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sisr018 pages stem .nyu.edui-adamodariNew Home_Pageldataleicryprem.niml Country Default Spreads and Risk Premiums ast updated: January 2019 ‘This abe summarize the Inte bond ating and appropriate ell spreads for diferent counties, While you can use these numbers as rough estimates of county premiums, you may want to modify the premia to reflec the additonal isk of equity markets. To estimate the lug tem county equity tisk premium, I sat with = defuk Epread, which | oblan in one of 70 way () Tose the lcs curency sovereign rating (rom Moody: www mond. com) and estimate the default spread fr that rating bated upon traded aunty bonds) vers dau feegoverameat bond ate. Fo countries without a Moody’ rating but with en S&P rang 1use the Moods equivalent of the SAP rating. To gt the default Spreads by sovereign rating, use the CDS spreads and compute the average CDS spread by tating. Using that umber as basis, exzapolate fr those tangs fr which 1 have no CDS spreads, (2) stan with the CDS spread forthe country, ifone ie avlable and sbtee ut the US CDS spend, ince my mire market premium is That ffereace Becomes the country spread For the few counties that have CDS spreads bat ar lowe han ine US, 1 wl eta negtve number. ‘You can adjust the default spread to the mature market premium to rive atthe ttl equity ik pretium, Ladd ay addon step Inthe short ter especialy, the equity counry rik premium ie ikely tobe greater than the county’ default spread. You can eximate an adjsted county risk premium by muliplying he deal spread bythe relative equity marke voli for dat market (Std dev in country equity markevSd dev in county bond) Thave used te emerging matket average of 123 (estimated by comparing a emerging market equity index to aa emerging markt govermenvpublic bond index) fo estiate coun risk premium! have added tis o my fstimatd sk premium of 96% for mature markets (obtained by loki atthe plied pemiun forthe S&P S00) o get te oa isk premium fom he US mack pages slern.nyu.ecul-adamodariNew_Home_Pageldatafllcryprem.himl 19 51572019 pages slem.nyu.eduiadamodariNew Home_Pageldataleictyprem.niml pages slern.nyu.ecul-adamodariNew_Home_Pageldatafllcryprem.himl 20 51572019 pages slem.nyu.eduiadamodariNew Home_Pageldataleictyprem.niml For more details, download the exel spreadsheet that contains this data on my website: ups sem. Sntreste i my approach to computing the equity sk premium, dawnload my magnum opus Gus kidding): papers somal uners f? ata -2 740186 And my paper on measuring country risk Ings su coms aps isha -D812261 Last updated: January 2019 Aswath Dameodaran pages slern.nyu.ecul-adamodariNew_Home_Pageldatafllcyprem.himl a9

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