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Republic of China. The wording of the resolution establishes that we are talking about the country that is located on
mainland China.
What is meant by “prioritize”? The Cambridge Dictionary defines it in the following way: “to decide which of a
group of things are the most important so that you can deal with them first” (https://dictionary.cambridge.
org/us/dictionary/english/prioritize). Of course the “group of things,” as specified in the resolution, includes just the
two: “environmental protection” and “economic growth.” The question then is whether “environmental protection” is
the “most important” and should be dealt with before dealing with “economic growth.”
What is meant by “environmental protection”? The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development
defines this term as follows: “Environmental protection refers to any activity to maintain or restore the quality of
environmental media through preventing the emission of pollutants or reducing the presence of polluting substances
in environmental media. It may consist of: (a) changes in characteristics of goods and services, (b) changes in
consumption patterns, (c) changes in production techniques, (d) treatment or disposal of residuals in separate
environmental protection facilities, (e) recycling, and (f) prevention of degradation of the landscape and ecosystems”
(https://stats.oecd.org/glossary/detail.asp?ID=836)
What is meant by “economic growth?” Investopia defines this term in the following way: “Economic growth is an
increase in the production of goods and services in an economy. Increases in capital goods, labor force, technology,
and human capital can all contribute to economic growth. Economic growth is commonly measured in terms of the
increase in aggregated market value of additional goods and services produced, using estimates such as GDP”
(https://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/economicgrowth.asp).
AFFIRMATIVE STRATEGIES
A number of good strategies are available for affirmative debaters. The first strategy focuses directly on the role
of China in climate change. The case establishes that economic growth in China is primarily responsible for the
carbon dioxide emissions that are driving climate change. Martina Ignini, a Hong Kong-based analyst with Earth.Org,
writes the following:
With an ever-increasing population, the demand for electricity has grown with no respite,
leading to even more coal-burning and worsened air standards. Furthermore, despite pledging
to reach net zero emissions before 2060, the country remains by far the world’s largest
producer and consumer of coal, which alone covers 60% of its electricity demand. In an effort to
restore the economy to pre-pandemic levels and curb the energy crisis sparked by the
exponential rise in industrial activities the country experienced in 2021, the Chinese government
ordered factories to increase their production capacity and built more than triple the amount of
new coal power capacity as the rest of the world combined. Unsurprisingly, CO2 emissions in
the same year almost reached 12 billion tonnes, accounting for 33% of the global total. (Top 5
Environmental Issues in China in 2022, June 23, 2022, https://earth.org/environmental-issues-
in-china/)
This first case also explains why China should not complacently wait for developed countries to take action. The
key answer to that argument is that climate change impacts China in ways that it cannot ignore. Lindsay Maizland,
analyst with the Council on Foreign Relations, describes these China-specific impacts:
China’s average temperature and sea levels have risen faster than the global average,
according to a 2020 report from China’s National Climate Center. Some of China’s coastal
cities, such as Shanghai, could be submerged if the global average temperature continues to
rise. An estimated forty-three million people in China live on land that could be underwater by
the end of the century if the global average temperature rises by 2°C. Additionally, experts
predict that China will experience more frequent extreme weather events, such as heavy
rainfall. Every year, natural disasters kill hundreds of Chinese people and destroy millions of
acres of crops. As temperatures rise, China’s glaciers will continue to melt at an alarming rate,
which will likely lead to more devastating floods. Extreme heat events and droughts will also
become more common. (China’s Fight Against Climate Change and Environmental
Degradation, May 19, 2021, https://www.cfr. org/backgrounder/china-climate-change-policies-
environmental-degradation)
The second affirmative case argues that environmental protection should be prioritized over economic growth
because it provides the precondition for future growth. By prioritizing the development of renewable energy, China
can change the current destructive growth pattern into environment-friendly green growth. This case argues that this
is actually the path that the Chinese government is currently choosing. Yu Hai, deputy director of China’s Research
Center for Xi Jinping Thought on Ecological Civilization, describes the priority now being given to environmental
protection:
For many years, Chinas development of an ecological civilization has been based on its
adherence to the leadership of the Communist Party of China in ecological protection, the Xi
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Jinping Thought on Ecological Civilization, the principles of putting people first, the path of
green development, the strictest regulations and most sophisticated laws in environmental
protection, the protection and systematic governance of mountains, rivers, forests, farmlands,
lakes and grasslands as a whole, and the cooperation with other countries in building ecological
civilization globally. All of this is valuable to Chinas ecological civilization endeavors and
Beautiful China campaign. (Daily News, Sept. 24, 2022, Nexis Uni)
The final affirmative case focuses primarily on the air and water pollution byproducts of China’s economic growth.
Paul Peng, vice president of S&P Global, describes what happens when economic growth is prioritized over
environmental protection:
After a nearly two decades of fast economic growth, China has achieved huge success in
growing its economy and generating wealth for its citizens. However, this success comes at a
large cost - a deteriorating environment. Air pollution and water pollution are particularly serious
in the economically developed North and East regions. The government has been addressing
pollution issues for some time, but when economic growth and environmental protection cannot
be achieved simultaneously, the former has superseded the latter. (A Delicate Balance: China’s
Economic Growth Versus Its Deteriorating Environment, Nov. 23, 2017, https://ihsmarkit.com/
research-analysis/china-growth-versus-environment.html)
NEGATIVE STRATEGIES
There are also a number of excellent strategies available to negative debaters on this topic. The first negative
strategy argues that there is no reason to prioritize environmental protection over economic growth because both can
pursued simultaneously. Keith Johnson, deputy editor of Foreign Policy, shows that recent trends in China show that
the environment has become cleaner while the economy continues to grow:
China posted an official growth rate of 6.9 percent last year, yet saw energy-sector
emissions fall by 1.5 percent. That is a dramatic change for China, whose nearly four-decade
economic explosion featured double-digit growth rates and double-digit increases in emissions.
“The fact that emissions have actually stalled and may even decline, even as the economy
continues to grow, is a very exciting trend,” said Jason Bordoff, a former energy and climate
advisor to the Obama administration and the founding director of Columbia University’s Center
on Global Energy Policy. He linked the progress to a steady, decades-long improvement in
energy intensity in the world’s economies, meaning it takes less energy every year to produce a
dollar’s worth of economic output. Indeed, energy intensity in recent years is declining much
faster than in the two previous decades, according to the World Bank, fruit of efficiency gains in
manufacturing, transportation, and power generation. (Mar. 16, 2016,
https://foreignpolicy.com/2016/03/16/turns-out-economic-growth-doesnt-mean-destroying-the-
planet/)
The second negative case argues that China has rightly prioritized poverty reduction with the incredible result of
bringing 800 million people out of poverty over recent decades. This case also establishes that economic growth
must be given priority in order to secure the necessary funding to pursue environmental protection. The following
report from the World Bank explains why this is true:
Decarbonization will require significant investments in a massive green infrastructure and
technology scaleup. Specifically, our sectoral models suggest that China would need a total of
about US$14 trillion in additional investments from now until 2060 for the power and transport
sectors alone, equivalent to 0.97 percent of GDP during that period (see Table O.2).1 To avoid
locking-in carbon intensive assets and meet China’s NDC targets, a large part of these
investments would need to be frontloaded, requiring about US$2.1 trillion (equivalent to roughly
1.1 percent of GDP) in the next decade. (China Country Climate and Development Report, Oct.
12, 2022, pp. 5-6, https://reliefweb.int/report/china/country-climate-and-development-report-
ccdr-china-enzh)
The final negative case provides an answer to affirmative cases focused on climate change. This case makes
two important claims: (1) Justice requires that developed countries have the primary responsibility for addressing
climate change; and (2) China is more than doing its part by supporting a worldwide movement toward renewable
energy. Yu Zirong, vice president of the Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation in the Chinese
Ministry of Commerce
With the country's economy taking off, China's renewable energy industry has made
remarkable achievements that offer strong support for its green and low-carbon energy
transition domestically, as well as in other developing countries through foreign assistance.
Through multilateral channels, under the framework of the China South-South Climate
Cooperation Fund, the country continues to organize training for officials and technicians of
developing countries, while providing photovoltaic equipment for generating power. Green
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energy assistance has also been enhanced bilaterally, such as the building of a photovoltaic
system with a total installed capacity of 1 megawatt in Nepal, and a 50-MW solar power plant in
Garissa, Kenya, the largest photovoltaic power station in East Africa. China's rapidly iterating
energy technologies and economies of scale have greatly reduced the cost of renewable
energy utilization; as the development and commercial cooperation scales up, more developing
countries can share the benefits of China's renewable energy development. (China Daily,
Oct.18, 2021, Nexis Uni)
Bob Berwyn, (Staff, Inside Climate News), UNCHECKED GLOBAL WARMING COULD COLLAPSE
WHOLE ECOSYSTEMS, MAYBE WITHIN TEN YEARS, Apr. 8, 2020. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from
https://insideclimatenews.org/news/08042020/global-warming-ecosystem-biodiversity-rising-heat-species/
Global warming is about to tear big holes into Earth’s delicate web of life, pushing temperatures
beyond the tolerance of thousands of animals at the same time. As some key species go extinct, entire
ecosystems like coral reefs and forests will crumble, and some will collapse abruptly, starting as soon as
this decade, a new study in the journal Nature warns. Many scientists see recent climate-related mass
die-offs, including the coral bleaching of the Great Barrier Reef and widespread seabird and marine
mammal mortality in the Northeastern Pacific linked to a marine heat wave, as warning signs of
impending biodiversity collapse, said lead author Alex Pigot, a biodiversity researcher at University
College, London. The new study shows that nowhere on Earth will escape the impacts.
B. CHINA IS CURRENTLY THE GREATEST DRIVER OF CLIMATE CHANGE.
Lindsay Maizland, (Analyst, Council on Foreign Relations), CHINA’S FIGHT AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE
AND ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION, May 19, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from
https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/china-climate-change-policies-environmental-degradation
China’s economic rise—national gross domestic product (GDP) grew 10 percent on average each
year for more than a decade—has greatly accelerated its emissions. In the past ten years, China has
emitted more greenhouse gases, including carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide, per year than
any other country in the world. It surpassed the United States as the top emitter in 2005, according to
Climate Watch.
World Bank, COUNTRY CLIMATE AND DEVELOPMENT REPORT (CCDR) FOR CHINA, Oct. 12, 2022.
Retrieved Oct. 13, 2022 from https://reliefweb.int/report/china/country-climate-and-development-report-
ccdr-china-enzh
Without China successfully transitioning to a low-carbon economy, achieving global climate goals will
be impossible. China emits 27 percent of global carbon dioxide and a third of the world’s greenhouse
gases. This transition will require a massive shift in resources, innovation, and new technologies to
enhance energy efficiency and resource productivity.
Lindsay Maizland, (Analyst, Council on Foreign Relations), CHINA’S FIGHT AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE
AND ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION, May 19, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from
https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/china-climate-change-policies-environmental-degradation
Coal, which makes up nearly two-thirds of China’s energy consumption, is largely to blame. The
country is the world’s largest coal producer and accounts for about half of coal consumed globally. The
government banned the construction of new coal-fired power plants in 2016, and coal use appeared to
decline. However, when the ban expired in 2018, construction of new plants ramped up again. In 2020,
China built over three times more new coal-power capacity than the rest of the world combined,
according to Global Energy Monitor and the Center for Research on Energy and Clean Air.
C. CHINA IS THE COUNTRY MOST IMPACTED BY CLIMATE CHANGE.
Yuan Ye, (Reporter, Sixth Tone), IPCC WARNS CHINA WILL BE HIT HARD BY CLIMATE CHANGE, Mar.
3, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from https://www.sixthtone.com/news/1009809/ipcc-warns-china-will-be-
hit-hard-by-climate-change
China will be among the countries hardest hit by global warming and needs to do more to adapt to
mounting climate hazards, according to a new report published this week by the United Nations’
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Like many other Asian countries, China will need to
find solutions to water and food insecurity, poverty and inequality, and more extreme weather events,
according to the report, which is the second to come out as part of the IPCC’s sixth assessment cycle.
Without adaptation, China will suffer the world’s biggest economic losses as a result of rising sea levels
and the resulting floods, a modeling study cited in the report estimates. China’s food security will also be
threatened, as a warming climate is expected to affect yields of wheat, maize, rice, and fish.
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Lindsay Maizland, (Analyst, Council on Foreign Relations), CHINA’S FIGHT AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE
AND ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION, May 19, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from
https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/china-climate-change-policies-environmental-degradation
China’s average temperature and sea levels have risen faster than the global average, according to
a 2020 report from China’s National Climate Center. Some of China’s coastal cities, such as Shanghai,
could be submerged if the global average temperature continues to rise. An estimated forty-three million
people in China live on land that could be underwater by the end of the century if the global average
temperature rises by 2°C. Additionally, experts predict that China will experience more frequent extreme
weather events, such as heavy rainfall. Every year, natural disasters kill hundreds of Chinese people and
destroy millions of acres of crops. As temperatures rise, China’s glaciers will continue to melt at an
alarming rate, which will likely lead to more devastating floods. Extreme heat events and droughts will
also become more common.
Steven Bernard, (Staff), FINANCIAL TIMES, June 14, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
Trillions of dollars of economic activity along China's east coast, including $974bn in Shanghai alone,
are exposed to oceans rising as a result of climate change this century, according to Financial Times
analysis of unpublished data. The economic might of Shanghai, the leading Chinese financial centre built
between the Yangtze River estuary and Hangzhou Bay, is most exposed to a rise in sea levels, with an
estimated $973.7bn of 2019 gross domestic product at risk.
II. PRIORITIZING ECONOMIC GROWTH MAKES IT IMPOSSIBLE TO ADDRESS THE THREAT FROM CLIMATE
CHANGE.
A. CHINA’S CONTINUED BUILDING OF COAL PLANTS DRIVES CLIMATE CHANGE.
Alan Dupont, (Nonresident Fellow, Lowy Institute), THE AUSTRALIAN, Nov. 12, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 10,
2022 from Nexis Uni.
Last year China built more than three times as much new coal power capacity as all other countries
in the world combined and plans to add another 43 new coal-fired power plants. The inconvenient truth is
that unless China can be persuaded or pressured to reverse course, we are all going to be living in a
much hotter world.
Yujie Xue, (Staff), SOUTH CHINA MORNING POST, Jan. 3, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 7, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
For now, China continues to rely heavily on coal for power generation, making it the world's largest
emitter of greenhouse gases. The country has faced severe power shortages since September resulting
from a coal shortage and inflexible electricity prices. The central government has ordered power
companies to secure winter power at any cost. Coal is expected to remain the mainstay power source in
China to maintain energy security, government officials said at the central economic work conference in
Beijing in December.
B. CHINA’S BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE HAS A MAJOR CLIMATE IMPACT.
Lindsay Maizland, (Analyst, Council on Foreign Relations), CHINA’S FIGHT AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE
AND ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION, May 19, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from
https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/china-climate-change-policies-environmental-degradation
Internationally, China is the largest financier of fossil fuel infrastructure. Through its massive Belt and
Road Initiative (BRI), China has built or is planning to build hundreds of coal-fired power plants in
countries around the world. More than 60 percent of BRI-specific energy financing has gone toward
nonrenewable resources. Greenhouse gas emissions in more than a dozen BRI countries have soared.
Researchers found in 2019 that BRI could drive the global average temperature to increase by 2.7°C,
significantly higher than the Paris Agreement’s goal of limiting global temperature rise to 1.5°C.
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Helen Mountford, (Analyst, World Resources Institute), AMERICA DOESN’T HAVE TO CHOOSE
BETWEEN THE ECONOMY AND THE CLIMATE, Mar. 6, 2017. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from
https://www.wri.org/insights/america-doesnt-have-choose-between-economy-and-climate
Climate action can actively benefit the economy, according to new work from the New Climate
Economy. The key drivers of economic growth – resource efficiency, infrastructure investment and
innovation – can be harnessed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. It’s a logical connection: a more
efficient economy is a more productive economy, and a more efficient economy also emits less carbon.
Hou Liqiang, (Staff), CHINA DAILY, Aug. 24, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
China's booming environmental protection industry is playing an increasingly important role in
boosting economic growth, as the country increases funding for its ecological endeavors, an official from
the Ministry of Ecology and Environment said on Tuesday. The industry, which accounted for 1.8 percent
of China's GDP in 2021, notched up total earnings of 2.18 trillion yuan ($320 billion) over the same
period, said Zou Shoumin, head of the ministry's department of science and finance, quoting data from
the China Association of Environmental Protection Industry. "As a strategic emerging industry, the
environmental protection industry has been a new source of national economic growth," said Zou,
pointing out that the sector's earnings grew by 11.8 percent from 2020 to 2021, which was 3.7
percentage points higher than China's overall GDP growth rate.
Khalid Taimur Akram, (Dir., Center for Global and Strategic Studies), CHINA DAILY, Sept. 25, 2021.
Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
Many experts consider the environment and ecology to be integral to fostering economic growth, and
the fact that China has become a global leader in renewable and clean energy shows that it is committed
to championing environmental protection and preserving the ecology. The country has made remarkable
progress in energy transition over the past two decades, and its State Grid has become a global giant in
ultra-high voltage electricity transmission technology, enabling swift distribution of renewable energy.
Ouyang Shijia, (Staff), CHINA DAILY, Mar. 8, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
Liu Qiao, dean of the Guanghua School of Management at Peking University, highlighted the
importance of fostering green and low-carbon development, saying the investment in fields related to
reaching the carbon peak will create new economic growth points, help boost total-factor productivity and
maintain healthy and sustainable development. "Sectors such as carbon neutrality, re-industrialization or
the digitalization of the industrial sector, and new infrastructure will provide new growth momentum for
the Chinese economy to maintain a stable uptick in growth, which is on the way to switching to a new
development model underpinned by such new growth momentum," Liu said.
B. CHINESE LEADERS NOW RECOGNIZE THAT ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION MUST BE GIVEN
PRIORITY.
Khalid Taimur Akram, (Dir., Center for Global and Strategic Studies), CHINA DAILY, Sept. 25, 2021.
Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
Under the leadership of President Xi Jinping, China acknowledges that climate change and
environmental degradation are threatening the economic prosperity and well-being of nations. To
neutralize that threat, China has devised an integrated policy framework to attain sustainability, by
making internal structural adjustments. And since global issues call for global cooperation and solutions,
China has been deepening cooperation with, as well as helping, other countries to meet the common
challenges.
Yu Hai, (Deputy Dir., Research Center for Xi Jinping Thought on Ecological Civilization), DAILY NEWS,
Sept. 24, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
For many years, Chinas development of an ecological civilization has been based on its adherence
to the leadership of the Communist Party of China in ecological protection, the Xi Jinping Thought on
Ecological Civilization, the principles of putting people first, the path of green development, the strictest
regulations and most sophisticated laws in environmental protection, the protection and systematic
governance of mountains, rivers, forests, farmlands, lakes and grasslands as a whole, and the
cooperation with other countries in building ecological civilization globally. All of this is valuable to Chinas
ecological civilization endeavors and Beautiful China campaign.
12
Martina Ignini, (Analyst, Earth.Org based in Hong Kong & Team Member, UN Global Communication
Department), TOP 5 ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES IN CHINA IN 2022, June 23, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 11,
2022 from https://earth.org/environmental-issues-in-china/
Yet, despite the worrisome values recorded and no Chinese city meeting the WHO standards, air
quality in China has consistently improved in recent years. Since 2018, major cities have seen an overall
21% reduction in annual PM2.5 concentrations, and in 2021, the capital city of Beijing met its own air
pollution targets for the first time. President Xi Jinping argues that fighting pollution is one of his top
priorities, labelling this environmental issue as one of China’s ‘three tough battles’ – along with reducing
poverty and improving financial stability. The long-term strategy focuses primarily on carbon emission
intensity reduction through the primary use of non-fossil fuel energy.
PRETORIA NEWS, Mar. 23, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
Hence, the PRC has taken urgent and practical steps to deal with this through sound eco-
environmental sustainability and conservation policies and programmes. This has involved
environmental defence and the restoration of lakes based on the introduction of a red line for ecological
protection. In turn this has produced positive net results. For instance, the PRC has facilitated the
creation of 120 million hectares of arable land and created national parks or 11 800 protected areas that
comprise 18% of the PRC’s land mass.
Yu Hai, (Deputy Dir., Research Center for Xi Jinping Thought on Ecological Civilization), DAILY NEWS,
Sept. 24, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
By the end of 2020, China had signed about 150 cooperation documents for environmental
protection with more than 60 countries and international and regional organizations, as well as signed or
joined more than 50 international conventions and protocols related to the ecological environment.
Yu Hai, (Deputy Dir., Research Center for Xi Jinping Thought on Ecological Civilization), DAILY NEWS,
Sept. 24, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
The earth is the only place where all people call it home, and building a green home is a shared goal
of nations. China will hold fast to the ecological civilization concept and multilateralism, strive to promote
the development of a fair, reasonable and win-win global environmental governance system, join hands
with other countries to build a shared future for all life on earth and a clean and beautiful world, and
contribute Chinas wisdom and plan to global environmental governance.
C. FAILURE TO PRIORITIZE THE ENVIRONMENT UNDERMINES FUTURE ECONOMIC GROWTH.
World Bank, COUNTRY CLIMATE AND DEVELOPMENT REPORT (CCDR) FOR CHINA, Oct. 12, 2022.
Retrieved Oct. 13, 2022 from https://reliefweb.int/report/china/country-climate-and-development-report-
ccdr-china-enzh
The impacts of climate change threaten China’s densely populated and economically critical low-
lying coastal cities, which are home to an estimated one-fifth of China’s population and contribute a third
of its GDP. China already experiences frequent coastal flooding, storm surges, costal erosion, and
saltwater intrusion. Unabated climate change could lead to estimated GDP losses of between 0.5 and
2.3 percent as early as 2030, according to the report.
D. FAILURE TO PRIORITIZE THE ENVIRONMENT HURTS THE POOR.
World Bank, CHINA COUNTRY CLIMATE AND DEVELOPMENT REPORT, Oct. 12, 2022, p. 3. Report
download available at https://reliefweb.int/report/china/country-climate-and-development-report-ccdr-china-
enzh
Rising sea levels and risks related to coastal flooding, storm surges, and coastal erosion threaten
China’s densely populated low-elevation coastal cities, which account for a fifth of China’s population
and a third of its gross domestic product (GDP). Meanwhile, interior provinces in northern and western
China are exposed to more frequent and extreme heat waves and droughts which intensify water
security risks and impact agriculture—a major source of income, especially among China’s rural poor. No
longer threats in a distant future, these risks are already starting to materialize today, as evidenced by
recent floods and droughts that have devastated large parts of the country.
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Martina Ignini, (Analyst, Earth.Org based in Hong Kong & Team Member, UN Global Communication
Department), TOP 5 ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES IN CHINA IN 2022, June 23, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 11,
2022 from https://earth.org/environmental-issues-in-china/
According to the 2021 World Air Quality Report, out of 1,374 cities located in East Asia, 143 (or
about 11%) recorded annual average PM2.5 concentrations that are seven times greater than World
Health Organization (WHO) standards. All of them were located in China, with the town of Hotan in
southwestern Xinjiang experiencing the highest level of pollution in the country at about 101 µg/m³, over
20 times the WHO guideline value.
B. ECONOMIC GROWTH HAS DESTROYED WATER QUALITY IN CHINA.
Carolyn Gibson, (Analyst, Borgen Project), WATER POLLUTION IN CHINA IS THE COUNTRY’S WORST
ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUE, March 10, 2018. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from https://borgenproject.org/water-
pollution-in-china/
Half of China’s population cannot access water that is safe for human consumption and two-thirds of
China’s rural population relies on tainted water. Water pollution in China is such a problem that there
could be “catastrophic consequences for future generations,” according to the World Bank. China’s water
supply has been contaminated by the dumping of toxic human and industrial waste. Pollution-induced
algae blooms cause the surface of China’s lakes to turn a bright green, but greater problems may lurk
beneath the surface; groundwater in 90 percent of China’s cities is contaminated.
Hal Brands, (Staff, Bloomberg News), CHINA IS RUNNING OUT OF WATER AND THAT’S SCARY FOR
ASIA, Dec. 29, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-12-
29/china-s-water-shortage-is-scary-for-india-thailand-vietnam
Thousands of rivers have disappeared, while industrialization and pollution have spoiled much of the
water that remains. By some estimates, 80% to 90% of China’s groundwater and half of its river water is
too dirty to drink; more than half of its groundwater and one-quarter of its river water cannot even be
used for industry or farming.
Martina Ignini, (Analyst, Earth.Org based in Hong Kong & Team Member, UN Global Communication
Department), TOP 5 ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES IN CHINA IN 2022, June 23, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 11,
2022 from https://earth.org/environmental-issues-in-china/
High on the list of environmental issues in China is water pollution. As much as 90% of the country’s
groundwater is contaminated by toxic human and industrial waste dumping, as well as farm fertilisers,
causing about 70% of rivers and lakes to be unsafe for human use. Nearly half of the population does
not have access to water that is safe for human consumption, while two-thirds of the rural population has
to rely on tainted water due to a lack of adequate systems to treat wastewater. Based on this, it is clear
that in China, the water you drink is as dangerous as the air you breathe.
Paul Harris, (Staff), HONG KONG FREE PRESS, July 10, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
Indeed, one of the most severe consequences of China’s economic rise has been the devastation of
its rivers, many of which are notoriously polluted by industrial, agricultural and municipal run-off – the
vast majority of it untreated – often making their waters unusable for any purpose. Elizabeth Economy’s
book on China’s environmental challenges is titled The River Runs Black for good reason.
C. ECONOMIC GROWTH HAS CREATED CRITICAL WATER SCARCITY IN CHINA.
Paul Harris, (Staff), HONG KONG FREE PRESS, July 10, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
China is not just choking its own rivers; it’s doing the same to those of other countries through
pollution, deforestation and development projects. It has exported its enthusiasm for dam construction,
and it is well established as the “pre-eminent global player in major dam projects.” As part of the Belt and
Road Initiative, it is building dams as far afield as Africa. Often the main beneficiary of such foreign dam
projects is China itself. Construction is profitably financed by Chinese banks, workers are brought in from
China, and for China-built dams in Southeast Asia, the resulting hydropower is often intended for export
to China.
Chen Hongbin, (Staff, ThinkChina), CHINA’S SERIOUS WATER WOES, Apr. 26, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 11,
2022 from Nexis Uni.
Water is scarce to begin with, and surface water is limited. Amid China's rapid economic
development, for a period it overlooked environmental protection, leading to the deteriorating quality of
river water and exacerbating the shortage of water resources.
15
PRETORIA NEWS, Mar. 23, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
Which lessons are imparted by the PRC for us in South Africa where the primary focus of our
policies and programs is on economic growth and employment creation? First, that economic growth
needs to be balanced with ecological protection and restoration. If we prioritize one at the expense of the
other there will be negative effects, as seen with the uncontrolled levels of urbanization, industrialization
and pollution. The pursuit of win-win in the economy and ecology is a necessary investment that must be
made by this generation for future generations. Second, the pursuit of harmony between nature and
humanity is a non-negotiable that cuts across political and ideological divides. Ordinary people would be
willing to make sacrifices if they saw their public leaders and political parties lead by example.
Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, (Chair and President, Global Green Growth Institute), ECONOMIC GROWTH
CAN COMPLEMENT ENVIRONMENTAL CONSERVATION, June 15, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from
https://www.oecd.org/greengrowth/economic-growth-can-complement-environmental-conservation.htm
For many years one of the predominant conventional wisdoms in both business and policymaking
circles was that cutting greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions necessitates a sacrifice in economic growth.
We now know, through the experiences of both developed and developing countries, that economic
growth can complement environmental conservation and transitioning to a low-carbon economy can go
hand-in-hand with increased access to economic opportunity and higher levels of well-being.
E. PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT REQUIRES LOTS OF MONEY, WHICH IS ANOTHER REASON
THAT GROWTH MUST BE GIVEN EQUAL EMPHASIS.
World Bank, COUNTRY CLIMATE AND DEVELOPMENT REPORT (CCDR) FOR CHINA, Oct. 12, 2022.
Retrieved Oct. 13, 2022 from https://reliefweb.int/report/china/country-climate-and-development-report-
ccdr-china-enzh
“To reach net-zero emissions by 2060, the report estimates China needs between US$14-17 trillion
in additional investments for green infrastructure and technology in the power and transport sectors
alone,” said IFC’s Regional Vice President for Asia and the Pacific, Ruth Horowitz. “Given the immense
price tag, public investments won’t be sufficient to meet these needs, so China needs policy and
regulatory reforms to spur the private sector and fully tap the potential for investment and innovation.”
Edward White, (Staff), AUSTRALIAN FINANCIAL REVIEW, Nov. 17, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from
Nexis Uni.
According to Bernstein calculations, to achieve the 2060 carbon neutrality pledge made by President
Xi Jinping, China faces a "Herculean challenge": $US163 billion will have to be spent annually on
renewable energy and other decarbonisation technologies. That figure is close to double the $US91
billion invested in 2019 and amounts to $US6.5 trillion over four decades. But, Mr Beveridge noted, the
estimate might be conservative because it excludes related spending on areas such as electricity grid
upgrades.
Ouyang Shijia, (Staff), CHINA DAILY, Mar. 8, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
Control of carbon emissions and pollution requires policy, technology and accounting systems, the
establishment of which will come at a cost, he said. "Though it may lower costs in the future,
technological development also requires investment and will raise current costs," Liu said. He added that
China is entering a high-cost era. In addition to the burden of an aging population and the cost of the
low-carbon transition, the country could be confronted by costs that may emerge from uncertainties in
the complex international environment and those generated as the world revamps its supply and industry
chains.
20
THE STAR, Aug. 12, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
CHINA and African countries called world leaders to strive to urgently raise pledged funding to $100
billion (about R1.6 trillion) to fight the climate change war, which has now become the biggest global
threat facing the world, while forging ahead with crucial co-operation to urgently address growing threats.
In the past half decade, China and Africa have intensified efforts through critical policy and political
convergence on tackling climate change. Major China-Africa engagements have produced
groundbreaking frameworks prioritising climate change as an immediate threat to humanity, the China-
Africa Co-operation Vision 2035, Dakar Declaration of the Eighth Ministerial Conference of the Forum on
China-Africa Co-operation, Sino-African Declaration on Climate Change and the Focac Dakar Action
Plan (2022-2024). The later is profoundly groundbreaking, and, has the potential to address the growing
challenges of climate within blossoming China-Africa mutually beneficial co-operation.
Tonderay Mukeredzi, (Staff), CHINA DAILY, Nov. 26, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 7, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
Across sub-Saharan Africa, China's renewable energy involvement has been growing. For example,
the Africa Renewable Energy Initiative and the China–Africa Renewable Energy Cooperation and
Innovation Alliance have signed a Memorandum of Understanding to cooperate in renewable energy
generation in Africa to combat climate change and promote sustainable development. There is a wider
consensus that it is important for Chinese companies and financial institutions to act in line with these
goals.
Zhang Jing, (Project Lead, Energy Investment Project, Greenpeace), CHINA DAILY, Jan. 20, 2022.
Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
China's leadership in renewable energy investment could lead to annual carbon emissions in the Belt
and Road countries dropping by 1.8 billion metric tons, or 17 percent compared to 2018. In Pakistan, for
example, the annual carbon emissions would be 4.12 million tons less-a 9.16 percent decrease. In
Poland, it would drop by 26.16 million tons per year-a 17.44 percent decrease-and in South Africa, by as
much as 13.68 million tons per year-also a 17.44 percent decrease. The impact on upstream and
downstream industries should be a major focus for energy investments. Research by Greenpeace
suggests that these projects would cut emissions across the value chain by around 768 million tons of oil
equivalent (or TOE, a standardized measure used to compare different energy sources).
D. CHINA HAS STOPPED FUNDING COAL PLANT CONSTRUCTION THROUGH ITS BELT AND ROAD
INITIATIVE.
Tonderay Mukeredzi, (Staff), CHINA DAILY, Nov. 26, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 7, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
Happening soon after the conclusion of COP26 in Scotland earlier this month, and President Xi
Jinping's announcement at the United Nations General Assembly in September that China will no longer
fund new coal-fired power plants overseas, Africa's expectations on climate and energy issues from the
conference are high.
22
Jose Antonio Ocampo, (UN Under-Secretary General for Economic and Social Affairs), DEVELOPMENT
CHALLENGES IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA AND POST-CONFLICT COUNTRIES, Mar. 14, 2005, iii-iv.
The links between poverty and violent conflict are multidimensional. Poverty creates a risk
environment where violence and conflict can thrive.
CONTENTIONS:
I. ECONOMIC GROWTH IS ESSENTIAL TO REALIZE THE RIGHT TO DEVELOPMENT.
A. ECONOMIC GROWTH IN CHINA HAS FOCUSED ON THE POOREST REGIONS.
Jack Goodman, (Staff, BBC), HAS CHINA LIFTED 100 MILLION PEOPLE OUT OF POVERTY?, Feb. 28,
2021. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from https://www.bbc.com/news/56213271
China's rapid reduction in poverty went hand in hand with a long period of sustained economic
growth. Much of the focus has been on the poorest rural areas.
Maria Ana Lugo, (Sr. Economist, World Bank), WHAT’S NEXT FOR POVERTY REDUCTION POLICIES
IN CHINA?, Sept. 24, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from https://www.brookings.edu/blog/future-
development/2021/09/24/whats-next-for-poverty-reduction-policies-in-china/
China’s poverty reduction success since 1980 is primarily a story of sustained economic growth. The
first decade of reform saw rapid income gains in agriculture, as China removed some of the biggest
distortions of the Mao era. In the second decade, industry took the leading role, both in urban and rural
areas, as reforms widened and deepened. During the third decade, the dynamism of China’s export-
oriented coastal areas spread further inland, as migration to the urban centers accelerated, infrastructure
investments (such as with the “Western Development Strategy”) multiplied, and a growing proportion of
China’s territory became economically integrated into global value chains.
B. HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS HAVE BEEN LIFTED OUT OF POVERTY.
Mahesh Pathak, (Staff), CHINA DAILY, June 24, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
Thanks to four decades of fast economic growth, China has reached a position where it can extend
help to countries in need. The fast economic growth has also helped China to lift about 800 million
people out of extreme poverty in the country, and significantly improve people's access to healthcare,
education, and other services. Driven by the motto of "leave no one behind", China's fight against
poverty has benefited the largest number of people in human history.
World Bank, LIFTING 800 MILLION OUT OF POVERTY, Apr. 1, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from
https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2022/04/01/lifting-800-million-people-out-of-poverty-new-
report-looks-at-lessons-from-china-s-experience
Over the past 40 years, the number of people in China with incomes below $1.90 per day – the
International Poverty Line as defined by the World Bank to track global extreme poverty– has fallen by
close to 800 million. With this, China has contributed close to three-quarters of the global reduction in the
number of people living in extreme poverty. At China’s current national poverty line, the number of poor
fell by 770 million over the same period.
C. GROWTH IS ESSENTIAL TO MEET BASIC HUMAN NEEDS.
Maria Ana Lugo, (Sr. Economist, World Bank), WHAT’S NEXT FOR POVERTY REDUCTION POLICIES
IN CHINA?, Sept. 24, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from https://www.brookings.edu/blog/future-
development/2021/09/24/whats-next-for-poverty-reduction-policies-in-china/
Following the eradication of absolute poverty, China has set the year 2035 as the target date to
achieve common prosperity. This is understood as providing the opportunity for a decent standard of
living to all Chinese citizens. Ensuring equal access to education, health care, and other services,
leveraging market signals and competition to encourage innovation and the diffusion of technologies,
and repeatedly adjusting government policies to ensure social transfers target key vulnerabilities and
help China’s citizens manage the risk of a rapid socioeconomic transformation—these are the lesson of
the past 40 years. They will continue to serve China well on the road ahead.
24
World Bank, LIFTING 800 MILLION OUT OF POVERTY, Apr. 1, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from
https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2022/04/01/lifting-800-million-people-out-of-poverty-new-
report-looks-at-lessons-from-china-s-experience
“China’s battle against poverty has benefited the largest number of people in human history,” said
Minister Ma Jiantang, Secretary of the Party Leadership Group of the DRC. “To sustain poverty reduction
gains, China will focus more on achieving endogenous development in areas that have been lifted out of
poverty and introduce vigorous measures to support rural revitalization. Our goal is to achieve common
prosperity and high-quality development including through the rural revitalization strategy with a focus in
five key areas: industry development, human capital, culture, ecological environment and local
governance.”
II. PRIORITIZING ECONOMIC GROWTH IS ESSENTIAL TO ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION.
A. PROSPERITY IS ESSENTIAL TO ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION.
Ethan Yang, (JD Candidate, George Mason U.), STUDY FINDS ECONOMIC PROSPERITY IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A CLEANER ENVIRONMENT, July 13, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from
https://www.humanprogress.org/study-finds-economic-prosperity-is-associated-with-a-cleaner-environment/
Good policy results are associated with wealth (GDP per capita), meaning that economic prosperity
makes it possible for nations to invest in policies and programs that lead to desirable outcomes. This
trend is especially true for issue categories under the umbrella of environmental health, as building the
necessary infrastructure to provide clean drinking water and sanitation, reduce ambient air pollution,
control hazardous waste, and respond to public health crises yields large returns for human well-being.
Ethan Yang, (JD Candidate, George Mason U.), STUDY FINDS ECONOMIC PROSPERITY IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A CLEANER ENVIRONMENT, July 13, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from
https://www.humanprogress.org/study-finds-economic-prosperity-is-associated-with-a-cleaner-environment/
The relationship between better environmental performance scores and GDP per capita is quite
intuitive. The first major reason being that environmentally friendly technology, cleanup operations, and
ecological stewardship are expensive. Richer societies can afford to divert more resources to protecting
the environment, while poorer societies tend to be more concerned with meeting basic living standards.
Patrick Greenfield, (Staff), THE GUARDIAN, Oct. 16, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
As China grows richer, its citizens expect the environment they live in to be protected. It is also
rewriting the social contract between the ruler and the ruled. Reports of water contamination and air
pollution anger citizens, who then turn to social media to complain.
B. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION REQUIRES A GREAT DEAL OF MONEY.
World Bank, CHINA COUNTRY CLIMATE AND DEVELOPMENT REPORT, Oct. 12, 2022, p. 5-6.
Report download available at https://reliefweb.int/report/china/country-climate-and-development-
report-ccdr-china-enzh Decarbonization will require significant investments in a massive green
infrastructure and technology scaleup. Specifically, our sectoral models suggest that China would need a
total of about US$14 trillion in additional investments from now until 2060 for the power and transport
sectors alone, equivalent to 0.97 percent of GDP during that period (see Table O.2).1 To avoid locking-in
carbon intensive assets and meet China’s NDC targets, a large part of these investments would need to
be frontloaded, requiring about US$2.1 trillion (equivalent to roughly 1.1 percent of GDP) in the next
decade.
C. CHINA IS FOCUSING ON GREEN GROWTH.
Xu Wei, (Staff), CHINA DAILY, Nov. 14, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
Analysts said the scale and depth of China's climate actions are unprecedented, even as the world's
second-largest economy and largest developing country is faced with an equally urgent task to keep up
economic growth and raise people's living standards.
25
Yuan Jiahai, (Prof., Economics, North China Electric Power University), CHINA DAILY, Dec. 10, 2021.
Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
Looking back to the end of 2005, when China passed its Renewable Energy Law, wind and solar
power capacity was just 1,060 MW. Afterward, in just 15 years, the total capacity of wind and solar power
skyrocketed to 590 GW. Both benefited from the Renewable Energy Law, the ambitious development
planning for renewables, the facilitating of feed-in tariffs and effective rollout. Observed from the
perspective of meeting the needs of electricity consumption growth, the contribution of wind and solar
power is also on the rise, from 2.7 percent during 2006-10 to 11.7 percent during 2011-15, then to 27
percent during 2016-20. These figures highlight the government's determination to advance the energy
transition and actively cope with climate change.
Yu Zirong, (Vice President, Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation, Ministry
of Commerce), CHINA DAILY, Oct. 18, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 7, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
Third, China's experience in tackling poverty alleviation programs based on energy development and
energy transformation is also worth sharing. For instance, the "No 1 central document" for 2021,
released in February, stressed implementing an action plan for rural vitalization and setting up targets for
better rural public infrastructure through initiating projects on rural clean energy. It proposed the
establishment of a high quality energy mechanism in rural areas, including photovoltaic and wind power.
Such action plans should be included in the cooperation to strengthen capacity and policy exchanges
with other countries under the framework of South-South cooperation.
26
World Wildlife Fund Global. THE WORLD NEEDS WAYS TO ADAPT TO CLIMATE CHANGE, 2012.
Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from https://www.slideshare.net/wwf/wwfs-new-climate-deal-pocket-guide
Developed countries have an obligation to fund adaptation among poor nations that are victims of
climate change. International law, based on the well-established ‘polluter-pays’ principle, suggests there
is a legal duty on major CO2 emitters to protect such countries.
CONTENTIONS:
I. DEVELOPED COUNTRIES HAVE PRIMARY RESPONSIBILITY TO SLOW GLOBAL WARMING.
A. JUSTICE REQUIRES THAT DEVELOPED COUNTRIES BEAR PRIMARY RESPONSIBILITY FOR
ADDRESSING CLIMATE CHANGE.
Lindsay Maizland, (Analyst, Council on Foreign Relations), CHINA’S FIGHT AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE
AND ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION, May 19, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from
https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/china-climate-change-policies-environmental-degradation
For decades, China resisted making commitments under the UN framework. Chinese diplomats
argued that China shouldn’t have to sacrifice its economic development for environmental protection and
that developed countries, such as the United States, should carry more of the burden because they were
able to grow their economies without limitations.
Nadja Popovich, (Staff, New York Times), WHO HAS THE MOST HISTORICAL RESPONSIBILITY FOR
CLIMATE CHANGE?, Nov. 12, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/
2021/11/12/climate/cop26-emissions-compensation.html
Rich countries, including the United States, Canada, Japan and much of western Europe, account
for just 12 percent of the global population today but are responsible for 50 percent of all the planet-
warming greenhouse gases released from fossil fuels and industry over the past 170 years.
Shan Jie, (Staff), GLOBAL TIMES, Nov. 2, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from https://www.global
times.cn/page/202111/1237976.shtml
Accusing China and other developing countries in terms of greenhouse gas emissions is a common
trick for some Westerners, who, after enjoying the benefits at the cost of polluting the environment for
decades, now start to blame other countries for "emitting too much greenhouse gases.
Sinan Ulgen, (Sr. Fellow, Carnegie Foundation for International Peace), HOW DEEP IS THE NORTH-
SOUTH DIVIDE ON CLIMATE NEGOTIATIONS?, Oct. 6, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from
https://carnegieeurope.eu/2021/10/06/how-deep-is-north-south-divide-on-climate-negotiations-pub-85493
Industrialized and post-industrialized nations are responsible for a great share of the historical
carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in the atmosphere today. The United States has emitted more carbon
than any other country to date and is responsible for 25 percent of historical emissions. Next in line are
the twenty-seven countries of the EU (plus the UK), which are responsible for 22 percent of global CO2
emissions. Meanwhile, China’s historical contributions are estimated to be around 12.7 percent.
B. EVEN NOW, THE UNITED STATES IS PRIMARILY RESPONSIBLE FOR CARBON EMISSIONS.
Emma Gatten, (Staff), THE DAILY TELEGRAPH, Jan. 27, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni.
Xi Jinping has argued that China, which has roughly half the per capita emissions of the US, should
not have to move as fast as other developed countries to cut its greenhouse gases.
Shan Jie, (Staff), GLOBAL TIMES, Nov. 2, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from https://www.global
times.cn/page/202111/1237976.shtml
World Bank data released by the World Bank in March show the per-capita carbon emissions of
China was 6.4 metric tons per citizen, 15th in the world, much fewer than major developed countries
including the US (17.6), Canada (15.7), Australia (14.9) and South Korea (13.3). In 2018, the average
CO2 emissions of high-income countries and regions was 10.3 metric tons per capita, while for China
was 7.4.
28
47. Paul Harris, (Staff), HONG KONG FREE PRESS, July 10, 54. Yujie Xue, (Staff), SOUTH CHINA MORNING POST, Jan. 3,
2022. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni. According to 2022. Retrieved Oct. 7, 2022 from Nexis Uni. China will continue
Stefen Lovgren, China “operates its dams in secrecy, without to be the global leader in renewable energy capacity growth over
much regard for water flow downstream.” It considers data on the next five years, despite phasing out subsidies and the
water management to be a state secret. Downstream countries country's heavy reliance on coal, analysts say. The global
often experience unannounced stoppages of water flow, causing renewable energy sector saw strong growth in the past two
major disruptions to agriculture, fisheries and river transport, years, with new generation capacity reaching nearly 280
followed by unannounced torrents, resulting in flooding and gigawatts in 2020, about 45 per cent more than in 2019, marking
economic hardship. the highest year-on-year increase since 1999, the International
Energy Agency (IEA) said. Driven by stronger policy support and
48. Halley Herbst, (JD Candidate), FORDHAM ambitious climate targets, global renewable electricity capacity is
INTERNATIONAL LAW JOURNAL, May 2022, 946. China and forecast to increase by more than 60 per cent between 2020 and
the United States released a surprising joint statement at 2026, reaching more than 4,800GW. Renewables will account
COP26, pledging to work together, as the largest global emitters for 90 per cent of new power capacity expansion in 2022,
of greenhouse gases, to curb emissions and transition to cleaner according to the IEA. Development of photovoltaic solar
energy sources. China has the infrastructure to support a technology will also continue to break records, with annual
transition to renewables and currently stands as one of the additions reaching 162GW by 2022 - almost 50 per cent higher
world's largest suppliers of renewable energy technologies. than in 2019.
49. HINDUSTAN TIMES, APR. 21, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 10, 55. Zheng Xin, (Staff), CHINA DAILY, July 12, 2022. Retrieved
2022 from Nexis Uni. "To date, only one major Chinese tech Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni. An analyst said China has been
company, data centre operator Chindata Group, has pledged to leading in renewable energy production figures for years and it is
achieve carbon neutrality by 2030. Last year, Chindata signed also currently the world's largest producer of wind and solar
contracts to develop 1.3GW of wind and solar projects in Shanxi energy, as well as the largest domestic and outbound investor in
and Hebei provinces, making the company one of the top three renewable energy.
renewable energy buyers worldwide in 2020," the report says.
56. Zheng Xin, (Staff), CHINA DAILY, July 12, 2022. Retrieved
50. Tonderay Mukeredzi, (Staff), CHINA DAILY, Nov. 26, 2021. Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni. China has also developed a
Retrieved Oct. 7, 2022 from Nexis Uni. As the world's largest complete industrial system of renewable energy technology
producer of solar photovoltaic and wind power equipment, and during the past 10 years. It is now capable of independently
with a domestic track record of rapid capacity expansion and designing and manufacturing the world's largest megawatt-scale
utilization, experts said China is well-placed to take advantage of hydraulic turbine set while solar power generation technology
the emerging renewable energy market on the African continent. has also witnessed rapid development and 10 MW offshore wind
China's announcement at the UNGA to stop funding coal turbines have also entered volume production. As a result, the
projects overseas is seen as giving political impetus to Chinese scale of development and utilization of renewable energy in the
investments in the renewable energy sector in Africa. country was equivalent to 753 million metric tons of standard
coal last year, reducing 2.07 billion tons of carbon dioxide,
400,000 tons of sulfur dioxide and 450,000 tons of nitrogen
oxide.
36
57. Zheng Xin, (Staff), CHINA DAILY, July 8, 2022. Retrieved 63. World Bank, COUNTRY CLIMATE AND DEVELOPMENT
Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni. While fossil fuels still account for a REPORT (CCDR) FOR CHINA, Oct. 12, 2022. Retrieved Oct.
relatively large proportion of China's energy mix, the share of 13, 2022 from https://reliefweb.int/report/china/country-climate-
renewable energy has climbed steadily over the past few years, and-development-report-ccdr-china-enzh Climate change poses
thanks to technological advances and reduced costs. China's a significant threat to China’s long-term prosperity. At the same
installed capacity of renewable energy reached 930 million time, the country is well positioned to meet its climate
kilowatts by the end of 2020, accounting for 42.4 percent of the commitments and transition to a greener economy while meeting
country's total. its development goals, according to a World Bank Group report
released today.
58. Zheng Xin, (Staff), CHINA DAILY, July 8, 2022. Retrieved
Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni. According to the China 64. Halley Herbst, (JD Candidate), FORDHAM
Renewable Energy Society, the per-kilowatt-hour cost of INTERNATIONAL LAW JOURNAL, May 2022, 919. Inspectors
electricity generated by onshore wind in China declined about 40 from China's Ministry of Environmental Protection fined and, in
percent from 2010 to 2020. Most of the newly built wind farms some cases, criminally charged more than eighty thousand
have also achieved grid parity, it said. China's offshore wind factories. Entire manufacturing provinces shut down, resulting in
generation cost has declined about 53 percent during that period many brands exporting their supply chains to other countries
and is expected to achieve grid parity in three years, it said. "The including Bangladesh and India to fulfill orders. Some argued
high oil price crisis will accelerate the energy transition," Marcel this crackdown pressures factories to improve their concerning
van Poecke, managing director of Carlyle International Energy environmental practices, forcing them to comply with stricter
Partners, was quoted by news portal Politico as saying. "People regulations.
will say we don't want to be dependent on imported high-priced
oil anymore." 65. Halley Herbst, (JD Candidate), FORDHAM
INTERNATIONAL LAW JOURNAL, May 2022, 919. China
59. Zheng Xin, (Staff), CHINA DAILY, July 8, 2022. Retrieved implemented a new Environmental Protection Tax that went into
Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni. In recent years, China has been effect on January 1, 2018. Under the new tax law, violators are
stepping up the development of renewable energy, including disciplined by China's tax bureaus, rather than the environmental
solar and wind power, making tremendous achievements in the bureau. China's tax bureaus are known to stand as "powerful
sector as the country aims to reach carbon peak by 2030 and entities backed up by rigorous laws that, when violated, are
carbon neutrality by 2060. typically met with aggressive local enforcement." The new policy
aims to reduce pollutant discharge by implementing more
60. Zhu Tong, (Dir., Energy Economics Department, Institute of effective enforcement measures.
Industrial Economics at the Chinese Academy of Social
Sciences), CHINA DAILY, Jan. 20, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 10, 66. HINDUSTAN TIMES, APR. 21, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 10,
2022 from Nexis Uni. The use of renewable energy has helped 2022 from Nexis Uni. Chinese President Xi Jinping has pledged
China significantly reduce its carbon dioxide emissions. China to bring the country's climate-warming emissions to a peak
generated 2.02 trillion kilowatt-hours of renewable energy in before 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality by 2060, committing
2019, and resulted in 1.65 billion tons of gross avoided CO2 the country to an accelerated transition to renewable energy. As
emissions. The cost of wind and photovoltaic (PV) power of April 2021, 13 of China's 22 biggest tech companies have
generation has dropped dramatically, prompting the government begun to actively procure renewable energy, compared to just
to withdraw subsidies at an accelerated pace. In fact, PV and eight companies in 2019.
wind-generated electricity can now be connected to the State
grid at parity price in most regions, so subsidies for PV power 67. Hou Liqiang, (Staff), CHINA DAILY, June 6, 2022. Retrieved
generation and onshore wind-generated electricity were Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni. Martin Lees, former UN assistant
withdrawn by the end of 2020. secretary general, lauded China for the rapid progress it has
made in tackling climate change. "When China realized that it
61. Seema Jayachandran, (Prof., Economics, Northwestern was vulnerable to climate change-when it became an issue for
University), HOW TO PROMOTE GROWTH AND PROTECT China itself - they moved pretty rapidly and very intelligently to
THE PLANET, Feb. 10, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from tackle the problem," he said. Lees is also a former member of
https://www.ifc.org/wps/wcm/connect/news_ext_content/ifc_exter the China Council for International Cooperation on Environment
nal_corporate_site/news+and+events/news/insights/how-to- and Development, a high-level central government think tank. He
promote-growth-and-protect-the-planet I think the world really said an integrated strategy to address climate change was
needs to be prioritizing reductions in carbon emissions, but at developed throughout the government, with a leading group of
the same time, half the world is living on less than $10 a day. I ministers established to implement the strategy.
think a simple piece of advice is to shift the burden of who's
paying for mitigation of climate change toward wealthier 68. Erik Solheim, (President, Belt and Road Initiative Green
countries that can afford it. We want emissions to be lower, but it Development Institute & Former Dir., UN Environment
shouldn't be an equal burden across countries. It should be Programme), CHINA DAILY, Sept. 19, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 15,
based on both ability to pay, but also acknowledging that rich 2022 from Nexis Uni. The Belt and Road International Green
countries have contributed more to climate change. Development Coalition serves as a global platform to boost
green cooperation. Singapore, for example, is sharing its world-
62. Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, (Chair and President, Global leading green technologies, green-finance practice, and city-
Green Growth Institute), ECONOMIC GROWTH CAN building experience in transforming itself from a "mudflat" into a
COMPLEMENT ENVIRONMENTAL CONSERVATION, June 15, garden city and the envy of the region. Singapore today is one of
2022. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from the greenest cities in the world.
https://www.oecd.org/greengrowth/economic-growth-can-
complement-environmental-conservation.htm I believe we can
look to the experience of my own country, Indonesia, as an
example of how, through wise policymaking and enough political
will, countries can tackle both the challenges of climate change
and inclusive economic development. Indonesia has in recent
years embraced green growth policies that place great emphasis
on the value of natural resources and the environment, on the
eradication of poverty through the creation of jobs, while at the
same time ensuring equitable and sustainable economic growth.
37
69. Zhang Jing, (Project Lead, Energy Investment Project, 75. Chen Jiahe, (Chief Investment Officer at Novem Arcae
Greenpeace), CHINA DAILY, Jan. 20, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 10, Technologies), STABILITY OF CHINESE ECONOMY IS VITAL
2022 from Nexis Uni. China's investment in renewable energy is TO THE WORLD, Aug. 25, 2020. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from
expected to inject impetus into the green and low-carbon https://news.cgtn.com/news/2020-08-25/Stability-of-Chinese-
development of developing countries involved in the Belt and economy-is-vital-to-the-world-TfrxketWEM/index.html As China's
Road Initiative. Recent research from Greenpeace East Asia's economy is now an essential cornerstone of the global economy,
Beijing office shows that by 2030 China has the potential to its stability is critical to the maintaining and recovery of the global
generate between 226.56 gigawatts and 679.69 GW of solar economy amid the devastating impact caused by the
power and between 8.85 GW and 26.55 GW of wind power in coronavirus. COVID-19 has caused a significant slowdown for
those countries. A co-benefit analysis showed this potential the industries that depend heavily upon consumption and
investment will create between 150,000 and 310,000 new jobs. generate a lot of employment, such as the film industry, catering
and restaurants, etc.
70. Erik Solheim, (President, Belt and Road Initiative Green
Development Institute & Former Dir., UN Environment 76. Dan Steinbock, (Dir., Difference Group), THE QUEST TO
Programme), CHINA DAILY, Sept. 19, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 15, CONTAIN CHINA, AT THE RISK OF GLOBAL DEPRESSION,
2022 from Nexis Uni. President Xi Jinping promoted the concept Aug. 26, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 12, 2022 from
of an "ecological civilization" for balanced and sustainable https://www.chinausfocus.com/finance-economy/the-quest-to-
development featuring harmonious coexistence between man contain-china-at-the-risk-of-global-depression Before the Trump
and nature. The concept brings us a very different way of trade wars, China replaced the U.S. as the engine of the world
thinking. The three-fold planetary crisis of nature, climate and the economy. Between 2013 and 2018, it accounted for 28 percent
environment is cross-border. China's decision to stop building of all growth worldwide on average. The IMF data suggested that
new coal-fired power plants abroad provides a huge opportunity China would account for a similar share of growth over the next
for massive investments in solar, wind, and green hydrogen in 5 years. Most importantly, China was also pulling along many of
the ASEAN countries. the world’s middle- and smaller-size economies in its train.
Today, this great project is threatened.
71. Chen Jia, (Staff), CHINA DAILY, Oct. 28, 2021. Retrieved
Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni. Finance can play an active role in 77. Dan Steinbock, (Dir., Difference Group), THE QUEST TO
response to climate change issues, especially in areas such as CONTAIN CHINA, AT THE RISK OF GLOBAL DEPRESSION,
improving the carbon pricing mechanism, coordinating green Aug. 26, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 12, 2022 from
classification standards, promoting the mandatory disclosure of https://www.chinausfocus.com/finance-economy/the-quest-to-
climate-related information and mobilizing market funds to contain-china-at-the-risk-of-global-depression China’s rise as a
support green transformation global growth engine is reflected by the expansion of its
economy relative to other major global growth engines; i.e., the
72. Chen Jia, (Staff), CHINA DAILY, Oct. 28, 2021. Retrieved United States, the largest European economies (Germany,
Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni. "Finance can play an active role in France, UK, and Italy), and Japan. There are two basic ways to
response to climate change issues, especially in areas such as assess that contribution. Market exchange rates are more
improving the carbon pricing mechanism, coordinating green realistic in international transactions. In this view, China passed
classification standards, promoting the mandatory disclosure of Japan as a global growth engine around 2010, Europe-4 in the
climate-related information and mobilizing market funds to mid-2010s and is positioned to surpass the U.S. at the end of the
support green transformation," Yi Gang, governor of the People's 2020s.
Bank of China, said at the European Union's first sustainable
investment summit in October. 78. GLOBAL TIMES, Dec. 31, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022
from Nexis Uni. China has been the stabilizer of world economic
73. Lindsay Maizland, (Analyst, Council on Foreign Relations), growth. In the context of the pandemic of the century, "recovery"
CHINA’S FIGHT AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE AND has become the key word for the world economy. The
ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION, May 19, 2021. Retrieved International Monetary Fund in October projected that the global
Oct. 10, 2022 from https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/china- economy would grow by 5.9 percent in 2021, its strongest post-
climate-change-policies-environmental-degradation As climate recession pace since data was available. In the same report,
change and environmental degradation became a top priority for IMF projected that China would see 8 percent growth. As the
the Chinese government, it participated more in global climate world's second-largest economy, China has become the "driving
talks, eventually becoming “a leader on climate change,” write force" and "stabilizer" of world economic growth based on its
CFR Fellows Yanzhong Huang and Joshua Kurlantzick. In 2016, own high-quality development.
China announced its participation in the Paris Agreement, and in
the years since, it has ramped up its commitments. 79. Ouyang Shijia, (News), CHINA DAILY, Sept. 15, 2022.
Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni. China is playing an
74. Xu Wei, (Staff), CHINA DAILY, Nov. 14, 2021. Retrieved Oct. increasingly important role in driving global economic recovery
10, 2022 from Nexis Uni. President Xi Jinping reiterated the amid fears over a gloomy world economic outlook and pressures
need to focus on concrete actions in response to the climate from COVID-19 outbreaks and geopolitical tensions, experts
crisis, saying that China will foster a green, low-carbon, and said.
circular economic system at a faster pace, press ahead with
industrial structure adjustment, and rein in the irrational growth of 80. Ouyang Shijia, (News), CHINA DAILY, Sept. 15, 2022.
energy-intensive and high-emissions projects "Visions will come Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni. Sang Baichuan, dean of
true only when we act on them," he said. "We will speed up the the Institute of International Economy at the University of
transition to green and low-carbon energy, vigorously develop International Business and Economics, said China has been
renewable energy, and plan and build large wind and playing a crucial role in driving global economic growth during
photovoltaic power stations." the past few years. "China has managed to achieve sustained
and healthy economic development despite the impact of
COVID-19," Sang added. "And the country has played a key role
in maintaining the smooth operation of the global supply chain."
38
81. Yujie Xue, (Staff), SOUTH CHINA MORNING POST, Jan. 3, 86. Xu Wei, (Staff), CHINA DAILY, Nov. 14, 2021. Retrieved Oct.
2022. Retrieved Oct. 7, 2022 from Nexis Uni. For several years, 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni. China has topped the global new-
China has been at the centre of global supply and demand for energy vehicle market since 2015, and the nation's forest
renewable energy, leading it to account for about 40 per cent of coverage rose sharply, from a mere 8.6 percent in 1949 to 23.04
capacity growth from 2015 to 2020. It was followed by Europe, percent by the end of 2020, according to official statistics.
the US and India. The four markets together accounted for 80
per cent of global capacity growth for the period, and are 87. BUSINESS STANDARD, Oct. 19, 2021. Retrieved Oct. 10,
projected to increase that hold to 87 per cent between 2021 and 2022 from Nexis Uni. This shift in China's economic strategy will
2026. China's share jumped 50 per cent for the first time in 2020 have a significant impact on the global economy. For several
amid a rush to finish projects before government subsidies were years now, China's economic growth has constituted about 30
phased out. per cent of the global economic growth. A slower rate in the
coming years, which is inevitable if Xi persists with his new
82. Hou Liqiang, (Staff), CHINA DAILY, June 6, 2022. Retrieved policies, will mean slower growth for the global economy.
Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni. [Xie Zhenhua, China's special
envoy for climate change affairs] said that despite being a 88. John Power, (Staff, Al Jazeera News), AS CHINA’S
developing country itself, China has made persistent efforts to PROPERTY CRISIS GROWS, IS THE GLOBAL ECONOMY AT
help poor nations in their climate actions. Since 2011, for RISK?, Aug. 30, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from
example, China has allocated 1.2 billion yuan ($176.8 million) for https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2022/8/30/what-chinas-
South-South cooperation on climate change. To date, China has property-crisis In a 2019 study by the United States Federal
signed 41 collaboration agreements on climate change with 36 Reserve, economists estimated that an 8.5 percent fall in
developing countries. It has also provided training programs for China’s GDP would result in a 3.25 percent drop in advanced
some 2,000 officials and technicians in climate-related posts economies and nearly 6 percent decline in emerging economies.
from 120 nations. Xie said, "Five decades after the Stockholm 89. John Power, (Staff, Al Jazeera News), AS CHINA’S
Conference, no matter what happens internationally, no matter PROPERTY CRISIS GROWS, IS THE GLOBAL ECONOMY AT
what challenges confront nations around the world, China will RISK?, Aug. 30, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from
stick to its steadfast resolve to tackle climate change and be an https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2022/8/30/what-chinas-
important participant, contributor and torchbearer in global property-crisis But the size of China’s economy, which accounts
endeavors for an ecological civilization." for almost one-fifth of global GDP, means a major slowdown
83. Yujie Xue, (Staff), SOUTH CHINA MORNING POST, Jan. 3, could still have a serious effect on global growth.
2022. Retrieved Oct. 7, 2022 from Nexis Uni. The People's Bank 90. Kimberly Amadeo, (President, Money Watch), CHINA’S
of China introduced in November a new facility to offer cheap ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN AND HOW IT AFFECTS YOU, May
funding to banks to subsidise lending to green projects, which 2, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from
include those involving renewable energy. PBOC governor Yi https://www.thebalancemoney.com/how-would-china-s-
Gang said in an interview this month with Xinhua that the first slowdown-affect-the-global-economy-1979076 China's economy
batch of funds would be issued to banks by the end of 2021. has enjoyed decades of double-digit growth, thanks to its low-
Analysts are optimistic about the outlook of the renewable cost exports of machinery, equipment, and consumer products.
energy sector in 2022, with wind and solar capacity buildout As a result, China is the world's largest economy. In 2020, it
maintaining strong momentum despite the subsidies phase-out. contributed $23.01 trillion, or 18.3%, of the world's $125.65
"We'll still see relatively rapid expansions [in the renewables trillion in gross domestic product (GDP). This size means that
sector] in 2022," said Lin Boqiang, dean of Xiamen University's any slowdown in China’s economy affects the whole world.
China Institute for Studies in Energy Policy.
91. Clark Packard, (Research Fellow, Cato Institute), AS
84. Erik Solheim, (President, Belt and Road Initiative Green CHINA’S ECONOMY FALTERS, BE CAREFUL WHAT YOU
Development Institute & Former Dir., UN Environment WISH FOR, May 31, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from
Programme), CHINA DAILY, Sept. 19, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 15, https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/05/31/china-xi-economy-covid-
2022 from Nexis Uni. Supercharged by the newly-effective lockdown-geopolitics/ Finally, the Chinese Communist Party
Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, the region is derives much of its legitimacy from continuing to grow the
linked via land and maritime corridors. These corridors are fast economy and raise the country’s standard of living. If a
going green. Modern transportation systems not only increase significant economic downturn thus threatens to weaken the
the efficiency of transport and boosting economy, but help party’s hold on power, one likely result would be an even more
reduce emissions. The China-Laos Railway delivered more than aggressive, nationalist foreign policy. There’s nothing like a little
4 million metric tons of freight as of early June this year, hugely jingoism and war to draw attention away from domestic troubles.
helping landlocked Laos to link to global markets and increase
cross-border tourism. By the end of 2021, China's operating 92. Alan Parreport, (Staff, New York Times), A WARNING FOR
mileage of high-speed railways exceeded 40,000 kilometers, THE WORLD ECONOMY, Oct. 11, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 12,
accounting for more than two-thirds of the global total, and it is 2022 from https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/11/business/imf-
sharing its knowhow with ASEAN countries. world-economy-forecast.html The slowdowns in advanced
economies are putting pressure on emerging markets, many of
85. Wen Sheng, (Staff), GLOBAL TIMES, Apr. 25, 2022. which were already fragile and facing high debt burdens as they
Retrieved Oct. 10, 2022 from Nexis Uni. Facing mounting recovered from the pandemic. Higher interest rates, soaring food
headwinds to stabilize economic growth, China still has space to costs and diminished demand for exports threaten to push
ramp up policy support, fiscal stimulus in particular, to fire up millions of people into poverty. And low vaccination rates in
economic activity by stimulating market demand and supply, places such as Africa mean that the health effects of the
which has shown clear signs of weakness recently. To work in pandemic are persistent. “The poor are hurt the most,” David
tandem, the country needs to remove a lingering dilemma Malpass, the president of the World Bank, told reporters before
surrounding control of the COVID-19 pandemic. A balance this week’s meetings. “We’re in the midst of a crisis-facing
between coronavirus suppression and economic development development.”
ought to be struck, promptly, as the highly infectious but less
lethal Omicron variant keeps spreading sporadically around the
country.
39
93. Clark Packard, (Research Fellow, Cato Institute), AS
CHINA’S ECONOMY FALTERS, BE CAREFUL WHAT YOU
WISH FOR, May 31, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from
https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/05/31/china-xi-economy-covid-
lockdown-geopolitics/ With a major land war raging in Europe,
the U.S. economy softening, and China’s ever more visible
problems, the risk of a global recession is increasing. As Harvard
University economist Kenneth Rogoff recently reminded us, “a
collapse in one region will raise the odds of collapse in the
others.”
94. Dan Steinbock, (Dir., Difference Group), THE QUEST TO
CONTAIN CHINA, AT THE RISK OF GLOBAL DEPRESSION,
Aug. 26, 2022. Retrieved Oct. 12, 2022 from
https://www.chinausfocus.com/finance-economy/the-quest-to-
contain-china-at-the-risk-of-global-depression In the next
recession, as Nouriel Roubini has suggested, “the crash in
equity markets could be closer to 50%.” The assumption is the
crisis will prove both stagflationary and be accompanied by a
financial crisis.
95. Edward Alden, (Staff), FOREIGN POLICY, June 14, 2022.
Retrieved Oct. 11, 2022 from
https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/06/14/inflation-stock-market-
economic-crisis-trade-wto-ukraine-energy-food-shortages-fed-
central-banks/ The current concatenation of problems—the
Russia-Ukraine war, inflation, global food and energy shortages,
unwinding asset bubbles in the United States, debt crises in
developing countries, and the lingering impacts of COVID-19-
related shutdowns and supply chain bottlenecks—may be the
most serious crisis of them all, not least because central banks
can’t print wheat and gasoline.
96. Su-Lin Tan, (Staff, CNBC News), UN WARNS THAT THE
WORLD IS ON THE BRINK OF RECESSION, Oct. 4, 2022.
Retrieved Oct. 12, 2022 from
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/04/unctad-warns-that-asia-
global-economy-headed-for-a-recession.html A global slowdown
could potentially inflict worse damage than the financial crisis in
2008 and the Covid-19 shock in 2020, warned the UNCTAD in
its Trade and Development Report 2022. “All regions will be
affected, but alarm bells are ringing most for developing
countries, many of which are edging closer to debt default,” the
report said.