Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Management
Basics of Financial Management
A. Basic Ratios
1) Earnings Per Share
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Basics of Financial Management
4) Market Capitalization
Market Capitalisation (M-Cap) means total market value of equity shares of the company.
Example: Justdial Ltd has 1000 equity shares outstanding. Current market price is ₹ 15 per share.
Number of
Shareholding Pattern Holding %
Shares 30%
Promoters 700 70% 70%
It is the total value of all equity shares of the It is that part of total market cap that is not
company. held by promoters i.e., held by general public
Calculation of M-Cap
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Basics of Financial Management
Equity Shareholders Funds (ESHF) is the total value of equity shareholders in the net assets of
the company as per books.
6) Return on Equity
Return on Equity (ROE) is the accounting return to the equity shareholders as per books.
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Basics of Financial Management
Example:
Year Cash Flows (₹)
0 - 110
1 11
2 121
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Basics of Financial Management
Single Sum:
Value of ₹ 200 at the end of year 5th period: Value of ₹ 200 today:
Annuity:
Regular Annuity
Value of all CFs at the end of 5th period assuming Value of all CFs today assuming CFs occur at
CFs occur at the end of the period: the end of the period:
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Basics of Financial Management
Annuity Due
Value of all CFs at the end of 5th period assuming Value of all CFs today assuming CFs occur in
CFs occur in the beginning of the period. the beginning of the period.
Perpetuity
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Basics of Financial Management
Nominal cash flows are the amount of future When effect of inflation is removed from such
revenues or expenses the company expects to future cash flows, they are called Real cash
receive or pay. Nominal cash flow has effect of flows. Real cash flow does not have effect of
inflation included in it. inflation included in it.
To calculate PV of nominal cash flow, nominal To calculate PV of real cash flow, real
discounting rate is used. discounting rate is used.
Example: Cipla Ltd has forecasted cash inflow of ₹ 100 crores to be received at the end of 2nd year.
Real discounting rate is 10% and inflation in the economy is at 5%. Calculate PV of future cash
flow using Nominal discounting rate and Real discounting rate.
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
Equity & Corporate Valuation
Relative Valuation
• Equity Value Multiples Based Valuation
• Enterprise Value Multiples Based Valuation
• Chop - Shop Approach
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
Equity Share
Bonds
Dividend Discount Models (DDMs) use dividends as the basis of calculating Intrinsic Value (IV-
what should be the valued) of shares.
Value of Share:
Yes Bank is expected to distribute dividends of ₹ 10 and ₹ 12 next year and a year
thereafter. At the end of this period, its share is expected to be sold at ₹ 150.
Calculate the value of share if discounting rate is 15%.
Value of Share:
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
• Preference # 1: CAPM*
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*CAPM is covered in detail in the chapter ‘Portfolio management’.
It means that examiner is assuming the security as fairly valued. Hence, by whatever name (E(Ri)
or Rj) rate is given in the question, it will be used as discounting rate to calculate IV.
Conclusion: In other words, solve the question normally by treating the given rate as Rj.
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
This model is applied when dividend grows at a constant rate for infinite number of years. Value
of share as per this model is PV of growing perpetuity.
D1 : ______________________________________
g : ______________________________________
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• Y0 (& not Y1): Although dividend used in the formula is D1, but value so arrived is as at Y0 (&
not Y1)
• g from D1 till D∞: g used in the formula is growth consistent from D1 till D∞. It does not include
the growth from D0 to D1. Hence, growth from D0 to D1 can be different.
• g in EPS = g in D: Unless otherwise specified, dividend pay-out ratio is assumed to be constant.
Therefore, g in EPS is equal to g in DPS.
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Since Gordon’s formula assumes constant pay-out ratio, growth in EPS, DPS, BVPS and MPS
is same at g %.
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
This model is applied when growth in dividend is not constant i.e., when dividend grows at
different rates for few years and then grows at a constant rate for infinite number of years.
Terminal Value (TV) represents the PV of all future dividends received for infinite number of years
growing at a constant rate. TV is calculated using Gordon’s Formula.
Example:
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
4) H Model
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
1) Free Cash Flow to Firm Model | Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
Calculation of FCF
Particulars Amount
Particulars Amount
Relation b/w
FCFF and FCFE: _______________________________________________________________
Hence, when there will be no debt and preference share capital, FCFF = FCFE.
*Note: While calculating FCFF, interest will not be deducted from EBIT and tax will be calculated
directly on EBIT.
Discounting rate will be the required rate to return to the capital providers from whose
perspective valuation is done
In the calculation of KO, weights (i.e., We, Wp and Wd) should be based on below priorities:
1. Target Capital Structure Ratio
2. Market Values (MVs)
3. Book Values (BVs)
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
Value of Equity can be calculated as... Value of Firm can be calculated as...
Note: There are some questions of valuation which are based on the logic of NPV or FCF Valuation.
They have been separately categorized as ‘NPV based questions of Valuation’ after question of
Cash Flow Based Valuation.
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
These methods of valuations have Balance Sheet as its start point. It involves identifying the
individual tangible & non tangible assets, long-term liabilities and preference share capital held
by the company and assigning them value based on the exact method to be followed:
Replaceable Value
Value of Equity is equal to the market value of Net Assets held by the company.
Particulars Amount
Points to consider:
• When MVs are not available, consider BVs.
• Value of contingent liability will also be deducted if it is expected to materialize.
• MV of preference share is also required to be deducted to arrive at the value of equity.
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
This method considers capitalization of earnings of the company to arrive at the value of the
2)company.
Walters Model
Practical
Value Questions: _______________________
of Business/Equity: Practice Problems: _______________________
Less:
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
According to this model, the value of equity share is the PV (Dividend and Price appreciation)
earned by the shareholders every year till infinite period of time.
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Use of Walters Model is not limited to calculation of value of share. It also helps in determining
the optimum payout. Optimum Payout means the payout at which price of the share is maximum.
Example: EPS is ₹100 & Ke is 12.5%. Calculate value of share if:
Payout = 0% Payout = 50% Payout = 100%
r = 15%
r = 12%
r = 10%
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
We can observe that some relationship between r and Ke can be drawn to determine the optimum
payout.
Conclusions:
r > Ke
r < Ke
r = Ke
Note that when question asks for optimum payout ratio, we will not just have to advise the
optimum payout ratio, buy also show the value of share in case of optimum payout ratio.
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
E. Relative Valuation
Under this approach, we arrive at the value of equity or enterprise value by multiplying the Value
Multiples of comparable entities with the financial parameter on which that multiple is based.
Value so arrived is called as Relative Value or Value by Multiples.
• Financial Parameter means any financial variable that demonstrate something about Scale of
operations (like sales), Profitability (like EBIT, net profit, etc) or Financial position (like Assets,
book value) of the company.
• Value multiple means financial ratio of which numerator is value of equity or enterprise and
denominator is financial parameters like earnings, sales, BV, etc.
• Comparable entity means entities in the same industry with similar risk characteristics.
or
Note that if question gives data of multiple comparable entities, then we will have to calculate
average value multiple of such entities. This average multiple will be then multiplied with the
given financial parameter to arrive at value of the company.
Below are the examples of Financial Parameters and respective Equity Value Multiples:
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
Equity Value means value of only equity shareholders in the value of overall business. Enterprise
Value (EV) means value of firm as a whole for all classes of investors (capital providers).
Includes value of debt and preference share also.
Excludes surplus cash & cash equivalents
ENTERPRISE VALUE
Since, EV (which is the numerator of EV Multiples) includes the claims of all the investors, then
financial parameter (which is the denominator) should also include the claims of all of them.
Hence, denominators of EV multiples will slightly vary as compared to Equity Value Multiples.
Below are the examples of Financial Parameters and respective EV Multiples:
Less:
Less:
Add:
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
This method is applied when a company operated in different business segment. According to
this approach, Value of firm is equal to the sum of values of its different business segments,
where, values of these business segments is calculated using Value Multiples read in earlier two
methods.
Example: Let us say ITI has three divisions. Below are their names and relevant value multiples:
Value of firm:
Division Calculation Amount
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
Economic Value Added (EVA) is the excess return earned by the company over its WACC. In
simpler words, it the amount of earnings left with company after deducting capital charge of
debt, preference and even equity.
EBIT
Tax @ Beta
PAT
Cost of Equity
Above discussion was based on common sense just to understand the concept of EVA. But there
is a standardised formula of calculating it:
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
1. Capital Employed:
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2. WACC:
Ke: ______________________________________________________________
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Why interest is not deducted while calculating NOPAT even when it is tax deductible expense?
Since, Kd is calculated net of tax, it means that we have already taken tax benefit on interest in
our calculation. Note that same logic applies in the calculation of FCFF also, where we calculate
the tax directly on EBIT.
Value of firm using EVA Approach: Discussed in detail in the section of MVA.
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
Market Value Added (MVA) is the excess of market value of firm (i.e., Equity, Preference Share
and Debt) over its book value (i.e., capital employed).
Note that in the absence of actual market values of equity, preference capital or debt, MVA can
be calculated using Intrinsic Value of Firm (i.e., value of firm calculated using FCF models). The
value so arrived will be intrinsic MVA.
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Note that, as already read, this method of valuation will give a correct value only when there is
no growth in NOPAT. But, if question asks us to do so, we will have to apply this method even
when there is growth. Refer question number:
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
Rights issue is a way of raising funds in which company gives an option (called as Right) to its
existing shareholders to subscribe to the newly issued shares (called as Right shares) in
proportion to their holding.
• The ratio in which right shares are issued against existing shares is called as Rights Ratio
Example:
Pre-right market price per share:
Pre-right number of shares:
To fund a project, company wants to raise:
Company offers rights in the ratio: Only one of these will be given &
Issue price of right shares: other will have to be calculated
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OR
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* Note that whenever question gives the data of future CFs to be generated from the project
(project for which rights issue has been made), rather than Subscription amount raised we
shall consider intrinsic value of that project i.e., PV of future CFs to be generated from it.
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
Post-right Wealth:
• Rights are subscribed: _______________________________________________
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4) Concept of Buy-back
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
Bonus issue means issue of further shares to the SHs in proportion to their existing shareholding
without any consideration. Shares so issued are called Bonus Shares.
• Total number of Shares will increase by the number the bonus shares issued.
• Note that, bonus does not involve any cash flow in the entire event and theoretically, total
market cap and total earnings of the company remains unchanged.
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Mergers, Acquisitions &
Corporate Restructuring
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
2) Basic Ratios
M&A deal in which purchase consideration is M&A deal in which purchase consideration is
redeemed by issuing equity shares of A Ltd. paid in cash.
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1 : 2 or 0.5
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In case of a stock deal, number of shares issued to SHs of T Ltd is normally calculated in one of
the two ways, depending upon the data given in the question:
Method 1: When
ER & nT are given:
There are various parameters based on which A Ltd & T Ltd can agree to an exchange ratio. For
example, EPS, MPS, BVPS, NPA Ratio (in case of banks), etc.
Means parameter
which is better:
For example:
Exchange Ratio:
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Note that:
• ER is always based on per share parameters. For example: it can be based on EPS, MPS, BVPS
but not on total earnings, total market-cap or total net worth of the companies.
• If question is silent about ER, always assume it to be based on MPS.
• It is possible to have exchange ratio higher than 1. This happens when per share parameter
of T Ltd are better than per share parameter of A Ltd.
5) Synergy
Synergy is when post-merger earnings or value of A Ltd is more than simple summation of pre-
merger earnings or value of A Ltd and T Ltd.
Post-merger EPS & related calculation Post-merger MPS & related calculation
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It means EPS in A Ltd to the SHs of T Ltd, equivalent to every 1 share of T Ltd
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Understanding how does change in exchange ratio affects SHs of A Ltd and T Ltd:
A Ltd T Ltd
➢ Case 2: If ER = 0.3 or 3:10
Gain / (Loss)
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Gain / (Loss)
Situation of no gain-no loss in terms of earnings to both the groups of SHs is possible only when
there is no synergy in earnings. Therefore, to solve this part of the example, where we are learning
to calculate breakeven ER, let us assume that there is no synergy.
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b) When question specifically asks for ‘maximum exchange ratio’, it means we need to calculate the
maximum ER to which SHs of A Ltd will agree.
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c) When question specifically asks for ‘minimum exchange ratio’, it means we need to calculate the
minimum ER to which SHs of T Ltd will agree.
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Note that if interest & tax rate are not given in the question, then it can be ignored.
NOT APPLICABLE
Since Equivalent EPS is calculated using ER and in case of a cash deal, there is no ER.
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Understanding how does change in exchange ratio affects SHs of A Ltd and T Ltd:
A Ltd T Ltd
➢ Case 2: If ER = 0.1 or 1:10
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For rest of the solution, we will continue with the post-merger MPS arrived under method 1...
Note that the first method (in which interest on PC in considered) is more preferable. However, in
the absence of interest rate, second method (in which entire PC is deducted) can be applied.
NOT APPLICABLE
Since, equivalent MPS is calculated using ER therefore, calculation of equivalent MPS is not possible
and also not needed.
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The minimum amount of cash PC which SHs of T Ltd would agree, will be its pre-merger MPS
because MPS is minimum amount that they will receive if they sell their shares in the market. Hence,
they would expect atleast that much of amount from A Ltd.
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A Ltd is aka
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T Ltd is aka
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F. Demerger
Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: ________________________
Demerger means a company selling one of its divisions or undertakings to another company or
creating an altogether separate company.
There are different types of demerger like sell-off, spin-off, split-up, etc. These have been covered
in details in theory notes. Practical question covered in our syllabus is based in spin-off. In spin-
off, a part of the business is separated and created as a separate entity. The existing shareholders
of the firm get proportionate ownership in the newly created entity.
• There is no change in ownership and the same shareholders continue to own the newly created
entity.
• Total number of shares of existing firm will remain same as before demerger.
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Fixed Income Securities
Fixed Income Securities
Fixed Income Securities means investment instruments in which cash flows generated in future
(in the form of coupon and redemption value) are predetermined. It includes:
• Money Market Fixed Income Securities: These securities have maturity of less than 1 year.
Example: Treasury Bills, Commercial Paper, Certificate of Deposit, etc.
• Capital Market Fixed Income Securities: These securities have maturity of more than 1 year.
Example: Government Bonds, Corporate Bonds, etc.
As name says, no Coupon on these Life of these bonds is Equal principal amount
coupon is paid on bonds is paid at a indefinite i.e., maturity is redeemed at the end
these bonds. They fixed coupon rate of these bonds is not of each period along
are issued on at the end of every specified. Therefore, with coupon. It means
discount and fixed period. we consider that at the end of each
redeemed at par. Principle amount principal amount will period; coupon is paid
is redeemed in one never be redeemed only on the principal
shot on maturity and only coupon will amount outstanding at
be received at the end the beginning of the
of each period. period.
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Fixed Income Securities
1) Valuation of Bonds
Valuation of Bonds is simply based on Fundamental Principal of Valuation i.e., value of any asset
today is PV of all future cash flows generated from that asset.
Basics of TVM & its application:
Conclusion: Normally, we always have the amount of Coupons & RV. From the rest two- CMP/IV
or RRR/YTM, if anyone is given, we can find out the another one!
• Discounting Rate used to calculate intrinsic value of bond will be Required Rate of Return
(RRR) or Yield-to-maturity (YTM) of the investor. It is also called as Cost of Debt (Kd) from
issuer point of view.
• RRR is the rate of return that an investor can earn by investing in any other bond having
similar characteristics.
Concept of Term structure: Spot Rates & Forward rates:
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Calculating
PV of the CF
under
different
scenario
Calculation of Intrinsic Value (i.e., what should be the value) of different types of bonds:
Perpetual Bond
Amortised Bond
Note that compounding frequency of YTM or RRR is assumed to be same as frequency of coupon
payment. Simply saying, if coupons on the bond are paid semi-annually, then given YTM/RRR
(used for discounted) is also assumed to compound semi-annually.
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Fixed Income Securities
Yield means return from the bond. It is always calculated on annual basis.
• Precise Method
• Approximate Method
Perpetual Bond
Amortised Bond
Annualised Yield: Above formulae of current yield and TYM are periodic. Hence, if coupon
payment frequency not annual, then we will need to convert periodic yield to annual yield:
question is silent or asks for annual yield... Question asks to calculate effective yield...
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Fixed Income Securities
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Fixed Income Securities
c) Immunization
d) Convexity
Calculation of Convexity:
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Fixed Income Securities
Call Money
Notice Money
Term Money
T-Bills, Commercial Paper & Certificate of Deposit: These instruments are issued at discount and
redeemed at its face value. These are issued by:
Treasury Bill
Commercial Paper
Certificate of Deposit
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Fixed Income Securities
It is always calculated and mentioned on annualized basis by using Actual Number of Days & 365
days.
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Portfolio Management
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The return that an investor can expect to Expected Return of security A: E(RA)
receive in future and is called as Expected
Return.
Suppose an investor purchased an equity
share A today at a price P0. He expects the
price of the share to be P1 at the end of year 1
and dividend of amount D during this period.
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Note that in case of ex-post data, in the calculation of each year’s possible return, P 0 will be
respective year’s opening price, whereas in case of ex-ante data, P0 will be current year’s opening
price (i.e., price today) for all cases of possible returns.
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Security X:
Security Y:
Security Z:
Higher is the dispersion of possible returns of securities, more we find the security risky. Variance
and Standard Deviation are most widely accepted measures of dispersion.
• Risk of a security is measured by Variance (σ 2) or Standard Deviation (σ) of possible returns
of the security.
• It shows: On an average, how much do the possible returns deviate from the expected return.
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Similar to expected return of a security, Expected Return of Portfolio is the return that an investor
expects to earns on the portfolio.
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Price/share
Year
A B
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➢ Calculation the possible returns of Security A (X) & Security B (Y) and E(R A) & E(RB) thereon:
Years X Y
➢ Calculation of weight of security A (denoted by WA) & security B (denoted by WB): Caution!
Security A Security B
Verification: If we suppose the entire portfolio as a single security and calculate expected return:
Total Value of
Year Possible returns (X)
A B Portfolio
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A
B
➢ Calculation the possible returns of Security A (X) & Security B (Y) and E(RA) & E(RB) thereon:
Security A Security B
P
X P×X Y P×Y
Observe the difference in calculation of weights between ex-post and ex-ante data.
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4) Risk – Portfolio
Risk of a Portfolio means on an average, how much do the possible returns of a portfolio deviate
from its expected return. Risk of Portfolio P is measured by Variance ( σP2) and Standard Deviation
(σP) of its possible returns.
Apparently, calculation of risk of the portfolio also seems like the weighted average risk of its
individual security. But it’s NOT!
Let’s understand this with the help of a portfolio of equity shares of J Ltd and K Ltd:
Case 1
Case 2
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Correlation means co-movement between two variables like returns of two securities.
• Positive Correlation: When returns of the securities move in the same direction. Example: in
one period, both the securities give good returns and, in another period, both give bad
returns.
• Negative Correlation: When returns of the securities move in the opposite direction. Example:
in a given period, when, one gives good returns, another gives bad returns and vice versa.
• No Correlation: When returns of one security has no relation with returns of another.
➢ Covariance measures the correlation between returns of two securities. Covariance between
the returns of securities- A & B is denoted by CovAB.
• Being an absolute measure of interrelationship, it is incomplete to infer.
• It is used to calculate correlation coefficient.
➢ Casually referred as Correlation, Coefficient of Correlation measures degree of correlation
between returns of two securities. Correlation coefficient between the returns of securities-
A & B is denoted by rAB or ρAB.
• It is a relative measure of interrelationship rAB = + / - xx
and complete to infer. It can tell us about
both, nature and degree of correlation.
• It can range from -1 to +1 and has no unit.
Note that covariance and correlation between
risk free security and any security is Zero.
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Year X ̅)
DX = (X – 𝑿 DX2 Y ̅)
DY = (Y – 𝒀 DY2 DX × DY
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P X P×X ̅)
DX = (X – 𝑿 P × DX2
Y P×Y ̅)
DY = (Y – 𝒀 P × D Y2 P × DX × DY
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r = -1 r=0 r = +1
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How does σP change with change in rAB and rest all remaining the same
σA σB WA WB
E(RP) =
rAB σP
+ 1.00
+ 0.50
0.00
- 0.50
- 1.00
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✓ With rest all inputs remaining the same, as the correlation between the securities reduces
from +1 to -1, risk of the portfolio reduces from highest to lowest. This is because, as
correlation reduces, securities offset the deviations of each other. It means that: lower the
correlation, lower the risk and better it is.
✓ As already read, at r = +1, risk of the portfolio is equal weighted average of risk of individual
security and this is also the case of its highest risk. Hence, we can conclude that:
✓ In all cases of correlation, except when r = +1, risk of the portfolio will be lower than
weighted average risk of individual securities.
✓ This is the central theme of Modern Portfolio Theory. It says: Return of the portfolio is
weighted average but risk of the portfolio is normally* less than weighted average.
(*except when r = +1, which is practically also a rare possibility).
✓ Hence, without sacrificing the expected return, we can reduce the risk by combing or
adding securities which are not perfectly positively correlated, to form a portfolio. This
process of combining or adding securities is called Diversification of the Portfolio
(discussed in detail later).
Unit of measurement:
Units Return & Standard Deviation Variance & Covariance
Percentage
Decimals
Meaning as a:
Terms
Transaction Position
Having bought position
Long Buy the asset (i.e., bought the asset and not sold it yet)
Having sold position
Short Sell the asset (i.e., sold the asset and not bought it yet)
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E(RRF)
σRF
r Security, RF
Long Position
Short Position
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Example 1: Mr. A has ₹ 8000 to invest. He shorts shares of TCS for ₹ 2000 and invest ₹ 10,000 in
the shares of Infosys.
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Example 2: Mr. B has ₹ 12,000 to invest. He invests ₹ 8,000 in the shares of Infosys and balance
in Government of India bonds.
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Example 3: Mr. C finds share a TCS a multi-bagger but has just ₹ 3,000 to invest. He borrows a
sum of ₹ 9,000 and invest the entire amount available with him in the shares of Infosys.
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Example 4: Mr. D is expecting that the share of TCS is going to do down. He shorts them for ₹
15,000 and lend the amount at risk free rate.
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Example 5: Mr. E has ₹ 25000 to invest. He wants to invest the amount in the shares of SBI and
YES keeping weights as 1.2 and -0.2 respectively. Determine the amount and position of each of
the security.
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5) Coefficient of Variation
We should know that return is not the only factor to that helps us choose the best investment
option. Risk associated to the investment should also be considered in our analysis because risk
taken to earn that return is also important.
Example 1: Security E(R) σ Which Security looks better?
CV of A: CV of B:
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Based on our analysis of risk and return, suppose we selected two risky securities to be combined
to form a portfolio. But the next big question is:
?
In what proportion, should they be combined to form the portfolio? Or
What should be the weights of the securities in the portfolio? Or
Of the total amount, how much should be invested in which security?
Suppose, we have selected securities A & B to be combined to form a portfolio.
With two securities, infinitely large number of portfolios can be created by keeping different
weight combinations of long and short positions. In our example below, we will consider a sample
of only eight such portfolios & calculate their return and risk:
σP
WA WB E(RP)
Case 1: r = Case 2: r =
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Of all the portfolios with different weights combinations, there will be one portfolio with a specific
weights’ combination, whose risk will be minimum. That portfolio is called Minimum Variance
Portfolio. In our example:
➢ Case 1: ______________________________________________________________
➢ Case 2: ______________________________________________________________
Note:
• It is possible that using this formula, we
might get the weight of one security more
than 1 and another security, a negative
number.
• Getting such weights would mean that
minimum variance portfolio is such cases
can be constructed through short selling.
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Case 1: r = Case 2: r =
?
Can minimum variance be equal to even Zero? or
Can we create a risk-free portfolio with two risky securities?
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Which securities should be included in the portfolio, depends on their risk return characteristics.
Once the securities have been selected to form a portfolio, next obvious question is in what
proportion they should be combined. An infinite large number of possible portfolios can be
created by making different combinations of weights of selected securities. These possible
portfolios are called as feasible portfolios.
According to this model, a risk averse investor (which is an assumption of this theory) will always
choose an efficient portfolio from the feasible portfolios. A portfolio is efficient portfolio if:
✓ No other portfolio offers higher expected return for same risk, or,
✓ No other portfolio has lower risk for same expected return.
To find out efficient portfolios, we must do mean-variance analysis i.e., analyse the return
(means) and risk (variance) of all feasible portfolios.
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✓ Shaded region in the graph represents risk return combination of all the feasible portfolios.
In our case:
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✓ Among all feasible portfolios, we can identify the portfolios that satisfies the condition of
efficient portfolios. It would be all those portfolios lying on dark-bold line.
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✓ Efficient frontier is the dark-bold line containing all efficient portfolios. Portfolios laying
below this line are all inefficient portfolios because for the same risk as it, portfolio on
efficient frontier will offer higher return.
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✓ Investor’s Optimum Portfolio (best one for an investor) should be chosen from efficient
frontier. It would depend upon maximum risk that are willing to take, minimum return they
need, ratio of risk to return they are comfortable with, etc.
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Note that this concept is more important from understanding and theory question point of view
and less from practical question point of view.
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Impact of including risk free security on the return and risk of the portfolio of risky securities.
We will construct the first portfolio with WRS = 100% and WRF = 0% and then construct every next
portfolio by shifting 20% weight from RS to RF and see the impact on its risk and return.
We can observe that as we add risk free security in the portfolio of risky securities, its E(R) and
σ change linearly because correlation between RS and RF is zero.
In other words, E(RP) and σP reduces proportionately in a straight line.
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Similar to MPT, the objective of CMT also is selection of optimal portfolio based on its risk and
return. It, however, goes beyond MPT. Let us understand it on risk - return space:
✓ Similar to MPT, an efficient frontier is determined on the basis of feasible portfolios. Note
that, in case of CMT, feasible portfolios will be all possible portfolios of all risky securities in
the market.
✓ A line is drawn between a portfolio of risk-free security and a portfolio on efficient frontier
such that the line is tangent to efficient frontier. So, let’s understand these three things:
a) Portfolio of risk-free security (Portfolio – RF) will have WRF = 100%. Expected return
of Portfolio – RF is Risk free rate of return (RF) and its risk is zero. In our case:
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b) CMT is a special case of MPT in which the portfolio on the efficient frontier to which
the line is tangent, is a Market Portfolio (Portfolio – M).
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Market Portfolio can be defined as a portfolio of all the risky securities in the market.
Since, practically no such portfolio exists, stock market index (like NIFTY, SENSEX) is
considered as a proxy of market portfolio.
Expected return of Portfolio – M is Expected return from market (E(RM)) and risk of the
Portfolio – M is Risk in the market (σM). In our case:
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c) The line between market portfolio and portfolio of risk-free security actually
represents the risk and return of various portfolios that can be made from the different
combinations these two portfolios. This line is called as Capital Market Line (CML).
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✓ The objective of CMT is to explain that the portfolios lying on Capital Market Line are more
efficient than portfolios lying on efficient frontier.
We can observe that, other than Portfolio – M (which is a common portfolio between CML
and efficient frontier), for any given amount of risk, portfolio lying on CML is offering higher
return than the one lying on efficient frontier. In our case:
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✓ We know that in the Portfolio – M, WRS = 100% and WRF = 0%. Similarly, in the Portfolio – RF,
WRS = 0% and WRF = 100%. Hence, we can say that as we move from Portfolio – RF to portfolio
– M along the CML, WRF in the portfolio reduces to zero.
Moreover, as we move further to the right side beyond Portfolio – M, WRF starts becoming
negative and WRS starts becoming more than 1. Recollect positive weight of risk free security
means lending and negative weight means borrowing.
Note that the slope arrived above is a ratio called as Sharpe Ratio to be discussed as in later
section. Since, in case of CML, Sharpe Ratio is calculated using risk and return of the market,
therefore we can say that Slope of CML is Sharpe ratio of the Market.
Accordingly,
Equation of CML
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This risk is faced by large number of This risk is faced by a specific company;
companies in the market; therefore, it cannot therefore, it can be avoided by diversification
be avoided by diversification of the portfolio. of the portfolio
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The most diversified portfolio is portfolio of all the security in the market i.e., Market Portfolio,
commonly referred as Market. Observe that even market portfolio has systematic risk.
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Systematic risk is faced by all the securities in the market and also by market as a whole.
Therefore, Systematic risk of the security is measured relative to that of market. Systematic risk
of a security A is measured by a statistical measure called Beta (𝜷A).
-0.5
Calculation of Beta
Note: Beta of cash and risk-free security is _________ and beta of Market or Index is _________
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Unsystematic risk is calculated by deducting systematic risk from total risk at variance level.
Systematic risk is converted from times to %2 so that it can be deducted from total risk.
Unsystematic Variance of Security A (σƐA2) and its Unsystematic Standard Deviation (σƐA):
Second formula of
systematic variance is
derived by modifying
the formula of beta.
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Systematic Risk of the portfolio also is measured by beta. Beta of portfolio P (𝜷P) is weighted
average beta of individual securities in the portfolio.
Unsystematic risk (Unsystematic Variance of portfolio P (σƐP2) and its Unsystematic Deviation
(σƐP)) can be calculated:
A. As a residual risk of the portfolio (similar to learnt in case unsystematic risk of a security).
Note that breakup of systematic and unsystematic risk happens as variance level.
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Note that:
• Two securities are not correlated on account of unsystematic risk, hence zero correlation
with respect to unsystematic risk.
• This formula can be used only when unsystematic risk of individual securities is given.
This model assumes that security prices are related to the market index and they move with it.
This relationship could be used to estimate the return & risk of a security or portfolio and
correlation between two securities.
A. Risk of a security or portfolio
Systematic Variance Unsystematic Variance (σƐA2 or σƐP2)
Notes:
• σƐA2 has to be given directly. σƐP2 may be given directly or calculated using σƐA2 (as per
alternative B above).
• Which model to be applied to calculate the portfolio risk has to be figured out by data
given and required part of the question.
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Required Rate of Return is used in valuation of asset as a discounting rate. Required Rate of
Return for a security (Rj) can be determined with the help of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM).
It shows the relationship between Rj (being dependent variable) and systematic Risk i.e., 𝛽 (being
independent variable).
Graphical representation
of CAPM equation is
Security Market Line
(SML).
Steps to solve SML question:
1. From given data of Rj &
RM, create two linear
equations and solve
them for RF.
2. Create an equation with
RM & RF as constants
and Rj & 𝛽A as variable.
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We have already leant to determine optimum portfolio based on Markowitz Theory. This is an
alternative model to determine which securities should be included in the portfolio & in what
proportion.
Note that this is process driven & mechanical in nature.
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Arbitrage Pricing Theory is used as an alternative to CAPM in the calculation of Required Rate of
Return. CAPM considers systematic risk as a whole through a single measure i.e., market risk
premium & beta
APT on the other hand identifies various risk factors individually that can affect the returns of the
security like inflation, interest rates, etc and tries to factor them in separately through respective
Factor Risk Premium & Factor Sensitivities (Factor Beta).
Note that for different factors, factor risk premium is common for all the securities (like market
risk premium), whereas, sensitivity to those factors is different for different securities.
These ratios help to evaluate performance of a securities or portfolio based on return & risk.
Note that for all of these, higher is better. Note that numerator is security risk premium.
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Whose ability to take risk Whose ability to take risk Whose ability to take risk
increases (decreases) decreases (increases) increases (decreases)
Suitable to
linearly with the increase with the increase with the increase
investor…
(decrease) in the value of (decrease) in the value of (decrease) in the value of
portfolio. portfolio. portfolio.
Performs…
PF
dependency
on stock price
& diagram
Value of Bonds:
Note that Bond portfolio & Floor Value are assumed to grow at R f. If Rf is not given, it is assumed
to be constant.
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Since, unlisted companies are not publicly traded, data (history of share prices) required to
calculate beta of such companies is not available. Therefore, their beta is calculated using beta
of a listed company in the same line of business.
Even when two companies are in the same line of business (means their operating risk is same),
they might have different equity betas due to difference in their capital structure (means their
financial risk is different).
Note that unless otherwise specified, Beta of Debt is assumed to be zero.
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Mutual Fund
Mutual Fund
Change in
No No Yes Yes
units?
Since opening and closing number of units
are different, return cannot be calculated
on per unit basis.
Return on
Mutual Fund
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Mutual Fund
Entry Load (Front-end Load) is charged at the Exit Load (Back-end Load) is charged at the
time an investor purchases (or buys) the time an investor redeems (or sells) the mutual
mutual funds. funds.
Offer Redemption
Price: Price:
3) Expense Ratio
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Mutual Fund
Return from
Mutual Funds
Holding Period
Return
Annualised Return
Or
Effective Yield *
where,
* For the purpose of this chapter, it is calculated by simple annualization of return, i.e., 12/n or
365/n.
Note that whenever question is silent, calculate both- holding period return and annualised
return. Also, Dividend paid is as a % of FV.
5) Tracking Error
Tracking error is the
deviation of a fund’s return
from the benchmarks return
Note: Lower is better.
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Mutual Fund
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Derivatives & Interest Rate
Risk Management
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
A. Basics of Derivatives
Derivative is a contract that derives its value from the value of the…
Asset
Index
Interest rate
Market where assets itself are Market where derivative contracts are
Meaning
traded for immediate delivery. traded for future delivery or settlement.
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Basic Terminologies:
Meaning as a: How to square-
Position
Transaction Position off the position?
________________________________ ________________________________
This rate of interest does not change This rate of interest may change during the
during the tenure of borrowing or lending tenure of borrowing or lending
Example: Loan taken or given @ 8% pa Example: Loan taken or given @ LIBOR
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Stock Index
A stock Market Index is an indicator of overall performance of the stock exchange. Out of
thousands of shares listed on an exchange, top few shares (based on M-cap) lead the
performance of the exchange. To measure that performance, an index (i.e., a notional portfolio)
of these top few shares is created. This is Stock Market Index referred casually as Market.
NSE BSE
A Forward Contract is an agreement to buy or sell an asset of specified quality and quantity on
a specified future date at a price agreed today. A Futures Contract is a standardised forward
contract; standardised in terms of: Quality, Date and Quantity.
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Basis:
___________________________ ___________________________
___________________________ ___________________________
______________________________ _____________________________
______________________________ _____________________________
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1. Treatment of Interest:
Identify the type of compounding and ‘Spot + Interest’ can be calculated as:
where,
Note that whenever, question is silent about the type of compounding and values of e x are given,
question is to be solved using continuous compounding formula.
2. Treatment of Income
a) If income is given in absolute terms: Calculate the PV of the ‘Income’, deduct it from ‘Spot’
& then calculate the FV of ‘Spot – Income’:
b) If income is given in % terms (i.e., when dividend yield (y) is given): ‘Spot + Interest –
Income’ will be directly calculated as:
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3. Treatment of Storage Cost: Calculate the PV of ‘Storage Cost’, add it to ‘Spot – Income’ and
then calculate the FV of ‘Spot – Income + Storage Cost’:
Note that: We know that whenever question is silent on interest rate and value of ex is given,
question is to be solved using Continuous Compounding (CC) formula. To be able to solve the
question using CC formula, interest rate to be used should also be CC. Therefore, interest rate
(and dividend yield) will be assumed as CC, if Ln value (to convert annually compounded interest
rate to continuously compounded rate) is not given in the question.
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Settlement by Contract is settled on maturity date by taking or giving the delivery of the
Delivery asset by paying or receiving the contracted price.
Contract is settled on maturity date by squaring off the position and paying
Settlement in
Cash or receiving the difference between contracted price & settlement price
(i.e., closing price) as shown below:
zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
Spot
Futures
Spot Price & Futures price converge over the expiry period & are same on expiry date. In other
words, Basis approaches Zero. This is called as Convergence.
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Steps of arbitrage:
1. Calculate FFP
2. Compare & decide action today: If AFP is… (always comment on actual)
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When share price of a company is expected to go down, profit can be made by selling it at higher
price & then buying back at a lower price. Short Selling means selling a share that a seller does
not own. Short selling can be done by borrowing the share and selling it. This entire process
happens under the mechanism called as SLBS:
1. Short Seller will borrow the shares from Lender by providing collateral or bank guarantee
against it.
2. Short Seller will then, sell the shares in the market with the expectation that its price will fall.
3. On a later date, Short Seller will buy the shares back so that it can be returned back to the
Lender.
4. Short Seller will return the shares back to the lender along with the Lending Charges.
Note that, if any dividend is declared on the share during the period of borrowing, the buyer of
the share will have the right over it and he will actually receive it. To compensate the lender for
loss of dividend, the borrower will pay the amount of dividend from his pocket to the lender.
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Move up
Move down
Profit or loss on account of speculation can be calculated simply by applying the concept learnt
under heading: 2) Settlement of Futures and Forward Contract.
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✓ 𝛽 P means:
✓ 𝛽 P is calculated as:
Without
futures in
portfolio
With
futures in
portfolio
• Beta of cash and risk-free security is ______ & Beta of Market (Index) and Index
Futures is ______
𝛽 P represents the systematic risk of the portfolio. Higher the beta, higher is the risk & vice-
versa. To increase or decrease the risk of the portfolio, beta can be increased or decreased
using Risk-Free Securities or Index Futures as discussed below:
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____________________________________
____________________________________
____________________________________
____________________________________
____________________________________
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7) Margin on Futures
1. Initial Margin: It is the amount to be deposited with exchange as a security against probable
future losses on Futures Position. Such Gain or loss is adjusted from this margin on daily basis.
This is called as Mark to Market.
If question is silent, it is calculated as:
where, µ = Daily Absolute Change
σ = Standard Deviation
2. Maintenance Margin: It is the lower limit to which margin cannot cross. Due to adjustment of
daily mark to market, if margin falls below this limit, it is brought back to the level of initial
margin by putting in money in margin account.
If question is silent, it is calculated as:
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Option Contract
E=
Premium =
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An Option Contract gives its owner the right, but not the obligation
• to buy or sell an underlying asset
• on a pre-determined future date (the exercise date)
• and at a pre-determined price i.e., the exercise price or strike price (E or X)
Option Buyer
Option Seller
Types of Options:
American Option Anytime European Option Expiry Date
Moneyness of options:
In the Money Out of the Money At the Money
Options When it makes sense When it does not make When we are
to exercise sense to exercise indifferent
Call
Put
Value of option if it is
Value of an Option exercised immediately
____________________
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Calculation of Probability
Important Note: To calculate the value of an option, probabilities given in the question won’t be
used, rather probabilities calculated above will be used. However, to calculate expected return
from the options, probabilities given in the question will be used.
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Creating Risk-free Portfolio using Delta As per the golden rule of hedging, a long spot
position in can be hedged:
Using Call Option Using Put Option
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Note: Probabilities depend upon R, u & d; therefore, whenever these factors are same for both
the periods, their probabilities will also be the same.
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Value of option at
any given node
According to CPPT,
Call
Put
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Value of where,
Call option:
D1:
D2:
Notes:
1. Spot price used in the formula is ex-dividend. Therefore, if details of dividend are given in the
question, then its PV is deducted from the spot price (S) to make it ex-dividend.
2. To calculate N(D1) & N(D2), area till left tail is used:
3. Interest Rate (r) used in the formula is continuously compounded. When question is silent,
we can assume CCRRI.
4. Rate (r) and standard deviation (σ) used in the formula are annualized and in decimals.
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FRA is a contract under which one party enters into a contract to notionally borrow or lend a
specified amount at a specified rate of interest for a specified time after a specified time.
Positions in FRA: Long or Buy is contract to Borrow | Short or Sell is contract to Lend
Calculating:
Settlement Amount
or Gain or Loss on
FRA:
Note: Rate used to calculate the PV is spot RR on settlement date.
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Example: 6x9 FRA Rate is 8%. After 6 months, 3 months RR turns out to be: 6% or 11%
Borrower Lender
Particulars
6% 11% 6% 11%
Interest as per spot RR
Gain or (Loss) under FRA
Note: For hedging questions, present value of gain or loss on FRA is not calculated.
Since PV under Path 1 & Path 2 is same, therefore FV as per Path 1 = FV as per Path 2
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If time period is in
months or days
If time period is in
years
Arbitrage: If actual FR (quoted by the bank) is different from the Fair FR (as calculated above),
then there is mispricing. Accordingly, follow below steps to make arbitrage profit.
When, actual FR is
is _________ i.e., less than Fair FR. is _________ i.e., more than Fair FR.
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Interest rate option gives its buyer, the right but not the legal obligation to notionally borrow or
lend an agreed amount at an agreed rate for a series of agreed time period.
Cap @ E =
Option to Borrow
Floor @ E =
Option to Lend
Payoff
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Important Notes: 1. Premium is paid at the initiation of the contract for all reset periods.
2. Settlement for each period takes place at the end of respective period.
Example on Cap: Below are the spot interest rates for 4 quarters during the year. Calculate the
payoff of a long cap @ exercise rate of 8% and net interest on a borrowing of ₹1,000.
Apr- Jun 8%
Jul- Sep 9%
Oct- Dec 10 %
Example on Floor: Same question with floor option and lending of ₹1,000.
Apr- Jun 8%
Jul- Sep 9%
Oct- Dec 7%
Borrower
Lender
Long Position
Collar
Strategy
Short Position
Note: Premium paid on long position is reduced by premium received on short position.
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Interest Rate Future (IRF) is a contract to buy or sell a Fixed Income Security (like T-Bill or
Government Bonds) of specified Quality on a specified Date at a specified Price.
Note that, underlying of an IRF can be a Fixed Income Security or an Interest Rate (just like FRA).
Settlement:
___________________________________________________
___________________________________________________
Interest rates are on p.a. basis and therefore, so are futures price. Hence, calculation of
gain or loss on settlement is to be adjusted as per the period of IRF i.e., n/365 or n/12.
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Conversion Factor makes the given deliverable bond equivalent to 7% notional bond
for which contract was entered. Hence, irrespective of which bond is chosen by short
for delivery, long will receive the bond with correct value on settlement. Conversion
Factor will be given in the question.
Note: The bond which maximises the profit or minimises the loss is cheapest to deliver
& should be chosen for delivery.
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Recollect from ‘Valuation of Bonds’ that prevailing interest rate affects price of the bond. From
the below discussion, we can say that interest rates ultimately affect IRF.
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G. Swaps
Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: ________________________
Swap means exchange. In context to finance, Swap is an agreement to exchange cash flows.
Three types of swaps have been covered in our syllabus:
Net Settlement Amount: Principal amount of the swap is not exchanged and is called as Notional
Principal. Swaps are settled on net basis & settlement amount is calculated as:
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
Calculation related to adjustment of time period are to be made as months/12 or days/365
Net Interest Cost: It means the effective interest cost that a firm has to incur after adjusting
effect of swap transaction.
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
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Construction of swap involves simple process of making party to borrow opposite to their desire
and then arranging the swap such that they get their desired position.
Make sure that, at the end of the solution, construction of swap is explained in words also along
with diagram. Exact thought process depends on the purpose for which swap is arranged:
1. Conversion of fixed to floating and vice-versa
Example: Rigid Ltd wants to borrow at a fixed rate & Flexible Ltd at floating rate. But banks are ready
to give loan to Rigid Ltd at floating rate (Libor + 1%) and to Flexible Ltd as fixed rate (8%). In this case,
assuming they agree under the swap to reimburse each other the actual interest cost incurred, below
swap can be constructed:
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Rigid Ltd
Flexible Ltd
Note that a gainful swap can be constructed only when total interest cost under Actual is less
than Desired.
Situation 1: When question specifies the payments to be exchanged under the swap:
Continued example: Say, payments agreed under the swap were 8% vs. LIBOR flat (i.e., party paying
fixed agrees to pay 8% and party paying floating agrees to pay LIBOR)
Rigid Ltd
Flexible Ltd
Rigid Ltd
Flexible Ltd
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Situation 2: When question specifies how the saving in ‘total interest cost’ because of swap
will be distributed between parties:
Continued example: Say, parties agree to share the gain (savings) on account of swap in the ratio 2:3.
Particulars (%)
Less:
Distributed as:
Note: If question is silent on distribution of savings in interest cost between the parties,
assume that to happen equally.
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Now, follow the process of situation 1 in reverse order as below. Make below calculations only
for one of the parties to the swap.
____________________________________ ____________________________________
____________________________________ ____________________________________
Note that when question ask only to calculate the net interest cost, there is no need to
construct a swap.
Calculating Fixed payment under the swap (by assuming Floating payment as LIBOR) using Net
Interest Cost:
____________________________________ ____________________________________
____________________________________ ____________________________________
____________________________________ ____________________________________
____________________________________ ____________________________________
____________________________________ ____________________________________
Verification (not for exams): We can verify the correctness of Fixed rate calculated above by
calculating the gain of other party to the swap as below:
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In case of financial swap with a financial intermediary, thought process is similar with a small
extra calculation at the end.
Particulars (%)
Less:
Distributed as:
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Point of difference: Here we would need to calculate the fixed leg for one party first & then
for another party in the next step:
Calculating Fixed payment under the swap for any one party:
Starting with Rigid Ltd Starting with Flexible Ltd
____________________________________ ____________________________________
____________________________________ ____________________________________
____________________________________ ____________________________________
Calculating Fixed payment under the swap for the other party:
____________________________________ ____________________________________
____________________________________ ____________________________________
Verification (not for exams): We can verify the correctness of Fixed rate calculated above by
calculating the gain of other party to the swap as below:
____________________________________________________________________________
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Pricing the swap means determining the Fair Fixed Rate of a Fixed vs. Floating Swap at which it
can be entered. It is determined with the help of Term structure of interest rates i.e., spot
floating rates available for different periods.
Example:
Period Libor Spot
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2) Currency Swaps
Currency swap is an agreement to exchange on cash-flows on account of borrowing in two
different currencies. It takes place at three levels:
1. A spot exchange of principal
2. Continuing exchange of interest payments during the term of the swap
3. Re-exchange of principal on maturity
Similar to interest rate swap, in this case also, companies borrow in currency other than currency
of their desire. But, with the help of swap, they ultimately incur outflows in their desired currency.
Note that from the point of view of practical questions on swaps, only 2nd part above i.e.,
continuing exchange of interest payment is relevant & thought process is same as interest rate
swaps.
3) Equity Swaps
An Equity Swap is an arrangement in which total return on equity or equity index in the form of
dividend and capital is exchanged with either a fixed or floating rate of interest.
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Foreign Exchange &
International Financial
Management
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
A. Basics of Forex
Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: ________________________
HC Transactions FC Transactions
Importer in FC
Exporter in FC
Borrower of FC
Investor in FC
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1. Exchange Rates
In order to buy or sell the FC, we will need to exchange i.e., pay or receive the HC. The amount of
HC to be exchanged can be calculated with the help of Exchange Rates. It is the price of one
currency in terms of another currency and the process of exchanging one currency to another
currency is called Conversion.
One-way Quote: Single rate for buying & selling the base currency
B ______________________________________________________________________
A ______________________________________________________________________
Two-way Quote: Bid - Ask: Different rate for buying & selling the base currency
x = _____________________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________________
y = _____________________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________________
Notes:
• Rates are quoted as Bid/Ask from bank’s stand point.
• Ask rate is always higher than Bid rate.
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Buy $ 100
Sell $ 100
Buy ₹ 100
Sell ₹ 100
Amount to be
Multiply or Divide Rate used (x or y)
converted:
Given Quote:
Inverted Quote:
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India
US
London
Note: Direct quote can be converted to Indirect quote using concept of inversion learnt above.
Interbank Rates Rate at which banks buy or sell currencies to each other
Merchant Rates Rate at which banks buy or sell currencies to the customers
Interbank Rate:
+/- Margin
Merchant Rate:
Note: Institute may not follow above rule every time, therefore we will apply common sense by
looking at the given rate.
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Situation 1: When rate is given for the currency that has been bought & sold.
You bought $10,000 @ ₹/$ 65 & sold it @ ₹/$ 68. Gain or loss on the transaction:
Situation 2: When rate is given for the currency other than what has been bought or sold.
You bought $10,000 @ $/₹ 0.015 & sold it @ $/₹ 0.017. Gain or loss on the transaction:
Note that HC inflows & outflows are what ultimately matter to any business & hence, whenever
possible, final gain or loss outcome should be in terms of HC.
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
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_____________________________________________________________________________
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B. Cross Rates
Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: ________________________
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3. Triangular arbitrage
Conclusion: ________________________________________________________________________
Decision: ________________________________________________________________________
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C. Forward Contract
1. Forward Rate: Forward Premium and Discount
Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: ________________________
Spot exchange rate is for buying & selling the currency immediately in the spot market.
Forward Exchange Rate is decided today, for buying & selling the currency at a future date in
the derivatives market.
Note that formula is not for premium or discount, rather it is for base currency & price
currency. If answer to the formula is positive, it’s premium & if it is negative, it’s discount.
Calculation of Forward Rates using Forward Points, Forward Margin or Swap Points:
Question specifies Premium or Discount: Question is silent & format of swap points is:
Premium: _____________ Low High: ____________
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Expected Spot Rate is an estimate of spot rate that is expected to prevail on a future date.
Expected appreciation or depreciation of base & price currency can be calculated similar to
forward premium & discount.
$ appreciates by 10%
$ depreciates by 10%
₹ appreciates by 10%
₹ depreciates by 10%
* Note: ICAI makes calculation presuming appreciation or depreciation of base currency,
even when question clearly specifies depreciation or appreciation of price currency
respectively. So, when question says ‘price currency will appreciate by 10%’, we will have to
interpret it as ‘base currency will depreciate by 10%’ and solve accordingly.
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S0 = ______________________
F= ______________________
E(ST) = ______________________
ST = ______________________
Hedging Mechanism of Forwards: Since forward rate is known today with certainty, therefore
future HC cash flows, which will occur at this rate, are also certain. Hence, there will not be any
risk in FC exposures.
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IRP implies that exchange rate between two currencies is directly affected by the interest rates
in those countries. It states that forward premium or discount on any currency should be equal
to the interest rate differential of the two countries.
If India has higher interest rate (say 10%) than USA (say 5%), then:
₹ will trade at ____________________________ approximately by _____________
$ will trade at ____________________________ approximately by _____________
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On ₹: On $:
Note that this formula of calculating premium or discount will be used only when exchange
rates are not given.
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Covered Interest Arbitrage involves earning risk free profit on account of mispricing of variables
used in IRP equation, i.e., interest rates of two countries or, spot or forward exchnage rates
between its currencies.
It involves borrowing in one currency & investing in another. In any given situation, there are two
ways in which we can borrow in one currency & invest in another.
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Process of Abritrage
Step 1: Borrow Currency A and compute outflow on maturity
Step 2: Convert the borrowed amount of currency A to currency B at spot rate
Step 3: Invest currency B for the same time period and calculate inflow at maturity
Step 4: Sell currency B forward & receive currency A.
Step 5: Gain: Inflow in step 4 – Outflow in step 1
We know that one of the above two ways will give profit & another will give loss. We can figure
out which way will give profit by evaluating forward rates. We normally assume that all other
variables of IRP equation are correctly priced and forward rate may be mispriced:
1. Calculate fair forward rate using IRP equation.
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
2. Compare actual forward rate to with it to determine whether actual base currency ($) is
undervalued or overvalued (always comment on actual).
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
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Unlike forward hedge, money market hedge involves use of spot rate and FC & HC money market
(i.e., borrowing & investing). It involves creating a FC payable (through borrowing) or FC
receivable (through investing) against existing FC receivable or FC payable respectively.
FC Receivable FC Payable
Note As already discussed, objective of hedging based question will be to find out best tool to
hedge FC exposure. Best hedging tool is the one which gives:
• In case of exporter: most HC inflow
• In case of importer: least HC outflow
Note Steps of CIA & MMH are similar. Imagination on timeline is important to avoid confusion.
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It is based on ‘Law of one price’. It states that prices of similar products of two different countries
should be equal when measured in a common currency.
Absolute Form
Relative Form
Unlike absolute form (which talked about exchange rate at a particular point in time), relative
form talks about change in such exchange rates.
Relative PPP states that exchange rate between two currencies is affected by the inflation rates
in those countries.
Expected Spot Rate: If inflation in India= 10% & US= 5%. Current spot ₹/$ 60.
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Real appreciation or depreciation: If actual spot rate after a year turns out to be:
It is important to understand below differences between Forward rate & Expected spot rate.
Accordingly, expected spot rate can be estimated with the help of interest rates also.
_____________________________________________________________________________
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_
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This topic of the chapter is governed less by logics and more by the provision of Foreign Exchange
Dealers Association of India (FEDAI) rules.
Delivery
Cancel
Extend
Important Notes:
✓ As per FEDAI Rules, exchange rates should be rounded off to the multiples of 0.0025.
✓ Think from whose point of view?
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Date on which
forward contract
is cancelled:
Rate to be used
for cancellation:
Bid Rate vs Ask Long Position Selling rate of customer i.e., Bid Rate
Rate for To cancel
cancellation: Short Position Buying rate of customer i.e., Ask Rate
Cancellation Charges:
Gain
From the point of view
of customer, gain or loss
from above long & short
transaction Loss
Extension:
Cancellation is the same as read above. Question may ask us to calculate the rate applicable for
new forward contract.
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Importer
Exporter
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Automatic cancellation
S. No. Component Gain or Net cash Inflow Loss or Net cash Outflow
2 Cancellation Charges
Importer
Exporter
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An Exposure can be defined as a future cash receipt or payments whose magnitude is not certain
at the moment.
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Inflow
Outflow
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Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
Unlike forward, (which are settled through delivery), futures have their own market price through
which profit and loss for cash settlement is calculated. Accordingly, hedging will involve:
Points of consideration:
• Futures expiring after the due date of the exposure should be chosen for the purpose of
hedging. Not the one expiring before the due date.
• Futures given in the question is on the currency:
o that is the base currency of quoted futures price.
o for which contract size is given.
• Profit or loss on futures on one currency is calculated in terms of other currency.
Example: Position entered in ₹/$ future at 61.50
In this case:
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ITC Ltd has $110000 payable in 3m. ITC Ltd has $110000 payable in 3m.
₹/$ Spot Price 3m Futures Price $/₹ Spot Price 3m Futures Price
Today 64 65 Today 0.020 0.021
After 3m 67 68 After 3m 0.023 0.024
Margin: ₹ 10000 Margin: ₹ 10000
Contract size: $20000 Contract size: ₹200000
Interest rate 12% Interest rate 12%
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• Numr and Denr should be in same currency • Numr and Denr should be in same currency
• No. of contracts to be rounded off • No. of contracts to be rounded off
Settlement of FC
receivable or payable
Relevant rate: ST or E(ST)
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Hedging through option can be done by buying Call or Put options (i.e., only long positions). For
the purpose of hedging, options are assumed to be settled by delivery.
Points of consideration:
• Option given in the question is on the currency:
o for which lot size is given
o that is the base currency of exercise price (E)
o other than the currency in which premium is quoted
Lot Size $20000 NA
Exercise ₹ 50/$ €/¥ 0.008
Premium ₹ 0.05 € 0.0002
Option is on:
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ITC Ltd has $105000 payable in 3m. ITC Ltd has $105000 payable in 3m.
₹/$ Spot Price 3m Fwd Price $/₹ Spot Price 3m Fwd Price
Today 64 68 Today 0.016 0.017
After 3m 67 NA After 3m 0.018 NA
Exercise Price: ₹ 65 Exercise Price: $0.019
Contract size: $20,000 Contract size: ₹1,00,000
Premium: Call: ₹0.8 Premium: Call: $0.002
Put: ₹0.7 Put: $0.003
___________________________ ___________________________
___________________________ ___________________________
Note that hedging can be done only using long position. Based on the golden rule of hedging:
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• Numr and Denr should be in same currency • Numr and Denr should be in same currency
• No. of contracts to be rounded off • No. of contracts to be rounded off
= No. of lots x size per lot = No. of contracts x size per lot x E
Hedged exposure
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Settlement of unhedged
exposure
Relevant rate: ST or E(ST)
Premium Paid*
Relevant rate: S0
Always an outflow
OR
Settlement of hedged
exposure
Relevant rate: E
Settlement of unhedged
exposure
Relevant rate: Forward Rate#
Premium Paid*
Relevant rate: S0
Always an outflow
• Nostro (Our account with you): This is a current account maintained by a domestic bank or
dealer with a foreign bank in the foreign currency.
• Vostro (Your account with us): This is a current account maintained by a foreign bank with a
domestic bank in our home currency.
• Loro Account (Their account with you): This is a current account maintained by one domestic
bank on behalf of other domestic bank with the foreign bank in the foreign currency.
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Borrowing in FC Investment in FC
Example: Cost of borrowing in FC ($) is 10%. Example: Rate of return in FC ($) is 10%.
If Then, cost in HC (₹) If Then, return in HC (₹)
FC ↑ by 5% FC ↑ by 5%
FC ↓ by 5% FC ↓ by 5%
HC ↑ by 5% HC ↑ by 5%
HC ↓ by 5% HC ↓ by 5%
Note that if forward rate is given in place of E(ST), then replace appreciation & depreciation with
forward premium & discount respectively. Calculation of cost of borrowing or return on
investment will remain same.
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Cash Management Systems in MNCs aims to optimize cash flow movement & utilize cash balance
optimally.
Centralized CMS
Excess cash balances of subsidiaries are pooled together with parent & cash deficit
requirements are met by the parent.
Decentralized CMS
Each subsidiary is viewed as separate undertaking from the parent and cash positions are
managed independently.
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Note that
• Final answer should be in terms of HC.
• CFs in FC & HC should be discounted by DRFC & DRHC respectively.
• Conversion of CFs from FC to HC may be done at forward rate or expected spot rate, given
directly or calculated using IRPT or PPPT.
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Risk Management & Security
Analysis
Risk Management & Security Analysis
A. Risk Management
1) Value at Risk (VaR)
Value at Risk is a measure of risk. Given a normal market condition, it tells us the maximum loss
that an investment might suffer in a given period and at given confidence level.
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Risk Management & Security Analysis
B. Security Analysis
Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: ________________________
2) Run-Test
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Theory Notes
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Operations
Marketing
Marketing
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CORPORATE FINANCIAL
Interface
STRATEGY PLAN
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The interface of strategic management and financial policy will be clearly understood if we appreciate
the fact that the starting point of an organization is money and the end point of that organization is also
money.
Dimensions of interface between Corporate Strategic Management and Financial Policy:
(Interface in general means point of connection between two things. Here, ‘Dimensions of interface
between Corporate Strategic Management and Financial Policy’ means in which all ways, Corporate
Strategic Management is connected to Financial Policy)
a) Sources of Finance and Capital Structure Decisions
• To support any expansion activity, funds may be mobilized (generated) through owner’s capital
(equity or preference shares) or borrowed capital (debt like debentures, public deposits, etc.).
• Along with mobilization of funds, policy makers must also decide on the capital structure i.e.,
appropriate mix of equity and debt capital. This mix varies from industry to industry.
b) Investment and Fund Allocation Decisions
• A planner must frame policies for regulating investment in fixed and current assets.
• Planners task is to make best possible allocation under resource constraints.
• Investment proposals by different business units can be divided as:
➢ Addition of new product by the firm (i.e., diversification)
➢ Increasing the level of operation of an existing product (i.e., expansion)
➢ Cost reduction or efficient utilization of resource
c) Dividend Policy Decisions
• Dividend policy decision deals with the extent of earnings to be distributed as dividend and the
extent of earnings to be retained for future growth of the firm.
It may be noted from the above discussions that financial policy cannot be worked out in isolation of
corporate strategy. Since, financial planning and corporate strategy are interdependent of each other,
attention of the corporate planners must be drawn while framing the financial policies not at a later stage
but during the stage of corporate strategic planning itself.
4. Retention rate
Sustainable growth models assume that the business wants to:
1. maintain a target capital structure without issuing new equity;
2. maintain a target dividend payment ratio; and
3. increase sales as rapidly as market conditions allow.
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Theory Notes
2. RISK MANAGEMENT
1) Types of Risks a Business Faces
Strategic Risk Compliance Risk Operational Risk Financial Risk
It is the risk that Every business needs to It refers to the risk It refers to the risk of
company’s strategy comply with rules and that company unexpected changes
might become less regulations. If the company might fail to in financial
effective and fails to comply with laws manage day to day conditions prevailing
company struggles related to an area or operational in an economy such
to achieve its goals. industry or sector, it will problems. as prices, interest
It could be due to pose a serious threat to its rates, inflation, etc.
This type of risk
technological survival. All these factors
relates to internal
reasons, new It refers to the risk that risk as risk relates have direct impact
competitors, shift in company might not be able to ‘people’ as well on the profitability of
customer’s demand, to company with the rules as ‘process’. the company.
etc. and regulation applicable to
the business.
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5. War, Coup, Rebellion etc.: All these actions can have far reaching impact on currency’s exchange rates (Coup
means sudden change in government illegally & Rebellion means organised protest against any authority).
6. Change of Government: The change of government and its attitude towards foreign investment also helps to
identify the currency risk.
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Theory Notes
3. SECURITY ANALYSIS
1) Security Analysis and its approaches
Investment decision of securities to be bought, held or sold depends upon the return and risk profile of
that security. Security Analysis involves a systematic analysis of the risk-return profiles of various
securities to help a rational investor take an investment decision.
There are two approaches viz. fundamental analysis and technical analysis for carrying out Security
Analysis. In fundamental analysis, factors affecting risk-return characteristics of securities are looked into
while in technical analysis, demand and supply position of the securities along with prevalent share price
trends are examined.
Industry Analysis
Company Analysis
Fundamental analysis is based on the assumption that value of a share today is the present value of future
dividends expected by the shareholders, discounted at an appropriate discount rate and this value is
known as the 'intrinsic value of the share'(i.e., Fundamental Principal of Valuation). The intrinsic value of
a share, depicts the true value of a share. A share that is priced below the intrinsic value must be bought,
while a share quoting above the intrinsic value must be sold.
(Therefore, while calculating intrinsic value, we must analyse all those factors that can impact the future
revenue, earnings, cash flows or dividends of the company)
• Growth rate for National Income and GDP: The estimates of GDP growth rate further helps to
estimate growth rate of an industry and a company. For this purpose, it is also important to know
Real and Nominal GDP growth rates.
• Inflation: Inflation is a strong determinant of demand in some industries mainly in consumer
product industry. Estimating inflation in an economy helps to estimate the expected revenue from
the product. Inflation can be measured either in terms of Retail prices or Wholesale prices.
• Monsoon: Monsoon is also a key determinant of supply and demand of many products therefore
it is also of great concern to investors in stock market.
• Interest Rates: Interest rates in an economy helps in estimating the flow of cash and savings &
consumption patterns in an economy.
b) Industry Analysis
Factors to be considered in Industry Analysis (It includes factors at industry level (say Pharma or
telecom as an industry) that can affect the future cash flows or dividends of all the companies
operating in that industries):
• Product Life-Cycle: An industry usually exhibits high profitability in the initial and growth stages,
medium but steady profitability in the maturity stage and a sharp decline in profitability in the last
stage of growth. Therefore, understanding the product life-cycle is important while estimating the
future cash flows from any product.
• Demand Supply Gap: Excess supply relative to demand reduces the profitability of the industry
because of the decline in prices, while insufficient supply tends to improve the profitability because
of higher price.
• Barriers to Entry: Any industry with high profitability would attract new entrants. However, the
potential entrants to the industry face different types of barriers to entry. Restriction on entry to
new participants helps to analyse impact on the future revenues of the company operating in that
industry.
• Government Attitude: The attitude of the government towards an industry is a crucial
determinant of future prospects of an industry.
• Technology and Research: They play a vital role in the growth and survival of a particular industry.
Technology is subject to very fast change leading to obsolescence.
c) Company Analysis
Factors to be considered in Company Analysis (It includes company specific factors (say TCS or Infosys
as a company) that can affect the future cash flows or dividends of that company):
• Net Worth and Book Value: Net Worth is sum of equity & preference share capital and free
reserves less intangible assets and any carry forward of losses. The total net worth divided by the
number of shares is the much talked about book value of a share. Though, book value may not be
a true indicator of Intrinsic Value of share.
• Sources and Uses of Funds: The identification of sources and uses of funds is known as Funds Flow
Analysis. One of the major uses of funds flow analysis is to find out whether the firm has used
short-term sources of funds to finance long term assets. Since, financing long term assets using
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Theory Notes
short term source of finance may create liquidity crunch to the firm while making repayment of
liabilities.
• Cross-Sectional and Time Series Analysis: Analysis of financial statement is important to evaluate
fundamental strength of a company. It involves comparing a firm against some benchmark figures
for its industry (Cross-sectional) and analysing the performance of a firm over time (time-series).
The techniques that are used to do such proper comparative analysis are: common-sized
statement, and financial ratio analysis.
• Growth Record: The growth in sales, net income, net capital employed and earnings per share of
the company in the past few years should be examined. Historical growth numbers are also
important to determine expected growth.
• Quality of Management: Quality of management has to be seen with reference to the experience,
skills and integrity (ethics) of the people involved at board and managerial level. Quality of
management decides the confidence of investors on the decisions and action of management.
Shares will good management quality trades at premium as compared to shares with low
management quality.
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➢ The primary movement: It is the main trend of the market, which lasts from 1 year to 36 months
or longer. This trend is commonly called bear or bull market.
➢ The secondary movement: It is shorter in duration than the primary movement, and is opposite
to primary movement in direction. It lasts from 2 weeks to 1 month or more.
➢ The daily fluctuations: They are the narrow day-to-day movements. These fluctuations are also
required to be studied thoroughly since they ultimately form the secondary and primary
movements.
• The Dow Theory’s purpose is to determine where the market is and where is it going. The theory
states that if the highs and lows of the stock market are successively higher, then the market trend
is up and a bullish market exists. Contrarily, if the successive highs and successive lows are lower,
then the direction of the market is down and a bearish market exists.
b) Elliot Wave Theory
• This theory was based on analysis of 75 years’ stock price movements and charts. Elliot found that
the markets exhibited certain repeated patterns or waves.
• He defined price movements in terms of waves. As per this theory wave is a movement of the market
price from one change in the direction to the next change in the direction.
• As per this theory, waves can be classified into two
parts:
➢ Impulsive Patterns (Basic Waves): In this pattern,
there will be 3 or 5 waves ((i) to (v) in figure 1) in
a given direction (going upward or downward).
These waves shall move in the direction of the
basic movement. This movement can indicate bull
phase or bear phase.
➢ Corrective Patterns (Reaction Waves): These 3
waves (a, b & c in figure 1) are against the
direction of the basic waves. Correction involves
correcting the earlier rise in case of bull market
and fall in case of bear market.
c) Random Walk Theory
• This theory states that the behaviour of stock market prices is unpredictable and that there is no
relationship between the present prices of the shares and their future prices.
• This theory says that the peaks and troughs in stock prices are just are statistical happening and
successive peaks and troughs are unconnected.
• In the layman's language, it may be said that prices on the stock exchange behave exactly the way a
drunk would behave while walking in a blind lane, i.e., up and down, with an unsteady way going in
any direction he likes (i.e., without following a fixed pattern and in a totally unpredictable manner).
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6) Charting Techniques
Technical analysts use three types of charts for analysing data
1. Bar Chart: In a bar chart, a vertical line (bar) represents the lowest to the highest price, with a short
horizontal line protruding from the bar representing the closing price for the period. Since volume and
price data are often interpreted together, it is a common practice to plot the volume traded, immediately
below the line and the bar charts.
2. Line Chart: In a line chart, lines are used to connect successive day’s prices. The closing price for each
period is plotted as a point. These points are joined by a line to form the chart. The period may be a day,
a week or a month.
3. Japanese Candlestick Chat: Like Bar chart this chart also shows the same information i.e., Opening,
Closing, Highest and Lowest prices of any stock on any day but this chart more visualizes the trend as
change in the opening and closing prices is indicated by the colour of the candlestick. While Black
candlestick indicates closing price is lower than the opening price the white candlestick indicates its
opposite i.e., closing price is higher than the opening price.
4. Point and Figure Chart: Point and Figure charts are more complex than line or bar charts. They are used
to detect reversals in a trend. For plotting a point and figure chart, we have to first decide the box size
and the reversal criterion.
7) Market Indicators
1. Breadth Index: It is an index that covers all securities traded. It is computed by dividing the net advances
or declines in the market by the number of securities traded (‘advances’ & ‘declines’ means number of
securities whose price has moved up & down respectively during the relevant period & ‘net’ means net of
up & down). The breadth index either supports or contradicts the movement of the Dow Jones Averages.
If it supports the movement of the Dow Jones Averages, this is considered sign of technical strength and
if it does not support the averages, it is a sign of technical weakness
2. Volume of Transaction: The volume of shares traded in the market provides useful clues on how the
market would behave in the near future. A rising index/price with increasing volume would signal buy
behaviour because the situation reflects an unsatisfied demand in the market. Similarly, a falling market
with increasing volume signals a bear market and the prices would be expected to fall further.
3. Confidence Index: It is supposed to reveal how willing the investors are to take a chance in the market It
is the ratio of high-grade bond yields to low-grade bond yields. rising confidence index is expected to
precede a rising stock market, and a fall in the index is expected to precede a drop in stock prices.
4. Relative Strength Analysis: The relative strength concept suggests that the prices of some securities rise
relatively faster in a bull market or decline more slowly in a bear market than other securities i.e. some
securities exhibit relative strength. Investors will earn higher returns by investing in securities which have
demonstrated relative strength in past.
5. Odd - Lot Theory: This theory is a contrary - opinion theory. It assumes that the average person is usually
wrong and that a wise course of action is to pursue strategies contrary to popular opinion. The odd-lot
theory is used primarily to predict tops in bull markets, but also to predict reversals in individual securities.
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3. Irrational Behaviour: It is generally believed that investors’ rationality will ensure a close
correspondence between market prices and intrinsic values. But in practice this is not true. The market
seems to function largely on hit or miss tactics rather than on the basis of informed beliefs about the
long-term prospects of individual enterprises.
4. Monopolistic Influence: A market is regarded as highly competitive. No single buyer or seller is
supposed to have undue influence over prices. But in reality, powerful institutions and big operators
have influence over the market. The monopolistic power enjoyed by them diminishes the
competitiveness of the market.
Method It involves forecasting future cashflows of the Predicts future price & its
company by analysing: direction using purely
historical data of share price,
Economy’s Macro factors: GDP, Interest rates,
its volume, etc.
Inflation, etc.
Company’s Micro factors: Profitability, Solvency
position, Operational efficiency, etc.
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4. SECURITY VALUATION
1) Immunization
• We know that when interest rate (or yield) goes up, value of bond falls but return on re-investment (of
coupon receipts) improves and vice versa. Thus, an investor in bonds has to face two types of interest
rate risks (i.e., change in interest rates affects an investor in two ways):
➢ Price Risk: Risk that price of bond will fall with the increase in interest rates and rise with its
decrease.
➢ Reinvestment Risk: Risk that coupon receipts will be reinvested at a lower rate if interest rate falls
and at higher rate if interest rate rise.
• We can see that, with the change in interest rates, two risks move in the opposite direction. Through
the process of immunization selection of bonds shall be in such manner that the effect of above two
risks shall offset each other. Duration of the bonds is that point where these two risks exactly offset
each other. If the duration of a bond is equal to its holding period, then we ensure immunization of the
same and hence, the bond is not having interest rate risk. It means that immunization takes place
when the changes in the YTM in market has no effect on the promised rate of return on a bond.
• It means that if a bond is bought today and rate of interest in the market changes, then, value of bond
portfolio (including the reinvested coupons) at the end of its duration (not maturity; duration here
means Macaulay’s Duration) will not change. This is because the decrease (increase) in value of bond
due to increase (decrease) in interest rates will be equal to the increase (decrease) in income on
reinvested coupons received till the end of duration.
• Therefore, when a liability (say future planned cash outflow) is planned to be funded through the sale
of bond portfolio, duration of that bond portfolio (asset) should be made equals to the duration of
liability, so that even if the interest rates change, value of portfolio will not change and liability can be
fully funded through the sale of bond portfolio as planned.
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5. PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
1) Objectives of Portfolio Management
4. Security of Principal: Security of principal not only involves keeping the principal sum intact but also
its purchasing power (i.e., value of portfolio should increase atleast by the percentage of inflation so
that purchasing power of portfolio is maintained)
5. Capital Growth: It can be attained by investing in growth securities or by reinvesting the income
received on securities in the portfolio.
6. Stability of Income is important to facilitate planning of reinvestment or consumption of income
accurately and systematically.
7. Diversification (risk minimisation): The basic objective of building a portfolio is to reduce the risk of
loss by investing in various types of securities and over a wide range of industries.
8. Liquidity is desirable for the investor so as to take advantage of attractive opportunities upcoming in
the market.
9. Favourable Tax Status: The effective yield, an investor gets from his investment, depends on tax to
which it is subjected to. By minimising the tax burden, yield can be effectively improved.
by estimating market movements. A variety of tools are employed for market timing analysis
namely business cycle analysis, moving average analysis, advance-decline analysis, Econometric
models.
2. Sector Rotation: It involves shifting funds from one sector to another based on sector outlook. If
a sector is expected to perform well in future, the portfolio manager might overweigh that sector
relative to market and under-weigh if the sector is expected to perform poor. (For example, if an
index has 25% value of stock in technology sector and portfolio on the other hand, has invested
28% of the funds in stock of technology sector, then portfolio is overweight on technology sector.)
3. Security Selection: Security selection involves a search for under-priced security. If one has to
resort to active stock selection, he may employ fundamental and technical analysis to identify
stocks which seems to promise superior return relative to risk.
4. Use of Specialised Investment Concept: To achieve superior return, one has to employ a
specialised concept with respect to investment in stocks. The concept which have been exploited
successfully are growth stock, neglected stocks, asset stocks, technology stocks, etc.
b) Passive Portfolio Strategy
Passive strategy, on the other hand, rests on the belief that the capital market is fairly efficient with
respect to the available information. Basically, passive strategy involves creating a well-diversified
portfolio at a predetermined level of risk and holding the portfolio relatively unchanged over time
unless it became adequately diversified or inconsistent with the investor risk-return preference.
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• Interest Rate Risk: This arises due to variability • Business Risk: Business risk arises from
in the interest rates from time to time. Price of a variability in the operating profits of a company.
security has inverse relationship with interest Higher the variability in the operating profits of
rates. Discounting rate which is used to calculate a company, higher is the business risk. Such a risk
intrinsic value depends upon the interest rates. can be measured using operating leverage.
• Purchasing Power Risk: It is also known as • Financial Risk: It arises due to presence of debt
inflation risk. Inflation affects the purchasing in the capital structure of the company. It is also
power adversely which further affects the known as leveraged risk and expressed in terms
demand of a product. of debt-equity ratio. Excess of debt vis-à-vis
• Market Risk: This risk affects the prices of any equity in the capital structure indicates that the
share positively or negatively in line with the company is highly geared and hence, has higher
market. Bullish or bearish trend in the market financial risk.
also affect the price of security in the market.
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How does investor’s expectation vary with variation in level of risk appetite?
• Investor with high-risk appetite will invest in riskier securities such as Equity or Alternative Investments
and therefore they will seek higher returns.
• Similarly, investor with low-risk appetite invest in low risky securities such as debt instruments.
Therefore, they expect lower rate of return.
• Investor who wants to take moderate risk will invest in balanced funds and accordingly the return they
will expect will also be between the above two categories.
7) Assumptions of CAPM
1. Efficient market is the first assumption of CAPM. Efficient market refers to the existence of competitive
market where securities are bought and sold with full information of risk and return available to all
participants.
2. Investor has rational investment goals. Investors desire higher return for any acceptable level of risk
or the lowest risk for any desired level of return.
3. CAPM assumes that all assets are divisible and liquid.
4. Investors are able to borrow at a risk free rate of interest
5. Securities can be exchanged at no transaction cost like payment of brokerage, commissions or taxes.
6. Securities or capital assets face no bankruptcy or insolvency.
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PF dependency
on stock price
(x axis: value of
share portfolio)
y axis: Value of Payoff Line: Linear Payoff Line: Concave
total portfolio) Payoff Line: Convex
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2. Hedge Funds:
• Hedge fund is a lightly regulated investment fund that escapes most regulations by being a private
investment vehicle being offered to selected clients.
• It does not reveal anything about its operations and also charges performance fees.
• Hedge funds are aggressively managed portfolio of investments which use advanced investment
strategies such as leveraged, long & short and derivative positions in both domestic and
international markets with the goal of generating higher returns.
• Risk involved under hedge funds in higher than that under Mutual Funds
• It is important to note that hedging is actually the practice of attempting to reduce risk, but the
goal of most hedge funds is to maximize return on investment.
3. Exchange Traded Funds or Index Shares
• An ETF is a hybrid product that combines the features of an Index Mutual Fund and Shares, therefore
also called as Index Shares. Like Index Funds (see Mutual Fund Chapter), these funds also follow
(i.e., track) underlying index. Like Shares, these can be traded.
• ETFs are listed on the stock exchanges and their prices are linked to underlying index. They can be
bought or sold any time during the market hours at a price which may be more or less than its NAV.
NAV of an ETF is the value of components of the benchmark index (i.e., the index that ETF tracks).
• There is no paper work involved for investing in ETF and they can be bought and sold just like any
other stock. They are attractive as investments because of their low cost tradability and stock-like
features.
• Following types of ETF products are available:
a. Index ETFs - Most ETFs are index funds that hold securities and attempt to replicate the
performance of a stock market index.
b. Commodity ETFs - Commodity ETFs invest in commodities, such as precious metals and futures.
c. Bond ETFs - Exchange-traded funds that invest in bonds are known as bond ETFs. They thrive
during economic recessions because investors pull their money out of the stock market and into
bonds.
d. Currency ETFs - The funds are total return products where the investor gets access to the FX
spot change, local institutional interest rates and a collateral yield.
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6. SECURITIZATION
1) Concept and Mechanism of Securitisation
The process of securitization typically involves the creation of pool of assets from the illiquid financial
assets, such as receivables or loans and their repackaging or rebundling into marketable securities. These
securities are then issued to investor. Example of such illiquid financial assets can be automobile loans,
credit card receivables, residential mortgages or any other form of future receivables.
Mechanism or steps involved in Securitisation process:
Step 1: Creation of Pool of Assets
The process of securitization begins with creation of pool of assets by originator (originator is the entity who
owns the illiquid financial assets). This involves segregating the assets backed by similar type of mortgages in
terms of interest rate, risk, maturity, etc.
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3) Features of Securitisation
1. Creation of Financial Instruments – The process of securities can be viewed as process of creation of
additional financial instruments in the market backed by collaterals.
2. Bundling and Unbundling – When all the assets are combined in one pool it is bundling and when
these are broken into instruments of fixed denomination it is unbundling.
3. Tool of Risk Management – In case of assets are securitized on non-recourse basis, then
securitization process acts as risk management as the risk of default is shifted on SPV.
4. Structured Finance – In the process of securitization, financial instruments are structured in such a
way that they meet the risk and return profile of investors, and hence, these securitized instruments
are considered as best examples of structured finance.
5. Tranching – Portfolio of different receivable or loan or other illiquid asset is split into several parts
based on risk and return they carry, called ‘Tranche’.
6. Homogeneity – Under each tranche the securities issued are of homogenous nature and even meant
for small investors who can afford to invest in small amounts.
6) Benefits of Securitisation
From the point of Originator From the point of Investor
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7. MUTUAL FUNDS
1) Classification of Mutual Funds: On the basis of:
1. FUNCTIONS 2. PORTFOLIO 3. OWNERSHIP
Open ended funds Equity Funds: means Public Sector MF: are
• The investor can make entry (invest) the mutual funds that sponsored by companies
and exit (redeem) any time directly invest primarily (i.e., not of Public Sector.
with mutual fund. entirely) in stocks.
• The capital of the fund is unlimited.
• The redemption period is indefinite. Private Sector MF: are
Debt Funds: means the sponsored by companies
mutual funds that invest of Private Sector.
Close ended Funds primarily in debt
• Investor can buy directly from MF securities.
during IPO or from the stock market Foreign Mutual Funds
after listing. Similarly, redeem from are sponsored by foreign
MF at maturity or sell it in the stock Special Funds: companies for raising
market before maturity. discussed below... funds in India, operate
• Capital is limited. from India and invest in
• Redemption is finite. India.
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Presently, most of the FMPs are launched with tenure of three years to take the benefit of indexation.
The main advantage of Fixed Maturity Plans is that they are free from any interest rate risk because FMPs
invest in debt instruments that have the same maturity as that of the fund. However, they carry credit
risk, as there is a possibility of default by the debt issuing company. So, if the credit rating of an instrument
is downgraded, the returns of FMP can come down.
6) Tracking Error
• Tracking error can be defined as the divergence or deviation of a fund’s return from the return of
benchmark it is tracking (following). In other words, it is the error made by MF while tracking an index,
i.e., difference between ‘return from fund’ and ‘return from index which it was following’.
• The passive fund managers design their investment strategy to closely track the benchmark index.
However, often it may not exactly replicate the index return. In such situation, there is possibility of
deviation between the returns.
• Higher the tracking error, higher is the risk profile of the fund. Whether the funds outperform or
underperform their benchmark indices, it clearly indicates that of fund managers are not following the
benchmark indices properly. In addition to the same, other primary reason for tracking error are
Transaction cost, Fees charged by AMCs, Fund expenses and Cash holdings.
7) Side Pocketing
Understanding the lengthy yet simple concept:
• Suppose, a mutual fund (say XYZ) has total investment of ₹1000 in the bonds of different companies,
out of which ₹200 is invested in a particular company (say Bad Ltd.). Now, if Bad Ltd defaults in making
the coupon payment or principal repayment on its bond, then, as per SEBI norms, XYZ will have to write
down such investment in its books and consequently NAV of the fund will fall and also its credit ratings.
Due to such event and out of fear, the unitholders might sell or redeem their units at the reduced NAV
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which may be less than its true NAV because even if investment in Bad Ltd is fully written down, there
is possibility of recovering some amount from Bad Ltd.
• In such a situation, both XYZ and its unitholders will suffer. XYZ might suffer liquidity issue, if large
number to unit holders come to redeem their units. And, unitholders might sell their units at a NAV
lower than its true NAV.
• To avoid such situations, XYZ will separate investment of ₹200 in Bad Ltd.’s bonds (now onwards
referred as risky or illiquid assets) from its other good investments of ₹800 and shift it in the SIDE
POCKET. So, now there are two categories of assets lying with XYZ- Good or liquid assets (of ₹800) and
risky or illiquid assets (of ₹200).
• Note that, since XYZ has side-pocketed illiquid investments, the NAV of the fund will now reflect the
value of only liquid assets of ₹800. Therefore, for illiquid assets, unitholders are issued units of a new
scheme of mutual fund (now onwards referred as ‘new units’) in addition to original units already held
by them. This new scheme will represent the claim of unitholders in the risky assets of ₹200.
• Hence, we can say that, unitholders will now have two types of units- original units (which represent
the claims in good or liquid assets) and new units (which represent the claim in risky assets)
• Original units of the fund can be bought and sold normally as they were done earlier, but investors are
not interested to sell them, since, now they represent only liquid assets. Whereas, with respect to new
units, there are certain restrictions its sale imposed by SEBI due to which, they cannot be redeemed for
some period.
• Hence, side pocketing will help both XYZ and its unitholders to not suffer on the event of default by any
company.
Answer from exam point of view from Study Material:
• Side Pocketing in Mutual Funds means separation of risky or illiquid assets from other investments and
cash holdings.
• Whenever, the rating of a mutual fund decreases, the fund shifts the illiquid assets into a side pocket
so that unitholders can be benefitted atleast from the liquid assets held by the fund. Consequently, the
NAV of the fund will now reflect the value of only liquid assets.
• The purpose is to also make sure that money invested in MF, which is linked to illiquid asset, gets
locked, until the MF recovers the money from the company.
• Side Pocketing is beneficial for those investors who wish to hold the units of the original scheme for
long term. Therefore, the process of Side Pocketing ensures that liquidity is not the problem with MF
even in the circumstances of frequent allotments and redemptions of units.
• In India, recent case of IL&FS has led to many discussions on the concept of side pocketing as IL&FS
and its subsidiaries have failed to fulfil its repayments obligations due to severe liquidity crisis. The MF
had given negative returns because they have completely written off their exposure to IL&FS
instruments.
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• Also, a liquid derivative market facilitates the traders to do speculation. The speculative trading may
worry the regulators but it is also true that without speculative trading, it will not be possible for the
derivative market to stay liquid.
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If risk free rate of interest: It indicates the value of option for one
percent change in risk free rate of interest.
➢ Increases: Value of option decreases.
➢ Decreases: Value of option increases.
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Example: An exporter has sold goods worth $500 and exchange rate is ₹/$ 65. Now, at year end, if
exchange rate changes to ₹/$ 60. Loss due to Translation Exposure is (65-60)*500= ₹2,500.
B. Transaction Exposure: It refers to the gain/loss which arises due to difference in the exchange rates
on ‘the date when transaction was entered into’ and ‘the date when the transaction is settled’. It deals
with the higher or lower cash flows in home currency required to settle any obligation in foreign
currency.
Example: An importer purchased goods worth $100 and exchange rate is ₹/$ 55. Now, at the time of
payment, if exchange rate changes to ₹/$ 60. Loss due to Transaction Exposure is ₹500.
C. Economic Exposure: It refers to the extent to which economic value of a company can decline due
to change in exchange rates. Even if the company is not directly dealing in transactions denominated
in foreign currency, it is exposed to economic risk. The exposure is on account of macro level factors
such as:
• Change in the prices of inputs used or output sold by competitors (giving them advantage)
• Reduction in demand by the foreign importer due increased prices in his HC (if invoicing is done in
exporter’s HC, then importer will have to pay more in his HC to by same amount of FC)
Difference between Transaction and Economic Exposure:
TRANSACTION EXPOSURE ECONOMIC EXPOSURE
▪ Is direct in Nature ▪ Is indirect in Nature
▪ Amount of exposure is known ▪ Amount of exposure in unknown
▪ Faced by only firms who have entered into FC ▪ Faced by all the firms whether they have entered
transactions into FC transactions or not
▪ Easy to hedge ▪ Difficult to hedge
• Invoicing: Companies engaged in export and import are concerned with decisions relating to the
currency in which goods and services are to be traded (invoiced). Trading in a foreign currency gives
rise to transaction exposure whereas, trading purely in a company's home currency has no currency
risk.
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• Leading & Lagging: Leading and Lagging refer to adjustments in the times of payments in foreign
currencies. Leading means advancing the timing of payments and receipts. Lagging means
postponing (delaying) the timing of payments and receipts. These techniques are aimed at taking
advantage of expected appreciation or depreciation of relevant currencies.
• Settlement Netting or (only) Netting: Netting means adjusting receivable and payables. Under this
technique, group companies merely settle inter affiliate indebtedness for the net amount owing.
The reduced number and amount of transaction leads to savings in transaction cost (such as
buy/sell spreads in the spot and forward markets) and administrative cost resulting from currency
conversion.
• Matching: Although, ‘netting’ and ‘matching’ are used interchangeably, there is a difference
between the two. Netting is a term applied to potential cash flows within group companies whereas
matching can be applied to both inter-company and to third-party balancing. Matching is a
mechanism whereby a company matches its foreign currency inflows with its foreign currency
outflows in respect of amount and approximate timing. Receipts in a particular currency are used
to make payments in that currency thereby reducing the need for a group of companies to go to the
foreign exchange markets only for the unmatched portion of foreign currency cash flows.
• Price Variation: Price variation involves increasing selling prices to counter the adverse effects of
exchange rate change.
• Asset and liability management: can involve aggressive or defensive postures. In the aggressive
attitude, the firm increases exposure of inflows denominated in strong currencies or increases
exposure of outflows denominated in weak currencies. The defensive approach involves matching
cash inflows and outflows according to their currency of denomination, irrespective of whether they
are in strong or weak currencies.
4) Exposure Netting
• Exposure Netting refers to offsetting exposure in one currency with exposure in the same or another
currency, where exchange rates are expected to move in such a way that loses (or gains) on the first
exposed position are offset by gains (or losses) on position in the second currency.
• The objective of the exercise is to offset the likely loss in one exposure by likely gain in another.
• This is a method of hedging foreign exchange exposure is different from forward and option contracts. This
method is similar to portfolio approach in handling systematic risk. (Recollect that to reduce the beta of
the portfolio, position on index futures was taken such that loss (gain) on portfolio is offset by gain (loss)
on index futures).
Vostro (Your account with us): This is a current account maintained by a foreign bank with a domestic
bank in home currency.
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Loro Account (Their account with you): This is a current account maintained by one domestic bank on
behalf of other domestic bank in foreign bank in a foreign currency.
Indian Bank
(say HDFC)
Foreign Bank
(Swiss Bank)
Indian Bank
SBI will call, the Nostro account of HDFC
(SBI)
maintained with Swiss bank, as Loro Account.
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Centralized CMS: Each branch’s cash position is Decentralized CMS: Each branch is viewed as separate
managed by single centralized authority. undertaking and cash positions are managed separately.
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3. Foreign Currency Convertible Bonds (FCCBs): Foreign bonds are debt instrument denominated in a
currency not native to borrower but native to the country where the bonds are issued. FCCB is a type
of foreign bond which gives the bondholder an option to convert the bond into the stocks of the
company. It is a mix of debt and equity instrument, as it acts like a bond by making regular coupon
and principal payments and also gives the bondholder an option to convert it into stock.
➢ Benefit to investor: Buyer of this bond is benefitted by appreciation in the price of company’s
stock.
➢ Benefit to issuer: Due to attached equity option, coupon rate on such bonds is relatively lower.
4. Euro Convertible Bond: Euro bonds are debt instrument denominated in a currency which is not
native to the country where the bonds are issued. Euro Convertible bond is a type of euro bond which
has an option, attached to it, to convert it into the equity shares of the company. Euro option may
carry two options:
➢ Call option: Issuer has the option to call (buy) the bonds before redemption and issue equity
shares.
➢ Put option: Investor (holder) has the option to put (sell) the bonds before redemption and get
equity shares against such bonds.
5. ADR and GDR: Since ADR and GDR are similar instruments and also because it becomes easy to
remember, they have been explained together. But these concepts may be asked individually in
exams, in which case below answer to be made specific. Depository receipt is a negotiable certificate
denominated in currency not native to the company issuing it, representing its one or more local
currency equity shares publically traded in its home country. When such receipt is issued in:
in US it is called ADR
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2) Swaption
An interest rate swaption is simply an option on interest rate swap. It gives the holder the right but not
the obligation to enter into an interest rate swap at a specific date in the future, at a particular fixed rate
and for a specified term.
✓ A 3-month into 5-year swaption would mean an option to enter into a 5-year interest rate swap after
3 months.
✓ The swaption premium is expressed as basis points.
✓ There are two types of swaption contracts: -
➢ A fixed rate payer swaption gives the owner of the swaption the right but not the obligation to
enter into a swap where they pay the fixed leg and receive the floating leg.
➢ A fixed rate receiver swaption gives the owner of the swaption the right but not the obligation to
enter into a swap in which they will receive the fixed leg, and pay the floating leg.
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2) Types of Merger
1. Horizontal Merger: The two companies that merge, are in the same industry selling similar or
competing products. Normally the market share of the new consolidated company would be larger
and it is possible that it may move near monopoly to avoid competition.
2. Vertical Merger: This merger happens when two companies having buyer-seller relationship come
together to merge.
3. Conglomerate Mergers: Such mergers involve firms engaged in unrelated type of business operations.
In other words, the business activities of acquirer and the target are related neither horizontally nor
vertically.
4. Congeneric Merger: In these mergers, the acquirer and the target companies are related through basic
technologies, production processes or market. The acquired company represents an extension of
product-line or technologies of the acquirer.
5. Reverse Merger: Next question...
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5) Types of Demerger
1. Sell-off: A sell off is the sale of an asset, factory, division or subsidiary by one entity to another for a
purchase consideration payable either in cash or in the form of securities.
2. Split-up: This involves breaking up of the entire firm into separate legal entities for each business
division. The parent firm no longer legally exists and only the newly created entities survive individually.
3. Spin-off: In this case, a part of the business is separated and created as a separate firm. The existing
shareholders of the firm get proportionate ownership. So, there is no change in ownership and the
same shareholders continue to own the newly created entity.
4. Equity Carve Outs: This is like spin off, however, some shares of the new company are sold in the
market by making a public offer. This brings cash in the company.
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presentation to investors explaining about the prospects of the company and why they should invest into
the start-up business. It is a quick overview of business plan and convincing the investors to put some
money into the business.
How to approach a pitch presentation?
1. Introduction: First step is to give a brief account of yourself i.e. who are you? What are you doing?
Use this opportunity to get your investors interested in your company.
2. Team: The next step is to introduce the team to the investors. The reason is that the investors will
want to know the people who are going to make the product or service successful.
3. Problem: In a pitch presentation, the promoter should be able to explain the problem he is going to
solve.
4. Solution: It is very important to describe how the company is planning to solve the problem and the
investors should be convinced that the newly introduced product or service will solve it.
5. Marketing or Sales: The market size of the product must be communicated to the investors.
Marketing strategy of the start-up is also required to be explained.
6. Projections or Milestones: Projected financial statements give a brief idea about where is the
business heading. It tells us that whether the business will be making profit or loss. Financial
projections include three basic documents that make up a business’s financial statements. (covered
specifically in the next heading...)
7. Competition: Every business organization has competition even if the product or service offered is
new and unique. It is necessary to highlight in the pitch presentation as to how the products or
services are different from their competitors.
8. Business Model: The term business model is a wide term denoting core aspects of a business
including operational process, offerings, target customers, strategies, infrastructure, organizational
structures, etc. It is important to explain investors about the business model to generate revenues.
9. Financing: If a start-up has already raised money, it is preferable to talk about how much money
has been raised, who invested money into the business and what they did about it. If no money has
been raised till date, an explanation can be made regarding how much work has been accomplished
with the help of limited funds available with the company.
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Screening Screening process would help to select the company for further processing. The
screening decision would take place based on the information provided by the
company.
Due Diligence Due diligence is the process by which the VC would try to verify the correctness of the
documents taken. This is generally handled by external bodies, mainly renowned
consultants.
Deal The deal is structured in such a way that both parties win. In many cases, the
Structuring convertible structure is brought in to ensure that the promoter retains the right to
buy back the share.
Post Investt In this section, the company has to adhere to certain guidelines like strong MIS,
Activity strong budgeting system, strong corporate governance and other covenants of the
VC and periodically keep the VC updated about certain milestones.
Exit plan Exit happens in two ways: one way is ‘sell to third party’. This sale can be in the form
of IPO or Private Placement to other VCs. The second way to exit is that promoter
would give a buy back commitment at a pre agreed rate.
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Domestic Funds
Offshore Structure Unified Structure
Domestic Funds are the funds which Under this structure, an When both domestic and
raises money domestically. They are offshore investment vehicle offshore investors are
usually structured as: which is an LLC or LP expected to participate in
i) a domestic vehicle for the pooling registered outside India, the fund, a unified structure
of funds from the investor, and makes investments directly is used.
ii) a separate investment vehicle that into Indian portfolio Overseas investors pool their
carries the duties of asset companies. assets in an offshore vehicle
manager. The assets are managed by that invests in a locally
The choice of entity for the pooling the offshore manager, while managed trust, whereas
vehicle falls between a trust and a the investment advisor in domestic investors directly
company, with the trust form India carries out the due contribute to the trust.
prevailing due to its operational diligence and identifies This trust makes the local
flexibility. deals. portfolio investments with
Unlike most developed countries, the help of asset manager.
India does not recognize a LP.
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