Professional Documents
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Week 5
Lesson Title/s Entrepreneur Manages Risks
1.8 Understand kinds of risk
1.9 Recognize risk management strategies on
environmental decision making
Learning Outcome(s) 1.10 Analyze the 8-steps to reduce business risk
1.11 Express the strategy for dealing with risk and
uncertainty
1.12 Discuss venturing into problematic situations
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LEARNING NTENT!
Terms to Ponder
This section provides meaning and definition of the terminologies that
are significant for a better understanding of the terms used throughout the
simplified course pack of the Entrepreneurial Mind (GENELECT3). As you go
through the labyrinth of learning, in case you will be confronted with the
difficulty of the terms, refer to the defined terms to have a clear picture of the
learning concepts.
Essential Content
TYPES OF RISK
Risk is an inevitable
component of the
entrepreneurial process.
Entrepreneurs must endure
challenging conditions and
unique challenges while
starting a new firm and
attaining success.
Entrepreneurs must take risks
that might threaten their
money, health, and stability
from the start. Risk-taking is
an essential component of the
entrepreneurial process. (Witt,
D., 2019).
Risk Types
On the other hand, Witt, D. (2019) stressed that entrepreneurs could assume a wide
range of risks. One of the most prevalent forms of risk is market risk, which refers to
an investor's risk due to market volatility. When launching a new firm, both the
entrepreneur and early investors should prepare to take risks. Technology,
credibility, and competitiveness are examples of other types of risk.
Incorporating new technology into your company practice carries a particular risk,
such as the expense of the programs or gadgets outweighing the profit potential of
their use. Another type of technological risk is the possibility of technology failure,
which can lead to data breaches, website failures, and data theft.
Another type of risk is the volatility and disruption of competitors' pricing and
marketing strategies. Credibility is typically low when starting a new business, and
many customers prefer to buy from a known and trusted brand. For entrepreneurs,
taking risks in these areas is frequent and often required.
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DECISION MAKING
The following are the key risk categories to consider according to GOV.UK/Business
(2009) :
strategic, such as a new competition entering the market
Strategic Risk
The process of identifying, measuring, and reducing any risk that impacts or is
inherent in a company's business strategy, strategic objectives, and strategy
execution are known as strategic risk management (Rost, M., 2020). These
dangers might include:
Shifts in consumer demand and
preferences
Legal and regulatory change
Competitive pressure
Merger integration
Technological changes
Senior management turnover
Stakeholder pressure
What methods do you use to assess
and manage strategic risk?
Rost, M. (2020) expressed that we must first look at how to evaluate strategic risk
before comprehending how to manage it. Measuring risk using the same
yardsticks used to assess results is a fundamental principle of enterprise risk
management (ERM). Companies can evaluate how much inherent risk their
efforts have in this way. This can be measured in two metrics. These are:
1. Economic Capital was based on a defined solvency criterion, the amount
of equity necessary to cover unforeseen losses. The target debt rating of the
firm is generally used as the basis for this criterion. Economic capital is a
standardized unit of measurement that may be used to assess any risk. It
also uses the same methods and assumptions to calculate enterprise value,
making it suitable for strategic risk.
1. Get insurance.
One of the best ways to reduce business risk is by getting insurance. Thanks to
the thriving insurance industry, you can choose from many packages offered by
different companies. Make sure that you research to get the best deal, though,
since some insurance agents might exaggerate their claims to get your attention.
Getting insurance allows you to protect your business when an accident or
natural disaster happens. It also gives you peace of mind because you know you
have something to fall on if your business hangs by a thread.
An excellent insurance plan is something that protects your properties and
employees. It also should have comprehensive coverage.
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characterized by low uncertainty and high risk. A firm competing in a market with
rapidly changing technology and strategic alliances would be an example of high
uncertainty and low risk. Finally, competition in airline markets would be an
example of a situation with high uncertainty (entry/exit of competitors matter
much, sensitive to regulatory changes) and high risk (affected by exchange rates
and prices of jet fuel). The position in the matrix can change with conditions. A
mid-1900s telephone operator was the epitome of stability—a far cry from today’s
intense competition with ever new ways of transmitting information and the
critical importance of winning license auctions.
Friberg, R. (2021) expressed four strategies in dealing with risk and uncertainty.
These were:
Benchmark Strategy
The first strategy follows the strategy that would be optimal if risky variables
were close to their expected values and uncertainty shocks do not present a
threat to firm survival. The better access to capital that the firm has, the greater
the firm's shocks on the chin. A firm following this strategy would be doing
sensitivity tests, but if the firm, in the end, does not let risk and uncertainty
considerations affect fundamental decisions of what it produces and sells, the
firm follows the benchmark strategy.
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Note that it may also be helpful to distinguish between two reasons for
derivatives use. What concerns us in this strategy is to avoid costly lower tail
outcomes that have a significant impact on firm value, and these are the
motivations that have been explored mainly in the academic literature. Another
motivation for using derivatives is to make it easier to determine the need for
liquid funds in a firm in short to medium run. While the latter explanation has
not been the focus of the academic literature, the empirical evidence is broadly
consistent, with this being an essential motivation for derivatives use.
Flexible Strategy
Consider now the strategy that we term “flexible.” It is a strategy that explicitly
considers how risk factors can take on different values and that there will be
shocks due to uncertainty. A firm that follows this strategy tailors operations
and processes in a way to be able to respond and make the best of the
conditions quickly—it strives to make profits more responsive to positive
shocks and less so to adverse shocks; using a technical term, we would say
that it strives to make profits into a convex function of the risk factor. This
implies that expected profits for a firm increase as conditions become more
variable—by adjusting and making the most of favorable conditions, profits
increase in good times, and in bad times the flexible firm will cut back and
thereby limit the harm. Such flexibility can, for instance, come about via
production possibilities (such as adjusting volumes or input sourcing rapidly)
or via marketing-related strategies (such as an ability to set different prices to
different consumer groups).
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The strategy can be seen as a simple way to capture real options—the essence is
that they become more valuable as risk increases. The flexibility can also be
generated by choosing to organize control lines in the firm to be more flexible. In
keeping with standard assumptions in economics, all good things come at a
cost—and we assume that there is a fixed cost of building up the capacity to be
flexible. In the airline setting, flexibility can, for instance, be associated with
leasing rather than owning planes or having a large share of personnel that is
on short-term contracts. Having a diverse fleet of airplanes is another way to
gain flexibility, enabling a better fit between local market conditions and the
size of planes. Such flexibility would be associated with higher maintenance
costs. The figure below illustrates such a convexity of profits relative to the
benchmark. We consider a case where a “passive” strategy would lead to profits
improving one-for-one with the risk factor and where a flexible strategy implies
adjustment—the more risk factors deviate from their expected values, the more
significant the difference.
Operational Hedging
Strategy
We finally consider the
strategy of “operational
hedging.” This refers to
adjusting operations or
management processes to
make the firm's profits
less sensitive to changes
in risk factors and
uncertainty shocks. One
example of an
operational hedging
strategy would be to
diversify—for an airline
to own another business
that is less sensitive to
those risks. An airline
that also owned a soft
drink business could thus be an example of operational hedging. Buying more
fuel-efficient planes would be another way of engaging in operational hedging—
if they are costlier to purchase, they might be less profitable when fuel prices
are around average, but they make profits less sensitive to swings in the fuel
price. In a very schematic way, one might then suggest that strategies are
especially worth pondering for firms in the following way (See Figure 2.2).
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In his book, Million Dollar Blinds Spots: 20/20 Vision for Financial Growth, Gary
Patterson (2012) expressed that the best practices in traditional risk
management are vital, but they are not enough to protect a company from
economic risk. So here is an explanation of risk, uncertainty, and business
strategy according to Patterson, G. (2012): “Enterprise risk management starts
with Identify risk . . . and manage it according to the company’s risk appetite,”
Thus he pointed out strategies for firm’s success. These were:
Identify risk events
Assess the probability of each event
Make a cost-benefit analysis of response alternatives
Choose a response
Re-assess probability and impact with company response
On-going monitoring of risk events
Business response to risky events can be categorized as avoidance (do not do the
act which brings forth the risk), reduction (reduce the probability of the event or
the damage of the event), sharing (spread the risk, such as through insurance),
and acceptance (live with it).
Venturing into Stormy Seas
If you have your own business, you are in a lifeboat. There is only room for one
person -- you. One hand is on the tiller. The other is on the sail. You have an idea
and a vision for your business, but it is beyond sight, a great distance away on
the other shore. While it would be convenient just to set the boat to autopilot and
arrive smoothly at your destination, everything is guaranteed to change along the
way. There is no way to predict
what those changes will look like, from weather events in your industry to other
boats that might crowd your course. Even your destination might look vastly
different than what you envision. With so many unknowns involved in running
your own business, it is essential to prepare for the unpredictable.
Here are five principles that can help us prepare for whatever unknowns come
our way as we steer our business towards that distant shore, as pointed by
Michael Mamas (2021).
1. Keep your eyes toward the distant shore.
You need to remain steadfastly fixed and dedicated to your larger goal, even as it
may change direction mid-course. As with any sailboat, you will need to be able to
tack. You will shift the rudder and the sail one way and then the next, while at
the same time, you remain dedicated to reaching the other shore. The course
between two points is rarely a straight line, especially when launching and
steering a business in today’s competitive market. Pivot on the fly is extremely
valuable to your long-term success.
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It is easy to understand the analogy of the little sailboat. However, in the real
world of your business, the lessons that the sailboat teaches are quickly
forgotten. It is all too easy to lose sight of the sea for the slight stretch of water
surrounding you at this moment in your journey, whether it be an unexpected
crisis, a positive wave of income that you expect to go on forever, or a negative
wave of people telling you that you will fail. These ebbs and flows are all part of
business, yet any one of them can capsize your business if you do not apply the
principles of the sailboat. These principles are the common sense of business.
However, they can get overlooked, be it sunny skies or stormy weather. To reach
the distant shore, simply remember the lessons of the sailboat.
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SELF-SUPPORT: You can click the URL Search Indicator below to help you further understand the lessons.
Search Indicator
Witt, D. (2019). The Role of Risk in Entrepreneurship.
https://thriveglobal.com/stories/the-role-of-risk-in-entrepreneurship/.
Retrieved on August 5, 2021.
Mansoor, H. (2020). How to Reduce Business Risk: Eight Simple Ways to Do It.
https://customerthink.com/how-to-reduce-business-risk-eight-simple-ways-
to-do-it/. Retrieved on August 11, 2021.