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Why Worry About Sampling Variability? How is a meaningful difference in sample means different from a non-meaningful difference in sample means? You may use what you saw in the dot plots of this lesson to help you answer this question, Below are three dot plots, Each dot plot represents the differences in sample means for random samples selected from ‘two populations (Bag A and Bag B). For each distribution, the differences were found by subtracting the sample means of Bag B from the sample means of Bag A (semple mean A ~ sample mean B), 1. _Does the graph below indicate that the population mean of Bag Ais larger than the papulation mean of Bag B? Why or why nat? Sample Mean & ~ Sample Mean & 2. Use the graph above to estimate the difference in the population means (Mean A Mean B) 3. Does the graph below indicate that the population mean of Bag Ais larger than the population mean of Bag 8? Why or why not? ogee 2 Sample Mean A ~ Sample Mean 8 4, Does the graph below indicate that the population mean of Bag Ais lerger than the population mean of Bag 8? Why or why not? biatyepe pe, qey pe pee, op ones pee 5 4 3 2 1 ° 1 2 3 4 5 6 Sample Mean & = Sample Mean 8 5, Inthe above graph, how many differences are greater than 0? How many differences are less than 0? What might this tell you? 6. In Problem 4, the population mean for Bag Ais really larger than the population mean for Bag B. Why is it passible to still get so many negative differences in the graph? How isa meaningful difference in sample means diferent from 3 nom-meaningfl difference in sample means? You may tse what you saw inthe dot plots ofthis lesson to help you answer this question, A meaningful difference in somple means is one that isnot likely to hove occurred by just chance if there is no difference in the population means. A meeningful difference in somple means would be one that s very far from 0 (or not ike hheppen ifthe population means are equal). A non-meaningful difference in sample means would be one that is relatively close to 0, which indicates the population means ore equa Note thot how big this alifference needs to be in order tobe declored “meaningful” depends on the context, the sample size, ond the variability inthe populations. Below are three dot plats. Each dot plot represents the differences in sample means fo random samples selected from ‘two populations (8ag A and 82g 8). For each distribution, the differences were found by subtracting the sample means of ag 8 from the sample means of Bag A (sample mean A ~ sample mean 8. 1, Does the graph below indicate thatthe population mean of Bay Ais larger than the population mean of Bag 6? Why or why not? no, since mast of the diferences are negative, it pears that the population meon af Bag A is smaller than the populotion meon of Bg 8. Sample Mean A Sample Mean 8 2, Use the graph above to estimate the diference in the population means (Mean A ~ Mean B) ‘About 4. This(s about the mile ofthe graph. 3. Does the graph below indicate that the population mean of ag As larger than the population mean of Bag 8? Why orwhy not? No, the dots are all centered around 0, meaning that the population means of Bag A and Bag B might be equal Sample Mean A ~ Sample Mean 8 4. Does the graph below indicate that the population mean of Bag Ais larger than the population mean of Bag 8? Why orwhy not? Yes, the dots are near 1.5. There is smal difference in the population means, but it ss small that it i ficult to detect. (Note to teachers: Some students may answer "No, the dots eppear centered around 0.” Problem 6 should couse students to rethink this answer.) Sample Mean A Sample Mean 8 5, Inthe above graph, how many differences ae greater than 0? How many differences ae less than 0? What might this tell you? There ae 11 dots greater than 0 and 12 dots less than . Ittlls me that there are more positive differences, which ‘may mean that the population mean for Bag Ais bigger than the population mean for Bog 8. 5. _InProblem 4, the population mean for Bag A is realy larger than the population mean for Bag B. Why sit possible to still get so. many negative differences inthe graph? Itis possible to get so many negative values because the populotion mean of Bog A may only bea little bigger than the population mean of Bag 8.

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