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MARKET RECAP at 4 pm ET

The S&P 500 ended slightly lower as


investors bet on a more hawkish-than-
Coming Up - On Monday
expected Federal Reserve response to A survey from the Institute for Supply Stellantis NV North American COO
a strong payrolls report. Longer-dated Management is scheduled to show its Mark Stewart are scheduled to speak
Treasury yields and the dollar fell. Oil non-manufacturing PMI fell to 53.1 in at the Automotive News Congress to
dipped in a choppy session ahead of November from 54.4 in October. The be held in Detroit.
the OPEC+ meeting on Sunday. Gold Commerce Department is expected to
prices retreated from a near 4-month report that factory orders rose 0.7% in The S&P Global services and
high. October after increasing 0.3% in composite PMI data for Brazil for
September. The S&P Global November is due for release.
STOCKS Close Chng % Chng Yr-high Yr-low composite PMI final and services Separately, the national statistics
DJIA 34429.88 34.87 0.10 36952.65 28660.94 PMI final are also due for release. agency of Mexico is scheduled to
Nasdaq 11461.50 -20.95 -0.18 15852.14 10088.83 release consumer confidence index
S&P 500 4071.70 -4.87 -0.12 4818.62 3491.58 Ford Motor Co CEO Jim Farley and data for November.
Toronto 20488.35 -37.10 -0.18 22213.07 17873.18
FTSE 7556.23 -2.26 -0.03 7687.27 6707.62
Eurofirst 1751.99 -2.47 -0.14 1921.56 1506.25 KEY ECONOMIC EVENTS
Nikkei 27777.90 -448.18 -1.59 29388.16 24681.74
Events ET Poll Prior
Hang Seng 18675.35 -61.09 -0.33 25050.59 14597.31
S&P Global Composite Final PMI for Nov 0945 -- 46.3
TREASURIES Yield Price S&P Global Services PMI Final for Nov 0945 -- 46.1
10-year 3.4844 12 /32 Employment Trends for Nov 1000 -- 119.57
2-year 4.2697 -1 /32 Durables ex-defence, R mm for Oct 1000 -- 0.8%
5-year 3.6468 5 /32
Durable goods, R mm for Oct 1000 -- 1.0%
30-year 3.5414 57 /32
Factory orders mm for Oct 1000 0.7% 0.3%
Durables ex-transport R mm for Oct 1000 -- 0.5%
FOREX Last % Chng
Non-defence cap ex-air R mm for Oct 1000 -- 0.7%
Euro/Dollar 1.0533 0.10 Factory ex-transport mm for Oct 1000 -- -0.1%
Dollar/Yen 134.33 -0.69
Sterling/Dollar 1.2283 0.24
ISM N-Manufacturing PMI for Nov 1000 53.1 54.4
Dollar/CAD 1.3466 0.25 ISM N-Manufacturing Business Activity for Nov 1000 -- 55.7
USD/CNH (Offshore) 7.0166 -0.30 ISM N-Manufacturing Employment Index for Nov 1000 -- 49.1
ISM N-Manufacturing New Orders Index for Nov 1000 -- 56.5
COMMODITIES ($) Price Chng % Chng ISM N-Manufacturing Price Paid Index for Nov 1000 -- 70.7
Front Month Crude /barrel 80.14 -1.08 -1.33
Spot gold (NY/oz) 1797.39 -5.50 -0.31

Coming Up - Week Ahead


Copper U.S. (front month/lb) 0.0386 0.0004 1.17
CRB Index Total Return 299.18 -2.97 -0.98

S&P 500 Price $ Chng % Chng

GAINERS On the U.S. economic tap, the Labor The Labor Department is expected to
Enphase Energy Inc 336.00 22.00 7.01 Department is scheduled to report a report on Friday the producer price
Solaredge Technologies Inc 308.77 13.00 4.40 rise in initial jobless claims on index for final demand rose 7.2% in
Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc 240.66 9.76 4.22 Thursday to 230,000 for the week the 12 months through November,
LOSERS
ended Dec. 3, from 225,000 in the compared to an 8.0% rise in the year-
PayPal Holdings Inc 74.66 -3.87 -4.93
Valero Energy Corp 127.11 -4.92 -3.73
previous week. Continued jobless ago period. On a month-on-month
EQT Corp 39.98 -1.54 -3.71 claims data is also due for release. basis, the producer price index for
final demand likely remained On Thursday, U.S. oil major Exxon scheduled to be sentenced on
unchanged at 0.2% in November. The Mobil Corp is expected to release Wednesday by a U.S. judge on his
producer price index, excluding details of its capital spending and oil convictions for defrauding investors in
food and energy, likely fell 5.9% in production plans through 2027. The the blood testing startup and patients
November. The Commerce company will also hold a conference who received flawed tests.
Department is set to report on Tuesday call with analysts to update its
a U.S. trade deficit of $79.1 billion in corporate plan thereafter. On Friday, Turquoise Hill
October, up from a deficit of $73.3 shareholders will vote on Rio Tinto's
billion in the previous month. On The Bank of Canada is expected to $3.3-billion bid to buy them out, which
Friday, the University of Michigan is set increase the interest rate to 4.25% from would deliver to Rio majority ownership
to report that preliminary December 3.75% when it announces its rate and control of the giant Oyu Tolgoi
reading on the overall index on decision on Wednesday. Separately, copper mine in Mongolia.
consumer sentiment rose to 57.0 Sharon Kozicki, deputy governor at
from 56.8 in the previous month. the Bank of Canada, will give an Canada's Ivey Purchasing Managers
Meanwhile, the Commerce Department economic progress report on Thursday. Index data is due for release on
is scheduled to release wholesale Tuesday. Statistics Canada is set to
inventories data on the same day. Lululemon Athletica Inc on Thursday release the trade balance report for
is expected to report a rise in third- October on Tuesday and the Canadian
Costco Wholesale Corp on Thursday quarter revenue, benefiting from strong industries' capacity utilisation report
is expected to post a rise in first-quarter demand for its sportswear and for the third quarter on Friday.
revenue, benefiting from a resilient athleisure apparel as well as price
demand for its fresh food, grocery and increases. Investors will look out for The Brazilian central bank's rate
fuel offerings even in the face of comments on a shift in consumer decision is expected on Wednesday.
decades-high inflation. Investors will be spending, excess inventory, supply- Inflation data for November in Brazil
on the lookout for comments from the chain disruptions, impact of the Russia- as measured by the IGP-DI price
company on impacts from inflation, Ukraine conflict and COVID-19 index, and auto sales data for
stronger dollar, shift in consumer lockdowns in China. November are also due for release on
behavior and trends during the Former Theranos Inc President Wednesday. Brazil's retail sales data
Thanksgiving weekend. Ramesh "Sunny" Balwani is for October is due for release on
Thursday.

On Wednesday, Mexico's central bank


will publish its financial stability
report. Mexico's inflation, producer
price index and consumer price
index data are expected on Thursday.

Argentina's industrial output data for


October is due for release on
Wednesday. On Tuesday, Chile's
central bank is expected to announce
its interest rate decision. Chile's
inflation and trade balance data for
November are due on Wednesday.
Peru's central bank interest rate
decision is scheduled for Wednesday.

LIVECHAT-REUTERS GLOBAL
MARKETS FORUM
Reuters FX analyst Jeremy Boulton
discusses G7 currencies and select EM
A file photo of a sign seen outside a Costco Wholesale store in Glenview, Illinois, U.S., May 24, FX pairs. (0600 ET/1100 GMT) To join
2016. REUTERS/Jim Young the discussion, click here

2
Market Monitor
The S&P 500 closed slightly lower
although major indexes rallied off their
worst levels of the day, as the
November payrolls report fueled
expectations the Federal Reserve
would maintain its path of interest rate
hikes to combat inflation. "If anything, I
am actually encouraged by how the
market is clawing its way back from the
level we were at today, it is another
indication the market is looking for at
least a seasonal December rally," said
Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist
at CFRA in New York. "The market is
beginning to look across the valley and
say, 'OK, a year from now the Fed will
likely be on hold and considering
cutting rates.'" The S&P 500 fell 0.12%
to 4,071.70, the Nasdaq composite
index declined 0.18% to 11,461.50 and
the Dow Jones Industrial Average
was up 0.10% at 34,429.88. For the
week, the Dow added 0.24%, the S&P likely to slow and as investors took growing rumblings that OPEC might try
500 rose 1.13% and the Nasdaq profits from earlier gains after jobs data to shock and awe the market at their
gained 2.10%. and wage inflation were surprisingly weekend meeting," said Phil Flynn, an
strong in November and muddied the analyst at Price Futures group. OPEC+
Treasury yields pared sharp gains outlook for how hawkish the U.S. is widely expected to stick to its latest
after a strong jobs report for November central bank will be. Chicago Fed target of reducing oil production by 2
showed a resilient labor market with President Charles Evans said that the million barrels per day (bpd) when it
rising wages, a potential thorn for the pace of increases is likely to slow, but meets on Sunday, but some analysts
Federal Reserve as it moves to slow its added that the U.S. central bank will believe that crude prices could fall if the
hiking of interest rates to tame high likely need to raise borrowing costs to a group does not make further cuts.
inflation. The acceleration in average "slightly higher" peak than envisioned Brent crude futures were down 1.17%
hourly earnings and a third-straight in forecasts from September. at $85.86 per barrel. U.S. West Texas
drop in labor force participation will Richmond Fed President Thomas Intermediate crude futures fell 1.27%
likely trouble Fed policymakers, said Barkin also said the United States is to $80.19 a barrel.
Joe LaVorgna, chief U.S. economist at likely in a sustained period in which
SMBC Nikko Securities in New York. there will remain a shortage of workers, Gold prices slipped, retreating from a
"Their intention from what Powell has complicating the Fed's aim of getting near-four month high, after robust U.S.
said and from what the latest data labor demand back into balance. The jobs data fanned concerns that the
show is that they will keep rates up at dollar index was down 0.15% at Federal Reserve might stick with its
these levels until it's clear inflation is 104.58. The euro gained 0.10% to aggressive monetary policy tightening.
trending lower," he said, referring to the $1.0532. The greenback slipped "With the U.S. jobs number coming in
U.S. central bank chairman, Jerome 0.72% against the Japanese yen to much stronger than expected... what
Powell. The two-year notes were 134.29 yen. we're seeing is the concern that the
down 1/32, yielding 4.2697. The Fed may need to go further with their
benchmark 10-year notes rose 12/32, Oil prices slipped in choppy trading expected interest rate hikes," said
to yield 3.4844% and the 30- year ahead of a meeting of the Organization David Meger, director of metals trading
bonds were up 1-24/32, yielding of the Petroleum Exporting Countries at High Ridge Future. Spot gold fell
3.5422%. and its allies (OPEC+) on Sunday and 0.28% to $1,797.81 per ounce, after
an EU ban on Russian crude on earlier hitting its highest since Aug. 10
The dollar dipped as a Federal Monday. "Traders will be hesitant to be at $1,804.46. U.S. gold futures were
Reserve official said rate hikes are short over the weekend if there are down 0.20% at $1,811.50 per ounce.

3
Top News
U.S. labor market shrugs off
recession fears; keeps Fed on
tightening path
U.S. employers hired more workers
than expected in November and
increased wages, shrugging off
mounting worries of a recession, but
that will probably not stop the Federal
Reserve from slowing the pace of its
interest rate hikes starting this month.
Despite the strong job growth, some
details of the Labor Department's
closely watched employment report
were a bit weak, which economists said
could be flagging upcoming labor
market weakness. Household
employment decreased for a second
straight month. About 186,000 people
left the labor force, keeping the
unemployment rate unchanged at
3.7%. Nonfarm payrolls increased by
263,000 jobs last month. Data for
October was revised higher to show
payrolls rising 284,000 instead of
261,000 as previously reported.
Monthly job growth of 100,000 is
needed to keep pace with growth in the
labor force. Economists polled by
Exchange President Lynn Martin said the investment announced on Friday
Reuters had forecast payrolls
institutional investors will be unlikely are already underway, with others
increasing 200,000. With the labor
embrace crypto without clearer rules. planned to begin early next year, Pfizer
market still tight, average hourly
"There was no regulatory framework, said in a press release. At the plant in
earnings increased 0.6% after
and an institutional investor is not going Ireland, expansion is expected to begin
advancing 0.5% in October. That
to really dip their toe in a meaningful in 2024 and to be completed in 2027,
raised the annual increase in wages to
way in a market unless they the company said. Meanwhile, French
5.1% from 4.9% in October. Wage
understand what the regulatory drugmaker Sanofi said that if it decides
growth peaked at 5.6% in March.
framework is," Martin said. to bid for biotech company Horizon
Therapeutics, it would do so in cash.
After FTX collapse, pressure builds
Pfizer to invest more than $2.5 To read more, click here
for tougher crypto rules
billion to expand European
Regulators must step in to protect
manufacturing Florida mulls U-turn on move to
crypto investors after the collapse of
Pfizer is investing more than $2.5 strip Disney theme-parks of self-
FTX, financial industry executives and
billion at its drug making plants in governing status – FT
lawmakers said at the Reuters NEXT
Belgium and Ireland, gearing up to Florida lawmakers are mulling plans to
conference this week, the latest call for
launch new products it hopes can reverse a move that would strip Walt
tougher oversight of a sector prone to
replace lost revenue as patents expire Disney of its right to operate a private
meltdowns. "The collapse of something
and COVID-19 vaccine sales decline. government around its famous theme-
as major as FTX just illustrates the
The drugmaker said it plans to spend parks, the Financial Times reported,
importance of transparency,
more than 1.2 billion euros to expand citing people briefed on the plan. The
importance of appropriate regulatory
its Puurs, Belgium, manufacturing site, state lawmakers are working on a
protection, regulatory requirements for
matching the investment at its Dublin, compromise that would allow Disney to
all financial activities," Laura Cha,
Ireland, plant announced on Thursday. keep the arrangement largely in place
chairman of Hong Kong Exchanges
In Belgium, some projects related to with a few modifications, the FT report
and Clearing said. New York Stock

4
said. A spokesperson at DeSantis' violated our rule against incitement to according to a source familiar with the
office said that the governor "does not violence. Account will be suspended," matter. Goldman Sachs Group is also
make U-turns," but added that a plan Musk tweeted in reply to a Twitter user planning to shrink the year-end
was in the works and would soon be who said "Elon Fix Kanye Please". Ye, bonuses for traders at its global
released. "We will have an even who had more than 30 million followers markets unit by a low double-digit
playing field for businesses in Florida, on Twitter before his suspension, did percentage, a separate report from
and the state certainly owes no special not respond to requests for comment. It Bloomberg News said, citing people
favors to one company. Disney's debts was not immediately clear if Ye would with knowledge of the discussions.
will not fall on taxpayers of Florida." be allowed back on Twitter and the
Separately, Disney Channel will stop company did not respond to requests EQT-THQ Appalachia latest U.S.
broadcasting in Russia from Dec. 14, for comment. Ye posted a screenshot energy deal to face regulatory delay
the Kommersant newspaper reported, on Trump's Truth Social platform, Natural gas producer EQT said the
citing other media. To read more, click showing his Twitter account would be U.S. antitrust regulator has asked for
here suspended for 12 hours. more information on its planned $5.2
billion buyout of THQ Appalachia I LLC
Musk delivers first Tesla truck, but Amazon's media chief Jeff and associated pipeline infrastructure.
no update on output, pricing Blackburn to retire "We think the deal will get done and
Tesla Chief Executive Elon Musk Amazon.com's top media executive aren't surprised by the requests in the
delivered the company's first heavy- Jeff Blackburn plans to retire at the (second request) process given the
duty Semi on Thursday to PepsiCo start of 2023, the e-commerce giant increased scrutiny in the current
without offering updated forecasts for said. The company said that the media environment," said Gabriele Sorbara,
the truck's pricing, production plans or and entertainment businesses, led by analyst at Siebert Williams Shank, in
how much cargo it could haul. Musk, Blackburn since May last year, will be an emailed comment. EQT, the biggest
who appeared onstage at an event at overseen by two current executives, U.S. natural gas producer, said it plans
Tesla's Nevada plant, said the battery- Mike Hopkins and Steve Boom, who to cooperate with the regulator's
powered, long-haul truck would reduce will report directly to CEO Andy Jassy. request. It has begun talks with THQ's
highway emissions, outperform existing The businesses include Prime Video, pipeline operator XcL Midstream and
diesel models on power and safety and Amazon Studios, Music, Audible, THQ itself to amend deal terms in case
spin-off a fast-charging technology Games, and Twitch. Blackburn, who it does not close by Dec. 30 as
Tesla would use in its upcoming also served as senior vice president at originally planned.
Cybertruck pickup. Musk said the Semi Amazon, joined Amazon in 1998 and
has been doing test runs between guided the company through its initial United Airlines nears deal with
Tesla's Sparks, Nevada factory and its public offering prospectus at Deutsche Boeing for major 787 order –
plant in Fremont, California. Tesla said Bank. "I've decided to spend 2023 sources
it had completed a 500-mile drive on a differently, giving more time to family, United Airlines is close to reaching a
single charge, with the Semi and cargo and feel strongly this is the right deal with Boeing for a major 787
weighing in at 81,000 pounds in total. . decision for me," said Blackburn. Over Dreamliner order, two sources briefed
Separately, Uber and self-driving the past year and a half, Blackburn was on the matter told Reuters. The precise
technology company Aurora Innovation a key figure behind the success of size of the order could not immediately
will expand their driverless pilot shows like "Rings of Power" as well as be determined but is expected to be
program in Texas to meet increased the acquisition of movie studio MGM significant and announced as soon as
delivery demand during the holidays. this year, said Amazon. this month, the sources said. The Wall
To read more, click here Street Journal, which reported the plan
Wall Street bankers to see bonuses earlier, said United was close to
Twitter suspends Kanye West's shrink as dealmaking sputters - ordering dozens of 787 Dreamliners.
account again Bloomberg Law United and Boeing both declined to
Twitter suspended the account of Ye, Wall Street banks are weighing plans comment. United had 64 787
the artist formerly known as Kanye to slash bonuses this year, Bloomberg Dreamliners at the end of September
West again, just two months after it Law reported, as investment banking and will have 68 by the end of 2022.
was reinstated, because Elon Musk comes under pressure from choppy The Federal Aviation Administration
said the rapper violated the platform's markets and a high interest-rate cleared the way for deliveries to
rules prohibiting incitement to violence. environment. Citigroup and Bank of resume after the agency approved
Ye's account showed a notice that it America are considering cutting bonus Boeing's inspection and retrofit plan
was suspended, after one of his posts pools by as much as 30%, the report needed to meet certification standards
had earlier appeared to show a said, citing people with knowledge of in July.
swastika symbol inside a Star of David. the internal deliberations. JPMorgan
"I tried my best. Despite that, he again Chase is also planning bonus cuts,

5
The Almaty Television Tower peeks out from under a blanket of thick fog in Almaty, Kazakhstan, December 1. REUTERS/Pavel Mikheyev

Insight and Analysis


COLUMN-Dodging recession could Blackstone REIT restriction a FOCUS-Merck could keep its patent
whiplash markets: Mike Dolan possible warning sign for markets edge by shifting Keytruda cancer
Recession of some sort next year is While there has been little wider fallout drug to a simple shot
fast becoming consensus - to such an from this week's surge in redemption U.S. drugmaker Merck hopes to patent
extent that financial markets could find requests at an unlisted Blackstone real a new formulation of its $20 billion
themselves whiplashed if it doesn't estate income trust (REIT), it is being cancer immunotherapy Keytruda that
materialise. The gist of most 2023 read by some as a warning sign. can be injected under the skin, allowing
outlooks is for a year of contracting Blackstone limited withdrawals from its it to protect its best-selling drug from
activity at some point, disinflation and $69 billion unlisted REIT on Thursday competition expected as soon as 2028.
peaking interest rates. The investment after redemption requests hit pre-set For years Merck has relied on Keytruda
upshot is a bias for bonds, a snubbing limits amid investor concerns it was to fuel its growth. The treatment,
of the overvalued dollar and a volatile slow to adjust valuations as interest approved in 2014, harnesses the
year for equities that will struggle to get rate surged, a source said. The body's own immune system to fight
much beyond current levels in 12 development is yet another reminder of cancers with dramatic results. Against
months. Energy prices, Ukraine and the risks facing not just sectors that are advanced lung cancer, it has led to a
China's reopening remain the biggest sensitive to higher interest rates but five-year survival rate in about one-
wild cards. may endure through early also broader financial markets, which quarter of people compared to 5% of
next year. But neither incoming hard have rallied sharply on hopes that people historically. How much hospitals
economic numbers nor many senior interest rate hikes will slow. Investors and doctors embrace the method could
policymakers have fully bought into the said they expected further declines in reflect how they will be impacted by the
recession idea just yet. REITs and the property sector. change financially.

6
CANADA
Market Monitor COMING UP - ON MONDAY

Statistics Canada is expected to


Canada's main stock index fell after release Canadian building permits
data showed that the country's for October.
economy had added more-than- TSE's S&P/TSX composite Price C$ Chng % Chng
anticipated jobs in November.
GAINERS
Tilray Brands Inc 6.15 0.54 9.63
The Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/ Canopy Growth Corp 5.76 0.48 9.09
TSX composite index ended 0.20% Cronos Group Inc 4.67 0.27 6.14
lower at 20,484.05. BELLUS Health Inc 13.71 0.56 4.26
Algoma Steel Group Inc 9.17 0.30 3.38
LOSERS
The U.S. dollar up 0.24% against its
Wesdome Gold Mines Ltd 8.97 -0.84 -8.56
Canadian counterpart at C$1.3464. Canadian Western Bank 24.28 -1.14 -4.48
REUTERS/Mark Blinch Nuvei Corp 40.05 -1.65 -3.96
ECN Capital Corp 2.99 -0.12 -3.86
Brookfield Asset Management 60.75 -2.02 -3.22
Inc

Top News
Canada's November jobless rate of macro strategy at Desjardins. $1.067 billion. CIBC said it had
edges down ahead of rate decision Average hourly wages of permanent satisfied all its obligations. The court
The Canadian economy added a employees increased 5.4% in issued a liability ruling against the
limited number of jobs in November November versus 5.5% the previous lender, but has not determined how
and the unemployment rate came in month, Statscan said. The small jobs much it will have to pay. The parties
lower than expected as fewer people gain was entirely for full-time work and will get to present arguments on the
looked for work, official data showed, in mostly in the services sector, while the damages at a hearing on Dec. 19,
a tepid report that may bolster the participation rate edged down to 64.8% CIBC said. The lawsuit, filed in 2015,
chances for a normal-sized interest from 64.9% in October. relates to an October 2008 transaction
rate increase next week. Canada in which CIBC issued a limited
added 10,100 jobs in November, REUTERS/Chris Helgren recourse note - a form of debt - to the
broadly in line with the forecast gain of Cerberus-controlled fund in exchange
5,000, while the jobless rate fell to for an investment. CIBC said it expects
5.1%, Statistics Canada said. The to recognize a provision tied to the
November report follows a monster case in its first-quarter results due in
gain of 108,300 jobs in October and February, without specifying numbers.
comes just days ahead of a Bank of The bank had so far believed that the
Canada policy-setting meeting on case "was more likely than not to
Wednesday. "To my mind, this is prevail at trial", it added.
evidence of a decelerating economy,"
said Andrew Kelvin, chief Canada Canadian pension fund CPPI to
strategist at TD Securities. He said he CIBC to appeal New York court's issue first 'reverse inquiry' bond on
sees a 25-basis-point hike next week ruling in Cerberus lawsuit investor demand
but that there is an equal chance of a Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Canada's largest pension fund CPP
bigger increase. "As a result of the only (CIBC) said it would appeal a New Investments (CPPI) is set to raise
modest gain in headline employment York court's ruling in a lawsuit brought C$500 million in its first "reverse
and the absence of any signs of against the bank by an entity of U.S. inquiry" bond, a debt instrument that is
accelerating wage growth, we continue private equity firm Cerberus Capital issued in response to investor demand,
to expect the Bank of Canada to hike Management. Cerberus had alleged a top official told Reuters. The bond
rates just 25 basis points next week," that CIBC defaulted on certain offer gives Canadian institutional
said Royce Mendes, director and head payments and is seeking damages of investors a rare opportunity to buy into

7
TC Energy's logo pictured on a smartphone in this illustration taken, December 4, 2021. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic

the pension manager's debt at an DEALTALK-'No sacred cows' as decade for an expansion that ultimately
attractive coupon. The offer is unique pipeline company TC Energy failed. But moving natural gas around
as it is tailored according to the terms prepares for C$5 billion asset sales the United States, Canada and Mexico
determined by the investors or bond As TC Energy prepares to unload C$5 is the bigger part of TC's business. TC
dealers instead of an issuer. It is the billion in assets next year, investors should consider selling Keystone along
first such bond issued by a pension and analysts say the North American with its stake in Ontario's Bruce Power
fund in Canada, and is popular among pipeline operator has plenty of options nuclear facility, since they are not part
provinces tapping debt markets. "What without touching its core gas business. of its core business, said Rob
we are really attempting to do here is to Chief Executive Francois Poirier Thummel, senior portfolio manager at
provide investors greater flexibility by cleared up any ambiguities this week TC shareholder Tortoise Capital
providing stronger voice in the program when asked how much of TC's portfolio Advisors. "As far as a strategy, they're
by providing reverse inquiry," Sam is in the shop window. "I remember trying to figure out, do they want to be
Dorri, Managing Director, Financing reading a book once called, 'Sacred a utility company or more of an
CPPI to Reuters. CPPI's three-year Cows Make the Best Burgers,'" Poirier infrastructure play?" Thummel said.
bond will open on Dec. 6 and offer a said at the company's investor day. "The stuff that's not core, you could
coupon of 3.95% with interest paid out "There are no sacred cows." Calgary, look at selling and implementing a
twice a year, Dorri added. Unlike Alberta-based TC is widely known for buyback program or look at energy
regular bonds, the terms of CPPI's its Keystone oil pipeline, a critical artery transition ideas."
offer were determined by investors for moving Canadian oil to U.S. refiners
seeking to buy these debt. that dominated headlines over the past

8
WEALTH NEWS
FED POLICY
As the Fed plans to 'raise and hold,' new projections
may show the cost
New U.S. Federal Reserve projections, issued later this
month alongside an expected half-point interest rate
increase, could show the central bank's target rate
headed toward levels last seen on the eve of the 2007
financial crisis, and will also reveal policymakers' best
guess of the fallout that will have for a so-far resilient job
market. A stronger-than-expected U.S. employment report
for November showed firms added 263,000 workers, with
hourly wages rising at a 5.1% annual rate and the size of
the labor force itself shrinking - all signs of a job market
both tight and speeding ahead even as the Fed hopes it
will begin to cool. Coupled with an only modest decline in
inflation so far, new projections from the Fed's 19
policymakers are likely to show rates continuing to rise
and to remain elevated through 2023, countering current A file photo of the Federal Reserve building seen in Washington, U.S., Janu-
ary 26. REUTERS/Joshua Roberts
market expectations for rate cuts by the end of next year.

LEGISLATION
Biden signs bill to block U.S. railroad strike
President Joe Biden signed legislation to block a national U.S. railroad strike that could have devastated the American
economy.

FED CLIMATE PROPOSITION


U.S. Fed proposes framework for how banks manage climate-related financial risk
The U.S. Federal Reserve Board proposed new guidance for how large banking institutions manage climate-related financial
risks, following proposals from other key financial regulators.

OPEC POLICY
OPEC+ seen heading for oil policy rollover, cut not ruled out
OPEC+ is likely to stick to its current oil output target when it meets on Sunday, two OPEC+ sources said, although some say
a further output cut is not completely off the table given concern about economic growth and demand.

BofA NOTE
Credit fund outflows in 2022 unwind last year's inflows -BofA
Investors have withdrawn $316 billion from credit funds this year, unwinding all of the previous year's inflows, BofA Global
Research said in a note.

FEES
Crypto meltdown a boon for bankruptcy lawyers
Turmoil in the cryptocurrency industry has rattled major exchanges and sent the value of digital assets tumbling, but at least
one group stands to gain: bankruptcy lawyers.

POLL
U.S. house prices to fall 12% peak to trough: analysts
A retreat in U.S. house prices will extend into next year, although the expected 12% peak-to-trough drop predicted by analysts
polled by Reuters would be just about one-third as severe as the last market correction 15 years ago.

9
ON THE RADAR
Events ET Poll Prior
Tue: International trade for Oct 0830 -$79.1 bln -$73.3 bln
Goods trade balance (R) for Oct 0830 -- -$99.00 bln

Wed: Unit labor costs revised for Q3 0830 3.2% 3.5%


Productivity revised for Q3 0830 0.5% 0.3%
Consumer credit for Oct 1500 $28.50 bln $24.98 bln

Thu: Initial jobless claims 0830 230,000 225,000


Jobless claims 4-week average 0830 -- 228,750
Continued jobless claims 0830 -- 1.608 mln

Fri: PPI Machine Manufacturing for Nov 0830 -- 171.3


PPI Final demand yy for Nov 0830 7.2% 8.0%
PPI Final demand mm for Nov 0830 0.2% 0.2%
PPI exfood/energy yy for Nov 0830 5.9% 6.7%
PPI exfood/energy mm for Nov 0830 0.2% 0.0%
PPI ex food/energy/transport yy for Nov 0830 -- 5.4%
PPI ex food/energy/transport mm for Nov 0830 -- 0.2%
U Mich Sentiment Preliminary for Dec 1000 57.0 56.8
U Mich Conditions Preliminary for Dec 1000 58.0 58.8
U Mich Expectations Preliminary for Dec 1000 55.3 55.6
U Mich 1-year inflation Preliminary for Dec 1000 -- 4.9%
U Mich 5-year inflation Inf Preliminary for Dec 1000 -- 3.0%
Wholesale inventories, R mm for Oct 1000 0.8% 0.8%
Wholesale sales mm for Oct 1000 -- 0.4%

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