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Chibnik, Michael
Anthropology, economics, and choice / Michael Chibnik.
p. cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
iSbn 978-0-292-72676-5 (cloth : alk. paper) —
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1. Economic anthropology—Case studies. I. Title.
Gn448.c47 2011
306.3—dc23 2011019003
Contents
Preface vii
Acknowledgments ix
Introduction 1
Conclusion 164
Notes 173
References 177
Index 197
THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK
Preface
tutional support from the University of Iowa. I have also received im-
portant support over the past several decades from Columbia University,
the University of California–Berkeley, the National Science Foundation,
the National Institute of Mental Health, the Welte Institute for Oaxacan
Studies, and the Federación de Campesinos de Maynas in Peru.
My biggest debt is to all the people in the field who have listened to my
never-ending questions about their lives. The following people have also
helped me greatly in various ways: Shirley Ahlgren, Saúl Aragón, Peggy
Barlett, Gerald Britan, Carole Browner, Holly Carver, Katharine Chib-
nik, Jeffrey Cohen, Beth Conklin, Rudi Colloredo-Mansfeld, Wil de Jong,
Gudrun Dohrmann, Virginia Dominguez, Susanna Donaldson, Nora En-
gland, Arthur Goldhammer, Paul Greenough, Lourdes Gutiérrez Ná-
jera, Charles A. Hale, Angelique Haugerud, Jorge Hernández, Douglas
Hertzler, Brandi Janssen, Allen Johnson, Ann Kingsolver, Theresa May,
Mark Moberg, Arthur Murphy, Tad Mutersbaugh, Tomomi Naka, Robert
Netting, Christine Padoch, Charles Peters, Miguel Pinedo-Vásquez,
Beverly Poduska, Silvia Purata, Martha Rees, Cerisa Reynolds, Tana Silva,
Christine Szuter, Amy Todd, Stephen Tulley, Victor Vásquez, Lois Was-
serspring, Ronald Waterbury, and Jim Weil.
While writing this book, I did much of my background reading and
editing in the coffee shop of Prairie Lights Bookstore in Iowa City. This
comfortable space is a wonderful refuge from economic downturns, mid-
western floods, and university politics.
Chapter 5 is a substantially revised and expanded version of a previous
publication: Experimental Economics in Anthropology: A Critical As-
sessment. American Ethnologist 32 (2) [2005]: 198–209.
Introduction
Three decades ago Gary Becker wrote a book in which he made extraor-
dinary claims about the usefulness of economic approaches for the under-
standing of questions in social sciences. In a now-famous introductory
essay to The Economic Approach to Human Behavior (1976), Becker suc-
cinctly states his views:
Becker’s book, filled with graphs and equations, was written primarily for
economists. His definition of an “economic approach” would be likely to
mystify noneconomists unsure about the technical meanings of “utility,”
“preferences,” “inputs,” and “markets.” Even readers familiar with the
language of economics might wonder how anyone could possibly know
when utility is being maximized, what it means to say that preferences are
“stable,” and what exactly is an “optimal” amount of information.
In 1992 Becker won the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences
“for having extended the domain of microeconomic analysis to a wide
range of human behaviour and interaction, including nonmarket be-
haviour.”1 As Becker hoped, economic approaches have become promi-
nent in fields such as political science and are now also of some impor-
tance in sociology, geography, and history. Such approaches are often
lumped together under the term “rational choice theory,” a reference to
their assumptions about utility maximization. An enormous scholarly
literature (among others, Elster 1989, Gigerenzer 2008, Parsons 2005,
Schweers Cook and Levi 1990) describes rational choice theory and de-
bates its merits. There are also numerous books aimed at general readers
that popularize the basic ideas of the theory. Some of these books (for
example, Becker and Becker 1997; Harford 2005, 2008; Levitt and Dub-
ner 2005) describe insights gained from applications of rational choice
theory; others (including Gladwell 2005, Groopman 2007, Lehrer 2009,
Thaler and Sunstein 2008) pay more attention to the theory’s limitations.
Many of the critics of economic approaches in social sciences emphasize
findings from experiments in cognitive psychology that show that people
often make suboptimal choices.
Rational choice theories have certain features that make them attrac-
tive to scholars advocating “scientific” approaches to social phenomena.
Their focus on a restricted number of key variables can allow hypothe-
ses to be tested in controlled situations. The mathematical elaboration
of these theories provides clear statements of suggested relationships
among different variables. Many ethnographically oriented anthropolo-
gists, however, are repelled by the very features that make rational choice
Introduction 3
My research in Belize, Peru, Mexico, and the United States over the past
several decades has focused on the work lives and economic strategies
of individuals and households. In my efforts to figure out how and why
people in these diverse places make decisions about their livelihoods I
have read many models of human behavior consistent with rational choice
theory that have been proposed by economists, anthropologists, cogni-
tive psychologists, and evolutionary biologists. These models employ
to greater or lesser degrees the economic approach advocated by Gary
Becker. Although these models have sometimes helped my understanding
of practical issues, I found that they were more often of little use because
of their intentional lack of attention to relevant ethnography, history, and
political economies. In their efforts to explain everything, they explained
very little.
The case studies in this book are intended to show the practical rele-
vance of what can seem to be arcane intellectual debates. They show that
the issues examined are not abstruse theoretical conundrums of interest
only to scholars; instead, they are essential to our understanding of how
and why people around the world make important decisions about their
livelihoods and the welfare of their families. The details in the ethno-
graphic examples illustrate what rational choice models leave out.
6 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
Making Choices
1. Expected utility theory assumes that decision makers can assign values
(utilities) to alternative outcomes of decisions. “Utility,” however,
is a murky concept that is almost impossible to define and measure.
Although economists often examine monetary returns to alternative
choices, people’s decision making is often influenced by other goals
such happiness, leisure, and risk avoidance. Some goals such as “hap-
piness” can be difficult to measure. Even when outcomes can be quan-
tified, there may be no obvious way to combine the different kinds of
payoffs from a particular outcome into a single measure of “utility.”
How can, for example, the happiness one gets from winning an ath-
letic competition be compared to the monetary rewards from such a
championship? 3
2. Expected utility models of decision making depend in part on deci-
Introduction 7
such critiques (Douglas and Wildavsky 1982, Lupton 1999, and others do
as well); the influential postmodern movement in anthropology during
the latter part of the twentieth century was based in part on a related re-
jection of attempts to make anthropology a social science seeking lawful
regularities in human behavior.
Although much of this book consists of my criticisms of what I see as
the limitations of economic models, I want to be clear than I am not advo-
cating culturalist analyses. My discussions of the shortcomings of ratio-
nal choice approaches to particular issues in economic anthropology are
not intended to be read as rejections of utilitarian explanations of human
behavior. I actually think that anthropologists should whenever possible
seek such explanations. I agree more with Harford than with Sahlins.
Oscar was a decent carver and painter, but his pieces are unremarkable in
a place where there are many talented artisans. He stood out instead for
his business skills and reliability. Oscar was one of the most respected men
in his community. By 2003 he had already served as the (unpaid) treasurer
and secretary in the local government.
Although Jorge was a better-than-average student, he enjoyed his
studies less than Oscar did and left school after attending prepa (the
equivalent of a U.S. high school) for a few years. Jorge had little interest
in marketing crafts and did not join Oscar and another brother in their
work for Roger. He was, however, a talented artisan who specialized in
making meticulous small carvings of animals including goats, cats, and
giraffes. Sandra, a skilled painter, helped with the pieces but was limited
in what she could do because of child care responsibilities.
The demand for Oaxaca wood carvings began to decline around 2000.
Although sales of well-made, relatively expensive pieces remained good,
fewer tourists, shop owners, and wholesalers were buying the cheaper
carvings that comprised the bulk of the trade. In 2002 Roger decided to
stop selling Oaxacan wood carvings and to concentrate instead on other
Latin American crafts. Oscar lost his job with Roger and needed immedi-
ately to find other ways to support his family. Jorge’s income also de-
creased because of fewer sales of his pieces.
Like many other Mexicans their age, Jorge and Oscar knew that tem-
porary migration to the United States could provide income that could
support their families. Several of their older brothers regularly went back
and forth to California, where they seemed to have little trouble find-
ing work. Although these brothers migrated without legal documents and
worried about the difficult border crossing, they had been able to make
their trips without serious difficulties. If Jorge and Oscar went to Califor-
nia, they could stay with family members or friends already there and use
these connections to find steady if low-paid employment.
The advantages and disadvantages of such migration are well known
in both the United States and Mexico. The wages for unskilled work in
the United States are much higher than those for even most professional
jobs in Mexico. Because of this discrepancy in wages, remittances (money
sent home by migrants) are one of the major sources of income in Mexico.
Many migrants hope that they might be able to settle permanently in
the United States and make better lives for themselves and their families.
Some migrants—whether or not they see their border crossing as perma-
nent—also regard their journeys as exciting opportunities to see another
part of the world.
Introduction 11
migration, this suggests that individuals who would benefit most from mi-
gration are more likely to go to the United States than those who would
benefit less. While this appears to be a truism of no explanatory value,
rational choice approaches have led researchers to specify the socio-
economic conditions in Mexico and the United States that lead certain
groups to be more likely to migrate than others. Much research on this
topic (such as Massey, Goldring, and Duran 1994) has therefore consisted
of useful examinations of statistical correlations between migration rates
and membership in particular demographic and economic groups. Such
studies have helped us understand, for example, why most migrants from
Oaxaca to the United States are young men. An examination of the mi-
gration decisions made by Jorge and Oscar shows what is left out of such
analyses. Using an economic model to determine which choices were in
their self-interest is difficult to do because of the slipperiness of the con-
cept of “utility,” the unpredictable outcomes of different decisions, the
differences between short-term and long-term consequences of actions,
and the fuzzy nature of decision-making units.
There are two main reasons Jorge and Oscar made different decisions
about migration. First, Oscar had job skills and social connections that
might be more useful in Oaxaca. Second, the brothers placed different
emphases on the relative importance of the economic and personal con-
sequences of migration for themselves and their families. A researcher
focusing on rational choice might attempt to measure the differences
in local job opportunities, but such an approach would be of no help in
understanding the different weights that Jorge and Oscar placed on eco-
nomic and psychological considerations. An advocate of rational choice
could only make the meaningless observation that Oscar placed higher
“utility” than Jorge on the psychological well-being of himself and his
family. Although from this perspective both brothers acted “rationally,”
the concept of “utility” does not aid our understanding of how their
psychological make-up influenced their choices.
Unpredictable Consequences
When Jorge and Oscar discussed going to the United States, they had
some idea of what their lives would be like in California. Still, they did
not know what kinds of work they would find, whether they would have
14 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
trouble with the border patrol, and how happy or unhappy they would be
away from their community. They could make only vague guesses about
what their economic and personal situations would be like over the next
several years if they stayed in Mexico. Their migration decisions there-
fore only partly fit expected utility theory assumptions about the ability
of decision makers to specify the probability of alternative outcomes to
their choices.
When Jorge and Oscar contemplated migration, they were unsure about
a time period on which to base their decision. Migration might be short-
term if large amounts of money were earned and economic conditions
in Oaxaca improved. If the economic situation in Oaxaca worsened (as
turned out to be the case), migrants might spend a long time—perhaps
even the rest of their lives—in the United States.
The recent worldwide financial crisis has led economists to pay more at-
tention to critiques of strict versions of rational choice theory (Cassidy
2009 and Fox 2009 provide good popular overviews). Consumers, inves-
tors, bank officials, and policy makers made decisions during the past de-
cade that in retrospect were “irrational” in their underestimation of the
possibility of disastrous outcomes. Their choices seemed inconsistent with
ideas such as the rational expectations hypothesis, part of an influential
theoretical framework proposed by the economists Robert Lucas (1987)
and John Muth (1961). John Cassidy nicely summarizes this framework:
A theory of how people make their economic choices is without interest and
probably impossible until we have tackled the prior questions of the factors
determining what choices are available to them.
White 1976:36
I was not alone in worrying about such issues. The question of the ex-
planatory power of studies of decision making is related to two classic
debates in social science. The first concerns the relative importance of
fine-grained local studies and wider-ranging examinations of regional,
national, and international economics and politics. The second is about
the usefulness of methodological individualism as opposed to the analysis
of cultural norms and supra-individual social institutions. I cannot pre-
tend here to be able to resolve these debates. My goal is the more modest
one of contrasting the ways in which economists and anthropologists deal
with the limitations of decision-making studies.
Economists usually regard most constraints on decision making as
“givens” beyond the scope of their analyses. They often, however, ana-
lyze how incentives offered by different macroeconomic policies affect
the choices that people make. Economic anthropologists take several ap-
proaches to decision making. Some attempt careful formalist analyses of
how people make choices in particular times and places. Others adopt the
substantivist position that economic choices are limited because they are
embedded in social institutions. Most emphasize how local decisions must
be understood in the context of wider historical, economic, and politi-
cal circumstances. Although many practicing economic anthropologists
combine these approaches, they differ in which ones they emphasize.
Before contrasting the approaches of economists and anthropologists
to the limitations of decision-making studies, I look at the Belize case in
more detail. Pragmatic examinations of particular cases, I think, provide
insights about general issues that are obscured in programmatic theoreti-
cal proclamations.
emphasized how external institutions such as states and firms limited de-
cision making, the substantivists focused on internal sociocultural factors
that prevented people from having all that much choice.
The substantivist argument seemed of limited relevance to my research
in Belize. I was not working in a place with a long-standing cultural tradi-
tion and complex forms of indigenous social organization. The groups I
worked with—including the Mayas—were all descendants of people who
had either been brought to Belize as slaves or migrated there while the
colony was under British control. The only way that the substantivist
position seemed pertinent was in local patterns of marriage and residence.
Arguably as a result of economic conditions under colonialism, men in
two ethnic groups in the area—Creoles and Caribs (Garifuna)—often
remained in their parents’ homes well into adulthood while fathering and
supporting children with women living elsewhere, usually with their own
relatives. Maya men and women, in contrast, married young and estab-
lished their own households. These cultural differences clearly influenced
economic activities. But such differences affected the local economy much
less than, for example, low prices for cash crops, poor roads, and a small
internal market.
In 1995 Amartya Sen was invited in to give the Frisch Memorial Lecture
at the World Econometric Conference in Tokyo. Sen, who was awarded
the Nobel Prize in Economics a few years later, decided to talk about
“maximization and the act of choice.” As might be expected in a lecture
to this audience, much of the talk was phrased in the language of mathe-
How Important Is Decision Making? 25
(i) Reputation and indirect effects: The person may expect to profit in the
future from having the reputation of being a generally considerate
person, and not a vigilant “chair-grabber.”
(ii) Social commitment and moral imperatives: She may not think it
morally “right” to grab the most comfortable chair, cutting others
out, and such “moral sentiments” could be explicitly followed or only
implicitly obeyed.
(iii) Direct welfare effects: The person’s well-being may be affected di-
rectly by the process of choice (for example, by what people think of
her—she may not enjoy the look she gets as she makes a dash for the
great chair) . . .
(iv) Conventional rule following: She may be simply following an estab-
lished rule of “proper behavior” (as the ongoing norm), rather
than being influenced by direct welfare effects, or even by any self-
conscious ethics. (747–748)
Friedman therefore argues against the position that theories can be as-
sessed by the realism of their assumptions (41). For Friedman, the only
test of a theory is whether it leads to hypotheses that yield accurate pre-
dictions. This view would seem to contrast in two striking ways with past
and present practices in economics. Although some economic theories
are notorious for their failure to predict real-world events, their adher-
ents often continue to espouse them. Furthermore, much of economics
consists of exploring the mathematical implications of different models
without much concern about how such models might be tested using em-
pirical data. What is of relevance here, however, is Friedman’s deliberate
lack of concern about realistic descriptions of choice and his implicit dis-
dain of holistic methods, such as those prized in anthropology and his-
tory, that emphasize complex interrelationships of culture, institutions,
and decisions.
The continuing dominance of Friedman’s way of thinking about eco-
nomics can be seen through an examination of the introductory sections
of three leading contemporary textbooks.1 Economics, Principles, Problems,
and Policies (McConnell and Brue 2005) is currently the best-selling text-
book in the field. Economics (Samuelson and Nordhaus 2005) is a recent
incarnation of what was the standard textbook in economics for decades.
Principles of Microeconomics (Mankiw 2005) is written by a Harvard pro-
fessor who runs a popular blog and was chair between 2003 and 2005 of
President Bush’s Council of Economic Advisers.
How Important Is Decision Making? 29
[A]t its core, economics is the science of choice. (Samuelson and Nord-
haus 2005:xviiii)
are practical precisely because they are abstractions. The full scope of
economic reality is too complex and bewildering to be understood as a
whole. Economists simplify—that is, develop theories and models—to
give meaning to an otherwise overwhelming and confusing maze of facts.
Theorizing for this purpose is highly practical. (McConnell and Brue
2005:8)
Firms decide who to hire and what to make. Households decide which
firms to work for and what to buy with their incomes. These firms and
households interact in the marketplace, where prices and self-interest
guide their decisions. (Mankiw 2005:9)
instead that economic behavior in tribal and peasant societies was deter-
mined by culturally specific institutions and norms. Sol Tax’s ethnogra-
phies of Mayas in Panajachel, Guatemala, in the 1930s and 1940s were a
rare exception. According to Tax (1953), the Mayas were “penny capital-
ists” who attempted to economize and maximize in ways similar to those
of entrepreneurs in industrial countries.
Starting around 1950, increasing numbers of anthropologists began to
think more carefully about the relationships among social institutions,
cultural norms, and economic decision making. Raymond Firth’s distinc-
tion between “social organization” and “social structure” (1951) is per-
haps the best-known attempt at this time to reconcile studies of individual
choices and analyses of larger systems. Firth used the term “social organi-
zation” idiosyncratically to refer to the continuing choices that individu-
als make when faced with new opportunities. “Social structure” consists
of long-standing institutions such as kinship systems, land tenure rules,
and political organizations. As new opportunities arise, individuals make
choices (social organization) that eventually lead to long-term institu-
tional changes (social structure). Firth’s ideas were developed further by
Fredrik Barth (1967) and Gerald Britan and Bette Denich (1976), who ar-
gued that individuals with similar goals and choices tend to make similar
decisions. The result is changing cultural patterns that ultimately affect
social relationships and institutional forms.
Many anthropologists studying economics in tribal and peasant soci-
eties agreed with Firth and Barth about the importance of studying indi-
vidual decision making. Others, however, continued to emphasize the
ways in which cultural norms and social institutions constrained choices.
This disagreement led to the famous, bitter, formalist-substantivist de-
bate of the 1960s and 1970s. The most fundamental issue in this debate
involved the definition of “economics.” For the formalists, economics is
about the methods used to analyze decision making in situations when
resources are scarce. The core of the field consisted of theories such as
rational choice, which could be applied to people everywhere. The sub-
stantivists, as their name suggests, thought that economics is about the
description of the operations of particular institutions associated with
production, consumption, and especially exchange at different places and
times.
The substantivists’ most important claim was that in places where
markets are either nonexistent or unimportant, economic choices are
embedded within social institutions that prescribe culturally appropri-
ate ways of making decisions about production, exchange, and consump-
How Important Is Decision Making? 33
Scott (1990) and others have examined how local people in certain
places and times have attempted to improve their lives through group
How Important Is Decision Making? 35
action and organized resistance. There are lively debates among those who
study such social movements about the degree to which common religious
and cultural beliefs, especially those grounded in ethnicity, underlie the
formation of effective local resistance to outside pressures. In some cases,
common interests lead people from diverse groups to band together; in
other situations differences in ethnicity, class, and politics prevent effec-
tive actions.
The question of human agency is also part of a branch of anthro-
pology called “practice theory” (Bourdieu 1977; Ortner 1984, 2006). This
theory aims at exploring relationships between human actions (practice)
and global entities (“the system”), with equal attention to the impact of
the system on practice and the impact of practice on the system (Ortner
1984:148). Practice theory developed in reaction to what were regarded as
defects in the prevailing anthropological theories of the 1960s and 1970s:
[T]hey all had one thing in common: they were essentially theories of
“constraint.” Human behavior was shaped, molded, ordered, and de-
fined by external social and cultural forces and formation: by culture, by
mental structures, by capitalism. . . . [A] purely constraint-based theory,
without attention to either human agency or to processes that produced
and reproduced these constraints—social practices—was coming to seem
increasingly problematic. (Ortner 2006:1–2)
Practice theory has only rarely been directly concerned with individual
economic decision making. Nonetheless, the issues addressed by practice
theorists are clearly relevant to studies of choice.
Conclusions
Some decisions obviously matter a lot. No one would deny the signifi-
cance of the vote of the Supreme Court of the United States in the 1950s
outlawing segregation in public schools or the decisions that many finan-
cial institutions made in the past decade to invest in risky hedge funds.
Other decisions do not matter as much. Even I find it hard to care much
about my choice of which route to take when bicycling the mile between
my house and the university where I work. The extent to which a par-
ticular choice matters depends on both its consequences and the num-
ber of people affected. The choices of powerful decision makers such as
the president of an oil company or the members of a national legisla-
36 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
ture can have dramatic consequences for the lives of millions of people.
Less powerful individuals and groups, in contrast, often find themselves
in situations in which many choices they make have little effect on even
their own lives.
Although economists focus more directly than anthropologists on the
study of choice, most scholars in both fields agree on the importance of
studying significant decisions. The fields differ starkly, however, in how
best to study such decisions. Economists attempt to create parsimonious
models of choice that involve a limited number of clearly defined, mea-
surable variables that can be tested with empirical evidence. They regard
“economy” and “society” as separate spheres, each requiring its own dis-
tinctive type of analysis. In their models of choice, cultural norms and
social institutions are treated as external factors that are relevant only in
as much as they affect the values (“utilities”) that decision makers place
on alternative outcomes. Economists are therefore rarely concerned with
the complex interactions among cultural norms, social institutions, and
decision making. They pay little attention to the ways in which choices
are embedded in social institutions and the effects of cumulative decision
making on the evolution of cultural rules and customs.
Anthropologists place much more emphasis on the ways in which
choices are constrained by cultural norms and social institutions. In the
past, a few anthropologists interested in decision making (formalists) at-
tempted to mimic the assumptions and methods of economists. How-
ever, the great majority of contemporary economic anthropologists—
including many using mathematical models of choice—reject some or all
of the methods and assumptions of economics. There is general agree-
ment among anthropologists that most economists’ models distort reality
by ignoring many variables that affect choices. Unlike Milton Friedman,
they do not regard such distortions as a scientific necessity.
Almost all anthropologists think that treating “economy” and “so-
ciety” as separate categories is a basic analytic error. Economists are also
sometimes scorned by anthropologists for their disregard of empirical
evidence in their casual assumption that theories developed to describe
behavior in market societies can be easily applied everywhere. Perhaps
most importantly, many anthropologists and other social scientists think
that economists fail to sufficiently emphasize the extent to which indi-
viduals’ choices are constrained by historical circumstances and power
differentials between the rich and the poor.
Although I agree with most other anthropologists about these short-
comings of economic theory and practice, I nonetheless would argue that
How Important Is Decision Making? 37
and either English or Spanish. There were also numerous smaller ethnic
groups in the colony, including German-speaking Mennonites and ex-
patriates from Britain, the United States, and elsewhere.
By 1971 the British were eager to abandon their colony in Central
America. Britain had been pumping money into British Honduras ever
since the demand for mahogany had lessened in the first part of the
twentieth century. The place remained a colony only because of a long-
standing territorial dispute between Britain and Guatemala. During the
colonial era the British claim of part of the Central American mainland
was disputed by Spain. The territory remained contested after the in-
dependence of most Latin American nations. In 1859 an agreement was
reached in which British sovereignty would be recognized if Britain con-
structed a road connecting Guatemala City and the city of Belize on the
Caribbean Sea. Because the road was never built, Guatemala continued
to press its claims. Only the presence of the British army had deterred an
invasion on several occasions. Although British Honduras was internally
self-governed in the early 1970s, the fear of an attack by Guatemala pre-
vented Belizeans from pursuing complete independence.
British colonial officials and the internal Belizean government thought
that agricultural development was necessary to improve the local econ-
omy and reverse the unfavorable balance of trade. Domestic shortages had
forced the government in many years to import rice and red kidney beans,
the staples of much of the population. Both attaining self-sufficiency in
staple foods and increasing agricultural exports seemed feasible. British
Honduras had a low population density and large tracts of unused, cul-
tivable land. Diverse projects aimed at stimulating agriculture. The gov-
ernment built roads into remote hamlets, provided price supports, sold
land to farmers planting permanent crops, formed cooperatives, and en-
couraged the use of fertilizers, herbicides, pesticides, and new types of
seeds. These programs had limited success. Norman Ashcraft, an anthro-
pologist who carefully examined agricultural development programs dur-
ing this period, reported:
I was struck by a “cultural” reason that was sometimes offered for the
failure of these programs. Many projects were aimed at Creoles living in
the center and south of British Honduras. Development officers claimed
that Creole males regarded agriculture as an inferior, transitory occupa-
tion that occupied time away from more important forestry work.
[Creoles] are, perhaps, not natural farmers and do not work the land
continually and in harmony with it. (Romney et al. 1959:151)
Two themes were implicit in these assertions. When Creoles were de-
scribed as “not natural farmers,” they were being compared to the Mayas,
who planted larger fields and worked less as wage laborers. While the
Creoles’ alleged preference for wage labor was thought to have been rea-
sonable at earlier times when opportunities for forest work were abun-
dant and incentives for cash cropping minimal, the continued aversion to
farming was regarded as an irrational obstacle to economic development.
Ashcraft, however, thought that the Creoles were sensible in not respond-
ing much to agricultural incentives (1973:91). He noted the poor road sys-
tem, the high cost of transportation, and a cumbersome marketing board
system that made it difficult for farmers to sell crops to the state at fixed
prices. Ashcraft also observed that there were increasing employment op-
portunities on sugar and citrus plantations. Creoles, he suggested, might
reasonably prefer the ready cash from wage work on commercial farms to
the uncertain returns from their own farming.
Although Ashcraft’s book on agricultural development in British Hon-
duras came out after I finished my fieldwork, I knew about his views prior
to conducting research from his doctoral dissertation (Ashcraft 1968) and
personal correspondence. My initial reaction on reading about this con-
troversy was to side with Ashcraft. I was at the time (and for the most part
remain) committed to materialist approaches to economics. I assumed
that human groups faced with changing material circumstances will ordi-
narily alter their economic strategies in attempts to solve whatever new
problems arise. From this perspective, I thought that the cultural “tra-
ditions” of particular ethnic groups would not usually pose a significant
Choices between Paid and Unpaid Work 43
[I]f one wishes to calculate the total value of a farmer’s harvest [nowa-
days I would say “the harvest of a farm household”], . . . the value of a
given unit of a crop used for home consumption is not equal to [the value
of ] the same unit sold at market. If it is assumed that agricultural activity
and diet are independent of one another [in retrospect a shaky assump-
tion], food that is needed for subsistence purposes, but is not grown,
must be purchased. For this reason crops consumed at home should be
valued at the price they sell for at stores and not at the price the farmer
gets when he [Of course, today I would not use the male pronoun.] sells
them. (Chibnik 1975:81)
Mellor thus suggests that the subsistence production of wheat (in this
case) should be valued at its retail price. I concluded that such a valua-
tion was “the most plausible procedure that had been suggested” (Chib-
nik 1978:569).
In the three decades since I published this piece, social scientists have
written extensively about estimating the economic value of unpaid do-
mestic work, non-timber forest products, and hunting and fishing for
home consumption. Very little new has been said, however, about placing
a monetary value on crops and animals raised for subsistence purposes
by households participating in market economies. I therefore restrict my
discussion about agriculture in what follows to as yet unresolved meth-
odological questions about problems associated with valuing subsistence
production at retail prices.
Farming is inherently a risky enterprise. Yields vary depending on
weather conditions, the extent to which weeds and pests can be con-
trolled, and the effectiveness of capital expenditures such as irrigation
and fertilizer. When crops are sold, there is inevitably uncertainty about
prices, even when governments provide a guaranteed market. Farmers in
market economies thinking about the advantages and disadvantages of
different crops therefore must consider variability in yields and prices as
well as average returns to inputs of land, labor, and capital.
Choices between Paid and Unpaid Work 49
tropical forests are worth considerably more than has been previously as-
sumed and . . . the actual market benefits of timber are very small relative
to those of non-wood resources. Moreover, the total net revenue gener-
ated by the sustainable exploitation of “minor” forest products are two or
three times higher than those resulting from forest conversion [logging,
cattle raising, and farming]. (1989:655)
In the late 1980s, enormous publicity was being given to the worldwide
disappearance of tropical rainforests. The findings of Peters, Gentry, and
Mendelsohn were described in a lengthy article in the science section of
the New York Times (July 4, 1989) and were cited in a sharply worded edi-
torial in that newspaper about the dangers of excessive logging.
When Peters, Gentry, and Mendelsohn assigned a monetary value to
the NTFPs in a small plot of Amazonian rainforest, they made several
simplifying assumptions. They considered only tree products and ignored
other NTFPs. Their calculations were restricted to products that could
be sold at markets; they did not consider items that were used exclu-
sively for home consumption. In cases where NTFPs or wood could be
Choices between Paid and Unpaid Work 51
both sold and consumed at home, no attempt was made to measure local
people’s actual allocation of these products between market sales and sub-
sistence use. Perhaps most importantly, the authors did not discuss the
extent to which an increased production of NTFPs might lower market
price. The limited demand for many NTFPs suggests that valuing them
at current market price overestimated their potential value in comparison
with timber.
My focus here is on the neglect by many authors discussing NTFPs—
exemplified by Peters, Gentry, and Mendelsohn—to examine carefully
the value of forest products used exclusively or primarily for subsistence.
In a recent perceptive article examining the economic value of unmar-
keted NTFPs Charles Delang argues,
Delang goes on to review several methods that have been tried to esti-
mate the economic value of unmarketed food plants.6 The three methods
he discusses that are most commonly used—opportunity cost, contingent
valuation, and substitute product value—all are associated with signifi-
cant theoretical and methodological difficulties. Furthermore, they result
in strikingly different conclusions about the economic value of particular
NTFPs.
plants was then used to calculated the value of the wild food plants con-
sumed at home.
The two methods resulted in surprisingly different estimates of the
value of collected wild food plants. Using the opportunity cost method,
Delang calculated that the value of NTFPs collected by the “average”
household (5.33 members) was about fifteen days of wage labor at eighty
Baht (the Thai monetary unit) per day. In contrast, the substitute produc-
tion method resulted in a much higher valuation:
[T]o make up for the loss of wild food plants, the Karen would have to
buy food plants in the market. The (surrogate) market value of the wild
food plants that the average household . . . consumes is 11,505 Baht per
year. This much higher value corresponds to approximately 114 days
of work at 80B/day. Thus, by working for 15 days gathering wild food
plants, the Karen are able to save the same amount of money they earn
in 114 days. (2006:70)
The assumption that the Karen would buy comparable food plants at mar-
ket if they did not collect them is questionable. They might well instead be
able to purchase cheaper foods. Nonetheless, Delang’s study clearly shows
the difficulties associated with attempting to value subsistence production
in particular cases.
Conclusions
When I bought a new home in early 2009, I was faced with several com-
plicated financial decisions. How much of my savings should I use for a
down payment and how much should I borrow via a mortgage? Should I
take out a bridge loan during the period between the closing date on the
new house and the sale of my current residence? Which assets should I sell
to cover the down payment?
The world economy at the time was in the midst of a severe recession.
The value of my stocks and bonds had dropped precipitously over the
previous year; I had no idea if this plunge would continue. In order to
learn how the tax implications of the market slump might influence my
decisions about paying for the house, I made an appointment with my
accountant. He recommended that we also consult one of his associates
who handled investors’ portfolios. Although the meeting began with a
discussion of taxes, we spent most of our time considering my investment
strategies and plans for retirement. The financial adviser confidently
showed me a complicated chart he had devised that showed the risks and
returns associated with different types of investments over the past thirty
years. His idea was that this chart could be used in conjunction with my fi-
nancial goals to determine how best to pay for my house and make future
investments. My immediate response was to ask the adviser about his ap-
parent assumption that the future would resemble the past. I pointed out
that prominent economists seemed to have no idea about what would be
Risk, Uncertainty, and Decision Making 61
the outcome of the current financial crisis. Why, then, would I want to
base my investments on what had happened in previous decades? The ad-
viser could not give a reassuring response to my query and could only say
that economic conditions at this time seemed unusually uncertain.
The type of question I raised was not at all unusual. Almost every deci-
sion that human beings make is affected by the unpredictability of future
events. In the early twentieth century, the economist Frank Knight ar-
gued (1921) that such decision-making situations could be characterized
as either “risky” or “uncertain.” In risky situations, decision makers can
estimate the probabilities of different outcomes resulting from particular
decisions. In uncertain situations, decision makers have no idea what the
probabilities are of different outcomes. In the real world, however, most
decisions-making situations combine elements of both risk and uncer-
tainty. Decision makers often have vague ideas about what the odds are
of different outcomes but are unable to make even ballpark estimates of
probabilities. My house financing choices, for example, seemed to fall in
the middle of a risk-uncertainty continuum.
In this chapter I explore approaches that economists, cognitive psy-
chologists, and anthropologists have taken toward analyzing decision
making in situations of risk and uncertainty. Perhaps because of con-
ceptual problems, economists and psychologists usually either ignore
or downplay Knightean uncertainty when examining decision making.
Anthropologists have taken diverse approaches to risk and uncertainty.
Some ethnographers have attempted to employ the theoretical models of
economists and the findings of laboratory experiments of psychologists
in their analyses of decision making in real-world settings. Most anthro-
pologists, however, reject the approaches of economists and psychologists
as being unrealistic. Even in situations of low uncertainty when risks can
be quantified to some extent, the models of economists and psychologists
seem to these anthropologists to be largely irrelevant to the activities of
most people making complicated decisions.
Before discussing more thoroughly different theoretical approaches to
risk and uncertainty, I present in some detail three examples of decision
making drawn from my fieldwork. Although these case studies omit or
gloss over many of the complex factors influencing choices, they provide
sufficient ethnographic material with which to assess the advantages and
shortcomings of varied theoretical approaches to risk and uncertainty.
62 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
During the early 1980s I conducted research on decisions about the adop-
tion of no-till farming techniques in Van Buren County in southeastern
Iowa (Chibnik 1987). No-till is an important soil conservation measure
that had been recently introduced to the Midwest. Farmers using this
technique in Iowa plant corn or soybeans in previously unprepared soil
by “opening a narrow slot, trench or band of sufficient width and depth to
obtain proper seed coverage” (Choi and Coughenour 1979:1). The use of
herbicides enables farmers to control unwanted weeds and grasses with-
out turning the soil.
At the time of my research, no-till was receiving extensive publicity in
Iowa. The Des Moines Register, the state’s leading newspaper, and maga-
zines including Wallaces Farmer and Successful Farming ran articles about
the technique. No-till yield contests were regular features of state fairs.
This publicity led farmers to be increasingly willing to experiment with
no-till. Van Buren County was one of the most active no-till areas in the
state. Although there were no more than a dozen no-tillers in Van Buren
County in 1978, by 1982 the local Soil Conservation Service estimated that
20 to 30 percent of the county’s 1,100 farmers had some acreage in no-till.
Iowa farmers were experimenting with no-till because of its potential
as an effective soil-saving technique that might also reduce labor time and
fuel costs. In the 1980s, severe soil erosion problems were threatening
the prominence of midwestern corn and soybean farming. Many farms
had lost half their original topsoil. Despite deteriorating soils, farmers
had been able to increase corn and soybean yields by applying massive
amounts of fertilizers, herbicides, and pesticides. These energy-intensive
practices, however, had become less cost- effective as the price of fossil
fuels soared and gains in productivity leveled off. Furthermore, the ex-
tensive use of chemical fertilizers had caused soil damage. Besides these
on-farm costs, soil erosion was causing off-farm environmental problems
such as the silting of reservoirs and streambeds and the deterioration of
water quality.
Technological and macroeconomic changes had caused some farmers
to become dissatisfied with older soil conservation practices. Large trac-
tors could not be operated easily on fields with intricate systems of con-
tours, terraces, and shelter belts. Expanding markets and soaring land
values (with consequent higher rents and taxes) led farmers to shorten
crop rotations and plow under pastures and woodlands.
The search for new conservation methods led many farmers to attempt
Risk, Uncertainty, and Decision Making 63
state began making rice loans available through the Agrarian Bank.1 The
process of getting a loan was time-consuming and costly. Farmers had to
obtain separate loan approvals for specific activities such as land clear-
ing, weeding, and harvesting. Borrowers had to travel to branches of the
Agrarian Bank in Iquitos or elsewhere to get an entire season’s loan ini-
tially approved and to receive approvals for each loan portion. Because
most villages were from five to fifteen hours by boat from the nearest
branch of the Agrarian Bank, trips to get loan approvals involved a stay of
at least one night away from home. Limited hours (nine in the morning to
noon, five days a week), crowded conditions, and slow service at the bank
often resulted in delays of several days.
Farmers ordinarily did not know what the bank’s credit policies would
be in the coming year. The bank made little effort to disseminate informa-
tion about these policies, which often changed. Ribereños received most
of their information about bank policies from a regional rice producers
organization.
The fundamental risk that rice producers encountered when they
took agricultural credit was that their net incomes from sales would be
less than the cost of their loans (principal plus interest plus travel costs).
Because prices were guaranteed, profits depended mostly on rice yields.
There were two principal reasons rice yields were sometimes unaccept-
ably low. In some years farmers were unable to complete harvesting be-
fore the river rose. In other years farmers were unable to pay off loans
taken out before the agricultural cycle began when they were unable to
gain access to sufficient good land. This occurred most often when many
mud deposits were not inundated after the river rose, leaving much of the
land weed-covered.
Farmers unable to repay loans found themselves in a precarious eco-
nomic position. Although amnesties were sometimes given after regional
disasters, indebted farmers were ordinarily forbidden to take out new
loans from the Agrarian Bank. They were forced to borrow from habili-
tadores. Furthermore, when heavily indebted farmers sold rice to state
buying centers, they did not receive cash. Instead, their debts were re-
duced by the value of the rice sold. Habilitadores sometimes took advan-
tage of this government policy by buying rice at low prices from indebted
farmers needing money immediately and reselling it to buying centers at
higher prices.
A research assistant and I interviewed twelve farmers about their ex-
periences with rice loans from the Agrarian Bank. These farmers had
Risk, Uncertainty, and Decision Making 67
taken out a total of ninety-one such loans between 1970 and 1985. Of
these loans, sixteen (18 percent) were not paid back when due, and in all
but three of these cases insufficient rice production was the reason for the
loan default. While these data do not allow more than a tentative estimate
of the probability of a loan default because of insufficient production,
they suggest that the chance of this occurring was considerable. Even if in
most years the probability of a loan default was low, simple mathematical
calculations show that a regular borrower was likely to default eventually.2
All but one of the twelve rice growers interviewed had defaulted at least
once. Furthermore, even those borrowers able to repay loans often lost
money or made minuscule profits.
Because the chances of poor rice yields in mud flats can be roughly esti-
mated, obtaining agricultural credit might have seemed to fall on the risk
side of a risk-uncertainty continuum. Taking out rice loans appeared to
be a calculable risky strategy that most farmers would be likely to avoid.
Such an analysis, however, ignores a major motivation for seeking rice
loans. Farmers often borrowed in order to insure against economic or
medical setbacks or to even out seasonal fluctuations in cash. Ribereños
sometimes deliberately took out loans to pay for routine household main-
tenance; at other times they were forced by emergencies to divert money
away from producing and marketing rice. If loans were repaid on time, the
Agrarian Bank might not monitor their use. Even when farmers used so
much credit for household expenses that loan repayment was impossible,
indebtedness to a bank was sometimes regarded as preferable to borrow-
ing from an habilitador.
The conventional wisdom about “peasant risk-aversion” (such as Ortiz
1973, Scott 1976) was therefore of only limited use in understanding ri-
bereños’ willingness to seek rice loans from the Agrarian Bank. Farmers
in the floodplain communities wanted to make money, avoid long-term
indebtedness, and ensure a steady food supply and medical care for their
families. Rice loans increased the probability of both significant monetary
profits and long-term indebtedness. Credit provided insurance against
starvation and medical disasters. Obtaining rice credit thus increased cer-
tain types of risk and decreased other types of risk. Farmers differed in
the extent to which they weighed these varying types of risk (and uncer-
tainty) when making decisions about whether to take out loans from the
Agrarian Bank.
68 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
Since 1994 I have been conducting research on the sale of wood carvings
(alebrijes) from the Mexican state of Oaxaca in the global folk art market
(Chibnik 2003). Even the most casual tourist in the city of Oaxaca, the
state capital, can see that craft production is an integral part of the local
economy. Visitors to the historic center pass shop after shop featuring the
regions’ artisans. Tours visit villages where pottery, weavings, and textiles
are made. Vendors in squares and markets hawk handmade rugs, earthen-
ware, tin ornaments, wall hangings, and cloth and leather belts. Few tour-
ists realize that their purchases are only a small part of the local trade in
arts and crafts. The livelihoods of most rural potters, weavers, and wood
carvers depend primarily on sales to intermediaries from Mexico, Europe,
Japan, Canada, and, most importantly, the United States.
My research has focused on the activities of carvers in two communi-
ties, Arrazola and San Martín Tilcajete. In the 1970s and early 1980s these
artisans sold their pieces mostly to store owners in the city of Oaxaca.
Wood carving during this period was ordinarily a part-time occupation
for a few adult males; women and children occasionally helped with paint-
ing and sanding. In the mid-1980s, wholesalers and store owners from the
United States began to visit Arrazola and San Martín to buy carvings.
Wholesalers could earn significant amounts of money by selling carv-
ings in the United States at three to six times their cost in Mexico. Carv-
ings became more complicated and paint jobs more ornate as artisans
competed to show their skills. The craft since then has been a family
activity in which the typical, although not universal, division of labor is
women painting and men carving and also doing some painting. Children
often help out with various tasks, most importantly sanding. Adult men
do less than half the work on many carvings.
The wood-carving boom of the 1980s and 1990s had dramatic effects
on the economies of Arrazola and San Martín. In Arrazola some fami-
lies abandoned agriculture altogether and worked as full-time carvers.
Although most carving households in San Martín continued to farm,
agriculture became a secondary, subsistence- oriented activity. Despite
artisans’ success selling wood carvings during these years, in both com-
munities significant numbers of people migrated temporarily or perma-
nently to the United States. At the beginning of this century, sales of
cheap wood carvings dropped dramatically, and many low- end artisans
stopped making pieces. There remained a good market for more expen-
sive alebrijes.
Risk, Uncertainty, and Decision Making 69
My most intensive fieldwork took place in the late 1990s, when the
market for all Oaxacan wood carvings was still strong. An important part
of my research was determining how and why people in households in-
volved in the trade in alebrijes allocated their time among wood carving,
wage labor, schooling, and migration to the United States and elsewhere.
To a certain extent, these decisions were made by individuals weighing the
costs and benefits of different options. But these choices were also in part
family decisions influenced strongly by discussions among adult members
of households.
The economic goals of Oaxacan wood-carving households were more
ambitious than those of the Peruvian ribereños with whom I had worked
in the 1980s. Ribereños were primarily motivated by their desires to en-
sure a steady food supply for their families and to have money in case
of medical emergencies. Oaxacan wood carvers, in contrast, aspired—
usually in vain—to a middle-class standard of living including automo-
biles, diverse electronic devices, and good educations for their children.
They compared their economic situation not only with other Oaxacans
but also with their relatives and friends who had migrated (usually without
legal documentation) temporarily or permanently to the United States.
With the exception of migration to the United States, wood carving
was clearly the most promising short-term economic option in the late
1990s for families in Arrazola and San Martín. The returns per labor day
were markedly higher than those from wage labor and crops such as corn,
beans, garlic, and onions. The demand for alebrijes was sufficiently high
that wood carving was not particularly risky if families had artisans of
average talent. Even the cheapest and simplest pieces could be sold to
visiting tourists, store owners in Oaxaca, and folk art dealers from the
United States. Children, the elderly, and mothers of young children who
lacked either the time or the ability to work at full-time wage labor could
help out with wood carving.
Why, then, were there many people in Arrazola and San Martín who
did not participate in the wood- carving boom? Why did many wood-
carving families continue to devote considerable time to growing corn
and beans? Some people either did not enjoy making alebrijes or lacked
talent for carving and painting. Long-term considerations of risk and un-
certainty, however, were the primary reasons families often encouraged
certain members to migrate, stay in school, or pursue economic activities
other than wood carving. Oaxacan artisans in the late 1990s thought (cor-
rectly) that the market for alebrijes would worsen fairly soon. If every-
one in a family specialized in painting and carving alebrijes, their tal-
70 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
Common Themes
Most choices involve multiple risks and uncertainties. Iowa farmers choos-
ing between no-till and conventional methods had to consider yield varia-
tions, potential input costs, and the chances of health problems resulting
from the use of chemicals. Ribereños weighing the possibility of taking
out a loan were influenced by flood patterns, inflation, and the chances of
family members incurring medical expenses. Oaxacan artisan households
considering different types of work had to contend with an unpredict-
able market for crafts, the perils of being undocumented laborers in the
United States, and a volatile Mexican economy that limits opportunities
for educated people.
Individuals differ in the weights they place on the importance of the
various risks and uncertainties associated with particular choices. More-
over, analyzing the risks and uncertainties of variables such as yields,
costs, and prices is enormously complicated. The risk and uncertainty
of corn yields in Iowa, for example, arises from yearly variations in tem-
perature, rainfall, weeds, pests, and a host of other factors. Farmers’ ideas
about yield risks cannot be captured merely by examining “objective” his-
72 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
The decisions presented in the case studies took place in contexts that
were quite different from Knight’s situations of “pure risk” in which the
probabilities of different outcomes are known. Instead, they all fell some-
where on a risk-uncertainty continuum. Some variables (corn yields with
conventional farming in Iowa, flood patterns in the Peruvian Amazon)
were closer to the risk end of the continuum because of historical records
and the reasonableness of assumptions that the future would resemble the
past. But even in these cases decision makers could only provide rough
estimates of the chances of different outcomes. Many other factors affect-
ing the decisions described here are closer to the uncertainty end of the
continuum. These included variability of no-till soybean yields on flat-
lands in Iowa, the chances of a member of a ribereño family being bitten
by a snake, and the odds that a large-scale buyer of folk art would like a
new creation by a Oaxacan wood carver.
with the technique. The soil conservation made possible by no-till, how-
ever, may make this farming method preferable to conventional agricul-
ture in the long run for particular crops on certain types of land.
Many social scientists (among them Netting 1993:33, Scott 1976:24) have
observed that diversification of economic activities is a common, useful
strategy for reducing risk and uncertainty. The idea is that people who en-
gage in several activities will have something to fall back on if problems
arise with one of their sources of food and income. This is codified in folk
wisdom in the adage “Don’t put all your eggs in one basket.”
The three cases presented here provide further evidence of the ubiq-
uity of diversification to avoid risk. Many rural households in Iowa in 1982
split their land between no-till and conventional crops and also took off-
farm work. Ribereño households borrowing money from the Agrarian
Bank in 1986 to hire laborers to help with the rice harvest also fished,
collected fruit, and grew corn and manioc using family labor. Oaxacan
artisan households in 1998 raised subsistence crops, made wood carvings,
worked as wage laborers, and migrated temporarily to the United States
or other parts of Mexico.
74 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
In an article I wrote some years ago (Chibnik 1981), I argued that de-
cision makers often take actions to make costs more risk-like and less
uncertain-like. These actions, I suggested, commonly take the form of
low-cost (in time or money), small-scale experimentation and informa-
tion gathering. Although I thought at the time that this was an original
observation, I now know that a few economists had already reached this
conclusion. K. E. Warner (1974), for example, had made essentially the
same argument in the context of the adoption of innovations. He pointed
out that when possible, potential adopters seek information about the cost
and value of an innovation via their own and others’ experiments. (Marra,
Pannell, and Ghadim 2003 and Rogers 2003 review more recent work on
this topic.) Iowa farmers talked to their neighbors about no-till, ribereños
attended meetings about credit organized by the leaders of rural unions,
and Oaxacan artisans asked their relatives about the sales of new types of
carvings.
The examples presented here suggest that detailed ethnography is nec-
essary to understand the complex considerations that influence decisions
in situations of risk and uncertainty. In what follows, I show that the great
majority of economists and psychologists ignore such complexity, instead
creating radically simplified models of choice. Although most anthro-
pologists take a nuanced ethnographic approach, some prefer the more
mathematically tractable treatments of risk and uncertainty by econo-
mists, psychologists, and ecologists.
Economists
any measure of risk aversion for a decision maker is specific to the par-
ticular outcome variable over which the measure is defined or estimated.
76 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
Putting this in plain English is not simple. Readers must understand that
the models under discussion all assume that decision makers are con-
cerned with only one aspect (“the outcome variable”) of a decision. That
is, they regard the multiple aspects of risk considered by decision makers
such as Iowa no-till farmers, Peruvian borrowers from the Agrarian Bank,
and Oaxacan wood carvers as too complex to be mathematically modeled.
Furthermore, these models all assume that the decision-making situation
falls at the absolute risk end of a risk-uncertainty continuum with known
probabilities of different outcomes. Even with such unrealistic assump-
tions, Meyer and Meyer find that the precise definition of the “outcome
variable” (examples given include wealth, income, and “rate of return”)
greatly influences models’ predictions of the risk-taking propensities of
decision makers such as investors or farmers.
Meyer and Meyer reach only one substantive conclusion from their
painstaking survey of the relevant literature on risk aversion. They find—
given a host of assumptions and definitions—that wealthy people are, on
the whole, more willing to take risks than less wealthy people. This unsur-
prising finding seems a puny payoff for economists’ many mathematical
models and empirical studies.
Economists analyzing decision making when outcomes are variable
ordinarily ignore Knightean uncertainty (Taylor 2003:254). This neglect
reflects the inadequacy of mathematical tools to model behavior in the
face of uncertainty. Taylor observes that as we move from risk to uncer-
tainty, it becomes “more and more difficult to conceptualize and define
random variables,” adding that “even the traditional notion of a sharply
defined random variable as a way of modeling an uncertain system is prob-
lematic” (253).
Even the best decision makers apparently do not know how they should
act in uncertain situations. During the worldwide economic crisis of
2008–2009, economists often noted the problems uncertainty caused for
investors. The chief economist of the International Monetary Fund com-
mented in The Economist in early 2009 that
Risk, Uncertainty, and Decision Making 77
Cognitive Psychologists
Starting in the late 1960s, cognitive psychologists have shown that (at least
in laboratory experiments) human beings are not very good at making
the probabilistic judgments required by expected utility theory. Daniel
Kahneman shared the 2002 Nobel Prize in Economics for studies along
these lines, many of which he carried out with his longtime collabora-
tor Amos Tversky, who died in 1996. Kahneman and Tversky (1982a:3)
showed that experimental subjects systematically err in making proba-
bility judgments because they engage in certain shortcuts (heuristics)
to simplify decision making. Such heuristics bear some resemblance to
Keynes’s conventions. Two of the most important heuristics are represen-
tativeness and availability. Decision makers using the representativeness
heuristic assess the probability that an object is a member of a particular
category by judging how similar the object is to what they perceive to be
an ordinary member of that category. In so doing, they often pay too little
attention to base rates, the relative sizes of different categories. In a typical
experiment, Kahneman and Tversky (1982b:49) presented subjects with
a list of nine fields of graduate study and information about the percent-
age of students in each field (the base rates). They then gave the subjects
a personality sketch of “Tom” that fit stereotypical ideas at the time about
computer scientists. Tom was said, for example, to have “a need for order
and clarity” and “little feel and little sympathy” for other people. Sub-
jects were then asked to estimate the probability that Tom was a student
of computer science. Their estimates were based mostly on the person-
ality sketch; the highly relevant base rate information was largely ignored.
When the availability heuristic is used, decision makers judge proba-
bilities by how readily they can think of examples fitting various possi-
Risk, Uncertainty, and Decision Making 79
Imagine that the U.S. is preparing for the outbreak of an Asian disease
which is expected to kill 600 people. Two alternative programs to com-
bat the disease have been proposed. Assume that the exact scientific esti-
mates [How can an estimate be “exact”?] of the consequences of the pro-
grams are as follows: If Program A is adopted, 200 people will be saved.
If Program B is adopted, there is a one-third probability that 600 people
will be saved and a two-thirds probability that no people will be saved.
Which of the two programs would you favor? (1984:343)
When the options were framed in this way, Program C (identical to Pro-
gram A) was chosen by only 22 percent of the subjects.
Kahneman and Tversky developed “prospect theory” in an attempt to
describe how human beings employ subjective probabilities in their deci-
sion making. Prospect theory is a modification of expected utility theory
(Baron 2008:262 gives details). It maintains the basic idea of expected
utility theory that choices are based on decision makers’ comparisons of
the product (multiplication) of the subjective probability of particular
outcomes and the utility of those outcomes. However, prospect theory
80 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
This seems like an unrealistic, peculiar view of how the world works.
As I write, the world’s economy is in flux. Investors are having tremen-
dous problems because of their uncertainties (in a Knightean sense) about
all sorts of “outcomes.” These uncertainties cannot be resolved simply by
further “reflection.”
Nonetheless, Baron comes to a conclusion similar to that I and others
have reached about how people react in situations of ambiguity/uncer-
tainty. He agrees with Ellsberg that decision makers will often delay
taking actions in such cases. Instead, they will seek information to make
situations less ambiguous (284). Perhaps such information seeking is what
Baron means by “reflection.”
Risk, Uncertainty, and Decision Making 81
Anthropologists
Ortiz later emphasized that Paez farmers did not remember the in-
formation, even when it was available, needed to make the calculations
required by expected utility theory. She notes, for instance, that “as
farmers do not memorize price sequences, they are only able to talk about
the most familiar outcomes, note the general trend in prices, and give
a few examples of past prices” (1980:187). While Ortiz concludes that
Paez farmers are unable to arrive at probabilistic estimates or forecasts,
she concedes that they see some outcomes of choices as more likely than
others (188). Even though Ortiz’s goal is to show that farmers attempt
to maximize “returns” (however measured) as economic theories about
rationality predict, she says that they cannot do so in the ways stipulated
by expected utility theory. I am unsure what Ortiz means by “rationality”
in this context.
Cancian most thoroughly presents his views about risk and uncertainty
in The Innovator’s Situation: Upper-Middle-Class Conservatism in Agricul-
tural Communities (1979). In this book Cancian compares the effects of
wealth and “rank” (social status) on farmers’ willingness to innovate in di-
verse societies. According to Cancian, there are several reasons wealthier
farmers are especially willing to innovate. They are more able than their
Risk, Uncertainty, and Decision Making 83
ments in ways that will maximize their chances of passing their genes on
to future generations. In an exhaustive review, Bruce Winterhalder, Flora
Liu, and Bram Tucker (1999) examine numerous mathematical models re-
lated to risk in behavioral ecology. Many of these models are concerned
with optimal foraging strategies. They conclude that only a few anthro-
pological studies of subsistence have made rigorous use of such models.
The authors describe four such studies that “exemplify a full risk-sensitive
argument” (332). These archaeological and ethnographic studies examine
why certain mixes of sheep and goats are used in an environment char-
acterized by unpredictable droughts (Mace and Houston 1989), explore
the rationale behind the use of multiple, dispersed plots by farmers in
the Peruvian Andes (Goland 1993), simulate prehistoric Hopi exchange
under three scenarios for interhousehold sharing (Hegmon 1989), and
look at the conditions in which cooperative behavior was useful among
the Northern Anasazi of Mesa Verde between 900 and 1300 (Kohler and
Van West 1996).
In the first part of this century some anthropologists (including Hen-
rich and McElreath 2002, Kuznar 2001) have used methods taken from
experimental economics in efforts to determine the subjective proba-
bilities of different outcomes among farmers and pastoralists making de-
cisions in nonwestern settings. These experiments involve attempts to
determine propensities for risk taking by asking people to make choices—
sometimes hypothetical, sometimes involving money—between sure re-
turns and various lottery options (for example, 50 percent chance of re-
turn X and 50 percent chance of return Y). They compare the results of
these experiments to expected utility theory and Cancian’s ideas about
upper-middle-class conservatism. The obvious question is the extent to
which choices made in such circumstances mirror real-life behavior.
on information they gathered. They asked truck drivers and traders about
market conditions the previous day, looked at supplies of fish at various
beaches, and guessed (erroneously) that high demand in the market one
day would be followed by low demand the next.
Although Quinn’s methods were inspired by the work of cognitive psy-
chologists, she does not accept all of their conclusions:
[T]he fish sellers interviewed in the present study did not seem to rely
upon representativeness, availability, or any other heuristic that psy-
chologists have observed their subjects applying to probability judgment
tasks. Perhaps in recognition that their judgments of probability “foretell
the future” poorly, or perhaps because other, less complex or more con-
crete indicators of future market conditions are available to them, fish
sellers avoid making probability estimates altogether. Instead, the sellers
report using information about a number of currently available test indi-
cators of future market conditions. Sellers assess each of these indicators
independently and go to market only if none of their tests indicate un-
favorable market conditions. (209)
Quinn made little attempt to examine the extent to which fish sellers in
practice used the heuristics they reported. Her work inspired considerable
research on varied topics in cognitive anthropology and may have had
some influence on the work of Sutti Ortiz and other economic anthro-
pologists in the 1980s. However, Quinn quickly turned to other interests
within cognitive anthropology such as “schema” concerning American
marriages (Quinn 1982, 1996). Few anthropologists nowadays examine
the use of heuristics in economic decision making.5
Mary Douglas’s treatment of risk is markedly different from those of
Ortiz, Cancian, and Quinn. Douglas’s “cultural” approach has had con-
siderable influence outside of anthropology (for example, Lupton 1999).
Douglas says that differences between “expert” and “lay” judgments of
risk have nothing to do with ordinary people’s inability to think in terms
of probabilities (1985:3). She argues instead (1992:8) that when people
estimate probability and credibility, their judgments are influenced by
culturally learned conventions, expectations, and categories. Douglas
emphasizes intercultural and intracultural variations in judgments about
what kinds of risks are considered to be dangerous. As Lupton points
out (1999:45), Douglas asserts that the risks that receive most atten-
tion in particular cultures are those connected with legitimating moral
principles.
86 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
Baksh and Johnson proceed to illustrate their point (with which I com-
pletely agree) by describing the myriad activities of the Machiguenga of
tropical Peru to deal with risks related to the environment, subsistence,
social conflict, and cultural loss.
Conclusions
question is whether the gains from such simplifications outweigh the loss
of nuance. In my view, they rarely do.
Economists and psychologists do not seem much impressed by im-
precisely phrased generalizations about how diversification reduces risk
and information gathering reduces uncertainty. Vague as they may be,
I think that such generalizations have been more helpful in understand-
ing human behavior than the great majority of economists’ models and
psychologists’ experiments. There is, however, no substitute for ethno-
graphically rich descriptions of the complexities of decision making in
particular risky and uncertain situations. This is the work of anthropolo-
gists. Through their detailed ethnography, anthropologists have made
an invaluable, though often neglected, contribution to our knowledge of
such choices.
CHAPTER 4
reject this offer. If the offer is accepted, both participants receive the share
suggested by the proposer. If the offer is rejected, neither participant re-
ceives any money.
This brief piece of fieldwork by a graduate student at the University
of California, Los Angeles, was the first of many anthropological experi-
ments aimed at comparing the extent to which individuals in particular
societies are willing to be generous with others. These cross-cultural ex-
periments, well-funded by the standards of sociocultural anthropology,
have received extensive publicity. In the late 1990s the MacArthur Foun-
dation gave grants to anthropologists to study the Ultimatum and other
games in fifteen small-scale societies. The results of the MacArthur-
funded research were discussed in a cover story in Scientific American
(Sigmund, Fehr, and Nowak 2002) and reported in other widely read pub-
lications such as Nature (Fehr and Gachter 2002), Science News (Bower
2002), and the Wall Street Journal (Wessel 2002). In 2002 the Cultural
Anthropology Program of the National Science Foundation (NSF) gave
its largest grant ($463,425 over a three-year span) for further research
on this topic to many of the same anthropologists who had been funded
by the MacArthur Foundation. Stuart Plattner, then head of the NSF
Cultural Anthropology Program, commented that “this new research is
cutting edge stuff . . . [that] will advance economic theory” (in Bower
2002:106).
The most publicized finding of these experiments is a significant posi-
tive correlation between the degree of market integration of a society and
the proportion of the stake offered to the responder in the Ultimatum
Game. This correlation has been widely interpreted (for example, Ens-
minger 2002:60, Surowiecki 2004:125) as an indication that the develop-
ment of markets is associated with greater fair-mindedness and trust of
strangers. Proponents of experimental economics in anthropology confi-
dently assert that this and other findings “illuminate the nature of human
nature, the potential importance of culture, and the appropriateness of
the assumption of self-interest that underpins much of social science”
(Henrich et al., “Overview and Synthesis,” 2004:10).
These experiments have received so much funding and publicity be-
cause they aim at providing novel insights about long-standing questions
in both the natural and social sciences concerning cooperation and com-
petition. Evolutionary biologists since Darwin have been interested in
the origins of altruistic behavior, when individuals act in ways that are
good for their group but appear to reduce the chances of passing on their
genes to future generations. The now generally accepted way to resolve
92 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
scale societies came from their broadening the pool of subjects by includ-
ing participants from many cultures. This would, at least in theory, allow
a better assessment of the effects of culture on generosity and selfishness.
Information on cultural variability was also of great interest to evolution-
ary biologists theorizing about supposedly genetic reasons for altruism.
If there was considerable variation in the extent of altruism in different
societies, evolutionary biological explanations for such behavior might be
questioned.
I find much to admire about the goals and activities of the anthropolo-
gists carrying out economic experiments. Their methodological rigor,
willingness to engage in dialogue with scholars in both the natural and
social sciences, and commitment to cross- cultural comparisons are re-
freshing in a time when many anthropologists question any attempts to
measure variables and test hypotheses. Nonetheless, I think this research
exemplifies the dangers of ignoring ethnographic complexity when at-
tempts are made to create models of human behavior that can be mathe-
matically formulated and experimentally tested. Furthermore, the pro-
ponents of these experiments are in my view often insufficiently critical
of theoretical assumptions in biology and economics and insufficiently
attentive to relevant anthropological theory.
The findings of these economic experiments are, I will argue, consis-
tent with long-accepted ideas in sociocultural anthropology. To under-
stand why this research is nonetheless of such great interest to scholars in
other disciplines, I describe here the history of experimental economics
and theories about “selfishness” in evolutionary biology and the social
sciences. I critically examine in some detail the studies of those anthro-
pologists conducting economic experiments. Emphasis is placed on the
disjuncture between what people do in these experiments and how they
behave in their daily lives. Before presenting these theories and studies,
however, I think it is useful to present some concrete examples of the ten-
sion between economic selfishness and generosity among Oaxacan wood
carvers. The complexity of such real-life examples suggests why a cer-
tain degree of skepticism may be warranted toward wide-ranging theories
about competition and cooperation.
Wood carvings from the Mexican state of Oaxaca entered the interna-
tional folk art market on a large scale starting around 1985. The trade
94 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
1990 most families in Arrazola had at least one artisan member. Although
many of the new carvers and painters in Arrazola were talented, few could
match Manuel Jiménez’s skill and none had his reputation. Manuel re-
mained until his death the most famous carver and wealthiest resident
of Arrazola. When interviewed, he often disdained the carvings of his
neighbors, calling them “copiers.” In a typical statement, the maestro
proclaimed:
Isidoro Cruz, in contrast, was open about his methods and taught
many of his neighbors how to carve and paint. A number of carvers in
San Martín quickly became well known for their pieces and earned more
money from the craft than Cruz did. Their pieces rarely resembled those
of Cruz, who worked with difficult-to-use paints and woods and creatively
made new types of carvings with little regard for their potential salability.
Most of Isidoro Cruz’s friends and relatives in San Martín preferred to
model their pieces after those of Manuel Jiménez.
The difference in the willingness of Jiménez and Cruz to share their
methods is in part related to their ideas about the advantages and dis-
advantages of cooperation with other members of their community.
Jiménez regarded other artisans as competitors for a product for which
there was a limited market. He was no more willing to show his methods
to his neighbors than a company would be to give away trade secrets. Cruz
thought that all the wood carvers in San Martín would benefit if there
were numerous well-known artisan families in the community. If the town
could establish itself as a wood-carving center, more tourists and collec-
tors would visit and business would be better for everyone. His reasoning
resembled that of entrepreneurs opening a particular type of ethnic res-
taurant in a large city in a neighborhood that already has many such res-
taurants. Such entrepreneurs assume that they will succeed because of the
customers attracted to the area.
Manuel Jiménez and Isidoro Cruz differed in their approach to co-
operation and competition because of both their personalities and their
positions in the wood-carving trade. Manuel was much more suspicious
96 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
of the activities of others than was Cruz. Jiménez was gregarious in his
dealings with tourists, but this extroversion did not extend to most resi-
dents of Arrazola. Although Jiménez lived in a town where participation
in community organizations was a central part of daily life and where
social events such as fiestas and weddings were of great importance, he
largely kept the life of his immediate family separate from that of his
neighbors. Cruz, in contrast, was a pillar of the community and one of the
best-liked men in San Martín.
These personality differences, however, are only part of the story.
Manuel Jiménez reasonably feared that copying by others would threaten
his position as the most famous artisan in Arrazola. For many years he
had been the only important wood carver in the entire state of Oaxaca.
If others created pieces similar to his and charged lower prices, Jiménez
might lose both economic clout and prestige. Isidoro Cruz was the pre-
eminent wood carver in San Martín for only a short time. Furthermore,
he quickly found out that other artisans were more interested in Jiménez’s
methods than his own. The costs and benefits of openness and secrecy
were quite different for the two men. Even ignoring their personalities,
Cruz had more reasons to share his methods than Jiménez.
Over the years Oaxacan wood carvers have developed specialties in
their efforts to appeal to a diverse clientele. Some artisan families make
expensive, labor-intensive carvings for collectors; others churn out cheap
pieces for gift shops in the United States and tourists seeking souvenirs.
Artisans vary in their styles of painting and carving and in the size of their
pieces. They make animals, human figures, devils, angels, frames, chairs,
tables, and ox carts. There are carvings of Benito Juárez, subcomandante
Marcos (the Zapatista leader), chupacabras (imaginary beings that eat
goats), Martians, mermaids, and helicopters.
When artisan families create successful market niches for their carv-
ings, they know that they are likely to suffer economically if their neigh-
bors create similar pieces at lower prices. It is not surprising that many
artisans resemble Manuel Jiménez in their secrecy and complaints about
imitators. Artisans go to great lengths to develop skills that enable them
to create pieces that cannot be easily copied.
Nowadays most artisans share Isidoro Cruz’s perspective that some
degree of cooperation is necessary to attract tourists and dealers to their
communities. In the past the extent to which artisan families cooperated
to sell their pieces was limited because of their competition with one
another for the attention of dealers. Since 2000 the demand for Oaxa-
can wood carvings has weakened significantly because of changing tastes
Experimental Games and Choices about Cooperation 97
methods and selling of pieces similar to his at lower prices as a selfish lack
of respect for the originator of an artistic tradition. From Jiménez’s per-
spective, his successors were freeloaders piggybacking on his hard work.
The decisions that Jiménez, Cruz, and other Oaxacan wood carvers
have made about openness and secrecy illustrate well the multiple risks
and uncertainties associated with many choices about cooperation and
competition. Artisans sharing a particular innovation cannot predict the
economic effects of their generosity. The new technique may turn out not
to be of much interest to potential buyers. If the innovation does attract
more visitors to the community’s workshops, the sales of the originator
could conceivably either increase or decrease. Sharers of a new technique
also cannot know if the recipients of their generosity will be able to rep-
licate or improve on their innovation.
Artisans refusing to share their techniques similarly cannot predict
with certainty what the effect will be on their reputation. Wood carvers
understand the desires of artisan families to establish niches in the mar-
ket by specializing in certain techniques and styles. Although many arti-
sans are happy to copy successful innovations, they know that a certain
amount of secrecy is economically necessary. Local social norms do not
unambiguously favor sharing; wood carvers who freely give out informa-
tion about all their methods are regarded as foolish. Nonetheless, an arti-
san who is unwilling to share any information about techniques, styles,
and potential buyers is disdained as being too selfish. Artisans therefore
walk a fine line between sharing too much and sharing too little and can-
not predict exactly what will be the reactions to a particular instance of
openness or secrecy.
Wood carvers must consider both the short-term and long-term con-
sequences of openness and secrecy. In the short term, secrecy may be
preferable because it forestalls competition. But the long-term conse-
quences of secrecy by particular artisans may be their lack of access to
innovations by others. Artisans are most likely to share techniques with
those who reciprocate.
Advocates of economic experimentation in anthropology argue that
we can improve our understanding of cooperation and selfishness through
carefully designed games played in quasi-laboratories in field settings. A
key question in assessing such claims is whether the essential features of
complicated decisions such as those faced by Oaxacan wood carvers can
be captured in such experiments.
Experimental Games and Choices about Cooperation 99
have troubled evolutionary biologists ever since the field was founded.
Darwin worried about how his theory of natural selection could explain
the existence of castes of insects such as bees that never reproduce but
protect the lives of those that do. He speculated that the solution to this
dilemma was that natural selection acted on families rather than individu-
als (Richards 1987:145). Darwin also opened up for debate the more gen-
eral question about whether evolutionary pressures to sacrifice oneself for
others extended beyond blood relatives.
As Darwin suggested, explanations of altruism are inextricably inter-
twined with debates over the levels at which natural selection is thought to
act. According to “trait group” models that developed in the 1970s, natu-
ral selection can operate both within and between groups. These models
suggest that within-group selection acts against altruists. Selfish individu-
als receiving benefits from altruists but suffering none of their costs are
more likely to pass their genes on to subsequent generations. Between-
group selection, trait-group theorists say, can favor cooperation if groups
with large numbers of altruists reproduce more than competing groups
with fewer altruists. Most evolutionary biologists, however, agree with
William Hamilton, who in an important article (Hamilton 1963) flatly
rejected claims that altruism existed for the preservation of entire species.
Building on ideas earlier developed by J. B. S. Haldane, Hamilton
worked out the mathematics underlying kin selection.2 The simple idea
underlying his not-so-simple equations was that the closer the degree of
relationship of two individuals, the more likely they were to cooperate.
The existence and behavior of members of nonreproducing insect castes
could be understood by interpreting their altruism and sterility as maxi-
mizing their inclusive fitness, the chances of their genes being passed on
to future generations. Selection could be best thought of as operating at
the level of the gene rather than the individual or the group. Hamilton’s
ideas became well known after they were popularized in two extraordi-
narily influential books about evolution, Richard Dawkins’s The Selfish
Gene (1976) and E. O. Wilson’s Sociobiology (1975).3
Evolutionary biologists have questioned whether Hamilton’s approach
can explain spiteful behavior. Spiteful acts lower the inclusive fitness of
individuals committing them but decrease the fitness of recipients even
more. The conundrum posed by instances of spite is that individuals who
are not spiteful should have higher inclusive fitness than either initiators
or recipients of punishment. Although instances of spite in nonhuman
animals are rare, they are common among humans. In particular, indi-
Experimental Games and Choices about Cooperation 101
viduals and groups often punish those who fail to engage in altruistic be-
havior such as food sharing.
Hamilton is also famous for his later work with the political scientist
Robert Axelrod on cooperation among nonrelated individuals (Axelrod
and Hamilton 1981, Axelrod 1984). Hamilton and Axelrod observed that
in real life individuals often interact with one another repeatedly. In such
cases, it would be an oversimplification to characterize any particular act
as “selfish” or “cooperative.” Instead, individuals might develop different
strategies toward those who had shown themselves willing to cooperate
and those who were consistently selfish. Through models and computer
simulations, Hamilton and Axelrod showed that in many circumstances
the tit-for-tat strategy was optimal. Using this strategy, individuals co-
operate with others as long as they remain cooperative. When others de-
fect (become noncooperative), an individual using the tit-for-tat strategy
also defects. Although such strategies have been effectively modeled on
computers, they can only occur in the world among species in which indi-
viduals have the capacity to come up with and carry out ideas such as
“tit for tat.” The work by Hamilton and Axelrod therefore suggests that
cooperation (reciprocity) among nonrelated individuals might be more
prevalent among humans than among other species.
Karl Sigmund, Ernest Fehr, and Martin Novak assert with respect to
spiteful behavior that our “emotional apparatus” was shaped by years of
living in foraging groups in which keeping secrets was hard:
If others know that I am content with a small share, they are likely to
make me small offers [presumably of food]; if I am known to become
angry when facing a low offer and to reject the deal, others have an in-
centive to make me high offers. Consequently, evolution should have
favored emotional responses to low offers. (2002:85)
Experimental Games and Choices about Cooperation 103
Experiments in Economics
In 1948 Edward Hastings Chamberlin noted that economics has not his-
torically been an experimental science:
the fundamental tenets of their discipline, are much more concerned with
social norms about fairness.
Writers about the history of institutions have for centuries been inter-
ested in the relationship between markets and ideas about fairness. Some
writers, notably Karl Marx, assert that markets undermine the moral
foundations of societies by encouraging self-interested behavior. Others
(including Baron Montesquieu) argue that markets encourage fairness
because of the premium on honesty and reputation required in repeat
dealings (Ensminger 2004, Hirschmann 1982). This latter idea was a fore-
runner of mathematical theories about reciprocity that note the advan-
tages of strategies such as tit for tat in certain circumstances.
The New Yorker economics columnist James Surowiecki elaborates on
the argument that capitalism encourages fairness because much business
is transacted between strangers:
Modern capitalism made the idea of trusting people with whom you had
“no prior personal ties” seem reasonable, if only by demonstrating that
strangers would not, as a matter of course, betray you. This helped trust
become woven into the basic fabric of everyday business. Buying and
selling no longer required a personal connection. It could be driven in-
stead by the benefits of mutual exchange. (2004:123)
tween strangers. The first Ultimatum Game experiment took place two
decades ago (Güth, Schmittberger, and Schwarze 1982); since then hun-
dreds have been carried out (Oosterbeek, Sloof, and van de Kuilen 2004).
Social scientists have shown so much interest in the Ultimatum Game
because participants’ behavior seems to violate the principles of rational
choice. Economists generally assume that decision makers seek to either
maximize gains or minimize losses of some type. In many situations, fig-
uring out which behavior is “most rational” is far from obvious, and we
cannot easily say whether individuals are acting as economic theory would
predict. The best strategy for the responder in the Ultimatum Game,
however, seems straightforward—accept whatever the proposer offers.
Otherwise, the responder gets nothing. The best game theory strategy for
the proposer is only a bit harder to grasp. Because the responder should
accept any offer, the proposer should suggest the division of the stake that
leaves the responder with the least possible amount of money. But in ex-
periment after experiment with university students, many respondents
have been willing to reject what they regard as unfair offers. Proposers,
apparently aware of the possibility of rejection, typically make offers that
leave respondents with a substantial portion of the stake.
Accounts of these results often regard rejections of low offers in the
Ultimatum Game as a puzzle to be explained. Why should participants
care about fairness in this context? Furthermore, even among university
students there is considerable variability in different countries in both the
average size of offers and responses to similar-size offers. Are there inter-
cultural differences in “selfishness”? If so, what are the causes of these
differences?
Psychologists and economists have given two principal interpretations
of the results of Ultimatum Games. Some scholars (including Fehr and
Gachter 2002 and Nowak, Page, and Sigmund 2000) emphasize similari-
ties in results, seeing them as evidence that our hunter-gatherer ancestors
evolved an emotional apparatus favoring generosity in situations where
sharing was necessary for survival. Others (for example, Roth et al. 1991)
emphasize variability in results, seeing them as evidence that cultures dif-
fer in their emphases on the importance of sharing and fairness.
The behavior of the Machiguenga in Henrich’s experiment in the sum-
mer of 1996 differed considerably from that of the university students
who had previously played the Ultimatum Game. Students often rejected
offers; proposers typically suggested almost equal divisions of the stake.
Among the Machiguenga an offer was only once rejected; the proposers’
Experimental Games and Choices about Cooperation 107
average offer to the recipient was only 15 percent of the stake. These dif-
ferences cannot be facilely explained by the greater importance of money
for the Machiguenga. The stake in the Machiguenga experiment was the
equivalent of a day’s wages, the same as that offered in most games played
by university students.
Henrich’s experiment attracted attention because the large differences
between how the Machiguenga and university students played the game
suggested that culture influenced notions of fairness considerably more
than had previously been thought. Moreover, ideas about the innate gen-
erosity of hunter-gatherers might be questioned since the Machiguenga
(though primarily shifting cultivators rather than foragers) made such low
offers. Funding agencies were therefore receptive when anthropologists
sought support for comparative studies of economic experiments in set-
tings very different from where the great majority of Ultimatum Games
had previously been played.
The economic experiments by anthropologists aim at providing cross-
cultural and cross-species perspectives on theories about selfishness by
biologists and economists. They therefore have focused on
Two examples illustrate the parallels that some researchers found be-
tween local patterns of exchange and the results of experimental games.
Under Ensminger’s supervision, the Orma of northern Kenya played the
“public goods game.”4 Many participants saw a resemblance between this
game and harambee, a local institution of village-level contributions for
community projects such as school building. The Kenyan government for
many years has encouraged harambee fund raising as a method of com-
munity development. The norms associated with harambee, Ensminger
says, were applied to the public goods game. Michael Alvard found that
the Lamalera of Indonesia tend to make “fair” (relatively equitable) offers
in the Ultimatum Game. The Lamalera obtain much of their food from
cooperative whale hunting. Alvard argues that in big-game hunting soci-
eties the rewards for fairness in meat distribution are clear. He says, “To
the extent that achieving such fairness is critical for subsistence, we expect
fairness to be expressed in the Ultimatum Game” (2004:428).5
Because many of the contributors to Foundations of Human Sociality are
sympathetic to evolutionary psychology, they often frame their discus-
sions in terms of the supposed pan-human genetic universals suggested
by the book’s title. Only two case studies (by Abigail Barr and Jean Ens-
minger) make no references to theories about such cognitive universals.
Such theories are always respectfully considered, though some experi-
menters (especially Richard McElreath) note their limitations. In my
view, the emphasis on evolutionary psychology is the weakest theoretical
aspect of the project because a pan-human cognitive architecture obvi-
ously cannot explain intracultural and intercultural variation in experi-
mental results. The contributors’ contorted attempts to escape this di-
lemma are unconvincing. Here are a few of many examples that could be
cited in which authors allude to evolutionary ideas in ways that do little
to aid our understanding of variability in the experimental findings:
110 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
Are there innate social grammars for acquiring contextually specific rules
and cues about fairness, cooperation, and punishment? (Henrich and
Smith 2004:164–165)
weary one grows of it, and the more one looks for any opportunity to es-
cape it. (Marlowe 2004: 187)
[W]e are unclear about some important details of how local situations
influence behaviors. Two plausible interpretations come to mind. Per-
haps different social and physical environments foster the development
of differing generalized behavioral dispositions that are applicable across
many domains . . . In contrast, our abstract game structure may cue one
or more highly context specific behavioral rules . . . According to this in-
terpretation, our subjects were first identifying the kind of situation they
were in, seeking analogs in daily life, and then acting in an appropriate
manner . . . These two approaches are difficult to distinguish empirically
and our dataset does not help us judge their relative importance. (48)
earned. Participants readily shared food they bought with their winnings
with many of their neighbors. They would not, however, share food with
people with whom they had recently quarreled. Wiessner concludes, as
Levitt and List would guess, that the Ju/’hoansi were much more likely
to be “highly self-regarding” (selfish) when there were no faces of loved
ones or friends present to make them want to share, especially in those
experimental situations when the social conventions that influence every-
day sharing and the punishment of free riders seemed irrelevant.
Michael Gurven and Jeffrey Winking (2008) conducted a more de-
tailed study along the same lines among the Tsimane of Bolivia. The Tsi-
mane played the Ultimatum and Dictator games and the related Third-
Party Punishment Game. The Tsimanes’ offers and rates of rejection were
low, similar to those of the Ju/’hoansi. Gurven and Winking also exam-
ined the extent to which the Tsimane exhibited prosocial behavior in ac-
tivities such as digging a communal well, sharing food, and contribut-
ing to a public feast. They found that the Tsimane, again resembling the
Ju/’hoansi, were more prosocial in real-life situations than in experimen-
tal games. However, the amount of prosociality the Tsimane exhibited in
real-life situations varied considerably, with people overall being more
cooperative in some contexts than in others.
Natalie Henrich and Joseph Henrich (2007:171–173) compare the ac-
tions of Arab-American Chaldeans in Detroit in the Ultimatum and Dic-
tator games with their cultural attitudes toward business dealings and
charitable giving. The Chaldeans made more generous offers in the Dic-
tator Game than in the Ultimatum Game. This seems counterintuitive
because responders in the Ultimatum Game, unlike those in the Dicta-
tor Game, have the option of refusing an offer. Henrich and Henrich in-
terpret this surprising result in terms of cultural models evoked by the
two games. The Ultimatum Game, they say, triggers a business model in
which there is motivation both to cooperate and to pursue self-interest.
The Dictator Game evokes cultural norms associated with charitable
giving that value generosity toward others.
Gurven and Winking, Wiessner, and Henrich and Henrich all say, as
would any anthropologist, that cultural norms affect the extent of co-
operative behavior in real-life situations. They agree that the amount
of prosocial behavior is context- dependent; people who are coopera-
tive in certain situations will be selfish in other circumstances. Henrich
and Henrich point out that when experimental games resemble real-life
situations, the relevant cultural norms will influence decisions such as the
amount to offer in a game. Wiessner and Gurven and Winking empha-
116 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
Conclusions
Social scientists and biologists have long been interested in the reasons
people cooperate with one another. The evolution of the capacity for cul-
ture has allowed humans to work together in ways that are impossible for
other animals. Such cooperation is a major reason our species dominates
the planet. However, cooperation often entails short-term costs for some
participants in exchanges. For this reason cooperation is not inevitable;
free riding and other selfish behavior is common.
The principal explanations offered by biologists and economists for
why people sometimes cooperate have serious shortcomings. The biolo-
gists’ focus on kin selection ignores the immense amount of human co-
operation with nonrelatives. The economists’ rational choice theories
work well when cooperative behavior is useful for all parties involved, but
they falter when trying to explain why some individuals make costly sac-
rifices to help others. Anthropologists usually explain cooperative activi-
ties with reference to their usefulness for society as a whole (the “public
good,” in the language of political scientists and economists). Such group-
level explanations are unpalatable to the many evolutionary biologists and
economists whose analyses examine the advantages and disadvantages for
individuals of particular types of behavior. Anthropologists also some-
times attribute cooperation to social norms without paying sufficient at-
tention to how and why such cultural rules develop and change over time.
Many of the goals of anthropologists conducting economic experi-
ments are consistent with the historical roots of their discipline. By carry-
ing out experiments in diverse societies, they provide a cross-cultural per-
spective on previous research done in western industrial countries. These
anthropologists, in marked contrast to most of their counterparts in other
fields conducting economic experiments, emphasize how culture influ-
ences decision making both inside and outside the laboratory. They show
how cultural rules about cooperation in any particular society vary in
Experimental Games and Choices about Cooperation 117
different situations. Individuals may cooperate more with kin and close
friends than with strangers. Cooperative behavior may be strongly pre-
scribed in some contexts (in an army unit) and loosely desirable in others
(charitable giving). Anthropologists running economic experiments in
the field sometimes explain behavior in their quasi-laboratories by point-
ing out resemblances between the games played by participants and par-
ticular real-world institutions. In other cases they argue that the lack of
cultural similarities between these games and real-life situations results
in behavior in experiments that seems inconsistent with social norms.
Anthropologists conducting economic experiments have focused
rather narrowly on certain types of cooperative behavior. They have
rarely looked at situations, common in the world outside the laboratory,
in which cooperative behavior is useful in the short run to all parties in-
volved. Instead, their experiments usually involve situations in which co-
operation incurs costs for some participants. They are particularly inter-
ested in the extent to which individuals are willing to incur costs in order
to punish selfish behavior. These emphases come from theoretical debates
about altruism in evolutionary biology and psychology.
The underlying assumption of economic experimentation in anthro-
pology and other disciplines is that behavior in laboratories can tell us
something about the wider world. Anthropologists, economists, and
psychologists writing about this issue have concentrated on the corre-
spondence between abstract experiments and real-life situations. Their
emphasis is on the extent to which social norms in the wider world are re-
flected in decision making by participants in experimental games. While
such discussions are useful, they ignore the principal difficulty with such
games. Economic experiments intentionally create situations in which
variables are carefully defined and measured and the confounding effects
of extraneous factors can be controlled for through manipulation of vari-
ables. In my view such “rigor” results in experiments that diverge too
much from real-life situations to be of much use in understanding social
norms about cooperation and selfishness. The countless economic experi-
ments by anthropologists and other social scientists do not, for example,
aid in my understanding of when and why Oaxacan wood carvers share
information about their techniques, styles, and customers. Their willing-
ness to cooperate with their kin and neighbors in certain circumstances
can only be understood through ethnographically informed analyses of
the history and economics of the wood-carving trade.
CHAPTER 5
men in household decision making. They have also emphasized the con-
siderable autonomy that women and men often have in different spheres
of household economics.
This chapter examines similarities and differences in the ways anthro-
pologists and economists discuss household-level choices. My emphasis
is on how scholars in the two fields define and delineate decision-making
units. I begin with a discussion of problems I encountered in delineating
“households” in the three places I have carried out extended fieldwork—
Belize, the Peruvian Amazon, and Oaxaca. These case studies illustrate
the difficulties that both anthropologists and economists face when at-
tempting to specify who exactly is influencing important household-level
decisions.
men had children with the women, provided them with money, and spent
significant amounts of time at their place. Such arrangements were com-
mon among the Creoles and Caribs (Garifuna) in the area, as they are in
other Afro-Caribbean communities. They were, however, rare among the
Mayas who comprised about a quarter of the population in one of the vil-
lages where I conducted the survey.
Boundary issues were especially problematic in compounds of two or
more dwellings occupied by related families. One house in these com-
pounds usually consisted of an older couple, one or more of their children,
and perhaps also grandchildren. Adult sons and daughters lived in nearby
houses with their spouses and children.1 There was considerable variation
in the extent to which the residents of different dwellings within a com-
pound shared land, helped one another economically, ate together, and in
other ways pooled resources. Because such cooperation and sharing was
always partial, I struggled in my efforts to determine how many house-
holds there were in a compound.
In an appendix to my dissertation I note some of these difficulties:
bers. But even if I had collected this information I am not sure how much
it would have helped me make statistical comparisons of the economic ac-
tivities of households of different types. I still would have had to confront
the fundamental problem of counting the “number of members” in each
household. I suppose that some formula could have been devised to count
the part-time, visiting, and absent members as fractional people, but any
such methods would have been quite arbitrary. In any case, two house-
holds having, say, 5.65 members might differ considerably in their propor-
tion of full-time, part-time, absent, and visiting “residents.” Furthermore,
the alternative of abandoning “number of members of a household” as a
survey category would have precluded all kinds of useful comparisons.
home consumption, sold some crops, and were integrated into the Peru-
vian state.
As Christine had suggested, delineating household boundaries was
much less problematic in Peru than it had been in Belize. In the book I
later wrote about my Peruvian research, I devoted only a paragraph to
this topic:
work each group member provided for others was reciprocated almost
exactly. In festive work parties, farmers issued an invitation to neighbors
to work on a particular task such as clearing a field or harvesting. The host
family was expected to provide extraordinary food and drink but had little
or no obligation to attend future work parties called by guests. Each vil-
lage also had communal work days when households had to either send a
representative or pay a small fine. Typical tasks were cleaning paths, clear-
ing the schoolyard and soccer fields, constructing a community center,
and working a small plot of collectively farmed land.
side their parents. There were often two or more semi-independent wood-
carving workshops in compounds where knives, brushes, and paints were
shared.
Although the Oaxacan communities where I have conducted research
over the past two decades are far from wealthy, households there have
a much higher standard of living (however measured) than the Belize-
ans and Peruvians in my previous field settings. Because the Oaxacans
have more money, economic relationships between parents and children
(whether living in the same dwelling or different dwellings) are more
complicated than those I observed in earlier research. Women and teen-
age children in contemporary Oaxacan artisan communities have many
more opportunities for earning income than their counterparts in rural
Belize in the 1970s and the Peruvian Amazon in the 1980s.3 They can paint
or carve on a piecework basis for artisans in other households, make tor-
tillas for sale in marketplaces, and commute by bus or collective taxi to
jobs in the nearby city of Oaxaca. Women and children also do more than
half of the labor on most Oaxacan wood carvings. Money from artisan
sales is usually pooled, with wives having considerable control over how it
is used. The money that household members earn in other ways (includ-
ing wage work by adult men) may or may not be shared.
Cooperative agricultural work parties composed of members of dif-
ferent households are rare in rural Oaxacan communities. Nonethe-
less, overall there is more interhousehold cooperation in Oaxaca than
in either Belize or the Peruvian Amazon. Communal service on public
works (locally called tequio) is similar to analogous arrangements in Peru
but more frequent and time-consuming (Cohen 1999:114–118). In addi-
tion, many communities (including all the places I did fieldwork) have
a local political system in which all adult men (and in some places also
adult women) are required to spend years in unpaid governmental posi-
tions (Clarke 2000:192–197). Most communities also have guelaguetza, an
institutionalized way in which community members can borrow money
from relatives and neighbors to pay for food, drink, and music at saints’
day celebrations, weddings, graduation parties, and other ritual events
(Cohen 1999:190–191, Stephen 2005:268–274).
The biggest difficulty in delineating Oaxacan households is extensive
temporary and permanent migration to the United States (Cohen 2004;
VanWey, Tucker, and McConnell 2005).4 These migrants send large
amounts of money to Oaxaca to their families. Whether to count such
migrants as household members in censuses poses difficult analytic prob-
Who Makes Household Economic Decisions? 127
lems because migrants vary greatly in the degree to which they retain eco-
nomic ties with their families at home.
There have been numerous anthropological studies of rural and urban
Oaxaca based in part on household surveys. An examination of three
such studies shows the variability in the extent to which anthropologists
conducting research in Oaxaca consider the complexity of delineating
households.
Perhaps the most comprehensive socioeconomic survey conducted by
anthropologists in Oaxaca took place between 1978 and 1981 among 952
rural households in the Central Valleys. The book based on this research
(Cook and Binford 1990) includes twenty-eight informative tables giving
data on economic activities in households supporting themselves through
combinations of farming, artisanry, and wage work. Despite the authors’
perceptive, sometimes harsh critiques of the shortcomings of previous
analyses of the economics of “peasant” households, Cook and Binford
do not devote any space at all to discussing how they defined the “house-
holds” included in their tables.
In Social Inequality in Oaxaca (1991), Arthur Murphy and Alex Stepick
show a sophisticated understanding of some of the problems involved
with treating households as economic units:
We use both the words household and family, because they overlap con-
siderably. To Oaxacans . . . family is the more important culturally. The
family is . . . under ideal situations, also coincident with the household.
All family members should live within the household, yet for numerous
reasons, some imposed and others from individual choice, family mem-
bers often do not live together. . . . Households are more constant and
concrete than families, which may become dispersed, move apart, and
later reunite. For these reasons, most of the subsequent discussion refers
to households rather than families. (139)
the same roof. Although Murphy and Stepick know this, they nonetheless
regard households as more or less unitary decision makers, downplaying
the autonomy of individual members:
Common Problems
Anthropological Approaches
The household in any society, I suggest, is that social group larger than
the individual that does not fail to control for its members all those re-
sources that any (adult) member could expect to control for himself. It
maximizes size and corporacy simultaneously. (41)
I have no idea how any anthropologist conducting fieldwork could use this
definition to delineate households.
More enduring critiques came from feminist anthropologists con-
cerned with the relative autonomy and power of women in different
cultures (for example, Clark 1989; Guyer 1981, 1988; Lockwood 1989).
These anthropologists argued that analyses treating households as eco-
nomic units made the implicit assumption that one person, usually a man,
could to a large extent dictate the economic activities of other members.
Their ethnographic research in diverse societies showed convincingly
that the other members of households—in particular, adult women—
often exerted considerable control over how they allocated their labor
and what they did with their earnings. Concentrating on household deci-
sion making, in their view, was a fundamental error that obscured power
relations between men and women. They argued instead for a focus on
the extent to which such power relations allowed autonomous decision
making by men and, especially, women.
134 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
In recent years anthropologists have not written much about the extent
to which households can be regarded as unitary, discrete decision-making
economic units. There is general agreement that there are difficulties re-
garding members of single dwellings as isolated resource-pooling entities.
Nonetheless, the household—sometimes loosely defined, more often un-
defined—continues to be an important unit of analysis when economic
anthropologists discuss production, exchange, and consumption. Despite
the cogency of feminist critiques, most anthropologists agree with Kun-
stadter’s pragmatic view that residents of dwellings in most societies pool
some resources and make certain decisions together. Moreover, the world
outside of academia obviously thinks that the household is an important
economic category. Governments collect census data at the household
level. People discussing the economic choices of their “families” ordi-
narily are talking about relatives with whom they share living space.
As more and more anthropologists conduct work in urban areas in
industrial societies, the ways in which they examine household economics
are changing. Many people in such field settings earn most of their in-
comes from jobs outside the home. Anthropologists therefore have been
increasingly interested in how members of households in industrial soci-
eties make choices between paid work outside the home and unpaid do-
mestic work. Economic anthropologists are now paying less attention
to household production strategies than previously and more to deci-
sions about resource pooling and consumption. Overall, contemporary
anthropologists are focusing less on household economics than they did
in the 1970s and 1980s. They instead are spending more time examin-
ing both individual-level decision making and the activities of nonhouse-
hold socioeconomic organizations such as firms, cooperatives, and credit
associations.
Economic Approaches
There are certain resemblances in the ways that economists and anthro-
pologists have looked at households. Prior to the 1960s relatively little
attention in either discipline was given to households as economic units.
Economists and anthropologists then began to analyze many important
choices made at the household level. In the past three decades feminist
scholars in the two fields have emphasized ways individual members of
households, especially women, exercise varying degrees of autonomy in
their economic decision making.
Who Makes Household Economic Decisions? 135
[We] might try to save the conventional theory by claiming that one
titular head has sovereign power within the family and all of its demands
reflect his (or her) consistent indifference curves. But as casual anthro-
pologists, we all know how unlikely it is in modern Western culture for
one person to “wear the pants.” It is perhaps less unrealistic to adopt the
hypothesis of a consistent “family consensus” that represents a meeting
of the minds or a compromise between them . . . the family acts as if it
were maximizing their joint welfare function. (1956:9–10)
There were some heterodox economists prior to the 1960s who re-
jected some of the assumptions of the neoclassical models. During the
1920s and 1930s, as noted earlier, Chayanov published extensively on the
136 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
dren to act in ways that maximized the income and consumption of the
household as a whole. Becker does not assume that the altruist exhibits
equal concern for all family members; anything less than complete self-
ishness is sufficient for his theories to work (Pollak 2003:119).
The assumption that a household is headed by a semi-benevolent semi-
dictator allowed Becker and other New Household Economists to treat
the household as a decision-making unit. Although Becker supports his
argument with various mathematical models, some of his assumptions
seem clearly unrealistic. How can it be assumed that households have
“heads” whose decision making is so influential that all other members
will be induced to act in ways that will benefit the household as a whole?
We all know of families, for example, in which members who spend too
much or get fired from jobs for irresponsible behavior depend on par-
ents, spouses, or siblings for their daily expenses. Despite the “altruis-
tic” support these members receive from the “head” or others, their be-
havior cannot be described as maximizing family income. And how can
Becker assume that a family (household) consists of “a brood of egois-
tical but rational ‘kids’” (usually including the wife!) and one altruistic
parent? Does it not make more sense that most households consist of a
number of people whose economic motives are a combination of altru-
ism and self-interest? Finally, Becker’s theories assume without empirical
evidence that members of a household completely pool their resources
(Pollak 2003:131).
The implicit assumption of Becker’s models that households include
an altruistic husband and an egoistic (self-interested wife) is under-
standably offensive to many women (and men) observing actual behav-
ior within households. Becker makes this assumption explicit in articles
such as “Altruism, Egoism, and Genetic Fitness: Economics and Socio-
biology” (1976), in which he claims that there were “natural” grounds for
existing gender-based divisions of labor and authority structures. These
sociobiological ideas were used as additional justifications for the creation
of models treating households as unitary decision-making units. Becker
also presents views unpalatable to many in his book Treatise on the Family
(1981), in which he attributes—perhaps reasonably—higher divorce
rates, increased cohabitation rates, and lower marriage rates to gains in
women’s earning power, leaving some readers with the impression that he
thought families would be stronger if women earned less. Unsurprisingly,
the number of women economists adopting Becker’s approach to house-
hold decision making dropped sharply as the years went by (Grossbard-
Schechtman 2001).
138 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
Fortunately, readers do not need to know much about game theory and
threat points to see that this is clearly not a model of a unitary decision-
making household.
While the cooperative bargaining theorists accept many assumptions
of neoclassical economics, feminist economists provide a more radical
critique of models of unitary households. Feminist economists agree with
cooperative bargaining theorists that individual members of households
have separate—sometimes competing—preferences, interests, and re-
sources (Folbre 1986). The two groups of theorists also agree that the
relative power of men and women affects the outcomes of bargaining over
household decisions. They differ, however, in the ways they analyze power.
For the cooperative bargaining theorists, power primarily consists of con-
trol over economic resources. They are ordinarily unconcerned with the
reasons for power differentials between men and women; these are un-
questioned preconditions that provide the starting point for their models.
Feminist economists, in contrast, resemble their counterparts in anthro-
pology by focusing also on the ideological, political, and cultural aspects
of these power differentials (Hart 1992).
In the 1970s and 1980s Marxist-oriented feminist economists (such as
Hartmann 1979) carried out “dual systems” analyses in which many soci-
eties were regarded as consisting of two separate, interacting structures—
patriarchy and capitalism. This interaction resulted in a labor market in
which women’s low pay both perpetuated their dependence on men and
encouraged them to specialize in housework and child care. Moreover,
women’s domestic responsibilities made them less competitive in the
labor market. Nancy Folbre argues that this perspective improved our
understanding of intrahousehold economic negotiations, saying that “the
structure of patriarchy as a system sets the stage for an analysis of bar-
gaining power within a specific household” (1986:250).
Many contemporary feminist economists are less willing than dual sys-
tems theorists to accept the universality of situations in which patriarchy
and capitalism interact to keep women in subordinate positions in house-
holds. Nonetheless, there is general agreement among feminist econo-
mists that the power differentials that affect intrahousehold bargaining
140 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
are linked in crucial ways to ideology, culture, and politics. By taking such
a holistic position, feminist economists are truly heterodox, differing fun-
damentally from the dominant practices in their discipline.
Conclusions
Four decades ago an unusual article appeared in one of the world’s most
prestigious journals. Most authors of papers in Science present their
findings in language difficult for nonspecialists to understand. Garrett
Hardin’s “The Tragedy of the Commons” (1968), in contrast, is a breezily
written essay about a group of problems said to have no technical solu-
tion. Hardin argues that resource destruction and social chaos often occur
when individuals have unrestricted access to commonly owned property.
His paper inspired a generation of scholars in the biological and social sci-
ences to examine relationships between property rights and resource use.
Although these writers usually reject some of Hardin’s assumptions, many
would agree that his approach provides a useful starting point for dis-
cussions of environmental policies. Perhaps the most influential of these
scholars, the political scientist Elinor Ostrom, shared the 2009 Nobel
Prize in Economics for her research on how people in societies around
the world managed common property.
Hardin’s metaphor of the tragedy of the commons is a situation in
which cattle raisers herd their animals on a pasture where there are no
individual property rights.1 Most herders reason that the benefits of add-
ing another animal to their herd outweigh the costs associated with in-
creased grazing. They do so because the benefits of raising the additional
animal accrue only to the herder, while the costs of overgrazing are shared
by everyone using the pasture. Moreover, those herders who decide not to
raise additional animals because of ecological concerns suffer from over-
grazing as much as their more selfish neighbors. The tragedy of the com-
mons arises when individual herders acting in their self-interest add so
many animals to their flocks that the pasture is ruined.
According to Hardin, many environmental and social problems are
Is There a Tragedy of the Commons? 143
maximization are often good for society and who oppose most types of
government intervention. Because Hardin sees individual utility maximi-
zation in most commons situations as detrimental to the public good, he
is a strong advocate of certain types of government interventions.
Even though Hardin’s conclusions differ from those of many econo-
mists, critiques of his ideas resemble those arguments against rational
choice theory that question the autonomy of individual decision makers
and emphasize the importance of empirical studies examining the ethno-
graphic complexity of local situations. Hardin assumes that in the ab-
sence of government intervention, individuals are the decision makers
who matter in the exploitation of common resources. Social scientists
in diverse disciplines have convincingly shown, however, that in practice
unrestricted access to commons is rare. Almost every society has devel-
oped rules and cultural norms that specify who is allowed to use common
resources and how these resources can be used. Individuals often do not
have the power to destroy commons.
Most critiques of Hardin’s ideas are therefore aimed at his assump-
tions about the units of economic decision making. His many critics say
that Hardin fails to understand that in most places supra-individual so-
cial groups exert considerable control over access to common resources.
Some critics go further and disagree with Hardin on his views about the
supposed futility of what he calls “appeals to conscience” (1244). They
argue that in many places cultural norms can effectively prevent people
from acting in environmentally destructive manners.
given to deforestation and mining, large tracts of jungle are still sustain-
ably used for foraging, fishing, and farming. Outsiders are therefore often
surprised to learn that conflicts over land are common in the Peruvian
Amazon because areas vary in their potential for agriculture and forestry
and their accessibility to markets. Some of the most valuable land in the
region is in fertile floodplains near the city of Iquitos that are used for the
cultivation of rice and other crops. Over the past fifty years, there have
been numerous disputes over rights to lands in the floodplains. These
conflicts have been especially complex because the very best land is in im-
permanent barreales that form and disappear every year.
When I began research in the Iquitos area in the mid-1980s I was im-
mediately intrigued by questions associated with the appearance and dis-
appearance of barreales. How did farmers gain access to new barreales?
What did farmers do when their barreales disappeared? What kinds of
disputes arose concerning access to new barreales? How were these dis-
putes resolved?
The appearance of new barreales posed an annual dilemma for the ribe-
reño inhabitants of floodplain communities that in some ways fit Hardin’s
model of the tragedy of the commons. The mud flats were valuable pieces
of land that many people desired; no individuals had permanent rights
to barreales. If there were unrestricted access to new barreales, serious
problems would arise. These problems, however, would not be the over-
exploitation of a common resource that Hardin emphasized. Although
fishers were depleting the region’s marine resources, ribereños lacked the
technology and capital to cause permanent damage to agricultural land
in floodplains. Instead, the principal difficulties likely to result from un-
restricted access to new barreales would be confusion, chaos, and conflict
in a free-for-all rush to grab the best pieces of land. Hardin’s observation
that restrictions on access to a commons are necessary for the public good
when there is sufficient competition for resources clearly applied to land
rights in barreales.
When I was conducting research in the Peruvian Amazon, I was not
explicitly thinking about barreal allocation in terms of the tragedy of the
commons. Nonetheless, the questions that Hardin and others had raised
about communal property preoccupied me throughout my fieldwork. I
examined the systems that the Peruvian state and local communities had
devised to regulate access to new barreales, and I asked ribereños how sat-
isfied they were with these rules. I looked at the extent to which local and
state systems of regulating access alleviated commons-related problems.
Finally, I was interested in a commons-related political economic ques-
146 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
tion that was not covered by Hardin’s model—the extent to which access
to good floodplain land was affected by the political power and social
position of the local elites who owned commercial estates along the river.
During the 1980s local branches of the Peruvian Ministry of Agricul-
ture had responsibility for assigning land rights in floodplain communi-
ties near Iquitos. There were two types of land use permits, titles and cer-
tificates. Titles gave the possessor permanent rights to land. The ministry
ordinarily gave individual titles only to owners of commercial estates and
group titles only to state-recognized “indigenous” communities. (Ribe-
reño villages were only rarely officially recognized as “indigenous.”) Dis-
putes frequently arose when the ministry gave estate owners rights to
land used by residents of a ribereño community. Certificates gave ribe-
reños temporary use rights to land. In barreales, certificates for up to 10
hectares were given for one year, beginning in September and ending in
August. Holders of a certificate maintained use rights only if their land
did not change from one year to the next. As I had speculated when first
thinking about the situation, disputes often occurred within and between
communities concerning rights to newly formed barreales. Individuals
and communities that had lost barreales often thought they should be
given priority when allocations of new barreales were made. Such claims,
however, were sometimes rejected.
The Ministry of Agriculture rarely interfered in villages’ internal allo-
cation decisions. During the mid-1980s many communities allocated ba-
rreales in two separate meetings. The first meeting took place before the
rivers fell and barreales appeared. A preliminary division of barreales was
made for the specific purpose of arranging for certificates to be given to
farmers applying for rice credit from the Agrarian Bank. Once the rivers
fell and villagers knew where the barreales were, a second meeting was
held to make a binding division.
The allocation of barreales in the area near the community of Santa
Sofía in November 1985 shows how local ecology and politics affected de-
cision making about rights to land in floodplains. When the Amazon River
receded in June, new barreales had formed on an island near Santa Sofía.
Although parts of the land were claimed by Santa Sofía and the nearby
communities of Manatí and Capironal, the land had not been legally di-
vided among the villages. Furthermore, customary use patterns did not
provide clear guidelines for the distribution of the new barreales. The
island had been farmed in 1985 by inhabitants of the three villages and
the employees of a commercial estate near Manatí. Residents of the three
ribereño communities all wanted the commercial estate to be prohibited
Is There a Tragedy of the Commons? 147
from using the new barreales but worried that this might not happen be-
cause of social ties between the estate owner and government officials.
Farmers in Santa Sofía hoped to gain access to about twenty hectares
of new land. They had been using about ten hectares of mud bar in a dif-
ferent location. No one farmed more than two hectares at this place, and
many residents of Santa Sofía lacked access to any barreales. The older
barreal, which was on higher land than the island, was unlikely to dis-
appear in the immediate future. However, this land was regarded as less
agriculturally desirable than the new barreales.
After consulting with the political leaders of Santa Sofía, Capironal,
and Manatí, the official of the Ministry of Agriculture assigned to allocate
land on the island devised a plan satisfactory to all three communities.
Village leaders were especially pleased that the estate owner was not given
access to the new barreales. Santa Sofía’s farmers received the twenty
hectares on the island that they had requested, and the thirty hectares of
barreales that the community now had were sufficient for its agricultural
needs.
I attended the meeting in which Santa Sofía allocated its new land. The
process was not altogether straightforward. Residents disagreed about
whether farmers who were still using land in the old barreal should be
given rights in the new barreal. These decisions were eventually made
on a case-by-case basis. Another problem involved the allocation of plots
among households. Someone suggested that the new barreal be divided
into twenty one-hectare plots. However, more than twenty requests for
land were made because in some households several members asked for
plots.2 The problem was resolved by placing limits on the number of plots
given out per household.
The complex ways in which new barreales were allocated in the Peru-
vian Amazon in the mid-1980s illustrate some of the limitations of sim-
plistic approaches to common property. Examinations of situations that
may exemplify a “tragedy of the commons” require clear descriptions of
the alleged commons and potential users. Such analyses must also say
something about the possible costs and benefits of different types of at-
tempts to restrict access to common property to both the public good and
diverse potential users.
In the Peruvian case described here, the commons can be specified
fairly easily as the new barreales that appear in the vicinity of particu-
lar communities. It is harder to determine the potential users, who may
include residents of several villages and the owners of local commercial
estates. Stating the gains and losses for different individuals under alterna-
148 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
Instead, they were newly devised systems that developed after the owners
of commercial estates lost control of floodplains.
Reactions to Hardin
The principal goal of Hardin’s 1968 Science article was to use the tragedy
of the commons as metaphor for the causes and consequences of popu-
lation increases. Hardin’s ideas about overpopulation, which are not all
that different from those of Malthus, have had little influence among de-
mographers and other social scientists. His model of the tragedy of the
commons, however, was adopted, elaborated, and modified by countless
public officials and writers interested in relationships between property
rights and environmental conservation. Many policy analysts and schol-
ars concluded that common ownership of property was a major cause
of the degradation of natural resources such as fisheries, forests, lakes,
and oceans. They contended that the users of commons were caught in
a dilemma from which they could not extract themselves without the
imposition of rules and regulations by external authorities (Ostrom
1999:493–494).
Most economic and ecological anthropologists were uneasy with this
enthusiasm for Hardin’s ideas. These empirically oriented researchers
emphasized the difference between “open access” and “common prop-
erty.” Hardin’s model assumed that all members of a community had
open access to the use of commonly held resources. Research by anthro-
pologists and other social scientists, however, showed that in many places
where there was common property, societies had devised rules and regu-
lations specifying how communal resources could be used (Acheson 1989,
McCay and Acheson 1987). These rules and regulations in many cases
alleviated or even eliminated potential resource degradation.
Anthropologists for the most part focused on providing ethnographic
descriptions of the diverse social institutions that have regulated resource
use in commonly held property at different times and places. Historians
also have presented numerous relevant examples. Although scholars in
other disciplines such as political science and resource economics have
appreciated the empirical evidence reported by anthropologists and histo-
rians, they consider it important to go beyond analyses of particular cases.
Social scientists such as Elinor Ostrom (1990, 1999) and Arun Agrawal
(2001) have wanted to come up with generalizations about which par-
150 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
Two bodies of thoughts compete for a voice in this literature. One, re-
sponding to Hardin’s tragedy of the commons, is primarily concerned
with the problems of achieving collective action to conserve natural re-
sources which are both depleted and unregulated. A second, influenced
by notions of moral economy . . . and entitlement . . . deals with the
problem of creating and sustaining resource access for poor and vul-
nerable groups in society . . . Whereas “collective action scholars” ana-
lyze the rules and sanctions that encourage individuals to conserve the
commons, “entitlement scholars” emphasize the historical struggles that
determine resource access and entitlement, and the ways in which formal
and informal rules create and reinforce unequal access to the commons.
(408–409)
Some time ago James Acheson was asked to write a chapter on “manage-
ment of common-property resources” for a textbook in economic anthro-
pology (Plattner 1989). Acheson was an obvious choice for this task. He
had published widely on commons situations (Acheson 1975, McCay and
Acheson 1987, for example) and was well known for his lucid, intriguing
accounts of ways in which Maine lobstermen controlled access to fishing
areas. The chapter by Acheson (1989) summarizes the prevailing anthro-
pological take on Hardin’s ideas. Twenty years later, this summary re-
mains the clearest and most comprehensive discussion of anthropological
approaches to common property.
Near the beginning of his chapter Acheson presents four assumptions
that he says are shared by Hardin and the many economists using his theo-
retical framework:
He also observes (364) that there is much disagreement and little hard
evidence about the effectiveness of private property rights in conserv-
ing resources. Acheson points out that under certain conditions it makes
sense for owners of resources to use them up rapidly, disregarding the
future effects on conservation. He gives two examples from his state of
Maine. Potato farmers rarely use contour plowing or other strategies to
control soil erosion; the forestry practices of big paper companies are in-
fluenced more by their need to make a profit in the short term than by
the long-term conservation of the forests they use. Because other cases of
destruction of privately held resources are frequent and glaringly obvious
in industrial societies, it is surprising that they are only occasionally men-
tioned by Hardin and other proponents of common-property theory. It
is as if they had never thought seriously about the activities of farmers, oil
companies, and owners of coal mines.
Anticipating Agrawal (2001) by more than a decade, Acheson notes
(1989:372) that many anthropologists and other social scientists argue
that explaining the overexploitation of natural resources solely in terms of
property rights is an oversimplification that ignores other aspect of socio-
economic systems. He briefly discusses the effects of population growth
(as would Hardin), industrialization, and the expansion of capitalist sys-
tems and markets. Acheson concludes the chapter by saying that the work
of anthropologists shows that Hardin’s theory of common-property re-
sources needs considerable modification:
and imposing a closed season when they did not fish at all. Such voluntary
conservation measures were much less common in nucleated areas that
included overlapping territories exploited by lobstermen from more than
one community.
Acheson’s research showed that the reduced fishing effort in perimeter-
defended areas had both biological and economic benefits. In perimeter-
defended zones, the stock density and average lobster size were greater
than in nucleated areas. Men in perimeter-defended areas caught more
lobsters per hour. As a result of better stock and easier fishing, lobstermen
in perimeter-defended areas did better economically than those in nucle-
ated zones.
In his later publications, Acheson emphasizes how the informal sanc-
tions against boundary violations contradicted Hardin’s theory. But when
Acheson first wrote about Maine lobstermen (in 1975), he focused on
aspects of his findings that were congruent with Hardin’s ideas. Clearly
technological improvements had led to the potential for a tragedy of the
commons in lobster-fishing areas. Those communities that took strong
action to restrict access to these areas did better, as Hardin would have
expected, than those that took weaker measures.
In his discussions of territorial boundaries in Maine lobster-fishing
areas, Acheson downplays two aspects of the situation that are only loosely
related to the points that he wants to make. As entitlement scholars would
point out, Acheson says little about the ways in which the arrangements
he describes harm those who might want to become lobstermen but are
not members of any fishing community. Unless such people marry into
a community or settle in for a number of years, they are effectively shut
out of the lobster economy. More importantly, the informal sanctions
against boundary violations do not seem to be preventing the depletion
of lobster. As Acheson observes, the technological developments that led
to overfishing of lobster also resulted in a transition in most places from
perimeter-defended to nucleated zones. Because lobster stocks are declin-
ing in nucleated areas, overfishing seems inevitable unless there is more
extensive state intervention of the type recommended by Hardin.
Comparative Studies
Anthropologists were not the only social scientists carrying out detailed
studies of the allocations of commons in the 1970s and 1980s. A bibli-
ography compiled two decades ago (Martin 1989) includes almost 5,000
156 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
[These models] have defined the accepted way of viewing many prob-
lems that individuals face when attempting to achieve collective benefits.
At the heart of each of these problems is the free-rider problem. When-
ever one person cannot be excluded from the benefits that others pro-
vide, each person is motivated not to contribute to the joint effort, but to
free-ride on the efforts of others. If all participants choose to free-ride,
the collective benefit will not be produced. The temptation to free-ride,
however, may dominate the decision process, and this all will end up
where no one wanted to be. (6)
Ostrom says that such models are interesting and powerful because
they capture important aspects of many different problems in diverse set-
tings around the world. But she says that these models are often wrong
empirically and lead to bad public policy:
1. Resource users agree that they will be harmed if they do not adopt
changes.
2. Most users will be affected in similar ways by the proposed rule
changes.
3. Most users are concerned about the long-term consequences of their
actions.
4. Users face relatively low information, transformation, and enforce-
ment costs.
5. Users share generalized norms of reciprocity and trust.
6. The user group is relatively small and stable. (211)
Another way of making Brox’s point would be to say that the tragedy of
the commons is a metaphor for a diversity of situations. This metaphor
has inspired researchers to carefully examine similarities and differences
in the use of common resources in diverse times and places. In some cir-
cumstances, Hardin’s analogy to a pasture works well; in most cases it is
incomplete or misleading. Whether or not the metaphor works in a par-
ticular place, taking it seriously forces researchers to examine thought-
fully the environmental effects of the ways in which commons are allo-
cated and used.
Brox is clearly right that Hardin’s ideas have inspired much useful re-
search. However, he downplays the damage caused by the popularity of
the idea of the tragedy of the commons. Economists are much more in-
fluential than anthropologists in the formulation of public policy. Policy
makers influenced by the idea of the tragedy of the commons are likely
to underestimate the extent to which local institutions can alleviate over-
exploitation of forests, oceans, and lakes. Furthermore, a focus on indi-
vidual self-interest as a major cause of the tragedy of the commons can
lead to neglect of wider economic, political, and technological changes
that result in environmental damage. The consequences in some places
have been public policies that emphasize either privatization of resources
or the development of structural incentives intended to change the costs
and benefits to individuals of environmentally destructive actions. While
such policies can be beneficial, they largely ignore inequities in access to
resources. They also sometimes result in an unjustified trust in the effec-
tiveness of privatization in alleviating environmental problems.
The diverse reactions to Ostrom’s 2009 Nobel Prize illustrate the unusual
position of commons research along the political spectrum. The award to
Ostrom was applauded by both conservatives and liberals. Peter Boettke,
a free-market enthusiast who admires Gary Becker and Milton Fried-
man, has said that Ostrom’s research shows the “wisdom of decentral-
ized government” and demonstrates “the extraordinary capacity of indi-
Is There a Tragedy of the Commons? 161
the economics profession is going to hate the prize going to Ostrom even
more than Republicans hated the Peace Prize going to Obama. Econo-
mists want this to be an economists’ prize (after all, economists are self-
interested). This award demonstrates, in a way that no previous prize has,
that the prize is moving toward a Nobel in Social Science, not a Nobel in
Economics. (2009)
Conclusions
Elinor Ostrom is only one of the many scholars who have carried on re-
search of commons issues in the four decades since Hardin’s article ap-
peared in Science. Her work, however, exemplifies much commons re-
search in its attention to historical and ethnographic details. Hardin’s
original formulation of the tragedy of the commons could have resulted
in the development of complex mathematical models of the sort found
in economists’ analyses of risk, rational choice, and household decision
making. His ideas might also have led to extensive testing of hypothe-
ses in laboratory experiments such as those common in studies of sub-
jective probabilities and cooperation. Although some researchers ex-
amining commons questions have used formal models and experiments,
most have emphasized the findings of empirical studies in field settings.
Much of this research has been carried out by noneconomists, including
many anthropologists. In most of the earlier chapters of this book, the
dominant, model-driven approaches by economists to various issues re-
lated to decision making are contrasted with less influential, heterodox
ethnographic approaches. The situation is reversed in commons research,
which is dominated by ethnographic studies.
Conclusion
People in market societies often must choose between paid and unpaid
work. Because of difficulties associated with assigning monetary costs and
benefits to unpaid work, however, the statistics and analyses of econo-
mists often ignore subsistence production, household labor, and commu-
nity service. Heterodox economists, anthropologists, and feminist schol-
ars in diverse disciplines have therefore cogently criticized conventional
economic analyses for downplaying the contributions of unpaid labor to
society.
Although there have been numerous calculations of the monetary
“values” of subsistence production and unpaid labor in market societies,
these can be lumped fairly easily into two principal methods. Both are
consistent with the ideas of mainstream economics and rational choice
theory. The first is to calculate an opportunity cost, the monetary re-
turns from alternative paid work. The second is to calculate a replacement
value, the cost of hiring someone to carry out an unpaid activity. These
methods can result in very different estimates of the monetary value of
subsistence crops and unpaid work. Moreover, there are certain empirical
and logical difficulties associated with calculations of both opportunity
costs and replacement values. Neither method, for example, pays much
attention to what the decision makers themselves see as the costs and
benefits of different types of work. Nonetheless, few people who have
Conclusion 167
thought seriously about this issue have come up with plausible alternative
ways of measuring the value of subsistence production and unpaid work.
Final Thoughts
My principal aim in this book has been to contrast economic and anthro-
pological approaches to the analysis of decision making. Both approaches
provide useful insights about decision making. Economists are able to iso-
late important variables relevant to choice and to state clearly how these
variables might be related. Anthropologists provide cross- cultural data
that can be used to test economic theories; they also describe well the
complexities of many decision-making situations. There are also short-
comings to both approaches. Economists too often oversimplify, make
unrealistic assumptions, ignore history and culture, and downplay factors
influencing choice that are difficult to quantify. Anthropologists too often
express ideas imprecisely, mindlessly oppose quantification, and refuse to
generalize.
Much of this book has consisted of critiques of economic approaches
to choice. There are several reasons I have focused more on the short-
comings of economists’ analyses than on those of anthropologists. Eco-
nomics is a much more influential discipline. Economists are important
policy makers in national, regional, and local governments; anthropolo-
gists rarely hold such positions. Newspapers, bookstores, and libraries
are filled with economists’ explanations of the causes of assorted finan-
cial crises; anthropologists’ views on such matters receive little pub-
licity. Furthermore, many economists openly disdain or intentionally
ignore anthropological ways of looking at decision making. Moreover,
economists’ willingness to make explicit assumptions makes it easy to see
exactly what they are leaving out of their analyses.
I am not suggesting that anthropology can or should replace economics
as the principal method for thinking about decision making. Any anthro-
172 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
pologist reading this book will notice that I totally ignore or mention only
in passing whole schools of thought in our discipline that are devoted in
part to a consideration of economic institutions. Much of the writing
by scholars adopting these theoretical frameworks is, in my view, dense,
opaque, and of little practical use. In the language of some such scholars,
I have not made the effort here to “unpack” or “interrogate” these ap-
proaches. The ideas of these anthropologists have had practically no im-
pact outside of academia. My advocacy of anthropological approaches is
not an argument in favor of our grand theoretical proclamations; instead
it is a plea for more attention to ethnography.
The examination here of five important issues in the analysis of deci-
sion making suggests that the methods of economics are of limited use in
the understanding of key aspects of decision making. These methods must
be complemented with more descriptive approaches that consider the
context within which choices are made. If economics and anthropology
were equally influential disciplines, this would be a banal conclusion emp-
tily asserting the advantages of diverse perspectives. But in the world as it
is, the virtues of ethnography seem worth mentioning.
Notes
Introduction
The word “exogenous” is heard so often these days . . . that one wonders what is
left in economics proper. At issue for a more relevant empirical economics are the
dynamics of social history, political institutions and the environment, not just the
mechanics of supply and demand.
Chapter 1
most famous in the field. Mankiw’s blog was familiar to me. I had not previously
known about the McConnell and Brue book but learned that it was the current
best-seller. Because the most recent editions of these textbooks were very expen-
sive (more than $100 apiece) and unavailable at my university library, I decided to
buy earlier versions via the Internet, thinking that the sections I was interested in
had probably not changed much. Rational choice theory can deal with this latter
choice easily. The reasons beyond my selection of these particular three text-
books, however, can only with difficulty be understood by mainstream economic
theory.
2. This argument is made at length in one of my first articles, Chibnik 1981.
Chapter 2
Chapter 3
Ortiz did her research. Certainly many of the decisions she describes were made
by family groups in which women had some influence. Ortiz’s use of the pronoun
“he” to describe a farmer was, of course, conventional in the 1970s.
5. I have argued (in Chibnik 1981) that much of cultural evolution consists of
information gathering and small-scale experimentation resulting in the develop-
ment of such heuristics (“cultural rules”).
Chapter 4
Chapter 5
1. Although many of these “spouses” were not legally married, they were in-
volved in long-term relationships and were regarded by the community as being
married couples.
2. I ended up surveying 82 of the 84 farming households in the three
communities.
3. The economic situations in Belize and the Peruvian Amazon have obvi-
ously changed since I conducted my fieldwork. The standard of living in the part
of Belize where I conducted research in the 1970s is comparable nowadays to that
in contemporary Oaxacan wood-carving communities. The area of the Peruvian
Amazon where I did fieldwork in the 1980s, however, is still much poorer (by any
measure of well-being) than contemporary Oaxaca and Belize.
4. Migration rates from Belize to the United States nowadays are comparable
176 Notes to pages 142–159
to those in Oaxaca. There is still relatively little migration from the Peruvian
Amazon to other countries; most migration from the rural villages where I did
research is to the city of Iquitos.
Chapter 6
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References 195
40–41; forest work in, 42; Gari- 6–7; issues in analysis of, 17–19;
funa (Caribs) of, 40, 43, 121; and practice theory, 35; restraints
households defined in, 119–123, 125, on, 22; and science-humanities
126, 129–130; marriage in, 24, 175n1 continuum, 164–166; sociologi-
(chap. 5); Mayas in, 24, 40–41, 42, cal approaches to, 25, 31–35, 164–
43, 121; and migration to United 165, 166. See also decision making;
States, 175–176n4; tourist industry rational choice theories
in, 22, 39 Cliggett, Lisa, 34
Bender, Donald, 131 cognitive psychology: critiques of
Bentham, Jeremy, 1 economics, 166; and knowledge of
Binford, Leigh, 127 concepts of probability, 18, 78; and
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Bohannan, Paul, 131 certainty, 61, 88
Boyd, Robert, 103 Cohen, Jeffrey, 128
Briscoe, Simon, 86 common property: anthropologi-
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British Honduras. See Belize 155–159; economic approaches to,
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Bush, George W., 28 ment intervention, 144, 148, 149,
151, 152, 153, 155; interpretations of,
Cancian, Frank, 81–85, 168 159–160; and Maine lobstermen,
capitalism: capital-intensive agricul- 152, 154–155, 176n3; and nucleated
ture, 54; and fairness, 105; and and perimeter-defended areas, 154–
household economic decisions, 139; 155; in Peruvian Amazon, 144–149;
and unpaid work, 136 political reactions to, 160–162; and
cash crops: agricultural credit for, resource conservation, 149–151,
65–67; calculating monetary value 154–155, 157–158, 160; and resource
of, 43–44, 47; earning income destruction, 142–143, 149, 152,
from, 20, 21–22, 43; risks of, 21, 43, 170; restrictions on, 143, 144, 145,
48–49 147, 148, 151, 152, 170; and self-
Cassidy, John, 15 interests, 19, 160
centrally planned economies, 30 competition, 4–5, 91, 93, 95–96, 97, 98
Chamberlin, Edward Hastings, Comte, Auguste, 1
103–104 consumption: and economic anthro-
Chayanov, A. V., 45–47, 51, 57–58, 132, pology, 5; and household behavior,
135–136, 174nn4–5 135, 136, 140, 141, 170. See also pro-
choice: anthropological approaches duction for home consumption
to, 2–5, 19, 23–24, 25, 26, 31–35, 36, contingent valuation, 51, 52
171; consequences of, 35–36; con- Cook, Scott, 127, 173n2
text of, 19; and cost-benefit analy- cooperation: benefits of, 97–98; co-
sis, 38–39; economic approaches to, operative work groups, 124–125,
1–5, 19, 21, 24–31, 33, 36, 118, 164, 129; distinctiveness of human co-
165, 167, 171; and expected utility, operation, 101–102, 116; and evolu-
Index 199
tionary biology, 18, 90–91, 97, 99, 6, 21, 23, 24–31, 61, 74–78, 87–88,
101–102, 104, 116, 169; and experi- 161, 163, 165–166, 171–172; and eco-
mental economics, 91, 93, 104, 114; nomic experiments, 114; effects of
genetic explanations for, 102–103, risk aversion on, 4; ethnographic
110; and household economic deci- approach to, 5, 12, 18, 81, 86, 89,
sions, 139; and households, 121; and 163, 165, 166, 172; expected utility
kin selection explanation, 100, 116, models of, 6–7, 8; long-term con-
117; and Oaxacan wood carvers, sequences, 7, 13, 14, 71, 72–73,
95–97, 98, 117; and rational choice 98; short-term consequences,
theories, 92, 116, 168–169; and tit- 7, 13, 14, 71, 72–73, 98; signifi-
for-tat strategy, 101; and Ultima- cance of, 35–36; and social institu-
tum Game, 110, 111, 112, 113, 115 tions, 31, 32, 36; and unpaid versus
cost-benefit analyses, 38–39, 71, 73 paid work, 57; and women, 134,
Cruz, Isidoro, 94, 95–96, 97, 98 174–175n4. See also choice; house-
cultural change, 17, 31, 32, 37 hold economic decisions; risk;
cultural evolution, 45, 102, 103, 151, uncertainty
175n5 (chap. 3) decision-making units, 7, 13, 14, 17,
cultural norms: and common prop- 18–19. See also household economic
erty, 19, 144, 154; and cooperation, decisions
115, 116–117; and decision making, Delang, Charles, 51, 52–53, 57, 174n6
31, 32, 33, 36, 81, 164; and ethnog- democracies, 26, 92
raphy, 113; and Oaxacan wood Denich, Bette, 32
carvers, 98 dependency theory, 5, 22–24
cultural practices: effect on decision Dictator Game, 114, 115
making, 26; history as influence on, diversified activities, and risk and un-
3, 4, 5; reductionist explanations certainty, 71, 73, 89
of, 8; and substantivist approach to Domestic Labor Debate, 136
economic choices, 23–24; utilitar- domestic labor (housework), 38, 48,
ian explanations of, 6, 7, 8 53, 55–57, 58
cultural transmission of ideas, 99, 102, dot-com boom of late 1990s, 16
103 Douglas, Mary, 85–86
culture-gene coevolution, 99 dual inheritance theory, 103
dual systems theory, 139
Darwin, Charles, 91, 100
Dawkins, Richard, 100 earning income, choice in, 20, 21–24
decision making: anthropological ecological anthropology, 3–4, 83–84,
approaches to, 1–2, 21, 31–35, 61, 149
81–87, 89, 140, 165–168, 171–172; ecological economics, 52
cognitive psychological approaches economic anthropology: approaches
to, 61, 78–80, 88, 151; complexity to decision making, 21, 85, 86–87,
of, 71, 74, 76, 88, 89, 98, 171; and 169; and common property, 149,
cooperation, 104; and cultural 152; experiments in nonwestern
norms, 31, 32, 33, 36, 81, 164; de- field sites, 18, 169; and formalist-
bates on, 21; economic anthropo- substantivist debate, 4, 21, 23,
logical approaches to, 21, 85, 86–87, 32–34, 36, 173n2; and household
169; economic approaches to, 1–2, economic decisions, 132–133, 134;
200 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
and models of choice, 165; relation- fining households, 18; and eco-
ship with mainstream economics, nomic anthropology, 4, 99; and
4–5, 17, 81, 87 economics, 17; and fieldwork, 4, 23;
economics: approaches to choice, and household economic decisions,
1–5, 19, 21, 24–31, 33, 36, 118, 164, 141; limitations of, 22; and models
165, 167, 171; approaches to deci- of human behavior, 93; and ratio-
sion making, 1–2, 6, 21, 23, 24–31, nal choice theories, 2–3, 5, 14; and
61, 74–78, 87–88, 161, 163, 165–166, risk, 86–87, 89, 168; value of, 5
171–172; assumptions of, 21, 27–31, evolutionary biology: and altruistic
36, 93, 104, 137, 141–142, 169–170; behavior, 99–101, 103, 104, 117, 156,
and common property, 159, 160, 169; and cooperation, 18, 90–91,
161; and constraints on deci- 97, 99, 101–102, 104, 116; and cross-
sion making, 21, 24–31; and cost- cultural economic experiments, 18,
benefit analysis, 38, 39; defining 90–91, 93, 99–103
of, 29, 32; experiments in, 84, 91, evolutionary models, 83–84
93, 103–105, 114, 115, 117, 164, 165, evolutionary psychology, 3, 109–110,
167; and generous behavior, 92; 113, 165
and global recession of 2008–2009, exchange value, use value distin-
15; and household economic deci- guished from, 45
sions, 118–119, 134–140; and mathe- expected utility theory: and alter-
matical models, 17, 19, 24–25, 28, native outcomes, 6, 36; and cost-
36, 39, 74–77, 81–82, 83, 87, 88–89, benefit analysis, 38; and economic
135, 137, 162–163, 164, 165, 166, 167; anthropology, 81; and economic
and migration from Mexico to models, 75, 87–88; estimates of,
United States, 14; neoclassical eco- 7; and experimental economics,
nomic theory, 25, 33, 34, 46, 118, 84; and rational choice theories,
135, 139, 140, 161; relationship with 6–7; and risk, 18, 80, 82, 84–85, 87
economic anthropology, 4–5, 17, experimental economics, 84, 90–93,
81, 87; and risk, 74–75, 81–82, 87, 103–105, 164
88–89, 167; textbooks of, 28–31, experimental psychology, 164, 165,
173–174n1; and uncertainty, 61, 76, 167, 169
77–78, 87 Experimental Technology Incentives
economic systems, 30 Program (ETIP), 54
education, and Oaxacan wood carvers,
69, 70, 72 fairness: and experimental economics,
Ellsberg, Daniel, 80 104–105; and markets, 105, 113; and
embeddedness concept, 21, 23, 32, self-interest, 104, 168; and Ultima-
33–34, 36, 130, 165 tum Game, 105–106, 107, 109
Ensminger, Jean, 108, 109 Fehr, Ernest, 102–103
environmental conservation, and feminist theory: and autonomy and
property rights, 149–150, 153 power of women, 133, 134; and eco-
ethnography: and common property, nomics, 17, 165; and household eco-
149, 150, 162, 163, 171; complexity nomic decisions, 118–119, 120, 134,
of, 93; and cultural differences, 3; 139–140, 141; and unpaid labor, 166
and decision making, 5, 12, 18, 81, feudalism, 31
86, 89, 163, 165, 166, 172; and de- fieldwork, 4, 23
Index 201
firms: and microeconomics, 26–27, 30; population, 143, 148, 149, 151, 153;
production of, 135 pasture analogy, 142, 143, 160,
Firth, Raymond, 32, 37, 130 176n1; reactions to, 149–151
Folbre, Nancy, 139 Harford, Tim, 7–8, 9
foraging societies: optimal foraging Hayek, Fredrich, 162
theory, 3–4, 45, 84; and Ultimatum Henrich, Joseph, 90, 92, 101–102, 103,
Game, 107, 108, 113, 175n5 (chap. 4) 106–107, 111, 115
Freudian psychologists, 165 Henrich, Natalie Smith, 101–102, 103,
Friedman, Milton, 27–28, 29, 36, 160, 111, 115
161 herd mentality, 15–16, 78
history: approaches to choice, 165; and
game theory: and cooperation, 169; common property, 149, 163; cul-
and economic experiments, 104, tural practices influenced by, 3, 4,
106; and household economic de- 5; economic approaches to, 2, 17,
cisions, 118, 138–139, 141; and pris- 36; holistic methods of, 28
oner’s dilemma, 176n4 hog lots, 54–55
gender relations: and household eco- household economic decisions:
nomic decisions, 118, 137, 138–139. anthropological approaches, 118–
See also men; women 119, 130–134, 135, 140, 141; and
generosity: and Dictator Game, 115; Belize, 119–123; economic ap-
and Ultimatum Game, 106, 107, proaches, 118–119, 134–141; and
110, 175n5 (chap. 4) methodological individualism, 170;
Gentry, Alwyn, 50, 51 and Oaxacan artisan communities,
globalization, 5, 23 13, 127–128; and shared resources,
global recession of 2008–2009, 15, 118, 120, 121, 129–130, 134, 135, 137,
60–61, 76–77 140, 141; and women, 118–119, 120,
Gnau of New Guinea, 108, 111 126, 133, 137
Granovetter, Mark, 33–34 households: and access to common
gross domestic product, 39, 58 property, 147; concept of, 131, 170;
groups: decision making influenced defining, 18, 20, 118, 119, 120–130,
by, 7, 14; supra-individual charac- 132–133, 134, 140; economic models
teristics of, 3. See also household of behavior, 59; as independent
economic decisions economic units, 132; interrela-
Guatemala, 22, 32, 40, 41 tionship between production and
Gurven, Michael, 109, 111, 115–116 consumption, 136, 140, 170; labor
Gutiérrez, Tonatiúh, 94 allocation in, 4, 43, 69–70, 71, 119,
133; and microeconomic analyses,
Hadza of Tanzania, 108, 110–111 26–27, 30
Haldane, J. B. S., 100 housing bubble, 16
Hamilton, William, 100, 101, 175n2 Hudson, Michael, 173n5
(chap. 4) human behavior: and concept of
Hammel, Eugene, 133 rationality, 7–9; economic ap-
happiness, 6, 173n3 proaches to, 1, 17, 99
Hardin, Garrett: on common prop- hunting for home consumption, cal-
erty, 142–144, 145, 148, 152, 154, culating monetary value of, 44, 45,
155, 156, 157, 159, 163, 170; on over- 46, 48
202 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
43–44, 45, 46, 47–49; and feeding ribereños. See Peruvian Amazon
domestic animals, 44, 49 Richerson, Peter, 103
prospect theory, 79–80 risk: and agricultural credit in Peru-
public good: and cooperation, 116; vian Amazon, 66, 67, 71; anthro-
moral appeals to, 143; public goods pological approaches to, 61, 81–87,
games, 109, 175n4 (chap. 4); and 167–168; and behavioral ecology
restrictions on access to com- models, 83–84; and cash crops,
mons, 145, 147–148, 156; and self- 21, 43, 48–49; and cognitive psy-
interests, 92; and Ultimatum chology, 61, 78–80, 81, 85, 88, 89,
Game, 99 167; and cooperation and compe-
tition, 98; coping strategies for,
Quinn, Naomi, 84–85 73–74; disciplinary approaches to,
74–87; and earning choices, 20, 21,
rational choice theories: assumptions 43; and economic anthropology,
of, 104, 166, 169–170; and common 86; and economics, 61, 74–76,
property, 151; and cooperation, 87, 88, 167, 169; and ethnogra-
92, 116, 168–169; criticisms of, phy, 86–87, 89, 168; and expected
16–17; and economic anthropology, utility, 18, 80, 82, 84–85, 87; and
4–5, 9; and ethnography, 2–3, 5, experimental economics, 84; and
14; and expected utility, 6–7; and household economic decisions, 131;
formalist-substantivist debate, 32; multiple risks, 71–72, 76, 88, 98,
limitations of, 25; preferences in, 168; and no-till farming in Iowa,
3; and self-interests, 12–13, 29, 30, 64, 71, 72; and Oaxacan wood
31, 92, 168; strict versions of, 15–16, carvers, 69, 71, 72, 76, 88; risk-
18; and Ultimatum Game, 99, 106, uncertainty continuum, 61, 64, 67,
111; and utility maximization, 2, 71, 72, 76, 77, 88; theoretical ap-
143–144, 170 proaches to, 61; variability in esti-
rational expectations hypothesis, 15 mating, 72, 75
rationality: assumptions concerning risk aversion, 4, 75–76
rational behavior, 75, 82, 87, 106; risk avoidance, 6
broader meanings of, 7–9; eco- rules of thumb, 16, 84–85, 108–109
nomic idea of, 174n1 (chap. 2) Rumsfeld, Donald, 77
real-world situations: applying eco-
nomic models to, 9; and cultural Sahlins, Marshall, 8, 9, 132
norms, 115–116; and economic ex- Samuelson, Paul, 135, 136, 173–174n1
periments, 61, 114, 115, 117, 164; Sangu of Tanzania, 111
ethnographical descriptions of Santiago, Miguel, 94
decision making in, 18, 165; and scarce resources, 32
group decisions, 118; and Ultima- Scott, James, 34–35
tum Game, 112 self-exploitation, 57
Reddy, Sanjay, 86–87 self-interests: and common property,
Redfield, Robert, 113, 114 19, 160; and communal resources,
Reid, Margaret, 136 19; and expected utility, 6; and ex-
replacement value, and unpaid labor, perimental economics, 91; fairness
56–57, 58, 166 moderating, 104, 168; and markets,
representativeness heuristic, 78, 80, 85 105; and Oaxacan wood carvers, 97,
resistance, studies of, 23, 35 98; and public good, 92; and ratio-
Index 205
nal choice theory, 12–13, 29, 30, 31, subsistence production: imputing
92, 168; and Ultimatum Game, 115 value to, 44–47, 48, 49, 57, 58–59,
selfishness: intercultural differences 166–167; and non-timber forest
in, 106; mores against, 168; punish- products, 50–51
ment of, 99, 103, 104, 107, 115, 117; substitute product value, 51, 52–53,
and trait group models, 100; and 57
Ultimatum Game, 110, 112, 113 Surowiecki, James, 105
Sen, Amartya, 24–26
Shiller, Robert, 167 Taleb, Nassim Nicholas, 74, 174n3
Sigmund, Karl, 102–103 (chap. 3)
Skidelsky, Robert, 77–78 Tax, Sol, 32
small-scale experimentation, 71, 74, Taylor, C. Robert, 76, 77
175n5 (chap. 5) Thaler, Richard, 15
small-scale societies, 91, 107–108, Third-Party Punishment Game, 115
113–114 Thomas, Duncan, 138
Smith, Adam, 174n3 (chap. 2) tit-for-tat strategy, 101, 105
Smith, Natalie. See Henrich, Natalie Tracer, David, 111
Smith tragedy of the commons. See common
social constructivism, 81, 86 property
social institutions: and decision trait group models, 100
making, 31, 32, 36; and publicly tribal societies, economics of, 32
held resources, 19; and substantiv- tropical rainforests: value of, 50. See
ist position on economic choices, also non-timber forest products
21, 23–24, 32–33, 34; supra- (NTFPs)
individual, 21 trust, 104, 105, 113
social networks, 33, 34 Tsimane of Bolivia, 109, 111, 115
social organization, 32 Tucker, Bram, 84
social structure, 32 Tversky, Amos, 16, 78, 79–80, 167
sociology: approaches to choice, 25,
31–35, 164–165, 166; approaches to Ultimatum Game, 90–91, 92, 99, 105–
cooperation, 168; economic ap- 113, 114, 115, 169, 175n5 (chap. 4)
proaches to, 2, 33–34; and migra- uncertainty: and agricultural credit
tion from Mexico to United States, in Peruvian Amazon, 67, 71; and
14 cash crops versus wage labor, 21;
Spence, Michael, 161 and cognitive psychology, 61, 88;
spiteful behavior, 100–103, 104, 110 converting into risk, 71, 74; and
Stepick, Alex, 127–128 cooperation and competition, 98;
structure, 31, 34 coping strategies for, 73–74; dis-
subjective probabilities, 75, 79–80, 84 ciplinary approaches to, 74–87;
subsistence agriculture: and behav- and economic models, 76, 88, 169;
ioral ecology models, 84; in Belize, and ethnography, 89; and expected
40, 43, 44; calculating monetary utility, 18; and global recession of
values for, 38, 39, 43–44, 46–47, 2008–2009, 76–77; and household
48, 49, 166–167; and input/output economic decisions, 131; Knight-
analyses, 39; and Oaxacan wood ean uncertainty, 61, 76, 77, 80, 81,
carvers, 68, 69, 70, 72, 73; risks of, 83, 88, 167; multiple uncertain-
49 ties, 71–72, 88, 98, 168; and no-till
206 Anthropology, Economics, and Choice
farming in Iowa, 64, 71, 72; and wage labor: in Belize, 42, 43, 119; cal-
Oaxacan wood carvers, 69, 71, 88; culating monetary returns from,
risk-uncertainty continuum, 61, 20, 21, 43, 47; and Oaxacan wood
64, 67, 71, 72, 76, 77, 88; theoretical carvers, 69, 70, 72, 73, 97. See also
approaches to, 61 paid labor
unpaid labor: calculating monetary Wales, Terence, 138
values for, 17, 38, 39, 46, 47, 48, Waring, Marilyn, 39, 55–57
51–52, 136, 166–167, 169; choices Warner, K. E., 74
between paid and unpaid labor, Wiessner, Polly, 114–116
166–167; domestic labor, 38, 48, 53, Wilk, Richard, 34, 122
55–57, 58; economists’ ignoring of, Wilson, E. O., 100, 175n3 (chap. 4)
135, 140, 166; imputing value to, wind power, 55
56–59; in industrial societies, 53, Winking, Jeffrey, 115–116
55–57, 134; and input/output ana- Winterhalder, Bruce, 84
lyses, 39; utility of, 17–18, 43; and Wirth, Louis, 113, 114
women, 55–56, 136. See also paid women: and decision making, 134,
labor 174–175n4; and household eco-
unpredictable consequences, 13–14 nomic decisions, 118–119, 120,
unsubstantiated beliefs, 16 126, 133, 137; and household labor
use value, 45, 49 allocation, 133; in Oaxacan arti-
U.S. Supreme Court, 35 san communities, 126; and unpaid
utility: defining, 13; maximization labor, 55–56, 136
of, 1, 2, 143–144. See also expected World Bank, 58
utility theory world systems theories, 5