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International Journal of Sediment Research 38 (2023) 615e627

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International Journal of Sediment Research


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ijsrc

Original Research

Exploring the potential of artificial intelligence techniques in


prediction of the removal efficiency of vortex tube silt ejector
Sanjeev Kumar a, *, Chandra Shekhar Prasad Ojha a, Nand Kumar Tiwari b,
Subodh Ranjan b
a
Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology, Roorkee, 247667, India
b
Department of Civil Engineering, National Institute of Technology, Kurukshetra, 136119, India

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: A vortex tube silt ejector is a curative hydraulic structure used to remove sediment deposits from canals
Received 19 June 2022 and is recognized as one of the most efficient substitutes for physically removing canal sediment. The
Received in revised form spatially varied flow in the channel and the rotational flow behavior in the tube make the silt removal
20 February 2023
process complex. It is even harder to accurately predict the silt removal efficiency by traditional models
Accepted 27 March 2023
accurately. However, artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning approaches have emerged as robust
Available online 31 March 2023
substitutes for studying complex processes. Therefore, this research makes use of AI approaches; support
vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), random tree (RT), and multivariate adaptive regression spline
Keywords:
Vortex tube silt ejector
(MARS) to compute the vortex tube silt ejection efficiency using the laboratory data sets. The outcomes of
Support vector machine the artificial intelligence (AI)-based techniques also were compared with traditional models. It was found
Random forest that the RT model (root mean square error, RMSE ¼ 2.165, Nash Sutcliffe efficiency, NSE ¼ 0.98) out-
Random tree performs the other applied approaches which had relatively more significant result errors. The sensitivity
Multivariate adaptive regression spline analysis of the process depicts the extraction ratio as the key parameter in the computation of vortex
tube silt ejector removal efficiency. The findings of the AI-based approaches discussed in the current
study might be helpful for hydraulic engineers as well as researchers in the assessment of the removal
efficiency of vortex tube silt ejectors.
© 2023 International Research and Training Centre on Erosion and Sedimentation/the World Association
for Sedimentation and Erosion Research. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction excluder is, the silt excluder is effective; a fair amount of silt ma-
terial is likely to enter the withdrawal channel. So curative struc-
Today, field engineers are confronting critical problems of tures, which are utilized in the channel to control the sediment,
sedimentation in irrigation and power canals with increasing silt in include the tunnel type (Dhillon et al., 1977; IS: 6004, 1980; Singh
the channels. The removal of the silt material from the irrigation et al., 2016), traditional settling basins (Dongre, 2002; Garde
channels or hydroelectric-based plants was mainly done by using et al., 1990; Raju et al., 1999; Saxena, 1996; Schrimpf, 1990; Singh,
desilting devices; otherwise, the transport capacity of the irrigation 1987; Singh et al., 2008; Srivastava, 1997; Sujudi, 1987), and the
channel will eventually decrease with time (Sarwar et al., 2013). In vortex type settling chambers (Athar et al., 2002, 2003; Curi et al.,
the case of a hydroelectric-based plant, turbine runner blades get 1979; Mashauri, 1986).
damaged due to the effects of sharp-edged silts present in the water There is no consensus on which excluder is economical as a
(Ranga & Kothyari, 2004). Consequently, the intended design pur- sizeable amount of water gets lost and is unsuitable for use in a
pose gets defeated, and power generation is affected. region where an acute water problem is occurring. The traditional
Preventive desilting devices include a silt excluder (Garde & settling basins suffer from multiple drawbacks: It needs relatively
Pande, 1976; Kothyari et al., 1994) placed in front of the canal large space, a long residence time, and frequent interruption during
intake in the riverbed that bars the entry of silt material into the physical cleaning. However, vortex-settling chambers are free from
withdrawal channel. However, despite how effective the silt the difficulties described for detention basins. Still, these kinds of
ejectors have some limitations: The first limitation is their complex
design and structure; secondly, they can remove only a limited
* Corresponding author. amount of sediment. Nevertheless, vortex settling chambers have
E-mail address: skumar20@ce.iitr.ac.in (S. Kumar).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijsrc.2023.03.001
1001-6279/© 2023 International Research and Training Centre on Erosion and Sedimentation/the World Association for Sedimentation and Erosion Research. Published by
Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
616 S. Kumar et al. / International Journal of Sediment Research 38 (2023) 615e627

Fig. 1. Definition sketch showing the hydraulic principle of operation of the vortex tube silt ejector.

the edge over other available alternate structures. They are modest, 1994b), Blench (1952), Lawrence and Sanmuganathan (1981),
efficient, and do not undergo the shortcomings that other alter- Mahmood (1975), and Robinson (1962), and many more, but all
native desilting devices suffer. A vortex tube silt ejector can be these studies for extracting sediment involve the conventional
utilized to eject bed and suspended load sediment in regions aspects of stable channel theory, mechanics of sediment transport,
experiencing a water crisis. There is an acute water supply issue hydraulic principles and past experience with existing hydraulic
with a minimal water loss of around 5%e10% for an escape flushing structures which leave room for arbitrariness. A comprehensive
discharge (Orak & Asareh, 2015). Further, the vortex tube silt study has been done on the development of the vortex tube silt
ejector size is minimal and easy to install compared with other ejector. Lots of model experiments were done considering several
desilting devices when treating an equal amount of sediment-laden alterations in the structure of the vortex tube silt ejector in the
water. Thus, the construction cost, including the installation cost of past. Still, vortex tube silt ejectors have been used for installation
the vortex tube silt ejector, is merely a minor part of the price in isolation, and no generic model for removal efficiency has been
required to build other desilting devices to extract the equivalent developed. Moreover, the mechanism of flow involved in the
amount of sediment. So, in many cases, a vortex tube silt ejector is a vortex tube silt ejector is cumbersome and intricate; therefore, it
cost-effective and water-saving substitute compared with the other becomes hard to find a traditional regression design to estimate
desilting devices (Atkinson, 1994a, 1994b). the removal efficiency correctly. Therefore, the potential of artifi-
A vortex tube silt ejector is a simple device to eject bed load, cial intelligence (AI)-based techniques to predict the removal ef-
mainly from irrigation channels. It comprises a slotted conduit, ficiency of desilting devices has been explored. The prediction
closed at one side, with a longitudinal opening along with the efficiency of AI and multiple linear regression (MLR) approaches
crown. The tube is embedded in the channel bed so that the plane was determined using the Nash Sutcliffe model efficiency (NSE),
of the slotted opening is flush with the surface of the channel bed. coefficient of correlation (CC), and root means square error (RMSE).
As flow passes over the conduit opening, a rotational or spiral Very few researchers have applied AI-based methods in this field.
motion is set up within the duct. Material passing along the canal However, in other similar areas, AI approaches have been widely
bed is drawn or dropped into the conduit and carried to the outlet used for the last few decades in hydraulics, water resources pro-
at which it is discharged through an escape return channel. The jects, and other engineering disciplines (Sharafati et al., 2018;
removal efficiency of the vortex tube silt ejector is expressed as Tiwari et al., 2020, 2020b). The focus of the current study is to
the ratio between extracted silt material and the total silt material evaluate the efficacy of the formulated relation for sediment
that is carried by the canal. While the extraction ratio is defined as removal efficiency concerning the hydraulic conditions and alter-
the relation between the flow flushed out by the vortex tube silt ations in vortex tube ejectors and to compare this functional
ejector and the total flow rate of the canal. A vortex tube silt relation with AI-based modeling methods (random tree, random
ejector is more economical due to its smaller size and lower forest, support vector machine, multivariate adaptive regression
installation cost than other desilting devices and can be contin- spline) as well as conventional models proposed by previous re-
uously utilized without a break, unlike traditional settling basins. searchers. Furthermore, the sensitivity of vortex tube parameters is
The primary hydraulic principle of operation of the vortex tube
silt ejector by which bed and suspended load are removed is
based on utilizing vortex force and silt gravity load as depicted in
Fig. 1. A general view of the vortex tube silt ejector is shown in
Fig. 2.
The vortex tube silt ejector should be placed in the canal at a
point downstream from the canal head regulator where an equi-
librium sediment concentration profile in the vertical direction is
fully established (Russell, 1991). High silt removal efficiency has
been observed in the case of the vortex tube silt ejector when the
bedload concentration is high, and the suspended load is low.
However, better efficiency has also been reported even when the
suspended load is relatively more than the bed load. Parshall
(1952) was the first to use the vortex tube silt ejector structure
and is considered to be its inventor. The vortex tube silt ejector has
been principally examined by Ahmed (1958), Atkinson (1994a, Fig. 2. Illustration of a general view of the vortex tube silt ejector (Atkinson, 1994a).
S. Kumar et al. / International Journal of Sediment Research 38 (2023) 615e627 617

analyzed to check each parameter's influence on the sediment The RF approach can handle missing values as well as contin-
removal efficiency estimation. uous, categorical, and binary data, making it ideal for high-
dimensional data modeling. The RF approach has a number of ad-
2. AI-based methods vantages, including excellent accuracy in predicting results, inter-
pretability, and non-parametricity for a variety of datasets. Because
Four AI-based techniques were utilized for the computation of of the use of collective techniques and random sampling, accurate
silt removal efficiency of the vortex tube silt ejector, which is dis- forecasts and improved generalizations are achieved. When
cussed in the following subsections. compared to a single-tree classifier, the RF approach typically
provides a significant performance boost. The strategy to find the
2.1. Support vector machine (SVM) inconsistency of the data is totally different in this method, which is
quite different from the usual functions (Ali et al., 2012; Sattari
The SVM model is an extensively used statistical machine et al., 2018; Shabani et al., 2020).
learning-based algorithm technique introduced by Vapnik (1998)
2.4. Random tree (RT)
that works on the principle of basic risk minimization. An SVM is
described on the basis of an N-dimensional hyperplane used for
A RT is an arborescence that is devised using a stochastic pro-
classification purposes that optimally converts the data into two
cess. A RT is a tree chosen at random from a number of probable
groups. The SVM model designs are associated with neural grid
trees with random-k characteristics at each node (point). In this
methods. Furthermore, sigmoid kernel functions are used in the
case, ‘random’ is used to describe that each tree in the set of trees
SVM model, similar to the two-layer perceptron neural network
has an equal opportunity to be selected in the sample. In other
€lkopf, 2004).
(Han et al., 2012; Sihag et al., 2018; Smola & Scho
words, there is uniformity in the distribution of trees. Random trees
2.2. Detail of the kernel function of the SVM for estimating removal can be grown effectively. Precise models can be obtained by
efficiency combining large sets of random trees. In the last few decades,
machine learning techniques have led to the extensive develop-
In the current study, SVM was utilized for modeling the corre- ment of random tree designs. Additionally, this method also in-
lation between inputs and outputs. Moreover, SVM comprises cludes the option of assessing the probability for each class (or
many kernel functions, so the choice of suitable kernel functions target mean in the case of regression) using a hold-out set (Erdal &
Karahanog lu, 2016).
among these functions also is a concern of the investigation. Hence,
for general purposes, two common kernel functions are used.
2.5. Multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS)
a) Radial basis kernel, RBF ¼ egðkxi xj k Þ
2

There are two types of soft computing models: general para-


b) Pearson VII function kernel, PUK ¼
  qffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi2 pffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi 2 u metric models and local nonparametric models (Zha & Chan, 2005).
 
1= 1 þ 2 xi  xj  2ð1=uÞ  1 =s A general parametric model utilizes all data, whereas a local
nonparametric model utilizes only a portion of the data (Elith et al.,
  2008; Samui, 2013). MARS is one of the local nonparametric models
where xi xj  is known as the Euclidean distance (Han et al., 2012) (Friedman, 1991) that fits regional polynomials to each subset, and
and g, s, u, and Ck (regularization parameter) are kernel parameters the complex patterns are modeled by this process. This distin-
(Sihag et al., 2018; Smola & Scho € lkopf, 2004). The performance guishes the MARS technique from other nonlinear models (Zha &
potential of the SVM model mainly depends on the proper setting Chan, 2005). The model starts with a fixed term, and then adds
of kernel parameters: g, s, u, and Ck . The choices of g, u, and Ck basis functions (BFs) to it. The MARS technique picks the BFs that
control the predicted (regression) model complexity. reduce the sum of squared errors the most (SSE). Overfitting the
data is a common side effect of progressive progress. A second
2.3. Random forests (RF) stage, involving a backward move, is required to alleviate the issue
of overfitting. The BFs with the smallest influence on the modeling
A RF approach refers to a well-organized collection of tree process are eliminated. Generalized cross-validation (GCV) is used
predictors generated from input vectors using random vector to calculate these BFs. Friedman (1991) and Safari (2020) defined
samples. At each node, various variables are arranged to form a the MARS model as Eq. (1):
tree with arbitrarily selected input parameters. A training data
XM 
set is constructed from randomly selected parameters for estab- b
y ¼ a0 þ a BF X (1)
n¼1 m m
lishing specific trees, and a Gini index is used to quantify the
parameters' impurity compared to the output (Breiman et al.,
where M is the number of basis functions; a0 is a constant; and am
1984). RF regression necessarily involves the use of two pre-
is the coefficient of the mth BF, BFm (X), which is calculated as
defined user variables: an input parameter (m) to be used at a
Eq. (2) (Friedman, 1991):
separate node to produce a tree and the number of trees grown
(k) (Breiman, 1999). The method is based on the hit-and-trial  Q h  iq
method, with the variables chosen based on the best split. The BFm X ¼ Ki¼1
m
Si;m Xvði;mÞ  ti;m (2)
þ
RF method constructs random forests by capturing a group of
random trees (Erdal & Karahanog lu, 2016). It creates different where Km is the degree of interaction between features in B Fm (X); i
separate classification trees from random data samples (i.e., is the number of the independent input variable; Si;m ¼ ± 1; Xvði;mÞ is
bagging) and then votes to choose the most popular class the vth independent variable; ti;m is the location of the node for
(Breiman, 2001). The base classifier in a RF is decision trees, and each of the input variables; and q is the power of basis functions.
the RF model is a hybrid of the bagging technique and the The index of (þ) in Eq. (2) means taking the positive part of the
random subspace method. expression of ½Si;m ðXvði;mÞ  ti;m Þqþ (Samui, 2013):
618 S. Kumar et al. / International Journal of Sediment Research 38 (2023) 615e627

(h  iq h  i
h  iq Si;m Xvði;mÞ  ti;m if Si;m Xvði;mÞ  ti;m > 0
Si;m Xvði;mÞ  ti;m ¼ (3)
þ
0 otherwise

The GCV, based on which the best MARS model is selected, can to find the optimum parameters of the models. Table 1 lists the
be written as Eq. (4) (Yilmaz et al., 2018; Zabihi et al., 2016): primary parameters for the SVM, RF, RT, and MARS models.
 P
1
nt
nt
i¼1
ðyi  b f ðXi ÞÞ2
3. Published relations and conventional models
GCVðMÞ ¼   2 (4)
C x ðMf Þ
1 nt Many factors influence a vortex tube silt ejector's removal effi-
ciency. Classical models are available in the literature, with designs
where nt is the total number of observations; b f ðXi Þ is the estimated based on either stable channel theory, sediment transport theory,
value; yi is the actual value; and C x ðMf Þ is the complexity penalty or physical model study, which leads to uneconomical device
function, whose value can be calculated as Eq. (5): design or device failure. Thus, in the current study, the performance
  potential of the classical models is assessed utilizing training
C x Mf ¼ dc  Mf þ Cx Mf (5) and testing data sets. The results of these classical models are
compared with those of AI-based models, including SVM, RF, RT,
and MARS.
where dc is the cost for each BF (Friedman, 1991); Cx ðMf Þ is the
For the classical models derived by prior researchers, the current
number of independent BFs, and Mf is the number of nodes
study evaluates the potential of the popular classical models, and
selected in the forward procedure. The final MARS model is the one
these classical models are described as follows. Curi et al. (1979),
with the lowest GCV.
based on their experimental work on sediment extractors, have
found the removal efficiency of vortex-type settling basins can be
2.6. Multiple linear regression (MLR) calculated as Eq. (8):
0 1
A MLR equation implemented for a predicted parameter has

B gs 0:88 C
several values which are calculated using Eq. (6): B g C
h ¼ 1:74 þ lnB f
B 0:58 C
C
(8)
Z ¼ c0 x1 c1 x2 c2 x3 c3 x4 c4 …xn cn (6) B Q C
@ A
where Z represents any dependent variable; x1 and x2 are the in-
dependent variables; c1 and c2 are the power constants; and n is the
where gs is the specific weight of sediment; gf is the specific weight
number of independent variables. For the silt removal efficiency of
of water; and Q is the discharge in the inlet channel. Paul et al.
a vortex tube silt ejector, the MLR takes the form in Eq. (7) (Mattar
(1991) examined the removal efficiency of settling basins and
& Alazba, 2019; Singh et al., 2021):
found by Eq. (9):
 0:225 u
t
h ¼ 26:93 d50 0:2488 C 0:0224 R0:6284 (7) h ¼ 73:4 þ 8:0 log (9)
d W

where h is the removal efficiency (%) of vortex tube silt ejector; d50 where u is the sediment fall velocity, and W is the vertical upward
represents the median grain diameter (mm); t/d is the ratio be- velocity at the center of the basin. Atkinson (1994a) proposed a
tween the thickness (t) of the slit opening and diameter (d) of mathematical model for the estimation of the removal efficiency of
vortex conduit (cm); C is the silt material concentration in ppm; a vortex tube silt ejector as Eq. (10):
and R is the extraction ratio (%). 3
ða 
V 1  z z
þ 1 5  e U* ðD Þ  d
U*; 15 u z a
a þ U* þ ln
2.7. Development of the AI-models U* k D D
h¼ a
3
ðD 
The development of models follows a hit-and-trial process. At V 1  z
7
z
þ 1 5  e U* ðD Þ  d
U; 15 u z a
a  U** þ þ ln
the initial stage, a lower value of the primary parameters is selected, U* k D D
and the performance of the model compared to actual values is cross b
checked. The value of primary parameters is increased step-by-step (10)

where a is the non-dimensional parameter which is the ratio be-


Table 1
tween the thickness of bed layer (2d50) and flow depth (D); V is the
Primary parameters used with SVM, RF, RT, and MARS models.
flow mean velocity; U* is the shear velocity; U*0 is the grain shear
Approach Radial basis kernel Pearson VII kernel velocity; a is the ratio between dividing stream height and total
SVM Ck ¼ 2, g ¼ 1 Ck ¼ 2, u ¼ 0.1, s ¼ 1 flow depth; z is the water depth from the bed level; and k is the von
RF k ¼ 10, m ¼ 1, I ¼ 100 Karman's constant (0.4). A model is given by Singh et al. (2016) for
RT k¼1 the estimation of the ejection efficacy of tunnel extractors as Eq.
MARS Pc intercept ¼ 2; Basis function ¼ 7
(11):
S. Kumar et al. / International Journal of Sediment Research 38 (2023) 615e627 619

Fig. 3. Plan view of the experimental arrangement.

Table 3
Characteristics of the experimental observations.

Input variable Unit Training data set

Minimum Maximum Mean Standard


deviation

d50 mm 0.210 0.840 0.494 0.228


C ppm 207.0 473.0 381.0 62.364
R % 1.250 7.500 3.364 1.780
t/d d 0.125 0.300 0.216 0.088
h % 16.800 83.200 36.946 15.053

Testing dataset

Fig. 4. A view of the embedded model of the vortex tube in the test channel bed. Minimum Maximum Mean Standard
deviation

d50 mm 0.210 0.840 0.494 0.229


C ppm 207.0 265.0 241.0 22.300
h ¼ 192:08 C 0:392 d50 0:5983 R0:3766 (11) R % 1.250 7.500 3.302 1.887
t/d d 0.125 0.300 0.205 0.088
h % 19.90 85.100 40.109 15.981

4. Experimental setup

The experiments were done in a channel having dimensions: conduit with a regulating valve, where the maximum capacity of
width ¼ 0.3 m, depth ¼ 0.5 m, and length ¼ 14.50 m. The flow was flow was measured at 0.016 m3 =s. The vortex tube silt ejector
extracted for the flume from an overhead tank through a steel model was fitted across the entire width of the channel bed, and at

Table 2
Scheme of the experimental matrix.

Flow mean velocity Ratio between slot thickness and diameter of the tube, t/d Size of sediment, d50 Percentage extraction ratio, R
(m/s) (mm)

0.33 0.1250 0.840, 0.504 6.25%, 3.44%


0.424, 0.210
0.33 0.1250 0.840, 0.504 3.13%, 1.75%
0.424, 0.210
0.33 0.1250 0.840, 0.504 2.50%, 1.31%
0.424, 0.210
0.33 0.3000 0.840, 0.504 7.50%, 3.94%
0.424, 0.210
0.33 0.3000 0.840, 0.504 3.75%, 2.37%
0.424, 0.210
0.33 0.3000 0.840, 0.504 2.94%, 1.56%
0.424, 0.210
620 S. Kumar et al. / International Journal of Sediment Research 38 (2023) 615e627

its downstream end, the discharge was controlled by the regulating whereas sediment removal efficiency h (%) was taken as model
valve (Fig. 3). Two models fabricated from steel conduit were used output. Table 3 lists the features of the training and testing data
by changing the diameter and slit opening thickness. The sets.
embedded view of a model of the vortex tube silt ejector in the
channel bed is shown in Fig. 4. The silt was poured into the flume 4.2. Analysis of variables
through a sediment feeder mounted on the two supporting walls of
the flume, 3.92 m upstream from the vortex tube model. Removal The collected data were classified in the form of d50, C, R, and
of silt material transported in the channel as a percentage quantity t/d as the input variables and the removal efficiency (h) as the
is known as the removal efficiency of the vortex tube silt ejector. output variable. Further, the relations between the parameters
The flow carrying silt was permitted to cross the vortex tube silt are shown in Fig. 5. However, extraction ratio (R) and removal
ejector, and the silt trapped by the tube was accumulated, dried, efficiency (h) showed the maximum correlation among them (¼
and assessed to check the efficiency of the vortex tube silt ejector. 0.82); on the contrary concentration (C) gave a poor correlation
Some questionable tests have been repeated twice to ensure the with removal efficiency (h) (¼  0.124). Figure 5 shows some
accuracy of the experiments, consisting of a total of 144 test runs. general idea about the inter-dependency among the input
Table 2 lists a summary of the details of the experimental matrix. and output based on the current experimental investigation/
scheme.
4.1. Dataset
4.3. Model performance criteria
A total of 144 test datasets were collected through laboratory
experiments. 70% of the 144 test data sets were used for model In order to evaluate the model performance, three basic
training, the remaining 30% were used for model testing. Input statistical parameters were considered. Once satisfactory accu-
data comprises of sediment size, d50 (mm); the ratio of the slit racy was obtained in the training phase, the models were
opening thickness to diameter (t/d) of the vortex tube silt ejector; opened for testing. For evaluation of the performance of the
concentration of sediment C (ppm); the extraction ratio R (%), models, these three parameters were chosen: NasheSutcliffe

Fig. 5. Correlation plots for input and output variables with a modeled removal efficiency of the vortex tube.
S. Kumar et al. / International Journal of Sediment Research 38 (2023) 615e627 621

Table 4
Evaluation metrics for the various techniques for prediction of silt removal efficiency for a vortex tube silt ejector.

Modeling technique Training dataset Testing dataset

CC RMSE NSE CC RMSE NSE

Pearson function kernel-based SVM (SVM_PUK) 0.9981 1.2909 0.9962 0.9106 14.4735 0.5708
Radial basis kernel-based- SVM (SVM_RBF) 0.9393 5.5423 0.8631 0.9177 9.1954 0.6612
RF 0.9956 1.4430 0.9907 0.9921 2.4771 0.9754
RT 0.9983 0.8682 0.9966 0.9957 2.1652 0.9812
MLR 0.9198 5.8816 0.8458 0.9382 7.2300 0.7906
MARS 0.9427 4.9942 0.8888 0.9505 6.0555 0.8530
Singh (2016) 0.6912 21.5243 1.0654 0.7092 21.4813 0.8488
Atkinson (1994a) 0.3026 31.7748 3.5009 0.2974 30.2495 2.6661
Curi et al. (1979) 0.3055 33.6746 4.0552 0.5095 37.6347 4.6747
Paul et al. (1991) 0.3051 36.8723 5.0609 0.3009 34.3456 3.7262

Fig. 6. Flow diagram for predicting the removal efficiency of the vortex tube silt ejector.

vffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
model efficiency (NSE) (McCuen et al., 2006), correlation coef- u
u 1 Xm
ficient (CC), and root mean square error (RMSE), which are RMSE ¼ t ðI  JÞ2 (13)
calculated as Eqs. (12)e(14): m i¼1

Pm
ðI  JÞ2
P P P NSE ¼ 1  Pi¼1 (14)
m IJ eð IÞð JÞ m 2
CC ¼ rffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffirffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
ffi (12) i¼1 ðI  jÞ
P P P P
m I 2  ð JÞ2 n J 2  ð JÞ2
where m is the total number of values; I and J are the actual and
estimated values, respectively; and j is the mean of actual values. The
combined use of CC, RMSE, and NSE provides an appropriate measure
622 S. Kumar et al. / International Journal of Sediment Research 38 (2023) 615e627

Fig. 7. (a) Scatter diagram; (b) performance diagram of actual and predicted removal efficiency values for SVM_PUK model.

Fig. 8. (a) Scatter diagram; (b) performance diagram of actual and predicted removal efficiency values for SVM_RBF model.

Fig. 9. (a) Scatter diagram; (b) performance diagram of actual and predicted removal efficiency values for RF model.

of each model's accuracy. This statistical comparison allows for an parameters, CC, RMSE, and NSE, are selected to evaluate the per-
evaluation of the reliability of the modeling techniques used in this formance of the aforementioned AI-based models along with four
research. In addition, a Taylor diagram (Taylor, 2001) was included to traditional empirical models (Atkinson, 1994a; Curi et al., 1979; Paul
assess the accuracy of the implemented models in the current study. et al., 1991; Singh, 2016). Table 4 lists the values of statistical
evaluation metrics of the models for the training and testing
5. Results and discussion datasets. Also, a flow diagram is shown in Fig. 6.
Table 4 reveals the predicted results of all the models in the
5.1. Model performance statistics training phase as well as the testing phase. The RT model predicted
greater efficiency in the training phase (CC ¼ 0.9983, RMSE ¼ 0.8682,
This section presents the predicted results obtained from the NSE ¼ 0.9966) followed by the Pearson function kernel-based
SVM, RF, RT, MLR, and MARS models. The three statistical SVM_PUK (CC ¼ 0.9981, RMSE ¼ 1.2909, NSE ¼ 0.9962), RF
S. Kumar et al. / International Journal of Sediment Research 38 (2023) 615e627 623

Fig. 10. (a) Scatter diagram; (b) performance diagram of actual and predicted removal efficiency values for RT model.

Fig. 11. (a) Scatter diagram; (b) performance diagram of actual and predicted removal efficiency values for MLR model.

Fig. 12. (a) Scatter diagram; (b) performance diagram of actual and predicted removal efficiency values for MARS model.

(CC ¼ 0.9956, RMSE ¼ 1.4430, NSE ¼ 0.9907), Radial basis kernel- the best ranking among other applied models, followed by the RF,
based-SVM_RBF (CC ¼ 0.9393, RMSE ¼ 5.5423, NSE ¼ 0.8631), MARS, MLR, SVM_RBF, and SVM_PUK models in the testing phase.
MARS (CC ¼ 0.9427, RMSE ¼ 4.9942, NSE ¼ 0.8888), and MLR The SVM_PUK model has the worst prediction among the AI models
(CC ¼ 0.9198, RMSE ¼ 5.8816, NSE ¼ 0.8458) models. The conven- on CC, RMSE, and NSE parameters, as listed in Table 4.
tional models provided the worst prediction with a negative NSE, Figures 7e12 depict the optimized models using all data in the
indicating that the mean observed value performs better than any of form of a scatter diagram and performance line diagram for the
these models. Moreover, based on CC, RMSE, and NSE parameters, it training and testing phases. In the performance diagram, the first
is evident that RT outperformed the other applied models in the 100 datasets show the training results, and the remaining 44 show
training phase. According to Table 4, the RT-based model registered testing results. As a result, it was clear that the proposed RT model
624 S. Kumar et al. / International Journal of Sediment Research 38 (2023) 615e627

Fig. 13. Distribution of relative errors (%) for (a) AI models and (b) Conventional models.

(Fig. 10) was more accurate than the other applied models in pre- diagram is based on the distance between the points acquired by
dicting removal efficiency. The RF (Fig. 9), SVM (Figs. 7 and 8), and the AI models and the actual value. It is also worth mentioning that
MARS (Fig. 12) models also predicted removal efficiency well. The the RF's performance is nearly the same as the RT value (Fig. 14a).
agreement plot shows that the RT model (Fig. 10) predicted the The RT model performs well in the testing phase again (Fig. 14b).
removal efficiency with the least error. The MARS model was developed using MATLAB R (2021). The
The RT model also yielded good agreement with the actual advantage of the MARS model is that it provides the equation in
values, and the model exhibited a good coefficient of determination terms of Basis Functions. Table 5 lists the MARS model's hyper-
yield (R2 ¼ 0.9966 and 0.9915, respectively) in the training and parameters, including the interaction level, the maximum number
testing phases. The RT model was found to yield the highest effi- of BFs, and initial interaction values. The piecewise linear BF was
ciency among all applied models, as shown in Figs. 7e12. For used to get the best results, and the maximum interaction level (2)
further analysis, Fig. 13 shows the relative error distributions for all was found using a trial-and-error approach. The number of BFs in
AI models and traditional models in a box plot format, revealing the forward stage was 16, and 10 BFs were pruned during the
that the RT and RF models had the lowest relative errors when backward phase to minimize overfitting, leaving only six effective
compared to the other implemented models. Thus, it is clear that BFs. Table 5 lists the MARS model's optimal equation, including the
the best result was achieved by the RT model. For instance, the linear BFs' intercepts and coefficients.
relative errors (%) for the RT model were within a range of (3.8, Figure 15 shows the comparison between the actual and pre-
0%) and the model produced the best results when compared with dicted values of the removal efficiency for all the traditional (con-
the RF (6.19, 3.05%), SVM_PUK (29.24, 11.78%), SVM_RBF ventional) predictive empirical models given by prior researchers
(22.68, 7.96%), MARS (15.06, 10.59%), and MLR (15.06, 10.59%), and the AI-based techniques generated during the current study.
and all conventional models are as shown in Fig. 13. The findings of the current study demonstrate that all AI-based
Figure 14 shows the Taylor diagram for all AI-based models. approaches provided more accurate removal efficiency values
Figure 14a shows that the RT model's value is closer to the actual than all the conventional models. Also, the current study found that
value than the other models in the training phase. The Taylor the RT achieved more accurate predictions of the removal efficiency

Fig. 14. Taylor diagrams for all AI models in the (a) training and (b) testing phases.
S. Kumar et al. / International Journal of Sediment Research 38 (2023) 615e627 625

Table 5 Table 6
BFs and related coefficients of the MARS model. Comparison with previous studies.

Basis function Equation Coefficient No. Ref. CC RMSE NSE

Intercept d þ48.2622 1 Current Study 0.9957 2.1652 0.9812


BF1 max (0, R  6.25) þ23.3906 2 Kumar et al. (2019) 0.9774 9.2487 d
BF2 max (0, 6.25  R) 2.3149 3 Singh et al. (2021) 0.9920 2.4770 0.9750
BF3 max (0, d50  0.504) þ12.5492 4 Tiwari, Sihag, Kumar, and Ranjan (2020) 0.9720 3.9060 0.9390
BF4 max (0, 0.504  d50) 61.2802
BF5 max (0, 3.125  R) 9.8722
BF6 BF2  max (0, 0.504  d50) þ11.5047
Table 7 lists the results of a one-way analysis of variance
(ANOVA) along with different test parameters, i.e., F, p-value, and
than the other models. The full model performance was assessed critical value F (F-critical). The statistical criterion for hypothesis
within the range of ± 20%. The RT model provided the best results testing was a significance level, a, of 0.05 and the corresponding F-
among all applied models, and the RF model also provided critical is listed in Table 7. The null hypothesis of significant dif-
comparably good results. However, the values predicted by all the ference between actual and predicted values is rejected. The F value
conventional models are scattered beyond the agreement line, and is greater than or equal to the F-critical value, F  F-critical (sig-
it can be concluded that all traditional (conventional) models nificant results) (Vand et al.. 2018). Further, Table 7 suggests that
provided poor performance compared to the AI models. there is no significant difference between actual and predicted
Furthermore, the best model was compared with previous values of removal efficiency of the vortex tube silt ejector utilizing
studies (Kumar et al., 2019; Singh et al., 2021; Tiwari et al., 2020). the different AI-based approaches. On careful examination of
The comparison was made based on the values of the coefficient of Fig. 13, it is further substantiated that the estimated value obtained
correlation (CC), root mean square error (RMSE), and Nash Sutcliffe from the RT-based model shows fair agreement with the actual
model efficiency (NSE). These values are obtained for the best model value, as does the RF model. Additionally, Figs. 7e12 and 14, and
of Kumar et al. (2019), Singh et al. (2021), and Tiwari et al. (2020), Tables 4 and 6 suggest that all AI-based models were performing
listed in Table 6. The values of CC for Kumar et al. (2019), Singh et al. well in estimating the removal efficiency for the vortex tube silt
(2021), and Tiwari et al. (2020) are 0.9774, 0.9920, and 0.9720, ejector compared to the traditional (conventional) empirical
respectively, which are less than the value obtained from the cur- models derived by previous studies.
rent study (0.9957). Similarly, the values of RMSE are more than the
value obtained from the current study. In the same context, the 5.2. Sensitivity analysis
values of NSE are less than the value obtained from the current
study. Thus, Kumar et al. (2019), Singh et al. (2021), and Tiwari et al. The parametric sensitivity was analyzed to ascertain the main
(2020) gave poorer performance than the best model in the current input variables affecting the vortex tube silt ejector removal effi-
study. Moreover, based on Tables 4 and 6, and Figs. 7e15, it can be ciency. For this, the RT model was best suited for performance of
concluded that the RT-based model performed the best. sensitivity analysis with this dataset. Various sets of training data

Fig. 15. Comparison of performances for conventional models with (a) SVM_PUK, (b) SVM_RBF, (c) RF, (d) RT, (e) MLR, and (f) MARS.
626 S. Kumar et al. / International Journal of Sediment Research 38 (2023) 615e627

Table 7
Results of ANOVA single factor test.

Technique F p-value F-critical Difference between actual


and estimated values

SVM_PUK 0.671863 0.414669 3.951882 Insignificant


SVM_RBF 2.981463 0.087814 3.951882 Insignificant
RF 0.181483 0.671166 3.951882 Insignificant
RT 0.221651 0.638977 3.951882 Insignificant
MLR 2.094461 0.151469 3.951882 Insignificant
MARS 0.116116 0.734117 3.951882 Insignificant

Table 8 Declaration of competing interest


Sensitivity study applied to the RT model.
The authors declare that they have no known competing
Input combination Input variable removed Random tree
financial interests or personal relationships that could have
CC RMSE appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
d50, C, t/d, R 0.9957 2.1652
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