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Lecture 2
Time Value of Money (Ch 2)
Other Perspectives on Scoping
Electricity Rate Structures
Learning Goals (1 of 2)
2.1 Recognize key terminology used in understanding the
application of interest to money
2.2 Differentiate between compound and simple interest,
and be able to calculate compound interest over several
periods
2.3 Calculate an effective interest rate given the nominal
rate, and vice versa.
2.4 Calculate an effective interest rate under continuous
compounding.
2.5 Construct cash flow diagrams
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Learning Goals (2 of 2)
2.6 Differentiate among common depreciation
methods, and calculate the book value of an asset
at any future time.
2.7 Appraise the validity of financial calculations.
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Introduction (1 of 1)
• Engineering decisions frequently involve tradeoffs among
costs and benefits occurring at different times.
– Typically, we invest in a project today to gain future
benefits.
• The key to making comparisons of benefits and costs that
occur at different times is the use of an interest rate.
• This connects to the time value of money, our starting
point.
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• Money
• It has value over time
• It is a valuable asset that people are willing to pay to have available
for use
• It can be rented in roughly the same way other things can (like an
apartment)
The charge is called interest instead of rent
Value of money
Value of money: same now and future?
• Why?
• Implications? (benefits, costs)
Discounting
• method of comparing benefits and costs
at different times
• future benefits and costs are “discounted” at rate (r)
Present Value (PV)
• measures current worth of future benefits and costs
($n)
PV ($n) =
(1 + r)n
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time period 0 1 2 3 4
interest
earned $ 10 $ 11 $ 12.10 $ 13.31
(10 %)
new account
balance $ 100 $ 110 $ 121 $ 133.10 $ 146.41
($n) $ 146.41
present value after 4 years = $ 100
= =
(PV4) (1 + r)n (1 + 0.1)4
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F = P + I = P + Pi = P (1 + i )
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F = P (1 + i ) N
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I C = F P = P (1 + i ) N P
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ie = (1 + is ) m 1
• is: interest rate over a compounding sub‐period,
• ie: effective interest rate over a longer period, ie,
• m: number of sub‐periods in the longer period.
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Figure 2.3
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Assumptions:
• Cash flows occur at the ends of periods.
• End of time period 1 = beginning of time period 2…
• Time 0 = “now”
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31 Dec
• No Sunk Costs
• Only the current situation and the potential future is considered.
2.7 Equivalence (1 of 6)
• Engineering Economics utilizes “time value of money” to
compare certain values at different points in time.
• Equivalence is a condition that exists when:
– The value of a cost at one time is equivalent to the value
of the related benefit at a different time.
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2.7 Equivalence (2 of 6)
• Three concepts of equivalence are useful for comparing
costs and benefits at different times:
1. Mathematical Equivalence
2. Decisional Equivalence
3. Market Equivalence
2.7 Equivalence (3 of 6)
• Mathematical Equivalence:
– A consequence of the mathematical relationship
between time and money.
– Decision‐makers exchange P dollars now for F
dollars N periods from now using rate i and the
mathematical relationship: F = P(1 + i)N
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time period 0 1 2 3 4
interest
earned $ 10 $ 11 $ 12.10 $ 13.31
(10 %)
new account
balance $ 100 $ 110 $ 121 $ 133.10 $ 146.41
($n) $ 146.41
present value after 4 years = $ 100
= =
(PV4) (1 + r)n (1 + 0.1)4
2.7 Equivalence (4 of 6)
• Decisional Equivalence:
– Happens when a decision maker judges available choices
to be equally good.
– Two cash flows, Pt at time t and Ft1N at time t + N, are
equivalent if the individual is indifferent between the
two.
– Implied interest rate relating to Pt and Ft1N can be
calculated from the decision that the cash flows are
equivalent.
– In mathematical equivalence, the interest rate
determines whether the cash flows are equivalent.
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2.7 Equivalence (5 of 6)
• Market Equivalence:
– Arises due to the availability of a market to exchange one
cash flow for another at zero cost.
2.7 Equivalence (6 of 6)
• For the remainder of this text, we assume:
1. Market equivalence holds.
2. Decisional equivalence can be expressed in monetary
terms.
• If these two assumptions are reasonably valid, then
mathematical equivalence can be used as accurate model
of costs/benefits relationship.
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Cost or
benefit - $ 100M
Present
value - $ 100M
Cost or
benefit - $ 100M $ 10,000M
Present
value - $ 100M $ 29M
$ 10,000M
present value after 100 years = = $ 29M
(1 + 0.06)100
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Cost or
benefit - $ 100M $ 10,000M
Present
value - $ 100M $ 29M -$ 71M
$ 10,000M
present value after 100 years = = $ 29M
(1 + 0.06)100
discount rate
“In our every deliberation, we must consider the impact of our decisions on
the next seven generations.”
The Constitution of the Iroquois Nation (The Great Binding Law) explains “seventh
generation” philosophy as follows: “The thickness of your skin shall be seven
spans — which is to say that you shall be proof against anger, offensive actions
and criticism. Your heart shall be filled with peace and good will and your mind
filled with a yearning for the welfare of the people of the Confederacy. With endless
patience you shall carry out your duty and your firmness shall be tempered with
tenderness for your people. Neither anger nor fury shall find lodgement in your
mind and all your words and actions shall be marked with calm deliberation. In all
of your deliberations in the Confederate Council, in your efforts at law making, in
all your official acts, self interest shall be cast into oblivion. Cast not over your
shoulder behind you the warnings of the nephews and nieces should they chide
you for any error or wrong you may do, but return to the way of the Great Law
which is just and right. Look and listen for the welfare of the whole people and
have always in view not only the present but also the coming generations, even
those whose faces are yet beneath the surface of the ground — the unborn of the
future Nation.”
53
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Community
Resource
Inventory Capital and
Repair Surplus Purchase of
Identification Outside
Harvest Goods and
Services
Self-reliance
Production
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55
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3.93¢ $4.18
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Elec Use
1000
Peak demand =
900 900 kW
800
500
400
300
200
100
0
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