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Showdown in Sound Money 2
Showdown in Sound
Money
No one says that gold is an abstractly “perfect”
money, whatever that may be. It is far more
trustworthy, however, than government…
Unfortunately, now that the last vestiges of the
gold standard are gone, the Fed has the power to
create more money indefinitely; and so long as we
continue to allow them to retain such power, they
will continue to use it, with disastrous results.
Murray Rothbard
• There exists a considerable amount of tension • While gold has physical properties that make it
between gold investors and Bitcoin enthusiasts, valuable, Bitcoin has unique digital properties that
who frequently engage in disputes, demeaning offer advantages such as low transaction costs
each other's preferred asset. and the ability to transfer wealth quickly over long
distances.
• The concept of intrinsic value is a point of
contention between critics and supporters of • Bitcoin and gold are complementary, not
Bitcoin, but the subjective preferences of competitive, as stores of value. Each has unique
individuals ultimately determine the value of an advantages and limitations. Investors should
asset. educate themselves and consider a diversified mix
of noninflatable monetary assets as integral to
• Bitcoin may at this stage be considered money by their portfolios.
only a small minority, but it has certainly gained
some kind of “moneyness” if we take Hayek’s
approach and view money as an adjective.
“I don’t believe we shall ever have a good money again before we take the
thing out of the hands of government, that is, we can’t take it violently out of
the hands of government, all we can do is by some sly roundabout way
introduce something that they can’t stop.”
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Came for the profit, stayed for This alone should be hailed by everyone who is sincerely interested in
the principal. reinstalling sound money in the future. However, the response from many
Robert Breedlove gold investors has been to not only reject Bitcoin but to campaign against it,
accusing it of being a scam, a speculative bubble, the new Tulip Mania.
-
1
See for example: “From risk-free returns to return-free risk”, In Gold We Trust Classic; “The monetary system at the
crossroads”, In Gold We Trust Classic
Despite the fact that Bitcoin and gold are complementary assets with their own
unique value propositions, some gold investors remain closed off to the
potential of Bitcoin and unwilling to embrace it as a new form of sound
money. This has led to a backlash from the Bitcoin community, with some
members taking an aggressive stance towards gold. As a result, an intellectual
“civil war” has arisen in the sound-money community; and today, many gold
investors and Bitcoin enthusiasts hold extreme opinions about the opposing asset.
Every informed person needs to In this chapter, we will examine the origins of the rift between the gold
know about Bitcoin, because it and Bitcoin communities and the reasons for the division. We have been
might be one of the world’s most following Bitcoin for over 10 years now and have had an annual feature in our In
important developments. Gold We Trust report for the past seven years, as we consider Bitcoin to be a
Leon Luow groundbreaking monetary invention that we expect to continue to gain significant
relevance. We therefore want to address some of the misconceptions that gold
investors hold regarding Bitcoin, and vice versa, thereby highlighting the positive
aspects of both assets. Ultimately, we aim to strengthen our case for investing in
both assets and to bridge the gap between the two communities. 2 Our hope is
that this article can contribute towards harmony and collaboration
within the sound-money camp.3
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It’s gold for nerds. In addition, gold has established itself as a store of value over a long
Stephen Colbert history, whereas Bitcoin is a relatively new asset, and its long-term
value is uncertain. Moreover, some gold investors may perceive Bitcoin as a
threat to the traditional precious metals market, and as a result may be biased
against it.
-
2
See “In Bitcoin We Trust?”, In Gold We Trust Classic
3
See “Gold and Bitcoin: Stronger Together?,” In Gold We Trust report 2019; “Crypto: Friend or Foe?,” In Gold We
Trust report 2018
high (cash)
Anonymity high moderate
low (digital)
Non-monetary utility high – –
Imagine if gold turned to lead Based on this quotation, it could be reasonably argued that Satoshi had a good
when stolen. understanding of gold, and it is clear that he endeavored to digitally emulate
Satoshi Nakamoto the supply characteristics of gold, and even modelled the concept of
Bitcoin mining on gold mining.
Also, it is almost certainly no coincidence that he dates his birth as April 5, the day
former US President Franklin D. Roosevelt issued Executive Order 6102, which
prohibited private ownership of gold in the US.
I can’t understand why people The starting point of a broader discussion within the gold community
are frightened of new ideas. I’m about Bitcoin may be traced back to the year 2013. Peter Schiff, a well-
frightened of the old ones. known character within the English-speaking gold community, published the very
John Cage first Tweet about Bitcoin: a link to a video, outlining his thoughts about Bitcoin vs.
gold:
In this video, he starts off by explaining Bitcoin (quite well) in what sounds like a
positive light. Then, at the 2:30 mark, Peter starts to explain why Bitcoin can
“never be money”: “Bitcoin has all the properties, except the most important one.
Without that property, gold would never have been money. I’m talking about
value. Intrinsic value of the metal itself. You see … Bitcoin doesn’t have any.”
He then goes on to explain his concept of intrinsic value and mentions Ludwig von
Mises’ regression theorem. The first shots in the sound-money showdown had
been fired. Since then, Mr. Schiff and many other gold investors have grown
increasingly vocal in their dislike of Bitcoin.
The first Bitcoin transaction was a barter for pizza. After that, people
bought and traded Bitcoin for many years without considering it a form of money.
Critics of course don’t consider Bitcoin to be a form money even now, but it
undoubtedly has a market value. One could argue that Bitcoin is either still in the
“pre-money” stage, as described by Mises in the regression theorem, and could still
become money; or it is already a form of money. An insightful thought by Friedrich
Hayek from his book Denationalization of Money is quite helpful in this regard:
“I have always found it useful to explain to students that it has been rather a
misfortune that we describe money by a noun, and that it would be more
helpful for the explanation of monetary phenomena if ’money’ were an
adjective describing a property which different things could possess…”
Gold trades $145 billion/day We would argue that Bitcoin in fact has gained some kind of
(WGC) whereas Bitcoin trades moneyness already. Expanding on that thought, one can revert back to Carl
$40 billion/day (on-chain, CME Menger, who defined money as the asset with the highest saleablity. Although
Futures and crypto exchanges). saleability is not the exact same thing as liquidity, the liquidity of any monetary
Bitcoin and gold are the two asset may actually be quite a good hint as to the degree of “moneyness” of any
most liquid alternative assets in given asset. We therefore want to compare the liquidity of Bitcoin, gold,
the world. and short-term US Treasury bills to put these three assets into relation.
Charlie Morris
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150 130.7 130.9
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100
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50
20.1
0
German Bitcoin Dow Jones EUR/JPY UST 1-3Y Gold US T-Bills S&P 500
Bunds (All Stocks) (All Stocks)
“All judgments of value are personal and subjective. There are no judgments
of value other than those asserting ‘I prefer, I like better, I wish’. It cannot be
denied by anybody that various individuals disagree widely with regard to
their feelings, tastes, and preferences and that even the same individuals at
various instants of their lives value the same things in a different way. In
view of this fact it is useless to talk about absolute and eternal values.
This does not mean that every individual draws his valuations from his own
mind. The immense majority of people take their valuations from the social
environment into which they were born, in which they grew up, that moulded
their personality and educated them. Few men have the power to deviate
from the traditional set of values and to establish their own scale of what
appears to be better and what appears to be worse.
All value is subjective. Although the subjectivity of economic value is irrefutable, the real underlying
Carl Menger problem that gold enthusiasts possibly fail to articulate correctly is
Bitcoins’ lack of industrial utility or in a broader sense its lack of
physicality.
One of gold’s most important characteristics for investors is the ability to hold the
metal in their hands. Bitcoin does not possess this property. In fact, according
to Bitcoin’s creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, physicality is gold’s greatest
weakness, which enables governments and other aggressors to confiscate gold,
and is the basis for gold’s low salability across space. Precisely the lack of
physicality enables the users of Bitcoin with a different kind of utility that can be
fundamentally useful hence valuable. Bitcoin was created in order to overcome
gold’s weakness, as Satoshi Nakamoto explained on the Bitcointalk forum:
“As a thought experiment, imagine there was a base metal as scarce as gold
but with the following properties:
- boring grey in colour
- not a good conductor of electricity
- not particularly strong, but not ductile or easily malleable either
- not useful for any practical or ornamental purpose
…it’s more typical of a precious However, absent any industrial utility, there are many practical
metal. Instead of the supply instances where Bitcoin can be highly useful to individuals. For instance,
changing to keep the value the Bitcoin could be used when people urgently have to leave their current location
same, the supply is and are unable to carry physical gold as a store of their wealth to their new
predetermined and the value destination. One very practical example are refugees who likely would be stripped
changes. As the number of users of their savings in gold while on the run. These people could relocate without this
grows, the value per coin risk if they could store their keys on an electronic device or even just remember
increases. It has the potential for their seed key. Another example is Bitcoin’s advantage of low transaction cost and
a positive feedback loop; as users high speed of the transfer of wealth over long distances.
increase, the value goes up,
which could attract more users Even if one prefers to stick to the concept of intrinsic value – which we would be
to take advantage of the very critical about – a reasonable argument can be made that the unique
increasing value. properties of Bitcoin do provide intrinsic value, not as a function of the
Satoshi Nakamoto physical properties of the asset, but as a function of its unique digital
properties.
-
4
“The Enduring Relevance of Exter’s Pyramid,” In Gold We Trust report 2019
Exter’s pyramid could explain the tensions between gold investors and Bitcoiners.
Note that Bitcoiners consider crypto (other than Bitcoin) as highly
risky and volatile.
Where Bitcoin critics place Bitcoin Where Bitcoin enthusiasts place Bitcoin
on Exter’s pyramid on Exter’s pyramid
Gold is bitcoin without What is often overlooked is that Bitcoin was created with the explicit
electricity. aim of replacing the current, trust-based currency system. No other
Charlie Morris notable cryptocurrency attempts to achieve this. Regardless of what other
cryptocurrency projects claim their use case to be, none of them are attempting to
be Bitcoin or even come close to replicating Bitcoin’s unique features and
capabilities.
In a time of abundance, Bitcoin One of these features is Bitcoin’s stock-to-flow ratio, which is currently in
taught me what real scarcity is. line with that of gold. In a sense, Bitcoin can be viewed as digital gold, while other
Gigi cryptocurrencies can be compared to countless other resources, each with its own
possible use case, or not.
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15,000,000 150,000
10,000,000 100,000
5,000,000 50,000
0 0
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
Bitcoin Gold
Source: blockchain.com, World Gold Council, Incrementum AG
One of the most significant aspects that sets Bitcoin apart from other
cryptocurrencies is its decentralization. While many cryptocurrencies are
managed by a central organization or group of individuals, Bitcoin is entirely
decentralized. This means that there is no central authority controlling the
currency, and every user has an equal say in the network's operation.
Nothing made me more Bitcoin's decentralization has several advantages over other
suspicious of Bitcoin than the cryptocurrencies and traditional currencies. It is more resistant to fraud
rapidity with which I was and hacking attempts, as there is no central point of control for hackers to
convinced of it. compromise. Additionally, the lack of a central authority means there is no entity
Ijoma Mangold that can manipulate or control the currency's value, making it more stable and
resistant to market manipulation.
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Dow Jones (1929-1932) Silver (1980-1982)
Nikkei 225 (1989-1993) NASDAQ 100 (2000-2002)
Gold (2011-2015) Bitcoin (2017-2018)
Bitcoin (2021-2022)
Source: Reuters Eikon, Incrementum AG
Owning gold and Bitcoin means Therefore, while the volatility trap can be a real challenge for investors,
being short fiat. particularly those new to the cryptocurrency market, it is essential to maintain a
Mark Valek long-term perspective and focus on the underlying technology, use cases, and
adoption potential of an asset like Bitcoin. By doing so, investors can avoid getting
caught up in short-term price movements and instead focus on the bigger picture
of the asset's potential over time.
Volatility scares enough people One potential solution to mitigate the risk associated with Bitcoin's
out of the market to generate volatility is to combine it with gold in a diversified portfolio. Gold's
superior returns for those who historical stability can help balance the high volatility of Bitcoin, potentially
stay in. reducing the overall risk of the portfolio. This strategy could allow investors to
Jeremy Siegel benefit from the potential upside of Bitcoin while also mitigating the downside risk
associated with its volatility.
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Conclusion
Bitcoin and gold are the two As illustrated above, the primary concerns that investors have
most liquid alternative assets in expressed regarding Bitcoin are often misleading or unjustified.
the world. They are not in However, obtaining objective and impartial information about Bitcoin, its
competition, play different roles, underlying technology, and its potential influence on the financial landscape can
have global cross-border and be a daunting task, especially given the cacophony of other cryptocurrencies
cultural appeal, and come competing for attention in the market. As a gold investor, it’s understandable to be
together as an all-weather skeptical of Bitcoin and its potential as an investment.
inflation hedge.
Charlie Morris Gold has a five-thousand-year track record, and Bitcoin is hardly a
teenager. However, as we’ve discussed, many of the criticisms levelled at Bitcoin
are based on misconceptions or red herrings. The reality is that Bitcoin offers a
unique combination of decentralization and security that is unmatched by any
other asset. Bitcoin’s growing adoption and potential for widespread use make it a
viable option for investors looking to diversify their portfolios. As Rick Rule
formulated it:
That’s what learning is. You Bitcoin’s key advantages include its digital nature, speed of transfer,
suddenly understand something and limited supply, while gold’s strengths lie in its historical
you understood all your life, but significance, physical durability, and widely accepted value. Therefore,
in a new way. the respective communities behind each asset should acknowledge their
Doris Lessing differences and unique features and understand that they can coexist and
complement each other in an investment portfolio. Let’s bury the hatchet.
About Us
Ronald-Peter Stöferle, CMT
He studied business administration and finance in the USA and at the Vienna
University of Economics and Business Administration, and also gained work
experience at the trading desk of a bank during his studies. Upon graduation he
joined the research department of Erste Group, where in 2007 he published his
first In Gold We Trust report. Over the years, the In Gold We Trust report has
become one of the benchmark publications on gold, money, and inflation.
Since 2013 he has held the position as reader at scholarium in Vienna, and he also
speaks at Wiener Börse Akademie (the Vienna Stock Exchange Academy). In 2014,
he co-authored the international bestseller Austrian School for Investors, and in
2019 The Zero Interest Trap. He is a member of the board of directors at Tudor
Gold Corp. (TUD), and Goldstorm Metals Corp. (GSTM). Moreover, he is an
advisor to Matterhorn Asset Management, a global leader in wealth preservation
in the form of physical gold stored outside the banking system.
Since 2013 he has held the position as reader at scholarium in Vienna, and he also
speaks at Wiener Börse Akademie (the Vienna Stock Exchange Academy). In 2014,
he co-authored the book Austrian School for Investors.
About Us 15
Incrementum AG
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Email: ingoldwetrust@incrementum.li
Disclaimer
Company Descriptions
Agnico Eagle
Agnico Eagle is a senior Canadian gold mining company, and third-largest gold
producer in the world, with operating mines located in Canada, Australia, Finland
and Mexico, as well as exploration and development activities in these countries
and the United States.
www.agnicoeagle.com
Asante Gold
Asante Gold has developed its 400,000 oz per year production profile through
organic growth and focused acquisitions. We believe in responsible development
and strive to be Ghana’s foremost gold producer and employer of choice.
www.asantegold.com
Aurion Resources
Aurion is a well-funded, Canadian explorer operating in an emerging major gold
camp in Finland’s Central Lapland. The Company is making new discoveries on its
Flagship Risti and Launi projects, and JVs with B2Gold and Kinross.
www.aurionresources.com
Caledonia Mining
Caledonia Mining is a profitable, dividend-paying gold miner, with a strong growth
profile; since November 2021 has acquired Maligreen, Motapa and Bilboes. Its
vision is to become a Zimbabwe focused multi-asset gold producer.
www.caledoniamining.com
Dakota Gold
Dakota Gold (NYSE American: DC) is a South Dakota-based responsible gold
exploration and development company with a specific focus on revitalizing the
Homestake District of South Dakota.
www.dakotagoldcorp.com
EMX Royalty
EMX has a 20-year track record of smart deals. With more than 300 royalties and
investments, EMX looks forward to a bright future with diversification into gold,
copper, battery metals, strong partners like Franco Nevada, and rapidly increasing
cash flow.
www.emxroyalty.com
Endeavour Mining
As a leading global gold producer and largest in West Africa, Endeavour is
committed to the principles of responsible mining and delivering sustainable value
to all stakeholders. Endeavour is listed on the LSE and TSE under the symbol EDV.
www.endeavourmining.com
Endeavour Silver
Endeavour Silver is a mid-tier precious metals mining that owns two underground,
silver-gold mines in Mexico, and has a compelling pipeline of exploration and
development projects to facilitate its goal to become a senior silver producer.
www.edrsilver.com
Flexgold
Flexgold is the smart way to invest in physical precious metals, as flexible and
simple as never before. With flexgold, SOLIT sets the gold standard for trust,
security and transparency.
www.flexgold.com
Karora Resources
Karora is TSX-listed gold miner (TSX: KRR) with operations in the tier 1
jurisdiction of Western Australia. Karora has a proven management team and is
growing production to 170-195 koz by 2024.
www.karoraresources.com
Minera Alamos
Minera Alamos is a new gold producer going through the ramp up of its Santana
mine and fast tracking permitting for its second flagship mine: Cerro de Oro.
Specializing in low capex builds the Minera model remains insulated from
inflationary pressures.
www.mineraalamos.com
Münze Österreich
Internationally renowned for its precious metal processing, Münze Österreich AG
produces Austria’s circulation coins, Vienna Philharmonic bullion coins in gold,
platinum and silver, and gold bars.
www.muenzeoesterreich.at
philoro EDELMETALLE
philoro is one of the market leaders in Europe in the field of precious metals
trading and your reliable partner for investments in gold and silver, platinum and
palladium.
www.philoro.com
Reyna Gold
Reyna Gold is focused on district-scale exploration on the major gold belts in
Mexico, with a property portfolio of over 57,000 hectares, a world class exploration
team and proven management team.
www.reynagold.com
Sprott
Sprott is a global asset manager providing investors with access to leader in
precious metals and energy transition investments.
www.sprott.com
Tudor Gold
TUDOR GOLD Corp. is an Exploration company in the Golden Triangle region in
B.C., Canada, which is advancing the Treaty Creek project that hosts a mineral
resource of 23.4 Moz AuEQ (Indicated) plus 7.4 Moz AuEQ (Inferred).
www.tudor-gold.com
Victoria Gold
Victoria Gold (“VGCX”) is Leading Yukon’s New Gold Rush. As at 31Dec22 the
Eagle Gold mine Reserve is 2.6 m oz Au (124 m tonnes grading 0.65 g/t), and is
open at depth and along strike. Exploration priority targets include Raven and
Lynx.
www.vgcx.com
Ximen Mining
Ximen Mining (TSX.V XIM) is focused on responsible development, sustainable
mining and exploration of its precious metals properties in southern BC, Canada,
as it advances its Kenville Gold mine.
www.ximenminingcorp.com
2023
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