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What is West Valley Fault Line: All You Need

to Know About the Big One (Metro Manila &
GMA Earthquake)
WHERE TO GO NEXT
By JDC  Share  Tweet  Share  Share  Email
Thursday, July 28, 2022

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The “Big One,” which experts say may happen in our lifetime, could strike
once the West Valley Fault moves.

The West Valley Fault, which traverses various parts of Metro Manila and
surrounding provinces, is expected to greatly affect the country since the
region is not only highly populated, it also hosts the seat of government
and the country’s business capital.

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WHAT IS WEST VALLEY FAULT?

The West Valley Fault is 100 kilometers in length and traverses the
cities of Metro Manila namely Taguig, Muntinlupa, Paranaque, Quezon City,
Pasig, Makati, and Marikina as well as nearby provinces of Rizal, Laguna,
Cavite, and Bulacan. These places will suffer greatly when this fault move.

And when it did, it could generate a 7.2 magnitude earthquake causing

great devastation of the most progressive portion of the Metro Manila.

According to DOST - PHIVOLCS this fault moves every 200 – 400 years
and the last time it did was in the year 1658, that was 359 years ago.

Earthquake Tips: What to do before, during, and after

Now, the danger is very imminent and every time a province along the
stretch of this fault was hit badly by strong ground tremors, the fear of
losing life and property aggravate the clamor on when the big one will
happen. Fear and apprehension getting stronger particularly when tremors
shook some parts of the country recently. On May 25, 2017, San
Marcelino, Pampanga shook at 5.4 magnitude earthquake. This was also
felt in Metro Manila, Cavite, Laguna, Rizal, Nueva Ecija, Pampanga, and
Bataan.

Given these, there is a need to make the people understand what these
events are all about so they will be better informed and they can prepare
more and fear less.

EMERGENCY KIT AND ESSENTIALS

Here are the best options to shop for your emergency kit and life
essentials:
Emergency supply kit
First aid kit
Flashlight
Emergency backpack
Fire extinguisher
WHERE TO STAY

Shopee is my go-to app for things I needed like the ones above. If you'd
like discounts and vouchers, you may get the best offers here:

IN THE PAST
In July 1990, the Central Philippine Fault moved and caused the 7.7
magnitude earthquake that wreaked havoc across Luzon. Baguio
experienced the devastation that humbled almost everyone and seems
made a realization: the fragility of the buildings that were built and how in
a snap, human lives were snatched away.

In February 2006, after a 10-day continuous downpour, a minor

movement of the same fault, a 2.6 magnitude earthquake tripped a
saturated cliff of a ridge that caused a massive rock slide-debris avalanche
burying the entire village of Guinsaugon, a township of St. Bernard in
Southern Leyte.
More than a thousand death was recorded including the 247 children and
7 teachers who died when a school was entombed by the landslide.

Read: What to do if you are trapped after an earthquake

THE IMPACTS
While Metro Manila is said to be the most developed place in the country,
it appears to be the most dangerous and uninhabitable city when a
catastrophic earthquake strike.

The affected cities and towns are as follows:

West Valley Fault

Quezon City
Marikina
Makati
Pasig
Taguig
Muntinlupa
Bulacan (Doña Remedios Trinidad, Norzgaray, San Jose Del Monte
City)
Rizal (Rodriguez)
Laguna (San Pedro City, Biñan, Sta Rosa, Cabuyao, Calamba)
Cavite (Carmona, General Mariano Alvarez, Silang)

East Valley Fault

Rodriguez, Rizal
San Mateo, Rizal

See my list of barangays near East and West Valley Faults.

One way to find a fault line near your location is by utilizing PHIVOLCS TRAVEL ESSENTIALS
FaultFinder. In 2015, the agency released high resolution maps of this
fault system that show details down to street level. You can check if your
community is one of those near the fault line through the Atlas.

The atlas was a project led by the Philippine Institute of Volcanology and
Seismology (Phivolcs) with funding from Australian Aid and the United
Nations Development Program (UNDP).

West Valley Fault in Pasig

If the West Valley Fault moves, the whole of Metro Manila will be affected
in varying degrees. These areas may feel that up and down motion.
Caloocan
Las Pinas
Malabon
Makati
Mandaluyong
Manila
Marikina
Muntinlupa
Navotas
Paranaque
Pasay
Pasig
Pateros
Quezon City
San Juan
Taguig
Valenzuela

Read: List of Cities & Municipalities in Metro Manila (NCR)

Those living in provinces near the metro – such as Bulacan, Rizal, Cavite,
and Laguna – may also feel the up and down motion.

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The areas that will feel the strongest ground shaking (Intensity High 8 in
the map), however, will not just be those near the fault itself, namely
Marikina, Cainta, half of Taytay, Pateros, and Taguig.

The cities of Manila, Makati, Malabon, Pasay, and Caloocan, though

relatively far from the actual fault line, will feel the same intensity levels
as those near the fault line.

According to Solidum, this is because the foundation of those areas,

especially Manila, are thick sediments that “amplify ground shaking.”

The Manila Cathedral, located within the Intramuros area in the city of
Manila, has been destroyed by earthquakes multiple times because of this.

THE 81 PROVINCES OF THE

PHILIPPINES

Abra
Agusan Del Norte
Agusan Del Sur
Aklan
Albay
Antique
Apayao
Aurora
Basilan
Bataan
Batanes
Batangas
Benguet
Biliran
Bohol
Bukidnon
Bulacan
THE BIG ONE - West Valley Fault Line in Pasig City
Cagayan
Camarines Norte
Camarines Sur
Of these, the study projected, residential buildings would sustain bulk of Camiguin
the damage from the earthquake. Details of damage projections below: Capiz
Catanduanes
Residential buildings – 339, 800 (25.6%) partly damaged; 168,300 Cavite
(12.7%) heavily damaged Cebu
Compostela Valley
Mid-rise buildings (10-30 stories) – 27% partly damaged, 11% Cotabato
heavily damaged Davao Del Norte
Davao Del Sur
High-rise buildings (30-60 stories) – 2% heavily damaged, 12% Davao Occidental
partly damaged Davao Oriental
Dinagat Islands
Public-purpose buildings – 8-10% heavily damaged, 20-25% partly Eastern Samar
damaged Guimaras
Ifugao
The quality of construction and the type of building materials used Ilocos Norte
play a big role in a building’s chances of surviving the earthquake, Ilocos Sur
Iloilo
according to experts at Phivolcs. Isabela
Kalinga
La Union
Here's a summarized article for West Valley Fault Line.
Laguna
Lanao Del Norte
Lanao Del Sur
Leyte
Maguindanao
Marinduque
Masbate
Misamis Occidental
Misamis Oriental
Mountain Province
Negros Occidental
Negros Oriental
Northern Samar
Nueva Ecija
In one of the plenary presentations of the 17th Science Council of Asia Nueva Vizcaya
Conference, hosted by the National Research Council of the Occidental Mindoro
Oriental Mindoro
Philippines or https://www.morefunwithjuan.com/2020/03/list-of-cities- Palawan
municipalities-in-metro.htmlin June 2017 at the Philippine International Pampanga
Pangasinan
Convention Center, Dr. Renato U. Solidum, Jr., DOST Undersecretary for
Quezon
Disaster Risk Reduction and Climate Change Adaptation, said that when Quirino
the West Valley Fault moved and generated a 7.2 magnitude earthquake, Rizal
Romblon
34,000 people may die and will damage lifelines including water, Samar
infrastructure, roads, ports, and telecommunication. Sarangani
Siquijor
Sorsogon
The concentration of population in Metro Manila along with the various South Cotabato
Southern Leyte
non-engineered and non-earthquake resilient infrastructures and buildings
Sultan Kudarat
are causative factors. Sulu
Surigao Del Norte
Surigao Del Sur
Tarlac
Tawi Tawi
Zambales
Zamboanga Del Norte
Zamboanga Del Sur
Zamboanga Sibugay

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Dr. Solidum is an active member of the NRCP Division of Earth and Space
Sciences, which is mandated to conduct research studies on various
natural phenomena to provide some scientific information clarifying the
occurrences of these phenomena and their positive or negative impacts to
human and the planet as a whole.

ATTRACTIONS TO SEE IN MANILA

A CALL FOR ACTION

Scenarios based on science, engineering, and experience should be used
to approach head on the mitigation, preparedness, response, and
recovery plans for the country in times of extreme disasters.

One of the components of the six (6) areas of basic research that will be
prioritized by NRCP for 2017 - 2022 is on “all-systems risk modeling for
Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) and Climate Change Adaptation
(CCA).” Research projects or programs along this field are expected to
come up with a variety of innovative approaches addressing new and
emerging issues on DRR and CCA.

This means that any research proposals that would provide innovative
policies, novel methodologies minimizing casualties and damage to
infrastructure when disaster hit, like an earthquake or any multi-
disciplinary research that would offer new research-based information
improving existing procedures of disaster mitigation, preparedness,
response, and recovery plans will be considered in the line-up of proposals
for funding in the next five years.

The NRCP set its 5-year research priority plan in its National Integrated
Basic Research Agenda or NIBRA.

ACTIVITIES AND TOURS IN MANILA

NIBRA was crafted based on the visions of the Philippine Development

Plan, the National Security Plan, and the Science for Change of the
Department of Science and Technology.

DRR and CCA is a component of the Environmental and Anthropogenic

Activities under the Sustainable Communities priority feature of NIBRA.
The other NIBRA research priorities include Water Security; Food and
Nutrition; Health Sufficiency; Clean Energy; and Inclusive Nation Building.

As much as we need to invest in basic research or any other immediate

solution and action for an earthquake, it is also necessary to also prioritize
implementation of long-term plans for our country to suit situations
involving disastrous phenomena.

Decongesting Metro Manila is definitely the plausible answer. Solidum

emphasized that upgrading Clark International Airport in Pampanga into a
major airport like the Ninoy Aquino International Airport, as well as
utilizing ports in Batangas and Subic would help de-concentrate circulation
in Metro Manila.

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