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Trading - Psychology SURE CUT FOMI
Trading - Psychology SURE CUT FOMI
Lesson 2
NOTE: This is a great video I've kept since the start of my trading journey!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oqb_rz7Vk8Y&t=1821s
Lesson 3
Lesson 4
NOTE: This presentation is another video I have kept. This will give you a wide view of the
economy relative to trading. (Please have a pen and paper!).
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=chSHqogx2CI
Lesson 5
As an example, if you are a naturally confident person, you may find that overconfidence and
pride hamper your decision-making. For example, you might let losses run in the hope that the
market will turn around, rather than incurring a small loss on your trading account. This could
lead to greater losses or the eventual collapse of your trading account.
To counter this, you might use stops as a way to minimize your losses and to make the decision
about when to close a particular trade before you open the position. By doing this, you have
become aware of your own biases and emotions as you have made a conscious decision not to
act on them but rather, you have taken steps to combat them.
[8:10 PM]
HOW DOES BIAS AFFECT TRADING?
Bias affects a trader by definition by having predetermined thoughts or ideas in favor of one
outcome over another.
This may hinder your decision-making because it can lead you to act on gut feeling rather than
fundamental and technical analysis.
Examples of specific decisions it may affect include:
-When to enter a trade
-When to exit a trade
-What to trade
-How many trades to take
-When to stop trading for any given amount of time
There are 5 main types of bias. (I will copy and paste by definition then explain).
-Representative bias means that you will stick to or be more inclined to replicate previously
successful trades. You might do this without carrying out analysis for every trade of this type
because in the past, it has paid off for you. However, even if two trades seem similar, it is
important to approach every trade on its own merits rather than on historical success.
-Negativity bias makes you more inclined to only look at the negative side of a trade, rather than
acknowledging what went right. This could mean that you scrap an entire strategy when, in fact,
you might only have needed to tweak it slightly to turn a profit
-Status quo bias means that you will continue to use old strategies or trades rather than
exploring new ones – you will stick to the status quo. The danger arises when you fail to assess
whether those old methods are still viable in the current market.
-Confirmation bias is when you seek out or give greater weight to, news and analysis that
confirms your pre-formulated ideas. It may also be that you don’t seek out, or disregard,
information that disproves your convictions.
-Gambler’s fallacy is where you assume that because an asset has been increasing, it will
continue to rise. There is no reason to believe that it should, similar to how there is no reason
that a coin should land tails side up – rather than heads – after doing so a few times in a row.
[8:10 PM]
(KEY TAKEWAY)
The ability to fully understand your own behaviors is equally important as understanding others.
Lesson 6