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meet annual IEA Net Zero by 2050 demand of almost 650 GW in 2030. However, wind equipment
manufacturing continues to expand more slowly, such that it may not be able to keep pace with
demand growth under this scenario through 2030. While China will dominate global wind and solar
PV manufacturing capacity in the short term, solar PV project announcements indicate supply chain
diversification.
China reaffirmed its dominant position last year. In 2022, global solar PV manufacturing capacity
increased by over 70% to reach almost 450 GW, with China accounting for over 95% of new facilities
throughout the supply chain. In 2023 and 2024, global solar PV manufacturing capacity is expected
to double, with China again claiming over 90% of this increase. Meanwhile, the forecast expects
significant wafer, cell, and module manufacturing expansion in the ASEAN region through
investments from Chinese manufacturers. For the first time, a relatively large deployment of
manufacturing plants is also forecast for India and the United States, thanks to industrial policies
introduced last year1.
India is in position to achieve a solar photovoltaic (PV) module manufacturing capacity of 110
gigawatts (GW) by 2026, potentially ensuring self-sufficiency in meeting its demand for solar PV
modules2. The rapid growth of PV manufacturing over the past few years, driven notably by
favorable policies like the production-linked incentive (PLI) scheme, has seen a doubling of
nameplate capacity for both cells and modules.
1
https://www.iea.org/reports/renewable-energy-market-update-june-2023/is-there-enough-global-wind-and-
solar-pv-manufacturing-to-meet-net-zero-targets-in-2030
2
IEEFA South Asia & JMK Research Report : India’s Photovoltaic Manufacturing Capacity Set to Surge
Figure 2 Current Solar Module Manufacturing Capacity of Leading Indian Companies
Cells Manufacturing :- In March 2022, the cumulative capacity of cell manufacturing was about
4.3GW, which increased to about 6.6GW by March 2023, an addition of 53.4%. According to industry
estimates, the operational capacity could be 50% (or even less) of the nameplate capacity.
Ingots/Wafers Manufacturing :- In India, Adani Solar is the only company that has demonstrated a
product in the ingots/wafers stage. In December 2022, Adani Solar introduced a large-sized
monocrystalline silicon ingot in its Mundra (Gujarat) facility. This development led the company to
become India’s first manufacturer of monocrystalline silicon ingots, capable of producing M10
(182mm) and M12 (210mm) size wafers. Adani Solar will exclusively use these ingots to produce its
modules, whose efficiencies will range from 21% to 24%.
Adani Solar has initiated wafer production, it also plans to add 2GW of ingots/wafers capacity by
December 2023, which it intends to scale up to 10GW by 2025.
Tranche-I Tranche-II
3
https://mnre.gov.in/production-linked-incentive-pli/
4
https://pib.gov.in/PressReleaseIframePage.aspx?PRID=1911380
5
https://pib.gov.in/PressReleaseIframePage.aspx?PRID=1911380