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Coursera IPO Financial Model WallstreetMojo
Coursera IPO Financial Model WallstreetMojo
Valuations
Option Value
DCF Valuation
Relative Valuation
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Operating Expenses
Research and development 56.36 76.78
Sales and marketing 57.04 107.25
General and administrative 29.81 37.215
Total operating expenses 143.22 221.25
EBITDA
Loss from Operations (EBIT) (46.72) (66.82)
Add: Depreciation and Amortization 5.28 9.58
Subtract: Interest Income (net) 2.66 1.16
Add: Stock-based compensation 16.32 16.81
Add: Income tax expense 0.72 1.52
Add: Payroll tax expense related to stock-based activities 0.13 0.26
Adjusted EBITDA (25.12) (40.42)
107.8 107.8
(0.69) (0.84)
Coursera IPO Model Historicals
(All Data is in Millions $, Except Per Share Information) FY 2019 FY 2020
Assets
Current Assets
Cash and cash equivalents 55.99 79.88
Marketable securities 116.83 205.40
Accounts receivable 16.66 40.72
Deferred costs 7.66 14.08
Prepaid expenses and other current assets 9.38 14.99
Total Current Assets 206.51 355.07
Current liabilities
Educator partners payable 21.03 39.01
Other accounts payable 5.37 12.90
Accrued compensation and benefits 8.08 13.00
Operating lease liabilities, current - 7.93
Deferred revenue, current 39.20 76.08
Other current liabilities 9.30 4.74
Total Current Liabilities 82.99 153.64
- - - - -
588.70
Net increase in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash (a+b+c) 27.16
Cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of the year 32.68
Cash and cash equivalents as at end of the year 59.85
Historicals Forecasts
FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025
(24.14)
(18.25)
5.17
25.65
3.72
(5.83)
39.04
15.05 46.48 65.18 89.05 118.68
(14.99) (35.51) (5.03) 17.78 244.49 529.72
(218.46)
129.93
-
(3.10) (29.56) (44.66) (65.84) (94.77) (133.33)
(8.82)
(1.00)
(101.44) (29.56) (44.66) (65.84) (94.77) (133.33)
129.61
10.12
0.08
-
(0.77)
(0.03)
(9.81) 47.14 48.06 (111.62) -
139.01 (9.81) 47.14 48.06 (111.62) -
Solvency Ratios
Current ratio 2.49 2.31
Quick ratio
Cash ratio 0.67 0.52
Operating Efficiency
Total asset turnover 0.78 0.70
Equity turnover (0.99) (1.32)
Operating Profitability
Gross Profit Margin 0.51 0.53
Operating Profit Margin
Net Profit Margin (0.25) (0.23)
Segment-wise Revenue:
Consumer Segment Revenue (a) 85.67 107.55
% yoy 26%
Operating Expenses:
Research and development expenses 56.36 76.78
% Sales 31% 26%
34 34 34 34 34
Total Capex
Breakup
Internal-use software
Computer equipment and software
Leasehold improvements
Furniture and fixtures
Proportion of Assets
62.5%
8.5%
20.4%
8.6%
Cash Balances
Assumptions
Stock Price= 33
Strike Price= 4.6
Adjusted S = 33.0
Adjusted K = 4.6
Expiration (in years) = 7.75
Options Issued 32
Total Shares outstanding 130,271
T Bond Rate 1.73%
Variance 0.9299
Annualized dividend yield 0.00%
Interest Rate 1.73%
d1 = 2.1262
N (d1) = 0.9833
d2 = -0.5583
N (d2) = 0.2883
Common Shares
Current Structure
-
Ordinary Shares 115,606,690
Ordinary Shares Issued through IPO 14,664,776
130,271,466
Options Data
Weighted-
Shares Subject to Average Exercise
Outstanding Options Price
Outstanding at Dec 31 2019 (i) 28,965,640
Options granted 10,054,450
Options exercised (4,240,315)
Cancelled/forfeited/expired (2,321,367)
Outstanding at December 31, 2020 (i) 32,458,408 4.6
7.75
Coursera IPO Model Historicals
(All Data is in Millions $, Except Per Share Information) FY 2019
EBIT
Free Cash Flow to Firm
EBIT x (1-t)
Add: Depreciation & amortization
Less: Capex
Add: Change in working capital
FCFF
Terminal Value
WACC Inputs
WACC Calculations
Risk Free rate 1.73%
Market risk premium 4.7%
Levered beta of company 0.89
Cost of equity 5.93%
Pre-tax cost of debt 0.07%
Tax rate 2.3%
After tax cost of debt 0.06%
WACC 5.90%
Cash Flows
NPV of explicit period 342
Sensitivity Analysis
53.58
1.0%
1.5%
Growth
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
Historicals Forecasts
FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025
9,846.10
FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025
(58) (39) (31) 173 427
0 0 0 0 9,846
WACC
5.00% 5.91% 6.00% 6.91% 7.00%
Coursera IPO Model
(All Data is in Millions $, Except Per Share Information)
Date 20-Apr-21
Mean
Median
EBITDA (consensus)
EdTech Sector FY2020A EBITDA Margin FY 2021E (Sales) FY 2022E (Sales)
Pluralsight (112.85) -29.0% 450.5 540.4
Chegg 127.85 19.84% 790.46 962.75
American Public Education Inc 38.59 15.98% 415.84 512.73
Zovio Inc 98.14 5.37% 308.15 493
Grand Canyon Education Inc 367.19 37.24% 925.18 1000
2U Inc (94.21) 6.00% 932.25 1082
That $7 billion valuation is more than many experts in the ed-tech space anticipated based on the valuation of other publicly traded com
https://www.insidehighered.com/news/2021/04/09/coursera-valuation-exceeds-expectations
EPS
Market Cap Enterprise Value EBITDA Net Income FY 2020 FY 2021
0.14 1.52
(0.59) 0.87
EBITDA-2021 EBITDA-2022
(130.63) (156.71)
156.83 191.01
66.45 81.93
16.55 26.47
344.54 372.40
55.93 64.92
n of other publicly traded companies that support online degrees and workforce training such as 2U, Grand Canyon Education, Pluralsight, Adtalem, the Le
EPS P/E (x) EV / EBITDA (x)
FY 2022 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022
Education, Pluralsight, Adtalem, the Learning Technologies Group and Zovio. Coursera's market cap is far ahead of that of 2U, which is valued at about $3 b
f 2U, which is valued at about $3 billion, but trails just behind education publishing giant Pearson, valued at $8.3 billion.