This document provides two examples involving choice under uncertainty and calculating expected value, utility, and risk preferences. The first example involves a lottery with different cash prize amounts and probabilities. The second examines insuring a house against flooding, and calculates outcomes both with and without insurance to determine a fair insurance policy. Key calculations include expected value, expected utility, certainty equivalent, risk premium, and determining risk attitudes. The document asks to find a fair insurance premium rate, the relationship between insured and uninsured states, and the type of insurance that maximizes expected utility.
This document provides two examples involving choice under uncertainty and calculating expected value, utility, and risk preferences. The first example involves a lottery with different cash prize amounts and probabilities. The second examines insuring a house against flooding, and calculates outcomes both with and without insurance to determine a fair insurance policy. Key calculations include expected value, expected utility, certainty equivalent, risk premium, and determining risk attitudes. The document asks to find a fair insurance premium rate, the relationship between insured and uninsured states, and the type of insurance that maximizes expected utility.
This document provides two examples involving choice under uncertainty and calculating expected value, utility, and risk preferences. The first example involves a lottery with different cash prize amounts and probabilities. The second examines insuring a house against flooding, and calculates outcomes both with and without insurance to determine a fair insurance policy. Key calculations include expected value, expected utility, certainty equivalent, risk premium, and determining risk attitudes. The document asks to find a fair insurance premium rate, the relationship between insured and uninsured states, and the type of insurance that maximizes expected utility.
1. Jisoo suggested Meesun a chance to participate in the lottery. This
lottery is said to give a prize of 4,000,000 won with a probability of 20%, 1,000,000won with a probability of 40%, and 0 won with a probability of 40%. Meesun’s utility function is . (a) Calculate the expected value of this lottery. (b) Find the her attitude toward risk. (c) Calculate the expected utility and certainty equivalent. (d) Calculate the risk premium.
2. Junkoo bought a new house worth 16 Won next to a river and
ponder weather to insure it. He can take out an insurance with insurance fee(insurance premium) “P” and insurance money(coverage) “C”. With 50% probability the house is destroyed by a “flooding” and then the house worth 4 Won. His utility function is . means the commodity-1(state 1) with “no flooding”, means the commodity-2(state 2) with “flooding”. Using the State-Dependent Preference Approach, this conditions is . If he buys the insurance, it changes to in the initial situations. (a) Calculate the expected value, expected utility, certainty equivalent, risk premium and find his attitude toward risk. (b) What would be the actually fair full insurance policy? (c) If the premium rate( ) is fair, derive the functional relation between and . (d) If the premium rate( ) is fair, find that maximize his expected utility and What type of insurance is purchased to obtain this maximized expected utility?