Ms.

Olson Unit 1 Notes Part 1: Sampling Design AP Statistics

STEP 1: Watch the video: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1JuoxIedQMuJdv7lHlbmtMQ9-aG4QPKl8/view?usp=sharing

What is data?

How do we gather data?

Population:

Census:

Why don’t we use a census all of the time?

HOW GOOD IS A CENSUS?

Printed below is a story which can be used to demonstrate the effectiveness of a census. Assume
that the letter "G" or "g" is a defective product caused by the Gremlin, and that you are the
inspector. Allow yourself about 3 minutes to count all the G's or g's. Place your total at the bottom
of the story.
 Ms. Olson Unit 1 Notes Part 1: Sampling Design AP Statistics

A FAIRY TALE

While strolling through a glen, a giddy English girl tripped on a rather large, almost gigantic
frog. The girl staggered but regained her footing and was about to go on when the frog began to
speak and gesticulate to gain the girl's attention. "I have not always been a frog," he croaked. The
frog's green coloring seemed to glow brightly as he continued. "I was once a gracious knight. A
gentleman called Gallant George Grenville, but was changed into this ghastly frog you now see by an
ungodly, magical genie. The spell can only be broken if I gain a girl's good graces and spend a night
in her garden." The agog girl was skeptical, of course. She gazed at the frog's pleading eyes and
soon her doubts gave way to her giddy nature. Giggling, she decided to grant the frog's wish and
took him home straightway, putting him by her garden gate. That night the girl slept grandly and
sure enough, when she awoke the following morning, there alongside her garden gate was the
gracious knight, George Grenville. Well, strangely enough, for a long, long time the girl's mother did
not believe that story.

Total: ________

used by permission of Dr. Jim Matis, Texas A & M University

STEP 2: Watch the video: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1RU5GDCB2Zjui0BM_yXFP1TdJ3n40OeAo/view?usp=sharing

Why don’t we do a census all the time?

Sample:

Sampling design:

Sampling frame:
 Ms. Olson Unit 1 Notes Part 1: Sampling Design AP Statistics

STEP 3: Types of Sampling Designs: Watch the video for each of the following sampling designs.

1) Convenience Sampling
Video: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1o5UQqNQHDECsXX2_7_Qwlp9FmzwNgBpI/view?usp=sharing

2) Simple Random Sample (SRS)

Video: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1eyldoJ2-9T40h2JRiYmL2TEpJQvTHNOc/view?usp=sharing

Advantages:

Disadvantages:

3) Stratified Random Sample

Video: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1y-r3lr5kdd7_NGeVFFBkFb8fBept3bgX/view?usp=sharing

Advantages:

Disadvantages:
 Ms. Olson Unit 1 Notes Part 1: Sampling Design AP Statistics

4) Cluster Sample
Video: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1gIkjPvdU1UveQCBiVjcGXblOoMNmB63n/view?usp=sharing

Advantages:

Disadvantages:

5) Systematic Sample
Video: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1bOHAwheQtigsMyVIprjj4wRos3jvz0ed/view?usp=sharing

Advantages:

Disadvantages:

STEP 4: For the following problems, identify the sampling method used (ex. SRS). Check your answers
below.

1) The Educational Testing Service (ETS) needed a sample of colleges. ETS first divided all colleges
into groups of similar types (ex. small public, small private, etc). Then they randomly selected 3
colleges from each group.

2) A county commissioner wants to survey people in her district o determine their opinions on a
particular law up for adoption. She decides to randomly select city blocks in her district and then
survey all who live on those blocks.

3) A local restaurant manager wants to survey customers about the service they receive. Each
night the manager randomly chooses a number between 1 and 10. He then gives a survey to
that customer and to every 10th customer after them, to fill out before they leave.
 Ms. Olson Unit 1 Notes Part 1: Sampling Design AP Statistics

Video Solutions: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1J34LFMH5MqnukJNWlMtTQSnYf_PQhOD7/view?usp=sharing

STEP 5: Watch the video: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1IMqFcUvCKFjmHweRP8hY2rW8FZWsaesV/view?usp=sharing

How to pick numbers randomly

1) Random digit table

Suppose your population consisted of these 20 people:

1) Aidan 11) Kathy
2) Bob 12) Lou
3) Chico 13) Matthew
4) Doug 14) Nan
5) Edward 15) Opus
6) Fred 16) Paul
7) Gloria 17) Shawnie
8) Hannah 18) Tracy
9) Israel 19) Uncle Sam
10) Jung 20) Vernon

Use the random digits to select a sample of five from these people.

2) Random number generator

Math  Prob  RandInt (lower bound, upper bound, <optional = how many numbers you want picked>)

STEP 6: Watch the video: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1wAXVIbrURpGkOUyRJunQ4b6TNZ0m6QIH/view?usp=sharing

Bias:

Voluntary Response Bias:

Convenience Bias:
 Ms. Olson Unit 1 Notes Part 1: Sampling Design AP Statistics

Undercoverage:

Nonresponse Bias:

Response Bias:

Wording of the Question:

STEP 7: For each of the following situations, identify one form of bias present in the survey AND determine whether that
would cause the results from the sample to be higher or lower than the true population. Video solutions follow.

1) Before the presidential election of 1936, FDR against Republican Alf Landon, the magazine Literary Digest
predicted Landon would win after surveying 10 million people. The Digest’s survey came from magazine
subscribers, car owners, telephone directories, etc. (FYI: FDR won that election.)

2) Suppose that you want to estimate the total amount of money spent by students on textbooks each
semester at SMU. You collect register receipts for students as they leave the bookstore during lunch one
day.

3) To find the average value of a home in Plano, TX, one averages the price of homes that are listed for sale
with a realtor.

Video Solutions: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1bq-olCKh7q10eLQVoPHHKqOsdRo0Uk7m/view?usp=sharing