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    Gianfranco Di Costa
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    This document contains a transition matrix showing the probabilities of different modes of transportation (subte, colectivo, taxi) being used from one trip to the next. It then shows the results of multiplying this transition matrix by an initial probability distribution over four time periods, with the probabilities converging to a steady state distribution of approximately 0.2 for each mode of transportation by the fourth time period.

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    This document contains a transition matrix showing the probabilities of different modes of transportation (subte, colectivo, taxi) being used from one trip to the next. It then shows the results of multiplying this transition matrix by an initial probability distribution over four time periods, with the probabilities converging to a steady state distribution of approximately 0.2 for each mode of transportation by the fourth time period.

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    © All Rights Reserved
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    8 views2 pages

    Markov

    Uploaded by

    Gianfranco Di Costa
    This document contains a transition matrix showing the probabilities of different modes of transportation (subte, colectivo, taxi) being used from one trip to the next. It then shows the results of multiplying this transition matrix by an initial probability distribution over four time periods, with the probabilities converging to a steady state distribution of approximately 0.2 for each mode of transportation by the fourth time period.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
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    of 2

    Subte Colectivo Taxi A0

    Subte 0.6 0.25 0.15


    Matriz de transicion Colectivo 0.2 0.7 0.1
    Taxi 0.2 0.25 0.55

    p2 0.6 0.25 0.15 0.6 0.25


    0.2 0.7 0.1 x 0.2 0.7
    0.2 0.25 0.55 0.2 0.25

    p3 0.6 0.25 0.15 0.44 0.36


    0.2 0.7 0.1 x 0.28 0.56
    0.2 0.25 0.55 0.28 0.36

    p4 0.6 0.25 0.15 0.37 0.41


    0.2 0.7 0.1 x 0.31 0.5
    0.2 0.25 0.55 0.31 0.41
    0.2 0.5 0.3

    0.15 0.44 0.36 0.19


    0.1 ´= 0.28 0.56 0.15
    0.55 0.28 0.36 0.35

    0.19 0.37 0.41 0.21


    0.15 = 0.31 0.5 0.18
    0.35 0.31 0.41 0.27

    0.21
    0.18
    0.27

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