
Economic Sciences; Direct For Social, Behav & Economic Scie [1331399]
FX This research was supported by the National Academies Gulf Research
Program Early-Career Research Fellowship and National Science Foundation
(grant number 1631409) and the National Science Foundation (grant number
1331399). The support of the sponsor is gratefully acknowledged. Any
opinions, findings, conclusions or recommendations presented in this
paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views
of the National Academies or National Science Foundation (contributors,
2017). In addition, Map data copyrighted OpenStreetMap contributors and
available from
10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.10.015
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NR 83
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 7
U2 12
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 0272-4332
EI 1539-6924
J9 RISK ANAL
JI Risk Anal.
PD APR
PY 2023
VL 43
IS 4
BP 762
EP 782
DI 10.1111/risa.13955
EA JUN 2022
PG 21
(SSCI)
GA D4XZ5
UT WOS:000807302400001
PM 35672878
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Vaiciulyte, S
Hulse, LM
Veeraswamy, A
Galea, ER
AF Vaiciulyte, Sandra
Hulse, Lynn M.
Veeraswamy, Anand
Galea, Edwin R.
TI Cross-cultural comparison of behavioural itinerary actions and times in
wildfire evacuations
SO SAFETY SCIENCE
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuation; Time; Human behaviour; Action; Wildfire; Cross-cultural
ID EASTERN AUSTRALIAN HOUSEHOLDERS; HURRICANE EVACUATION; NATIONAL CULTURE;
URBAN; STAY; PREDICTORS; DEFEND; MANAGEMENT; IF
AB Evacuation of residents during wildfire is a highly time-sensitive process.
Available time may be limited. Previous research on other types of incident
demonstrate that individuals delay their evacuation by first undertaking actions in
response to the threat. However, currently there is little evidence of what actions
individuals undertake ('behavioural itineraries'), how many, which are prioritised,
and how much time is committed to them in a wildfire. Additionally, where some
understanding exists concerning human behaviour in wildfire evacuations, data has
mostly been acquired from Australia; European regions, which are increasingly
threatened by wildfires, lack attention. This study presents the first cross-
cultural investigation of its kind: survey data (N = 293) from the South of France
and Australia were compared. Participants with actual experience of wildfires and
those inexperienced yet residing in at-risk areas answered questions about what
they did or would hypothetically do, respectively, and for how long, prior to
commencing evacuation. Results revealed that, across the two regions, the discrete
actions comprising behavioural itineraries were similar overall, albeit their
priority sometimes differed. However, when analysed by category, the prioritisation
of actions was uniform across samples. Of significance is the finding that regional
differences were also observed in relation to: mean number of actions, time
committed to actions and the influence of socio-demographic factors, indicating
geographical and cultural determinants. Implications for future research,
evacuation modelling and wildfire management, education and training are discussed.
C1 [Vaiciulyte, Sandra; Hulse, Lynn M.; Veeraswamy, Anand; Galea, Edwin R.] Univ
Greenwich, Old Royal Naval Coll, Fac Liberal Arts & Sci, Fire Safety Engn Grp, Pk
Row, London SE10 9LS, England.
C3 University of Greenwich
RP Vaiciulyte, S (corresponding author), Univ Greenwich, Old Royal Naval Coll, Fac
Liberal Arts & Sci, Fire Safety Engn Grp, Pk Row, London SE10 9LS, England.
EM s.vaiciulyte@greenwich.ac.uk; l.hulse@greenwich.ac.uk;
a.veeraswamy@greenwich.ac.uk; e.r.galea@greenwich.ac.uk
RI Galea, Edwin/A-8209-2017
OI Galea, Edwin/0000-0002-0001-6665; Hulse, Lynn/0000-0001-5582-3520;
Vaiciulyte, Sandra/0000-0002-4599-8359
FU European Union [691161]; University of Greenwich; VC Scholarship scheme;
Society of Fire Protection Engineers (SFPE) Foundation; Marie Curie
Actions (MSCA) [691161] Funding Source: Marie Curie Actions (MSCA)
FX This project is a part of the wider GEO-SAFE project. The GEO-SAFE
project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant
agreement No 691161. The paper reflects the views of the authors and the
EC is not responsible for any use that may be made of the information it
contains. The authors are grateful to: those individuals who took part
in the surveys; personnel at the Corsican fire and rescue service SIS 2B
for reviewing the survey design, translation, and facilitating data
collection; as well as personnel at RMIT University for providing
research contacts and a welcoming hub from which data collection could
continue. Sandra Vaiciulyte is also grateful to: FSEG for facilitating
this research; the University of Greenwich for providing funding via the
VC Scholarship scheme; and the Society of Fire Protection Engineers
(SFPE) Foundation for support with the Student Research Grant.
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NR 64
TC 8
Z9 8
U1 1
U2 12
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 0925-7535
EI 1879-1042
J9 SAFETY SCI
JI Saf. Sci.
PD MAR
PY 2021
VL 135
AR 105122
DI 10.1016/j.ssci.2020.105122
PG 11
WC Engineering, Industrial; Operations Research & Management Science
(SSCI)
SC Engineering; Operations Research & Management Science
GA PV7UM
UT WOS:000610188700018
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Takenouchi, K
Yamori, K
AF Takenouchi, Kensuke
Yamori, Katsuya
TI Synergistic Integration of Detailed Meteorological and Community
Information for Evacuation from Weather-Related Disasters: Proposal of a
"Disaster Response Switch"
LA English
CT 9th Conference of the
International-Society-for-Integrated-Disaster-Risk-Management (IDRiM)
CY OCT 02-04, 2018
CL Data61, Sydney, AUSTRALIA
SP Int Soc Integrated Disaster Risk Management
HO Data61
DE Community disaster prevention; Disaster response; High-resolution
forecasting model; Japan; Meteorological information; Risk communication
ID RISK PERCEPTION; MANAGEMENT; FLOOD; MODEL
AB Meteorological information used for disaster prevention has developed rapidly in
terms of both type and specificity. The latest forecasting models can predict
weather with very high resolutions that can characterize disaster risk at the local
level. However, this development can lead to an overdependency on the information
and a wait-and-see attitude by the public. At the same time, residents share and
use various types of information for disaster response, such as local conditions,
in addition to official disaster information. Our research in Japan verified the
practicality and efficiency of synergistically integrating these types of
information by examining actual evacuation cases. The current numerical forecasting
models sufficiently identify locality from the viewpoint of various administrative
scales such as prefectures, municipalities, and school districts, but the
improvements to these models have failed to improve residents' judgment in
successful evacuation cases. We therefore analyzed the relationship between
meteorological information and residents' disaster response and confirmed that they
were strongly correlated and were contributing factors in preventing disasters. We
revealed differences between a community's disaster prevention culture and the
disaster information provided. This led us to propose a new concept in community
disaster prevention that we call the "disaster response switch," which can serve as
a data-driven risk management tool for communities when used in combination with
advanced meteorological disaster information.
C1 [Takenouchi, Kensuke; Yamori, Katsuya] Kyoto Univ, Disaster Prevent Res Inst,
Uji, Kyoto 6060011, Japan.
C3 Kyoto University
RP Takenouchi, K (corresponding author), Kyoto Univ, Disaster Prevent Res Inst,
Uji, Kyoto 6060011, Japan.
EM takenouchi.kensuke.3x@kyoto-u.ac.jp
OI Yamori, Katsuya/0000-0002-1840-9053
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NR 63
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 2
U2 8
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 2095-0055
EI 2192-6395
PD DEC
PY 2020
VL 11
IS 6
SI SI
BP 762
EP 775
DI 10.1007/s13753-020-00317-3
EA NOV 2020
PG 14
Water Resources
(SSCI); Conference Proceedings Citation Index - Science (CPCI-S)
GA PG1NQ
UT WOS:000594830400001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Kunii, Y
Suzuki, Y
Shiga, T
Yabe, H
Yasumura, S
Maeda, M
Niwa, S
Otsuru, A
Mashiko, H
Abe, M
AF Kunii, Yasuto
Suzuki, Yuriko
Shiga, Tetsuya
Yabe, Hirooki
Yasumura, Seiji
Maeda, Masaharu
Niwa, Shin-ichi
Otsuru, Akira
Mashiko, Hirobumi
Abe, Masafumi
CA Mental Hlth Grp Fukushima Hlth Man
TI Severe Psychological Distress of Evacuees in Evacuation Zone Caused by
the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant Accident: The Fukushima Health
Management Survey
SO PLOS ONE
LA English
DT Article
ID MENTAL-HEALTH; RADIOACTIVE CONTAMINATION; CHERNOBYL DISASTER;
HURRICANE-KATRINA; JAPAN; CONSEQUENCES; PERFORMANCE; EARTHQUAKES;
DISORDERS; SURVIVORS
AB Background
Following the Great East Japan Earthquake on March 11, 2011, the nuclear
disaster at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant has continued to affect the
mental health status of residents in the evacuation zone. To examine the mental
health status of evacuee after the nuclear accident, we conducted the Mental Health
and Lifestyle Survey as part of the ongoing Fukushima Health Management Survey.
Methods
We measured mental health status using the Kessler 6-item psychological distress
scale (K6) in a total of 73,569 (response rate: 40.7%) evacuees aged 15 and over
who lived in the evacuation zone in Fukushima Prefecture. We then dichotomized
responders using a 12/13 cutoff on the K6, and compared the proportion of K6 scores
>= 13 and <= 12 in each risk factor including demographic information,
socioeconomic variables, and disaster-related variables. We also performed
bivariate analyses between mental health status and possible risk factors using the
chi-square test. Furthermore, we performed multivariate regression analysis using
modified Poisson regression models.
Results
The median K6 score was 5 (interquartile range: 1-10). The number of
psychological distress was 8,717 (14.6%). We found that significant differences in
the prevalence of psychological distress by almost all survey items, including
disaster-related risk factors, most of which were also associated with increased
Prevalence ratios (PRs). Additionally, we found that psychological distress in each
evacuation zone was significantly positively associated with the radiation levels
in their environment (r = 0.768, p = 0.002).
Conclusion
The earthquake, tsunami and subsequent nuclear accident likely caused severe
psychological distress among residents in the evacuation zone in Fukushima
Prefecture. The close association between psychological distress and the radiation
levels shows that the nuclear accident seriously influenced the mental health of
the residents, which might be exacerbated by increased risk perception. To provide
prompt and appropriate support, continued psychosocial intervention for evacuees is
strongly recommended.
C1 [Kunii, Yasuto; Shiga, Tetsuya; Yabe, Hirooki; Mashiko, Hirobumi] Fukushima Med
Univ, Sch Med, Dept Neuropsychiat, Fukushima, Japan.
[Suzuki, Yuriko] Natl Inst Mental Hlth, Dept Adult Mental Hlth, Natl Ctr Neurol
& Psychiat, Tokyo, Japan.
[Yabe, Hirooki; Yasumura, Seiji; Maeda, Masaharu; Abe, Masafumi] Fukushima Med
Univ, Radiat Med Sci Ctr Fukushima Hlth Management Surv, Fukushima, Japan.
[Yasumura, Seiji] Fukushima Med Univ, Sch Med, Dept Publ Hlth, Fukushima, Japan.
[Maeda, Masaharu] Fukushima Med Univ, Sch Med, Dept Disaster Psychiat,
Fukushima, Japan.
[Niwa, Shin-ichi] Fukushima Med Univ, Dept Psychiat, Aizu Med Ctr, Fukushima,
Japan.
[Otsuru, Akira] Fukushima Med Univ, Sch Med, Dept Radiat Hlth Management,
Fukushima, Japan.
C3 Fukushima Medical University; National Center for Neurology & Psychiatry
- Japan; Fukushima Medical University; Fukushima Medical University;
Fukushima Medical University; Fukushima Medical University; Fukushima
Medical University
RP Kunii, Y (corresponding author), Fukushima Med Univ, Sch Med, Dept
Neuropsychiat, Fukushima, Japan.
EM kunii@fmu.ac.jp
OI Kunii, Yasuto/0000-0003-1569-7819
FU national "Health Fund for Children and Adults Affected by the Nuclear
Incident"
FX This study was supported by the national "Health Fund for Children and
Adults Affected by the Nuclear Incident."
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TC 59
Z9 59
U1 2
U2 23
PI SAN FRANCISCO
SN 1932-6203
J9 PLOS ONE
JI PLoS One
PD JUL 8
PY 2016
VL 11
IS 7
AR e0158821
PG 15
(SSCI)
GA DR6IK
UT WOS:000380005400135
PM 27391446
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Tkachenko, N
Procter, R
Jarvis, S
AF Tkachenko, Nataliya
Procter, Rob
Jarvis, Stephen
TI Predicting the impact of urban flooding using open data
SO ROYAL SOCIETY OPEN SCIENCE
LA English
DT Article
DE Web search; Google Analytics; flood risk management; urban resilience;
predictive analytics
ID MITIGATION BEHAVIOR; RISK; RESILIENCE; MOTIVATION; ENGAGEMENT; INTERNET;
PEOPLE; UK
AB This paper aims to explore whether there is a relationship between search
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statistically significant correlations of Web search eigenvectors with flood
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C1 [Tkachenko, Nataliya; Procter, Rob; Jarvis, Stephen] Univ Warwick, Warwick Inst
Sci Cities, Coventry CV4 7AL, W Midlands, England.
[Procter, Rob; Jarvis, Stephen] Univ Warwick, Dept Comp Sci, Coventry CV4 7AL, W
Midlands, England.
C3 University of Warwick; University of Warwick
RP Tkachenko, N (corresponding author), Univ Warwick, Warwick Inst Sci Cities,
Coventry CV4 7AL, W Midlands, England.
EM nataliya.tkachenko@warwick.ac.uk
RI Jarvis, Stephen/AAT-3127-2021
OI Jarvis, Stephen/0000-0002-1249-2167
FU UK Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council [EP/L016400/1];
EPSRC Centre for Doctoral Training in Urban Science; Engineering and
Physical Sciences Research Council [1500267] Funding Source:
researchfish
FX The lead author gratefully acknowledges funding by the UK Engineering
and Physical Sciences Research Council (grant no. EP/L016400/1), the
EPSRC Centre for Doctoral Training in Urban Science. This project is
conducted in collaboration with the British Geological Survey (BGS) and
the authors are grateful for their support in this research.
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PY 2016
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PG 11
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PM 27293779
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ER
PT J
AU Haque, U
Hashizume, M
Kolivras, KN
Overgaard, HJ
Das, B
Yamamoto, T
AF Haque, Ubydul
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Kolivras, Korine N.
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Das, Bivash
Yamamoto, Taro
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SO BULLETIN OF THE WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION
LA English
DT Article
ID HURRICANE KATRINA; TROPICAL CYCLONES; HEALTH; DISASTER; LESSONS; BENGAL;
IMPACT; FLOOD
AB Tropical storms, such as cyclones, hurricanes and typhoons, present major
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[Overgaard, Hans J.] Norwegian Univ Life Sci, Dept Math Sci & Technol, As,
Norway.
[Das, Bivash] Local Govt Engn Dept, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
C3 Nagasaki University; Virginia Polytechnic Institute & State University;
Norwegian University of Life Sciences
RP Haque, U (corresponding author), Nagasaki Univ, Dept Int Hlth, Inst Trop Med, 1-
12-4 Sakamoto, Nagasaki 8528523, Japan.
EM ubydul.haque@umb.no
RI Overgaard, Hans/AAE-9972-2020
OI Hashizume, Masahiro/0000-0003-4720-1750
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VL 90
IS 2
BP 150
EP 156
DI 10.2471/BLT.11.088302
PG 7
GA 888CU
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PM 22423166
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DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Pasternack, GB
Wyrick, JR
AF Pasternack, Gregory B.
Wyrick, Joshua R.
TI Flood-driven topographic changes in a gravel-cobble river over segment,
reach, and morphological unit scales
SO EARTH SURFACE PROCESSES AND LANDFORMS
LA English
DT Article
DE topographic change; DEM differencing; river morphology; regulated
rivers; geomorphic change
ID CHANNEL CHANGE; NATURAL COMPLEXITY; SPECTRAL-ANALYSIS; SEDIMENT; LIDAR;
MODEL; CLASSIFICATION; UNCERTAINTY; EROSION; REHABILITATION
AB Regulated rivers generally incise below dams that cut off sediment supply, but
how that happens and what the consequences are at different spatial scales is
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to 2008 on the gravel-cobble, regulated lower Yuba River in California to answer
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morphological unit scales. The results show that the river preferentially eroded
sediment from floodplains compared to the channel, and this not only promoted
valley-wide sediment evacuation, but also facilitated the renewal and
differentiation of morphological units, especially in the channel. At the reach
scale, area of fill and mean net rate of elevational change were directly
correlated with better connectivity between the channel and floodplain, while the
mean rate of scour in scour areas was influenced by the ratio of slope to bankfull
Froude number, a ratio indicative of lateral migration versus vertical downcutting.
Hierarchical segregation of topographic change rasters proved useful for
understanding multi-scalar geomorphic dynamics. Copyright (C) 2016 John Wiley &
Sons, Ltd.
C1 [Pasternack, Gregory B.] Univ Calif Davis, Dept Land Air & Water Resources,
Davis, CA 95616 USA.
[Wyrick, Joshua R.] Lafayette Coll, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Easton, PA 18042
USA.
C3 University of California System; University of California Davis;
Lafayette College
RP Pasternack, GB (corresponding author), Univ Calif Davis, One Shields Dr, Davis,
CA 95616 USA.
EM gpast@ucdavis.edu
RI Pasternack, Gregory Brian/B-8619-2012
OI Pasternack, Gregory Brian/0000-0002-1977-4175
FU Yuba County Water Agency [201016094]; Yuba Accord River Management Team;
USDA National Institute of Food and Agriculture [CA-D-LAW-7034-H]
FX Primary funding for this study was provided by the Yuba County Water
Agency (Award #201016094), the Yuba Accord River Management Team, and
the USDA National Institute of Food and Agriculture (Hatch project
number #CA-D-LAW-7034-H). The authors thank the anonymous peer reviewers
for helpful comments and editing.
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[No title captured]
NR 79
TC 20
Z9 20
U1 1
U2 15
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 0197-9337
EI 1096-9837
J9 EARTH SURF PROC LAND
JI Earth Surf. Process. Landf.
PD MAR
PY 2017
VL 42
IS 3
BP 487
EP 502
DI 10.1002/esp.4064
PG 16
GA EN7IA
UT WOS:000396174100008
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Duanmu, J
Taaffe, K
Chowdhury, M
AF Duanmu, Jun
Taaffe, Kevin
Chowdhury, Mashrur
TI Minimizing Patient Transport Times During Mass Population Evacuations
LA English
DT Article
ID SIMULATION-MODEL
AB Emergency evacuation in a health care environment has focused on methods for
evacuating a facility, resources for transferring patients, and sufficient capacity
at sheltering facilities. What has been overlooked is the interaction between
health care facility evacuation and any communitywide evacuation that would result
in significant roadway congestion. This paper focuses on how to route hospital
vehicles during a hurricane evacuation. To provide an analytical comparison of
evacuation time, delay, and routes across various evacuation scenarios, a
simulation model is developed that combines hospital and general population
traffic. The tailored model incorporates mesoscopic traffic flow concepts to
evaluate a region covering several hundred miles with the ability to control speeds
and make decisions at the individual vehicle level. With this novel modeling
approach, evacuation planners can easily program the routes, test the travel times,
and quickly consider different scenarios. It can be a useful tool for hospital
evacuation planners and statewide or regional evacuation planners making decisions
about traffic operational strategies. The analysis includes consideration of the
evacuation of the Charleston, South Carolina, metropolitan area during a hurricane
threat. The study found that to evacuate all patients 6 h before a hurricane
landfall, the hospital evacuation must start at least 12 h before the mandatory
evacuation order (a typical 24-h notice). Alternatively, the hospital evacuation
can take place at the same time as the mandatory evacuation if both begin 48 h
before landfall.
C1 [Duanmu, Jun; Taaffe, Kevin] Clemson Univ, Dept Ind Engn, Clemson, SC 29634 USA.
[Chowdhury, Mashrur] Clemson Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Clemson, SC 29634 USA.
C3 Clemson University; Clemson University
RP Duanmu, J (corresponding author), Clemson Univ, Dept Ind Engn, 110 Freeman Hall,
EM jduanmu@clemson.edu
CR AKCELIK R, SPEED FLOW BUNCHING
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NR 34
TC 7
Z9 7
U1 1
U2 14
PI THOUSAND OAKS
SN 0361-1981
EI 2169-4052
PY 2010
IS 2196
BP 150
EP 158
DI 10.3141/2196-16
PG 9
(SSCI)
GA 730AF
UT WOS:000287995100016
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Malakar, K
Lu, CH
AF Malakar, Krishna
Lu, Chunhui
TI Hydrometeorological disasters during COVID-19: Insights from topic
modeling of global aid reports
SO SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
LA English
DT Article
DE Pandemic; Disaster management; Flood; Cyclone; Word cloud; KNIME
AB Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, the world has experienced numerous
hydrometeorological disasters along with it. The pandemic has made disaster relief
work more challenging for humanitarian organizations and governments. This study
aims to provide an overview of the topics/issues of concern in the countries while
responding to hydrometeorological extreme events (e.g., floods and cyclones) during
the pandemic. Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA), a computational topic modeling
technique, is employed to reduce the numerous (i.e., 1771) humanitarian
reports/news to key terms and meaningful topics for 24 countries. Several insights
are derived from the LDA results. It is identified that countries have suffered
multiple crises (such as locust attacks, epidemics and conflicts) during the
pandemic. Maintaining social distancing while disaster evacuation and circumventing
the lockdown for relief work have been difficult. Children are an important topic
for most countries; however, other vulnerable groups such as women and the disabled
also need to be focused upon. Hygiene is not a highly weighted topic, which is of
concern during a pandemic that mandates good sanitation to control it effectively.
However, health is of great importance for almost all countries. The novelty of the
paper lies in its interdisciplinary approach (usage of a computational technique in
disaster management studies) and the timely examination of disaster management
experiences during the ongoing pandemic. The insights presented in the study may be
helpful for researchers and policy-makers to initiate further bottom up work to
address the challenges in responding to hydrometeorological disasters during a
pandemic.
C1 [Malakar, Krishna; Lu, Chunhui] Hohai Univ, State Key Lab Hydrol Water Resources
& Hydraul En, Nanjing, Peoples R China.
[Malakar, Krishna; Lu, Chunhui] Hohai Univ, Yangtze Inst Conservat & Dev,
Nanjing, Peoples R China.
[Malakar, Krishna] Indian Inst Technol Madras, Dept Humanities & Social Sci,
Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India.
C3 Hohai University; Hohai University; Indian Institute of Technology
System (IIT System); Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) - Madras
RP Malakar, K; Lu, CH (corresponding author), Hohai Univ, Yangtze Inst Conservat &
Dev, Nanjing, Peoples R China.
EM krishnamalakar26@gmail.com; clu@hhu.edu.cn
FU Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities [B200204002];
Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province [BK 20190023]
FX The first author (KM) did this study partially at Hohai University while
working as a postdoctoral researcher and partially at IIT Madras (her
cur-rent place of work) . C. Lu acknowledges the financial support from
the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (B200204002)
and the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province (BK 20190023) .
CR AHA, 2020, LEAD COVID 19 LESS L
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NR 19
TC 4
Z9 4
U1 4
U2 14
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 0048-9697
EI 1879-1026
J9 SCI TOTAL ENVIRON
JI Sci. Total Environ.
PD SEP 10
PY 2022
VL 838
AR 155977
DI 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155977
EA MAY 2022
PN 2
PG 7
GA 1W1BW
UT WOS:000806516100006
PM 35588842
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Ekaputra, RA
Lee, C
Kee, SH
Yee, JJ
AF Ekaputra, Reza Asriandi
Lee, Changkye
Kee, Seong-Hoon
Yee, Jurng-Jae
TI Emergency Shelter Geospatial Location Optimization for Flood Disaster
Condition: A Review
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Review
DE emergency shelter; shelter optimization; disaster victim assignment;
K-means; travel distance
ID FACILITY LOCATION; URBAN AREAS; EVACUATION; MODEL; EARTHQUAKE;
ALGORITHM; ALLOCATION; DISTANCE; GIS; TRANSPORTATION
AB Today, the world is experiencing a tremendous catastrophic disaster that can
lead to potential environmental damage. However, awareness of how to deal with this
catastrophic situation still remains very low. One of the most critical issues in
disaster response is assigning disaster victims to the best emergency shelter
location. This article reviews various existing studies to develop a new approach
to determining emergency shelter locations. There are four evaluation criteria that
are reviewed: optimization objective, decision variable, methodology, and victim
identification. From the investigation, there are two major evaluations that can be
further developed. In terms of decision variables, most of the previous research
applies direct distance (Euclidean Distance) in the analysis process. However, the
application of travel distance can represent a real evacuation process. Another
interesting point is the victim identification process. Recent research applies
grid-based partitioning and administrative-based partitioning. However, this method
leads to a bias in the assignment process. This article recommends the application
of K-Means clustering method as one of the unsupervised machine learning methods
that is rapidly developing in many engineering fields. For better understanding, an
example of K-Means clustering application is also provided in this article.
Finally, the combination of travel distance and K-Means clustering will be proposed
method for any further research.
C1 [Ekaputra, Reza Asriandi; Kee, Seong-Hoon; Yee, Jurng-Jae] Dong A Univ, Dept ICT
Integrated Safe Ocean Smart Cities, Busan 49315, South Korea.
[Ekaputra, Reza Asriandi] Inst Teknol Sumatera, Civil Engn Dept, Lampung 35365,
Indonesia.
[Lee, Changkye] Dong A Univ, Univ Core Res Ctr Disaster Free & Safe Ocean City,
Busan 49315, South Korea.
C3 Dong A University; Dong A University
RP Yee, JJ (corresponding author), Dong A Univ, Dept ICT Integrated Safe Ocean
Smart Cities, Busan 49315, South Korea.
EM jjyee@dau.ac.kr
OI Lee, Changkye/0000-0001-7070-3332; Kee, Seong-Hoon/0000-0002-7743-4881;
Ekaputra, Reza Asriandi/0000-0001-8932-5335
(NRF) - Korea Ministry of Education [2016R1A6A1A03012812]
FX The authors would like to thank the support by the Basic Science
Research Program through the National Research Foundation (NRF) funded
by the Korea Ministry of Education (No. 2016R1A6A1A03012812).
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NR 74
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 27
U2 40
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
JI Sustainability
PD OCT
PY 2022
VL 14
IS 19
AR 12482
DI 10.3390/su141912482
PG 15
(SSCI)
GA 5G7IU
UT WOS:000867168900001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Kochilakis, G
Poursanidis, D
Chrysoulakis, N
Varella, V
Kotroni, V
Eftychidis, G
Lagouvardos, K
Papathanasiou, C
Karavokyros, G
Aivazoglou, M
Makropoulos, C
Mimikou, M
AF Kochilakis, Giorgos
Poursanidis, Dimitris
Chrysoulakis, Nektarios
Varella, Vassiliki
Kotroni, Vassiliki
Eftychidis, Giorgos
Lagouvardos, Kostas
Papathanasiou, Chrysoula
Karavokyros, George
Aivazoglou, Maria
Makropoulos, Christos
Mimikou, Maria
TI FLIRE DSS: A web tool for the management of floods and wildfires in
urban and periurban areas
SO OPEN GEOSCIENCES
LA English
DT Article
DE DSS System; on-line simulation; fire; flood; natural disaster
ID DECISION-SUPPORT-SYSTEMS; CONVECTIVE PARAMETERIZATION; WATER-RESOURCES;
LIGHTNING DATA; FORECASTS; GREECE; UNDERSTAND; EVENTS; IMPACT; ATHENS
AB A web-based Decision Support System, named FLIRE DSS, for combined forest fire
control and planning as well as flood risk management, has been developed and is
presented in this paper. State of the art tools and models have been used in order
to enable Civil Protection agencies and local stakeholders to take advantage of the
web based DSS without the need of local installation of complex software and their
maintenance. Civil protection agencies can predict the behavior of a fire event
using real time data and in such a way plan its efficient elimination. Also, during
dry periods, agencies can implement "what-if" scenarios for areas that are prone to
fire and thus have available plans for forest fire management in case such
scenarios occur. Flood services include flood maps and flood-related warnings and
become available to relevant authorities for visualization and further analysis on
a daily basis. When flood warnings are issued, relevant authorities may proceed to
efficient evacuation planning for the areas that are likely to flood and thus save
human lives. Real-time weather data from ground stations provide the necessary
inputs for the calculation of the fire model in real-time, and a high resolution
weather forecast grid supports flood modeling as well as the development of "what-
if" scenarios for the fire modeling. All these can be accessed by various computer
sources including PC, laptop, Smartphone and tablet either by normal network
connection or by using 3G and 4G cellular network. The latter is important for the
accessibility of the FLIRE DSS during firefighting or rescue operations during
flood events. All these methods and tools provide the end users with the necessary
information to design an operational plan for the elimination of the fire events
and the efficient management of the flood events in almost real time. Concluding,
the FLIRE DSS can be easily transferred to other areas with similar characteristics
due to its robust architecture and its flexibility.
C1 [Kochilakis, Giorgos; Poursanidis, Dimitris; Chrysoulakis, Nektarios] Fdn Res &
Technol Hellas, Inst Appl & Computat Math, Nikolaou Plastira 100, GR-71110
Iraklion, Crete, Greece.
[Varella, Vassiliki; Eftychidis, Giorgos] Algosystems SA, Syggrou Ave 206,PO
17672, Athens, Greece.
[Kotroni, Vassiliki; Lagouvardos, Kostas] Natl Observ Athens, Inst Environm Res
& Sustainable Dev, Athens, Greece.
[Papathanasiou, Chrysoula; Karavokyros, George; Makropoulos, Christos; Mimikou,
Maria] Natl Tech Univ Athens, Sch Civil Engn, Dept Water Resources & Environm Engn,
5 Iroon Politech St, Athens 15780, Greece.
[Aivazoglou, Maria] Imperial Coll London, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, London,
England.
C3 Foundation for Research & Technology - Hellas (FORTH); National
Observatory of Athens; National Technical University of Athens; Imperial
College London
RP Poursanidis, D (corresponding author), Fdn Res & Technol Hellas, Inst Appl &
Computat Math, Nikolaou Plastira 100, GR-71110 Iraklion, Crete, Greece.
EM dpoursanidis@iacm.forth.gr
RI Kotroni, Vassiliki/D-5336-2014; Lagouvardos, Konstantinos/D-5683-2014;
Chrysoulakis, Nektarios/AAG-6092-2020; Poursanidis,
Dimitris/M-8957-2013; Makropoulos, Christos/AAN-8320-2021
OI Chrysoulakis, Nektarios/0000-0002-5208-626X; Poursanidis,
Dimitris/0000-0003-3228-280X; Makropoulos, Christos/0000-0003-0308-4265;
Papathanasiou, Chrysoula/0000-0003-4972-8249
FU Project FLIRE "FLoods and fIre Risk assessment and managEment"
[LIFE11ENV/GR/975]; European Commission General Directorate for the
Environment, LIFE
FX This research has been carried out during the implementation of the
Project FLIRE "FLoods and fIre Risk assessment and managEment"
(LIFE11ENV/GR/975). The Project aims to develop a warning system for
floods and fire risk management and is co-financed by European
Commission General Directorate for the Environment, LIFE financial
instrument with 50%.
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NR 45
TC 6
Z9 6
U1 2
U2 20
PU SCIENDO
PI WARSAW
PA DE GRUYTER POLAND SP Z O O, BOGUMILA ZUGA 32A STR, 01-811 WARSAW, POLAND
SN 2391-5447
J9 OPEN GEOSCI
JI Open Geosci.
PD JAN
PY 2016
VL 8
IS 1
BP 711
EP 727
DI 10.1515/geo-2016-0068
PG 17
SC Geology
GA EK9KN
UT WOS:000394243400017
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Lu, WK
Liu, L
Wang, F
Zhou, XS
Hu, GJ
AF Lu, Weike
Liu, Lan
Wang, Feng
Zhou, Xuesong
Hu, Guojing
TI Two-phase optimization model for ride-sharing with transfers in
short-notice evacuations
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuation; Ride-sharing; Transfer; Vehicle-space-time network;
Lagrangian relaxation
ID SERVICE NETWORK DESIGN; HURRICANE EVACUATION; TIME; PICKUP
AB Optimization of on-demand transportation provisions and ride-sharing services in
evacuations may provide increased network capacity and enhanced evacuation
performance to transportation systems and improve equity and disaster preparedness
for community and society. This paper proposes a two-phase model for optimizing
trip planning and operations by integrating a ride-sharing process in short-notice
evacuations, to allow a joint optimization of driver-rider matching and necessary
transfer connections among shared vehicle trips. In the first phase, following
network topology information and personal requests, a vehicle-space-time hyper
dimensional network is developed by constructing vehicle-space-time vertexes and
arcs. In the second phase, based on the constructed vehicle-space-time network, a
new time-discretized multi-rider multidriver network flow model is built to
formulate ride-sharing with connecting transfers. A Lagrangian relaxation solution
approach is designed to solve the model in a real-world network scenario. Numerical
analyses are conducted with considerations given to the three operating parameters
(detour tolerance of driver, penalty factor for transfer time, and maximum
allowable parking time) in the method, and the analysis results show that the
proposed model can not only meet the evacuation trip needs of the participating
parties but it also supports personalized requests and on-demand accesses. A small
sample network is used to theoretically test the whole model and the underlying
concepts and solution strategy to show each step implemented in details, and
finally the applicability of the method is demonstrated using the Chicago City
network.
C1 [Lu, Weike; Liu, Lan] Southwest Jiaotong Univ, Sch Transportat & Logist, Chengdu
610031, Sichuan, Peoples R China.
[Wang, Feng] Texas State Univ, Ingram Sch Engn, San Marcos, TX 78666 USA.
[Zhou, Xuesong] Arizona State Univ, Sch Sustainable Engn & Built Environm,
Tempe, AZ 85281 USA.
[Hu, Guojing] Jackson State Univ, Dept Math & Stat Sci, Jackson, MS 39217 USA.
C3 Southwest Jiaotong University; Texas State University System; Texas
State University San Marcos; Arizona State University; Arizona State
University-Tempe; Jackson State University
RP Wang, F (corresponding author), Texas State Univ, Ingram Sch Engn, San Marcos,
TX 78666 USA.
EM weikeguojing@gmail.com; jianan_l@home.swjtu.edu.cn; f_w34@txstate.edu;
xzhou74@asu.edu; guojinghu.jsu@gmail.com
FU National Natural Science Foundation of China [61873216]; National
Science Foundation-United States [CMMI 1663657]
FX This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China
(General Program, Grant No. 61873216). The fourth author is partially
funded by National Science Foundation-United States under NSF Grant No.
CMMI 1663657. "Real-time Management of Large Fleets of Self-Driving
Vehicles Using Virtual Cyber Tracks".
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Shaheen Susan, 2016, SHARED MOBILITY CURR
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NR 51
TC 10
Z9 10
U1 4
U2 40
PI OXFORD
SN 0968-090X
PD MAY
PY 2020
VL 114
BP 272
EP 296
DI 10.1016/j.trc.2020.02.020
PG 25
SC Transportation
GA LG7MS
UT WOS:000528280900014
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Morss, RE
Mulder, KJ
Lazo, JK
Demuth, JL
Mulder, Kelsey J.
Lazo, Jeffrey K.
Demuth, Julie L.
TI How do people perceive, understand, and anticipate responding to flash
flood risks and warnings? Results from a public survey in Boulder,
Colorado, USA
LA English
DT Article
DE Flash flooding; Warnings; Risk perception; Communication; Decision
making
ID DECISION-MAKING; EVACUATION; PERCEPTIONS; RESIDENTS; COMMUNICATION;
VULNERABILITY; FATALITIES; RESPONSES; EVENTS; IMPACT
AB This study investigates flash flood forecast and warning communication,
interpretation, and decision making, using data from a survey of 418 members of the
public in Boulder, Colorado, USA. Respondents to the public survey varied in their
perceptions and understandings of flash flood risks in Boulder, and some had
misconceptions about flash flood risks, such as the safety of crossing fast-flowing
water. About 6% of respondents indicated consistent reversals of US watch-warning
alert terminology. However, more in-depth analysis illustrates the multi-
dimensional, situationally dependent meanings of flash flood alerts, as well as the
importance of evaluating interpretation and use of warning information along with
alert terminology. Some public respondents estimated low likelihoods of flash
flooding given a flash flood warning; these were associated with lower anticipated
likelihood of taking protective action given a warning. Protective action
intentions were also lower among respondents who had less trust in flash flood
warnings, those who had not made prior preparations for flash flooding, and those
who believed themselves to be safer from flash flooding. Additional analysis, using
open-ended survey questions about responses to warnings, elucidates the complex,
contextual nature of protective decision making during flash flood threats. These
findings suggest that warnings can play an important role not only by notifying
people that there is a threat and helping motivate people to take protective
action, but also by helping people evaluate what actions to take given their
situation. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
C1 [Morss, Rebecca E.; Demuth, Julie L.] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Mesoscale &
Microscale Meteorol Lab, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA.
[Mulder, Kelsey J.] Univ Manchester, Sch Earth Atmospher & Environm Sci, Ctr
Atmospher Sci, Simon Bldg,Oxford Rd, Manchester M13 9PL, Lancs, England.
[Lazo, Jeffrey K.] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Res Applicat Lab, POB 3000, Boulder,
CO 80307 USA.
C3 National Center Atmospheric Research (NCAR) - USA; N8 Research
Partnership; University of Manchester; National Center Atmospheric
RP Morss, RE (corresponding author), Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Mesoscale & Microscale
Meteorol Lab, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA.
EM morss@ucar.edu
FU US National Science Foundation [0729511]; Directorate For Geosciences;
Div Atmospheric & Geospace Sciences [0729511] Funding Source: National
Science Foundation
FX The authors thank Curtis McDonald, Gina Eosco, Kimberly Klockow, and
Randy Peppler for their collaboration on the University of Oklahoma
Capstone project that collected the data for this study; Emily Laidlaw,
Marybeth Zarlingo, Ann Bostrom, and Rebecca Hudson for their assistance
with survey design and implementation; Jennifer Boehnert for her
assistance with GIS analysis; and Burrell Montz for her guidance and
insight in the data analysis and interpretation that Kelsey Mulder
performed for her M.A. thesis at East Carolina University. This study
was partly supported by US National Science Foundation Grant 0729511.
The National Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the US
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TC 69
Z9 71
U1 1
U2 50
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 0022-1694
EI 1879-2707
J9 J HYDROL
JI J. Hydrol.
PD OCT
PY 2016
VL 541
SI SI
BP 649
EP 664
DI 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.11.047
PN A
PG 16
(SSCI)
GA EA2KM
UT WOS:000386421200048
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wong, SD
Broader, JC
Walker, JL
Shaheen, SA
AF Wong, Stephen D.
Broader, Jacquelyn C.
Walker, Joan L.
Shaheen, Susan A.
TI Understanding California wildfire evacuee behavior and joint choice
making
SO TRANSPORTATION
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuations; Evacuee behavior; California wildfires; Latent class choice
model; Portfolio choice model; Joint choice modeling
ID WILDLAND-URBAN INTERFACE; TRAVEL DEMAND MODEL; EVACUATION BEHAVIOR;
DECISION-MAKING; HURRICANE; RESPONSES; STAY; ALTERNATIVES; EXPERIENCES;
SIMULATION
AB For evacuations, people must make the critical decision to evacuate or stay
followed by a multi-dimensional choice composed of concurrent decisions of their
departure time, transportation mode, route, destination, and shelter type. These
choices have important impacts on transportation response and evacuation outcomes.
While extensive research has been conducted on hurricane evacuation behavior,
little is known about wildfire evacuation behavior. To address this critical
research gap, particularly related to joint choice-making in wildfires, we surveyed
individuals impacted by the 2017 December Southern California Wildfires (n = 226)
and the 2018 Carr Wildfire (n = 284). Using these data, we contribute to the
literature in two key ways. First, we develop two latent class choice models
(LCCMs) to evaluate the factors that influence the decision to evacuate or
stay/defend. We find an evacuation keen class and an evacuation reluctant class
that are influenced differently by mandatory evacuation orders. This nuance is
further supported by different membership of people to the classes based on
demographics and risk perceptions. Second, we develop two portfolio choice models
(PCMs), which jointly model choice dimensions to assess multi-dimensional
evacuation choice. We find several similarities between wildfires including a joint
preference for within-county and nighttime evacuations and a joint dislike for
within-county and highway evacuations. Altogether, this paper provides evidence of
heterogeneity in response to mandatory evacuation orders for wildfires, distinct
membership of populations to different classes of people for evacuating or
staying/defending, and clear correlation among key wildfire evacuation choices that
necessitates joint modeling to holistically understanding wildfire evacuation
behavior.
C1 [Wong, Stephen D.] Univ Alberta, Civil & Environm Engn, Edmonton, AB, Canada.
[Broader, Jacquelyn C.; Shaheen, Susan A.] Univ Calif Berkeley, Transportat
Sustainabil Res Ctr, Berkeley, CA USA.
[Walker, Joan L.; Shaheen, Susan A.] Univ Calif Berkeley, Civil & Environm Engn,
Berkeley, CA USA.
C3 University of Alberta; University of California System; University of
California Berkeley
RP Wong, SD (corresponding author), Univ Alberta, Civil & Environm Engn, Edmonton,
AB, Canada.
EM stephenwong@ualberta.ca; jcbroader@berkeley.edu;
joanwalker@berkeley.edu; sshaheen@berkeley.edu
OI Shaheen, Susan/0000-0002-3350-856X; Broader,
Jacquelyn/0000-0003-3269-955X; Wong, Stephen/0000-0002-3638-3651
FU State of California; Dwight D. Eisenhower Transportation Fellowship
Program (DDETFP); US Department of Transportation; Federal Highway
Administration; Graduate Research Fellowship Program; Transportation
Sustainability Research Center at the University of California Berkeley
FX This study was made possible through funding received by the University
of California Institute of Transportation Studies from the State of
California via the Public Transportation Account and the Road Repair and
Accountability Act of 2017 (Senate Bill 1). The authors would like to
thank the State of California for its support of university-based
research, and especially for the funding received for this project. The
ability to explore this research topic was made possible through
generous funding from the Dwight D. Eisenhower Transportation Fellowship
Program (DDETFP), which is administered by the Federal Highway
Administration. The authors would like to thank the US Department of
Transportation and Federal Highway Administration for their support of
this research. The opportunity to explore this topic was also made
possible by the Graduate Research Fellowship Program, which is
administered by the National Science Foundation. The Transportation
Sustainability Research Center at the University of California Berkeley
also provided generous support to this research. The authors would also
like to thank the many local agencies and community organizations across
California for their assistance in distributing the surveys. Finally,
the authors thank the three anonymous reviewers for their thoughtful and
constructive insights and comments to improve the paper.
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TC 7
Z9 7
U1 4
U2 14
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 0049-4488
EI 1572-9435
J9 TRANSPORTATION
JI Transportation
PD AUG
PY 2023
VL 50
IS 4
BP 1165
EP 1211
DI 10.1007/s11116-022-10275-y
EA APR 2022
PG 47
(SSCI)
GA L1QD9
UT WOS:000777427400001
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Ryan, B
King, R
Lokuge, W
Karunasena, W
Anderson, E
AF Ryan, Barbara
King, Rachel
Lokuge, Weena
Karunasena, Warna
Anderson, Esther
TI Using an inventory cluster approach for assessing bushfire preparedness
and information needs in vulnerable communities
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DT Article
DE Bushfire; Wildfire; Preparation; Preparedness; Communication; Community
engagement
ID HOUSEHOLD PREPAREDNESS; EVACUATION BEHAVIOR; HAZARD PREPAREDNESS; RISK
PERCEPTION; DISASTER; COMMUNICATION; ADJUSTMENT; WILDFIRE; COUNTY; MODEL
AB Disasters cost the world $US268bn in 2020 in economic, property and human
losses. In Queensland, the most disaster-prone of Australian states, flood, cyclone
and bushfire will cost $466bn over the next 40 years. Individual preparation for
natural hazards has been shown to reduce this cost by reducing adverse experiences,
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bushfire preparation communication campaigns to target and motivate specific safety
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Esther] Univ Southern Queensland, West St, Toowoomba, Qld, Australia.
C3 University of Southern Queensland
RP Ryan, B (corresponding author), Univ Southern Queensland, West St, Toowoomba,
Qld, Australia.
EM barbara.ryan@usq.edu.au
RI King, Rachel/HKE-6491-2023; Lokuge, Weena/K-4922-2013
OI King, Rachel/0000-0002-3302-0919; Karunasena, Karu/0000-0003-3636-3068;
Lokuge, Weena/0000-0003-1370-1976
FU CAUL; Toowoomba Regional Council
FX Open Access funding enabled and organized by CAUL and its Member
Institutions. This project was funded by Toowoomba Regional Council as
part of the Queensland Reconstruction Authority Get Ready Queensland
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NR 75
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 2
U2 4
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 0921-030X
EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
PD JAN
PY 2023
VL 115
IS 2
BP 1697
EP 1714
DI 10.1007/s11069-022-05614-2
EA NOV 2022
PG 18
Water Resources
GA G5FC8
UT WOS:000882736300001
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wei, HL
Lindell, MK
Prater, CS
AF Wei, Hung-Lung
Lindell, Michael K.
Prater, Carla S.
TI "Certain Death" from Storm Surge: A Comparative Study of Household
Responses to Warnings about Hurricanes Rita and Ike
LA English
DT Article
ID DECISION-MAKING; AFTERMATH
AB This study examines the effect of an unusual "certain death" warning message on
Galveston, Harris, and Jefferson County, Texas, residents' expectations of storm
surge damage and evacuation decisions during Hurricane Ike. The effect of this
message was tested by comparing questionnaire data collected after Hurricane Ike to
similar data collected 3 yr earlier after Hurricane Rita. If the certain death
message had an effect, one would expect nonsignificant differences in perceptions
of the two storms' surge threats because the category 2 storm (Ike) had a surge
that was more characteristic of a category 5 storm (Rita). However, the ratings of
the storm surge threat for Ike were significantly lower than those for Rita in
Galveston County-the point of landfall. Moreover, evacuation rates for Ike were
consistently lower than those for Rita in all three counties, and there were no
statistically significant differences between storms in the correlations of
expected storm surge damage with evacuation decisions. In summary, these data fail
to show evidence that the dramatic certain death warning increased expectations of
surge threat and evacuation decisions. These findings underscore the need for those
disseminating weather warnings to better understand how hurricane warnings flow
from an initial source through intermediate links to the ultimate receivers as well
as how these ultimate receivers receive, heed, interpret, and decide how to act
upon those warnings.
C1 [Wei, Hung-Lung; Lindell, Michael K.; Prater, Carla S.] Texas A&M Univ, Hazard
Reduct & Recovery Ctr, College Stn, TX 77843 USA.
C3 Texas A&M University System; Texas A&M University College Station
RP Lindell, MK (corresponding author), Texas A&M Univ, Hazard Reduct & Recovery
Ctr, College Stn, TX 77843 USA.
EM mlindell@tamu.edu
FU National Science Foundation [SES 0527699, SES-0838654, IIS-1212790]
FX This study was supported by the National Science Foundation Grants SES
0527699, SES-0838654, and IIS-1212790. The opinions, findings,
conclusions, and recommendations expressed in this paper are those of
the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National
Science Foundation.
6988(2004)5:3(115)
[Anonymous], 2000, MAIL INTERNET SURVEY
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6988(2007)8:3(50
6988(2007)8:3(61), DOI 10.1061/(ASCE)1527-6988(2007)8:3(61)]
Prater C. S., 2000, NAT HAZARDS REV
2867(01)00013-4, DOI 10.1016/S1464-2867(01)00013-4]
NR 30
TC 25
Z9 25
U1 2
U2 25
PI BOSTON
SN 1948-8327
EI 1948-8335
J9 WEATHER CLIM SOC
PD OCT
PY 2014
VL 6
IS 4
BP 425
EP 433
DI 10.1175/WCAS-D-13-00074.1
PG 9
(SSCI)
GA AQ8IJ
UT WOS:000343068900001
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Douglas, R
Kocatepe, A
Barrett, AE
Ozguven, EE
Gumber, C
AF Douglas, Rachel
Kocatepe, Ayberk
Barrett, Anne E.
Ozguven, Eren Erman
Gumber, Clayton
TI Evacuating People and Their Pets: Older Floridians' Need for and
Proximity to Pet-Friendly Shelters
SO JOURNALS OF GERONTOLOGY SERIES B-PSYCHOLOGICAL SCIENCES AND SOCIAL
SCIENCES
LA English
DT Article
DE Emergency preparedness/disaster response; Public policy; Transportation
ID HURRICANE-KATRINA; COMPANION ANIMALS; OWNERSHIP; ADULTS; RISK; HEALTH
AB Objectives: Pets influence evacuation decisions, but little is known about pet-
friendly emergency shelters' availability or older adults' need for them. Our study
addresses this issue, focusing on the most densely populated area of Florida
(Miami-Dade)-the state with the oldest population and greatest hurricane
susceptibility.
Method: We use Geographic Information Systems (GIS)-based methodology to
identify the shortest paths to pet-friendly shelters, based on distance and
congested and uncongested travel times-taking into account the older population's
spatial distribution. Logistic regression models using the 2013 American Housing
Survey's Disaster Planning Module examine anticipated shelter use as a function of
pet ownership and requiring pet evacuation assistance.
Results: Thirty-four percent of older adults in the Miami-Dade area have pets-
35% of whom report needing pet evacuation assistance. However, GIS accessibility
measures show that travel time factors are likely to impede older adults' use of
the area's few pet-friendly shelters. Logistic regression results reveal that pet
owners are less likely to report anticipating shelter use; however, the opposite
holds for pet owners reporting they would need help evacuating their pets-they
anticipate using shelters.
Discussion: High pet shelter need coupled with low availability exacerbates
older adults' heightened vulnerability during Florida's hurricane season.
C1 [Douglas, Rachel; Gumber, Clayton] Florida State Univ, Dept Sociol, Tallahassee,
FL 32306 USA.
[Kocatepe, Ayberk; Ozguven, Eren Erman] FAMU FSU Coll Engn, Dept Civil &
Environm Engn, Tallahassee, FL USA.
[Barrett, Anne E.] Florida State Univ, Dept Sociol, Pepper Inst Aging & Publ
Policy, Tallahassee, FL 32306 USA.
C3 State University System of Florida; Florida State University; State
University System of Florida; Florida A&M University; Florida State
University; State University System of Florida; Florida State University
RP Douglas, R (corresponding author), Bellamy Bldg 113 Collegiate Loop,
EM rad14d@my.fsu.edu
OI Ozguven, Eren/0000-0001-6006-7635
FU United States Department of Transportation [DTRT13-G-UTC42]
FX This work was supported by United States Department of Transportation
(DTRT13-G-UTC42).
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NR 41
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 3
U2 18
PU OXFORD UNIV PRESS INC
PI CARY
PA JOURNALS DEPT, 2001 EVANS RD, CARY, NC 27513 USA
SN 1079-5014
EI 1758-5368
J9 J GERONTOL B-PSYCHOL
JI J. Gerontol. Ser. B-Psychol. Sci. Soc. Sci.
PD SEP
PY 2019
VL 74
IS 6
BP 1032
EP 1040
DI 10.1093/geronb/gbx119
PG 9
WC Geriatrics & Gerontology; Gerontology; Psychology; Psychology,
Multidisciplinary
(SSCI)
SC Geriatrics & Gerontology; Psychology
GA JI3PF
UT WOS:000493377400016
PM 29029345
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Holcer, NJ
Jelicic, P
Bujevic, MG
Vazanic, D
AF Holcer, Natasa Janev
Jelicic, Pavle
Bujevic, Maja Grba
Vazanic, Damir
TI Health protection and risks for rescuers in cases of floods
SO ARHIV ZA HIGIJENU RADA I TOKSIKOLOGIJU-ARCHIVES OF INDUSTRIAL HYGIENE
AND TOXICOLOGY
LA English
DT Review
DE contamination; decontamination of diving equipment; disinfection;
displaced animals; flood-related health hazards
ID EXPOSURE
AB Floods can pose a number of safety and health hazards for flood-affected
populations and rescuers and bring risk of injuries, infections, and diseases due
to exposure to pathogenic microorganisms and different biological and chemical
contaminants. The risk factors and possible health consequences for the rescuers
involved in evacuation and rescuing operations during the May 2014 flood crisis in
Croatia are shown, as well as measures for the prevention of injuries and
illnesses. In cases of extreme floods, divers play a particularly important role in
rescuing and first-response activities. Rescuing in contaminated floodwaters means
that the used equipment such as diving suits should be disinfected afterwards. The
need for securing the implementation of minimal health and safety measures for
involved rescuers is paramount. Data regarding injuries and disease occurrences
among rescuers are relatively scarce, indicating the need for medical surveillance
systems that would monitor and record all injuries and disease occurrences among
rescuers in order to ensure sound epidemiological data. The harmful effects of
flooding can be reduced by legislation, improvement of flood forecasting,
establishing early warning systems, and appropriate planning and education.
C1 [Holcer, Natasa Janev; Jelicic, Pavle] Croatian Inst Publ Hlth, Zagreb, Croatia.
[Bujevic, Maja Grba; Vazanic, Damir] Croatian Inst Emergency Med, Zagreb,
Croatia.
RP Holcer, NJ (corresponding author), Croatian Inst Publ Hlth, Rockefellerova 7,
Zagreb, Croatia.
EM natasa.janev@hzjz.hr
RI Vazanic, Damir/AAW-5631-2021; Vazanic, Damir/HPD-3937-2023
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IZVJ KAT PODR VUK SR
NR 38
TC 6
Z9 6
U1 0
U2 12
PU INST MEDICAL RESEARCH & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
PI ZAGREB
PA 2 KSAVERSKA ST P O BOX 291, ZAGREB, 00000, CROATIA
SN 0004-1254
EI 1848-6312
J9 ARH HIG RADA TOKSIKO
JI Arh. Hig. Rada. Toksikol.
PD MAR
PY 2015
VL 66
IS 1
BP 9
EP 13
DI 10.1515/aiht-2015-66-2559
PG 5
WC Public, Environmental & Occupational Health; Toxicology
SC Public, Environmental & Occupational Health; Toxicology
GA CG1JY
UT WOS:000353030100002
PM 25741935
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Cuite, CL
Morss, RE
Demuth, JL
Hallman, WK
AF Cuite, Cara L.
Morss, Rebecca E.
Demuth, Julie L.
Hallman, William K.
TI Hurricanes vs Nor'easters: The Effects of Storm Type on Perceived
Severity and Protective Actions
LA English
DT Article
DE Social Science; North America; Hurricanes
ID RISK PERCEPTION; EVACUATION; COMMUNICATION; RESPONSES
AB Both hurricanes and nor'easters can be destructive and deadly. The current study
investigates whether, when all other features of a storm warning message are held
constant, people perceive the risks posed by nor'easters and hurricanes differently
and whether these differences affect their attitudes and decisions about taking
protective action. We conducted an online experiment involving 1,700 Americans
residing in northeastern coastal ZIP codes to test the effects of storm type
(hurricane vs nor'easter). Participants were told that their area was under an
evacuation order due to either a predicted hurricane or nor'easter. Reported
message comprehension and perceived relevance were similar across storm type;
however, storm type had small but significant effects on other dependent measures.
Those in the hurricane condition were more likely to believe the storm would be
severe (p = 0.007). They were also more likely to say that it is important to
evacuate, that they would evacuate their homes, and that they would recommend to
their neighbors that they evacuate (p < 0.001). Additional analysis demonstrated
that the effect of storm type on evacuation likelihood is mediated, at least in
part, by perceived severity. These findings provide evidence that people perceive
hurricanes as more severe and more likely to require taking protective action than
nor'easters, even when other attributes of the storms remain the same. Forecasters,
broadcast meteorologists, and emergency management professionals should consider
these small but important differences in perceptions when communicating about these
types of storms.
C1 [Cuite, Cara L.; Hallman, William K.] Rutgers State Univ, New Brunswick, NJ
08854 USA.
[Morss, Rebecca E.; Demuth, Julie L.] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder,
CO 80307 USA.
C3 Rutgers State University New Brunswick; National Center Atmospheric
RP Cuite, CL (corresponding author), Rutgers State Univ, New Brunswick, NJ 08854
USA.
EM cuite@rutgers.edu
FU Coastal Storm Awareness Program (NOAA) from the National Sea Grant
College Program, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S.
Department of Commerce [R/CSAP-1-NJ, NA13OAR4830227, NA13OAR4830228,
NA13OAR4830229]; Sea Grant College Program in Connecticut, New Jersey;
National Science Foundation; Sea Grant College Program in Connecticut,
New York
FX This manuscript was prepared by the authors using Federal funds from
projects #R/CSAP-1-NJ funded under the Coastal Storm Awareness Program
(NOAA Awards NA13OAR4830227, NA13OAR4830228, and NA13OAR4830229) from
the National Sea Grant College Program, National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce. The federal funds were
provided via appropriations under the Disaster Relief Appropriations Act
of 2013 (P.L. 113-2) and the Sea Grant Act (33 U.S.C. 1121 et seq.).
Funding was awarded to the financial hosts of the Sea Grant College
Programs in Connecticut, New Jersey, and New York via their financial
host institutions, the University of Connecticut, the New Jersey Sea
Grant Consortium, and the Research Foundation of State University of New
York, respectively. The statements, findings, conclusions, and
recommendations are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily
reflect the views of the National Sea Grant College Program, National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the U.S. Department of Commerce
nor any of the other listed organizations. We wish to acknowledge the
assistance of Lucas Marxen and the Rutgers Office of Research Analytics
for their assistance with GIS analysis, and our collaborators Steven
Decker, Christopher Obropta, Karen O'Neil, Rachael Shwom, and David
Robinson. The National Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by
the National Science Foundation.
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NR 47
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 0
U2 5
PI BOSTON
SN 0003-0007
EI 1520-0477
PD JUL
PY 2021
VL 102
IS 7
BP E1306
EP E1316
DI 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0043.1
PG 11
GA TY6MR
UT WOS:000683897000003
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Artur, L
Hilhorst, D
AF Artur, Luis
Hilhorst, Dorothea
TI Everyday realities of climate change adaptation in Mozambique
SO GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
LA English
DT Article
DE Climate change adaptation; Multi-sited ethnography; Mozambique; Floods;
Evacuation; Resettlement
ID VULNERABILITY; DROUGHT
AB This paper analyzes discourses and practices of flood response and adaptation to
climate change in Mozambique. It builds on recent publications on climate change
adaptation that suggest that the successes and failures of adaptation highly depend
on the cultural and political realms of societal perceptions and the sensitivity of
institutions. To capture this, the paper adopted a multi-sited ethnographic
approach. Acknowledging that there is no central locus of representation that can
unveil the working of disaster response in Mozambique, the paper brings together
five vignettes of research in different 'sites' of concern to the rise in floods in
Mozambique. These are the politics of climate change adaptation at the national
institutional level, societal responses to increased flooding, local people's
responses to floods, the evacuation and resettlement programme following the 2007
flood. The paper finds how adaptation to climate change becomes part of everyday
politics, how actors aim to incorporate responses into the continuation of their
normal behavior and how elites are better positioned to take advantage of
adaptation programmes than the vulnerable people that were targeted. It argues that
climate change adaptation must be made consonant with historically grown and
ongoing social and institutional processes. It concludes with lessons that the
analysis and methodology of the research can provide for the practice of climate
change adaptation. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
C1 [Artur, Luis] Eduardo Mondlane Univ, Maputo, Mozambique.
[Hilhorst, Dorothea] Wageningen Univ, Wageningen, Netherlands.
C3 Eduardo Mondlane University; Wageningen University & Research
RP Hilhorst, D (corresponding author), Disasterstudies, Hollandseweg 1, NL-6706 KN
Wageningen, Netherlands.
EM lartur@uem.mz; thea.hilhorst@wur.nl
RI Hilhorst, Dorothea/T-7754-2019
OI Hilhorst, Dorothea/0000-0003-2280-6833
FU Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (NWO)
FX We are grateful to the Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research
(NWO) to grant this project under the Vulnerability, Adaptation,
Mitigation programme. We thank Ian Christoplos and Jeroen Warner for
their valuable comments.
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U2 49
PU ELSEVIER SCI LTD
PI OXFORD
SN 0959-3780
EI 1872-9495
J9 GLOBAL ENVIRON CHANG
JI Glob. Environ. Change-Human Policy Dimens.
PD MAY
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VL 22
IS 2
BP 529
EP 536
DI 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.11.013
PG 8
WC Environmental Sciences; Environmental Studies; Geography
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SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Geography
GA 945QC
UT WOS:000304290100022
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Gao, JY
Murao, O
Pei, XD
Dong, YT
AF Gao, Jingyi
Murao, Osamu
Pei, Xuanda
Dong, Yitong
TI Identifying Evacuation Needs and Resources Based on Volunteered
Geographic Information: A Case of the Rainstorm in July 2021, Zhengzhou,
China
LA English
DT Article
DE disaster prevention; volunteered geographic information; evacuation
needs; rainstorm; latent dirichlet allocation model; random forest
ID WATERLOGGING RISK-ASSESSMENT; CLIMATE-CHANGE; FLASH-FLOOD;
IDENTIFICATION; SHANGHAI; QUALITY; IMPACT
AB Recently, global climate change has led to a high incidence of extreme weather
and natural disasters. How to reduce its impact has become an important topic.
However, the studies that both consider the disaster's real-time geographic
information and environmental factors in severe rainstorms are still not enough.
Volunteered geographic information (VGI) data that was generated during disasters
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source for future disaster research. The characteristics of rainstorm hazards were
concluded from the perspective of affected people and environmental indicators. The
policy recommendations for disaster prevention in the context of public
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C3 Tohoku University; Tohoku University; Tohoku University
RP Gao, JY (corresponding author), Tohoku Univ, Grad Sch Engn, Dept Architecture &
Bldg Sci, Sendai, Miyagi 9808579, Japan.
EM gao.jingyi.s4@dc.tohoku.ac.jp
RI Gao, Jingyi/GZM-5515-2022
OI Gao, Jingyi/0000-0003-1887-3240; PEI, XUANDA/0000-0001-7767-8299; Murao,
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TC 0
Z9 0
U1 17
U2 24
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 1660-4601
PD DEC
PY 2022
VL 19
IS 23
AR 16051
DI 10.3390/ijerph192316051
PG 21
(SSCI)
Health
GA 6X2WN
UT WOS:000896279700001
PM 36498120
DA 2023-08-12
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PT J
AU Liu, S
Liu, R
Tan, NZ
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Liu, Rui
Tan, Nengzhi
TI A Spatial Improved-kNN-Based Flood Inundation Risk Framework for Urban
Tourism under Two Rainfall Scenarios
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE GIS; Landsat TM; likelihood; sensitivity analysis; uncertainty
ID EVACUATION SIMULATION; SENSITIVITY-ANALYSIS; WETLAND INUNDATION; DEEP
UNCERTAINTY; CLIMATE-CHANGE; GIS; MANAGEMENT; MODELS; AHP; INFORMATION
AB Urban tourism has been suffering socio-economic challenges from flood inundation
risk (FIR) triggered by extraordinary rainfall under climate extremes. The
evaluation of FIR is essential for mitigating economic losses, and even casualties.
This study proposes an innovative spatial framework integrating improved k-nearest
neighbor (kNN), remote sensing (RS), and geographic information system (GIS) to
analyze FIR for tourism sites. Shanghai, China, was selected as a case study.
Tempo-spatial factors, including climate, topography, drainage, vegetation, and
soil, were selected to generate several flood-related gridded indicators as inputs
into the evaluation framework. A likelihood of FIR was mapped to represent possible
inundation for tourist sites under a moderate-heavy rainfall scenario and extreme
rainfall scenario. The resultant map was verified by the maximum inundation extent
merged by RS images and water bodies. The evaluation outcomes deliver the baseline
and scientific information for urban planners and policymakers to take cost-
effective measures for decreasing and evading the pressure of FIR on the
sustainable development of urban tourism. The spatial improved-kNN-based framework
provides an innovative, effective, and easy-to-use approach to evaluate the risk
for the tourism industry under climate change.
C1 [Liu, Shuang] Huzhou Vocat & Tech Coll, Sch Tourism & Publ Management, Huzhou
[Liu, Rui] Capital Normal Univ, Coll Geospatial Informat Sci & Technol, Beijing
[Tan, Nengzhi] Huzhou Univ, Int Coll, Huzhou 313000, Peoples R China.
C3 Huzhou Vocational & Technical College; Capital Normal University; Huzhou
University
RP Liu, R (corresponding author), Capital Normal Univ, Coll Geospatial Informat Sci
& Technol, Beijing 100048, Peoples R China.
EM lsiuhuang@163.com; drruiliu@yeah.net; 02144@zjhu.edu.cn
FU Research on Practical Teaching Mode of Tourism Major in Higher
Vocational Education Based on CBE Mode [FG2019131]; Research on the
Design and Application of Smart Classroom Mode under the Background of
"Internet + Education" [186140055]; Seeing Beautiful China in Huzhou:
Evolution and Development of Villages in Tourist Attractions in Huzhou
[20hzghy026]
FX The study was funded by Research on Practical Teaching Mode of Tourism
Major in Higher Vocational Education Based on CBE Mode (FG2019131),
Research on the Design and Application of Smart Classroom Mode under the
Background of "Internet + Education" (186140055), and Seeing Beautiful
China in Huzhou: Evolution and Development of Villages in Tourist
Attractions in Huzhou (20hzghy026). The anonymous reviewers are
acknowledged for their valuable comments.
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NR 72
TC 6
Z9 7
U1 3
U2 28
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
JI Sustainability
PD MAR
PY 2021
VL 13
IS 5
AR 2859
DI 10.3390/su13052859
PG 18
(SSCI)
GA QW4MS
UT WOS:000628626200001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Hutton, NS
Tobin, GA
Montz, BE
AF Hutton, N. S.
Tobin, G. A.
Montz, B. E.
TI The levee effect revisited: Processes and policies enabling development
in Yuba County, California
LA English
DT Article
DE floodplain management; levees; mitigation; urban development
ID COVER CHANGE; FLOOD; HYDROLOGY; DISASTER
AB Prolonged, heavy rain in Northern California led to the evacuation of over
180,000 residents on February 12, 2017 after the capacity of the Oroville Dam,
which spills into the Feather River, came into question. This paper examines the
development of the floodplain along the Yuba and Feather rivers and identifies
changes in risk distribution resulting from increased urbanisation. The levee
system in this area was extended, and additional embankments were erected between
2004 and 2011. Olivehurst has particularly experienced high population growth and
increased housing values despite a history of flooding, partly due to failed
mitigation structures. Increased development stemming from a false sense of
security associated with mitigation projects, termed the levee effect, has been
well documented. Analyses of census data, land cover change, Federal Emergency
Management Agency (FEMA) flood zone designations, and county development plans
indicate that several factors other than available land have precipitated
expansion: (a) population pressure, (b) recertification of the levees that now
confine the official floodplain, and (c) the fact that flood insurance is no longer
a requirement for homeowners. Development trends from 1980 to 2015 put communities
built in anticipation of the upgraded levee system that are completely reliant upon
it for flood protection at risk.
C1 [Hutton, N. S.] Old Dominion Univ, Dept Polit Sci & Geog, 7012 Batten Arts &
Letters, Norfolk, VA 23529 USA.
[Tobin, G. A.] Univ S Florida, Sch Geosci, Tampa, FL USA.
[Montz, B. E.] East Carolina Univ, Det Geog Planning & Environm, Greenville, NC
27858 USA.
C3 Old Dominion University; State University System of Florida; University
of South Florida; University of North Carolina; East Carolina University
RP Hutton, NS (corresponding author), Old Dominion Univ, Dept Polit Sci & Geog,
7012 Batten Arts & Letters, Norfolk, VA 23529 USA.
EM nhuttons@odu.edu
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NR 53
TC 28
Z9 28
U1 0
U2 18
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 1753-318X
PD SEP
PY 2019
VL 12
IS 3
AR e12469
DI 10.1111/jfr3.12469
PG 13
(SSCI)
GA IN8QO
UT WOS:000478944800008
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Malak, MA
Sajib, AM
Quader, MA
Anjum, H
AF Malak, Md. Abdul
Sajib, Abdul Majed
Quader, Mohammad Abdul
Anjum, Humayra
TI "We are feeling older than our age": Vulnerability and adaptive
strategies of aging people to cyclones in coastal Bangladesh
LA English
DT Article
DE Older people; Cyclone; Vulnerability; Assets; Adaptation; Coastal area
ID CLIMATE-CHANGE; SOCIAL VULNERABILITY; DISASTER RISK; NATURAL DISASTERS;
ADAPTATION; RESILIENCE; EVACUATION; NETWORKS; RECOVERY; REGION
AB Bangladesh has been affected by the adverse impact of natural hazards such as
cyclones, floods, erosion, salinity intrusion, and so on due to the changes in
global climate variability. Among the environmental stressors, tropical cyclones
frequently impact the coastal people of Bangladesh. This paper details a study on
the vulnerability and adaptation strategies of older people in the face of cyclones
in a coastal location in Bangladesh using qualitative strategy of enquiry. Field
data have been collected through 32 semi-structured interviews, three focus group
discussions, and three oral history in three selected villages (Lebubunia, Gabura
and Dumuria) in the study area. In this research, we argue that the aged are more
affected compared to an adult in a cyclone. Findings show that due to their fewer
assets and dependency on young adult family members, older people experience high
vulnerability in cyclone landfall. Moreover, their lesser physical strength and
weakening mental capacity make them vulnerable. In the absence of appropriate
essential initiatives-lack of social awareness, training, limited access to health
facilities-vulnerability borders on the extreme. Often the elderly are deprived of
proper sanitation and hygiene facilities, food security, and family care and
support. Many also lack access to government income support. To increase older
persons' adaptability to cyclone disasters, all levels of society need to pay them
special attention. This necessitates government institutions, NGOs and other
stakeholders working collectively to reduce the risk to and vulnerability of the
aged to cyclones. An older people's agenda framework also needs to be created.
C1 [Malak, Md. Abdul; Sajib, Abdul Majed; Quader, Mohammad Abdul] Jagannath Univ,
Dept Geog & Environm, Dhaka 1100, Bangladesh.
[Malak, Md. Abdul] Univ Wollongong, Sch Geog & Sustainable Communities,
Wollongong, NSW, Australia.
[Anjum, Humayra] Pabna Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Geog & Environm, Pabna 6600,
Bangladesh.
C3 University of Wollongong
RP Malak, MA (corresponding author), Jagannath Univ, Dept Geog & Environm, Dhaka
1100, Bangladesh.
EM mam716@uowmail.edu.au; majed.sajib@yahoo.com; mquader@vub.be;
humayraanjumju@gmail.com
RI Quader, Mohammad Abdul/AAC-4598-2019
OI Quader, Mohammad Abdul/0000-0002-8176-3856; Sajib, Abdul
Majed/0000-0003-4187-0486
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NR 95
TC 15
Z9 15
U1 3
U2 34
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD SEP
PY 2020
VL 48
AR 101595
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101595
PG 12
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA MV7TX
UT WOS:000556556400012
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zhong, S
Pang, MH
Ho, HC
Jegasothy, E
Clayton, S
Wang, Z
Huang, CR
AF Zhong, Shuang
Pang, Minghui
Ho, Hung Chak
Jegasothy, Edward
Clayton, Susan
Wang, Zhe
Huang, Cunrui
TI Assessing the effectiveness and pathways of planned shelters in
protecting mental health of flood victims in China
LA English
DT Article
DE displacement; flooding shelter; environmental interventions; mental
health; disaster risk reduction; China
ID POSTTRAUMATIC-STRESS-DISORDER; FOLLOW-UP; LOW-INCOME; DISPLACEMENT;
RECOVERY; ASSOCIATION; DISASTER; IMPACT
AB Background. Evacuation and sheltering are commonly used strategies for disaster
risk reduction and climate change adaptation, but may negatively affect mental
health of internally displaced persons (IDPs). Recently, Chinese governments have
developed planned settlements providing integrated and intensive health services
and environmental interventions to reduce immediate disastrous impacts and support
the mental health of IDPs. Methods. Here we selected 69 planned shelters by
stratified sampling to describe the implemented interventions conducted in Anhui
Province of China after the 2016 severe floods, and we used standardized
psychological scales to survey the intervention group (IDP who lived in these
planned shelters) and the matched control group (victims living in their homes).
Multivariable logistic regression was used to examine the association between
social-demographic characteristics, flooding exposure, environmental conditions and
the psychological diseases. Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) were calculated to compare
their prevalence of psychological diseases, and to identify its influencing factors
though comparing multiple interventions. Finally, the structural equation modeling
was used to identify their influencing pathways. Results. Compared with the control
group, the intervention group had a significantly lower risk of anxiety (OR = 0.36;
95% CI: 0.18-0.71), depression (OR = 0.36; 95% CI: 0.19-0.68) and post-traumatic
stress disorder (OR = 0.29; 95% CI: 0.15-0.56). Environmental interventions
providing clean water, safe food, environmental hygiene, risk communication and
sufficient accommodation had a protective effect (standardized indirect effect = -
0.153, p < 0.01) on the risk of psychological problems, mediating the negative
effect caused by displacement and sheltering. Conclusions. How planned shelters
were used to achieve better mental health outcomes in Anhui could inform other
flood-prone areas to mitigate psychological vulnerability of IDPs.
C1 [Zhong, Shuang; Pang, Minghui] Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sch Govt, Ctr Chinese Publ Adm
Res, Guangzhou, Peoples R China.
[Zhong, Shuang; Huang, Cunrui] Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth Policy
& Management, Guangzhou, Peoples R China.
[Ho, Hung Chak] Univ Hong Kong, Dept Urban Planning & Design, Hong Kong, Peoples
R China.
[Jegasothy, Edward] Univ Sydney, Sch Publ Hlth, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
[Clayton, Susan] Coll Wooster, Dept Psychol, Wooster, OH 44691 USA.
[Wang, Zhe] Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Publ Hlth Emergency Ctr, Beijing,
Peoples R China.
[Huang, Cunrui] China Meteorol Adm, Shanghai Typhoon Inst, Shanghai, Peoples R
China.
[Huang, Cunrui] Shanghai Meteorol Serv, Shanghai Key Lab Meteorol & Hlth,
[Huang, Cunrui] Zhengzhou Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Zhengzhou, Peoples R China.
C3 Sun Yat Sen University; Sun Yat Sen University; University of Hong Kong;
University of Sydney; College of Wooster; Chinese Center for Disease
Control & Prevention; China Meteorological Administration; Zhengzhou
University
RP Wang, Z (corresponding author), Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Publ Hlth
Emergency Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R China.
EM wangzhe@chinacdc.cn; huangcr@mail.sysu.edu.cn
RI Clayton, Susan/T-1364-2019; Huang, Cunrui/ABI-3312-2020; Ho, Hung
Chak/W-3320-2017
OI Clayton, Susan/0000-0002-2343-6865; Ho, Hung Chak/0000-0002-6505-3504; ,
Zhong/0000-0002-2834-9875
FU National Key R&D Program of China [2018YFA0606200]; National Natural
Science Foundation of China [71774179, 71503146]; Government Reform and
Construction of key base of Ministry of Education [16JJD630011]
FX This study was supported by the grants from National Key R&D Program of
China (2018YFA0606200), the National Natural Science Foundation of China
(71774179;71503146) and Government Reform and Construction of key base
of Ministry of Education (16JJD630011).
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NR 35
TC 4
Z9 4
U1 8
U2 37
PI BRISTOL
SN 1748-9326
J9 ENVIRON RES LETT
PD DEC
PY 2020
VL 15
IS 12
AR 125006
DI 10.1088/1748-9326/abc446
PG 15
(SSCI)
GA PA3AV
UT WOS:000595505300001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Hernandez, D
Chang, D
Hutchinson, C
Hill, E
Almonte, A
Burns, R
Shepard, P
Gonzalez, I
Reissig, N
Evans, D
AF Hernandez, Diana
Chang, David
Hutchinson, Carole
Hill, Evanah
Almonte, Amenda
Burns, Rachel
Shepard, Peggy
Gonzalez, Ingrid
Reissig, Nora
Evans, David
TI Public Housing on the Periphery: Vulnerable Residents and Depleted
Resilience Reserves post-Hurricane Sandy
LA English
DT Article
DE Resilience; Public housing; Health; Disaster preparedness; Natural
disasters; Poverty; Vulnerable populations
ID NEW-YORK-CITY; SOCIOECONOMIC-STATUS; UNDERSTANDING ENERGY;
POSTTRAUMATIC-STRESS; COMMUNITY RESILIENCE; NEW-ORLEANS; HEALTH;
RECOVERY; POVERTY; ENVIRONMENT
AB HurricaneSandy was the greatest natural disaster to ever impact public housing
residents in New York City. It affected approximately 80,000 residents in 400
buildings in 33 developments throughout the city. The storm left residents without
power, heat, or running water, yet many chose not to evacuate. This qualitative
study was conducted to understand the impact of Sandy among this socially,
physically, and geographically vulnerable population.It is the first known study to
examine the impact of disasters in high-rise, high-density public housing as a
unique risk environment. Findings demonstrate (1) broad impacts to homes, health
and access to resources, (2) complex evacuation decision-making, (3) varied sources
of support in the response and recovery phases, and (4) lessons learned in
preparedness. Results are contextualized within an original conceptual
framework-"resilience reserve"-that explains the phenomenon of delayed recovery
stemming from enactments of resilience to manage chronic hardship leaving
vulnerable populations without the requisite capacity to take protective action
when facing acute adversity. We discuss recommendations to establish and replenish
the resilience reserve that include personal, institutional, and structural facets.
C1 [Hernandez, Diana; Hutchinson, Carole; Hill, Evanah; Almonte, Amenda; Burns,
Rachel; Evans, David] Columbia Univ, Sociomed Sci Dept, New York, NY 10027 USA.
[Chang, David; Shepard, Peggy] WE ACT Environm Justice, New York, NY USA.
[Gonzalez, Ingrid] Dept Hlth & Mental Hyg, Off Emergency Preparedness &
Response, New York, NY USA.
[Reissig, Nora] New York City Housing Author, Family Serv Dept, New York, NY
USA.
C3 Columbia University
RP Hernandez, D (corresponding author), Columbia Univ, Sociomed Sci Dept, New York,
NY 10027 USA.
EM dh2494@cumc.columbia.edu
FU Department of Health and Human Services Office of the Assistant
Secretary for Preparedness and Response [HITEP130009]; National
Institute of Environmental Health Sciences [P30ES009089]
FX The authors wish to express their profound gratitude to Ausama Abdelhadi
for providing editorial comment and refining the presentation of ideas
in this manuscript. We also wish to acknowledge Ogonnaya Dotson-Newman,
formerly at WE ACT for helping to organize the data collection efforts
and Thomas Matte, formerly of the New York City Department of Health and
Mental Hygiene, New York, NY USA for serving as an adviser to the
project. We also wish to thank Chris Vacchio for his collaboration on
the map featured in this article. This project was funded by the
Department of Health and Human Services Office of the Assistant
Secretary for Preparedness and Response (Award HITEP130009) and the
National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences (Award P30ES009089).
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NR 51
TC 25
Z9 25
U1 2
U2 16
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 1099-3460
EI 1468-2869
J9 J URBAN HEALTH
JI J. Urban Health
PD OCT
PY 2018
VL 95
IS 5
BP 703
EP 715
DI 10.1007/s11524-018-0280-4
PG 13
Internal
(SSCI)
GA GW8OC
UT WOS:000447237300009
PM 30088128
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Bonakdari, H
Zaji, AH
Soltani, K
Gharabaghi, B
AF Bonakdari, Hossein
Zaji, Amir Hossein
Soltani, Keyvan
Gharabaghi, Bahram
TI Improving the accuracy of a remotely-sensed flood warning system using a
multi-objective pre-processing method for signal defects detection and
elimination
SO COMPTES RENDUS GEOSCIENCE
LA English
DT Article
DE River discharge forecasting; Particle swarm optimization; Decision tree
classification; Hotelling's T-2 outlier detection; Satellite; Passive
microwave signals
ID PARTICLE SWARM OPTIMIZATION; ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORK; SOIL-MOISTURE;
HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION; RIVER FLOW; BASIN; DISCHARGE; RAINFALL; MACHINE;
WATER
AB One of the primary goals of watershed management is to proactively monitor and
forecast flood water levels to provide early warning for timely evacuation plans
and save lives. One of the most economical ways to accomplish this objective is to
use remotely-sensed satellite signals. Previous studies have indicated that an
Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer (AMSR) sensor can be used for river water
level monitoring combined with a few in-situ hydrometric gauges for the ground-
truth data collection. However, space-based signals are influnced by many error-
inducing natural factors, such as dust and cloud cover. Hence, a hybrid method is
proposed. which comprises of a multiobjective particle swarm optimization model, a
decision tree classification algorithm, the Hotellings T-2 outlier detection, and a
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with signals lost due to satellite technical problems are estimated by ground-truth
data calibration using in situ hydrometric stations. The two case studies of the
White and Willamette Rivers demonstrate the performance of OCOR in practical
situations.
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[Zaji, Amir Hossein; Soltani, Keyvan] Razi Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Kermanshah,
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[Gharabaghi, Bahram] Univ Guelph, Sch Engn, Guelph, ON N1G 2W1, Canada.
C3 Laval University; Razi University; University of Guelph
RP Bonakdari, H (corresponding author), Univ Laval, Dept Soils & Agrifood Engn,
EM hossein.bonakdari@fsaa.ulaval.ca; amirzaji@gmail.com;
keyvansoltanii@gmail.com; bgharaba@uoguelph.ca
RI Bonakdari, Hossein/AAW-5398-2021; Bonakdari, Hossein/B-9305-2018;
Gharabaghi, Bahram/F-9977-2016
OI Bonakdari, Hossein/0000-0001-6169-3654; Gharabaghi,
Bahram/0000-0003-0454-2811; Zaji, Amirhossein/0000-0003-0017-4433
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NR 61
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 0
U2 1
PU ACAD SCIENCES
PI PARIS
PA 23 QUAI DE CONTI, PARIS, FRANCE
SN 1631-0713
EI 1778-7025
J9 CR GEOSCI
JI C. R. Geosci.
PY 2020
VL 352
IS 1
BP 73
EP 86
DI 10.5802/crgeos.4
PG 14
SC Geology
GA NU9MS
UT WOS:000573960500006
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Li, QJ
Xia, JQ
Xie, ZH
Zhou, MR
Deng, SS
AF Li, Qijie
Xia, Junqiang
Xie, Zhihua
Zhou, Meirong
Deng, Shanshan
TI Hazard and vulnerability in urban inundated underground space:
Hydrodynamic analysis of human instability for stairway evacuation
LA English
DT Article
DE Urban flooding; Human instability; Hydrodynamics; Risk assessment;
Underground space
ID FLOOD RISK-ASSESSMENT; GAS-LIQUID FLOW; SKIMMING FLOWS;
NUMERICAL-SIMULATION; TRANSIENT CAVITIES; HUMAN STABILITY; FLUID METHOD;
PART 1; TURBULENCE; RECONSTRUCTION
AB Underground flooding events are being exacerbated due to the rapid expanding of
underground space in urban and the extreme precipitation events by climate change.
It is increasingly necessary to study hydrodynamics and instabilities of human on
staircases in the flood-prone underground space for risk identification and
disaster reduction. However, the turbulent complexity and complicated fluid-human
interaction still challenge the study of flow structure and the calibration of
human instability model. In this work, a hydrodynamic model coupled with the
mechanics-based method was proposed to study fluid-human interactions and hazard
risks on flooding stairways. Numerical validations show that the model can obtain
reliable solutions of flow characteristics on staircases. It is found that there
exists a jet flow downstream the rest platform and the critical region after the
3rd step downstream the platform is identified as a high risk area to cause sliding
instability. The risk of sliding instability for a child is higher than that for an
adult in jet flow region. In addition, results show that the downstream vortical
flow structure and turbulent effect are obviously enhanced because of the interdict
of jet flow by the human obstacle.
C1 [Li, Qijie; Xia, Junqiang; Zhou, Meirong; Deng, Shanshan] Wuhan Univ, State Key
Lab Water Resources & Hydropower Engn S, Wuhan 430072, Peoples R China.
[Xie, Zhihua] Cardiff Univ, Sch Engn, Cardiff CF24 3AA, Wales.
C3 Wuhan University; Cardiff University
RP Xia, JQ (corresponding author), Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources &
Hydropower Engn S, Wuhan 430072, Peoples R China.
EM xiajq@whu.edu.cn
RI Xie, Zhihua/K-2969-2017
OI Xie, Zhihua/0000-0002-5180-8427
Newton Advanced Fellowships from the NSFC; UK Royal Society
[52061130219, NAF/R1/201156]; Royal Academy of Engineering through the
Urban Flooding Research Policy Impact Programme [UUFRIP/100 031]
FX This research work was supported by the National Natural Science
Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41890823, 51725902); the Newton Advanced
Fellowships from the NSFC and the UK Royal Society (Grant Nos.
52061130219; NAF/R1/201156); and the Royal Academy of Engineering
through the Urban Flooding Research Policy Impact Programme (Grant No.
UUFRIP/100 031). The authors would like to express their sincere thanks
to the editor and anonymous referees for their valuable comments and
suggestions.
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NR 95
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 22
U2 48
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD FEB 15
PY 2022
VL 70
AR 102754
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102754
EA JAN 2022
PG 16
Water Resources
GA 0A8MJ
UT WOS:000774201100011
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Borowska-Stefanska, M
Kowalski, M
Wisniewski, S
AF Borowska-Stefanska, Marta
Kowalski, Michal
Wisniewski, Szymon
TI The Measurement of Mobility-Based Accessibility-The Impact of Floods on
Trips of Various Length and Motivation
LA English
DT Article
DE accessibility; mobility; flood; indirect damages; external effects
ID CLIMATE-CHANGE; ROAD NETWORK; TRANSPORTATION; RISK; VULNERABILITY;
EVACUATION; PERFORMANCE; VARIABLES
AB The main purpose of this article was to develop a method of researching
accessibility in the event of a flood through the application of measurement based
on mobility. In the course of the research, it has been proven that changes in
mobility (and the related travel speed) are too significant to be ignored when
studying accessibility in unusual circumstances. The vast majority of existing
accessibility studies rely primarily on speed models, which - in the event of a
flood - do not indicate the external effects of the natural disaster. On the basis
of the conducted research it has been stated that the occurrence of a flood has a
significant impact on changes in the spatial distribution of traffic and its
related speeds. Such changes vary depending on the particular means of transport.
With the most commonly applied methods of measuring accessibility, which are
customarily based on speed models, the changes we observed would not be recorded.
The application of mobility-based research in the analyses of accessibility -
especially in the event of a flood - indicates the disaster's influence on the
capacity of the road network, and thus, it allows for more effective flood-risk
management. Furthermore, this article also demonstrates the possibility of applying
source materials available in most member states of the EU, i.e., flood-risk maps
and digital terrain models (NMPT), for the purposes of analysing and identifying
road section closures within the transport network after the occurrence of a flood.
C1 [Borowska-Stefanska, Marta; Kowalski, Michal; Wisniewski, Szymon] Univ Lodz,
Inst Built Environm & Spatial Policy, Fac Geog Sci, PL-90142 Lodz, Poland.
C3 University of Lodz
RP Wisniewski, S (corresponding author), Univ Lodz, Inst Built Environm & Spatial
Policy, Fac Geog Sci, PL-90142 Lodz, Poland.
EM marta.borowska@geo.uni.lodz.pl; michal.kowalski@geo.uni.lodz.pl;
szymon.wisniewski@geo.uni.lodz.pl
RI Wiśniewski, Szymon/AAG-5083-2019; Kowalski, Michał/R-6183-2018
OI Wiśniewski, Szymon/0000-0001-5488-5949; Kowalski,
Michał/0000-0001-7082-5161; Borowska-Stefanska,
Marta/0000-0003-2448-4778
FU National Science Centre in Poland [2018/29/B/HS4/01020]
FX This research was funded by the National Science Centre in Poland, grant
number 2018/29/B/HS4/01020.
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U2 12
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PI BASEL
EI 2220-9964
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JI ISPRS Int. Geo-Inf.
PD DEC
PY 2019
VL 8
IS 12
AR 534
DI 10.3390/ijgi8120534
PG 29
Sensing
(SSCI)
GA KS1AA
UT WOS:000518041800013
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Hong, B
Bonczak, BJ
Gupta, A
Kontokosta, CE
AF Hong, Boyeong
Bonczak, Bartosz J.
Gupta, Arpit
Kontokosta, Constantine E.
TI Measuring inequality in community resilience to natural disasters using
large-scale mobility data
SO NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
LA English
DT Article
ID BILLION-DOLLAR WEATHER; URBAN RESILIENCE; HURRICANE HARVEY; BIG DATA;
CLIMATE; EVACUATION; SYSTEMS
AB While conceptual definitions provide a foundation for the study of disasters and
their impacts, the challenge for researchers and practitioners alike has been to
develop objective and rigorous measures of resilience that are generalizable and
scalable, taking into account spatiotemporal dynamics in the response and recovery
of localized communities. In this paper, we analyze mobility patterns of more than
800,000 anonymized mobile devices in Houston, Texas, representing approximately 35%
of the local population, in response to Hurricane Harvey in 2017. Using changes in
mobility behavior before, during, and after the disaster, we empirically define
community resilience capacity as a function of the magnitude of impact and time-to-
recovery. Overall, we find clear socioeconomic and racial disparities in resilience
capacity and evacuation patterns. Our work provides new insight into the behavioral
response to disasters and provides the basis for data-driven public sector
decisions that prioritize the equitable allocation of resources to vulnerable
neighborhoods. Understanding how cities respond to extreme weather is critical; as
such events are becoming more frequent. Using anonymized mobile phone data for
Houston, Texas during Hurricane Harvey in 2017, the authors find that mobility
behavior exposes neighborhood disparities in resilience capacity and recovery.
C1 [Hong, Boyeong; Bonczak, Bartosz J.; Kontokosta, Constantine E.] NYU, Marron
Inst Urban Management, New York, NY 10003 USA.
[Gupta, Arpit] NYU, Stern Sch Business, New York, NY USA.
[Kontokosta, Constantine E.] NYU, Ctr Urban Sci & Progress, Brooklyn, NY 11201
USA.
C3 New York University; New York University; New York University
RP Kontokosta, CE (corresponding author), NYU, Marron Inst Urban Management, New
York, NY 10003 USA.; Kontokosta, CE (corresponding author), NYU, Ctr Urban Sci &
EM ckontokosta@nyu.edu
OI Bonczak, Bartosz/0000-0003-4107-4711; Kontokosta,
Constantine/0000-0003-4831-9996
FU National Science Foundation [2028687]; NYU C2SMART, a USDOT Tier 1
University Transportation Center; Directorate For Engineering; Div Of
Chem, Bioeng, Env, & Transp Sys [2028687] Funding Source: National
Science Foundation
FX This work was supported by the National Science Foundation, Grant No.
2028687, and from NYU C2SMART, a USDOT Tier 1 University Transportation
Center. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions expressed in this paper
are those of authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of any
supporting institution. All errors remain the authors. A preliminary
version of this paper was presented at the 2019 INFORMS (The Institute
for Operations Research and the Management Sciences) annual conference.
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NR 54
TC 39
Z9 40
U1 27
U2 95
PU NATURE PORTFOLIO
PI BERLIN
EI 2041-1723
J9 NAT COMMUN
JI Nat. Commun.
PD MAR 25
PY 2021
VL 12
IS 1
AR 1870
DI 10.1038/s41467-021-22160-w
PG 9
(SSCI)
GA RK0IP
UT WOS:000637989400021
PM 33767142
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Nurwatik, N
Hong, JH
Jaelani, LM
Handayani, HH
Cahyono, AB
Darminto, MR
AF Nurwatik, Nurwatik
Hong, Jung-Hong
Jaelani, Lalu Muhamad
Handayani, Hepi Hapsari
Cahyono, Agung Budi
Darminto, Mohammad Rohmaneo
TI Using GIS to Understand Healthcare Access Variations in Flood Situation
in Surabaya
LA English
DT Article
DE healthcare; accessibility; network analysis; vulnerability; open source
ID DISASTER; MANAGEMENT; FEATURES
AB This paper proposes to identify the variation of accessibility to healthcare
facilities based on vulnerability assessments of floods by using open source data.
The open source data comprises Open Street Map (OSM), world population, and
statistical data. The accessibility analysis is more focused on vulnerable
populations that might be affected by floods. Therefore, a vulnerability assessment
is conducted beforehand to identify the location where the vulnerable population is
located. A before and after scenario of floods is applied to evaluate the changes
of healthcare accessibility. A GIS Network Analyst is chosen as the accessibility
analysis tool. The results indicate that the most vulnerable population lives in
the Asemrowo district. The service area analysis showed that 94% of the West of
Surabaya was well-serviced in the before scenario. Otherwise, the decrement of
service area occurs at the city center in the after scenario. Thus, the disaster
manager can understand which vulnerable area is to be more prioritized in the
evacuation process.
C1 [Nurwatik, Nurwatik; Jaelani, Lalu Muhamad; Handayani, Hepi Hapsari; Cahyono,
Agung Budi; Darminto, Mohammad Rohmaneo] Inst Teknol Sepuluh Nopember, Fac Civil
Planning & Geo Engn, Dept Geomat Engn, Surabaya 60111, Indonesia.
[Hong, Jung-Hong] Natl Cheng Kung Univ, Dept Geomat, Tainan 701, Taiwan.
C3 Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember; National Cheng Kung University
RP Nurwatik, N (corresponding author), Inst Teknol Sepuluh Nopember, Fac Civil
Planning & Geo Engn, Dept Geomat Engn, Surabaya 60111, Indonesia.
EM nurwatik@its.ac.id; junghong@mail.ndw.edu.tw;
lmjaelani@geodesy.its.ac.id; hapsari@geodesy.its.ac.id;
agungbc@geodesy.its.ac.id; rohmaneo@its.ac.id
RI Jaelani, Lalu Muhamad/M-8299-2016; Budi Cahyono, Agung/C-7985-2015
OI Jaelani, Lalu Muhamad/0000-0003-2663-9016; Darminto, Mohammad
Rohmaneo/0000-0002-9567-052X; Handayani, Hepi H./0000-0002-2587-2724;
Budi Cahyono, Agung/0000-0002-3301-9969; Nurwatik,
Nurwatik/0000-0002-2006-3848
FU Directorate of Research and Community Service (DRPMITS); Institut
Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember [1212/PKS/ITS/2019]
FX This research was funded by the Directorate of Research and Community
Service (DRPMITS), Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember, grant number
1212/PKS/ITS/2019.
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NR 56
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 0
U2 6
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2220-9964
PD APR
PY 2022
VL 11
IS 4
AR 235
DI 10.3390/ijgi11040235
PG 25
Sensing
GA 0T1YB
UT WOS:000786768400001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Haney, TJ
AF Haney, Timothy J.
TI Move out or dig in? Risk awareness and mobility plans in
disaster-affected communities
SO JOURNAL OF CONTINGENCIES AND CRISIS MANAGEMENT
LA English
DT Article
DE disaster; migration; place attachment; risk awareness
ID MITIGATION BEHAVIOR; DECISION-MAKING; FLOOD-RISK; MIGRATION; PERCEPTION;
EVACUATION; KATRINA; IMPACT; RETURN; PLACE
AB Post-disaster migration patterns have been thoroughly studied from a demographic
standpoint, but affected community residents' perceptions of ongoing risks and
their willingness to remain in an affected community remain under-researched. Using
data generated by 407 surveys and 40 interviews with residents impacted by the 2013
Calgary flood, this study analyses the effects of flood experience on residents'
worry about future floods and their ensuing short-term and medium-term mobility
plans. The results indicate that home flooding and evacuation orders are both
predictive of worry about future floods. In turn, worry about future floods as well
as age, homeownership, and place attachment are all predictive of post-disaster
mobility plans. Residents discuss how the flood either strengthened or weakened
their place attachment. The paper concludes by discussing the implications for
social science research and for public policy that aims to mitigate disaster risk.
C1 [Haney, Timothy J.] Mt Royal Univ, Ctr Community Disaster Res, Calgary, AB,
Canada.
C3 Mount Royal University
RP Haney, TJ (corresponding author), Mt Royal Univ, Ctr Community Disaster Res,
Calgary, AB, Canada.
EM thaney@mtroyal.ca
FU Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council (SSHRC) of Canada
[435-2014-1008]
FX Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council (SSHRC) of Canada,
Grant/Award Number: 435-2014-1008
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NR 84
TC 17
Z9 17
U1 1
U2 11
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 0966-0879
EI 1468-5973
J9 J CONTING CRISIS MAN
JI J. Cont. Crisis Manag.
PD SEP
PY 2019
VL 27
IS 3
BP 224
EP 236
DI 10.1111/1468-5973.12253
PG 13
WC Management
GA IS9NA
UT WOS:000482473900003
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Jonkman, SN
Vrijling, JK
Vrouwenvelder, ACWM
AF Jonkman, S. N.
Vrijling, J. K.
Vrouwenvelder, A. C. W. M.
TI Methods for the estimation of loss of life due to floods: a literature
review and a proposal for a new method
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DT Review
DE loss of life; floods; mortality; models; consequences; risk assessment
ID BANGLADESH CYCLONE; TSUNAMI MORTALITY; HUMAN STABILITY; ACEH PROVINCE;
RISK-FACTORS; FATALITIES
AB This article deals with methods for the estimation of loss of life due to
flooding. These methods can be used to assess the flood risks and to identify
mitigation strategies. The first part of this article contains a comprehensive
review of existing literature. Methods have been developed for different types of
floods in different regions. In general these methods relate the loss of life in
the flooded area to the flood characteristics and the possibilities for evacuation
and shelter. An evaluation showed that many of the existing methods do not take
into account all of the most relevant determinants of loss of life and that they
are often to a limited extent based on empirical data of historical flood events.
In the second part of the article, a new method is proposed for the estimation of
loss of life caused by the flooding of low-lying areas protected by flood defences.
An estimate of the loss of life due to a flood event can be given based on: (1)
information regarding the flood characteristics, (2) an analysis of the exposed
population and evacuation, and (3) an estimate of the mortality amongst the exposed
population. By analysing empirical information from historical floods, new
mortality functions have been developed. These relate the mortality amongst the
exposed population to the flood characteristics. Comparison of the outcomes of the
proposed method with information from historical flood events shows that it gives
an accurate approximation of the number of observed fatalities during these events.
The method is applied to assess the consequences for a large-scale flooding of the
area of South Holland, in the Netherlands. It is estimated that the analysed
coastal flood scenario can lead to approximately 3,200 fatalities in this area.
C1 [Jonkman, S. N.; Vrijling, J. K.; Vrouwenvelder, A. C. W. M.] Delft Univ
Technol, Sect Hydraul Engn, NL-2628 CN Delft, Netherlands.
[Jonkman, S. N.] Royal Haskoning, Coastal & Rivers Div, NL-3009 AM Rotterdam,
Netherlands.
[Vrouwenvelder, A. C. W. M.] TNO Built Environm & Geosci, NL-2628 XE Delft,
Netherlands.
C3 Delft University of Technology; Netherlands Organization Applied Science
Research
RP Jonkman, SN (corresponding author), Delft Univ Technol, Sect Hydraul Engn,
Stevinweg 1, NL-2628 CN Delft, Netherlands.
EM s.n.jonkman@tudelft.nl; j.k.vrijling@tudelft.nl;
ton.vrouwenvelder@tno.nl
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NR 79
TC 170
Z9 181
U1 23
U2 124
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 0921-030X
EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
PD SEP
PY 2008
VL 46
IS 3
BP 353
EP 389
DI 10.1007/s11069-008-9227-5
PG 37
Water Resources
GA 330OU
UT WOS:000257953500005
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Pierce, JR
Morley, SK
West, TA
Pentecost, P
Upton, LA
Banks, L
AF Pierce, J. Rush, Jr.
Morley, Sarah K.
West, Theresa A.
Pentecost, Percy
Upton, Lori A.
Banks, Laura
TI Improving Long-Term Care Facility Disaster Preparedness and Response: A
Literature Review
LA English
DT Review
DE long-term care; nursing homes; disaster; preparedness; evacuation
ID NURSING-HOME RESIDENTS; EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS; HURRICANE KATRINA;
LESSONS; EVACUATION; RELOCATION; LOUISIANA; MORTALITY
AB Long-term care facilities (LTCFs) and their residents are especially susceptible
to disruptions associated with natural disasters and often have limited experience
and resources for disaster planning and response. Previous reports have offered
disaster planning and response recommendations. We could not find a comprehensive
review of studied interventions or facility attributes that affect disaster
outcomes in LTCFs and their residents. We reviewed articles published from 1974
through September 30, 2015, that studied disaster characteristics, facility
characteristics, patient characteristics, or an intervention that affected outcomes
for LTCFs experiencing or preparing for a disaster. Twenty-one articles were
included in the review. All of the articles fell into 1 of the following
categories: facility or disaster characteristics that predicted preparedness or
response, interventions to improve preparedness, and health effects of disaster
response, most often related to facility evacuation. All of the articles described
observational studies that were heterogeneous in design and metrics. We believe
that the evidence-based literature supports 6 specific recommendations for
facilities, governmental agencies, health care communities and academia. These
include integrated and coordinated disaster planning, staff training, careful
consideration before governments order mandatory evacuations, anticipation of the
increased medical needs of LTCF residents following a disaster, and the need for
more outcomes research.
C1 [Pierce, J. Rush, Jr.; Pentecost, Percy] Univ New Mexico, Sch Med, Dept Internal
Med, Albuquerque, NM 87131 USA.
[Morley, Sarah K.] Univ New Mexico, Hlth Sci Ctr, Hlth Sci Lib, Albuquerque, NM
87131 USA.
[Morley, Sarah K.] Univ New Mexico, Hlth Sci Ctr, Informat Ctr, Albuquerque, NM
87131 USA.
[West, Theresa A.] Texas Tech Univ, Hlth Sci Ctr, Sch Pharm, City Amarillo Off
Emergency Management, Amarillo, TX USA.
[West, Theresa A.] Texas Tech Univ, Hlth Sci Ctr, Sch Pharm, Dept Pharm
Practice, Amarillo, TX USA.
[Pentecost, Percy] New Mexico Vet Affairs Hlth Care Syst, Div Geriatr,
Albuquerque, NM USA.
[Upton, Lori A.] SouthEast Texas Reg Advisory Council, Off Emergency Management
Operat, Houston, TX USA.
[Banks, Laura] Univ New Mexico, Hlth Sci Ctr, Dept Emergency Med, Albuquerque,
NM 87131 USA.
[Banks, Laura] Univ New Mexico, Hlth Sci Ctr, Ctr Disaster Med, Albuquerque, NM
87131 USA.
C3 University of New Mexico; University of New Mexico; University of New
Mexico's Health Sciences Center; University of New Mexico; University of
New Mexico's Health Sciences Center; Texas Tech University System; Texas
Tech University; Texas Tech University Health Science Center; Texas Tech
University Health Sciences Center Amarillo; Texas Tech University
System; Texas Tech University; Texas Tech University Health Science
Center; Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center Amarillo;
University of New Mexico; University of New Mexico's Health Sciences
Center; University of New Mexico; University of New Mexico's Health
Sciences Center
RP Pierce, JR (corresponding author), Dept Internal Med, MSC 10-5550,1 Univ New
Mexico, Albuquerque, NM 87131 USA.
EM jrpierce@salud.unm.edu
RI Pierce, John Rush/H-7806-2019
OI Pierce, John Rush/0000-0002-7107-4766
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NR 46
TC 14
Z9 14
U1 2
U2 22
PI NEW YORK
SN 1935-7893
EI 1938-744X
PD FEB
PY 2017
VL 11
IS 1
BP 140
EP 149
DI 10.1017/dmp.2016.59
PG 10
(SSCI)
GA EM6TB
UT WOS:000395444000022
PM 27511274
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Ruponen, P
Pulkkinen, A
Laaksonen, J
AF Ruponen, Pekka
Pulkkinen, Aappo
Laaksonen, Jarkko
TI A method for breach assessment onboard a damaged passenger ship
SO APPLIED OCEAN RESEARCH
LA English
DT Article
DE Damage stability; Decision support; Flood level sensor; Simulation
ID DECISION-SUPPORT-SYSTEM; SAFETY; RISK; TIME; SURVIVABILITY; COEFFICIENT;
SIMULATION; FRAMEWORK; DISCHARGE; MOMENTUM
AB Reliable analysis of stability and safety level in a flooding emergency onboard
a damaged passenger ship is extremely important for making correct decisions on
evacuation and abandonment. Thus there is demand for an automated system that
detects flooding and analyzes the severity of the situation. This procedure
requires estimation of the actual breach in the hull, and calculation of possible
progressive flooding to undamaged compartments. A new approach to the breach
assessment, based on measurement data from the flood level sensors, is presented.
The developed method is complemented by time-domain flooding simulations in order
to separate progressive flooding from direct inflow through the breaches in the
hull of the damaged ship. The developed approach is tested and demonstrated with a
large passenger ship design for various damage scenarios. The results show that the
size and location of the breach can be evaluated with reasonable accuracy on the
basis of the level sensor data, provided that there are enough well-placed, working
level sensors. (C) 2017 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.
C1 [Ruponen, Pekka; Pulkkinen, Aappo; Laaksonen, Jarkko] NAPA, Helsinki, Finland.
RP Ruponen, P (corresponding author), NAPA, Helsinki, Finland.
EM pekka.ruponen@napa.fi; aappo.pulkkinen@napa.fi; jarkkola@gmail.com
OI Ruponen, Pekka/0000-0002-0859-7783
CR [Anonymous], 1998, MI USCG 2003
[Anonymous], 2014, INT C OFFSH MECH ARC
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10.1016/j.procs.2015.05.416
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Wang X, 2016, OCEAN ENG, V111, P254, DOI 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2015.10.050
NR 48
TC 22
Z9 22
U1 1
U2 13
PU ELSEVIER SCI LTD
PI OXFORD
SN 0141-1187
EI 1879-1549
J9 APPL OCEAN RES
JI Appl. Ocean Res.
PD MAR
PY 2017
VL 64
BP 236
EP 248
DI 10.1016/j.apor.2017.01.017
PG 13
WC Engineering, Ocean; Oceanography
SC Engineering; Oceanography
GA ES4NM
UT WOS:000399512000015
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Levy, JK
Edinboro, CH
Glotfelty, CS
Dingman, PA
West, AL
Kirkland-Cady, KD
AF Levy, Julie K.
Edinboro, Charlotte H.
Glotfelty, Carmen-Susan
Dingman, Patricia A.
West, Aundria L.
Kirkland-Cady, Kathy D.
TI Seroprevalence of Dirofilaria immitis, feline leukemia virus, and feline
immunodeficiency virus infection among dogs and cats exported from the
2005 Gulf Coast hurricane disaster area
SO JAVMA-JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN VETERINARY MEDICAL ASSOCIATION
LA English
DT Article
ID PET EVACUATION FAILURE; HEARTWORM INFECTION; RISK-FACTORS; PREVALENCE;
TESTS
AB Objective- To determine seroprevalence of dirofilariasis in dogs and
seroprevalences of dirofilariasis, FeLV infection, and FIV infection in cats
exported from the Gulf Coast region following the 2005 hurricanes.
Design- Seroprevalence survey
Animals- 1,958 dogs and 1,289 cats exported from Louisiana, Mississippi, and
Texas between August 20 and December 31, 2005.
Procedures- 141 animal welfare groups in 37 states and Alberta, Canada, reported
results of serologic testing. Risk factors for infection, including age, sex,
neuter status, breed, and state of rescue, were examined by means of univariate and
multivariate logistic regression.
Results- Seroprevalence of dirofilariasis in dogs was 48.8%. Sexually intact
dogs were 1.6 times as likely to have dirofilariasis as were neutered dogs, dogs in
the ancient breed group were 2.2 times as likely and dogs in the guarding breed
group were 1.7 times as likely to have dirofilariasis as were dogs in the herding
breed group, and dogs from Mississippi were significantly less likely to have
dirofilariasis than were dogs from Texas. Seroprevalences of dirofilariasis, FeLV
infection, and FIV infection in cats were 4.0%, 2.6%, and 3.6%, respectively.
Seroprevalence of FIV infection was significantly higher in adult cats than in
juveniles and in males than in females.
Conclusions and Clinical Relevance- Results suggest that dogs and cats exported
from the 2005 Gulf Coast hurricane disaster area had disease rates similar to those
for animals in the region prior to the hurricanes.
C1 Univ Florida, Coll Vet Med, Dept Small Anim Clin Sci, Gainesville, FL 32610 USA.
Exponent Inc Hlth Grp, Menlo Pk, CA 94025 USA.
C3 State University System of Florida; University of Florida; Exponent
RP Levy, JK (corresponding author), Univ Florida, Coll Vet Med, Dept Small Anim
Clin Sci, Gainesville, FL 32610 USA.
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3395(2001)087[0322:SPOTSL]2.0.CO;2
INTERIM GUIDELINES A
ANIMAL PROTECTION GR
2006, 2005 GUIDELINES DIAG
NR 24
TC 32
Z9 32
U1 0
U2 11
PU AMER VETERINARY MEDICAL ASSOC
PI SCHAUMBURG
PA 1931 N MEACHAM RD SUITE 100, SCHAUMBURG, IL 60173-4360 USA
SN 0003-1488
EI 1943-569X
J9 JAVMA-J AM VET MED A
JI JAVMA-J. Am. Vet. Med. Assoc.
PD JUL 15
PY 2007
VL 231
IS 2
BP 218
EP 225
DI 10.2460/javma.231.2.218
PG 8
GA 190AD
UT WOS:000248029200023
PM 17630887
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Garfin, DR
Thompson, RR
Holman, EA
Wong-Parodi, G
Silver, RC
AF Garfin, Dana Rose
Thompson, Rebecca R.
Holman, E. Alison
Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle
TI Association Between Repeated Exposure to Hurricanes and Mental Health in
a Representative Sample of Florida Residents
LA English
DT Article
ID PRIMARY-CARE; PTSD SCREEN; ILLNESS; TRAUMA; SUICIDALITY; DISASTERS;
RESPONSES; ANXIETY
AB IMPORTANCE During the past century, more than 100 catastrophic hurricanes have
impacted the Florida coast; climate change will likely be associated with increases
in the intensity of future storms. Despite these annual threats to residents, to
our knowledge, no longitudinal studies of representative samples at risk of
hurricane exposure have examined psychological outcomes associated with repeated
exposure.
OBJECTIVE To assess psychosocial and mental health outcomes and functional
impairment associated with repeated hurricane exposure.
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS In this survey study, a demographically
representative sample of Florida residents was assessed in the 60 hours prior to
Hurricane Irma (wave 1: September 8-11, 2017). A second survey was administered 1
month after Hurricane Irma (wave 2: October 12-29, 2017), and a third survey was
administered after Hurricane Michael (wave 3: October 22 to November 6, 2018). Data
were analyzed from July 19 to 23, 2021.
EXPOSURE Hurricanes Irma and Michael.
MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES The main outcomes were posttraumatic stress symptoms
(PTSS), global distress, worry about future events (generalized worries), and
functional impairment. Path models were used to assess associations of individual-
level factors (prior mental health, recent adversity), prior storm exposures (loss
and/or injury, evacuation), and direct, indirect, and media-based exposures to
hurricanes Irma and Michael with those outcomes. Poststratification weights were
applied to facilitate population-based inferences.
RESULTS Of 2873 individuals administered the survey in wave 1, 1637 responded
(57.0% completion rate) (894 [54.6%, weighted] women; mean [SD] age, 51.31[17.50]
years); 1478 in wave 2 (90.3% retention from wave 1) and 1113 in wave 3 (75.3%
retention from wave 2) responded. Prior mental health ailments (b, 0.18; 95% CI,
0.07-0.28), prior hurricane-related loss and/or injury (b, 0.09; 95% CI, 0.02-
0.17), hours of Hurricane Irma-related media exposure (b. 0.03; 95% CI, 0.02-0.04),
being in an evacuation zone during Hurricane Irma and not evacuating (b, 0.14; 95%
Cl. 0.02-0.27), and loss and/or injury in Hurricane Irma (b. 0.35; 95% CI, 0.25-
0.44) were positively associated with PTSS after Hurricane Irma; most associations
persisted and were associated with responses to Hurricane Michael. Prior mental
health ailments (b. 0.10; 95% CI, 0.03-0.17), hours of Hurricane Michael-related
media exposure (b. 0.01; 95% CI, 0.003-0.02). hurricane Irma-related PTSS (b. 0.42;
95% CI, 0.34-0.50), recent individual-level adversity (b, 0.03; 95% CI. 0.005-
0.05), being in an evacuation zone during Hurricane Irma and evacuating (b. 0.10;
95% Cl. 0.002-0.19). and direct (b, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.16-0.55) and indirect (b, 0.12;
95% CI, 0.05-0.18) Hurricane Michael-related exposures were directly associated
with Hurricane Michael-related PTSS. After Hurricane Michael, prior mental health
ailments (b, 0.17; 95% CI. 0.06-0.28), and PTSS related to hurricanes Irma (b.
0.11; 95% CI, 0.001-0.22) and Michael (b, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.47-0.69) were associated
with respondents' functional impairment. Analogous analyses using global distress
and generalized worries as mediators of functional impairment yielded a similar
pattern of results.
CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE In this survey study, repeated direct, indirect, and
media-based exposures to hurricanes were associated with increased mental health
symptoms among Florida residents who experienced hurricanes Irma and Michael,
suggesting that people were sensitized to respond with more psychological symptoms
over time. These results may inform targeted public health intervention efforts for
natural disasters.
C1 [Garfin, Dana Rose; Holman, E. Alison] Univ Calif Irvine, Sue & Bill Gross Sch
Nursing, Irvine, CA 92697 USA.
[Garfin, Dana Rose; Silver, Roxane Cohen] Univ Calif Irvine, Program Publ Hlth,
535 Aldrich Hall, Irvine, CA 92697 USA.
[Thompson, Rebecca R.; Holman, E. Alison; Silver, Roxane Cohen] Univ Calif
Irvine, Dept Psychol Sci, Irvine, CA 92697 USA.
[Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle] Stanford Univ, Earth Syst Sci, Stanford, CA 94305 USA.
[Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle] Stanford Univ, Stanford Woods Inst Environm, Stanford,
CA 94305 USA.
Stanford University; Stanford University; University of California
System; University of California Irvine
RP Silver, RC (corresponding author), Univ Calif Irvine, Program Publ Hlth, 535
Aldrich Hall, Irvine, CA 92697 USA.; Garfin, DR (corresponding author), Univ Calif
Irvine, Sue & Bill Gross Sch Nursing, Program Publ Hlth, 100C Berk Hall, Irvine, CA
92697 USA.; Silver, RC (corresponding author), Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Med, Dept
Psychol Sci, 535 Aldrich Hall, Irvine, CA 92697 USA.
EM dgarfin@uci.edu; rsilver@uci.edu
FU National Science Foundation [SBE 1760764, BCS 1902925, SES 1811883]
FX This work was funded by grants SBE 1760764 and BCS 1902925 (Drs Silver
and Holman) and SES 1811883 (DrsWong-Parodi and Silver) from the
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NR 55
TC 4
Z9 4
U1 5
U2 9
PI CHICAGO
SN 2574-3805
J9 JAMA NETW OPEN
JI JAMA Netw. Open
PD JUN 16
PY 2022
VL 5
IS 6
AR e2217251
PG 15
GA 2E7DX
UT WOS:000812387000003
PM 35708689
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Swearengen, JR
Vargas, KJ
Tate, MK
Linde, NS
AF Swearengen, James R.
Vargas, Karen J.
Tate, Mallory K.
Linde, N. S.
TI Disaster Preparedness in Biocontainment Animal Research Facilities:
Developing and Implementing an Incident Response Plan (IRP)
SO ILAR JOURNAL
LA English
DT Article
DE biocontainment; disaster planning; emergency; evacuation; hurricane;
incident response plan (IRP); power outage; select agent or toxin (SAT)
AB Preparing for the wide variety of disasters that can occur is challenging for
any animal research facility, but the level of concern for human and animal health
rises significantly when infectious agents and toxins are part of the scenario.
Federal regulations provide detailed requirements for the development of an
incident response plan (IRP) when select agents and toxins (SATs) are used. In
addition to the usual issues associated with disaster planning, the IRP must
address concerns associated with the potential theft, loss, or release of SATs that
may affect both institutional personnel and the surrounding community. The level of
detail in the IRP and the intensity of training should be appropriate for the level
of risk involved. Regulations describe certain basic requirements but do not
address the risks of SAT-exposed animals, which have been the subject of additional
guidance to help implement regulatory requirements. A 2008 joint publication of the
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the Animal and Plant Health
Inspection Service describes scenarios in which SAT-exposed animals are handled in
the same manner as the agent or toxin itself for the purpose of reporting a SAT
theft, loss, or release. Events that resulted from the impact of Hurricane Ike at
the University of Texas Medical Branch in Galveston provide a valuable opportunity
to evaluate the effectiveness of the federal regulations and to build on lessons
learned from this disaster. These lessons can help to supplement the regulatory
requirements and improve the safety and security of handling both SATs and animals
exposed to them during and after an emergency situation.
C1 [Swearengen, James R.] Natl Biodef Anal & Countermeasures Ctr, Frederick, MD
21702 USA.
[Swearengen, James R.] AAALAC Int, Frederick, MD USA.
[Vargas, Karen J.; Tate, Mallory K.; Linde, N. S.] Univ Texas Med Branch, Anim
Resources Ctr, Galveston, TX USA.
C3 University of Texas System; University of Texas Medical Branch Galveston
RP Swearengen, JR (corresponding author), Natl Biodef Anal & Countermeasures Ctr,
110 Thomas Johnson Dr,Suite 200, Frederick, MD 21702 USA.
EM swearengenj@nbacc.net
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*APHIS CDC, 2008, SEL AG TOX THEFT LOS
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10.1016/j.annemergmed.2005.05.009
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Chosewood L.C., 2007, BIOSAFETY MICROBIOLO
Council N.R., 2010, GUIDE CARE USE LAB A, V8th
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NR 12
TC 8
Z9 8
U1 0
U2 6
PU INST LABORATORY ANIMAL RESEARCH, NATL RES COUNCIL
PI WASHINGTON
PA 500 FIFTH ST, N W, WASHINGTON, DC 20001 USA
SN 1084-2020
J9 ILAR J
JI ILAR J.
PY 2010
VL 51
IS 2
BP 120
EP 126
DI 10.1093/ilar.51.2.120
PG 7
GA 590OR
UT WOS:000277236900003
PM 20375434
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Meyer, MA
AF Meyer, Michelle Annette
TI Elderly Perceptions of Social Capital and Age-Related Disaster
Vulnerability
LA English
DT Article
DE hurricane; social networking; social capital; elderly; disasters
ID HURRICANE KATRINA; OLDER-ADULTS; COMMUNITY; NETWORKS; SUPPORT;
RESILIENCE; RECOVERY; PEOPLE; CORE
AB Objective: Elderly individuals are considered at elevated risk of disaster
impacts owing to increased health concerns, reduced mobility, and fixed economic
resources. Social capital can counteract these vulnerabilities by increasing the
likelihood of hearing disaster warnings, providing social ties to assist with
preparation and evacuation, and providing access to financial or nonfinancial
resources. I aimed to analyze the relationship between age and perceptions of
disaster-related social capital.
Methods: I used mailed surveys and in-person interviews with a sample of
residents from 2 Florida counties to study perceptions of social capital available
for disaster.
Results: The results showed that age has a negative effect on perceptions of
social capital resources available during a disaster. The elderly reported fewer
social ties overall and much fewer social ties that could provide financial
assistance, if necessary, during a disaster.
Conclusions: These results indicate that social capital may not counteract the
social vulnerabilities of elderly persons to disaster impacts.
C1 Louisiana State Univ, Dept Sociol, Baton Rouge, LA USA.
[Meyer, Michelle Annette] Louisiana State Univ, Dept Sociol, Baton Rouge, LA
70803 USA.
C3 Louisiana State University System; Louisiana State University; Louisiana
State University System; Louisiana State University
RP Meyer, MA (corresponding author), Louisiana State Univ, Dept Sociol, Baton
Rouge, LA 70803 USA.
EM mmeyer@lsu.edu
RI Meyer, Michelle/GLU-4412-2022
FU Public Entity Risk Institute; National Science Foundation; Natural
Hazards Research and Applications Information Center; National Periship
Dissertation Fellowship
FX Funding for the research was provided through a National Periship
Dissertation Fellowship sponsored by the Public Entity Risk Institute,
the National Science Foundation, the Natural Hazards Research and
Applications Information Center, and Swiss Re. Special thanks to Lori
Peek and Ann-Margaret Esnard for comments on drafts of this work and two
anonymous reviewers for their feedback.
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NR 45
TC 22
Z9 22
U1 4
U2 35
PI NEW YORK
SN 1935-7893
EI 1938-744X
PD FEB
PY 2017
VL 11
IS 1
BP 48
EP 55
DI 10.1017/dmp.2016.139
PG 8
(SSCI)
GA EM6TB
UT WOS:000395444000011
PM 27839520
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Islam, MA
Paull, DJ
Griffin, AL
Murshed, S
AF Islam, Md Ashraful
Paull, David J.
Griffin, Amy L.
Murshed, Sanzida
TI Spatio-temporal assessment of social resilience to tropical cyclones in
coastal Bangladesh
LA English
DT Article
DE Social resilience; tropical cyclone; community engagement;
spatio-temporal analysis; developing countries
ID COMMUNITY RESILIENCE; DISASTER-RESILIENCE; CLIMATE-CHANGE; LIVELIHOOD
RESILIENCE; VULNERABILITY; RISK; SIDR; EVACUATION; RECOVERY;
PREPAREDNESS
AB Tropical cyclones wreak havoc on the lives of coastal populations, especially in
marginalised communities in developing countries where cyclone impacts are
disproportionately lethal compared to developed countries. These populations must
implement measures that enable them to prepare for, respond to, and recover from
cyclone impacts. Using empirical evidence, this study presents a spatio-temporally
explicit, index-based assessment technique to assess social resilience to tropical
cyclones. The key components of social resilience were extracted by Principal
Component Analysis; distinct resilience indices were generated and mapped for the
three disaster phases. The most influential components were then aggregated into an
Effective Social Resilience Index (ESoRI), which was mapped across the study area.
The technique was applied in a coastal sub-district of Bangladesh to demonstrate
the approach. Basic preparedness training, emergency response, social bonding, and
reconstruction and rehabilitation strongly influenced resilience in ways that
corresponded closely to the phases of the disaster-management cycle: preparedness,
response, and recovery. The spatial pattern of resilience revealed that social
resilience varies significantly in time and space within a circumscribed locale.
Importantly, areas close to the sea and rivers were found to be more resilient
despite their high exposure to cyclones and lack of external support. This study
will guide policymakers concerned with resilience building on a priority basis such
as those working in resource-scarce conditions of developing countries.
C1 [Islam, Md Ashraful; Murshed, Sanzida] Univ New South Wales UNSW, Sch Sci,
Canberra, ACT, Australia.
[Islam, Md Ashraful; Paull, David J.; Murshed, Sanzida] Univ Dhaka, Dept Geol,
Dhaka, Bangladesh.
[Griffin, Amy L.] RMIT Univ, Sch Sci, Melbourne, Vic, Australia.
C3 University of New South Wales Sydney; University of Dhaka; Royal
Melbourne Institute of Technology (RMIT)
RP Islam, MA (corresponding author), Univ New South Wales UNSW, Sch Sci, Canberra,
ACT, Australia.; Islam, MA (corresponding author), Univ Dhaka, Dept Geol, Dhaka,
Bangladesh.
EM ashrafhimel@du.ac.bd
RI Griffin, Amy L/E-5784-2010
OI Griffin, Amy/0000-0001-6548-7970; Islam, Md Ashraful/0000-0002-9491-3876
FU University International Postgraduate Award (UIPA) scholarship
FX This research was supported by a University International Postgraduate
Award (UIPA) scholarship awarded to the first author. We are indebted to
the local administration of the study site for their valuable logistical
support during the field investigation and also the local residents who
actively participated in the household survey. We are grateful to our
research assistants, especially Mahmud Al Noor Tushar, Mehedi Hasan,
Mahmudul Hasan and Mahfuzur Rahman, for their great support during the
field investigation as well as for assisting with data entry. The
authors are grateful to Dr Peter McIntyre, UNSW Canberra, for his
English proofreading.
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NR 96
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 8
U2 28
PI ABINGDON
SN 1947-5705
EI 1947-5713
PY 2021
VL 12
IS 1
BP 279
EP 309
DI 10.1080/19475705.2020.1870169
PG 31
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA QG2PB
UT WOS:000617430900001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Lee, RJ
Tao, ZH
Prybutok, S
Jang, S
Dalaijamts, C
Chiu, WA
Newman, G
AF Lee, Ryun Jung
Tao, Zhihan
Prybutok, Sara
Jang, Suji
Dalaijamts, Chimeddulam
Chiu, Weihsueh A.
Newman, Galen
TI Unseen risk: Mapping contamination hazards to enhance risk perception in
Galena Park, Texas
LA English
DT Article
DE ArcGIS Dashboards; Galena Park; Texas; Contamination hazards; Flood
risk; Environmental justice
ID ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE; CHEMICAL EXPOSURES; HEALTH; IMPACTS
AB As extreme weather events have become more frequently observed in recent
decades, concerns about exposure to potential flood risk have increased, especially
in underserved and socially vulnerable communities. Galena Park, Texas, is a
socially vulnerable community that also confronts escalated physical
vulnerabilities due to existing flood risks from Buffalo Bayou and the Houston Ship
Channel as well as proximity to industrial facilities that emit chemical pollution.
To better understand the underlying risks that Galena Park is facing, this research
assesses and visualizes the existing contamination hazards associated with the
chemical facilities within Galena Park. Through this process, we (1) compute the
environmental, health, and physical hazards associated with industrial facilities,
(2) spatially geocode the points of contamination sources and flood exposure, and
(3) increase awareness of existing risk by visualizing and distributing related
information using an ArcGIS Dashboard. The results indicate that there are 169
points of location from 127 industrial facilities, and 24 points were inducing
potential chemicals. In total, 126 chemicals have potential physical, health, and
environmental hazards. On average, each facility has 2.4 chemicals that could cause
potential hazards with a range of zero to 57 chemicals. When examining the specific
physical, health, and environmental risks associated with the chemicals, on average
each facility has 14.6 types of risks associated with it. This includes, on
average, 9.8 types of health hazards, 1.53 physical hazards, and 2.3 environmental
hazards per facility. When analyzing the spatial relationship between the chemical
exposure and the current flood risk using the Dashboard, it is noticeable that most
of the industrial facilities are located in the south of Galena Park, near Buffalo
Bayou, where a variety of industrial facilities are clustered. Through this study,
we spatially mapped the existing risks in Galena Park that are not readily
available to the community and risks that are not currently tangible or visible.
The utility of ArcGIS Dashboards affords the opportunity to translate massive
databases into digestible knowledge that can be shared and utilized within the
community. This study also takes another step toward building community resilience
by providing knowledge that can be used to prepare for and respond to disasters.
Visualizing unseen risks and promoting awareness can enhance risk perception when
supported by scientific knowledge. Further investigation is necessary to enhance
preparedness behaviors, identify proper evacuation techniques and routes, and build
community networks to comprehensively promote resilience to multi-hazard
circumstances.
C1 [Lee, Ryun Jung] Univ Texas San Antonio, Coll Engn & Integrated Design, Sch
Architecture & Planning, 501 W Cesar E Chavez Blvd, San Antonio, TX 78207 USA.
[Tao, Zhihan; Prybutok, Sara; Newman, Galen] Texas A&M Univ, Sch Architecture,
[Jang, Suji; Dalaijamts, Chimeddulam; Chiu, Weihsueh A.] Texas A&M Univ, Coll
Vet Med & Biomed Sci, Dept Vet Physiol & Pharmacol, College Stn, TX 77843 USA.
[Chiu, Weihsueh A.] Texas A&M Univ, Coll Vet Med & Biomed Sci, Interdisciplinary
Fac Toxicol, College Stn, TX 77843 USA.
C3 University of Texas System; University of Texas at San Antonio (UTSA);
Texas A&M University System; Texas A&M University College Station; Texas
A&M University System; Texas A&M University College Station; Texas A&M
University System; Texas A&M University College Station
RP Lee, RJ (corresponding author), Univ Texas San Antonio, Coll Engn & Integrated
Design, Sch Architecture & Planning, 501 W Cesar E Chavez Blvd, San Antonio, TX
78207 USA.
EM ryunjung.lee@utsa.edu
FU United States Environmental Protection Agency; National Institutes of
Health and United States Environmental Protection Agency
FX The authors declare the following financial interests/personal
relationships which may be considered as potential competing interests:
Ryun Jung Lee and Galen Newman report financial support was provided by
United States Environmental Protection Agency. Weihsueh A. Chiu reports
financial support was provided by National Institutes of Health and
United States Environmental Protection Agency.
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NR 40
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 0
U2 0
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-0963
J9 CLIM RISK MANAG
PY 2023
VL 41
AR 100532
DI 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100532
EA JUN 2023
PG 10
Sciences
(SSCI)
GA N0QY1
UT WOS:001034176600001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Dasallas, L
An, H
Lee, S
AF Dasallas, Lea
An, Hyunuk
Lee, Seungsoo
TI Developing an integrated multiscale rainfall-runoff and inundation
model: Application to an extreme rainfall event in Marikina-Pasig River
Basin, Philippines
SO JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES
LA English
DT Article
DE Multiscale inundation modeling; Rainfall-runoff-inundation modeling;
Adaptive mesh refinement; Extreme rainfall events
ID ADAPTIVE MESH REFINEMENT; FLOOD RISK-ASSESSMENT; METRO MANILA; WATER
MODEL; LIDAR DATA; URBAN; SIMULATION; EQUATION; OVERLAND; CITY
AB Study region: Marikina-Pasig basin, Philippines
Study focus: A multiscale rainfall-runoff and inundation model was developed to
simulate the severe flooding caused by a high-intensity short-duration storm
rainfall event in the urban domain. The model used the 2D shallow-water flow and
finite volume schemes with second-order space-time accuracy to automatically
incorporate the runoff into the flood inundation. The adaptive mesh refinement
scheme-a variable grid-sizing technique-was implemented to dynamically refine the
mesh from a watershed-scale to a more precise inundation in a sub catchment
floodplain. The digital terrain and surface models were used to represent the
variations in flood propagation along buildings and artificial barriers in the
urban area. Additionally, the simulated flood depths and extent were validated by
comparison with the observed data.
New hydrological insight: The severe inundation produced by the extreme rainfall
event was perceived to be caused by a combination of fluvial and pluvial flooding;
exacerbated by the domain's flat and low-lying elevation and its geographical
features acting as a flood water receiving catchment accrued from the adjacent
mountainous regions. The proposed method can be used to identify the flood depth
and water accumulation, estimated peak time, potential flash flood prone areas, and
imperceptible flood origins without the need to establish first the water level and
stream discharge boundary conditions. The domain-specific flood simulations can be
used for early warning and to identify a broader scope of possible evacuation
points during storm based flooding events.
C1 [Dasallas, Lea; An, Hyunuk] Chungnam Natl Univ, Dept Environm & Rural Engn,
[Lee, Seungsoo] Korea Environm Inst, Sejong 30147, South Korea.
C3 Chungnam National University; Korea Environment Institute (KEI)
RP An, H (corresponding author), Chungnam Natl Univ, Dept Environm & Rural Engn,
EM lea.dasallas@o.cnu.ac.kr; hyunuk@cnu.ac.kr; seungsoo@kei.re.kr
FU Korea Ministry of Environment [2019002830001]; Korea Environment
Institute (KEI) [BA 2020-01]
FX The authors would like to thank the UP-NOAH Center (formerly DOST
Project NOAH) for providing access to the high-resolution DEM data for
this study. The flood validation points were collected from various
crowd-sourced survey reports obtained from the NOAH Center interactive
hazard assessment website. This study was financially supported by the
Korea Ministry of Environment under the "SS Projects 2019002830001. This
paper reports the results of the research project, titled "A study of
the Integrated Management of Flooding and Inundation According to the
Unification of Water Management" (BA 2020-01), funded by the Korea
Environment Institute (KEI).
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NR 98
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 4
U2 13
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
EI 2214-5818
J9 J HYDROL-REG STUD
JI J. Hydrol.-Reg. Stud.
PD FEB
PY 2022
VL 39
AR 100995
DI 10.1016/j.ejrh.2022.100995
EA JAN 2022
PG 19
WC Water Resources
SC Water Resources
GA 0O1GP
UT WOS:000783277900002
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Becker, JS
Taylor, HL
Doody, BJ
Wright, KC
Gruntfest, E
Webber, D
AF Becker, J. S.
Taylor, H. L.
Doody, B. J.
Wright, K. C.
Gruntfest, E.
Webber, D.
TI A Review of People's Behavior in and around Floodwater
LA English
DT Article
DE Applications; Education; Emergency preparedness; Emergency response;
Flood events
ID FLASH-FLOOD; FATALITIES; DISASTER; RISK; HAZARD; LIFE; PERCEPTIONS;
AUSTRALIA; FRANCE; SAFETY
AB A study was undertaken to review international literature pertaining to people's
behavior in and around floodwater. The review focused on people's voluntary entry
of floodwater. From the literature, five predominant reasons for entering
floodwater were identified, including undertaking a recreational activity;
attempting to reach a destination; retrieving property, livestock, or pets;
undertaking employment duties; and rescuing or assisting with evacuation. Two
primary influences on entering floodwater were found, namely risk perception (i.e.,
being unaware of or underestimating the risk from flooding) and social influences
(i.e., being influenced by others). Demographics and environmental and temporal
factors also played a part in decision-making about whether to enter floodwater or
not. Emergency managers should take account of such factors when devising future
public education strategies. Further research, including comparisons with current
theoretical models, could help identify additional influences on decision-making
for floodwater entry.
C1 [Becker, J. S.; Taylor, H. L.; Doody, B. J.; Wright, K. C.] GNS Sci, Joint Ctr
Disaster Res, Wellington, New Zealand.
[Becker, J. S.; Taylor, H. L.; Doody, B. J.; Wright, K. C.] Massey Univ,
Wellington, New Zealand.
[Gruntfest, E.] Univ Colorado, Colorado Springs, CO 80907 USA.
[Webber, D.] New South Wales State Emergency Serv, Wollongong, NSW, Australia.
C3 GNS Science - New Zealand; Massey University; University of Colorado
System; University of Colorado at Colorado Springs
RP Becker, JS (corresponding author), GNS Sci, POB 30368, Lower Hutt 5040, New
Zealand.
EM j.becker@gns.cri.nz
RI Doody, Brendan/GWQ-9415-2022
OI Becker, Julia/0000-0001-9989-4232; Doody, Brendan/0000-0001-8189-7371
FU New South Wales State Emergency Service (NSW SES), Australia; New
Zealand Natural Hazards Research Platform
FX This paper emerged from the "Pedestrian and Motorist Flood Scoping
Study," which was commissioned and funded by the New South Wales State
Emergency Service (NSW SES), Australia. The authors would like to
acknowledge the support of a number of staff from the NSW SES including
Sue Pritchard, Belinda Davies, Catherine Moyle, and Steve Opper.
Co-funding for writing the paper was also provided by the New Zealand
Natural Hazards Research Platform.
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NR 76
TC 46
Z9 46
U1 1
U2 33
PI BOSTON
SN 1948-8327
EI 1948-8335
J9 WEATHER CLIM SOC
PD OCT
PY 2015
VL 7
IS 4
BP 321
EP 332
DI 10.1175/WCAS-D-14-00030.1
PG 12
(SSCI)
GA CU1RL
UT WOS:000363298900003
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Deroo, L
AF Deroo, Luc
TI Floods, spillways and probability of failure
LA French
CT Conference on Operation and Design of Flood Evacuation
CY JAN 20-21, 2009
CL Paris, FRANCE
AB This report intends to underline the limitations of usual flood design criteria
for dams. It also intends to investigate whether other criteria, based on
pobability of failure, could be of practical interest. The report gathers results
from recent incidents or experience, results from published failure reports and
results from a simple mathematical analysis. It leads to some practical conclusions
:
there is a need to better account for uncertainty in flood computations, either
with adapted computations or simply by "testing" how would behave a dam exposed to
a flood twice as large as the design flood,
the freeboard design should be adapted so as to give adequate flood safety :
classical formulas are sometimes too cautious and sometimes not enough,
spillways (and freeboard) could usefully be designed based on failure
probability or rather based on FN curves; this can be done with reasonably simple
tools and leads to quite different results than the classical criteria, specific
care should be given to flood mitigation dams : these dams turn out to be far less
safe than classical reservoir dams.
C1 ISL Ingenierie, F-75019 Paris, France.
RP Deroo, L (corresponding author), ISL Ingenierie, 75 Bd MacDonald, F-75019 Paris,
France.
EM deroo@isl.fr
CR *CFGB, 1998, REC PRAT AM SEC BARR
*CIGB, 2003, DAMS FLOODS B, V125
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NR 10
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 0
U2 3
PU EDP SCIENCES S A
PI LES ULIS CEDEX A
FRANCE
SN 0018-6368
EI 1958-5551
J9 HOUILLE BLANCHE
PY 2010
IS 2
BP 65
EP 72
DI 10.1051/lhb/2010020
PG 8
WC Water Resources
SC Water Resources
GA 599YO
UT WOS:000277950500009
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Jamali, M
Nejat, A
Moradi, S
Ghosh, S
Cao, GF
Jin, F
AF Jamali, Mehdi
Nejat, Ali
Moradi, Saeed
Ghosh, Souparno
Cao, Guofeng
Jin, Fang
TI Social media data and housing recovery following extreme natural hazards
LA English
DT Article
DE Twitter; Disaster recovery; Emergency management; Social media;
Hurricane sandy
ID POSTTRAUMATIC-STRESS; COMMUNITY RESILIENCE; PLACE ATTACHMENT; DISASTER
RELIEF; RELOCATION; TWITTER; INFRASTRUCTURE; EVACUATION; KATRINA; HEALTH
AB Identifying initiatives that influence the decision-making process of
individuals in the aftermath of extreme natural events is a critical task in post-
disaster recovery research. Due to the diversity of disaster-induced physical and
psychosocial damage, as well as the complexity of human behavior, a comprehensive
under standing of contributing factors requires a collective effort. The growth of
social media platforms with millions of users provides researchers with an
exceptional opportunity to conceptualize spatial patterns and communal behaviors.
This longitudinal study proposes a multistep machine learning algorithm to
understand such recovery decisions using social media data. Two publicly available
databases, New York City tax lot data and 109 million geotagged tweets from the
period October 2012-October 2014 were used to explore residents' recovery decisions
in the two years following Hurricane Sandy. The results reveal that communities
with more tweets about social interactions and fewer tweets related to
infrastructure and assets were more likely to rebuild rather than relocate.
C1 [Jamali, Mehdi] Venesco LLC, Oklahoma City, OK USA.
[Nejat, Ali] Texas Tech Univ, Dept Civil Environm & Construct Engn, Box 41023,
Lubbock, TX 79409 USA.
[Ghosh, Souparno] Texas Tech Univ, Dept Math & Stat, Lubbock, TX 79409 USA.
[Cao, Guofeng] Texas Tech Univ, Dept Geosci, Lubbock, TX 79409 USA.
[Jin, Fang] Texas Tech Univ, Dept Comp Sci, Lubbock, TX 79409 USA.
[Moradi, Saeed] Dept Transportat & Nat Resources, Austin, TX USA.
C3 Texas Tech University System; Texas Tech University; Texas Tech
University System; Texas Tech University; Texas Tech University System;
Texas Tech University; Texas Tech University System; Texas Tech
University
RP Nejat, A (corresponding author), Texas Tech Univ, Dept Civil Environm &
Construct Engn, Box 41023, Lubbock, TX 79409 USA.
EM ali.nejat@ttu.edu
RI Cao, Guofeng/HCI-4257-2022; Moradi, Saeed/AAL-6305-2021; Moradi,
Saeed/C-5181-2017
OI Moradi, Saeed/0000-0002-6163-968X; Moradi, Saeed/0000-0002-6163-968X;
Nejat, Ali/0000-0002-7169-3380
FU National Science Foundation [1454650]; Directorate For Engineering; Div
Of Civil, Mechanical, & Manufact Inn [1454650] Funding Source: National
Science Foundation
FX This research was supported in part by the National Science Foundation
award #1454650, for which the authors express their appreciation.
Publication of this paper does not necessarily indicate acceptance by
the funding entities of its contents, either implied or specifically
expressed herein.
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NR 115
TC 13
Z9 13
U1 3
U2 33
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD DEC
PY 2020
VL 51
AR 101788
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101788
PG 12
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA PG4MU
UT WOS:000599711800003
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Chang, TY
Chen, H
Fu, HS
Chen, WB
Yu, YC
Su, WR
Lin, LY
AF Chang, Tzu-Yin
Chen, Hongey
Fu, Huei-Shuin
Chen, Wei-Bo
Yu, Yi-Chiang
Su, Wen-Ray
Lin, Lee-Yaw
TI An Operational High-Performance Forecasting System for City-Scale
Pluvial Flash Floods in the Southwestern Plain Areas of Taiwan
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE city-scale pluvial flash flood; plain area; operational high-performance
forecasting system; two-dimensional hydrodynamic model
AB A pluvial flash flood is rapid flooding induced by intense rainfall associated
with a severe weather system, such as thunderstorms or typhoons. Additionally,
topography, ground cover, and soil conditions also account for the occurrence of
pluvial flash floods. Pluvial flash floods are among the most devastating natural
disasters that occur in Taiwan, and these floods always /occur within a few minutes
or hours of excessive rainfall. Pluvial flash floods usually threaten large plain
areas with high population densities; therefore, there is a great need to implement
an operational high-performance forecasting system for pluvial flash flood
mitigation and evacuation decisions. This study developed a high-performance two-
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historical inundation events derived from the forecasting system agrees well with
the surveyed data for plain areas in southwestern Taiwan. The entire process of the
operational high-performance forecasting system prediction of pluvial flash floods
in the subsequent 24 h is accomplished within 8-10 min, and forecasts are updated
every six hours.
C1 [Chang, Tzu-Yin; Chen, Hongey; Fu, Huei-Shuin; Chen, Wei-Bo; Yu, Yi-Chiang; Su,
Wen-Ray; Lin, Lee-Yaw] Natl Sci & Technol Ctr Disaster Reduct, New Taipei, Taiwan.
[Chen, Hongey] Natl Taiwan Univ, Dept Geosci, Taipei 10617, Taiwan.
C3 National Science & Technology Center for Disaster Reduction (NCDR);
National Taiwan University
RP Chen, WB (corresponding author), Natl Sci & Technol Ctr Disaster Reduct, New
Taipei, Taiwan.
EM geoct@ncdr.nat.gov.tw; hchen@ntu.edu.tw; hsfu@ncdr.nat.gov.tw;
wbchen@ncdr.nat.gov.tw; yuyc@ncdr.nat.gov.tw; wrsu@ncdr.nat.gov.tw;
yaw@ncdr.nat.gov.tw
OI Chen, Wei-Bo/0000-0003-2487-4127
FU Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST), Taiwan; MOST
[109-2221-E-865-001]
FX This research was supported by the Ministry of Science and Technology
(MOST), Taiwan, grant No. MOST 109-2221-E-865-001.
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NR 64
TC 8
Z9 8
U1 0
U2 8
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD FEB
PY 2021
VL 13
IS 4
AR 405
DI 10.3390/w13040405
PG 19
GA QR0GE
UT WOS:000624892600001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Rafique, A
Burian, S
Hassan, D
Bano, R
AF Rafique, Ahmed
Burian, Steven
Hassan, Daniyal
Bano, Rakhshinda
TI Analysis of Operational Changes of Tarbela Reservoir to Improve the
Water Supply, Hydropower Generation, and Flood Control Objectives
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE reservoir management; reservoir performance; water management modeling;
climate change; water resources planning
ID UPPER INDUS BASIN; SEDIMENT EVACUATION; CLIMATE-CHANGE; RELIABILITY;
VULNERABILITY; RESILIENCE; MANAGEMENT; OPTIMIZATION; SIMULATION; IMPACTS
AB In this study, a model was created with the Water Evaluation and Planning (WEAP)
System and used to explore the benefits of altering the operations of Tarbela Dam
in terms of reliability, resilience, and vulnerability (RRV) for the three
objectives of irrigation supply, hydropower generation, and flood control.
Sensitivity analysis and logical reasoning with operators identified a feasible
operational rule curve for testing using the integrated performance analysis. The
reservoir performance for the altered operations was compared to the baseline
performance following current operations for both historical and projected future
climate and water demand conditions. Key simulation results show that the altered
operations strategy tested under historical climate and water demand conditions
would increase RRV by 17%, 67%, and 7%, respectively, for the water supply
objective and 34%, 346%, and 22%, respectively, for hydropower generation. For
projected future conditions, the proposed operations strategy would increase RRV by
7%, 219%, and 11%, respectively, for water supply and 19%, 136%, and 13% for
hydropower generation. Synthesis of the results suggests significant benefits for
reliability and resilience of water supply and hydropower are possible with slight
operational adjustments. Overall, the integrated performance analysis supports the
need to develop an optimized operations rule for Tarbela to adapt to projected
climate and demand scenarios.
C1 [Rafique, Ahmed; Burian, Steven; Hassan, Daniyal] Univ Utah, Dept Civil &
Environm Engn, Salt Lake City, UT 84112 USA.
[Bano, Rakhshinda] Mehran Univ Engn & Technol, US Pakistan Ctr Adv Studies
Water, Jamshoro City 76062, Sindh, Pakistan.
C3 Utah System of Higher Education; University of Utah; Mehran University
Engineering & Technology
RP Rafique, A (corresponding author), Univ Utah, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Salt
EM ahmed.rafique@utah.edu; steve.burian@utah.edu; u6010713@umail.utah.edu;
rakshikarim@gmail.com
RI bano, rakhshinda/ABC-6639-2021; Parween, Shama/AFQ-4232-2022
OI bano, rakhshinda/0000-0003-4679-5040; Hassan,
Daniyal/0000-0001-8812-7230
FU United States Agency for International Development through a
U.S,-Pakistan Center for Advanced Studies in Water (University of Utah)
FX This research was funded by the United States Agency for International
Development through a U.S,-Pakistan Center for Advanced Studies in Water
(University of Utah).
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NR 45
TC 11
Z9 12
U1 6
U2 11
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
JI Sustainability
PD SEP
PY 2020
VL 12
IS 18
AR 7822
DI 10.3390/su12187822
PG 18
(SSCI)
GA OJ9KQ
UT WOS:000584273600001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Yari, A
Khoshsabegheh, HY
Zarezadeh, Y
Ardalan, A
Boubakran, MS
Ostadtaghizadeh, A
Motlagh, ME
AF Yari, Arezoo
Khoshsabegheh, Homa Yousefi
Zarezadeh, Yadolah
Ardalan, Ali
Boubakran, Mohsen Soufi
Ostadtaghizadeh, Abbas
Motlagh, Mohamad Esmaeil
TI Behavioral, health- related and demographic risk factors of death in
floods: A case-control study
SO PLOS ONE
LA English
DT Article
ID FLASH-FLOOD; FATALITIES; CIRCUMSTANCES; VULNERABILITY; FRANCE; LIFE;
PREPAREDNESS; PERCEPTION; RESIDENTS; AUSTRALIA
AB During the first half of 2019, many provinces of Iran were affected by floods,
which claimed the lives of 82 people. The present study aimed to investigate the
behavioral, health related and demographic risk factors associated with deaths due
to floods. We measured the odds ratio and investigated the contribution and
significance of the factors in relation to mortality. This case-control study was
conducted in the cities affected by flood in Iran. Data were collected on the flood
victims using a questionnaire. Survivors, a member of the flood victim's family,
were interviewed. In total, 77 subjects completed the survey in the case group, and
310 subjects completed the survey in the control group. The findings indicated that
factors such as the age of less than 18 years, low literacy, being trapped in
buildings/cars, and risky behaviors increased the risk of flood deaths. Regarding
the behavioral factors, perceived/real swimming skills increased the risk of flood
deaths although it may seem paradoxical. This increment is due to increased self
confidence in time of flood. On the other hand, skills and abilities such as
evacuation, requesting help, and escape decreased the risk of flood deaths.
According to the results, the adoption of support strategies, protecting vulnerable
groups, and improving the socioeconomic status of flood-prone areas could prevent
and reduce the risk of flood deaths.
C1 [Yari, Arezoo; Zarezadeh, Yadolah] Kurdistan Univ Med Sci, Social Determinants
Hlth Res Ctr, Res Inst Hlth Dev, Sanandaj, Iran.
[Khoshsabegheh, Homa Yousefi; Ardalan, Ali; Ostadtaghizadeh, Abbas] Univ Tehran
Med Sci, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth Emergencies & Disasters, Tehran, Iran.
[Khoshsabegheh, Homa Yousefi] Minist Hlth & Med Educ, Disaster Risk Management
Off, Tehran, Iran.
[Boubakran, Mohsen Soufi] Urmia Univ, Dept Mech Engn, Orumiyeh, Iran.
[Motlagh, Mohamad Esmaeil] Ahvaz Jundishapur Univ Med Sci, Dept Pediat, Ahvaz,
Iran.
C3 Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences; Tehran University of Medical
Sciences; Ministry of Health & Medical Education (MOHME); Urmia
University; Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences (AJUMS)
RP Ostadtaghizadeh, A (corresponding author), Univ Tehran Med Sci, Sch Publ Hlth,
Dept Hlth Emergencies & Disasters, Tehran, Iran.; Motlagh, ME (corresponding
author), Ahvaz Jundishapur Univ Med Sci, Dept Pediat, Ahvaz, Iran.
EM ostadtaghizadeh@gmail.com; Dr.motlagh.ms@gmail.com
OI Ostadtaghizadeh, Abbas/0000-0001-5260-6221
FU Deputy for Health at Ministry of Health and Medical Education (MOHE) in
IRAN [IR.MUK.REC.1398.223]
FX This study (no: IR.MUK.REC.1398.223.) was conducted with the financial
support of the Deputy for Health at Ministry of Health and Medical
Education (MOHE) in IRAN. The funding body did not have any other roles
in the study design, collection, analysis, and interpretation of data
and in writing the manuscript.
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NR 55
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 0
U2 3
PI SAN FRANCISCO
SN 1932-6203
J9 PLOS ONE
JI PLoS One
PD DEC 31
PY 2021
VL 16
IS 12
AR e0262005
PG 16
(SSCI)
GA ZZ9AO
UT WOS:000773555700082
PM 34972162
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zhu, Y
Peng, M
Cai, S
Zhang, LM
AF Zhu, Yan
Peng, Ming
Cai, Shuo
Zhang, Limin
TI Risk-Based Warning Decision Making of Cascade Breaching of the
Tangjiashan Landslide Dam and Two Smaller Downstream Landslide Dams
SO FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE
LA English
DT Article
DE landslide dam; cascade dam breaching; risk assessment; warning; decision
making
ID BREAK EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT; WENCHUAN EARTHQUAKE; MITIGATION MEASURES;
PART 1; FAILURE; MODEL
AB Mega earthquakes or serious rainfall storms often cause crowded landslides in
mountainous areas. A large part of these landslides are very likely blocking rivers
and forming landslide dams in series along rivers. The risks of cascading failure
of landslide dams are significantly different from that of a single dam. This paper
presented the work on risk-based warning decision making on cascading breaching of
the 2008 Tangjiashan landslide dam and two small downstream landslide dams in a
series along Tongkou River. The optimal decision was made by achieving minimal
expected total loss. Cascade breaching of a series of landslide dams is more likely
to produce a multi-peak flood. When the coming of the breaching flood from the
upstream dam perfectly overlaps with the dam breaching flood of the downstream dam,
a higher overlapped peak flood would occur. When overlapped peak flood occurs, the
flood risk would be larger and evacuation warning needs to be issued earlier to
avoid serious life loss and flood damages. When multi-peak flood occurs, people may
be misled by the warning of the previous peak flood and suddenly attacked by the
peak flood thereafter, incurring catastrophic loss. Systematical decision making
needs to be conducted to sufficiently concern the risk caused by each peak of the
breaching flood. The dam failure probability P-f linearly influences the expected
life loss and flood damage but does not influence the evacuation cost. The expected
total loss significantly decreases with P-f when the warning time was insufficient.
However, it would not change much with P-f when warning time is sufficient.
C1 [Zhu, Yan; Peng, Ming] Tongji Univ, Dept Geotech Engn, Key Lab Geotech &
Underground Engn, Minist Educ, Shanghai, Peoples R China.
[Zhu, Yan; Peng, Ming] Tongji Univ, Dept Geotech Engn, Coll Civil Engn,
[Zhu, Yan] China Shipbldg NDRI Engn Co Ltd, Shanghai Res Ctr Ocean & Shipbldg
Engn, Shanghai, Peoples R China.
[Cai, Shuo] Changsha Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Comp & Commun Engn, Changsha,
Peoples R China.
[Zhang, Limin] Hong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Hong
Kong, Peoples R China.
C3 Tongji University; Tongji University; Changsha University of Science &
Technology; Hong Kong University of Science & Technology
RP Peng, M (corresponding author), Tongji Univ, Dept Geotech Engn, Key Lab Geotech
& Underground Engn, Minist Educ, Shanghai, Peoples R China.; Peng, M (corresponding
author), Tongji Univ, Dept Geotech Engn, Coll Civil Engn, Shanghai, Peoples R
China.; Cai, S (corresponding author), Changsha Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Comp &
Commun Engn, Changsha, Peoples R China.
EM pengming@tongji.edu.cn; caishuo@csust.edu.cn
OI Zhang, Li-Min/0000-0001-7208-5515
FU Shanghai Rising-Star Program [20QB1406000]; National Natural Science
Foundation of China [41877234, 42071010, 42061160480]; Shanghai Natural
Science Foundation [20ZR1461300]; Hunan Water Conservancy Science and
Technology Project [XSKJ2019081-47]
FX The research reported in this manuscript was substantially supported by
the Shanghai Rising-Star Program (20QB1406000), the National Natural
Science Foundation of China (Nos. 41877234, 42071010, and 42061160480),
the Shanghai Natural Science Foundation (20ZR1461300), and the Hunan
Water Conservancy Science and Technology Project (XSKJ2019081-47).
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[朱兴华 Zhu Xinghua], 2012, [四川大学学报. 工程科学版, Journal of Sichuan
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NR 45
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 9
U2 51
PI LAUSANNE
EI 2296-6463
J9 FRONT EARTH SC-SWITZ
JI Front. Earth Sci.
PD MAY 3
PY 2021
VL 9
AR 648919
DI 10.3389/feart.2021.648919
PG 18
SC Geology
GA SD0OC
UT WOS:000651061100001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Mora-Melia, D
Lopez-Aburto, CS
Ballesteros-Perez, P
Munoz-Velasco, P
AF Mora-Melia, Daniel
Lopez-Aburto, Carlos S.
Ballesteros-Perez, Pablo
Munoz-Velasco, Pedro
TI Viability of Green Roofs as a Flood Mitigation Element in the Central
Region of Chile
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE climate change; sustainable drainage systems; green roofs; hydrological
management; floods
ID URBAN DRAINAGE SYSTEMS; STORMWATER RETENTION; CLIMATE-CHANGE;
AIR-POLLUTION; HEAT ISLANDS; RUNOFF; PERFORMANCE; CITIES; QUALITY;
ADAPTATION
AB Population increase and urban development over the last 20 years in Chile have
outgrown most rainwater drainage and evacuation systems. Many cities located in the
central region suffer from frequent floods in some of their sectors during winter
rainfall events. In addition, the lack of green spaces in these cities leads to
biodiversity loss, increasing temperatures, greater energy demands, etc. Green
roofs offer a solution that can mitigate climate change by reducing the runoff in
cities with extensive, highly impermeable areas. This work analyses the
installation of green roofs as a potential solution to the sectorial floods
suffered by many cities in central Chile. The methodology includes the
identification of conflictive sectors in the city of Curico, hydrological modelling
with the Storm Water Management Model (SWMM) software, the consideration of
different distributions and types of green roof surfaces, and computational
simulations to determine the feasibility of green roofs for preventing floods. The
results show that, for moderate rainfall events, all studied sectors could avoid
flooding if at least 50% of the surrounding area had green roofs (irrespective of
the type of green roof). In contrast, in the presence of strong rainfall events,
only some semi-extensive and extensive green roofs covering 60% to 95% of the
surrounding area, respectively, could prevent flooding.
C1 [Mora-Melia, Daniel; Lopez-Aburto, Carlos S.] Univ Talca, Fac Ingn, Dept Ingn &
Gest Construcc, Talca 3340000, Chile.
[Ballesteros-Perez, Pablo] Loughborough Univ Technol, Sch Architecture Bldg &
Civil Engn, Loughborough LE11 3TU, Leics, England.
[Munoz-Velasco, Pedro] Univ Int La Rioja, Escuela Super Ingn & Tecnol, Grp
Invest SCOEM, Logrono 26002, Spain.
C3 Universidad de Talca; Loughborough University; Universidad Internacional
de La Rioja (UNIR)
RP Mora-Melia, D (corresponding author), Univ Talca, Fac Ingn, Dept Ingn & Gest
Construcc, Talca 3340000, Chile.
EM damora@utalca.cl; carlopez13@alumnos.utalca.cl;
p.ballesteros-perez@lboro.ac.uk; pedro.munov@unir.net
RI Ballesteros-Pérez, Pablo/I-6002-2015; Mora, Daniel/I-1085-2015; Munoz,
Pedro/B-2515-2019; Munoz, Pedro/AAA-3238-2021; Ballesteros-Pérez,
Pablo/AAA-2498-2022
OI Ballesteros-Pérez, Pablo/0000-0002-4629-9664; Mora,
Daniel/0000-0002-6191-7299; Munoz, Pedro/0000-0001-7958-1271; Munoz,
Pedro/0000-0001-7958-1271; Ballesteros-Pérez, Pablo/0000-0002-4629-9664;
Lopez Aburto, Carlos Samuel/0000-0003-2694-4483
FU Program Fondecyt Regular of the Comision Nacional de Investigacion
Cientifica y Tecnologica (Conicyt), Chile [1180660]; CIOB Bowen Jenkins
Legacy Research Fund, United Kingdom [BLJ2016/BJL.01]; NERC,
Environmental Risks to Infrastructure Innovation Programme, United
Kingdom [NE/R008876/1]
FX This study was supported by the Program Fondecyt Regular (Project
1180660) of the Comision Nacional de Investigacion Cientifica y
Tecnologica (Conicyt), Chile; the CIOB Bowen Jenkins Legacy Research
Fund under Grant number BLJ2016/BJL.01, United Kingdom; and NERC with
the Environmental Risks to Infrastructure Innovation Programme under the
Grant number NE/R008876/1, United Kingdom.
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NR 59
TC 21
Z9 23
U1 2
U2 48
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
JI Sustainability
PD APR
PY 2018
VL 10
IS 4
AR 1130
DI 10.3390/su10041130
PG 19
(SSCI)
GA GJ3IY
UT WOS:000435188000234
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Lai, TI
Shih, FY
Chiang, WC
Shen, ST
Chen, WJ
AF Lai, TI
Shih, FY
Chiang, WC
Shen, ST
Chen, WJ
TI Strategies of disaster response in the health care system for tropical
cyclones: Experience following Typhoon Nari in Taipei City
SO ACADEMIC EMERGENCY MEDICINE
LA English
DT Article
DE disaster response; cyclones Typhoon Nari; emergency preparedness;
natural hazards
ID HURRICANE; EMERGENCY
AB Natural disasters present significant potential for injuries and death. Unlike
the experience of Hurricane Andrew that destroyed a vast surface area in the rural
countryside, Typhoon Nari in Taipei proved that significant damages from natural
disasters also can happen to modern health care systems in urban areas. To
ameliorate such damages, specific structural, nonstructural, and administrative
issues must be taken into account. Such issues include the location of the health
facility, design of the infrastructure, storage of equipment and machines,
maintenance, medical, and nonmedical operations. Specific considerations, such as
early evacuation and securing the safety of the patients before a disaster, should
be emphasized. Recovery plans that determine how soon medical service can be
restored to the community should also be established. Emphasis on emergency-
response preparedness, mitigation procedures, and recovery efforts should all be
included in a comprehensive emergency plan against the destruction caused by
natural hazards.
C1 Natl Taiwan Univ Hosp, Dept Emergency Med, Taipei, Taiwan.
Taipei Municipal Yang Ming Hosp, Dept Emergency Med, Taipei, Taiwan.
C3 National Taiwan University; National Taiwan University Hospital
RP Chen, WJ (corresponding author), Natl Taiwan Univ Hosp, Dept Emergency Med, 7
Chung Shan S Rd, Taipei, Taiwan.
RI CHIANG, WEN-CHU/AAH-6057-2021
OI CHIANG, WEN-CHU/0000-0001-8620-7982; CHEN, WEN-JONE/0000-0002-2098-5922;
SHIH, FUH-YUAN/0000-0002-7755-0110
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NR 13
TC 12
Z9 12
U1 0
U2 4
PU HANLEY & BELFUS INC
PI PHILADELPHIA
PA 210 S 13TH ST, PHILADELPHIA, PA 19107 USA
SN 1069-6563
J9 ACAD EMERG MED
JI Acad. Emerg. Med.
PD OCT
PY 2003
VL 10
IS 10
BP 1109
EP 1112
DI 10.1197/S1069-6563(03)00368-3
PG 4
GA 729MB
UT WOS:000185776500015
PM 14525746
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Adu-Gyamfi, B
Shaw, R
AF Adu-Gyamfi, Bismark
Shaw, Rajib
TI Utilizing Population Distribution Patterns for Disaster Vulnerability
Assessment: Case of Foreign Residents in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area of
Japan
LA English
DT Article
DE migrants; disaster vulnerability; population dynamics; Tokyo
metropolitan area
ID SOCIAL VULNERABILITY; HURRICANE KATRINA; EARTHQUAKE; SEGREGATION; IMPACT
AB Foreign residents in Japan are amongst the vulnerable groups at risk to
disasters in the country. Improvement is crucial in meeting Japan's vison of zero
casualties in major disaster events. If the case of the 2005 Hurricane Katrina is
to offer an insight into migrants' characteristics in mega-disaster situations,
then a broader analysis of vulnerabilities is needed to avoid mass casualties
should the anticipated megathrust earthquake occur. Hence, this study analyzes the
vulnerabilities of foreign residents by utilizing their spatial distribution
attributes in the Tokyo metropolitan area. This study uses multiple approaches that
combine geographic information systems to analyze secondary and primary datasets.
The results reveal that foreign nationals are spatially clustered in some parts of
the metropolis, especially within a 7 km radius of Minato city. The densities in
these areas alter the earthquake community vulnerability levels from 1.23% to 2.8%
and from 5.42% to 13.46%, respectively. Although only 11% of foreign residents are
prepared for any disaster, there is a high sense of interaction amongst them and
Japanese nationals, which almost eliminates isolation within communities. This
study therefore proposes the utilization of some of these attributes in mobilizing
specifically targeted evacuation procedures, management of evacuation centers, and
disaster risk information dissemination.
C1 [Adu-Gyamfi, Bismark; Shaw, Rajib] Keio Univ SFC, Grad Sch Media & Governance,
5322 Endo, Fujisawa, Kanagawa 2520882, Japan.
C3 Keio University
RP Adu-Gyamfi, B; Shaw, R (corresponding author), Keio Univ SFC, Grad Sch Media &
Governance, 5322 Endo, Fujisawa, Kanagawa 2520882, Japan.
EM bismark@keio.jp; shaw@sfc.keio.ac.jp
OI Shaw, Rajib/0000-0003-3153-1800; Adu Gyamfi, Bismark/0000-0002-7410-6241
FU Keio University
FX This research was funded by the Keio University Taikichiro Mori Memorial
Research Fund 2020.
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NR 69
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 3
U2 20
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 1660-4601
PD APR
PY 2021
VL 18
IS 8
AR 4061
DI 10.3390/ijerph18084061
PG 17
(SSCI)
Health
GA RT0PX
UT WOS:000644171600001
PM 33921470
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Royet, P
Degoutte, G
Peyras, L
Lavabre, J
Lemperriere, F
AF Royet, Paul
Degoutte, Gerard
Peyras, Laurent
Lavabre, Jacques
Lemperriere, Francois
TI Protection, safety and danger levels and associated floods
LA French
CT Conference on Operation and Design of Flood Evacuation
CY JAN 20-21, 2009
CL Paris, FRANCE
AB This paper presents a synthesis of different level and flood references usually
used for assessing the safety of hydraulic structures, including dams for flood
control or dikes for flood protection. Discussions in the FrCOLD working group on
justification for the stability of dams and research conducted by Cemagref in the
field of risk analysis applied to hydraulic works show the limits of these
definitions and open new perspectives. Proposals are made to clarify terminology.
This leads to emphasize the determination of levels reached in the reservoir for
different scenarios of flooding. Then it is possible to associate probabilities of
occurrence to the maximum water level and to the level of danger of rupture, and
parallel to propose minimum targets for these probabilities, depending on the types
of hydraulic works and their class.
C1 [Royet, Paul; Degoutte, Gerard; Peyras, Laurent; Lavabre, Jacques] Irstea, Unite
Rech Ouvrages Hydraul & Hydrol, F-13182 Aix En Provence 5, France.
[Lemperriere, Francois] Hydrocop, F-92191 Meudon, France.
C3 INRAE
RP Royet, P (corresponding author), Irstea, Unite Rech Ouvrages Hydraul & Hydrol,
3275 Route Cezanne,CS 40061, F-13182 Aix En Provence 5, France.
EM prenom.nom@cemagref.fr; haydrocoop.fr@free.fr
OI peyras, laurent/0000-0002-4720-3572
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NR 7
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 2
U2 7
PU EDP SCIENCES S A
PI LES ULIS CEDEX A
FRANCE
SN 0018-6368
EI 1958-5551
J9 HOUILLE BLANCHE
PY 2010
IS 2
BP 51
EP 57
DI 10.1051/lhb/2010018
PG 7
WC Water Resources
SC Water Resources
GA 599YO
UT WOS:000277950500007
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Yang, H
Zhao, LS
Chen, J
AF Yang, Hao
Zhao, Linshuang
Chen, Jun
TI Metro System Inundation in Zhengzhou, Henan Province, China
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE rainstorm; report; investigation; subway; preventive
ID FLOOD RISK-ASSESSMENT; MANAGEMENT
AB In this study, we investigated the flooding accident that occurred on Metro Line
5 in the capital city of Zhengzhou, Henan Province, China. On 20 July 2021, owing
to an extreme rainstorm, serious inundation occurred in the Wulongkou parking lot
of Zhengzhou Metro Line 5 and its surrounding area. Flooding forced a train to stop
during operation, resulting in 14 deaths. Based on our preliminary investigation
and analysis of this accident, we designed three main control measures to reduce
the occurrence of similar accidents and mitigate the impact of similar accidents in
the future, given the increasing number of extreme storm weather events in recent
years: (1) to conduct subway flood risk assessments and to establish an early
warning system, involving real-time monitoring of meteorological information during
subway operation and construction; (2) to improve subway flood control emergency
plans and to establish a response mechanism for subway flooding; and (3) to
strengthen safety awareness training to ensure the orderly evacuation of people
after accidents.
C1 [Yang, Hao] Shantou Univ, Coll Engn, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Shantou 515063,
Peoples R China.
[Zhao, Linshuang] Shantou Univ, Coll Engn, MOE Key Lab Intelligent Mfg Technol,
Shantou 515063, Peoples R China.
[Chen, Jun] Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Shanghai 200240, Peoples R
China.
C3 Shantou University; Shantou University; Shanghai Jiao Tong University
RP Zhao, LS (corresponding author), Shantou Univ, Coll Engn, MOE Key Lab
Intelligent Mfg Technol, Shantou 515063, Peoples R China.
EM 21hyang@stu.edu.cn; lshzhao@stu.edu.cn; chen_jun@sjtu.edu.cn
RI yang, hao/HIR-9405-2022
FU National Natural Science Foundation of China [42102308]; Special Fund
for Science and Technology of Guangdong Province [STKJ2021168]; Research
Funding of Shantou University for New Faculty Member [NTF21008-2021]
FX This research was funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of
China (Grant No. 42102308), the Special Fund for Science and Technology
of Guangdong Province in 2021 (STKJ2021168), and the Research Funding of
Shantou University for New Faculty Member (Grant No. NTF21008-2021).
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NR 49
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 25
U2 53
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
JI Sustainability
PD AUG
PY 2022
VL 14
IS 15
AR 9292
DI 10.3390/su14159292
PG 15
(SSCI)
GA 3R4GK
UT WOS:000838873200001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Hamilton, K
Demant, D
Peden, AE
Hagger, MS
AF Hamilton, Kyra
Demant, Daniel
Peden, Amy E.
Hagger, Martin S.
TI A systematic review of human behaviour in and around floodwater
LA English
DT Review
ID SOCIAL MEDIA; COASTAL AREAS; RISK-FACTORS; FLOODS; FATALITIES;
EVACUATION; CIRCUMSTANCES; PREPAREDNESS; PERCEPTIONS; QUEENSLAND
AB Flooding can have a major impact on people's safety and livelihood.
Understanding people's flood-related behaviours may assist in the development of
more effective strategies aimed at lessening the impact of floods including
mortality and morbidity. This systematic review examined peer-reviewed literature
published from January-1989 to April-2019 on human behaviour in and around
floodwater to identify behaviour patterns as well as protective and risk factors.
We extracted three main themes from a thematic analysis of included studies (N =
54): activities and risk-taking behaviours (n = 24); loss reduction, knowledge, and
warnings (n = 37); and diet and hygiene (n = 4). This review had limitations which
prevented definitive conclusions being made. What does seem apparent is the limited
knowledge of the social psychological mechanisms that guide behavioural responses
in a flood event. Further exploration of methods to improve preparedness, increase
the likelihood of evacuation, and reduce 'risky' behaviour during floods is needed.
Future studies should prioritise addressing these gaps to enhance the evidence-base
for reducing the impact of floods including flood-related mortality and morbidity.
C1 [Hamilton, Kyra; Hagger, Martin S.] Griffith Univ, Sch Appl Psychol, Brisbane,
Qld, Australia.
[Demant, Daniel] Univ Technol Sydney, Fac Hlth, Australian Ctr Publ & Populat
Hlth Res, Ultimo, NSW, Australia.
[Demant, Daniel] Queensland Univ Technol, Fac Hlth, Sch Publ Hlth & Social Work,
Brisbane, Qld, Australia.
[Peden, Amy E.] Royal Life Saving Soc Australia, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
[Peden, Amy E.] James Cook Univ, Coll Publ Hlth Med & Vet Sci, Townsville, Qld,
Australia.
[Peden, Amy E.] Univ New South Wales, Sch Publ Hlth & Community Med, Sydney,
NSW, Australia.
[Hagger, Martin S.] Univ Calif Merced, Psychol Sci, Merced, CA USA.
[Hagger, Martin S.] Univ Jyvaskyla, Fac Sport & Hlth Sci, Jyvaskyla, Finland.
C3 Griffith University; University of Technology Sydney; Queensland
University of Technology (QUT); James Cook University; University of New
South Wales Sydney; University of California System; University of
California Merced; University of Jyvaskyla
RP Hamilton, K (corresponding author), Griffith Univ, Sch Appl Psychol, Heath &
Psychol Innovat HaPI Res Lab, Brisbane, Qld, Australia.
EM kyra.hamilton@griffith.edu.au
RI Demant, Daniel/A-2114-2016; Peden, Amy E/AAO-5342-2020; Hagger, Martin
S./G-5211-2012
OI Demant, Daniel/0000-0003-3330-2972; Peden, Amy E/0000-0002-6424-1511;
Hagger, Martin S./0000-0002-2685-1546; Hamilton,
Kyra/0000-0001-9975-685X
FU Finland Distinguished Professor (FiDiPro) award from Business Finland
[Dnro 1801/31/2105]; Royal Life Saving Society Australia; Griffith
University
FX Authors KH, DD, and MH declare that they have no conflict of interest.
Author AP is a honorary senior research fellow of the Royal Life Saving
Society - Australia and employed by the University New South Wales,
Sydney, Australia. Data analysis and interpretation of findings is
conducted independent of author AP and Royal Life Saving Society
Australia. The contribution of author MH is supported by a Finland
Distinguished Professor (FiDiPro) award (Dnro 1801/31/2105) from
Business Finland. The study is supported by Royal Life Saving Society
Australia and Griffith University partnership grant. The sponsors have
no role in the design, methods, study recruitment, data collection,
analysis, interpretation, preparation of this manuscript, or the
decision to submit this article for publication, and they do not have
ultimate authority over any of these activities.
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NR 95
TC 26
Z9 26
U1 4
U2 20
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD AUG
PY 2020
VL 47
AR 101561
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101561
PG 22
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA LW7DJ
UT WOS:000539303600004
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Islam, S
Namilae, S
Prazenica, R
Liu, DH
AF Islam, Sabique
Namilae, Sirish
Prazenica, Richard
Liu, Dahai
TI Fuel shortages during hurricanes: Epidemiological modeling and optimal
control
SO PLOS ONE
LA English
DT Article
ID PARAMETER-ESTIMATION; MANEUVERS; FILTERS; STATE
AB Hurricanes are powerful agents of destruction with significant socioeconomic
impacts. A persistent problem due to the large-scale evacuations during hurricanes
in the southeastern United States is the fuel shortages during the evacuation.
Computational models can aid in emergency preparedness and help mitigate the
impacts of hurricanes. In this paper, we model the hurricane fuel shortages using
the SIR epidemic model. We utilize the crowd-sourced data corresponding to
Hurricane Irma and Florence to parametrize the model. An estimation technique based
on Unscented Kalman filter (UKF) is employed to evaluate the SIR dynamic
parameters. Finally, an optimal control approach for refueling based on a
vaccination analogue is presented to effectively reduce the fuel shortages under a
resource constraint. We find the basic reproduction number corresponding to fuel
shortages in Miami during Hurricane Irma to be 3.98. Using the control model we
estimated the level of intervention needed to mitigate the fuel-shortage epidemic.
For example, our results indicate that for Naples-Fort Myers affected by Hurricane
Irma, a per capita refueling rate of 0.1 for 2.2 days would have reduced the peak
fuel shortage from 55% to 48% and a refueling rate of 0.75 for half a day before
landfall would have reduced to 37%.
C1 [Islam, Sabique; Namilae, Sirish; Prazenica, Richard] Embry Riddle Aeronaut
Univ, Aerosp Engn, Daytona Beach, FL 32114 USA.
[Liu, Dahai] Embry Riddle Aeronaut Univ, Dept Grad Studies, Daytona Beach, FL
USA.
C3 Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University; Embry-Riddle Aeronautical
University
RP Namilae, S (corresponding author), Embry Riddle Aeronaut Univ, Aerosp Engn,
Daytona Beach, FL 32114 USA.
EM namilaes@erau.edu
RI Namilae, Sirish/B-6925-2017
OI Namilae, Sirish/0000-0003-1487-9573
FU Department of Transportation at the North Carolina AT University; Center
for Advanced Transportation Mobility (CATM) at the North Carolina AT
University
FX We gratefully acknowledge the support of the Department of
Transportation and the Center for Advanced Transportation Mobility
(CATM) at the North Carolina A&T University.
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NR 36
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 0
U2 4
PI SAN FRANCISCO
SN 1932-6203
J9 PLOS ONE
JI PLoS One
PD APR 1
PY 2020
VL 15
IS 4
AR e0229957
PG 20
GA LR8IA
UT WOS:000535938700013
PM 32236120
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Harville, EW
Jacobs, M
Boynton-Jarrett, R
AF Harville, Emily W.
Jacobs, Marni
Boynton-Jarrett, Renee
TI When Is Exposure to a Natural Disaster Traumatic? Comparison of a Trauma
Questionnaire and Disaster Exposure Inventory
SO PLOS ONE
LA English
DT Article
ID POSTTRAUMATIC-STRESS-DISORDER; POSTNATAL DEPRESSION; PTSD PREVALENCE;
EPIDEMIOLOGY; VALIDATION; CRITERION; SYMPTOMS; OUTCOMES; ADULTS; HEALTH
AB Few studies have compared the sensitivity of trauma questionnaires to disaster
inventories for assessing the prevalence of exposure to natural disaster or
associated risk for post-disaster psychopathology. The objective of this analysis
was to compare reporting of disaster exposure on a trauma questionnaire (Brief
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disaster exposure on the BTQ was associated with depression (odds ratio [OR] 2.29,
95% confidence interval [CI] 1.43-3.68). A single question is unlikely to be useful
for assessing the degree of exposure to disaster across a broad population, and
varies in utility depending on the mental health outcome of interest: the single
trauma question is useful for assessing depression risk.
C1 [Harville, Emily W.; Jacobs, Marni] Tulane Sch Publ Hlth & Trop Med, Dept
Epidemiol, New Orleans, LA 70112 USA.
[Boynton-Jarrett, Renee] Boston Univ, Sch Med, Div Gen Pediat, Boston, MA 02118
USA.
C3 Tulane University; Boston University
RP Harville, EW (corresponding author), Tulane Sch Publ Hlth & Trop Med, Dept
Epidemiol, New Orleans, LA 70112 USA.
EM harville@tulane.edu
RI Harville, Emily/AFS-8572-2022
OI Harville, Emily/0000-0003-0319-0922; Boynton-Jarrett,
Renee/0000-0002-5392-6443
FU National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, Risk and Resilience
in Environmental Health; Baton Rouge Area Foundation; [U19 ES020677]
FX This work was funded by U19 ES020677; National Institute of
Environmental Health Sciences, Risk and Resilience in Environmental
Health, and the Baton Rouge Area Foundation,
https://www.facebook.com/BRAreaFoundation. The funders had no role in
study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or
preparation of the manuscript.
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NR 33
TC 31
Z9 31
U1 2
U2 18
PI SAN FRANCISCO
SN 1932-6203
J9 PLOS ONE
JI PLoS One
PD APR 8
PY 2015
VL 10
IS 4
AR e0123632
PG 11
(SSCI)
GA CF3WA
UT WOS:000352478400110
PM 25853820
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Azhar, F
Pauwels, VRN
Bui, HH
AF Azhar, Fatima
Pauwels, Valentijn R. N.
Bui, Ha H. H.
TI Confirmation of vehicle stability criteria through a combination of
smoothed particle hydrodynamics and laboratory measurements
LA English
DE drag; flood hazard; flume experiments; physical model; smoothed-particle
hydrodynamics; vehicle stability
ID DUALSPHYSICS; MOTION
AB This study combines laboratory experiments and numerical modelling in a novel
manner to assess vehicle stability. Assessing vehicle stability forms the basis of
hazard classification criteria, which in turn helps in forming safety guidelines
for stream crossings and planning of evacuation routes in times of floods. These
criteria are based on theoretical and physical model studies carried out on
different vehicle models. This article demonstrates the application of a numerical
method to determine the vehicle stability threshold so that the need for a physical
model study for each kind of vehicle may be avoided. The numerical investigation is
performed using smoothed particle hydrodynamics (SPH) with the vehicle oriented
perpendicular to the flow direction, as this is the most critical orientation. A
physical model study is also performed and its results are used to validate the SPH
model. The results confirm the current Australian Rainfall and Runoff (ARR) safety
criteria for stationary vehicles. It also suggests that the ARR stability curve can
shift depending on the road conditions that affect the vehicle's sliding mechanism.
C1 [Azhar, Fatima; Pauwels, Valentijn R. N.; Bui, Ha H. H.] Monash Univ, Dept Civil
Engn, Clayton, Vic 3800, Australia.
C3 Monash University
RP Azhar, F (corresponding author), Monash Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Clayton, Vic
3800, Australia.
EM fatima.azhar@monash.edu
RI Bui, Ha H./AAW-8926-2021
OI Bui, Ha H./0000-0001-8071-5433; Azhar, Fatima/0000-0002-4528-7928;
Pauwels, Valentijn/0000-0002-1290-9313
FU Australian Government
FX Australian Government
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NR 48
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 4
U2 4
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 1753-318X
PD 2023 JAN 24
PY 2023
DI 10.1111/jfr3.12885
EA JAN 2023
PG 13
GA 8F8HQ
UT WOS:000919898000001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Koyama, N
Sakai, M
Yamada, T
AF Koyama, Naoki
Sakai, Mizuki
Yamada, Tadashi
TI Study on a Water-Level-Forecast Method Based on a Time Series Analysis
of Urban River Basins-A Case Study of Shibuya River Basin in Tokyo
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE urban floods; forecast method; water level; vector auto regressive
model; time series analysis
ID CLIMATE-CHANGE; RAINFALL-RUNOFF; FLOOD RISK; URBANIZATION; BEHAVIOR;
MODEL
AB In urban basins, localized torrential rain increases the water level of rivers
in an extremely short time, thereby leading to flooding within an hour. Therefore,
to achieve early evacuation, the water level should be accurately forecasted. The
outflow process in urban areas employs the sewer system to discharge the water back
to rivers. However, the data for the sewer system are not freely available, and it
requires much work and time to design a physical model based on such data. Thus, a
vector autoregressive model to develop a water level forecast system that uses
observed rainfall and water level is being used. Additionally, this model was used
to ensure information conducive to evacuation approximately 20 min in advance and
to assess its forecast accuracy, despite the very limited data-water levels at one
point and average rainfall at another-without the need to build a physical model
such as that which is used in sewer pipe calculations. Compared to the observed
water level, the calculated water level increased faster; and thus, the forecast
leaned toward safety in evacuation. Furthermore, the data from past five torrential
rainfall events to achieve a stable forecast; this method can be applied to basins
with limited observation data. Therefore, these results indicate that this method
can be applied as a water level forecast method for basins with an extremely fast
flood arrival time.
C1 [Koyama, Naoki; Yamada, Tadashi] Chuo Univ, Res & Dev Initiat, 1-13-27
Kasuga,Bunkyo Ku, Tokyo 1128551, Japan.
[Sakai, Mizuki] Chuo Univ, Grad Sch Sci & Engn, Civil Human & Environm Engn
Course, 1-13-27,Kasuga,Bunkyo-kuu, Tokyo 1128551, Japan.
C3 Chuo University; Chuo University
RP Koyama, N (corresponding author), Chuo Univ, Res & Dev Initiat, 1-13-27
Kasuga,Bunkyo Ku, Tokyo 1128551, Japan.
EM knaoki002@g.chuo-u.ac.jp
FU Unit for Research and Application Solution of Water-Related Disaster
Science and Information of Research and Development Initiative (RDI),
Chuo University
FX This research was supported by Unit for Research and Application
Solution of Water-Related Disaster Science and Information of Research
and Development Initiative (RDI), Chuo University.
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NR 45
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 3
U2 4
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD JAN
PY 2023
VL 15
IS 1
AR 161
DI 10.3390/w15010161
PG 18
GA 7R9YZ
UT WOS:000910421600001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU DeYoung, SE
Farmer, AK
Callaro, Z
Naar, S
AF DeYoung, Sarah E.
Farmer, Ashley K.
Callaro, Zoe
Naar, Shelby
TI Disaster Preparedness among Service Dog Puppy- Raisers (Human Subject
Sample)
SO ANIMALS
LA English
DT Article
DE disaster; preparedness; puppy raiser; service dogs; working dogs
ID STUDENTS PERCEIVED RISK; COLLEGE-STUDENTS; UNIVERSITY-STUDENTS; PET
OWNERS; PERCEPTION; ANIMALS; ATTACHMENT; DIMENSIONS; MANAGEMENT; SUCCESS
AB Simple Summary Before service animals are matched with clients, they undergo
training programs for increasing the dogs' ability to navigate public spaces.
Increasingly, service dog training programs recruit young adults from universities
and college campuses. Little is known, however, how these students prepare for
disasters and the ways in which they create plans to keep service dogs in training
safe during hazard events. We collected data from service dog puppy raisers in a
hurricane-prone region of the United States to understand their concepts and
actions of disaster preparedness. People who were raising a service puppy for the
first time were more likely to consider evacuating from Hurricane Irma in 2017 than
people who had participated in the program before. Additionally, over half of the
respondents did not have a disaster preparedness kit. Finally, many respondents in
this study indicated that their service dog in training provides a sense of safety
and security. Little is known about the ways in which puppy raisers engage in
disaster preparedness for their puppies (or "guide dogs in training"). The aim of
this research is to understand disaster preparedness among service dog puppy
raisers. A web-based survey was distributed to people raising puppies in a service
dog training program (n = 53 complete survey responses). Questions in the survey
included items about disaster preparedness and plans for canine safety in hazards
events. Out of those who said they had an evacuation plan for their puppy in
training, 59% stated they would put the dog in their vehicles for evacuating to
safety in the event of a hurricane or other disaster. The odds of first-time puppy
raisers who considered evacuation for Hurricane Irma in 2017 was 15.3 times the
odds of repeat raisers. Over half the raisers reported that they did not have a
disaster kit. Additionally, 82% of respondents indicated that having a service
puppy in training makes them feel safer. These results can be used as a foundation
for service dog organizations in disaster preparedness among their puppy raiser
volunteers and in designing recruitment messages for new volunteers.
C1 [DeYoung, Sarah E.] Univ Delaware, Dept Sociol & Criminal Justice, Disaster Res
Ctr, Newark, DE 19716 USA.
[Farmer, Ashley K.] Illinois State Univ, Dept Criminal Justice Sci, Normal, IL
61761 USA.
[Callaro, Zoe] Univ Colorado Denver, Publ Adm, Denver, CO 80204 USA.
[Naar, Shelby] Georgia Emergency Management & Homeland Secur, Radiol Emergency
Preparedness, Atlanta, GA 30316 USA.
C3 University of Delaware; Illinois State University; Children's Hospital
Colorado; University of Colorado System; University of Colorado Anschutz
Medical Campus; University of Colorado Denver
RP DeYoung, SE (corresponding author), Univ Delaware, Dept Sociol & Criminal
Justice, Disaster Res Ctr, Newark, DE 19716 USA.
EM sedeyoun@udel.edu; akfarme@ilstu.edu; zoe.callaro@ucdenver.edu;
shelby.naar@gema.ga.gov
OI Farmer, Ashley/0000-0002-7814-8668
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NR 73
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 0
U2 4
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
SN 2076-2615
J9 ANIMALS-BASEL
JI Animals
PD FEB
PY 2020
VL 10
IS 2
AR 246
DI 10.3390/ani10020246
PG 15
WC Agriculture, Dairy & Animal Science; Veterinary Sciences; Zoology
(SSCI)
SC Agriculture; Veterinary Sciences; Zoology
GA KW7IE
UT WOS:000521356600123
PM 32033129
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Mejia-Argueta, C
Gaytan, J
Caballero, R
Molina, J
Vitoriano, B
AF Mejia-Argueta, Christopher
Gaytan, Juan
Caballero, Rafael
Molina, Julian
Vitoriano, Begona
TI Multicriteria optimization approach to deploy humanitarian logistic
operations integrally during floods
SO INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS IN OPERATIONAL RESEARCH
LA English
DT Article
DE multiple-objective programming; efficient solution; weighted-sum method;
epsilon-constraint; humanitarian operations
ID EPSILON-CONSTRAINT METHOD; DECISION-SUPPORT-SYSTEM; EMERGENCY LOGISTICS;
RELIEF; DISASTERS; MODELS; AID; MANAGEMENT; NETWORK
AB This paper addresses frequent and foreseeable floods in the short-term
preparedness of an imminent event using a multicriteria optimization model
integrated with a geographical information system to simulate flood levels,
determine the best strategies, and update information. The proposed model takes
into account the four main relief operations: location of emergency facilities
(i.e., distribution centers, shelters, and meeting points), prepositioning of
humanitarian aid, evacuation, and distribution of humanitarian aid. Three criteria
are considered in the formulation to minimize: the maximum evacuation flow-time,
the maximum distribution flow-time, and total cost of relief operations. The
approximation to the efficient frontier is built using multiobjective programming
through the use of commercial software. The usefulness and robustness of the model
are verified using data from one of the worst Mexican floods considering various
flood levels created from three key elements in humanitarian logistics. The
strategies provided by the proposed methodology are compared with those implemented
by the Mexican authorities during the studied disaster.
C1 [Mejia-Argueta, Christopher] Tech Univ Eindhoven, Dept Ind Engn & Innovat Sci,
3169 Den Dolech 2, NL-5612 AZ Eindhoven, Nord Brabant, Netherlands.
[Gaytan, Juan] Univ Autonoma Estado Mexico, Sch Engn, Toluca 225104, Estado De
Mexic, Mexico.
[Caballero, Rafael; Molina, Julian] Univ Malaga, Appl Econ Math, Campus El
Ejido, E-29071 Malaga, Spain.
[Vitoriano, Begona] Univ Complutense Madrid, Comunidad Madrid, Dept Stat &
Operat Res, Madrid 16734, Spain.
[Vitoriano, Begona] Univ Complutense Madrid, Comunidad Madrid, Inst
Interdisciplinary Math, Madrid 16734, Spain.
C3 Eindhoven University of Technology; Universidad de Malaga; Complutense
University of Madrid; Complutense University of Madrid
RP Mejia-Argueta, C (corresponding author), Tech Univ Eindhoven, Dept Ind Engn &
Innovat Sci, 3169 Den Dolech 2, NL-5612 AZ Eindhoven, Nord Brabant, Netherlands.
EM christopher.mejia.argueta@gmail.com; jgi@uaemex.mx; r_caballero@uma.es;
julian.molina@uma.es; bvitoriano@mat.ucm.es
RI Caballero, Rafael/F-3072-2016; Vitoriano, Begoña/S-7937-2016
OI Caballero, Rafael/0000-0001-5657-5848; Vitoriano,
Begoña/0000-0002-3356-6049; Mejia Argueta,
Christopher/0000-0002-4601-2459
FU Government of Madrid [S2013/ICE-2845]; Spanish Government
[MTM2015-65803-R, ECO2013-47129-C4-2-R, ECO2016-76567-C4-4-R]; Regional
Government of Andalusia [SEJ 417]; Government of Mexico
[PROMEP/103.5/12/4586]
FX The authors are grateful to three anonymous referees and the editorial
team for their insightful comments that improved this paper. This
research has been partially supported by the Government of Madrid, grant
S2013/ICE-2845 (CASI-CAM), by the Spanish Government grants
MTM2015-65803-R, ECO2013-47129-C4-2-R, and ECO2016-76567-C4-4-R, by the
Regional Government of Andalusia SEJ 417; and by the Government of
Mexico, grant PROMEP/103.5/12/4586. We are thankful to our colleagues
and friends for their insightful recommendations. This paper is written
in memory of Dr. S. Rueda-Cerna (RIP 2012) and Maxi (RIP 2016).
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NR 43
TC 20
Z9 20
U1 4
U2 83
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 0969-6016
EI 1475-3995
J9 INT T OPER RES
JI Int. Trans. Oper. Res.
PD MAY
PY 2018
VL 25
IS 3
SI SI
BP 1053
EP 1079
DI 10.1111/itor.12508
PG 27
WC Management; Operations Research & Management Science
(SSCI)
SC Business & Economics; Operations Research & Management Science
GA GA2WN
UT WOS:000428187400014
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Islam, T
Merrell, W
Seitz, W
Harriss, R
AF Islam, Tanveerul
Merrell, William
Seitz, William
Harriss, Robert
TI Origin, Distribution, and Timing of Texas Hurricanes: 1851-2006
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricanes; Climatology; Texas; Coastal environment; Emergency services;
Evacuation; Decision making; History
ID STRONG ASSOCIATION; ATLANTIC BASIN; INTENSE; CLIMATOLOGY; LANDFALL;
RAINFALL; SEASON; IMPACT; STATE
AB This paper provides a place-based approach to the organization and analysis of
historic hurricane information in the context of informing decision-making in urban
planning, disaster management, and mitigation, and natural resource stewardship on
the Texas coast. We discuss the climatology of Texas hurricanes by analyzing the
spatial and temporal patterns and some aspects of factors that contribute to their
observed variability. Finally, we construct scenarios of historic hurricanes that
formed and made landfall rapidly on the Texas coastline and suggest that these
storms are especially challenging for emergency planners, citizens, and public
officials.
C1 [Islam, Tanveerul] NOAA, Environm Cooperat Sci Ctr, Tallahassee, FL 32307 USA.
[Merrell, William; Seitz, William] Texas A&M Univ, Galveston, TX 77551 USA.
[Harriss, Robert] Houston Adv Res Ctr, The Woodlands, TX 77381 USA.
C3 National Oceanic Atmospheric Admin (NOAA) - USA; Texas A&M University
System
RP Islam, T (corresponding author), NOAA, Environm Cooperat Sci Ctr, 1515 S Martin
Luther King Jr Blvd, Tallahassee, FL 32307 USA.
EM tanveerul.islam@famu.edu; merrellw@tamug.edu; seitzw@tamug.edu;
rharriss@harc.edu
OI Islam, Tanveer/0000-0002-0355-5576
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NR 40
TC 6
Z9 6
U1 0
U2 13
PI RESTON
SN 1527-6988
EI 1527-6996
J9 NAT HAZARDS REV
PD NOV
PY 2009
VL 10
IS 4
BP 136
EP 144
DI 10.1061/(ASCE)1527-6988(2009)10:4(136)
PG 9
(SSCI)
GA V19CW
UT WOS:000208051500002
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Martin, Y
AF Martin, Yago
TI Analysis of hurricane-induced population spatial mobility through
geospatial digital shadows derived from Twitter
SO BOLETIN DE LA ASOCIACION DE GEOGRAFOS ESPANOLES
LA Spanish
DT Article
DE spatial behavior; disasters; digital spatial shadow; Twitter; social
media
ID EVACUATION BEHAVIOR; SOCIAL MEDIA; WI-FI; LOCATION; PERCEPTION;
MIGRATION; PATTERNS; IMPACT; DISPLACEMENT; TRACKING
AB Multiple researchers believe spatial behavior has reached a bottleneck derived
from the rigidity of traditional spatial behavior inquiry methods and the
unavailability of trustworthy and relevant information. Digital geospatial trace
data is seen as one of the most promising opportunities to develop and test new
hypotheses on spatial behavior, but the application of these new methods has not
been fully explored within the hazard/disaster discipline. This article summarizes
the latest advancements in this area focusing on the suitability of geotagged
social media (Twitter) as an innovative approach for human spatial behavior. This
research tracks pre-event Twitter users' locations to produce estimates on the
number of (pre-event) evacuees, and their post-disaster locations to estimate the
number of displaced people, and the impact of a disaster on tourist visitations.
C1 [Martin, Yago] Univ Cent Florida, Dept Adm Publ, Orlando, FL 32816 USA.
RP Martin, Y (corresponding author), Univ Cent Florida, Dept Adm Publ, Orlando, FL
32816 USA.
EM ymart92@outlook.com
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NR 105
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 1
U2 6
PU ASOCIACION ESPANOLES DE GEOGRAFIA
PI MADRID
PA PINAR 25, MADRID, 28006, SPAIN
SN 0212-9426
EI 2605-3322
J9 B ASOC GEOGR ESP
JI Bol. Asoc. Geogr. Esp.
PY 2020
IS 84
AR 2848
DI 10.21138/bage.2848
PG 35
WC Geography
SC Geography
GA KY8QZ
UT WOS:000522842400015
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Kaiser, MJ
AF Kaiser, Mark J.
TI Empirical models of extreme weather impacts on shut-in production in the
Gulf of Mexico
SO MARINE TECHNOLOGY SOCIETY JOURNAL
LA English
DT Article
ID SYSTEMS
AB Over the past two years the vulnerability of offshore production in the Gulf of
Mexico has been brought to light by extensive damage to oil and gas facilities and
pipelines resulting from Hurricanes Ivan, Katrina and Rita. I an average year,
three tropical storms enter the Gulf wit hurricane strength. When a hurricane
threatens oil and gas production and transportation pipelines in the expected path
of the storm shut down, crews are evacuated and refineries and processing plants
along the Gulf Coast close. The purpose of this paper is quantify the impact
extreme weather has on shut in production in the Gulf of Mexico using production
data and weather events from 1950 2003. A description of the model constructions
and results is presented. This paper also reviews the manner in which operators
respond to emergency evacuation and develops regression models of shut-in
production based on the physical characteristics and timing of weather events.
C1 Louisiana State Univ, Ctr Energy Studies, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA.
RP Kaiser, MJ (corresponding author), Louisiana State Univ, Ctr Energy Studies,
Energy Coast & Environm Bldg,Nicholson Extens Dr, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA.
EM mkaiser@lsu.edu
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NR 35
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 0
U2 1
PU MARINE TECHNOLOGY SOC INC
PI COLUMBIA
PA 5565 STERRETT PLACE, STE 108, COLUMBIA, MD 21044 USA
SN 0025-3324
EI 1948-1209
J9 MAR TECHNOL SOC J
JI Mar. Technol. Soc. J.
PD SPR
PY 2006
VL 40
IS 1
BP 4
EP 14
DI 10.4031/002533206787353646
PG 11
WC Engineering, Ocean; Oceanography
SC Engineering; Oceanography
GA 048SQ
UT WOS:000237967200001
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wilson-Genderson, M
Heid, AR
Pruchno, R
AF Wilson-Genderson, Maureen
Heid, Allison R.
Pruchno, Rachel
TI Long-term effects of disaster on depressive symptoms: Type of exposure
matters
SO SOCIAL SCIENCE & MEDICINE
LA English
DT Article
DE Disaster; Depressive symptoms; Older people; Hurricane sandy; New Jersey
ID POSTTRAUMATIC-STRESS-DISORDER; HURRICANE-KATRINA; MENTAL-HEALTH;
OLDER-ADULTS; NATURAL DISASTER; LOW-INCOME; RISK-FACTORS; SANDY;
COMMUNITY; TRAUMA
AB Rationale: Natural disasters have the potential to change the lives of older
people, yet most studies rely on small convenience samples, few include assessments
of people prior to the disaster, and only a handful examine the effects of
different types of exposure.
Objective: Our analyses add new knowledge to the literature by examining the
ways in which four types of exposure (i.e., geographic, peri-traumatic stress,
personal and property loss, and post-storm hardship) affect depressive symptoms
experienced by older people over a five-year period.
Method: We analyzed four waves of data from the ORANJ BOWL panel using
multilevel mixed effects models.
Results: We found that although each type of exposure had an independent effect
on depressive symptoms, the effects of peri-traumatic stress were dominant.
Conclusions: As nearly 20% of people in the United States will experience a
natural disaster during the course of their lives, it is critical to understand how
disaster exposure can influence mental health because each type of exposure demands
a different response. Finding that an individual's emotional response during the
disaster plays an important role in the development of depressive symptoms suggests
that reduction of exposure to traumatic stress during a storm (i.e., evacuation
from a storm area) is important for older people. Likewise, immediate interventions
following a disaster that target people experiencing high levels of peri-traumatic
distress may be particularly effective and that failing to attend to these people
may miss a critical opportunity and result in years of suffering.
C1 [Wilson-Genderson, Maureen] Temple Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Philadelphia, PA 19122
USA.
[Heid, Allison R.; Pruchno, Rachel] Rowan Univ, Sch Osteopath Med, New Jersey
Inst Successful Aging, Stratford, NJ 08084 USA.
[Pruchno, Rachel] Rowan Univ SOM, New Jersey Inst Successful Aging, 42 E Laurel
Rd,Suite 2300, Stratford, NJ 08084 USA.
C3 Pennsylvania Commonwealth System of Higher Education (PCSHE); Temple
University; Rowan University; Rowan University School of Osteopathic
Medicine; Rowan University; Rowan University School of Osteopathic
Medicine
RP Pruchno, R (corresponding author), Rowan Univ, Sch Osteopath Med, New Jersey
Inst Successful Aging, Stratford, NJ 08084 USA.; Pruchno, R (corresponding author),
Rowan Univ SOM, New Jersey Inst Successful Aging, 42 E Laurel Rd,Suite 2300,
Stratford, NJ 08084 USA.
EM pruchnra@rowan.edu
FU UMDNJ-SOM; UMDNJ Foundation; Rockefeller Foundation [2012_RLC 304]; NIA
[R01 AG046463]; [1 HITEP130008-01-00]
FX Funding was provided by The UMDNJ-SOM, The UMDNJ Foundation, Assistant
Secretary for Preparedness and Response (1 HITEP130008-01-00), the
Rockefeller Foundation (2012_RLC 304; PI: George Bonanno), and the NIA
(R01 AG046463).
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NR 61
TC 25
Z9 25
U1 2
U2 11
PI OXFORD
SN 0277-9536
J9 SOC SCI MED
JI Soc. Sci. Med.
PD NOV
PY 2018
VL 217
BP 84
EP 91
DI 10.1016/j.socscimed.2018.09.062
PG 8
WC Public, Environmental & Occupational Health; Social Sciences, Biomedical
(SSCI)
SC Public, Environmental & Occupational Health; Biomedical Social Sciences
GA GZ5FR
UT WOS:000449445100011
PM 30296694
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Mani, SD
AF Mani, SD
TI Code gray: A resident's personal account from children's hospital of New
Orleans
SO PEDIATRICS
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane Katrina; Children's Hospital New Orleans; code gray; disaster;
evacuation
C1 Childrens Hosp New Orleans, Dept Internal Med Pediat, New Orleans, LA 70118 USA.
Louisiana State Univ, Hlth Sci Ctr, Dept Internal Med Pediat, New Orleans, LA
70112 USA.
C3 Children's Hospital of New Orleans; Louisiana State University System;
Louisiana State University Health Sciences Center New Orleans
RP Mani, SD (corresponding author), Childrens Hosp New Orleans, Dept Internal Med
Pediat, 200 Henry Clay Ave, New Orleans, LA 70118 USA.
EM smani@lsuhsc.edu
NR 0
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 0
U2 1
PU AMER ACAD PEDIATRICS
PI ELK GROVE VILLAGE
PA 141 NORTH-WEST POINT BLVD,, ELK GROVE VILLAGE, IL 60007-1098 USA
SN 0031-4005
J9 PEDIATRICS
JI Pediatrics
PD MAY
PY 2006
VL 117
IS 5
SU S
BP S386
EP S388
DI 10.1542/peds.2006-0099I
PG 3
WC Pediatrics
SC Pediatrics
GA 038GT
UT WOS:000237207800008
PM 16735270
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Bailie, J
Matthews, V
Bailie, R
Villeneuve, M
Longman, J
AF Bailie, Jodie
Matthews, Veronica
Bailie, Ross
Villeneuve, Michelle
Longman, Jo
TI Exposure to risk and experiences of river flooding for people with
disability and carers in rural Australia: a cross-sectional survey
SO BMJ OPEN
LA English
DT Article
DE public health; health policy; mental health
ID NATURAL DISASTERS; MENTAL-HEALTH; HURRICANE KATRINA; CLIMATE-CHANGE;
INDIVIDUALS; PTSD; DISPLACEMENT; VALIDATION
AB Objectives In this paper, we explore the exposure to risk and experiences of
people with disability and carers during a flooding event and the subsequent mental
health impacts. Design A cross-sectional survey between September and November
2017. Binary logistic regression models were used to investigate associations
between the mental health of people with disability and carers and their exposure
to the flood. Inductive content analysis was used to analyse qualitative data.
Setting Flood-affected communities in the rural area of Northern Rivers, New South
Wales, Australia, 6 months after river flooding in 2017. Participants People over
16 years and a resident in the Northern Rivers at the time of the flood were
invited to participate. Using a purposive, snowballing sampling technique
participants were drawn from a wide range of socioeconomic backgrounds and had
experienced different degrees of flood exposure. Results Of 2252 respondents, there
were 164 people with disability and 91 carers. Both groups had increased odds of
having their home flooded (people with a disability: OR 2.41 95% CI 1.71 to 3.39;
carers: OR 1.76 95% CI 1.10 to 2.84). On evacuation, respondents reported
inaccessible, conflicting and confusing information regarding flood warnings.
Essential services such as healthcare and social services were disrupted (people
with a disability: OR 3.98 95% CI 2.82 to 5.60; carers 2.17 95% CI 1.33 to 3.54)
and access to safe and mould free housing post flood event was limited. After
taking sociodemographic factors into account, respondents with a disability and
carers had greater odds of probable post-traumatic stress disorder compared with
other respondents (people with a disability: 3.32 95% CI 2.22 to 4.96; carers: 1.87
95% CI 1.10 to 3.19). Conclusion Our findings show the profound impact and systemic
neglect experienced by people with disability and carers during and after the 2017
flood event in the Northern Rivers. As people with disability will take longer to
recover, they will require longer-term tailored supports and purposeful inclusion
in flood preparedness and recovery efforts.
C1 [Bailie, Jodie; Matthews, Veronica; Longman, Jo] Univ Sydney, Univ Ctr Rural
Hlth, Lismore, NSW, Australia.
[Bailie, Jodie; Villeneuve, Michelle] Univ Sydney, Ctr Disabil Res & Policy,
Sydney, NSW, Australia.
[Bailie, Jodie] Univ Sydney, Sch Publ Hlth, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
[Bailie, Ross] Univ Sydney, Fac Med & Hlth, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
C3 University of Sydney; University of Sydney; University of Sydney;
University of Sydney
RP Bailie, J (corresponding author), Univ Sydney, Univ Ctr Rural Hlth, Lismore,
NSW, Australia.; Bailie, J (corresponding author), Univ Sydney, Ctr Disabil Res &
Policy, Sydney, NSW, Australia.; Bailie, J (corresponding author), Univ Sydney, Sch
Publ Hlth, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
RI Villeneuve, Michelle/D-5124-2015; Bailie, Ross S/K-8141-2013; Bailie,
Jodie/D-6626-2018
OI Villeneuve, Michelle/0000-0001-7468-3527; Bailie, Ross
S/0000-0001-5966-3368; Bailie, Jodie/0000-0003-4393-5773; Matthews,
Veronica/0000-0002-1319-257X
FU NSW Office of Environment and Heritage; University of Sydney; Western
Sydney University; University of Wollongong; Northern NSW Local Health
District
FX The study was funded by The University of Sydney, Western Sydney
University, University of Wollongong, Northern NSW Local Health District
and the NSW Office of Environment and Heritage.
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NR 76
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 4
U2 6
PI LONDON
SN 2044-6055
J9 BMJ OPEN
JI BMJ Open
PD AUG
PY 2022
VL 12
IS 8
AR e056210
DI 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-056210
PG 10
GA 3Y0AC
UT WOS:000843392200011
PM 35918120
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Yabe, T
Rao, PSC
Ukkusuri, SV
AF Yabe, Takahiro
Rao, P. Suresh C.
Ukkusuri, Satish V.
TI Modeling the Influence of Online Social Media Information on
Post-Disaster Mobility Decisions
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE disasters; social media; network analysis; human mobility
ID DISASTER MANAGEMENT; EVACUATION; TIME; UNDERSTAND; TWITTER; NETWORK
AB Disaster risk management, including response and recovery, are essential
elements of sustainable development. With the recent increase in natural hazards,
the importance of techniques to understand, model and predict the evacuation and
returning behavior of affected individuals is rising. Studies have found that
influence from real world social ties affects mobility decisions during disasters.
Despite the rapid spread of social media platforms, little has been quantitatively
understood about the influence of social ties on online social media on such
decisions. Information provided by who at what timing influences users' decision-
making process by how much during disasters? In this study, we answer these
research questions by proposing a data-driven framework that can predict post-
disaster mobility decisions and simultaneously unravel the influence of various
information on online social media. More specifically, our method quantifies the
influence of information provided by different types of social media accounts on
the peoples' decisions to return or stay displaced after evacuation. We tested our
approach using real world data collected from more than 13 million unique Twitter
users during Hurricane Sandy. Experiments verified that we can improve the
predictive accuracy of return and displacement behavior, and also quantify the
influence of online information. In contrast to popular beliefs, it was found that
information posted by the crowd influenced the decisions more than information
disseminated by official accounts. Improving our understanding of influence
dynamics on online social media could provide policy makers with insights on how to
disseminate information on social media more effectively for better disaster
response and recovery, which may contribute towards building sustainable urban
systems.
C1 [Yabe, Takahiro; Rao, P. Suresh C.; Ukkusuri, Satish V.] Purdue Univ, Lyles Sch
Civil Engn, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA.
[Rao, P. Suresh C.] Purdue Univ, Dept Agron, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA.
Lafayette Campus; Purdue University System; Purdue University; Purdue
University West Lafayette Campus
EM tyabe@purdue.edu; sureshrao@purdue.edu; sukkusur@purdue.edu
OI Yabe, Takahiro/0000-0001-8967-1967
FU Ford Motor Company through the Purdue-Ford Alliance Program; NSF CMMI
[1638311]; Directorate For Engineering; Div Of Civil, Mechanical, &
Manufact Inn [1638311] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
FX This work was funded by Ford Motor Company through the Purdue-Ford
Alliance Program. The work of T.Y. and S.V.U. is partly funded by NSF
CMMI Grant No. 1638311 CRISP Type 2/Collaborative Research: Critical
Transitions in the Resilience and Recovery of Interdependent Social and
Physical Networks.
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NR 52
TC 7
Z9 7
U1 3
U2 22
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
JI Sustainability
PD MAY
PY 2021
VL 13
IS 9
AR 5254
DI 10.3390/su13095254
PG 13
(SSCI)
GA SC8HL
UT WOS:000650904700001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Takagi, Y
Takahashi, S
Fukuo, Y
Arai, T
Tachikawa, H
AF Takagi, Yoshifumi
Takahashi, Sho
Fukuo, Yasuhisa
Arai, Tetsuaki
Tachikawa, Hirokazu
TI Acute-Stage Mental Health Symptoms by Natural Disaster Type:
Consultations of Disaster Psychiatric Assistance Teams (DPATs) in Japan
LA English
DT Article
DE disaster; volcanic eruption; landslide; flood; and earthquake; DMHISS;
disaster psychiatry; Japan; acute mental health symptoms; DPAT (Disaster
Psychiatric Assistance Team)
ID STRESS
AB This study analyzed the support activities that the Disaster Psychiatric
Assistance Team (DPAT) in Japan provided following four previous disasters (a
volcanic eruption, a mudslide, a flood, and an earthquake) to identify links
between the disaster type and the characteristics of acute stage mental disorders
observed. Using Disaster Mental Health Information Support System database records
of consultations with patients supported by the DPAT during the survey period from
2013 (when DPAT was launched) to 2016, we performed cross-tabulations and
investigated significant differences using chi-squared tests. For expected values
less than 5, Fisher's exact test was performed. Frequently occurring acute-stage
symptoms after a disaster include anxiety, sleep problems, mood and affect, and
physical symptoms. The affected population characteristics, victim attributes,
severity of damage sustained, and evacuation status were the chief factors that
influenced acute-stage mental health symptoms. The psychiatric symptoms detected in
our study together with the results of diagnoses are important for determining the
types of early interventions needed during the acute stage of a disaster. By
sharing baseline mental health information, together with disaster-related
characteristics highlighted in this study, mental health providers are better able
to predict future possible mental disorders and symptoms.
C1 [Takagi, Yoshifumi] Tokyo Kasei Univ, Fac Humanities, Tokyo 1738602, Japan.
[Takagi, Yoshifumi; Takahashi, Sho; Tachikawa, Hirokazu] Univ Tsukuba, Fac Med,
Dept Disaster & Community Psychiat, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058575, Japan.
[Takahashi, Sho; Tachikawa, Hirokazu] Ibaraki Prefectural Med Ctr Psychiat,
Kasama, Ibaraki 3091717, Japan.
[Fukuo, Yasuhisa] Commissioned Minist Hlth Lab & Welf, Disaster Psychiat
Assistance Teams DPATs Secreta, Tokyo 1088554, Japan.
[Fukuo, Yasuhisa] Shinkeikahamamatsu Hosp, Hamamatsu, Shizuoka 4328013, Japan.
[Arai, Tetsuaki] Univ Tsukuba, Fac Med, Div Clin Med, Dept Psychiat, Tsukuba,
Ibaraki 3058575, Japan.
C3 University of Tsukuba; University of Tsukuba
RP Takahashi, S (corresponding author), Univ Tsukuba, Fac Med, Dept Disaster &
Community Psychiat, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058575, Japan.; Takahashi, S (corresponding
author), Ibaraki Prefectural Med Ctr Psychiat, Kasama, Ibaraki 3091717, Japan.
EM ch61030@gmail.com; takahashi.sho.fn@u.tsukuba.ac.jp; josukef3@gmail.com;
4632tetsu@md.tsukuba.ac.jp; tachikawa@md.tsukuba.ac.jp
OI Takahashi, Sho/0000-0002-2970-6408; Tachikawa,
Hirokazu/0000-0001-8809-3472; Takagi, Yoshifumi/0000-0003-0976-6304
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Cabinet Office Collection of Documents on Disaster Response, KUM EARTHQ
Cabinet Office Working Group to Investigate Disaster Response Based on
Observation/Evaluation of Earthquakes along the Nankai Trough, 1 CAB OFF WORK GROUP
Cabinet Office Working Group to Investigate Large-Scale/Wide Area Evacuation in
Floods/Storm Surge Flooding, 3 CAB OFF WORK GROUP
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Fire and Disaster Management Agency, 40 FIR DIS MAN AG
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NR 35
TC 4
Z9 4
U1 3
U2 3
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 1660-4601
PD DEC
PY 2021
VL 18
IS 23
AR 12409
DI 10.3390/ijerph182312409
PG 16
(SSCI)
Health
GA YE5AO
UT WOS:000741138500001
PM 34886143
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Leon, J
Gubler, A
Ogueda, A
AF Leon, Jorge
Gubler, Alejandra
Ogueda, Alonso
TI Modelling geographical and built-environment attributes as predictors of
human vulnerability during tsunami evacuations: a multi-case-study and
paths to improvement
LA English
DT Article
ID FRAGILITY CURVES; CHILEAN TSUNAMI; RISK REDUCTION; RESILIENCE;
EARTHQUAKE; JAPAN; MITIGATION; DISASTERS; THAILAND; BEHAVIOR
AB Evacuation is the most important and effective method to save human lives during
a tsunami. In this respect, challenges exist in developing quantitative analyses of
the relationships between the evacuation potential and the built-environment and
geographical attributes of coastal locations. This paper proposes a computer-based
modelling approach (including inundation, evacuation, and built-environment
metrics), followed by multivariate regressive analysis, to estimate how those
attributes might influence the expected tsunami death ratios of seven Chilean
coastal cities. We obtained, for the examined variables, their average values to
different thresholds of the death ratio. Also, our statistical analysis allowed us
to compare the relative importance of each metric, showing that the maximum flood,
the straightness of the street network, the total route length, and the travel time
can have a significant impact on the expected death ratios. Moreover, we suggest
that these results could lead to spatial planning guidelines for developing new
urban areas into exposed territories (if this expansion cannot be restricted or
discouraged) or retrofitting existing ones, with the final aim of enhancing
evacuation and therefore increasing resilience.
C1 [Leon, Jorge] Univ Tecn Federico Santa Maria, Dept Arquitectura, Valparaiso,
Chile.
[Gubler, Alejandra] Res Ctr Integrated Disaster Risk Management CIGID, Santiago,
Chile.
[Ogueda, Alonso] George Mason Univ, Dept Math Sci, Fairfax, VA 22030 USA.
C3 Universidad Tecnica Federico Santa Maria; George Mason University
RP Leon, J (corresponding author), Univ Tecn Federico Santa Maria, Dept
Arquitectura, Valparaiso, Chile.
EM jorge.leon@usm.cl
RI Gubler, Alejandra/HPH-2067-2023
FU Agencia Nacional de Investigacion y Desarrollo (ANID); Fondo Nacional de
Desarrollo Cientifico y Tecnologico (FONDECYT) [11170024, 1210184];
Research Center for Integrated Disaster Risk Management (CIGIDEN)
[ANID/FONDAP/15110017]
FX This research was funded by the Agencia Nacional de Investigacion y
Desarrollo (ANID) and Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Cientifico y
Tecnologico (FONDECYT; grant nos. 11170024 and 1210184) and by the
Research Center for Integrated Disaster Risk Management (CIGIDEN; grant
no. ANID/FONDAP/15110017; Fondo de Financiamiento de Centros de
Investigacion en Areas Prioritarias).
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NR 107
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 2
U2 5
PI GOTTINGEN
SN 1561-8633
EI 1684-9981
PD AUG 31
PY 2022
VL 22
IS 9
BP 2857
EP 2878
DI 10.5194/nhess-22-2857-2022
PG 22
Water Resources
GA 4E3GG
UT WOS:000847716500001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zachry, BC
Booth, WJ
Rhome, JR
Sharon, TM
AF Zachry, Brian C.
Booth, William J.
Rhome, Jamie R.
Sharon, Tarah M.
TI A National View of Storm Surge Risk and Inundation
LA English
DT Article
AB The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), specifically the
National Weather Service's (NWS) National Hurricane Center (NHC), utilizes the
hydrodynamic Sea, Lake, and Overland Surges from Hurricanes (SLOSH) model to
simulate storm surge in 27 basins along the U.S East and Gulf Coasts. This
information is provided to federal, state, and local partners to assist in a range
of planning processes, risk assessment studies, and decision making. Based on
climatology, tens of thousands of hypothetical hurricanes are simulated in each
basin, and the potential storm surges are calculated. Storm surge composites-
maximum envelopes of water (MEOWs) and maximum of maximums (MOMs)-are created to
assess and visualize storm surge risk under varying conditions.
While MEOWs and MOMs provide a local assessment of storm surge risk, they do not
provide a national perspective owing to the 27 discrete grids. National assessments
must therefore merge the grids together, which is a laborious task requiring
considerable SLOSH and hydrodynamic modeling expertise. This paper describes the
technique used to create national inundation maps for category 1-5 hurricanes using
the SLOSH MOM product, and it provides a simple quantitative assessment of the
potential societal impacts. Approximately 22 million people along the U.S East and
Gulf Coasts are vulnerable to storm surge. For all hurricane categories, a
substantial portion of the coastal population and housing units are at risk, and
many evacuation routes become inundated. Florida is the most vulnerable state with
40% of its population at risk. These maps and analyses provide a new way to view,
analyze, and communicate national storm surge risk and inundation.
C1 [Zachry, Brian C.] Syst Res Grp Inc, Miami, FL USA.
[Zachry, Brian C.; Booth, William J.; Rhome, Jamie R.; Sharon, Tarah M.] NOAA,
Storm Surge Unit, NWS, NCEP,NHC, Miami, FL USA.
[Booth, William J.] NOAA, INNOVIM, NWS, NCEP,NHC, Miami, FL USA.
[Sharon, Tarah M.] NOAA, CyberData Technol, NWS, NCEP,NHC, Miami, FL USA.
C3 National Oceanic Atmospheric Admin (NOAA) - USA; National Oceanic
Atmospheric Admin (NOAA) - USA; National Oceanic Atmospheric Admin
(NOAA) - USA
RP Zachry, BC (corresponding author), Natl Hurricane Ctr, Storm Surge Unit, 11691
SW 17th St, Miami, FL 33165 USA.
EM brian.zachry@noaa.gov
CR [Anonymous], 2007, AM SOC PHOTOGRAMMETR
Dean R.G., 2009, HDB COASTAL OCEAN EN, P1
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ESRI, ARCGIS RES FOC STAT
FEMA, FEMA GIS DAT FEEDS
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Jelesnianski C.P., 1992, SLOSH SEA LAKE OVERL
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Morey SL, 2006, GEOPHYS RES LETT, V33, DOI 10.1029/2006GL027021
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NHC, STORM SURG MAX MAX M
NHC, STORM SURG MAX ENV W
NHC, STORM SURG OV
NWS, GRIB2 ENC DET NAT WE
OCM, FREQ QUEST DIG COAST
OCM, 2014, SEA LEV RIS VIEW
USCB, TIGER LIN SEL DEM EC
NR 20
TC 63
Z9 63
U1 0
U2 20
PI BOSTON
SN 1948-8327
EI 1948-8335
J9 WEATHER CLIM SOC
PD APR
PY 2015
VL 7
IS 2
BP 109
EP 117
DI 10.1175/WCAS-D-14-00049.1
PG 9
(SSCI)
GA CI0RI
UT WOS:000354445100003
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zhu, Y
Ozbay, K
Xie, K
Yang, H
AF Zhu, Yuan
Ozbay, Kaan
Xie, Kun
Yang, Hong
TI Using Big Data to Study Resilience of Taxi and Subway Trips for
Hurricanes Sandy and Irene
LA English
DT Article
ID EVACUATIONS
AB Hurricanes Irene and Sandy had a significant impact on New York City; the result
was devastating damage to the New York City transportation systems, which took
days, even months to recover. This study explored posthurricane recovery patterns
of the roadway and subway systems of New York City on the basis of data for taxi
trips and for subway turnstile ridership. Both data sets were examples of big data
with millions of individual ridership records per month. The spatiotemporal
variations of transportation system recovery behavior were investigated by using
neighborhood tabulation areas as units of analysis. Recovery curves were estimated
for each evacuation zone category to model time dependent recovery patterns of the
roadway and subway systems. The recovery rate for Hurricane Sandy was found to be
lower than that for Hurricane Irene. In addition, the results indicate a higher
resilience of the road network compared with the subway network. The methodology
proposed in this study can be used to evaluate the resilience of transportation
systems with respect to natural disasters and the findings can provide government
agencies with useful insights into emergency management.
C1 [Zhu, Yuan] NYU, MetroTech Ctr 6, 19th Floor, Brooklyn, NY 11201 USA.
[Ozbay, Kaan; Xie, Kun] NYU, Dept Civil & Urban Engn, Ctr Urban Sci & Progress,
Tandon Sch Engn,MetroTech Ctr 1, 19th Floor, Brooklyn, NY 11201 USA.
[Yang, Hong] Old Dominion Univ, Dept Modeling Simulat & Visualizat Engn, Frank
Batten Coll Engn & Technol, 4700 Elkhorn Ave, Norfolk, VA 23529 USA.
C3 New York University; New York University; New York University Tandon
School of Engineering; Old Dominion University
RP Zhu, Y (corresponding author), NYU, MetroTech Ctr 6, 19th Floor, Brooklyn, NY
11201 USA.
EM yuan.zhu@nyu.edu
RI Xie, Kun/HPI-2333-2023; Zhu, Yuan/AAT-8119-2021
OI Xie, Kun/0000-0002-8191-2786; Zhu, Yuan/0000-0002-8133-2941; Yang,
Hong/0000-0003-2808-8852
FU New York State Resiliency Institute for Storms and Emergencies; Urban
Mobility and Intelligent Transportation Systems Laboratory of New York
University; Direct For Social, Behav & Economic Scie; Divn Of Social and
Economic Sciences [1541164] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
FX This work is partially funded by the New York State Resiliency Institute
for Storms and Emergencies and the Urban Mobility and Intelligent
Transportation Systems Laboratory of New York University.
CR [Anonymous], 88 ANN M TRANSP RES
[Anonymous], 2012, BLOOMB HOV RESTR LIF
[Anonymous], TIM STORM REST SERV
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[Anonymous], 2013, STRONG MOR RES NEW Y
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[Anonymous], MTA TURNST DAT
[Anonymous], 89 ANN M TRANSP RES
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Boyle L., 2012, DAILY MAIL ONLINE
Bruneau M, 2003, EARTHQ SPECTRA, V19, P733, DOI 10.1193/1.1623497
D'Lima M, 2015, TRANSPORT RES A-POL, V81, P35, DOI 10.1016/j.tra.2015.05.017
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HOBEIKA AG, 2002, APPL ADV TECHNOLOGIE, P688
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NR 29
TC 38
Z9 39
U1 7
U2 83
PU NATL ACAD SCIENCES
PI WASHINGTON
PA 2101 CONSTITUTION AVE NW, WASHINGTON, DC 20418 USA
SN 0361-1981
EI 2169-4052
PY 2016
IS 2599
BP 70
EP 80
DI 10.3141/2599-09
PG 11
GA DR3IN
UT WOS:000379797000010
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Moya, L
Mas, E
Koshimura, S
AF Moya, Luis
Mas, Erick
Koshimura, Shunichi
TI Sparse Representation-Based Inundation Depth Estimation Using SAR Data
and Digital Elevation Model
SO IEEE JOURNAL OF SELECTED TOPICS IN APPLIED EARTH OBSERVATIONS AND REMOTE
SENSING
LA English
DT Article
DE Floods; Remote sensing; Radar polarimetry; Water pollution; Synthetic
aperture radar; Support vector machines; Estimation; Disaster
resilience; floods; inundation depth; sparse representation; synthetic
aperture radar (SAR)
ID WATER-LEVEL; FLOOD; IMAGES; RIVER; RAIN
AB Floods increase every year worldwide, and prompt information about the affected
areas is essential for early disaster response. There has been extensive
development in applying remote sensing data to identify floods. In fact, remote
sensing data are the only tool to identify the extent of large-scale floods within
hours after their occurrence. However, few studies have addressed methods to
estimate inundation depth. Inundation depth can be advantageous for identifying
areas where people may need assistance during evacuation and estimating damage
loss. We present a practical application of sparse representation that integrates a
synthetic aperture radar-based flood binary map with a digital elevation model to
estimate inundation depths. We assume that the floodwaters can be modeled as a
combination of water bodies at a state of rest. A dictionary of water bodies
computed under potential inundation levels is constructed from the digital
elevation model. Then, the actual flood extent is represented as a sparse linear
combination of the water body dictionary. The inundation depth can be estimated
because each water body from the linear combination is associated with an
inundation level. To assess our proposed procedure, we computed the inundation
depth of the flood in the town of Mabi, Okayama Prefecture, produced during the
2018 heavy rainfall. An average absolute value difference of about 60 cm between
our results and a field survey performed by a third party was observed. Two other
floods produced by the 2019 Hagibis typhoon were analyzed to illustrate the
relevant information that can provide inundation depths.
C1 [Moya, Luis] Pontificia Univ Catolica Peru, Dept Engn, GERDIS Res Grp, Lima
15088, Peru.
[Moya, Luis; Mas, Erick; Koshimura, Shunichi] Tohoku Univ, Int Res Inst Disaster
Sci, Sendai, Miyagi 9808579, Japan.
C3 Pontificia Universidad Catolica del Peru; Tohoku University
RP Moya, L (corresponding author), Pontificia Univ Catolica Peru, Dept Engn, GERDIS
Res Grp, Lima 15088, Peru.
EM lmoya@pucp.edu.pe; mas@irides.tohoku.ac.jp;
koshimura@irides.tohoku.ac.jp
RI Koshimura, Shunichi/H-1136-2012
OI Koshimura, Shunichi/0000-0002-8352-0639; Moya, Luis/0000-0003-1764-3160
FU Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) Kakenhi [21H05001];
Japan Science and Technology Agency (JST) Japan-US Collaborative
Research Program [JPMJSC2119]; Core Research Cluster of Disaster Science
at Tohoku University; Co-creation Center for Disaster Resilience at
Tohoku University; Tough Cyberphysical AI Research Center at Tohoku
University
FX This work was supported in part by the Japan Society for the Promotion
of Science (JSPS) Kakenhi under Grant 21H05001, the Japan Science and
Technology Agency (JST) Japan-US Collaborative Research Program under
Grant JPMJSC2119, the Core Research Cluster of Disaster Science, the
Co-creation Center for Disaster Resilience, and the Tough Cyberphysical
AI Research Center at Tohoku University. (Corresponding author: Luis
Moya.)
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NR 49
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 3
U2 7
PI PISCATAWAY
SN 1939-1404
EI 2151-1535
J9 IEEE J-STARS
JI IEEE J. Sel. Top. Appl. Earth Observ. Remote Sens.
PY 2022
VL 15
BP 9062
EP 9072
DI 10.1109/JSTARS.2022.3215719
PG 11
WC Engineering, Electrical & Electronic; Geography, Physical; Remote
Sensing; Imaging Science & Photographic Technology
SC Engineering; Physical Geography; Remote Sensing; Imaging Science &
Photographic Technology
GA 5T5DL
UT WOS:000875886900004
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Peng, M
Zhang, LM
AF Peng, M.
Zhang, L. M.
TI Dynamic decision making for dam-break emergency management - Part 1:
Theoretical framework
LA English
DT Article
ID HUMAN RISKS
AB An evacuation decision for dam breaks is a very serious issue. A late decision
may lead to loss of lives and properties, but a very early evacuation will incur
unnecessary expenses. This paper presents a risk-based framework of dynamic
decision making for dam-break emergency management (DYDEM). The dam-break emergency
management in both time scale and space scale is introduced first to define the
dynamic decision problem. The probability of dam failure is taken as a stochastic
process and estimated using a time-series analysis method. The flood consequences
are taken as functions of warning time and evaluated with a human risk analysis
model (HURAM) based on Bayesian networks. A decision criterion is suggested to
decide whether to evacuate the population at risk (PAR) or to delay the decision.
The optimum time for evacuating the PAR is obtained by minimizing the expected
total loss, which integrates the time-related probabilities and flood consequences.
When a delayed decision is chosen, the decision making can be updated with
available new information. A specific dam-break case study is presented in a
companion paper to illustrate the application of this framework to complex dam-
breaching problems.
C1 [Peng, M.; Zhang, L. M.] Hong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Civil & Environm
Engn, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China.
[Peng, M.] Tongji Univ, Dept Geotech Engn, Minist Educ, Key Lab Geotech &
Underground Engn, Shanghai 200092, Peoples R China.
C3 Hong Kong University of Science & Technology; Tongji University
RP Zhang, LM (corresponding author), Hong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Civil &
Environm Engn, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China.
EM cezhangl@ust.hk
OI Zhang, Li-Min/0000-0001-7208-5515; Peng, Ming/0000-0001-9134-4391
FU Natural Science Foundation of China [51129902]; National Basic Research
Program (973 Program) [2011CB013506]
FX The research reported in this paper was substantially supported by the
Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 51129902) and the National
Basic Research Program (973 Program) (No. 2011CB013506).
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Water Resources
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DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Reinhardt, GY
AF Reinhardt, Gina Yannitell
TI Imagining worse than reality: comparing beliefs and intentions between
disaster evacuees and survey respondents
SO JOURNAL OF RISK RESEARCH
LA English
DT Article
DE low-probability high-consequence events; disaster; survey experiment;
risk perception; risk amplification
ID HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUEES; SOCIAL AMPLIFICATION; NATURAL DISASTER; RISK
PERCEPTION; MEDIA COVERAGE; GRAVITY MODEL; POPULATION; EVACUATION;
ATTENUATION; ELICITATION
AB We often credit disasters, and their coverage in the media, with changes in the
public perception of risk associated with low-probability, high-consequence events
(LPHCs). With a change in perceptions, we also expect changes in beliefs,
preferences, and behaviors. Do beliefs and behaviors change in different ways for
people who live through these LPHC critical events, as opposed to people who
observe them? This study compares hypothetical hurricanes with actual hurricane
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induce stronger reactions than those experienced in the natural world, as Hurricane
Katrina bystanders imagine themselves incurring much higher damages, and being much
less likely to return to live in their hurricane-damaged homes, than actual
Hurricane Katrina evacuees. Ultimately, respondents considering a hypothetical low-
probability, high-consequence event exhibit exaggerated beliefs and opposite
decisions of those who actually lived through one of these events. Results
underline the importance of examining the differences between public perceptions
and experiential reality.
C1 [Reinhardt, Gina Yannitell] Texas A&M Univ, Bush Sch Govt & Publ Serv, College
Stn, TX 77843 USA.
C3 Texas A&M University System; Texas A&M University College Station; Bush
School of Government & Public Service
RP Reinhardt, GY (corresponding author), Texas A&M Univ, Bush Sch Govt & Publ Serv,
EM gyannirein@tamu.edu
OI Reinhardt, Gina/0000-0002-2120-5529
FU National Science Foundation [0554875]; Direct For Social, Behav &
FX This work was supported by the National Science Foundation under Grant
#0554875.
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NR 88
TC 10
Z9 10
U1 1
U2 12
PI ABINGDON
SN 1366-9877
EI 1466-4461
J9 J RISK RES
JI J. Risk Res.
PY 2017
VL 20
IS 2
BP 169
EP 194
DI 10.1080/13669877.2015.1017827
PG 26
WC Social Sciences, Interdisciplinary
SC Social Sciences - Other Topics
GA EI9UD
UT WOS:000392853800001
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Endo, Y
Yasue, T
AF Endo, Yohei
Yasue, Takaharu
TI Safety Evaluation of a RC Structure with Multiple Openings under High
Water Depth Inundations
LA English
DT Article
DE hydrostatic pressure; hydrodynamic pressure; inundation; RC structure;
hydrostatic loading test; numerical analysis
ID FLOOD IMPACT; BUILDINGS; BEHAVIOR; MODEL; VULNERABILITY; PRESSURE;
DAMAGE; RISK
AB Experimental and numerical studies were conducted to examine the resistance of a
newly developed residential building to inundations. Natural disasters including
inundations have occurred frequently in recent decades. Once inundations submerge
urban areas, water may remain there for days. This can cause substantial economic
and social costs. Flood hazards have been widely discussed and investigated.
However, sufficient research contributions have not been made on the behaviour of
individual buildings under inundations. The objective of the research was to
develop a prototype residential building in which residents can stay during
inundations without the need of evacuation. A 3-m water depth was the target for
safety evaluation in this research. This paper dealt with three tasks. First,
three-point bending tests were performed on window components. Second, a
hydrostatic pressure test was carried out on a full-scale reinforced concrete (RC)
specimen. Third, taking advantage of the preceding two tasks, numerical simulations
were performed to examine the behaviour of the prototype building under hydrostatic
and hydrodynamic pressures. The experiments and numerical analyses showed that the
prototype building had sufficient resistance and waterproofness against the
inundations of a 3-m water depth. This research contributed to the improvements of
the safety of RC structures against inundations and flood-risk reduction in urban
areas.
C1 [Endo, Yohei] Shinshu Univ, Dept Architecture, 4-17-1 Wakasato, Nagano 3808553,
Japan.
[Yasue, Takaharu] Mitsuya G Home, 2-11-6 Inada, Nagano 3810042, Japan.
C3 Shinshu University
RP Endo, Y (corresponding author), Shinshu Univ, Dept Architecture, 4-17-1
Wakasato, Nagano 3808553, Japan.
EM endii@shinshu-u.ac.jp; mitsuya@g-home.co.jp
OI Endo, Yohei/0000-0001-5422-8631
FU Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Tokyo) [18KK0124];
Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research [18KK0124] Funding Source: KAKEN
FX Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Tokyo), grant number:
18KK0124.
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NR 70
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 0
U2 4
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2076-3417
J9 APPL SCI-BASEL
JI Appl. Sci.-Basel
PD MAY
PY 2021
VL 11
IS 9
AR 4297
DI 10.3390/app11094297
PG 14
GA SB4GX
UT WOS:000649956000001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Munro, A
Kovats, RS
Rubin, GJ
Waite, TD
Bone, A
Armstrong, B
AF Munro, Alice
Kovats, R. Sari
Rubin, G. James
Waite, Thomas David
Bone, Angie
Armstrong, Ben
CA English Natl Study Flooding & Hlth
TI Effect of evacuation and displacement on the association between
flooding and mental health outcomes: a cross-sectional analysis of UK
survey data
SO LANCET PLANETARY HEALTH
LA English
DT Article
AB Background Extensive flooding occurred during the winter of 2013-14 in England.
Previous studies have shown that flooding affects mental health. Using data from
the 2013-14 Public Health England National Study of Flooding and Health, we
compared the prevalence of symptoms of depression, anxiety, and post-traumatic
stress disorder between participants displaced by flooding and those flooded, but
not displaced, 1 year after flooding.
Methods In this multivariable ordinal regression analysis, we collected data
from a cross-sectional survey collected 1 year after the flooding event from flood-
affected postcodes in five counties in England. The analysis was restricted to
individuals whose homes were flooded (n=622) to analyse displacement due to
flooding. The primary outcome measures were depression (measured by the PHQ-2
depression scale) and anxiety (measured by the two-item Generalised Anxiety
Disorder [GAD]-2 anxiety scale), and post-traumatic stress disorder (measured by
the Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder Checklist [PCL]-6 scale). We adjusted analyses
for recorded potential confounders. We also analysed duration of displacement and
amount of warning received.
Findings People who were displaced from their homes were significantly more
likely to have higher scores on each scale; odds ratio (OR) for depression 1.95
(95% CI 1.30-2.93), for anxiety 1.66 (1.12-2.46), and for post-traumatic stress
disorder 1.70 (1.17-2.48) than people who were not displaced. The increased risk of
depression was significant even after adjustment for severity of flooding. Scores
for depression and post-traumatic stress disorder were higher in people who were
displaced and reported receiving no warning than those who had received a warning
more than 12 h in advance of flooding (p=0.04 for depression, p=0.01 for post-
traumatic stress disorder), although the difference in anxiety scores was not
significant.
Interpretation Displacement after flooding was associated with higher reported
symptoms of depression, anxiety, and post-traumatic stress disorder 1 year after
flooding. The amount of warning received showed evidence of being protective
against symptoms of the three mental illnesses studied, and the severity of
flooding might be the reason for some, but not all, of the differences between the
groups. Copyright (C) The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.
C1 [Munro, Alice; Kovats, R. Sari; Armstrong, Ben] London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, NIHR,
Hlth Protect Res Unit Environm Change & Hlth, London WC1H 9SH, England.
[Rubin, G. James] Kings Coll London, Dept Psychol Med, London, England.
[Rubin, G. James] Kings Coll London, NIHR, Hlth Protect Res Unit Emergency
Preparedness, London, England.
[Waite, Thomas David] Publ Hlth England, Field Epidemiol Training Programme,
Bristol, Avon, England.
[Armstrong, Ben] Publ Hlth England, Ctr Radiat Chem & Environm Hazards, Chilton,
England.
C3 University of London; King's College London; London School of Hygiene &
Tropical Medicine; University of London; King's College London;
University of London; King's College London; Public Health England;
Public Health England
RP Munro, A; Armstrong, B (corresponding author), London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, NIHR,
Hlth Protect Res Unit Environm Change & Hlth, London WC1H 9SH, England.
EM ben.armstrong@lshtm.ac.uk
RI Leonardi, Giovanni S/E-5700-2015
OI armstrong, benedict/0000-0003-4407-0409; Oliver,
Isabel/0000-0002-6106-1734; Leonardi, Giovanni S./0000-0001-7477-1762;
Kovats, Sari/0000-0002-4823-8099; Beck, Charles
Richard/0000-0002-0967-5333; Munro, Alice/0000-0002-8802-7472
FU National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit
(NIHR HPRU) in Emergency Preparedness and Response at King's College
London; Public Health England (PHE); NIHR Health Protection Research
Unit in Environmental Change and Health at the London School of Hygiene
and Tropical Medicine, London, UK; King's College London NIHR Health
Protection Research Unit in Emergency Preparedness and Response, London,
UK; NERC [NE/K006835/1] Funding Source: UKRI
FX The research was funded by the National Institute for Health Research
Health Protection Research Unit (NIHR HPRU) in Emergency Preparedness
and Response at King's College London in partnership with Public Health
England (PHE). RSK and BA's time was funded by the NIHR Health
Protection Research Unit in Environmental Change and Health at the
London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK. GJR's time
was funded by King's College London NIHR Health Protection Research Unit
in Emergency Preparedness and Response, London, UK. We thank respondents
to the English National Study for Flooding and Health for providing data
analysed used in our study and members of the English National Study for
Flooding and Health for supporting this study and providing advice. The
views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of
the National Health Service, the NIHR, the Department of Health or PHE.
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NR 31
TC 66
Z9 68
U1 0
U2 4
PU ELSEVIER SCI LTD
PI OXFORD
EI 2542-5196
J9 LANCET PLANET HEALTH
JI Lancet Planet. Health
PD JUL
PY 2017
VL 1
IS 4
BP E134
EP E141
DI 10.1016/S2542-5196(17)30047-5
PG 8
(SSCI)
Health
GA VJ0OA
UT WOS:000525849200007
PM 28944321
OA Green Accepted, Green Published, gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Lindenschmidt, KE
Li, ZQ
AF Lindenschmidt, Karl-Erich
Li, Zhaoqin
TI Radar Scatter Decomposition to Differentiate between Running Ice
Accumulations and Intact Ice Covers along Rivers
SO REMOTE SENSING
LA English
DT Article
DE Athabasca River; decomposition; Fort McMurray; ice run; MODIS;
RADARSAT-2
ID JAM RELEASE WAVES; FIELD-MEASUREMENTS; ATHABASCA RIVER; MODEL; RUNS
AB For ice-jam flood forecasting it is important to differentiate between intact
ice covers and ice runs. Ice runs consist of long accumulations of rubble ice that
stem from broken up ice covers or ice-jams that have released. A water wave
generally travels ahead of the ice run at a faster celerity, arriving at the
potentially high flood-risk area much sooner than the ice accumulation. Hence, a
rapid detection of the ice run is necessary to lengthen response times for flood
mitigation. Intact ice covers are stationary and hence are not an immediate threat
to a downstream flood situation, allowing more time for flood preparedness.
However, once ice accumulations are moving and potentially pose imminent impacts to
flooding, flood response may have to switch from a mitigation to an evacuation mode
of the flood management plan. Ice runs are generally observed, often by chance,
through ground observations or airborne surveys. In this technical note, we
introduce a novel method of differentiating ice runs from intact ice covers using
imagery acquired from space-borne radar backscatter signals. The signals are
decomposed into different scatter componentssurface scattering, volume scattering
and double-bouncethe ratios of one to another allow differentiation between intact
and running ice. The method is demonstrated for the breakup season of spring 2018
along the Athabasca River, when an ice run shoved into an intact ice cover which
led to some flooding in Fort McMurray, Alberta, Canada.
C1 [Lindenschmidt, Karl-Erich; Li, Zhaoqin] Univ Saskatchewan, Global Inst Water
Secur, 11 Innovat Blvd, Saskatoon, SK S7N 3H5, Canada.
C3 University of Saskatchewan; Global Institute for Water Security
RP Lindenschmidt, KE (corresponding author), Univ Saskatchewan, Global Inst Water
Secur, 11 Innovat Blvd, Saskatoon, SK S7N 3H5, Canada.
EM karl-erich.lindenschmidt@usask.ca; zhaoqinli@gmail.com
RI Lindenschmidt, Karl-Erich/AFM-9194-2022
OI Lindenschmidt, Karl-Erich/0000-0001-6348-2295; Li,
Zhaoqin/0000-0002-1020-8425
FU Canadian Space Agency; University of Saskatchewan's Global Water Futures
research program
FX This activity was undertaken with financial support of the Canadian
Space Agency. Additional funding was provided through the University of
Saskatchewan's Global Water Futures research program.
CR Alberta Environment and Parks, 2018, 5 RIV FOR CTR ALB EN
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NR 25
TC 9
Z9 10
U1 0
U2 6
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
SN 2072-4292
JI Remote Sens.
PD FEB 1
PY 2019
VL 11
IS 3
AR 307
DI 10.3390/rs11030307
PG 14
GA HN1JX
UT WOS:000459944400095
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Raker, EJ
Arcaya, MC
Lowe, SR
Zacher, M
Rhodes, J
Waters, MC
AF Raker, Ethan J.
Arcaya, Mariana C.
Lowe, Sarah R.
Zacher, Meghan
Rhodes, Jean
Waters, Mary C.
TI Mitigating Health Disparities After Natural Disasters: Lessons From The
RISK Project
SO HEALTH AFFAIRS
LA English
DT Article
ID LOW-INCOME MOTHERS; POSTTRAUMATIC-STRESS; PSYCHOLOGICAL DISTRESS;
HURRICANE KATRINA; SOCIAL SUPPORT; MENTAL-HEALTH; FEMALE SURVIVORS;
IMPACT; TRAJECTORIES; AFTERMATH
AB Climate change exacerbates the severity of natural disasters, which
disproportionately affect vulnerable populations. Mitigating disasters' health
consequences is critical to promoting health equity, but few studies have isolated
the short- and long-term effects of disasters on vulnerable groups. We filled this
gap by conducting a fifteen-year (2003-2018) prospective study of low-income,
predominantly Black parents who experienced Hurricane Katrina: the Resilience in
Survivors of Katrina (RISK) Project. Here we describe this project and synthesize
lessons from work that has resulted from it. Our findings can guide policy makers,
service providers, and health officials in disaster planning and response. We
synthesize them into an organizational schema of five priorities: Primary efforts
should be aimed at preventing exposure to trauma through investments in climate
resilience and by eliminating impediments to evacuation, health care policies
should promote uninterrupted and expanded access to care, social services should
integrate and strive to reduce the administrative burden on survivors, programs
should aid survivors in forging or strengthening connections to their communities,
and policy makers should fund targeted long-term services for highly affected
survivors.
C1 [Raker, Ethan J.] Harvard Univ, Dept Sociol, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA.
[Arcaya, Mariana C.] MIT, Urban Planning, 77 Massachusetts Ave, Cambridge, MA
02139 USA.
[Lowe, Sarah R.] Yale Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Social & Behav Sci, New Haven, CT USA.
[Zacher, Meghan] Brown Univ, Populat Studies & Training Ctr, Providence, RI
02912 USA.
[Rhodes, Jean] Univ Massachusetts, Psychol, Boston, MA 02125 USA.
[Waters, Mary C.] Harvard Univ, Arts & Sci, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA.
[Waters, Mary C.] Harvard Univ, Sociol, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA.
C3 Harvard University; Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT); Yale
University; Brown University; University of Massachusetts System;
University of Massachusetts Boston; Harvard University; Harvard
University
RP Raker, EJ (corresponding author), Harvard Univ, Dept Sociol, Cambridge, MA 02138
USA.
EM eraker@g.harvard.edu
FU Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human
Development [P01HD082032, R01HD057599, R01HD046162]; National Science
Foundation [BCS-0555240]; John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation
[04-80775-000-HCD]; Robert Wood Johnson Foundation [23029]; Princeton
Center for Economic Policy Studies; Harvard Center for Population and
Development Studies; Malcolm H. Wiener PhD Scholarship at the Harvard
Kennedy School; Brown Population Studies and Training Center
[P2CHD041020]
FX Support for the RISK Project comes from the Eunice Kennedy Shriver
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (Grant Nos.
P01HD082032, R01HD057599, and R01HD046162); National Science Foundation
(Grant No. BCS-0555240); John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation
(Grant No. 04-80775-000-HCD); Robert Wood Johnson Foundation (Grant No.
23029); Princeton Center for Economic Policy Studies; and Harvard Center
for Population and Development Studies. Ethan Raker appreciates
receiving support from a Malcolm H. Wiener PhD Scholarship at the
Harvard Kennedy School. Meghan Zacher acknowledges receiving support
from the Brown Population Studies and Training Center (Grant No.
P2CHD041020). The authors thank Tyler Woods, Justin Preston, and Cyanea
Y. S. Poon for their research assistance. The opinions expressed in this
article are the authors' own and do not reflect the view of the funding
bodies.
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[Anonymous], 2013, COMING HOME NEW ORLE
[Anonymous], 2006, DU BOIS REV
[Anonymous], 2012, MANAGING RISKS EXTRE
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NR 48
TC 14
Z9 14
U1 3
U2 15
PU PROJECT HOPE
PI BETHESDA
PA 7500 OLD GEORGETOWN RD, STE 600, BETHESDA, MD 20814-6133 USA
SN 0278-2715
J9 HEALTH AFFAIR
JI Health Aff.
PD DEC
PY 2020
VL 39
IS 12
BP 2128
EP 2135
DI 10.1377/hlthaff.2020.01161
PG 8
WC Health Care Sciences & Services; Health Policy & Services
(SSCI)
SC Health Care Sciences & Services
GA PC0MT
UT WOS:000596704700012
PM 33284697
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Donovan, B
Work, DB
AF Donovan, Brian
Work, Daniel B.
TI Empirically quantifying city-scale transportation system resilience to
extreme events
LA English
DT Article
DE GPS; Taxi data; Urban resilience; Transportation data analytics
ID ANALYSIS FRAMEWORKS; RECENT DEFINITIONS; VULNERABILITY; MANAGEMENT; RISK
AB This article proposes a method to quantitatively measure the resilience of
transportation systems using GPS data from probe vehicles such as taxis. The
granularity of the GPS data necessary for the method is relatively coarse; it only
requires coordinates for the beginning and end of trips, the metered distance, and
the total travel time. The method works by computing the historical distribution of
pace (normalized travel times) between various regions of a city and measuring the
pace deviations during an unusual event. Periods of time containing extreme
deviations are identified as events. The method is applied to a dataset of nearly
700 million taxi trips in New York City, which is used to analyze the city
transportation infrastructure resilience to Hurricane Sandy. The analysis indicates
that Hurricane Sandy impacted traffic conditions for more than five days, and
caused a peak delay of two minutes per mile. Practically, it identifies that the
evacuation announcements coincided with only minor disruptions, but significant
delays were encountered during the post-disaster response period. Since the
implementation of this method is very efficient, it could potentially be used as an
online monitoring tool, representing a first step toward quantifying city scale
resilience with coarse GPS data. (C) 2017 Published by Elsevier Ltd.
C1 [Donovan, Brian; Work, Daniel B.] Univ Illinois, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
Urbana, IL 61801 USA.
[Work, Daniel B.] Univ Illinois, Coordinated Sci Lab, Urbana, IL 61801 USA.
C3 University of Illinois System; University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign;
University of Illinois System; University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
RP Work, DB (corresponding author), Univ Illinois, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
Urbana, IL 61801 USA.; Work, DB (corresponding author), Univ Illinois, Coordinated
Sci Lab, Urbana, IL 61801 USA.
EM dbwork@illinois.edu
OI Work, Daniel/0000-0003-0565-2158
FU National Science Foundation [CNS-1308842]
FX This work was supported by the National Science Foundation under Grant
No. CNS-1308842.
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NR 41
TC 76
Z9 77
U1 17
U2 106
PI OXFORD
SN 0968-090X
PD JUN
PY 2017
VL 79
BP 333
EP 346
DI 10.1016/j.trc.2017.03.002
PG 14
(SSCI)
SC Transportation
GA EU9UH
UT WOS:000401384700020
OA Bronze, Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Li, ZL
Huang, X
Ye, XY
Jiang, YQ
Martin, YG
Ning, H
Hodgson, ME
Li, XM
AF Li, Zhenlong
Huang, Xiao
Ye, Xinyue
Jiang, Yuqin
Martin, Yago
Ning, Huan
Hodgson, Michael E.
Li, Xiaoming
TI Measuring global multi-scale place connectivity using geotagged social
media data
LA English
DT Article
ID EVACUATION; MOBILITY; NETWORK; WORLD; RELATEDNESS; PATTERNS; TWITTER
AB Shaped by human movement, place connectivity is quantified by the strength of
spatial interactions among locations. For decades, spatial scientists have
researched place connectivity, applications, and metrics. The growing popularity of
social media provides a new data stream where spatial social interaction measures
are largely devoid of privacy issues, easily assessable, and harmonized. In this
study, we introduced a global multi-scale place connectivity index (PCI) based on
spatial interactions among places revealed by geotagged tweets as a spatiotemporal-
continuous and easy-to-implement measurement. The multi-scale PCI, demonstrated at
the US county level, exhibits a strong positive association with SafeGraph
population movement records (10% penetration in the US population) and Facebook's
social connectedness index (SCI), a popular connectivity index based on social
networks. We found that PCI has a strong boundary effect and that it generally
follows the distance decay, although this force is weaker in more urbanized
counties with a denser population. Our investigation further suggests that PCI has
great potential in addressing real-world problems that require place connectivity
knowledge, exemplified with two applications: (1) modeling the spatial spread of
COVID-19 during the early stage of the pandemic and (2) modeling hurricane
evacuation destination choice. The methodological and contextual knowledge of PCI,
together with the open-sourced PCI datasets at various geographic levels, are
expected to support research fields requiring knowledge in human spatial
interactions.
C1 [Li, Zhenlong; Jiang, Yuqin; Ning, Huan; Hodgson, Michael E.] Univ South
Carolina, Dept Geog, Geoinformat & Big Data Res Lab, Columbia, SC 29208 USA.
[Huang, Xiao] Univ Arkansas, Dept Geosci, Fayetteville, AR 72701 USA.
[Ye, Xinyue] Texas A&M Univ, Dep Landscape Architecture & Urban Planning,
College Stn, TX USA.
[Martin, Yago] Univ Cent Florida, Sch Publ Adm, Orlando, FL 32816 USA.
[Li, Xiaoming] Univ South Carolina, Dept Hlth Promot Educ & Behav, Columbia, SC
29208 USA.
Columbia; University of Arkansas System; University of Arkansas
Fayetteville; Texas A&M University System; Texas A&M University College
Station; State University System of Florida; University of Central
Florida; University of South Carolina System; University of South
Carolina Columbia
RP Li, ZL (corresponding author), Univ South Carolina, Dept Geog, Geoinformat & Big
Data Res Lab, Columbia, SC 29208 USA.
EM zhenlong@sc.edu
RI Huang, Xiao/AAS-4608-2020; Li, Zhenlong/M-1065-2017; ye,
xinyue/A-7677-2011
OI Huang, Xiao/0000-0002-4323-382X; Li, Zhenlong/0000-0002-8938-5466; ye,
xinyue/0000-0001-8838-9476; Hodgson, Michael/0000-0002-1800-5833
FU National Science Foundation (NSF) [2028791]; National Institute of
Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) of the National Institutes of
Health (NIH) [R01AI127203-4S1]; University of South Carolina COVID-19
Internal Funding Initiative [135400-20-54176]
FX We wanted to thank SafeGraph for open-sourcing their mobility datasets,
Facebook SCI authors for opensourcing their SCI data, and Twitter for
providing the free public API for accessing Twitter data streams. The
study was supported by the National Science Foundation (NSF) under Grant
2028791, the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases
(NIAID) of the National Institutes of Health (NIH) under Grant
R01AI127203-4S1, and the University of South Carolina COVID-19 Internal
Funding Initiative under Grant 135400-20-54176. The funders had no role
in the study design, data collection and analysis, or preparation of
this article.
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NR 66
TC 14
Z9 14
U1 5
U2 20
PU NATURE PORTFOLIO
PI BERLIN
SN 2045-2322
J9 SCI REP-UK
JI Sci Rep
PD JUL 19
PY 2021
VL 11
IS 1
AR 14694
DI 10.1038/s41598-021-94300-7
PG 19
(SSCI)
GA TM9BG
UT WOS:000675840600008
PM 34282241
OA Green Submitted, Green Published, gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Lee, YH
Kim, YC
Seo, H
AF Lee, Yoon-Ha
Kim, Young-Chan
Seo, Hyuncheol
TI Selecting Disaster Waste Transportation Routes to Reduce Overlapping of
Transportation Routes after Floods
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE emergency response activity; urban resilience; disaster waste
management; flood waste transportation route
ID TRAFFIC CONGESTION; URBAN; EVACUATION; MANAGEMENT; SHELTER;
PRECIPITATION; EARTHQUAKE; RECOVERY; IMPACT; CRIME
AB Disasters have been a major subject of research considering damages caused in
terms of losses of lives and properties and the functionality of critical services
in cities. Floods generate large amounts of waste, causing several functional
deteriorations, such as disrupted transportation, water supply, and wastewater
management. Hence, it is necessary to establish an effective plan to secure urban
resilience during the disaster response and recovery phases. This study proposes a
method to reduce overlaps between disaster waste transportation routes and other
emergency response activities after floods in the response and recovery phases. The
network analysis of a geographic information system was used to analyze the
supplying routes of evacuation, rescue/aid, hospital transportation, and police
services for each disaster phase to reduce the overlapping of routes. The results
showed that by using the proposed method, the average length of the disaster waste
transportation routes increased by 25.29% and 9.80% in the response and recovery
phases, respectively, whereas the length of the sections overlapping with the
routes providing critical services decreased by 47.49% and 55.57% in the response
and recovery phases, respectively. We believe that the proposed method identifies
new corresponding key issues to establish disaster waste management plans to secure
urban resilience after a disaster.
C1 [Lee, Yoon-Ha] Changshin Univ, Dept Fire & Disaster Prevent Engn, Chang Won
51352, South Korea.
[Kim, Young-Chan] Dongguk Univ, Dept Safety Engn, Gyeongju 38066, South Korea.
[Seo, Hyuncheol] Kyungpook Natl Univ, Sch Architectural Civil Environm & Energy
Engn, Daegu 41566, South Korea.
C3 Dongguk University; Kyungpook National University
RP Seo, H (corresponding author), Kyungpook Natl Univ, Sch Architectural Civil
Environm & Energy Engn, Daegu 41566, South Korea.
EM yhlee@cs.ac.kr; yyoungchani@gmail.com; charles@knu.ac.kr
OI Seo, HyunCheol/0000-0002-3361-2316
of Korea (NRF) - Ministry of Education [2020R1I1A1A01075037]; National
Research Foundation of Korea [2020R1I1A1A01075037] Funding Source: Korea
Institute of Science & Technology Information (KISTI), National Science
& Technology Information Service (NTIS)
FX FundingThis research was supported by Basic Science Research Program
through the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) funded by the
Ministry of Education (No. 2020R1I1A1A01075037).
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TC 2
Z9 2
U1 8
U2 17
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
JI Sustainability
PD MAR
PY 2022
VL 14
IS 5
AR 2866
DI 10.3390/su14052866
PG 20
(SSCI)
GA ZT4BR
UT WOS:000769104000001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Hsu, SY
Chen, TB
Du, WC
Wu, JH
Chen, SC
AF Hsu, Shih-Yen
Chen, Tai-Been
Du, Wei-Chang
Wu, Jyh-Horng
Chen, Shih-Chieh
TI Integrate Weather Radar and Monitoring Devices for Urban Flooding
Surveillance
SO SENSORS
LA English
DT Article
DE ARMT; CCTV; ground weather radar image
ID CLIMATE-CHANGE; RAINFALL; MODEL; RISK; IMPACTS
AB With the increase of extreme weather events, the frequency and severity of urban
flood events in the world are increasing drastically. Therefore, this study
develops ARMT (automatic combined ground weather radar and CCTV (Closed Circuit
Television System) images for real-time flood monitoring), which integrates real-
time ground radar echo images and automatically estimates a rainfall hotspot
according to the cloud intensity. Furthermore, ARMT combines CCTV image capturing,
analysis, and Fourier processing, identification, water level estimation, and data
transmission to provide real-time warning information. Furthermore, the hydrograph
data can serve as references for relevant disaster prevention, and response
personnel may take advantage of them and make judgements based on them. The ARMT
was tested through historical data input, which showed its reliability to be
between 83% to 92%. In addition, when applied to real-time monitoring and analysis
(e.g., typhoon), it had a reliability of 79% to 93%. With the technology providing
information about both images and quantified water levels in flood monitoring,
decision makers can quickly better understand the on-site situation so as to make
an evacuation decision before the flood disaster occurs as well as discuss
appropriate mitigation measures after the disaster to reduce the adverse effects
that flooding poses on urban areas.
C1 [Hsu, Shih-Yen; Du, Wei-Chang] I Shou Univ, Dept Informat Engn, 1,Sec
1,Syuecheng Rd, Kaohsiung 84001, Taiwan.
[Hsu, Shih-Yen; Chen, Tai-Been] I Shou Univ, Dept Med Imaging & Radiol Sci, 8
Yida Rd, Kaohsiung 82445, Taiwan.
[Wu, Jyh-Horng] Natl Ctr High Performance Comp, 7 R&D 6th Rd,Hsinchu Sci Pk,
Hsinchu 30076, Taiwan.
[Chen, Shih-Chieh] I Shou Univ, Dept Civil & Ecol Engn, 1,Sec 1,Syuecheng Rd,
Kaohsiung 84001, Taiwan.
C3 I Shou University; I Shou University; I Shou University
RP Chen, SC (corresponding author), I Shou Univ, Dept Civil & Ecol Engn, 1,Sec
1,Syuecheng Rd, Kaohsiung 84001, Taiwan.
EM h.shihyen@gmail.com; ctb@isu.edu.tw; wcdu@isu.edu.tw;
jhwu@nchc.narl.org.tw; scchen@isu.edu.tw
OI Chen, Tai-Been/0000-0001-7171-9846; Hsu, Shih-Yen/0000-0002-1175-0531;
Chen, Tai-Been/0000-0002-3348-4422
FU Water Resources Agency, Taiwan, R.O.C. [MOEAWRA1060127]
FX All authors thanksWater Resources Agency, Taiwan, R.O.C., for partially
supporting this study financially with Contract No. MOEAWRA1060127.
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NR 25
TC 8
Z9 8
U1 0
U2 5
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 1424-8220
J9 SENSORS-BASEL
JI Sensors
PD FEB 2
PY 2019
VL 19
IS 4
AR 825
DI 10.3390/s19040825
PG 15
WC Chemistry, Analytical; Engineering, Electrical & Electronic; Instruments
& Instrumentation
SC Chemistry; Engineering; Instruments & Instrumentation
GA HO3ND
UT WOS:000460829200076
PM 30781575
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Agdas, D
Masters, FJ
Webster, GD
AF Agdas, Duzgun
Masters, Forrest J.
Webster, Gregory D.
TI Role of Rain as Perception Aid in Assessing Wind Speeds and Associated
Personal Risks
LA English
DT Article
ID HURRICANE; EVACUATION; RESPONSES; CRITERIA
AB Extreme event perception drives personal risks and, consequently, dictates
household decision-making before, during, and after extreme events. Given this,
increasing the extreme event perception accuracy of the public is important to
improving decision-making in extreme event scenarios; however, limited research has
been done on this subject. Results of a laboratory experiment, in which 76 human
participants were exposed to hurricane-strength weather conditions and asked to
estimate their intensities and associated personal risks, are presented in this
article. Participants were exposed to a range of identical wind speeds [20, 40, 60
mph (1 mph51.61 km h 21)] with [8 in. h 21 (1 in. 52.54 cm)] and without rain. They
then provided estimates of the perceived wind and rain (when present) speeds, and
associated personal risks on a nominal scale of 0 to 10. Improvements in the
accuracy of wind speed perception at higher speeds were observed when rain was
present in the wind field (41.5 and 69.1 mph) than when it was not (45.2 and 75.8
mph) for 40- and 60-mph wind speed exposures, respectively. In contrast, risk
perceptions were similar for both rain and nonrain conditions. This is particularly
interesting because participants failed to estimate rain intensities (both
horizontal and wind-driven rain) by a significant margin. The possible implications
of rain as a perception aid to wind and the viability of using perception aids to
better convey extreme weather risks are discussed. The article concludes by
revisiting discussions about the implications of past hurricane experience on wind
intensity perception, personal risk assessment, and future directions in extreme
weather risk perception research.
C1 [Agdas, Duzgun] Queensland Univ Technol, Sch Civil Engn & Built Environm,
Brisbane, Qld, Australia.
[Masters, Forrest J.] Univ Florida, Engn Sch Sustainable Infrastruct & Environm,
Dept Civil & Coastal Engn, Gainesville, FL USA.
[Webster, Gregory D.] Univ Florida, Dept Psychol, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA.
C3 Queensland University of Technology (QUT); State University System of
Florida; University of Florida; State University System of Florida;
University of Florida
RP Agdas, D (corresponding author), Queensland Univ Technol, Sch Civil Engn & Built
Environm, Brisbane, Qld, Australia.
EM duzgun.agdas@qut.edu.au
RI Masters, Forrest James/AAS-8723-2021; Masters, Forrest J/D-1287-2011;
Agdas, Duzgun/E-2209-2014
OI Masters, Forrest James/0000-0001-8203-9846; Masters, Forrest
J/0000-0001-8203-9846; Agdas, Duzgun/0000-0002-3703-914X
FU Federal Alliance for Safe Homes (FLASH)
FX The authors thank the Federal Alliance for Safe Homes (FLASH;
http://www.flash.org) for supporting this research. The agency had no
role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish,
or preparation of the manuscript. The authors also thank the following
engineers, technicians, and graduate students for their help in carrying
out this research: Sevcan Agdas, Antonio Balderrama, Scott Bolton, Corey
Cook, Kevin Frost, Alex Esposito, Amanda Gesselman, James Jesteadt,
Carlos Lopez, Carlos Rodriguez, and Jason Smith.
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NR 29
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 0
U2 4
PI BOSTON
SN 1948-8327
EI 1948-8335
J9 WEATHER CLIM SOC
PD APR
PY 2017
VL 9
IS 2
BP 227
EP 233
DI 10.1175/WCAS-D-15-0038.1
PG 7
(SSCI)
GA ET4YM
UT WOS:000400291000009
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Chang, CM
Chao, TYS
Huang, YT
Tu, YF
Sung, TC
Wang, JD
Shih, HI
AF Chang, Chia-Ming
Chao, Tzu-Yuan Stessa
Huang, Yi-Ting
Tu, Yi-Fang
Sung, Tzu-Ching
Wang, Jung-Der
Shih, Hsin-, I
TI Maintaining Quality of Care among Dialysis Patients in Affected Areas
after Typhoon Morakot
LA English
DT Article
DE disaster; typhoon; flood; elderly; dialysis; end-stage kidney disease
ID NATIONAL-HEALTH INSURANCE; SOCIOECONOMIC DISPARITIES; HURRICANE;
DISASTERS; HOSPITALIZATION; HEMODIALYSIS; INEQUALITIES; LESSONS; ACCESS;
SYSTEM
AB Natural disasters have negative health impacts on patients who need dialysis in
affected areas. Severely affected areas are usually rural, with limited basic
infrastructure and a population without optimal dialysis-specific care after a
disaster. A population-based longitudinal case-cohort study enrolled 715,244 adults
from the National Health Insurance Registry who lived in areas affected by a major
natural disaster, Typhoon Morakot, in 2009. The observation period was from 2008 to
2011. A total of 13,268 patients (1.85%) had a history of end-stage renal disease
(ESRD). Of the ESRD patients, 1264 patients (9.5%) received regular dialysis. Only
eight patients missed dialysis sessions in the first month after the disaster.
Compared to the moderately affected areas, the incidences of acute cerebrovascular
and cardiovascular diseases were higher in patients in severely affected areas.
Male dialysis patients aged 45-75 years had a higher mortality rate than that of
the general population. Among the affected adults receiving regular dialysis,
patients with diabetes (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 1.58, 95% confidence interval
(CI): 1.20-2.08) or a history of cerebrovascular disease (aHR: 1.58, 95% CI: 1.12-
2.21), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) or asthma (aHR: 1.99, 95% CI:
1.24-3.17) in moderately affected areas had significantly elevated mortality rates.
Additionally, among dialysis patients living in severely affected areas, those with
a history of cerebrovascular disease (aHR: 4.52 95% CI: 2.28-8.79) had an elevated
mortality rate. Early evacuation plans and high-quality, accessible care for
cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases are essential to support affected
populations before and after disasters to improve dialysis patients' health
outcomes.
C1 [Chang, Chia-Ming] Natl Cheng Kung Univ Hosp, Dept Geriatr & Gerontol, Tainan
70403, Taiwan.
[Chang, Chia-Ming; Huang, Yi-Ting; Tu, Yi-Fang; Shih, Hsin-, I] Natl Cheng Kung
Univ, Coll Med, Sch Med, Tainan 70101, Taiwan.
[Chao, Tzu-Yuan Stessa; Huang, Yi-Ting] Natl Cheng Kung Univ, Dept Urban
Planning, Tainan 70101, Taiwan.
[Tu, Yi-Fang] Natl Cheng Kung Univ, Natl Cheng Kung Univ Hosp, Coll Med, Dept
Pediat, Tainan 70403, Taiwan.
[Sung, Tzu-Ching] I Shou Univ, Sch Med Int Students, Kaohsiung 82445, Taiwan.
[Wang, Jung-Der; Shih, Hsin-, I] Natl Cheng Kung Univ, Coll Med, Dept Publ Hlth,
Tainan 70101, Taiwan.
[Shih, Hsin-, I] Natl Cheng Kung Univ, Natl Cheng Kung Univ Hosp, Coll Med, Dept
Emergency Med, Tainan 70403, Taiwan.
C3 National Cheng Kung University; National Cheng Kung University Hospital;
National Cheng Kung University; National Cheng Kung University; National
Cheng Kung University; National Cheng Kung University Hospital; I Shou
University; National Cheng Kung University; National Cheng Kung
University; National Cheng Kung University Hospital
RP Shih, HI (corresponding author), Natl Cheng Kung Univ, Coll Med, Sch Med, Tainan
70101, Taiwan.; Shih, HI (corresponding author), Natl Cheng Kung Univ, Coll Med,
Dept Publ Hlth, Tainan 70101, Taiwan.; Shih, HI (corresponding author), Natl Cheng
Kung Univ, Natl Cheng Kung Univ Hosp, Coll Med, Dept Emergency Med, Tainan 70403,
Taiwan.
EM 10108040@gs.ncku.edu.tw; tychao@mail.ncku.edu.tw; alage@gs.ncku.edu.tw;
nckutu@gmail.com; vivian1223@isu.edu.tw; jdwang121@gmail.com;
n506594@mail.hosp.ncku.edu.tw
RI huang, yiting/HDM-3648-2022
OI Sung, Tzu-Ching/0000-0003-0012-9026; Huang, Yi-Ting/0000-0001-6040-6641;
Wang, Jung-Der/0000-0002-3176-4500; Shih, Hsin-I/0000-0002-1103-8675;
Chao, Tzuyuan Stessa/0000-0001-9278-4321; Chang,
Chia-ming/0000-0001-8468-5251
FU Ministry of Science and Technology, Taiwan [MOST 103-2625-M-006-002-MY2,
MOST 105-2625-M-006-013-2, MOST 107-2625-M-006-020-]; Research Center of
National Cheng Kung University Hospital [NCKUH-10506016, NCKUH10605008]
FX This study was supported by grants from the Ministry of Science and
Technology, Taiwan (MOST 103-2625-M-006-002-MY2, MOST
105-2625-M-006-013-2, MOST 107-2625-M-006-020-), and the Research Center
of National Cheng Kung University Hospital (NCKUH-10506016 and
NCKUH10605008).
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NR 48
TC 1
Z9 2
U1 0
U2 1
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 1660-4601
PD JUL
PY 2021
VL 18
IS 14
AR 7400
DI 10.3390/ijerph18147400
PG 13
(SSCI)
Health
GA TN8AV
UT WOS:000676452000001
PM 34299851
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Bianchi, E
Malki-Epshtein, L
AF Bianchi, Eva
Malki-Epshtein, Liora
TI Evaluating the risk to Bangladeshi coastal infrastructure from tropical
cyclones under climate change
LA English
DT Article
DE Risk assessment; Vulnerability; Extreme weather; Storm surges;
Multi-hazards
ID HURRICANE INTENSITY; METEOROLOGY; IMPACT
AB In many countries, infrastructure plays a crucial role reducing losses during a
cyclone. Bangladesh is already extremely vulnerable to tropical cyclones, and its
infrastructure is frequently damaged by such events. However, climate change is
expected to make the infrastructure itself, more vulnerable to cyclonic events in
the future. This paper assesses the risk to coastal infrastructure in Bangladesh
under climate change, from a multi-hazard perspective. A novel risk assessment
matrix is proposed, examining the likely future risk to the country?s key
infrastructure elements from six prioritised hazards. The hazards stem from changes
to baseline climate, and from predictions of stronger cyclones as a result of
climate change. We show that Bangladeshi infrastructure is extremely at risk,
suggesting rapid action and mitigation measures are needed. Climate change will
increase the vulnerability of infrastructure on its own, but higher storm surges
related to intensified cyclones pose the greatest risk, with catastrophic impacts
on all types of infrastructure. A number of recommendations to improve the
infrastructure are made. Due to the severity of the risks, alternative measures to
protect Bangladesh and its population should be considered. These may be natural
defences, efficient evacuation procedures, integration of communities to the design
and construction process, or relocation of populations. These measures may be more
sustainable in the long term in a place with geophysical, geographical, social and
financial contexts such as those found in Bangladesh.
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London, England.
C3 University of London; University College London
RP Malki-Epshtein, L (corresponding author), UCL, Dept Civil Environm & Geomat
Engn, London, England.
EM l.malki-epshtein@ucl.ac.uk
RI Malki-Epshtein, Liora/C-2075-2008
OI Malki-Epshtein, Liora/0000-0002-7587-1471; Bianchi,
Eva/0000-0002-7688-6413
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NR 66
TC 8
Z9 8
U1 4
U2 12
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD APR 15
PY 2021
VL 57
AR 102147
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102147
EA MAR 2021
PG 9
Water Resources
GA RR8JH
UT WOS:000643337000008
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Goodrich, KA
Basolo, V
Feldman, DL
Matthew, RA
Schubert, JE
Luke, A
Eguiarte, A
Boudreau, D
Serrano, K
Reyes, AS
Contreras, S
Houston, D
Cheung, W
AghaKouchak, A
Sanders, BF
AF Goodrich, Kristen A.
Basolo, Victoria
Feldman, David L.
Matthew, Richard A.
Schubert, Jochen E.
Luke, Adam
Eguiarte, Ana
Boudreau, Dani
Serrano, Kimberly
Reyes, Abigail S.
Contreras, Santina
Houston, Douglas
Cheung, Wing
AghaKouchak, Amir
Sanders, Brett F.
TI Addressing Pluvial Flash Flooding through Community-Based Collaborative
Research in Tijuana, Mexico
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE flooding; pluvial; collaborative modeling; co-production; community
ID KNOWLEDGE EXCHANGE; RISK; UNCERTAINTY; CHALLENGES; INDICATOR; TRENDS;
DAMAGE
AB Pluvial flash flooding (PFF) is a growing hazard facing cities around the world
as a result of rapid urbanization and more intense precipitation from global
warming, particularly for low-resourced settings in developing countries. We
present collaborative modeling (CM) as an iterative process to meet diverse
decision-making needs related to PFF through the co-production of flood hazard
models and maps. CM resulted in a set of flood hazard maps accessible through an
online viewer that end-users found useful and useable for understanding PFF
threats, including debris blockages and barriers to mobility and evacuation. End-
users of information included individuals concerned with general flood awareness
and preparedness, and involved in infrastructure and emergency management,
planning, and policy. CM also showed that rain-on-grid hydrodynamic modeling is
needed to depict PFF threats in ways that are intuitive to end-users. These
outcomes evidence the importance and transferability of public health rationale for
community-based research and principles used here including recognizing community
as a unit of identity, building on strengths of the community, and integrating
knowledge for the benefit of all partners.
C1 [Goodrich, Kristen A.; Eguiarte, Ana] Tijuana River Natl Estuarine Res Reserve,
Imperial Beach, CA 91932 USA.
[Goodrich, Kristen A.; Matthew, Richard A.; Schubert, Jochen E.; AghaKouchak,
Amir; Sanders, Brett F.] Univ Calif Irvine, UCI Blum Ctr Poverty Alleviat, Irvine,
CA 92697 USA.
[Basolo, Victoria; Feldman, David L.; Matthew, Richard A.; Houston, Douglas;
Sanders, Brett F.] Univ Calif Irvine, Sch Social Ecol, Irvine, CA 92697 USA.
[Feldman, David L.] Univ Calif Irvine, Water UCI, Irvine, CA 92697 USA.
[Schubert, Jochen E.; AghaKouchak, Amir; Sanders, Brett F.] Univ Calif Irvine,
Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Irvine, CA 92697 USA.
[Luke, Adam] Zeppelin Floods, Irvine, CA 92691 USA.
[Boudreau, Dani] GHD, San Diego, CA 92123 USA.
[Serrano, Kimberly] Calif Immigrant Policy Ctr, Los Angeles, CA 90014 USA.
[Reyes, Abigail S.] Univ Calif Irvine, Off Sustainabil, Irvine, CA 92697 USA.
[Contreras, Santina] Ohio State Univ, Knowlton Sch Architecture, City & Reg
Planning, Columbus, OH 43210 USA.
[Cheung, Wing] Palomar Coll, Dept Earth Space & Environm Sci, San Marcos, CA
92069 USA.
[AghaKouchak, Amir] Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Irvine, CA 92697
USA.
University System of Ohio; Ohio State University; University of
California System; University of California Irvine
RP Goodrich, KA (corresponding author), Tijuana River Natl Estuarine Res Reserve,
Imperial Beach, CA 91932 USA.; Goodrich, KA (corresponding author), Univ Calif
Irvine, UCI Blum Ctr Poverty Alleviat, Irvine, CA 92697 USA.
EM kgoodrich@trnerr.org; basolo@uci.edu; feldmand@uci.edu;
rmatthew@uci.edu; schubert@uci.edu; aluke1@uci.edu;
aeguiarte@trnerr.org; danielle.boudreau@ghd.com;
kserrano@caimmigrant.org; abigail.reyes@uci.edu; contreras.78@osu.edu;
houston@uci.edu; wcheung@palomar.edu; amir.a@uci.edu; bsanders@uci.edu
RI Sanders, Brett/AAW-8266-2020; Sanders, Brett/K-7153-2012
OI Sanders, Brett/0000-0002-1592-5204; Houston,
Douglas/0000-0002-3901-6072; Schubert, Jochen/0000-0002-9456-6683;
Feldman, David/0000-0003-2288-5017; Cheung, Wing/0000-0002-2464-4287;
Goodrich, Kristen/0000-0002-4639-7264; Contreras,
Santina/0000-0003-4461-607X
FU National Science Foundation [DMS 1331611]
FX This research was made possible by a grant from the National Science
Foundation (award DMS 1331611), which is gratefully acknowledged.
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NR 63
TC 10
Z9 10
U1 0
U2 12
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD MAY
PY 2020
VL 12
IS 5
AR 1257
DI 10.3390/w12051257
PG 17
(SSCI)
GA MU8KA
UT WOS:000555915200036
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Suarez, P
AF Suarez, Pablo
TI Rethinking Engagement: Innovations in How Humanitarians Explore
Geoinformation
LA English
DT Article
DE disaster management; engagement; games; geoinformation; humanitarian;
innovation; open data; Zambia
AB When humanitarian workers embark on learning and dialogue for linking
geoinformation to disaster management, the activities they confront are usually
more difficult than interesting. How to accelerate the acquisition and deployment
of skills and tools for spatial data collection and analysis, given the
increasingly unmanageable workload of humanitarians? How to engage practitioners in
experiencing the value and limitations of newly available tools? This paper offers
an innovative approach to immerse disaster managers in geoinformation:
participatory games that enable stakeholders to experience playable system dynamic
models linking geoinformation, decisions and consequences in a way that is both
serious and fun. A conceptual framework outlines the foundations of experiential
learning through gameplay, with clear connections to a well-established risk
management framework. Two case studies illustrate this approach: one involving
flood management in the Zambezi river in southern Africa through the game UpRiver
(in both physical and digital versions), and another pertaining to World Bank
training on open data for resilience that combines applied improvisation activities
with the need to understand and deploy software tools like Open Street Map and
InaSAFE to manage school investments and schoolchildren evacuation in a simulated
flood scenario for the city of La Plata, Argentina.
C1 [Suarez, Pablo] Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Ctr, NL-2502 KC The Hague,
Netherlands.
[Suarez, Pablo] Boston Univ, Frederick S Pardee Ctr Study Longer Range Future,
C3 Boston University
RP Suarez, P (corresponding author), Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Ctr, POB 28120,
NL-2502 KC The Hague, Netherlands.
EM suarez@climatecentre.org
FU Norwegian Research Council
FX Research support was provided by the Norwegian Research Council, through
the project "Courting Catastrophe? Humanitarian Policy and Practice in a
Changing Climate". The game UpRiver was developed with Eric Gordon,
Stephen Walter, and Wade Kimbrough from the Engagement Lab at Emerson
College, in collaboration with the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre
and the Zambia Red Cross. The second case study is the result of a
collaboration with the Open Data for Resilience Initiative (OpenDRI) at
the Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery (GFDRR),
including Emma Phillips, John Crowley, Vivien Deparday, Robert Soden,
and Yewondwossen Assefa. The flood model outputs used in that activity
were provided by Pablo Romanazzi of the Hydrology Lab at Universidad
Nacional de La Plata. The game "Negotiating Data" was adapted from a
design by Bettina Koelle of the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre.
The use of the game "Snap!" for wordcloud visualization was adapted from
an idea by Paul Z. Jackson of the Applied Improvisation Network, and
implemented thought a collaboration with the MIT Game Lab. Janot Mendler
de Suarez played a key role in formulating the game-enabled approach for
disaster risk management. A sincere thank you to all these colleagues
for their support and inspiration, as well as to three anonymous
reviewers for suggesting ways to greatly improve an earlier manuscript.
Usual disclaimers apply.
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NR 29
TC 3
Z9 4
U1 0
U2 30
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2220-9964
PD SEP
PY 2015
VL 4
IS 3
BP 1729
EP 1749
DI 10.3390/ijgi4031729
PG 21
Sensing
GA CV6WC
UT WOS:000364411500035
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Nguyen, KV
James, H
AF Nguyen, Kien V.
James, Helen
TI Measuring Household Resilience to Floods: a Case Study in the Vietnamese
Mekong River Delta
SO ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY
LA English
DT Article
DE impacts; floods; Mekong River Delta; resilience; vulnerability;
well-being
ID SOCIAL-ECOLOGICAL SYSTEMS; CLIMATE-CHANGE; VIET-NAM; VULNERABILITY;
ADAPTATION; DISASTERS; BANGLADESH; METAPHOR; SCALE; RISK
AB The flood is a well-known phenomenon in the Vietnamese Mekong River Delta (MRD).
Although people have experienced the impact of floods for years, some adapt well,
but others are vulnerable to floods. Resilience to floods is a useful concept to
study the capacity of rural households to cope with, adapt to, and benefit from
floods. Knowledge of the resilience of households to floods can help disaster risk
managers to design policies for living with floods. Most researchers attempt to
define the concept of resilience; very little research operationalizes it in the
real context of "living with floods". We employ a subjective well-being approach to
measure households' resilience to floods. Items that related to households'
capacity to cope with, adapt to, and benefit from floods were developed using both
a five-point Likert scale and dichotomous responses. A factor analysis using a
standardized form of data was employed to identify underlying factors that explain
different properties of households' resilience to floods. Three properties of
households' resilience to floods were found: (1) households' confidence in securing
food, income, health, and evacuation during floods and recovery after floods; (2)
households' confidence in securing their homes not being affected by a large flood
event such as the 2000 flood; (3) households' interests in learning and practicing
new flood-based farming practices that are fully adapted to floods for improving
household income during the flood season. The findings assist in designing adaptive
measures to cope with future flooding in the MRD.
C1 [Nguyen, Kien V.] An Giang Univ, Long Xuyen, Vietnam.
[Nguyen, Kien V.; James, Helen] Australian Natl Univ, Australian Demog & Social
Res Inst, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia.
C3 Vietnam National University Hochiminh City; Australian National
University
RP Nguyen, KV (corresponding author), An Giang Univ, Long Xuyen, Vietnam.
OI James, Helen/0000-0001-7169-7691
FU Australian Agency for Aid and Development (AusAID); Environment Economy
Program for Southeast Asia (EEPSEA)
FX I wish to thank the Australian Agency for Aid and Development (AusAID)
and the Environment Economy Program for Southeast Asia (EEPSEA), my
supervisors at the Australian National University, and colleagues at An
Giang University in Vietnam who supported my research.
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NR 64
TC 85
Z9 87
U1 2
U2 146
PU RESILIENCE ALLIANCE
PI WOLFVILLE
PA ACADIA UNIV, BIOLOGY DEPT, WOLFVILLE, NS B0P 1X0, CANADA
SN 1708-3087
J9 ECOL SOC
JI Ecol. Soc.
PY 2013
VL 18
IS 3
AR 13
DI 10.5751/ES-05427-180313
PG 14
WC Ecology; Environmental Studies
(SSCI)
GA 232VA
UT WOS:000325521300004
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Sassi, C
Carvalho, GD
de Castro, LM
Zago, C
Nunes, VDP
do Nascimento, AAT
Bastos, ALF
Santana, LG
Goncalves, ID
AF Sassi, Carla
Carvalho, Gabriel Domingos
de Castro, Leonardo Maggio
Zago Junior, Claudio
Nunes, Vania de Fatima Plaza
do Nascimento, Arthur Augusto Tavares
Bastos, Ana Liz Ferreira
Santana, Luciana Guimaraes
Goncalves, Ilka do Nascimento
TI One Decade of Environmental Disasters in Brazil: The Action of
Veterinary Rescue Teams
SO FRONTIERS IN PUBLIC HEALTH
LA English
DT Review
DE Brazilian pantanal; Brumadinho; ecohealth; Mariana; one health;
planetary health
AB Based on the interdisciplinary concept of One Health, EcoHealth, and Planetary
Health, this paper focuses on participatory knowledge-to-action approaches by
relating one decade of environmental disasters in Brazil with the action of
veterinary rescue teams, aiming to give support to future disaster preparedness.
This paper will present the historic actions of teams rescuing animal that are
victims of environmental disasters, in addition to addressing the need for
contingency plans and response management in these types of events. The main events
in Brazilian states where veterinary rescue teams participated were,
chronologically, as follows: 2011 flood and landslide (Rio de Janeiro); 2012 flood
(Acre, Minas Gerais, and Para); 2015 dam break (Minas Gerais); 2017 flood (Minas
Gerais) and forest fire (Minas Gerais and Goias); 2019 dam break and evacuation
(Minas Gerais) and flood (Bahia); 2020 flood (Espirito Santo and Minas Gerais) and
forest fires (Mato Grosso and Mato Grosso do Sul). The Brazilian disasters that had
a large global repercussion were the ruptures of the ore dams in Marina (2015) and
Brumadinho (2019), both in the State of Minas Gerais. The role of veterinarians in
these events was recognized by the Federal Council of Veterinary Medicine (CFMV)
after their performance in Mariana, Minas Gerais (2015), and in 2020, the CFMV
approved the National Mass Disaster Contingency Plan Involving Animals. The work of
veterinarians in interaction with other professionals in environmental disasters
proved to be effective and necessary for the rescue of animals and for planning and
giving support to disaster preparedness in the future.
C1 [Sassi, Carla; do Nascimento, Arthur Augusto Tavares] GRAD Grp Resgate Anim
Desastres, Cuiaba, Brazil.
[Carvalho, Gabriel Domingos] Fed Inst Educ Sci & Technol Espirito Santo, Ifes
Campus Piuma, Piuma, Brazil.
[de Castro, Leonardo Maggio] Univ Sorocaba, Large Anim Vet Hosp, Sorocaba,
Brazil.
[Zago Junior, Claudio] Mil Police Sao Paulo State, Fire Brigade Sch, Sao Paulo,
Brazil.
[Nunes, Vania de Fatima Plaza] Natl Anim Protect & Def Forum, Jundiai, Brazil.
[Bastos, Ana Liz Ferreira] Reg Council Vet Med Minas Gerais CRMV MG, Belo
Horizonte, MG, Brazil.
[Bastos, Ana Liz Ferreira] Anim Welf Commiss CRMV MG, Belo Horizonte, MG,
Brazil.
[Santana, Luciana Guimaraes] Vet Wild Anim, Sao Paulo, Brazil.
[Goncalves, Ilka do Nascimento] Private Vet Clin, Salvador, Brazil.
C3 Instituto Federal do Espirito Santo (IFES); Universidade de Sorocaba
RP Carvalho, GD (corresponding author), Fed Inst Educ Sci & Technol Espirito Santo,
Ifes Campus Piuma, Piuma, Brazil.
EM gabriel.carvalho@ifes.edu.br
RI Carvalho, Gabriel Domingos/AAL-2124-2021
OI Carvalho, Gabriel Domingos/0000-0003-1987-4202
FU Disaster Animal Rescue Group [Grupo de Resgate de Animais em Desastres
(GRAD)]; National Animal Protection and Defense Forum [Forum Nacional de
ProtecAo e Defesa Animal (FNPDA)]; Regional Council of Veterinary
Medicine of the State of Minas Gerais [Conselho Regional de Medicina
Veterinaria (CRMV-MG)]; Federal Council of Veterinary Medicine [Conselho
Federal de Medicina Veterinaria (CFMV)]; Federal Institute of Espirito
Santo (Ifes)
FX We would like to thank the Disaster Animal Rescue Group [Grupo de
Resgate de Animais em Desastres (GRAD)], the National Animal Protection
and Defense Forum [Forum Nacional de ProtecAo e Defesa Animal (FNPDA)],
the Regional Council of Veterinary Medicine of the State of Minas Gerais
[Conselho Regional de Medicina Veterinaria (CRMV-MG)], the Federal
Council of Veterinary Medicine [Conselho Federal de Medicina Veterinaria
(CFMV)], and the Federal Institute of Espirito Santo (Ifes) for the
financial support for publication.
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NR 23
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 2
U2 13
PI LAUSANNE
EI 2296-2565
J9 FRONT PUBLIC HEALTH
JI Front. Public Health
PD APR 22
PY 2021
VL 9
AR 624975
DI 10.3389/fpubh.2021.624975
PG 6
(SSCI)
GA RX8SF
UT WOS:000647487900001
PM 33968878
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Hariri-Ardebili, MA
Lall, U
AF Hariri-Ardebili, Mohammad Amin
Lall, Upmanu
TI Superposed Natural Hazards and Pandemics: Breaking Dams, Floods, and
COVID-19
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Review
DE natural hazard; pandemic; dam break; flood; risk management
ID RISK; EARTHQUAKE; HEALTH; DISASTER; IMPACTS
AB Within the engineering domain, safety issues are often related to engineering
design and typically exclude factors such as epidemics, famine, and disease. This
article provides a perspective on the reciprocal relationship and interaction
between a natural hazard and a simultaneous pandemic outbreak and discusses how a
catastrophic dam break, combined with the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, poses a risk
to human life. The paper uses grey- and peer-reviewed literature to support the
discussion and reviews fundamentals of dam safety management, potential loss of
life due to a dam break, and the recent evolution in dam risk analysis to account
for the COVID-19 outbreak. Conventional risk reduction recommendations, such as
quick evacuation and sheltering in communal centers, are revisited in the presence
of a pandemic when social distancing is recommended. This perspective manuscript
aims to provide insight into the multi-hazard risk problem resulting from a
concurring natural hazard and global pandemic.
C1 [Hariri-Ardebili, Mohammad Amin] Univ Colorado, Dept Civil Environm &
Architectural Engn, Boulder, CO 80309 USA.
[Hariri-Ardebili, Mohammad Amin] Univ Maryland, Coll Comp Math & Nat Sci,
College Pk, MD 20742 USA.
[Lall, Upmanu] Columbia Univ, Dept Earth & Environm Engn, New York, NY 10027
USA.
[Lall, Upmanu] Columbia Univ, Earth Inst, Columbia Water Ctr, New York, NY 10027
USA.
C3 University of Colorado System; University of Colorado Boulder;
Columbia University; Columbia University
RP Hariri-Ardebili, MA (corresponding author), Univ Colorado, Dept Civil Environm &
Architectural Engn, Boulder, CO 80309 USA.; Hariri-Ardebili, MA (corresponding
author), Univ Maryland, Coll Comp Math & Nat Sci, College Pk, MD 20742 USA.
EM mohammad.haririardebili@colorado.edu; ula2@columbia.edu
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NR 120
TC 11
Z9 11
U1 1
U2 15
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
JI Sustainability
PD AUG
PY 2021
VL 13
IS 16
AR 8713
DI 10.3390/su13168713
PG 27
(SSCI)
GA UH2XG
UT WOS:000689800000001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Kameshwar, S
Park, H
Cox, DT
Barbosa, AR
AF Kameshwar, Sabarethinam
Park, Hyoungsu
Cox, Daniel T.
Barbosa, Andre R.
TI Effect of disaster debris, floodwater pooling duration, and bridge
damage on immediate post-tsunami connectivity
LA English
DT Article
DE Disaster debris; Flood; Seismic-tsunami; Seaside; Connectivity
ID SERVICE ACCESSIBILITY; NETWORK; EARTHQUAKE; IMPACT; MODEL
AB This study establishes a general methodology to account for the effects of the
amount of disaster debris generated, debris dispersal, the duration floodwater
pooling for events like tsunamis, and damage to infrastructure on initial and time
evolution of connectivity between critical facilities and key locations within a
community such as evacuation zones and shelters. The proposed methodology is
applied to Seaside, OR, for cascading seismic and tsunami hazards corresponding to
seven return periods ranging from 250 to 10,000 years. The post-event connectivity
is assessed for the first 72 h. The results provide insights on immediate post-
event connectivity, its evolution with time as floodwaters recede and as the debris
is cleared, and the relative effect of debris, floodwater pooling, and
infrastructure damage on connectivity. For example, the level of disconnection
caused by debris and flooding in Seaside is not always directly proportional to the
return period (magnitude) of the seismictsunami event. Results show that bridge
damage further exacerbates the lack of connectivity due to debris and floodwater
pooling, highlighting that multi-hazard and multi-infrastructure analyses are
necessary to understand connectivity for disasters.
C1 [Kameshwar, Sabarethinam] Louisiana State Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn,
Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA.
[Park, Hyoungsu] Univ Hawaii Manoa, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Honolulu, HI
96822 USA.
[Cox, Daniel T.; Barbosa, Andre R.] Oregon State Univ, Sch Civil & Construct
Engn, Corvallis, OR 97331 USA.
C3 Louisiana State University System; Louisiana State University;
University of Hawaii System; University of Hawaii Manoa; Oregon State
University
RP Kameshwar, S (corresponding author), Louisiana State Univ, Dept Civil & Environm
Engn, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA.
EM skameshwar1@lsu.edu
OI Kameshwar, Sabarethinam/0000-0003-0205-8022
FU National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) [70NANB15H044];
Colorado State University
FX This work was partially funded by the cooperative agreement 70NANB15H044
between the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) and
Colorado State University through a subaward to Oregon State University.
The content expressed in this paper are the views of the authors and do
not necessarily represent the opinions or views of NIST or the U.S.
Department of Commerce.
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NR 42
TC 6
Z9 6
U1 2
U2 7
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD APR 1
PY 2021
VL 56
AR 102119
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102119
EA FEB 2021
PG 13
Water Resources
GA RH8ED
UT WOS:000636443800002
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Burger, J
Gochfeld, M
Jeitner, C
Pittfield, T
Donio, M
AF Burger, Joanna
Gochfeld, Michael
Jeitner, Christian
Pittfield, Taryn
Donio, Mark
TI TRUSTED INFORMATION SOURCES USED DURING AND AFTER SUPERSTORM SANDY: TV
AND RADIO WERE USED MORE OFTEN THAN SOCIAL MEDIA
SO JOURNAL OF TOXICOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH-PART A-CURRENT ISSUES
LA English
DT Article
ID HURRICANES KATRINA; COMMUNICATION; RITA
AB Health and safety professionals and the public are interested in the best
methods of providing timely information about disasters. The objective of this
study was to examine information sources used for Superstorm Sandy with respect to
the storm, evacuation routes, shelters, safety, and health issues. Respondents in
central New Jersey and Jersey shore communities were differentially impacted by the
storm. Jersey shore respondents had higher evacuation rates (47% vs. 13%), higher
flood waters in homes, longer power outages (average 23 vs. 6 d), and longer
periods without Internet (29 vs. 6 d). Electricity outages disrupted both sources
and receivers of communication. Both groups obtained most of their information
regarding safety from television, radio, friends, and Web/e-mail. Information
sources on health varied by location, with central Jersey respondents using mainly
TV and the Web, and Jersey shore respondents obtaining health information from the
radio and TV (before the storm). For information on evacuation routes, Jersey shore
respondents obtained information from many sources, while central Jersey
respondents obtained it from TV. Information on mold was largely obtained from
friends and the Web, since mold issues were dealt with several weeks after Sandy.
The reliance on traditional sources of information (TV, radio, friends) found in
this study suggests that the extreme power outages rendered Web, cell phones, and
social media on cell phones less usable, and suggests the need for an integrated
communication strategy with redundancies that takes into account prolonged power
outages over large geographical areas.
C1 [Burger, Joanna; Jeitner, Christian; Pittfield, Taryn; Donio, Mark] Rutgers
State Univ, Div Life Sci, Piscataway, NJ 08854 USA.
[Gochfeld, Michael] Rutgers State Univ, Piscataway, NJ 08854 USA.
[Burger, Joanna; Jeitner, Christian; Pittfield, Taryn; Donio, Mark] Vanderbilt
Univ, Consortium Risk Evaluat Stakeholder Participat, Nashville, TN USA.
[Gochfeld, Michael] Rutgers Robert Wood Johnson Med Sch, Piscataway, NJ USA.
Brunswick; Vanderbilt University; Rutgers State University New
Brunswick; Rutgers State University Medical Center
RP Burger, J (corresponding author), Rutgers State Univ, Div Life Sci, 604 Allison
Rd, Piscataway, NJ 08854 USA.
FU NIEHS [P30ES005022]
FX We particularly thank the respondents who gave willingly of their time
to be interviewed. As well as personnel in food banks, health clubs,
FEMA offices, and all places where interviews were conducted. This
research was funded by a pilot grant from NIEHS (P30ES005022).
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NR 35
TC 44
Z9 44
U1 0
U2 34
PI PHILADELPHIA
SN 1528-7394
EI 1087-2620
J9 J TOXICOL ENV HEAL A
JI J. Toxicol. Env. Health Part A
PD OCT 18
PY 2013
VL 76
IS 20
BP 1138
EP 1150
DI 10.1080/15287394.2013.844087
PG 13
WC Environmental Sciences; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health;
Toxicology
(SSCI)
Health; Toxicology
GA 257FS
UT WOS:000327369600002
PM 24279815
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Garfin, DR
Thompson, RR
Wong-Parodi, G
AF Garfin, Dana Rose
Thompson, Rebecca R.
Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle
TI Media exposure, threat processing, and mitigation behaviors in Gulf
Coast residents facing the co-occurring threats of COVID-19 and
hurricanes
SO RISK ANALYSIS
LA English
DT Article
DE COVID-19; health protective behaviors; hurricanes; media; mitigation
ID RISK PERCEPTION; SOCIAL MEDIA; CLIMATE-CHANGE; NATURAL DISASTERS; ACUTE
STRESS; EVACUATION; PROBABILITY; INFORMATION; RESPONSES; BELIEFS
AB The 2020 hurricane season threatened millions of Americans concurrently
grappling with COVID-19. Processes guiding individual-level mitigation for these
conceptually distinct threats, one novel and chronic (COVID-19), the other familiar
and episodic (hurricanes), are unknown. Theories of health protective behaviors
suggest that inputs from external stimuli (e.g., traditional and social media) lead
to threat processing, including perceived efficacy (self- and response) and
perceived threat (susceptibility and severity), guiding mitigation behavior. We
surveyed a representative sample of Florida and Texas residents (N = 1846) between
April 14, 2020 and April 27, 2020; many had previous hurricane exposure; all were
previously assessed between September 8, 2017 and September 11, 2017. Using
preregistered analyses, two generalized structural equation models tested direct
and indirect effects of media exposure (traditional media, social media) on self-
reported (1) COVID-19 mitigation (handwashing, mask-wearing, social distancing) and
(2) hurricane mitigation (preparation behaviors), as mediated through perceived
efficacy (self- and response) and perceived threat (susceptibility and severity).
Self-efficacy and response efficacy were associated with social distancing (p
= .002), handwashing, mask-wearing, and hurricane preparation (ps < 0.001).
Perceived susceptibility was positively associated with social distancing (p =
0.017) and hurricane preparation (p < 0.001). Perceived severity was positively
associated with social distancing (p < 0.001). Traditional media exhibited indirect
effects on COVID-19 mitigation through increased response efficacy (ps < 0.05), and
to a lesser extent self-efficacy (p < 0.05), and on hurricane preparation through
increased self-efficacy and response efficacy and perceived susceptibility (ps <
0.05). Social media did not exhibit indirect effects on COVID-19 or hurricane
mitigation. Communications targeting efficacy and susceptibility may encourage
mitigation behavior; research should explore how social media campaigns can more
effectively target threat processing, guiding protective actions.
C1 [Garfin, Dana Rose] Univ Calif Irvine, Sue & Bill Gross Sch Nursing, Irvine, CA
USA.
[Garfin, Dana Rose] Univ Calif Irvine, Program Publ Hlth, Irvine, CA USA.
[Garfin, Dana Rose] Univ Calif Los Angeles, Fielding Sch Publ Hlth, Dept
Community Hlth Sci, Los Angeles, CA USA.
[Thompson, Rebecca R.] Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Psychol Sci, Irvine, CA USA.
[Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle] Stanford Univ, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Stanford Woods Inst
Environm, Stanford, CA 94305 USA.
University of California System; University of California Los Angeles;
Stanford University
RP Garfin, DR (corresponding author), Fielding Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Community Hlth
Sci, 650 Charles E Young Dr South,36-071 CHS, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA.
EM dgarfin@ucla.edu
FU National Science Foundation [SES-2030139, BCS-1902925, SBE-1760764];
National Center for Atmospheric Research - National Science Foundation
[M0856145]; [K01 MD013910]
FX The authors wish to thank Wendy Mansfield and Ying Wang from Ipsos for
their contributions to the design and administration of the survey and
to Baruch Fischhoff for his contribution to the initial design of the
survey. We thank Roxane Cohen Silver and E. Alison Homan for their
contributions to the initial project (including funding acquisition)
from which this sample was drawn. This research was supported by the
National Science Foundation under grants SES-2030139, BCS-1902925, and
SBE-1760764 and the National Center for Atmospheric Research sponsored
by the National Science Foundation under Cooperative Agreement No.
M0856145. Dana Rose Garfin was supported by K01 MD013910. Dana Rose
Garfin was at the University of California, Irvine at the time of data
collection and manuscript submission.
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NR 89
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 5
U2 14
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 0272-4332
EI 1539-6924
J9 RISK ANAL
JI Risk Anal.
PD JUL
PY 2023
VL 43
IS 7
BP 1370
EP 1386
DI 10.1111/risa.14032
EA OCT 2022
PG 17
(SSCI)
GA L6DH8
UT WOS:000865651700001
PM 36217752
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Okumura, N
Jonkman, SN
Esteban, M
Hofland, B
Shibayama, T
AF Okumura, Non
Jonkman, Sebastiaan N.
Esteban, Miguel
Hofland, Bas
Shibayama, Tomoya
TI A method for tsunami risk assessment: a case study for Kamakura, Japan
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DT Article
DE Tsunami risk assessment; Probability of flooding; Run-up and inundation
scenarios; Kamakura; Risk-reduction interventions
AB This paper presents a methodology for tsunami risk assessment, which was applied
to a case study in Kamakura, Japan. This methodology was developed in order to
evaluate the effectiveness of a risk-reducing system against such hazards, also
aiming to demonstrate that a risk assessment is possible for these episodic events.
The tsunami risk assessment follows these general steps: (1) determination of the
probability of flooding, (2) calculation of flood scenarios, (3) assessment of the
consequences and (4) integration into a risk number or graph. The probability of
flooding was approximated based on the data provided by local institutes, and the
flood scenarios were modeled in 1D using the Simulating WAves till SHore model.
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Interventions such as improvements in evacuation systems, which would directly
reduce the number of casualties, would have a large influence in risk reduction.
Although this method has its limits and constraints, it illustrates the value it
can add to existing tsunami risk management in Japan.
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Civil Engn & Geosci, Stevinweg 1, NL-2628 CN Delft, Netherlands.
[Esteban, Miguel] Univ Tokyo, Grad Sch Frontier Sci, 5-1-5 Kashiwanoha,T277-
8563, Kashiwa, Chiba, Japan.
[Shibayama, Tomoya] Waseda Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Shinjuku Ku, 3-4-1
Okubo, Tokyo 1698555, Japan.
C3 Delft University of Technology; University of Tokyo; Waseda University
RP Okumura, N (corresponding author), Delft Univ Technol, Fac Civil Engn & Geosci,
Stevinweg 1, NL-2628 CN Delft, Netherlands.
EM nonjapan@gmail.com; s.n.jonkman@tudelft.nl; esteban.fagan@gmail.com;
b.hofland@tudelft.nl; shibayama@waseda.jp
OI Jonkman, Sebastiaan/0000-0003-0162-8281; Hofland,
Bas/0000-0003-1643-6469; Shibayama, Tomoya/0000-0002-2348-244X; Esteban,
Miguel/0000-0003-3032-499X
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U2 16
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
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EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
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PY 2017
VL 88
IS 3
BP 1451
EP 1472
DI 10.1007/s11069-017-2928-x
PG 22
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA FC3VH
UT WOS:000406767000008
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU AsSalek, JA
AF AsSalek, JA
TI Negative surges in the Meghna estuary in Bangladesh
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LA English
DT Article
ID BENGAL; BAY
AB Negative surges destroy coastal aquaculture installations and hinder rescue-
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sensitivity to the astronomical tides and to the propagation path of a cyclone. The
mechanism of negative surges in the Meghna estuary is also discussed.
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NR 21
TC 10
Z9 10
U1 0
U2 3
PI BOSTON
PA 45 BEACON ST, BOSTON, MA 02108-3693
SN 0027-0644
J9 MON WEATHER REV
JI Mon. Weather Rev.
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BP 1638
EP 1648
DI 10.1175/1520-0493(1997)125<1638:NSITME>2.0.CO;2
PG 11
GA XJ257
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OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Mishra, M
Acharyya, T
Pattnaik, N
AF Mishra, Manoranjan
Acharyya, Tamoghna
Pattnaik, Namita
TI Characterizing shifting pattern of disaster-induced death and disaster
management policies: a regional analysis from Odisha, India
SO CURRENT SCIENCE
LA English
DT Article
DE Disaster-induced death; mitigation strategies; regional analysis;
shifting patterns
ID MULTIPLE DISASTERS; NATURAL DISASTERS; HEAT-WAVE; ORISSA; VULNERABILITY;
MORTALITY; CYCLONE; GENDER; TEMPERATURE; EXTREMES
AB A study was conducted to understand if the disaster death in Odisha, India
across five categories, viz. tropical cyclone, lightning, heat wave, cold wave and
extreme precipitation events underwent any significant change during 2001-14. It
was based on time-series data available at the National Data Portal of India.
Results of the study suggest that the number of fatalities from sporadic meso-scale
meteorological hazards like cyclones and heavy precipitation have drastically
reduced due to better forecasting and effective evacuation strategies adopted by
the Government. However, fatalities due to more frequent recurring extreme events,
such as lightning and heat stress are on the rise. Male adults and middle-aged
people (30-44 and 45-59 years respectively) constituted the most vulnerable groups
affected by lightning and heat stress which account for maximum number of deaths in
the state. Older population (especially older women) were more vulnerable towards
cold wave due to reduced thermoregulatory mechanism. The finding is significant,
because often deaths due to lightning injury, heat stress and cold wave either go
unnoticed or are under-reported. We expect that the present study which focuses on
gender and age disag-gregated death would help in adopting more targeted mitigation
or adaptation strategies in Odisha. The study also points out the need of a single
and detailed spatio-temporal data infrastructure for all kinds of disaster deaths
for more in-depth and insightful analysis.
C1 [Mishra, Manoranjan] Khallikote Univ, Dept Nat Resource Management &
Geoinformat, Berhampur 761008, India.
[Acharyya, Tamoghna] Xavier Univ, Sch Sustainabil, Plot 12 A, Bhubaneswar
752050, Harirajpur, India.
[Pattnaik, Namita] Govt Coll Autonomous, Dept Geog, Angul 759143, India.
RP Acharyya, T (corresponding author), Xavier Univ, Sch Sustainabil, Plot 12 A,
Bhubaneswar 752050, Harirajpur, India.
EM acharyyat@xsos.edu.in
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NR 44
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 0
U2 7
PU INDIAN ACAD SCIENCES
PI BANGALORE
PA C V RAMAN AVENUE, SADASHIVANAGAR, P B #8005, BANGALORE 560 080, INDIA
SN 0011-3891
J9 CURR SCI INDIA
JI Curr. Sci.
PD JUN 10
PY 2021
VL 120
IS 11
BP 1721
EP 1727
DI 10.18520/cs/v120/i11/1721-1727
PG 7
GA SQ7PD
UT WOS:000660542700028
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Lejano, RP
Rahman, MS
Kabir, L
Urrutia, I
AF Lejano, Raul P.
Rahman, Muhammad Saidur
Kabir, Laila
Urrutia, Ignacio
TI Perspectives from the field: Evaluation of a relational model of risk
communication in the context of extreme weather
LA English
DT Article
DE Extreme weather; Risk communication; Relational model; Climate change
ID BANGLADESH; FRAMEWORK; ADOPTION
AB This perspectives piece examines efforts to enact a new approach to risk
communication (referred to as the relational model of risk communication) in the
field. The model involves empowering community residents to translate and spread
knowledge concerning risks from extreme weather events. The process of implementing
and evaluating the model by the Cyclone Preparedness Programme of Bangladesh is
described. Of particular interest is the task of analyzing the program's effects in
practice, which involved an ad hoc exercise in data collection and analysis. The
study found that the enhanced mode of risk communication was indeed practiced in
the field. Secondly, there was a marked improvement in evacuation behavior, which
may partly be due to the risk communication program. The inquiry underscores both
the potential and challenges of conducting field evaluation (whether after or
during an event). The capacities for evaluation of field agents need to be
fostered, as well as the construction of systematic data collection instruments for
use in real-time.
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239 Greene St, New York, NY 10003 USA.
[Rahman, Muhammad Saidur] Bangladesh Disaster Preparedness Ctr, 15-A 1st
Floor,08 Rd 08, Dhaka 1212, Bangladesh.
[Kabir, Laila] World Bank Siam Tower,30 Rama I Rd, Bangkok 10330, Thailand.
C3 New York University
RP Lejano, RP (corresponding author), New York Univ, Sch Culture Educ & Human Dev,
239 Greene St, New York, NY 10003 USA.
EM lejano@nyu.edu
RI Lejano, Raul Perez/H-4459-2012
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NR 30
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 0
U2 3
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-0963
J9 CLIM RISK MANAG
PY 2022
VL 37
AR 100444
DI 10.1016/j.crm.2022.100444
EA JUL 2022
PG 8
Sciences
(SSCI)
GA 3F3RD
UT WOS:000830587300001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Distefano, SM
Graf, JM
Lowry, AW
Sitler, GC
AF Distefano, SM
Graf, JM
Lowry, AW
Sitler, GC
TI Preparing, improvising, and caring for children during mass transport
after a disaster
SO PEDIATRICS
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane Katrina; pediatrics; mass transport; disaster planning
ID EVACUATION; EMERGENCY
C1 Texas Childrens Hosp, Patient Care Serv Div, Houston, TX 77030 USA.
Baylor Coll Med, Dept Pediat, Houston, TX 77030 USA.
C3 Baylor College of Medicine; Baylor College of Medicine
RP Distefano, SM (corresponding author), Texas Childrens Hosp, Patient Care Serv
Div, Houston, TX 77030 USA.
EM smdistef@texaschildrenshospital.org
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NR 19
TC 7
Z9 7
U1 0
U2 0
PU AMER ACAD PEDIATRICS
PI ELK GROVE VILLAGE
PA 141 NORTH-WEST POINT BLVD,, ELK GROVE VILLAGE, IL 60007-1098 USA
SN 0031-4005
EI 1098-4275
J9 PEDIATRICS
JI Pediatrics
PD MAY
PY 2006
VL 117
IS 5
SU S
BP S421
EP S427
DI 10.1542/peds.2006-0099P
PG 7
WC Pediatrics
SC Pediatrics
GA 038GT
UT WOS:000237207800015
PM 16735277
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
EF

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