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FIN-18-35-347 Page ii
PART A
Sri Lanka in recent years has experienced a great degree of uncertainty in its macro-
economic variables. The exchange rate has hit levels hitherto unseen, external debt levels are
alarming. Foreign investors are fleeing the country amidst uncertainties. Global economic
conditions are having a drag on the economy. Economic growth has slowed down
considerably. Explain in detail how you would advise a hedge fund based overseas, which is
actively seeking to enter the Sri Lankan market by investing USD 50 million. Explain the
challenges and how to could overcome them. The fund has an open mandate to invest in any
type of asset it deems suitable.
The subject 50 million hedge fund base, has constructed with the contribution of 10
individuals and they expect to invest for a period of five to seven years at a return of 15% p.a.
Even though it gives an open mandate to invest in any type of assets these funds has to follow
rules and regulations at the country.
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Further the rating agencies has downgraded Sri Lanka and named as a high risk country due
to the political situation and the debt to be pay by 2022. Above issues will be discourage an
investor in his first impression. However there are investors who like to take risks and invest
in emerging markets to earn substantial profits. Which enable them to make extra profits by
taking extra risks.
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Investors at this stage may get shares at a lower price where prices were higher before the
country facing resent situations. A 50% of the hedge funds can be invest in the equity market
where they can earn profits for the time period via dividends as well as capital appreciation.
Real estate is another project that the investors can look where a local person should
intermediate and take decisions on behalf of the hedge funds since the properties should be
bought and sell at a profit. This should be monitored closely to avoid any leakage of funds.
Advice is to invest 30% of their funds in land and real estate with a reputed company for
higher return.
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Liquidity
Above are some of the risks that can be shown as examples for the investments.
As an example let’s assume an investor invests $ 10,000 dollars expecting a return of 20%
p.a. At the time of the investment exchange rate is LKR 150 per dollar. By the end of the year
if the exchange rate has gone up to LKR 200, with his return on investment, when he is trying
to convert his LKR 1,800,000 (Investment amount and the profit) into USD he will get only
USD 9,000 as a result of the exchange rate fluctuation. Which means the investor has lose
USD 1,000/- from his investment amount even though he has earned a profit of 20% due to
the exchange rate fluctuation.
Especially a country like Sri Lanka will exposed to higher exchange rate risks since mostly
the country consumption is depend on imports and the trade account always runs with a
considerable deficit. Hence it is very important to assess the future exchange rate fluctuation
prior to invest in foreign countries.
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1.4.3 Market Risks
Market risk can be defined as the risks that an investor may experience losses due to the
effect of the overall performance of the financial markets. There are two types of common
market issues.
I. Equity Risk
II. Interest Rate Risk
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1.4.3.4 Liquidity Risks
Is the risk where the investor is unable to sell his investments at a fair a price and take his
money whenever they need. Most of the time investors have to accept a lower price and in
some cases the investors may not be able to sell as they expected at the time of investing.
On the other hand the government has relaxed their tax policies and encouraging foreign
investments. The emerging markets are waiting for some capital pumping sources. A good
return can be negotiated as the market conditions are not favorable at all. If the fund base is
ready to accept high risks they will be rewarded with high return.
Though the returns are high investors should wait till the exchange rate to be settled, if not
even though the return is high he may make a loss if the rupee depreciation percentage is
higher than the return percentage.
Investing in Sri Lankan at this time may be a high-risk decision but if the investments made
on above stated resources investors can make a profit even though the market is volatile.
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PART B
You have been hired as an external consultant by a company to develop an Investment Policy
Statement. The company is in the financial services sector and has a long term liability base.
It has been stable and within the top 5 in the industry. The industry is increasingly getting
competitive, fragmented and highly regulated. Clearly state assumptions, if any.
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invest in highly liquidity assets. Banks are closely monitored and governed by central bank of
Sri Lanka and the bank has to follow the instructions and the guidelines issued by CBSL as
well. There are authorized investments where a financial institution can invest and also
regulatory requirements on investments. Since the banks are managing public funds unlike
other organizations the investment decisions should be taken as per the guidelines issued by
central bank of the country. In addition to the IPS of a normal company above things are
more important to a company in financial sector.
Also with the “Basel III” requirements banks may have to keep additional capital adequacy
amounts based on their deposits. Hence it is important to invest in highly secured assets
rather than taking high risks on investing.
2.3.1 Objectives
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the investments may decide on the liquidity and regulatory requirements. Even though the
liabilities are long term it is required to maintain some amount in highly liquid assets to cater
unexpected and prematurity withdrawals hence the profit of the investment will positive as a
consolidated profit since the highly liquidated investments are paying a lower return.
30% of the funds can be invest in debentures both in listed and non-listed companies. Even
though the risk is bit high in investing in non-listed companies the return for the same will be
higher than listed companies. Balance 20% should use to earn exchange income. As the
market is highly volatile treasury should grant the authority to buy and sell foreign exchange
at a profit to the bank. As there are ups and downs in the market treasury should not take a
risk by keeping foreign exchange for a longer period. Department should take quick decisions
on buying and selling as and when required.
2.3.2 Constraints
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for invest in assets where the return is within the deposit period. As the capital needs of the
corporates are high at the moment investing in debentures can be a profitable
2.3.2.2 Liquidity
As mentioned in the objectives bank officers should maintain a certain amount in highly
liquidate assets to meet unexpected and prematurity withdrawal requirements. By investing
50% of the fund base in the government securities and another 30% in debentures (both listed
and none listed). Both of the investments are considered as high liquidity assets as those can
be convert in to cash quickly. The balance 20% may use to earn exchange income as the
exchange market is highly volatile these days. To earn short term profits treasury may buy
foreign currency with the excess funds and sell at a higher price. This may cover liquidity
requirement as well.
2.3.2.4 Taxes
As a taxable institution bank should appraise taxable and tax exempted investments on an
after-tax basis, to be compliance with the above, investment details should be pass to the tax
section under accounts department on monthly basis. Head of accounts department is
authorized to inquire details as and when needed for official purpose.
Special attention needs to be given to the Basal III requirements as the bank may have to
keep additional capital adequacy for the risky investments.
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PART C
Using examples explain non-financial factors that an investor needs to look at prior to making
investment decisions in an overseas market. You may include barriers that may exist to enter
and/or exit overseas markets, socio economic factors, competition etc for this purpose.
3.1What is an investment?
Once Warren Edward Buffett, who is a renowned American business magnate, investor,
speaker and philanthropist said, that investment is “the process of laying out money now to
receive more money in the future”. Simply, investment is the current commitment of
resources for a period of time in the expectation of receiving future resources.
In economic perspective an investment is the purchase of goods that are not consumed today
but are used in the future to create wealth. In financial perspective, an investment is a
monetary asset purchased with the idea that the asset will provide income in the future or will
later be sold at a higher price for a profit (Investopedia Corporation, 2018).
Higher growth - International investing lets you take advantage of potential growth
in foreign countries, especially in emerging markets. But, remember that while some
countries may have higher growth and potential returns, they can have a higher level
of risk.
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Figure 1 Countries by Real GDP Growth Rate
More options - investors can invest in corporations, trades and assets that are not
accessible or are hard to invest in domestically.
Before an investor invest in overseas it's vital to ponder about how the investment correspond
with the investment goals, overall portfolio, risk tolerance and investment timeframe.
Then, the investor should consider which country or region he would like exposure to.
Researching the country or region, its trends and political and economic environment is
critical before investing money.
Finally, investor should ponder about whether he is going for a direct investment or an
indirect investment which best suit for his investment goals.
Direct investing is where you purchase the asset yourself and hold it in your name, for
example buying international shares through your broker or buying an overseas investment
property.
Indirect investing means where your money is given to another party who buys and sells
investments on your behalf.
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3.2.2 Risks of overseas investments
Investing internationally carries all the general risks of the underlying investments, as well as
some unique risks, including:
Currency risk - Foreign investments are usually held in the currency of the country
of origin. Income and capital gains or losses must be converted into Australian dollars
(AUD) which will expose you to the risk of exchange rate movements.
Selling time - If you hold investments in other countries or in managed funds that
invest internationally, it may take significantly longer to sell these assets. Some
countries may also restrict the amount or type of securities that foreign investors may
purchase.
Additional costs - International investing can be more expensive than investing in
Australia. In some countries there may be unexpected taxes, such as withholding taxes
on dividends or rental income and transaction costs such as broker's commissions.
Foreign legal remedies - If there are problems with your overseas investments, you
may have to rely on the legal remedies that are available in the country where you
invest.
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3.3Non-Financial Factors Investors should have to concern
Higher return with low risk is the fundamental factor which concern by a rational investor.
That means an investor might need to take into account the environmental impact of a
potential investment. Therefore, both of financial and non-financial factors have to concern.
This section is to describe what are the factors that particular investor should have to concern
under the non-financial factor analysis. Apart from that investor may need to balance
financial and non-financial factors to obtain a higher return.
Matching industry standards and good practices- Normally some countries have
their own techniques, traditions and methods regarding on particular industries and
sometimes they followed some standards to assure their goodwill. Sometimes these
situations will be costly for investors.
Developing the capabilities of the businesses, such as building skills and experiences
in new areas or strengthening management systems.
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3.4Barriers to invest in Sri Lanka
The law of the land:
According to the prevailing legal conditions in Sri Lanka, foreign investors are not eligible to
own land or any kind of landed properties. Due to that reason long term lease agreements like
30 years, 66 years and 99 years are only available option for foreign investors in Sri Lanka.
Mattala harbor and Port city development are the some of famous examples which elaborate
that situation. Even this option is existing some of parties like social organizations, political
parties and religious organizations plays considerable effort to eliminate these kinds of
foreign funded projects. Because of that it becomes one of the major barriers to invest in Sri
Lanka.
Except to that land related laws like Agrarian development act, Low Land Reclamation act,
Central environmental Act and Coastal Conservation Act provides some of restrictions
regarding on different types of investments in their lawful areas. As a result of that investors
become discourage due to huge legal interference on investment project. In addition to that
documents like Initial Environment Examination (IEE) and Environmental Impact
Assessment (EIA) are must needed to every type of development project in Sri Lanka.
Concerns about dispute resolution in Sri Lankan courts, as Lankan courts often do not
recognize litigation filed in other countries. This is an issue particularly when it comes to
ownership rights and disputes.
Labor is no party:
For many international companies and bodies in Sri Lanka, finding highly qualified staff is
difficult. Normally Sri Lankan Labor force is sustaining with adequate education
qualification and knowledge comparing with other Asian countries but, Due to Sri Lanka's
brain drain, many highly-skilled workers leave after training or education. Other issue is price
of the labor, comparing with other South Asian countries Sri Lankan labor expect higher
salaries including both Skilled and Unskilled labors. Concerning about their perspective due
to inflation and other conditions it is required but rational foreign investors always looking
for higher gains with low costs. Productivity and punctuality concerns are also rampant.
There’s also a lack of formalized brokers for FDIs, as opposed to people who "know
somebody". Foreigners will also realize that unless they pass a certain investment minimum
and have BOI approval, getting working visas for their foreign staff is ridiculously hard.
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According to Economist Deshal de Mel (who delves deep into the topic here here), this also
makes it difficult to attract foreigners who want to export using Sri Lanka as a base, because
our labor is comparatively expensive and unproductive, and they’d much rather invest
somewhere like Bangladesh for cheap labor or Thailand/Malaysia for technology and
productivity.
As a result of that corruption which done by politicians and other government officers have
been increased. As per the corruption perfection index 2016, Sri Lanka holds 95th position
with scoring 36 marks. These types of information bring harmful effects to the reputation of
the Sri Lanka and potential investors will discourage. Even government or president appoints
different comities in different names investigations and court proceedings are not accurate.
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Figure 2 Corruption Perceptions Index
According to above discussions it is proved that an investor needs to look at not only
financial factor but also needs to look at non-financial factors prior to making investment
decisions in an overseas market.
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References
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/ips.asp
https://www.getsmarteraboutmoney.ca/invest/investing-basics/understanding-risk/types-of-investment-risk
http://www.lankabusinessonline.com/sri-lanka-rupee-depreciated-against-us-dollar-by-15-pct-this-year
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foreign_exchange_risk
https://economynext.com/Investors_seen_facing_big_barriers_in_Sri_Lanka_renewable_energy-3-8656-.html
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_real_GDP_growth_rate
https://www.transparency.org/news/feature/corruption_perceptions_index_2017?
gclid=Cj0KCQiA37HhBRC8ARIsAPWoO0ylYPYftqqaC5t8SEMOAYvvDVU_axPPblzDyhJ7PFB7AmN6Vx
2TRqQaAoHNEALw_wcB
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corruption_Perceptions_Index
Mr. Charith Rodrigo senior manager assets and liability management DFCC bank plc
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