C.

Analisis Dengan Metode Regresi

ANALISIS REGRESI

Komoditi : Bawang Merah

Kabupaten : Solok
Bulan : Agustus 2023

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 120073343.953 120073344 1869.9599 6.861429E-28
Residual 29 1862139.9177 64211.7213
Total 30 121935483.871

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept -8225.65157750342 463.990191956 -17.7280721 4.19434E-17 -9174.618072
Eceran 0.922496570644719 0.02133283693 43.24303297 6.86143E-28 0.8788660202

Interpretasi dari hasil analisis di atas adalah harga di tingkat

naik 1 % maka harga di tingkat produsen juga akan naik sebesar 0,92 % dan seba
jika harga ditingkat eceran turun sebesar 1 % maka harga di tingkat Produsen akan
sebesar 0,92 % tingkat Produsen akan turun sebesar 0,92 %.

Karena nilai kurang dari 1 %, dikatakan tidak elastis, jik

dikatakan elastis, jika di tingkat eceran berubah 1 maka di tingkat Produsen
berubah lebih banyak lagi.
 Upper 95% Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%
-7276.685083 -9174.618072 -7276.685083
0.966127121 0.87886602 0.966127121

rga di tingkat eceran

0,92 % dan sebaliknya
gkat Produsen akan turun

idak elastis, jika > 1

ingkat Produsen akan
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.992334863922691
R Square 0.984728482156466
Adjusted R Square 0.984201878092896
Standard Error 253.400318271
Observations 31

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 120073343.953 120073344 1869.9599 6.861429E-28
Residual 29 1862139.9177 64211.7213
Total 30 121935483.871

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept -8225.65157750342 463.990191956 -17.7280721 4.19434E-17 -9174.618072
Eceran 0.922496570644719 0.02133283693 43.24303297 6.86143E-28 0.8788660202

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Produsen Residuals

1 12991.7695473251 8.23045267489
2 12991.7695473251 8.23045267489
3 12991.7695473251 8.23045267489
4 12991.7695473251 8.23045267489
5 13914.2661179698 85.7338820302
6 13914.2661179698 85.7338820302
7 13914.2661179698 85.7338820302
8 13914.2661179698 85.7338820302
9 13914.2661179698 85.7338820302
10 13914.2661179698 85.7338820302
11 13914.2661179698 85.7338820302
12 13914.2661179698 85.7338820302
13 12991.7695473251 8.23045267489
14 12991.7695473251 8.23045267489
15 12991.7695473251 8.23045267489
16 12069.2729766804 -69.27297668
17 12069.2729766804 -69.27297668
18 12069.2729766804 -69.27297668
19 12069.2729766804 -69.27297668
20 11146.7764060357 -146.77640604
21 10224.2798353909 -224.27983539
22 9301.78326474623 -301.78326475
23 9301.78326474623 -301.78326475
24 9301.78326474623 -301.78326475
25 10224.2798353909 -224.27983539
26 10224.2798353909 -224.27983539
27 9301.78326474623 -301.78326475
28 9301.78326474623 -301.78326475
29 8379.28669410151 620.713305898
30 8379.28669410151 620.713305898
31 8379.28669410151 620.713305898
 Upper 95% Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%
-7276.685083 -9174.618072 -7276.685083
0.966127121 0.87886602 0.966127121
 Pengolahan Data Harga Bawang Merah Bulan A

Eceran Produsen
1 23,000 13,000
2 23,000 13,000
3 23,000 13,000
4 23,000 13,000
5 24,000 14,000
6 24,000 14,000
7 24,000 14,000
8 24,000 14,000
9 24,000 14,000
10 24,000 14,000
11 24,000 14,000
12 24,000 14,000
13 23,000 13,000
14 23,000 13,000
15 23,000 13,000
16 22,000 12,000
17 22,000 12,000
18 22,000 12,000
19 22,000 12,000
20 21,000 11,000
21 20,000 10,000
22 19,000 9,000
23 19,000 9,000
24 19,000 9,000
25 20,000 10,000
 26 20,000 10,000
27 19,000 9,000
28 19,000 9,000
29 18,000 9,000
30 18,000 9,000
31 18,000 9,000
Mean 21,645 11,742
Median 22,000 12,000
Max 24,000 14,000
Min 18,000 9,000
Std. Dev. 2168.69218804 2016.06451509674
Skewness -0.4520994292 -0.3264148242045
Kurtosis -1.3622454399 -1.58569182097214
Jarque-Bera 1.51996327788 1.17909559798685
Probability 1.06866481E-23 3.14592428434E-09
Sum 671,000 364,000
Sum Sq.Dev 14665000000 4396000000
Observation 31 31
Koefisien Variasi % 10% 17%
ng Merah Bulan Agustus 2023
C. Analisis Dengan Metode Regresi

ANALISIS REGRESI

Komoditi : Cabe Merah

Kabupaten : Solok
Bulan : Agustus 2023

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.411040758223714
R Square 0.168954504921126
Adjusted R Square 0.14029776371151
Standard Error 5684.35241081626
Observations 31

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 190504379.517 190504380 5.895803144 0.0216120205
Residual 29 937044007.58 32311862.33
Total 30 1127548387.1

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept 21712.0994705769 4928.42102909 4.405487953 0.000131801 11632.346693
Eceran 0.279754040246755 0.11521390064 2.428127497 0.02161202 0.0441151555

Interpretasi dari hasil analisis di atas adalah harga di tingka

naik 1 % maka harga di tingkat produsen juga akan naik sebesar 0,92 % dan se
jika harga ditingkat eceran turun sebesar 1 % maka harga di tingkat Produsen ak
sebesar 0,92 % tingkat Produsen akan turun sebesar 0,92 %.

Karena nilai kurang dari 1 %, dikatakan tidak elastis,

dikatakan elastis, jika di tingkat eceran berubah 1 maka di tingkat Produse
berubah lebih banyak lagi.
 Upper 95% Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%
31791.85225 11632.34669 31791.85225
0.515392925 0.044115155 0.515392925

rga di tingkat eceran

0,92 % dan sebaliknya
gkat Produsen akan turun

idak elastis, jika > 1

ingkat Produsen akan
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.411040758223714
R Square 0.168954504921126
Adjusted R Square 0.14029776371151
Standard Error 5684.35241081626
Observations 31

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 190504379.517 190504380 5.895803144 0.0216120205
Residual 29 937044007.58 32311862.33
Total 30 1127548387.1

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept 21712.0994705769 4928.42102909 4.405487953 0.000131801 11632.346693
Eceran 0.279754040246755 0.11521390064 2.428127497 0.02161202 0.0441151555

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Produsen Residuals

1 30664.2287584731 -7664.2287585
2 30943.9827987198 -7943.9827987
3 32062.9989597069 -5062.9989597
4 31223.7368389666 -7223.736839
5 32062.9989597069 -5062.9989597
6 32622.5070402004 -3622.5070402
7 32902.2610804471 -2902.2610804
8 32622.5070402004 -3622.5070402
9 34301.0312816809 698.968718319
10 32902.2610804471 -2902.2610804
11 32902.2610804471 -2902.2610804
12 31783.2449194601 -5783.2449195
13 33461.7691609406 -1461.7691609
14 35140.2934024212 2859.70659758
15 35140.2934024212 2859.70659758
16 35420.0474426679 3579.95255733
17 33741.5232011874 -741.52320119
18 33741.5232011874 -741.52320119
19 34301.0312816809 698.968718319
20 23194.7958838847 19805.2041161
21 37098.5716841485 7901.42831585
22 35699.8014829147 4300.19851709
23 34301.0312816809 698.968718319
24 33461.7691609406 -1461.7691609
25 35140.2934024212 2859.70659758
26 37658.079764642 9341.92023536
27 35699.8014829147 4300.19851709
28 33741.5232011874 -741.52320119
29 34301.0312816809 698.968718319
30 33461.7691609406 -1461.7691609
31 34301.0312816809 698.968718319
Upper 95% Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%
31791.85225 11632.34669 31791.85225
0.515392925 0.044115155 0.515392925
 Pengolahan Data Harga Cabe Merah Bulan Agustus 2023

Eceran Produsen
1 32,000 23,000
2 33,000 23,000
3 37,000 27,000
4 34,000 24,000
5 37,000 27,000
6 39,000 29,000
7 40,000 30,000
8 39,000 29,000
9 45,000 35,000
10 40,000 30,000
11 40,000 30,000
12 36,000 26,000
13 42,000 32,000
14 48,000 38,000
15 48,000 38,000
16 49,000 39,000
17 43,000 33,000
18 43,000 33,000
19 45,000 35,000
20 5,300 43,000
21 55,000 45,000
22 50,000 40,000
23 45,000 35,000
24 42,000 32,000
25 48,000 38,000
26 57,000 47,000
27 50,000 40,000
28 43,000 33,000
29 45,000 35,000
30 42,000 32,000
31 45,000 35,000
Mean 41,848 33,419
Median 43,000 33,000
Max 57,000 47,000
Min 5,300 23,000
Std. Dev. 9007.73263989 6130.65626475331
Skewness -2.115054365 0.25549374661217
Kurtosis 8.45791092006 -0.28224248713157
Jarque-Bera 40.9969149456 0.35717998726815
Probability 1.7220293E-06 2.57386694017E-08
Sum 1,297,300 1,036,000
Sum Sq.Dev 56724090000 35750000000
Observation 31 31
Koefisien Variasi % 22% 18%
BAB IV HASIL ANALISIS dan PEMBAHASAN

A. Analisis Variasi Harga Antar Lokasi atau Waktu

ANALISIS VARIASI HARGA ANTAR LOKASI DAN WAKTU

PROVINSI : SUMATERA BARAT

KOMODITI : BAWANG MERAH
BULAN : JANUARI 2023

RERATA RERATA
SOLOK SOLSEL PASBAR T. DATAR AGAM 50 KOTA PD. PANJANG PAYAKUMBUH PRODUSEN KONSUMEN

Mean
Median
Maximum
Minumum
Std.Dev.
Skewness
Kurtosis

Jarque-Bera
Probability

Sum
Sum Sq.Dev

Observation
Koefisien Variasi
(%)