WPA INTELLIGENCE WPA ID: 23-243-04K

214 Fourth Street, SE

Washington, DC 20003
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ALABAMA_STATEWIDESURVEY_MQ_230826.DOCX
ALABAMA
REGISTERED VOTERS
AUGUST 23-24 & 26, 2023

SAMPLE:
N=500 Registered Alabama Voters
MoE=±4.4%
55% Cell Phone Interviews

INTRODUCTION: Good evening. May I please speak with NAME FROM FILE? My name is ____________ and I'm
calling from a national public opinion research firm. This evening we're conducting a short scientific survey in
Alabama and we'd like to get your opinions. We’re not selling anything and your responses will be completely
confidential.

SCREENER
1. First, are you or any member of your immediate family a member of the news media, a Public Relations
company, or an active participant with any political campaign?

1. Yes..................................................................................................................... TERMINATE
2. No/All other .................................................................................................................100%

Now I am going to read you a list of names of people. After I read each one, please tell me if you have a favorable or
unfavorable impression of that person. If I read you one you have never heard of, just tell me and we’ll move on to
the next person.

IF FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE, ASK:
And, would you say you have a VERY (favorable/unfavorable) impression of that person, or just SOMEWHAT?

The (first/next) one is…RANDOMIZE

No Never
Very Smwt Opinion heard Smwt Very
Total Total Net Fav Fav DNR of Unfav Unfav
Name ID Fav Unfav Fav 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6.
2. Joe Biden 99% 31% 62% -31% 17% 14% 6% 1% 8% 53%

3. Donald Trump >99% 54% 40% +14% 36% 18% 5% <1% 7% 33%

4. Tommy Tuberville 91% 40% 36% +4% 20% 21% 14% 9% 6% 30%

5. Mitch McConnell 92% 20% 54% -34% 3% 16% 18% 8% 19% 35%

© 2023 – WPA Intelligence

Alabama/RVs/1551/7442 Page 2 of 7

6. Thinking about the election for President next November, for whom would you vote if the nominees
were…ROTATE

Donald Trump, Republican

…or…
Joe Biden, Democrat

IF CHOICE, ASK:
And, would you definitely committed to voting for (choice) or might you still change your mind?

IF UNDECIDED/NOT SURE, ASK:

If you had to decide today, would you lean more toward (repeat candidates)?

TOTAL TRUMP 57%

TOTAL BIDEN 32%

1. Committed Trump 46%

2. Persuadable Trump 4%
3. Lean Trump 7%
4. Hard Undecided DNR 12%
5. Lean Biden 9%
6. Persuadable Biden 2%
7. Committed Biden 21%

7. And now thinking ahead to the next election for U.S. Senate in Alabama, if the election for U.S. Senate were
held today, would you vote for ROTATE

Tommy Tuberville, Republican

…or…
The Democrat Nominee?

IF CHOICE, ASK:
And, would you DEFINITELY vote for (choice), or just PROBABLY?

IF UNDECIDED/NOT SURE, ASK:

If you had to decide today, would you lean more toward (repeat options?

TOTAL TUBERVILLE 52%

TOTAL DEMOCRAT 33%

1. Definitely Tuberville 41%

2. Probably Tuberville 7%
3. Lean Tuberville 3%
4. Hard Undecided DNR 15%
5. Lean Democrat 3%
6. Probably Democrat 3%
7. Definitely Democrat 27%

© 2023 – WPA Intelligence Confidential – do not copy or distribute without permission

Alabama/RVs/1551/7442 Page 3 of 7

8. How much have you seen, read, or heard recently about Senator Tommy Tuberville holding more than 300
military promotions that require Senate approval unless the Pentagon stops using taxpayer dollars to pay for
women in the military to cross state lines to get abortions?

Would you say that you have heard ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM; BOTTOM TO TOP a lot, just some, not too
much, or nothing at all?

TOTAL A LOT/JUST SOME 50%

TOTAL NOT TOO MUCH/NOTHING AT ALL 47%

1. A lot 31%
2. Just some 19%
3. Not too much 16%
4. Nothing at all 31%
5. Don’t Know/Refused DNR 3%

9. I am going to read you the Biden Administration’s position on this issue and Senator Tuberville’s position.
After I read both, please tell me which one you agree with more…ROTATE

The Biden Administration and other Democrats say that these holds are hurting military readiness because
key positions, including the Commandant of the Marine Corps, are going unfilled, forcing some senior
officers to do two jobs. The holds are also affecting military families, many of whom have already prepared to
move to new postings but are in limbo because they must stay at their previous home until the promotion
passes the Senate.

…while…

Senator Tuberville says that the Pentagon using taxpayer dollars to pay for women in the military to cross
state lines to get abortions violates federal law and that the promotions would go through if the Biden
Administration would just obey the laws that Congress passed. He also says that he will release the holds if
Congress votes on a change to the law to make the Defense Department policy legal, but he won’t let the
Biden Administration get away with ignoring the current law.

1. Biden Administration 33%

2. Senator Tuberville 45%
3. Neither DNR 11%
4. Don’t Know/Refused DNR 10%

IF Q9:2, ASK:
10. Why would you say you support Senator Tuberville more on this issue?

1. Pro-Life/No Tax Dollars for

42%
Abortion
2. Fighting Biden/Don’t Trust
30%
Biden
3. Following the law 21%
4. Tuberville being honest/good
6%
leader
5. Other things hurting
4%
military/woke is the problem

© 2023 – WPA Intelligence Confidential – do not copy or distribute without permission

Alabama/RVs/1551/7442 Page 4 of 7

11. Now that you have heard some more, thinking ahead to the next election for U.S. Senate in Alabama, if the
election for U.S. Senate were held today, would you vote for ROTATE

Tommy Tuberville, Republican

…or…
The Democrat Nominee?

IF CHOICE, ASK:
And, would you DEFINITELY vote for (choice), or just PROBABLY?

IF UNDECIDED/NOT SURE, ASK:

If you had to decide today, would you lean more toward (repeat options?

Initial Informed
TOTAL TUBERVILLE 52% 54%
TOTAL DEMOCRAT 33% 34%

1. Definitely Tuberville 41% 44%

2. Probably Tuberville 7% 7%
3. Lean Tuberville 3% 3%
4. Hard Undecided DNR 15% 12%
5. Lean Democrat 3% 5%
6. Probably Democrat 3% 2%
7. Definitely Democrat 27% 27%

12. Which of the following comes closest to your opinion on the issue of abortion? ROTATE STATEMENTS

1. Abortion should be banned beginning at conception without

19%
exceptions.
2. Abortion should be limited to the first 15 weeks of pregnancy, but
there should be exceptions after that for cases of rape, incest, or 40%
when the life of the mother is in danger.
3. We should not have strict bans on abortion, but we should have some
regulations to ensure the health of women is protected and stop 30%
abortion from being abused.
4. Don’t Know/Refused DNR 11%

13. Which of the following comes closest to your opinion on the federal rule regarding abortion? ROTATE
STATEMENTS

1. (Some/other) people say that Congress should pass federal legislation

34%
setting one set of laws regarding abortion nationwide.
2. (Some/other) people say that abortion should be a state issue and
individual state legislatures should be allowed to create laws about 43%
the issue in their states.
3. Don’t Know/Refused DNR 23%

© 2023 – WPA Intelligence Confidential – do not copy or distribute without permission

Alabama/RVs/1551/7442 Page 5 of 7

And now I have just a few more questions for demographic purposes only…

14. In politics today, do you usually think of yourself as a ROTATE Republican, Independent, or Democrat?

IF REPUBLICAN/DEMOCRAT, ASK:
Do you think of yourself as a STRONG (Republican/Democrat) or NOT-SO-STRONG (Republican/Democrat)?

TOTAL REPUBLICAN 45%

TOTAL DEMOCRAT 21%

1. Strong Republican 34%

2. Not-So-Strong Republican 11%
3. Independent/Something Else 29%
4 DK/Refused DNR 4%
5. Not-So-Strong Democrat 5%
6. Strong Democrat 17%

15. Would you say you are a ROTATE Conservative, a Moderate, or a Liberal END ROTATION in your political
beliefs?

IF CONSERVATIVE/LIBERAL, ASK:
And, would you say you are VERY (conservative/liberal) or just SOMEWHAT (conservative/liberal)?

TOTAL CONSERVATIVE 52%

TOTAL LIBERAL 14%

1. Very Conservative 29%

2. Somewhat Conservative 22%
3. Moderate 29%
4. DK/Refused DNR 6%
5. Somewhat Liberal 7%
6. Very Liberal 7%

16. What is the highest level of formal education you have completed?

1. High school or Less 28%

2. Some College or an Associate’s
36%
Degree
3. Bachelor’s Degree 19%
4. Post graduate degree like a
medical or law degree, 14%
Master’s or Ph.D.
5. DK/Refused DNR 3%

© 2023 – WPA Intelligence Confidential – do not copy or distribute without permission

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17. Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity?

1. White 64%
2. Hispanic, Mexican, Latino,
2%
Spanish
3. African-American 24%
4. Asian 2%
5. Other (specify) _________ 2%
6. Refused DNR 6%

18. Are you or someone in your household currently active in the military or a veteran?

1. Yes, Active in the military 5%

2. Yes, Veteran 31%
3. No 61%
4. Don’t Know/Refused DNR 3%

19. And thinking back to the presidential election in November of 2020, for whom did you vote ROTATE FIRST
TWO

Donald Trump, the Republican

Joe Biden, the Democrat
…or…
Someone else

1. Trump 52%
2. Someone Else 5%
3. Don’t Recall/Didn’t Vote DNR 7%
4. Refused DNR 5%
5. Biden 31%

20. In what year were you born? RECORD EXACT FOUR DIGIT RESPONSE; RECODE INTO CATEGORIES

1. 18-24 6%
2. 25-34 18%
3. 35-44 16%
4. 45-54 16%
5. 55-64 17%
6. 65-74 15%
7. 75 or over 12%
8. Refused DNR 2%

© 2023 – WPA Intelligence Confidential – do not copy or distribute without permission

Alabama/RVs/1551/7442 Page 7 of 7

21. Sex: BY OBSERVATION

1. Male 47%
2. Female 53%

22. Media Market PRE-CODE

1. Atlanta 1%
2 Birmingham/Anniston/Tuscaloosa 39%
3. Columbus 4%
4. Columbus/Tupelo/West Point <1%
5. Dothan 5%
6. Huntsville/Decatur/Florence 21%
7. Meridian 1%
8. Mobile/Pensacola 16%
9. Montgomery/Selma 12%

23. Congressional District PRE-CODE

1. CD 1 15%
2. CD 2 14%
3. CD 3 14%
4. CD 4 14%
5. CD 5 15%
6. CD 6 14%
7. CD 7 14%

24. Interview Method: PRE-CODE

1. Cell 55%
2. Landline 45%

© 2023 – WPA Intelligence Confidential – do not copy or distribute without permission