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Received: October 21, 2019; Accepted: November 22, 2019; Published: December 3, 2019
Abstract: This paper analyzes the drivers of Two-way Capital Flow Phenomenon in many developing countries where flows
of Portfolio Investment and Direct Investment across borders demonstrate opposite directions. The paper attempts to argue that
the scarcity of entrepreneurs in less developed countries, who enhance firm productivity through unobservable (and thus not
contractible) entrepreneurship effort, is an essential source of two-way capital flows. Building upon the framework of venture
capital studies, this paper shows in a simple model that the lack of entrepreneurs would leave some domestic investment
opportunities forgone, resulting in lower investment, lower interest rate, and lower savings compared optimality. Allowing
foreign entrepreneurs to raise money from the domestic financial market in the form of portfolio investment outflow and then
to invest in the domestic firms in the form of direct investment inflow would help alleviate the situation. In this regard, two-
way capital flows bring domestic economy benefit of learning through opening-up.
Keywords: Entrepreneurship, Two-way Capital Flows, Portfolio Investment, Direct Investment
economic growth, and the inflow of foreign direct investment experience and technology by patent purchasing and direct
that shifts the benefits of ownership of local production units hiring of relative stuff. However, there are times when a
onto the hands of foreign entrepreneurs.", and argues that country is so underdeveloped that they simply do not know
with decreasing absolute risk aversion, entrepreneurs in whom to employ and what to purchase. Thus, foreign capital
wealthy countries prefer risky projects in developing is required to provide vital devotion to the production
countries (see [1] for an example). process.
Later research on two-way capital flows focused on the The discussion of technology and FDI has witnessed bulks
opposite direction of Foreign Direct Investment and Portfolio of research. Antras, Desai, and Foley noted that pulling force,
Investment, and try to explain the phenomenon by financial which is the demand for FDI insure the value maximization
market heterogeneity. The first set of research focuses on risk process is more important than push force, namely the risk of
aversion. Mendoza, Quadrini, and Rios-Rull modeled technological expropriation. In their model, foreign investor
financial heterogeneity by the ability to implement financial has better monitor process to ensure the final profit, and thus
contracts [5]. Combined with production risk and risk FDI is demanded even if internal capital is abundant [8].
aversion, the model generated two-way capital flows. The Holmes, McGrattan, and Prescott studied the Quid Pro Quo
second kinds of paper try to illustrate this topic with agency policies of developing countries, which forces foreign capital
problems in corporate governance. Ju and Wei found in a to transfer a certain amount of technology. With Chinese
standard corporate finance framework with monitor that patent data they provided micro-foundations to this type of
capital return can be disentangled into pure financial theory [9]. Many other papers made further endeavors to the
investment return, financial intermediation cost and topic [10-12]. Those efforts, albeit rigorous and convincing,
entrepreneur payment. Thus, a country with an do not directly discuss the problem of two-way capital flow.
underdeveloped financial market and worse corporate Is the demand for foreign capital’s technology able to
governance may experience two-way capital flow [2]. The generate portfolio capital outflow simultaneously? That is the
third category solves this puzzle with credit constraints. core issue we attempt to explore.
Wang, Wen, and Xu argues that households’ credit constraint Technology is an abstract concept. In the neoclassic
leads to excess saving, pushing down the portfolio framework, it is treated as a residual in the production
investment return [3]. Meanwhile, credit constraint of firms function. The discussion of technology is usually ad hoc. For
restrains credit demand, resulting in high capital return. Thus instance, Holmes, McGrattan, and Prescott introduced
the more the two constraints are, the more severe the two- technology capital in their production function, which is not
way capital flows there will be. The last category of related directly substitutable with tangible capital [9]. We try to
research introduces two-way capital flows to the portfolio model the heterogeneity of capital with micro-foundation.
choice models. Usually those research would assume that Illustrated by Casamatta in a model discussing the role of
assets from different countries are not entirely substitutable venture capital, we regard all capital as perfect substitutes in
and two-way capital flows are induced by investors’ arbitrage the sense of fundraising [13]. What distinguishes
in multiple markets [6-7]. technological capital investors is that they are able to provide
Financial frictions, though very important, may not some vital but unobservable (and thus not contractible) effort
describe the whole picture. Direct investments and portfolio in the production process. They argue that in such
investments are not just two categories of the Balance of circumstances, equity contracts are optimal to provide proper
Payment system, but two fundamentally different ways of incentives. We extend their model in the following ways.
financing. Direct investment, no matter in the form of First, we keep the two-state uncertainty structure but nest it
greenfield, merging or equity purchasing, allow investors to with a neoclassical production function. Second, we restrict
participate in management, applying inalienable and equity contract to the kind where capital share the residual
indivisible effort and technology which cannot be separately (namely, after-wage profit) according to equity proportion.
acquired. Thus explaining two-way capital flow without Third, we endogenize the amount of investment made by
noticing the role of FDI in the production process may technological capital investors.
generate biased results. In the above static framework, we are able to show that
For illustration, let’s make the following mental when capital is provided inelastically, two kinds of capital
experiment. Suppose in 1979, the very moment when China provider earns different returns. The scarcer the technological
shifted its focus to economic development, it got a wonderful capital is, the higher wedge it earns, pushing the return on
financial market where all contracts are forcible, all investors low-tech capital even lower. Thus, if countries with different
are well protected and no one faces credit constraint. Is it capital stock structures are financially linked, two-way
possible that China can develop into the second-largest capital flow will be a natural result.
economy in 30 years without the two-way capital flow
phenomenon? In other words, can China acquire a fast 2. A General Model Framework
growth rate without the involvement of foreign capital? The
answer, though hard to prove rigorously, is more likely to be In this section, we present a toy model where capital
no, for the reason that we simply do not know how to do demand is categorized into high-tech and low-tech. We focus
things. In an ideal world, it is possible to acquire certain on firms’ decision and summarize households’ behavior as
66 Guangtao Xia et al.: Capital Heterogeneity, Entrepreneurship, and Two-way Capital Flows
saving and labor supply , and L(w, R) where and R access to and decides total scale of capital input, , and labor
are wage and interest rate, respectively. It is assumed that employment, , taking wage ( ) and financing cost ( ) as
SR ⋅, R < 0. given. Then he or she proposes the investment opportunity to
a high-tech investor, who decides his or her capital input, ,
2.1. Agents and effort, , taking , , , as given. We assume
There are two categories of investors, and . The information is complete.
Applying backward induction, we first solve the problem
number of is and the number of is . These
of the high-tech investor.
investors invest by issuing debt from domestic financial
market at the interest rate of R. Each time one investor can max "
, − − − , (7)
only undertake one project. We assume the debts are risk-free " . , ∈%&,'(
in the sense that they would be repaid with investors’ own
asset should the project fails. The two kinds of investors FOC:
'
, − − − , ≥ 0, ≤
make decisions separately.
(8)
, − , ≥ 0, ≤1
2.2. Technology
" -'
,
(9)
Production faces uncertainty. The output is either
or 0 , where ⋅,⋅ is a well-behaved '
/ , − − − , 0 = 0 (10)
with probability
neoclassic production function with constant return to scale.
The direct summation of two kinds of capital symbolizes
perfect substitutability. However, only investor can devote −1 / " -'
, − , 0=0 (11)
effort to the project, enhancing the probability of success to
= with cost , , where is the capital devotion SOC:
of investor . We assume that < 1 and
− , <0 (12)
, >0 , > 0, , >0 ⋅ ,0 = 0 (1)
"
−1 -1
, − , < 0 (13)
Thus the expected output is thus , , = , .
− , / "
−1 -1
, − , 0−
2.3. First Best
' -'
, − , 1
>0 (14)
Pareto optimal is attained by maximizing the expected net
return of production. From the first order conditions we get that effort and
max + #, − + # − − , (2) capital investment are jointly decided. To insure inner
! , " ,#, ∈%&,'( solution, we need more assumptions on the effort cost
function. For now, we assume ⋅,⋅ is convex. Denote the
decision of high-tech capital investor as ∗ , ; ,
FOC:
and
− =0 (3) ∗
, ; , . Since we assume complete information, low-
− − ≤ 0, ≥ 0, − − = 0 (4)
capital investor maximize his profit as
∗
,#
+ max 41 − "
54 ∗
, , − −
#, − =0
-'
(5) ,#
− =0 6 − ∗
, 75 (15)
# (6)
So it is obvious that = 0 and # , , and are Denote the decision of low-tech capital investor as
determined by , = , , = and
∗
, and ∗ , . Aggregate through all the possible
-'
# , = 0, . investment opportunities we get the total demand for capital
and labor as 8 , = # ∗ , , 8 , =
2.4. Decentralized Equilibrium ∗
, ; , and 9 , = # ∗ , . The general
We now decentralize the economy to figure out equilibrium is found when
8 , = ∗
, = , ,9 , = ,
competitive equilibrium. In particular, we assume that each
# (16)
low-tech investor has access to an investment opportunity,
but he or she would need the effort of one high-tech investor However, for this equilibrium to feasible, we implicitly
to make sure the project operate successfully. Since effort is assume that high-tech investors and low-tech investors are
unobservable and thus cannot be written into contracts, the one-to-one matched. If high-tech investors are relatively
two investors would divide gross profit according to their scarce, i.e. 8 , < ∗
, then only number of
capital share. The timeline is as follow. First, a low-tech projects will be conducted. Since
investor study the investment opportunity he or she has
International Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 2019; 7(4): 64-69 67
∗
, < #
∗
, (17) Proof: To insure ∗ is smaller than 1, we need B + ≤
1 − J A B . Since B + is the required total cost of
,
production per unit of labor and A B is total production per
and is decreasing with R, the equilibrium interest
rate will be lower compared to the situation where = . unit of labor. Then it is natural to assume that B + ≤
Hence there will be − low-tech investors who would A B . When B is smaller than the first best amount, then
like to attract high-tech investors to invest in his or her B + < A B . Thus, as long as 1 − J is close to 0, ∗
project but cannot find one. will be smaller than 1 regardless of B, >, and J.
Next, we prove that when ∗ is smaller than 1, B∗ < is
Under this situation, when the cross-border capital flow is
US SXUX STUX
WM X
≤ < >RUSB? < B? < B SUR < B SUR =
And then invest these funds as Direct Investment.
R R (29)
Although these funds may not have to go across borders, but WO S RUS
− H H−1 B >B? − HB
G-1 G-'
3. A Concrete Model
=Y M
Z (30)
>B? − HB − 1 >B?
G-' -1
M M
In this section we try to solve the model with concrete
function forms
It is evident that 11 ≤ 0 and 22 < 0 . At ∗
, B∗ ,
, => ? '-?
→ A B = >B , ℎDED B = ? −1
>B J
# = BH then
(19)
B
F , , = → B , = B , ℎDED B =
G '-G G
First solve the maximization problem of high-tech the elasticity of B∗ with regard to B, we have
investors. Note that given L, his problem is equivalent to ∗ ∗ ∗
^ " '- M" ?- NM M"
= 4 − 5=]
^M G-' M '- NMOP M
(32)
M"
K L 6 >B? − 7 − B − B
G
M" .M, ∈%&,'( M
(22)
Substitute ∗
and B∗ into the low-tech investor’s problem.
FOC: ∗
M"
' K L 1− ∗
>B? − − B − B∗ ⇔
6 >B? − 7 = + HB
G-' M,# M
M
(23) ∗
M-M" NMOP
K L
M
(33)
M" M,#
>B = B
-' ? G
M
(24)
The first order condition and second order condition is
From which we derive optimal effort and high-tech capital ∗
' ^M"
`% 1 − B+ B − B − B∗ a = 0 (34)
M_ ^M
investment
R
NMOP
B, , =
∗ ∗
M"
'- G Q M
S (25) ]−1 % ] − 1 + ] B( > 0
M
(35)
Proposition 1. As long as effort making is difficult, of low-tech capital owner decreases with B. So the capital
namely, is sufficiently close to 0, there will be parameters demand satisfies
B − ]B ∗ B B = ]−1 B∗ B
such that an inner solution to the above problem could be
(36)
obtained. In other words,
∗
B, , ≤ 1 B ∗ B, , ≤B
which leads to
(27)
68 Guangtao Xia et al.: Capital Heterogeneity, Entrepreneurship, and Two-way Capital Flows
STUR
R S TUR UX S TUR _S TUR UX S TUX
P S TUR UX '- G -' S TUR '- ?- ' P P P P S TUR
/ >4 5 0 = / − b04 5 × 41 + 5 −4 5 41 + 5
S TUR S TUR
N STUX G-' '- NM NM NM NM
(37)
'O
cd
For the sake of notation, denote the optimal k as B∗ , . in domestic projects as Foreign Direct Investment, creating
Now we discuss consumers’ behavior. To simplify the cross-border capital flows.
problem, here it is adopted a wealth management framework
where utility is derived from wealth rather than consumption. 4. Conclusions
Assume that consumers, with population 1, are endowed with
a certain amount of time f, which is devoted to capital or Open economy not only allows the exercise of
labor formation with CES Aggregation in exchange of goods comparative advantage through trade, but can also introduce
at rate and , respectively. The utility is CRRA form. Thus, important production factors from abroad. Capital per se is
given , and f agents solve the following problem (g > 1) not as important as entrepreneurship. In this paper, we set up
'
K Lh +i = +i
a model with heterogeneous capital to rationalize the Two-
j
j
(38)
,#
way Capital Flow Puzzle, emphasizing the characteristic of
Direct Investment which allows investors to participate in the
R
]. l. m
+n m o
≤f (39) firm management. In our model, technological capital
distinguishes itself in the sense that it is attached with
It is easy to derive that optimally, entrepreneurs’ vital but unobservable effort to the production
N '
= m-'
process. We claimed that the shortage of productive
P p #
(40) entrepreneurs in developing countries is an important
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