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Rosy Xu
A DISSERTATION
May 2021
©2021
Rosy Xu
All Rights Reserved
UNIVERSITY OF MIAMI
Rosy Xu
Approved:
________________ _________________
Fabrizio Ferri, Ph.D. Miguel Minutti-Meza, Ph.D.
Associate Professor of Accounting Associate Professor of Accounting
________________ _________________
Dhananjay Nanda, Ph.D. Guillermo Prado, Ph.D.
Professor of Accounting Dean of the Graduate School
________________
Ville Rantala, Ph.D.
Assistant Professor of Finance
XU, ROSY (Ph.D., Business)
Corporate Fake News on Social Media (May 2021)
Using a unique data set on fake news about S&P 500 companies during 2016–2019, I
examine its determinants and consequences as well as the firms’ responses. I find that 8%
of the S&P 500 firms are targeted by fake news, which usually originates on social media.
Target firms tend to be more visible, have lower scores on social responsibility, and exhibit
a history of being targets of fake news. Target firms experience a 0.18% drop in abnormal
returns when fake news is released and negative abnormal returns of over 3% in the
following three months. The reduction in stock prices can be explained by both mispricing
and a loss in future sales associated with fake news. Finally, firms that take immediate
action in dispelling rumors successfully reduce the chance of future attacks by 19% and
limit damage to their market value, consistent with voluntary disclosures being an effective
I am deeply indebted to my advisor Fabrizio Ferri for his invaluable advice and
stalwart support. Fabrizio Ferri has, on multiple occasions, spent hours read and re-read
committee Miguel Minutti-Meza, Dhananjay Nanda, and Ville Rantala, who have taught
me rigor over the years, are excellent coauthors but even more so role models of mine. I
thank Frank Yu and Henrik Cronqvist for opening the world of academia to me and
express my gratitude to Alok Kumar for always being a source of inspiration and
I am most fortunate to have the entire accounting and finance faculty and students
colleagues, especially Khrystyna Bochkay and Jake Krupa, whom I can always turn to for
advice. I thank my dear friends Shiyi Zhang and Melina Vosse for the intense and vibrant
discussions and constant encouragement. From them, I learned to work around obstacles,
Finally, I am eternally grateful to my parents Xianjun Xu and Qun Kong, for their
love and unwavering support. Their love has made all the difference.
ROSY XU
University of Miami
May 2021
iii
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page
Chapter
1 INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................... 1
6 CONCLUSION............................................................................................ 39
REFERENCES……… ............................................................................................ 40
APPENDICES……… ............................................................................................. 62
iv
LIST OF FIGURES
Page
v
LIST OF TABLES
Page
Table 3 Abnormal Returns and Turnovers Around Fake News Events ....................... 51
Table 6 Real Effects of Fake News on Sales and Sales Growth ................................. 56
vi
Chapter 1: Introduction
Since the 2016 US presidential campaign, “fake news” has pervaded society, and
emerging research in economics and political science raises concerns that it is eroding
American democracy.1 However, fake news is not confined to the domains of politics; it
also poses a threat to corporations and capital markets. According to a recent survey, 64%
of business leaders across the globe are worried about false rumors regarding their firms
on social media, and 27% cite “adversarial” social media activities as the top corporate risk
(Kroll 2019). Anecdotal evidence suggests that fake news that generates bombastic head-
lines can distort stock prices and hurt a company’s reputation. For example, a tweet that
falsely claimed that Metro Bank was close to collapse caused its stock value to drop by $44
million (Binham 2019). Market regulators are aware of the threat, with the US Securities
and Exchange Commission (SEC) warning investors already in 2012 of the perils of false
In spite of its growing importance, the phenomenon of corporate fake news has re-
ceived little attention in academic research, possibly due to a lack of data and the identifi-
cation of unambiguous fake content. To fill this gap, I provide empirical evidence of the
determinants and consequences of corporate fake news, and trace actions that firms take to
limit its damage. To do so, I construct an extensive and thoroughly documented set of
1
See, for example, Allcott and Gentzkow (2017), Lazer et al. (2018), Bovet and Makse (2019), and
Grinberg et al. (2019). Concerns about fake news heightened during the COVID-19 pandemic, with Tedros
Adhanom (director-general of World Health Organization) saying at the 2020 Munich Security Conference
that “we’re not just fighting a pandemic; we’re fighting an infodemic.”
2
On January 1, 2012, the SEC issued an investor alert to raise investors’ awareness of fraudulent in-
vestment schemes that involve social media (https://www.sec.gov/files/socialmediaandfraud.pdf). The SEC
issued updated alerts in 2014 (https://www.sec.gov/oiea/investor-alerts-bulletins/ia_socialmediafraud.html),
in 2015 (https://www.sec.gov/oiea/investor-alerts-bulletins/ia_rumors.html), and in 2019
(https://www.sec.gov/oiea/investor-alerts-and-bulletins/ib_sentimentinvesting).
1
2
observations on fake news about Standard and Poor’s (S&P) 500 companies, extending
from July 2016 through December 2019. I identify corporate fake news as corporate-related
Central to this paper is the definition of fake news. I follow Vosoughi, Roy, and Aral
(2018) and define fake news as any asserted claim of which the veracity has been verified
as false (known as “misinformation”). Although the term “fake news” sometimes also im-
plies a willful distortion of the truth (known as “disinformation”), I do not make any claims
about the intent of fake news purveyors in my analyses because the true intent cannot be
directly observed or credibly inferred. Another common confusion about fake news is its
difference from biased (or slanted) news. While biased (or slanted) news can be conceptu-
alized as an imprecise signal that is still informative about the true state of the world, fake
news is the distorted signal that is uncorrelated with the truth. I use the terms “fake news,”
I obtain 264 distinct fake news events, with 8% of the S&P 500 firms being targeted
by fake news at least once during my sample period. Over 55% of the fake news in my
due to a lack of significant third-party filtering, fact-checking, and editorial judgment. Two
other major sources of corporate fake news are low-credibility websites (30%) and blogs
(11%). In terms of the content of fake news, after reading and categorizing each event, I
find that “products and services” is the largest fake news category in my sample (44%),
followed by “human rights” (27%), which involves companies and their top executives’
attitudes and policies on race, ethnicity, sex, religion, and freedom of speech. Fake news
3
related to a firm’s “operations” constitutes the third-largest category (14%). Finally, I clas-
sify the tone of the article based on whether it praises or disparages a company and find
that the majority of fake news is negative (70%), whereas only 9% is positive, and the rest
is neutral.
fake news. Several findings bear emphasis. First, fake news tends to target large and prof-
itable firms with large numbers of employees and advertising expenditures—visible firms
have broad readership appeal and, therefore, serve the fake news providers’ ideological and
pecuniary purposes (Allcott and Gentzkow 2017). Second, target firms have lower corpo-
rate social responsibility (CSR) scores. Socially irresponsible companies are perceived
negatively among investors (Lins, Servaes, and Tamayo 2017), and fake news producers
can therefore use fabricated negative stories to provoke public fear and anger, agitate their
followers, and cause their content to be more readily shared (Bakir and McStay 2017).
Third, fake news is significantly more likely to target firms that have been affected by fake
news before. Fourth, there is no evidence that target firms have higher short interests, alt-
hough short sellers can engage in price manipulation by spreading false rumors about the
poor prospects of the firm (e.g., Allen and Gale 1992, Leuz et al. 2017). Finally, while
firms in highly competitive industries can spread false bearish news to defame the firm’s
To understand the consequences of corporate fake news, I then examine the impact of
fake news based on the market’s reaction to it. Using an event study approach, I find a
statistically significant average stock price drop of 0.18% on the day fake news appears.
The direction of the price movement is consistent with the generally negative tone of fake
4
news. Given that the mean market capitalization of target firms is approximately $181 bil-
lion, the price reaction implies that fake news, on average, reduces the firm value by almost
$344 million. I also find some evidence of an increase in the positive abnormal trading
volume around the release of fake news. The increase in trading volume possibly reflects
the disagreement among investors—either because they interpret fake news differently or
see different information due to the selective exposure caused by segregated online social
networks (Cookson and Niessner 2020, Cookson, Engelberg, and Mullins 2020). I addi-
tionally examine the cumulative impact of fake news on stock returns and find that target
firms experience a 3.1% loss in market value in the three months following the fake news
event. The loss increases to 5.8% when comparing the three-month cumulative abnormal
Selection bias may arise from the restriction of my sample to corporate rumors fact-
checked by the five organizations I rely on. Fact-checkers are constrained from examining
every corporate rumor by their resources and might select only certain types of rumors (e.g.,
the ones that fact-checkers consider to be significant and newsworthy). As a result, the
previously documented market reaction can be biased. To mitigate this concern and assess
the external validity of the event study results, I use an alternative sample that includes all
49,144 articles about S&P 500 firms published by 121 low-credibility websites from July
2016 to December 2019.3 This list of websites was constructed by fact-checkers, journal-
ists, and academics who identified sites that predominantly publish fabricated stories
(Lazer et al. 2018, Bovet and Makse 2019, Grinberg et al. 2019). Thus, the attribution of
3
This broader sample alleviates selection bias concerns but has its limitations: first, it requires the as-
sumption that all news published by low-credibility websites is fake news; second, there can be fake news
not published on these 121 websites; and third, it is difficult to trace the ensuring companies’ actions follow-
ing the fake news and to analyze the content of fake news, as the original articles often become unavailable.
5
“fakeness” is not at the level of the story but of the publisher. Evidence from this alternative
sample does not alter the conclusion from the event study: a firm’s daily fake news cover-
age (i.e., the number of low-credibility articles appearing on a given day) is negatively
associated with its contemporaneous abnormal return and positively associated with con-
Using this alternative sample, I also examine the cross-section of the trading activity. 4
Extant research suggests that the extent to which the media influences investors depends
on the diffusion of news reports and the credibility of a news source (Dyck, Volchkova,
and Zingales 2008). Consequently, I predict that the impact of a firm’s daily fake news
coverage on abnormal returns and turnovers is larger when fake news diffuses to a larger
number of users and when investors have less viable access to credible sources of corporate
information. Consistent with these predictions, I find that fake news has a more pronounced
impact when the number of tweets corresponding to low-credibility articles is larger. I also
find that the impact of fake news is larger for firms with an opaque information environ-
ment (e.g., small firms) and high retail investor ownership, since, in contrast to institutional
investors, retail investors do not have access to professional news services such as Reuters
or Bloomberg.
I posit that investors trade on fake news for at least two reasons. First, retail investors
are boundedly rational and vulnerable to manipulation by fake news due to cognitive, social,
4
The alternative sample has two advantages for cross-sectional analyses: first, this broader sample pro-
vides enough variations in firm characteristics, and second, it provides measures of the spread of fake news
(e.g., the number of tweets that contain URLs of fake news articles).
6
and algorithmic biases. 5 Even though sophisticated investors exist in the market, transac-
tion costs can prevent arbitrageurs who are aware of the fake news from trading against it.
Second, the reduction in stock prices reflects the decrease in the present value of the firm’s
future cash flows as fake news can have real effects on the firm’s fundamental value. For
example, fabricated stories can fool consumers into boycotting the company’s products and
reduce its sales revenue. 6 My evidence shows support for both mispricing and a reduction
of future sales associated with fake news. Specifically, I find that fake news has a stronger
impact on stock returns in firms with larger impediments to arbitrage (e.g., high idiosyn-
cratic risk and low liquidity). Additionally, I find that both the level and the growth rate of
the target firms’ sales decline in the quarter after being attacked by fake news. Economi-
cally, the sales of target firms are reduced by $55.8 million, and the growth rate of sales
Finally, I provide evidence on companies’ responses to fake news. Prior research sug-
gests that negative corporate information or even slanted information provided by third
parties affects companies’ strategic disclosure decisions (e.g., Langberg and Sivarama-
krishnan 2008, Baloria and Heese 2018, Frenkel, Guttman, and Kremer 2020). However,
hand, disclosures are effective tools to correct misperceptions, lessen the damage, and re-
store reputation (Chakravarthy, deHaan, and Rajgopal 2014, Lee, Hutton, and Shu 2015).
5
These biases include information overload and finite attention (Weng et al. 2012), confirmation bias
and motivated reasoning (Stroud 2011), the novelty of fake news (Vosoughi, Roy, and Aral 2018), the selec-
tive exposure caused by polarized and segregated online social networks (Pariser 2011), and algorithmic
popularity bias (Salganik, Dodds, and Watts 2006).
6
See, Example 2 in Section 2.2 that fake news about PepsiCo’s (NASDAQ: PEP) CEO’s alleged view
on Trump spurs Trump supporters to boycott PepsiCo products.
7
On the other hand, managers will not respond to fake news if they believe a rational inves-
tor cannot be fooled by misinformation or that a response would unintentionally lend cred-
ibility to the fake news. I find that companies voluntarily respond to 20% of the fake news,
with 48% of the responses taking place through social media, followed by mainstream me-
dia (29%), blogs (11%), and the company’s website (11%). This evidence is consistent
with social media being a popular disclosure channel to manage a corporate “crisis” (Lee,
Hutton, and Shu 2015). My evidence also confirms social media as a direct platform to
facilitate rapid communication with stakeholders: on average, a company takes only 0.9
days to respond to fake news via social media, while responses via mainstream media (e.g.,
NBC News and The Washington Post) take place 53.4 days after the appearance of the
Corporate responses are effective tools to combat fake news. I find that companies
that respond to fake news reduce the probability of future attacks by approximately 19%. I
also find that firms that take immediate action (i.e., a fewer number of days) in responding
to fake news significantly attenuate the negative cumulative impact of fake news on stock
returns. However, I find little evidence that a prompt debunking by independent fact-check-
ing organizations effectively reduces the harm of fake news—consistent with the findings
of prior literature that questions the efficacy of fact checks (Nyhan et al. 2019).
This study contributes to the very recent and emerging literature on fake news. Several
studies within this literature have examined the phenomenon of fake news in economics
(Allcott and Gentzkow 2017), political science (Lazer et al. 2018, Bovet and Makse 2019,
Grinberg et al. 2019), information science (Clarke et al. 2020), and finance (Kogan, Mos-
kowitz, and Niessner 2019). My research particularly relates to the work of Clarke et al.
8
(2020) and Kogan, Moskowitz, and Niessner (2019), which uses the SEC crackdown on
stock promotion schemes to examine the stock price reaction to fake articles. However,
their samples focus on fake news produced by the companies themselves with the sole
purpose of manipulating stock prices. My study complements the prior work by using a
social media and its role in capital markets. One strand of the literature investigates how
companies exploit social media to disseminate corporate news (Blankespoor, Miller, and
White 2014, Jung et al. 2018), communicate with stakeholders about negative corporate
events (Lee, Hutton, and Shu 2015, Elliott, Grant, and Hodge 2018), or even strategically
disclose negative information about peer companies (Cao, Fang, and Lei 2021). Another
strand of the literature finds that information from social media can predict firm-level earn-
ings and stock returns (Jame et al. 2016, Bartov, Faurel, and Mohanram 2018, Tang 2018).
Despite the information role that it plays, social media is often perceived as having serious
problems in terms of quality and credibility (Jia et al. 2020). Blankespoor, deHaan, and
Marinovic (2020) suggest that one interesting avenue for future research is “social media’s
lack of traditional oversight and potential for misinformation.” As Miller and Skinner
(2015) call for “a more complete theory of the role of media in financial markets,” my
study responds to such calls and provides evidence of how online misinformation distorts
known for thoroughly investigating and debunking or confirming rumors on various topics
(e.g., politics, business, science, terrorism, entertainment, and urban legends). To identify
the subset of fact-checking articles that are only related to companies, I use the Hoaxy
search engine (Shao et al. 2016, 2018a, 2018b). Hoaxy is an open platform that stores data
on articles published since July 2016 by two types of websites: (i) seven independent fact-
checking organizations that routinely fact-check unverified claims;7 and (ii) 121 low-cred-
ibility sources that often publish inaccurate, unverified, or satirical claims (the list of these
organizations). Besides, Hoaxy also tracks tweets that contain the URLs of all articles pub-
The Hoaxy system has a search engine feature that allows users to identify articles based
on keywords. Using this feature, I search for all articles that contain the company’s name
in their titles. To make the data collection and cleaning task manageable, I focus on com-
panies in the S&P 500 Index, which represent 76% of US equity market capitalization. To
eliminate survivorship bias and the impact of index addition and deletion, I examine all
7
I purposely exclude two fact-checking organizations (opensecrets.org and climatefeedback.org) in my
analyses because of their narrow focuses. Opensecrets.org routinely discloses political contributions of com-
panies and climatefeedback.org fact-checks claims related to climate change.
9
10
595 companies ever included in the index during the sampling period from July 2016 to
December 2019.
The identification of articles related to these companies is not trivial for several rea-
sons. First, some company names can have multiple meanings (e.g., “Apple” and “Ama-
zon”) and thus generate articles unrelated to those firms. In these cases, I manually remove
the unrelated articles after reading them. Second, some companies can be known for their
subsidiaries (e.g., “Yum! Brands” versus “Taco Bell”). Therefore, I include all subsidiary
names if the firm has three subsidiaries or fewer, or the three subsidiaries most commonly
searched for on Google during the sample period if the company has more than three sub-
sidiaries. Third, one company can have several variations of its name (e.g., “Bank of Amer-
ica” and “BOA”). Thus, I compile a list of possible name variations based on the company
name in the CRSP database. Finally, one company can merge with, or be acquired by,
I employ a web-crawling program that inputs each variation of the company name and
uses the Hoaxy application programming interface (API) to download the URL link, pub-
lication date, title, and the verdict (false, true, or mixed) of fact-checking articles into a
CSV file. This process generates a total of 466 fact-checking articles between July 2016
and December 2019 for my sample of S&P 500 firms. The five fact-checking websites
have various ways of issuing a verdict on a rumor; for instance, snopes.com articles are
given a verdict of “False,” “Mostly False,” “Mixture,” “Mostly True,” or “True”; while
politifact.com articles are given a “Pants on Fire” rating for false rumors. I therefore nor-
malize the verdicts across different sites by mapping them to a score of 1 to 5 (1 = “False,”
11
group all rumors with a score of 1 or 2 as false rumors, those with a score of 4 or 5 as true,
and those with a score of 3 as mixed. Table 1 Panel A presents the distribution of false,
true, and mixed rumors across the five fact-checking organizations. 8 In total, this classifi-
cation leads to 315 false rumors, 71 true rumors, and 80 mixed rumors in my sample. In
the rest of the study, I focus on the 315 corporate rumors that are identified as false.
Using the 315 corporate rumors that are identified as false by five independent fact-
First, I collect the date on which the fake news started to circulate and the source of
the fake news. Fact-checking articles usually provide detailed examinations of the date fake
news was created and its sources. In Panel A of Appendix A, I show an example of how a
fact-checking organization (i.e., snopes.com) examines the source of a false rumor about
Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX). If the fact-checking articles do not specify the exact date, I
search for the false claim on Google, archive.org, and related social media platforms such
as Facebook and Twitter. In cases where the false claim is reported by multiple sources, I
use the earliest date as the event date. Through this process, I am able to identify the source
of all 315 false rumors and the event dates for 271 of them (86%).
Table 1 Panel B presents the distribution of the types of fake news sources. The ma-
jority of fake news originates on social media (55%). This finding is in accordance with
8
It is not uncommon for multiple fact-checking organizations to investigate one claim. In untabulated
statistics, I find that 26% of the claims in my sample are examined by more than one fact-checker and that
the veracity of these claims is agreed upon 82% of the time. Note that all cases of disagreement are between
“mixed” and “true” or “mixed” and “false.” I do not observe any disagreement between the organizations’
verdicts for rumors that are “false” or “true.” Overall, there is considerable agreement among fact-checking
organizations.
12
the frequent accusations that social media is conducive to misinformation due to a lack of
websites are established to print either entirely fabricated and misleading articles or a mix
of factual and false articles. Others publish articles with a satirical undertone, which might
be interpreted as factual when seen out of context. The third-largest source of fake news is
that consists of discrete, often informal diary-style text entries, and is often considered a
Next, I record the content of fake news. After reading all of the false rumors, I group
them into nine overarching and mutually exclusive categories: operations, governance,
products and services, human rights, employees, community, environment, political con-
tribution, and others (e.g., urban legends). The methodology of classification is available
in the Internet Appendix Table A1. Table 1 Panel C indicates that “products and services”
is the largest category, representing 44% of the false rumors in the sample, followed by
Lastly, I record the tone of fake news. I classify false rumors into “positive,” “neutral,”
and “negative,” based on whether the fake news seems to praise or disparage a company.
As reported in Panel D, only 9% of the false rumors are identified as “positive” while the
Panel A of Figure 1 presents the number of false rumors by calendar year-quarter from
July 2016 to December 2019. Overall, fake news follows a relatively uniform timing across
13
calendar year-quarters, with a few spikes in Q4 of 2016, Q2 of 2018, and Q3 of 2019. There
is a small but significant correlation between the (log) number of false rumors in a given
quarter and the (log) total number of 10K, 10Q, and 8K filings obtained from the SEC’s
EDGAR system (2.0%, p-value = 0.069). The correlation between the (log) number of false
rumors and the (log) number of press releases in the RavenPack database is relatively larger
and stronger (4.2%, p-value = 0.000). These correlations suggest that the prevalence of
corporate fake news is likely tied to major corporate events. I further find that the (log)
number of false rumors significantly correlate with press releases about a company’s
“products and services” and those with a “negative” tone. These findings are consistent
with the statistics in Table 1 that most fake news is about “products and services” and has
a “negative” tone. These correlation findings are robust to measuring numbers of false ru-
mors, EDGAR filings, and press releases at higher frequencies, such as monthly and
weekly. 9 Overall, the evidence suggests that fake news producers possibly create fabricated
Panels B and C plot the distribution of false rumors by calendar quarter and month of
the year. Relatively fewer false rumors occur in the fourth quarter. February, April, and
September are slightly more common than other months for fake news, but overall, there
9 In general, the correlations between the (log) number of false rumors and other measures for major
corporate events, measured by the log total number of 10K, 10Q, and 8K filings and the log number of press
releases, are low. This is because the overall fake news coverage in my sample is small—only 8% of S&P
500 firms was attacked by fake news while all S&P 500 companies filed 10K, 10Q, or 8K reports and issued
press releases.
14
To give the reader a flavor of the fake news that this paper focuses on, I provide a
edly connected to a female employee at Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX) named Shanell Riv-
ers. In the screenshot, the employee claimed that she was placing blood, dog feces, and
other contaminants into the store’s products. The 4chan user urged other fellow users to
create memes, contact Starbucks, and spread the hashtag #Starbuckscontamination in order
to encourage the firing of the employee. This online campaign quickly spilled over to var-
ious social media platforms such as Facebook, Twitter, and Reddit. As a result, the Star-
bucks in question closed a few hours early that day after management received tips about
the rumor. However, this post on the 4chan forum turned out to be fake; there was no
evidence that this woman was an employee at Starbucks or that she had done any of the
things described in her Facebook post. Starbucks quickly responded to the controversy on
January 9 through Facebook and Twitter and said that they did not employ a woman named
websites quoted PepsiCo’s (NASDAQ: PEP) CEO Indra Nooyi as purportedly having
stated that supporters of Donald Trump should “take their business elsewhere.” These web-
sites referred to an interview at the New York Times DealBook Conference in Manhattan
on November 10, 2016, where Nooyi said that some company employees were upset by
the election results. However, nowhere in this interview did the CEO of PepsiCo state ei-
15
ther explicitly or implicitly that Donald Trump supporters should “take their business else-
where.” This fabricated story led to calls on social media for a boycott of Pepsi products.
ing organizations because it allows me to identify details about each false claim (date,
source, and content) and trace any ensuing company’s action. However, this sample has
two limitations. First, it is not a fully comprehensive sample of corporate fake news. It is
story. 10 Second, fact-checking organizations can have selection bias in deciding which
claims to fact-check. For example, some fact-checking organizations favor stories that they
nies. 11
To mitigate these two concerns and assess the external validity of the event study re-
sults, I use an alternative fake news sample in which I classify all of the articles published
by 121 “low-credibility” websites as fake news. These websites are compiled by fact-
10
Following Allcott and Gentzkow (2017), I analyze the overlap between the lists of rumors examined
by fact-checking organizations using the Szymkiewicz-Simpson overlap coefficient in the Internet Appendix
Table A2. The lack of a perfect overlap suggests that none of these lists is complete and other rumors have
likely been omitted from my sample.
11
Specifically, snopes.com fact-checks “whatever items the greatest number of readers are asking about
or searching for at any given time, without any partisan considerations.” The journalists at politifact.com
select the most newsworthy and significant claims from transcripts, speeches, news stories, press releases,
and campaign brochures; TV and social media; and statements submitted by readers. The website truthorfic-
tion.com focuses on “stories that are the most widely-circulated via social media.” Finally, factcheck.org
monitors the “factual accuracy of what is said by the president and top administration officials, as well as
congressional and party leaders,” and seeks to “devote an equal amount of time reviewing claims by Repub-
licans and Democrats.”
16
checkers, journalists, and academics who identify those sites as publishing almost exclu-
sively fabricated and unsubstantiated stories. Thus, the attribution of “fakeness” is not at
the level of the story but at that of the publisher. Although this identification strategy has
been widely used in prior research (Lazer et al. 2018, Bovet and Makse 2019, Grinberg et
al. 2019), it suffers from various limitations: (i) some low-credibility websites print a mix
of factual and false articles and thus not all articles are, for sure, “fake”; (ii) there could be
fake news not published on these 121 websites; and (iii) it is difficult to trace the ensuring
companies’ actions following the fake news and to analyze the content of fake news as the
Nonetheless, this alternative identification still serves the purpose of addressing the
my main analysis. I retrieve all articles about S&P 500 companies published by these low-
credibility websites using the Hoaxy API, following a process similar to the one described
in Section 2.1. This alternative sample includes 49,144 fake articles related to 375 S&P
500 companies from July 2016 to December 2019. Thus, using this alternative sample,
about 63% (375/595 ≈ 63%) of the sample firms are the subject of articles published by
low-credibility websites.
Chapter 3: Characteristics of Target Companies
What types of companies are more likely to be the target of fake news? To address this
question, it is useful to understand the motives of fake news producers for targeting com-
panies. While it is difficult to verify fake news producers’ identities and their true intents
as most online users stay anonymous, prior literature suggests two main motivations for
providing fake news (Allcott and Gentzkow 2017). The first motivation is ideological: In-
ternet trolls attribute a higher psychological utility if their fabricated views are credulously
circulated by many Internet users. For example, the fake news about Starbucks illustrated
in Section 2.2 was created maliciously by Internet trolls to promote negative sentiment
about the company. The second motivation is pecuniary, and three types of fake news pro-
ducers are likely to seek pecuniary benefits: First, fake news producers establish websites
that print fabricated articles to draw advertising revenue when users click through to the
original sites. Second, fake news producers engage in stock price manipulation schemes
(e.g., Allen and Gale 1992, Leuz et al. 2017). There are some documented instances where
short sellers spread misinformation about the firm’s poor prospects seeking pecuniary ben-
efits from the well-calibrated con.12 Third, companies can gain benefits from spreading
adverse fake news about their competitors. For example, in March 2007, Procter & Gamble
(NYSE: PG) won a jury award of $19.25 million in a civil lawsuit filed against four former
Amway distributors accused of spreading false rumors linking the company to Satanism to
12
For example, in September 2018, the SEC filed charges against a hedge fund advisor and his invest-
ment advisory firm for illegally issuing false information to lower the price of Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc.
(NASDAQ: LGND) after taking a short position. See the SEC’s press release:
https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2018-190.
17
18
tions together. First, I conjecture that visible firms that are large and profitable with large
numbers of employees and advertising expenditures are likely targets of fake news because
they have broad readership appeal and therefore better serve the fake news providers’ ide-
ological and pecuniary purposes. Second, I expect that target firms have higher short inter-
ests as short-sellers can engage in price manipulation by spreading false rumors about the
poor prospects of the firm. Lastly, I predict that firms in highly competitive industries
I employ both univariate and probit analyses to empirically test these predictions. I
consider a vector of firm characteristics that could affect a firm’s likelihood of being tar-
geted by fake news (variable definitions are in the Appendix). The unit of analysis is at the
firm-quarter level because the majority of these firm characteristics are observable at a
quarterly frequency. Table 2, Panel A reports the summary statistics of the target firms’
characteristics in the quarter before they were targeted (columns 1 to 3) and those of the
S&P 500 companies that were never targeted during the sample period (columns 4 to 6),
with differences in these characteristics and their statistical significance (columns 7 to 9). 13
In Panel B, I present the results using a probit regression to identify the partial effects of
all covariates: in column 1, the dependent variable equals one if the firm was targeted at
least once by fake news during the sample period, and zero otherwise; in column 2, the
13
I report the t-statistics for the differences in mean and the Wilcoxon signed-rank statistic (which is
asymptotically normal) for the differences in medians. Given that the distributions of many of the variables
display fat tails and skewness, the Wilcoxon statistic, which is less influenced by extreme observations,
serves as a robustness check.
19
dependent variable equals one if the firm was targeted in the current quarter, and zero oth-
erwise. 14 In discussing the statistics, I use a conservative approach and say that the differ-
ence between the target and non-target firms is significant only if both of these criteria are
met: first, the t-statistic and Wilcoxon statistic in Table 2, Panel B indicate a two-tail sig-
nificance of at least 10%; second, the t-statistics in Table 2, Panel C remain significant at
Both the univariate and probit results suggest that target firms are significantly larger
and more profitable with higher numbers of employees and advertisement expenditures.
The pooled average (median) firm size (ASSETS) of target firms is $92.7 billion ($41.4
billion) in assets, versus $54.0 billion ($17.3 billion) for non-target firms. Target firms have
statistically higher return on assets (ROA) (0.021 versus 0.015), and lower book-to-market
ratio (BTM) (0.294 versus 0.425).15 Target companies have, on average, 127 thousand em-
ployees (EMPLOYEES), which is 88 thousand more than non-target firms. At target firms,
the average annual total advertising expenses-to-sales ratio (ADVERTISING) is 0.036 (cor-
responding to annual advertising spending of $1.4 billion), versus 0.011 for non-target
firms (equivalent to annual advertising spending of $0.2 billion). 16 All of these differences
suggest that the purpose of fake news is to attract a large set of Internet users.
14
In robustness checks, I obtain similar results when including year-quarter fixed effects to account for
potential seasonality in the fake news and an indicator of whether the company is in the retail industry with
a Fama-French 12 industry code of 1 or 9. These results are available upon request.
15
Interestingly, my evidence contrasts with that of Clarke et al. (2020) and Kogan, Moskowitz, and
Niessner (2019), who examine the SEC crackdown on stock promotion schemes in April 2017 and find that
fake news is more likely to target smaller and less profitable firms. However, their studies focus on fake
articles written by commentators who are hired by the companies to raise stock prices. Thus, it is not surpris-
ing that smaller and less profitable firms are prone to generate bullish articles under the guise of impartiality
and independence.
16
Internet Appendix Table A3 reports the industry composition of target and non-target S&P 500 firms
using the Fama-French 12 industries. The result suggests that target firms have a greater concentration in
wholesale, retail, and consumer nondurable industry categories, while they are underrepresented in finance
and utility industries. This result is consistent with my conjecture that fake news producers are more likely
to spread false rumors about consumer brands that have large advertising expenditures.
20
Next, I test whether the demand for shorting targets of fake news increases in the quar-
ter prior to the fake news. Empirically, the level of short interest could reflect both supply
and demand of short-selling. To isolate the demand for short-selling, I control the supply
of shares available for short selling. I exploit a database on equity lending from Markit,
which includes daily data for both the number of shares lendable (a proxy for the supply
of shares available for short selling) and the number of shares on loan (a proxy for shorting
activity). Using the data from Markit, I calculate the short utilization ratio (SHORTINT):
the number of shares on loan divided by the number of shares lendable. By dividing by
shares lendable, SHORTINT accounts for the supply of shares available for shorting. How-
ever, the result in column 2 of Panel B suggests that short interests do not significantly
Then, I examine whether industry competition increases the likelihood of a firm being
a target of fake news. I measure industry competition using the Herfindahl-Hirschman in-
dex (HHI), which is well-grounded in industrial organization theory (see Tirole 1988). HHI
is defined as the sum of squared market shares in an industry-quarter, where market shares
are computed from Compustat based on firms’ sales, and the industry classification follows
the SIC three-digit code. A higher HHI implies weaker competition. However, both uni-
variate and probit results provide no evidence that firms in more competitive industries are
Lastly, I want to point out two interesting observations from the probit results. First, I
find that target firms have lower CSR ratings. Companies with low CSR scores are ideal
targets of fake news because they are often perceived negatively among investors (Lins,
Servaes, and Tamayo 2017). As a result, readers are more likely to fall prey to negative
21
and emotional fake stories. Fake-news producers deliberately use fabricated negative sto-
ries to trigger public fear and anger, agitate their followers, and induce their content to be
shared more readily (Bakir and McStay 2017). The results in columns 3 and 4 further sup-
port the argument that firms with low CSR ratings are likely to trigger negative fake sto-
ries—firms with low CSR ratings are significantly correlated with negative fake news but
are insignificantly related to positive fake news, where the tone of the fake news is classi-
fied based on whether the fake news is to praise or disparage a company. Second, I find
that fake news is significantly more likely to target firms that have been affected by fake
indicate whether the company has been targeted by fake news in the previous quarters. The
firms that have been previously targeted are 1.2% more likely to be targeted by fake news
The above results show that firms that are visible, have a low social responsibility, and
exhibit histories of being targets of fake news are more susceptible to fake news. However,
the characteristics of target firms documented by previous analyses can be biased since
these characteristics can also relate to the likelihood that a firm is examined by a fact-
tions also tend to cover firms that are visible, have low social responsibility ratings, and
have been previously targeted by fake news. To mitigate such concern, I re-estimate the
probit regressions in an alternative sample where I identify fake news as all articles pub-
lished by 121 low-credibility websites (see the discussions in Section 2.3). Columns 1 to 3
of the Internet Appendix Table A4 show that these results are generally consistent with my
22
previous findings. In column 4, I further explore which firm characteristics determine the
spreading of fake news. I use the total number of tweets about fake news articles published
in a given quarter as a measure of the spreading of fake news. I find that Internet users are
more likely to rebroadcast fake news about visible and relatively illiquid firms. 17 Interest-
ingly, I also find that fake news articles about Democratic firms are more virally shared
than those about Republican firms, where a firm’s political leaning is defined based on its
This finding is consistent with Allcott and Gentzkow (2016), where they document that the
average anti-Clinton fake article is more frequently shared than the anti-Trump fake article
prior to the 2016 presidential election. Possibly, the marked decline of trust in the main-
stream media among Republicans (Brenan 2020) could have increased their relative de-
mand for anti-Democratic news from nontraditional sources, as could a perception that the
17
Specifically, these firms are larger in size (LOG_ASSETS), more profitable (ROA), have higher num-
bers of employees (LOG(EMPLOYEES)) and advertising expenditures (ADVERTISING), share larger media
(LOG(1 + NEWS) and analyst coverages (LOG(1 + ANALYSTS)), and have higher bid-ask spreads (BIDASK).
18
I thank Irena Hutton, Danling Jiang, and Alok Kumar for generously providing the code to calculate
the firm-level political preference as in Hutton, Jiang, and Kumar (2014).
Chapter 4: Consequences of Fake News on Capital Markets
examining the event-day stock market reaction to fake news. I test the impact of fake news
on stock prices and trading volume using an event study approach. The event day is defined
as the trading day when the fake news started to spread (or the first trading day following
the occurrence of the fake news if it occurred on a non-trading day). To avoid the con-
founding effect of concurrent news, whenever important corporate news (as reflected in
10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K filings obtained from EDGAR and press releases obtained from Rav-
enPack database) occurs from day –1 to day +1 around fake news, the events are eliminated
from the sample. Finally, I require a gap of five days between every two events for a com-
pany to avoid overlapping event windows for adjacent events. These criteria yield a final
sample of 176 fake news events from July 2016 to December 2019.
I start by assessing the effect of fake news on stock prices. To calculate the abnormal
return, I follow the standard event study approach and assume a single-factor model, where
beta is estimated over the [–100, –41] window preceding the corporate fake news event
date, and I require a minimum number of 40 non-missing return observations within the
estimation window. I obtain virtually identical results using the market-adjusted model and
Fama and French’s (1993) three-factors model. Thus, I only present results from the market
model. Panel A in Table 3 shows the time series of abnormal returns for the 11 trading days
around fake news. I report the mean and median abnormal returns and the number of pos-
itive and negative abnormal returns for each of the trading days. Panel A indicates a nega-
tive and significant share price adjustment associated with the unexpected fake news event
23
24
on day zero. The average (median) abnormal return on the event day is –0.184% (–0.180%).
The direction of the price movement suggests that the average fake news is negative. In
particular, 104 out of 176 events (59%) are associated with negative stock price reactions
In the Internet Appendix Table A5, I test how the tone of fake news is associated with
the direction of the stock price movement. I classify the fake news into “positive” (11
claims), “neutral” (32 claims), and “negative” (133 claims), based on whether the fake
news praises or disparages a company. The result indicates that “negative” fake news sig-
2.291). The price reaction to “positive” fake news is positive but, given the paucity of data,
Next, I investigate the effect of fake news on trading volume. An increase in trading
volume likely suggests that either investors are subject to different information sets (i.e.,
only a subset of investors are exposed to the fake news), or they differ in the way that they
interpret the fake news. I measure abnormal trading volume as the difference between the
log turnover of the firm and its average log turnover over the [–100, –41] window prior to
the event, where the stock turnover is the percentage of outstanding shares traded on a
given day. Some, albeit limited, evidence exists that the fake news events trigger the posi-
tive abnormal stock turnover. Panel B reveals that, although the abnormal turnover on the
event day is not statistically different from zero, the number of positive to negative abnor-
mal turnover increases on the event day (0.87), relative to the day before (0.64) and after
The result in Table 2, Panel B suggests that fake news is more likely to target firms
that have been targeted in the previous quarters. Further market value losses can occur
fake news about the firm’s past and future earnings, asset values, and management. This
subsection, therefore, examines the cumulative loss in market value over relatively longer
time windows.
I estimate the cumulative abnormal return by summing the daily abnormal returns over
the [+2, +30] and [+2, +60] windows following the fake news. The daily abnormal return
is calculated using Carhart’s (1997) model where beta is estimated over the [–100, –41]
window preceding the corporate fake news event date, and I require a minimum number of
40 non-missing return observations within the estimation window. One concern is that if
firms with low returns in the past are more likely to be targeted by fake news, such firms
will often have negative abnormal returns during the subsequent months due to the mo-
mentum anomaly. However, as Carhart’s (1997) model uses a momentum factor that re-
lates to the stock performance in the long run, it helps cleanly estimate the impact of fake
news over a long window. The results in Panel A of Table 4 suggest that the average loss
in abnormal returns accumulates to over 1.1% in the 30 trading days and 3.1% in the 60
I further estimate the cumulative impact of fake news on stock returns by comparing
the firms affected by fake news with a group of propensity score-matched firms unaffected
by fake news. This approach mitigates the concern that the treatment of fake news is non-
26
random, and in turn, it improves precision and better isolates the treatment effect. In par-
ticular, I form one-to-one matched pairs from the same Fama-French 49 industry group
based on the determinants of fake news (i.e., firm size, return on assets, book-to-market
ratio, log number of employees, advertising expenditure, and CSR score) in the quarter
prior to the fake news event. I also include the same set of fake news determinants in the
regression to factor in any possible differences between the treatment and the control firms.
The results in Panel B of Table 4 suggest that the impact of fake news significantly lingers
over in the 30 and 60 trading days following the fake news. The point estimates on the
variable of interest (TREAT) in both columns are statistically significant at least at the 10%
level. The cumulative effect of fake news is economically sizeable—the effect translates
to a 1.8% loss in market value in the 30 trading days following the fake news crisis and a
5.8% loss in the 60 trading days following the fake news crisis relative to fundamentally
4.3.1 Contemporaneous Relation Between Fake News Coverage and Trading Activity
To mitigate the concern of potential selection bias discussed in Section 2.3 and to as-
sess the external validity of the event study results, I use an alternative sample that contains
49,144 articles published by 121 low-credibility websites for 375 S&P 500 firms from July
2016 to December 2019. However, this alternative sample does not allow me to identify
fake news at the event level because the Hoaxy does not assign event IDs to its articles, nor
can I analyze the content as the original articles are often deleted. As a result, I use the
number of low-credibility articles appearing on a given day, rather than the occurrence of
a fake news event, as a proxy for fake news coverage. In other words, the observations are
27
on a firm-day level. Similar to the methodology of Tetlock (2011), my test assesses the
contemporaneous relation between the daily fake news coverage and stock market trading
activity using ordinary least squares (OLS) regressions. Specifically, I estimate the follow-
ing model:
The dependent variable is either abnormal stock return (ABRETi,t) or abnormal turno-
ver (ABTURNi,t). I calculate ABRETi,t using firm i’s raw return on trading day t minus the
return on the CRSP value-weighted index. 19 The abnormal trading volume measure (AB-
TURNi,t) is firm i’s log turnover on trading day t minus its average log turnover on days t
number of low-credibility articles that contain firm i’s name in the title published on day t.
I retrieve precise timestamp data from the Hoaxy to exclude articles that occur after 3:30
pm on day zero. This step ensures that traders have at least 30 minutes to digest and decide
whether to trade on misinformation before the market closes. The regressions only include
firm-day observations with at least five fake news articles on each day because fake news
coverage with low frequency is likely “noise.” For example, some low-credibility websites
publish one or two articles occasionally summarizing the stock performance of a company,
which should not be considered fake news. In all regressions, I include several standard
control variables to assess whether the fake news coverage affects stock returns and trading
volume above and beyond already-known sources. 20 Finally, I cluster the standard errors
19
The use of more sophisticated benchmarks has little impact on the results because the simple market
adjustment captures much of firms’ systematic returns and because the vast majority of returns in firm-spe-
cific news events are not explained by traditional risk factors (Tetlock 2011). Furthermore, all of the tests
presented below include firm size as an independent variable, which captures the expected return premium
from market beta (Fama and French 1993).
20
These control variables are log size on day t – 1 (MKTCAPi,t – 1); cumulative market-adjusted returns
on days t – 5 to t – 1 (ABRETi,[–5, –1]); average market-adjusted volatility on days t – 5 to t – 1 (IDIOVOLATi,[–
28
at the trading day level to account for the correlations between firms’ stock returns within
Table 5 displays the results from estimating Regression (1). The main finding is that
fake news coverage is negatively associated with contemporaneous abnormal returns and
both Panels A and B are statistically significant at least at the 5% level. The effect of fake
fake news coverage is associated with a drop in daily abnormal return of 10.6 basis points
(–0.242% × 0.44 ≈ –0.106%) and a 77% increase in average daily abnormal turnover
One problem with assessing the contemporaneous relation between fake news cover-
age and trading activity is that it is difficult to identify which variable causes the other. To
address this concern, I examine whether the fake news coverage on day t – 1 predicts the
trading activity on day t. The results in column 2 of both panels show overall similar em-
pirical patterns to the contemporaneous tests. Specifically, I find the coefficient on FAKE-
COVi,t – 1 is negative but lacks statistical significance when predicting abnormal returns
(coefficient = –0.116, t-statistic = –1.514), and positive and statistically significant when
consistent with the instantaneous nature of price reactions and protracted nature of volume
reactions — unlike returns, daily trading volume is serially correlated, and an increase in
trading volume often lingers for several days (Bamber, Barron, and Stevens 2011). I also
5, –1]); the log of Amihud’s (2002) illiquidity measure averaged over days t – 5 to t – 1 (ILLIQi,[–5, –1]); and the
log of one plus the number of mainstream articles on day t (LOG (1 + NEWS)i,t). None of these controls
materially affect the results.
29
obtain similar and even stronger results when including day-of-the-week fixed effects and
Prior research suggests that the extent to which the media influences investors depends
on the diffusion of news reports and the credibility of a news source (Dyck, Volchkova,
for these predictions for two reasons: (i) this broader sample that includes 375 distinct S&P
500 firms provides enough variations in firm characteristics, and (ii) the Hoaxy provides
particular, I use the average number of tweets with links to low-credibility articles that
appeared on day t as a proxy for the diffusion of fake news and test whether the impact of
fake news is greater when it reaches a larger set of investors. Columns 3 and 5 report the
regression results for firms with small and large Twitter cascades using tercile cutoffs.
Collectively, these columns reveal that fake news coverage is significantly related to con-
temporaneous stock returns when the articles are virally shared but not when the articles
remain unnoticed. Furthermore, fake news coverage is associated with an increase in daily
abnormal turnover that is over four times larger when the Twitter cascades are large (coef-
ficient = 0.086, t-statistic = 3.253) than when the cascades are small (coefficient = 0.021,
t-statistic = 0.491).
I then assess whether the influence of fake news also depends on the availability of
credible information to investors. Fake news stories are less likely to be perceived as real
if investors can easily access credible sources of information about the firm. I posit that the
impact of corporate fake news on stock returns and trading volume is greater for firms with
30
a less transparent information environment (e.g., small firms) and higher retail investor
ownership as, in contrast to institutional investors, retail investors do not have access to
my sample into “small” firms and “large” firms according to whether the firm’s market
capitalization in the previous trading day was in the bottom or top tercile of firm size dis-
tribution, and in columns 7 and 8, I split the sample by institutional ownership. Together,
the results indicate that the impact of fake news is significantly greater among smaller firms
I investigate the reasons that investors trade on fake news. First, if the return patterns
represent mispricing due to various cognitive, social, and algorithmic biases, then fake
news should have a stronger impact on stock returns in firms with large impediments to
arbitrage. To test this prediction, I split the alternative sample according to two commonly
used arbitrage cost measures: idiosyncratic volatility and illiquidity and estimate Regres-
sion (1) in each sub-sample. 21 I measure idiosyncratic volatility by calculating the mar-
ket-adjusted volatility over the prior week. The illiquidity measure is the prior week’s av-
erage log daily Amihud (2002) illiquidity measure. In columns 9 to 12 of Table 5, Panel A,
I find that the effect of fake news on contemporaneous abnormal returns is statistically
significant for firms with high idiosyncratic volatility (coefficient = –0.438, t-statistic = –
2.176) and those with high illiquidity (coefficient = –0.455, t-statistic = –2.084). However,
21
Shleifer and Vishny (1997) argue that the risk associated with the volatility of arbitrage returns deters
arbitrage activity. Roll, Schwartz, and Subrahmanyam (2007) present empirical evidence that violation of
no-arbitrage relation is related to liquidity because liquidity facilitates arbitrage.
31
fake news only has a small and marginal impact on firms that have low idiosyncratic vol-
atility or that have low illiquidity. The evidence is consistent with a limit-to-arbitrage view
in which boundedly rational retail investors generate the mispricing and sophisticated in-
vestors are unable to fully arbitrage away mispricing due to transaction costs.
Second, the reduction in stock prices can reflect the present value of the firm’s future
loss in sales revenues associated with fake news. To examine this prediction, I compare the
change in sales or sales growth around the fake news event for target firms and a group of
Section 4.2 and thus is not repeated here. Specifically, I examine the following model:
The dependent variable is either 𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑖𝑖,𝑡𝑡 (defined as sales scaled by lagged assets)
or 𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆_𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝑖𝑖,𝑡𝑡 (defined as the growth rate of sales over the previous quarter).
𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖 is an indicator variable that equals one if the firm is affected by fake news (“treat-
ment”) and zero if the firm is in a propensity score-matched sample of unaffected firms
(“control”). 𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑡𝑡 is an indicator variable that equals one if t is in the quarter immediately
following the fake news and zero if t is in the quarter immediately preceding the fake news.
I include a vector of firm characteristics, 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝑖𝑖,𝑡𝑡 , that determine the targeting of fake
news, to restore the “randomness” of the treatment and improve the precision of the treat-
ment effect. I also include firm fixed effects, 𝜑𝜑𝑖𝑖 , to ensure that I estimate the impact of fake
news after controlling for any fixed differences between firms, and I also include year-
quarter fixed effects, 𝜐𝜐𝑡𝑡 , to account for any secular time trends. I cluster the standard errors
32
at the firm level. If fake news impairs sales or sales growth, I expect the coefficient of
Table 6 reports results from estimating Regression (2). The negative and statistically
after being attacked by fake news, both the level and the growth rate of target firms’ sales
decline. Economically, the sales of target firms are reduced by $55.8 million, and the
growth rate of sales drops by an average of 3.5%. Overall, the results in Table 6 imply that
the stock market reaction to fake news partially reflects the decrease in the present value
of future cash flows as fake news impairs a company’s sales revenue and sales growth.
Chapter 5: Companies’ Responses to Fake News
To examine the action that companies take to dispel false rumors, I start by showing
the frequency and type of companies’ voluntary responses to fake news. To do so, I conduct
the firm responds to the fake news, the date of such response, and the response channel. In
20% of the fake news—that is, 62 of the 315 false rumors in my sample (Panel A)—and
are more likely to respond to “negative” than “positive” fake news (Panel B), presumably
because fake news with negative undertones has the potential to trigger severe market out-
comes.
Social media has become a popular disclosure channel to contain corporate “crises”
because it allows a firm to directly and quickly reach a large network of stakeholders with
its intended message (Lee, Hutton, and Shu 2015). Consistent with this trend, Panel C
shows that companies respond to 48% of fake news through social media, followed by
mainstream media (29%), blogs (11%), and company websites (11%). Panel D shows that,
on average, a company responds to fake news on social media in only 0.9 days, confirming
stakeholders. In contrast, companies spend 53.4 days on average to respond through main-
stream media, perhaps reflecting the slower nature of the journalistic process.
33
34
I then probe deeper into which fake news is more likely to trigger corporate responses.
Table 8 reports results from probit analyses of the determinants of corporate responses. As
a main dependent variable, I use an indicator variable that equals one if the company re-
sponds to the fake news (RESPONSE). All regressions include a set of determinants of fake
In column 1, I test whether companies are more likely to respond to fake news with a
more severe event-day market outcome (ABRET). The negative and statistically significant
coefficient on ABRET suggests that companies are significantly more likely to respond to
fake news with a more negative abnormal return on the event day. In column 2, I include
the event day is negative. I find that companies are approximately 10% more likely to re-
spond to “negative” fake news than “non-negative” fake news, consistent with the results
in Panel B of Table 6 that companies respond disproportionally more to fake news with
“negative” undertones.
Column 3 shows how the likelihood of companies’ responses varies with the content
of fake news. I include a set of indicator variables capturing the different categories of fake
news content. 22 The intercept of the regression is suppressed because of the full span of the
indicator variables. Thus, all the coefficients on the indicator variables can be interpreted
as the average effect on the likelihood of corporate responses of one particular content
category. The result in column 3 suggests that employee-related content significantly trig-
I group false claims that do not fall into “products and services,” “human rights,” “operations,” or
22
“employees” categories into one category, OTHER_CATEGORIES, because of their low frequency.
35
PRODUCTS_SERVICES also remains large, although the estimate is not statistically dis-
Finally, I examine the role of the source of fake news in predicting the likelihood of
corporate responses. Accordingly, I include a set of indicator variables that capture differ-
ent sources of fake news, and the intercept of the regression is suppressed to facilitate the
interaction of the coefficients on the indicator variables. 23 The result in column 4 demon-
strates that fake news from blogs significantly triggers corporate responses (coefficient =
2.316, t-statistic = 1.769). I also find that the coefficient on SOCIAL_MEDIA is of similar
magnitude and close to statistically significance at the 10% level (coefficient = 2.287, t-
statistic = 1.556). In column 5, I further explore whether the channel that companies adopt
to respond to fake news is contingent upon the source of fake news. Specifically, I use a
dependent variable that indicates whether a company responds through social media (RE-
SPONSE_SOCIAL) and find that companies are significantly more likely to clarify false
rumors through social media if the rumor also originates from it. This finding likely sup-
ports one important advantage of social media: it allows companies to engage in direct
online dialogues with their stakeholders (Lee, Hutton, and Shu 2015).
In the Internet Appendix Table A6, I also examine which firm characteristics deter-
mine the corporate responses to fake news using both univariate and probit analyses. I
focus only on firms that were targeted by fake news. The analysis framework is similar to
examining the characteristics of target firms in Section 3 and thus is not repeated here.
Several features are noteworthy. First, target firms with high stock returns and large trading
volumes are more likely to respond. Second, target firms with a low industry Herfindahl-
23
I group false claims that do not originate from “social media,” “low-credibility websites,” or “blogs”
into one category, OTHER_SOURCES, because of their low frequency.
36
Hirschman index tend to respond to fake news, possibly because the consequence of not
dispelling false rumors is more severe in a competitive business environment. Lastly, rel-
ative to Republican target firms, Democratic firms are more likely to respond to fake news.
A question that remains is how fact-checking from companies and third parties suc-
ceeds in containing fake news crises. It could appear obvious that corporate disclosures
and fact-checking organizations help correct the misperception and that, as a result, their
actions mitigate the impact of fake news. However, corrections also lead people to accept
corrected information without changing their attitudes toward the underlying company,
creating “belief echoes,” and even enhance their misperceptions (e.g., Nyhan and Reifler
2010, Thorson 2016, Nyhan et al. 2019). Likewise, fact checks can be limited in their reach
due to selective exposure; for example, they may not reach investors who are most exposed
being attacked again by fake news. In column 1 of Table 9, I use a probit model in which
the dependent variable (ATTACK) is an indicator that equals one if the company is attacked
again by fake news over the [+30, +60] window following the first attack, and zero other-
the company responds to the fake news event within 30 days and zero otherwise. In column
2, I control for the severity of the fake news, as measured by the abnormal return on the
event day (ABRET) as well as a set of firm characteristics. I find negative and statistically
significant coefficients of interest in both columns, suggesting that the company’s response
37
is significantly associated with a lower probability of being attacked again by fake news.
I then test whether a prompt corporate response succeeds in lessening the impact of
corporate fake news. Column 3 regresses long-term cumulative abnormal returns over the
[+2, +60] window following the event date (4FCAR[+2, +60], a proxy for corporate rep-
utation) on the number of days that a firm takes to respond (RESPONSE_TIME). I find that
a prompt firm response significantly attenuates the negative impact of fake news on long-
term firm value. The point estimate on RESPONSE_TIME is –0.031 and statistically sig-
nificant at the 1% level (t-statistic = –3.883). In column 4, I include the same set of control
(t-statistic = –2.322). Together, the evidence suggests that target companies that stop the
fake news at its origin succeed in altering investors’ negative perceptions and lessening the
damage of the fake news. Economically, responding to fake news one day sooner corre-
sponds to a smaller reduction in cumulative abnormal returns over the [+2, +60] window
number of days between the start of the fake news and the publication date of the fact-
checking article. If the fake news is fact-checked by multiple organizations, the earliest
publication date is used. In column 6, I add the measure for the severity of the fake news
and the set of firm characteristics. The results in both columns suggest that fact-checking
by fake news, which is consistent with the findings of the prior literature that questions the
Using a novel and comprehensive data set of corporate-related fake news, this study
is the first to provide evidence of the determinants and consequences of the spread of fake
news about corporations as well as firms’ responses. I find that social media has become a
breeding ground for corporate fake news. Likely victims include companies that are visible,
perceived as socially irresponsible, and have been previously attacked by fake news. My
evidence also suggests that corporate fake news distorts stock prices, and the distortion in
stock prices can be explained by both mispricing and a reduction of future sales associated
with fake news. Finally, voluntary disclosures serve as a potential antidote to fake news
because companies that take immediate action in redressing fake news reduce the chance
of future attacks and succeed in lessening the damage to their market value.
This study should be of interest to regulators, business leaders, and investor commu-
nities. Major social media platforms have introduced various features to help social media
users discern fake content. For example, Facebook removes fake news sites from its adver-
tising platform and partners with fact-checkers to flag suspicious posts. Twitter has systems
for reporting accounts that attempt to impersonate a brand. Still, more action is needed to
combat corporate fake news. Regulators should adopt effective tools to prevent and detect
it, and business leaders need to closely monitor increasingly varied threats on social media
and stop fake news at its origin. My research also intends to increase investors’ awareness
39
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Figure 1: Time-Series Statistics of Corporate Fake News
This figure shows the time-series statistics of corporate fake news. Corporate fake news is defined as the
corporate rumors identified as “false” by five independent fact-checking organizations (snopes.com, politi-
fact.com, truthorfiction.com, hoax-slayer.net, and factcheck.org). Panel A presents the counts of false rumors
by calendar year-quarter. Panel B presents a frequency distribution of false rumors by each quarter of the
year. Panel C presents a frequency distribution of false rumors by each month of the year.
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48
49
Panel B: Determinants of the Likelihood of Being Targeted by Fake News: Probit Analysis
Dependent Variables: Indicator of Indicator of Being Targeted in the Current Quarter
Being Tar-
geted
All All Positive Negative All
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
LOG(ASSETS) 0.405*** 0.479*** 0.356*** 0.456*** 0.349***
(4.510) (4.541) (3.519) (3.742) (3.863)
[3.516] [0.842] [0.137] [0.657] [0.574]
ROA 7.275** 11.131*** 11.616*** 11.266*** 8.306***
(2.202) (3.004) (2.719) (2.883) (2.688)
[0.014] [0.004] [0.001] [0.004] [0.003]
RET –0.503** 0.008 –0.908** 0.435 –0.070
(–2.323) (0.024) (–2.481) (0.960) (–0.217)
[–0.041] [0.000] [–0.003] [0.006] [–0.001]
BTM –1.380*** –1.375*** –1.475*** –1.164*** –1.038***
(–3.736) (–4.410) (–3.865) (–3.464) (–3.771)
[–0.789] [–0.159] [–0.037] [–0.111] [–0.113]
VOLATILITY –0.124 –0.147 –0.188 –0.213 –0.169
(–0.826) (–0.801) (–0.763) (–1.077) (–1.016)
[–0.255] [–0.061] [–0.017] [–0.073] [–0.066]
LOG(0.00255 + TURNO-
VER) 0.499** 0.570*** 0.676*** 0.609** 0.492***
(2.198) (2.644) (2.646) (2.542) (2.638)
[0.683] [0.158] [0.041] [0.139] [0.128]
BIDASK 6.397 1.703 –8.820 3.965 –1.092
(1.128) (0.383) (–1.135) (0.957) (–0.355)
[0.008] [0.000] [–0.000] [0.001] [–0.000]
LOG(EMPLOYEES) 0.317*** 0.155* 0.104 0.167* 0.126*
(3.091) (1.769) (0.961) (1.745) (1.827)
[3.257] [0.323] [0.047] [0.286] [0.245]
ADVERTISING 14.118*** 9.746*** 8.193*** 8.916*** 6.794***
(4.876) (4.473) (3.658) (3.785) (3.797)
[0.045] [0.006] [0.001] [0.005] [0.004]
LOG(1 + NEWS) 0.074 0.067 0.279** 0.044 0.029
(0.720) (0.521) (1.994) (0.311) (0.287)
[0.529] [0.097] [0.088] [0.053] [0.039]
CSR –0.237*** –0.175*** –0.047 –0.202*** –0.157***
(–3.059) (–2.986) (–0.825) (–3.607) (–2.910)
[–0.921] [–0.138] [–0.008] [–0.130] [–0.116]
SHORTINT –0.063 0.349 0.489 –0.076 0.524
(–0.069) (0.552) (0.715) (–0.119) (1.024)
[–0.005] [0.005] [0.002] [–0.001] [0.007]
LOG(1 + ANALYSTS) 0.096 0.037 –0.053 0.010 –0.025
(1.106) (0.277) (–0.315) (0.075) (–0.192)
[0.201] [0.016] [–0.005] [0.004] [–0.010]
HHI 0.465 0.127 0.133 –0.137 –0.061
(1.376) (0.486) (0.518) (–0.466) (–0.264)
[0.193] [0.011] [0.002] [–0.009] [–0.005]
REPUBLICAN 0.052 –0.413 –0.115 –0.559 –0.034
(0.097) (–0.861) (–0.268) (–1.143) (–0.089)
[0.006] [–0.009] [–0.001] [–0.010] [–0.001]
PAST_TARGET 1.260***
(7.596)
[1.167]
Constant Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
50
53
Adjusted R-squared 0.004 0.006 0.032 0.018 0.014 0.008 0.015 0.003
Continued: Idiosyncratic Volatility Illiquidity
Low High Low High
(9) (10) (11) (12)
FAKECOVi,t –0.151* –0.438** –0.228* –0.455**
(–1.685) (–2.176) (–1.737) (–2.084)
MKTCAPi,t – 1 0.009 0.171 –0.162 –0.272**
(0.095) (0.896) (–1.031) (–2.364)
ABRETi,[–5, –1] –0.033 –0.021 –0.008 –0.028
(–0.922) (–0.557) (–0.479) (–0.660)
IDIOVOLATi,[–5, –1] 0.124 0.029 –0.088 0.021
(0.376) (0.251) (–1.558) (0.197)
ILLIQi,[–5, –1] –0.061 0.259 0.000 0.174
(–0.625) (0.868) (0.002) (0.428)
LOG(1 + NEWS)i,t –0.190 0.082 0.082 –0.252
(–1.038) (0.521) (0.782) (–0.960)
54
Panel B: Relating Abnormal Turnovers to Fake News Coverage
Dependent Variable: ABTURNi,t
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56
Probit OLS
Dependent Variables: ATTACK 4FCAR[+2, +60]
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
RESPONSE_30DAYS –0.613* –0.556*
(–1.760) (–1.670)
[ –21.635] [–19.143]
RESPONSE_TIME –0.031*** –0.039**
(–3.883) (–2.322)
DEBUNK_TIME –0.009 –0.005
(–0.659) (–0.383)
ABRET 0.074 –0.013 2.093
(1.037) (–0.005) (1.522)
LOG(ASSETS) 0.185 0.897 1.669
(1.119) (0.284) (1.221)
ROA 14.103 25.867 229.218**
(1.472) (0.172) (2.548)
BTM 0.081 9.388 26.204***
(0.100) (0.544) (3.646)
LOG(EMPLOYEES) –0.124 1.633 0.065
(–1.023) (0.570) (0.069)
ADVERTISING 3.353 1.690 16.577
(0.571) (0.011) (0.369)
60
CSR –0.191 –15.667*** –2.130
(–1.066) (–4.097) (–1.607)
Constant Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
N 176 176 35 35 176 176
Pseudo/Adjusted R-squared 0.022 0.066 0.017 0.031 0.005 0.168
61
Appendix A: An Example of a Fact-Checking Article
I present screenshots of a fact-checking organization’s (i.e., snopes.com) examination of a corporate rumor
about Starbucks. The corporate rumor is “a woman named Shanell Rivers put blood and dog feces into various
products at a Starbucks in Atlanta.” Panel A shows snopes.com’s analysis of the rumor origin, and Panel B shows its
analyses of Starbucks’ voluntary responses to the rumor.
The controversy started on Sunday night after a user on the section of 4chan
posted a screenshot purportedly showing a Facebook post from a “Shanell Rivers”
in which she described various disgusting things she allegedly did to Starbucks
products:
62
63
When Starbucks responded to the controversy they said that they did not employ
a woman named “Shanell Rivers” and that these posts were “created mali-
ciously”:
The post was most likely made up. There’s no evidence that these acts were actu-
ally carried out at a Starbucks in Atlanta and the store stated that they do not
employ a woman by this name
64
ASSETS Total assets in the most current quarterly financial statement reported prior to quar-
ter t (source: Compustat fundamental quarterly file).
ROA Ratio of earnings before extraordinary items to lagged total assets in most current
quarterly financial statement reported prior to quarter t (source: Compustat funda-
mental quarterly file).
RET Cumulative daily stock returns over quarter t – 1 (source: CRSP daily stock file).
BTM Book value of a firm’s common equity divided by the market value of the firm’s
equity (sources: Compustat fundamental quarterly file and CRSP daily stock file).
BTM is measured using the most current quarterly financial statement reported prior
to quarter t. I set BTM as missing if the value of book equity is negative.
VOLATILITY Standard deviation of daily stock returns over quarter t – 1 (source: CRSP daily
stock file). I follow Shumway (1997) and adjust stock returns for delisting based on
the reason the stock was delisted.
TURNOVER Average daily stock turnover over quarter t – 1. The daily stock turnover is calcu-
lated as the ratio of trading volume to the number of shares outstanding (source:
CRSP daily stock file).
BIDASK I use daily closing bid and ask data to calculate 100 × (bid – ask)/[(bid + ask)/2] and
then average one quarter’s worth of daily data over quarter t – 1 (source: CRSP daily
stock file).
ADVERTISING Ratio between advertisement expense and sales in the most current annual financial
statement reported prior to quarter t. I set advertisement expenditure to zero if it is
missing in Compustat fundamental annual file.
EMPLOYEES Number of people employed by a company and its consolidated subsidiaries in the
most current annual financial statement reported prior to quarter t (represented in
thousands). Data are from Compustat fundamental annual file.
NEWS Number of mainstream media articles in quarter t – 1 (source: RavenPack Dow
Jones Edition). I only include full-length news articles with a relevance score of 100,
which indicates that a firm plays a key role in the news story and is considered highly
relevant to the underlying story. I set NEWS to zero if it is missing in RavenPack.
CSR Sum of (#strengths – #concerns) over seven categories: community, diversity, em-
ployee relations, environment, human rights, product, and corporate governance
(source: MSCI ESG Stats). #strengths (#concerns) is the number of strengths (con-
cerns) for each category divided by the maximum number of strengths (concerns)
possible for that category-year. #strengths (#concerns) is measured using the most
current CSR information prior to quarter t.
SHORTINT Number of shares held short in each firm-month scaled by the firm’s total number
of shares outstanding (source: Compustat supplemental short interest file). I average
these monthly numbers over quarter t – 1.
ANALYSTS Number of analysts following a firm in quarter t – 1. For firm-quarters with no ana-
lysts in I/B/E/S, I set ANALYSTS to zero. I only include analysts who issue at least
one forecast 90 days before the earnings announcement date.
HHI Industry Herfindahl-Hirschman index is measured as the sum of squared market
shares in an industry-quarter. Market shares are computed from Compustat funda-
mental quarterly files based on a firms’ sales. Industry classification is based on
three-digit SIC code.
REPUBLICAN Ratio of the company’s political action committee (PAC) contributions to Republi-
can candidates over the company’s total PAC contributions to both Republican and
Democratic candidates. REPUBLICAN is measured using the most current year
prior to quarter t. The data on PAC contributions come from the Federal Election
Commission’s (FEC) website (www.fec.gov). I set REPUBLICAN to 0.5 if data is
missing on the FEC website.
PAST_TARGET An indicator of one if the company has been targeted by fake news in the previous
quarter, and zero otherwise.
Internet Appendix to:
In the Internet Appendix, I present additional evidence to support the findings of this
paper. In Table A1, I show my methodology of classifying the fake news content into nine
cient between the lists of rumors examined by fact-checking organizations. In Table A3, I
show the industry concentration of target firms and non-target S&P firms. Table A4 pre-
sents the results from examining which firm characteristics determine the targeting and
spreading of fake news in an alternative sample. In Table A5, I present the result from
estimating the relation between abnormal return on the event day and the tone of fake news.
Table A6 shows results from examining which firm characteristics determine corporate
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66
Community
Local economic and social infrastructure development (healthcare, education, public facilities, and trans-
portation);
Support for or discrimination against the military (veterans) or police.
Employees
Union relations;
Health and safety of a firm’s employees;
Firing and hiring employees (top executives and board of directors are not included);
Compensation of employees (if the article is about the CEO-employee pay ratio, then it belongs to the
governance category).
Environment
Climate change, natural resources, and pollution and waste.
Governance
Compensation practices (equity ownership) of top executives and board of directors;
Change of top executives and board of directors;
Misconduct or controversial manners of top executives and board of directors;
Accounting quality (fraud).
Human rights
Support for or discrimination against LGBT, racial and ethnic minorities, refugees and migrants, persons
with a disability, women, children, freedom of religion, freedom of expression, and censorship;
Involvement in human rights-related legal cases; widespread or egregious complicity in killings, physi-
cal abuse, or violation of other rights; resistance to improved practices; operations in countries with poor
human rights records; criticism by NGOs or other third-party observers;
Operations:
Mergers and acquisitions;
Earnings, sales, tax, and stock performance;
Business operations (opening and closing plants; changing business locations or headquarters; opera-
tional plans; competitors; bankruptcy).
Products and services
Product or service safety and quality (product recall; third-party ratings or criticism on products);
Marketing and advertising (false or improper marketing or advertising; marketing targeted at disadvan-
taged groups);
Customer relations (involvement in customer-related legal cases; predatory lending; discrimination;
fraud or unfair treatment);
Privacy and data security (data breaches).
Table A2: Szymkiewicz-Simpson Overlap Coefficient for Each Pair of Organizations
This table shows the Szymkiewicz-Simpson overlap coefficient between the lists of rumors examined by fact-checking organizations. The Szymkiewicz-Simpson
overlap coefficient is defined as the interaction (number of same rumors) between two lists examined by fact-checking organizations divided by the number of
rumors in the smaller list.
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Table A4: Determinants of Targeting and Spreading of Fake New in an Alternative Sample
Columns 1 to 3 report results from probit regression analyses of the likelihood of being targeted by fake news
in an alternative sample, where fake news is defined as all articles published by 121 low-credibility websites.
In column 1, the dependent variable is an indicator that equals one if the company was targeted at least once
by fake news during the sample period and zero otherwise. In columns 2 and 3, the dependent variable is an
indicator that equals one if the firm was targeted by fake news in the current quarter. In column 3, I further
include an indicator variable that equals one if the company has been targeted by fake news in the previous
quarter as a covariate. Column 4 reports the result from examining which firm characteristics determine the
spreading of fake news in the alternative sample using an OLS regression. The dependent variable is the total
number of tweets about fake news articles published in a given quarter. The unit of analysis is at the firm-
quarter level. Variable definitions are in Appendix B. I report t-statistics based on standard errors clustered
at the firm level in the parentheses. ***, **, and * denote significant levels at 1%, 5%, and 10%, respectively.
Constant No
N 176
Adjusted R-squared 0.010
Table A6: Determinants of Corporate Responses: Firm Characteristics
This table shows both univariate and probit analyses of which firm characteristics determine corporate responses to fake news. The sample only includes firms that
are targeted by fake news. Panel A reports the characteristics of responding companies in columns 1 to 3 and non-responding companies in columns 4 to 6. The
last three columns report the difference in means, with the corresponding t-statistic and the Wilcoxon signed-rank statistic (which is asymptotically normal) for the
difference in medians. Panel B reports results from probit regression analyses. The dependent variable is an indicator that equals one if the company at least once
responded to fake news during the sample period and zero otherwise. The unit of analysis is at the firm-quarter level. Variable definitions are in Appendix B. I
report t-statistics based on standard errors clustered at the firm level in the parentheses. ***, **, and * denote significant levels at 1%, 5%, and 10%, respectively.
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72
Constant Yes
N and Pseudo R-squared 512 0.262