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LPGaswire

Volume 45 / Issue 183 / September 18, 2023

Asia LPG ($/mt) (PGL page 2780) Market Commentary


Code Mid Change Code Mid Change

CFR Refrigerated Diffs to Saudi CP Month 01 Platts Asian LPG Daily Commentary
11:11 North Asia (H2 Oct) AASGO00 692.500 + 1.000
11:11 North Asia (H1 Nov) AASGP00 693.500 0.000 „ CFR North Asia LPG prices inch higher
11:11 North Asia (H2 Nov) AASGQ00 693.500 + 0.500
11:11 North Asia cargo* AASGN00 693.000 + 0.500 „ Fresh purchase tenders underpin regional
Propane North Asia cargo (H2 Oct) AAVAK00 689.00–691.00 690.000 +1.000 Propane North Asia PMAAX00 120.00/122.00 121.000 +4.000 sentiment
Propane North Asia cargo (H1 Nov) AAVAL00 690.00–692.00 691.000 0.000 CFR North Asia LPG prices edged higher Sept. 18,
Propane North Asia cargo (H2 Nov) AAVAM00 690.00–692.00 691.000 +0.500
shrugging off a $1.76/mt decline in the December ICE
Propane North Asia cargo* PMAAV00 690.00–691.00 690.500 +0.500
Brent crude oil futures contract from the previous
Propane South China cargo AABAK00 697.00–699.00 698.000 +3.000 Propane South China AABAI00 127.00/129.00 128.000 +6.000
Propane Taiwan cargo AABAN00 698.00–700.00 699.000 +3.000 Propane Taiwan AABAO00 128.00/130.00 129.000 +6.000 Asian close in a relatively slow market.
Butane North Asia cargo (H2 Oct) AAVAN00 694.00–696.00 695.000 +1.000 Butane North Asia PMAAH00 120.00/122.00 121.000 +4.000 Platts assessed front-cycle CFR North Asia second-
Butane North Asia cargo (H1 Nov) AAVAO00 695.00–697.00 696.000 0.000 half October delivery propane — the new front cycle
Butane North Asia cargo (H2 Nov) AAVAP00 695.00–697.00 696.000 +0.500 — at $690/mt on Sept. 18, up $1/mt from the previous
Butane North Asia cargo* PMAAF00 695.00–696.00 695.500 +0.500
session.
Butane South China cargo AABAU00 702.00–704.00 703.000 +3.000 Butane South China AABAT00 127.00/129.00 128.000 +6.000
Second-half October CFR North Asia propane’s
Butane Taiwan cargo AABBH00 703.00–705.00 704.000 +3.000 Butane Taiwan AABBI00 128.00/130.00 129.000 +6.000

CFR Pressurized Diffs to Saudi CP strip
premium against the October contract was valued
LPG Vietnam AAWUV00 670.00–671.00 670.500 -2.000 LPG Vietnam AAWUW00 96.00/98.00 97.000 +1.000 Sept. 18 at $120/mt.
LPG Philippines AAWUX00 675.00–676.00 675.500 -2.000 LPG Philippines AAWUY00 101.00/103.00 102.000 +1.000 First-half November CFR North Asia propane’s

FOB Pressurized Diffs to Saudi CP strip premium against the October CP was valued at $107/mt
LPG East China AAWUZ00 658.00–659.00 658.500 +1.000 LPG East China AAWVA00 84.00/86.00 85.000 +4.000 on Sept. 18.
LPG South China AAWVB00 658.00–659.00 658.500 +1.000 LPG South China AAWVC00 84.00/86.00 85.000 +4.000 October butane’s premium against propane was
LPG Singapore AAWVD00 658.00–659.00 658.500 +1.000 LPG Singapore AAWVE00 84.00/86.00 85.000 +4.000
steady from the previous session at $5/mt on Sept. 18.
*An average of the first two half-month assessments
One bid and no offers were heard in the physical
Middle East LPG ($/mt) (PGL page 2776) market Sept. 18, with no trade heard.
Axpo bid for a 23,000 mt propane lot for H2 October
Code Mid Change Code Mid Change

FOB Arab Gulf Diffs to Saudi CP Month 01
delivery at FEI October minus $4/mt, which equated to
Propane cargo PMUDM00 599.00–601.00 600.000 -3.000 Propane vs CP PMABF00 29.00/31.00 30.000 0.000 $689/mt.
Butane cargo PMUDR00 604.00–606.00 605.000 -3.000 Butane vs CP PMABG00 29.00/31.00 30.000 0.000 The bid remained standing at the close.
Taiwan’s Formosa Petrochemical Co. bought via

(continued on page 3)

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LPGaswire September 18, 2023

European LPG ($/mt) (PGL page 1775)


Code Mid Change % of naphtha** Code Mid Change % of naphtha**
Northwest Europe
Propane FOB NWE Seagoing PMABB00 614.75–615.25 615.000 +34.000 PMABBPT 85.86 Butane FOB NWE Seagoing PMAAL00 644.75–645.25 645.000 +6.000 PMAALPT 90.05
Propane FOB ARA PMAAS00 627.75–628.25 628.000 +3.000 PMAASPT 87.68 Butane FOB ARA PMAAC00 665.75–666.25 666.000 +20.000 PMAACPT 92.98
Propane FCA ARA* PMABH00 644.75–645.25 645.000 -5.000 PMABHPT 90.05 Butane FCA ARA* PMABI00 669.75–670.25 670.000 +20.000 PMABIPT 93.54
Bio-Propane FCA NWE ABPRA00 2605.500 +3.000 Butane CIF NWE Seagoing PMAAJ00 679.75–680.25 680.000 +20.000 PMAAJPT 94.94
Bio-Propane FCA NWE Premium ABPRB00 2025.000 0.000
Propane CIF NWE Large Cargo PMABA00 580.25–580.75 580.500 +3.000 PMABAPT 81.05 Butane CIF NWE Large Cargo PMAAK00 608.50–609.00 608.750 +5.250 PMAAKPT 84.99
Western Mediterranean
Propane FOB Ex-Refinery/Storage PMABC00 670.25–670.75 670.500 +3.000 PMABCPT 93.61 Butane FOB West Med Coaster PMAAM00 629.75–630.25 630.000 +5.000 PMAAMPT 87.96
Propane FCA Ex-Refinery/Storage* PMABJ00 680.25–680.75 680.500 +3.000 PMABJPT 95.01 Butane CIF Morocco*** ABTMA00 595.500 +1.750 ABTMB00 83.14
Propane CIF 7000+ mt PMABE00 597.25–597.75 597.500 +3.000 PMABEPT 83.42
*FCA ARA refers to sales onto railcars and trucks in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp region **Physical percentage versus Naphtha Cargoes CIF NWE (PAAAL00) ***CIF Morocco reflects Ex-USGC butane 45-60 days forward

Naphtha ($/mt) LPG Postings ($/mt) Propane swaps


Code Mid Change Outright Code Mid Change
(PGA pages 1310, 1320 and 2006 and PGF page 760) Saudi contract postings (PGL page 2790) Northwest Europe ($/mt) (PGL page 1775)
Naphtha Cargoes CIF NWE PAAAL00 716.00–716.50 716.250 +6.250 Saudi Propane (Sep) PTAAM10 550.00 M1 (Oct) AAHIK00 589.00–593.00 591.000 +2.000
Naphtha Cargoes FOB Med PAAAI00 665.00–665.50 665.250 +4.500 Saudi Butane (Sep) PTAAF10 560.00 M2 (Nov) AAHIM00 592.00–596.00 594.000 +3.000
Naphtha C+F Japan Cargo PAAAD00 711.25–712.75 712.000 -0.750 M3 (Dec) AAHIO00 594.00–598.00 596.000 +3.000
Algerian contract postings (PGL page 1790)
Naphtha Cargo FOB USGC AAXJU00 669.01–669.11 669.060 -4.730 Q1 (Q4 2023) AAHIL00 593.50–597.50 595.500 +1.000
Propane FOB Bethouia (Sep) PTAAI10 530.00
Bionaphtha PAAAU00 2145.250 +6.250 Q2 (Q1 2024) AAHIN00 574.50–578.50 576.500 +1.000
Propane FOB Skikda (Sep) PTAAJ10 530.00
Bionaphtha premium PAADU00 1429.000 0.000 US Gulf Coast (¢/gal) (PGA page 780)
Butane FOB Algeria (Sep) PTAAC10 550.00
Month to Date Averages ($/mt) Nigerian postings (PGL page 1790) M1 (Oct) AAHYX00 76.700–76.800 76.750 -1.125
Butane FOB Nigeria (Aug) ABUTA00 393.75 M2 (Nov) AAHYY00 77.325–77.425 77.375 -1.000
Code Mid Change
Escravos Condensate FOB Nigeria (Aug) AECRA00 580.05 M3 (Dec) AAHYZ00 77.700–77.800 77.750 -1.000
Northwest Europe Month to Date (PGL page 1775) Q1 (Q4 2023) PMABS00 77.242–77.342 77.292 -1.041
Escravos LPG Mix FOB Nigeria (Aug) AESVA00 224.47
Propane FOB NWE Seagoing PMUDI00 598.25–598.75 598.500 +1.500 Isobutane FOB Nigeria (Aug) AIBUA00 393.75 Q2 (Q1 2024) PMABT00 77.825–77.925 77.875 -1.500
Propane CIF NWE Large Cargo PMUDK00 574.48–574.98 574.730 +0.530 Pentane Plus FOB Nigeria (Aug) APENA00 587.14 Saudi CP ($/mt) (PPA page 2652)
Middle East Month to Date (PGL page 2776) Propane FOB Nigeria (Aug) APRNA00 353.55
M1 (Oct) AAHHG00 569.98–570.02 570.000 -3.000
Propane cargo PMUDO00 583.82–585.64 585.000 +2.000 Differential* M2 (Nov) AAHHH00 583.98–584.02 584.000 -4.000
Butane cargo PMUDQ00 588.00–589.82 589.000 +2.000 Butane FOB Nigeria (Aug) ABUTB00 -149.24 M3 (Dec) AAHHI00 598.48–598.52 598.500 -3.500
Escravos Condensate FOB Nigeria (Aug) AECRB00 -63.56 Q1 (Q4 2023) AAHHJ00 584.15–584.19 584.170 -3.500
LPG Shipping ($/mt) Escravos LPG Mix FOB Nigeria (Aug) AESVB00 -135.71

From: To: Product Cargo size Code $/mt


Isobutane FOB Nigeria (Aug) AIBUB00 -149.24 Butane swaps
Pentane Plus FOB Nigeria (Aug) APENB00 -55.40
Asia (PGL page 2786) Code Mid Change
Propane FOB Nigeria (Aug) APRNB00 -149.24
Persian Gulf Japan LPG 11-44kt AAPNI00 155.00 *Diff to the monthly average of related LPG market. US Gulf Coast (¢/gal) (PGA page 780)
Persian Gulf South China LPG 11-44kt AAPNG00 150.00 M1 (Oct) ABTNM01 92.000 -0.750
Persian Gulf East China LPG 11-44kt AAPNH00 153.00 M2 (Nov) ABTNM02 92.875 -0.625
Thailand Guangzhou LPG 1-3kt AAPNJ00 237.00 NYMEX Settlements (PGA page 701) M3 (Dec) ABTNM03 93.250 -1.000
Thailand Guangxi LPG 1-3kt AAPNK00 235.00
Thailand Shantou LPG 1-3kt AAPNL00 238.00
$/barrel Canadian Condensate ($/mt)
Light sweet crude (Oct) AAWS001 91.48
Japan Shanghai LPG 1-3kt AAPNM00 187.00 Code Mid Change
Light sweet crude (Nov) AAWS002 90.58
Korea Shanghai LPG 1-3kt AAPNN00 172.00 (PGA page 230)
Light sweet crude (Dec) AAWS003 89.26
Europe (PGL page 1775) $/MMBtu Condensate AALSF00 88.59 +0.22
Lavera Mohammedia LPG 4kt ALPGA00 68.00 Natural gas (Oct) NMNG001 2.73 Condensate vs WTI CMA AALSJ00 -0.25 0.00

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LPGaswire September 18, 2023

a tender a 44,000 mt cargo of evenly split LPG for US LPG (PGA page 780)
Code Mid Change Code Mid Change
H2 October delivery at premium in the high-$10s/
Enterprise Mt Belvieu (¢/gal) Energy Transfer Mt Belvieu (¢/gal)
mt to the October Mean of Platts Japan Naphtha Ethane/propane mix M1 PMUDA05 27.075–27.175 27.125 -0.375
assessment, delivery at ship in Mailiao, a trade Ethane purity M1 PMUDB05 31.325–31.425 31.375 -0.375
Ethane purity M2 AAWUC00 29.950–30.050 30.000 -0.250
source said. The cargo will be used for Formosa’s
Propane M1 PMAAY00 75.700–75.800 75.750 -1.750 Propane M1 PMABQ00 76.325–76.425 76.375 -1.375
refinery system, as North Asia prepares for winter, the Propane M2 AAWUD00 76.450–76.550 76.500 -1.750 Propane M2 AAWUE00 76.700–76.800 76.750 -1.250
source said. Normal butane M1 PMAAI00 92.450–92.550 92.500 -0.500 Normal butane PMABR00 76.575–76.675 76.625 -0.500
Normal butane M2 AAWUF00 92.450–92.550 92.500 -0.500
Sinobenny LPG, a unit of Chin’s Shenzhen Gas, Isobutane PMAAB00 100.950–101.050 101.000 0.000
reissued a tender seeking 23,000 mt of evenly split Natural gasoline M1 PMABY05 174.950–175.050 175.000 -1.250 Natural gasoline AAIVF00 173.200–173.300 173.250 -1.250
LPG, delivery ex-ship over Oct. 10-11, trade sources Natural gasoline M2 AAWUG00 174.450–174.550 174.500 -1.250
($/mt)
said. The tender closed Sept. 18 with next-day validity. Propane AAXDD00 394.645–394.665 394.655 -9.120
Sinobenny reissued the tender after not awarding an Normal butane AAXDC00 419.015–419.035 419.025 -2.265
earlier one that closed Sept. 15 seeking 23,000 mt of Targa Mt Belvieu (¢/gal)
Natural gasoline PMABW05 173.200–173.300 173.250 -1.250
evenly split LPG for Oct. 5-25, DES Shenzhen, trade
Conway, Kansas (¢/gal)
sources said. Ethane/propane mix PMAAO00 19.700–19.800 19.750 0.000
October FEI propane’s discount to MOPJ naphtha Propane PMAAT00 75.200–75.300 75.250 -1.250
Normal butane PMAAD00 90.950–91.050 91.000 0.000
widened $2.5/mt from the previous session to $18.5/mt Isobutane PMAAA00 111.200–111.300 111.250 +1.750
on Sept. 18, though it was not steep enough to attract Natural gasoline PMAAQ00 182.950–183.050 183.000 -1.000
petrochemical makers to switch to LPG as an alternate Hattiesburg pipeline (¢/gal)
Propane AALBC00 77.200–77.300 77.250 -0.750
cracker feedstock.
Note: Spot prices exclude terminalling.
Average operating rates at China’s 25 propane
Waterborne FOB USGC ($/mt) Waterborne FOB USGC (¢/gal)
dehydrogenation plants in August were steady from Propane AAXIM00 467.270–467.290 467.280 -5.420 Propane AAXIN00 89.680–89.700 89.690 -1.040
the previous month at 65% capacities, S&P Global Propane vs. Mt Belvieu AAXIO00 66.420–66.440 66.430 0.000 vs. Mt Belvieu AAXIP00 12.700–12.800 12.750 0.000
Butane ABTNB00 466.680 -2.900 Butane ABTNA00 103.020 -0.640
Commodity Insights’ calculations based on data from Butane vs. Mt Belvieu ABTND00 48.700 0.000 vs. Mt Belvieu ABTNC00 10.750 0.000
domestic information provider JLC showed. LPG 22:22 ALPUB00 466.640 -4.150 LPG 22:22 ALPUA00 96.350 -0.840
The 25 PDH plants, with a combined propylene LPG 22:22 vs. Mt Belvieu ALPUD00 57.220 0.000 vs. Mt Belvieu ALPUC00 11.750 0.000
VLGC Freight Rates ($/mt) VLGC Freight Rates (¢/gal)
production capacity of at least 14.87 million mt/ Houston to NWE AAXIQ00 126.000 Houston to NWE AAXIR00 24.185
year, require up to 17.84 million mt/year of propane Houston to Japan AAXIS00 223.000 Houston to Japan AAXIT00 42.800
feedstock when operating at full capacity. Houston to Morocco LPHMA00 118.500

Six out of the 25 plants raised run rates in August


after restarting from maintenance, while five lowered that processing losses at Chinese PDH plants were Platts assessed the month-one October propane
operating rates due to maintenance and increasing expected to last through the next few months. CP swap at $570/mt Sept. 18, down $3/mt from the
processing losses, said a JLC analyst. Platts is part of S&P Global. previous session and $20/mt above the September
According to the JLC analyst, China’s PDH plants term CP.
estimated an average loss of Yuan 676/mt ($92.77/ Platts Middle Eastern LPG Daily The assessment was based on an October CP
mt) in August for processing propane into propylene, Commentary propane swap bid and offer at $569/mt and $574/mt,
against Yuan 163/mt in July. respectively.
“The increase in domestic propylene prices „ CP propane swap market contango persists The October/November CP swap contango
lagged that of imported propane prices, leading to „ Eyes on Saudi Aramco’s announcement of Oct term narrowed by $1/mt from the previous session to $14/
the processing losses,” the JLC analyst said, adding nominations mt Sept. 18, while the November/December CP swap

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LPGaswire September 18, 2023

contango widened by 50 cents/mt to $14.50/mt over The LPG flow to Morocco could hit 3 million mt for Brazil prices
the same period. the first time in 2023, the analysts said. $/mt Change
Import Parity Prices* (PGA page 166)
The market awaited Saudi Aramco’s announcement US LPG exports to the Mediterranean this week LPG Suape BLSUC00 620.560 -0.930
of October-loading term cargo nominations due were forecast at 21,000 mt, down from the 95,000 mt LPG Santos BLSAC00 634.800 -0.890
over the next two days for direction on the Middle exported last week, according to Kpler shipping data. R$/kg
LPG Suape 3.010 -0.010
East supply. In other news, Nigeria’s Dangote refinery will receive BLSUD00
LPG Santos BLSAD00 3.080 -0.010
Platts is part of S&P Global Commodity Insights. its first cargo of crude in the next two weeks and will $/mt Change
begin producing up to 370,000 b/d of diesel and jet CFR Cargo (PGA page 164)
Platts Western Mediterranean LPG Daily fuel from October, a senior company executive told Propane Suape BLSUA00 578.920 -4.980
Commentary S&P Global Commodity Insights. Propane Santos BLSAA00 613.930 -4.930
R$/kg
In the FOB Med butane coaster market, no Propane Suape BLSUB00 2.810 -0.030
„ Moroccan imports higher on year bids, offers or trades were heard. In the absence of Propane Santos BLSAB00 2.980 -0.030
„ Dangote receiving first cargo soon competitive indications, the market was assessed on *LPG refers to a mix of 70% propane and 30% butane.
Spot activity in the West Mediterranean LPG market trader sentiment.
remained depressed at the start of the week, sources The West Mediterranean FOB butane market was
said Sept. 18. assessed at $630/mt, up $5/mt on the day and steady
EIA Propane stocks (PGL page 777)
Algerian shipments over January-August were up as a percentage to naphtha at 88%. This put West
million barrels PADD 09-Sep-22 25-Aug-23 01-Sep-23 08-Sep-23
10% year on year, mainly shared by Turkey, Egypt, and Mediterranean butane coasters at a $15/mt discount East Coast EIANR00 1 7.37 7.83 8.62 8.42
Italy, according to data from S&P Global Commodity to the FOB seagoing Northwest European market. Midwest EIANV00 2 22.80 24.79 25.64 26.67
Gulf Coast 3 43.07 57.31 56.19 58.42
Insights. Coaster freight from Lavera to Mohammedia was EIANW00
Total 1-3 73.24 89.93 90.44 93.51
Analysts at S&P Global Commodity Insights also steady and assessed at $68/mt on the back of market
pointed to Morocco’s LPG imports increasing between information received through the day. US Total EIABM00 77.88 95.47 95.98 99.11
January to August, around 5% to 2 million mt, of which The West Mediterranean FOB propane market was
1.6 million mt came from the US. assessed at $670.50/mt, up $3/mt on the day.

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LPGaswire September 18, 2023

In Morocco, the CIF very large cargo freight forward European LPG Weekly Averages, September 15, 2023 ($/mt) (PGL page 1776)
Code Mid Code Mid
was calculated at $595.50/mt for delivery 45-60 days
Northwest Europe
forward, up $1.75/mt on Propane FOB NWE Seagoing AABEU00 598.350–598.850 598.600 Butane FOB NWE Seagoing AABEO00 633.350–633.850 633.600
Propane FOB ARA AABEV00 626.750–627.250 627.000 Butane FOB ARA AABEP00 638.950–639.450 639.200
Platts European Propane Daily Commentary Propane FCA ARA* AABEW00 650.750–651.250 651.000 Butane FCA ARA* AABEQ00 642.950–643.450 643.200
Bio-Propane FCA NWE ABPRA04 2521.950 Butane CIF NWE Seagoing AABER00 653.150–653.650 653.400
„ Physical market weaker vs paper Bio-Propane FCA NWE Premium ABPRB04 1953.200
Propane CIF NWE Large Cargo AABEY00 582.250–582.750 582.500 Butane CIF NWE Large Cargo AABES00 599.150–599.650 599.400
„ Inland market sentiment weakens Western Mediterranean
Strong buying activity pushed up the propane Propane FOB Ex-Refinery/Storage AABEZ00 672.250–672.750 672.500 Butane FOB West Med Coaster AABET00 624.950–625.450 625.200
coaster market in Northwest Europe, while sources Propane FCA Ex-Refinery/Storage* AABFA00 682.250–682.750 682.500 Butane CIF Morocco ABTMA04 595.950

suggested that poor inland demand was weighing on Propane CIF 7000+ mt AABFB00 599.250–599.750 599.500

sentiment. *FCA ARA refers to sales onto railcars and trucks in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp region

“In the [inland] LPG market, there are a few guys


who are offering but now there are no buyers anymore,” LPG Monthly Averages, August 2023 ($/mt) (PGL page 1777)
an inland source said Sept. 18. “They are giving bad Code Mid Code Mid
Northwest Europe
weather this week, which could help.”
Propane FOB NWE Seagoing PMUEA03 547.693–548.193 547.943 Butane FOB NWE Seagoing PMUDU03 556.682–557.182 556.932
Analysts at S&P Global Commodity Insights pointed Propane FOB ARA PMUEB03 501.739–502.239 501.989 Butane FOB ARA PMUDV03 501.737–502.237 501.986
to the global LPG market continuing to draw support Propane FCA ARA* PMUEC03 547.557–548.057 547.807 Butane FCA ARA* PMUDW03 505.737–506.237 505.986
from OPEC+ oil production cuts, the risk on US supply Bio-Propane FCA NWE ABPRA03 2715.511 Butane CIF NWE Seagoing PMUDX03 515.614–516.114 515.864
Bio-Propane FCA NWE Premium ABPRB03 2197.159
owing to the hurricane season, Panama Canal delays,
Propane CIF NWE Large Cargo PMUEE03 518.102–518.602 518.352 Butane CIF NWE Large Cargo PMUDY03 558.295–558.795 558.545
signs of the upcoming switch to winter gasoline
Western Mediterranean
specifications, heating fuel restocking in the Northern
Propane FOB Ex-Refinery/Storage PMUEF03 608.102–608.602 608.352 Butane FOB West Med Coaster PMUDZ03 562.852–563.352 563.102
Hemisphere and upcoming seasonal demand in India Propane FCA Ex-Refinery/Storage* PMUEG03 618.102–618.602 618.352 Butane CIF Morocco ABTMA03 529.057
owing to the Diwali holiday. Propane CIF 7000+ mt PMUEH03 535.102–535.602 535.352
“Norway recorded a 17% decrease between July *FCA ARA refers to sales onto railcars and trucks in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp region
(315,000 mt), and August (260,000 mt). The reduction in
the shipment could be attributed to an increase in the
LPG flow into their natural gas stream,” the analysts sentiment. The FCA ARA was assessed lower at plus $64.50/
said. “Going forward, we expect no significant increase In outright terms, that represented $580.50/mt, mt versus the CIF large propane market and FOB ARA
in the LPG shipment in September due to maintenance up $3/mt on the day to be at a $8/mt discount to the barges were steady at plus $47.50/mt.
and unplanned outages at Norwegian fields.” propane CIF ARA September swap. Versus CIF NWE Bio-propane was steady and assessed at a $2,025/
In refinery news, Equinor’s Mongstad refinery in naphtha, it was assessed at a $135.75/mt discount. mt premium to the CIF large cargoes.
Norway was preparing for maintenance on the FCC In the propane coaster market, one trade was heard.
unit. It will be closed until the end of October. Gunvor sold into an Equinor bid for a 2,400 mt coaster to Platts European Butane Daily Commentary
In the propane CIF large cargo market, one offer be delivered between September 25 to 27 with a 100%
was heard. Eni offered a cargo to be delivered Oct. 9-13 flat price of $615/mt. The trade was deemed competitive. „ Sluggish LPG imports into Europe
with a 50% flat price of $582/mt and a 50% floating In outright terms, the propane coaster market was „ Coaster, barge prices increase
price of October CIF ARA minus $6/mt. The offer was assessed at $615/mt and at a $34.50/mt premium Stronger buying interest from gasoline blenders was
not deemed competitive. In the absence of competitive to the large cargo, compared with $581/mt and at a supporting coaster and barge prices across Northwest
indications, the market was assessed on trader $3.50/mt premium to the large cargo September 15. Europe, sources said Sept. 18.

© 2023 by S&P Global Inc. All rights reserved. 5


LPGaswire September 18, 2023

While some traders saw blending demand on Platts US LPG Spot Daily Commentary the back of a rapid expansion in European biorefining
hold, as sellers withhold product until a significant capacity.
increase in prices, others said blenders were buying up „ US Gulf Coast propane prices drop amid The growth in demand for bionaphtha is driven
everything. bearish outlook in part by the transition to lower carbon fuels where
Despite the steep discounts for butane and „ September propane demand expected to drop bionaphtha is used as a gasoline blending component,
propane against naphtha, analysts at S&P Global from August as well as increasing usage from chemical crackers
Commodity Insights still saw sluggish petrochemical US Gulf Coast propane prices fell Sept. 18 as S&P that in turn supply bio-based feedstocks for consumer
demand, which has weighed on LPG imports Global Commodity Insights analysts forecast a bearish plastics production.
into Europe. outlook for propane demand heading into the second The launch of Platts Northwest European
“On trade flow, July saw 638,000 mt, August at half of the month. bionaphtha assessments follows a decision published
about 400,000 mt and barely passing the 146,000 mt Platts assessed propane at the Enterprise terminal Aug. 2 which can be found here:
in mid-September. Unlike last year when we observed a in Mont Belvieu, Texas, at 75.75 cents/gal, down 1.75 https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/
growth over the same period,” the analysts said. cents from the last close. en/our-methodology/subscriber-notes/080223-
“Similar to propane, the typical seasonal butane Propane price growth on the Gulf Coast stalled platts-to-launch-northwest-european-bionaphtha-
price increase against crude continues to face starting Sept. 12 when the price fell 2 cents to 77 assessments-sept-1
headwinds,” they said. “For the [US] butane market cents/gal after nearly a month of upward price The assessments reflect parcels of 1,000-2,000
to flip to a backwardation from a contango, the [US] movement. mt of bionaphtha, loading five to 15 days forward on
export would need to rebound in a meaningful way. According to a Sept. 18 propane outlook by S&P an FOB ARA (Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp) basis.
September exports could record a new low for 2023, Global analysts, propane supply is expected to Other locations within Northwest Europe may be
with the volume so far at only 449,300 mt.” increase slightly to 101.988 million barrels in the week considered for the assessment but may be normalized
In the CIF butane cargo market, no bids, offers ended Sept. 22. The outlook forecasts that an absolute to reflect loadings basis ARA.
or trades were heard. In the absence of competitive peak could occur in mid-October at about 104 million Platts will publish the bionaphtha assessment
indications, the market was assessed on trader barrels, which would be a new record high. on an outright basis and also as a differential to the
sentiment. Demand, meanwhile, is bearish, with analysts benchmark Platts CIF NWE naphtha cargo assessment
The CIF large cargo market was assessed in outright forecasting that September average demand will drop (PAAAL00), reflecting typical trading practices. The
terms at $608.75/mt, up $5.25/mt and steady as a to 2.439 million b/d from 2.509 million b/d August. assessments will be published in both $/mt and Eur/
percentage of naphtha at 85%. However, September demand increased almost mt, time-stamped at 1630 London time.
In the butane coaster market, no bids, offers or 250,000 b/d thanks mainly to stronger exports. The bionaphtha assessments exclude material
trades were heard. In the absence of competitive Platts is part of S&P Global Commodity Insights. produced from palm-based feedstock and mirror
indications, the market was assessed on trader applicable specifications set out in the Platts CIF NWE
sentiment. naphtha methodology, reflecting open specification
The FOB seagoing butane coaster market was Subscriber Notes material with a minimum 65% paraffin content and a
assessed at $645/mt and steady as percentage typical density of 0.69 kg/l to 0.735 kg/l.
to naphtha at 90%. The CIF market was higher as Platts launches Northwest European bionaphtha Certification Requirements:
a percentage to naphtha at 95% and assessed in assessments Sept. 1 The new assessments reflect material accompanied
outright terms at $680/mt. That put the FOB coaster at Platts, part of S&P Global Commodity Insights, with International Sustainability & Carbon Certification
a $35/mt discount to the CIF coaster. has launched bionaphtha assessments in Northwest Plus (ISCC+) issued by a European Commission-
Europe, effective Sept. 1, 2023. approved auditing body. The ISCC+ is a voluntary
Platts has observed growing supply and sustainability certification for circular and bio-based
consumption of bionaphtha in Northwest Europe on products, renewables, food, feed & biofuels, for non-

© 2023 by S&P Global Inc. All rights reserved. 6


LPGaswire September 18, 2023

Platts Bio-Naphtha FOB NWE Eur/mt PAABU00 PAABU03


regulated markets outside of the European Union for bionaphtha used as chemical feedstock, especially Platts Bio-Naphtha FOB NWE Premium USD/mt PAADU00 PAADU03
Renewable Energy Directive (RED II) framework. for consumer plastics or food packaging production, Platts Bio-Naphtha FOB NWE Premium Eur/mt PAAEU00 PAAEU03

Market feedback received suggest requests for material adhering to these additional certification may
ISCC+ certification for bionaphtha used as chemical command a premium and may be normalized for the Please send any comments or feedback
feedstock to be prevailing market practice and purpose of these assessments. to europe_products@spglobal.com,
typical. Where applicable, material accompanied with The new bionaphtha assessments are published MRTS_biofuelsandfeedstocks@spglobal.com,
ISCC EU compliant certification and sustainability on Platts LPGaswire, Oilgram Price Report, APAGscan, petchems@spglobal.com and
documentation showing a minimum greenhouse EUMarketscan and USMarketWire, Platts alerts fixed pricegroup@spglobal.com.
gas saving of 50% under RED II framework may pages PGA0034, PGA1110, PGA1111, PGA1310, PGA1311, For written comments, please provide a clear
be considered for the assessments, subject to PGA1775 and Platts Dimensions Pro. indication if comments are not intended for publication
normalization. Daily Monthly by Platts for public viewing. Platts will consider all
Description
Platts understands while it is typical for buyers to Assessment Assessment comments received and will make comments not
Platts Bio-Naphtha FOB NWE USD/mt PAAAU00 PAAAU03
request for additional Kosher or Halal certifications marked as confidential available upon request.

© 2023 by S&P Global Inc. All rights reserved. 7


LPGaswire September 18, 2023

East of Suez LPG tenders/deal


Tender/ Company Buy/ CFR/FOB Laycan Cargo Closing date Validity Results
Deal Sell
Evenly-split cargo of 44,000 mt; one cargo/month for the Discount of $10/mt to the Saudi Aramco Contract Price for propane
Tender Indian Oil Corp. Buy FOB Middle East Jan-Mar 2024 8/21/2023 8/21/2023
three months and butane, FOB
Tender Sinobenny LPG Buy DES Shenzhen Oct 5-25 11,500 mt of propane and 11,500 mt of butane 9/5/2023 9/6/2023
Sinopec Chemical
Oct 8-15 or
Commercial
Sept 22-Oct 15 45,000 mt propane or 23,000 mt propane or 11,000 mt
Tender Holding (Hong Buy DAP Yangpu, Hainan 8/23/2023 8/23/2023
or Sep 22-Oct propane
Kong) Company
15 delivery
Limited
Formosa
Buy/
Tender Petrochemical Co., DES Sep. 20-30 44,000 mt evenly split Aug.15 Aug.15 withdrawn
Sell
Taiwan
Port: Visakhapatnam or
Hindustan Haldia on India’s east
Buy/
Tender Petroleum Corp. coast, with the first Jan-Dec 2024 2.335 million mt propane/butane cargoes
Sell
Ltd., India port of discharge at
Visakhapatnam
Ningbo Huatai
Shengfu Wealthy Delivery ex-ship Ningbo, H2 August
Tender buy 23,000 mt propane Aug.9 Aug.10
Polymer Material, northeast Zhejiang delivery
China
Wanhua Discount of high single-digit to August Argus Far East Index, delivered
H1 August
Tender Petrochemical, buy CFR Yantai 46,000 mt of propane basis, from Petrochina/Premium in the low single-digit to August Argus
delivery
China Far East Index, DES, from Sinochem
Tianjin Bohai H2 August Discount of around mid-single digit to August Argus Far East Index,
Tender Buy CFR Tianjin Propane; 44,000 mt
Chemical, China delivery CFR, from SwissChem Gas
Tender KPC Sell Mina Al-Ahmadi Aug 4-5 loading22,000 propane, 22,000 mt butane 7/7/2023 7/7/2023
FOB Ras Laffan or 33,000 mt propane,11,000 mt butane;or 44,000 mt
Tender Qatar QPSPP Sell Aug 6-9 7/6/2023 7/7/2023
Mesaieed propane
Tender Hyosung Vina Buy CIF Vungtau H2 July 22,000 mt of propane 6/28/2023 6/29/2023 Premium of $50’s/mt to Saudi Aramco Contract Price, CIF basis
Tender KPC sell Mina Al-Ahmadi Jul 9-10 11,000 mt propane and 33,000 mt butane 6/15/2023 6/16/2023 Discount of $50s/mt to July saudi CPs
Tender KPC Sell Mina Al-Ahmadi July 2-3 11,000 mt propane and 33,000 mt butane 6/14/2023 6/14/2023 Discount of about $50/mt to July Saudi Aramco CP
Wanhua
Tender Sell CFR Yantai July 16-31 46,000 mt propane 6/14/2023 6/14/2023 Premium smaller than $1/mt to the Far East Index
Petrochemical
Qatar Petroleum FOB Ras Laffan or 22,500 mt propane; 22,500 mt butane/and ;or 33,750 mt
Tender Jul 17-21 6/14/2023 6/15/2023 OQ (Oman) price unknown
Sell Mesaieed propane/11,250 mt butane
1) Mixed cargo comprising 33,750 mt of propane and
FOB Ras Laffan or Discount in the high $30s/mt to the July Saudi Aramco contract prices
Tender Qatar Petroleum Sell Jul 2-5 11,250 mt of butane;2) 45,000 mt evenly split propane- 6/5/2023 6/6/2023
Mesaieed 1) Mixed cargo sold to PTT;2) Evenly split cargo sold to Shell
butane cargo
1.Ho Chi Minh City 2.Tra Pressurized LPG comprising 55%-60% propane, 40%-
Tender Saigon Petro Buy Jul-Dec 2023 5/30/2023 6/13/2023
Noc Port 45% butane, 500 mt/month
Tender KPC Sell Mina Al-Ahmadi June 27-30 33kt of propane and 11kt of butane 5/23/2023 5/23/2023 Discount of around $42/mt to June Saudi Aramco CP, FOB
Tender Chevron Sell FOB Ruwais June 12-13 45kt of evenly split propane and butane 5/16/2023 5/16/2023 Discount in the $20s/mt to the June Saudi Aramco CP, FOB
FOB Ras Laffan or
Tender QPSPP Sell June 19-20 22.5kt of propane and 22.5kt of butane 5/16/2023 5/17/2023 Discount in the $20s/mt to the June Saudi Aramco CP, FOB
Mesaieed
Discount in the low $70s/mt to the June Mean of Platts Japan Naphtha
Tender HTC Buy CFR Daesan June 21-27 23kt of butane 5/11/2023 5/11/2023
assessment, CFR
FOB Ras Laffan or
Tender QPSPP Sell June 8-9 22.5kt of propane and 22.5kt of butane 5/10/2023 5/11/2023 Discount in the mid to high $20s/mt to the June Saudi Aramco CP, FOB
Mesaieed
Discount of high $50s/mt to June Mean of Platts Japan naphtha
Tender Formosa Buy DES Mailiao June 1-15 33kt of propane and 11kt of butane
assessment, DES
CFR Tanjong Sekong/
Tender Pertamina Buy June 16-18 44kt cargo evenly split between propane and butane Premium around mid $20s/mt to June Saudi Aramco CP, CFR
Kalbut

© 2023 by S&P Global Inc. All rights reserved. 8


LPGaswire September 18, 2023

East of Suez LPG tenders/deal (continued)


Tender/ Company Buy/ CFR/FOB Laycan Cargo Closing date Validity Results
Deal Sell
H1 June and/or High single-digit premium to the June Argus FEI for H1 June cargo and
Tender Ningbo Kingfa Buy DES Ningbo 23kt or 46kt of propane 5/5/2023 5/5/2023
H2 June premium of mid-single digit to June Argus FEI for H2 June cargo, DES.
Tender Sino-Benny Buy DES Shenzhen June 11-18 22kt evenly split between propane and butane 5/5/2023 5/8/2023 Premium of around high $30s/mt to the June Saudi CP, DES
May 12 to June
Tender Equinor Buy CFR Port Klang 46kt of propane Premium in the $20’s/mt to May Saudi Aramco CP, CFR
10
Tender Ningbo Huatai Buy DES Ningbo June 1-10 46kt of propane Premium in the high single-digit to June Argus Far East Index, DES
Wenzhou and/or Nansha,July 2023-June 736kt of propane, comprising a 46kt cargo/month and a
Tender China Gas Buy Premium of around mid-single digit to the Argus Far East Index, CFR
S China 2024 similar-sized cargo/quarter starting July 2023
Tender Liaoning Kingfa Buy DES Panjin, Liaoning H1 June 46kt of propane Premium in the low double-digits to June Argus Far East Index, DES
Premiums of around $20s/mt to $30s/mt to the May Saudi Aramco
May 1-15 and
Tender China Gas Buy CFR Taixing Two propane cargoes, each 23kt CP and around $20/mt to $30/mt to the May Argus Far East Index
May 10-25
(50%/50%) on CFR basis
Tender Fuzhou Zhongmin Buy DES Jiangyin May 1-20 23kt of propane A premium of $20s/mt to the May Saudi Aramco CP, DES
Tender Petco Sell FOB Tanjung Sulong May 20-25 44kt cargo evenly split between propane and butane Flat to the May Saudi Aramco CP, FOB
CFR Malaysia’s Port May 12 to
Deal Equinor Buy 46kt of propane Premium in the $20’s/mt to May Saudi Aramco CP, CFR
Klang Jun 10
Tender KPC Sell FOB Kuwait May 7-8 22kt propane; 22kt butane 4/12/2023 A discount of mid-twenties to the Saudi Aramco May CP, FOB
Tender KPC Sell FOB Mina al-Ahmadi May 1-8 44kt of evenly split propane and butane A discount of low to mid-teens to the Saudi Aramco May CP, FOB
DES Shen Ao and/or
Tender CPC Buy May 22-31 22kt evenly split between propane and butane Premium in the high $70s/mt to May Saudi Aramco CP, DES
Kaohsiung
A discount of around mid $100s/mt to the May Mean of Platts Japan
Tender Formosa Buy Ex-ship Mailiao May 16-31 46kt of propane 4/12/2023 4/12/2023
Naphtha assessment, DES
FOB Ras Laffan or
Tender QPSPP Sell May 29-30 33.75kt propane and 11.25kt butane 4/12/2023 4/13/2023 Discount in the high $20s/mt to May Saudi Aramco CP, FOB
Mesaieed
FOB Ras Laffan or
Tender QPSPP Sell May 10-20 45kt of evenly split propane/butane Discount in high $30s/mt to May Saudi Aramco CP, FOB
Mesaieed
Tender Formosa Buy Ex-ship Mailiao H1 May 46kt of propane 3/2/2023 3/2/2023 Discount of $80/mt to Mean of Platts Japan naphtha assessment, CFR
Tender Jiangsu Sailboat Buy DES Lianyungang May 5-30 46kt of propane Premium in low single digit to May Argus Far East Index, DES
Tender Ningbo Huatai Buy DES Ningbo May 16-25 23kt of propane 4/13/2023 4/13/2023
H1 May or H2
Tender Ningbo Kingfa Buy DES Ningbo 23kt of propane or 46kt of propane 4/6/2023 4/6/2023
May
Tender Jinneng Chemical Buy DES Dongjiakou Apr 25-May 15 46kt of propane A premium of $5/mt to the May Argus Far East Index, DES
CFR Tanjong Sekong/
Tender Pertamina Buy May 1-5 44kt cargo evenly split between propane and butane 3/24/2023 3/27/2023
Kalbut
Deal Equinor Sell CFR Japan H1 Apr 46kt of propane Premium of around $70s/mt to April Argus Far East Index, CFR
Tender Ningbo Huatai Buy DES Ningbo Apr 26-30 23kt of propane A premium in the low $10s/mt to the May Argus Far East Index, DES

© 2023 by S&P Global Inc. All rights reserved. 9

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