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European Journal of Operational Research 282 (2020) 957–971

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

European Journal of Operational Research


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ejor

Decision Support

Adaptive consensus reaching process with hybrid strategies for


large-scale group decision making
Ming Tang a, Huchang Liao a,∗, Jiuping Xu a, Dalia Streimikiene b, Xiaosong Zheng c
a
Business School, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, China
b
Kaunas Faculty, Vilnius University, Muitines 8, Kaunas LT-44280, Lithuania
c
SHU-UTS SILC Business School, Shanghai University, Shanghai 201899, China

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: Large-scale group decision making, which involves dozens to hundreds of experts, is attracting increasing
Received 4 December 2018 attention and has become an important topic in the field of decision making. Because of the clustering
Accepted 2 October 2019
process, a large-scale group decision making problem can be divided into two levels: inter sub-group and
Available online 10 October 2019
intra sub-group. In existing consensus models under the large-scale group decision making environment,
Keywords: the degree of consensus within the intra sub-group is not truly taken into account. To deal with this
Decision support systems issue, this work develops an adaptive consensus model for the sub-groups composed of hybrid strategies,
Large-scale group decision making with or without a feedback mechanism, according to the different levels of inter and intra degrees of
Adaptive consensus consensus. These different levels of consensus are divided into four scenarios (high–high, high–low, low–
Hybrid strategies high, low–low), and different feedback suggestions are generated corresponding to different cases. This
Reciprocal comparison matrices hybrid mechanism can reduce the cost of supervision for the moderator. The fuzzy c-means clustering
algorithm is used to classify experts. A weight-determining method combining the degree of cohesion and
the size of a sub-group is introduced. Finally, an illustrative example is offered to verify the practicability
of the proposed model. Some discussions and comparisons are provided to reveal the advantages and
features of the proposed model.
© 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction unrealistic. Many scholars have softened this strict definition


(Wu & Xu, 2016, 2018; Xu, Du et al., 2015; Zhang et al., 2018).
With the rapid expansion of technological paradigms such as Kacprzyk and Fedrizzi (1986, 1988, 1989) conducted a series of
e-democracy (Efremov, Insua & Lotov, 20 09; Kim, 20 08) and social work on soft consensus. A review on soft consensus can be found
networks (Liang, Liao & Liu, 2017), a decision-making problem may in Herrera-Viedma, Cabrerizo, Kacprzyk and Pedrycz (2014). Never-
include a large number of experts. Consequently, large-scale group theless, most existing consensus models (Chen, Lee, Yang & Sheu,
decision making (LSGDM), which includes dozens to hundreds 2012; Dong & Cooper, 2016; Gupta, 2018; Labella, Liu, Rodríguez
of experts, is attracting increasing attention and has become an & Martínez, 2018) only considered small-scale experts, and thus,
important topic in the decision-making field. Unlike the traditional may not be appropriate for handling LSGDM problems because
group decision making (GDM) problems in which few experts of the high adjustment cost or time limitation. A comprehensive
are involved, there are two mainly used standards to identify analysis of the limitations of classical consensus models can be
the LSGDM problems regarding the number of experts: one is 11 found in Labella et al. (2018).
experts (Xu, Du & Chen, 2015; Zhang, Dong & Herrera-Viedma, In practice, it is a challenge to reach an agreement with
2018) and the other is 20 experts (Wu & Xu, 2018). In this study, all experts owing to their different attitudes, motivations, and
we use the latter standard. That is to say, a GDM problem can be perceptions. Thus, the consensus reaching process (CRP) is es-
considered as an LSGDM problem if at least 20 experts participate. sential to obtain the best solution agreed by all experts in GDM.
Consensus is an important issue in GDM. Strictly speaking, Scholars have developed different CRP methods and structures
consensus means a unanimous agreement among all partici- in different contexts, such as the CRP in a dynamic/web context
pants concerning all alternatives. However, this concept is often (Pérez, Cabrerizo & Herrera-Viedma, 2010, 2011), CRP in a social
network (Capuano, Chiclana, Fujita & Herrera-Viedma, 2018),
consensus with minimum cost (Cheng, Zhou, Cheng, Zhou & Xie,

Corresponding author. 2018), and adaptive CRP (Chen et al., 2012; Dong & Cooper, 2016;
E-mail address: liaohuchang@163.com (H. Liao).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2019.10.006
0377-2217/© 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
958 M. Tang, H. Liao and J. Xu et al. / European Journal of Operational Research 282 (2020) 957–971

Gupta, 2018; Mata, Martínez & Herrera-Viedma, 2009; Pang, Liang Table 1
List of notations.
& Song, 2017; Pérez, Cabrerizo, Alonso & Herrera-Viedma, 2014;
Rodríguez, Labella, Tré & Martínez, 2018; Zhang, Zhu, Liu, Chen & Notations Meanings
Ma, 2017). Among these models, the adaptive CRP can generate X = {x1 , x2 , . . . , xn } A set of n alternatives
recommendations adaptively by considering dynamic parameters E = {e1 , e2 , . . . , em } A set of m experts
such as levels of group consensus (Mata et al., 2009) and the P k = ( pki j )n×n The reciprocal comparison matrix (RCM) of the kth expert
weights of experts (Pérez et al., 2014). For instance, Mata et al. {C 1 , C 2 , . . . , C N } N clusters
ch Cluster center
(2009) proposed a consensus model in which the amount of
μch,t (Pk ) Membership degree of P k to the selected centroid ch,t
recommendations and the number of experts involved in each d (P k , ch,t ) Distance between an RCM P k and the cluster center ch,t
iteration were adapted to different levels of group consensus. At #C h,t Number of experts in cluster C h,t
the initial iteration stage, given that the level of consensus is s(C h ) Cohesion degree of cluster C h
very low, all the experts are advised to modify their evaluation ω (C h ) Normalized priority vector of cluster C h
CL(P k ) Consensus level of expert ek
information. With the level of consensus increases, both the num- SCL Consensus level of a sub-group
ber of changes and the number of experts who need to modify SCL Threshold of SCL
their evaluations decrease. This adaptive CRP was based on four ICL Inter consensus level of a sub-group to the global group
categories of consensus levels: very low, low, medium, and high. GCL Global consensus level
GCL Threshold of GCL
Pérez et al. (2014) introduced a CPR that adapted to the weights
GSC Global/sub-group consensus
of experts. The logic of this model is that the experts with higher c pi j Degree of consensus on a position
weights have greater expertise, and thus, they can be asked to c ai Degree of consensus on an alternative
perform a smaller amount of modifications in the CRP.
The existing methods can be used to handle GDM problems
under different circumstances. However, there are still some
limitations: strategies with or without a feedback mechanism according to the
different degrees of inter and intra agreements, is presented in
(1) The clustering process plays a vital role in solving LSGDM detail. Finally, a case study is provided to better understand the
problems, and this is the main difference between general theory of this study.
GDM and LSGDM. Determining a cluster’s weight is critical The primary contributions of this work are summarized as
in LSGDM. Most of the existing studies (Wu & Xu, 2018; Xu, follows:
Du et al., 2015; Zhang et al., 2018) simply used the num-
ber of experts in a cluster as the standard to determine the
(1) A weight-determining method for clusters is developed. This
weights of clusters. In this way, the clusters with the same
method considers both the size and the cohesion degree of
number of experts but possessing different inner character-
a cluster, and thus improves the weight-determining method
istics in terms of cohesiveness or diversity would still have
that only considers the size of a cluster. Furthermore, a co-
the same weights. Thus, we need to develop a method to de-
hesive cluster will exert much influence in the global group,
termine the weights of different clusters that considers both
and thus this method can accelerate the convergence speed
the degree of cohesion and the size of a cluster.
of the CRP objectively since the aim of the CRP is to make
(2) The use of the adaptive consensus model in an LSGDM con-
the group information central. An aggregation formula is
text is still at an initial exploratory stage, and thus, it faces
proposed to integrate these two parameters. The degree of
big challenges. In LSGDM, owing to the various backgrounds
cohesion of a cluster includes the silhouette coefficient.
and expertise of experts, it is more difficult to reach a con-
(2) According to the different levels of inter and intra consensus
sensus result than in conventional GDM. Thus, it is necessary
of a sub-group, this study develops an adaptive consensus
to research the adaptive consensus model within a large-
model with hybrid strategies for multiple groups. This model
scale context. Although Rodríguez et al. (2018) introduced an
can generate different recommendations according to the
adaptive consensus model under the LSGDM context similar
degrees of consensus of two levels. These different strategies
to the method of Mata et al. (2009), their model classified
can reduce the numbers of involved experts and the recom-
the global consensus into three levels: low, high, and high
mendations for modifications in the CRP within the LSDGM
enough. Nevertheless, this model did not take into account
context. Thus, the proposed method can reduce the supervi-
the intra consensus of a sub-group. In LSGDM, the cluster-
sion and adjustment costs of the CRP.
ing process should be used to cluster the experts into sev-
(3) An illustrative example about the legislative amendment of
eral groups based on their preference information to sim-
the International Trade Law within the United Nations sys-
plify the decision-making process. As a result, two levels of
tem is provided to explore and verify the applicability and
consensus are generated, i.e., the level of consensus within
feasibility of the proposed model. Then, comparisons regard-
a sub-group and the level of consensus of a sub-group to
ing different parameters including the number of clusters
the global group. These two kinds of consensus are respec-
and the consensus threshold are provided. We also give a
tively named as the intra consensus and inter consensus in
comparison with Rodríguez et al. (2018)’s method to validate
this study. The existing studies about LSGDM did not gen-
the advantage of the adaptive mechanism.
erate feedback suggestions considering these two kinds of
consensus at the same time.
To achieve the above goals, this paper is organized as follows:
To address these shortcomings, in this study, we develop a Section 2 describes some concepts used in this study, including
novel adaptive consensus method under the LSGDM context. the LSGDM, CRP, and FCM. Section 3 presents a novel adaptive
This method first uses the fuzzy c-means (FCM) clustering al- consensus model under the LSGDM context. In Section 4, an
gorithm to classify the experts into several clusters. Then, a illustrative example is included to verify the applicability and
weight-determining method for clusters is proposed. Afterwards, feasibility of this model. Some comparisons and discussions are
the consensus measures corresponding to the intra consensus and also provided. Concluding remarks are presented in Section 5.
inter consensus are defined. Based on these consensus measures, To facilitate the comprehension of the paper, Table 1 summa-
an adaptive feedback mechanism, composed of hybrid consensus rizes some of the used notations.
M. Tang, H. Liao and J. Xu et al. / European Journal of Operational Research 282 (2020) 957–971 959

Moderator
Moderator

Problem
Problem Experts
Experts Feedback
Feedback recommendations
recomm
mendations

Low
ow consensus
consensus
level
level High
High consensus
consensus
Alternatives
Altern
r atives level
level
Consensus
Consensuus
control
contro
ol

Selection
Selection
Preference
Prefe
f rence Calculating
alculating process
process
relations
relations consensus
us degree
consensu degreee

Fig. 1. General scheme of the CRP.

2. Preliminaries 2) Calculating the degrees of consensus. The moderator calculates


the degrees of consensus of the group and individuals by using
In this section, we review the tools employed to build the a consensus measure based on distance or similarity measures.
proposed model, that is, the concepts of LSGDM, CRP, and FCM. 3) Controlling consensus. If the degree of consensus does not reach
an expected level, discussion rounds should be performed; oth-
2.1. Large-scale group decision making (LSGDM) erwise, go to the selection process.
4) Generating feedback recommendations. The moderator provides
The concept of LSGDM, which is evolved from GDM, has been modification suggestions to the experts (or sub-groups in LS-
researched by many scholars because of the increasing complexity GDM) who have low consensus levels.
of the decision environment and the evolution of technological
paradigms. The LSGDM differs from the general GDM in the The moderator in the CRP does not participate in the discussion
number of experts. Formally, the elements of an LSGDM problem among the experts, but he/she knows the level of consensus of the
consist of whole group and the individual level of agreement in each round
of iteration. A moderator should perform the following tasks: (1)
1) a set of alternatives, X = {x1 , x2 , . . . , xn }, (n ≥ 2 ), which are as- calculating the degrees of consensus; (2) verifying the degrees of
sessed as possible solutions for a problem. consensus; (3) providing suggestions for the experts to modify
2) a set of experts, E = {e1 , e2 , . . . , em }, (m ≥ 20 ), who express their preferences if they need to do so. In LSGDM problems,
their preferences on alternatives. there could be a heavy workload for the moderator because the
supervision and time costs may be very high.
If a pairwise comparison matrix P k = ( pki j )n×n satisfies
pi j ∈ [0, 1], pi j + p ji = 1, ∀i, j ∈ 1, 2, . . . , n, then P k = ( pki j )n×n is
2.3. A clustering algorithm: FCM
called a reciprocal comparison matrix (RCM) (or reciprocal pref-
erence relation) (Switalski, 1999). pi j in the RCM indicates the Clustering is the process of dividing a set of data objects into
preference degree of xi to x j . pi j > 0.5 denotes that xi is preferred multiple groups which we call clusters. Data objects in a cluster
to x j ; pi j < 0.5 denotes that x j is preferred to xi ; pi j = 0.5 denotes are similar to those in the same cluster but are different from
that xi is indifferent to x j . In the process of decision making, those in other clusters (Bezdek, Ehrlich & Wull, 1984). In LSGDM,
preference relation is one of the most widely used representations clustering is essential to manage and analyze experts’ preferences.
of information (Herrera-Viedma, Herrera, Chiclana & Luque, 2004; Some clustering algorithms have been used in LSGDM, such as
Liu, Zhang & Zhang, 2014; Wu & Liao, 2019). If the number of the k-means algorithm (Wu & Xu, 2018) and broad first searching
alternatives is small, this representation is efficient. In this study, neighbors algorithm (Zhang et al., 2018). However, these clustering
we use four alternatives in the illustrative example. algorithms are crisp methods, where a data object can only belong
to one cluster strictly. Fuzzy clustering, with the assumption
2.2. Consensus reaching process (CRP) that a data object can belong to different clusters with different
membership degrees, has been proposed to overcome this limita-
Considering its similar structure to general GDM problems, the tion (Bezdek et al., 1984). The most widely used fuzzy clustering
LSGDM problems can be solved by a selection process with an ag- algorithm is the FCM algorithm. The FCM algorithm aims to find a
gregation phase and an exploitation phase. However, the result of locally optimal solution in which the difference between member-
the selection process cannot guarantee that it can be supported by ship degrees of a cluster in two consecutive iterations tends to 0.
all experts because their opinions may be not sufficiently consid- Inspired by Palomares, Martinez and Herrera (2014), we adopt the
ered. Under such circumstance, a CRP should be applied in LSGDM. FCM algorithm to the context of this study. Algorithm 1 presents
The CRP in GDM or LSGDM is an iterative process with discussion the steps of the FCM algorithm with RCMs as input data.
rounds, in which experts can receive recommendations from a
moderator. The general scheme of the CRP is illustrated in Fig. 1. Notes:

1) Collecting preferences. The preferences evaluated by experts are 1) The fuzziness parameter b is the weighting exponent in
collected. FCM to control the extent of sharing among clusters
960 M. Tang, H. Liao and J. Xu et al. / European Journal of Operational Research 282 (2020) 957–971

Algorithm 1 plied based on the classification of consensus levels of the two


FCM algorithm with RCMs as input data.
levels, i.e., high–high, high–low, low–high, and low–low. Then,
1. Set the number of clusters N (N ≥ 2 ) and the fuzziness degree of a cluster b. the corresponding recommendations are generated for different
2. Initialize the centroid of each cluster. situations.
3. While the terminating condition is not reached, do
4. Calculate the membership degree of each expert (associated with the RCM The whole structure will be illustrated in detail in the following
P k ) to the selected centroid ch,t , μch,t (P k ) ∈ [0, 1], where t is the number of
sections.
iteration.
5. Update the centroid ch,t .
6. End while. 3.1. Classifying experts

The FCM algorithm is used to classify experts based on their


(Pal & Bezdek, 1995). The larger b is, the higher the degree RCMs. Once all experts’ RCMs are gathered, this algorithm should
of fuzziness of the cluster should be (Palomares et al., 2014). be used to identify sub-groups with similar opinions.
There have been many studies that focused on the selection
of b. Bezdek (1976) suggested that b = 2 through studying the 1) In the FCM algorithm, the number of clusters can be prede-
physical interpretation of FCM. Furthermore, Pal and Bezdek termined randomly. In this work, we set N as 4 because we
(1995) held that the value of b should be limited in [1.5, 2.5] want to test and verify four different strategies in the pro-
based on a heuristic rule. They thought that the median value posed model. A discussion about this topic will be included in
b = 2 can be chosen without any particular constraints. This Section 5.1.
parameter can be selected subjectively in practice. The most 2) One way to choose the initial centroids is to select them ran-
widely used value for b is 2 (Zhou, Fu & Yang, 2014). Thus, in domly. However, this method is sensitive to the initial points
this study, we set b = 2. and is vulnerable to noisy points. In this regard, we use the idea
2) In this study, we use the max–min method proposed by of the max–min method (Gonzalez, 1984) and extend it to our
Gonzalez (1984) to identify initial cluster centers. This method context. In the max–min method, the first cluster centroid c1 is
will be explained in Section 3.1. selected randomly. Then, the point that is at the greatest dis-
3) The membership degree μch,t (P k ) is calculated based on dis- tance from the first centroid is selected as the second centroid
tance measures, which will be illustrated in Section 3.1 in de- c2 . Computing the distances of the remaining points to the cur-
tail. rent two centroids, the point that has the nearest distance is se-
4) The terminating condition of this algorithm will be presented lected as the third centroid c3 . This procedure is continued un-
in Section 3.1. til N centroids are selected. To avoid randomness and inspired
by the idea of the clustering algorithm published in Science in
3. An adaptive CRP within the LSGDM context 2014 (Rodríguez & Laio, 2014), we use the point that has the
highest density as the first cluster center.
In this section, an adaptive consensus model for LSGDM prob- 3) The membership degree μch,t (P k ) of P k to the selected centroid
lems with hybrid strategies for multiple groups is proposed. The ch,t is calculated by
main innovation of this model is that it generates feedback rec- 1/(b−1 )
ommendations according to the different levels of intra consensus (1/d (Pk , ch,t ))
μch,t (Pk ) = N
k u,t 1/(b−1 )
u=1‘ (1/d (P , c ))
(consensus in a sub-group) and inter consensus (consensus of a
sub-group to the global group). The consensus measure is divided
into two levels in LSGDM because of the clustering algorithm. where d (P k , ch,t ) is a measure of distance. Here, we use the Eu-
The intra consensus level can reflect the degree of agreement of clidean distance (Rodríguez et al., 2018), the most widely used
opinions within a sub-group, while the inter consensus level can distance function in the FCM algorithm (Palarea-Albaladejo,
reflect the degree of agreements of opinions between a sub-group Martín-Fernández & Soto, 2012). It measures the real distance
and the global group. When the intra and inter consensus levels between two points in m-dimensional space and has simple
are high or low, the cohesion of a sub-group and the distance calculation process. d (P k , ch,t ) is defined as follows:
between the cluster center and the collective preference point  1 / 2
vary. Therefore, according to four different scenarios of inter and 1 
n 
n
d (P , c
k h,t
)= | pki j − cih,tj |2
intra consensus levels, namely high–high, high–low, low–high, and n (n − 1 )
i=1 j=1
low–low, this study introduces four strategies to reach consensus.
These strategies can improve the CRP performance and reduce the If there are two or more coincident points, we select one
costs of supervision. The consensus model consists of four phases, point randomly as the centroid. Then, the remaining coincident
as presented below: points will be assigned to the cluster with this centroid associ-
1) Using the FCM to classify experts into multiple sub-groups. In this ated with a membership degree of 1.
phase, all experts are classified into different clusters with re- 4) The RCM P i provided by expert ei is assigned to cluster C h,t if
spect to membership degrees based on their RCMs. P i has the maximum membership degree to its centroid ch,t :
2) Determining clusters’ weights. After the clustering process, it is C h,t (P k ) = arg max μch,t (P k )
necessary to compute the weight of each sub-group. Two indi- h
cators are considered: the size and the degree of cohesion of a
If Pihas the same membership degree to two or more cen-
sub-group.
troids, then P i is assigned to a cluster randomly.
3) Computing the degrees of consensus. Degrees of agreement in the
5) The updated centroids are calculated based on the RCMs in-
two levels are calculated based on distance measures. If the
cluded in corresponding clusters:
degree of consensus of a group is sufficiently high, then
the group goes to the selection process; otherwise, more dis- 1 
cih,t+1 = pk , i, j ∈ {1, 2, . . . , n}
cussions should be conducted. j
#C h,t k h,t i j
P ∈C
4) Adapting feedback mechanism. Different strategies for provid-
ing adjusted recommendations in a consensus round are ap- where #C h,t is the number of experts in cluster C h,t .
M. Tang, H. Liao and J. Xu et al. / European Journal of Operational Research 282 (2020) 957–971 961

6) The FCM algorithm executes the termination condition when all 3.3. Computing the degrees of consensus
clusters are stabilized. This occurs when the difference between
membership degrees in two successive iterations approaches to Expert ek provides preferences on a set of alternatives by an
0, i.e., RCM P k = ( pki j )n×n with n(n − 1 )/2 pairwise comparisons. Then, a
m N moderator computes the degrees of consensus of the expert group
k=1 h=1 |μch,t+1 (Pk ) − μch,t (Pk )|
≤ε by distance measures.
m·N Let P k = ( pki j )n×n be an RCM provided by expert ek , and
where ε is a parameter whose value approaches 0. In this work, P c = ( pci j )n×n be the group preference relation, which can be
we set ε as 0.001. represented by its centroid ci j . Then, the consensus level (CL) of
expert ek is defined as:
3.2. Determining the weights of clusters
CL(P k ) = 1 − d (P k , P c ) (3)
After classifying the experts into multiple sub-groups, the next where d (P k , P c ) is a distance measured between P k and P c .
task is to assign weights to each cluster. One principle is that The consensus level of a sub-group C h (SC L(C h )) is computed
the larger cluster with more experts should be assigned a larger by
weight. Another indicator that should be considered is the degree
1 
of cohesion of a cluster. The higher the degree of cohesion of SC L(C h ) = C L (P k )
a cluster is, the larger the weight that should be given to this #C h k h
P ∈C
cluster. To measure the degree of cohesion of a cluster, we use the
silhouette coefficient introduced by Rousseeuw (1987) and adapt where #C h
is the number of experts in the sub-group C h .
it to the FCM algorithm. If SC L(C h ) = 1, all experts in the sub-group C h have a unified
Let A(P k ) be the average dissimilarity of an RCM P k to all other opinion. A larger value of SC L(C h ) represents a higher consensus
data objects in cluster C a . Dissimilarity is a type of proximity level among the experts in the cluster. SCL is a predefined thresh-
that measures how far away two objects are from each other old for SC L(C h ). If SC L(C h ) ≥ SCL, then the sub-group has an ac-
(Rousseeuw, 1987). It is contrary to another widely used type of ceptable consensus; otherwise, the CRP should be applied to reach
proximity: similarity. Here, we use the Euclidean distance to define an acceptable degree of consensus. Note that SCL should be set
the dissimilarity degree. Let d (P k , C h ) be the average dissimilarity in advance, which represents the expected standard that a group
degree of P k to all data objects in cluster C h , h = a. Then, the needs to achieve in LSGDM. In a real-world decision-making prob-
smallest value of d (P k , C h ) is selected as B(P k ), where lem, a high value of SCL may be difficult to achieve or needs many
iterations. Thus, we use a parameter (max _round) to set the max-
B(P k ) = min d (P k , C h ), P k ∈ C a imum number of iterations. The value of SCL can be determined
h=a
according to specific decision-making problems. In classical GDM
The silhouette coefficient of an RCM P k is obtained by: problems, the value of the predefined threshold is usually set as
 0.9 (Tian, Zhang & Ha, 2018), 0.85 (Rodríguez et al., 2018), 0.8 (Wu
1 − A(P k )/B(P k ), if A(P k ) < B(P k ) & Xu, 2016), or 0.75 (Herrera-Viedma, Martínez & Mata, 2005). For
s (P ) =
k
0, if A(P k ) = B(P k ) some vital and major issues, the minimum value of consensus level
B(P k )/A(P k ) − 1, if A(P k ) > B(P k ) should be high (Herrera-Viedma et al., 2005). However, in other
or extreme cases, such as emergency problems, the consensus thresh-
old should be low (Xu, Du et al., 2015) because of the time limit.
B (P k ) − A (P k )
s (P k ) = In LSGDM problems, a low threshold is also needed because there
max{A(P k ), B(P k )} are great differences in experts’ background, knowledge, and ex-
It is easy to find that −1 ≤ s(P k ) ≤ 1. The closer the value of pertise. For the reason that SCL is the consensus threshold within a
s (P k )
is to 1, the better P k attached to its cluster should be. sub-group, in this study, we set SCL as 0.9, a relatively high value.
To measure the degree of cohesion of a sub-group, we define The inter consensus level (IC L(C h )) between a cluster C h and
the silhouette coefficient of a cluster in the FCM as: the global preference relation P G = ( pGi j )n×n is defined as:

1  IC L(C h ) = 1 − d (P G , C h ) (4)
s(C h ) = s (P k )
#C h k h
P ∈C where PG
is obtained by aggregating all sub-groups’ preference
relations, such that
Given that s(C h )
can be used to measure the degree of cohesion
of a cluster C h and the number of experts in the cluster C h , #C h , 
N

can also be used to reflect the importance of the cluster, we pGi j = ω (C u ) · pui j
aggregate these two indicators as: u=1

Then, the global consensus level (GCL) can be obtained as


es(C )
h
#C h
ϕ (C h ) = N · N (1)
1
s( ) Cu u N
u=1 e u=1 #C
GC L = IC L(C h )
In this sense, the weight of a cluster can be determined as:
N
h=1

ϕ (C h ) It is obvious that 0 ≤ GCL ≤ 1. Similarly, a threshold GCL for


ω (C h ) = N , ∀h ∈ {1 , 2 , . . . , N } (2) GCL should be set in advance. If GCL ≥ GCL, then the global group
u=1 ϕ (C )
u
has an acceptable degree of consensus; otherwise, the CRP should
Since the value of s(C h ) may be negative, we use the expo- be applied to improve the consensus level. Based on this idea, we
nential function here. Eq. (1) emphasizes the impact of the degree can further define the degree of consensus at an alternative level
of cohesion when calculating the weight of a cluster, because to facilitate the generation of the feedback mechanism. Based on
the degree of cohesion in the weight is identified by the natural the former discussions, in this study, we set GCL as 0.8, a value
exponential function. lower than SCL.
962 M. Tang, H. Liao and J. Xu et al. / European Journal of Operational Research 282 (2020) 957–971

The degree of consensus at a position (i, j ) for the expert ek


can be defined as:
cpki j = 1 − | pki j − cihj |, k ∈ {1, 2, . . . , m}; i, j ∈ {1, 2, . . . , n}; ek ∈ C h
It is easy to know that cpki j = cpkji .
The degree of consensus on an alternative xi for an expert ek
is
n k
j=1, j=i c pi j
caki = (5)
n−1
Note that the model proposed in this study contains a single
criterion. If an LSGDM problem contains more than one criterion,
it can be regarded as a multi-criteria LSGDM problem. Our model
can also be extended to solve multi-criteria LSGDM problems. The
difference is that the consensus measure in multi-criteria LSGDM
is based on decision matrices. The degree of consensus of an
alternative can be obtained by measuring the evaluation values
regarding all criteria.
Fig. 2. Graphic display of the four scenarios.
3.4. Adaptive feedback mechanism

If the levels of agreement among all sub-groups do not reach


the predefined threshold, then feedback strategies need to be
applied. Different consensus models have been introduced to
generate recommendations for experts. In LSGDM, some consensus
methods have also been proposed concerning different topics
such as non-cooperative behaviors (Palomares et al., 2014) and
heterogeneous preference structures (Zhang et al., 2018). However,
these models do not take into account the simultaneous consensus
of two levels (SCL and GCL). The first level is the inter consensus
between a sub-group and the global group, while the second level
is the intra consensus within a sub-group. To deal with this issue,
this section introduces an adaptive consensus model with hybrid
strategies for multiple groups. Specifically, we divide the CRP
into four categories: high–high, high–low, low–high, and low–low.
Two thresholds, GCL and SCL, whose values depend on different
decision-making problems, are determined before the CRP. To find
controversial preferences for multiple groups {C 1 , C 2 , . . . , C N }, the
following four categories are identified:
1) High–high: IC L(C h ) ≥ GCL and SC L(C h ) ≥ SCL, h ∈ {1, 2, . . . , N}; Fig. 3. Graphic display of S-HL.
2) High–low: IC L(C h ) ≥ GCL and SC L(C h ) < SCL, h ∈ {1, 2, . . . , N};
3) Low–high: IC L(C h ) < GCL and SC L(C h ) ≥ SCL, h ∈ {1, 2, . . . , N};
4) Low–low: IC L(C h ) < GCL and SC L(C h ) < SCL, h ∈ {1, 2, . . . , N}. To find out the set of preferences that should be changed
by the experts in a sub-group, C h ∈ S−HL, the following strategy
A simple graphic that displays these four scenarios is provided should be implemented:
in Fig. 2. The blue points in a red circle represent a cluster and
the green point is the cluster center. The biggest red point is the i) Initially, we need to identify the experts, EX P S−HL , that should
global collective point. make modifications in a sub-group. It is computed by
Next, four strategies corresponding to the four scenarios are
explained in detail: EX P S−HL = {ek |CL(P k ) < SCL} (6)
1) Strategy for high–high consensus (S-HH). After the clustering pro-
ii) For any expert ek ∈ EX P S−HL , we then identify the alternatives
cess, some sub-groups are cohesive. At the same time, their
that should be modified by
centroids are near the global collective point, that is, they have
high degrees of consensus with the global group. In this situa- ALT S−HL = {xi |cai < γ S−HL ∧ ek ∈ EX P S−HL } (7)
tion, there is no need for them to modify their preferences.
2) Strategy for high–low consensus (S-HL). If the SC L(C h ) of a sub- In this scenario, the alternatives ALT S−HL that have a smaller
group C h does not reach the threshold SCL while its inter con- degree of consensus than the predefined threshold γ S−HL are iden-
sensus level IC L(C h ) does, then this sub-group is diverse but its tified. That is, the rows of the preference matrices corresponding
centroid is near to the global collective point. In this scenario, to the sub-group C h ∈ S−HL that need to be changed are identified.
for the purpose of reducing adjustment costs, there is no need The value of γ S−HL may be fixed before the CRP or be dynamic
to require all the experts in the sub-group to make modifica- according to the specific level of consensus in each iterative
tions according to the global collective preference relation. The discussion. The selection of γ S−HL plays a vital role in the CRP. A
main task of the moderator in this situation is to make the sub- high value of γ S−HL may need a large quantity of modifications
group become coherent, that is, to make experts’ RCMs con- while a low value may result in a slow convergence. Therefore, a
verge to its centroid. The graphic display for S-HL is provided dynamic γ S−HL adapting the level of agreement of each iterative
in Fig. 3. round is appropriate. In this study, we use the average degree of
M. Tang, H. Liao and J. Xu et al. / European Journal of Operational Research 282 (2020) 957–971 963

Fig. 4. Graphic display of S-LH. Fig. 5. Graphic display of S-LL.

consensus at the alternative level as γ S−HL , such that ii) The positions P OSS−LH to be modified are identified as

n
P OSS−LH = {(i, j )|c pi j < γ S−LH ∧ xi ∈ ALT S−LH } (11)
γ S−HL = cai /n (8)
i=1 Generation of advice. Once the positions that need to be mod-
ified are identified, the direction rules that are used to give
iii) For any alternative xi ∈ ALT S−HL , we then identify the positions adjustment suggestions should be provided by the moderator. The
to be modified: directions rules are recommended as follows:
P OSS−HL = {(i, j )|c pi j < γ S−HL ∧ xi ∈ ALT S−HL } (9)
a) DR. 21: If cihj < pGi j , then all experts in the sub-group Ch
Here, γ S−HL denotes the average degree of consensus should increase the assessments associated with pairs of al-
at the position level. Because the degree of consensus at ternatives (xi , x j ).
an alternative level cai is calculated based on all positions b) DR. 22: If cihj > pGi j , then all experts in the sub-group Ch
associated with the alternative xi (see Eq. (5)), we have
n n n should decrease the assessments associated with pairs of al-
i=1 ( j=1,i= j c pi j )/ (n − n ) =
2
i=1 cai /n in the same prefer- ternatives (xi , x j ).
ence relation. We use the same symbol to represent the average
degree of consensus at the position level as that in Eq. (8). 4) Strategy for low–low consensus (S-LL). If the SC L(C h ) of a sub-
Generation of advice. This strategy provides suggestions for each ex- group C h does not reach the threshold SCL, nor does its level of
pert in a sub-group. The direction rules are described as follows: consensus to the whole group IC L(C h ), then this sub-group is
diverse and its centroid is far from the global collective point.
a) DR. 31: If pki j < cihj , then expert ek should increase the assess-
In this scenario, the moderator needs to provide suggestions to
ments associated with pairs of alternatives (xi , x j ); make the sub-group’s centroid converge to the global collective
b) DR. 32: If pki j > cihj , then expert ek should decrease the assess- point and also make the sub-group coherent. It seems reason-
ments associated with pairs of alternatives (xi , x j ). able to use both the global collective point and the cluster’s
center point to control the adjustment directions. The graphic
3) Strategy for low–high consensus (S-LH). If the SC L(C h ) of a sub- display for S-LL is included in Fig. 5. To do this, we define a
group C h reaches the threshold SCL while its inter consensus new measure, called the global/sub-group consensus (GSC),
level IC L(C h ) does not, then this sub-group is cohesive but its which is achieved by a control parameter δ :
centroid is far from the global collective point. In this situation,
there is no need to provide personalized recommendations for GSC = (1 − δ )CL(P k ) + δ IC L(C h ) (12)
all of the experts in the sub-group. To reduce supervision and where CL(P k ) is the degree of consensus of expert to ek
adjustment costs, it is appropriate to provide a unified sugges- the sub-group’s centroid, which can be obtained by Eq. (3);
tion for the sub-group. Then, this sub-group with its centroid IC LG (C h ) is the degree of consensus of sub-group C h to the
can converge toward the global center point. The graphic dis- global collective point, which can be obtained by Eq. (4).
play for S-LH is included in Fig. 4. δ ∈ [0, 1] is a parameter to control the weight of two levels
of consensus. Usually δ > 0.5 can be used to assign more
To find out the set of preferences that should be changed by
importance to the global consensus level.
each sub-group, C h ∈ S−LH, this strategy is developed as follows:
To find out the set of preferences that should be changed
i) In this scenario, it is not necessary to identify the experts who by experts in a sub-group, C h ∈ S − LL, the following strategy
contribute less in reaching a high level of consensus. First, the should be implemented:
alternatives ALT S−LH that have a smaller degree of consensus
than the predefined threshold γ S−LH are identified as i) Initially, we identify the experts, EX P S−LL , who should make
modifications in a sub-group. It is computed by
ALT S−LH = {xi |cai < γ S−LH } (10)
EX P S−LL = {ek |(1 − δ )C LSub (P k ) + δ IC LG (C h ) < (1 − δ )SCL
It is noted that the symbol γ S−LH
has the same calculation as
that in Eq. (8). The difference is that γ S−LH here is on the level
+ δ GCL} (13)
of a sub-group to the global group, while the former is on the The consensus threshold here is dynamic. It takes into account
level of intra sub-group. two levels of consensus at the same time.
964 M. Tang, H. Liao and J. Xu et al. / European Journal of Operational Research 282 (2020) 957–971

Algorithm 2 Table 2
Adaptive CRP with hybrid strategies for LSGDM with RCMs. Weights of clusters.

Input: The original individual RCMs P k = ( pki j )n×n , the given consensus Cluster Degree of cohesion Size Weight
thresholds, SCL and GCL, and the parameter δ . C1 0.6286 6 0.3422
Output: The ranking of alternatives. C2 0.4700 3 0.1460
Step 1: Classify experts into several clusters {C 1 , C 2 , . . . , C N } via the FCM C3 0.4560 6 0.2879
algorithm. C4 0.3867 5 0.2239
Step 2: Determine the weights of clusters by Eq. (2).
Step 3: Calculate the levels of consensus of the two levels, SCL and GCL.
Step 4: If GCL ≥ GCL, then go to the selection process; otherwise, identify
sub-groups’ categories and go to the next step.
Step 5: Generate hybrid feedback adjustment rules to help experts modify 4.1. Case description
their preferences.
Step 6: Derive priority vector from the global collective RCM and rank the The United Nations Commission on International Trade Law
alternatives (UNCITRAL) is the only core legal institute in the field of inter-
Step 7: End.
national trade law within the United Nations system. Since the
end of the 20th century, trade tensions between countries around
the world are increasing, and trade disputes have intensified.
ii) For any expert ek ∈ EX P S−LL , this step identifies the alternatives UNCITRAL has made a great contribution for the unification of leg-
that should be modified: islation on international trade law. However, with the rapid devel-
opment of economic globalization, a growing number of countries
ALT S−LL = {xi |(1 − δ )caSub
i + δ caGi < γ S−LL ∧ ek ∈ EX P S−LL } (14)
are involved. This makes the development of the international
 
where γ S−LL = ( (1 − δ ) ni=1 caSub
i
+ δ ni=1 caGi )/n. trade law more diversified and the conflicts between different
iii) Finally, for any alternative xi ∈ ALT S−LL , this step identifies the legal systems more acute. The task of unification of legislation on
positions to be modified: international trade is facing big challenges and many problems
have arisen, such as fuzzy description, delayed legislative tools,
P OSS−LL = {(i, j )|(1 − δ )cpSub
i j + δ cpi j < γ
G S−LL
∧ xi ∈ ALT S−LL } and vague terms. Therefore, UNCITRAL has taken some measures
(15) to solve these problems. One way is to speed up the process of
democratic legislation. UNCITRAL absorbs recommendations from
Generation of advice. In this step, the moderator provides per- countries all over the world in legislative planning, text drafting,
sonalized recommendations to help the experts to modify their and draft reviewing. The main forms of democratic legislation
preferences. The new preference value on a pair of alternatives are international academic conferences, specialist symposiums,
(xi , x j ) that should be modified by the expert is generated as feasibility study meetings, and non-government organizations.
Suppose that four problems existing in old laws need to be
r pi j = (1 − δ )ciSub
j + δ pi j
G
(16) amended:
Finally, the direction rules are implemented as follows:
x1 : Unified possibility of digital currency rules;
a) DR. 1: If pki j < r pki j , then expert ek should increase the assess- x2 : Unification of drug cross-border trading rules;
ments associated with pairs of alternatives (xi , x j ); x3 : Feasibility of unification of the International Trade Contract
b) DR. 2: If pki j > r pki j , then expert ek should decrease the assess- Law;
ments associated with pairs of alternatives (xi , x j ). x4 : Legal principle of the confidentiality characteristics of Inter-
national Commercial Arbitration.
Note. The value of δ can reflect different degrees of emphasis
concerning the consensus of the two levels. As mentioned be- To select the alternative that needs to be solved firstly, UNCI-
fore, when δ > 0.5, the consensus model leads experts toward the TRAL invites 20 experts E = {e1 , e2 , . . . , e20 } from 20 different
global collective point rather than toward the sub-group’s centroid. countries to evaluate these alternatives. The experts provide their
If δ = 0, then GSC = CL(P k ). In this case, the global collective point preferences by RCMs. To save space, we put these 20 RCMs in the
is not used to guide experts to modify their preferences. This case Appendix.
goes into the third strategy S-HL. If δ = 1, then GSC = IC L(C h ) and As mentioned before, for vital and major issues, the consensus
the cluster center point is not used to guide experts to modify level should be high. Therefore, in this case, the parameters are
their preferences. This case goes into the second strategy S-LH. established as GCI = 0.8, SCI = 0.9, and δ = 0.7.
Therefore, the second and third scenarios can be regarded as two
extreme cases of the fourth scenario. Furthermore, the parameter
δ can also work when generating advice in the fourth scenario
4.2. Solving the problem by the large-scale adaptive CRP with hybrid
(see Eq. (16)). Different values of δ can reflect different emphases.
strategies

3.5. An adaptive CRP with hybrid strategies for LSGDM with RCMs To obtain the problem’s final solution, the proposed large-scale
adaptive CRP with hybrid strategies is applied.
Based on the above analyses, we provide the following algo- First round.
rithm for LSGDM with RCMs. The flow chart of the algorithm is
illustrated intuitively in Fig. 6. Step 1 Using the FCM algorithm, the 20 experts are clas-
sified into 4 sub-groups: C 1 = {e1 , e2 , e3 , e4 , e5 , e6 },
4. Illustrative example C 2 = {e7 , e8 , e9 }, C 3 = {e10 , e11 , e12 , e13 , e14 , e15 } and
C = {e , e , e , e , e20 }.
4 16 18 17 19

This section presents an illustrative example to verify the Step 2 Eq. (2) is used to obtain the weight of each cluster. Table
applicability of the proposed adaptive CRP with hybrid strategies 2 shows the degree of cohesion, size, and weight of each
for LSGDM problems with RCMs. cluster.
M. Tang, H. Liao and J. Xu et al. / European Journal of Operational Research 282 (2020) 957–971 965

Start

Formulate a LSGDM problem


Problem formulation and data
input process
Collect individual RCMs

Classify experts by FCM

Cohesion Size

Determining clusters weights by (2)

Computing consensus levels

Consensus reaching process


YES
GCL ≥ GCL

NO

High- High- Low- Low- GCL


high low high low SCL

Generating feedback suggestions

Deriving priority vector from the global


collective RCM
Selection process
Ranking alternatives

Finish

Fig. 6. Procedure of Algorithm 2.

⎧ ⎫
Step 2 The RCMs of the four subgroups and the global group are: ⎪
⎨0.50 0 0 0.4667 0.1667 0.2167 ⎪

0.5333 0.50 0 0 0.2667 0.2833
PC2 = ,
⎩ 0.8333
⎪ 0.7333 0.50 0 0 0.5333 ⎪

0.7833 0.7167 0.4667 0.50 0 0
⎧ ⎫ ⎧ ⎫

⎨0.50 0 0 0.6833 0.8083 0.7500⎪
⎬ ⎪
⎨0.50 0 0 0.2917 0.3417 0.5333 ⎪

0.3167 0.50 0 0 0.7167 0.6417 0.7083 0.50 0 0 0.5750 0.8083
PC1 = , PC3 = ,
⎩ 0.1917
⎪ 0.2833 0.50 0 0 0.4083⎪
⎭ ⎩ .6583
⎪ 0 0.4250 0.50 0 0 0.6500⎪

0.2500 0.3583 0.5917 0.50 0 0 0.4667 0.1917 0.3500 0.50 0 0
966 M. Tang, H. Liao and J. Xu et al. / European Journal of Operational Research 282 (2020) 957–971

Table 3
Degrees of consensus of the two levels.

GCL: 0.7889

C1 C2 C3 C4

ICL 0.8358 0.7361 0.8013 0.7825


SCL 0.9370 0.9044 0.9107 0.8860
CL e1 : 0.9400, e2 :0.9448, e3 :0.9274 e7 :0.9201, e10 : 0.8196, e11 :0.9431, e16 :0.9215, e17 :0.9173
e4 :0.8770, e5 :0.9799, e6 :0.9530 e8 :0.8798, e12 :0.9407, e13 :0.9320, e18 :0.8134,e19 : 0.9087
e9 :0.9134 e14 :0.9019, e15 : 0.9270 e20 :0.8690

⎧ ⎫

⎨0.50 0 0 0.7900 0.7400 0.4200⎪

Table 4
Identification rules for sub-group C 4 .
0.2100 0.50 0 0 0.4400 0.1800
PC4 = ,
⎪ 0.2600 0.5600 0.50 0 0 0.2300⎪ γ S−LL ALT S−LL POSS−LL
⎩ ⎭
0.5800 0.8200 0.7700 0.50 0 0 e16
0.8388 x2 , x4 (2,1), (2,4), (4,2)
⎧ ⎫ e17 0.8408 x4 (4,2), (4,3)

⎨0.50 0 0 0.5600 0.5613 0.5334 ⎪
⎬ e18 0.8048 x1 , x2 , x3 , x4 (1,2), (1,3), (2,1), (2,4), (3,2), (3,4), (4,2), (4,3)
0.4400 0.50 0 0 0.5465 0.5343 e19 0.8358 x2 , x4 (2,1), (2,4), (4,2)
PG =
⎩0.4387
⎪ 0.4535 0.50 0 0 0.4577 ⎪
⎭ e20 0.8218 x2 , x4 (2,1), (2,4), (4,2), (4,3)
0.4666 0.4657 0.5423 0.50 0 0
Step 3 Compute the level of consensus of the two levels. Table 3
The experts in sub-group C 4 are required to modify their
presents the degrees of consensus in the first round.
preference assessments as follows:
Step 4 Given that GCL = 0.7888 < 0.8, the feedback mechanism
Expert e16 should increase his assessments for positions (2,1)
should be applied. These four sub-groups’ categories are
and (2,4), and decrease his assessment for position (4,2).
identified as:
Expert e17 should decrease his assessments for positions (4,2)
Step 4 IC L(C 1 ) = 0.8358 > 0.8, SC L(C 1 ) = 0.9370 > 0.9, then C 1 ∈
and (4,3).
S − HH;
Expert e18 should increase his assessment for position (1, 2 ),
Step 4 IC L(C 2 ) = 0.7361 < 0.8, SC L(C 2 ) = 0.9044 > 0.9, then C 2 ∈
(2,4), (3,2), (3,4), and (4,2), and decrease his assessments for
S − LH;
positions (1,3), (2,1), and (4,3).
Step 4 IC L(C 3 ) = 0.8013 > 0.8, SC L(C 3 ) = 0.9107 > 0.9, then C 3 ∈
Expert e19 should increase his assessments for positions (2, 1 )
S − HH;
and (2, 4 ), and decrease his assessment for position (4, 2 ).
Step 4 IC L(C 4 ) = 0.7825 < 0.8, SC L(C 4 ) = 0.8860 < 0.9, then C 4 ∈
Expert e20 should increase his assessments for positions (2, 1 ),
S − LL.
Step 5 Hybrid strategies are used to help experts modify their
(2, 4 ), and (4,3), and decrease his assessment for position
preferences. Because C 1 , C 3 ∈ S−H H , the experts in sub-
( 4, 2 ).
groups C 1 and C 3 do not need to adjust their preferences. We should note that the adjustment suggestions may require
the experts to make many changes with respect to some pairs
1) Because C2
∈ S−LH, the feedback strategy for C2 is implemented
of alternatives. In these situations, the experts may completely
as follows:
refuse to follow the suggestions, and instead, make the modifi-
γ S−LH = 0.7648 {ca1 = 0.7318(c p12 = 0.9067, c p13 = 0.6054, cations that they like. This involves another important topic in
c p14 = 0.6832 ); LSGDM problems, that is, non-cooperative behavior management.
ca2 = 0.7920(c p21 = 0.9067, c p23 = 0.7201, c p24 = 0.7491 ); There are some studies that focused on detecting and managing
ca3 = 0.7500(c p31 = 0.6054, c p32 = 0.7201, c p34 = 0.9243 ); non-cooperative behaviors (Palomares et al., 2014; Xu, Du et al.,
ca4 = 0.7855(c p41 = 0.6832, c p42 = 0.7491, c p43 = 0.9243 )}. 2015; Xu, Du, Chen & Cai, 2019). Since this is not the emphasis
of our study, we assume that all experts agree to modify their
i) According to Eq. (10), the alternatives that should be adjusted preferences.
are x1 , x3 . According to the previous recommendations, experts provide
ii) According to Eq. (11), the positions that should be adjusted are the modified preferences as follows:
⎧ ⎫ ⎧ ⎫
(1,3), (1,4), (3,1), and (3,2). ⎪ 0.4⎪ ⎪ 0.2 ⎪
⎨0.5 0.4 0.2
⎬ ⎨0.5 0.4 0.4

0.6 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.25
Generation of advice: P7 = 8
,P = ,
All the experts in sub-group C 2 should increase their as- ⎩0.8
⎪ 0.7 0.5 0.6⎪
⎭ ⎩0.6
⎪ 0.5 0.5 0.4 ⎪

0.6 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.75 0.6 0.5
sessments for positions (1,3) and (1,4), and decrease their ⎧ ⎫ ⎧ ⎫
assessments for positions (3,2) and (3,2). ⎪
⎨0.5 0.6 0.2 0.4⎪
⎬ ⎪
⎨0.5 0.6 0.6 0.4⎪

0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2
P9 = 16
,P =
2) Because C 4 ∈ S − LL, the feedback strategy for C 4 is imple- ⎪0.8
⎩ 0.7 0.5 0.6⎪
⎭ ⎩0.4
⎪ 0.6 0.5 0.2⎪

mented as follows: 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.5
⎧ ⎫ ⎧ ⎫
i) According to Eq. (13), the experts who should make modifi- ⎪
⎨0.5 0.8 0.7 0.6⎪
⎬ ⎪
⎨0.5 0.7 0.8 0.2⎪

0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.4
cations are EX P S−LL = {e16 , e18 , e17 , e19 , e20 }. P 17 = , P 18 = ,
ii) According to Eq. (14), the alternatives that should be ⎩0.3
⎪ 0.6 0.5 0.4⎪
⎭ ⎩0.2
⎪ 0.4 0.5 0.2⎪

0.4 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.5
adjusted are listed in Table 4. ⎧ ⎫ ⎧ ⎫
iii) According to Eq. (15), the positions that should be adjusted ⎪
⎨0.5 0.8 0.7 0.3 ⎪
⎬ ⎪
⎨0.5 0.8 0.8 0.6⎪

are listed in Table 4. 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.2
P 19 = 20
,P =
⎩0.3
⎪ 0.6 0.5 0.15⎪
⎭ ⎩0.2
⎪ 0.7 0.5 0.3⎪

Generation of advice: 0.7 0.7 0.85 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.5
M. Tang, H. Liao and J. Xu et al. / European Journal of Operational Research 282 (2020) 957–971 967

Table 5
Weights of clusters (second round).

Cluster Degree of cohesion Size Weight

C1 0.6733 6 0.3346
C2 0.5337 3 0.1455
C3 0.4238 6 0.2607
C4 0.6000 5 0.2592

Second round
Using the proposed FCM clustering algorithm, the clustering
results are unchanged.
Then, the weights of the clusters are calculated and presented
in Table 5.
Values of ICL for four subgroups are ICL(C1 ) = 0.8428,
ICL(C2 ) = 0.7706, ICL(C3 ) = 0.8200, ICL(C4 ) = 0.8097. We can
Fig. 7. Relationship between the number of clusters and the silhouette coefficient.
obtain GCL = 0.8108 > 0.8. Thus, the group reaches an acceptable
consensus level. The global collective RCM is
⎧ ⎫ experts who form a sub-group on their own (minority opin-

⎨ 0.5 0.5450 0.5696 0.5542⎪

0.4550 0.5 0.5597 0.5649 ions) will have a larger weight than the experts who have team
G
P = . companions. There are some studies that focused on manag-
⎪0.4304 0.4403 0.5 0.4665⎪
⎩ ⎭ ing minority opinions in LSGDM problems (Xu, Du et al., 2015).
0.4458 0.4351 0.5335 0.5
Considering all these factors, K = 4 is an appropriate choice.
Then, using the normalizing rank aggregation method (Xu & Da, 3) The final alternative ranking is stable with the change of K.
2005), we can obtain the final ranking of these four alternatives However, there are some differences on the final group RCM.
as x1 > x2 > x4 > x3 . The neutralization effect also contributes to the fact that these
differences are not particularly significant since some experts
5. Discussions and comparative analyses increase the assessments and some experts decrease the assess-
ments.
In this section, we provide some discussions about setting
Rodríguez et al. (2018) and Labella, Liu, Rodríguez and Martínez
parameters for the proposed model and the comparisons with
(2019) also applied the idea of adaptive CRP to solve LSGDM prob-
related LSGDM methods.
lems. To demonstrate the generalizability and applicability of our
proposed model, we also provide the performance of Rodríguez
5.1. Analysis of K et al. (2018)’s and Labella et al. (2019)’s methods. Both of these
two studies set two thresholds regarding the level of consensus.
The clustering process plays a critical role in LSGDM. It can The first one is the level of consensus for advice generation, i.e.,
reduce the dimension of large-scale experts, based on which the ς = 0.7: if the level of global consensus is lower than 0.7, then
complexity and cost can be reduced (Ma, Zhu, Ponnambalam & all experts in sub-groups with their proximity degrees lower than
Zhang, 2019). Furthermore, it can identify the spokesperson repre- the average proximity degree are selected. The proximity degree
senting the subgroup through finding common opinion patterns in Rodríguez et al. (2018) is equal to the inter consensus level
such as sub-groups with similar opinions (Palomares, 2018). In the ICL in this paper. Another parameter is the consensus threshold,
FCM algorithm, the initial number of clusters K should be set in i.e., θ = 0.85. If ς ≤ GCL < θ , then the level of consensus is high
advance. To better reflect the impact of the number of clusters but not sufficient. In this case, the selection of sub-groups is the
on the decision results, we simulate the CRP and present the same as that in the above case. The difference from the above
results in Table 6. Based on Table 6, we can obtain the following case is that only those experts whose opinions differ most from
observations: the collective one are selected. If GCL ≥ θ , then the degree of
consensus is sufficiently high.
1) The value of initial GCL decreases as the number of clusters
Since Rodríguez et al. (2018) took the average proximity degree
increases. When the number of clusters is not greater than 3,
as the sub-group selection criterion, nearly half of the sub-groups
the initial value of GCL is larger than 0.8. Therefore, there is
were selected in each round regardless the degree of consensus. By
no need to provide modification suggestions to experts. How-
contrast, our method covers a wide range of clusters if the degree
ever, the silhouette coefficients are very low in these two situ-
of consensus is low, and a narrow range if the degree of consensus
ations. Fig. 7 presents the relationship between the silhouette
is high. From Table 6, we can summarize two advantages of our
coefficient and the number of clusters. As mentioned before,
method:
the silhouette coefficient is an indicator to measure the clus-

tering effect. A higher value of silhouette coefficient reflects a First, when the number of clusters is 6 or 7 with a low initial
better clustering effect. The silhouette coefficient is low when GCL, our method has a higher iterative efficiency since more ex-
the number of clusters is 2 or 3 because the partition is rough. perts are covered in the first iteration.

2) There is a rapid growth for the silhouette coefficient from 3 Second, when the number of clusters is 4 or 5, both of our
clusters to 4 clusters and small changes between 4 and 6. We method and Rodríguez et al. (2018)’s method need only one it-
should note that there are clusters that contain only one ex- eration. However, our method requires less modifications since
pert when the number of clusters is greater than 4. In such a less pairs of alternatives are covered according to the adaptive
case, the value of A(P k ) for ek is 1 and S(P k ) = 1. Furthermore, feedback mechanism presented in Section 3.4. Therefore, our
we set the value of SCI for these clusters as 1. Therefore, those method has a better performance in avoiding over-adjustment
968 M. Tang, H. Liao and J. Xu et al. / European Journal of Operational Research 282 (2020) 957–971

Table 6
Decision results associated with the number of clusters.
K Initial clustering results Initial NI(1) NP(1) NI(2) NP(2) Final Final global group RCM Alternative ranking
GCL GCL
⎧ ⎫
⎪0.50 0 0 0.5611 0.5575 0.5242⎪
⎨ ⎬
0.4389 0.50 0 0 0.5391 0.5237
2 C 1 = {e1 , e2 , e3 , e4 , e5 , e6 , e11 , e12 , 0.8660 0 0 0 0 0.8660 x1 > x2 > x4 > x3
e13 , e14 , e17 , e18 , e19 , e20 },

⎩0.4425 0.4609 0.50 0 0 0.4546⎪

0.4758 0.4763 0.5454 0.50 0 0
C 2 = {e7 , e8 , e9 , e10 , e15 , e16 }
⎧ ⎫
⎪0.50 0 0 0.5437 0.5459 0.5271 ⎪
⎨ ⎬
0.4563 0.50 0 0 0.5435 0.5447
3 C 1 = {e1 , e2 , e3 , e4 , e5 , e6 , 0.8137 0 0 0 0 0.8137 x1 > x2 > x4 > x3
e17 , e18 , e19 , e20 },

⎩ 0.4541 0.4565 0.50 0 0 0.4673 ⎪

0.4729 0.4553 0.5327 0.50 0 0
C 2 = {e7 , e8 , e9 , e16 },
C 3 = {e10 , e11 , e12 , e13 , e14 , e15 }
⎧ ⎫
⎪0.50 0 0 0.5450 0.5696 0.5542⎪
⎨ ⎬
0.4550 0.50 0 0 0.5597 0.5649
4 C1 = {e1 , e2 , e3 , e4 , e5 , e6 }, 0.7888 1 23 1 32 0.8108 x1 > x2 > x4 > x3
C 2 = {e7 , e8 , e9 },

⎩0.4304 0.4403 0.50 0 0 0.4665⎪

0.4458 0.4351 0.5335 0.50 0 0
C = {e10 , e11 , e12 , e13 , e14 , e15 },
3

C 4 = {e16 , e18 , e17 , e19 , e20 }.


⎧ ⎫
⎪0.50 0 0 0.5565 0.5841 0.5429⎪
⎨ ⎬
0.4435 0.50 0 0 0.5615 0.5235
5 C1 = {e1 , e2 , e3 , e4 , e5 , e6 }, 0.7773 1 39 1 45 0.8171 x1 > x2 > x4 > x3
C2 = {e7 , e8 , e9 },

⎩ 0.4159 0.4358 0.50 0 0 0.4693⎪

0.4571 0.4757 0.5307 0.50 0 0
C3 = {e10 , e11 , e12 , e13 , e14 , e15 },
C4 = {e16 , e17 , e19 , e20 },
C5 = {e18 }
⎧ ⎫
⎪0.50 0 0 0.5631 0.5737 0.5351 ⎪
⎨ ⎬
0.4369 0.50 0 0 0.5663 0.5302
6 C1 = {e1 , e2 , e3 , e4 , e5 , e6 }, 0.7686 1 36 2 58 0.8128 x1 > x2 > x4 > x3
C2 = {e7 , e9 },

⎩0.4263 0.4337 0.50 0 0 0.4366⎪

0.4649 0.4698 0.5634 0.50 0 0
C3 = {e10 , e11 , e12 , e13 , e14 , e15 },
C4 = {e16 , e17 , e19 , e20 },
C5 = {e18 }, C 6 = {e8 }
⎧ ⎫
⎪0.50 0 0 0.5560 0.5684 0.5208⎪
⎨ ⎬
0.4440 0.50 0 0 0.5631 0.5248
7 C1 = {e1 , e2 , e3 , e4 , e5 , e6 }, 0.7663 1 38 2 58 0.8077 x1 > x2 > x4 > x3
C2 = {e7 , e9 },

⎩ 0.4316 0.4369 0.50 0 0 0.4405⎪

0.4792 0.4752 0.5595 0.50 0 0
C3 = {e10 , e11 , e12 , e13 , e14 , e15 },
C4 = {e16 , e19 }, C 5 = {e18 },
C6 = {e8 }, C 7 = {e17 , e20 }

Note. NI(1): number of iterations by using our model; NP(1): number of positions in the upper triangle of RCM need to be modified by using our model; NI(2): number of
iterations by using Rodríguez et al. (2018)’s model; NP(2): number of positions in the upper triangle of RCM need to be modified by using Rodríguez et al. (2018)’s model.

Table 7
Decision results associated with different consensus thresholds.

Consensus NI(1) NP (NE)(1) NI(2) NP(NE)(2) Final global group RCM Alternative
threshold ranking
(GCI)
⎧ ⎫
⎪0.50 0 0 0.5600 0.5613 0.5334 ⎪
⎨ ⎬
0.4400 0.50 0 0 0.5465 0.5343
0.75 0 0 0 0 x1 > x2 > x4 >

⎩0.4387 0.4535 0.50 0 0 0.4577 ⎪⎭ x3
0.4666 0.4657 0.5423 0.50 0 0
⎧ ⎫
⎪0.50 0 0 0.5450 0.5696 0.5542⎪
⎨ ⎬
0.4550 0.50 0 0 0.5597 0.5649
0.8 1 23(8) 1 32(8) x1 > x2 > x4 >

⎩0.4304 0.4403 0.50 0 0 0.4665⎪ ⎭ x3
0.4458 0.4351 0.5335 0.50 0 0
⎧ ⎫
⎪0.50 0 0 0.5715 0.5905 0.5333 ⎪
⎨ ⎬
0.4285 0.50 0 0 0.5247 0.5581
0.85 2 59(20)+18(8) 4 32(8)+34(9) x1 > x2 > x4 >
+27(10)+26(10)

⎩0.4095 0.4753 0.50 0 0 0.4831 ⎪⎭ x3
0.4667 0.4419 0.5169 0.50 0 0
⎧ ⎫
⎪0.50 0 0 0.5491 0.5543 0.5171 ⎪
⎨ ⎬
0.4509 0.50 0 0 0.5346 0.5501
0.9 3 7 x1 > x2 > x4 >
59(20)+54(20)+24(9) 32(8)+34(9)+27(10)

⎩ 0.4457 0.4654 0.50 0 0 0.4425⎪ ⎭ x3
0.4829 0.4499 0.5575 0.50 0 0
+26(10)+26(9)
+22(8)+23(8)

Note. NE: number of experts that need to make modifications. NI(1): number of iterations by using our model; NP(NE)(1): number of positions (experts) in the upper triangle
of RCM need to be modified by using our model; NI(2): number of iterations by using Rodríguez et al. (2018)’s model; NP(NE)(2): number of positions (experts) in the upper
triangle of RCM need to be modified by using Rodríguez et al. (2018)’s model.

when the degree of consensus is close to the threshold. In this 5.2. Analysis of the consensus threshold
sense, the supervision cost of our method is reduced.
In this section, we analyze the effect of different consensus
Overall, our method can adapt to fine or rough partitioning thresholds on the decision results. Table 7 presents the results
scenarios. Furthermore, if there are one or more minority opinion including the number of iterations, number of adjusted positions,
subgroups, the CRP can also reach an expected consensus level final group RCM and alternative ranking. Based on Table 7, some
within one iteration. Hence, this method is robust to the partition observations can be obtained as:
distribution.
M. Tang, H. Liao and J. Xu et al. / European Journal of Operational Research 282 (2020) 957–971 969

Fig. 8. The iterative process of four CRPs.

1) The number of iterations increases as the value of consensus consensus in our illustrative example is high but not sufficient. Us-
threshold increases, and the final alternative ranking is stable. ing the method in Rodríguez et al. (2018), two sub-groups (C 2 and
2) The closer the value of GCL to the consensus threshold is, the C 4 ) and all the four alternatives are selected. For sub-group C 2 , the
smaller the quantity of positions and experts involved in the pairs of alternatives (x1 , x3 ), (x1 , x4 ), (x2 , x3 ), and (x2 , x4 ) are se-
feedback mechanism are. For instance, when GCI = 0.85, a total lected; for sub-group C 4 , the pairs of alternatives (x1 , x2 ), (x1 , x3 ),
of 59 positions (in the upper triangle of the RCM) for all 20 ex- (x1 , x4 ), (x2 , x4 ), and (x3 , x4 ) are selected. If we focus on the cost
perts need to be modified in the first iteration round. In the of supervision, the moderator needs to provide 3 × 4 + 4 × 5 = 32
second iteration round, 8 experts should make modifications suggestions for these seven experts. Our proposed model also
in 18 positions altogether. Furthermore, in the same iteration needs to provide 32 suggestions. However, these 32 suggestions
round, if the consensus thresholds are different, the numbers of cover all 4 sub-groups and 20 experts. Because C 1 , C 2 , C 3 ∈ S−LH,
positions and experts involved in the feedback mechanism are then all experts in these three sub-groups are required to change
also different. For instance, when GCI = 0.8, 8 experts should following a unified direction. After the first iteration, our method
make modifications in 23 positions in the first iteration round. reaches a degree of consensus of 0.8412 and Rodríguez et al.
However, when GCI = 0.85, all 20 experts should make modi- (2018)’s method reaches 0.8125.
fications in 59 positions in the first iteration round. With the Except these two adaptive CRPs, there are several other CRPs.
increase of GCI, some sub-groups belong to S-HH turn into S- One widely used CRP is to choose subgroups whose degree of con-
LH. These two perspectives can elaborate the word “adaptive” sensus is lower than a predefined threshold in each iterative round
in the title. and requires them to make modifications (Zhang, Dong, Chiclana
3) A higher consensus threshold GCI needs a larger quantity of & Yu, 2019) (CRP1). The other is to choose the furthest subgroup
modifications, which distorts the original opinions. For instance, in each iterative round (Xu, Du et al., 2015) (CRP2). When we use
when GCI = 0.9, all experts are identified to make modifications these four CRPs to solve the problem, the iterative processes are
in two rounds. This explains why an LSGDM problem should presented in Fig. 8. As we can see from Fig. 8, our method has a
not set up a high consensus threshold. The consensus thresh- high efficiency. CRP1 has three iterations. However, compared with
old should be set according to actual situations. the adaptive CRP, CRP1 has the problem of over-adjustment. After
the second iteration, CRP1 reaches a degree of consensus that is
From Table 7, we can also find the two advantages summarized close to 0.85. After the third iteration, its degree of consensus is
in Section 5.1 compared with Rodríguez et al. (2018)’s method. the highest because many modifications have been made. CRP2 is
One is the higher iterative efficiency. When GCI is high, such as the slowest since only the farthest subgroups are required to make
GCI =0.9, Rodríguez et al. (2018)’s method needs more iterations. modifications in each round.
The other is avoiding over-adjustment. As we can see from the Based on all above discussions, we can summarize the advan-
fifth column of Table 7, in each iterative round, nearly half of tages of the proposed model:
all experts are involved. One big difference between Rodríguez
et al. (2018)’s method and our method is that when the degree
of consensus is far from the threshold, then a large number
of modifications are required to fasten the iteration process. In
the initial iterations, all experts will participate in the feedback 1) It has a high iterative efficiency, especially in the initial itera-
mechanism. In the last iterations, only a small number of experts tions. The adaptive mechanism involves a large scope when the
and pairs of alternatives are involved. If we use Rodríguez et al. degree of consensus GCL is far from the threshold GCI.
(2018)’s method, one problem is that some subgroups may need 2) It can avoid over-adjustment when the degree of consensus GCL
to make adjustments of similar quantities in several successive is near to the threshold GCI because of the introduction of S−LH
iterations, which may discourage their enthusiasm to participate and S−HL.
in the feedback mechanism. Additionally, our method has a better These two advantages make the proposed model have a good
performance with the change of GCI and is relatively insensitive to performance with the change of K and GCI (see Tables 6 and
the selection of GCI. 7).
3) The introduction of S−LH can reduce supervision cost since
5.3. Comparison with different CRPs only a unified suggestion is required for the low–high sub-
groups.
Firstly, we use Rodríguez et al. (2018)’s method to solve the 4) The clusters in this model are allowed to change. In the CRP,
problem. Because ς ≤ GCL = 0.7888 < θ , then the initial degree of experts make modifications on their preferences. Therefore, the
970 M. Tang, H. Liao and J. Xu et al. / European Journal of Operational Research 282 (2020) 957–971

clusters may change. The adoption of fixed clusters (Liu, Xu, moderator can be reduced. For the experts belonging to S-LH,
Montes, Ding & Herrera, 2019; Xu, Du et al., 2015) is a special a unified suggestion for the sub-group instead of specific sug-
case in the proposed model. gestion for each expert is enough. For the experts belonging to
5) The weight determination combines two indices, namely, the S-HL, the task of the moderator is to make these experts’ opin-
majority principle and cohesion of subgroups. The single index- ions more cohesive. In this situation, only a small number of
based method based on the majority principle (Xu, Du et al., changes are required since these experts have been classified
2015) or the degree of consistency of RCMs has some limita- into the same cluster.
tions. For instance, if we only use the majority principle, the
In this study, the preference structures that the experts used
subgroups with the same number of experts but possessing dif-
to express their opinions were assumed to be RCMs. In the future,
ferent inner characteristics will have the same weights. If we
it is necessary to investigate the LSGDM method in the case that
use only the degree of consistency, the importance of experts
the representation models are qualitative. In addition, this work
in a small subgroup with a high degree of consistency may be
mainly focused on the cost of supervision, i.e., the number of
several times higher than the importance of experts in large
suggestions provided by the moderator. The adjustment cost can
subgroups with a low degree of consistency. Therefore, the pro-
also be taken into account under the adaptive LSGDM context in
posed method is more applicable.
the future. The optimization of the time complexity of the LSGDM
There are many other consensus models for LSGDM problems consensus model is another interesting topic.
(Palomares et al., 2014; Wu & Xu, 2018; Xu, Du et al., 2015; Xu,
Zhong, Chen & Zhou, 2015; Zhang et al., 2018). Different models Acknowledgments
have their own purposes. Therefore, it is not fair to compare these
different consensus models. There is not a model that can be The work was supported by the National Natural Science Foun-
regarded as the best. dation of China (71571156 and 71971145), and the 2019 Sichuan
The proposed model also has limitations. Several parameters Planning Project of Social Science (No. SC18A007).
used in this study, including the consensus thresholds GCL and SCL,
the control parameter δ in Eq. (16), and the number of clusters K, Appendix
should be set in advance. For GCL and SCL, some discussions are
Twenty initial RCMs:
given in Sections 3.3 and 5.2. These two thresholds can be deter- ⎧ ⎫ ⎧ ⎫
mined by the moderator according to the specific decision-making ⎪
⎨0.5 0.7 0.9 0.8⎪
⎬ 0.7 0.85 ⎪
⎨ 0.5 0.8⎪

problem. The value of δ controls the degree of preference between 1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.7 2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.6
P = ,P = ,
⎩0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4⎪
⎪ ⎩0.15 0.3 0.5
⎪ 0.3⎪
the global collective point and the center point of a cluster. It can
⎭ ⎭
be determined by the degrees of deviation and diversity of the 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.5
group. The number of clusters, K, is also a parameter that should ⎧ ⎫ ⎧ ⎫
be considered. The number of clusters must be first defined for ⎪
⎨0.5 0.7 0.8 0.6⎪
⎬ 0.6 0.65 0.75⎪
⎬ ⎪
⎨ 0.5
3 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.6 4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8
many automatic clustering algorithms. In Section 5.1, we discuss P = ,P = ,
the appropriate number of clusters with the help of silhouette ⎩0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4⎪
⎪ ⎭ ⎩0.35 0.4 0.5 0.55⎪
⎪ ⎭
0.4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.25 0.2 0.45 0.5
coefficient and minority opinions. There are also many studies that ⎧ ⎫ ⎧ ⎫
focused on this topic and some approaches have been developed, ⎪
⎨ 0.5
0.7 0.8 0.75⎪
⎬ ⎪
⎨ 0.5 0.7 0.85 0.8 ⎪

such as the validity indices (Wu & Yang, 2005) and the robust 5 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.6 6 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.55
P = ,P = ,
and adaptive clustering analysis method (Mok, Huang, Kwok &
⎩ 0.2 0.3
⎪ 0.5 0.4 ⎪
⎭ ⎩0.15 0.3 0.5 0.4 ⎪
⎪ ⎭
Au, 2012). The different methods have their own advantages. From 0.25 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.45 0.6 0.5
another perspective, these parameters provide great freedom for ⎧ ⎫ ⎧ ⎫
the moderator to control the decision-making process.

⎨0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3⎪
⎬ 0.4 ⎪
⎨ 0.5 0.3 0.05⎪

7 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.4 8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.25
P = ,P = ,
6. Conclusions ⎩0.9 0.8 0.5 0.6⎪
⎪ ⎭ ⎩ 0.7 0.6
⎪ 0.5 0.4 ⎪

0.7 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.95 0.75 0.6 0.5
⎧ ⎫ ⎧ ⎫
This study developed an adaptive consensus model with hy- ⎪
⎨0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3⎪
⎬ ⎪
⎨0.5 0.3 0.1 0.4 ⎪

brid strategies within the LSGDM context. A key characteristic 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.6
P9 = , P 10 = ,
of this model is the design of a hybrid feedback mechanism to ⎩0.9 0.8 0.5 0.6⎪
⎪ ⎭ ⎩0.9 0.7 0.5 0.65⎪
⎪ ⎭
improve the consensus performance in LSGDM problems. This 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.35 0.5
model is composed of four parts: classifying experts, determining
⎧ ⎫ ⎧ ⎫

⎨0.5 0.3 0.4 0.6⎪⎬ ⎪
⎨ 0.5 0.25 0.4 0.55⎪

the weights of sub-groups, computing degrees of consensus, and 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.75 0.5 0.7 0.8
improving levels of consensus. An illustrative example about the P 11 = , P 12 = ,
legislative amendment in UNCITRAL was implemented to illus- ⎩0.6 0.4 0.5 0.7⎪
⎪ ⎭ ⎩ 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.65⎪
⎪ ⎭
0.4 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.45 0.2 0.35 0.5
trate the method. The main contributions of this study can be ⎧ ⎫ ⎧ ⎫
highlighted as follows: ⎪
⎨ 0.5 0.3 0.45 0.6⎪
⎬ ⎪
⎨0.50.4 0.4 0.6 ⎪

0.7 0.5 0.55 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.95
1) A weight-determining method for the sub-groups was devel- P 13 = , P 14 = ,
. .45 0.5 0.7⎪
oped. This method combines two parameters: cohesion and size

⎩0 55 0
⎭ ⎩0.6 0.3
⎪ 0.5 0.6 ⎪

0.4 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.05 0.4 0.5
of a sub-group. ⎧ ⎫ ⎧ ⎫
2) The proposed model truly takes into account the impact of the ⎪
⎨ 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.45⎪
⎬ ⎪
⎨0.5 0.7 0.6 0.4⎪

clustering process in LSGDM problems. Because of the cluster- 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1
P 15 = , P 16 = ,
ing algorithm, an LSGDM problem was divided into two levels: ⎩ 0.7 0.4
⎪ 0.5 0.6 ⎪
⎭ ⎩0.4
⎪ 0.6 0.5 0.2⎪

inter sub-group and intra sub-group. According to the different 0.55 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.5
⎧ ⎫ ⎧ ⎫
levels of degree of consensus in the two levels, four scenarios ⎪
⎨0.5 0.8 0.7 0.6⎪
⎬ ⎪
⎨0.5 0.6 0.9 0.2⎪

were distinguished. Then, hybrid strategies were generated to 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.3
P 17 = , P 18 = ,
⎩0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3⎪ ⎩0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1⎪
provide suggestions for experts to modify their opinions. Be- ⎪ ⎪
⎭ ⎭
cause of this hybrid mechanism, the cost of supervision of the 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.9 0.5
M. Tang, H. Liao and J. Xu et al. / European Journal of Operational Research 282 (2020) 957–971 971

⎧ ⎫ ⎧ ⎫

⎨ 0.5 0.95 0.7 0.3 ⎪
⎬ ⎪
⎨0.5 0.9 0.8 0.6⎪

Mok, P. Y., Huang, H. Q., Kwok, Y. L., & Au, J. S. (2012). A robust adaptive clustering
analysis method for automatic identification of clusters. Pattern Recognition, 45,
0.05 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.1
P 19 = 20
,P = 3017–3033.
0.3 0.6 0.5 0.15⎪

⎩ ⎭ ⎩0.2
⎪ 0.7 0.5 0.4⎪
⎭ Pal, N. R., & Bezdek, J. C. (1995). On cluster validity for the fuzzy c-mean model.
0.7 0.8 0.85 0.5 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.5 IEEE Transaction on Fuzzy Systems, 3, 370–379.
Palarea-Albaladejo, J., Martín-Fernández, J. A., & Soto, J. A. (2012). Dealing with dis-
tances and transformations for fuzzy c-means clustering of compositional data.
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