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Abstract
812
This paper presents a conflict situation that occurs due to dissatisfaction
with the central government which may be due to the illegitimacy of the gov-
ernment, complaints, greed or other reasons. There are models presented with
Agents Based Modelling (ABM) that are proposed: for modelling civilian vio-
lence, confrontations between two opposing groups [11 ], rebellion [6 ] as well as
wars [8 ]. In our case three types of agents are specified: active civilians who are
part of the protesters, peaceful civilians who do not have their status defined,
and police officers guarding government institutions and trying to calm the angry
crowd. We will focus on the interactions of active agents with peaceful agents and
police agents with active and peaceful agents. In situations of protest resulting
from dissatisfaction with the central government, peaceful civilian citizens are
neutral participants in the society that is settled in the midst of troubles and dif-
ficulties. They are silent and quiet laws, but they become active if the conditions
are favourable, in order to express revolt and irritation in public. Police officers
are keeping their routine through the involvement of activists in jail and through
strategies that determine the success of management and control of violence. The
novelty of the paper is application of intuitionistic fuzzy sets and intuitionistic
relations for agent based modelling of conflict situations in case of protest. The
aim is more realistic representation of the participants of social system in our
case.
The rest of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 introduces the fuzzy
sets and the agents based modelling. Section 3 describes the intuitionistic rela-
tions in agent based modelling context. In Section 4 are simulated different events
with fuzzy sets. In Section 5 is determined the similarity between the agents. In
section 6 some concluding remarks and future works are written.
2. Intuitionistic fuzzy sets. In contrast to traditional agent-based models,
the fuzzy agents also take into account the stochastic complement of human
behaviour. In this paper we try to apply strategies, selected from the iterative
dilemma of the prisoners [4 ], using Intuitionistic Fuzzy (IF) rules [2 ] for making
the decision [1 ]. In this way in simulation based on a two-player game, we can
use fuzzy strategies when analytic solutions do not exist or are very difficult to
get [12 ].
Let U be a not empty set. An intuitionistic fuzzy set A from U has the
following form:
(1) A = {hx, µA (x), νA (x)i|x ∈ U },
where the functions µA (x), νA (x) : U → [0, 1] define in a corresponding manner
the degree of membership or non-membership of an element x [2 ]. We have that
πA (x) = 1 − µA (x) − νA (x) and is called the index of uncertainty in Intuitionistic
Fuzzy Set (IFS) or hesitation of x in A. πA (x) is the degree of uncertainty of
x ∈ U of IFS A and πA (x) ∈ [0, 1] and 0 ≤ πA (x) ≤ 1 for every x ∈ U . πA (x) is
a lack of knowledge of whether it belongs to IFS A or not.
µ(p) + ν(p) ≤ 1.
Let there be 8 agents of some type and the possible movements are shown in
Table 1.
Table 1
Possible movements with 8 agents
From Table 1 µ(t) = 0.304, ν(t) = 0.435 and π(t) = 0.261. Hence µ(t) +
ν(t) + π(t) = 1 and the pair (µ(t), ν(t)) is an intuitionistic fuzzy estimation of the
network, where the agents are in the moment t.
4. Simulating events with fuzzy sets. Social systems are complex adap-
tive systems, then we will try to simulate an event that is under development,
at the moment we look at it. Once a decision has been taken (for example, be-
coming active or remaining peaceful), then such a decision can be defined as a
classic relation: after a peaceful agent’s decision will go into “active” or remain
“peaceful”. We suggest to apply this classic relationship Rf qinje : U × U → {0, 1}
to use approximate reasoning and IF relations. Surely, if we know the relation
Rf qinje , and we also know a classical set U, which is defined as:
1, ∃ ind2 | Rf qinje (ind, ind2) = 1
(2) Active(ind) = ,
0, otherwise
and an IF rule for the conclusion, where the premise is conjuction from the classi-
cal sets. Concerning the conclusion, we will use the IFOWA [17 ], which represents
the aggregation of multi-criteria procedures. By specifying the ordered weights
w (whose sum will always result in 1) it is possible to change the shape of the
aggregation.
We can formally determine the IF relation Rcompatible : U × U → [0, 1], using
the IF relation Rsimilarity : U × U → [0, 1] and Ragent : U × U → [0, 1] as in the
following relations:
After specifying how the ordered weights w (whose sum is always 1), it is possible
to change the form of aggregation. Through these weights it is possible to control
the importance of each attribute in the global similarity. Let us focus on direct
interaction between agents. As mentioned earlier in this complex adaptive system,
there are several attributes that affect one another. The attributes, such as gender
or age, that characterize the participants in the crowd, in which they can not be
influenced by other attributes, but some, like ideology, economic status, status in
society, are influenced by political trends or other attributes. This local influence
on a person with the definition of “fuzzy concepts” can not be easily established.
Let A be an IFS in U that expresses attributes (characteristic) of a man. Let
A
∆ be the variation (changes) of the attributes A of the corresponding agent Ind
with its environment ∆A : U → [0, 1], which determines the impact of character-
istic A from the average of each agent Ind and can be defined as the aggregation
of all influences. This influence is determined by the “proximity” of the agent
“Ind”, the distance d between the selected attributes is expressed by:
= IF OW A(Rf qinje (Ind, Ind2), Ragent (Ind, Ind2), Rpolice (Ind, Ind2)) =
REFERENCES
∗
Institute of Information and
Faculty of Natural and Communication Technologies
Mathematical Sciences Bulgarian Academy of Sciences
State University of Tetovo Acad. G. Bonchev St, Bl. 25A
Tetovo, Macedonia 1113 Sofia, Bulgaria
e-mail: shpend.ismaili@unite.edu.mk, e-mail: stefka@parallel.bas.bg